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BUSINESS & POLITICS IN THE WORLD
GLOBAL OPINION REPORT NO.771
Week:
November 28 – December 04, 2022
Presentation: December 09, 2022
Embassies, Firms In
China Criticize ‘Zero-Corona’ Plan As Too Strict
82% Pakistanis Think
That In The Last Six Months, Unemployment In The Country Has
Gotten Worse
Majority Of Britons
Expect Rishi Sunak To Lose Next General Election
Britons Tend To Oppose
Planned RMT Rail Strikes This Winter
Trade Unions Seen More
Negatively Following 2022’s Summer Strikes
One In Two French
Teenagers Suffers From Anxiety Or Depressive Symptoms
Half Of All Germans
Think That Billionaires Have Earned Their Success (51 Percent)
Three Quarters Of Dutch
Kitchens (Partly) Adjust The Daily Main Meal To The Current
Season
Drug Prices Stabilized
After September Growth
Cigarette Smoking Rate
In America Has Fallen From 35% To 12% In The Past Two Decades
About Two-Thirds Of U S
Adults (65%) See Clinical Trials As Very Important
After Declining Early
In The Covid-19 Outbreak, Immigrant Naturalizations In The US
Are Rising Again
US Men Roughly Twice As
Likely As US Women To Own A Gun, 43% vs 22%
Inflation Realities
Deflate Christmas Shopping Plans, Two-In-Five Cut Back On
Charitable Giving
France, Will The
Champion Defend His Title!
15 Million Australians
Read Magazines In Print And Online
Roy Morgan Business
Confidence Drops By 6.4 Points To 90.2 In November – Lowest
Since September 2020
Gender Inequality At
Work: A Real Problem For 67% Of G7 Citizens
Economic Worries Now
Concern More Than Half Of The Global Population, A Study In 19
Nations
INTRODUCTORY NOTE
771-43-24/Commentary:
Cigarette Smoking Rate In America Has Fallen From 35% To 12% In
The Past Two Decades
As the percentage of U.S. adults who smoke cigarettes
has reached
a new low of 11% this year,
much of the decline is tied to sharply lower smoking rates among
young adults. From 2001 to 2003, an average of 35% of U.S.
adults between the ages of 18 and 29 said they smoked
cigarettes, compared with 12% in the latest estimate.
This 23-percentage-point decline among young adults
is more than double that of any other age group over that time.
As a result of these changes, young adults have moved from the
group most likely to smoke cigarettes to the second-least
likely, with a rate higher than only the oldest Americans.
Gallup trends through 2012 showed that young adults
were the age group most likely to smoke cigarettes. Between 2013
and 2015, their smoking rates dipped below those of 30- to
49-year-olds, and by 2018, these had also fallen behind 50- to
64-year-olds’ smoking rates.
Now, the percentage of young adults who smoke is four
points above that for those 65 years and older, the age group
that has consistently been least likely to smoke.
These trend data on smoking by age are based on
aggregated data from Gallup’s annual Consumption Habits survey,
conducted each year from 2001 to 2022 with the exception of
2020. Three-year aggregates provide sufficiently large samples
to get stable estimates of young adults’ smoking habits over
time, as well as the ability to analyze subgroups of 18- to
29-year-old adults.
Smoking has historically been, and continues to be, highly
related to educational attainment. Young adults with a
college degree have consistently been far less likely to smoke
than young adults who have not graduated college. Both groups
have shown significant declines in smoking over time, but the
decline has been greater among young college nongraduates (25
points) than among young college graduates (10 points).
Specifically, the rate has dropped from 39% to 14% among young
adults without a college degree and from 17% to 7% among young
college graduates.
Smoking rates among men and women in the 18 to 29 age
group have also declined, and by roughly similar amounts.
Between 2001 and 2003, an average of 38% of young men and 32% of
young women smoked cigarettes. The current figures are 13% and
12%, respectively.
Some
Cigarette Smoking May Be Shifting to E-Cigarettes
Since 2019, Gallup has measured Americans’ use of
electronic cigarettes, also known as “vaping,” separately from
its measure of cigarette smoking. Between 2019 and 2022, an
average of 7% of U.S. adults reported smoking e-cigarettes in
the past week.
However, vaping is far more common among 18- to
29-year-olds, at 19%, than among older age groups, including 7%
of 30- to 49-year-olds, 3% of 50- to 64-year-olds and less than
1% of those 65 and older.
Given these differences, young adults are more likely
to vape than to smoke cigarettes, while among older age groups,
cigarette smoking prevails.
It is unclear to what extent e-cigarette usage has
grown among young adults in recent years because Gallup did not
ask the question before 2019. Federal surveys of students document
large growth in e-cigarette usage among teens between
2011 and 2018, at the same time cigarette smoking was declining
among this demographic.
These data suggest that much of the decline in
cigarette smoking among young adults may have been offset by
vaping, indicating that young adults are still smoking products
containing nicotine, but through different means.
Gallup has found that those who smoke e-cigarettes
are unlikely
to also smoke tobacco cigarettes. Among young adults
since 2019, an average 15% say they smoke e-cigarettes but not
tobacco cigarettes; 8% smoke tobacco cigarettes but not
e-cigarettes, and 4% smoke both.
The combined 27% of young adults who either smoke
cigarettes or vape approaches the 26% cigarette smoking rate
Gallup measured for this age group about a decade ago, although
it is still below the greater-than 30% incidence for cigarette
smoking before 2007.
Marijuana Usage Increasing Among Young Adults
In contrast to the decline in cigarette smoking among
young adults, use of marijuana in this age group has increased,
according to Gallup trends dating to 2013. Between 2019 and
2022, an average of 26% of young adults indicated they smoked
marijuana, up from 17% between 2013 and 2015.
More than twice as many young adults now say they
smoke marijuana as smoke cigarettes. Marijuana smoking is also
more common among young adults than vaping.
Marijuana usage has also climbed in recent years
among adults between the ages of 30 and 64, while it has been
stable at a low level among senior citizens.
Four in 10 young adults smoke at least one of the
three substances -- cigarettes, e-cigarettes or marijuana
-- including 3% who smoke all three, 11% who smoke marijuana
only, 9% who smoke e-cigarettes only and 3% who smoke cigarettes
only. Another 14% smoke two of the three substances, with the
majority of these young adults smoking e-cigarettes and
marijuana but not cigarettes.
Overall, slightly more than one in four U.S. adults
smoke any of the three substances, with the oldest Americans
least likely to do so.
Bottom
Line
Public health officials would be encouraged by the
steep decline in cigarette smoking over the past two decades, a
trend driven largely by plummeting smoking rates among young
adults. But young adults are increasingly smoking marijuana,
perhaps because it is now legal to use in a growing number of
states, and vaping. Both vaping and marijuana are more common
activities for young adults than traditional cigarette smoking.
Still, fewer young adults smoke or vape today than
smoked cigarettes two decades ago, before e-cigarettes became
widely available. And although many health researchers believe
vaping is safer than smoking traditional cigarettes, they do not
believe e-cigarettes are safe in general. Further, the long-term
health effects of vaping are not as well-known, and the Food and
Drug Administration has taken steps to try to limit marketing of
vaping to minors.
(Gallup)
NOVEMBER 28, 2022
Source:
https://news.gallup.com/poll/405884/cigarette-smoking-rates-down-sharply-among-young-adults.aspx
ASIA
(China)
Embassies, Firms In China Criticize ‘Zero-Corona’
Plan As Too Strict
The
Chinese government on Nov. 11 announced it was relaxing some
COVID-19 restrictions, such as the self-quarantine period.
Nomura International (Hong Kong) Ltd., a member of the Nomura
Holdings Inc. group, on Nov. 28 released the results of its
analysis finding that about 530 million Chinese in 68 cities
were affected by the lockdowns and other travel restrictions.
The figure was an increase of 100 million over the previous
week. The analysis said that would affect 25 percent of China’s
gross domestic product, exceeding the effects of the Shanghai
lockdown in the spring.
(Asahi
Shimbun)
November 29, 2022
(Turkey)
Today, One Out Of Every 2 People In Society Is Of
The Opinion That Men And Women Do Not Have Equal Rights
In
2018-2020, 60% of the society thought that women and men had
equal rights, but today this view has decreased to 53%. Today,
one out of every 2 people in society is of the opinion that men
and women do not have equal rights. Women's views on this issue
are more negative. When individuals are asked which social
responsibility projects should be prioritized, "women who are
subjected to violence" stands out as the first issue with 34%.
Although women are a little more relaxed during the day, they
don't feel safe when they're out at night or day, alone or with
friends. 9% say they feel safe at night. During the day, this
rate is slightly higher, but only 16%.
(Ipsos
Turkey)
30
November 2022
(Pakistan)
82% Pakistanis Think That In The Last Six Months,
Unemployment In The Country Has Gotten Worse
According to a survey conducted by Gallup & Gilani Pakistan, 82%
Pakistanis think that in the last six months, unemployment in
the country has gotten worse A nationally representative sample
of adult men and women from across the country was asked the
following question regarding, “In your opinion, in comparison to
last 6-month, unemployment in Pakistan is …..?” 2% responded
that it is much better, 8% said it is better, 7% said there is
no change.
(Gallup
Pakistan)
December 2, 2022
AFRICA
(Nigeria)
Almost 4 In 10 Nigerians Decry Desperation To Win
As The Major Cause Of Vote Buying In Nigeria
A new
public opinion poll conducted by NOIPolls has revealed that 37
percent of adult Nigerians interviewed disclosed that the
desperation of the political class to win elections is the major
cause of vote buying during elections. On the tendency of
electorates to accept gifts or favours from politicians and
their cronies during electioneering, the poll revealed that 30
percent of respondents who have registered to vote during the
2023 general election claimed that they would accept gifts or
favours from politicians and their cronies.
(NOI
Polls)
November 28, 2022
WEST EUROPE
(UK)
Majority Of Britons Expect Rishi Sunak To Lose
Next General Election
New
polling by Ipsos for the Sunday
Express shows
Britons are split when considering how well Rishi Sunak is
performing as Prime Minister. Now, 28% say he is doing a good
job, up from 21% at the start of the month, while around a
quarter (24%) believe he is performing badly (down 6 points).
Compared to his predecessors, Sunak is doing far better than Liz
Truss, only 8% said she was doing a good job in late-October
(76% said bad), while a similar proportion said Boris Johnson
was performing well at the start of July (26%).
(Ipsos
MORI)
28
November 2022
Britons Tend To Oppose Planned RMT Rail Strikes
This Winter
Britons
tend to oppose the strike element of the plan, with 47% opposed
and 41% supporting. These results are not far removed from prior
YouGov polling on rail strikes in the summer: a June poll found
Britons opposed
a rail transport workers strike taking place later that week by
45% to 37%, with
a poll the week following the strike finding the
opposition figure remained fixed while support now stood at
41%. An
October poll on
a forthcoming strike by train drivers and rail transport workers
taking place that week found backing higher still, although
Britons were still divided by 45% in support to 42% opposed.
(YouGov
UK)
November 29, 2022
Trade Unions Seen More Negatively Following
2022’s Summer Strikes
New YouGov
tracker data finds
that public opinion of trade unions is largely split. One in
three (35%) think trade unions play a positive role in Britain
today, compared to 34% who think they play a negative role.
Significantly, the number who think trade unions play a negative
role has risen noticeably, up nine points since June. By
contrast, the number who think trade unions play a positive role
is within the margin of error from the previous survey.
(YouGov
UK)
December 02, 2022
(France)
One In Two French Teenagers Suffers From Anxiety
Or Depressive Symptoms
1 in 2
French teenagers suffer from anxiety or depressive symptoms. 1
in 3 adolescents suspected of "generalized anxiety" (1/4 year
2021). Adolescents from more advantaged social categories are
somewhat more affected. 31% of adolescents in France are even
suspected of generalized anxiety disorder – an increase of 6
points in one year. It is a
global phenomenon that affects all categories, girls
(32%) as boys (30%), 11-12 year olds (32%) as well as 13-14 year
olds (30%) or 15-year-olds (30%). Unlike 2021, when adolescents
from all social categories were impacted by anxiety in the same
proportions.
November 28, 2022
(Germany)
Half Of All Germans Think That Billionaires Have
Earned Their Success (51 Percent)
Three
out of four Germans (75 percent) believe that without the
founders of such companies, our technical level would be much
lower today. Older respondents aged 55 and over say this most
frequently (80 percent). Half of all Germans think that
billionaires have earned their success (51 percent). This
opinion is most likely to be held by respondents of younger and
middle age (18- to 44-year-olds: 59 percent). But at the same
time, 74 percent of respondents are concerned that so much money
is in the hands of so few people. The desire of the
respondents that billionaires should use their wealth for the
benefit of humanity is great (75 percent).
