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BUSINESS & POLITICS IN THE WORLD GLOBAL OPINION REPORT NO. 754 Week:
August 01 –August 07, 2022 Presentation:
August 12, 2022 Contents
Commentary: Three In Four U S Adults Say Alcohol Use Has A Negative Effect
On Society A
Third Of Singaporeans Will Spend This National Day Gathering With Friends And
Family (30%) 42%
Respondents Disagreed When Asked That Climate Change Is Not A Real Issue,
It’s Just Propaganda Zimbabweans
Look To Government For Action On Climate Change Half
Of Britons Likely To Watch Women's Football Following Lionesses Triumph Truss
Leads Sunak By 69% To 31% In Latest Tory Members Poll Six
In Ten Britons Say They Will Need To Cut Other Spending To Fund Coming Energy
Bills Three
In Four Britons Think Johnson’s Government Has Done A Bad Job Dealing With
The Cost Of Living Almost
6 In 10 People With Psoriasis Fear Being Mocked 32
Percent Of Germans Are Bundesliga Fans Americans
Support Incentives For Electric Vehicles But Are Divided Over Buying One
Themselves U S
Women More Concerned Than Men About Some AI Developments, Especially
Driverless Cars Majority
Of Americans Continue To Favor Moving Away From Electoral College Three
In Four U S Adults Say Alcohol Use Has A Negative Effect On Society Four
In Ten Across 28 Countries Expect Their Disposable Income To Fall Over The
Next Year A
Study On Online Banking In 5 European Countries INTRODUCTORY NOTE This weekly report consists of twenty-two surveys.
The report includes three multi-country studies from different states across
the globe. 754-43-23/Commentary: Three in Four U S Adults Say Alcohol Use Has A Negative Effect
On Society
Broad
majorities of Americans believe the use of alcohol adversely affects both
society in general and drinkers specifically. Three in four U.S. adults say
alcohol use has a negative effect on society, and nearly as many (71%) think
it affects drinkers themselves negatively, though more describe the effect as
"somewhat negative" than as "very negative." Yet, these
perceived negative effects of alcohol are not enough to discourage Americans
from imbibing, as two in three say they personally have the occasion to drink
alcoholic beverages. On the whole, those who are drinking report doing so
moderately, averaging about four drinks per week. As for their
drink of choice, drinkers in the U.S. are more closely divided in their
preferences than ever before, with roughly equal percentages saying they most
often consume beer, wine or liquor. Alcohol Mainly Viewed as 'Somewhat' Negatively Affecting Drinkers,
Society Americans'
views of the ill effects of alcohol, while decisive, are tempered. That is,
U.S. adults are much more likely to say alcohol has a somewhat rather than very negative effect on both
society and drinkers. Fifty-five
percent of U.S. adults say alcohol use affects society somewhat negatively,
while 20% call it very negative. Likewise, 52% think alcohol affects drinkers
themselves somewhat negatively, versus 19% very negatively. Those who do
not drink alcohol perceive its effects to be significantly more negative than
those who do drink. Non-drinkers are at least three times as likely as
alcohol drinkers to say alcohol affects society and drinkers very negatively.
Additionally,
U.S. adults without a college degree are more than twice as likely as college
graduates to view the effects of alcohol on society and on drinkers as very
negative. Women are
seven percentage points more likely than men to view alcohol's effects on
both society and on drinkers as somewhat negative. Americans' Alcohol Use Is Relatively Steady Gallup has
tracked the public's alcohol use since 1939. That year, 58% of U.S. adults
said they had the occasion to use alcoholic beverages "such as liquor,
wine or beer." Since then, majorities have consistently said they do,
with the percentage imbibing no lower than 60% since 1997. The percentage of
drinkers reached a high of 71% in three surveys conducted in 1976, 1977 and
1978; however, the question was not asked in 2020 when COVID-19 lockdowns may
have impacted drinking habits. The latest
67% reading, from a July 5-26 Gallup poll, is a slight uptick from last
year when alcohol use was at the low end
of the narrow range of readings.
Among those
who drink, three in 10 say they have consumed an alcoholic beverage in the
past 24 hours. Another 36% have had a drink in the past week, while 33% say
they last had a drink more than a week ago. The 30% who have consumed alcohol
in the past 24 hours is on the low end of the 26% to 40% range since 1984. On average,
U.S. drinkers report having 3.9 drinks in the past seven days, which is
roughly in line with the readings historically. In 2003 and 2004, the average
was around five drinks a week. Liquor Use Hits New High; Beer Use at New Low The type of
alcohol that drinkers in the U.S. choose most often has varied somewhat over
the past three decades, but beer has outpaced liquor and wine in nearly every
reading. That gap is narrower this year as beer consumption, at 35%, is at
its lowest level by one percentage point. The reading has been as high as 47%
in the early 1990s when Gallup first asked the question. Wine
drinkers comprise 31% of all drinkers. Since 2006, the percentage of drinkers
consuming wine most often has ranged between 30% and 35%. The 30% of
U.S. drinkers who favor liquor as their drink of choice is a new high in the
trend, also by one point. Liquor consumption has been as low as 18% and has
trailed beer and wine consistently until recently, averaging 22% since 1992.
(Gallup) AUGUST 5,
2022 Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/395867/say-alcohol-adversely-affects-drinkers-society.aspx 754-43-24/Country Profile:
SUMMARY
OF POLLS
ASIA (Singapore) A Third Of Singaporeans Will Spend This National Day
Gathering With Friends And Family (30%) While this year’s National Day celebrations
mark the first time the parade has been opened to the public after two years
of downsized festivities, latest data from YouGov RealTime Omnibus reveals that most Singaporeans do not
intend to join the festivities in person. The greatest proportion of citizens
plan to watch the parade and fireworks on TV or online (48%) or just stay
home (46%), while around a third said they will spend the time gathering with
friends and family (30%). (YouGov Singapore) (Hong
Kong) One
In Four Hong Kong Residents Are Opting To Change Their Payment Platform For
Receiving Their Second Batch Of Digital Vouchers (25%) Latest RealTime Omnibus research by YouGov reveals that one in four
Hong Kong residents are opting to change their payment platform for receiving
their second batch of digital vouchers (25%). Millennials (born 1981–1996) are more likely than
other birth cohorts to be switchers – almost one in three are opting for a
change (32%). In contrast, Baby
Boomers (born 1946–1964) are least likely: less than one in
five are seeking a change (18%). (YouGov Hong Kong) August 5, 2022 (Pakistan) 42%
Respondents Disagreed When Asked That Climate Change Is Not A Real Issue,
It’s Just Propaganda According to a survey conducted by Gallup
& Gilani Pakistan and Davaam, 42% respondents either strongly disagreed
or disagreed when asked that “Climate change is not a real issue, it’s just
propaganda. 44% respondents strongly agree that it is not a real issue but
just a propaganda, 14% somewhat agree that climate change is just a
propaganda and not a real issue, 16% somewhat disagree that climate change is
a propaganda and not a reality and 26% strongly disagree to the notion that
climate change is just a propaganda and not a real issue. (Gallup Pakistan) August 1st, 2022 AFRICA (Kenya) According
To Latest Opinion Polls, Azimio La Umoja One Kenya Presidential Candidate
Would Win 47% Of The Total Votes The survey shows United Democratic Alliance
(UDA) and Deputy President Dr. William Ruto would win 41% of the total votes
while the Roots Party flag bearer, George Wajackoya comes a distant third
with 2.9%. Agano Party’s Waiga Mwaure will win 0.2% of the total votes. The
Ipsos in Kenya poll shows that Mr. Odinga could possibly bridge the 3% + 1
difference to the threshold to win in the first round given there is still 9%
undeclared voters (5.1% who refused to disclose, and 3.8% who are undecided.
