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BUSINESS & POLITICS IN THE WORLD GLOBAL OPINION REPORT NO. 802-804 Week:
July 03 – July 23, 2023 Presentation:
July 28, 2023 802-804-43-36/Commentary:
Survey; Almost Half Of Homes in Japan with One Parent Live In Poverty 3 Survey: Almost Half Of Homes in Japan with One Parent Live In Poverty 13 Real Wages Fall For 14th Straight Month Amid Inflation
Troubles 14 76% Worry About Image Damage If Fukushima Water
Released 15 Only 1% Pakistanis Think Of Their Families As Wealthy 16 Since 2010, Trust In The Pakistani Media’s Integrity
And Honesty Has Decreased By 15% 17 Gender Myths And Facts In Indonesia 18 Batswana Say Citizens And Government Must Act To Protect The
Environment 22 Economic Conditions Worsen In Eswatini; Citizens Cite Poor Government
Performance 30 How Are Britons Faring With Rent And Mortgages 39 What Do The Public Think Should Happen With The Armed Forces 44 Britons Would Vote To Rejoin The EU 45 Yougov Survey Also Shows That 48% Of Fans Of The England National Team
Also Support The Lionesses 48 Rishi Sunak Is Less Popular Than Boris Johnson Among 2019 Tories Who
Have Left For Another Party 53 More Than 1 In 3 Believe Black People Are Treated Unfairly By The
Police 60 Emmanuel Macron's Popularity Rating 63 The Social Link In France: Between National Skepticism And Local
Optimism 64 Inflation: One In Four Germans Has Difficulty Making Ends Meet
Financially 68 3 Out Of 10 People In Spain Fear Losing Their Job Due To The Rise Of
Artificial Intelligence 69 Republican Gains In 2022 Midterms Driven Mostly By Turnout Advantage 71 Most Black Adults In The U.S. Are Optimistic About Their Financial
Future 79 Most Asian Americans View Their Ancestral Homelands Favorably, Except
Chinese Americans 84 Little Change In Americans’ Views Of Trump Over The Past Year 93 Three In Four Canadians Are Proud Of Canada’s Qualification In The
Women’s FIFA World Cup 95 As Newsrooms Grapple With Shifting Media Landscape, Most Canadians
Oppose Government Intervention 97 Anz-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Down 0.7pts To 72.6 – Third
Straight Week Of Declines 115 A Survey In 5 European Nations Regarding Their Interest In The 2023
Women’s Football World Cup 124 AI Is Making The World More Nervous; A Survey In 31 Nations Around The
World 125 Ipsos Global Consumer Confidence Index, Across 29 Nations 127 INTRODUCTORY NOTE This weekly report consists of thirty-five surveys.
The report includes five multi-country studies from different states across
the globe.
802-804-43-36/Commentary:
Survey; Almost Half Of Homes in Japan with One Parent Live In Poverty
Nearly half of single-parent
households in Japan are living in a state of poverty, according to the 2021
Comprehensive Survey of Living Conditions released by the welfare ministry on
July 4. The poverty rate for single-parent
households surveyed in 2021 decreased by 3.8 percentage points from the
previous survey in 2018 to 44.5 percent, but it remains high. The ministry releases the relative
poverty rate for children--the percentage of those under 18 living in
households that earn less than half the median income--every three years. Japan’s rate is significantly
higher than the recent average of 31.9 percent for the Organization for
Economic Cooperation and Development member states. Japan is ranked the
eighth highest among 43 nations. Brazil has the highest poverty rate
for such households at 54.8 percent, followed by South Africa at 49.8
percent. “Price surges are putting the lives
of parents and children at risk,” said Yumiko Watanabe, head of the certified
nonprofit organization Kidsdoor in Tokyo, at a news conference in late June. The NPO conducted an online survey
of households it supports from May 30 to June 6 and received 1,538 responses.
Ninety percent of respondents were single-mother households. Of all respondents, 60 percent said
their expected household income in 2023 would be up to 2 million yen
($14,000), and 40 percent spent 110 yen or less per meal for one person. In the free-response section of the
online survey, one respondent wrote, “We had no choice but to lower the
quality of our food, and I was warned about my child being underweight during
a school health check.” Others wrote, “Even when we were
hungry, we had to drink water to fill our stomachs” and “I rely on school
lunches for my child’s meals.” On the other hand, the poverty rate
for all children in Japan has been decreasing since 2015, although
simple comparisons between the surveys is impossible due to revisions of the
standards. The poverty rate in the 2021 survey
was 11.5 percent, down 2.5 percentage points from the 2018
survey. Japan’s rate is also now below the OECD average of 12.8 percent. The overall poverty rate for all
generations is 15.4 percent, down 0.3 percentage point from the previous
survey. The welfare ministry attributed the
improvement to the economic support measures given out during the COVID-19
pandemic, along with a boost in income driven by a greater number of women
entering the workforce. The survey also highlighted the
increasing severity of caregiving due to the declining birthrate and aging
population. Of the households caring for a
family member at home, 63.5 percent have elderly members caring for the
elderly, meaning both the caregiver and the recipient are 65 or older. This
is the first time the proportion has exceeded 60 percent since the survey
began in 2001. Among all households, the rate of
elderly households is 31.2 percent and that of single-person households is
32.9 percent, both all-time highs. Households with children account
for 18.3 percent of the total, the lowest ever. (Asahi Shimbun) July 5, 2023 Source: https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/14949058 SUMMARY OF POLLS ASIA (Japan) Survey: Almost Half Of Homes in
Japan with One Parent Live In Poverty Nearly
half of single-parent households in Japan are living in a state of poverty,
according to the 2021 Comprehensive Survey of Living Conditions released by
the welfare ministry on July 4.The poverty rate for single-parent households
surveyed in 2021 decreased by 3.8 percentage points from the previous survey
in 2018 to 44.5 percent, but it remains high.The ministry releases the relative
poverty rate for children--the percentage of those under 18 living in
households that earn less than half the median income--every three years. (Asahi Shimbun) July 5, 2023 Real Wages Fall For 14th
Straight Month Amid Inflation Troubles Real
wages per worker, which take higher prices into account, dropped 1.2
percent in May year on year, according to the labor ministry's monthly labor
survey published on July 7.That marked the 14th consecutive month that real
wages have fallen. Nominal wages rose in May year on year, but not
enough to catch up with the level of price increases, continuing the recent
trend that wages have effectively continued falling.“Cash earnings,” which is
the same as the average monthly nominal wages, were 283,868 yen ($1,977), up
2.5 percent from the same month the previous year. (Asahi Shimbun) July 7, 2023 76% Worry About Image Damage If
Fukushima Water Released About
three-fourths of people in Japan are worried about the reputational damage
that may follow if treated radioactive water is dumped from the Fukushima No.
1 nuclear power plant.In a nationwide telephone survey by The Asahi Shimbun,
76 percent of respondents expressed concerns about negative publicity from
the release of water from tanks at the site into the Pacific Ocean.On July
12, Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said he expects the release to proceed
around this summer, but added he will make a decision “depending on the
extent to which measures to deal with negative publicity are in place” and
other factors. (Asahi Shimbun) July 17, 2023 (Pakistan) Only 1%
Pakistanis Think Of Their Families As Wealthy According
to a survey conducted by Gallup & Gilani Pakistan, only 1% Pakistanis
think of their families as wealthy. A nationally representative sample of
adult men and women from across the country, was asked the question “If you
think about your own family, would you say you are wealthy, middle class or
poor?” In response, 1% said they consider themselves as wealthy, 53% said
they consider themselves from the middleclass and 46% said they consider
themselves as poor. (Gallup Pakistan) July 17, 2023 Since 2010, Trust In The
Pakistani Media’s Integrity And Honesty Has Decreased By 15% In a
Gallup & Gilani Pakistan National Survey conducted in the year 2010, a
representative sample of adult men and women from across Pakistan was asked
the following question, “Do you trust Pakistani media’s integrity and
honesty?” In response to this question, 59% said yes, while 40% said no.
Comparative Picture: This question was asked again in 2023 to allow a
comparison to be made across the years. In 2023, 44% responded yes, they do
trust the Pakistani media’s integrity and honesty, 47% responded no, and 10%
responded as Don’t know/No response. (Gallup Pakistan) July 18, 2023 (Indonesia) Gender Myths And Facts In
Indonesia In
order to find the truth behind various gender stereotypes, in May 2023
Snapcart conducted a research about male & female consumers’ habits,
hobbies, and their favorite things. Let’s take a look at our findings.From
2.024 respondents (50% male & 50% female), our research figured out that indeed
some stereotypes among genders in society are correct. But for hobbies,
taste, and shopping behaviors, certain stereotypes are not completely
true.Almost everyone think that women shops more often than men. However in
this study, we discovered that the percentage of men and women who shop very
often are equal (12% men & 12% women purchase fashion items more than
twice in a month). (Snapcart) AFRICA (Batswana) Batswana Say Citizens And
Government Must Act To Protect The Environment More
than half (56%) of Batswana consider pollution a “somewhat serious” or “very
serious” problem in their community. o Two-thirds of Batswana (67%) say that
trash disposal is the most important environmental issue in their community.
Almost nine in 10 citizens (87%) say plastic bags are a major source of
pollution in Botswana. Three-fourths
(76%) of Batswana say ordinary citizens bear primary responsibility for
reducing pollution and keeping their communities clean. (Afrobarometer) 12 July 2023 (Eswatini) Economic Conditions Worsen In
Eswatini; Citizens Cite Poor Government Performance More
than eight in 10 Emaswati (84%) say the country is going in “the wrong
direction,” twice as many as in 2018 (42%).
Almost nine in 10 citizens (86%) describe the country’s economic
condition as “fairly bad” or “very bad,” an increase of 38 percentage points
compared to 2018 (48%). Only one in
eight citizens (13%) expect the country’s economic condition to improve over
the next year. More than two-thirds (68%) of Emaswati say their living
conditions are “fairly bad” or “very bad,” more than double the share in 2018
(31%). (Afrobarometer) 12 July 2023 WEST EUROPE (UK) How Are Britons Faring With
Rent And Mortgages One in
three Britons who own their home with a mortgage say they currently find it
difficult to afford their mortgage payments, including 9% who find it “very
difficult”.When asked to look ahead, these figures increase significantly:
47% think it will be hard to afford their mortgage payments in a year’s time,
including 21% who expect it to be very difficult.Renters are more likely to
report difficulty making their housing payments: 55% say they are finding it hard
to do so, including 15% finding it very difficult. (YouGov UK) July 06, 2023 What Do The Public Think Should
Happen With The Armed Forces A new
YouGov survey finds that the most common view among the general public is
that the size of the armed forces should be increased. Four in ten (45%) say
so, including two thirds of Tory voters (67%) although only 27% of Labour
voters.Labour voters are instead most likely to say the armed forces should
remain about the same size they are now, with one in three (33%) thinking so,
alongside 28% of the wider public. Tory voters are less likely to agree
(22%). (YouGov UK) July 11, 2023 Britons Would Vote To Rejoin
The EU With
public opinion having turned against Brexit, a new YouGov survey finds that
most Britons would now vote to Remain were the EU referendum being held
again, and likewise would vote to rejoin the EU if such a vote were being
called.A majority of Britons (55%) say that, were the EU referendum taking
place now, seven years after the original date, they would vote to Remain.
Three in ten 31% say they would vote to Leave. This gives a headline voting
intention of 64% to 36%. (YouGov UK) July 18, 2023 Yougov Survey Also Shows That 48% Of Fans Of The England National Team Also Support
The Lionesses YouGov
previously found that one in six English people – including almost four in
ten England football fans – will be following a great deal or
fair amount of the women’s World Cup. A new YouGov survey
also shows that 48% of fans of the England
national team also support the Lionesses.Across fans of all
20 Premier League clubs, only 28% say that they also support their club’s
women’s team. For a further 39% there seems to be some residual goodwill,
saying of the women’s team: “I prefer if they win when they play, but I
wouldn't say I support them”. A further 26% express complete indifference to
the women’s side, saying “I don't care if they win or lose, and I wouldn't
say I support them”. (YouGov UK) July 20, 2023 Rishi Sunak Is
Less Popular Than Boris Johnson Among 2019 Tories Who Have Left For Another
Party A new
YouGov study of more than 13,000 Britons has now examined how popular both
Boris Johnson and Rishi Sunak are among key voting groups to see who fares
better – along with key rival Keir Starmer.Among those who voted for the
Conservatives in 2019 but who currently do not say they intend to vote for
the party (either because they are unsure who they will vote for, or because
they intend to vote for another party), Boris Johnson is marginally less
unpopular than Rishi Sunak. The current PM scores -33 among these wayward
Tory voters, compared to -27 for the former PM. (YouGov UK) July 20, 2023 More Britons Rate The Standard Of
Policing In Britain As Bad Than Good – With Few Expecting It To Improve New
polling from Ipsos shows that public opinion is divided on the current
standard of policing in Britain, with more people saying it’s bad (36%) than
good (31%). A further 3 in 10 (29%) say it’s neither good nor bad. The public
are not optimistic that standards will improve in the next 12 months either:
only 1 in 5 (20%) expect improvement compared with 26% expecting it to get
worse, and 44% expecting it to stay the same. (Ipsos MORI) 6 July 2023 Most Do Not Think The
Conservative Party Can Run The Country Competently, And 4 In 10 Dislike Their
Policies The
latest Ipsos Political Pulse, conducted online between 30th June and 3rd July
asked the British public what they thought of the main parties, their
policies, and how competently they can run the country. It also explored
their views on the direction of the country and their latest views on the
impact of Brexit.21% said they like the Conservative Party’s individual
policies, whilst 43% disliked them. This compares to Labour, where 27% like
Labour’s individual policies compared to 28% who do not, and another 25% who
don’t know much about them (vs 16% for the Conservatives). (Ipsos MORI) 13 July 2023 More Than 1 In 3 Believe Black
People Are Treated Unfairly By The Police New
polling from Ipsos shows there’s a lack of confidence in the extent to which
Britons are treated fairly by police. The largest share of Britons consider
people from white backgrounds (49%), heterosexual people (45%), and men (43%)
to be treated fairly by police. By contrast, those from minority groups fall
to the bottom of the table, with only 3 in 10 considering people from other
minority backgrounds (including mixed ethnicities; 30%), people from Black
backgrounds (29%), and Roma or traveller people (27%) to be treated fairly. (Ipsos MORI) 18 July 2023 (France) Emmanuel Macron's Popularity
Rating According
to our Ipsos-Le Point monthly Political
Barometer of May 24, 2023, Emmanuel Macron's popularity
rating reached 30% of favorable opinions, against 67% of unfavorable
opinions. The popularity rating of the President of the Republic increased by
2 points. This is the first rise in Emmanuel Macron's popularity rating, after
a continuous downward sequence since the beginning of the
year.Unsurprisingly, 90% of LREM-RE supporters were in favor of Emmanuel
Macron's action as president. (Ipsos France) 6 July 2023 The Social Link In France:
Between National Skepticism And Local Optimism Overall,
the French are divided on the state of social ties. If they generally feel
that the state of the social link is not good today in France (only 34%
believe that it is good), they are more positive about their place of life:
65% consider that the social link is good where they live. However, this
social link seems to be deteriorating, whether in France (79%) or where
respondents live (57%).The French show a certain unanimity on the
contribution of certain elements to the gathering of the French, and in
particular the French language (88% believe that it plays an important role)
and the various elements linked to the Republic: the school (87%), the values
of the Republic (79%) or secularism (78%). (Ipsos France) 11 July 2023 (Germany) Inflation: One In Four Germans
Has Difficulty Making Ends Meet Financially While
on average half of the respondents (49%) see their national economy in
recession, only one in three (32%) in Germany thinks so. Slightly more than
half of Germans (53%) expect the inflation rate to rise in the coming year. A
year earlier, 81 percent were still thinking of such an increase.German
consumers estimate the increase in their spending to be much more moderate
than in the previous year. Although 68 percent of respondents still expect
the purchase of groceries to become more expensive in the next six months,
the figure was still 85 percent in the previous year's survey. (Ipsos Germany) 3 July 2023 (Spain) 3 Out Of 10 People In Spain
Fear Losing Their Job Due To The Rise Of Artificial Intelligence The
revolution that Artificial Intelligence (AI) is causing in people's lives is
increasingly reflected in more areas, such as in the professional, with tools
as popular as ChatGPT. In Spain, 66% say they know what AI is, four points
more than in 2021, while just under half (46%) are aware of the products or
services that use this technology, a percentage that remains the same as two
years ago. (Ipsos Spain) 10 July 2023 NORTH AMERICA (USA) Republican Gains In 2022
Midterms Driven Mostly By Turnout Advantage Overall,
68% of those who voted in the 2020 presidential election turned out to vote
in the 2022 midterms. Former President Donald Trump’s voters turned out at a
higher rate in 2022 (71%) than did President Joe Biden’s voters
(67%).Relatively small shares of voters defected from their partisan
affiliation or 2020 presidential vote. Among those who voted for both
president in 2020 and for a House representative in 2022, just 6% crossed
party lines between elections or voted for third-party candidates in either
election. (PEW) JULY 12, 2023 Private, Selective Colleges Are Most Likely To Use Race, Ethnicity As
A Factor In Admissions Decisions The
U.S. Supreme Court’s decision to limit affirmative
action in higher education is likely to have the biggest
impact on a relatively small group of schools – primarily highly selective
private colleges and universities, according to a new Pew Research Center
analysis.Of these schools, 74% (91 out of 123) said they did consider race
and ethnicity, with 10 of those describing it as an important factor. The
vast majority of those schools (82) are private, not-for-profit institutions. (PEW) JULY 14, 2023 Most Black Adults In The U.S.