(YouGov
Germany)
December 1, 2022
(Netherlands)
Three Quarters Of Dutch Kitchens (Partly) Adjust
The Daily Main Meal To The Current Season
Three-quarters of Dutch cuisines (partly) adjust the daily main
meal to the current season. In a quarter of the cases, this even
happens to a large extent. This behavior is of all ages, but not
of all environments in the Shopper Mentality™ model of
Motivaction. More than a quarter of the Dutch population (27%)
prefers winter food. Over-55s more (29%) than young people under
the age of 25 (21%). Exactly one in five prefers to eat spring
and summer dishes, young people much more (37%) than the elderly
(14%).
(Motivation Insights and Strategy)
December 1, 2022
(Russia)
Drug Prices Stabilized After September Growth
Research holding Romir calculated the index of the
pharmaceutical market "Price
of health", which reflects changes in prices for
medicines based on the actual purchases of Russians. In October,
drug prices stabilized after september growth and increased by
only 0.2% for the month. The index "The price of health" in
October was 167%. The increase was mainly due to the prices of
imported medicines.
(Romir)
29
November 2022
NORTH AMERICA
(USA)
Cigarette Smoking Rate In America Has Fallen From
35% To 12% In The Past Two Decades
As the
percentage of U.S. adults who smoke cigarettes has reached
a new low of 11% this year,
much of the decline is tied to sharply lower smoking rates among
young adults. From 2001 to 2003, an average of 35% of U.S.
adults between the ages of 18 and 29 said they smoked
cigarettes, compared with 12% in the latest estimate. Smoking
rates among men and women in the 18 to 29 age group have also
declined, and by roughly similar amounts. Between 2001 and 2003,
an average of 38% of young men and 32% of young women smoked
cigarettes. The current figures are 13% and 12%, respectively.
(Gallup)
NOVEMBER 28, 2022
About Two-Thirds Of U S Adults (65%) See Clinical
Trials As Very Important
Overall, about two-thirds of U.S. adults (65%) see clinical
trials as very important, despite the time such trials add to
the process of developing new treatments, according to a recent
Pew Research Center survey.
Around three-in-ten (29%) see the clinical trial process as
somewhat important, while 5% say it is not too or not at all
important. There is support for the role of clinical trials
across demographic, educational and partisan groups. Majorities
of Black (59%) and Hispanic adults (58%) say clinical trials are
very important, as do slightly larger shares of White (67%) and
English-speaking Asian adults (66%).
(PEW)
NOVEMBER 29, 2022
After Declining Early In The Covid-19 Outbreak,
Immigrant Naturalizations In The US Are Rising Again
More
than 900,000 immigrants became U.S. citizens during the 2022
fiscal year, according to a Pew Research Center estimate based
on government data released for the first three quarters of the
year. That annual total would be the third-highest on record and
the most in any fiscal year since 2008, when more than a million
people were naturalized. Federal fiscal years run from Oct. 1 to
Sept. 30.
(PEW)
DECEMBER 1, 2022
US Men Roughly Twice As Likely As US Women To Own
A Gun, 43% vs 22%
Since
2007, when Gallup began to track Americans’ personal gun
ownership annually, men have been much more likely than women to
say they are gun owners, but aggregated biennial data show gun
ownership has been more variable among women than men. Gun
ownership among women has swelled from the low teens to more
than 20% over the past 15 years, while it has remained in the
low to mid-40s among men during the same period.
(Gallup)
DECEMBER 2, 2022
(Canada)
Inflation Realities Deflate Christmas Shopping
Plans, Two-In-Five Cut Back On Charitable Giving
New
data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds more than
half of Canadians (56%) report that they will be spending less
on Christmas, including presents and entertaining. These
decisions are most prominent among those with lower income
levels. Approximately three-in-five (61%) of those earning less
than $50,000 annually say they are spending less on presents and
decorating this year. Fewer than half, but still 45 per cent of
those whose household incomes are above $200,000 say the same.
(Angus
Reid Institute)
December 5, 2022
(Cambodia)
France, Will The Champion Defend His Title!
The
World Cup already has its first team classified to the second
round and it is the current champion of the competition, France.
After beating Denmark 2-1 today, the European team took an
important step towards their main objective, to defend their
title, for which they are positioned as the second favorite
after Brazil. Group C has been quite even and with chances of
qualifying for everyone: Poland leads with their victory today
against Saudi Arabia 2-0 the percentage of odds, so it has 86%,
followed by Argentina with 64%, Arabia S. 33% and Mexico 16%.
The classification table has the same order and the distribution
of points is 4, 3, 3 and 1.
(CNC)
November 28, 2022
AUSTRALIA
15 Million Australians Read Magazines In Print
And Online
Now
11.2 million Australians aged 14+ (52.5%) read print magazines
according to the results released today from the Roy Morgan
Australian Readership report for the 12 months to September
2022. This market broadens to 15 million Australians aged 14+
(70.5%) who read magazines in print or online either via the web
or an app, a small drop of 4.2 per cent from a year ago. These
are the latest findings from the Roy Morgan Single Source survey
of 65,989 Australians aged 14+ in the 12 months to September
2022.
(Roy
Morgan)
November 29, 2022
Roy Morgan Business Confidence Drops By 6.4
Points To 90.2 In November – Lowest Since September 2020
In
November 2022 Roy Morgan Business Confidence was 90.2 (down
6.4pts since October), as declining confidence about the
performance of the Australian economy drove the index to its
lowest level since September 2020 during the middle of
Victoria’s second wave of COVID-19. The second straight monthly
fall in the index follows the RBA’s decision to raise interest
rates for a seventh straight month in early November, up by
0.25% to 2.85% - the highest official interest rates for over
nine years since May 2013.
(Roy
Morgan)
December 02, 2022
MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES
Only Six In Ten (63%) Internet Users On Average
Across The 20 Countries Included Said They Trust The Internet
Only
six in ten (63%) Internet users on average across the 20
countries included said they trust the Internet. This is down 11
percentage points since a similar survey was conducted in 2019.
The singular exception is Japan, which showed a 7
percentage-point increase in trust. But Japan is the rare
exception, as the findings reveal that Internet trust shrunk by
double-digits in India (-10 points), Sweden (-10), Kenya (-11),
the United States (-12), Canada (-14), Brazil (-18), and Poland
(-26). (A complete list of countries surveyed and details about
the survey methodology and those who were questioned can be
found below.)
(Ipsos
South Africa)
28
November 2022
Source:
https://www.ipsos.com/en-za/trust-in-the-internet-2022
7 Out Of 10 People Globally Believe That Prices
Will Continue In An Upward Escalation In The Next Twelve Months
Among 36 Countries
The
inflationary spiral increasingly has a greater impact worldwide
and more when expectations are not exactly positive. This is
evidenced by the latest reportof the Ipsos Global Inflation
Monitor, carried out between October 21 and November 4 in 36
countries. On average, 7 out of 10 people globally believe that
prices will continue in an upward escalation in the next twelve
months, a figure similar to that of Spain, where 66% declare it.
. In this current context, on average, 61% of the population
globally perceives that unemployment will grow in the next year,
a result that increases 5 points compared to June.
(Ipsos
Spain)
29
November 2022
Gender Inequality At Work: A Real Problem For 67%
Of G7 Citizens
74% of
citizens of G7 countries feel inequality between women and men
in terms of social, political and/or economic rights in their
country. 67% of respondents are convinced that gender inequality
at work is a real problem (women 74% - men 59%) and62% consider
that women are less likely to succeed (women70% - men 59%). 67%
of respondents are convinced that gender inequality at works a
real problem (women 74% - men 59%) and62% consider that women
are less likely to succeed (women70% - men 59%). There is a
strong difference between countries: while in France 73% of
respondents say gender inequality at work is a problem, this
figure rises to77% in Italy, but falls to63% inGermanyand59% in
Japan.
(Ipsos
France)
November 29, 2022
Source:
https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/womens-forum-2022
Economic Worries Now Concern More Than Half Of
The Global Population, A Study In 19 Nations
Kantar’s Global Issues Barometer is a detailed analysis of
11,000 people’s attitudes in 19 countries (representing 68% of
global GDP), as they cope with the tempest of global crises. The
study uses open-ended questions to gather peoples’ real opinions
and Kantar’s TextAI technology to interpret and analyse the
responses. Asked to spontaneously share their concerns, 55% of
people globally mentioned the war (+4% pts), followed by 50%
mentioning the economy and 35% climate and environmental issues.
Whilst the majority of countries cluster around a similar group
of top concerns, the UK is also concerned about work and
unemployment issues; China and the Philippines are worried about
Covid; and violence and crime is a top 3 issue in the US,
Nigeria and South Africa.
01
December 2022
ASIA
771-43-01/Polls
Embassies,
Firms In China Criticize ‘Zero-Corona’ Plan As Too Strict
Foreign
embassies and business organizations here are criticizing the
Chinese government for not carrying through with an announced
plan to alleviate severe restrictions that are part of its
“zero-corona” policy.
But the
French Embassy issued a statement on Nov. 24 pointing out that
some local governments of areas where there are no COVID-19
patients continue to implement lockdowns. Businesses need a fair
environment where measures are transparent and foreseeable, the
statement read.
The
embassy’s statement quoted from the French Chamber of Commerce
in China and called for the retraction of unnecessary and
excessive restrictions.
Many
business organizations are concerned that continuing with the
zero-corona policy could negatively impact China’s economic
growth, with some saying the growth rate will not likely reach
projections.
The
European Union Chamber of Commerce in China released a document
on Nov. 23 that it had submitted to the Chinese government
criticizing local governments for their heavy-handed approach in
suddenly calling for business stoppages through informal
channels while avoiding issuing formal notices.
The
statement said such actions heightened uncertainty about the
business environment.
The
zero-corona policy was intended to buy time, an executive of the
European Union Chamber of Commerce said, but the administration
of Chinese President Xi Jinping made little progress during that
bought time.
The
company also decreased its projected economic growth rate for
the October-December quarter from 2.8 percent to 2.4 percent and
for the entire year from 2.9 percent to 2.8 percent.
November 29, 2022
Source:
https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/14780094
771-43-02/Polls
Today, One Out
Of Every 2 People In Society Is Of The Opinion That Men And
Women Do Not Have Equal Rights
The
vast majority of the society sees violence against women as a
very important problem of society and thinks that violence is
increasing. On the other hand, a quarter of the society does not
dispute that there may be justifiable reasons for violence.
Gender-based violence is cited as the most important global
challenge facing women and girls. 77% of women in European Union
countries believe that the COVID-19 pandemic has led to an
increase in physical and emotional violence against women in
their own countries.
Ipsos, Turkey CEO Sidar Gedik made the following evaluations
about the data; Some of the problems
facing humanity are really shameful problems, such as child
labour, for example, the food problem, and yes, unfortunately,
violence against women and children.
We need
to share data on such problems with each other more often, which
should be ashamed of. Let's bring it up more often so that those
who are not aware of it can hear it and find the solution more
quickly.
As
Ipsos, we support a 16-day campaign organized by the United
Nations that will take place between November 25, the Day for
the Elimination of Violence Against Women and December 10, Human
Rights Day.
30 November 2022
Source:
https://www.ipsos.com/tr-tr/kadina-karsi-siddetin-ulkesi-yok
771-43-03/Polls
82% Pakistanis
Think That In The Last Six Months, Unemployment In The Country
Has Gotten Worse
According to a survey conducted by Gallup & Gilani
Pakistan, 82% Pakistanis think that in the last six months,
unemployment in the country has gotten worse A nationally
representative sample of adult men and women from across the
country was asked the following question regarding, “In your
opinion, in comparison to last 6-month, unemployment in Pakistan
is …..?” 2% responded that it is much better, 8% said it is
better, 7% said there is no change, 43%
said it is worse while 39% said it is much worse while 1% said
that they did not know. The same question was also asked in the
first quarter of the year and the responses were such that 1%
said that compared to the last six months, unemployment rate is
much better, 12% said it is better, 13% responded that it is the
same while 47% said it will be worse and 26% said that it will
be much worse and 1% said that they did not know. Question: “In
your opinion, in comparison to last 6-month, unemployment in
Pakistan is …..?”