The undeclared voters are mainly older females in rural areas and are likely
to be found in Western Kenya and Coast regions. (Ipsos Kenya) 2 August 2022 (Zimbabwe) Zimbabweans Look To Government For Action On Climate Change Six in 10 Zimbabweans (60%) say droughts
have become “somewhat more severe” or “much more severe” over the past 10
years; only a quarter as many (16%) say the same about floods. Fewer than
half (45%) of Zimbabweans say they have heard of climate change. Eight in 10
(80%) say it is making life in Zimbabwe worse. Almost two-thirds (64%)
believe that ordinary citizens can help curb climate change, and even more
(71%) want the government to take immediate action to limit climate change,
even if it is expensive, causes job losses, or takes a toll on the economy. (Afrobarometer) 3 August 2022 WEST
EUROPE (UK) Half Of Britons Likely To Watch Women's Football Following
Lionesses Triumph With the England women's football team
securing its first ever major trophy in a nailbiting 2-1 victory against Germany
yesterday at the Euros, a new YouGov poll shows that approaching half of
Britons (46%) say they are likely to watch women's football in future. This
includes one in five (21%) who say they are "very likely" to watch
further women's football fixtures. There is no gender divide on this score,
with both men and women about equally likely to say they will tune in to
future matches: 48% of men and 44% of women say they are either very or
fairly likely to do so. (YouGov UK) August 02, 2022 8 In 10 Britons Concerned About Climate
Change – Half Think Net Zero Target Should Be Brought Forward The latest Ipsos Political Monitor, taken
July 21st to 27th, shows strong levels of concern about climate change
amongst the British public. Overall, 84% are concerned about climate change,
with more than half (52%) ‘very concerned’. Levels of concern overall have
increased 8 points since April but are consistent with findings in July 2019
and August 2021 (both 85% concerned). Similarly, when we ask when Britain will
start feeling the effects of climate change, 72% say we are already feeling
the effects. This is up 5 points from April but matches the 73% that said the
same in both July 2019 and August 2021. (Ipsos MORI) 2 August 2022 Truss
Leads Sunak By 69% To 31% In Latest Tory Members Poll YouGov’s latest full poll of Conservative
members – conducted for The Times, and the first since our snap poll after
the final two candidates became clear – shows Sunak falling further behind. Liz
Truss’s lead over her rival has in fact grown to 38pts, with the foreign
secretary currently holding 69% of the headline vote, to Sunak’s 31%. Those
figures had stood at 62% and 38% respectively in our previous poll on 20-21
July.* (YouGov UK) August 03, 2022 Six
In Ten Britons Say They Will Need To Cut Other Spending To Fund Coming Energy
Bills YouGov research shows Britons are deeply
concerned about the cost of energy. Some 78% of Britons say they are worried
about the current price of their household's energy bills – including a third
(37%) who are “very” worried about the cost. Only 18% of people claim not to
be particularly concerned. A similar proportion (75%) of those with the
highest household incomes (£60,000+) also say they are worried. However,
those with lower incomes are more likely to be "very" worried (48%
versus 31% respectively). (YouGov UK) August 04, 2022 Three In Four Britons Think Johnson’s
Government Has Done A Bad Job Dealing With The Cost Of Living The latest Ipsos Political Monitor, taken
July 21st to 27th, shows that whilst the public think Boris Johnson’s
government has done a good job handling the Covid vaccine rollout, dealing
with the pandemic generally and responding to the Russian invasion of
Ukraine, clear majorities think his government has done a bad job in a host
of other areas. 80% think Johnson’s government did a good job ensuring the
public are vaccinated against Covid-19. A majority (54%) think his government
did a good job dealing with the Covid-19 pandemic (42% say bad). (Ipsos MORI) 5 August 2022 (France) Almost
6 In 10 People With Psoriasis Fear Being Mocked Nearly two-thirds of people with psoriasis
have high reservations when summer arrives. For 30% of them, summer is a
source of stress, for 29% of sadness, and even anger for a quarter of them. Beyond
social acceptance, it is also the acceptance of one's own body that is
raised: nearly 6 out of 10 patients say they hide under more covering
clothes out of shame of their disease (58%). Many people want to avoid
answering questions related to their psoriasis (74%), receiving derogatory
comments (64%) or fear being mocked (59%). (Ipsos France) August 1, 2022 (Germany) 32
Percent Of Germans Are Bundesliga Fans The majority of German Bundesliga fans are
men (73 percent) between the ages of 45 and 54 (22 vs. 20 percent of the
total population). More than half of this target group (55 percent) has a
great interest in politics, while only 34 percent of the total population
also have a great interest in politics. In addition to football, this target
group also follows biathlon and ski jumping (26 and 25 percent respectively),
Bundesliga fans most often consume the TV channel ARD (46 percent) and are
customers of the streaming provider Sky (23 percent). (YouGov Germany) August 5, 2022 (Hungary) About
Four-In-Ten Hungarian Adults (38%) Say Their Country Has Become Less
Democratic Since Orban Became Prime Minister About four-in-ten Hungarian adults (38%)
say their country has become less democratic since Orban became prime
minister. A third say it has become more democratic, and about two-in-ten
(21%) say it has not changed. About three-quarters of those with an
unfavorable view of Fidesz (76%) say Hungary has become less democratic since
Orban took office. The share who says this increases to 86% among Hungarians
who have very unfavorable
views of Fidesz and see
the party as a threat to Hungary’s future. (PEW) AUGUST 3, 2022 NORTH AMERICA (USA) Americans Support Incentives For Electric Vehicles But Are
Divided Over Buying One Themselves Overall, two-thirds of Americans support
providing incentives to increase the use of electric and hybrid vehicles.
Democrats and independents who lean to the Democratic Party are much more
likely than Republicans and GOP leaners to say they favor incentives to
increase the use of electric vehicles (84% to 46%). Majorities of Americans
overall are also supportive of several other policies to address climate
change,
including requiring power companies to use more energy from renewable
sources. (PEW) AUGUST 1, 2022 U S Women More Concerned Than Men About Some AI
Developments, Especially Driverless Cars Overall, women in the U.S. are less likely than men to say that
technology has had a mostly positive effect on society (42% vs. 54%)
and more likely to
say technology has had equally positive and negative impacts (45% vs. 37%).
