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BUSINESS & POLITICS IN THE WORLD GLOBAL OPINION REPORT NO. 783 Week: February
20 – February 26, 2023 Presentation:
March 03, 2023 Inside
Afghanistan: Record Numbers Struggle to Afford Basics 11 UAE
Parents Have High Concerns over Their Child’s Exposure To Inappropriate
Online Content 13 Health
Insurance Coverage for Nigerians Still Abysmal; An Urgent Call For New
Strategy. 15 Labour
Voters More Wary about Politics of Child’s Spouse 17 Most
Brits Expect Recession, As Consumer Confidence Dips To Six-Year Low 19 Half
of Leave Voters Doubt Johnson Can Secure New Brexit Deal 21 Few
Believe the Government's Explanation of Why Parliament Is To Be Suspended 23 Brits
Oppose Parliament Suspension By 47% to 27% 24 5
Facts about the Abortion Debate In America 25 U.S.
Concern about Climate Change Is Rising, But Mainly Among Democrats 28 Most
Americans Say Science Has Brought Benefits to Society and Expect More to
Come 31 Parents'
Concern about School Safety Remains Elevated 34 As
Labor Day Turns 125, Union Approval Near 50-Year High 36 Americans'
Satisfaction with U.S. Education at 15-Year High 38 Most
Cannabis Consumers Use on a Weekly Basis or More 41 Ride-Sharing
App Uber Overtakes Taxis as Preferred Private Transport Service 43 Rising
Numbers of Australians Looking At Electric and Hybrid Vehicles for Their
Next Set of Wheels 45 Toyota
And Mazda Drivers Most Brand Loyal; Have The Luxury Brands Lost Their
Lustre? 48 Britons
Make Worst Tourists, Say Britons (And Spaniards And Germans) 50 Brazilians
Least Satisfied in Amazon With Environment 55 India
Ranks 9th on Happiness among 28 Global Markets: Ipsos Global Happiness
Survey 58 The
Biggest Beauty Influencer Isn’t Who You Think It Is 59 INTRODUCTORY NOTE This weekly
report consists of eighteen surveys. The
report includes four multi-country studies from different states across the
globe.
783-43-19/Commentary: Arab
Public Opinion Prefers China Over USA 11 Out Of 12 Surveyed Nations Hold That
View
This piece is
part of a four-part series published by the Middle East Institute
in cooperation with Arab Barometer analyzing the results of the seventh wave of the Arab Barometer surveys. Apart from Europe and the South
China Sea region, the Middle East and North Africa is one of the epicenters
for what the U.S. has termed “great power competition” especially between the
U.S. and China, although Russia also figures into the assessment. There is
particular sensitivity to China’s perceived economic inroads into the region
as it has surged to become its largest economic partner. Apart from China’s
dependence on imports of Gulf oil to meet its energy needs, China’s Belt and
Road Initiative (BRI) has expanded Beijing’s footprint from Oman in the east
to Morocco in the west. Based on Arab
Barometer’s Wave 7 raw favorability numbers, China’s
increased presence in the region appears to have paid dividends in terms of
its popular standing, especially in North Africa. Except for Morocco, where
favorability for the U.S. at 69% is marginally higher than China’s rating at
64%, the U.S. consistently lags behind China in the view of respondents to
the 12-country survey. The favorability gap is particularly notable in
Algeria, where China enjoys a 20-point edge over the U.S. at 67% vs. 47%. One
possible explanation for the broad disparity in favorability ratings for the
U.S. between Morocco and Algeria, of course, is widespread anger in Algeria,
and the converse in Morocco, over the Trump
administration’s December 2020 decision to recognize Moroccan
sovereignty in the Western Sahara. The Arab Barometer seventh wave polling
was undertaken after that decision, between October 2021 and July 2022. But even in Tunisia and Libya,
where the U.S. has focused a great deal of effort in promoting positive
outcomes in their political transitions since the Arab Spring, China is
viewed far more favorably than the U.S. (in Tunisia by 50% vs. 33% and in
Libya by 49% vs. 37%). Skepticism over the U.S. intent in providing foreign
assistance appears to underlie unfavorable views of the U.S. Only 18% of
rural and 15% of urban Tunisians agreed that U.S. assistance is motivated by
a desire to improve people’s lives whereas a plurality of Tunisians (40%
rural and 44% urban) and a majority of Libyans (50% rural and 53% urban)
believe the U.S. uses its foreign assistance to gain influence. By contrast,
pluralities of Libyans (35%) and Tunisians (40%) saw Chinese objectives in
providing foreign assistance as aiding either economic development or
internal stability. One contributing factor in low U.S.
favorability ratings is likely the overhang of negative regional sentiments
toward U.S. policy in the Trump administration. Broad regional attitudes
toward Biden administration policies are notably higher than his
predecessor’s poll results. In Sudan, for example, a majority of Sudanese
(52%) consider Biden administration policies to be good or very good compared
to only 20% who viewed Trump policies in a positive light. In Morocco,
Biden’s approval stands at 46% vs. the 14% who viewed Trump favorably despite
the Western Sahara decision. Even among populations that continue to hold the
U.S. in low esteem, there has been improvement since the Biden administration
came into office. In Tunisia, 23% of those polled think that Biden’s policies
are good or very good as compared to Trump’s 10% while the similar comparison
in Palestine is 11% vs. 6%. In that regard, despite overall improvement in
attitudes toward Biden’s regional policies, the vast majority of Palestinians
clearly see little reason for optimism in U.S. policy toward their issues
since Biden came into office. Biden’s improved numbers also
reflect an uptick in popular perceptions of Biden’s foreign policy as
compared to Chinese President Xi Jinping’s policies. A majority of Sudanese
(52%) see Biden’s policies as good or very good compared to Xi’s 43%. In
Morocco, as well, the public holds generally more favorable attitudes toward
Biden (46%) as opposed to Xi (39%). Elsewhere in the region, including,
surprisingly, in Jordan and Lebanon, U.S. and Chinese policies are seen in
roughly equivalent terms (Jordan: Biden 28%/Xi 26%; Lebanon: Biden 31%/Xi
35%). And Xi is notably more popular with the publics in several countries,
including Algeria (Xi 53%/Biden 35%), Iraq (Xi 48%/Biden 35%), and Tunisia
(Xi 35%/Biden 23%). On economic relations, there is
clearly a region-wide desire to strengthen relations with global partners.
For both the U.S. and China, young people (18-29) generally favor the
economic relationships more than their older fellow citizens (30+). Even in
Tunisia, nearly 60% of young respondents favor closer economic ties to the
U.S, nearly equal to the 65% who would like to see closer economic ties to
China. Overall in the region, even in those countries that are generally
skeptical of ties to the U.S., there is a desire to seek stronger economic
links. In Iraq and Libya, for example, equal numbers of young people want to
strengthen economic ties to the U.S. and China. In several other countries,
including Morocco, Mauritania, and Sudan, young people clearly favored the
U.S. as an economic partner over China. Despite these seemingly solid
favorability numbers overall for the Chinese, however, a public diplomacy
professional in Beijing would clearly see warning signs in some of the Arab
Barometer measures of popular perceptions. In particular, there appears to be
a fairly high degree of ambivalence about their country’s economic relations
with China among the publics as compared to the U.S. Notably, there are
significant minorities in several of the countries, particularly among rural
and less-educated respondents, that would like to see economic links to China
reduced. In Lebanon, for example, 23% of respondents with a maximum secondary
education and a full third of rural respondents preferred to see economic
ties to China loosened. In Iraq, 23% of secondary educated and 21% of rural
respondents advocated for reduced economic relations with China, as well. There are a number of factors that
appear to contribute to the ambivalence about China as an economic partner.