December 2, 2022
Source:
https://gallup.com.pk/wp/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/2nd-Dec_2-Dec_merged.pdf
AFRICA
771-43-04/Polls
Almost 4 In 10
Nigerians Decry Desperation To Win As The Major Cause Of Vote
Buying In Nigeria
Furthermore, despite the negative effects of vote buying to
democracy, 26 percent of registered voters said they would be
willing to sell their votes for monetary or material gains
during elections. This shows a lack of understanding on the part
of the electorate about the phenomenon of vote buying as a very
critical impediment to genuine democratic consolidation, as
voters who allow unscrupulous politicians to use them to get
into office by means of this electoral shenanigan should know
that they are throwing away their fundamental rights to
democratic accountability through this selfish act. This gap
highlights the need for a campaign against vote-buying and more
voter education leading up to the 2023 polls.
On the
degree of certainty to vote in the upcoming election, the poll
found that 92 percent of adult Nigerians nationwide who are
registered to vote in the 2023 general elections are certain
that they will vote. It is worth noting that only 83 percent of
these respondents are certain that they will participate in the
upcoming elections.
Finally, to paint a clearer picture of how vote-buying can
affect the credibility of the 2023 general elections, recall
that the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC)
reported a total of 93.5 million registered voters for the 2023
general election[1], and
the poll revealed that out of the 30 per cent who admitted that
they would accept a gift, 26 percent are willing to sell their
votes for material gains during the elections. 26 percent
translates to about 7.3 million votes, and from the previous
election, this figure is enough to boost any candidate to win as
the current president polled about 15 million votes in the 2019
polls[2].
Therefore, to combat the threat of vote-buying, relevant
stakeholders should demand that the privileges associated with
holding political office be significantly reduced, the abusive
influence of money in the selection of candidates in political
parties be controlled, electorates educated on why they should
reject all forms of partisan inducements, and that the electoral
commission improves the current measures on ballot secrecy.
These
are some of the key findings from the countdown to the 2023
general election polls conducted on the week commencing 31st October
2022. This is the fourth in the series of the monthly election
polls conducted by NOIPolls as Nigerians count down to the
actual elections in 2023.
Survey
Background
The
election is a process where the populace is given the
opportunity to choose their leaders at various levels from the
federal to the state and the local governments in a democratic
dispensation. It is a sure path through which the leadership
recruitment process takes place in each country, and it is
indeed the beauty of democracy affording its citizens the
opportunity to choose the people that will represent them at
various levels. Nigerians will be going to the election booths
in early 2023. This is the 7th consecutive election
that will be conducted in the country without interruption. With
over 9 million new registrants in the election mostly youths,
makes the forthcoming election an interesting one[3].
However, the country still faces election challenges which
include insecurity within the country, INEC preparedness, money
politics and election rigging amongst other issues. It remains
to be seen if these issues will be addressed before the election
or they will form a stumbling block to the success of the
forthcoming election.
Against
this background, NOIPolls conducted its Election Series Poll to
seek the views of Nigerians on vote-buying ahead of the 2023
general elections. This is the fourth in the series of monthly
election polls conducted by NOIPolls (the first one was
conducted in July 2022) as Nigerians countdown to the 2023
general elections.
Survey Findings
The
first question sought to gauge the proportion of adult Nigerians
nationally who are registered to vote for the 2023 general
elections. Furthermore, the study asked respondents who said
they registered to vote in the 2023 general elections if they
had received their permanent voter’s cards (PVCs). 88 percent
said they had received their permanent voter’s card, while 2
percent had their polling units changed to their present
addresses. Also, 12 percent of respondents mentioned that they
only possessed temporary voter’s cards.
Additionally, the regional outlook on the proportion of
respondents who have collected their permanent voter’s card
shows that across geopolitical zones in Nigeria, the average
percentage of respondents that have collected their PVCs in the
northern region stood at 92 percent. Similarly, the average
percentage of respondents that have collected their PVCs across
the southern region stood at 83 percent
Consequently, to ascertain the degree of voting certainty
amongst respondents who stated they have either collected their
PVCs or waiting to collect, respondents were asked, “How certain
are you that you will vote in the 2023 general elections?” and a
huge majority of the respondents (92 percent) affirmed that they
were going to vote during the elections.
On the
contrary, the poll showed that 8percent of respondents stated
that they are not certain they will vote during the elections.
Of this 8percent, 4percent said they were unsure about voting in
the upcoming elections, while 4 percent said they would not vote
at all in the 2023 general elections.
A very
common type of electoral violation, “vote-buying,” has proved
very difficult to prevent or penalise in Nigeria. According to
the International Republican Institute (IRI) and National
Democratic Institute (NDI), the International Election
Observation Mission, final report on the 2019 general elections
revealed that there was a lot of vote buying during the general
elections. During the Feb. 23 and March 9 polls, IRI/NDI
observers witnessed vote buying at polling units, as well as
party agents assisting voters in marking their ballots and
violating the secrecy of the vote[4].
The fundamental parts of this infraction include promising,
offering, or providing money, products, services, and/or other
inducements (such as promises of employment or special favours
or treatment) to voters and/or others, including the voters’
families or communities. It also plays out in the run-up to an
election, after the election has been declared, or during the
campaign, by a political party, candidate, or others (agents)
working on their behalf; in a way that is intended, or
reasonably may be expected, to influence how people cast or are
likely to cast their vote.
Subsequently, the poll sought to understand the tendency of
respondents to accept gifts or favours from political parties,
party candidates, or their cronies to influence their voting
choices and respondents were asked “Supposing a gift or favour
is to be offered to you by a political party or candidates
during the election, would you accept it?” The results
show 30 percent of respondents nationwide answered in the
affirmative, while 70 percent of respondents nationwide said no.
In
order to determine the type of gift or favour that respondents
are most likely to accept from politicians and their cronies
during elections, respondents were asked, “In your opinion, what
type of gift or favour would you accept?” The results showed
that 45 percent of respondents cited money, any gift (21
percent), promised jobs or contracts (10 percent), 9 percent
would accept food items, and 2 percent would accept clothes.
Respondents were further asked: “Will this gift or favour
influence your decision to vote for the political party or
candidates during the election?” The results showed that 26
percent of respondents nationwide stated the gifts or favours
they receive from politicians and their cronies can influence
their decision on who to vote for during the election. This
implies that almost 3 in 10 Nigerians (26 percent) are most
likely to sell their vote to politicians and their cronies for
material gains during elections.
Finally, the poll sought to gauge the perception of respondents
as to why political parties and their candidates engage in vote
buying, respondents were asked “In your opinion, why do you
think political parties or candidates engage in vote buying?”
The results revealed that 37 percent of respondents think that
politicians and their affiliates are desperate to win, 13
percent opined that it is a politicking norm, greed/selfishness
(10 percent), politicians know people are poor or hungry and
will accept gifts to vote them into power (8 percent), lack of
confidence (2 percent), and corruption (2 percent).
Conclusion
The
poll findings indicate that 26 percent of the electorate in
Nigeria is likely to sell their votes during elections for
material gains further revealing that vote-buying is a norm in
electioneering in Nigeria and that political parties and their
cronies are taking advantage of the current poverty level in the
country to buy votes from the electorate during elections. Given
the above, one thing is clear vote-buying remains a tool in the
hands of the Nigerian political class, as recent electoral
reforms have seen INEC migrate more towards a digital
technology-driven electoral system, which in turn has limited
the ability of the political class to manipulate election
results in their favour. Vote buying thrives in Nigeria because
politics is an investment, the premium on state power is
inestimably high, the quest for power by the elites is so
desperate, and poverty and illiteracy make people susceptible to
material inducement.
If not
checked, the obvious outcome of vote buying is that it will
gradually become the bane of democracy in Nigeria, and for a
democratic nation, the electorate will slowly lose their voting
power by exchanging votes for money and other material gains.
This becomes a big distortion and hindrance to the concept of
free and fair elections, which ensures that the electorates
elect the leaders they deem fit for office.
Finally, to drastically reduce the threat of vote-buying,
relevant stakeholders should demand that the privileges
associated with holding political offices be significantly
reduced, the abusive influence of money in the selection of
candidates in political parties be controlled, electorates be
educated on why they should reject all forms of partisan
inducements, and that the electoral commission improves the
current measures on ballot secrecy.
November 28, 2022
Source:
https://noi-polls.com/vote-buying-poll-elections-poll/
WEST EUROPE
771-43-05/Polls
Majority Of Britons Expect Rishi Sunak To Lose Next General
Election
New polling by Ipsos for the Sunday Express shows
Britons are split when considering how well Rishi Sunak is
performing as Prime Minister. Now, 28% say he is doing a good
job, up from 21% at the start of the month, while around a
quarter (24%) believe he is performing badly (down 6 points).
Compared to his predecessors, Sunak is doing far
better than Liz Truss, only 8% said she was doing a good job in
late-October (76% said bad), while a similar proportion said
Boris Johnson was performing well at the start of July (26%).
However, far more said Mr Johnson was
doing a bad job (56%) at the time than Sunak today. Sunak trails
Starmer slightly, 35% say Keir Starmer would do a good job as
Prime Minister, while 25% expect him to perform poorly.
Following the
Autumn Statement earlier this month, many Britons appear to be
more worried about cost of living than
less. More than 3 in 5 say they are now more worries about being
able to afford everyday essentials (62%) or paying their bills
(61%) while majorities are more concerned about being able to
pay their mortgage (57% of those who have bought a house on a
mortgage), the quality of public services they use (55%) and how
much tax they pay (53%). Around half of those renting a property
(49%) are more worried about their ability to pay rent while 3
in 10 of those working are more worried about keeping their job.
What’s
coming next?
Looking towards the next general election, few
believe Rishi Sunak will win the next General Election. While
28% think it is likely that Sunak will win, more than half think
it unlikely (55%).
This remains steady in comparison to the start of the
month (27% likely, 53% unlikely). Again, Sunak registers
better numbers than Liz Truss. Just 13% thought she was likely
to win the next election in October, 78% disagreed.
Looking to the opposition, around half say Keir
Starmer is ready to be Prime Minister (49%), including a third
(32%) of 2019 Conservative voters. Meanwhile, a similar
proportion say he is likely to become PM one day (50%), 1 in 3
think this is unlikely (33%).
Keiran
Pedley, Director of Politics at Ipsos,
said:
Whilst
Rishi Sunak cannot be described as particularly unpopular with
the British public, there is a prevailing sense that they expect
him to lose the next General Election and Keir Starmer to be
Prime Minister. One reason for this is an overwhelming sense of
pessimism about the economy and a sense that Conservative
policies over 12 years are a significant contributing factor.
Sunak will hope he can change such perceptions between now and
the next General Elections and reverse the Conservatives' ailing
political fortunes.
28
November 2022
Source:
https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/majority-britons-expect-rishi-sunak-lose-next-general-election
771-43-06/Polls
Britons
Tend To Oppose Planned RMT Rail Strikes This Winter
There is set to be disruption to rail services this
winter, with the Rail, Maritime and Transport union (RMT) announcing
40,000 of its members will be taking industrial action. The
plan has two components: full strikes on 13,14,16 and 17
December and 3,4,6 and 7 January, as well as staff refusing to
work overtime in the intervening period from 18 December to 2
January.
Britons tend to oppose the strike element of the
plan, with 47% opposed and 41% supporting. These results are not
far removed from prior YouGov polling on rail strikes in the
summer: a June poll found Britons opposed
a rail transport workers strike taking place later that week by
45% to 37%, with
a poll the week following the strike finding the
opposition figure remained fixed while support now stood at
41%. An
October poll on
a forthcoming strike by train drivers and rail transport workers
taking place that week found backing higher still, although
Britons were still divided by 45% in support to 42% opposed.
Britons do, however, tend to support the overtime
refusal aspect of the RMT’s industrial action, by 50% to 37%,
even though this will affect the festive period itself.
Unsurprisingly, most Labour voters support both
elements of the industrial action, with 67% backing the strikes
and 72% the refused overtime. By contrast, most Conservative
voters are against the plans, opposing the strikes by 73% to 19%
and the overtime refusals by 61% to 30%.
There is also a generational divide in attitudes.
When it comes to the strikes, the youngest Britons (18-24 year
olds) are the only age group in clear support, by 51% to 32%.
The 25-49 and 50-64 year old age groups are divided, while the
over-65s are strongly opposed, by 65% to 27%.