In addition, women are less likely than men to say they feel more excited
than concerned about the increased use of AI computer programs in daily life
(13% vs. 22%). Gender remains a factor in views about AI and technology’s
impact when accounting for other variables, such as respondents’ political
partisanship, education and race and ethnicity. (PEW) About One-In-Six U S Journalists At News Outlets Are Part
Of A Union; Many More Would Join One If They Could At a time when newsrooms in the United
States are seeing a wave of unionization, around one-in-six U.S. journalists at
news organizations report being in a union and many more say they would join
one if it were available to them, according to a recent Pew Research Center survey. Overall, 16% of U.S. journalists who are
employed at least part time at a news outlet say they are currently a member
of a union at their organization. Another 41% would join one if it were available
to them, according to the survey of nearly 12,000 working U.S.-based
journalists, conducted Feb. 16 to March 17, 2022. (PEW) AUGUST 4, 2022 Majority Of Americans Continue To Favor Moving Away From
Electoral College Around six-in-ten U.S. adults (63%) say the
way the president is elected should be changed so that the winner of the
popular vote nationwide wins the presidency, while 35% favor keeping the
current Electoral College system, according to a Pew Research Center survey
conducted June 27-July 4, 2022. There has been a modest increase in the share
of Americans who favor changing the way presidents are elected: In January
2021, the last time the Center asked this question, 55% said the system
should be changed, while 43% supported maintaining the existing system. (PEW) AUGUST 5, 2022 Three In Four U S Adults Say Alcohol Use Has A Negative
Effect On Society Broad majorities of Americans believe the
use of alcohol adversely affects both society in general and drinkers
specifically. Three in four U.S. adults say alcohol use has a negative effect
on society, and nearly as many (71%) think it affects drinkers themselves
negatively, though more describe the effect as "somewhat negative"
than as "very negative." As for their drink of choice, drinkers in
the U.S. are more closely divided in their preferences than ever before, with
roughly equal percentages saying they most often consume beer, wine or
liquor. (Gallup) AUGUST 5, 2022 AUSTRALIA (New Zealand) Potential National/Act NZ (46%) Coalition Is Just Ahead Of
Labour/ Greens (44.5%) In July, But Maori Party Holds The Balance Of Power Today’s Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll shows
support tightening between a potential National/ Act NZ (46%) coalition now
only 1.5% points ahead of the governing Labour/ Greens (44.5%). The gap is
the smallest since Christopher Luxon became National Leader in late November. (Roy Morgan) August 02 2022 MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES Globally, 3 In 5 Citizens Say Abortion Should Be Legal In
All Or Most Cases, In 27 Surveyed Countries On average, 59% of adults surveyed by
Ipsos in 27 countries say abortion should be legal in all or most
cases while 26% say it should be illegal in all or most cases. Those who
say it should be legal outnumber those who say it shouldn’t in 22 countries –
nowhere more than in Sweden, Belgium, France, and the
Netherlands. Opposition prevails in only 4 countries – Peru, India,
Malaysia, and Colombia. (Ipsos MORI) 2 August 2022 Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/globally-3-5-citizens-say-abortion-should-be-legal-all-or-most-cases Four In Ten Across 28 Countries Expect Their Disposable
Income To Fall Over The Next Year A Global Country Average of 40% say they
expect their disposable income to fall over the year, while 25% expect it to
increase. Three quarters of the public in 28 countries are concerned about
the rising cost of goods and services in the next six months. Public
reactions to rises in the cost of living remain focused on cutting spending
on luxuries and delaying big purchase decisions. The state of the global
economy is seen as the biggest driver of rising costs, followed by the impact
of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the policies of national governments (Ipsos MORI) 2 August 2022 A Study On Online Banking In 5 European
Countries Around 1 in 4 people use their smartphone
several times a day for this purpose in Spain (26%) and France (23%). On the
other hand, 28% of Germans and 21% of Britons say they never use their
smartphone for this purpose. Despite this, some Europeans seem to continue to
be wary of online banking. The British are the most suspicious: 68% say they
do not feel comfortable using this type of service. Note: 50% of Spaniards
share this opinion. (YouGov Spain) August 4, 2022 Source: https://es.yougov.com/news/2022/08/04/estudio-internacional-existe-un-consenso-sobre-la-/ ASIA
754-43-01/Polls A Third Of Singaporeans Will Spend This National Day Gathering With
Friends And Family (30%)
While this year’s National Day celebrations
mark the first time the parade has been opened to the public after two years
of downsized festivities, latest data from YouGov RealTime Omnibus reveals that most Singaporeans do not
intend to join the festivities in person. The greatest proportion of citizens
plan to watch the parade and fireworks on TV or online (48%) or just stay
home (46%), while around a third said they will spend the time gathering with
friends and family (30%). As for those who do intend to participate
in the celebrations in person, one in six plan to watch the parade and
fireworks at public viewing points or heartland locations (17%), while a
fewer one in twelve said they will be attending the celebrations at the
Floating Platform (8%). Another one in twelve would spend their
time shopping (8%), visiting local places of interest (8%) or celebrating in
other ways (7%). Just one in ten said they do not plan to celebrate the
occasion (11%). Citizens were also polled on their
assessment of personal and public levels of patriotism. While majority
identify as being patriotic to some degree (60%), just over a quarter are on
the fence, identifying as being neither patriotic nor unpatriotic (27%). One
in ten would go further and say they are not very patriotic (6%) or not
patriotic at all (4%). Citizens who described themselves as
patriotic were also more likely to say they would watch the parade remotely
(58%), at public viewing points and heartland locations (22%) or even at the
Floating Platform (10%), while those who identified as being unpatriotic were
most likely to say they would not celebrate the occasion (31%).
Looking at how individual levels of
patriotism vary across age breaks, young adults aged 18-24 are significantly
more likely to identify as being not very patriotic (16%), while those above
55 are most likely to say they are very patriotic (20%).
When asked about overall levels of
patriotism – which was most popularly defined as being proud of (56%), loyal
to (45%) and loving one’s country (36%) –half agreed that Singaporeans’ level
of patriotism has remained about the same (49%). One in three citizens said
Singaporeans are less patriotic, while one in ten said patriotism has
increased (10%).
Source: https://sg.yougov.com/en-sg/news/2022/08/02/what-do-singaporeans-intend-do-national-day-watch-/ 754-43-02/Polls One In Four Hong Kong Residents Are Opting To Change Their Payment
Platform For Receiving Their Second Batch Of Digital Vouchers (25%)
From 7 August, most long-term residents in Hong Kong
aged 18+ years will receive their Phase II consumption vouchers from the
government,
following an earlier, Phase I disbursement in April this
year.
Notably, the number of digital payment
platforms which eligible residents can receive their HK$ 5000 of e-coupons
has increased from four in Phase I – Alipay HK, HKT’s Tap & Go, Octopus
Cards, WeChat Pay HK – to six in Phase II – with the addition of BoC Pay and HSBC’s PayMe. But are many consumers opting to change
payment platform in Phase II’s disbursement? Which payment platforms are
attracting the most switchovers? And what are consumers planning to spend their
Phase II consumption vouchers on? What proportion of Hong Kong consumers are
switching payment platforms in Phase II? Latest RealTime Omnibus research by YouGov reveals that one in four Hong
Kong residents are opting to change their payment platform for receiving
their second batch of digital vouchers (25%).
Millennials (born
1981–1996) are more likely than other birth cohorts to be switchers – almost
one in three are opting for a change (32%). In contrast, Baby Boomers (born 1946–1964) are
least likely: less than one in five are seeking a change (18%). Which payment platforms are attracting the
most switchovers? Among consumers who are opting to change
payment providers in Phase II, almost half of them say they are switching to
either Octopus Cards (23%)
or Alipay (22%).
Of the two new payment platforms in Phase
II, HSBC’s PayMe attracted
15% of switchers, ahead of BoC Pay’s
9%. WeChat Pay, which ran
a high-profile omnichannel marketing campaign
featuring local actor Michael Tao to encourage consumers to choose its
platform,
attracted just over one in ten switchers (11%). Consumers residing in the New Territories made up half of all
switchers (50%), and the largest proportion of switchovers into each
platform, followed by residents of Kowloon.
Where are consumers planning to spend their
consumption vouchers? More than three in five consumers in Hong
Kong say they will spend their consumption vouchers on food-related grocery items (63%),
while half intend to expend some of their e-coupons on personal care and cosmetic products (50%)
– such as shower gels, shampoos and conditioners, toothpastes, skincare
products, and make-up products. Almost two in five intend to use their
consumption vouchers to buy clothing,
footwear, bags and fashion accessories (39%), while more than
a third are looking to spend them on personal
electronics (36%) – including smartphones, computers, and
audio and video accessories. Close to a quarter of consumers also say
they will spend their consumption vouchers on home appliances (24%) and COVID-19 protection supplies (23%) –
such as face masks and hand sanitisers.
