BUSINESS & POLITICS IN THE WORLD

 

GLOBAL OPINION REPORT NO. 777

 

 

Week: January 09 – January 15, 2023

 

Presentation: January 20, 2023

 

 

Contents

 

777-43-21/Commentary: The Majority Of Austrians See A Difference Between Patriotism And Nationalism... 2

ASIA   7

One In Four Foreign Interns Told To Quit If Pregnant: Survey. 8

Majority Of Singaporeans Positive About Country And Government Performance: YouGov. 9

AFRICA.. 11

Batswana Support Gender Equity, Want Greater Government Action To Promote Equal Rights. 17

WEST EUROPE.. 24

Prince Harry Favourability Falls To New Low In Run Up To ‘Spare’ Launch. 24

Six In Ten (61%) Are Convinced That It Is More Difficult To Be A Surgeon Than Prime Minister 25

Rising Housing Costs Are Taking Their Toll While Three-Quarters Of People Think Homelessness Will Get Worse. 27

Romir: The Share Of Spending On FMCG Has Stabilized By The End Of 2022. 28

Multiple Sclerosis: Patients Are Convinced Of The Benefits Of Practicing Physical Activity Or Sport To Better Live With The Disease. 29

Don't Take Any Risks - Germans Are Often Risk-Averse Insurers. 31

The Majority Of Austrians See A Difference Between Patriotism And Nationalism... 34

NORTH AMERICA.. 34

U S Congress Continues To Grow In Racial, Ethnic Diversity. 34

62% Of American Adults Said The Abortion Should Be Legal In All Or Most Cases. 39

U.S. Party Preferences Evenly Split In 2022 After Shift To GOP. 48

Three-In-Five Canadians Want Further Development Of Nuclear Power In The Country. 51

One-In-Nine Sports Fans (11%) Say They’re Watching Less Because Of Serious Injuries In Contact Sports. 59

Eight Out Of Ten Brazilians Disapprove Of The Acts Of 08/01 In Brasilia. 66

AUSTRALIA.. 68

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Jumps 4.9pts To 87.4 In Traditional New Year’s Bounce – Highest Since September 2022. 68

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES. 71

Declining Interest In The War In Ukraine Among European Union Countries. 71

Metaverse - A Still Unknown World, A Survey In 3 Nations. 72

 


 

INTRODUCTORY NOTE

 

This weekly report consists of twenty surveys. The report includes two multi-country studies from different states across the globe.

 

777-43-21/Commentary: The Majority Of Austrians See A Difference Between Patriotism And Nationalism

The majority of Austrians see a difference between patriotism and nationalism. For more than half, patriotism is a positive term. The solidarity with Austria should primarily be expressed in the participation in elections.

The majority of Austrians draw a clear line between patriotism and nationalism. In a survey by the Austrian Gallup Institute*, 60% of the population believe that there is a difference between these two terms. While patriotism is a very or somewhat positive term for more than half (56%), only a fifth (19%) associate positive things with nationalism. A quarter see patriotism as neutral and only 11% as negative. Young people under the age of 30 are somewhat more skeptical about the term patriotism than older generations.

(Gallup Institut)

January 12, 2023

Source: https://www.gallup.at/de/unternehmen/studien/2023/kein-widerspruch-zwischen-patriotismus-und-weltoffenheit/

 

SUMMARY OF POLLS

ASIA

(Japan)

One In Four Foreign Interns Told To Quit If Pregnant: Survey

A quarter of female foreign technical interns in Japan said they were told they would be dismissed if they became pregnant, according to an Immigration Services Agency survey, the first of its kind. The finding, released on Dec. 23, comes after a guilty verdict against a Vietnamese trainee for abandoning the bodies of stillborn twins. Like many other trainees, the woman feared she would be dismissed or forced to return to her home country if her pregnancy comes to light. In addition, 34 people, or 5 percent of all respondents, said they even signed a contract agreeing to quit if they become pregnant.

(Asahi Shimbun)

January 13, 2023

 

(Singapore)

Majority Of Singaporeans Positive About Country And Government Performance: YouGov

 Latest data from YouGov indicates that majority are content, with close to six in ten saying they are happy with the way things are now (57%). A quarter express opposite sentiment (25%).

Generationally, Baby Boomers were most likely to be happy with the way things are currently (67%). Though Millennials made up the smallest proportion of citizens who expressed happiness at the nation’s current standing (50%), Gen Xers were slightly more likely to declare unhappiness (27%).

(YouGov Singapore)

January 11, 2023

 

AFRICA

(Nigeria)

Health Insurance Remains A Mirage To Nigerians As 80 Percent Pay Out Of Pocket.

A new public opinion poll conducted by NOIPolls has revealed that most Nigerians pay out of pocket for healthcare at various healthcare facilities across the country as disclosed by 80 percent of adult Nigerians nationwide. While 3 percent reported that their health services are paid for by family and friends, only 17 percent of adult Nigerians claimed to have access to health insurance cover. Furthermore, the poll result revealed that out of the 80 percent who pay out of pocket to access healthcare, 57 percent are willing to pay money monthly or yearly to get enrolled into the health insurance scheme.

(NOI Polls)

January 11, 2023

 

(Batswana)

Batswana Support Gender Equity, Want Greater Government Action To Promote Equal Rights

According to the World Economic Forum’s (2022) Global Gender Gap Index, Botswana ranks 66th among 146 countries in terms of gender parity in critical dimensions: economic opportunities, education, health, and political leadership. Educational attainment is close to gender-equal in Botswana, with a slightly higher proportion of women with secondary schooling. Asset ownership favours men when it comes to motor vehicles, computers, television sets, and radios but is gender-equal with regard to mobile phones and bank accounts. A larger proportion of women (58%) than of men (52%) say they make independent decisions.

(Afrobarometer)

12 January 2023

 

WEST EUROPE

(UK)

Prince Harry Favourability Falls To New Low In Run Up To ‘Spare’ Launch

A newly released YouGov survey conducted on 5-6 January shows that just 26% of Britons have a positive view of Prince Harry, the lowest level since we started tracking in 2011. This represents a seven point drop since the previous survey in early December. Currently, approach two thirds of Britons (64%) have a negative view of the fifth in line to the throne, up from 59%. Even younger Britons, who generally tended to hold favourable views of Prince Harry, are now divided, with 41% having a positive impression and 41% a negative one.

(YouGov UK)

January 09, 2023

 

Six In Ten (61%) Are Convinced That It Is More Difficult To Be A Surgeon Than Prime Minister

Of the 24 roles asked about, Britons are most likely to believe that being a surgeon is harder than being PM. Six in ten (61%) are convinced that it is more difficult to be a surgeon than prime minister, with only 17% believing that being a surgeon is easier. After surgeons, Britons are most likely to believe nurses to have it tougher than the PM, with 52% believing nursing to be harder and 29% believing nursing to be easier. A majority also believe being a firefighter (51%) or a soldier (51%) to be harder than being PM with 29% and 28% respectively believing these roles to be easier.

(YouGov UK)

January 13, 2023

 

Rising Housing Costs Are Taking Their Toll While Three-Quarters Of People Think Homelessness Will Get Worse

Ipsos’s report concluded that public opinion had remained stable and supportive of measures designed to address homelessness. The study also highlighted increased concern about respondents’ own housing situation - among respondents who paid rent or mortgage, 46% were concerned about their ability to pay their rent or mortgage in 12 months’ time. It remains to be seen what the impact of rising housing costs will be, and whether the impact on anxiety and stress - 46% said their mental health was being affected by concerns about the cost of their housing, up from 36% before the pandemic – will get better or worse.

(Ipsos MORI)

13 January 2023

 

(Russia)

Romir: The Share Of Spending On FMCG Has Stabilized By The End Of 2022

In December, FMCG goods accounted for 48.3% of Russians' spending. This is 3.0% (1.4 percentage points) more than in November (46.9%). Compared to the same period last year, the index is higher by 2.2%. In December 2021, the annual growth of the index was 2.5%, and in December 2020 - 2.6%.

(Romir)

10 January 2023

 

(France)

Multiple Sclerosis: Patients Are Convinced Of The Benefits Of Practicing Physical Activity Or Sport To Better Live With The Disease

Among the various subjects on which they were questioned, it is on the subject of physical activity that these patients self-assess the worst, where more than 2 out of 5 patients answered with a score between 0 and 4. out of 10 (41%). Almost all patients recognize the usefulness of physical activity in the context of MS, regardless of the stage of the disease (91%). The benefits that they recognize in the practice of daily physical activity are multiple. Thus, 98% recognize that daily physical activity is good for the body and 96% that it is also good for morale. 

(Ipsos France)

January 9, 2023

 

(Germany)

Don't Take Any Risks - Germans Are Often Risk-Averse Insurers

The largest group of insurance types are the risk-averse insurers, 38 percent of those surveyed belong to this target group. These consumers tend to shy away from risks and try to protect themselves as well as possible. The risk-averse insurers are often women (57 percent) over the age of 50 (average 52 years). This target group has a lot of trust in banks and financial service providers. However, they feel insecure about financial matters (39 percent each). 

(YouGov Germany)

January 09, 2023

 

(Austria)

The Majority Of Austrians See A Difference Between Patriotism And Nationalism

The majority of Austrians draw a clear line between patriotism and nationalism. In a survey by the Austrian Gallup Institute*, 60% of the population believe that there is a difference between these two terms. While patriotism is a very or somewhat positive term for more than half (56%), only a fifth (19%) associate positive things with nationalism. A quarter see patriotism as neutral and only 11% as negative. Young people under the age of 30 are somewhat more skeptical about the term patriotism than older generations.

(Gallup Institut)

January 12, 2023

 

NORTH AMERICA

(USA)

U S Congress Continues To Grow In Racial, Ethnic Diversity

A quarter of voting members of the U.S. Congress identify their race or ethnicity as something other than non-Hispanic White, making the 118th Congress the most racially and ethnically diverse to date. Overall, 133 senators and representatives today identify as Black, Hispanic, Asian American, American Indian or Alaska Native, according to a Pew Research Center analysis of data from the Congressional Research Service. This number has nearly doubled in the two decades since the 108th Congress of 2003-05, which had 67 minority members.

(PEW)

JANUARY 9, 2023

 

62% Of American Adults Said The Abortion Should Be Legal In All Or Most Cases

Pew Research Center has conducted many surveys about abortion over the years, providing a lens into Americans’ views on whether the procedure should be legal, among a host of other questions. In a Center survey conducted after the Supreme Court’s June 2022 decision to end the constitutional right to abortion, 62% of U.S. adults said the practice should be legal in all or most cases, while 36% said it should be illegal in all or most cases. Another survey showed that relatively few Americans take an absolutist view on the issue.

(PEW)

JANUARY 11, 2023

 

U.S. Party Preferences Evenly Split In 2022 After Shift To GOP

Americans’ party preferences were evenly divided in 2022, with 45% of U.S. adults identifying as Republican or saying they were Republican-leaning independents, and 44% identifying as Democrats or saying they were Democratic-leaning independents. The last time preferences were this closely divided was in 2011, with Democrats holding at least a three-percentage-point advantage in each year of the past decade.

(Gallup)

JANUARY 12, 2023

 

(Canada)

Three-In-Five Canadians Want Further Development Of Nuclear Power In The Country

New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds increasing support from Canadians for nuclear power. In June 2021, half (51%) of Canadians said they would like to see further development of nuclear power generation. Now approaching three-in-five (57%) say the same. However, two-in-five (43%) Canadians say they would be comfortable with a nuclear power plant operating within 50 kilometres of where they live. That proportion increases when Canadians consider a plant operating within 500 kilometres of their home (58%) or within their province (59%).

(Angus Reid Institute)

January 11, 2023

 

One-In-Nine Sports Fans (11%) Say They’re Watching Less Because Of Serious Injuries In Contact Sports

A new study from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds Canadian sports fans battling these competing realities.Asked specifically about the incident involving Hamlin, seven per cent of viewers were affected to the point that they are more likely to tune out from contact sports in the future. One-in-three (34%) were upset by the incident but will continue watching, while three-in-five (58%) say that it didn’t affect them personally and is “just an unfortunate part of the game.”

This latest catastrophic injury adds to a growing awareness of the risks of contact sports.