When it comes to the overtime refusal, however, the
three younger age groups all tend to be supportive (53-57%). It
is only the oldest Britons who are opposed, by a margin of 57%
to 34%.
November 29, 2022
771-43-07/Polls
Trade
Unions Seen More Negatively Following 2022’s Summer Strikes
Throughout 2022, multiple waves of strikes involving
tens of thousands of workers have taken place, as trade unions,
whose members have been hit by rising living costs, seek better
conditions. These strikes have and are likely to continue to
create significant disruption. But where do Britons currently
stand on trade unions?
New YouGov
tracker data finds
that public opinion of trade unions is largely split. One in
three (35%) think trade unions play a positive role in Britain
today, compared to 34% who think they play a negative role.
Significantly, the number who think trade unions play a negative
role has risen noticeably, up nine points since June. By
contrast, the number who think trade unions play a positive role
is within the margin of error from the previous survey.
Opinion is strongly divided across party lines. More
than half (60%) of Conservative voters believe trade unions play
a negative role, compared to 17% who think their role is
positive. The reverse applies to Labour voters, of whom 62%
believe that trade unions play a positive role compared to 15%
who think their role is negative.
When it comes to how well trade unions reflect
ordinary working people in Britain, the public are similarly split,
with 39% of the view that trade unions reflect this group of
people well, compared to 38% who think they reflect them badly.
Working Britons themselves, however, are more likely to think
that ordinary workers are well-reflected by trade unions, by 45%
to 33%.
Britons
now most likely to think that trade unions are able to strike
too easily
Whilst overall opinion towards trade unions has
become more negative recently, the public are also increasingly
unhappy over the apparent ease at which trade unions can take
strike and the rules governing these strikes. Britons
are now most likely to hold the view that trade unions are
able to take strike action too easily and should have more
restrictions placed upon them, at 34% compared to 27% who think
the balance is right and 20% who think there are too many
restrictions on trade unions.
The number who think trade union restrictions are too
lax has increased nine points since June, and is up 13 points
since December last year. By contrast, the number of those
holding the other views has remained largely unchanged.
Britons
now tend to support nurses’ right to strike
In the wake of the
Royal College of Nursing’s announcement that it will go on
strike for the first time in its 106-year history, YouGov
tracker data shows that the public tend to support nurses’
right to strike. Half of the public (52%) now think nurses
should be allowed to go on strike, compared to 38% who don’t.
This is a significant change in favour of nurses’ right to
strike compared to when we last asked the question back in June.
At that time the public were evenly split 44% either way.
As well as nurses, new YouGov tracker data has also
found increased support for the right to strike for doctors
(+6), teachers
(+5), police
officers (+6), fire
fighters (+7) and air
traffic controllers (+5) since the question was last asked
in June.
December 02, 2022
771-43-08/Polls
One In
Two French Teenagers Suffers From Anxiety Or Depressive Symptoms
A sharp
rise in adolescent anxiety and depression levels as measured by
clinical tests
Nearly
one in two teens experience symptoms of anxiety and depression –
Concerning levels
All
anxiety indicators measuredby the GAD7
clinical test are up in 2022: irritability (66%, +5 points
compared to2021),
anxiety (66%, +6 points), worry (59%, +10 points), inability to
stop worrying (49%, +8 points), fear that something terrible
will happen to them (43%, +9 points) or restlessness and
inability to hold in place (43%, +8 points).
Daily
problems that have a significant impact on the schooling and
social life of more than 1 in 3 adolescents
38% of adolescents who have experienced anxiety
problems believe thatthey have
made it more difficult to attend school or relate to
others (+7 points compared to 2021).
A level
of malaise under-reported by adolescents
Adolescents who underestimate their overall level of well-being
Despite the increase in the level of anxiety, the
level of general well-being reported remains stable (7.2/10
compared to 7.3/10 in 2021). Even more worrying, only
6% of teenagers say they are not doing well (scores
between 0 and 4) – a drop of 1 point (7%) compared to the
previous year.
A
similar finding in the most anxious adolescents
The level of well-being of the most anxious
adolescents also remains stable: 6.1/10. A level also
under-reported (against 6/10 in 2021). A situation all the more
worrying because at the same time, many
teenagers who are doing badly say they do not talk about their
problems.
Qui
pour parler de leurs problèmes et des sujets qui les stressent ?
1
adolescent sur 4 avoue n’avoir personne pour échanger sur ses
problèmes
Certes, dans leur très grande majorité, les
adolescents déclarent pouvoir parler avec des proches des choses
et sujets qui les passionnent (87%), de ce qu’ils souhaitent
faire plus tard (84%), des problèmes qu’ils rencontrent (77%) ou
encore demander des conseils sur des sujets intimes (69%).
Et plus d’1 adolescent sur 4 souffrant d’un niveau
d’anxiété nécessitant une évaluation psychiatrique dit n’avoir
parlé de ses problèmes à personne d’adulte à l’école (44%). En
cause, 1 adolescent sur 2 juge
que ces problèmes ne sont pas suffisamment graves pour en parler
à quelqu’un. Une tendance en augmentation (36%, +9
points) chez les adolescents dont le niveau d’anxiété
nécessiterait une évaluation clinique.
Si
l’éco-anxiété reste une réalité forte pour près d’1 adolescent
sur 2, la situation dans le monde les stresse encore plus
If teenagers seem a little less stressed by the
various current topics at first glance with as main concern, violence
against children (50%, -4 points) and thestate
of the planet and nature (47%, -7 points) ...
The
situation in the world (41%) has also
becomea source of stress for them:
it now moves to 3rd position of the subjects that concern them
the most with an increase of 11 points between 2021 and 2022.
Faced with current events, misunderstanding
remains the strongest feeling among adolescents (47%,
-3 points) while anxiety (30%, +4 points) and fear (25%, +4
points) increase between 2021 and 2022. This stress in the face
of the news feeds mainly on the negative tone of the information
for 57% of teenagers (-7 points). It is also because there are
too many (34%, stable compared to 2021), that they do not really
understand them (27%, -4 points) but alsobecause
they do not really know if they are true or false (23%).
In this context, the school also fails to really
reassure the majority of them in the face of this
anxiety-provoking news: 53% of them say that what they learn at
school does not allow them to know more about the current topics
that stress them.
Teens
and Hyperconnection: Addictive Behaviors and Concerning Levels
of Cyberviolence.
A very
high and increasing average declared screen usage time
Teenagers report spending an average of 6h48 per week on a
screen out of homework (compared to 6h42 in
2021, an increase of 6 minutes). In detail, they would spend
3h00 on average on their smartphone, 1h48 on the computer,
tablet or game console and 2h00 in front of the television.
31% of
teenagers said they were confronted with at least one situation
of cyberviolence on social networks or by SMS:
repeated mockery (20%), rumors about him (18%), repeated insults
about him (17%), threats (14%), or the dissemination of intimate
information (12%).
November 28, 2022
771-43-09/Polls
Half Of
All Germans Think That Billionaires Have Earned Their Success
(51 Percent)
There are people who have become very rich and famous
with their technical innovations, such as the development of the
world's largest online retailer Amazon, the most widely used
social network Facebook or the hardware and software developer
Microsoft. The most famous among these so-called tech
billionaires are Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg and Bill Gates.
The
notoriety of tech billionaires – Bill Gates' best known and most
likeable
The most popular and well-known tech billionaire is
Bill Gates – our data shows this very clearly: Only 4 percent of
Germans say they do not know the founder of Microsoft. 32
percent find him sympathetic. All other billionaires surveyed
receive significantly less sympathy: Mark Zuckerberg, founder of
Facebook, does not know 7 percent of respondents in Germany.
Zuckerberg, however, is rather unsympathetic (44 percent). Elon
Musk, founder of Tesla and now CEO of Twitter, is also very well
known among the German population (9 percent do not know him).
He is rated as the most unsympathetic of six well-known tech
billionaires surveyed (53 percent).
Google,
Amazon and Microsoft are most likely to be used for the service,
not for sympathy with people behind it
53 percent of Germans say that they use the search
engine Google because of the service, 9 percent say that they
use it because of their sympathy for founder Larry Page. 52
percent say they use Amazon because of the service, another 9
percent use it because of their sympathy for founder Jeff Bezos.
Of the brands and platforms surveyed Amazon, Apple,
Twitter, Facebook, Microsoft and Google, Twitter is used the
least. Non-use is most likely to be justified by irrelevance (56
percent). 10 percent do not use the short message portal because
of their antipathy to CEO Elon Musk.
December 1, 2022
Source:
https://yougov.de/news/2022/12/01/musk-zuckerberg-gates-verdienst-von-tech-milliarda/
771-43-10/Polls
Three
Quarters Of Dutch Kitchens (Partly) Adjust The Daily Main Meal
To The Current Season
Stews and specifically kale are by far the most
popular of all winter dishes. The lists of favorites also almost
exclusively have classic dishes that were already in the Wannée,
the Cookbook of the Amsterdam Household School from 1910. In
winter we eat classic. Spring and summer are more suitable for
culinary experiments. The favorite seasons of young people up to
25 years. They are much more likely to prefer spring and summer
dishes.
Seasonal cooking very common
For example, convenience shoppers who mainly opt for
quick and easy, and Stubborn shoppers who anticipate food trends
and like to try out new recipes, are less likely to let
themselves be swayed by the season. They continue in the winter
with what they already do all year round. On the other hand,
there are the status-oriented brand-conscious shoppers who cook
more with the seasons.
Preference for winter food
Favorite winter food: stammpotjes and firm soup
With 69%, a stew is by far the most popular autumn
and winter dish. In addition, a clear top four emerges when it
comes to the different variants. Kale is number one (57%),
followed by stew (49%), endive (46%) and sauerkraut (41%).
With 44%, hearty soup is second on the list of
favorite meals for this period. Within this domain, pea soup is
the most popular variant (61%), followed by tomato soup (48%).
If you look closely at the lists of popular dishes,
you will notice a certain Brussels sprout smell. There is no
question of some more innovative recipes except for perhaps
pumpkin soup and lasagna. In winter, the Dutch eat classic.
Winter
inspiration also often comes from paper
Even for inspiration in winter cooking, classic media
such as supermarket magazines (45%) and recipes in cookbooks
(41%) are still the most popular. Shortly behind them are
recipes on packaging and online recipes (both 38%) and 'all
inclusive' fresh packages (36%). Do we still have some
innovation to get.
(Motivation Insights and Strategy)
December 1, 2022
771-43-11/Polls
Drug
Prices Stabilized After September Growth
The increase was mainly due to the prices of imported
medicines.
To
calculate the index for 100%, the January 2019 indicator was
adopted.
29
November 2022
Source:
https://romir.ru/studies/romir-ceny-na-lekarstva-stabilizirovalis-posle-sentyabrskogo-rosta
NORTH AMERICA
771-43-12/Polls
Cigarette Smoking Rate In America Has Fallen From 35% To 12% In
The Past Two Decades
As the percentage of U.S. adults who smoke cigarettes
has reached
a new low of 11% this year,
much of the decline is tied to sharply lower smoking rates among
young adults. From 2001 to 2003, an average of 35% of U.S.
adults between the ages of 18 and 29 said they smoked
cigarettes, compared with 12% in the latest estimate.
This 23-percentage-point decline among young adults
is more than double that of any other age group over that time.
As a result of these changes, young adults have moved from the
group most likely to smoke cigarettes to the second-least
likely, with a rate higher than only the oldest Americans.
Gallup trends through 2012 showed that young adults
were the age group most likely to smoke cigarettes. Between 2013
and 2015, their smoking rates dipped below those of 30- to
49-year-olds, and by 2018, these had also fallen behind 50- to
64-year-olds’ smoking rates.
Now, the percentage of young adults who smoke is four
points above that for those 65 years and older, the age group
that has consistently been least likely to smoke.
These trend data on smoking by age are based on
aggregated data from Gallup’s annual Consumption Habits survey,
conducted each year from 2001 to 2022 with the exception of
2020. Three-year aggregates provide sufficiently large samples
to get stable estimates of young adults’ smoking habits over
time, as well as the ability to analyze subgroups of 18- to
29-year-old adults.
Smoking has historically been, and continues to be, highly
related to educational attainment. Young adults with a
college degree have consistently been far less likely to smoke
than young adults who have not graduated college. Both groups
have shown significant declines in smoking over time, but the
decline has been greater among young college nongraduates (25
points) than among young college graduates (10 points).
Specifically, the rate has dropped from 39% to 14% among young
adults without a college degree and from 17% to 7% among young
college graduates.