But among Gen Z consumers, personal electronics (47%) and
personal care and cosmetics (45%) are the top two categories and close to
half say they intend to spend their consumption vouchers here – ahead of food
related-groceries (41%) and clothing and fashion apparel (40%). Food-related grocery items, however,
remains the top e-voucher spending category for Millennials (55%), Gen X (68%) and Baby Boomers (77%). More than half of Millennials (51%), Gen X (50%) and Baby Boomers (51%) also say they
will spend on personal care and cosmetic products, while around two in
five Millennials (40%), Gen X (38%) and Baby Boomers (38%) intend to buy
clothing and fashion apparel with their e-vouchers. (YouGov Hong Kong) August 5, 2022 Source: https://hk.yougov.com/en-hk/news/2022/08/05/hong-kong-2022-consumption-vouchers-switch-payment/ 754-43-03/Polls 42% Respondents Disagreed When Asked That Climate Change Is Not A
Real Issue, It’s Just Propaganda
According to a survey conducted by Gallup
& Gilani Pakistan and Davaam, 42% respondents either strongly disagreed
or disagreed when asked that “Climate change is not a real issue, it’s just
propaganda. A nationally representative sample of adult men and women from
across the four major cities of Pakistan including Lahore, Karachi,
Rawalpindi/Islamabad, and Peshawar was asked the following question, “Climate
change is not a real issue, it’s just propaganda’ In response to this
question, 44% respondents strongly agree that it is not a real issue but just
a propaganda, 14% somewhat agree that climate change is just a propaganda and
not a real issue, 16% somewhat disagree that climate change is a propaganda
and not a reality and 26% strongly disagree to the notion that climate change
is just a propaganda and not a real issue.
(Gallup Pakistan) August 1st, 2022 Source: https://gallup.com.pk/wp/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/August-1st.pdf AFRICA
754-43-04/Polls According To Latest Opinion Polls, Azimio La Umoja One Kenya
Presidential Candidate Would Win 47% Of The Total Votes
With less than a week to the August 9
Election, Mr. Raila Amolo Odinga is the candidate most voters would choose.
The latest opinion poll by Ipsos in Kenya shows the Azimio La Umoja One Kenya
presidential candidate would win 47% of the total votes if elections were
held on the day the interviews were conducted. The survey shows United Democratic Alliance
(UDA) and Deputy President Dr. William Ruto would win 41% of the total votes
while the Roots Party flag bearer, George Wajackoya comes a distant third
with 2.9%. Agano Party’s Waiga Mwaure will win 0.2% of the total votes. The Ipsos in Kenya poll shows that Mr.
Odinga could possibly bridge the 3% + 1 difference to the threshold to win in
the first round given there is still 9% undeclared voters (5.1% who refused
to disclose, and 3.8% who are undecided. The undeclared voters are mainly
older females in rural areas and are likely to be found in Western Kenya and
Coast regions. The survey shows voters think that Mr.
Odinga will win (irrespective of how they will vote on election day) – except
in Central Rift, Northern Kenya, and Mt. Kenya regions. Mr. Odinga’s popularity is highest among
urbanites (51%) and among male voters (52%). It is also higher among older
adults (35+ - av. 50%). On the other side, Dr. Ruto’s popularity is highest
among the youth (18 – 24: 46%, 25 – 34: 43%) and among females (42%). Mr. Odinga leads in most of the regions of
the country while Dr. Ruto has a clear lead only in the Rift Valley and Mt.
Kenya regions. Regions in this case are analytical
classifications of counties that have voter homogeneity as follows: 1. Coast
(Mombasa, Kwale, Kilifi, Tana River, Lamu, Taita-Taveta) 2. Lower Eastern
(Kitui, Machakos, Makueni) 3. Northern (Marsabit, Isiolo, Garissa, Wajir,
Mandera) 4. North Rift (Turkana, Samburu, West Pokot) 5. Central Rift (Uasin
Gishu, Elegyo-Marakwet, Nandi, Baringo, Nakuru, Kericho, Bomet) 6. South Rift
(Narok, Kajiado) 7. Mt. Kenya East (Meru, Embu, Tharaka Nithi) 8. Mt. Kenya
West (Kiambu, Murang’a, Nyeri, Nyandarua, Kirinyaga, Laikipia) 9. Western
(Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma, Busia, Trans-Nzoia) 10. Nyanza – North (Kisumu,
Siaya, Homabay) 11. Nyanza – South (Migori, Kisii, Nyamira) 12. Nairobi
(Nairobi County) Mr. Odinga has a clear lead against Dr.
Ruto in Coast (56% - 30%), Lower Eastern (67%-27%), Nyanza (78%-12%) and
Nairobi (60% - 32%). Dr. Ruto has a clear lead against Mr. Odinga Central
Rift (67% - 23%), Mt. Kenya East (78%-14%), and Mt. Kenya West (62% - 24%).
Regions that are tightly contested and able to tip the election in either way
are: Northern (Mr. Odinga, 46%; Dr. Ruto 40%), North rift (Mr. Odinga, 42%;
Dr. Ruto 43%) and South rift (Mr. Odinga, 52%; Dr. Ruto 40%). While Mr.
Odinga has a lead in Western (53%), the large number of undecided voters
makes the region a battle ground. “The Ipsos in Kenya poll was conducted
ahead of the presidential debate between 23rd – 26th July 2022 and after the
debate 27th - 30th July 2022 among adults aged 18+, who are registered
voters, with a sample size of 6,105. All 47 Counties were covered according
to their proportion of the Kenyan population. The data collection methodology
was Face-to-Face interviews at the household level”, said Mr. Samuel Muthoka
who is the Director, Center for Development Research & Evaluation with
responsibility for East & Horn of Africa at Ipsos in Kenya during the
release of the opinion poll in Nairobi. Ipsos in Kenya employs quality control
measures to ensure the highest possible integrity of obtained results/data.
Mr. Muthoka pointed out that Ipsos’ data collection platform captures GPS
location (latitudes and longitudes) of interviews conducted to verify the
locations of the interviewers in the field alongside allowing silent
recording. “Logical data checks are made on selected
questionnaire entries to ensure conformity with the flow of the questions
answered by the respondents. Sample quotas were monitored to match the
sample’s statistical parameters,” he said. According to the survey, Mr. Odinga’s sweet
spot is his legacy. This is deduced from reasons given for preferring him
such as being a democrat (12%), his manifesto (12%), a liberator (11%) and a
nationalist leader (9%). Others opine that he now deserves a chance (8%) and
is experienced in leadership (5%). On the flip side, Mr. Odinga’s undoing
would likely come from his perceived advanced age (23%) and the tag that he
is a ‘project’ of the government (10%) “Those who will vote for the Dr. Ruto
will do so because he presents hope, which voters point out comes from his
clear plan (27%) and a better connection with the common mwananchi (9%),” Mr.