(Angus Reid Institute)

January 13, 2023

 

(Brazil)

Eight Out Of Ten Brazilians Disapprove Of The Acts Of 08/01 In Brasilia

81% of the Brazilian population does not approve of the acts that took place on January 8 in Brasília, which led to the destruction of the headquarters of the three powers. This is what a survey carried out by Ipsos in the five regions of the country indicates. Only 18% of the participants responded that they approved the act and 1% did not know how to respond. The survey also questioned respondents about who would be responsible for the protests. For 70% of the population, former president Jair Bolsonaro is responsible for the facts. 

(Ipsos Canada)

January 13, 2023

 

AUSTRALIA

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Jumps 4.9pts To 87.4 In Traditional New Year’s Bounce – Highest Since September 2022

During the fifty year history of the Consumer Confidence index we have usually seen an increase in Consumer Confidence in the New Year, although this long-running trend was not in evidence during the bushfires of 2019-20 and the COVID-19 pandemic of the last two years. This week’s increase of 4.9pts to start 2023 is the first increase in the first week of January for five years since January 2018 when the first weekly result was 122.0 (January 6/7, 2018), up 5.5 points on the last week of December 16/17, 2017 (116.5).

(Roy Morgan)

January 10, 2023

 

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

Declining Interest In The War In Ukraine Among European Union Countries

About eight out of ten people in member countries follow news related to the war in Ukraine at least several times a week. However, the frequency with which they follow these news has decreased considerably in recent months, going from daily to weekly.If in April 2022, 41% followed the state of the war several times a day, currently that figure has fallen by 18 points, to 23%, while the number of people who follow the news several times a day has increased by 9 points.

(Ipsos Spain)

12 January 2023

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/es-es/desciende-el-interes-por-la-guerra-en-ucrania

 

Metaverse - A Still Unknown World, A Survey In 3 Nations

The exciting world of the Metaverse is currently one of the lynchpins of progressive digitization and promises new technological possibilities and advances. But the new digital world is still relatively unknown in Germany compared to other countries. While just over half of consumers in England (57 percent) and the US (55 percent) have heard of the Metaverse, only 33 percent of Germans are familiar with the virtual world - 61 percent say they have never heard of it to have. In particular, younger and middle-aged respondents (25 to 34 years) are familiar with the metaverse (53 percent).

(YouGov Germany)

January 13, 2023

Source: https://yougov.de/topics/technology/articles-reports/2023/01/13/metaverse-eine-noch-unbekannte-welt

 

ASIA

777-43-01/Polls

One In Four Foreign Interns Told To Quit If Pregnant: Survey

A government survey found that 26 percent of female foreign technical interns were told they would be dismissed if they became pregnant. (Asahi Shimbun file photo)

A quarter of female foreign technical interns in Japan said they were told they would be dismissed if they became pregnant, according to an Immigration Services Agency survey, the first of its kind.

The finding, released on Dec. 23, comes after a guilty verdict against a Vietnamese trainee for abandoning the bodies of stillborn twins. Like many other trainees, the woman feared she would be dismissed or forced to return to her home country if her pregnancy comes to light.

The Supreme Court signaled in December it might overturn a high court’s three-month prison sentence, suspended for three years, against the defendant.

Foreign technical interns are covered by the Equal Employment Opportunity Law, which prohibits dismissals of pregnant workers.

“We will carry out necessary surveys and consider administrative punishments for malicious cases,” said an Immigration Services Agency official.

The Organization for Technical Intern Training, commissioned by the agency to carry out the survey, interviewed technical interns between August and November and received responses from 650 individuals from Vietnam, the Philippines, Indonesia and elsewhere.

Of them, 172 people, or 26 percent, said they were told words to the effect that a pregnancy would result in their dismissal or return home.

Seventy-four percent of those respondents said they received such caution from trainee-dispatch organizations in their home countries, while 15 percent cited supervising organizations that accept trainees in Japan and 11 percent mentioned Japanese companies that accept trainees.

In addition, 34 people, or 5 percent of all respondents, said they even signed a contract agreeing to quit if they become pregnant.

Of them, 70 percent said they signed the contract with trainee-dispatch organizations, while supervising organizations were cited by 22 percent. Companies accounted for 8 percent.

Foreign technical interns are eligible for maternity leave and can continue working after they become pregnant if they so choose. However, nearly half of the respondents said they had no idea the option existed.

The immigration agency and other authorities instructed 3,600 or so supervising organizations across Japan to explain to technical interns that assistance and counseling are available about having a child.

Officials said 637 foreign trainees discontinued their internship programs due to pregnancy or childbirth between November 2017 and December 2020.

(Asahi Shimbun)

January 13, 2023

Source: https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/14805747

 

777-43-02/Polls

Majority Of Singaporeans Positive About Country And Government Performance: YouGov

As we enter a fresh year, what do Singaporeans think about the way things currently are in the country? Latest data from YouGov indicates that majority are content, with close to six in ten saying they are happy with the way things are now (57%). A quarter express opposite sentiment (25%).

Generationally, Baby Boomers were most likely to be happy with the way things are currently (67%). Though Millennials made up the smallest proportion of citizens who expressed happiness at the nation’s current standing (50%), Gen Xers were slightly more likely to declare unhappiness (27%).

Similar trends were observed when respondents were asked specifically about the government’s performance. Close to six in ten were very or mostly satisfied (57%), while a third expressed dissatisfaction (37%). Baby Boomers were again most likely to express positive sentiment, with over two-thirds saying they are satisfied (64%).

Respondents were also polled on how they believed the government performed across a range of attributes. Law and order was the best-rated attribute, with a third saying the government performed excellently (32%) and another half saying performance was good (45%). Other areas respondents said the government did well in were public health and economic management, with more than half rating them positively.

Environment and climate change; providing equal opportunity; and immigration made up the middle ground.

On the other end of the spectrum, cost of living and housing affordability were the areas which the largest proportion of Singaporeans said were handled poorly, with around two in five saying so (39% for cost of living; 37% for housing affordability).

Though fewer went as far as to say the government’s action relating to jobs was handled poorly (15%), two in five rated it as “fair” – the second highest proportion of people after cost of living.  

For the most part, areas which citizens hope the government would place greater focus on aligned with the attributes that were rated most poorly.

Nine in ten said more needs to be done to address the cost of living (66%), followed by three in five who said so for housing affordability (66%).  Just over two in five want more focus placed on jobs (45%) and public health (41%), while a third say more needs to be done in economic management (33%).

Looking across generations, Gen Xers were most likely to say more had to be done to address cost of living (91%), while housing affordability was of greatest concern among Millennials (71%).

Gen X were the demographic to be most concerned about jobs (49%), while public health and economic management were most important to Baby Boomers (51% for public health; 38% for economic management).

(YouGov Singapore)

January 11, 2023

Source: https://sg.yougov.com/en-sg/news/2023/01/11/majority-singaporeans-positive-about-country-and-g/

 

AFRICA

777-43-03/Polls

Health Insurance Remains A Mirage To Nigerians As 80 Percent Pay Out Of Pocket.

A new public opinion poll conducted by NOIPolls has revealed that most Nigerians pay out of pocket for healthcare at various healthcare facilities across the country as disclosed by 80 percent of adult Nigerians nationwide. While 3 percent reported that their health services are paid for by family and friends, only 17 percent of adult Nigerians claimed to have access to health insurance cover.

This implies health insurance cover has remained abysmal despite the availability of National Health Insurance Scheme (NHIS) which was established in 2006 to achieve Universal Health Coverage (UHC) in Nigeria with financial risk protection mechanisms.

Furthermore, the poll result revealed that out of the 80 percent who pay out of pocket to access healthcare, 57 percent are willing to pay money monthly or yearly to get enrolled into the health insurance scheme. This also suggests access is a major issue with regards to health insurance coverage across the country.

Therefore, there is need for a defined, definite, and deliberate approach towards mass enrolment of Nigerians, as well as intensive sensitization by relevant stakeholders as almost half of adult Nigerians (49 percent) disclosed that they are unaware of the National Health Insurance Scheme. This will go a long way in reducing the incidence of out-of- pocket payment and incurring catastrophic health expenditure. These are some of the key findings from the Health Insurance poll conducted in the week commencing November 14th, 2022.

Survey Background

The Universal Health Coverage Day is marked 12 December annually to call on leaders to make smarter investments and accelerate efforts towards health for all.

This years’ theme is “Build the world we want; A healthy future for all,” and it is hashtag #HealthForAll emphasizes that to build strong health systems we need equity, trust, healthy environments, investments, and accountability. In the world we want, everyone everywhere should have access to quality healthcare whenever they need it without suffering financial hardship.1 Against the background, NOIPolls conducted a public opinion poll to feel the pulse of Nigerians regarding healthcare insurance in the country.

Survey Findings

The first question focused on self-assessment of the health status of adult Nigerians nationwide. The poll result revealed that most Nigerians (90 percent) believe that they are healthy whereas 10 percent think otherwise.

1 https://www.who.int/westernpacific/news-room/events/detail/2022/12/12/western-pacific-events/universal-health-coverage-day-2022

The next question sought to know what Nigerians do when they fall ill. The findings showed that majority of adult Nigerians (87 percent) claim that they visit the hospital when ill. Analysis by geographical locations shows that the North-West (98 percent) zone accounted for the larger proportion of Nigerians who have the same view.

On the other hand, 13 percent stated that they do not visit the hospital when ill and respondents from the South-South (29 percent) zones had more people with this assertion.

Respondents who claimed that they do not go to hospital when ill were further probed and findings from the poll revealed that 44 percent visit a pharmacy, 39 percent visit a chemist, 19 percent self-medicate, and 9 percent go to a traditional doctor when ill.

Furthermore, respondents who mentioned that they go to the hospital when ill were further probed as well. The poll findings showed a high utilization of public hospitals across the country as disclosed by 58 percent of adult Nigerians who stated they visit public hospitals when ill. In addition, while 36 percent utilize private healthcare facilities, 5 percent disclosed that they utilize both public and private healthcare facilities.

In addition, Nigerians who visit healthcare facilities were further asked on how they pay for their health care. Irrespective of the healthcare facilities they visit when ill, a very high proportion of adult Nigerians (77 percent) nationwide disclosed that they pay out of pocket for healthcare services.

On the contrary, only 17 percent of adult Nigerians acknowledged that they have health insurance cover. This suggests that health insurance has remained very low in Nigeria despite the National Health Insurance Scheme (NHIS) which

was established in 2006 to achieve Universal Health Coverage (UHC) for Nigerians with financial risk protection mechanisms.

Subsequently, of the 17 percent who indicated that they access health insurance, 75 percent mentioned they access healthcare services through the NHIS. Similarly, 25 percent disclosed that they access care through private health insurance organizations.

In terms of patient’s satisfaction, 82 percent of those who are under health insurance reported that they are satisfied with the services provided by the health insurance provider whereas 18 percent stated otherwise.

Consequently, respondents who do not have any form of health insurance were asked if they are aware of the National Health Insurance Scheme (NHIS) and 51 percent of respondents acknowledged that they are aware of the scheme whereas 49 percent said no.

The poll further gauged the willingness of Nigerians who currently pay out-of-pocket to pay money monthly or yearly to access healthcare services whenever they need it. The poll result showed that 57 percent of the respondents revealed that they are willing to pay money monthly or yearly to get enrolled into the health insurance scheme. On the flipside, 43 percent of the respondents did not express willingness to be enrolled on the health insurance scheme.

Conclusion

The poll result has shown very high proportion of adult Nigerians still pay out-of-pocket for healthcare. Evidence shows that some healthcare expenditure can push people further into poverty. A way to reverse this high out-of-pocket payment is for government, at all levels in Nigeria, to accelerate the push for Universal Health Coverage. This will lift people out of poverty, promote the well-being of families and communities, protect against public health crises, and move them toward health for all.

The poll shows an urgent need for interventions in the Nigerian health system to reduce the incidence of out-of-pocket health expenditure. The proportion of the population covered by financial risk protection in healthcare utilization is too low at 17 percent, compared to a benchmark of 90 percent for an efficient health system, and this reflects how far Nigeria lags in the race toward universal healthcare coverage. Finally, there is need for a definite and deliberate approach towards mass enrolment of Nigerians by relevant stakeholders as well as intensive sensitization as almost half of adult Nigerians (49 percent) disclosed that they are not aware of the National Health Insurance Scheme. This will go a long way in reducing the incidence of out-of-pocket payment and incurring catastrophic health expenditure.