Some
Cigarette Smoking May Be Shifting to E-Cigarettes
Since 2019,
Gallup has measured Americans’ use of electronic cigarettes,
also known as “vaping,” separately from its measure
of
cigarette smoking. Between 2019 and 2022, an average of 7% of
U.S. adults reported smoking e-cigarettes in the past week.
However, vaping is far more common among 18- to
29-year-olds, at 19%, than among older age groups, including 7%
of 30- to 49-year-olds, 3% of 50- to 64-year-olds and less than
1% of those 65 and older.
Given these differences, young adults are more likely
to vape than to smoke cigarettes, while among older age groups,
cigarette smoking prevails.
It is unclear to what extent e-cigarette usage has
grown among young adults in recent years because Gallup did not
ask the question before 2019. Federal surveys of students document
large growth in e-cigarette usage among teens between 2011
and 2018, at the same time cigarette smoking was declining among
this demographic.
These data suggest that much of the decline in
cigarette smoking among young adults may have been offset by
vaping, indicating that young adults are still smoking products
containing nicotine, but through different means.
Gallup has found that those who smoke e-cigarettes
are unlikely
to also smoke tobacco cigarettes. Among young adults since
2019, an average 15% say they smoke e-cigarettes but not tobacco
cigarettes; 8% smoke tobacco cigarettes but not e-cigarettes,
and 4% smoke both.
The combined 27% of young adults who either smoke
cigarettes or vape approaches the 26% cigarette smoking rate
Gallup measured for this age group about a decade ago, although
it is still below the greater-than 30% incidence for cigarette
smoking before 2007.
Marijuana Usage Increasing Among Young Adults
In contrast to
the decline in cigarette smoking among young adults, use of
marijuana in this age group has increased, according to Gallup
trends
dating to 2013. Between 2019 and 2022, an average of 26% of
young adults indicated they smoked marijuana, up from 17%
between 2013 and 2015.
More than twice as many young adults now say they
smoke marijuana as smoke cigarettes. Marijuana smoking is also
more common among young adults than vaping.
Marijuana usage has also climbed in recent years
among adults between the ages of 30 and 64, while it has been
stable at a low level among senior citizens.
Four in 10 young adults smoke at least one of the
three substances -- cigarettes, e-cigarettes or marijuana
-- including 3% who smoke all three, 11% who smoke marijuana
only, 9% who smoke e-cigarettes only and 3% who smoke cigarettes
only. Another 14% smoke two of the three substances, with the
majority of these young adults smoking e-cigarettes and
marijuana but not cigarettes.
Overall, slightly more than one in four U.S. adults
smoke any of the three substances, with the oldest Americans
least likely to do so.
Bottom
Line
Public health
officials would be
encouraged by the steep decline in cigarette smoking over the
past two decades, a trend driven largely by plummeting smoking
rates among young adults. But young adults are increasingly
smoking marijuana, perhaps because it is now legal to use in a
growing number of states, and vaping. Both vaping and marijuana
are more common activities for young adults than traditional
cigarette smoking.
Still, fewer young adults smoke or vape today than
smoked cigarettes two decades ago, before e-cigarettes became
widely available. And although many health researchers believe
vaping is safer than smoking traditional cigarettes, they do not
believe e-cigarettes are safe in general. Further, the long-term
health effects of vaping are not as well-known, and the Food and
Drug Administration has taken steps to try to limit marketing of
vaping to minors.
NOVEMBER 28, 2022
Source:
https://news.gallup.com/poll/405884/cigarette-smoking-rates-down-sharply-among-young-adults.aspx
771-43-13/Polls
About
Two-Thirds Of U S Adults (65%) See Clinical Trials As Very
Important
The coronavirus
outbreak has brought renewed attention to the clinical trial
process, which is used to establish the safety and effectiveness
of new treatments, such as COVID-19 vaccines.
Overall, about two-thirds of U.S. adults (65%) see
clinical trials as very important, despite the time such trials
add to the process of developing new treatments, according to a recent
Pew Research Center survey.
Around three-in-ten (29%) see the clinical trial process as
somewhat important, while 5% say it is not too or not at all
important.
The views of Black and Hispanic adults on this
question are especially notable because these Americans were
underrepresented in clinical trials for COVID-19
vaccines. Black and Hispanic participation in other kinds of
clinical trials has often been too
low to adequately assess whether new treatments are safe and
effective across all racial and ethnic groups.
One factor in lower participation of Black and
Hispanic adults in clinical trials is tied to concerns about
past mistreatment in medical research, such as the U.S.
Public Health Service Syphilis Study at Tuskegee or
instances of medical
doctors who sterilized racial and ethnic minority women
without their full understanding.
A
closer look at Black and Hispanic Americans’ views
Focus group discussions conducted by Pew Research
Center in July 2021 highlight the range of considerations that
are top of mind for Black and Hispanic Americans when it comes
to whether they personally would be willing to take part in a
clinical trial.
Several participants talked about the desire to help
others by participating in clinical trials, and some mentioned
the potential benefits to help them with a medical condition of
their own. Others talked about the possible benefit from
financial compensation, especially at a time in life when
finances were stretched.
Here are some examples of these perspectives shared
by Black and Hispanic adults who took part in the Center’s focus
groups:
At the same time, several focus group participants
talked about balancing their desire to help others with wanting
to protect themselves from potential harm. Some explained that
they would not personally participate in a clinical trial
because they felt there would be too much uncertainty or risk to
their own health:
Some of those who spoke against participating in
clinical trials focused on the notion of being a test case,
especially given the past
mistreatment of Black and Hispanic
Americans in medical research:
NOVEMBER 29, 2022
771-43-14/Polls
After
Declining Early In The Covid-19 Outbreak, Immigrant
Naturalizations In The US Are Rising Again
After a sharp drop in naturalizations in the early
stages of the coronavirus
pandemic, immigrants in the United States are becoming
citizens in numbers not seen for more than a decade.
The rebound in naturalizations aligns with upticks
in other measures of legal immigration since the spring of
2020, when pandemic-related restrictions, border closures and
office shutdowns were widespread. Government data shows a rise
since then in the number of immigrants receiving green cards as
new lawful permanent residents, as well as a partial rebound in
arrivals by foreign students, tourists and other lawful
temporary migrants.
Here are five key facts about naturalization trends
and U.S. naturalized citizens, based mainly on a Pew Research
Center analysis of data from the Department of Homeland Security
and the Census Bureau. Immigrants generally are eligible
to become U.S. citizens if they are at least 18 years old
and a lawful permanent resident who has lived continuously in
the U.S. for at least five years, or three years if married to a
U.S. citizen. They must meet certain conditions that include a
background check and, in most cases, must pass English language
and civics tests. Citizenship confers
privileges and obligations that include the right to vote,
serve on a jury, sponsor other family members and apply for
government benefits and jobs.
Quarterly naturalizations are back to where they were before the
coronavirus outbreak began in early 2020. The
quarterly number of naturalizations plummeted to 81,000 in the
April-June 2020 period – during the first months of the U.S.
outbreak – compared with an average of about 190,000 per quarter
in the previous eight years. After two more below-average
quarters, the number of naturalizations reached 200,000 in the
January-March 2021 quarter – higher than the total for the same
quarter in any of the nine previous years. Naturalization levels
for 2021 and 2022 fiscal years have continued to outpace most
pre-pandemic years.
The Center’s projection for the number of annual naturalizations
for fiscal 2022 – about 940,000 – is higher than for any year
since fiscal 2008, when an all-time high of 1,047,000 immigrants
became citizens. Fiscal 2008 was one of three previous peaks in
naturalizations during the past half-century. The others, in
fiscal 1996 (1,041,000) and 2000 (886,000), far exceeded annual
naturalizations in any year since 1907, the earliest year with
available statistics.
There
have been an average of about 200,000 applications for U.S.
citizenship per quarter over the past decade. Since
2012, the quarterly number of applications for naturalization
has generally ranged from about 160,000 to 250,000. Before the
pandemic, there were two notable upticks in quarterly
applications: one shortly before the 2016 presidential election
(April-June 2016) and one shortly after it (January-March 2017).
The number of applications dropped to 154,000 in the
April-June 2020 quarter, just after the pandemic began, but
rebounded to 330,000 the following quarter (July-September).
Going back to 1980, applications
peaked in fiscal 1997, reflecting a surge in naturalizations
by formerly unauthorized immigrants who gained legal status under
legislation passed in 1986 and thus became eligible to
naturalize after the usual five-year waiting period. There was
another peak in applications in fiscal 2007, ahead of an
announced increase in application fees.
More
immigrants are seeking U.S. citizenship than are currently being
naturalized. As of the end of June
2022, there was a backlog of about 673,000 pending applications
for naturalization. The backlog is down from more than a million
pending applications in December 2020, but still much higher
than in the period between 2012 and 2016.
Several factors
can affect the number of pending applications for
naturalization. In the early stages of the pandemic, for
example, immigration field offices closed, and the number of
pending applications rose sharply in
the ensuing months.
By August 2020, U.S. Citizenship and Immigration
Services had administered the oath of allegiance to nearly every
naturalization applicant whose ceremony was postponed when
immigration offices were closed, according to an evaluation
of government performance during the pandemic. The median
time to process a naturalization application, 9.1 months in
fiscal 2020, rose to 10.5 months in fiscal 2022.
Naturalizations for immigrants from most countries plunged
during COVID-19 but have since rebounded and are 20% above their
pre-pandemic average. One prominent
exception is naturalizations of immigrants from China, one of
the top 10 countries for naturalizations overall.
Naturalizations of Chinese nationals are down about 20% from
their pre-pandemic average.
Mexico, the country with the most annual
naturalizations over the past quarter century, is up by only 8%
compared with its pre-pandemic average. Most of the other major
countries are up at least as much. On a regional basis,
sub-Saharan Africa, Asia, Latin America and Middle East-North
Africa are up by 15% to 26% compared with their pre-pandemic
averages. (Due to data limitations, this analysis compares the
12-month period between April 2021 and March 2022 to the annual
average from 2012 to 2019. Read “How
we did this” for more information.)
The
naturalized citizen population in the U.S. continues to increase
rapidly. The total number of
naturalized citizens in the U.S. almost tripled between 1995 and
2019, from 7.6 million to 22.1 million, according to the most
recent Pew Research Center estimates. In contrast, the number of
lawful permanent residents – that is, immigrants who may be
eligible to be naturalized but have not done so – changed
relatively little during that period, remaining between 11.2
million and 12.4 million.
The share of
lawful immigrants who were naturalized grew steadily from 38% in
1995 to 65% in 2019. Lawful immigrants from Europe and Asia
(both 73%) are the most likely to have been naturalized,
followed by those
from Middle East-North Africa (72%), sub-Saharan Africa
(66%) and Latin America (56%).
The countries with the smallest proportion of lawful
immigrants who are naturalized U.S. citizens (among those with
at least 100,000 naturalized citizens overall) are El Salvador,
Guatemala, Honduras, Japan and Mexico. Fewer than half of lawful
immigrants from these countries are naturalized citizens.
In contrast, the countries with the highest
proportion of lawful immigrants who have been naturalized
include Cambodia, Guyana, Iran, Laos, Poland, Portugal, Romania
and Vietnam. At least 80% of immigrants from these countries
have gained U.S. citizenship.
Immigrants are more
likely to be naturalized if they speak English very well,
have strong ties to the U.S. and have lived in the U.S. for a
long time.
DECEMBER 1, 2022
771-43-15/Polls
US Men
Roughly Twice As Likely As US Women To Own A Gun, 43% vs 22%
Men and women in the U.S. differ starkly in their
propensity to own a gun and their preferences for the nation’s
gun laws. Gallup’s trends show that gun ownership among men has
consistently been at least double that of women, and women are
much more supportive than men of stricter gun laws.
Men
Remain Much More Likely Than Women to Own a Gun
The most recent findings, from 2021-2022, show a
21-percentage-point gender gap in gun ownership, with about
twice as many men (43%) as women (22%) saying they personally
own a gun.
The latest data also find that 6% of men and 20% of
women say another member of their household owns a gun, while
48% of men and 56% of women report there being no guns in their
household.
Women
More Supportive of Stricter Gun Laws Regardless of Ownership
Status
Gallup’s annual
October Crime surveys have tracked Americans’ preferences for
laws covering the sale of firearms
since 2001. Over that period, majorities of women have said they
prefer that gun laws be made stricter in all readings except one
(50% in 2011). At the same time, no more than 51% of men have
favored stricter laws, aside from a 56% reading in 2019. In the
latest readings, from an Oct. 3-20, 2022, poll, 62% of women and
51% of men think gun laws should be made stricter.