Are Optimistic About Their Financial Future Roughly
two-thirds of Black adults in the United States (68%) say they do not have
enough income to lead the kind of life they want, but a majority are
optimistic that they will one day, according to a new Pew Research Center
survey of Black Americans.Black adults with higher incomes (64%) are far more
likely than those with middle (36%) or lower (17%) incomes to say they
currently earn enough to lead the kind of life they want.Similarly, 43% of
Black adults with at least a bachelor’s degree say they earn enough to
support their desired life, while fewer Black adults without a bachelor’s
degree say the same (26%). (PEW) JULY 18, 2023 Most Asian Americans View Their
Ancestral Homelands Favorably, Except Chinese Americans Around
three-quarters of Asian Americans (78%) have a favorable view of the United
States – including 44% who report very favorable views of the country. A
majority also say they have positive views of Japan (68%), South Korea (62%)
and Taiwan (56%), according to a new analysis of a multilingual, nationally
representative survey of Asian American adults conducted from July 5, 2022,
to Jan. 27, 2023. (PEW) JULY 19, 2023 Little Change In Americans’
Views Of Trump Over The Past Year In the
new survey, 66% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents have a
very or mostly favorable opinion of Trump, while 32% have a very or mostly
unfavorable view of him.Six-in-ten Americans hold a very or mostly
unfavorable opinion of Biden, while 39% view him favorably. Biden is viewed
slightly more negatively than he was a year ago, when 55% held an unfavorable
opinion of him.Six-in-ten Americans hold a very or mostly unfavorable opinion
of Biden, while 39% view him favorably. Biden is viewed slightly more
negatively than he was a year ago, when 55% held an unfavorable opinion of
him. (PEW) JULY 19, 2023 (Canada) Three In Four Canadians Are
Proud Of Canada’s Qualification In The Women’s FIFA World Cup According
to a new Ipsos poll conducted on behalf of Global News, many are taking pride
in this year’s tournament, with 75% of Canadians saying Team Canada’s
qualification in women’s World Cup soccer makes them proud to be Canadian
(24% strongly; 51% somewhat). This is 6 points higher
than for the men’s World Cup in 2022. Women (78% vs. 73% men) are more likely
to express pride in Canada’s participation in this year’s women’s World Cup,
and they are also more likely to agree (83% vs. 76% men) that the women’s
FIFA World Cup is an opportunity to advance women’s sports in general, not
just soccer. (Ipsos Canada) 19 July 2023 As Newsrooms Grapple With
Shifting Media Landscape, Most Canadians Oppose Government Intervention New
data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute has Canadians ruling out at
least two proposed solutions. A majority (59%) oppose the government funding
of private newsrooms, believing it “compromises journalistic independence”. A
similar proportion (57%) say the consolidation of media – such as the recently considered but
ultimately rejected coming together of Torstar and Postmedia
– should be discouraged “so there is more competition in news coverage in
Canada”. (Angus Reid Institute) July 13, 2023 Bracing For (More) Pain:
Three-In-Five Canadians Say Latest Increase To Boc Rate Will Further Hurt
Finances New
data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds one-third of Canadians
(34%) saying they expect significant challenges due to the rate hike and an
overall three-in-five (59%) say it will have a negative impact on their
personal finances. Just one-in-ten Canadians (10%) say they expect positive
results from the decision to raise the rate again, while 22 per cent say they
will not be affected.For Canadians paying a mortgage, increasing rates are
causing immense difficulties. Currently, nearly two-in-five (37%) mortgage
holders are having a difficult time making their payments. (Angus Reid Institute) July 20, 2023 AUSTRALIA Inflation Expectations Down 0.4%
Points To 5.5% In Mid-July After Rising Significantly In June And Early July The
latest ANZ-Roy Morgan Inflation Expectations are down 0.4% points to 5.5% in
mid-July after increasing steadily during June. This week Australians
expected inflation of 5.5% annually over the next two years.Despite the
weekly fall, the measure has averaged 5.7% so far in July after increasing
significantly from a weekly low of 5.1% in mid-May. The monthly figure for
June showed Inflation Expectations of 5.6%, an increase of 0.4% points from
May, and the equal highest monthly figure so far this year after dipping to
its lowest in over a year in May. (Roy Morgan) July 11, 2023 Anz-Roy Morgan Consumer
Confidence Down 0.7pts To 72.6 – Third Straight Week Of Declines ANZ-Roy
Morgan Consumer Confidence was down 0.7pts to 72.6 this week. The index has
now spent twenty straight weeks below the mark of 80 – the longest stretch
below 80 since the index began being conducted on a weekly basis in October
2008. The last time Consumer Confidence spent at least twenty weeks under 80
was during the 1990-91 recession when the index was conducted on a monthly
basis.Consumer Confidence is now 9.2pts below the same week a year ago, July
11-17, 2022 (81.8) and 5.8pts below the 2023 weekly average of 78.4. Looking
around the States, Consumer Confidence was down in New South Wales and
Victoria, but up slightly Queensland, WA and SA. (Roy Morgan) July 18, 2023 MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES Among 29 Countries, 74% Accept
As A Principle That People Should Be Able To Seek Refuge In Other Countries,
Including Their Own Three-quarters
of respondents to a Ipsos survey of 29 countries support the idea that
"they should be able to seek refuge in other countries, including your
own, to escape war or persecution." However, in countries such as
Turkey, where migration is experienced very quickly and the integration
process is going through the hottest period, a negative perspective prevails,
seven out of every ten people who participated in the survey from Turkey do
not believe that integration will be successful, this rate is increasing
instead of decreasing over the years. The rate of those who think that
refugees in the country should be deported and that new migrations should not
be accepted is 59% in Turkey, and this rate is the first among 29 countries. (Ipsos Turkey) July 3, 2023 Source:https://www.ipsos.com/tr-tr/multeci-olarak-gelen-yabancilarin-cogu-gercekten-multeci-degil-mi According To A Study Conducted
In 33 Nations; People With Physical Disabilities Are Considered To Be The
Most Unfairly Treated Population Group For
half of the respondents (49%), a society is fair if everyone is given the
same opportunities. Only 17 percent say that a society is only fair if
everyone enjoys the same quality of life. The proportion of supporters of
this statement is higher among young adults than among older
respondents.People with physical disabilities (33%) are also considered to be
the most discriminated against group of people in the global national
average, followed by women (26%), people with mental illnesses (25%) and
lesbian, gay and bisexual people (24%). (Ipsos Germany) July 6, 2023 A Survey In 5 European Nations
Regarding Their Interest In The 2023 Women’s Football World Cup Looking
at football fans specifically, French and German fans are the most likely to
say they will follow at least a fair amount of the tournament (48-49%), as do
44% of Spanish fans. English and Italian fans are the least likely to (39%
and 36%, respectively).By comparison, asked a month ahead of the men’s
tournament in Qatar last year, between 57% (Italy) and 82%
(Spain) of football fans expected to follow the tournament to this degree –
although some of this disparity will be due to the significant time zone
difference for this year’s women’s tournament. (YouGov UK) July 10, 2023 AI Is Making The World More
Nervous; A Survey In 31 Nations Around The World A
recent Ipsos Global Advisor in survey finds that, on average across 31
countries, nearly as many adults say that products and services that use AI
make them nervous (52%) as say they are excited about them (54%). Of all
AI-related measures, nervousness is the variable that has increased the most
since the previous Ipsos survey, conducted 18 months ago. By contrast,
despite a surge in new AI applications, the percentage of adults who say they
know what types of products and services use AI remains relatively unchanged. (Ipsos Global) July 10, 2023 Source:https://www.ipsos.com/en/ai-making-world-more-nervous Ipsos Global Consumer
Confidence Index, Across 29 Nations The
Global Consumer Confidence Index is the average of each of surveyed
countries’ Overall or “National” index.” The latest consumer trends at a
glance. Top five countries in consumer optimism in July 2023, Indonesia -
63.7, Brazil - 60.0, Mexico - 57.2, India - 56.8, Singapore - 56.Key consumer
confidence trends for July 2023. The latest figures show that the Global
Consumer Confidence Index currently reads at 47.6. This is a 0.2 point
increase since June. (Ipsos Global) July 20, 2023 Source:https://www.ipsos.com/en/ipsos-global-consumer-confidence-index ASIA
802-804-43-01/Polls Survey: Almost Half Of
Homes in Japan with One Parent Live In Poverty
Nearly half of single-parent
households in Japan are living in a state of poverty, according to the 2021
Comprehensive Survey of Living Conditions released by the welfare ministry on
July 4. The poverty rate for single-parent
households surveyed in 2021 decreased by 3.8 percentage points from the
previous survey in 2018 to 44.5 percent, but it remains high. The ministry releases the relative
poverty rate for children--the percentage of those under 18 living in
households that earn less than half the median income--every three years. Japan’s rate is significantly
higher than the recent average of 31.9 percent for the Organization for
Economic Cooperation and Development member states. Japan is ranked the
eighth highest among 43 nations. Brazil has the highest poverty rate
for such households at 54.8 percent, followed by South Africa at 49.8
percent. “Price surges are putting the lives
of parents and children at risk,” said Yumiko Watanabe, head of the certified
nonprofit organization Kidsdoor in Tokyo, at a news conference in late June. The NPO conducted an online survey
of households it supports from May 30 to June 6 and received 1,538 responses.
Ninety percent of respondents were single-mother households. Of all respondents, 60 percent said
their expected household income in 2023 would be up to 2 million yen
($14,000), and 40 percent spent 110 yen or less per meal for one person. In the free-response section of the
online survey, one respondent wrote, “We had no choice but to lower the quality
of our food, and I was warned about my child being underweight during a
school health check.” Others wrote, “Even when we were
hungry, we had to drink water to fill our stomachs” and “I rely on school
lunches for my child’s meals.” On the other hand, the poverty rate
for all children in Japan has been decreasing since 2015, although
simple comparisons between the surveys is impossible due to revisions of the
standards. The poverty rate in the 2021 survey
was 11.5 percent, down 2.5 percentage points from the 2018
survey. Japan’s rate is also now below the OECD average of 12.8 percent. The overall poverty rate for all
generations is 15.4 percent, down 0.3 percentage point from the previous
survey. The welfare ministry attributed the
improvement to the economic support measures given out during the COVID-19
pandemic, along with a boost in income driven by a greater number of women
entering the workforce. The survey also highlighted the
increasing severity of caregiving due to the declining birthrate and aging
population. Of the households caring for a
family member at home, 63.5 percent have elderly members caring for the
elderly, meaning both the caregiver and the recipient are 65 or older. This
is the first time the proportion has exceeded 60 percent since the survey
began in 2001. Among all households, the rate of
elderly households is 31.2 percent and that of single-person households is
32.9 percent, both all-time highs. Households with children account
for 18.3 percent of the total, the lowest ever. (Asahi Shimbun) July 5, 2023 Source: https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/14949058 802-804-43-02/Polls Real Wages Fall For 14th
Straight Month Amid Inflation Troubles
Real wages per worker, which
take higher prices into account, dropped 1.2 percent in May year on
year, according to the labor ministry's monthly labor survey published on
July 7. That marked the 14th consecutive
month that real wages have fallen. Nominal wages rose in May year on
year, but not enough to catch up with the level of price increases,
continuing the recent trend that wages have effectively continued falling. “Cash earnings,” which is the same
as the average monthly nominal wages, were 283,868 yen ($1,977), up 2.5
percent from the same month the previous year. This was the first time this year
that the percentage exceeded 2 percent. Of May’s cash earnings, 252,132 yen
was the average amount paid for normal working hours, including basic salary. The amount marked a 1.8 percent
rise year on year. In this year’s annual spring wage
negotiations, companies agreed to raise salaries by an average 3.58 percent,
the largest hike in 30 years, data from Rengo (Japanese Trade Union
Confederation) showed. The average increase in base pay
was 2.12 percent, according to Rengo’s member unions that released the
figures. “The results of the spring wage
negotiations have started to be reflected in the actual wages,” said a labor
ministry official. Cash earnings for full-time work
was 368,417 yen, on average, in May, up 3 percent from the same month last
year, while the figure for part-time work was 102,303 yen, a 3.6 percent
increase year on year. The consumer price index, which is
used to calculate real wages, has continued to rise significantly, marking a
3.8 percent increase in May year on year. (Asahi Shimbun) July 7, 2023 Source: https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/14951125 802-804-43-03/Polls 76% Worry About Image
Damage If Fukushima Water Released
About three-fourths of people in
Japan are worried about the reputational damage that may follow if treated
radioactive water is dumped from the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant. In a nationwide telephone survey by
The Asahi Shimbun, 76 percent of respondents expressed concerns about
negative publicity from the release of water from tanks at the site into the
Pacific Ocean. On July 12, Prime Minister Fumio
Kishida said he expects the release to proceed around this summer, but added
he will make a decision “depending on the extent to which measures to deal
with negative publicity are in place” and other factors. The water will be filtered using a
process that removes radioactive substances other than tritium. The tritium
concentration will be lowered below government safety standards. Meanwhile, the same survey found
support for the release at 51 percent. Forty percent of people expressed
opposition to it in the survey, carried out July 15 and 16. The trend is almost unchanged from
an earlier survey in March, in which 51 percent supported the plan and 41
percent voiced opposition. Over the longer term, support has
grown. Surveys in February 2022 and May 2021 found supporters and opponents
almost evenly split. However, the latest poll revealed a
gender divide with stronger opposition from women than men. Forty-nine percent of female
respondents said they are opposed to the planned water release, while only 37
percent said they support it. This is comparable to the March survey, which
found female opposition at 48 percent but support higher, at 42 percent. In the latest survey, 65 percent of
male respondents said they support the plan, while only 29 percent said they
are opposed. By age group, there is broad
support for the water release among respondents in their 30s through 60s. For
example, 55 percent of those in their 60s said they support the plan,
compared with 33 percent who are opposed. But there almost equal numbers of
supporters and opponents among people between 18 and 29 and those aged 70 or
older. When asked about reputational damage
from the water release, 25 percent of respondents said they are “greatly
concerned” and 51 percent said they are “concerned to a certain degree.” By contrast, 5 percent said they
are “not concerned at all” and 16 percent said they are “not especially concerned.” Even among respondents who support
the plan, 70 percent said they are concerned about fallout related to
negative publicity. However, only 10 percent of
supporters of the release said they are “greatly concerned,” while 46 percent
of opponents chose that answer. The survey was conducted through
calls to randomly generated telephone numbers. There were 337 valid responses
from voters contacted by fixed telephones, or 45 percent of the total, and
602 responses from those contacted by cellphones, or 38 percent. (This article was written by
Tatsuya Eguchi and Yasuhito Watanabe.) (Asahi Shimbun) July 17, 2023 Source: https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/14958878 802-804-43-04/Polls Only 1% Pakistanis Think
Of Their Families As Wealthy
According to a survey conducted by
Gallup & Gilani Pakistan, only 1% Pakistanis think of their families as
wealthy. A nationally representative sample of adult men and women from
across the country, was asked the question “If you think about your own
family, would you say you are wealthy, middle class or poor?” In response, 1%
said they consider themselves as wealthy, 53% said they consider themselves
from the middleclass and 46% said they consider themselves as poor. Question:
“If you think about your own family, would you say you are wealthy, middle
class or poor?”
(Gallup Pakistan) July 17, 2023 Source: https://gallup.com.pk/wp/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/17th-July-English.pdf 802-804-43-05/Polls Since 2010, Trust In The
Pakistani Media’s Integrity And Honesty Has Decreased By 15%
In a Gallup & Gilani Pakistan
National Survey conducted in the year 2010, a representative sample of adult
men and women from across Pakistan was asked the following question, “Do you
trust Pakistani media’s integrity and honesty?” In response to this question,
59% said yes, while 40% said no. Comparative Picture: This question was asked
again in 2023 to allow a comparison to be made across the years. In 2023, 44%
responded yes, they do trust the Pakistani media’s integrity and honesty, 47%
responded no, and 10% responded as Don’t know/No response. Trend Analysis:
The proportion of people who trust the Pakistani media’s integrity and
honesty has decreased by 15% from 2010 to 2023, while those who do not trust
it has increased by 7% in the same time period.
(Gallup Pakistan) July 18, 2023 Source: https://gallup.com.pk/wp/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/18.07.23-History-poll.pdf 802-804-43-06/Polls Gender Myths And Facts In
Indonesia
There are many myths and certain
stereotypes in our society, especially when it comes to gender diversity.
However, according to some studies, not all myths/stereotypes amongst us are
absolutely right. For example, this whole time, many
people think that Indonesian women are obsessed to have “bright” skin whilst
Indonesian men often care less about their looks. Nevertheless, our latest
study discovered the otherwise; we found out that males have higher
expectation to have fair and glowing skin after using skincare rather than
females [1].
Furthermore, many stereotypes around this world say that automotive and
technology are mostly for men. While in fact, several studies discovered that
the buyers of vehicles, technology products, workshop tools, are mostly
women. In order to find the truth behind
various gender stereotypes, in May 2023 Snapcart conducted a research about
male & female consumers’ habits, hobbies, and their favorite things.
Let’s take a look at our findings.
From 2.024 respondents (50% male
& 50% female), our research figured out that indeed some stereotypes
among genders in society are correct. But for hobbies, taste, and shopping
behaviors, certain stereotypes are not completely true. For examples, in automotive items
ownership, those who have private vehicle(s) and drive it are indeed mostly
men, meanwhile majority of women prefer to own and ride matic rather than
manual motorbike, just like what the stereotypes have told us this whole
time. Nevertheless, in choosing what kind of car types/models, most women
choose to buy and drive a “manly” car model like sedan, and the percentage
numbers of women who have sporty cars are equal as men.
Other intriguing facts are also
found in the fashion industry and gaming activities. Almost everyone think that women
shops more often than men. However in this study, we discovered that the
percentage of men and women who shop very often are equal (12% men & 12%
women purchase fashion items more than twice in a month). Furthermore for
taste in fashion, apparently nowadays some people are no longer wearing
outfits based on certain stereotypes. In this research we discovered that
semi formal outfits like kemeja, tuxedo, and blazer are now worn by women as
well as men does, whilst bright coloured (pink, yellow, purple, red, etc)
outfits also appealing not just for females, but for males too! You can see
the details of the data on the infographic above. Meanwhile for gaming activities,
even though males play games very often more than females, but our female
respondents confessed that they also play games as often as males do. And we
can no longer say that certain games are for males or females only, because
our data shows that certain games for guys are in fact played by most females
whilst quite many males confessed that they also often play “girls” games.
Finally, when we come to the
financial habit like investment for example, most gender stereotypes that
related to this activity are true like the facts that majority of those who
invest are men, and majority of women are more careful in doing it rather
than men. But when it comes to investment types where many media sources say
that men prefer to do short-term investment and women do the otherwise, our
study has proven that this phenomenon is just a myth, as represented on the
infographic above. No Myth In Sports In this research we discovered that
certain myths in almost every life aspect & various industries are not
100% true. However, this phenomenon is irrelevant when it comes to sport. All stereotypes like what kind of
sports that men and women like, also the purpose of each gender why they do
sport for examples, are matching with every stereotypes that we have heard
this whole time.
(Snapcart) Source: https://snapcart.global/gender-myths-and-facts-in-indonesia/ AFRICA
802-804-43-07/Polls Batswana Say Citizens And
Government Must Act To Protect The Environment
Key findings On pollution and
environmental governance: More than
half (56%) of Batswana consider pollution a “somewhat serious” or “very
serious” problem in their community. o Two-thirds of Batswana (67%) say that
trash disposal is the most important environmental issue in their community.
o Almost nine in 10 citizens (87%) say plastic bags are a major source of
pollution in Botswana. Three-fourths
(76%) of Batswana say ordinary citizens bear primary responsibility for
reducing pollution and keeping their communities clean. Far fewer assign this
task primarily to the national (13%) or local (3%) government. While 56% of respondents think the
government is doing a good job of protecting the environment, a far larger
majority (87%) say it should be doing more on this issue. However, if environmental protection
conflicts with economic development, a majority (57%) of Batswana say the
government should prioritise creating jobs and increasing incomes. On natural
resource extraction: By a nearly
2-to-1 margin, Batswana say the benefits of natural resource extraction
outweigh its environmental costs.