Muthoka pointed out. However, integrity is raised as single most
significant headwind in his bid for the State House job with 35% of those who
do not prefer him citing corruption allegations tagged to his name. The poll shows Dr. Ruto has higher appeal
in rural areas, among females and 18–34-year-olds, while Mr. Odinga is more
popular among males, urbanites, and older voters. At least 85% say they are likely to vote,
while 15% of registered voters are likely to stay away from the polls. Those
who say they are less likely to turn out to vote are more often urbanites
(17%), females (18%), and the youth (average of 20%). Those who are unlikely to vote give reasons
such as seeing no value in voting (31%), no impact on their lives (25%), not
interested (17%), elections will not be free and fair (11%) and fear of
insecurity /violence (9%). Unemployment, corruption prevention, and
education are the three main issues that Kenyans would like the next
government to address. Employment and corruption prevention are
highlighted more by urbanites and males, while education concerns the older
voters more. “Only a third of Kenyans feel the country
is headed in the right direction, while slightly more than half feel the
country is headed in the wrong direction. Older citizens are more likely to
hold this view than younger citizens,” said Mr. Muthoka. He added that four in every ten Kenyan
adults are very interested in politics, more among males, and the older
generation compared to females and the younger generation. Four in every ten
Kenyan adults (39%) are very interested in politics. This interest is however
higher among males (45%), and those aged 45 and above (av. 43%) compared to
females (33%) and the youth aged 18 – 34 (av 36%). Lack of / little interest in politics among
females and youth is a recipe for voter apathy. These two groups form the
largest voter constituency which could determine quality of political leaders
should they actively engage and participate in the polls, said Mr. Muthoka. (Ipsos Kenya) 2 August 2022 754-43-05/Polls Zimbabweans Look To Government For Action On Climate Change
Six in 10 Zimbabweans (60%) say droughts
have become “somewhat more severe” or “much more severe” over the past 10 years;
only a quarter as many (16%) say the same about floods. Fewer than half (45%) of
Zimbabweans say they have heard of climate change. Among those who are aware of climate
change: o Eight in 10 (80%) say it is making life
in Zimbabwe worse. o Almost two-thirds (64%) believe that
ordinary citizens can help curb climate change, and even more (71%) want the
government to take immediate action to limit climate change, even if it is
expensive, causes job losses, or takes a toll on the economy. o Only small minorities are satisfied with
efforts by the government (2%), business and industry (3%), developed countries
(4%), and ordinary citizens (11%) to fight climate change. Severity of extreme weather conditions Before mentioning climate change,
Afrobarometer asked respondents about their experiences with extreme weather
conditions. Six in 10 Zimbabweans (60%) say droughts have become “somewhat more severe” or “much
more severe” over the past decade, while 22% say they have become less severe
and 15% say they have stayed the same (Figure 1). In contrast, more than four in 10 (44%) say
that the severity of floods has decreased, while fewer than half as many (16%) say they have
gotten worse.
Compared to 2017, the proportion who say
droughts have gotten more severe has increased by 27 percentage points, while perceptions
of worsening floods have decreased by 16 percentage points (Figure 2)
Rural residents are more likely than
urbanites to report increasingly severe droughts (64% vs. 54%), perhaps reflecting a greater
awareness of the effects of a lack of rainfall in agricultural areas (Figure 3). Geographically, five
provinces have majorities reporting that droughts have become more severe, most commonly in the
Midlands province (78%), Bulawayo/Mat North/Mat South provinces (78%), and
Mashonaland Central (75%). Citizens with high lived poverty1 are more
likely to report that floods have become more severe (31%) than their better-off
counterparts (14%-21%)
Climate change Awareness of climate change Fewer than half (45%) of Zimbabweans say
they have heard of climate change. This proportion was 28 percentage points higher
(73%) in 2017, perhaps reflecting high public awareness at the time of floods that hit
Zimbabwe in late 2016 and early 2017 (Aljazeera, 2017) (Figure 4). Although the experience of severe drought
is more common in rural areas, awareness of climate change is far lower among rural
residents than among urbanites (38% vs. 56%) (Figure 5). Citizens with post-secondary education are
three times as likely as the uneducated to have heard of climate change (75% vs. 25%). But
poor citizens are more likely to be familiar with the term “climate change” (51%) than
better-off respondents (40%-44%). Middle-aged citizens (50%) are also more likely to be
aware of climate change than older or younger respondents. Awareness of climate change varies widely
by geographic location, ranging from 24% in Manicaland to 61% in Mashonaland Central.
Awareness of climate change increases with
respondents’ consumption of news from television, social media, the Internet, and
newspapers: Among those who never or rarely (less than once a month) consume news from these
sources, only 32%-43% are aware of climate change, compared to 57%-73% among those who
obtain news at least a few times a month. The exception is radio, where we see no
difference between the two groups (Figure 6).
Effects of climate change Eight in 10 of citizens (80%) who are aware
of climate change say it is making life in Zimbabwe “somewhat worse” (30%) or “much
worse” (50%). Perceptions of the adverse effects of climate change have risen
sharply from 62% in 2021 (Figure 7).
The negative impact of climate change is
more strongly felt among rural residents than urban residents (89% vs. 70%) (Figure 8).
Fighting climate change Majorities of Zimbabweans believe that both
ordinary citizens and the government have a role to play in limiting climate change.
Almost two-thirds of respondents who are aware of climate change (64%) “agree” or “strongly
agree” that citizens can help curb climate change (Figure 9). Even more (71%) want
their government to take steps now to limit climate change, even if it is expensive, causes job
losses, or takes a toll on the economy. In fact, for a majority (57%) of
Zimbabweans, the government has the primary responsibility for fighting climate change and reducing
its impact. Fewer respondents assign primary responsibility to ordinary citizens (16%),
business and industry (10%), developed countries (3%), and traditional
leaders (3%) (Figure 10).
Are stakeholders doing enough to limit
climate change? Respondents answer with a resounding “No.” Only small minorities say
the government (2%), business and industry (3%), developed countries (4%),
and citizens (11%) are making enough of an effort to fight climate change
(Figure 11). Large majorities believe more needs to be done, including 78%
who say the government needs to do “a lot more.”
When asked to assess how well the
government is addressing the problem of climate change, only a quarter (25%)
of all survey respondents give the government a passing grade, while 45%
describe its performance as “fairly bad” or “very bad.” Three in 10 (31%) say
they “don’t know” or refused to answer the question (Figure 12).
The view that the government is doing a
poor job on climate change is particularly common among highly educated
citizens (66%), urban residents (55%), and poor respondents (54%) (Figure 13).
Conclusion: Climate change is still an
unknown phenomenon to more than half of Zimbabweans, but among those who are
aware of it, most report that it is making life in the country worse.
Dissatisfied with stakeholders’ efforts to limit climate change, citizens
place the primary responsibility for combating it on the government and want
immediate action, even at considerable cost to the economy. (Afrobarometer) 3 August 2022 WEST
EUROPE
754-43-06/Polls Half Of Britons Likely To Watch Women's Football Following Lionesses
Triumph
With the England women's football team securing its first ever major
trophy in a nailbiting 2-1 victory against Germany yesterday at the Euros, a
new YouGov poll shows that approaching half of Britons (46%) say they are
likely to watch women's football in future. This includes one in five (21%) who say they are "very
likely" to watch further women's football fixtures. There is no gender
divide on this score, with both men and women about equally likely to say
they will tune in to future matches: 48% of men and 44% of women say they are
either very or fairly likely to do so.
While women's football teams have historically played second fiddle
to the men's, the Lionesses' victory in the tournament is actively celebrated
by the large majority of Britons (72%), including 55% who describe themselves
as "very pleased" by the result. Only one in five (21%) are
indifferent to the outcome, and just 2% displeased by it. Men are slightly
more likely to be uninterested than women (24% vs 18%), but the large majority
of men are pleased by the victory.
Scots likewise are much more likely to be indifferent (42%) or
displeased by the results (6%), for obvious reasons. With grassroots clubs reporting that
they are already snowed under with requests from girls to join following the
team's triumph, the data also highlights the scale of the football
gender gap at the participation level. Fully 65% of adult women say they have
never played a football match in their life, not even a kickaround at school.
Just 13% of adult men say the same. Women (17%) and men (15%) are equally likely to say they have just
played a kickabout, while 69% of men have participated in at least one match,
versus just 17% of women.
(YouGov UK) August 02, 2022 754-43-07/Polls 8 In 10 Britons Concerned About Climate Change – Half Think Net Zero
Target Should Be Brought Forward
The latest Ipsos Political Monitor, taken July 21st to 27th, shows
strong levels of concern about climate change amongst the British public.
Overall, 84% are concerned about climate change, with more than half (52%)
‘very concerned’. Levels of concern overall have increased 8 points since
April but are consistent with findings in July 2019 and August 2021 (both 85%
concerned).
Similarly, when we ask when Britain will start feeling the effects of
climate change, 72% say we are already feeling the effects. This is up 5
points from April but matches the 73% that said the same in both July 2019
and August 2021. What caused the recent hot weather? When asked what caused the recent hot weather, 40% say the main cause
is climate change because of human activity. Just 12% say it has been caused
by natural weather processes and 45% think it is a mix of both. This is a
different picture to 2019 where 26% thought the main cause of the hot weather
that summer was human activity, 15% said it was caused by natural weather
processes and 57% said a mix of both. Net zero targets When asked about the UK government target of bringing the UK’s
contribution to climate change to ‘net zero’ by 2050.