On balance, gun owners -- both men and women -- favor
keeping gun laws as they are now, rather than making them
stricter or less strict. However, women who own guns are more
likely than male gun owners to support stricter gun laws, 40%
versus 32%, according to aggregated data from 2018 to 2022 that
allow for the analysis of smaller subgroups.
There is a similar gap (10 points) in support for
stricter gun laws between men and women who live in households
without a gun, although solid majorities of each group prefer
stricter laws.
The gender gap among those who do not personally own
a gun but say there is one in their household is larger, as a
58% majority of female nonowners in gun households and 40% of
their male counterparts favor stricter laws.
Bottom
Line
Men in the U.S.
are about twice as likely as women to personally own a gun, and
women are significantly more supportive of stricter gun laws than men are, regardless of their own or their household’s gun
ownership status.
DECEMBER 2, 2022
Source:
https://news.gallup.com/poll/406238/stark-gender-gap-gun-ownership-views-gun-laws.aspx
771-43-16/Polls
Inflation Realities Deflate Christmas Shopping Plans,
Two-In-Five Cut Back On Charitable Giving
As snow blankets most of the country, Canadians are
simultaneously trying to dig out from under the inflation that
has burdened them for most of the year. With holiday
preparations underway, many are cutting back on seasonal
spending.
These same financial challenges will likely impact
many struggling charities
this holiday season. Approaching two-in-five (37%) say they have
scaled back charitable giving in recent months, including
two-in-five (41%) of those over the age of 54, an age group that
has historically donated
more.
All this comes at the end of one of the most
financially difficult years in recent memory for many Canadians.
Half (50%) say they are financially worse off now than they were
at this time last year, the highest level seen in ARI’s tracking
dating back to 2010. Few (13%) have seen their financial picture
brighten in the last 12 months.
There is not much in the way of personal financial
optimism among Canadians as they look ahead to 2023, either.
One-in-five (20%) believe their economic situation will improve
in the next 12 months. Twice as many (41%) believe they’ll tread
water, while three-in-ten (31%) see their finances
deteriorating.
More
Key Findings:
About
ARI
The Angus
Reid Institute (ARI) was founded in October 2014 by
pollster and sociologist, Dr. Angus Reid. ARI is a national,
not-for-profit, non-partisan public opinion research foundation
established to advance education by commissioning, conducting
and disseminating to the public accessible and impartial
statistical data, research and policy analysis on economics,
political science, philanthropy, public administration, domestic
and international affairs and other socio-economic issues of
importance to Canada and its world.
Note:
Because its small population precludes drawing discrete samples
over multiple waves, data on Prince Edward Island is not
released.
INDEX:
Part
One: Inflation squeezes holiday spending
Part
Two: A difficult financial year
Part
One: Inflation squeezes holiday spending, charitable giving
After a year-long battle by the Bank of Canada
against inflation, there are signs the tide
is turning. Price growth for food has
slowed, while gas prices are
down from mid-year peaks. Still, Canadians can be forgiven
if they do not yet celebrate victory. Consumers will be holiday
shopping with increased prices all around them. In October,
Statistics Canada’s Consumer Price Index still showed a
6.9 per cent increase over the same time last year.
Though inflation may be burning less intensely,
Canadians are still feeling the blisters from a year of
scorching prices. Approaching nine-in-ten (87%) say they have
cut back spending in some way in recent months, up from 80 per
cent in August. Two-thirds (64%) have cut back on discretionary
spending, while significant numbers have delayed a major
purchase (44%), cut back on trips in the car (38%), scaled back
charitable giving (37%) or cancelled vacation plans (37%).
Notably, as most
Canadians prepare to celebrate Christmas, a majority (56%)
say they’ve reduced the amount of Christmas spending they are
doing this year, cutting back on decorations, entertainment or
presents:
Households earning six figures or more annually are
less likely to be trimming holiday spending than lower income
households, but more than two-in-five in all income brackets say
they’ll be more Scrooge-like in their Christmas spending this
season:
The
season of giving?: Costs up for charities, donations down
For many, charitable giving appears to be another
casualty of this inflationary environment. This, as charities
across the country are struggling with their own rising
costs, and depressed
donations.
Older Canadians are more likely to say they are
donating less to cut back on spending in recent months.
Two-in-five of those over the age of 54 say they have been
cutting back on charitable donations. This is especially notable
because older Canadians are
much more likely to give, and give
more, than younger generations.
The highest
earning Canadians are the least likely to be scaling back donations to charitable causes at one-third (32%).
However, the likelihood of curbing donations varies little
across income demographics:
Part
Two: A difficult financial year
Half of
Canadians say they are worse off financially this year than last
A year of high inflation has taken its toll on
Canadians. Half say they are worse off financially than they
were at this time last year, a rate not seen in more than a
decade of tracking by the Angus Reid Institute. Few (13%) say
they are better off:
At least half in all provinces except Quebec say
their financial situation has deteriorated over the last year.
There are more with negative financial self-assessments in
Saskatchewan (59%) and Nova Scotia (57%) than other provinces.
The federal government announced a $4.6
billion relief package for low income Canadians and many
provincial governments have announced or delivered inflation
relief programs over the past four months, but the results
appear modest at this point:
Younger Canadians are more likely than older ones to
believe themselves to be in a better financial position over the
last year. One-in-four (24%) 18- to 34-year-olds say they are
better off than they were last year at this time. Nearly all
(92%) those aged 55 or older see themselves treading financial
water, or heading further under, after the last 12 months (see
detailed tables).
Higher income households are more positive in their
self-financial assessment. However, pluralities of those earning
$100,000 to $200,000 annually, and two-in-five in the highest
income households, say their financial picture has worsened. At
least half in all income brackets of less than $100,000 say the
last year has had a negative impact on their finances:
Optimism drops heading into new year
Canadians’ financial optimism has also declined over
the last two years. One-in-five believe they will be financially
better off next year. This represents a continuing downward
trend compared to 2020, as Canadians foresaw a brighter
financial picture emerging from the first year of the COVID-19
pandemic. A plurality (41%) believes they’ll be in the same
financial position at this time next year. Three-in-ten (31%)
are pessimistic about their economic outlook for 2023, an
eight-point increase compared to 2020 and a two-point jump
year-over-year:
Financial pessimism is highest in Nova Scotia (43%),
Saskatchewan (42%) and New Brunswick (41%), while optimism is
slightly higher in Ontario (23%) and Newfoundland and Labrador
(23%) compared to the rest of the country:
December 5, 2022
Source:
https://angusreid.org/christmas-shopping-holiday-inflation-charity-donations/
771-43-17/Polls
France,
Will The Champion Defend His Title!
The World Cup already has its first team classified
to the second round and it is the current champion of the
competition, France. After beating Denmark 2-1 today, the
European team took an important step towards their main
objective, to defend their title, for which they are positioned
as the second favorite after Brazil.
And it is that the French team has already overcome the "curse"
of the last decades that says that the champion of the
tournament does not go beyond the first phase of the next
edition. A fact no less for any bettor. Now, on the sporting
level, the team shows itself in continuity with its process,
which is why the same dynamic, fast and forceful squad from
Russia 2018 is perceived. It has new names, but all integrated
into the team's philosophy. Physical performance, mentality and
results give him all the credentials to position himself in the
list of candidates to lift the cup. Its percentage of
possibilities to achieve the highest distinction is 11.5%, while
Brazil reaches 13.8%. For its part, Argentina managed to calm
down its fans and with a 2-0 victory over Mexico it gives the
sensation of getting into the rhythm of the competition.
Group C has been quite even and with
chances of qualifying for everyone: Poland leads with their
victory today against Saudi Arabia 2-0 the percentage of odds,
so it has 86%, followed by Argentina with 64%, Arabia S. 33% and
Mexico 16%. The classification table has the same order and the
distribution of points is 4, 3, 3 and 1.
November 28, 2022
Source:
https://www.centronacionaldeconsultoria.com/en/post/france-will-the-champion-defend-his-title
AUSTRALIA
771-43-18/Polls
15
Million Australians Read Magazines In Print And Online
Print
readership increased for 12 magazine categories compared to a
year ago including Health & Family, Home & Garden, Women’s
Lifestyle, Women’s Fashion and Motoring
There were
increases
in print readership for 12 of the 17 magazine categories over
the last year during which Australians dealt with the easing of
restrictions throughout the last 12 months.
The print readership of Health & Family magazines,
the fifth most widely read magazine category, increased by over
a third, up 33.9 per cent, to 1,287,000 and the third most
widely read Home & Garden category, was up marginally to a
readership of 3,792,000.
Food & Entertainment magazines were the most widely
read with a print readership of 7,185,000 ahead of the second
most widely read General Interest Magazines with a print
readership of 4,114,000.
The fourth most widely read category is Mass Women’s
Magazines with a print readership of 2,708,000 while there were
big improvements in Women’s Lifestyle, up 37.6 per cent to
333,000, Women’s Fashion, up 8.3 per cent to 831,000 and
Motoring, up 12.7 per cent to 938,000.
Five of
the top 10 magazines increased their print readership over the
past year with Better Homes & Gardens and Australian Women’s
Weekly again the most widely read paid magazines
Exactly half of
the top 10 most widely read magazines increased their print
readership over the last year and nine out of the top 25.
Better Homes & Gardens is Australia’s most widely
read paid magazine with print readership of 1,627,000 ahead of
the Australian Women’s Weekly with a print readership of
1,234,000. Better Homes & Gardens and Australian Women’s Weekly
are the only two paid magazines with a readership of over 1
million.
In addition, National Geographic has an impressive
print readership of 825,000 to be Australia’s third most widely
read paid magazine just ahead of Taste.com.au Magazine, up 13.6
per cent to 804,000 ahead of Woman’s Day with a print readership
of 751,000.
Coles
magazine & Fresh Ideas are most widely read while Bunnings
magazine is read by 1.6m
Australia's two
most widely read free magazines are Coles magazine with a print
readership of 4,819,000 just ahead of Fresh Ideas (from
Woolworths) with a readership of 4,769,000, up 2.3
per
cent.
Bunnings magazine is the third most widely read free
magazine with a print readership of 1,574,000, up 4.9 per cent
on a year ago, ahead of the NRMA’s magazine Open Road (NSW)
which rounds out the top four free magazines with a readership
of 1,349,000, up a large 23.8 per cent on a year ago – the
largest increase for any of the top 20 magazines.
Also increasing was its counterpart up north with
RACQ’s Road Ahead (Qld) increasing its readership by 3.4 per
cent to 672,000 to be the tenth most widely read magazine in the
country.
Other magazines to increase their print readership
over the past year included That’s Life! Mega Monthly, up 1.8
per cent to 569,000, Vogue Australia, up 3.2 per cent to 356,000
and big gains for both Men’s Health, up 39.3 per cent to 337,000
and Street Machine, up 31 per cent to 321,000. Qantas Magazine,
which was now returned to ‘in-flight’ distribution with the
resumption of domestic air travel recorded a print readership of
354,000 during this period.
Top 25
Magazines by print readership – Sept. 2022
Full
Magazine Print Readership Results available to view here.
The
five most read categories of magazines by print readership
Food &
Entertainment magazines number one with total print readership
of 7.2 million
Food &
Entertainment is again Australia's best
performing magazine category and is now read by 7,185,000
Australians, or 33.8% of the population – over 3 million ahead
of any other category. A majority of seven out of the 11 titles
in this category increased their print readership on a year ago.
The free supermarket titles remain the clear leaders
in the category led by Coles magazine with a print readership of
4,819,000 just ahead of the second-placed Woolworth’s Fresh
Ideas now read by 4,769,000 Australians, up 108,000 (up 2.3 per
cent).
Taste.com.au magazine was one of the big winners over
the last year and significantly increased its print readership,
up by 13.6 per cent to 804,000, while readership of Eat Well was
up an impressive 24.3 per cent to 138,000.
Magazines to increase their readership also included
New Idea Food, up 50 per cent to 105,000, Gourmet Traveller Wine
up 13.8 per cent to 91,000, Halliday (was Wine Companion) up
81.3 per cent to 58,000 and Selector, up 10.5 per cent to
42,000.
Other widely read magazines in the category include
Delicious, with a readership of 284,000 and Australian Gourmet
Traveller now read by 205,000.