In all of the countries surveyed, often by wide margins, the Chinese are seen
as the country that provides the lowest quality products. In Iraq, for
example, 69% of respondents thought that Chinese products were low quality as
compared to only 8% who thought of U.S. products that way. Similarly, in
Jordan, 64% of survey participants saw China as a producer of low quality
products compared to 7% who viewed U.S. products in that light. In the other
seven countries surveyed, a plurality of respondents all agreed that Chinese
goods were of low quality. Conversely, the U.S. and Germany were seen through
all of the nine countries surveyed as producers of the highest quality
products. Respondents who viewed Chinese products positively ranged from a
low of 8% in Algeria to a high of 18% in Libya. Similarly, Chinese companies were
held in generally low esteem as business partners and employers. For the most
part, respondents in the surveyed countries preferred businesses in either
the U.S. (Lebanon, Mauritania, Sudan) or Germany (Algeria, Libya, Morocco,
Tunisia) as contracting partners. Only in Iraq did the plurality (27%) of
respondents prefer Chinese companies as business partners. Integrity appears
to be a factor in that perception as respondents generally saw U.S. (Iraq,
Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco, Sudan) and German (Algeria, Mauritania, Tunisia)
businesses as least likely to pay bribes while Chinese companies lagged
behind. Likewise, U.S. (Iraq, Jordan, Libya, Mauritania, Morocco, Sudan) and
German (Algeria, Lebanon, Tunisia) businesses were deemed most likely to pay
their local employees top salaries with Chinese companies generally scoring
poorly in that regard. Arab Barometer’s Wave 7 surveys
straddled the outbreak of conflict between Russia and Ukraine, so we will
have to await Wave 8 to determine if Russia’s war of aggression will affect
regional attitudes toward Russia and Vladimir Putin. For the most part, views
of Russia and Putin in Wave 7 were not substantially different from views of
the U.S. and Biden or China and Xi. In fact, in a number of instances, views
of Russia and Putin closely approximated respondent attitudes toward China
and Xi. In Lebanon, Algeria, and Libya respondents rated Russian and Chinese
favorability in nearly identical terms (Lebanon: China-51%/Russia-52%;
Algeria: China-67%/Russia-66%; Libya: China-49%/Russia-49%) while in Iraq and
Tunisia, respondents rated Putin and Xi equally (Iraq: Putin-46%/Xi-48%;
Tunisia: Putin-34%/Xi-35%). Only in Morocco did U.S. favorability
significantly exceed Russia and China (U.S.-69%/China-64%/Russia-38%) while in
Jordan, the U.S. and China were rated equally ahead of Russia
(U.S.-51%/China-51%/Russia-39%). The same holds true as to the personal
favorability estimations for Biden, Putin, and Xi. Only Sudanese and Moroccan
respondents held a significantly more favorable view of Biden (Sudan:
Biden-52%/Xi-43%/Putin-34%; Morocco: Biden-46%/Xi-39%/Putin-26%). The same picture also holds among
the three competitors in economic favorability ratings. Only in Algeria did a
significantly higher number of respondents favor stronger economic ties to
Moscow as compared to the U.S. or China (Russia-55%/China-38%/U.S.-31%). In
Morocco and Sudan, respondents favored stronger ties to the U.S. (Morocco:
U.S.-42%/China-36%/Russia-28%; Sudan: U.S.-58%/China-48%/Russia-45%). Among
the other countries participating, there are few distinctions among the U.S.,
China, and Russia, although China is the preferred partner in Tunisia, Libya,
and Iraq. Trend lines may be somewhat more revealing. After enjoying a
significant rise in economic favorability during the Obama years (Wave 3 and
Wave 4), positive views of U.S. economic ties dropped significantly during
the Trump administration (Wave 5) but have now recovered somewhat in the
latest (Wave 7) survey. By contrast, both China and Russia saw drops in their
economic favorability ratings between Wave 5 and Wave 7, with China
experiencing a precipitate decline in its favorability rating in Jordan,
albeit from an extremely high 70% favorable to a still respectable 50%. Aside
from Tunisia, where its favorability rating essentially flat-lined from Wave
4 to Wave 7, Russia’s favorability has also declined between Wave 5 and Wave
7. A recurring theme in discussions
with interlocutors in the region is that the MENA countries will resist
becoming a battleground in a “great power competition” between the U.S.,
Russia, and China. Although there are clearly differences in how the three
competitors are viewed in the region, it’s also clear that public opinion in
the Arab Barometer Wave 7 survey echoes the views of political leaders that
they seek to maintain positive political and economic relations with all
three. As noted, the potential impact of Russia’s aggression in Ukraine on
MENA popular attitudes remains to be measured. But that variable aside,
unlike the post-World War II Cold War era, these populations will favor
strongly remaining non-combatants in any new cold war. (Arabbarometer) February 21, 2023 SUMMARY OF
POLLS
SUMMARY
OF POLLS ASIA (Pakistan) 47% Pakistanis Say That They
Have Experienced The Lack Of Medicine While Visiting The Hospital In The Past
Year According to a survey conducted by
Gallup & Gilani Pakistan, 47% Pakistanis say that they have experienced
the lack of medicine while visiting the hospital in the past year. A
nationally representative sample of adult men and women from across the
country, was asked the following as a follow up question, “In the last twelve
months, have you experienced any of the following problems in a government
hospital/clinic? - Lack of medication?” 47% responded yes while 53% said no. (Gallup Pakistan) February 24, 2023 AFRICA (Nigeria) Political Party Logo
Recognition Poll (Election Poll) A new public opinion poll conducted
by NOIPolls has revealed that the top three political party logos properly
described in Nigeria are those of the All-Progressive Congress (APC),
People’s Democratic Party (PDP) and the Labour Party (LP). The APC and PDP
logos had larger proportion of adult Nigerians (82 percent each) who could
easily describe the party’s logos, while 40 percent had good description of
the Labour party logo amongst other party logos. (NOI Polls) 21 February
2023 WEST EUROPE (UK) Rishi Sunak Registers Lowest
Favourability Scores As Prime Minister The latest update to the Ipsos
Political Pulse shows Rishi Sunak registering his weakest favourability
ratings since becoming Prime Minister amidst significant public pessimism
about the impact of Brexit and the direction of the country. Looking at
opinions of leading politicians, Keir Starmer is seen most favourably, with
32% favourable and 39% unfavourable he achieves a Net score of -7. In
comparison, the current Prime Minister, Rishi Sunak, is seen favourably by
27% of Britons while 46% disagree, giving a score of -19. Starmer’s
numbers are unchanged from January but Rishi Sunak has seen falling scores
(January: 30% favourable and 39% unfavourable). (Ipsos MORI) 22 February 2023 Only A Third Of The Public
Think The NHS Is Providing A Good Service Nationally, Yet Support For The
Founding Principles Remains Strong The Health Foundation has
partnered with Ipsos to deliver a 2-year programme of research into public
expectations and perceptions of health and social care. Every 6 months, we
poll a representative sample of the UK public using the UK
KnowledgePanel – Ipsos’ random probability online panel. There
is deepening public concern about NHS services. Nearly two thirds (63%) think
the general standard of care has got worse in the past 12 months. Across the
UK, only a third (33%) of the public think the NHS is providing a good
service nationally, a significant fall from the previous survey (43%) in May
2022. Additionally, just 10% think their national government has the right
policies for the NHS. (Ipsos MORI) 23 February 2023 The Majority Of Britons Have
Been Bullied – And It Had A Significant Impact On Most Two thirds of Britons (66%) say
they have been bullied at some point in their lives, according to a new
YouGov poll. One in five people (21%) say they experienced bullying as an
adult, while six in ten Britons (59%) were bullied as a child (some
respondents will have been bullied in both childhood and adulthood). Older
Britons aged 65 and over are least likely to say (or remember) that they’ve
been bullied, with 52% saying they have been, compared to between 63% and 72%
of other age groups. (YouGov UK) February 23, 2023 Only 5% Of Britons
Are Giving Anything Up For Lent 2023 The centuries-old Christian
tradition of Lent will see millions across the world give up something they
love for the 40 days leading up to Easter. But just 5% of Britons are
partaking in the ancient festival this year, including just 11% of British
Christians. That represents a notable fall since 2012, when 12% of Britons
and 20% of British Christians marked the occasion. One in ten (10%) have
turned their back on fatty foods, while 8% are abstaining from sex and the
same proportion are giving up eating out and takeaways (8%). (YouGov UK) February 24, 2023 (France) Energy Renovation: More Than
Half Of Owners Are Considering Taking Steps, But There Are Still Many
Obstacles Inflation, the increase in the
share of housing in the household budget and the context of tensions on the
energy market that we have been experiencing for months have undoubtedly
contributed to placing this problem at the heart of French life.
Indeed, half of French people (49%) feel that over the past two
years, the share of housing in their overall budget has increased, and
even "increased a lot" for more than 1 in 5 French people (22 %). (Ipsos France) February 23, 2023 (Ukraine) Desire To Migrate In Ukraine
Hits Record Low Before Russia invaded Ukraine a
year ago, more Ukrainians than ever said they would like to leave Ukraine
permanently. But that desire quickly faded after the war began, and now, most
Ukrainians do not want to leave even if they could. A record-low 9% of
Ukrainians surveyed in September of last year -- almost seven months into
Russia’s war with their country -- said they would like to leave Ukraine
permanently, which is down sharply from a record-high 35% just the year
before. (Gallup) FEBRUARY 24, 2023 NORTH AMERICA (USA) 60% Of Americans Would Be
Uncomfortable With Provider Relying On AI In Their Own Health Care A new Pew Research Center survey explores public views on artificial
intelligence (AI) in health
and medicine – an
area where Americans may increasingly
encounter technologies
that do things like screen for skin cancer and even monitor a patient’s vital
signs. The Pew Research Center survey, conducted Dec. 12-18, 2022, of 11,004
U.S. adults finds only 38% say AI being used to do things like diagnose
disease and recommend treatments would lead to better health outcomes for
patients generally, while 33% say it would lead to worse outcomes and 27% say
it wouldn’t make much difference. (PEW) FEBRUARY 22, 2023 Americans Largely Satisfied
With Their Personal Life The 83% of Americans who are at
least somewhat satisfied with their personal life matches the historical
average since 1979, and broad majorities of U.S. adults likewise report they
are satisfied with nine specific life aspects. Between 81% and 90% of U.S.
adults are either “very” or “somewhat” satisfied with their family life,
current housing, education, job, community and personal health, while 71% to
77% express the same degree of satisfaction with the amount of leisure time
they have, their standard of living and their household income. (Gallup) FEBRUARY 23, 2023 48% Of Americans
Played A Sport In 2022 The latest poll from Ipsos unpacks
what sports Americans play and watch, how they tune into their favorite
games, and attitudes towards the biggest controversies in the world of
sports. Ipsos explores American attitudes and behavior toward
sports betting, showing few Americans bet on sports as the country remains
split on legalizing sports betting. Still, 8% of Americans report betting on
sports online or on an app in the past year, while 4% of have done so
in-person. The NFL is the most popular league to bet on. (Ipsos USA) 22 February 2023 American Health In
Polarizing Times This week we released our
first Axios-Ipsos
American Health Index, which builds off of our Axios-Ipsos
Coronavirus Index and expands into some of the biggest
worries Americans have around healthcare, behaviors surrounding health and
wellness, and what policies the public supports. Most Americans have received
at least one dose of the COVID vaccine. Given the hesitancy surrounding and
political jousting over the COVID vaccine, this is a remarkable feat to
reach. But booster shots are lagging way behind. (Ipsos USA) 24 February 2023 (Canada) Inflation Taking
Disproportionate Toll On Canadians Aged 18-34, Impacting Confidence In Their
Financial Future Given today’s economic environment,
just 18% of Canadians aged 18-34 are feeling more confident about their
financial future than before, a significant drop from the 31% who, last year,
said they were feeling more confident about their future emerging from the
pandemic. Nearly eight in ten of those aged 18-34 (77%) are concerned (31%
very/47% somewhat) about their cashflow right now, significantly higher than
the proportions of those aged 35-54 (69%) and 55+ (57%) who say the same. (Ipsos Canada) 23 February 2023 AUSTRALIA ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer
Confidence Recovers Slightly, Up 2.3pts To 80.4 Driving this week’s recovery in
Consumer Confidence was sentiment related to personal finances compared to a
year ago and whether now is a ‘good/bad time to buy’ major household items. Consumer
Confidence was up in all five mainland States this week and above 80 in
Victoria, Western Australia and South Australia but under 80 in New South
Wales and Queensland. Now 22% of Australians (up 3ppts) say their families
are ‘better off’ financially than this time last year compared to 47% (down
2ppts) that say their families are ‘worse off’ financially. (Roy Morgan) February 21,
2023 MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES Arab Public Opinion Prefers
China Over USA 11 Out Of 12 Surveyed Nations Hold That View Based on Arab
Barometer’s Wave 7 raw favorability numbers, China’s
increased presence in the region appears to have paid dividends in terms of
its popular standing, especially in North Africa. Except for Morocco, where
favorability for the U.S. at 69% is marginally higher than China’s rating at
64%, the U.S. consistently lags behind China in the view of respondents to
the 12-country survey. The favorability gap is particularly notable in
Algeria, where China enjoys a 20-point edge over the U.S. at 67% vs. 47%. (Arabbarometer) February 21, 2023 Between Economic And
Environmental Concerns, Europeans Are Reinventing Their Mobility Habits, A
Survey In 6 European Nations Since the Covid and the multiple
periods of confinement, Europeans have adapted their way of life,
including their mobility habits. Some "soft" modes of transport are
used more frequently than before: walking (31% of Europeans say they
walk more often than before Covid), cycling (30% of electric bike users use
it more frequently, 25 % for classic bikes), but also scooters (28% of personal
scooter users do it more often). On the contrary, certain modes of
transport involving proximity to strangers have seen their use
decrease: carpooling (27% of users do so less often), public transport
(25% use them less often), taxis or car sharing follow the same trend. (Ipsos France) February 21, 2023 North American
Tracker: Artificial Intelligence (Ai) Tools And Politics Canadians and Americans are most
likely to trust AI tools (a great deal or somewhat) to complete tasks at
home or answer questions about products/services via a website
chat. They are least likely to trust them to teach their
children or help them find a life partner online. Canadians are
most concerned that AI tools lack the emotion/empathy required to
make good decisions (75% agree) and/or are susceptible
to fraud/hacking (72% agree). Americans are most concerned that
they are susceptible to fraud/hacking (73% agree)
and/or threaten human jobs (72% agree). (Leger Opinion) February 23rd, 2023 Source: https://blog.legeropinion.com/en/surveys/north-american-tracker-february-15-2023/ Remote Employees Most Wary
Of Job Security, A Survey Across 10 Nations Global workers are watching as many
corporations struggle in the current economic climate, resulting in layoffs
for many. The global workforce has been under considerable strain since 2020
- first acclimating to the expansion of pandemic-fueled remote work, then
adjusting back to hybrid or reintroduction of return-to-office plans. 69% of
Gen-Z are worried about the security of their roles, compared to 51% of
Boomers. Additionally, the vast majority - 86% - of workers at a Manager
level or below are concerned about layoffs, compared to only 14% of those are
Director level or higher. (Kantar) 23 February 2023 Source: https://www.kantar.com/inspiration/research-services/remote-employees-most-wary-of-job-security-pf ASIA
783-43-01/Polls 47%
Pakistanis Say That They Have Experienced The Lack Of Medicine While Visiting
The Hospital In The Past Year
According to a survey conducted by
Gallup & Gilani Pakistan, 47% Pakistanis say that they have experienced
the lack of medicine while visiting the hospital in the past year. A
nationally representative sample of adult men and women from across the
country, was asked the following as a follow up question, “In the last twelve
months, have you experienced any of the following problems in a government
hospital/clinic? - Lack of medication?” 47% responded yes while 53% said no. Question:
“In the last twelve months, have you experienced any of the following
problems in a government hospital/clinic? - Lack of medication?”