 

(NOI Polls)

January 11, 2023

Source: https://noi-polls.com/health-insurance/

 

777-43-04/Polls

Batswana Support Gender Equity, Want Greater Government Action To Promote Equal Rights

Achieving gender equality is central to any state’s social, economic, and political progress, as more gender-equal societies also tend to be more prosperous, more peaceful, and healthier (United Nations, 2022). More importantly, women’s rights are human rights, and as women and girls represent half of the world’s population, any progress must include them. The government of Botswana has shown commitment to ending gender-based violence (GBV) and discrimination by formulating policies, strategies, and programmes such as the National Policy on Gender and Development (with a National Gender Commission to monitor implementation), the National Gender-Based Violence Strategy 2015-2020, and the Women’s Economic Empowerment Programme (Republic of Botswana, 2017; UN Women, n.d.). The government also subscribes to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), including SDG 5 – "Achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls" (United Nations, 2022). Gender equality is a cross-cutting principle underlying most other SDGs, highlighting that development can only succeed if women and men enjoy its benefits equally. Despite Botswana’s efforts to promote gender equality, it needs significant progress to achieve SDG 5. According to the World Economic Forum’s (2022) Global Gender Gap Index, Botswana ranks 66th among 146 countries in terms of gender parity in critical dimensions: economic opportunities, education, health, and political leadership. Within sub-Saharan Africa, Botswana places 14th among 36 countries considered in the index, well behind toprated Rwanda, Namibia, and South Africa. This dispatch reports on a special survey module included in the Afrobarometer Round 9 (2021/2022) questionnaire to explore citizens’ attitudes, experiences, and perceptions with regard to gender equality in educational attainment, control over assets, hiring, land ownership, and political leadership. Findings show that majorities of Batswana express support for women’s right to equality in hiring, land ownership, and political leadership. But almost half consider it likely that women will suffer criticism, harassment, or family problems if they run for political office. Overall, fewer than half of Batswana approve of the government’s performance in promoting equal rights and opportunities for women, and an overwhelming majority say the government should do more.

Key findings § Educational attainment is close to gender-equal in Botswana, with a slightly higher proportion of women with secondary schooling. § Asset ownership favours men when it comes to motor vehicles, computers, television sets, and radios but is gender-equal with regard to mobile phones and bank accounts. § A larger proportion of women (58%) than of men (52%) say they make independent decisions regarding how household money is spent. § More than three-fourths (77%) of Batswana endorse gender equality in hiring, rejecting the idea that when jobs are scarce, men should be given priority. Women (82%) and highly educated citizens (86%) are especially likely to support equal rights to a job. § Citizens agree overwhelmingly (91%) that women should have the same right as men to own and inherit land. § Almost nine out of 10 citizens (86%) say women should have the same chance as men of being elected to political office. However, many also think that if a woman runs for political office, she is likely to be criticised or harassed by others in the community (43%) and to face problems with her family (40%). § Only 42% of citizens say the government is doing “fairly well” or “very well” in its efforts to promote equal rights and opportunities for women. o About twice as many (80%) say the government needs to do more to advance gender equality. Education, control of assets, and financial decision-making Equal access to education and assets is a critical indicator of gender equality in society. Survey findings show only modest gender differences in educational attainment in Botswana (Figure 1). Women are slightly more likely than men to have secondary education (53% vs. 48%), while slightly more men than women have primary schooling (22% vs. 18%). Women and men do not differ when it comes to the proportions who have no formal education (11%) and those with post-secondary qualifications (19% of women, 20% of men). Men are more likely than women to control certain assets (Figure 2). More men own motor vehicles (30% vs. 22% of women), computers (21% vs. 16%), television sets (54% vs. 46%), and radios (69% vs. 58%). But women and men are about equally likely to own mobile phones and bank accounts.

In terms of financial decision making, more women (58%) than men (52%) say they make independent decisions on how household money is spent (Figure 3). Only 6% of women (vs. 9% of men) say household financial decisions are made by their spouses or other family members without their input.

Rights to a job and land

Historically, Botswana has exhibited traits of a patriarchal society in which men often enjoy

privileges denied to women (Kalabamu, 2006). However, more than three-fourths (77%) of

Batswana endorse gender equality in hiring, rejecting the idea that when jobs are scarce,

men should be given priority (Figure 4).

Men are less likely than women to support gender equality in hiring (72% vs. 82%). Support for women’s equal right to a job increases as respondents’ education level rises, ranging from 58% among citizens with no formal schooling to 86% among those with post-secondary qualifications. An even greater majority (91%) of Batswana “agree” or “strongly agree” that women should have the same rights as men to own and inherit land (Figure 5). Men (91%) and women (92%) are about equally likely to support this attitude.

In practice, women in Botswana already enjoy the same rights as men to get a job and to own/inherit land, according to solid majorities of those surveyed. But considerably more see gender equality as a reality in land ownership (79%) than in hiring (64%) (Figure 6). Men and urban residents are 4-7 percentage points more likely than women and rural residents to perceive equal rights as a fait accompli when it comes to both land and jobs. The poorest respondents (i.e. those experiencing high lived poverty1) are considerably less likely than their better-off counterparts to report that gender equality has been achieved in either sector. For example, only 57% of the poor say women already have equality in hiring, compared to 71% of the best-off respondents.

Gender equality in political participation Botswana ranks among the worst performing countries in the world in terms of women’s representation in political decision-making positions, with women holding just 11% of parliamentary and 16% of ministerial positions (World Economic Forum, 2022). This disparity has persisted despite overwhelming popular support for gender equality at the ballot box. Almost nine out of 10 Batswana (86%) “agree” or “strongly agree” that women should have the same chance as men to be elected to public office; only 13% say that men make better political leaders and should thus be elected instead of women (Figure 7). Women are somewhat more likely than men to endorse equality in politics (89% vs. 84%), while 26- to 45-year-olds express the highest levels of support (88%-89%) for this view.

A majority (63%) of citizens are optimistic that a woman and her family will gain standing in the community if she runs for elected office (Figure 8). At least four in 10 also consider it “somewhat likely” or “very likely” that she will be criticised, called names, or harassed by others in the community (43%) and that she will face problems with her family (40%).

Conclusion For policy makers and activists for women’s rights, these survey findings suggest success in a number of areas, including educational attainment, financial autonomy, and societal attitudes toward equal rights in hiring, land ownership, and political leadership. But they also point to challenges that will require further efforts to achieve gender equality. Alongside support for gender fairness in politics, many Batswana think a woman who runs for office is likely to face criticism, harassment, and family problems – perceptions that may discourage some women from seeking elective office. And gender-based violence remains an urgent issue for the government and society to address, according to a majority of citizens. Overall, Batswana offer a solid foundation for further action – eight in 10 say the government needs to do more to promote equal rights and opportunities for women.

(Afrobarometer)

12 January 2023

Source: https://www.afrobarometer.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/AD589-Batswana-call-for-government-action-on-gender-equality-Afrobarometer-9jan23.pdf

 

WEST EUROPE

777-43-05/Polls

Prince Harry Favourability Falls To New Low In Run Up To ‘Spare’ Launch

Just a quarter of Britons have a positive view of the Duke of Sussex

Ahead of the launch of his autobiography ‘Spare’, Prince Harry has made many claims about his life and relationship with the rest of the royal family, including that he was assaulted by Prince William, that his brother and sister-in-law advised him to wear Nazi fancy dress, and that he killed 25 Taliban fighters serving while in Afghanistan.

While such revelations have certainly generated the intended media coverage ahead of the book launch, if the Duke of Sussex had hoped that they would also generate greater sympathy for him among the public, he was mistaken.

A newly released YouGov survey conducted on 5-6 January shows that just 26% of Britons have a positive view of Prince Harry, the lowest level since we started tracking in 2011. This represents a seven point drop since the previous survey in early December.

Currently, approach two thirds of Britons (64%) have a negative view of the fifth in line to the throne, up from 59%.

Even younger Britons, who generally tended to hold favourable views of Prince Harry, are now divided, with 41% having a positive impression and 41% a negative one. In December’s survey there had been a twenty-point lead, with 49% holding a positive view and 29% a negative one.

Attitudes towards King Charles, Kate Middleton and Meghan Markle remain unchanged since the December survey, but there has a drop in Prince William’s popularity. The number of people with a positive view of the new Prince of Wales has fallen eight points from 77% in December to 69% last week. At the same time the number with a negative view rose from 15% to 20%.

(YouGov UK)

January 09, 2023

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2023/01/09/prince-harry-favourability-falls-new-low-after-run

 

777-43-06/Polls

Six In Ten (61%) Are Convinced That It Is More Difficult To Be A Surgeon Than Prime Minister

Being a surgeon tops the list, while Britons are most likely to say being a professional football player is easier

The prime minister of the United Kingdom makes £164,080 a year, five times the median salary for a full time employee in the UK (£32,280 per year). While the job of prime minister pays much more than most occupations, how do Britons believe it compares to other jobs in terms of difficulty?

Britons say doctors, nurses, firefighters and soldiers, among others, have a harder job than the PM

Of the 24 roles asked about, Britons are most likely to believe that being a surgeon is harder than being PM. Six in ten (61%) are convinced that it is more difficult to be a surgeon than prime minister, with only 17% believing that being a surgeon is easier.

Though surgeons are well-paid, taking home up to £114,083 per year, this is still significantly lower than the PM’s salary.

After surgeons, Britons are most likely to believe nurses to have it tougher than the PM, with 52% believing nursing to be harder and 29% believing nursing to be easier. A majority also believe being a firefighter (51%) or a soldier (51%) to be harder than being PM with 29% and 28% respectively believing these roles to be easier.

 

By smaller margins Britons also believe it is harder to be a GP than PM (by 45% to 32%), or an army general (41% vs 26%).

Britons are divided when it comes to how hard social workers, police officers and farmers have it compared to the PM

There are three roles that Britons are divided over whether they are easier or harder than being prime minister. In each case, about four in ten people say they are either more simple or more difficult than running the country: social worker (40% harder, 39% easier), police officer (41% vs 39%) and farmer (42% vs 39%).

Compared to other executive and leadership roles, being PM is harder, say Britons

In some ways, being prime minister is like running a large business, in that it involves managing complicated organisations staffed by large numbers of people. And, indeed, being CEO of a large company is the job Britons are most likely to describe as being about as difficult as being PM, at 22%.

Nevertheless, a plurality of Britons (43%) believe being CEO of a large company to be an easier job than being PM, while a similar number (44%) say the same of running a small business.

In fact, the results imply Britons tend to think small business owners have it harder than CEOs, with 35% believing running a small firm to be harder than being PM compared to 20% who say the same of running a large firm.

Being the leader of a council, a job that is smaller in scope but in some cases is paid in excess of £250,000 per year, more than the PM, is believed to be a less difficult role by a large majority of Britons (64%). 

Britons are most likely to see being a premier league footballer as being easier than running the country

Of the 24 roles we asked about, a majority consider ten to be easier than being prime minister. Britons are most likely to believe that being a professional footballer is easier than being PM (81%), with only 7% believing being a footballer to be harder. 

Being an office worker (75%), waiter (74%) or supermarket worker (74%) are also rated to be easier than being PM by three quarters of Britons, with relatively few (no more than 14% for any of the three positions) believing the roles to be harder than PM. A majority also believe being a journalist (73%), cleaner (72%), chef (67%), or investment banker (64%) to be an easier role than being PM. 

(YouGov UK)

January 13, 2023

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2023/01/13/what-jobs-are-harder-being-prime-minister-accordin

 

777-43-07/Polls

Rising Housing Costs Are Taking Their Toll While Three-Quarters Of People Think Homelessness Will Get Worse

Ipsos was commissioned by the Centre for Homelessness Impact to undertake research into public understanding and attitudes towards homelessness, while also investigating perceptions of the role of evidence in addressing the issue.

The Centre also wanted to explore perceptions of the causes and prevalence of homelessness, and whether these perceptions had changed from previous years of the study in 2020 and 2021.

The survey involved a representative sample of 2,152 UK adults aged 16-75 sourced from Ipsos’s online panel. Booster sampling increased the number of surveys completed in Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland in order to improve our ability to make comparisons. Data was weighted to the known population profile at the UK level.