Keiran Pedley, Director of Politics at
Ipsos UK, says of the findings: These findings show that public concern
about climate change is real and widespread but in reality this is nothing
new. The public have been concerned about climate change for some time and
recognise its effects are already with us. It is no surprise then that they
want to see urgent action to address it, though some may disagree over the
right action to take. (Ipsos MORI) 2 August 2022 754-43-08/Polls Truss Leads Sunak By 69% To 31% In Latest Tory Members Poll
The foreign secretary’s supporters are less likely to say they might
change their mind than the former chancellor’s It has been apparent since our first polling of the Conservative
party membership for this leadership election that Rishi Sunak faces an
uphill struggle. In the gaps between polling, Sunak’s supporters have been claiming
that the former chancellor has been successfully convincing members to back
him. However, YouGov’s latest full poll of Conservative members –
conducted for The Times, and the first since our snap poll after the final
two candidates became clear – shows Sunak falling further behind. Liz Truss’s lead over her rival has in fact grown to 38pts, with the
foreign secretary currently holding 69% of the headline vote, to Sunak’s 31%.
Those figures had stood at 62% and 38% respectively in our previous poll on
20-21 July.*
Team Sunak will have been hoping that they could convince those who
had not made up their mind how to vote to back them as the campaign wore on.
At the onset of the membership stage of the campaign, 21% of Tory members
were either unsure how they would voted or committed to not doing so. That
figure has since fallen to 13%, with Truss seemingly the bigger beneficiary. Worse still for Sunak, few of his opponent’s supporters look like
they could be convinced to join his side. Fully 83% of those who currently say
they intend to vote for Truss say they have made their mind up on the matter;
just 17% say they might still change their mind. Indeed, Sunak’s own supporters display less conviction about their
candidate: 29% say they might still vote differently.
*YouGov's weighting targets have been
updated since the last poll on 20-21 July based on new estimates of the
Conservative Party membership base. This had the effect of marginally
reducing Truss’s lead from what it would have been under the previous weights. (YouGov UK) August 03, 2022 754-43-09/Polls Six In Ten Britons Say They Will Need To Cut Other Spending To Fund
Coming Energy Bills
The vast majority of people across all ranges of income are worried
about the current price of energy In their bid for the office of Prime Minister, Liz Truss and Rishi
Sunak have promised to tackle the cost-of-living crisis – including rising
energy costs. While Liz Truss has ruled
out a windfall tax on energy companies wanting to encourage
investment, Sunak has suggested removing
VAT on energy bills. Whoever the successful candidate is, they will need to waste no time
in addressing the crisis, as new YouGov research shows Britons are deeply
concerned about the cost of energy. Some 78% of Britons say they are worried about the current price of
their household's energy bills – including a third (37%) who are “very”
worried about the cost. Only 18% of people claim not to be particularly
concerned.
The concern is similar across varying levels of household income. Of
those with the lowest household incomes (£19,999 a year or less), 83% say
they are concerned about how much they spend on energy. A similar proportion
(75%) of those with the highest household incomes (£60,000+) also say they
are worried. However, those with lower incomes are more likely to be
"very" worried (48% versus 31% respectively). These high levels of concern follow the increase
in the energy price cap that allowed energy companies to charge
earlier this year. However, it also precedes another
rise in the cap coming in October. Some experts have predicted that
the coming hike to the price cap in the autumn could see bills rise as
much as 46%*. Nearly nine in ten Britons (88%) claim they were aware of the coming
increase before taking part in the survey. The research further shows that
most Britons (62%) expect to have to make at least small cuts to other
spending to maintain their current energy use when the next price rise kicks
in. This includes 30% who say they will need to cut large parts of their
budget to maintain their energy use under the new prices. A further 15% of people say they will be completely unable to afford
their current energy use under the coming higher prices, regardless of cuts. Just 14% of Britons expect to be able to take on the higher costs of
their current energy use without cutting other spending. Among the lowest income households (£19,999 a year or less), 30% say
they will be unable to afford their current energy use under higher prices,
while 55% say they will only be able to do so with cuts to other spending.
Only 8% of people from these households say they will be able to afford their
present energy use in the future without making cuts.
Even in those households on higher incomes, between 65% and 75% say
they will need to make cuts to afford their current level of energy use.
Among the households with the highest incomes (£60,000+), only 29% say they
will be able to continue using the same level of energy without spending less
in other areas. (YouGov UK) August 04, 2022 754-43-10/Polls Three In Four Britons Think Johnson’s Government Has Done A Bad Job
Dealing With The Cost Of Living
The latest Ipsos Political Monitor, taken July 21st to 27th, shows
that whilst the public think Boris Johnson’s government has done a good job
handling the Covid vaccine rollout, dealing with the pandemic generally and
responding to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, clear majorities think his
government has done a bad job in a host of other areas. Record of the Johnson government
Meanwhile, looking ahead to challenges facing the next Government,
69% expect the economy to worsen in the next 12 months (-8 pts from June) and
just 16% expect it to improve (+3 pts). This still gives a negative Ipsos
Economic Optimism Index of -53, which is worse than all of 2021. Attitudes to public spending and tax Elsewhere in the poll, the public were asked about attitudes towards
tax and public spending where they are still more than twice as likely to
think public spending should be increased rather than cut back, although the
gap has narrowed from recent years:
Keiran Pedley, Director of Politics at
Ipsos, UK, says of the findings: When we look back at Boris Johnson’s
legacy, the public do credit his government with notable successes, such as
dealing with the Covid vaccine rollout or responding to the Russian invasion
of Ukraine. However, with large numbers unhappy at how the current government
is managing issues such as the cost of living, the NHS, immigration and
levelling-up, it is clear that the new Prime Minister will face immediate
real-world delivery challenges from the day they enter office. (Ipsos MORI) 5 August 2022 754-43-11/Polls Almost 6 In 10 People With Psoriasis Fear Being Mocked
Summer, a source of stress for nearly a third of people with
psoriasis Nearly two-thirds of people with psoriasis have high reservations
when summer arrives. For 30% of them, summer is a source of stress, for
29% of sadness, and even anger for a quarter of them. Beyond social
acceptance, it is also the acceptance of one's own body that is
raised: nearly 6 out of 10 patients say they hide under more covering
clothes out of shame of their disease (58%). Many people want to avoid
answering questions related to their psoriasis (74%), receiving derogatory
comments (64%) or fear being mocked (59%). A quarter of people with psoriasis have already cancelled their
vacation Some patients go so far as to give up their holidays altogether: a
quarter have already cancelled a holiday by the sea (26%) or a holiday with
friends (29%), while others will reduce their holidays, or decide to
take them at another time when the temperatures are cooler (28%). Psoriasis
thus conditions social life during this period: more than a third of
patients will refocus on outings in small groups (37%) or will favor
individual activities (36%). A situation that has a strong impact on
young people, since on average, one in two young people has already canceled
their holidays because of their psoriasis. Significant consequences on sentimental and family life The family life of people with psoriasis is also strongly affected.