However, most (88%) say the government should regulate the industry more
tightly to reduce its damaging impacts on the environment. Pollution and
environmental governance Pollution: The scope of the problem More than half
(56%) of the people of Botswana consider pollution in their communities a
“somewhat serious” (33%) or “very serious” (22%) problem (Figure 1).
1 About four in 10 believe
pollution is “not very serious (32%)” or “not at all serious” (9%). Urban
residents are more troubled by pollution than rural residents (69% vs. 49%)
(Figure 2).
Concern increases with respondents’
economic status, ranging from 50% among those experiencing high lived
poverty2 to 62% among the best-off respondents. Similarly, citizens with no
formal schooling (50%) are less likely to consider pollution a serious
problem than their more educated counterparts (56%-59%). And pollution is a
greater concern among the youngest respondents (63% of 18- to 25-year-olds)
than among their elders (51%-57%). Batswana rank trash disposal as the
most important environmental issue in their community (67%), while fewer than
one in 10 cite human waste management (9%), deforestation (7%), air pollution
(6%), and water pollution (4%) as their top priority (Figure 3).
Almost nine out of 10 citizens
(87%) say that plastic bags are a major source of pollution in Botswana
(Figure 4).
Protecting the environment For most
Batswana, protecting the environment starts at home: Three-fourths (76%) say
ordinary citizens should bear primary responsibility for reducing pollution
and keeping their communities clean (Figure 5).
Far fewer assign this task
primarily to the national government (13%), business and industry (5%), local
government (3%), or traditional leaders (2%). Overall, more than half (56%)
of citizens say the government is doing “fairly well” or “very well” on
reducing pollution and protecting the environment, while 34% are not
impressed with the government’s performance (Figure 6).
Approval of the government’s
efforts is least common among the poorest respondents (46%), those with no
formal education (49%), and residents in peri-urban areas (41%). But despite majority approval of
the government’s performance, most citizens (87%) say it should be doing more
to limit pollution and protect the environment, including 63% who want it to
do “much more” (Figure 7).
However, if
environmental-protection policies come into conflict with economic
development, a majority (57%) of Batswana say the government should focus on
creating jobs and increasing incomes, even at the cost of increasing
environmental damage. Only 32% would prioritise environmental protection over
job creation (Figure 8).
Emphasis on jobs and incomes rather
than the environment is particularly strong among rural residents (61%) and
respondents experiencing moderate or high lived poverty (59%) (Figure 9).
The wealthy (42%) and those with
post-secondary education (40%) are most likely to prioritise environmental
protection. Natural resource extraction While
the mining sector plays a major role in Botswana’s economic development, it
also helps drive some of its environmental challenges. By a 50%-to-27%
margin, Batswana say that the benefits of natural resource extraction
outweigh its costs, including pollution (Figure 10).
Almost one-fourth (23%) of
respondents maintain a neutral stance or say they “don’t know” how the
benefits and costs associated with natural resource extraction balance out.
However, they overwhelmingly (88%) agree that the government should regulate
the industry more tightly to reduce its damaging impacts on the environment.
More than three-fourths (77%) of Batswana say that ordinary citizens have a
voice in decisions concerning natural resource extraction that takes place
near their communities (Figure 11).
But only 36% think communities
receive their fair share of revenues from resource extraction, while a
plurality (44%) say they don’t and 20% say they “don’t know” or don’t take a
position. Conclusion A majority of Batswana
see pollution as a serious problem in their community, and inadequate trash
disposal as the most serious offender. They believe that ordinary citizens
must assume primary responsibility for reducing pollution and keeping their
communities clean, but they also expect “much more” from the government to
protect the environment – including tighter regulation of natural resource
extraction. (Afrobarometer) 12 July 2023 802-804-43-08/Polls Economic Conditions Worsen
In Eswatini; Citizens Cite Poor Government Performance
Key findings More than eight in 10 Emaswati (84%) say
the country is going in “the wrong direction,” twice as many as in 2018
(42%). Almost nine in 10 citizens
(86%) describe the country’s economic condition as “fairly bad” or “very
bad,” an increase of 38 percentage points compared to 2018 (48%). Only one in eight citizens (13%) expect the
country’s economic condition to improve over the next year. More than two-thirds (68%) of
Emaswati say their living conditions are “fairly bad” or “very bad,” more than
double the share in 2018 (31%).
Increasing numbers of citizens report going without a cash income
(78%), medical care (78%), enough food (66%), and enough clean water (55%) at
least once during the year preceding the survey. Public approval ratings have plummeted for
the government’s performance on managing the economy (12%), improving living
standards of the poor (10%), creating jobs (6%), narrowing gaps between rich
and poor (5%), and keeping prices stable (4%). However, among citizens who sought selected
public services during the previous year, majorities say they found it easy
to get help from public schools (79%), public health facilities (64%), and
the police (63%), though significant minorities also say they had to pay
bribes to obtain public services. Country’s direction and economic conditions
Citizens’ perceptions of the country’s overall direction have worsened
dramatically since the current government’s term of office began in 2018.
Only 13% of respondents say the country is going in the right direction, a
39-percentage-point decline from 52% in 2018. The proportion who think the
country is going in the wrong direction has doubled over the same period, to
84% (Figure 1).
Similarly, most Emaswati hold a
bleak view of the country’s economic condition. Between 2018 and 2022, the
share of respondents who describe the economic situation as “fairly bad” or
“very bad” has increased by 38 percentage points, to 86% (Figure 2).
Only about one in 20 (6%) consider
the condition of the economy good. Negative assessments of economic
conditions are consistently high across key demographic groups, reaching 93%
among citizens over age 55 (Figure 3).
Disapproval is more widespread
among citizens who have experienced high (90%) or moderate (88%) levels of
lived poverty1 than among their better-off counterparts (82%-83%). In line with increasingly negative
assessments of the country’s overall direction and economic condition,
three-fourths (75%) of citizens say the economy has worsened over the
previous year. And about seven in 10 (71%) expect things to get worse during
the coming year. Only 13% are optimistic about the economy in the near future
(Figure 4).
Personal living conditions
Citizens’ assessments of their personal living conditions have continued to
worsen as well (Figure 5). Almost seven in 10 respondents (68%) describe
their living conditions as “fairly bad” or “very bad,” a 37-percentage-point
increase compared to 2018. Only 16% offer positive assessments of their
living conditions, recovering slightly from a drop to 9% in 2021.
Citizens with primary schooling or
less (80%) are considerably more likely to describe their living conditions
as bad than those with secondary (70%) or post-secondary (57%) education
(Figure 6).
Rural residents (70%) are also more
negative than urbanites (63%). Negative assessments increase steadily with
respondents’ age, ranging from 61% of 18- to 25- year-olds to 73% of those
over age 55. As might be expected, the poorest citizens are twice as likely
as the well-off to describe their living conditions as bad (90% vs. 46%). Lived poverty Afrobarometer’s
measurement of “lived poverty” confirms the continued deterioration of living
conditions of most Emaswati. After substantial reductions in deprivation
between 2013 and 2015, the proportions of citizens going without five basic
life necessities have been climbing sharply (Figure 7).
More than three-fourths (78%) of
respondents say they or a family member went without medical care at least
once during the previous year, a 45-percentage-point increase compared to
2015. The same proportion (78%) report going without a cash income, while
two-thirds (66%) went without enough food, 61% without enough cooking fuel,
and 55% without enough clean water – all reflecting substantial increases
compared to 2015 and 2018. Averaging responses across these five basic needs
shows that a majority of citizens suffered high (24%) or moderate (38%)
levels of lived poverty during the year preceding the survey, while fewer
than four in 10 experienced low (30%) or no (7%) lived poverty (Figure 8).
Government performance and most
important problems As assessments of economic and living conditions have
grown more negative, so have citizens’ ratings of the government’s
performance in managing economic issues (Figure 9).
The proportion who say the government
is managing the economy “fairly well” or “very well” has decreased by 35
percentage points since 2018, to 12%. Similar declines are seen with regard
to the government’s performance on improving living standards of the poor
(from 46% approval to 10%), creating jobs (from 41% to 6%), narrowing gaps
between rich and poor (from 29% to 5%), and keeping prices stable (from 34%
to 4%). Approval of the government’s management of the economy is
consistently low across key demographic groups (Figure 10).
While management of the economy
ranks sixth among the most important problems that Emaswati want their
government to address, the critical economic issues of unemployment and wages
rank No. 1 and No. 2, cited by 52% and 31% of citizens, respectively, among their
top three concerns (Figure 11).
Interestingly, democracy/political
rights ranks seventh, higher than food insecurity and crime/security, in the
top 10 problems. Public service delivery Contrary to
widespread disapproval of the government’s performance on economic issues, a
majority of Emaswati who accessed selected public services say they had an
easy time of it. Among those who sought public services during the previous
year, about eight in 10 say they found it “easy” or “very easy” to get help from
public schools (79%), while almost twothirds had no trouble obtaining
services in public health facilities (64%) or police assistance (63%) (Figure
12).
However, only 37% say they found it
easy to get a government identity document such as a birth certificate,
driver’s license, passport, voter’s card, or permit. Still, some citizens say they had
to pay bribes, give gifts, or do favours in order to access the public
services they needed (Figure 13).
Among those who had contact with
these services, 38% say they had to pay a bribe once or more to obtain
government identity documents, while smaller proportions report paying bribes
to get help from the police (31%), medical care (13%), or services at a
public school (11%). Conclusion Citizens’ assessments of
the outgoing government’s performance in managing the economy are
overwhelmingly negative. Satisfaction with the country’s economic condition
and overall direction has continued to plummet, losing any ground the
government might have gained between 2013 and 2018. Most citizens report poor
living conditions and shortages of basic life necessities, and very few
expect things to get better over the coming year. While downward trends may
be blamed in part on the COVID-19 pandemic, these findings suggest that
Emaswati will expect the incoming government to deliver effective economic
management strategies that regenerate economic growth and improve the quality
of their lives. (Afrobarometer) 12 July 2023 WEST EUROPE
802-804-43-09/Polls How Are Britons Faring
With Rent And Mortgages
Most renters are struggling, and
many with mortgages expect to do so in the next 12 months With rising interest rates and
other housing issues causing havoc with the public’s finances, a new YouGov
survey explores how Britons are faring with their housing costs, how well
government and mortgage lenders are responding, and who they hold responsible
for the current housing situation. One in three with mortgages say
they are finding it difficult to pay their mortgages, with more expecting to
do so within a year One in three Britons who own their
home with a mortgage say they currently find it difficult to afford their
mortgage payments, including 9% who find it “very difficult”. When asked to look ahead, these
figures increase significantly: 47% think it will be hard to afford their
mortgage payments in a year’s time, including 21% who expect it to be very
difficult. Most renters are already finding it
hard to keep up with the rent Renters are more likely to report
difficulty making their housing payments: 55% say they are finding it hard to
do so, including 15% finding it very difficult. However, when asked how hard they
think it will be in 12 months, the number of renters saying so falls to 51%
(although the number thinking it will be ‘very’ difficult actually rises to
20%). This is because more renters shift to the ‘don’t know’ column when
asked to predict how things will be in 12 months (from 5% to 18%), likely
indicating a lack of certainty over their landlords’ intentions, their own
uncertainty about staying in their current property, or more precarious
employment than Britons with mortgages.
Just over half of renters (54%)
have seen their landlord increase their rent in the last 12 months, with the
median rental cost increase 9%. Britons think renters are currently
suffering more than those with mortgages While the economy has brought bad
news for both renters and people with mortgages, it is the former group that
Britons think are having a worse time of things. Four in ten say people who
are renting are struggling more (41%), compared to 30% who think those with
mortgages are facing greater hardships. Private renters are under no doubts
about this, with 58% saying renters have things worse compared to 21% who
believe that applies to those with mortgages. By contrast, Britons with a
mortgage are split: 39% think people like themselves are struggling most,
while 36% say that renters are.
Most Britons support government
assistance on mortgages and rent While the government has ruled out
financial support for people to pay their mortgages, the majority of Britons
would back such support – and for renters too. A majority favour financial support
for homeowners to pay mortgage costs (54%), rising to six in ten for renters
to pay rental costs (60%). Among Britons with a mortgage, 62%
back financial support for those with mortgages, and likewise 77% of private
renters back financial support for rental costs. Britons who own their home outright
oppose financial support on mortgages by 51% to 37%, and are divided on rent
assistance by 44% to 44%.
People with mortgages tend to say
Jeremy Hunt’s deal with mortgage providers will help them On 23 June, chancellor Jeremy Hunt agreed a voluntary package of
mortgage assistance with mortgage providers, including 12
month grace periods before repossessions and allowing people to temporarily
extend their mortgage terms or switch to interest-only repayments. Each of the six measures we asked
about is supported by at least two thirds of Britons, and 45% of people with
mortgages say the changes would help them, compared to only 14% who say they
would not be helpful (33% say they don’t need mortgage help in the first
place).
Britons say mortgage lenders aren’t
offering enough support, and the government is handling the issue badly Nevertheless, Britons still tend to
say that banks and mortgage lenders are providing too little support
regarding mortgage repayments. Almost half (46%) think so, compared to only
25% who think the level of support is about adequate. Among Britons who are struggling
with their mortgage payments themselves, fully 69% say the banks and mortgage
lenders are providing too little support, with just 22% saying they are
providing the right amount of support.
Meanwhile, a previous YouGov poll
found 67% of Britons say the government is handling the issue of mortgages
badly. Similarly, the proportion of Britons saying the government is badly
handling the issue of housing in general has hit a successive high of 74%, the largest since we started
tracking in mid-2019. Who do Britons hold responsible for
the housing problems the UK faces? The Tory governments since 2010 top
the list of entities Britons blame for the country’s current housing woes,
with 71% saying they hold a great deal or fair amount of responsibility. It is a close contest for second
place, with housebuilders and developers (63%), older Conservative
governments (62%) and local councils (61%) all in contention. The Labour governments of Tony
Blair and Gordon Brown get less blame (52%), as do older Labour governments
(36%).
Among Tory voters, the recent
Conservative governments since 2010 don’t escape blame, with 63% holding them
responsible – tied for second with housebuilders and developers. However,
Tories are most likely to blame local councils for the country’s housing
problems, at 69%. Most Conservative voters likewise
point the finger of blame at New Labour (60%), banks (56%) and immigrants
(56%). Twentieth century Conservative governments are also held responsible
by 53% of Tories. Labour voters overwhelmingly blame
the last 13 years’ Tory governments (89%), and in second place come older
Conservative administrations (80%). Housebuilders (72%) and banks (68%) also
score highly. Labour voters are much more likely
to blame older generations of Britons for the nation’s housing woes (41%)
than Tory voters (18%). (YouGov UK) July 06, 2023 802-804-43-10/Polls What Do The Public Think
Should Happen With The Armed Forces
The most common view is they should
increase in size, at 41% In late June, General Sir Time
Radford – the second highest ranking NATO general – warned that
Britain risks losing its influence within the alliance because its army is
too small. The number of regular soldiers has fallen from 97,000 a decade ago
to 76,000 now, and is set to decrease further. Now a new YouGov survey finds that
the most common view among the general public is that the size of the armed
forces should be increased. Four in ten (45%) say so, including two thirds of
Tory voters (67%) although only 27% of Labour voters. Labour voters are instead most
likely to say the armed forces should remain about the same size they are
now, with one in three (33%) thinking so, alongside 28% of the wider public.
Tory voters are less likely to agree (22%). One in fourteen Britons think the
armed forces should be reduced in size, including 5% who go so far as to say
they should be disbanded. This includes 11% of 18-24 year olds and 8% of
Labour voters.
Most Britons have a favourable
opinion of the armed forces With 24 June having marked Armed
Forces Day, the majority of Britons (58%) have a favourable opinion of the
nation’s armed forces. Just 9% have a negative view, while 26% hold a neither
positive nor negative opinion. Young Britons (40% of 18-24 year
olds) are the least likely to have a favourable view. One in five have a
negative view (19%), compared to 3% of those aged 65 and above.
(YouGov UK) July 11, 2023 802-804-43-11/Polls Britons Would Vote To
Rejoin The EU
‘Bregret’ stands at highest level
recorded to date With public opinion having turned
against Brexit, a new YouGov survey finds that most Britons would now vote to
Remain were the EU referendum being held again, and likewise would vote to
rejoin the EU if such a vote were being called. How would Britons vote if the EU
referendum were taking place in 2023? A majority of Britons (55%) say
that, were the EU referendum taking place now, seven years after the original
date, they would vote to Remain. Three in ten 31% say they would vote to
Leave. This gives a headline voting intention of 64% to 36%. The results show that one in six
Leave voters (18%) now say that they would vote to Remain were the EU
referendum being held now. Almost three quarters (73%) say they would still
vote to leave the EU.
These results represent a moderate
shift from January 2021, when we asked the same question. Back then, Britons
said they would vote to Remain in the EU by 49% to 37%. Among Leave voters,
81% continued to say they would vote to Leave, while 9% would have changed
their vote. Would Britons vote to rejoin the
EU, or stay out? Were a new referendum called on
whether or not to return to the EU, 51% of Britons would vote to rejoin,
compared to 32% who would vote to stay out (giving a headline vote figure of
61% to 39%). This is a substantial change from
early 2021, at which point Britons were divided 40% against joining the EU
and 42% in favour. Back then, 8% of Leave voters would
have voted to rejoin; now 18% would. How widespread is ‘Bregret’?
Currently, 57% of Britons say that
the country was wrong to vote for Brexit in 2016 – the highest figure YouGov
has recorded to date. By comparison, one in three (32%) think it was the
right call. One in five Leave voters (19%) now say it was the wrong decision.
Has Brexit been a success? Nigel Farage made headlines in May when he proclaimed Brexit to have
been a failure. He is one of 63% of Britons who consider
Brexit to have been more of a failure than a success. Only 12% see it as more
of a success, while 18% say it is neither a success nor a failure. Seven in ten Britons (70%) say the
government is handling Brexit badly, including 83% of Remain voters and 58%
of Leave voters.
(YouGov UK) July 18, 2023 Source:https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2023/07/18/britons-would-vote-rejoin-eu 802-804-43-12/Polls Yougov Survey Also Shows
That 48% Of Fans Of The England National Team Also
Support The Lionesses
With the women’s football World Cup
kicking off later this week, there is no denying that women’s football has
increased in stature over the last decade. YouGov previously found that one in
six English people – including almost four in ten England football fans – will be following a great deal or
fair amount of the women’s World Cup. A new YouGov survey
also shows that 48% of fans of the England
national team also support the Lionesses. But do domestic clubs receive a
similar level of support transfer? We asked 2,148 football fans whose main
club is one of the 2023-24 Premier League teams to what extent they supported
their club’s men’s and women’s teams. Across fans of all 20 Premier
League clubs, only 28% say that they also support their club’s women’s team.