February
24, 2023 Source: https://gallup.com.pk/wp/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/24th-Feb_24-Feb_merged.pdf AFRICA
783-43-02/Polls Political
Party Logo Recognition Poll (Election Poll)
In terms of popularity across
Nigeria, the poll assessed the popularity of the 18 candidates vying for the
presidential position. The findings revealed that the top five (5) popular
candidates in the upcoming February 25th Presidential
election in Nigeria are Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the APC (93 percent), Atiku
Abubakar of the PDP (91 percent), Peter Obi of LP (87 percent), Rabiu
Kwankwaso of the NNPP (66 percent) and Hamza Al Mustapha of AA (35 percent)
amongst other Presidential candidates. Further findings revealed that most
adult Nigerians nationwide (67 percent) advocated that it should be
compulsory for a presidential candidate to attend a debate or town hall
meeting. Of this proportion, 41 percent of adult Nigerians nationwide
recommend that candidates should be penalized if they fail to participate in
a debate. Although there is no law which makes it compulsory for candidates
seeking political offices to participate in any debate, it will be
interesting for this aspect to be included in the election process as stated
by 67 percent of adult Nigerians. This will give the voters the opportunity
to make side-by-side comparisons and afford candidates the opportunity to say
why they are best suited for the elected office they are vying for. Nigerians will be going to the
election booths in three (3) days’ time (25th February 2023).
This is the 7th consecutive election that will be conducted
in the country without interruption. With over 9 million new registrants in
the election being mostly youths, it makes the election an interesting one[1].
However, the country still faces election challenges which include
insecurity, INEC preparedness, money politics, and election rigging amongst
other issues. It remains to be seen if these issues will be addressed before
the election or if they will form a stumbling block to the success of the election. These are some of the key findings
from the Election series poll following the countdown to the 2023 general
election, conducted on the week commencing 12th December
2022. This is the fifth (5) in the series of monthly election polls conducted
by NOIPolls as Nigerians countdown to February 25th, 2023,
elections. Survey Background It is time again, precisely on 25th February,
2023, for Nigerians to go to the ballots and elect their next President. It
is also a time that democracy affords Nigerians another opportunity to choose
a leader that will steer the affairs of the country for another 4 years. The
election period is indeed a critical one for Nigerians as they stand to
either continue with the ruling APC and its candidate or entirely take a
departure completely to another party like they did in 2015. It remains to be
seen what the outcome of the election will be[2]. However, the popularity of
candidates and the party’s amongst the populace is an important and crucial
factor as it tends to be a deciding coefficient on which the election
trajectory may tilt. It is pertinent to note that the more popular a
candidate is amongst the electorate, the higher the chances the candidate has
in winning the election and vice-versa. Therefore, all the candidates have
embarked on rigorous campaigning to increase their visibility and popularity
and to canvass for votes amongst the electorates. The importance of this election
cannot be over-emphasized as it affords all Nigerians the opportunity to
choose their leaders at all levels. However, All Nigerians are earnestly
hoping that the elections will provide them with the opportunity of having
new sets of leaders that will curb the myriad of challenges the country is
facing such as inflation, joblessness, banditry, kidnapping, terrorism, and
the rest. It remains to be seen if the country will achieve this feat
or will continue in the trajectory of the current trend of affairs[3]. Against this background, NOIPolls
conducted its Election Series Poll to seek the views of Nigerians on
political party logo and candidate’s popularity ahead of the February 25th,
2023, general elections. This is the fifth in the series of monthly election
polls conducted by NOIPolls (the first one was conducted in July 2022) as
Nigerians countdown to the February 25th, 2023. General
elections. Survey Findings The first question revealed that 93
percent of adult Nigerians disclosed they have been thinking of the February
25th general election in the country. In addition, while 92
percent of the respondents indicated that they have registered to vote for
the general election, 91 percent claimed to have their PVCs. Furthermore, respondents were asked
to describe the logos of the 18 political parties that are contesting for the
Presidential election. The findings revealed that All Progressive Congress
(APC) and People’s Democratic Party (PDP) logos were easily described by most
adult Nigerians (82 percent each) across the country. This is followed by 40
percent of the respondents who properly described the Labour Party’s logo and
29 percent for All Progressives Grand Alliance (APGA) while 24 percent
described the party logo of the New Nigeria People’s Party (NNPP) amongst all
other party logos.
Subsequently, the poll assessed
awareness of adult Nigerians on the 18 candidates vying for the Presidential
position. Findings revealed that the top five (5) popular candidates in the
February 25th presidential election in Nigeria are Bola Ahmed
Tinubu of the APC (93 percent), Atiku Abubakar of the PDP (91 percent), Peter
Obi of LP (87 percent), Rabiu Kwankwaso of the NNPP (66 percent) and Hamza Al
Mustapha of AA (35 percent) amongst other Presidential candidates.
The poll result also revealed most
adult Nigerians nationwide (67 percent) suggest it should be compulsory for a
presidential candidate to attend a debate or town hall meeting. This
assertion cuts across gender, geographical location, and age-group with a
minimum representation of 61 percent. On the other hand, 30 percent think
otherwise while 3 percent did not respond to the question.
When respondents were asked of
their opinion on penalty should a candidate fail to attend a debate or town
hall meeting, the poll revealed 41 percent of adult Nigerians nationwide
recommended that the candidate should be penalized while 55 percent responded
negatively.
Conclusion The poll findings have shown that
not all electorates are aware of the political party logo that they support
in the February 25th, 2023, general election. On the other hand,
the poll revealed that the name of the candidates resonates more with the
electorates than the party logo of the candidate. For instance, the top 3
candidates mentioned by Nigerians in terms of popularity for the Presidential
position are Bola Tinubu, (93 percent), Atiku Abubakar (91 percent) and Peter
Obi (87 percent) respectively. Therefore, given that it is only party logo
that are printed in the ballot paper, it would be advised that political parties
in future carry out enough awareness on their party logo during meetings,
rallies, and campaigns. Finally, it is advised that debates
be considered as an aspect of the electioneering process as advocated by 67
percent of adult Nigerians who think it should be compulsory for a
Presidential candidate to attend a debate or town hall meeting. This will
give Voters the opportunity to make side-by-side comparisons and give
candidates a chance to say why they are best suited for the elected office
they intend to vie for. 21 February 2023 Source:
https://noi-polls.com/apc-pdp-and-lp-top-three-political-party-logo-nigerians-properly-recognize/ WEST EUROPE
783-43-03/Polls Rishi
Sunak Registers Lowest Favourability Scores As Prime Minister
Favourability of
politicians A similar number of the public are
favourable towards Boris Johnson as Rishi Sunak (28% vs 27%). However, with
52% unfavourable to the former PM, his overall net favourability rating is
lower at -24.
Looking at specifically at their
own voters, Boris Johnson is seen slightly more favourably than Rishi Sunak.
More than half of 2019 Conservative voters are favourable to Johnson (55%)
while 49% say the same for Sunak. Overall, among 2019 Conservative voters,
Johnson scores +29 while Sunak scores +23. However, Johnson’s lead owes
more to falling ratings for Mr Sunak rather than improving ratings for the
former PM. Liz Truss sees the worst
favourability rating of the politicians on our list with the public overall.
Only 1 in 10 (9%) are favourable and 71% unfavourable meaning she has a net
score of -62, significantly lower than other politicians such as Jeremy
Corbyn (-36), Suella Braverman (-33), Jeremy Hunt (-28) and Theresa May
(-27%). Favourability
towards parties With a net score of+2, the Labour
Party appears the most popular political party currently, 38% have a
favourable opinion of the Opposition party (+3 pts from Jan) while 36% are
unfavourable (no change). With 28% positive towards the Green Party (+5 pts)
and 30% negative (-2), they see a net score of -2. The Conservatives see the
lowest score with -29, 25% are favourable towards them (unchanged) while 54%
are unfavourable (+3). The Liberal Democrats see a score of -17 while Reform
UK (new to our list) score -24. However, many are neutral or do not
have an opinion of each.
Brexit and
direction of country The public are increasingly
negative about the impact of Brexit over time. Now, 55% of Britons say the
UK’s decision to leave the European has had a negative impact on the country,
the fourth straight month we have recorded numbers over half. Only 1 in 5
(21%) believe Brexit has had a positive impact while a similar proportion say
it has made no difference (18%). If we subtract the proportion
saying Brexit has had a negative impact from the proportion saying positive
the result is a net positivity score of -34. This continues to be the lowest
we have recorded on Brexit, since we started asking this question in January
2020.