The survey’s key findings, described in detail in our report for the Centre, include:

  • Homelessness is perceived as a serious problem in the UK, and three-quarters believe that it will increase in the next 12 months in the country they live in.
  • There are important misperceptions and knowledge gaps – e.g. people expect 51% of those currently experiencing homelessness to be living with alcohol or drug dependency when figures are considerably lower even for those who are experiencing street homelessness, the most visible type of homelessness.
  • People are supportive of a range of policies designed to address homelessness, particularly those involving provision of affordable housing or paid jobs or training
  • Renters and those with mortgages are worried about their ability to pay for housing at the moment, and more worried for the future…
  • … contributing to negative effects on their mental health.

Ipsos’s report concluded that public opinion had remained stable and supportive of measures designed to address homelessness.

The study also highlighted increased concern about respondents’ own housing situation - among respondents who paid rent or mortgage, 46% were concerned about their ability to pay their rent or mortgage in 12 months’ time.

It remains to be seen what the impact of rising housing costs will be, and whether the impact on anxiety and stress - 46% said their mental health was being affected by concerns about the cost of their housing, up from 36% before the pandemic – will get better or worse.

(Ipsos MORI)

13 January 2023

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/public-perceptions-homelessness

 

777-43-08/Polls

Romir: The Share Of Spending On FMCG Has Stabilized By The End Of 2022

Romir regularly calculates the monthly FMCG Index , an indicator that shows the dynamics of the share of household spending on food and non-food categories of consumer goods in the structure of all household expenses.

In December, FMCG goods accounted for 48.3% of Russians' spending. This is 3.0% (1.4 percentage points) more than in November (46.9%). Compared to the same period last year, the index is higher by 2.2%. In December 2021, the annual growth of the index was 2.5%, and in December 2020 - 2.6%.

“In December, we traditionally note an increase in spending on consumer goods, but this year New Year's purchases turned out to be a little more modest than in previous ones.  This is due to the cost saving strategies that Russians adhere to, ”said Ksenia Paizanskaya , director of the M-Romir business area .

(Romir)

10 January 2023

Source: https://romir.ru/studies/romir-dolya-rashodov-na-fmcg-stabilizirovalas-k-koncu-2022-goda

 

777-43-09/Polls

Multiple Sclerosis: Patients Are Convinced Of The Benefits Of Practicing Physical Activity Or Sport To Better Live With The Disease

Patients with multiple sclerosis give themselves, on average, the following ratings for:

  • Their general physical condition: 5.5/10
  • Their level of fatigue: 5.2/10
  • Their level of physical activity: 5/10

Among the various subjects on which they were questioned, it is on the subject of physical activity that these patients self-assess the worst, where more than 2 out of 5 patients answered with a score between 0 and 4. out of 10 (41%).

Sign that physical activity and sport have a role to play in the management of the disease or at least in the general state of health, the patients who do not practice it or little declare a level of form systematically lower than the average of the patients, and this, in a systematic way on all dimensions , and in particular on: their general physical form (4.4/10; against 5.5/10 on average), their level of fatigue (4.5/ 10; versus 5.2/10), and their level of physical activity (3.2/10; versus 5/10).

Patients convinced of the benefits of practicing a physical activity or sport in the context of multiple sclerosis

Almost all patients recognize the usefulness of physical activity in the context of MS, regardless of the stage of the disease (91%).

The benefits that they recognize in the practice of daily physical activity are multiple. Thus, 98% recognize that daily physical activity is good for the body and 96% that it is also good for morale. 

For more than three quarters of patients, this type of activity also helps fight the effects of the disease (78%) and reduce physical fatigue (62%).

A sign that messages still need to be passed on, certain limits, certain obstacles to physical activity are also identified. More than half of patients declare that daily physical activity is too tiring when they have MS (52%), more than a third consider that it is hardly compatible with MS (35% ) and almost a quarter say it can only be done at the very beginning of the disease (22%).

The benefits are perceived more by those who practice an activity, even on an irregular basis* .

They are convinced. More than three quarters of patients who manage to maintain an activity, even irregularly, consider that the activity they practice is essential or important to feel fit (79%).

What place for physical activity or sport in the lives of patients with multiple sclerosis?

  • A practice that decreases with the arrival of the disease

With the disease, more than three quarters of patients declare having modified their physical activity (78%): a third have reduced the intensity of the activity (34%) and more than a quarter have reduced the frequency (28% ).

Thus, 1 out of 5 patients regularly practiced a physical activity or a sport before the disease, but no longer does so today (21%).

  • Focus on those who do little or no physical activity or sport

Patients who regularly practiced a physical activity or a sport in the past but who stopped it, most often stopped their practice in the year following the diagnosis (43%). A third tried to continue but resolved to stop within 5 years of diagnosis (33%).

To explain the cessation of their practice, two main reasons emerge: the lack of energy and the excessive level of fatigue (65%) but also the fact of no longer having the motor capacity to have regular physical activity (41 %).

What are the levers to increase the practice of physical activity for patients affected by multiple sclerosis?

  • Make the appropriate activities and structures visible

Conscious and convinced of the benefits of physical activity, many patients have inquired about the solutions that exist to allow them to do physical activity.

Thus, more than 3 out of 5 patients declare having carried out research to find activities adapted to their disease (61%), but among them, a quarter have not succeeded in having their procedures succeed (26%).

In addition, more than three quarters of patients who practice little or no physical activity or sport could change if they were helped or if they found facilities available (77%).

  • Support patients by raising their awareness on this subject

The mention by a health professional of the possibility of doing physical activity while suffering from multiple sclerosis is not systematic. While some do it naturally more than others, such as the physiotherapist / osteopath (77%, including 50% "often"), the neurologist (72%, including 40% "often") or even the general practitioner but on a more occasional basis (65%, including 30% “often”), other actors who intervene in the patient's journey do so less, such as a physical rehabilitation doctor, a sports doctor or a dietitian.

Finally, for 8 out of 10 patients, having advice from sports professionals (86%) or health professionals (84%) would encourage them to do physical activity on a more regular or more intense basis, just like having access to appropriate infrastructure near their home (84%), to associations offering physical activities adapted to their state of health (79%) or to practical advice or videos adapted to their illness, to do at home (70%).

(Ipsos France)

January 9, 2023

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/sclerose-en-plaques-les-patients-sont-convaincus-des-bienfaits-de-la-pratique-dune-activite

 

777-43-10/Polls

Don't Take Any Risks - Germans Are Often Risk-Averse Insurers

There is now insurance for almost everything. The market and the possibilities, the services, providers and now also apps can become confusing for consumers. In the competitive sector, companies should keep in mind the wishes and demands of their (potential customers). To do this, they should know how they feel about risk and safety.

In the current audience analysis "Between Risk and Protection - Analysis of the most important customer groups for insurers" we use the audience segmentation tool YouGov Profiles to provide an insight into the demographic characteristics of four insurance types as well as their attitudes and preferences.

Here is an overview of the types of insurance:

 

 

 

Risk-averse hedgers are the largest group in Germany

The largest group of insurance types are the risk-averse insurers, 38 percent of those surveyed belong to this target group. These consumers tend to shy away from risks and try to protect themselves as well as possible. The risk-averse insurers are often women (57 percent) over the age of 50 (average 52 years). This target group has a lot of trust in banks and financial service providers. However, they feel insecure about financial matters (39 percent each). Of all insurance types, risk-averse insurers are most likely to own 5 or more insurance products (58 percent), and only 15 percent are considering switching or purchasing a new insurance product. Almost 80 percent of insurers have private liability insurance as well as car and household insurance. The majority of this target group takes out their insurance policies in a branch. In a country comparison, the target group is represented most frequently in Germany; consumers in the Netherlands and Switzerland (22 percent each) are least likely to belong to this group.

 

 

 

Spotlight of the analysis: The risk-affine optimizers

13 percent of those surveyed belong to the risk-averse optimizers. These consumers are adventurous, thrill seekers, and have good income and career prospects. Risk-affine optimizers are often men (59 percent) between 30 and 44 years (29 percent). The majority of this target group (80 percent) are looking for challenges, but have little trust in banks and financial service providers (62 percent). Optimizers are constantly looking for ways to invest their money profitably (52 vs. 40 percent of the general population) and see cryptocurrency as the future of online financial transactions (41 vs. 32 percent). Direct insurers such as FRIDAY and digital banks such as comdirect are particularly relevant for this target group, and most of them take out insurance on online websites. Twenty-nine percent of these consumers only have 1-2 policies, and more than a fifth of optimizers (22 percent) plan to add or switch policies in the next 12 months. However, the majority of optimizers (62 percent) would not take out insurance at all if this were possible.

This group is most common in the Netherlands (21 vs. 13 percent in Germany).

 

 

 

Risk-conscious hedgers are often men

21 percent of Germans belong to the group of risk-conscious insurers who are looking for a balance between risk and security. This target group consists largely of middle-aged men (59 percent) (average 43 years), who are usually curious and like to take conscious risks.

 

Women are more likely to be risk-averse potentials

More than a quarter of Germans (28 percent) are risk-averse potential. Due to their low level of education and low income, this group has little confidence in their own future. These consumers would like to be better insured, but have not been able to so far due to their financial situation and therefore limit themselves to the essentials. The target group of German risk-averse potentials tends to be older (50 years on average) and consists mostly of women (55 percent). The narrow majority of potentials (52 percent) would not take out any insurance at all. if this were possible.

(YouGov Germany)

January 09, 2023

Source: https://yougov.de/topics/economy/articles-reports/2023/01/09/bloss-kein-risiko-deutsche-sind-haufig-risiko-sche

 

777-43-11/Polls

The Majority Of Austrians See A Difference Between Patriotism And Nationalism

The majority of Austrians see a difference between patriotism and nationalism. For more than half, patriotism is a positive term. The solidarity with Austria should primarily be expressed in the participation in elections.

The majority of Austrians draw a clear line between patriotism and nationalism. In a survey by the Austrian Gallup Institute*, 60% of the population believe that there is a difference between these two terms. While patriotism is a very or somewhat positive term for more than half (56%), only a fifth (19%) associate positive things with nationalism. A quarter see patriotism as neutral and only 11% as negative. Young people under the age of 30 are somewhat more skeptical about the term patriotism than older generations.

(Gallup Institut)

January 12, 2023

Source: https://www.gallup.at/de/unternehmen/studien/2023/kein-widerspruch-zwischen-patriotismus-und-weltoffenheit/

 

NORTH AMERICA

777-43-12/Polls

U S Congress Continues To Grow In Racial, Ethnic Diversity

A quarter of voting members of the U.S. Congress identify their race or ethnicity as something other than non-Hispanic White, making the 118th Congress the most racially and ethnically diverse to date. This continues a long-running trend toward more racial and ethnic diversity on Capitol Hill: This is the seventh Congress to break the record set by the one before it.

A bar chart showing that racial and ethnic diversity continues to grow in Congress. In the 118th Congress, 60 senators and representatives are Black, 54 are Hispanic, 18 are Asian American and 5 are American Indian or Alaska Native.

Overall, 133 senators and representatives today identify as Black, Hispanic, Asian American, American Indian or Alaska Native, according to a Pew Research Center analysis of data from the Congressional Research Service. This number has nearly doubled in the two decades since the 108th Congress of 2003-05, which had 67 minority members.

Our analysis of the 118th Congress reflects the 534 voting members of Congress as of Jan. 3, 2023. Portuguese American members are not included in the Hispanic count.

The vast majority (80%) of racial and ethnic minority members in the new Congress are Democrats, while 20% are Republicans. This split is similar to the previous Congress, when 83% of non-White lawmakers were Democrats and 17% were Republicans.

How we did this

A line graph showing that White Americans make up a larger share of Congress (75%) than of the U.S. population (59%)

Despite growing racial and ethnic diversity on Capitol Hill, members of Congress are still far more likely than the overall U.S. population to be non-Hispanic White (75% vs. 59%). This gap is about as wide as it was in 1981, when 94% of members of Congress were White, compared with 80% of the U.S. population.

In the new House of Representatives, 27 freshman members – including 19 Democrats and eight Republicans – are racial or ethnic minorities. In the last Congress, 16 freshman representatives – including seven Democrats and nine Republicans – were non-White.

Representation of some racial and ethnic groups in the House is now on par with their share of the total U.S. population, while others continue to lag behind. For example, 13% of House members are Black, about equal to the total share of Black Americans. And American Indians and Alaska Natives now make up about 1% of both the House and the U.S. population.

A chart showing that in the 118th Congress, the U.S. House is more racially and ethnically diverse than the Senate

On the other hand, the share of Hispanic representatives in the House is much lower than the Hispanic share of the U.S. population (11% vs. 19%). Asian Americans, meanwhile, account for 4% of House members and 6% of the national population.