For a further 39% there seems to be some residual goodwill, saying of the
women’s team: “I prefer if they win when they play, but I wouldn't say I
support them”. A further 26% express complete indifference to the women’s
side, saying “I don't care if they win or lose, and I wouldn't say I support
them”. By contrast, fully 87% say they
support the men’s team, while 12% clearly more casual fans say they preferred
their club win when they play, but don’t see themselves as supporters. Of the eight clubs with fanbase
samples large enough for us to look at in detail, Chelsea fans are the most
likely to describe themselves as supporters of the women’s team, with 48%
saying so. Manchester City, Manchester United, and Newcastle United fans are
next most likely to do so, at 30-31%. Liverpool fans are the least likely
to say they are fans of their women’s team, at just 18%.
How many supporters of Premier
League teams also watch the women’s team? Only 16% of fans of Premier League
teams say they watch their club’s women’s side play very or fairly often,
compared to 74% for the men’s teams. Half say they “never” watch the women’s
side (48%). Unsurprisingly, given the higher
levels of support, it is Chelsea fans who are the most likely to watch their
women’s team play, at 32%. Manchester City fans come second at 28%, followed
by Arsenal at 27%. By contrast, only 7-9% of
Liverpool, Newcastle, Tottenham, and West Ham fans say they watch their
club’s women’s teams play frequently. How many supporters of Premier
League teams also follow the scores for the women’s team? While many fans don’t watch their
club’s women’s team play, somewhat more do keep up with their progress.
Across all 20 Premier League teams, 27% of fans say they follow news and
scores for their club’s women’s team very or fairly closely, compared to 90%
for the men’s team. More than four in ten (44%) say they never check in on
the women’s team. Again, Chelsea fans are the most
likely to follow how the women’s team is doing, with 43% saying they follow
very or fairly closely. Close to four in ten Arsenal fans say the same (38%),
as do 30-32% of Manchester City, Manchester United, and Newcastle United
fans. Liverpool fans are again the least
likely to frequently track the progress of the women’s side, at 17%.
(YouGov UK) July 20, 2023 802-804-43-13/Polls Rishi Sunak Is Less
Popular Than Boris Johnson Among 2019
Tories Who Have Left For Another Party
In the wake of this week’s
by-elections, Boris Johnson and his allies will doubtless be hoping the
results vindicate their belief that only the former prime minister could be
said to give the party a chance in the forthcoming general election. A new YouGov study of more than
13,000 Britons has now examined how popular both Boris Johnson and Rishi
Sunak are among key voting groups to see who fares better – along with key
rival Keir Starmer. Among those who voted for the
Conservatives in 2019 but who currently do not say they intend to vote for
the party (either because they are unsure who they will vote for, or because
they intend to vote for another party), Boris Johnson is marginally less
unpopular than Rishi Sunak. The current PM scores -33 among these wayward
Tory voters, compared to -27 for the former PM. There are, however, significant
differences between voting groups in this category. Among those who voted
Tory in 2019 and currently don’t know who they will vote for, Sunak’s score
of -12 outpaces Johnson’s -23.
This may not be a huge advantage
for Sunak, however, as previous YouGov research has
shown that most of a party’s voters who move over to the
‘don’t know’ category between elections end up returning to that party by
voting day. The fact that Keir Starmer is so much more unpopular among this
group (-48) suggests this is likely to be the case again. Looking at those who have specifically
switched their voting intention from the Conservatives to another party shows
that Johnson’s net favourability rating is noticeably less bad than Sunak’s,
at -31 to -51. Again, there are significant
differences within this group. Those who left the Tories for a party to their
political right, like Reform UK, actually have a net favourable view of
Johnson (+14) and a very unfavourable view of Sunak (-60). Meanwhile, those
who have left the Tories for a party to their political left, like Labour or
the Lib Dems, have a less unfavourable view of Sunak (-44) than Johnson
(-66). Unfortunately for Sunak, however, Keir Starmer holds a massively
better score among this group (+10), which will severely limit his ability to
return these voters to the Tory fold.
In our latest voting intention poll,
12% of 2019 Tory voters had shifted to Reform UK while an identical
proportion now intend to vote Labour (9%) or Liberal Democrat (3%). While the
data does indicate that the Tories would have an easier time bringing back
right wing voters under Johnson, these voters are less helpful to the party’s
election prospects. While losing votes to minor parties
does hurt,
Reform UK’s predecessor, the Brexit Party, came second in only three
constituencies in 2019, and taking a vote directly from the top competitor
for a seat is worth twice as much as taking it from a minor party that is not
in contention. Given Reform UK’s minor party status, there is also a greater
potential for voters returning to the Tories on a tactical basis. At the same time, we can’t account
for how many swing voters the Tories would irrevocably alienate by bringing
back the former prime minister. A previous YouGov MRP study
found that on the ‘who would be a better PM’ question, Johnson lost to
Starmer by 594 to 38, while Sunak ‘only’ lost by 389 to 127 – and every seat
in which Johnson beat Starmer was also won by Sunak. However, it is also hard to see
from this data how Rishi Sunak can hope to recover substantial numbers of
wayward Tories when Keir Starmer is so much more popular to his left and
Boris Johnson is on his right. (YouGov UK) July 20, 2023 802-804-43-14/Polls More Britons Rate The
Standard Of Policing In Britain As Bad Than Good – With Few Expecting It To
Improve
More people
rate the current standard of policing in Britain as bad (36%) than good (31%)
and just 20% expect it to get better in the next 12 months
Only 35%
are confident the police can tackle violence against women and girls, with
women less confident than men (31% vs 40%)
Half (52%)
think government spending on the police should be increased. New polling from Ipsos shows that
public opinion is divided on the current standard of policing in Britain,
with more people saying it’s bad (36%) than good (31%). A further 3 in 10
(29%) say it’s neither good nor bad. The public are not optimistic that standards
will improve in the next 12 months either: only 1 in 5 (20%) expect
improvement compared with 26% expecting it to get worse, and 44% expecting it
to stay the same. When asked about confidence in the
police’s ability to tackle various issues in Britain, the only area where
substantially more people were confident than not, was tackling terrorism
(59% ‘very’ or ‘fairly confident’; 32% ‘not very’ or ‘not at all confident’).
The public was more divided on the police’s ability to tackle public disorder
(45% confident vs 47% not confident) and child sexual abuse (43% vs 46%).
They were least confident in the police’s ability to tackle domestic burglary
(61% not confident vs 31% confident). Men expressed greater confidence than
women across most areas, most noticeably in their assessment of the police’s
ability to tackle violence against women and girls (40% of men vs 31% of
women were ‘very’ or ‘fairly confident’).
Half of Britons (52%) think
government spending on the police should be increased, with just 11% saying
it should be decreased and 22% saying it should stay the same. A further 15% were unsure. Support for more
spending on the police increased with age, to 64% of those aged 55+ compared
with 41% of 16-34 year-olds. The public think the police should
give higher priority to sexual crimes and domestic abuse When presented with a list of types
of crime and asked to identify the 2-3 they think are currently prioritised
by the police, the most commonly mentioned were: murder / violent crime
(44%), terrorism / extremism (35%), supply of illegal drugs (27%), and
organised crime (25%). Overall, the areas people felt the
police does prioritise were generally in line with the areas they felt they
should prioritise. However, more than twice as many said sexual crime / rape
should be a police priority (44%) than feel it is currently prioritised
(20%). A similar pattern is apparent for domestic abuse (20% thought it
should be prioritised, 10% that it is a current priority), and for domestic
burglary (18% vs 7%, respectively).
More women than men want the police
to prioritise sexual crime / rape (50% of women vs 38% of men) and domestic
abuse (26%, vs 14% of men). Younger people were also more likely than older
age groups to say the police should prioritise sexual crime/rape and domestic
abuse. By contrast, those aged 55+ were more likely to say the police should
prioritise murder / violent crime (58%, vs 46% among younger age groups) and
terrorism (37%, vs 27% of those 16-34 and 25% of those 35-55). Trinh Tu, Managing Director of
Public Affairs at Ipsos, said: Our data highlights public concern
around both police performance and policing priorities in Britain, with
limited public optimism that standards will improve in the next 12 months.
The lack of public confidence cuts across a range of crimes (with the notable
exception of terrorism) and is particularly noticeable among women. And
although overall, the areas the public believe the police prioritise are
largely in line with what they want them to prioritise, sexual crimes are a
striking exception. Demonstrating that this is a priority area may help to
instil more confidence in the police among women. (Ipsos MORI) 6 July 2023 802-804-43-15/Polls Most Do Not Think The
Conservative Party Can Run The Country
Competently, And 4 In 10 Dislike Their Policies
Views are
split towards Labour’s policies, while 35% think they can run the country
competently, 45% not.
63% think
the country is heading in the wrong direction
57% think
that Brexit has had a negative impact on Britain The latest Ipsos Political Pulse,
conducted online between 30th June and 3rd July asked the British public what
they thought of the main parties, their policies, and how competently they
can run the country. It also explored their views on the direction of the
country and their latest views on the impact of Brexit. Policies vs competence: public
opinion is broadly negative towards the Conservatives on both. Views are
split towards Labour’s policies, while they are ahead of the Conservatives on
competence but doubts still exist.
21% said
they like the Conservative Party’s individual policies, whilst 43% disliked
them. This compares to Labour, where 27% like Labour’s individual policies
compared to 28% who do not, and another 25% who don’t know much about them
(vs 16% for the Conservatives).
At the same
time, more than half (57%) do not think that the Conservative Party can run
the country competently, compared to just under a quarter (23%) who think
they can. For Labour, over a third (35%) think they can run the country
competently, 45% that they cannot.
For the
Conservatives, the largest proportion (38%) say they neither like their
policies nor believe they can run the country competently (only 11% are
positive about both). Another 19% have
doubts about their competence despite either liking (10%) or not knowing much
(9%) about their individual policies, while 12% think they will be competent
even while not liking (5%) or not knowing much about (7%) their
policies. One in five (19%) of the
Conservatives’ 2019 voters say they like their policies but don’t think they
can run the county competently. Views on Labour are more split –
24% are negative about both their policies and competence, 18% are positive
about both. Almost one in five (17%) think they can run the country
competently despite not liking (4%) or not knowing much about (13%) their
policies, while another one in five (21%) have doubts about their competence
despite liking (9%) or not knowing much (12%) about their polices.
Favourability towards parties and
leaders In terms of the latest monthly
Ipsos Political Pulse tracking questions on party favourability ratings,
there is little change:
22% of
Britons are favourable towards the Conservatives (-2 from May), 54%
unfavourable (+1pt).
36% are
favourable towards the Labour Party (no change), 36% unfavourable (-2pt).
This means
the Conservative’s net favourability score is -32 vs 0 for Labour. In terms of the other parties:
23% have a
favourable opinion towards the Liberal Democrats (-1 from May), 34%
unfavourable (-2 from May). Net favourability: -11
28% have a
favourable opinion towards the Green Party (+1 from May), 27% unfavourable
(-3). Net favourability score: +1
41% have a
favourable opinion towards Reform UK (n/c from May), 41% unfavourable (-1
from May). Net favourability: -27 Direction of the country/ impact of
Brexit
63% of
Britons think things are heading in the wrong direction overall (+3 from May)
and 13% think things are heading in the right direction (-5). This gives a
net right direction of -50, the lowest since October 2022.
57% think
Brexit has had a negative impact on the country (+4 from May) and 20% say
positive (-2). This now marks 8 consecutive months where the proportion
saying Brexit has had a negative impact has been at or above 50%.
Gideon Skinner, Head of Political
Research at Ipsos UK, said: As the general mood around the
direction of the country dips further this month, most people continue to
have unfavourable views towards the Conservatives as they struggle with
negative public perceptions towards both their individual policies and how
competently they are running the country.
If we focus on their 2019 voters, it seems as if rebuilding their
reputation for competence should be key – this group is much less likely to
dislike their policies than to dislike the way they are running the
country. Meanwhile, views on Labour’s
individual policies are fairly evenly split between those who like them,
dislike them, and just don’t know much about them. In total, one in four say they don’t know
much about the party’s policies – and this group is also evenly divided on
how well Labour would run the country.
Even so, while there are still doubts about Labour’s potential
competence in government they are clearly ahead of the Conservatives on this
measure. (Ipsos MORI) 13 July 2023 802-804-43-16/Polls More Than 1 In 3 Believe
Black People Are Treated Unfairly By The Police
More than 1
in 3 Britons (36%) believe Black people are treated unfairly by the police –
highest of all groups surveyed
The public
is divided as to whether they themselves are confident they would be treated
fairly by the police in a range of circumstances, with only 55% confident
they’d be treated fairly even if they were a victim of a crime
People from
minority ethnic groups are less confident than white people that they would
receive fair treatment from police, whether they were the victim of a crime
(42% vs 58%), stopped and searched (35% vs 50%), or suspected of committing a
crime (34% vs 46%)
Despite
perceptions of inequalities, the majority of Britons from all backgrounds are
comfortable approaching police officers for assistance – though slightly less
so if the officer(s) are all male. New polling from Ipsos shows
there’s a lack of confidence in the extent to which Britons are treated
fairly by police. The largest share of Britons consider people from white
backgrounds (49%), heterosexual people (45%), and men (43%) to be treated
fairly by police. By contrast, those from minority groups fall to the bottom
of the table, with only 3 in 10 considering people from other minority backgrounds
(including mixed ethnicities; 30%), people from Black backgrounds (29%), and
Roma or traveller people (27%) to be treated fairly. People from Black
backgrounds are the only group to have a larger share of the public consider
them to be treated unfairly (36%) than consider them to be treated fairly
(29%).
When asked about how they
themselves might be treated by the police, half of Britons (55%) are
confident that they would be treated fairly if they were a victim of crime,
falling to 42% of those from minority ethnic groups. Those from minority
ethnic groups were similarly less confident of fair treatment by the police
if they were suspected of committing a crime (34% vs. 46% of respondents from
white backgrounds) or if they were stopped and searched (35% vs. 50%).
Under half (47%) of people from
minority ethnic groups are confident the police would treat them the same as
anyone else if they reported a crime, compared with two thirds (65%) overall.
People from minority ethnic backgrounds are also less confident than white
people that they would be treated with respect (51% vs 64%), listened to and
believed (43% vs 59%), and that the police would be clear with them on what
would happen next (47% vs 58%). Despite lack of confidence in fair
treatment, the majority of the public are comfortable approaching the police
– though less so if officers are all male Despite some scepticism about how
fairly Britons expect to be treated by police, there’s a high level of
reported comfort approaching police officers for help, though slightly less
so if the officer(s) are exclusively male. Over 8 in 10 (82%) said they would
feel comfortable approaching a female officer on their own, two female
officers (82%), or a mixed gender pair of officers (82%). By contrast, 7 in
10 said they would be comfortable approaching two male officers (71%) or a
male officer on their own (70%). However, people from minority
ethnic groups were less likely than those from white backgrounds to say they
would feel comfortable approaching the police in any of these configurations,
a gap that is particularly stark when comparing comfort with approaching male
officers. Fewer than 3 in 5 from minority ethnic groups said they would be
comfortable approaching two male officers (57%, -16ppts compared to
respondents from a while background) or a male officer on their own (58%,
-14ppts compared to respondents from a white background). Women were
similarly far less comfortable approaching male officers as compared to men,
regardless of whether it’s two men together (63%, vs 78% of men) or one male
officer on their own (63%, vs 77% of men).
Trinh Tu, Managing Director of
Public Affairs at Ipsos, said: In light of recent revelations of a
new suspect in the racist murder of Stephen Lawrence, the spotlight is again
focused on how the police treats different groups in our society. These
findings suggest the police still have some way to go in gaining the
confidence of the public and in particular people from minority ethnic
backgrounds who feel less confident that they will receive equal treatment as
either victim or suspect, and are less likely to feel comfortable approaching
the police for help. The public as a whole also identifies people from
minority ethnic groups – particularly Black people – as being less likely to
be treated fairly by the police. (Ipsos MORI) 18 July 2023 Source:https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/more-1-3-believe-black-people-are-treated-unfairly-police 802-804-43-17/Polls Emmanuel Macron's
Popularity Rating
According to our Ipsos-Le Point monthly Political
Barometer of May 24, 2023, Emmanuel Macron's popularity
rating reached 30% of favorable opinions, against 67% of unfavorable
opinions. The popularity rating of the President of the Republic increased by
2 points. This is the first rise in Emmanuel Macron's popularity rating,
after a continuous downward sequence since the beginning of the year. Emmanuel Macron's popularity rating
by political color On the anniversary of the
presidential election, in April 2023, Emmanuel Macron's popularity rating
(more precisely the approval rate of the president's action) was favorably
supported by the center-right of the political scale. Unsurprisingly, 90% of
LREM-RE supporters were in favor of Emmanuel Macron's action as president.
Source: Ipsos-Le Point Political
Barometer April 2023
(Ipsos France) 6 July 2023 Source:https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/cote-popularite-emmanuel-macron 802-804-43-18/Polls The Social Link In France:
Between National Skepticism And Local Optimism
Overall, the French are divided on
the state of social ties. If they generally feel that the state of the social
link is not good today in France (only 34% believe that it is good), they are
more positive about their place of life: 65% consider that the social link is
good where they live. However, this social link seems to be deteriorating,
whether in France (79%) or where respondents live (57%).
Factors that strengthen social ties
in France Despite this relatively negative
vision of the state of social ties, we note the existence of many elements or
institutions that today contribute to bringing the French people together and
maintaining social ties. Some elements are identified by
respondents as contributing to bringing the French together, and in the first
place gastronomy (cited by 36% of French respondents) and the social
protection model (32%). The French show a certain unanimity on the
contribution of certain elements to the gathering of the French, and in
particular the French language (88% believe that it plays an important role)
and the various elements linked to the Republic: the school (87%), the values
of the Republic (79%) or secularism (78%).
The actors of the gathering of the
French We also observe that certain groups
of people are widely perceived as contributing most of the time to bringing
together the French, especially those whose vocation is non-commercial and
who work for the public good: caregivers (87%), teachers (75%) or association
leaders (73%). The projects and values that unite
the French There is also a certain convergence
on the various projects that could make the French optimistic for the future,
if they were realized. The end of wars is cited by 42% of French people,
ahead of the end of poverty (37%) and the end of social inequalities (35%). In terms of values, the French
interviewed show their attachment to the motto of the Republic. The three
values most cited as being the most important for the French are freedom
(50%), solidarity (36%) and equality (35%), on par with tolerance (35%) and
democracy (35%).