One in two parents with psoriasis has difficulty going out with their
children on these hot and sunny days: 46% have already asked their
spouse or relatives to accompany their child on outings in their place and
44% have guided the choice of their child's activities so that they are more
adapted to their skin problem. (Ipsos France) August 1, 2022 754-43-12/Polls 32 Percent Of Germans Are Bundesliga Fans
Every season, numerous fans cheer with the Bundesliga and the
tournaments attract thousands of spectators at home and abroad. The current target group analysis "Football
Bundesliga Fans" shows the attitudes and preferences of this target
group, especially with regard to sponsorship in football. Who are the Bundesliga fans? The majority of German Bundesliga fans are men (73 percent) between
the ages of 45 and 54 (22 vs. 20 percent of the total population). More than
half of this target group (55 percent) has a great interest in politics,
while only 34 percent of the total population also have a great interest in
politics. In addition to football, this target group also follows biathlon
and ski jumping (26 and 25 percent respectively), Bundesliga fans most often
consume the TV channel ARD (46 percent) and are customers of the streaming
provider Sky (23 percent).
Bundesliga fans find sponsorship acceptable While more than a fifth (22 percent) find it acceptable for a brand
to support a sports team, only 15 percent of the total population agree with
that. Overall, sponsorship can appeal well to Bundesliga fans, almost half
perceive sponsors at sporting events and love it when their favorite team has
a "cool" sponsor (48 and 44 vs. 29 percent respectively). For
Bundesliga fans, the well-known types of sports sponsorship include in
particular jersey sponsors and namesakes of a stadium (62 and 53 percent
respectively). 33 percent support their team by wearing a team jersey during
the game (vs. 19 percent of the total population). (YouGov Germany) August 5, 2022 Source: https://yougov.de/news/2022/08/05/32-prozent-der-deutschen-sind-fussball-bundesliga-/ 754-43-13/Polls About Four-In-Ten Hungarian Adults (38%) Say Their Country Has Become
Less Democratic Since Orban Became Prime Minister
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, who is set
to speak at the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas
this week, receives generally positive ratings from people in his own
country, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted shortly after
his reelection this
spring. However, he gets mixed reviews for his impact on democracy in
Hungary, and attitudes toward him are less positive among young people and
residents of urban areas, including the country’s capital city, Budapest.
About four-in-ten Hungarian adults (38%) say their country has become
less democratic since Orban became prime minister. A third say it has become
more democratic, and about two-in-ten (21%) say it has not changed.
Indicators from the International
Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance show a significant
backslide in democracy in Hungary since 1998, when Orban took office for the
first time as prime minister. The sharpest decline in these indicators –
which measure representative government, fundamental rights, checks on
government power and impartial administration – appear after 2010, when Orban
began his second stint as prime minister. In Europe and globally, these same
measures have, on average, remained largely stable in the same period. The view that the health of democracy has declined under Orban is
common among opponents of Fidesz, the right-wing party which he leads. About
three-quarters of those with an unfavorable view of Fidesz (76%) say Hungary
has become less democratic since Orban took office. The share who says this
increases to 86% among Hungarians who have very unfavorable views of Fidesz and see the party as a threat to
Hungary’s future. Just 15% of those with a favorable opinion of Fidesz agree
that Hungary has become less democratic under Orban.
Young Hungarians ages 18 to 29 are more likely than those 65 and
older to say their country is less democratic now than when Orban took office
(47% vs. 29%), as are those who live in an urban region compared with rural
residents (52% vs. 27%). Still, regardless of disagreement on the path of their nation’s
democracy, most Hungarians approve of Orban’s performance as prime minister.
As of this year’s survey, conducted in the weeks following his landslide
electoral victory, 57% approve of Orban; just one-third disapprove of
him.
Views of Orban tend to be deeply held in Hungary: Roughly two-thirds
of those who offer either positive or negative evaluations of Orban say they
feel strongly. This includes 37% who strongly approve and 24% who strongly
disapprove of him. Like Hungarians’ views of democracy in their country, attitudes about
Orban vary by age and geography. Fewer than half (45%) of Hungarians ages 18
to 29 offer positive ratings of Orban’s performance, compared with 70% of
those ages 65 and older. In cities and urban areas, 44% approve of their prime minister,
compared with 58% in suburban or mixed regions and 69% in rural areas. The
majority of Hungarians reside in suburban or mixed areas, while the
populations of the country’s urban and rural regions are roughly the same –
just under 20% each – according to the most recent data from the European
Commission. In 2019, Pew Research Center asked Hungarians
and other Europeans how much confidence they had in Orban to do the right
thing regarding world affairs. In that survey, 45% of Hungarians said they
were confident in their prime minister. But across the 14 European Union
member countries in the survey, a median of just 27% of adults said the same. (PEW) AUGUST 3, 2022 NORTH
AMERICA
754-43-14/Polls Americans Support Incentives For Electric Vehicles But Are Divided
Over Buying One Themselves
Democrats in the U.S. Senate have reportedly reached an agreement on
sweeping climate change legislation that would include tax
credits for electric vehicles. A recent Pew
Research Center survey – conducted before news of the potential
Senate deal – found that a broad majority of U.S. adults support providing
incentives to increase the use of electric or hybrid vehicles. At the same time, however, Americans are divided over whether they
personally would consider buying an electric vehicle the next time they’re
shopping for a new car or truck, and a majority oppose phasing out
gas-powered vehicles in the years ahead.
Overall, two-thirds of Americans support providing incentives to
increase the use of electric and hybrid vehicles. Democrats and independents
who lean to the Democratic Party are much more likely than Republicans and
GOP leaners to say they favor incentives to increase the use of electric
vehicles (84% to 46%). Majorities of Americans overall are also supportive of several
other policies to address climate change, including requiring power
companies to use more energy from renewable sources. But while Americans back incentives to increase the use of electric
vehicles, they are on the fence about whether they would purchase one the
next time they buy a car or truck. About four-in-ten Americans (42%) say they would be very or somewhat
likely to seriously consider purchasing an electric vehicle the next time
they’re looking for a new car or truck. A slightly larger share (45%) say
they would be not too or not at all likely to do this, while 13% say they do
not plan to purchase a vehicle in the future. The share of Americans who are very or somewhat likely to purchase an
electric car or truck is about
the same as in April 2021. Since then, the price
of gas has increased substantially, from an average of $2.95 per gallon
in April 2021 to $4.55 in May 2022 – the month the new survey was
conducted. Vehicle
prices have also increased amid broader inflationary pressures. On
the whole, Americans view electric
vehicles as more expensive than gas-powered vehicles, a 2021 survey
found.
Those most inclined to consider an electric vehicle purchase in the
future include younger adults, urban dwellers, Democrats and those who
already own a hybrid or all-electric vehicle, according to the Center’s
recent survey. A 55% majority of adults ages 18 to 29 say they are very or somewhat
likely to consider an electric vehicle the next time they buy a vehicle.
Smaller shares of adults ages 50 to 64 (34%) or 65 and older (31%) say the same. Those living in urban areas (53%) are more likely than those in
suburban (44%) and rural areas (27%) to report interest in purchasing an
electric vehicle. Democrats are more inclined than Republicans to say they are at least
somewhat likely to consider purchasing an electric vehicle the next time they
buy a vehicle (58% vs. 23%). Younger adults within each party are more
inclined than older adults to say they this. About two-thirds (68%) of those
who already own a hybrid or electric vehicle say they are very or somewhat
likely to seriously consider purchasing an electric vehicle the next time
they’re shopping for a new car or truck. Among those who do not own a hybrid
or electric vehicle, 39% say this.