Print
readership of General Interest magazines holds strong above 4
million
4,114,000
Australians, or 19.4% of the population, read at least one of
the general interest magazines. Of the 14 magazines in the category,
seven increased their print readership from a year ago, five
decreased, one was unchanged and there was one new title: T
Australia: The New York Times Style Magazine.
National Geographic was easily the most widely read
paid magazine in the category with a print readership of
825,000, ahead of the second-placed Australian Geographic with a
print readership of 388,000 and Reader’s Digest Australia in
third with a print readership of 333,000.
Several magazines recorded large print readership
increases led by Cosmos, up 34.8 per cent to 124,000, Australian
Traveller, up 24.8 per cent to 161,000 and Vacations & Travel,
up 52.4 per cent to 157,000.
There were also strong performances by several
motoring magazines: Open Road (NSW) read by 1,349,000 (up 23.8
per cent), Road Ahead (Qld) now read by 672,000 (up 3.4 per
cent), Horizons (WA) read by 287,000 (up 4.4 per cent) and SA
Motor (SA) read by 243,000 (up 15.2 per cent).
For the new magazine in the category the readership
numbers were impressive with T Australia: The New York Times
Style Magazine achieving a readership of 123,000.
Home &
Garden magazines are in a clear third place read by 3.8 million
Australians
Home & Garden
magazines are now read by 3,791,000 Australians
accounting for over one-in-six Australians. There were four
magazines in the category to increase their print readership on
a year ago.
Australia’s most widely read paid magazine is again
Better Homes & Gardens (BH&G) with a print readership of
1,627,000 – almost 400,000 more than any other paid magazine.
The second most widely read is the freely available
Bunnings magazine which is now read by 1,574,000, up 4.9 per
cent on a year ago, and is the only other magazine in the
category with a readership of over 1 million.
Other well-known and widely read magazines in this
category include House & Garden with an impressive readership of
578,000, Gardening Australia with a readership of 437,000 and
Home Beautiful with a readership of 305,000.
There were three paid magazines to grow their print
readership over the last year led by Grand Designs Australia, up
8.4 per cent to 167,000, Belle, up 12.7 per cent to 133,000 and
Inside Out, up 17.3 per cent to a readership of 122,000.
Mass
Women’s magazines are read by over 2.7 million Australians in
2022
Mass Women’s
magazines are now read by 2,708,000 Australians equal to 12.7
per cent of the population and include five magazines read by
more than 500,000 people – more than any other category.
Easily the most widely read magazine in the category
is Australian Women’s Weekly with a print readership of
1,234,000 ahead of second-placed Woman’s Day with a readership
of 751,000 and third-placed New Idea with a readership of
612,000.
The popular ‘competition-focused’ magazines are also
widely read led by That’s Life Mega Monthly with a readership of
569,000, up 1.8 per cent on a year ago, Take 5 Bumper Monthly
read by 517,000, Take 5 (Weekly) with a readership of 481,000
and That’s Life read by 471,000.
Health
& Family magazines increase their print readership by over 30%
from a year ago
Overall the
Health & Family magazines print readership increased by a
substantial 33.9 per cent to 1,287,000 (6.1% of the population).
Four of the five continuing magazines in the category
experienced an increase in print readership over the last year
led by Wellbeing, up 55.6 per cent to a readership of 168,000.
There were other large increases in print readership
for Women’s Health, up 10 per cent to 263,000, Healthy Food
Guide, up 50.9 per cent to 261,000 and Diabetic Living, up 38.6
per cent to 230,000.
Women’s
Fashion and Women’s Lifestyle magazine categories increase
readership
There was growth
in several smaller magazine categories with the Women’s Fashion,
Women’s Lifestyle, Business,
Financial & Airline, Motoring, Sports, Men’s Lifestyle, Fishing,
Music & Movies, Motorcycle and Crafts categories all increasing
their print readership in the 12 months to September 2022.
Women’s
Fashion magazines performed well over
the last year increasing category readership by 8.3 per cent to
831,000. The most widely read magazine in the category is Vogue
Australia which increased its readership by 3.2 per cent to
356,000 while the relaunched Harper’s Bazaar has a readership of
143,000.
Women’s
Lifestyle magazines were a standout
performer over the last year growing overall print readership by
37.6 per cent to 333,000. The most widely read magazine in the
category is Who with a readership of 152,000, up 2.7 per cent on
a year ago while the biggest improver over the past year was
English Women’s Weekly which increased its readership by 27.5
per cent to 116,000.
Business, Financial & Airline magazines increased
their readership by 2.5 per cent to 1,016,000 over the last year
led by The Monthly, up a large 28.8 per cent to 170,000, New
Scientist which increased 12.3 per cent to 210,000 and Time
magazine which was up 1.1 per cent to 185,000.
Motoring magazines are the seventh most
widely read magazine category and experienced growth of 12.7 per
cent over the past year for an overall print readership of
938,000, or 4.4% of the population with four of the six
magazines in the category increasing their readership over the
past year.
The magazines to
increase their readership included Street Machine, up a large 31 per cent to 321,000, Wheels, up 3.7 per cent
to 226,000, Unique Cars, up 21.1 per cent to 212,000 and Motor,
up 14.6 per cent to 149,000. Another of the widely read
magazines in the category is 4x4 Australia, read by 239,000.
Sports
magazines had a good year increasing
print readership by 0.4 per cent to 462,000 led by a large
increase for the AFL Record, up 45.5 per cent to a readership of
272,000 and the Australian Golf Digest which increased
readership by 8.8 per cent to 160,000.
Other
magazines to perform strongly included
Men’s Health, up 39.3 per cent to 337,000, Fresh Water Fishing
Australia, up 6.1 per cent to 87,000, Rolling Stone, up 30.2 per
cent to 220,000, Dirt Action, up 8.9 per cent to 49,000, and two
magazines in the Crafts category: Homespun, up 20.4 per cent to
65,000 and Quilters Companion, up 1.6 per cent to 65,000.
Are
Media’s ‘Now to Love’ digital platform is accessed by more than
1.7 million Australians
The results for
the 12 months to September 2022 for Magazine Publishers are impressive with the 4 week digital platform audience
data showing Are Media’s ‘Now to Love’ website attracting an
audience of more than 1.7 million Australians in an average 4
week period. Are Media’s ‘Now to Love’ platform allows
advertisers to reach their audience in new ways with innovative
online offerings.
Many of Are Media’s magazine brands (including
Australian Women’s Weekly, Woman’s Day, Take 5 and TV Week) have
consolidated their online presence on the ‘Now to Love’ platform
which adds incremental reach to already strong print based
publications.
Of those magazines on the ‘Now to Love’ website
Woman’s Day reaches a total cross-platform audience of over 3
million people while Australian Women’s Weekly reaches around
2.8 million people.
Other magazines with large cross-platform audiences
include News Corp’s Taste.com.au Magazine with a total audience
of over 4 million, Are Media’s Take 5 (weekly) with a total
audience of almost 2.4 million, TV Week with a total audience of
more than 2.3 million, Better Homes & Gardens with over 2.1
million readers and New Idea with more than 2 milllion readers
in an average 4 weeks in the 12 months to September 2022.
Top 15
Magazines – Total Cross-Platform Audience
November 29, 2022
771-43-19/Polls
Roy
Morgan Business Confidence Drops By 6.4 Points To 90.2 In
November – Lowest Since September 2020
The second straight monthly fall in the index follows
the RBA’s decision to raise interest rates for a seventh
straight month in early November, up by 0.25% to 2.85% - the
highest official interest rates for over nine years since May
2013. This is the RBA’s fastest set of
increases to interest rates for nearly thirty years since the
RBA raised rates by 2.75% in only five months in 1994.
Treasurer Jim
Chalmer’s first Federal Budget, delivered in the final week of
October, was widely considered to be a fairly responsible budget
with no big spending promises. The results of today’s
Business Confidence survey for November showed the Federal
Budget failed to boost confidence in the business community by
any significant amount.
The biggest driver of the drop in Business Confidence
related to the performance of the Australian economy over the
next year with only 34.1% (down 8.1ppts) of businesses expecting
‘good times’, while nearly two-thirds of businesses, 63.6% (up
6.5ppts), say there will be ‘bad times’ for the economy.
However, businesses are still positive about their
own prospects, with 44.7% (up 3.2ppts) of businesses expecting
to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year compared to
26.9% expecting to be ‘worse off’
Business Confidence is now 22.7pts below the
long-term average of 112.9 but is still higher than the latest
- ANZ-Roy
Morgan Consumer Confidence of 83.1 for November 21-27, 2022.
Roy
Morgan Monthly Business Confidence -- Australia
Source: Roy
Morgan Business Single Source, Dec 2010-Nov 2022. Average
monthly sample over the last 12 months = 1,440.
Business Confidence is highest in NSW, but only at the neutral
level of 100
Year-on-year
Business Confidence in November is down by a
large 22.8pts (-20.2%) to 90.2 and is now 18.9pts lower than two
years ago in November 2020 (109.1) during the middle of the
COVID-19 pandemic. Business Confidence is now at its lowest
since September 2020 (85.6).
The index is down in all States from a year ago and
only New South Wales at 100.0, down 16.6pts (-14.3%) is not
below the neutral level of 100.
Just below the neutral level of 100 is South
Australia on 99.3, down 17.9pts (-15.3%) on a year ago, and
Tasmania on 92.2, down 13.9pts (-13.1%) on a year ago.
The largest fall in Business Confidence is in Western
Australia with the index down a massive 48.1pts (-34.4%) to
91.5. One year ago, Western Australia was the only State to
announce it would not be opening up its borders to Victoria and
New South Wales in the run-up to Christmas while other States
including Queensland, South Australia and Tasmania all relaxed
their border restrictions.
Business Confidence is just below the national
average in Victoria at only 88.8, down 19.2pts (-17.8%) on a
year ago. At the end of November Victorians re-elected the ALP
Government led by Premier Daniel Andrews with an almost
unchanged majority.
The State of Queensland continues to lag the rest of
the nation with Business Confidence of only 70.5 in November,
down 28.4pts (-28.7%) on a year ago. The index has averaged 82.0
over the last six months since the Federal Election and hasn’t
been above 90 since June 2022 (94.1).
Business Confidence by State in November 2021 vs November 2022
Source: Roy
Morgan Business Single Source, November 2021, n=1,368, November
2022, n=1,374. Base:
Australian businesses. *Tasmanian Business Confidence is
measured over two months: Oct-Nov 2021 cf. Oct-Nov 2022.
Education & Training is the only industry to increase Business
Confidence from a year ago
Over the last
two months only four industries, Education & Training, Property
& Business Services, Information Media & Telecommunications and
Administration and Support Services had Business Confidence over
15% higher than the national average of
93.4.
The most confident industry was Education & Training
with Business Confidence of 111.7, an increase of 3.9pts (+3.6%)
on a year ago. This was the only industry to record an increase
in Business Confidence compared to a year ago as Australia’s
borders re-opened allowing international students to return to
Australia to study after two years locked out due to the
COVID-19 pandemic.
The Property & Business Services industry remains
confident with Business Confidence of 110.4, although this is
down 10.4pts (-8.6%) on a year ago just ahead of Information
Media & Telecommunications on 109.1, down 8.4pts (-7.1%) and
Administration & Support Services on 107.9, down 9.5pts (-8.1%)
on a year ago.
After a strong period for travellers over the winter
months Accommodation & Food Services has a high Business
Confidence of 107.7, although this is down 19.3pts (-15.2%) on a
year ago as rising inflation and interest rates start to impact.
Just outside the top five is the Mining sector on
106.6, down 8.2pts (-7.2%). The Mining industry has had high
Business Confidence this year based on record prices for several
key commodities led by coal, gas and iron ore which have led to
record high trade surpluses during much of 2022.
These are the only six industries with Business
Confidence higher than the neutral level of 100 in
October-November 2022.
Finance & Insurance has the lowest Business
Confidence in October-November 2022 at only 55.1, over 40% below
the national average of 93.4, and down a large 61.9pts (-52%) on
a year ago. Almost as low is Electricity, gas & water on only
59.2, down 27.5pts (-31.8%) on the same time in 2021.
Other industries with far lower than average Business
Confidence include Construction on 81.4, down 15.9pts (-16.4%)
on a year ago, Wholesale on 78.5, down a large 46.7pts (-37.3%)
on a year ago and Retail on only 75.6, down 16.9pts (-18.3%) on
a year ago.