Territorial attachment: the
keystone of social ties in France For the French, attachment to its
territory contributes to strengthening social ties (82% believe that this is
the case), regardless of the category of agglomeration where they live. At
the local level, it is mainly living spaces (43%), cultural and leisure
activities (37%) and shops (36%) that contribute to maintaining social ties. Values and family: the pillars of
French identity in 2023 The French are defined today above
all by their values (55%) and by their families (54%). Attached to tolerance,
they consider that friendship can transcend certain disagreements. 70% of
French people say they could be friends with someone with whom they disagree
on politics, 78% on the economy or on the end of life.
Debates and divergences: the state
of social ties in France in 2023 Overall, we observe that many
elements unite the French and contribute to maintaining social ties.
Nevertheless, respondents also disagree on certain topics. In particular,
they are divided on what makes the unity of a nation. 55% of French people
consider that the past and the sharing of a common history is the most
important element against 45% who believe on the contrary that it is the
feeling of sharing a collective project for the future. Another point of contention is the
role of communities. For 56% of French people, communities lock individuals
in and deteriorate social ties, while 44% see it as an opportunity to create
bonds of solidarity between individuals. (Ipsos France) 11 July 2023 Source:https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/barometre-du-lien-social-quest-ce-qui-unit-les-francais-en-2023 802-804-43-19/Polls Inflation: One In Four
Germans Has Difficulty Making Ends Meet Financially
Dr. Robert Grimm, Head of Political
and Social Research at Ipsos, notes: More and more citizens have to
operate on the back burner. According to the Federal Statistical Office,
there were record wage increases in the first quarter of 2023, but these
could not compensate for the high inflation rate. Real wage growth in Germany
has been declining since 2020. It is therefore hardly surprising that the
number of people struggling to make ends meet financially has risen rapidly
in the last twelve months. One in three sees recession in
Germany While on average half of the
respondents (49%) see their national economy in recession, only one in three
(32%) in Germany thinks so. Slightly more than half of Germans (53%) expect
the inflation rate to rise in the coming year. A year earlier, 81 percent
were still thinking of such an increase. Less stringent inflation expected German consumers estimate the
increase in their spending to be much more moderate than in the previous
year. Although 68 percent of respondents still expect the purchase of
groceries to become more expensive in the next six months, the figure was
still 85 percent in the previous year's survey. Expectations for the price
development of energy supply have also declined significantly. A year ago, 84
percent of respondents assumed that the cost of gas and electricity would
rise in the next six months, but in the current survey it is only 61 percent.
German consumers are also now much more optimistic about the development of
gasoline prices. Twelve months earlier, 74 percent of those surveyed assumed
that prices for fuels such as gasoline or diesel would rise in the coming six
months. In the current survey, only one in two (48%) expects fuel costs to
rise in the next six months. Despite falling real wages, Germans
are cautiously optimistic about the future and hope for a normalization of
price developments in the next twelve months. Whether this is confirmed
depends not only on the ECB's interest rate policy, but also on the
development of the war in Ukraine and the behavior of companies, says Dr.
Robert Grimm.
Rising costs due to the effects of
the Ukraine war Seven out of ten Germans (70%)
believe that the Russian invasion of Ukraine has had a very strong or fairly
strong impact on the rising cost of living in Germany. Around six out of ten
respondents blame the policies of the German government (60%) and the state
of the global economy (62%) for the increase in costs. (Ipsos Germany) 3 July 2023 802-804-43-20/Polls 3 Out Of 10 People In
Spain Fear Losing Their Job Due To The Rise Of Artificial Intelligence
The revolution that Artificial
Intelligence (AI) is causing in people's lives is increasingly reflected in
more areas, such as in the professional, with tools as popular as ChatGPT. A
situation that has led governments around the world to consider legislating
its use in order to protect the population. In this context, Ipsos wanted to
analyze the opinion of the general population about the knowledge of AI, its
implications today and in the future. Does AI bring more benefits or more
drawbacks? Another parameter measured by the
Ipsos study is how the population feels about the rise of AI and what that
means for their lives. In this sense, on average, 52% of the world's
population says they feel nervous about products and services that use AI, a
feeling that has increased twelve points compared to 2021. In the case of
Spain the increase has not been so much in the last two years, in fact, they
have only been three points more, but it is also more than half of the
population (51%) who feel nervous about this technology.
Do we trust how AI is used? In general, the world population
trusts the use made of Artificial Intelligence. On average, 56% trust that AI
does not discriminate or show prejudice towards any group of people, a
percentage that in Spain is 51%. In addition, 52% trust the companies that
use this technology, in the same way that they trust the rest, with 49% in
the case of Spain; and 50% show confidence that these companies protect their
personal data, a figure similar to the national one (49%). With these
figures, Spain is among the European countries that show the most confidence
in Artificial Intelligence.
Will Artificial Intelligence
improve our lives in the coming years? There are many areas in which AI is
already present, but there are still others in which its fit is not clear. The
Ipsos study has analyzed, among others, how the impact it will have on
productivity, entertainment, health and the economy is perceived. (Ipsos Spain) 10 July 2023 NORTH
AMERICA
802-804-43-21/Polls Republican Gains In 2022
Midterms Driven Mostly By Turnout Advantage
In midterm elections that yielded
mixed results for both parties, Republicans won the popular vote for the U.S.
House of Representatives largely on the strength of higher turnout. A new Pew Research Center analysis
of verified voters and nonvoters in 2022, 2020, 2018 and 2016 finds that
partisan differences in turnout – rather than vote switching between parties
– account for most of the Republican gains in voting for the House last year. Overall, 68% of those who voted in
the 2020 presidential election turned out to vote in the 2022 midterms.
Former President Donald Trump’s voters turned out at a higher rate in 2022
(71%) than did President Joe Biden’s voters (67%). For additional analysis of voter
turnout in the 2022 election, refer to Chapter 1 of this report. Large majority of voters stuck with
2020, 2018 party preference in their 2022 vote choices As in previous elections, party loyalty
remained strong in last fall’s midterms. Relatively small shares of voters
defected from their partisan affiliation or 2020 presidential vote. Among
those who voted for both president in 2020 and for a House representative in
2022, just 6% crossed party lines between elections or voted for third-party
candidates in either election. Similarly, the vast majority of
those who voted in both 2018 and 2022 had consistent party preferences across
the two elections: 95% of those who voted for a Republican candidate in 2018,
and 92% of those who voted for a Democrat, voted for a House candidate of the
same party four years later. Democratic 2018 voters were
slightly more likely than Republican 2018 voters to defect in 2022, with the
net consequences of the party balance flipping 1 or 2 percentage points to
the GOP. That is a potentially impactful
shift in an environment of very close elections, but the greater driver of
the GOP’s performance in 2022 was differential turnout: higher turnout among
those supporting Republican candidates than those supporting Democratic
candidates.
Given sharp political divisions in
the United States, small changes in voter turnout from election to election
have big consequences. Political polarization has meant that most people who
vote in midterm elections are committed politically, making it unlikely they
would defect from their partisan affiliation. Shifts in turnout, as opposed to
defections, were responsible for most of the changes in vote margins from the
2018 midterms within most subgroups in the population. For example, the
Democratic advantage among women dropped from 18 points in 2018 (58%
Democratic, 40% Republican) to just 3 points in 2022 (51% and 48%,
respectively). But when looking only at women who
voted in both elections, there is no net advantage for either party from
defections: 6% of those who voted Democratic in 2018 flipped to vote for a
Republican candidate in 2022, and a nearly identical share of women who voted
Republican in 2018 voted for a Democratic candidate in 2022 (5%).
Virtually all of the decline in the
Democratic advantage among women is explained by the fact that the 2022
turnout rate for women who voted Republican in 2018 was 8 points higher than
the rate for women who voted Democratic that year (84% vs. 76%). There were a few important
exceptions to this general rule. For example, more rural voters
changed their vote from a Democratic to a Republican candidate between 2018
and 2022 than the reverse. The Republican margin among this group nearly doubled
between 2018 and 2022 (from 21 points to 40 points). Among rural voters,
Republican candidates in 2022 held on to 97% of those who voted Republican in
2018, while Democratic candidates held on to a smaller share (91%). And among White voters with no college
degree, Republicans benefited from slightly higher rates of defection from
Democratic candidates among those who voted in both elections Chapter 2 of this report
features detailed breakdowns of voting patterns across the electorate. ‘Drop-off’ voters contributed to
Republican House gains Collectively, Republican candidates
for the House received roughly 51% of the total vote last fall compared with
48% for Democratic candidates. This helped the Republican Party gain a narrow
majority in the House. Democrats retained control of the Senate. While
Republicans exceeded expectations in a few states – notably New York and
Florida – pre-election predictions of a
“red wave” failed to materialize. However, the broad outcome of the
elections in much of the country was shaped largely by the underlying
political makeup of the 2022 voters and how they differed from the voters of
2020 and 2018. Midterm voters tend to be older,
more educated and more affluent than those who vote just in presidential
election years, a pattern apparent in both 2018 and
2022. The two elections also had something else in common:
The president’s party suffered more “drop-off” voters than did the opposing
party. People who voted in 2018 who did
not turn out in 2022 (“drop-off” voters), had favored Democrats in 2018 by
about two-to-one (64% to 33%). Likewise, about a third of 2020 voters (32%)
did not turn out in 2022. This group voted 53% to 43% for Joe Biden. The
absence of these 2020 Biden voters resulted in a worse performance for
Democratic candidates in 2022. The drop-off voters mattered but
so, too, did voters who turned out in 2022 but not in earlier elections – and
these voters also helped Republican candidates. Those voting in 2022 included
21% who had not voted in 2018. This group supported Republican candidates in
2022 by a margin of 58% to 40%. National polling data, especially
when based on interviews conducted over time with the same individuals, can
shed light on these dynamics. But there are limitations with national data,
given that midterms are state and local elections. Partisan defections and
split-ticket voting were critically important to the success of individual
candidates for U.S. Senate and governor. These defections tended to benefit Democratic
candidates more often than Republican candidates, even when
national turnout trends mostly benefited Republican candidates. This study is based on surveys of
members of the Center’s American Trends Panel following the last four general
elections (2016-2022). Voter turnout in each election was verified by a
comparison with official records. Some of the analysis focuses on a
subset of 7,041 panelists interviewed post-election in 2022 for whom reliable
measures of voter turnout and candidate choice were also available for the
2018 and 2020 elections. This allowed us to analyze how individuals’ voting
preferences changed over time, separating the political consequences of
changes in party preferences from changes in who turned out in each election.
(All analysis that considers individual-level changes in turnout or vote
preference excludes the 2016 dataset, due to diminishing sample sizes among
those who were in the panel across multiple elections.) Other key findings from the study ■
Voters
under 30 continued to strongly support the Democratic Party, voting 68% to
31% for Democratic candidates. But this margin was somewhat narrower than in
2018. Republicans benefitted more from significant drop off in voter turnout
among younger age groups between 2018 and 2022, since young voters tend to
support Democrats. Voters under 30 accounted for 10% of the electorate in
2022 – similar to their share of all voters in 2018 (11%), but down from 2020
(14%). To learn more about voter demographics, such as age, race &
ethnicity, religion and community type, refer to Chapter 3 of this report. ■
Ideological
polarization by party was nearly complete in 2022: Only 1% of self-described
conservative Republicans voted for Democratic House candidates and less than
1% of liberal Democrats voted Republican. ■
Voting in
person on Election Day increased sharply in 2022 compared with 2020. More
voters reported casting ballots in person on Election Day in both parties,
but the share remained much higher among Republican voters (51%) than among
Democratic voters (34%). ■
White
voters without college degrees made up a majority (54%) of Republican voters
in 2022, compared with 27% of Democratic voters. Yet these voters made up a
somewhat greater share of GOP voters in 2020 (58%) and 2018 (57%). ■
Voters ages
50 and older were a larger share of the total in 2022 (64%) than in any of
the past three elections. 70% of Republican voters were 50 or older, as were
57% of Democratic voters. ■
Hispanic
voters continued to support Democrats, but by a much smaller margin than in
2018: Hispanic voters favored Democratic candidates by a 21-point margin in
2022, compared with a 47-point margin in 2018. This change was driven by
asymmetric changes in voter turnout among Hispanic adults, rather than
changing preferences among individual Hispanic voters. ■
Black
voters continued to support Democrats by overwhelming margins: 93% voted for
Democrats in the midterms while 5% supported Republicans. This is similar to
levels of support in 2020, 2018 and 2016. Black voters made up 9% of the
electorate in both 2022 and 2018 and 11% of the electorate in 2020. ■
The Republican
advantage among White evangelical Protestants was somewhat larger in 2022
than in the past three elections. 86% supported Republican candidates in 2022
and only 12% voted Democratic. (PEW) JULY 12, 2023 802-804-43-22/Polls Private, Selective Colleges Are Most Likely To Use
Race, Ethnicity As A Factor In Admissions Decisions
The U.S. Supreme Court’s decision to limit affirmative
action in higher education is likely to have the biggest
impact on a relatively small group of schools – primarily highly selective
private colleges and universities, according to a new Pew Research Center
analysis. How we did this While there is no comprehensive
list of colleges and universities in the United States that consider race and
ethnicity as a factor in admissions decisions, many schools report
information about themselves in a standard format called the Common Data Set (CDS)
and make it available online. Among the items on the CDS is a list of 19
academic and nonacademic factors that might go into a school’s admissions
decisions. Schools can rate each factor as, in descending order of
significance, “very important,” “important,” “considered” or “not
considered.”
We examined CDS forms from 123
selective colleges and universities – which we defined as those that admit
half or fewer of their applicants – to see whether they considered race and
ethnicity as a factor in deciding whom to admit, and if so, how significant a
factor it was. We only looked at schools that had filled out that portion of
the CDS in at least one of the past three academic years. Of these schools, 74% (91 out of
123) said they did consider race and ethnicity, with 10 of those describing
it as an important factor. The vast majority of those schools (82) are
private, not-for-profit institutions. About a quarter of the schools we
examined (32, or 26%) said they did not consider race and ethnicity at all.
Of those, most (22) are public colleges and universities.
As an earlier Center analysis
found, most colleges and universities
admit most of the people who apply to them. In the 2021-22
school year, only 202 out of 1,550 four-year colleges and universities
admitted half or fewer of the people who applied to them, based on our most
recent analysis of data from the federal government’s Integrated
Postsecondary Education Data System. This analysis about the
consideration of race and ethnicity in admissions decisions is limited to
public and private not-for-profit institutions that offer bachelor’s degrees
and higher credentials, and have published a recent CDS on their website. For
more details, refer to the “How we did this” box. Highly selective and private
colleges more likely to consider race and ethnicity In general, consideration of race
and ethnicity is more common among schools with the lowest admission rates.
In the Center’s analysis of
selective schools with publicly available CDS data, all 24 schools that admit
fewer than 10% of applicants say they consider race and ethnicity when
deciding whom to admit, although only one rated it as an important factor.
And among the 48 schools that admit between 10% and 30% of applicants, all
but seven consider race and ethnicity in admissions, with five rating it as
an important factor. But among the 51 schools that admit
between 30% and half of all applicants, just over half (26, or 51%) consider
race and ethnicity, and only four call it an important factor. Nearly half of
those schools (25, or 49%) say they don’t consider race and ethnicity at all. Among the colleges in our study
group, the average admissions rate is lower among schools that consider race
and ethnicity than among those that don’t (21.7% vs. 37.4%). Also, consideration of race and
ethnicity is more common for private colleges and universities, at least
among the institutions we studied. All but 10 of the 92 private colleges and
universities we examined (89%) considered race and ethnicity in deciding whom
to admit, with 10 of those ranking it as an important factor. But among the 31 public schools,
only nine (29%) considered race and ethnicity at all, and none rated it as an
important factor. (One partial explanation: Nine of the 22 public schools
that don’t consider race and ethnicity in admissions are in California, where
voters banned the practice in a
1996 ballot initiative.) Notably, the schools that rated
race and ethnicity as an important factor in admissions decisions had, in
aggregate, less diverse student bodies than those that didn’t. In those 10
schools, White students made up nearly 56% of undergraduate enrollment
(excluding non-U.S. residents), compared with just over half among schools that
said they considered race and ethnicity as one factor among many, and 41%
among schools that said they didn’t consider it at all. In that last group of
schools, Hispanic students accounted for nearly a quarter of aggregate
undergraduate enrollment – largely because the group includes several big
public universities in California and Florida with sizable Hispanic student
populations. (PEW) JULY 14, 2023 802-804-43-23/Polls Most Black Adults In The
U.S. Are Optimistic About Their Financial Future
Roughly two-thirds of Black adults
in the United States (68%) say they do not have enough income to lead the
kind of life they want, but a majority are optimistic that they will one day,
according to a new Pew Research Center survey of Black Americans. How we did this
Black adults with higher incomes
(64%) are far more likely than those with middle (36%) or lower (17%) incomes
to say they currently earn enough to lead the kind of life they want. Similarly, 43% of Black adults with
at least a bachelor’s degree say they earn enough to support their desired
life, while fewer Black adults without a bachelor’s degree say the same
(26%). Regardless of current incomes, most
Black adults (58%) are optimistic they will earn enough money in the future
to lead the life they want. This view holds across most demographic subgroups
of Black Americans.
However, Black adults with lower
incomes are less confident. Some 49% say they will earn enough money in the
future, but 49% say they will not. In contrast, Black adults with middle and
upper incomes are both more likely to say they will make enough money in the
future than to say they will not. Among those who currently have
enough money to lead the kind of life they want, roughly eight-in-ten Black
adults (81%) believe they will also have enough money in the future to lead
the kind of life they want. Meanwhile, roughly half of Black adults who do
not currently have enough money (48%) believe they will have enough in the
future. How much money is enough? Four-in-ten Black adults in the
U.S. say an annual income of $100,000 or more is enough to lead the kind of
life they want. But more than half (56%) say they need less than $100,000.
Overall, Black adults with higher
incomes (72%) are the most likely to say they need $100,000 or more annually
to lead the life they want, compared with nearly half (46%) of those with
middle incomes and 27% of those with lower incomes. Black adults with at least a
bachelor’s degree are also more likely than those with some college education
or less to say they need $100,000 or more (56% vs. 35%, respectively). And
Black adults ages 18 to 49 (43%) are more likely than those 50 and older
(35%) to say this. How much Black Americans earn
Black Americans’ incomes have long trailed those of other Americans.
At the same time, income inequality among Black
Americans was the second-largest of any demographic group
as of 2016. That year, the highest-earning Black Americans made nearly 10
times as much as the lowest earners. Overall, just 6% of Black adults in
the U.S. had annual earnings of $100,000 or more in 2021, according to our
analysis of the Census Bureau’s American Community Survey. This share rises
to 16% among those with at least a bachelor’s degree or more and drops to 2%
among those with some college education or less. Still, among those who said they would
need $100,000 or more in order to lead the kind of life they want, roughly
six-in-ten Black adults (62%) believe they will have this income in the
future. (PEW) JULY 18, 2023 802-804-43-24/Polls Most Asian Americans View Their Ancestral
Homelands Favorably, Except Chinese Americans
Pew Research Center has a long
history of measuring Americans’ views of the United
States, China and other countries, but less is known about
Asian Americans’ views of these countries. Amid the American public’s increasingly
negative views of China and rising concern over tensions between mainland China
and Taiwan, how do Asian Americans feel about the homelands
in Asia to which they trace their heritage, as well as about the U.S., China
and elsewhere?