In line with this, we see 6 in 10
now believe the country is heading in the wrong direction (60%), remaining
stable since January (61%).
Keiran Pedley, at
Ipsos, said: When Rishi Sunak
became Prime Minister it was notable that his personal poll ratings were
significantly better than those of his party. This increasingly no longer
appears to be the case amidst public pessimism about the direction of the
country. Our polling shows strong public concern about the cost of living and
public services, whilst Brexit is being viewed more negatively over time as
well. The Prime Minister will hope he is able to seize the political agenda
in the coming weeks and months if he is to have any chance of turning his
fortunes around. 22
February 2023 Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/rishi-sunak-registers-lowest-favourability-scores-prime-minister
783-43-04/Polls Only
A Third Of The Public Think The NHS Is Providing A Good Service Nationally,
Yet Support For The Founding Principles Remains Strong
The Health Foundation has partnered with Ipsos to deliver
a 2-year programme of research into public expectations and perceptions of
health and social care. Every 6 months, we poll a representative sample of
the UK public using the UK KnowledgePanel – Ipsos’ random probability online
panel. The findings from the third survey show:
23
February 2023
783-43-05/Polls The
Majority Of Britons Have Been Bullied – And It Had A Significant Impact On
Most
Schools and
workplaces are at the centre of most of Britain’s bullying
Those who experienced bullying as a
child are most likely to say it happened repeatedly: 42% say it happened many
times while a further 38% say it happened on several occasions. Only 17% say
it only happened once or twice. Bullying as an adult seems to have
been less sustained: a lower figure of 23% of victims say it happened many
times. Around half say they were subjected to bullying several times (47%),
while 28% say it happened only once or twice. Majority of
bullied Britons say being targeted by bullies had a significant impact on
their life Three-quarters of people who were
bullied as an adult say the experience impacted their life a great deal (35%)
or a fair amount (39%). In comparison, one in five of those
bullied as children (20%) say it had a great deal of impact while 37% say it
had a fair amount of impact on their life. Just 4% of Britons targeted by
bullies in adulthood say it had no impact on their life, while one in ten
(10%) of those bullied as children say the same.
Classmates blamed
by most of those bullied as children Nearly nine in ten (87%) of those
who were bullied in childhood say they were bullied by a classmate, with
friends (15%) and teachers (13%) also among the culprits cited. And a significant proportion of
those Britons say they were targeted by members of their own family,
including 12% who were bullied by a parent, 11% by a sibling and 5% by
another family member.
One in five
bullied adults say they were targeted by their partner A significant proportion of Britons
bullied as an adult say they have suffered at the hands of those who arguably
should love them the most – their spouse or partner. One in five (20%) report being
bullied by a partner, while 16% have been bullied by other family members,
including 8% who say they were bullied by a parent and 6% who were bullied by
a sibling. However, the most likely source of
bullying in adulthood is the workplace – more than half of those bullied as
adults (56%) say they have been bullied by a boss or manager and 47% by a
colleague.
Most Britons
bullied as children were physically attacked Around six in ten Britons (58%)
bullied in childhood say their bully physically attacked them, including 11%
who say they were attacked “many times”. Men are more likely than women to
have been physically set upon by their childhood bully, at 68% to 48%. But when it comes to bullying in
adulthood, the gender gap narrows – 21% of those who say they were bullied as
an adult report being attacked at least once or twice, including 19% of men
and 23% of women.
Those who were bullied in adulthood
are more likely to describe the worst bullying they were subjected to as
severe, with 71% of bullied adults saying it was compared to 49% of Britons
bullied in childhood.
Internet brings
shift in the nature of bullying for young people The nature of bullying has shifted
since the advent of the internet, with 42% of 18 to 24-year-olds who were
bullied as a child saying at least some of the bullying they experienced took
place online – although almost all say they were also bullied in person. One in six Britons (18%) who have
experienced bullying as an adult say at least part of it happened online.
February
23, 2023
783-43-06/Polls Only
5% Of Britons Are Giving Anything Up For Lent 2023
Chocolate and
sweets most commonly given up by those marking the tradition
Chocolate and
sweets most likely to be given up for Lent Half of those marking the occasion
(50%) say they have temporarily given up eating chocolate and sweets, while
17% have put pub-going and booze drinking on a temporary hiatus.
February
24, 2023
783-43-07/Polls Energy
Renovation: More Than Half Of Owners Are Considering Taking Steps, But There
Are Still Many Obstacles
A context marked
by the growing weight of housing in household budgets… Inflation, the increase in the
share of housing in the household budget and the context of tensions on the
energy market that we have been experiencing for months have undoubtedly
contributed to placing this problem at the heart of French life. ,
even more than was the case before: now, every expense counts, and everything
that can be done to relieve an overly constrained budget is considered.
Energy renovation,
a subject that concerns the French Four out of five
French people have heard of the renovation of old dwellings, a
very substantial proportion for a subject that at first glance might be
considered quite "technical" (for comparison: slightly more than
half of French people have heard of the Climate Resilience Law) And 55% of them feel personally concerned by the energy renovation of
housing. This high figure can be explained in particular
because nearly a third of French
people feel that they live in a thermal colander (29%), a
figure roughly equivalent to the proportion of landlords (33%) who think of
renting colanders thermal. More than half of
landlords and landlords are considering formalities The proportion of French people who
are considering eco-renovation approaches is substantial:
For the French who are considering
the eco-renovation of the housing they own, it is:
Their general knowledge of the
subject and its issues is relatively good:
Two types of
obstacles to energy renovation Financial
obstacles, due to amounts to be committed deemed too high There is a difficulty in finding
the financing necessary for energy renovation: half of French people who do not plan to
eco-renovate their home invoke the fact that the budget to be mobilized is
too large for their finances (46% first, 52% overall). A sign of the importance of the
problem of financing in the transition to the act of renovation, their own bank is the second interlocutor to whom
the French turn most spontaneously to undertake the
procedures and manage the works (19% first, 45% in total), behind the France
Rénov site (44% first, 58% in total). The practical
obstacles, the French experiencing difficulties on how to undertake these
renovations 26% of French people thus cite this
type of obstacle as a priority as a hindrance to renovation: 13% say they do not know by whom and how to get
support (33% of responses in total), 6% do not know how to identify serious companies and
are afraid of scams (31% in total) and finally 7% consider the help too complicated, too numerous
and not clear enough (40% of quotes in total). In addition, State aid is considered by the vast majority to be
illegible: if there are many people who feel concerned and ready
to act, the passage to action is hampered by a lack of legibility of State
aid: 69% of French people think that
it is not easy to find their way around (including 40% not at
all easy). A figure that sums up the extent of the simplification
efforts still to be made by the public authorities. Similar obstacles
within condominiums Quite logically, and because of
these major difficulties raised - informational, financial and logistical
-, the proportion of French people
judging that in their co-ownership, the co-owners are in favor of a complete
eco-renovation of the co-ownership only amounts to 38%. . All of the difficulties encountered
in the context of eco-renovation constitute an opportunity for a trusted
third party such as the trustee, who
is currently only identified by one owner in four as a door to entered to
undertake an eco-renovation approach (23%). The inability of co-owners to
achieve a clear majority in favor of overall eco-renovation work on
co-ownerships is responsible for a large part of the wait-and-see attitude in
this area. At Nexity, we observe that on average 8% of renovation
projects are blocked for lack of a majority vote according to the current
rules. One of the possible solutions would be to change the voting rules
in this area, moving from an absolute majority to a majority of those present
(simple majority).
A real risk of
resignation Owners who plan to
sell because they cannot renovate Financial concerns, the difficulty
of finding one's way in state aid, and the difficulties of obtaining
majorities within condominiums no doubt explain why a large proportion of
owners say they are ready to put their thermal sieve up for sale (rather than
renovating it at great expense):
And tenants who
mostly accept a de facto situation Asked about their intentions:
February
23, 2023
783-43-08/Polls Desire
To Migrate In Ukraine Hits Record Low
Gallup collected these data Sept.
2-11 among Ukrainians who currently reside in Ukraine, including those who
had been internally displaced to other areas within their country by the war. The survey represents views across
Ukraine, including the four occupied regions in the country's south and east,
where Russia launched referendums on Sept. 23 to annex them and later
declared martial law. Notably, before either of these developments, desire to
migrate was only marginally higher in the country’s east (12%) and west
(12%). Desire to Leave at
Record Lows Among Ukrainians From All Walks of Life Desire dropped precipitously across
most demographics of Ukrainians in 2022. The largest declines were evident
among younger Ukrainians -- who in past surveys have usually been the most
likely to want to leave. Before the war, nearly half of Ukrainians (45%)
younger than age 50 expressed a desire to leave their country for good, but
by last fall, these figures had dropped to just 13%.
Shortly after the war began,
Ukraine banned men of fighting age -- those between the ages of 18 and 60 --
from leaving the country. This ban may have factored into the drop in men’s
desire to leave, which declined from 38% in 2021 to 13% in 2022. However,
women’s desire to migrate dropped just as much, falling from 32% to 6% within
the same period. Canada, U.S. and
Poland Top Desired Destinations for Those Who Want to Move Shortly after Russia invaded,
millions of Ukrainians -- mostly women and children -- began fleeing Ukraine
for other countries, including
bordering countries to the west. Although several million returned
home within months, in October 2022, the United Nations estimated 7.6 million
Ukrainian refugees were still spread across Europe, including nearly 3
million in Russia. Although relatively few Ukrainians
desire to move, if they do, they are most likely to name Canada (19%), the
U.S. (16%) and Poland (16%) -- which has taken in more Ukrainian refugees
than any other country -- as their most desired place to move. In a departure
from years past, no potential migrants in Ukraine named Russia or Belarus as
a desired destination. Bottom Line Despite the stream of refugees who
left Ukraine in the months after the war broke out, few Ukrainians
interviewed in Ukraine late last year were interested in making a permanent
move to another country. Even if everyone who left and did not return to
Ukraine were people who wanted to migrate previously, it would still not
account for the 26-percentage-point drop in Ukrainians’ desire to migrate in
2022. Instead, this lack of interest may reflect a heightened sense of
patriotism among Ukrainians with their country at war and a reluctance to
move. Still, even as Ukrainians
have rallied
around their institutions and remained committed
to victory, surveys in Ukraine later this year will show how much
the protracted conflict has tested their resolve. FEBRUARY
24, 2023 Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/471119/desire-migrate-ukraine-hits-record-low.aspx NORTH
AMERICA
783-43-09/Polls 60%
Of Americans Would Be Uncomfortable With Provider Relying On AI In Their Own
Health Care
A new Pew Research Center
survey explores public views on artificial intelligence (AI) in health and medicine –
an area where Americans may increasingly encounter technologies
that do things like screen for skin cancer and even monitor a patient’s vital
signs.