Business Confidence for Top 5 and Bottom 5 Industries in October
– November 2022
Source: Roy
Morgan Business Single Source, October-November 2022, n=3,067. Base: Australian
businesses. Note: In
the chart above green bars represent Business Confidence in
positive territory above the national average and red bars
represent Business Confidence well below the national average
and below the neutral level of 100.
Businesses are positive about their own prospects over the next
year but are pessimistic at record low levels about the
performance of the Australian economy over the next five years
Michele
Levine, CEO of Roy Morgan, says Business Confidence fell in
November after the Albanese Government’s first Federal Budget
delivered by Treasurer Jim Chalmers in late October failed to
provide a boost to businesses dealing with rising inflation and
interest rates:
“Roy
Morgan Business Confidence fell 6.4pts to 90.2 in November, the
lowest it has been in over two years since September 2020
(85.6), during the middle of Victoria’s second wave of COVID-19.
“The
new Albanese Government’s first Federal Budget was delivered by
Treasurer Jim Chalmers in late October and, although the budget
was largely well received, it hasn’t delivered an increase to
Business Confidence that many would have hoped for.
“Only
one of the components of the Business Confidence index increased
in November with 44.7% (up 3.2ppts) of businesses now saying
they expect the business to be ‘better off’ financially this
time next year. This compares to just over a quarter, 26.9% (up
0.7ppts), who expect to be ‘worse off’.
“However, the real problem is that businesses are increasingly
negative on the outlook for the Australian economy with growing
majorities expecting ‘bad times’ going forward. Now 63.6% (up
6.5ppts) of businesses expect ‘bad times’ for the economy over
the next year and almost as many, 60.2% (up 0.9ppts), expect
‘bad times’ for the economy over the next five years.
“The
RBA is widely expected to increase interest rates for an eighth
straight month in December and an increase of 0.25% points to
3.1% will mean interest rates will have increased by a total of
3% points so far this year. The last time the RBA increased
interest rates by at least 3% points was during the cycle of
increases from May 2002 until March 2007 in the run-up to the
GFC.
“On a
State-based level Business Confidence is now neutral in New
South Wales (100.0) but in negative territory below 100 in all
other States. Lowest of all is Queensland at only 70.5. The
‘Sunshine State’ has had consistently low Business Confidence
since this year’s Federal Election averaging only 82.0 over the
last six months (June – November 2022).
“At an
industry level there are now six industries flying high in
October-November 2022 with Business Confidence above 100.
Leading the pack is Education & Training with Business
Confidence of 111.7 – nearly 20% above the national average.
“The
end of pandemic restrictions this year has allowed international
students to return to Australia in big numbers and the industry
has been among the most confident since international borders
re-opened earlier this year. Education & Training is the only
industry with higher Business Confidence now than a year ago.
“Other
industries with high confidence include Property & Business
Services on 110.4, Information Media & Telecommunications on
109.1, Administration & Support Services on 107.9, Accommodation
& Food Services on 107.7 and Mining on 106.6 after Australia
enjoyed record trade surpluses so far this year based largely on
booming resource exports of gas, coal and iron ore.
“In
contrast there are five industries for which Business Confidence
is lagging more than 10% below the national average including
Finance & Insurance, down a massive 61.9pts (-52.9%) on a year
ago to 55.1, Electricity, gas & water, down 27.5pts (-31.8%) to
59.2, Retail, down 16.9pts (-18.3%) to 75.6, Wholesale, down
46.7pts (-37.3%) to 78.5 and Construction, down by 15.9pts
(-16.4%) to 81.4.”
December 02, 2022
Source:
https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9112-roy-morgan-business-confidence-november-2022
MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES
771-43-20/Polls
Only
Six In Ten (63%) Internet Users On Average Across The 20
Countries Included Said They Trust The Internet
An international survey reveals that Internet users’
trust in the Internet has dropped significantly since 2019. This
is one of the key findings of a 20-country Ipsos survey released
by The
NEW INSTITUTE in Hamburg, Germany.
Privacy was a major concern for those surveyed.
Seventy-nine percent expressed worry about their online privacy.
Many felt that Internet governance was lacking.
Slightly more than half (57%) said the Internet was effectively
governed. But fewer than half in Great Britain (45%), the U.S.
(45%), France (41%) and Israel (34%) felt this way.
In Germany, trust in the Internet fell to 61%, down 9
points from 2019. This is slightly below the international
average of 63%, but higher than in Canada (57%) and the U.S.
(54%).
“The survey
clearly shows distrust in the largest communication and
information network humankind has ever created,”
said Dr.
Christian Kastrop, Program Chair, Socio-Economic
Transformation, at THE NEW INSTITUTE. Dr. Kastrop is a former
German Federal State Secretary for Digital Society and Consumer
Policy. “Clearly, Internet
users want concrete and effective policies that will empower and
protect them.”
Amid privacy concerns and rapidly declining worldwide
trust, Internet users were calling for new regulations to
effectively strengthen online privacy. They also wanted better
control over how their personal data was collected and used.
Respondents indicated that the most effective
policies to improve trust in the Internet should include:
“It’s all about
empowering Internet users and listening to their concerns as the
Internet revolution continues to evolve,” says Dr.
Paul Twomey, Initiative Lead at THE NEW INSTITUTE. “There
is growing global desire by individuals to protect the access to
and use of their online personal data, not just for privacy but
also to improve direct benefits to individuals and expand
positive societal outcomes.”
“There’s little
doubt that we are witnessing a steady global erosion of user
trust in the Internet. And that scepticism is being driven by
concerns about data privacy and security”, said Dr.
Fen Hampson, a Visiting Fellow at THE NEW INSTITUTE and a
Chancellor’s Professor at Carleton University in Ottawa, Canada.
“The survey makes it
abundantly clear that there is broad support for regulatory and
technical innovations aimed at giving online citizens control
over their own data. And it is also clear that is vital to
restoring trust in the Internet.”
Focus
on South Africa and Kenya
Only two African countries were included in the
20-country study, namely South Africa and Kenya. In Kenya seven
in every 10 (70%) expressed trust in the internet. South
Africans were no different to those in the rest of the world
about their trust of the internet, with 63% agreeing that
overall, they trust the internet. In line with findings in other
countries of shrinking trust in the internet, this showed a
decline of 9 percentage points since 2019. Could this opinion be
impacted by the worry of online security, with only 47% of South
Africans and 43% of Kenyans saying that overall, online security
was sufficient?
Citizens’ concerns about online privacy ranked very
high, with 93% in Kenya and 88% in South Africa voicing their
concerns – considerably higher than the 79% overall country
average. In Kenya there was an increase of 49 percentage points
in this indicator since 2019.
Probing whether South Africans and Kenyans thought
the internet was effectively governed, almost six in ten in both
countries - Kenya (59%) and South Africa (57%) - agreed.
Notably, Kenyans were more positive than South Africans about
new government policies to improve internet trust, but it must
be kept in mind that overall internet access in Kenya is
currently at only 30%. (Internet penetration in Kenya grew
rapidly over the last few years – from 17% in 2015 to the
current level.)
Internet penetration is much higher in South Africa ,
where 7 in 10 South Africans had access to the internet in 2020
– this is still growing rather rapidly and currently Ipsos
proprietary figures indicate that internet access is in the
region of 77%.
The majority of Kenyans (89%) and South Africans
(75%) agreed that policies to protect internet user privacy
would improve trust in the internet.
“In both Kenya and
South Africa citizens are looking to government policies to
protect them on the internet, but in our opinion a fine balance
needs to be maintained between freedom of speech and stricter
government policies so as not to suppress or deny freedom of
information access and flow in our democracies,”
says Mari
Harris, Knowledge Director in Sub-Saharan Africa.
28
November 2022
Source:
https://www.ipsos.com/en-za/trust-in-the-internet-2022
771-43-21/Polls
7 Out
Of 10 People Globally Believe That Prices Will Continue In An
Upward Escalation In The Next Twelve Months Among 36 Countries
The inflationary spiral increasingly has a greater
impact worldwide and more when expectations are not exactly
positive. This is evidenced by the latest reportof the Ipsos
Global Inflation Monitor, carried out between October 21 and
November 4 in 36 countries. On average, 7
out of 10 people globally believe that prices will continue in
an upward escalation in the next twelve months,
a figure similar to that of Spain, where 66% declare it.
Inflation and unemployment go hand in hand
Inflation brings with it side effects that undermine
the growth capacity of the economy of countries, such asthe
negative effect on job creation.
In this current context, on average, 61% of the population
globally perceives that unemployment will grow in the next year,
a result that increases 5 points compared to June. Aperception
that in Spain is much more accentuated, the data indicate that
almost 7 out of 10 people think that unemployment will grow
(68%), which represents a significant increase of 15 points
compared to the last wave made in June.
Inflation increasingly impacts purchasing power
One of the consequences of this inflationary context
continued over time is the loss of purchasing power and,
consequently, a decrease in lifestyle. In
fact, only 16% of Spanish citizens believe that their standard
of living throughout 2023 will be better, the most pessimistic
country in this regard, only surpassed by Italy (14%)
Who or
who are to blame for this increase in the cost of living?
According to this new wave of the Global Inflation
Monitor, 74% of the world's population, on average, blames the
increase in the cost of living on thestate
of the economy internationally. In Spain, citizenship
increases that percentage to 81%, placing itself as the European
country, along with the United Kingdom, that most supports this
thesis.
29
November 2022
Source:
https://www.ipsos.com/es-es/aumenta-drasticamente-la-percepcion-de-que-el-desempleo-crecera-en-2023-debido-la-inflacion
771-43-22/Polls
Gender
Inequality At Work: A Real Problem For 67% Of G7 Citizens
Gender
Parity in G7 Countries: "Perception versus Reality"
Some
data speak for themselves: 74% of
citizensof
G7 countriesfeel inequality betweenwomen and men in terms ofsocial,
political and/or economic rights in their country.
67%
of respondentsare convinced that
gender inequalityat workis
a real problem (women 74% - men 59%) and62%
consider that women areless
likely to succeed (women70%
- men 59%).
67%
of respondentsare convinced that
gender inequalityat workis
a real problem (women 74% - men 59%) and62%
consider that women areless
likely to succeed (women70%
- men 59%).
There
is astrong differencebetween
countries: while inFrance 73%
of respondents say gender inequality at work is a problem, this
figure rises to77%
in Italy, but falls to63%
inGermanyand59%
in Japan.
In addition, many women continue tosuffer
unacceptable behaviour at workand stereotypes
persist: 46% of respondents still agree with the phrase: 'you can't
have it all, if you want to be a good mother, you have to be
willing to sacrifice part of your professional career'; 31%
of workingwomen have already felta
lot of pressureregardingtheir
life choices (being a mother or not, single, etc.), a
figure that rises to37% for
women inmanagement positions.
More
than 4 hours a day is the time womenspend
onunpaid work for their loved oneswhile it is 2 hours for men. This
puts a strain on their finances and later will damage their
pension. Only 45% of women in the world receive a pension.
Call to
Action: 17 innovative measures
However, the picture has cleared up and brings hope
for the future because respondents overwhelmingly supportedstrong
actions, such as the inclusion in thebankers'
bonusof an obligation of equal
approval rate of credit filessubmitted by women and
men (70%), the establishment of acompensation
system years of unemployment and retirement for
assisting women that would take into account the years when they
have not been able to carry out their job accompanied by atax
credit for companiesthat facilitate their resumption
and professional integration (76%), the addition ofa
teaching of codesas a compulsory subject from the1st
year of collegeand alearning of digital culture, (75%).
In total,17
innovative and feasible measureswere tested and
received strong support from all ages and social categories.
November 29, 2022
Source:
https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/womens-forum-2022
771-43-23/Polls
Economic Worries Now Concern More Than Half Of The Global
Population, A Study In 19 Nations
As we approach Christmas, economic worries now
concern more than half of the global population, up from 39% of
people in May. The most concerned nation worldwide is the UK,
where inflationary worries dominate (55%).
01
December 2022
Source:
https://www.kantar.com/inspiration/inflation/the-cost-of-living-is-now-the-primary-concern-for-half-of-the-world
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![To what extent, would you say [...] has done a good job or bad job as Prime Minister, or neither? % Very or fairly good job / % Very or fairly bad job Rishi Sunak 24-25 November 2022 28% / 24% Liz Truss 19-20 October 2022 8% / 76% Boris Johnson 5-6 July 2022 26% / 56%](771_files/image036.jpg)