Jump to: ●
Chinese Americans’ views of China
and other places ●
Filipino Americans’ views of the
Philippines and other places ●
Indian Americans’ views of India
and other places ●
Japanese Americans’ views of
Japan and other places ●
Korean Americans’ views of South
Korea and other places ●
Taiwanese Americans’ views of
Taiwan and other places ●
Vietnamese Americans’ views of Vietnam
and other places Around three-quarters of Asian
Americans (78%) have a favorable view of the United States – including 44%
who report very favorable views of the country. A majority also say they have
positive views of Japan (68%), South Korea (62%) and Taiwan (56%), according
to a new analysis of a multilingual, nationally representative survey of
Asian American adults conducted from July 5, 2022, to Jan. 27, 2023. Opinion of Vietnam, the Philippines
and India is more mixed. In the case of both Vietnam and the Philippines, 37%
of Asian adults have positive views, while around half say they have neither
favorable nor unfavorable views, and only around one-in-ten see the countries
in a negative light. Meanwhile, 33% of Asian Americans have favorable views
of India, 41% report a neutral view and 23% view it unfavorably. Asian Americans have predominantly
negative views of China. Only 20% of Asian adults have a favorable opinion of
China, compared with 52% who have an unfavorable opinion and 26% with neither
a favorable nor unfavorable opinion. Asian Americans have largely
favorable views of their ancestral homelands
Overall, Asian Americans have
positive views of the places they trace their heritage to. About nine-in-ten
Taiwanese and Japanese Americans say their opinion of their own ancestral
homeland is very or somewhat favorable, as do large majorities of Korean,
Indian and Filipino adults. A smaller majority of Vietnamese Americans say
they have a favorable view of Vietnam. By contrast, Chinese Americans have
more mixed views of China.1 Fewer than
half say they hold a favorable opinion. Still, a larger share of Chinese
Americans have a positive opinion of China than other Asian adults,2 41% vs. 14%. Origin groups also see their
ancestral homelands much more favorably than other Asian adults. Among the
seven origin groups highlighted in this report, the difference is largest on
views of India: 76% of Indian adults have a favorable opinion of India,
compared with 23% of other Asian adults, a gap of 53 percentage points. The
gap is smallest on views of Vietnam, though there is still a sizable
difference: 59% of Vietnamese adults have a favorable view versus 34% of
other Asian adults, a 25-point difference. Chinese and Vietnamese adults are
the only origin groups in this analysis to express more favorable views of
other places in Asia than their homelands. Chinese adults see Japan, Taiwan
and South Korea more favorably than they do China. Vietnamese adults see
Japan more favorably than they do Vietnam. Chinese Americans favor Taiwan over
China
Amid rising tensions between mainland China
and Taiwan, Chinese Americans’ favorability of Taiwan over
China is particularly notable: 62% of Chinese Americans say they have a
favorable view of Taiwan, higher than the share that says the same about
China (41%). Even so, Chinese Americans’ views
of China and Taiwan vary depending on where they were born and, for
immigrants, how long they have lived in the United States: ■
Chinese
immigrant adults are more likely than U.S.-born Chinese adults to have a
favorable view of China (45% vs. 25%). ■
On their
views of Taiwan, Chinese immigrants are somewhat less likely than those born
in the U.S. to have a favorable opinion (60% vs. 70%). Favorability of Asian Americans’
ancestral homelands varies across some origin groups Asian origin groups differ in their
assessments of some of the places asked about in the survey. Some groups
stand out for their general positivity toward most places, as in the case of
Filipinos. Others vary widely depending on which specific place is asked
about. For instance: ■
Asian
Americans overall have majority favorable views of Japan. But Korean
Americans stand out: Only 36% have positive views of Japan. ■
By
comparison, Japanese Americans’ views of South Korea are more positive, at
53%. Still, Japanese and Chinese Americans’ evaluations of South Korea are
slightly less favorable than the views among other origin groups – especially
Filipino adults. ■
Indian
adults in the U.S. are around three times as likely as almost any other Asian
origin group to have favorable views of India. While 76% of Indian Americans
have favorable views of India, the next highest ratings come from Filipino
Americans – only 31% of whom agree. Ratings of India are particularly
negative among Chinese and Korean adults in the U.S. ■
Few Asian
adults overall have favorable views of China, though there is some variation
across origin groups. While 19% of Filipino adults in the U.S. have a
favorable opinion of China, smaller shares of Indian (10%), Korean (8%) and
Taiwanese adults (2%) say the same.3
Favorability varies across
nativity, education and other demographic factors Foreign-born and U.S.-born Asian
Americans differ in their views of certain places: ■
In most
cases, Asian immigrants express more positive views of the places they trace
their heritage to than U.S.-born Asian adults. ■
Foreign-born
Asian adults have much more favorable views of the United States than those
born in the U.S. (83% vs. 64%). ■
Asian
immigrants also have slightly more positive views of India and China than
U.S.-born Asian adults. There are no differences between foreign- and
U.S.-born Asian Americans when it comes to any of the other places asked
about in the survey. Asian Americans with higher levels
of educational attainment often feel more positively about the places they
were asked about than those with lower levels of formal schooling: ■
When it
comes to views of India, 42% of those with a postgraduate degree have
favorable views of the country, compared with 35% of those with a bachelor’s
degree and 27% of those with less formal schooling. ■
The pattern
is reversed, though, when it comes to China. Asian Americans with lower
levels of education tend to feel more positively about China than those with
more education. For example, 17% of those with at least a bachelor’s degree
have positive views of China, compared with 23% of those who did not complete
college. Overall, there is little variation
in attitudes by party identification. This lack of difference is notable on
views toward China. Nearly identical shares of Republican and Democratic
Asian Americans see the country positively (20% and 18%, respectively) and
negatively (55% and 52%). This departs from trends seen among the general
U.S. public: Our past analyses have found that Republicans are more likely than
Democrats to hold an unfavorable opinion of China. Most Asian adults would not move to
their ancestral homelands While Asian adults have largely
favorable views of their ancestral homelands, most say they would not move
(or, in some cases, move back) there if they had the chance. Nearly
three-quarters of Asian adults say this, while 26% say they would.
Asian immigrants are twice as
likely as those who are U.S. born to say they would move to the homelands of
their heritage (30% vs. 14%). Likewise, interest in moving to
their homelands is lower among immigrants who have been in the U.S. for a
longer time. About half (47%) of Asian immigrants who have been in the U.S.
for 10 years or less say they would move to their ancestral homeland,
compared with roughly one-in-five (22%) who have been in the U.S. for more
than 20 years. Asian Americans’ response to this
question differs somewhat across origin groups. Willingness to move to the
places they trace their heritage to ranges from a low of 16% among Chinese
Americans to a high of 33% among Indian Americans. And among many origin
groups, immigrants are more likely to say that they would move there than
those born in the U.S. Among the 26% of Asian Americans
who say they would move to the homeland of their ancestors, top reasons
include proximity to friends or family (36%) and a lower cost of living
(22%). Smaller shares also pointed to greater familiarity with the culture,
better support for older people and feeling safer there.
The survey also finds the main
reasons Asian Americans say they would move to their places of origin varies
across some Asian origin groups:4 ■
Chinese
adults who say they would move to China would do so to be closer to family
and friends (27%) and because they are more familiar with Chinese culture
(24%). ■
Filipino
adults who say they would move to the Philippines would do so for the lower
cost of living (47%) and to be closer to friends or family (35%). ■
Half of
Indian adults who say they would move to India would do so because of its
lower cost of living (52%). ■
Korean
adults who say they would move to South Korea would do so for better health
care (24%) and to be closer to family and friends (22%). ■
Vietnamese
adults who say they would move to Vietnam would do so for its lower cost of
living (35%) and to be closer to friends and family (32%). Majority of Asian Americans see the
U.S. as the world’s leading economic power in the next decade About half of Asian Americans (53%)
say the United States will be the world’s leading economic power over the
next decade. Roughly one-third (36%) say China will be the leading economic
power globally in the next 10 years, and much lower shares say the same of
India and Japan.
These views are broadly consistent with those of
the American public. In a March 2023 survey using a
slightly different question asking which of four places – the U.S., China,
the EU or Japan – is currently the world’s leading economic power, 48% named
the U.S. and 38% China. Views of the next decade’s top
economy vary across place of birth and age: ■
Among Asian
immigrants, 57% see the U.S. as the leading economic power, while just 32%
say it will be China. ■
U.S.-born
Asian adults are roughly divided over whether the U.S. or China will be the
top economy (43% vs. 46%). ■
Older Asian
Americans are more likely than younger ones to say the U.S. will be the top
economy: 62% of Asian adults ages 65 and older name the U.S. as the next
decade’s leading economic power, compared with 49% of those under 50. Views of the world’s leading
economic power by Asian origin group Asian adults are more likely to say
the U.S. will be the leading economic power in 10 years than China. Still,
origin groups differ in the degree to which they see this pattern.
For example, Chinese adults are
somewhat more divided than most other groups, with 53% naming the U.S. as the
top power compared with 40% who name China. This gap of 13 percentage points
is much smaller than the gap of 38 points between the U.S. and China among
Taiwanese adults, or the gap of 20 points or more among Vietnamese, Korean
and Japanese Americans. Indian adults are also the most
likely to say India will be the world’s leading economic power, with 15%
holding this view. No more than 2% of any other origin group highlighted in
this report say the same. Japanese (5%) and Filipino (6%)
adults are also relatively more likely than most other origin groups to
describe Japan as the next decade’s leading economic power than other origin
groups – though the absolute share who see Japan this way (3%) still pales in
comparison to those who name China or the U.S. The remainder of this report
explores in depth the views of each of the seven origin groups – Chinese,
Filipino, Indian, Japanese, Korean, Taiwanese and Vietnamese adults in the
U.S. (PEW) JULY 19, 2023 802-804-43-25/Polls Little Change In
Americans’ Views Of Trump Over The Past Year
Donald Trump’s favorability rating
among the U.S. public has remained largely stable over the past year,
although it has slipped modestly among Republicans, according to a new Pew
Research Center survey. The survey comes as the former
president runs for the White House again in 2024 – and as he faces two
criminal indictments. Trump may soon face a third indictment
over his role in the Jan. 6, 2021, riot at the U.S. Capitol. How we did this
Trump remains broadly unpopular
with the public: 63% of Americans have an unfavorable opinion of the former
president, while 35% view him favorably. A year ago, Trump’s rating stood at
60% unfavorable. In the new survey, 66% of
Republicans and Republican-leaning independents have a very or mostly
favorable opinion of Trump, while 32% have a very or mostly unfavorable view
of him. The share of Republicans who view
Trump favorably has declined by 9 percentage points
from last July, when 75% viewed him favorably and 24%
viewed him unfavorably. Related: Before midterms, Trump’s image
among Republicans had become less positive Democrats and Democratic leaners
continue to express overwhelmingly negative opinions of Trump. About
nine-in-ten Democrats (91%) view Trump unfavorably, including 78% who have a
very unfavorable view. Just 8% have a favorable impression. Views of Joe Biden and Kamala Harris The public’s views of four other
political leaders included in the survey, including President Joe Biden, also
continue to be more unfavorable than favorable. Six-in-ten Americans hold a very or
mostly unfavorable opinion of Biden, while 39% view him favorably. Biden is
viewed slightly more negatively than he was a year ago, when 55% held an
unfavorable opinion of him.
Around six-in-ten Americans (59%)
also view Vice President Kamala Harris unfavorably, while 36% express a
favorable opinion of her. Views of Harris are more negative than they were
last July, when 52% held an unfavorable opinion of her and 43% rated her
favorably. Democrats’ ratings of both Biden
and Harris are somewhat less favorable than they were last year. Seven-in-ten
Democrats view Biden favorably, down 5 points from July 2022. Roughly
two-thirds of Democrats (66%) have a positive opinion of Harris, a 9-point decline
during the same span. Views of Kevin McCarthy and Chuck
Schumer Half of Americans hold an
unfavorable view of Republican House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, while a quarter
view him favorably. A similar share (23%) have never heard of him. McCarthy
has become better known over the past year: The share of adults who say they
have never heard of him has declined 14 percentage points since then, and
both favorable and unfavorable views of him have increased over this period. About half of the public (49%) holds
a very or mostly unfavorable view of Democratic Senate Majority Leader Chuck
Schumer, while 27% view him favorably and 22% have never heard of him.
Unfavorable views of Schumer have increased 6 points over the last year (from
43% to 49%), as the share saying they have never heard of him has declined by
4 points (from 26% to 22%). (PEW) JULY 21, 2023 802-804-43-26/Polls Three In Four Canadians
Are Proud Of Canada’s Qualification In The Women’s FIFA World Cup
On July 20th, Canada will gear up
to take part in the nineth edition of the Women’s FIFA World Cup held in
Australia and New Zealand. According to a new Ipsos poll conducted on behalf
of Global News, many are taking pride in this year’s tournament, with 75% of
Canadians saying Team Canada’s qualification in women’s World Cup soccer
makes them proud to be Canadian (24% strongly; 51% somewhat). This is 6 points higher
than for the men’s World Cup in 2022. Women (78% vs. 73% men) are more likely
to express pride in Canada’s participation in this year’s women’s World Cup,
and they are also more likely to agree (83% vs. 76% men) that the women’s
FIFA World Cup is an opportunity to advance women’s sports in general, not
just soccer. One-Third of Canadians Say the
Women’s FIFA World Cup is More Important to Them than the Olympics, Higher
than for the Men’s World Cup Despite expectations of total
viewership to reach a record-breaking 2 billion this year, not all Canadians
will be tuning in to women’s FIFA World Cup. Four in ten (41%) will be paying
close attention to the matches this summer. This proportion is 7 points
higher than those who said they would watch the men’s World Cup in 2022
(34%). Further, a third of Canadians (34%) place higher importance on the
women’s FIFA World Cup than they do on the Olympics (34%); for comparison,
26% said the men’s World Cup was as important to them as the Olympics. Interest in the World Cup is driven
by age. Millennials (45%) and Boomers (44%) are more likely than Gen Xers
(36%) to be tuning in to watch the women’s FIFA World Cup this summer. Gen Z
(39%) and Millennials (40%), however, are more likely than Boomers (28%) to
say that the women’s FIFA World Cup is more important to them than the
Olympics. Regionally, Canadian residents in
British Columbia (49%) and Ontario (47%) are more likely to be tuning in to
the matches this summer compared to those in Quebec (34%). Those in Ontario
(37%) are more likely than Albertans (25%) to say that the women’s World Cup
is more important to them than the Olympics. Seven in ten (69%) go on to say
that Canada’s qualification for the women’s FIFA World Cup demonstrates that
the country is a sports powerhouse, 10 points higher than reported in
November about the men’s FIFA World Cup. Moreover, women (75% vs. 64% men)
and those living in British Columbia (78%) and Atlantic Canada (78%) compared
to those in Quebec (63%) are more likely to agree with this sentiment. An Opportunity to Advance Women in
Sports The women’s FIFA World Cup is not
only an opportunity to advance women’s participation in soccer, but sports in
general, according to 80% of Canadians. Women (83%) are more likely than men
(76%) to agree, as are Boomers (88%) compared to younger generations (74% Gen
Z; 76% Millennials; 78% Gen X). Nearly three-quarters (73%) of
Canadians say that the women’s FIFA World Cup is an important demonstration
of gender equality in sports, supported more by women (79%) than men (68%);
72% go on to say that the women’s FIFA World Cup is also an important
demonstration of gender equality in general, again with more support from
women (78%) than men (66%). There is little variation in opinion across age
groups. Across provinces, British
Columbians (90%) are more likely to say that the women’s FIFA World Cup
presents an opportunity to advance women’s sports in general, not just
soccer, compared to all other provinces (80% Alberta; 80% Saskatchewan and
Manitoba; 78% Ontario; 78% Quebec; 80% Atlantic Canada). Women’s World Cup Predictions: Who
Will Take Home the Cup? On day one of the match, Canada
will go head-to-head with Nigeria, followed by Ireland on match day 2 and
Australia on match day 3. Although 44% of Canadians are not sure how far
Canada will get in the tournament, many of them have their predictions.
Fourteen percent say Canada will go on to win the World Cup, while 6% say
they will be eliminated in the initial group stage. Eight percent predict
Team Canada will be eliminated in the round of 16 (second round), while one
in ten (11%) say they will be knocked out in the quarter-finals. Almost the
same proportion (12%) say they will be eliminated in the semi-finals, and 6%
predict losing in the finals. Notably, 25% of Canadians say will be cheering
primarily for another country. Gen Z (38%) and Millennials (39%) are more
likely to cheer for another country than Gen Xers (23%) and Boomers (9%). Compared to predictions about the
men’s World Cup last year, Canadians who express an opinion appear more
confident in the women’s team winning earlier on than for the men’s team last
year, where more predicted the team would be eliminated within the first few
rounds. However, more Canadians say they are not sure about the outcome of
the women’s matches than the men’s (32%).
(Ipsos Canada) 19 July 2023 802-804-43-27/Polls As Newsrooms Grapple With
Shifting Media Landscape, Most Canadians Oppose Government Intervention
The top story of Canadian news in
recent years is one of decline – falling revenues, shrinking work forces of
journalists, and fewer readers, watchers and listeners. This has left Canada’s media
companies looking for answers. New data from the non-profit Angus Reid
Institute has Canadians ruling out at least two proposed solutions. A
majority (59%) oppose the government funding of private newsrooms, believing
it “compromises journalistic independence”. A similar proportion (57%) say
the consolidation of media – such as the recently considered but
ultimately rejected coming together of Torstar and Postmedia
– should be discouraged “so there is more competition in news coverage in
Canada”. In opposition are minorities who say “consolidation is necessary for
the survival of newspapers” (20%) and “the government needs to fund newsrooms
because of the importance of journalism” (19%). What remains is uncertain – though earlier released ARI data
found Canadians in support of the goal of Bill C-18 to
funnel money from the “Big Tech” duo of Meta and Google to newsrooms if not
the means. However, there is no stop to the seismic shift to the media
consumption landscape happening under newsrooms’ feet. Even as recently as
2016, two-in-five (42%) Canadians said they read a print publication daily
for their news. Now that figure has halved (19%). Television (71% to 52%) and
radio news (57% to 45%) have also declined in prominence, though they remain
important sources of information for majorities of Canadians over the age of
54. In their place, nearly all (89%) Canadians turn to the internet for news,
leaving newsrooms to compete in a crowded advertising dollar ecosystem
dominated by the two Big Tech apex predators.