The survey finds that on a personal level, there’s significant
discomfort among Americans with the idea of AI being used in their own health
care. Six-in-ten U.S. adults say they would feel uncomfortable if their own health
care provider relied on artificial intelligence to do things like diagnose
disease and recommend treatments; a significantly smaller share (39%) say
they would feel comfortable with this. One factor in these views: A majority of the public is unconvinced that
the use of AI in health and medicine would improve health outcomes. The Pew Research Center survey, conducted Dec. 12-18,
2022, of 11,004 U.S. adults finds only 38% say AI being used to do things
like diagnose disease and recommend treatments would lead to better health
outcomes for patients generally, while 33% say it would lead to worse
outcomes and 27% say it wouldn’t make much difference. These findings come as public attitudes toward AI continue to take
shape, amid the ongoing adoption of AI technologies across industries and the
accompanying national conversation about the benefits and risks that AI
applications present for society. Read recent Center analyses for more on
public awareness of AI
in daily life and
perceptions of how much advancement emerging
AI applications represent for their fields. Asked in more detail about how the use of artificial intelligence would
impact health and medicine, Americans identify a mix of both positives and
negatives. On the positive side, a larger share of Americans think the use of AI
in health and medicine would reduce rather than increase the number of
mistakes made by health care providers (40% vs. 27%). And among the majority of Americans who see a problem with racial and
ethnic bias in health care, a much larger share say the problem of bias and
unfair treatment would get better (51%) than worse (15%) if AI was used more
to do things like diagnose disease and recommend treatments for patients. But there is wide concern about AI’s potential impact on the personal
connection between a patient and health care provider: 57% say the use of
artificial intelligence to do things like diagnose disease and recommend
treatments would make the patient-provider relationship worse. Only 13% say
it would be better. The security of health records is also a source of some concern for
Americans: 37% think using AI in health and medicine would make the security
of patients’ records worse, compared with 22% who think it would improve
security.
Though Americans can identify a mix of pros and cons regarding the use
of AI in health and medicine, caution remains a dominant theme in public
views. When it comes to the pace of technological adoption, three-quarters of
Americans say their greater concern is that health care providers will move
too fast implementing AI in health and medicine before fully understanding
the risks for patients; far fewer (23%) say they are more concerned that
providers will move too slowly, missing opportunities to improve patients’
health. Concern over the pace of AI adoption in health care is widely shared
across groups in the public, including those who are the most familiar with
artificial intelligence technologies. Younger adults, men, those with higher levels of education are more
open to the use of AI in their own health care
There is more openness to the use of AI in a person’s own health care
among some demographic groups, but discomfort remains the predominant
sentiment. Among men, 46% say they would be comfortable with the use of AI in
their own health care to do things like diagnose disease and recommend
treatments, while 54% say they would be uncomfortable with this. Women
express even more negative views: 66% say they would be uncomfortable with
their provider relying on AI in their own care. Those with higher levels of education and income, as well as younger
adults, are more open to AI in their own health care than other groups.
Still, in all cases, about half or more express discomfort with their own
health care provider relying on AI. Among those who say they have heard a lot about artificial
intelligence, 50% are comfortable with the use of AI in their own health
care; an equal share say they are uncomfortable with this. By comparison,
majorities of those who have heard a little (63%) or nothing at all (70%)
about AI say they would be uncomfortable with their own health care provider
using AI. At this stage of development, a modest share of Americans see AI
delivering improvements for patient outcomes. Overall, 38% think that AI in
health and medicine would lead to better overall outcomes for patients.
Slightly fewer (33%) think it would lead to worse outcomes and 27% think it
would not have much effect.
Men, younger adults, and those with higher levels of education are more
positive about the impact of AI on patient outcomes than other groups,
consistent with the patterns seen in personal comfort with AI in health care.
For instance, 50% of those with a postgraduate degree think the use of AI to
do things like diagnose disease and recommend treatments would lead to better
health outcomes for patients; significantly fewer (26%) think it would lead
to worse outcomes. Americans who have heard a lot about AI are also more optimistic about
the impact of AI in health and medicine for patient outcomes than those who
are less familiar with artificial intelligence technology. Four-in-ten Americans think AI in health and medicine would reduce the
number of mistakes, though a majority say patient-provider relationships
would suffer Americans anticipate a range of positive and negative effects from the
use of AI in health and medicine.
The public is generally optimistic about the potential impact of AI on
medical errors. Four-in-ten Americans say AI would reduce the number of
mistakes made by health care providers, while 27% think the use of AI would lead
to more mistakes and 31% say there would not be much difference. Many also see potential downsides from the use of AI in health and
medicine. A greater share of Americans say that the use of AI would make the
security of patients’ health records worse (37%) than better (22%). And 57%
of Americans expect a patient’s personal relationship with their health care
provider to deteriorate with the use of AI in health care settings. The public is divided on the question of how it would impact the
quality of care: 31% think using AI in health and medicine would make care
for people like themselves better, while about as many (30%) say it would
make care worse and 38% say it wouldn’t make much difference. Americans who are concerned about bias based on race and ethnicity in
health and medicine are more optimistic than pessimistic about AI’s potential
impact on the issue
When it comes to bias and unfair treatment in health and medicine based
on a patient’s race or ethnicity, a majority of Americans say this is a major
(35%) or minor (35%) problem; 28% say racial and ethnic bias is not a problem
in health and medicine. There are longstanding efforts by the federal
government and across
the health
and medical care sectors to
address racial and ethnic inequities in access to care and in health
outcomes. Black adults are especially likely to say that bias based on a
patient’s race or ethnicity is a major problem
in health and medicine (64%). About four-in-ten Hispanic (42%) and
English-speaking Asian adults (39%) also say this. A smaller share of White
adults (27%) describe bias and unfair treatment related to a patient’s race
or ethnicity as a major problem in health and medicine.
On balance, those who see bias based on race or ethnicity as a problem
in health and medicine think AI has potential to improve the situation. About
half (51%) of those who see a problem think the increased use of AI in health
care would help reduce bias and unfair treatment, compared with 15% who say
the use of AI would make bias and unfair treatment worse. A third say the
problem would stay about the same. Among those who see a problem with bias in health and medicine, larger
shares think the use of AI would make this issue better than worse among
White (54% vs. 12%, respectively), Hispanic (50% vs. 19%) and
English-speaking Asian (58% vs. 15%) adults. Views among Black adults also
lean in a more positive than negative direction, but by a smaller margin (40%
vs. 25%). Note that for Asian adults, the Center estimates are representative of
English speakers only. Asian adults with higher levels of English language
proficiency tend to have higher levels of education
and family income than
Asian adults in the U.S. with lower levels of English language proficiency.
Asked for more details on their views about the impact of AI on bias in
health and medicine, those who think it would improve the situation often
explain their view by describing AI as more objective or dispassionate than
humans. For instance, 36% say AI would improve racial and ethnic bias in
medicine because it is more neutral and consistent than people and human
prejudice is not involved. Another 28% explain their view by expressing the
sense that AI is not biased toward a patient’s characteristics. Examples of
this sentiment include respondents who say AI would be blind to a patient’s
race or ethnicity and would not be biased toward their overall appearance. Among those who think that the problem of bias in health and medicine
would stay about the same with the use of AI, 28% say the main reason for
this is because the people who design and train AI, or the data AI uses, are
still biased. About one-in-ten (8%) in this group say that AI would not
change the issue of bias because a human care provider would be primarily
treating people even if AI was adopted, so no change would be expected. Among those who believe AI will make bias and unfair treatment based on
a patient’s race or ethnicity worse, 28% explain their viewpoint by saying
things like AI reflects human bias or that the data AI is trained on can
reflect bias. Another reason given by 10% of this group is that AI would make
the problem worse because human judgment is needed in medicine. These
responses emphasized the importance of personalized care offered by providers
and expressed the view that AI would not be able to replace this aspect of
health care. Americans’ views on AI applications used in cancer screening, surgery
and mental health support The Center survey explores views on four specific applications of AI in
health and medical care that are in use today or being developed for
widespread use: AI-based tools for skin cancer screening; AI-driven robots
that can perform parts of surgery; AI-based recommendations for pain
management following surgery; and AI chatbots designed to support a person’s
mental health. Public awareness of AI in health and medicine is still in the process
of developing, yet even at this early stage, Americans make distinctions
between the types of applications they are more and less open to. For
instance, majorities say they would want AI-based skin cancer detection used
in their own care and think this technology would improve the accuracy of
diagnoses. By contrast, large shares of Americans say they would not want any
of the three other AI-driven applications used in their own care. For more on how Americans view the impact of these four developments
read, “How
Americans view emerging uses of artificial intelligence, including programs
to generate text or art.” AI-based skin cancer screening AI used for skin cancer detection can scan images of people’s skin and
flag areas that may be skin cancer for testing.
Nearly two-thirds of U.S. adults (65%) say that they would definitely
or probably want AI to be used for their own skin cancer screening.
Consistent with this view, about half (55%) believe that AI would make skin
cancer diagnoses more accurate. Only 13% believe it would lead to less
accurate diagnoses, while 30% think it wouldn’t make much difference. On the whole, Americans who are aware of this AI application view it as
an advance for medical care: 52% describe it as a major advance while 27%
call it a minor advance. Very few (7%) say it is not an advance for medical
care.
Majorities of most major demographic groups say they would want AI to
be used in their own screening for skin cancer, with men, younger adults, and
those with higher education levels particularly enthused. A larger majority of men (72%) than women (58%) say they would want AI
to be used in their screening for skin cancer. Black adults (57%) are somewhat less likely than White (65%) and
Hispanic (69%) adults to say they would want AI used for skin cancer
screening. Experts have raised questions
about the accuracy of
AI-based skin cancer systems for darker skin tones. Younger adults are more open to using this form of AI than older
adults, and those with a college degree are more likely to say they would
want this than those without a college degree. In addition, those who have heard at least a little about the use of AI
in skin cancer screening are more likely than those who have heard nothing at
all to say they would want this tool used in their own care (75% vs. 62%). AI for pain management recommendations AI is being used to help physicians prescribe
pain medication. AI-based
pain management systems are designed to minimize the chances of patients
becoming addicted to or abusing medications; they use machine learning models
to predict things like which patients are at high risk for severe pain and
which patients could benefit from pain management techniques that do not
involve opioids.