This analysis includes four representatives who have more than one racial or ethnic identity: Rep. Bobby Scott, D-Va., is counted as Black and Asian. Democratic Rep. Ritchie Torres of New York identifies as Black and Hispanic. Rep. Marilyn Strickland, D-Wash., is both the first Black lawmaker to represent the state and one of the first Korean American women to be elected to Congress. And Democratic Florida Rep. Maxwell Alejandro Frost, the first Generation Z member of Congress, is both Black and Hispanic.

When it comes to the upper chamber of Congress, 12 senators are members of a racial or ethnic minority group, up slightly from 11 in the 117th Congress. Six senators are Hispanic, two are Asian, three are Black and one is American Indian.

Four of the 12 non-White senators are Republicans: Tim Scott of South Carolina is Black, and Marco Rubio of Florida and Ted Cruz of Texas are both Hispanic. Markwayne Mullin of Oklahoma, a member of the Cherokee nation, is the first American Indian to serve in the Senate in almost two decades.

(PEW)

JANUARY 9, 2023

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2023/01/09/u-s-congress-continues-to-grow-in-racial-ethnic-diversity/

 

777-43-13/Polls

62% Of American Adults Said The Abortion Should Be Legal In All Or Most Cases

Pew Research Center has conducted many surveys about abortion over the years, providing a lens into Americans’ views on whether the procedure should be legal, among a host of other questions. In a Center survey conducted after the Supreme Court’s June 2022 decision to end the constitutional right to abortion, 62% of U.S. adults said the practice should be legal in all or most cases, while 36% said it should be illegal in all or most cases. Another survey showed that relatively few Americans take an absolutist view on the issue.

Here is a look at data on the number of legal abortions that take place in the United States each year – and other related measures – from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and the Guttmacher Institute, which have tracked these patterns for several decades. The latest data from both organizations is from 2020 and therefore does not reflect the period after the Supreme Court’s recent decision.

How we did this

How many abortions are there in the U.S. each year?

An exact answer is hard to come by. The CDC and the Guttmacher Institute each try to measure this, but they use different methods and publish different figures.

The CDC compiles figures voluntarily reported by the central health agencies of the vast majority of states (including separate figures for New York City) and the District of Columbia. Its latest totals do not include figures from California, Maryland or New Hampshire, which did not report data to the CDC. (Read the methodology from the latest CDC report.)

The Guttmacher Institute compiles its figures after contacting every known provider of abortions – clinics, hospitals and physicians’ offices – in the country. It uses questionnaires and health department data, and provides estimates for abortion providers that don’t respond to its inquiries. Guttmacher’s figures are higher than the CDC’s in part because it includes data (and in some instances, estimates) from all 50 states. The institute’s latest full report, and its methodology, can be found here. While the Guttmacher Institute supports abortion rights, its empirical data on abortions in the U.S. has been widely cited by groups and publications across the political spectrum, including by a number of those that disagree with its positions.

The last year for which the CDC and Guttmacher reported a yearly national total for abortions is 2020, and neither organization reported a large change from the previous year. The CDC says there were 620,327 abortions nationally in 2020 in the District of Columbia and 47 states, a 1.5% decrease from 629,898 in 2019. Guttmacher’s national total for 2020 was 930,160, a 1.5% increase from 916,460 in 2019.

The figures reported by both organizations include only legal induced abortions conducted by clinics, hospitals or physicians’ offices, or those that make use of abortion pills dispensed from certified facilities such as clinics or physicians’ offices. They do not account for the use of abortion pills that were obtained outside of clinical settings.

How has the number of abortions in the U.S. changed over the years?

A line graph showing the changing number of legal abortions in the U.S. since the 1970s. The annual number of U.S. abortions rose for years after Roe v. Wade, reaching its highest levels around the late 1980s and early 1990s. Since then, abortions have generally decreased at what a CDC analysis called “a slow yet steady pace.”

The annual number of U.S. abortions rose for years after Roe v. Wade legalized the procedure in 1973, reaching its highest levels around the late 1980s and early 1990s, according to both the CDC and Guttmacher. Since then, abortions have generally decreased at what a CDC analysis called “a slow yet steady pace.”

Guttmacher recorded more than 1.5 million abortions in the U.S. in 1991, about two-thirds more than the 930,160 it reported for 2020. The CDC reported just over 1 million abortions in 1991 and 620,327 in 2020, looking at just the District of Columbia and the 47 states that reported figures in both years. (This line graph shows the long-term trend in the number of legal abortions reported by both organizations. To allow for consistent comparisons over time, the CDC figures in the chart have been adjusted to ensure that the same states are counted from one year to the next. Using that approach, the CDC figure for 2020 is 615,911 legal abortions.)

There have been occasional breaks in this long-term pattern of decline – during the middle of the first decade of the 2000s, and then again in the late 2010s. The CDC reported modest 1% and 2% increases in abortions in 2018 and 2019, respectively, while Guttmacher reported an 8% increase in abortions over the three-year period from 2017 to 2020.

As noted above, these figures do not include abortions that use pills that were obtained outside of clinical settings.

What is the abortion rate among women in the U.S.? How has it changed over time?

Guttmacher says that in 2020 there were 14.4 abortions in the U.S. per 1,000 women ages 15 to 44. Its data shows that the rate of abortions among women has generally been declining in the U.S. since 1981, when it reported there were 29.3 abortions per 1,000 women in that age range.

The CDC says that in 2020, there were 11.2 abortions in the U.S. per 1,000 women ages 15 to 44. (That figure excludes data from California, Maryland, New Hampshire and the District of Columbia.) Like Guttmacher’s data, the CDC’s figures also suggest a general decline in the abortion rate over time. In 1980, when the CDC reported on all 50 states and D.C., it said there were 25 abortions per 1,000 women ages 15 to 44.

That said, both Guttmacher and the CDC say there were slight increases in the rate of abortions during the late 2010s. Guttmacher says the abortion rate per 1,000 women ages 15 to 44 rose from 13.5 in 2017 to 14.4 in 2020. The CDC says it rose from 11.2 in 2017 to 11.4 in 2019 before falling back to 11.2 in 2020. (The CDC’s figures for those years exclude data from California, Maryland, New Hampshire and the District of Columbia).

What are the most common types of abortion?

The CDC broadly divides abortions into two categories: surgical abortions and medication abortions, which involve pills. Since the Food and Drug Administration first approved abortion pills in 2000, their use has increased over time as a share of abortions nationally, according to both the CDC and Guttmacher. In fact, 2020 marked the first time that a majority of legal abortions in the U.S. involved pills: 53%, according to both the CDC and Guttmacher. That was up from 44% in 2019 and 40% in 2018, according to the CDC. (The CDC’s figures for 2020 include D.C. and 44 states that provided this data; its figures for 2019 figures included D.C. and 45 states, and its figures for 2018 included D.C. and 43 states.) Guttmacher, which measures this every three years, said that in 2017, 39% of U.S. abortions involved pills.

Two pills commonly used together for medication abortions are mifepristone, which, taken first, blocks hormones that support a pregnancy, and misoprostol, which then causes the uterus to empty. Medication abortions are safe to use until 10 weeks into pregnancy, according to the FDA.

Surgical abortions conducted during the first trimester of pregnancy typically use a suction process, while the relatively few surgical abortions that occur during the second trimester of a pregnancy typically use a process called dilation and evacuation, according to the UCLA School of Medicine website.

How many abortion providers are there in the U.S., and how has that number changed?

In 2020, there were 1,603 facilities in the U.S. that provided abortions, according to Guttmacher. This included 807 clinics, 530 hospitals and 266 physicians’ offices.

A bar chart showing that the total number of abortion providers is down since 1982. In 2020, there were 1,603 facilities in the U.S. that provided abortions, including 807 clinics, 530 hospitals and 266 physicians’ offices.

While clinics make up half of the facilities that provide abortions, they are the sites where the vast majority (96%) of abortions are administered, either through procedures or the distribution of pills, according to Guttmacher’s 2020 data. (This includes 54% of abortions that are administered at specialized abortion clinics and 43% at nonspecialized clinics.) Hospitals made up 33% of the facilities that provided abortions in 2020 but accounted for only 3% of abortions that year, while just 1% of abortions were conducted by physicians’ offices.

Looking just at clinics – that is, the total number of specialized abortion clinics and nonspecialized clinics in the U.S. – Guttmacher found the total virtually unchanged between 2017 (808 clinics) and 2020 (807 clinics). However, there were regional differences. In the Midwest, the number of clinics that provide abortions increased by 11% during those years, and in the West by 6%. The number of clinics decreased during those years by 9% in the Northeast and 3% in the South.

The total number of abortion providers has declined dramatically since the 1980s. In 1982, according to Guttmacher, there were 2,908 facilities providing abortions in the U.S., including 789 clinics, 1,405 hospitals and 714 physicians’ offices.

The CDC does not track the number of abortion providers.

What percentage of abortions are for women who live in a different state from the abortion provider?

In the District of Columbia, New York City and the 46 states that provided abortion and residency information to the CDC in 2020, 9.7% of all abortions were performed on women whose state of residence was known to be different than the state where the abortion occurred – virtually the same percentage as in 2019 (9.3%).

The share of reported abortions performed on women outside their state of residence was much higher before the 1973 Roe decision that stopped states from banning abortion. In 1972, 41% of all abortions in D.C. and the 20 states that provided this information to the CDC that year were performed on women outside their state of residence. In 1973, the corresponding figure was 21% in the District of Columbia and the 41 states that provided this information, and in 1974 it was 11% in D.C. and the 43 states that provided data.

In the months prior to the Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe v. Wade, politicians in some states with permissive abortion laws (such as New YorkCalifornia and Oregon) introduced measures to assist women from states with restrictive abortion laws. Some examples included providing additional state funds for women’s travel expenses and for abortion clinics that were expecting more out-of-state patients.

What are the demographics of women who had abortions in 2020?

In the 46 states that reported data to the CDC in 2020, the majority of women who had abortions (57%) were in their 20s, while about three-in-ten (31%) were in their 30s. Teens ages 13 to 19 accounted for 8% of those who had abortions, while women in their 40s accounted for 4%.

The vast majority of women who had abortions in 2020 were unmarried (86%), while married women accounted for 14%, according to the CDC, which had data on this from 39 states and New York City (but not the rest of New York).

In the District of Columbia and 29 states that reported racial and ethnic data on abortion to the CDC, 39% of all women who had abortions in 2020 were non-Hispanic Black, while 33% were non-Hispanic White, 21% were Hispanic, and 7% were of other races or ethnicities.

A pie chart showing that in 2020, a majority (58%) of abortions were for women who had never had one before. For 24% of women it was their second abortion, for 10% it was their third, and for 8% it was their fourth or higher.

Among those ages 15 to 44, there were 24.4 abortions per 1,000 non-Hispanic Black women; 11.4 abortions per 1,000 Hispanic women; 6.2 abortions per 1,000 non-Hispanic White women; and 12.7 abortions per 1,000 women of other races or ethnicities in that age range, the CDC reported from those same 29 states and the District of Columbia.

Most U.S. abortions in 2020 were for women who had previously given birth. 39% of women who had abortions in 2020 had no previous live births at the time they had an abortion, 25% had one previous live birth, 20% had two previous live births, 10% had three, and 6% had four or more previous live births.

For 58% of U.S. women who had induced abortions in 2020, it was the first time they had ever had one, according to the CDC. For nearly a quarter (24%), it was their second abortion. For 10% of women, it was their third, and for 8% it was their fourth or higher. These CDC figures include data from 41 states and New York City (but not the rest of New York).

Nearly four-in-ten women who had abortions in 2020 (39%) had no previous live births at the time they had an abortion, according to the CDC. A quarter of women who had abortions in 2020 had one previous live birth, 20% had two previous live births, 10% had three, and 6% had four or more previous live births. These CDC figures include data from 42 states and New York City (but not the rest of New York).

When during pregnancy do most abortions occur?

The vast majority of abortions occur during the first trimester of a pregnancy. In 2020, 93% of abortions occurred during the first trimester – that is, at or before 13 weeks of gestation, according to the CDC. An additional 6% occurred between 14 and 20 weeks of pregnancy, and 1% were performed at 21 weeks or more of gestation. These CDC figures include data from 40 states and New York City (but not the rest of New York).

How often are there medical complications from abortion?