More Key Findings: ●
Though the
government funding of private newsrooms is unpopular among Canadians, half
(47%) disagree the federal government should completely defund CBC. One-third
(36%) want to see CBC’s funding cut off, including approaching three-quarters
(72%) of past CPC voters. ●
Fewer than
one-in-five (17%) supported the now-dead merger between Torstar and
Postmedia. Nearly as many were opposed (43%) as uncertain (40%, see detailed tables). ●
Three-quarters
(74%) of Canadians over the age of 54 say they turn on the TV daily for their
news. One-quarter (26%) of 18- to 34-year-olds say the same. In fact, as many
of the youngest Canadian adults (28%) say they get news from podcasts on a
typical day. About ARI The Angus Reid Institute (ARI) was
founded in October 2014 by pollster and sociologist, Dr. Angus Reid. ARI is a
national, not-for-profit, non-partisan public opinion research foundation
established to advance education by commissioning, conducting and
disseminating to the public accessible and impartial statistical data,
research and policy analysis on economics, political science, philanthropy,
public administration, domestic and international affairs and other
socio-economic issues of importance to Canada and its world. INDEX Part One: Readership and
consolidation ●
Print
readership has declined as media consumption moves to internet ●
Most want
media consolidation to be discouraged to keep news coverage diverse Part Two: The government’s role in
news industry ●
Majority
oppose the government funding private newsrooms ●
Canadians
more likely to oppose than support government defunding CBC Part One: Readership and
consolidation Print readership has declined as
media consumption moves to internet As internet-based news options –
including podcasts, aggregators, and social media platforms – continue to permeate and saturate
Canadians’ media consumption habits, the role of print publications has moved
from a place of prominence to an afterthought. Asked how they gather news and
information on any given day, just one-in-five Canadians (19%) say that they
utilize a print source, a proportion that has halved over the past seven
years and continues a steady downward trend.
The number of Canadian adults using online editions and other internet
sources has risen 12 points over that same period, while television and radio
have also diminished:
While there are important
generational differences in terms of Canadians’ news consumption, print tops
out at just 25 per cent utilization among those 65 years of age and older.
Young people rely almost solely on the internet, while television news is a
key source of information for those over the age of 54:
Most want media consolidation to be
discouraged to keep news coverage diverse With local papers and media
organizations struggling to maintain advertising and fund journalistic
endeavours, consolidation of newsrooms has emerged as a solution for
many media companies. Large organizations including Rogers, Bell, Corus, and
Quebecor Inc., own a vast network of websites, radio stations, and papers in
Canada which tends to improve prospects
for advertisers, but increase challenges for high-quality local
journalism. If Canadians had to choose, more,
non-integrated news would be their choice. Close to three-in-five (57%) say
that consolidation should be discouraged, while one-in-five (20%) say that
consolidation is needed in order to keep newspapers afloat. Notably, as it
stands, fewer than one-in-six (15%) Canadians said they currently pay for an
online news subscription in data released by ARI earlier this
week.
In a relatively rare moment of
cross-partisan agreement, at least 58 per cent of those who supported each of
the major federal parties in 2021 say that they would discourage
consolidation:
One extremely high-profile example
of consolidation fell through this week, when it was announced that talks
between Torstar and Postmedia had broken off. This anticipated merger was
opposed by 43 per cent of Canadians and supported by 17 per cent, with a
large contingent of Canadians uncertain whether this would be a good or a bad
thing (see detailed tables). Part Two: The government’s role in
news industry The federal government under Prime
Minister Justin Trudeau has taken several steps to help
the ailing journalism industry in Canada. The government
announced a near $600-million support package in 2018 which includes
financial assistance for print magazines, non-daily newspapers and digital
periodicals, and tax credits on wages paid to newsroom employees, and for
Canadians who subscribe to digital news. It also passed Bill C-18 in an attempt to push
the “Big Tech” companies to compensate Canadian news
companies for their content linked on sites such as Google News and Facebook.
As those two websites have responded by announcing they will block Canadian
news content when the law is officially enacted, it remains to be seen what
effect Bill C-18 will have on the Canadian news environment. Overall, the situation is still
dire for newsrooms in the country. This year alone Bell laid off 1,300
employees including top journalists at CTV National
News. Meanwhile Postmedia, the parent company of dailies
including the Vancouver Sun, Calgary Herald, Montreal Gazette, Ottawa
Citizen, Toronto Sun and the National Post, laid off 11 per cent of its
editorial staff earlier this year. Canada’s situation lands in the
middle of a broader discussion as to what the government’s role in media
should be. Some argue that journalism is a public good,
and given the economic threat it faces from the shifting landscape, it should receive public financing
to ensure there is trustworthy journalism available. Others worry that any amount of government funding
of journalism causes the perception, at least, or, worse, the possibility, of
conflict of interest in the media reporting on the
government that funds it. Majority oppose the government
funding private newsrooms Canadians are more likely to
believe the latter. Approaching three-in-five (59%) say the “government
should not fund newsrooms because it compromises journalistic independence”.
One-in-five (19%) disagree, and believe governments need to fund newsrooms
“because of the importance of journalism”. Past CPC voters are the most likely
to oppose government funding of newsrooms at more than four-in-five (83%).
However, pluralities of those who voted Liberal (48%) and NDP (38%) in 2021
agree:
Canadians more likely to oppose
than support government defunding CBC The most prominent example of a
government-funded newsroom in Canada is the CBC, which received $1.24 billion in
government funding in 2022. It also generates revenue from
advertising and subscriptions to the amount of $651.4 million last year.
However, when the CBC’s own journalistic independence was questioned during a spat with Twitter over being
labelled government-funded media earlier this year, CBC
noted that its “editorial independence is protected by law”. Canadians are more likely to oppose
(47%) than support (36%) completely defunding Canada’s national public
broadcaster. There is a sharp political division
on this matter. Approaching three-quarters (72%) of past CPC voters believe
the government should defund the CBC. Most of those who voted Liberal (68%)
and NDP (69%) in 2021 are opposed:
Journalism, of course, is not the
only thing offered by the CBC, which also broadcasts entertainment and
sports programming. Perhaps in recognition of CBC’s
broad mandate, while many who believe the government should not be funding
newsrooms want the federal government to defund CBC (52%), approaching
two-in-five (37%) disagree:
(Angus Reid Institute) July 13, 2023 Source:https://angusreid.org/canada-media-consolidation-torstar-postmedia-government-funding-cbc/ 802-804-43-28/Polls Bracing For (More) Pain:
Three-In-Five Canadians Say Latest Increase To Boc Rate Will Further Hurt
Finances
Millions of Canadians are fast
getting up to speed on monetary policy
this summer against the backdrop of yet another increase to the Bank of
Canada’s key overnight rate,
the 10th such rise since the beginning of 2022. A jump of 25 basis points
brings the bank’s policy interest rate to an even five per cent and puts even
more pressure on Canadians struggling to keep up with the cost of living. New data from the non-profit Angus
Reid Institute finds one-third of Canadians (34%) saying they expect
significant challenges due to the rate hike and an overall three-in-five
(59%) say it will have a negative impact on their personal finances. Just one-in-ten
Canadians (10%) say they expect positive results from the decision to raise
the rate again, while 22 per cent say they will not be affected. For Canadians paying a mortgage,
increasing rates are causing immense difficulties. Currently, nearly two-in-five (37%)
mortgage holders are having a difficult time making their payments. Among
this group, nine-in-ten (89%) say this latest rate increase will further
exacerbate this. Further, among those who say their payments are currently
“manageable” – fully half of mortgage holders (51%) – a majority (60%) say
that this decision will negatively affect their ability to keep payments in
this comfortable zone going forward. Homeowners are not alone, however.
An even larger number of renters – 45 per cent – are having a difficult time
paying their rent. Within this group, three-in-five (63%) expect a worsening
of their own financial conditions due to another interest rate boost. This,
as many Canadians eschew home purchases
while they wait for interest rates to settle, further increasing competition
for rentals. For some, this difficult reality is
acceptable. One-in-three Canadians (32%) say that the Bank of Canada should
hold the rate firm at five per cent and await the downstream economic
impacts, the target of which is a further reduction in inflation. Another
one-in-nine (11%) would increase the rate further. The largest group (36%)
say that this is the wrong decision, and the Bank of Canada should decrease
rates. Notably, the percentage of Canadians who say the BoC should decrease
rates has risen 13 points since September 2022, when the policy rate was
3.25%.
More Key Findings: ●
Half of
Canadians (49%) say grocery costs are difficult to endure, while half say
they are comfortably keeping up (49%). The size of the group having
challenges rises to 63 per cent among those whose household incomes are less
than $50,000. ●
Many
Canadians are planning to hold off on making large purchases for now.
Two-thirds (68%) say this is a bad time to spend money on something major.
That proportion is significantly higher than those measured in 2019 and 2020,
though it is lower than a high of 75 per cent recorded last July. ●
Two-in-five
Canadians (40%) are cutting back on charitable donations amidst these
difficult economic times. About ARI The Angus Reid Institute (ARI) was
founded in October 2014 by pollster and sociologist, Dr. Angus Reid. ARI is a
national, not-for-profit, non-partisan public opinion research foundation
established to advance education by commissioning, conducting and
disseminating to the public accessible and impartial statistical data,
research and policy analysis on economics, political science, philanthropy,
public administration, domestic and international affairs and other
socio-economic issues of importance to Canada and its world. INDEX Part One: Reaction to interest rate
increase ●
Three-in-five
say rate hike will hurt them financially ●
Renters and
homeowners alike bracing for impact ●
Enthusiasm
for rate hikes diminishes Part Two: Canadians assess their
budgets, finances ●
Half having
difficulty feeding their household ●
Half
delaying major purchases, donations dry up for charities ●
Seven-in-ten
say now is not the time for a major purchase Part One: Reaction to interest rate
increase The Bank of Canada raised interest
rates in July, the 10th time Canada’s central bank has done so since March
2022. The bank’s goal is to tamp inflation down to closer to two per cent.
The aggressive rate hikes appear to be working, as inflation has fallen to 2.8 per cent year over year
in Statistics Canada’s latest numbers The bank’s benchmark interest rate now
sits at five per cent, a height not seen since April 2001. After keeping its powder dry in two
previous adjustment windows earlier this year, the bank felt it had to take
action in June and July after reading indicators that
showed Canada’s economy had weathered earlier rate hikes stronger than
expected. A hotter economy had the bank worried that there still could be further inflation down the line. A higher policy rate increases the
cost of borrowing – including credit cards, mortgages, lines of credit – for
all Canadians. Eventually, it should also have benefits for Canadians’
savings accounts, but interest rates on those have been slower to adjust than they have in the past. Three-in-five say rate hike will
hurt them financially With that in mind, few Canadians –
one-in-ten (10%) – expect the latest rate hike to have a positive impact on
their finances. Instead, the expectation for a majority of Canadians is
higher interest rates will have a minor negative (25%) or major negative
(34%) financial consequences for them personally. One-quarter (25%) expect no
real personal impact from the BoC’s latest policy rate increase. ARI last asked Canadians how they
expected higher interest rates would affect their finances in Sept. 2022,
five rate hikes ago. Overall, there’s been an eight-point jump in the
proportion of Canadians who expect higher interest rates to have “a
significant negative impact” on their personal finances:
Canadians living in the lowest
income households are the most likely to report they expect higher interest
rates will have a severe negative impact on their personal finances at
two-in-five (42%). However, a majority of Canadians of all income brackets
believe the latest rate hike will have a negative financial effect on them:
Renters and homeowners alike
bracing for impact Many Canadians feel a direct impact
of the BoC’s policy rate decisions through their monthly mortgage payments,
whether it is on a variable rate or a fixed one that must eventually be
renewed at higher rates. As it stands, one-third (36%) of owners say they
find their mortgage to be difficult to accommodate financially. Approaching
half (45%) of renters say the same of their monthly rent (see detailed tables). Nearly all (89%) of those who say
they are already having a difficult time paying their mortgage month to month
also say they expect the higher interest rates to have a negative financial
impact on themselves personally, including seven-in-ten (68%) who expect that
impact to be significantly negative. Renters, too, feel a more indirect
impact from higher interest rates on their cost of housing, as landlords
often pass along increases to the cost of their mortgages. Two-thirds (63%)
of renters who say they are struggling with their monthly rent believe that
higher interest rates will have a deteriorating effect on their finances.
Some renters have not suffered their recent troubles lightly – in Toronto more than 300 tenants withheld
their rent to protest their landlord allegedly ignoring
rent control rules.
Enthusiasm for rate hikes
diminishes There are three more windows
for the BoC to change rates this year, as the market expects another
increase in September. Canadians are divided as to how
they believe the Bank of Canada should proceed from here. One-third (36%)
would lower rates. A similar number (32%) would maintain the status quo and
assess the effect of the latest increase. A handful (11%) would raise rates
further. At the beginning of the BoC’s rate
hiking spree, there was more appetite among Canadians for interest rate hikes
as they felt the effect of high
inflation not seen in three decades. One-quarter (27%) in
May 2022 wanted the BoC to raise its policy rate higher than the one per cent
it had set the month previous. Three hikes later in September, there were
still one-quarter (25%) who wanted further hikes to quell inflation, which had spiked that summer at 8.1 per
cent. At the same time the proportion of
Canadians who want further rate hikes has fallen, the percentage who want
rates to fall has nearly tripled:
Part Two: Canadians assess their
budgets, finances The beast the Bank of Canada is
trying to slay is protracted inflation, which has increased the prices of
nearly everything in the country over the past two years. Perhaps the
greatest source of sticker shock has been at the grocery store. While overall
inflation had cooled to 2.8 per cent, grocery
prices rose more than nine per cent year-over-year.
Between May 2021 and May 2023, grocery prices had increased nearly 18 per cent
according to Statistic Canada’s consumer price index tracker. Half having difficulty feeding
their household Half of Canadians (49%) say they
are finding it difficult to feed their household, a proportion more or less
similar to that registered over the past two years:
Three-quarters (77%) of Canadians
living in households with less than $25,000 in annual income say they are
struggling to feed their family. Though higher income households report less
trouble, at least one-quarter in all income brackets say they find food
prices difficult to cope with:
*Smaller sample size, interpret
with caution Three-in-five (60%) in Quebec say
they find it easy to feed their family currently, the only province where a
majority say this. For all other regions in the country, at least half say it
is difficult, topping out in Saskatchewan and Manitoba, where three-in-five
say they are struggling to feed their household:
Half delaying major purchases,
donations dry up for charities One of the effects that the Bank of
Canada hopes to generate with increasing interest rates is a diminishing of
demand for goods and services, which in modern economic theory, is suggested
to lead to a decline in prices and thus inflation decreasing. In some
respects, a lessening of demand is already evident in the data. Overall, three-in-five Canadians
report cutting back on discretionary spending. A further one half (50%) say
that they are delaying a major purchase. This equals a similar mark from last
September, suggesting this trend is sustaining itself while Canadians wait
for more economic certainty. For charitable organizations,
challenges remain while Canadians cut back. Two-in-five (40%) say they have
scaled back their contributions. This comes as 30 per cent of charitable
organizations in Canada say they have noticed a significant drop
in revenue:
In addition to those adjustments
that were listed, Canadians had their own statements about how their lives
have been affected recently. Below are some direct quotes from this study: ●
“Gone with
out normal groceries and switched to a cheaper meal plan” ●
“Sold items
we had to pay down debt.” ●
“Cut off
last two monthly subscriptions, altered the way I buy groceries (less junk
food, only buy things on sale, buy things I can batch prepare and freeze when
meat is on sale.)” ●
“Remettre a
plus tard des réparation de la maison urgente, pas assez d argent tout est
trop cher” ●
“Rarely
eating out, tipping less when we do.” ●
“Walking
instead of public transit” Seven-in-ten say now is not the
time for a major purchase For two years now, the number of
Canadians saying it is a bad time to make a major purchase has remained
elevated well above levels seen in 2019 and 2020.
At least two-thirds in every region
across the country believe it is a bad time to make a major purchase such as
a buying a home or car or taking an expensive vacation. There is at least
one-in-five in every region who disagree, except in Saskatchewan, where just
one-in-ten (11%) believe it is a good time for such a financial outlay:
Source:https://angusreid.org/interest-rate-boc-july-2023/ AUSTRALIA
802-804-43-29/Polls Inflation Expectations
Down 0.4% Points To 5.5% In Mid-July After Rising Significantly In June And
Early July
The latest ANZ-Roy Morgan Inflation
Expectations are down 0.4% points to 5.5% in mid-July after increasing
steadily during June. This week Australians expected inflation of 5.5%
annually over the next two years. Despite the weekly fall, the
measure has averaged 5.7% so far in July after increasing significantly from
a weekly low of 5.1% in mid-May. The monthly figure for June showed Inflation
Expectations of 5.6%, an increase of 0.4% points from May, and the equal
highest monthly figure so far this year after dipping to its lowest in over a
year in May. The latest information on weekly
Inflation Expectations is available to view each week in the Roy Morgan Weekly Update video on YouTube. Roy Morgan’s Inflation Expectations
during 2023 have consistently been followed weeks later by the ABS CPI
figures. The monthly ABS CPI figures dropped to 5.6%
in May 2023 – down significantly by 1.2% points from April
2023 (6.8% annual CPI). If the trend continues, we can expect to see the ABS
CPI annual figures for June 2023 register an increase after dipping in May.