Asked to consider their own preferences for treatment of pain following
surgery, 31% of Americans say they would want this kind of AI guiding their
pain management treatment while two-thirds (67%) say they would not. This reluctance is in line with people’s beliefs about the effect of
AI-based pain management recommendations. About a quarter (26%) of U.S.
adults say that pain treatment would get better with AI, while a majority say
either that this would make little difference (40%) or lead to worse pain care
(32%). Among those who say they’ve heard at least a little about this use of
AI, fewer than half (30%) see it as a major advance for medical care, while
another 37% call it a minor advance. By comparison, larger shares of those
aware of AI-based skin cancer detection and AI-driven robots in surgery view
these applications as major advances for medical care.
Those with some familiarity with AI-based pain management systems are
more open to using AI in their own care plan. Of those who say they have
heard at least a little about this, 47% say they would want AI-based
recommendations used in their post-op pain treatment, compared with 51% who
say they would not want this. By comparison, a large majority (72%) of those
not familiar with this technology prior to the survey say they would not want
this. Demographic differences on this question are generally modest, with
majorities of most groups saying they would not want AI to help decide their pain treatment
program following a surgery. Performing surgery with AI-driven robots AI-driven robots are in development that could complete surgical
procedures on their own, with full autonomy from human surgeons. These
AI-based surgical robots are being tested to perform parts
of complex surgical procedures and are expected to increase the precision and consistency of the
surgical operation. Americans are cautious toward the idea of surgical robots used in their
own care: Four-in-ten say they would want AI-based robotics for their own
surgery, compared with 59% who say they would not want this.
Still, Americans with at least some awareness of these AI-based
surgical robots are, by and large, convinced they represent an advance for
medical science: 56% of this group says it is a major advance and another 22%
calls it a minor advance. (For more on how Americans view advances in
artificial intelligence, read “How
Americans view emerging uses of artificial intelligence, including programs
to generate text or art.”)
Public familiarity with the idea of AI-based surgical robots is higher than
for the three other health and medical applications included on the survey;
59% say they have heard at least a little about this development.
As with other AI applications included in the survey, those unfamiliar
with AI-driven robots in surgery are especially likely to say they would not
want them used in their own care (74% say this). Those who have heard of this
use of AI before are evenly divided: 50% say they would want AI-driven robots
to be used in their surgery, while 49% say they wouldn’t want this. Across demographic groups, men are more inclined than women to say they
would want an AI-based robot for their own surgery (47% vs. 33%). And those
with higher levels of education are more open to this technology than those
with lower levels of education. There is little difference between the views of older and younger
adults on this: Majorities across age groups say they would not want an AI-based robot for their
own surgery. This contrasts with preferences about other uses of AI in
medical care in which younger adults are more likely than older adults to say
they would want AI applications for skin cancer screening or pain management. AI chatbots designed to support mental health Chatbots aimed at supporting
mental health use AI
to offer mindfulness check-ins and “automated conversations” that may
supplement or potentially provide an alternative to counseling or therapy
offered by licensed health care professionals. Several chatbot platforms are
available today. Some are touted as ways to support mental health wellness
that are available on-demand and may appeal to those reluctant to seek
in-person support or to those looking for more affordable options.
Public reactions to the idea of using an AI chatbot for mental health
support are decidedly negative. About eight-in-ten U.S. adults (79%) say they
would not want to use an AI chatbot if they were seeking mental health
support; far fewer (20%) say they would want this. In a further sign of caution toward AI chatbots for mental health
support, 46% of U.S. adults say these AI chatbots should only be used by
people who are also seeing a therapist; another 28% say they should not be
available to people at all. Just 23% of Americans say that such chatbots
should be available to people regardless of whether they are also seeing a
therapist. Large majorities of U.S. adults across demographic and educational
groups lean away from using an AI chatbot for their own mental health
support. Read the Appendix for details.
Even among Americans who say they have heard about these chatbots prior
to the survey, 71% say they would not want to use one for their own mental
health support. And among those who have heard about these AI chatbots, relatively few
(19%) consider these to be a major advance for mental health support; 36%
call them a minor advance, while 25% say they are not an advance at all.
Public opinion on this use of AI, as with many others, is still developing:
19% of those familiar with mental health chatbots say they’re not sure if
this application of AI represents an advance for mental health support. FEBRUARY 22, 2023
783-43-10/Polls Americans
Largely Satisfied With Their Personal Life
Personal
Satisfaction Matches Average Since 1979 Americans’ satisfaction with their
overall personal life has ranged from 73% to 90% in Gallup’s periodic
measures since 1979. The record
high was measured in 2020, two months before the COVID-19
pandemic swept across the U.S. It was short-lived, however, as the
reading fell
to 82% in 2021. Last year, it edged
up to 85%. The low point in personal satisfaction
came in the summer of 1979 during the energy crisis. Personal satisfaction
was also below 80% during challenging economic times in the early 1980s,
early 1990s and the years after the Great Recession.
Gallup has asked a follow-up
question in most years since 2001 about the degree to which Americans are
satisfied with their personal life. In a Jan. 2-22 Gallup survey, 50% of U.S.
adults say they are very satisfied,
in line with the previous two years’ 51% readings but well below the 65% high
from 2020. The only times Gallup found a smaller share of Americans very
satisfied with their life were in December 2008, during the global economic
crisis, and in 2011, as the country was still recovering from the 2007-2009
recession.
Satisfaction
Highest for Family Life, Housing; Lowest for Household Income Gallup also measures U.S. adults’
degrees of satisfaction and dissatisfaction with the nine specific life
aspects. Majorities of Americans are very satisfied with four of the
elements, including their family life (66%), current housing (63%), education
(53%) and community as a place to live (51%). In addition, a majority of
employed Americans are very satisfied with their work (54%). Fewer express such high
satisfaction with the remaining four life elements -- the amount of leisure
time they have (43%), their personal health (41%), their standard of living
(37%) and their household income (30%). However, taking the percentages who
are “somewhat satisfied” into account, no fewer than 71% of Americans are satisfied
with any of these aspects.
Americans’ levels of high
satisfaction are lower than they were in the
2019 poll on all but two of the life aspects -- housing and
amount of leisure time, for which the readings differ by just one percentage
point. The aspects with the greatest declines in the percentage of U.S.
adults saying they are very satisfied are personal health (-13 points),
family life (-10), community as a place to live (-10), standard of living
(-9) and household income (-6). Among U.S. employees, high satisfaction with
their job has declined by eight points.
Satisfaction with many of the life
aspects was also measured in a 1995 survey, but the results are not
comparable because of differences in the content of the two surveys. Income, Age,
Marital Status, Education Affect Life Satisfaction Income has more of an effect than
any other major demographic factor on Americans’ satisfaction with their
personal life and with most specific life aspects. Those with a higher
household income are more likely than lower-income adults to say they are
very satisfied with all measures except for the amount of leisure time they
have. The biggest differences between these two groups’ satisfaction levels
are seen in household income, standard of living and housing.
Americans’ satisfaction with their
personal life overall and with the specific aspects also differs by other demographic
factors, including age, marital status and college education. By age:
By marital status:
By education level:
Bottom Line Even as the American public
is largely
dissatisfied with the way things are going in the U.S., they
are broadly satisfied with the direction their personal life is taking.
Still, they are now slightly less satisfied with their overall personal life
than they were in the few years before the COVID-19 pandemic. While
satisfaction in the immediate pre-pandemic years was high for the trend,
current attitudes match the historical average. Americans’ latest depressed
satisfaction with their household income and standard of living likely
reflects the toll
inflation has taken over the past year. The pandemic also may
have affected people’s physical
or mental health, their job and
their family life. FEBRUARY
23, 2023 Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/470888/americans-largely-satisfied-personal-life.aspx
783-43-11/Polls 48%
Of Americans Played A Sport In 2022
Latest Polling on
Sports Fandom
A slim majority of Americans,
particularly Black Americans, support allowing college athletes to profit off
their name, image, and likeness (NIL).
More data here. Latest Polling on
Sports Betting Ipsos explores American attitudes and behavior toward sports betting, showing few
Americans bet on sports as the country remains split on legalizing sports
betting.
To see more,
download the data here.
To see more,
download the data here. Ipsos Point of
View: Sports in America New Ipsos research explores what sports and
sports fandom looks like in America today and how controversies in sports can
reflect a broader political and social divide in American society, finding
that not all Americans have access to activities.
To learn
more, download the report here. Policymakers invested in getting
more Americans active and executives interested in advertising,
communicating, or building business in any sector touching the world of sports need to understand
that while these are fun and games, many critical differences exist in the
public that may be the difference between success and failure.
Ipsos Point of
View: Sports betting is everywhere. How do Americans feel about it? While only one in three Americans
feel that sports betting is a way to get people more engaged with
sports, 69% of sports bettors feel the
same. Compared to the general public, they are more likely to
self-describe as sports fans, play fantasy sports, go to live sporting
events, and watch more niche types of sports, like esports.
To learn
more about the data behind sports betting, download the full report here. People who don’t bet on sports
don’t do so because of four broad reasons: money concerns, lack of knowledge,
moral opposition, or it’s just illegal where they live.
22
February 2023 Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/sports-0
783-43-12/Polls American
Health In Polarizing Times
This week we released our
first Axios-Ipsos American Health Index, which builds off of our Axios-Ipsos Coronavirus Index and expands into some of the biggest
worries Americans have around healthcare, behaviors surrounding health and
wellness, and what policies the public supports. Between March 2020 and now, a
lot has changed. COVID isn’t the top concern for people anymore,
as other perennial issues in the American health landscape, like healthcare
costs and drug overdoses, rise to the fore. What has stayed the same? In short,
partisanship. The political divide and the different realities partisans live
in continue to color views for many Americans. This week we break down Americans’
experiences with health and healthcare in five charts below.
Healthcare is
a worry for many Americans, occupying a good portion of ;President Biden’s
State of the Union address a few weeks ago. But Democrats and Republicans tell
different stories about the last three years. And that changes how they view
the present. Partisans don’t see eye-to-eye on the healthcare issues facing
the country or their communities, which puts constraints on exactly who and
how people can communicate around these issues. It’s another story of a
nation divided. 24
February 2023 Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/american-health-polarizing-times
783-43-13/Polls Inflation
Taking Disproportionate Toll On Canadians Aged 18-34, Impacting Confidence In
Their Financial Future
Canadians aged 18-34 are being
disproportionately impacted by inflation and it is impacting confidence in
their financial future, according to the 32nd annual RBC
Financial Independence poll conducted by Ipsos. Thinking about what is preventing
them from saving more than they currently do, low incomes (46%) fixed
expenses that are too high (35%), and unexpected expenses (27%) are among the
primary culprits for young adults. One half (52%) of those aged 18-34
admit that they were unprepared (15% not at all prepared/37% not very) to
deal with the current inflation rates. By comparison, only one in three (33%)
Canadians aged 55+ say they were not prepared (9% not at all/23% not very).