About 2% of all abortions in the U.S. involve some type of complication for the woman, according to an article in Statpearls, an online health care resource. The article says that “most complications are considered minor such as pain, bleeding, infection and post-anesthesia complications.”

The CDC calculates case-fatality rates for women from legal induced abortions – that is, how many women die from abortion-related complications, for every 100,000 abortions that occur in the U.SThe rate was lowest during the most recent period examined by the agency (2013 to 2019), when there were 0.43 deaths to women per 100,000 legal induced abortions. The case-fatality rate reported by the CDC was highest during the first period examined by the agency (1973 to 1977), when it was 2.1 deaths to women per 100,000 legal induced abortions. During the five-year periods in between, the figure ranged from 0.5 (from 1993 to 1997) to 0.8 (from 1978 to 1982). The CDC says it calculates death rates by five-year and seven-year periods because of year-to-year fluctuation in the numbers and due to the relatively low number of women who die from abortion.

In 2019, the last year for which the CDC has information, four women in the U.S. died due to complications from induced abortions, according to the CDC. Two women died in this way in 2018, and three women in 2017. (These deaths all followed legal abortions.) In 2016, the CDC reported seven deaths due to either legal (six) or illegal (one) induced abortions. Since 1990, the annual number of deaths among women due to induced abortion has ranged from two to 12, according to the CDC.

The annual number of reported deaths from induced abortions tended to be higher in the 1980s, when it ranged from nine to 16, and from 1972 to 1979, when it ranged from 13 to 54 (1972 was the first year the CDC began collecting this data). One driver of the decline was the drop in deaths from illegal abortions. There were 35 deaths from illegal abortions in 1972, the last full year before Roe v. Wade. The total fell to 19 in 1973 and to single digits or zero every year after that. (The number of deaths from legal abortions has also declined since then, though with some slight variation over time.)

The number of deaths from induced abortions was considerably higher in the 1960s than afterward. For instance, there were 235 deaths from abortions in 1965 and 280 in 1963, according to reports by the then-U.S. Department of Health, Education and Welfare, a precursor to the Department of Health and Human Services. The CDC is a division of Health and Human Services.

(PEW)

JANUARY 11, 2023

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2023/01/11/what-the-data-says-about-abortion-in-the-u-s-2/

 

777-43-14/Polls

U.S. Party Preferences Evenly Split In 2022 After Shift To GOP

Americans’ party preferences were evenly divided in 2022, with 45% of U.S. adults identifying as Republican or saying they were Republican-leaning independents, and 44% identifying as Democrats or saying they were Democratic-leaning independents. The last time preferences were this closely divided was in 2011, with Democrats holding at least a three-percentage-point advantage in each year of the past decade.

More generally, stretching back to 1991, when Gallup began regularly measuring party identification and leaning, Democrats have held an edge in most years.

The latest results are based on combined data from 2022 Gallup telephone surveys, which encompass interviews with more than 10,000 U.S. adults. In each survey it conducts, Gallup asks Americans whether they identify politically as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent. Independents are then asked a follow-up question about whether they “lean” more toward the Democratic Party or the Republican Party. The combined measure of partisan identification and leanings gives an indication of party strength in the U.S. population.

A virtual tie in party identification and leaning represents one of the better outcomes for the Republican Party over the past three decades. Only once, in 1991, after then-president George H.W. Bush led the successful Persian Gulf War, did significantly more Americans identify as or lean Republican (48%) than Democratic (44%).

Party preferences were previously tied or separated by one point in 2001 through 2003 and in 2010 and 2011. The earlier stretch included the first three years of George W. Bush’s presidency, which were shaped largely by strong public support for Bush after the 9/11 terrorist attacks. The later period included the second and third years of Barack Obama’s presidency, when his popularity sagged and the Tea Party movement gained influence in American politics.

The stronger year for Republicans in 2022 was manifested in their party’s winning control of the U.S. House of Representatives. Nationwide, more voters cast ballots for Republicans than Democratic U.S. House candidates last year by a margin of about three points. However, Republicans were not able to gain a majority in the U.S. Senate.

Largest Percentage of Americans Still Identify as Independents

When Gallup began conducting its interviews exclusively by telephone in 1988, there were similar proportions of Democrats, Republicans and independents in the U.S. In the early 1990s, independents began to outnumber Republicans and Democrats, but that advantage faded in the early 2000s.

However, since 2009, independent identification has grown and reached levels not seen before. Now, political independents (41%) greatly outnumber Republican (28%) and Democratic (28%) identifiers.

The 2022 figures represent a one-point increase in Republican identification compared with 2021, and one-point declines in Democratic and independent identification.

Last year also marked only the ninth time in the past 35 years in which Democrats did not hold at least a slight advantage (of two or more points) over Republicans in party identification. This also occurred in 1991, 1995, 2001 through 2005, and 2020.

Since 2011, no less than 39% of Americans have identified as independent, with the percentage 40% or higher in all but the 2016 and 2020 presidential election years. Before 2011, independent identification reached as high as 39% only twice: in 1995 and 2007.

A 2022 Gallup analysis found that increased independent identification appears to be driven in large part by Generation X and the millennial generation continuing to identify as independents as they age. In prior generations, U.S. adults became less likely to identify as independents as they got older. About half of millennials and more than four in 10 in Generation X currently identify as independents, compared with less than a third in older generations.

Bottom Line

Last year was not as strong a year for Republicans electorally as they had wanted. Although they won a majority of House seats, they were hoping to win a larger majority than they did, which played out this month in their difficulty electing a Speaker of the House. The GOP also failed to win a majority in the Senate, though they needed a net pickup of only one seat to do so.

However, the Republicans did have a better year from the standpoint of reaching parity with Democrats, in U.S. adults’ party identification and leaning. Americans' dissatisfaction with the state of the nation at a time when Democrats controlled the presidency and both houses of Congress likely is the cause of the 2022 shift in party leanings. Similar shifts occurred in 1994 and 2010. Dissatisfaction with the state of the nation under Republican leadership also likely accounts for the shifts toward greater Democratic Party identification and leaning seen between 2006 and 2008.

To the extent history is a guide, 2023 party preferences may be similar to those in 2022. The years 1995, 2007, 2011 and 2019 showed party divisions similar to the prior year’s after the president’s party lost control of the House in the midterm elections.

(Gallup)

JANUARY 12, 2023

Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/467897/party-preferences-evenly-split-2022-shift-gop.aspx

 

777-43-15/Polls

Three-In-Five Canadians Want Further Development Of Nuclear Power In The Country

 As the world pushes towards net-zero emissions targets, and away from the war-influenced roller coaster of fossil fuel prices, many countries – including Canada – are putting the nuclear option back on the table.

Touted as a low greenhouse gas emission energy source, and a way to insulate against the volatile prices of fossil fuels, nuclear power has returned to vogue following a year of oil price shocks.

New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds increasing support from Canadians for nuclear power. In June 2021, half (51%) of Canadians said they would like to see further development of nuclear power generation. Now approaching three-in-five (57%) say the same.

Over a decade ago, in the wake of the 2011 Fukushima nuclear disaster, there was a global move away from nuclear power. Quebec decommissioned its only nuclear power plant in 2012, while Ontario in 2020 had planned a phase out at its Pickering plant, which has since been delayed.

Proximity is a key consideration with Fukushima and the 1986 Chernobyl catastrophe in recent memory. The latter irradiated a more than 4,000 square kilometre area around the plant still closed for the most part to human activity. However, two-in-five (43%) Canadians say they would be comfortable with a nuclear power plant operating within 50 kilometres of where they live. That proportion increases when Canadians consider a plant operating within 500 kilometres of their home (58%) or within their province (59%).

Further, the data indicate strong support among Canadians for increasing development of solar (81%) and wind power (74%). Support for the continued development of crude oil is muted nationally (50%), but higher in regions where it represents a significant economic pillar – Alberta (75%), Saskatchewan (72%) and Newfoundland and Labrador (72%).

More Key Findings:

  • Among the energy sources surveyed, Canadians are least supportive of the expanded use of hydraulic fracturing, also known as fracking (31%), and coal mining (19%).
  • Quebec is the only province in which a majority (56%) oppose the expansion of nuclear power. Quebecers (70%), alongside Newfoundlanders and Labradorians (63%), say they are uncomfortable with a nuclear power plant in their province at a majority level.
  • At least two-thirds of men of all ages believe Canada should expand nuclear power as an energy source. Women are divided over the increased use of nuclear power (43% support, 38% oppose).
  • More than four-in-five (86%) past Conservative voters support the expansion of the use of oil and gas in Canada. One-third (32%) of those who voted Liberal in 2021, and one-quarter (23%) of those who voted NDP, say the same.

 

About ARI

The Angus Reid Institute (ARI) was founded in October 2014 by pollster and sociologist, Dr. Angus Reid. ARI is a national, not-for-profit, non-partisan public opinion research foundation established to advance education by commissioning, conducting and disseminating to the public accessible and impartial statistical data, research and policy analysis on economics, political science, philanthropy, public administration, domestic and international affairs and other socio-economic issues of importance to Canada and its world.

Because its small population precludes drawing discrete samples over multiple waves, data on Prince Edward Island is not released.

 

INDEX

Part One: Nuclear power in Canada

  • Three-in-five Canadians support expanding nuclear power generation
  • Desire to expand nuclear increased in last year
  • How close is too close?

Part Two: Oil and gas, and the green alternatives

  • Support high for further development of renewables, lower for fossil fuels
  • Regional divide evident in support for expansion of oil and gas

 

Part One: Nuclear power in Canada

Nuclear power generation has been part of Canada’s electricity mix since the early 1960s. There are currently four nuclear power plants operating in two Canadian provinces – three in Ontario and one in New Brunswick. The Canada Energy Regulator estimates the four nuclear stations generate 15 per cent of the country’s electricity.

The global energy crisis brought on by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine increased interest in nuclear power. Nuclear power is also seen as “critical” to meeting global net zero emissions targets by the administration of U.S. President Joe Biden and the International Energy Agency. Last year, the Canadian government agreed, announcing $1 billion in funding for small modular nuclear reactors.

However, there are significant concerns with Canada’s aging nuclear power plants. All of Canada’s nuclear reactors were built between the 1960s and 1990s, more than half of which have aged beyond their designed 30-year operating lifetime. There are also persistent concerns over the storage of nuclear waste, which must be isolated for hundreds of years. Canada has generated 2.5 million cubic metres of radioactive waste from its history of nuclear power production, 99 per cent of which is graded as having “low-level” radioactivity. Currently, nuclear waste is stored at seven locations in Manitoba, Ontario, Quebec, and New Brunswick, mostly near active or former nuclear reactors.

Three-in-five Canadians support expanding nuclear power generation

Approaching twice as many Canadians support the expansion of nuclear power in the country (57%) as oppose it (30%). Support for further nuclear power generation is high in two provinces that currently have nuclear power plants operating, Ontario (70%) and New Brunswick (63%). Those two provinces have begun exploring smaller so-called “modular nuclear reactors”, alongside Saskatchewan (73%) and Alberta (71%), where support for more nuclear power is also high.

Opposition to the further development of nuclear power is highest in Quebec (56%), which decommissioned its only nuclear power plant in 2012.

Because its small population precludes drawing discrete samples over multiple waves, data on Prince Edward Island is not released.

Past Conservative voters are more supportive of further development of nuclear energy (73%) than those who voted Liberal (54%) or NDP (56%). Still, more than half of those who voted for those two parties in 2021 believe nuclear power should be expanded in Canada:

Men, and especially those aged 18- to 34-years old, are much more supportive of Canada increasing its use of nuclear power than women. Women of all ages are divided over the prospect of increasing nuclear power generation than not. This gender divide over nuclear power support has been seen in public opinion dating back to the 1970s.

Desire to expand nuclear increased in last year

2022 saw a resurgence in appreciation for the potential of nuclear power, after a period of decline for the industry brought on by the Fukushima nuclear disaster in 2011. That year a tsunami caused a nuclear accident at Japan’s Fukushima nuclear power plant. In the aftermath, several countries, including Japan and Germany, began scaling back their nuclear power generation. Ontario, too, had planned to phase out its Pickering plant, though it has since delayed that plan.

An oil price shock in 2022 brought on by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has made some countries delay or reconsider their nuclear phaseouts. With many countries setting net zero emissions goals, there is significant appeal in nuclear power as a low emission energy source.