The ABS CPI figures for June are due to be released in two weeks on Wednesday
July 26, 2023. Inflation Expectations Index
long-term trend – Expected Annual Inflation in next 2 years
Source: Roy Morgan Single Source:
Interviewing an average of 4,800 Australians aged 14+ per month (April 2010 –
June 2023). Inflation Expectations increased in
NSW, Queensland, Victoria and South Australia in June A look at Inflation Expectations on
a State-based level shows Inflation Expectations increasing in four States in
June, remaining unchanged in Western Australia and dropping in Tasmania. Inflation Expectations were up 0.6%
points to 5.9% in New South Wales – and now clearly the highest in the country,
and up 0.5% points to 5.8% in Queensland. These two States are now pulling
Inflation Expectations higher for the rest of the country. Inflation Expectations are now in
line with the national average in Victoria at 5.6%, up 0.3% points from a
month ago and just below the national average in South Australia at 5.4%, up
0.2% points. Inflation Expectations in Tasmania
went against the trend in June and were down 0.2% points to 5.1% while in
Western Australia they were unchanged at 5.0% - the lowest in the country for
the seventh month in a row. Inflation Expectations in Country
Areas were at 5.8% (up 0.2% points from May) in June, although there was a
larger increase in the Capital Cities, up 0.5% points to 5.5% - the highest
figure so far this year. Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine says
Inflation Expectations increased in June by 0.4% points to 5.6% - and
subsequent readings in the early part of July have continued this trend: “Inflation Expectations in
Australia increased sharply in June, up 0.4% points to 5.6% – the equal
highest they have been so far this year on a monthly basis. The recent weekly
readings have confirmed this trend with the average of Inflation Expectations
so far in July hitting 5.7%. “We have observed a consistent
trend with Roy Morgan’s Inflation Expectations in recent years as the public
sentiment regarding future inflation tends to be followed weeks, or months,
later by the ABS CPI figures. “The relevant factor here is that
the monthly ABS CPI figures dropped to 5.6%
in May 2023 – down significantly by 1.2% points from April
2023 (6.8% annual CPI). This lower-than-expected ABS CPI reading released in
late June was part of the reason used by the RBA to justify holding interest
rates unchanged at its July meeting a week ago. “The dip in May was foretold weeks
in advance by the weekly ANZ-Roy Morgan Inflation Expectations which had a
yearly low of 5.1% in mid-May and a monthly low of 5.2% – before increasing
rapidly in late May and throughout June. “If the trend continues, we can
expect to see the ABS CPI annual figures for June 2022 register an increase
after dipping in May. The ABS figures are due out in two weeks on Wednesday
July 26, 2023 – just before the RBA’s next meeting – at which many analysts
expect the RBA will again raise interest rates after pausing in July. “A look at the States shows
Inflation Expectations were highest in the northern states of NSW at 5.9% (up
0.6% points) and Queensland at 5.8% (up 0.5% points) in June. In contrast, WA
again has the lowest Inflation Expectations at only 5.0% – unchanged from a
month ago. “Inflation Expectations have now been
lower in Western Australia than anywhere else every month so far this year
and mirrors the consistently high Business Confidence in the same State – now
at 141.1 and over 30 points higher than anywhere else. “A detailed look at the latest Roy Morgan Business Confidence
figures are available to view here.” (Roy Morgan) July 11, 2023 Source:https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9302-australian-inflation-expectations-june-2023 802-804-43-30/Polls Anz-Roy Morgan Consumer
Confidence Down 0.7pts To 72.6 – Third
Straight Week Of Declines
ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence
was down 0.7pts to 72.6 this week. The index has now spent twenty straight
weeks below the mark of 80 – the longest stretch below 80 since the index
began being conducted on a weekly basis in October 2008. The last time
Consumer Confidence spent at least twenty weeks under 80 was during the
1990-91 recession when the index was conducted on a monthly basis. Consumer Confidence is now 9.2pts
below the same week a year ago, July 11-17, 2022 (81.8) and 5.8pts below the
2023 weekly average of 78.4. Looking around the States, Consumer Confidence
was down in New South Wales and Victoria, but up slightly Queensland, WA and
SA. Driving the index down this week
was negative sentiment in regards to personal finances compared to a year
ago. Other indicators were little changed compared to a week ago. Current financial conditions ●
Now only
17% of Australians (down 2ppts) say their families are ‘better off’
financially than this time last year compared to 57% (up 4ppts) that say
their families are ‘worse off’ financially (a new record high for this
indicator in 50 years of interviewing). Future financial conditions ●
Looking
forward, just over a quarter of Australians, 28% (up 1ppt), expect their
family to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year while two-fifths,
40% (up 1ppt), expect to be ‘worse off’. Current economic conditions ●
Only 6%
(unchanged) of Australians expect ‘good times’ for the Australian economy
over the next twelve months compared to over two-fifths, 42% (down 1ppt),
that expect ‘bad times’. Future economic conditions ●
Sentiment
regarding the Australian economy in the longer term remains very weak with
only 11% (up 1ppt) of Australians expecting ‘good times’ for the economy over
the next five years compared to just over a fifth, 21% (down 1ppt), expecting
‘bad times’. Time to buy a major household item ●
Sentiment
regarding to buying intentions is virtually unchanged this week with 18% (up
1ppt) of Australians, who now say it is a ‘good time to buy’ major household
items while a clear majority of 57% (up 1ppt), say now is a ‘bad time to
buy’. ANZ Senior Economist, Adelaide
Timbrell, commented:
ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer
Confidence fell last week, its third consecutive weekly decline. The
confidence level was among the five worst results since the COVID outbreak
and has stayed below 80 for 20 straight weeks. The decline in the latest
result was mainly driven by weaker confidence in ‘current financial
conditions’. Among the housing cohorts, confidence fell to a record low for
those renting. It improved among those paying off their homes but remained
below 70, while it fell for those who own their homes outright.
(Roy Morgan) July 18, 2023 Source:https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9275-anz-roy-morgan-consumer-confidence-july-18 MULTICOUNTRY
STUDIES
802-804-43-31/Polls Among 29 Countries, 74%
Accept As A Principle That People Should Be Able To Seek Refuge In Other
Countries, Including Their Own
74% accept as a principle that
people should be able to seek refuge in other countries, including their own,
to escape war or persecution. In Turkey, the proportion of those who agree
with this view is lower than in many other countries. Today, while 61% of
individuals in Turkey express a positive opinion, 35% do not agree with this
opinion. Over the years, positive views towards refugees have declined. Although the asylum of refugees in
foreign countries is approached positively, the rate of those who think that
those who come are not real refugees and that they come to benefit from the
economy and welfare of that country is 58%. In Turkey, the proportion of
individuals with this view is much higher than the average of the countries.
10 out of every 7 people in Turkey think that the refugees in our country are
not real refugees. 40% of individuals believe that
refugees do not have a good or bad impact on the economy or job
opportunities. The rate of those who think it has a negative impact is 35%.
In Turkey, 10 out of every 7 people think that the impact of refugees in our
country on the economy and job opportunities is bad. Views on the negative impact of
refugees on health and access to health care are similar. Again, in Turkey,
65% of the population thinks that refugees make health services worse. Another important problem is the
integration of refugees into the country they come from. On average, 10 out
of every 5 people think that the refugees coming to their countries can adapt
to the society they live in, while 10 out of every 4 people think that they
cannot adapt. Again, the rate of individuals who think that refugees cannot
adapt in Turkey is the highest among all countries with 71%. In Turkey, 59% of individuals think
that migrants under temporary protection living in the country should be sent
back. This rate is 5 points higher than last year. When the average of
countries is examined, the rate of those who express an opinion about return
is only 19%. Another country that has expressed a similar opinion to Turkey
is Malaysia. Turkey is also the country with the
most negative view of the closure of the borders. While the rate of those who
agree with this opinion in the average of 29 countries is 43%, this rate is
76% in Turkey. Commenting on the results of the
research, Ipsos' Turkey CEO Sidar Gedik said: One of the effects that shake
the balance of the world in the period of multiple crises is the reality of
migration. Intra-country, cross-country migrations affect the demographics,
economies, social balances and, of course, the futures of societies. People
who leave their homes are classified by many international definitions such
as migrants, irregular migrants, refugees, conditional refugees, asylum
seekers. However, we cannot say that all these definitions and the
differences between them affect the way they look at them in the new cities
or countries they go to. It should be noted that the current conjuncture of
the period also affected the view of the people who had emigrated, for
example, those who migrated to other countries in order to save their lives
due to the Russian-Ukrainian war caused a more understanding approach to
those fleeing the war in many countries of the world. Three-quarters of
respondents to a Ipsos survey of 29 countries support the idea that
"they should be able to seek refuge in other countries, including your
own, to escape war or persecution." In Turkey, which hosts millions of
refugees who have fled the war in Syria and sought refuge, the participation
rate for this idea is 61%, a high rate, but it is also noteworthy that it is
the 29rd lowest rate among 3 countries. Last week, French Labour Minister
Olivier Dussopt said the proportion of migrants working in the service sector
was 25 percent, adding: "We have to face reality. These professions
would not exist without them. Some professional sectors would not function
without immigration to our country," he said. There are many citizens in
many countries who think like the French minister. However, the Ipsos survey
shows that the proportion of immigrants who come to the country is higher
than those who think that it affects the country's economy badly. In Turkey,
seven out of ten people think that migrants have a bad impact on the
country's economy and job prospects. We can see that the speed of
migration over time, the reasons behind it, the economic capacity in the
country, the planning for the future directly affect the perspective of the
relevant country. Half of the respondents think that people who have come
with immigration can be integrated into the country. However, in countries
such as Turkey, where migration is experienced very quickly and the
integration process is going through the hottest period, a negative
perspective prevails, seven out of every ten people who participated in the
survey from Turkey do not believe that integration will be successful, this
rate is increasing instead of decreasing over the years. The rate of those
who think that refugees in the country should be deported and that new
migrations should not be accepted is 59% in Turkey, and this rate is the
first among 29 countries. Across 29 countries, respondents said they were
overwhelmingly in favour of existing migrants staying. Some say let's not
accept more immigrants, some say we can accept new immigrants, but those who
say let's deport existing immigrants are in the minority. Turkey also ranks
first in terms of participation in the idea of closing the borders to
migration completely. While those who think this way in the U.S. that has
built a wall on the Mexican border are 35%, it is 76% in Turkey. We do not encounter a different
picture from previous years. The predominant idea is "let's save those
who are fleeing war, from persecution, but most of those who come are
actually coming for economic reasons." (Ipsos Turkey) July 3, 2023 Source:https://www.ipsos.com/tr-tr/multeci-olarak-gelen-yabancilarin-cogu-gercekten-multeci-degil-mi 802-804-43-32/Polls According To A Study
Conducted In 33 Nations; People With Physical Disabilities Are Considered To
Be The Most Unfairly Treated Population Group
One in three complains about
disadvantages for the elderly and women Just over one in three believe that
older people (35%) and women (33%) in Germany are exposed to unequal
treatment, while a further 28 percent consider people with mental illnesses
to be particularly disadvantaged. Lesbian, gay and bisexual people (24%) as
well as transgender and non-binary people (20%) are also still often treated
unequally or unfairly in the perception of many respondents. One in five
thinks that people who have immigrated to Germany (19%) or belong to an
ethnic minority (19%) still have to fear disadvantages. In contrast, young
adults (7%) and men (4%) are the two groups of people who are least likely to
be considered unequal. People with physical disabilities
(33%) are also considered to be the most discriminated against group of
people in the global national average, followed by women (26%), people with
mental illnesses (25%) and lesbian, gay and bisexual people (24%).
Germans see the government and
employers as having a duty Four out of ten Germans (41%)
consider inequality to be one of the most important problems in their own
country compared to all other issues of concern. Half (48%) of those surveyed
also think that too little has been done in Germany to promote equality for
all groups of people. Only 18 percent think that too much has already been
done in this regard. When asked who is primarily
responsible for implementing measures to reduce inequality in Germany, 57
percent of Germans believe that politicians have a particular responsibility.
Three out of ten respondents (30%) think employers should play a big role in
reducing inequality in society. The media (23%), parents and teachers (17%)
and individuals or interest groups (16% each) are considered to be slightly
less important in combating inequality. Older people believe in the
principle of performance, younger people see structural problems It was also asked whether the
chances of success of people in Germany are largely determined by their
performance and commitment or whether they depend more on structural factors
that are beyond their control. 41 percent of Germans believe that their own
willingness to perform in this country has a greater impact on each person's
individual chances of success, while 31 percent consider structural factors
to be more decisive. It is striking that younger adults are more likely to
believe that structural factors play a central role than older respondents. The situation is similar when it
comes to the question of what a fair society looks like for you personally.
For half of the respondents (49%), a society is fair if everyone is given the
same opportunities. Only 17 percent say that a society is only fair if
everyone enjoys the same quality of life. The proportion of supporters of
this statement is higher among young adults than among older respondents. (Ipsos Germany) July 6, 2023 802-804-43-33/Polls A Survey In 5 European
Nations Regarding Their Interest In The 2023 Women’s Football World Cup
Between a third and half say they
are likely to follow at least a fair amount The FIFA Women's World Cup kicks
off on 20 July, hosted this year by Australia and New Zealand. The profile for women’s
international football has never been higher – so how many people in Europe
will be following this year’s tournament? Here in England, 16% of people say
they expect to follow a great deal or fair amount of the Women’s world cup. A
similar number of Italians say the same (16%), while slightly more people in
France and Spain (20%) as well as Germany (22%) will keep a track of the
tournament’s progress. Looking at football fans
specifically, French and German fans are the most likely to say they will
follow at least a fair amount of the tournament (48-49%), as do 44% of
Spanish fans. English and Italian fans are the least likely to (39% and 36%,
respectively). By comparison, asked a month ahead of the men’s
tournament in Qatar last year, between 57% (Italy) and 82%
(Spain) of football fans expected to follow the tournament to this degree –
although some of this disparity will be due to the significant time zone
difference for this year’s women’s tournament. The majority of football fans in each
country would be pleased by a women’s World Cup victory In each country, the public would
be about equally pleased for their men’s and women’s teams to win their
respective football world cup (53-58% here in England). Among football fans, there is a notable
difference. While the number of fans in each country who would be pleased is
higher than the wider public for both men’s and women’s teams, more fans
would be pleased for the men’s team to win than the women’s. In England, for example,
92% of football fans would be pleased if
the men’s team won the World Cup, compared to 75% for the women’s team. While
only 5% would be indifferent about the men’s team’s success, this rises to
18% for the women’s side.
(YouGov UK) July 10, 2023 802-804-43-34/Polls AI Is Making The World
More Nervous; A Survey In 31 Nations Around The World
A recent Ipsos Global Advisor in
survey finds that, on average across 31 countries, nearly as many adults say
that products and services that use AI make them nervous (52%) as say they
are excited about them (54%). Of all AI-related measures, nervousness is the
variable that has increased the most since the previous Ipsos survey,
conducted 18 months ago. By contrast, despite a surge in new AI applications,
the percentage of adults who say they know what types of products and
services use AI remains relatively unchanged. One constant is the divide between
generally AI-enthusiastic emerging markets and AI-wary high-income countries.
Trust and excitement about AI also tend to be higher among younger
generations, especially Gen Z, and among those with a higher income or
education levels. Majorities in all 31 countries
expect AI-powered products and services to profoundly change their daily life
in the coming years. While there is optimism about time management and
entertainment options, there is also widespread concern about negative
impacts on employment. On average, 57% of workers expect AI to change the way
they do their current job and 36% expect it to replace their current job. These are some of the findings of a
survey of 22,816 adults under the age of 75 conducted between May 26 and June
9, 2023, on the Ipsos Global Advisor online survey platform in 30 countries
and mostly face-to-face in India. The survey results shed light on the
evolving perceptions and expectations of AI among consumers worldwide,
revealing both excitement and apprehension about its potential impact on
various aspects of life. Detailed Findings Understanding of AI is still
lagging On average across the 31 countries
surveyed, two-thirds (67%) say they have a good understanding of what AI is,
but only half (51%) say they know which products and services use AI. Knowledge of what products and
services use AI is higher among younger adults, men, those who are employed,
more educated, and/or more affluent. In a typical pattern, familiarity
with AI-powered products and services ranges from over 70% in Indonesia and
Malaysia to just 35% in Belgium, New Zealand, and the United States. Reported understanding of AI has
increased slightly over the past 18 months, but familiarity with which
products and services use AI has barely changed since Ipsos’ previous global
survey on AI in December 2021. This suggests that, while AI is becoming more
prevalent, there hasn't been a corresponding increase in consumer awareness
of the role AI plays in different technologies they use daily. Mixed feelings and increased
nervousness On average across the 31 countries,
only about half of respondents agree that AI-based and services have more
benefits than drawbacks (54%) and are excited about them (also 54%). However, about the same number
(52%) are nervous about AI-based products and services. Across the 24
countries included in both the previous and new surveys, this represents an
average increase of 12 percentage points. This suggests that the global
public is increasingly concerned about being negatively impacted by AI
technology as it evolves. Excitement about AI is highest in
emerging markets and lowest in Europe and North America; it is also higher
among Gen Zers and Millennials, as well as the college-educated. Nervousness is highest in all the
predominantly English-speaking countries. It is lowest in Japan, South Korea,
and Eastern Europe. Wide geographic differences in
trust Trust in AI varies widely by
region, generally being much higher in emerging markets and among people
under 40 than in high-income countries and among Gen Xers and Boomers. People's trust that companies using
AI will protect their personal information ranges from 72% in Thailand to
just 32% in France, Japan, and the United States. The percentage of people
who trust that AI will not discriminate against groups of people shows an
even wider spread across countries. Just half say AI has impacted their
life in the past few years… Globally, just half (49%) say that
AI-based products and services have significantly changed their daily live in
the past three to five years, about the same percentage as in December 2021. In South Korea and across Southeast
Asia, the percentage feeling this way is about 35 to 40 percentage points
higher than in most countries in Northwestern Europe and North America. It is also, on average, at least 20
points higher among Gen Zers and Millennials than among Boomers. … but two in three expect it will
soon change it profoundly On average, 66% agree that
AI-powered products and services will significantly change their daily life
in the next 3-5 years, including majorities in all countries (from 82% in
South Korea to 51% in France) and all demographic groups (but especially
among the more affluent and those with a college education). Among workers, 57% expect AI to
change the way they do their current job and 36% expect it to replace their
current job. The percentages of workers
expecting each type of disruption are highest in Southeast Asia and lowest in
Northern Europe (with differences of up to 50 points) and are also much
higher among those who are younger and/or decision makers than among those
who are not. Not all changes are expected to be
for the better Globally, slightly more than half
expect that increased use of AI will give them more time to get things done
and improve their entertainment options. Only one in three or slightly more
say it will improve their health, their job, and their country's economy. More say it will make the job
market worse than better. Again, optimism about AI is much
higher in the Global South than in high-income countries, and among younger
and highly educated adults than among those who are older or have no college
education. (Ipsos Global) July 10, 2023 Source:https://www.ipsos.com/en/ai-making-world-more-nervous 802-804-43-35/Polls Ipsos Global Consumer
Confidence Index, Across 29 Nations
Ipsos’s consumer confidence metrics
are based on data from a monthly survey of more than 21,000 adults in 29
markets conducted on Ipsos’s Global Advisor online survey platform and, in
India, on its IndiaBus platform. They are first reported each month by
Refinitiv as the Primary Consumer Sentiment Index (PCSI). Metrics include a “National” Index
or “Overall” as well as four sub-indices, each indicative of a subset of
areas.
Current
Index: Current personal financial situation, local economy, purchasing and
investing confidence, and job security
Expectations
Index: Future personal financial, local economy, and employment situation
Investment
Index: Purchasing and investing
confidence and personal financial situation
Jobs Index:
Job security confidence, job loss experience, and employment outlook The Global Consumer Confidence
Index is the average of each of surveyed countries’ Overall or “National”
index.” The latest consumer trends at a
glance Top five countries in consumer
optimism in July 2023
Indonesia -
63.7
Brazil -
60.0
Mexico -
57.2
India -
56.8
Singapore -
56.5 Key consumer confidence trends for
July 2023 The latest figures show that the
Global Consumer Confidence Index currently reads at 47.6. This is a 0.2 point
increase since June. If we exclude the nine new countries,
the index would indicate a reading of 45.6. (Ipsos Global) July 20, 2023 Source:https://www.ipsos.com/en/ipsos-global-consumer-confidence-index |