Reflecting on the reasons for their lack of preparedness, younger Canadians
say they just never experienced high inflation before (47%), that they didn’t
anticipate how it would affect their ability to pay for basic needs (43%), or
their ability to save/invest for the future (32%). One in three (34%) young
adults say they were already living paycheque to paycheque. The challenging economic situation
has caused many to pay closer attention to their own finances. Among the
areas where younger Canadians are increasing their focus include their
day-to-day living expenses (62%, up 14 points from last year), managing their
debt (34%, up 7 points), and monitoring the value of their investments (25%,
up 5 points). Many 18-34 year-olds are also
taking the opportunity to set financial priorities, as three in ten (30%)
indicate that building their investment portfolio is a key financial
priority. Among those with this goal, six in ten (62%) intend to put some
money aside whenever they can in order to achieve it. Moreover, nearly half
(47%) agree (8% strongly/39% somewhat) that they are willing to pay fees if
it means a better return on their investments, making them the most likely
age cohort to say so. The data also show that twice as
many younger Canadians are prioritizing a comfortable retirement (41%) to an
early retirement (21%) when setting goals for investing. Among their top
investment goals are building a safety net (45%), building wealth (44%),
achieving financial independence (41%) and providing protection for their
family (35%). However, those aged 18-34 do
acknowledge that there are some barriers to achieving these goals. Nearly
half (44%) admit they are not knowledgeable (11% not at all/34% not very)
about investments and a majority (54%) say they have no financial plan,
whether it be formal or informal. Further, most (77%) have not consulted with
a professional advisor for financial advice within the last year. Many young adults are off on the
right footing. Half (51%) have a TFSA, and 38% have an RRSP, but they do lag
older generations in the ownership of both. If they could choose to put money
into only one type of plan, either an RRSP or a TFSA, half (50%) would choose
the TFSA, while only 25% would opt for the RRSP, and 25% do not know which
option they would choose. 23
February 2023 Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/inflation-taking-disproportionate-toll-canadians-aged-18-34 AUSTRALIA
783-43-14/Polls ANZ-Roy
Morgan Consumer Confidence Recovers Slightly, Up 2.3pts To 80.4
ANZ-Roy Morgan
Consumer Confidence recovered slightly this week, up 2.3pts to 80.4. However,
Consumer Confidence is still a large 21.4pts below the same week a year ago,
February 14-20, 2022 (101.8). Consumer Confidence is now 3.9pts below the
2023 weekly average of 84.3. Current financial
conditions Future financial
conditions
Current economic
conditions
Future economic
conditions
Time to buy a
major household item
ANZ Senior
Economist, Adelaide Timbrell, commented: Consumer
confidence increased last week but remained lower than before the February
RBA cash rate hike. At 80.4, the Consumer Confidence Index was among the
worst ten results in the 150 weeks since the initial COVID outbreak in
Australia. The confidence among those paying off their mortgage is still
lower than the other groups, at 73.8. Average confidence rose for all the
three housing groups during the week, with gains of 1.4pts for people who own
their home outright, 3.1pts for those paying off their mortgage, and 2.6pts
for renters. Household inflation expectations softened to 5.1%, potentially a
lagged response to the rise in interest rates.
February 21, 2023 Source:
https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9170-anz-roy-morgan-consumer-confidence-february-21 MULTICOUNTRY
STUDIES
783-43-15/Polls Arab Public Opinion
Prefers China Over USA 11 Out Of 12 Surveyed Nations Hold That View
This piece is
part of a four-part series published by the Middle East Institute
in cooperation with Arab Barometer analyzing the results of the seventh wave of the Arab Barometer surveys. Apart from Europe and the South
China Sea region, the Middle East and North Africa is one of the epicenters
for what the U.S. has termed “great power competition” especially between the
U.S. and China, although Russia also figures into the assessment. There is
particular sensitivity to China’s perceived economic inroads into the region
as it has surged to become its largest economic partner. Apart from China’s
dependence on imports of Gulf oil to meet its energy needs, China’s Belt and
Road Initiative (BRI) has expanded Beijing’s footprint from Oman in the east
to Morocco in the west. Based on Arab Barometer’s Wave 7 raw favorability numbers, China’s
increased presence in the region appears to have paid dividends in terms of
its popular standing, especially in North Africa. Except for Morocco, where
favorability for the U.S. at 69% is marginally higher than China’s rating at
64%, the U.S. consistently lags behind China in the view of respondents to
the 12-country survey. The favorability gap is particularly notable in
Algeria, where China enjoys a 20-point edge over the U.S. at 67% vs. 47%. One
possible explanation for the broad disparity in favorability ratings for the
U.S. between Morocco and Algeria, of course, is widespread anger in Algeria,
and the converse in Morocco, over the Trump
administration’s December 2020 decision to recognize Moroccan
sovereignty in the Western Sahara. The Arab Barometer seventh wave polling
was undertaken after that decision, between October 2021 and July 2022. But even in Tunisia and Libya,
where the U.S. has focused a great deal of effort in promoting positive
outcomes in their political transitions since the Arab Spring, China is
viewed far more favorably than the U.S. (in Tunisia by 50% vs. 33% and in
Libya by 49% vs. 37%). Skepticism over the U.S. intent in providing foreign
assistance appears to underlie unfavorable views of the U.S. Only 18% of
rural and 15% of urban Tunisians agreed that U.S. assistance is motivated by
a desire to improve people’s lives whereas a plurality of Tunisians (40%
rural and 44% urban) and a majority of Libyans (50% rural and 53% urban)
believe the U.S. uses its foreign assistance to gain influence. By contrast,
pluralities of Libyans (35%) and Tunisians (40%) saw Chinese objectives in
providing foreign assistance as aiding either economic development or
internal stability. One contributing factor in low U.S.
favorability ratings is likely the overhang of negative regional sentiments
toward U.S. policy in the Trump administration. Broad regional attitudes
toward Biden administration policies are notably higher than his
predecessor’s poll results. In Sudan, for example, a majority of Sudanese
(52%) consider Biden administration policies to be good or very good compared
to only 20% who viewed Trump policies in a positive light. In Morocco,
Biden’s approval stands at 46% vs. the 14% who viewed Trump favorably despite
the Western Sahara decision. Even among populations that continue to hold the
U.S. in low esteem, there has been improvement since the Biden administration
came into office. In Tunisia, 23% of those polled think that Biden’s policies
are good or very good as compared to Trump’s 10% while the similar comparison
in Palestine is 11% vs. 6%. In that regard, despite overall improvement in
attitudes toward Biden’s regional policies, the vast majority of Palestinians
clearly see little reason for optimism in U.S. policy toward their issues
since Biden came into office. Biden’s improved numbers also
reflect an uptick in popular perceptions of Biden’s foreign policy as
compared to Chinese President Xi Jinping’s policies. A majority of Sudanese
(52%) see Biden’s policies as good or very good compared to Xi’s 43%. In
Morocco, as well, the public holds generally more favorable attitudes toward
Biden (46%) as opposed to Xi (39%). Elsewhere in the region, including,
surprisingly, in Jordan and Lebanon, U.S. and Chinese policies are seen in
roughly equivalent terms (Jordan: Biden 28%/Xi 26%; Lebanon: Biden 31%/Xi
35%). And Xi is notably more popular with the publics in several countries,
including Algeria (Xi 53%/Biden 35%), Iraq (Xi 48%/Biden 35%), and Tunisia
(Xi 35%/Biden 23%). On economic relations, there is
clearly a region-wide desire to strengthen relations with global partners.
For both the U.S. and China, young people (18-29) generally favor the
economic relationships more than their older fellow citizens (30+). Even in
Tunisia, nearly 60% of young respondents favor closer economic ties to the
U.S, nearly equal to the 65% who would like to see closer economic ties to
China. Overall in the region, even in those countries that are generally
skeptical of ties to the U.S., there is a desire to seek stronger economic
links. In Iraq and Libya, for example, equal numbers of young people want to
strengthen economic ties to the U.S. and China. In several other countries,
including Morocco, Mauritania, and Sudan, young people clearly favored the
U.S. as an economic partner over China. Despite these seemingly solid
favorability numbers overall for the Chinese, however, a public diplomacy
professional in Beijing would clearly see warning signs in some of the Arab
Barometer measures of popular perceptions. In particular, there appears to be
a fairly high degree of ambivalence about their country’s economic relations
with China among the publics as compared to the U.S. Notably, there are
significant minorities in several of the countries, particularly among rural
and less-educated respondents, that would like to see economic links to China
reduced. In Lebanon, for example, 23% of respondents with a maximum secondary
education and a full third of rural respondents preferred to see economic
ties to China loosened. In Iraq, 23% of secondary educated and 21% of rural
respondents advocated for reduced economic relations with China, as well. There are a number of factors that
appear to contribute to the ambivalence about China as an economic partner.