With all this in the background, Canadian support for nuclear power expansion has grown by six points (51% to 57%) in the last 18 months. Meanwhile, support for the increase of supply of other sources such as oil and gas, coal, solar, and wind is stable:

How close is too close?

In the history of nuclear power generation, only two events have been designated a “major accident” by the International Nuclear Event Scale: the 1986 Chernobyl disaster and the 2011 Fukushima disaster. Two North American disasters – an accident in Chalk River, Ont. in 1952 and the partial meltdown at Three Mile Island in 1979 – are rated lower on the scale.

The disaster at Chernobyl required an initial evacuation of around 30 kilometres from the centre of the power plant, while the disaster at Fukushima required a smaller evacuation of 20 kilometres. Both disasters spawned exclusion zones that persist to this day, though the one around Chernobyl is much larger in size – 4,143 square kilometres – than the one around Fukushima – 207 square kilometres. Chernobyl killed 30 people initially and 60 of radiation induced cancer. A UN report on Chernobyl in 2005, which has been contested, estimated 4,000 people died in the years since due to disaster-related illnesses. There has only been one casualty due to radiation from the Fukushima disaster, but more than 2,000 people died as a result of the evacuation.

The potential for nuclear disaster means proximity is an important consideration when it comes to nuclear power plants. While there is much less appetite for Canadians for a nuclear power plant to be operating closer to their home than farther away, two-in-five (43%) say they would be comfortable with one operating within 50 kilometres of where they live. That number rises to three-in-five (58%) for a nuclear power plant operating within 500 kilometres. Overall, the majority (59%) say they would be comfortable with a power plant operating in their province:

In the two provinces where nuclear power plants currently operate – Ontario and New Brunswick – residents are much more comfortable (74% Ontario, 70% New Brunswick) than not (26%, 30% respectively). Majorities of Albertans (70%) and Saskatchewanians (74%), too, say they would be comfortable with a nuclear power plant in their province. Only in Quebec (70%) and Newfoundland and Labrador (63%) do majorities of residents say they would be uneasy with nuclear power generation happening in their province:

Because its small population precludes drawing discrete samples over multiple waves, data on Prince Edward Island is not released.

Part Two: Oil and gas, and the green alternatives

In 2021, the federal government passed a law to commit to achieving net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. The road map to reaching that goal includes reducing emissions by 40 to 45 per cent from 2005 levels by 2030.

Electricity generation was the sixth largest source of greenhouse gas emissions in Canada in 2020, although there have already been significant reductions in emissions in that sector since the turn of the century. According to the government, greenhouse gases from combustion-based electricity generation have declined by 52 per cent between 2005 and 2020. This is attributed in a large part due to the decline in the use of coal across the country, and increase in the use of renewables. Renewable sources currently represent 18.9 per cent of Canada’s total energy supply, meaning non-renewable, and emissions-intensive energy, still plays a significant role.

Support high for further development of renewables, lower for fossil fuels

There are high levels of support among Canadians for the expansion of solar (81%), and wind (74%) power generation. For both, support is higher among women than men.

There is less support overall for further development of fossil fuels. Traditional oil and gas receive the most support, with half of Canadians (50%) on board with expansion of that energy source. There is less enthusiasm for hydraulic fracturing (31%) – also known as fracking – and coal mining (19%). For all three fossil fuel sources, men are more interested in seeing their expansion than women:

There is also more enthusiasm for an increase in the use of fossil fuel from past Conservative voters than those who voted for other parties in the 2021 election. Those who voted Liberal, NDP and Bloc Québécois are much more supportive of renewable sources than those who voted Conservative, though notably a majority of past CPC voters support the expansion of solar (65%) and half (53%) the expansion of wind:

Regional divide evident in support for expansion of oil and gas

The extraction of oil and gas represents significant pillars in the economies of Alberta, Saskatchewan and Newfoundland and Labrador. In those three provinces, enthusiasm for the expansion of oil and gas is much higher than elsewhere in the country. Those in Quebec (55%) are the most likely to oppose more energy being drawn from oil and gas. Opinion is much more divided elsewhere in the country:

Because its small population precludes drawing discrete samples over multiple waves, data on Prince Edward Island is not released.

(Angus Reid Institute)

January 11, 2023

Source: https://angusreid.org/canada-energy-nuclear-power-oil-and-gas-wind-solar/

 

777-43-16/Polls

One-In-Nine Sports Fans (11%) Say They’re Watching Less Because Of Serious Injuries In Contact Sports

The Buffalo Bills will have an easier time preparing for their playoff matchup this weekend – at least mentally – now knowing that teammate and safety Damar Hamlin has been released from hospital after suffering a terrifying injury on January 2. The Bills take on the Miami Dolphins, a team that will be without their own quarterback Tua Tagovailoa after he suffered what many suspect was his third concussion of the season in a game played on Christmas Day.

These injuries highlight the tension between the love of contact sports and the extent to which Canadians deem serious risk of injury necessary to play them. A new study from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds Canadian sports fans battling these competing realities.

Asked specifically about the incident involving Hamlin, seven per cent of viewers were affected to the point that they are more likely to tune out from contact sports in the future. One-in-three (34%) were upset by the incident but will continue watching, while three-in-five (58%) say that it didn’t affect them personally and is “just an unfortunate part of the game.”

This latest catastrophic injury adds to a growing awareness of the risks of contact sports. In recent years, discussions of traumatic brain injury have grown immensely, leading leagues to introduce new protocols for diagnosing and treating these injuries. The unavoidability of concussions in sports appears to be weighing on many fans, even if it isn’t causing them to tune out entirely.

Overall, 11 per cent say they watch less contact sports – where there is a perceived increased risk of brain injury – than they used to. Further, fully half (53%) say they think about the concussion risks more often now when they watch sports like football and hockey. One-in-three (36%) say this is not something they really think about when they watch sports.

More Key Findings:

  • Four-in-five (83%) Canadians say they were following the injury to Damar Hamlin in the days following the incident (Jan. 2 to Jan. 5).
  • Close to half of those who follow the NFL very closely or closely say they were emotionally affected by the injury. Approximately five per cent in each group say they are less likely to watch football in the future, while the rest say the injury didn’t affect them personally.
  • One-in-nine sports fans (11%) say they were already watching fewer contact sports like hockey and football than they used to because of the risk of traumatic brain injury
  • More than four-in-five sports fans (84%) say they would play football for $5 million a year, at least for a couple of years, if they had the talent and opportunity. Approaching one-in-five (16%) say it is too risky, even with that multimillion-dollar payout

About ARI

The Angus Reid Institute (ARI) was founded in October 2014 by pollster and sociologist, Dr. Angus Reid. ARI is a national, not-for-profit, non-partisan public opinion research foundation established to advance education by commissioning, conducting and disseminating to the public accessible and impartial statistical data, research and policy analysis on economics, political science, philanthropy, public administration, domestic and international affairs and other socio-economic issues of importance to Canada and its world.

Because its small population precludes drawing discrete samples over multiple waves, data on Prince Edward Island is not released.

INDEX:

Part One: Damar Hamlin injured on Monday Night Football

  • Vast majority watched or followed Hamlin injury
  • An unfortunate part of the game

Part Two: Brain injury risk weighs on many sports fans

  • Concussions in contact sport a concern for two-thirds of fans
  • Risk vs. Reward? Most would still play football if they had the chance to make millions

Appendix: How many follow professional football in Canada?

 

 Part One: Damar Hamlin injured on Monday Night Football

 Vast majority watched or followed Hamlin injury

 The sports world came to a standstill on Jan. 2, after what looked like a routine tackle by Buffalo Bills safety Damar Hamlin proved to be anything but routine. Hamlin collapsed in cardiac arrest and was immediately given CPR and defibrillation on the field. As his life lay in the balance, stunned and terrified teammates stood aside in prayer. The game was suspended and ultimately cancelled as Hamlin was taken to the University of Cincinnati Medical Centre for treatment.

In the days that followed, fans and players from around the world showed support on social media and by donating more than $8 million to his charitable toy drive on GoFundMe. Hamlin has fortunately made considerable progress in his recovery, reportedly asking doctors “did we win” when he awoke for the first time nearly 48 hours after collapsing. Hamlin, a Pittsburgh native who attended the University of Pittsburgh to remain close to family, is just 24 years old.

One-in-11 Canadians (9%) say that they watched the incident unfold live, while others began to follow along in the hours and days that followed:

An unfortunate part of the game

Many viewers were overjoyed as they saw Hamlin tweeting along as his team took the field on Sunday. A first play kick-return touchdown by Nyheim Hines further brought tears to the eyes of some. The game, however, represents a tension between viewers and a sport that can be damaging if not crippling or ultimately fatal to its participants.

While the specific injury to Hamlin is rare, it was enough for a handful of sports fans (7%) to say that they are probably going to watch less contact sports going forward. One-in-three (34%) say that they were emotionally impacted by the injury, but are still going to watch, while 58 per cent say this it was an “unfortunate part of the game” and that they don’t think about it much further beyond that:

This type of incident evidently has a widespread and varying impact on different levels of fans. Those who follow the NFL most closely are much more likely to say that they were personally upset about Hamlin’s injury, but that their viewership would likely not change. Those further removed are more likely to say that they will watch less or that they are far enough removed that it won’t impact them. This suggests a challenge in drawing new viewers to sports where injury concern is paramount:

Part Two: Brain injury risk weighs on many sports fans

While the cardiac arrest suffered by Hamlin was a rare sports occurrence, traumatic brain injuries are not. The NFL has reported an average of well over 200 concussions a year since 2015. Most prominently this year, Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa experienced a disturbing head injury on Thursday Night Football in late September, while also enduring a second and third concussion later in the season.

For their part, one-in-five Canadians say this is an experience they’ve had themselves playing sports.

Related: One-in-five Canadians say they’ve suffered a concussion playing sports

 

Concussions in contact sport a concern for two-thirds of fans

The increased awareness of head injuries in sports has had an effect on many sports fans. One-in-nine (11%) say they are watching less contact sports in recent years because of what society continues to learn about brain injuries. Fully half (53%) say this is something they think about more now when they watch, even if it doesn’t negatively impact their viewership:

Widespread awareness of this issue is evident among those who follow both the CFL and the NFL.

Risk vs. Reward? Most would still play football if they had the chance to make millions

To better understand the risk versus reward nature of this debate, Canadian sports fans were asked a hypothetical question: if you could play professional football for $5 million per year, would you? (The question asks each person to assume they had a sufficient talent level, and that their position would be running back.)

Half (52%) say they would play for as long as possible, including two-thirds of men over the age of 34. Another three-in-ten (30%) say they would play for a year or two to earn the money and then quit. This is the most common response among young women (42%). A handful would only play if they were able to be the quarterback, while 16 per cent say the risk is not worth the reward. One-quarter of women over the age of 34 choose this latter option:

Appendix: How many follow professional football in Canada?

 Canadians were asked how closely they follow a variety of professional sports in Canada. For those results, please see the detailed tables below. Overall, attention paid to the NFL is slightly higher than that paid to the CFL, with notable demographic variations:

(Angus Reid Institute)

January 13, 2023

Source: https://angusreid.org/damar-hamlin-injury-contact-sports/

 

777-43-17/Polls

Eight Out Of Ten Brazilians Disapprove Of The Acts Of 08/01 In Brasilia

81% of the Brazilian population does not approve of the acts that took place on January 8 in Brasília, which led to the destruction of the headquarters of the three powers. This is what a survey carried out by Ipsos in the five regions of the country indicates. Only 18% of the participants responded that they approved the act and 1% did not know how to respond. 
“Although the total results indicate that the vast majority of the population disapproves of the events of the 8th in Brasília, with less than a fifth (18%) approving those acts, we identified that among Bolsonaro voters this number doubles: 37% approve, still that in part. And if we add to these those who only partially disapprove, we have that only 48% of those who voted for Bolsonaro disapprove of what happened in Brasília this Sunday”, comments Helio Gastaldi, director of public opinion and corporate reputation surveys at Ipsos.
Responsible
The survey also questioned respondents about who would be responsible for the protests. For 70% of the population, former president Jair Bolsonaro is responsible for the facts. The former president appears right behind the governor of the Federal District (DF), Ibaneis Rocha, cited by 71% as one of those responsible for the acts.
On the other hand, 39% of the participants indicated a share of responsibility for the current president, Luís Inácio Lula da Silva. The Federal Supreme Court (STF) was pointed out by 48% of the respondents. 
Still with regard to responsibility for the acts, 53% of respondents believe that everyone who was present at the demonstration should be punished. 41% say that only those who have proven to have committed violence and depredation should receive some form of punishment. Another 41% also claim that a punishment should be given to the Federal Police of the DF, for carrying out actions in the face of the acts. As for 40%, the former President, Jair Bolsonaro, should also be held accountable. The former security secretary of the DF, Anderson Torres (39%) and the governor of the DF, Ibaneis Rocha (38%) were also cited. Only 2% of respondents believe that no one should be punished and 4% said they had no opinion on the matter. 
In both questions, respondents could indicate more than one answer, so the sum of the results is greater than 100%.
“Here it is important to analyze the results not only by the totals, but also discriminating the opinions between those who voted for Lula and those who voted for Bolsonaro. They show us a scenario of absolute polarization, and with different views on what happened in Brasília on the 8th. For Bolsonaro voters, the responsibility for the acts lies with President Lula, the STF and the TSE, and not with the former president Jair Bolsonaro, nor the PM of the DF, nor the governor of the DF.”, comments Gastaldi. 
Still according to Gastaldi, 69% of Bolsonaro voters believe that there was some form of fraud in the elections, which would explain the fact that they did not accept the results of the polls and their motivation for the protests.
Removal of the Governor of the Federal District
The removal of Governor Ibaneis Rocha by the Minister of the STF, Alexandre de Moraes, was also the subject of the research. 67% of respondents said they agree with the decision to remove him. Already 20% of people said they disagree with the measure. 9% do not have an opinion on the subject and another 4% did not know how to respond. 
Perspectives of new acts
Seven out of ten Brazilians (70%) showed concern with the possibility of new acts of the type occurring in the country, while 23% of people do not believe that events of the type can happen again and 7% did not know how to respond. 
future of Brazil
Finally, the survey asked participants about their main feelings regarding the future of the country. 61% of the interviewees answered that they see the future with concern. Shame (36%), fear (34%), optimism (33%) and revolt (24%) were also options mentioned by Brazilians. In this question, respondents could also indicate more than one answer, so the sum of the results is greater than 100%.

(Ipsos Canada)

January 13, 2023

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/pt-br/oito-em-cada-dez-brasileiros-desaprovam-os-atos-de-0801-em-brasilia

 

AUSTRALIA

777-43-18/Polls

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Jumps 4.9pts To 87.4 In Traditional New Year’s Bounce – Highest Since September 2022

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence jumped by 4.9pts to 87.4 this week to reach its highest for over three months since late September 2022 (87.8). However, Consumer Confidence is a large 18.6pts below the same week a year ago, January 4-9, 2022 (106.0). Consumer Confidence is now only 1.3pts below the 2022 weekly average of 88.7.

During the fifty year history of the Consumer Confidence index we have usually seen an increase in Consumer Confidence in the New Year, although this long-running trend was not in evidence during the bushfires of 2019-20 and the COVID-19 pandemic of the last two years.

This week’s increase of 4.9pts to start 2023 is the first increase in the first week of January for five years since January 2018 when the first weekly result was 122.0 (January 6/7, 2018), up 5.5 points on the last week of December 16/17, 2017 (116.5).

Consumer Confidence was up around Australia in NSW, Victoria, Queensland and South Australia but was down in Western Australia.

There were improvements across the index especially concerning views of personal finances and the Australian economy’s performance over the next year as well as improved sentiment regarding whether now is a ‘good/bad time to buy’ major household items.

Current financial conditions

  • Now 22% of Australians (down 1ppt) say their families are ‘better off’ financially than this time last year compared to 45% (down 1ppt) that say their families are ‘worse off’ financially.

Future financial conditions

  • Looking forward, a third of Australians, 33% (up 3ppts), expect their family to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year while slightly fewer, 28% (down 5ppts), expect to be ‘worse off’.

Current economic conditions

  • Only 9% (up 3ppts) of Australians expect ‘good times’ for the Australian economy over the next twelve months compared to slightly less than a third, 32% (down 3ppts), that expect ‘bad times.’

Future economic conditions

  • Sentiment regarding the Australian economy in the longer term is still very weak with only 14% (up 2ppts) of Australians expecting ‘good times’ for the economy over the next five years compared to 17% (down 1ppt) expecting ‘bad times’.

Time to buy a major household item

  • When it comes to buying intentions now over a quarter, 26% (up 4ppts) of Australians, say now is a ‘good time to buy’ major household items while 45% (down 3ppts), say now is a ‘bad time to buy’.

ANZ Senior Economist, Adelaide Timbrell, commented:

Consumer confidence jumped 4.9pts to 87.4 last week, reaching its highest level since late September 2022. This was the first new year’s jump in confidence since 2018. While homeowners paying off mortgages are still reporting lower confidence than renters and outright owners, average confidence among all three groups rose in the new year. Despite the new year jump, confidence is still well below the neutral level (100) and the long-run average of 111.7. Household inflation expectations eased significant by 0.9ppt from the last print of 2022, suggesting cautious optimism about lower inflation through 2023.

(Roy Morgan)

January 10, 2023

Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9140-anz-roy-morgan-consumer-confidence-january-10

 

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

777-43-19/Polls

Declining Interest In The War In Ukraine Among European Union Countries

About to be one year after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the war continues to mark the socioeconomic news of Europe and the rest of the world. The new year has not managed to put an end to the offensive and its consequences, such as the rise in the price of fuel or the insecurity in the energy supply; But, has the perception of the population about this conflict changed?
The Directorate General for Communication of the European Commission commissioned a survey from Ipsos to find out, among other things, the opinion of European citizens on the EU's response to the war in Ukraine, as well as to analyze the evolution of the population's interest in the same. 

Interest in the war decreases, although it does not disappear

About eight out of ten people in member countries follow news related to the war in Ukraine at least several times a week. However, the frequency with which they follow these news has decreased considerably in recent months, going from daily to weekly.If in April 2022, 41% followed the state of the war several times a day, currently that figure has fallen by 18 points, to 23%, while the number of people who follow the news several times a day has increased by 9 points. week. However, 29% are informed once a day, a figure that has not changed compared to nine months ago. In the case of Spain, the trend is almost identical, 23% follow the war once a day, which also represents a decrease of 18 points, while the percentage of people who follow it several times a week has grown by 11 points (29%). People who report once a day represent 31%, the same figure as in April last year.

The same thing happens with the conversations around the war and its effects, it has also decreased. Although slightly more than a third (35%) of EU citizens talk about the conflict with their friends and family several times a week, the percentage of those who do so several times a day or daily has decreased, by less than 13 and 7 points respectively. Again a photo that is repeated at the national level, only 10% of Spanish society does it several times a day, a decrease of 14 points compared to April 2022, while 39% deal with the issue several times a week. 

The people of Spain, satisfied with their country as far as the war is concerned 

The majority of the Spanish population is satisfied with their country's reaction to the war in Ukraine (62%) compared to 27% who are dissatisfied. Data in line with the European average, 59% satisfied and 30% dissatisfied.
Poland would be the country where they are most satisfied with their country's response, with 83%, and at the opposite extreme we find Slovakia, where only 33% of its citizens are comfortable. In general, compared to the April 2022 results, the percentages have decreased across the board in almost all countries.

Another aspect analyzed in this survey is satisfaction with government decision-making. In this sense, the general satisfaction of European citizens remains unchanged. Approximately one in two say they are satisfied with the EU's reaction to the war in Ukraine, ranging from 28% in Greece, 46% in Spain and 67% in Denmark. 

Majority support for the economic and humanitarian measures adopted by Europe 

Regarding the measures taken to help the Ukrainian population, nine out of ten people in Europe and in Spain approve of the provision of humanitarian aid to people affected by the war . In the same way, 85% support the reception in the EU of people fleeing the war where, although the general approval of this measure has decreased by seven points since the last analysis, throughout Europe.

59% of Europeans approve the financing of the purchase and supply of military equipment to Ukraine, a practically similar figure for Spain (58%) . Furthermore, 70% of the European people approve of general economic support for Ukraine. The approval level for this measure is above 50% in most Member States with exceptions in Hungary (49%), Bulgaria (46%) and Slovakia (45%).

In the economic line, close to 70% of the European population and 73% of the Spanish population approve the economic sanctions against the Russian Government, companies and individuals. In only five countries, less than half support this type of sanctions: Hungary (47%), Bulgaria and Slovakia (43%), Greece (38%) and Cyprus (37%). 

Has the war strengthened the feeling of unity in Europe?

When evaluating whether this war crisis has strengthened ties between member countries, four out of ten European citizens (41%) believe that it has. By contrast, one in three people (32%) in Europe think it has had a debilitating effect . In Spain, the percentage of people who think that it has served to strengthen the EU is 4 points higher (45%), while 30% declare that it has caused the opposite. 

The majority of respondents in Europe (55%) agree that, in general, there is solidarity between Member States in the European Union . The highest percentages agreeing with this statement are observed in Finland (74%) and Portugal (79%) and somewhat lower in Spain with 63%. The countries that least trust European solidarity are Greece (34%) and Cyprus (27%). 

(Ipsos Spain)

12 January 2023

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/es-es/desciende-el-interes-por-la-guerra-en-ucrania

 

777-43-20/Polls

Metaverse - A Still Unknown World, A Survey In 3 Nations

The exciting world of the Metaverse is currently one of the lynchpins of progressive digitization and promises new technological possibilities and advances. But the new digital world is still relatively unknown in Germany compared to other countries. While just over half of consumers in England (57 percent) and the US (55 percent) have heard of the Metaverse, only 33 percent of Germans are familiar with the virtual world - 61 percent say they have never heard of it to have. In particular, younger and middle-aged respondents (25 to 34 years) are familiar with the metaverse (53 percent).

 

 

 

The recent YouGov study “ Meta-What? – Hype or the Next Big Thing ” compares and examines consumer attitudes towards the Metaverse in Germany, the UK and the US. To do this, the study analyzes the demographics of the target groups of the Metaverse pioneers, the curious, the undecided and the disinterested.

 

 

 

Pioneers are mostly men

5 percent of Germans are Metaverse pioneers and have already explored the digital world. This group consists mainly of men (62 percent) between the ages of 35 and 44 (33 vs. 15 percent of the total population). This group also engages in digital media such as computer games in their free time and is less concerned about online privacy, with 71 percent saying they don't care about online privacy (vs. 17 percent of the general population). The majority of this group (80 percent) are often the first to try new technology products and services and are willing to pay more for quality products (88 percent). The pioneers are also financially interested in the latest digital products, 65 percent are willing to give up their bank account and use cryptocurrency instead,

 

The curious are open to discovering the Metaverse

The Curious consumer group (14 percent) has not been to the Metaverse before, but is interested in the digital world. This target group consists largely of younger men (54 percent) between the ages of 25 and 34 (25 vs. 15 percent of the total population). More than half of the curious (67 percent) believe that augmented reality could be useful for everyday applications, only 41 percent of Germans share this opinion. This target group mainly uses social media for news and entertainment (86 vs. 65 percent of the total population) and is interested in new technology products, services and apps (87 percent). The majority of the curious (84 percent) believe

 

Undecided wait to be convinced

12 percent of Germans are undecided, i.e. have not yet been to the Metaverse and are unsure whether they are interested in it. This target group is on average 55 years or older (45 percent) and almost a fifth (19 percent) are already retired (vs. 25 percent of the total population). Although only 1 percent of this target group finds out about new technical devices and services, the undecided are open to technological innovations and see robots as part of our future everyday life (77 percent). This target group can best be reached via advertising posters (65 percent) and attach great importance to the opinion of experts when buying products (65 vs. 58 percent of the total population).

 

Those who are disinterested are mainly women

The majority of Germans (62 percent) are disinterested, this group has not yet been to the Metaverse and has no interest in it. The disinterested are mainly women (54 percent) aged 55 and over (50 vs. 41 percent of the total population). The majority of this group (77 percent) find advertising annoying (vs. 73 percent of the general population), and almost half (42 percent) only buy new tech devices when the old ones fail (vs. 35 percent of the general population). Still, this demographic isn't completely disinterested in technology, for example, a quarter (24 percent) think online shopping will be a lot more fun with augmented reality and 42 percent believe artificial intelligence is the next step in evolution ( vs. 50 percent of the total population).

(YouGov Germany)

January 13, 2023

Source: https://yougov.de/topics/technology/articles-reports/2023/01/13/metaverse-eine-noch-unbekannte-welt