In all of the countries surveyed, often by wide margins, the Chinese are seen
as the country that provides the lowest quality products. In Iraq, for
example, 69% of respondents thought that Chinese products were low quality as
compared to only 8% who thought of U.S. products that way. Similarly, in
Jordan, 64% of survey participants saw China as a producer of low quality
products compared to 7% who viewed U.S. products in that light. In the other
seven countries surveyed, a plurality of respondents all agreed that Chinese
goods were of low quality. Conversely, the U.S. and Germany were seen through
all of the nine countries surveyed as producers of the highest quality
products. Respondents who viewed Chinese products positively ranged from a
low of 8% in Algeria to a high of 18% in Libya. Similarly, Chinese companies were
held in generally low esteem as business partners and employers. For the most
part, respondents in the surveyed countries preferred businesses in either
the U.S. (Lebanon, Mauritania, Sudan) or Germany (Algeria, Libya, Morocco,
Tunisia) as contracting partners. Only in Iraq did the plurality (27%) of
respondents prefer Chinese companies as business partners. Integrity appears
to be a factor in that perception as respondents generally saw U.S. (Iraq,
Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco, Sudan) and German (Algeria, Mauritania, Tunisia)
businesses as least likely to pay bribes while Chinese companies lagged
behind. Likewise, U.S. (Iraq, Jordan, Libya, Mauritania, Morocco, Sudan) and
German (Algeria, Lebanon, Tunisia) businesses were deemed most likely to pay
their local employees top salaries with Chinese companies generally scoring
poorly in that regard. Arab Barometer’s Wave 7 surveys
straddled the outbreak of conflict between Russia and Ukraine, so we will
have to await Wave 8 to determine if Russia’s war of aggression will affect
regional attitudes toward Russia and Vladimir Putin. For the most part, views
of Russia and Putin in Wave 7 were not substantially different from views of
the U.S. and Biden or China and Xi. In fact, in a number of instances, views
of Russia and Putin closely approximated respondent attitudes toward China
and Xi. In Lebanon, Algeria, and Libya respondents rated Russian and Chinese
favorability in nearly identical terms (Lebanon: China-51%/Russia-52%;
Algeria: China-67%/Russia-66%; Libya: China-49%/Russia-49%) while in Iraq and
Tunisia, respondents rated Putin and Xi equally (Iraq: Putin-46%/Xi-48%;
Tunisia: Putin-34%/Xi-35%). Only in Morocco did U.S. favorability
significantly exceed Russia and China (U.S.-69%/China-64%/Russia-38%) while
in Jordan, the U.S. and China were rated equally ahead of Russia
(U.S.-51%/China-51%/Russia-39%). The same holds true as to the personal favorability
estimations for Biden, Putin, and Xi. Only Sudanese and Moroccan respondents
held a significantly more favorable view of Biden (Sudan:
Biden-52%/Xi-43%/Putin-34%; Morocco: Biden-46%/Xi-39%/Putin-26%). The same picture also holds among
the three competitors in economic favorability ratings. Only in Algeria did a
significantly higher number of respondents favor stronger economic ties to
Moscow as compared to the U.S. or China (Russia-55%/China-38%/U.S.-31%). In
Morocco and Sudan, respondents favored stronger ties to the U.S. (Morocco:
U.S.-42%/China-36%/Russia-28%; Sudan: U.S.-58%/China-48%/Russia-45%). Among
the other countries participating, there are few distinctions among the U.S.,
China, and Russia, although China is the preferred partner in Tunisia, Libya,
and Iraq. Trend lines may be somewhat more revealing. After enjoying a
significant rise in economic favorability during the Obama years (Wave 3 and
Wave 4), positive views of U.S. economic ties dropped significantly during
the Trump administration (Wave 5) but have now recovered somewhat in the
latest (Wave 7) survey. By contrast, both China and Russia saw drops in their
economic favorability ratings between Wave 5 and Wave 7, with China
experiencing a precipitate decline in its favorability rating in Jordan,
albeit from an extremely high 70% favorable to a still respectable 50%. Aside
from Tunisia, where its favorability rating essentially flat-lined from Wave
4 to Wave 7, Russia’s favorability has also declined between Wave 5 and Wave
7. A recurring theme in discussions
with interlocutors in the region is that the MENA countries will resist
becoming a battleground in a “great power competition” between the U.S.,
Russia, and China. Although there are clearly differences in how the three
competitors are viewed in the region, it’s also clear that public opinion in
the Arab Barometer Wave 7 survey echoes the views of political leaders that
they seek to maintain positive political and economic relations with all
three. As noted, the potential impact of Russia’s aggression in Ukraine on
MENA popular attitudes remains to be measured. But that variable aside,
unlike the post-World War II Cold War era, these populations will favor
strongly remaining non-combatants in any new cold war. February
21, 2023
783-43-16/Polls Between
Economic And Environmental Concerns, Europeans Are Reinventing Their Mobility
Habits, A Survey In 6 European Nations
Less promiscuity
with strangers, more means of personal transport Changes in mobility habits are
above all triggered by two dimensions: environmental
concerns on the one hand, and cost on the other, in line with
the current concerns of citizens in terms of ecology and inflation. In fact, two-thirds of Europeans
(64%) say they have had to change their mobility habits because of inflation
and the cost of fuel. The same proportion say they have already changed
their daily mobility habits to make them more “green”. Despite everything, the use of the
personal car remains fairly stable: as many motorists use it more often than
less often than before (respectively 16%, the remaining 68% declaring that
their use has remained stable). In the end, the
car is still the majority in Europe: nearly 9 out of
10 Europeans (88%) now own at least one car in their household. A future without
having your own car? Possible for some, impossible for others... 1 in 3 European
motorists (32%) could consider not owning a personal car in the future - however,
only 8% could do so "definitely". However, looking
at specific populations, differences appear in relation to the car: young
Europeans are more inclined to give up their personal car (40% say they could
do so among 18-34 year olds, including 12% "definitely"), and
people living in big cities as well, having access to more mobility
alternatives (35% of big city dwellers might give up owning a personal car,
compared to 31% in smaller towns and areas rural). There are also
differences between countries: more reluctance to give up the car in France
and Belgium, less in Italy and Spain. Ecological awareness already seems
to be very present: half of Europeans (54%) say they have a bad conscience
about the carbon footprint of their car, even if only 15% "totally
agree" with this statement - much higher scores in Portugal and Spain
(75% agree). ...while obstacles
to the adoption of electric vehicles remain Most of the cars currently owned by
Europeans are petrol or diesel engines (a total of 89% of main household
cars), while hybrid cars represent 5% and electric vehicles barely
1%. However, looking at future intentions, there is real potential for
hybrid and electric vehicles: almost a third (31%) of Europeans could
consider buying a hybrid or electric car, and 9% "certainly ". However, significant obstacles remain to accelerate the
adoption of electric vehicles. First of all, the cost: in a
context of inflation and economic crisis, the cost of acquiring the vehicle
is the first obstacle mentioned (cited by 52% of non-intentional EVs), the
costs of maintaining the vehicle appear also (18%). Charging points also represent a
significant barrier (32% of mentions for the difficulties of installing
charging stations at home or their absence in the workplace). Finally,
Europeans are not yet convinced by the autonomy of EVs for long-distance
journeys (30% of mentions). All of Europe soon
by bike? Almost 2 out of 3
Europeans (63%) have at least one bicycle in their household, and almost half
use their bicycle at least once in a while, whether on weekdays or weekends
(46%) . Electric bikes
have already been adopted by 1 in 5 Europeans (20% use
a personal electric bike), especially among 18-34 year olds
(30%). Differences emerge between countries: electric bikes are less
widespread in Spain and Portugal (16% use respectively), while Belgium and
Germany are more advanced in their adoption (respectively 25% and 24%). Scooters continue
to become a habit: 17% of Europeans own at least one
(and even more in France and Spain), with similar ownership rates between
standard scooters (13% of owners) and scooters electric (11%). Young
Europeans are even more scooter enthusiasts than the rest of the population
(28% of owners among 18-34 year olds). The use of micro-mobility devices
and bicycles has intensified since the Covid crisis: a third (33%) of micro-mobility
/ bicycle users have started using them regularly during or since the Covid
crisis. However, disparate situations in
terms of safety and coverage emerge: while two thirds (62%) of users wear a
bicycle/scooter helmet at least occasionally, 38% never wear any
protection. And when asking Europeans about their coverage in the event
of a bicycle/scooter accident, only a third of users are sure that they are
covered by their insurance when using these vehicles, the other two thirds
being unsure or not Covered. In the end, a need for coverage for all modes and uses of
mobility: more than 4 out of 10 Europeans could be interested in mobility
insurance based on the person. This is particularly true
among young people (53% interested among 18-34 year olds), bicycle users
(56%), and scooter users (70%). February
21, 2023
783-43-17/Polls North
American Tracker: Artificial Intelligence (Ai) Tools And Politics
DISCOVER OUR MOST RECENT RESULTS
BELOW! This survey is
conducted in collaboration with the Association for Canadian Studies (ACS)
and published in the Canadian Press. This series of
surveys is available on Leger’s website. ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) TOOLS
CANADIAN POLITICS
AMERICAN POLITICS
February
23rd, 2023 Source: https://blog.legeropinion.com/en/surveys/north-american-tracker-february-15-2023/
783-43-18/Polls Remote
Employees Most Wary Of Job Security, A Survey Across 10 Nations
Global workers are watching as many
corporations struggle in the current economic climate, resulting in layoffs
for many. The global workforce has been under considerable strain since 2020
- first acclimating to the expansion of pandemic-fueled remote work, then
adjusting back to hybrid or reintroduction of return-to-office plans. As
companies, and employees, adjust to modern ways of working, they are also
adjusting to the impacts of a squeeze in the global economy. Kantar conducted research into the
feelings, experiences and behaviours of global workers as they traverse an
evolving workplace. Read on to learn more about how the workforce is
grappling with concerns about their personal job security, and what they’re
doing to combat it. Remote workers and junior staff
consider themselves high risk for layoffs Half of global workers are worried
their companies may need to cut costs and lay-off employees. Remote workers,
however, are more concerned about their personal job security than those who
have returned full-time in-person. Employees who have returned to offices may
feel a greater sense of personal connection with supervisors or upper
management compared to those who may feel more compelled to prove the value of
their work as remote staff. Age and seniority are also
indicators of stress over job safety in a time of economic instability. 69% of Gen-Z are worried about the security of their
roles, compared to 51% of Boomers. Additionally, the vast majority - 86% - of
workers at a Manager level or below are concerned about layoffs, compared to
only 14% of those are Director level or higher. Side hustles and job hopping more
frequent for Gen Z and Millennials As the global workforce watches
large and small companies announce layoffs, they are also taking actions to
safeguard their personal financial stability and diversify their income. 7 of
11 (64%) workers who are worried about their company needing to lay-off
employees already have a side job or would consider one. 32% already have a “side hustle,”
to bring in extra money or meet financial obligations, but younger workers
are more apt to pursue it. Gen-Z is roughly 1.5 times more likely than
Boomers to at least consider adding a second job to their primary position.
As Gen-Z enters the labour force, they are also likely paid less than older
professionals and more driven to bring in additional income to meet financial
needs or lifestyle desires.
Of those who already have a side
job, “making more money” is a top driver - regardless of other demographic
factors - and it's often related directly to the current state of the
economy. Nearly half (49%) report pursuing side gigs to “bring in more money
due to economic uncertainty.” Global workers are also looking for
new roles outside their current company to protect their professional
careers. 4 in 6 workers (67%) who are concerned about layoffs at their
company are already considering new employment elsewhere.
As the workforce looks ahead, many
reduce spending or increase savings The labour force is also adjusting
their spending habits and the ways they make money. 42% of Millennials are
pursuing a second income stream while Boomers and Gen-X are more apt to delay
an investment or reduce spend. Across generations, workers are more
considerate of their spending, or pursuing additional streams of income as
threats of more corporate layoffs persist across industries. Globally, workers in different
countries are reacting in varied ways. South Africans are most likely to
reduce spending, while workers in India and Germany report “delaying an
investment” as result of the current economic climate.
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February 2023 Source: https://www.kantar.com/inspiration/research-services/remote-employees-most-wary-of-job-security-pf |