Among Americans who say they are at least somewhat likely to consider
purchasing an electric vehicle, large majorities say helping the environment
(73%) and saving money on gas (71%) are major reasons. They are far less
likely to say keeping up with the latest trends in vehicles is a major reason
they would be likely to purchase an electric vehicle (10%). When it comes to current rates of ownership, around one-in-ten U.S.
adults (9%) say they currently own an electric or hybrid vehicle, slightly
above the 7% of Americans who said the same in April 2021. While hybrid and electric vehicle ownership is increasing, the public
leans against phasing out the production of gas-powered vehicles. Overall, 55% of U.S. adults say they would oppose a proposal to phase
out production of gasoline-powered cars and trucks by 2035, while 43% support
the idea. Opposition today is slightly higher today than it was in April
2021, when 51% opposed and 47% favored the idea. Democrats and Republicans (including those who lean to each party)
continue to be deeply divided over whether to end the production of cars and
trucks with internal combustion engines. About two-thirds of Democrats (65%)
favor phasing out gasoline-powered cars and trucks by 2035. In contrast, just
17% of Republicans support the idea, while 82% oppose it. Among Democrats, a large majority of liberals (77%) favor phasing out
the production of new gas-powered cars and trucks by 2035. Moderate and
conservative Democrats are more closely divided: 55% favor this idea, while
44% oppose it. The Biden administration has
taken steps aimed at ensuring that electric vehicles account for
half of all new cars sold in the United States by 2030. While these vehicles
continue to account for a relatively small share of all new car sales, the
global electric vehicle market has seen growth
over the past two years, and automakers like Ford
Motor Co., General
Motors and others are continuing to invest heavily in the
technology. (PEW) AUGUST 1, 2022 754-43-15/Polls U S Women More Concerned Than Men About Some AI Developments,
Especially Driverless Cars
Women in the United States are more skeptical than men about some
uses of artificial intelligence (AI), particularly the possible widespread
use of driverless passenger vehicles, according to a new analysis of Pew
Research Center survey data collected in November 2021. The analysis also finds gender differences in views about the overall
impact that technology has on society and some safety issues tied to AI
applications, as well as the importance of including different groups in the
AI design process. Overall, women in the U.S. are less likely
than men to say that technology has had a mostly positive effect on society
(42% vs. 54%) and more likely
to say technology has had equally positive and negative impacts (45% vs.
37%). In addition, women are less likely than men to say they feel more
excited than concerned about the increased use of AI computer programs in
daily life (13% vs. 22%). Gender remains a factor in views about AI and
technology’s impact when accounting for other variables, such as respondents’
political partisanship, education and race and ethnicity.
Moreover, across a range of possible AI applications that the
November survey asked about, women are consistently more likely than men to
express concern about computer programs executing those tasks. For example,
43% of women say they would be very or somewhat concerned if AI programs
could diagnose medical problems, while 27% of men say the same. Gender gaps
also appear in the amount of concern Americans express about AI programs being
able to perform repetitive workplace tasks, make important life decisions for
people and know people’s thoughts and behaviors. Women feel more negatively than men about
driverless passenger vehicles In addition to gender differences about AI in general, women and men
express different attitudes about autonomous cars, specifically.
Men are more likely than women to respond positively to several
questions about these vehicles. Roughly four-in-ten men (37%) say driverless
cars are a good idea for society, while 17% of women say the same. Women, in
turn, are somewhat more likely than men to say they are not sure if the
widespread use of driverless vehicles is a good or bad idea (32% vs. 25%). On a similar note, 46% of men say they would definitely or probably
personally want to ride in a driverless passenger vehicle if given the
opportunity, compared with 27% of women. Most women (72%) report they would
definitely or probably not want
to do this. Relatedly, a majority of women (54%) say they would not feel comfortable
sharing the road with a driverless passenger vehicle if their use becomes
widespread. Only 35% of men say the same. These differences may be associated with women’s greater doubts about
the safety of autonomous vehicles. When asked about the effect that the
widespread use of these cars would have on the number of people killed or
injured in traffic accidents, about half of men (49%) say it would decrease
the number of people killed or injured, compared with three-in-ten women who
say the same. By a 33% to 20% margin, women are more likely than men to think
the number of accidents would increase.
Women’s concerns about the safety of autonomous passenger vehicles
extend to other applications of driverless systems, too: 51% of women say
they oppose the use of this technology in public transportation buses,
compared with 35% of men. Women are also about 10 percentage points more
likely to oppose the use of driverless vehicle technology in 18-wheeler
trucks, delivery vehicles, and taxis and ride-sharing vehicles. Although these figures cannot be directly compared to previous
surveys because of changes in question wording, the current findings align
with a 2017
Center study, which found that women are less likely than men to say
they would want to ride in a driverless vehicle. Previous
Center research has also indicated that women are at times more
pessimistic than men about technological change more broadly. Women and men differ over other
applications of artificial intelligence Besides exploring public views about the possible use of driverless
passenger vehicles, the Center’s November survey also covered two other
specific AI applications: the use
of face recognition technology by police and the use
of algorithms by social media companies to find false information on
their sites. There are differences between women and men on some questions related
to these applications. Although a majority of both men and women have heard
of each AI use, one clear pattern is that men are more likely than women to
say they have heard or read at least a little about each of the three
technologies: driverless cars (93% vs. 83%), face recognition use by police
(86% vs. 74%) and social media algorithms to find false information (81% vs.
70%). Women are also more likely than men to say they are not sure whether
particular AI applications are a good or bad idea for society. Some 34% of
women are unsure about whether social media algorithms to find false
information are a good or bad idea, compared with 26% of men. When it comes
to the use of face recognition by police, 31% of women are not certain
whether it is a good or bad idea, compared with 22% of men. Gender differences on the design of AI
technologies Women are more likely to support the inclusion of a wider variety of
groups in AI design. For example, two-thirds of women (67%) say it’s
extremely or very important for social media companies to include people of
different genders when designing social media algorithms to find false information,
compared with 58% of men. Women are also more likely to say it is important
that different racial and ethnic groups are included in the same AI design
process (71% vs. 63%). Additionally, women are more doubtful than men that it is possible to
design AI computer programs that can consistently make fair decisions in
complex situations. Only around two-in-ten women (22%) think it is possible
to design AI programs that can consistently make fair decisions, while a
larger share of men (38%) say the same. A plurality of women (46%) say they
are not sure whether this is possible, compared with 35% of men. (PEW) 754-43-16/Polls About One-In-Six U S Journalists At News Outlets Are Part Of A Union;
Many More Would Join One If They Could
At a time when newsrooms in the United States are seeing
a wave of unionization, around one-in-six U.S. journalists at news
organizations report being in a union and many more say they would join one
if it were available to them, according to a recent
Pew Research Center survey.
Overall, 16% of U.S. journalists who are employed at least part time
at a news outlet say they are currently a member of a union at their
organization. Another 41% would join one if it were available to them,
according to the survey of nearly 12,000 working U.S.-based journalists,
conducted Feb. 16 to March 17, 2022. (Freelance, self-employed and student or
intern journalists are not included in these figures. Overall, 28% of the
journalists surveyed by the Center report that they are either a freelancer
or self-employed, and fewer than 1% are students or interns.) The desire to join a union is much more prevalent among younger
journalists than among their older peers: 77% of full- or part-time
journalists ages 18 to 29 are either already a member of a union at their
news organization (20%) or would join a union if it were available to them
(57%). This is nearly twice the share among journalists 65 and older (41%) –
13% of whom report already being in a union and 28% of whom say they would
join one if it were available to them. Differences also emerge by journalists’ gender, race and ethnicity.
About six-in ten journalists who are women (63%) say they are either
currently a union member or would join one if available, compared with 52% of
journalists who are men. Black, Hispanic and Asian journalists are all more
likely than White journalists to say they are either in a union or would join
one if it were available to them. Journalists at large news outlets are most
likely to have a union available to them Overall, 26% of U.S. journalists who are employed by a news
organization full time or part time say their organization has a union.
Journalists who work for larger news organizations are far more
likely than those who work for smaller ones to say their outlet has a union.
About six-in-ten journalists who are employed full or part time at an
organization with at least 500 employees (57%) say their organization has a
union. This falls to 40% among those who work at an organization with 101 to
500 employees and to just 4% for those who say they work for the smallest
organizations – those with 10 or fewer employees. One other characteristic strongly relates to the availability of a
union at U.S. news organizations: the reported political leaning of the
outlet’s audience. Among journalists who say they are employed at least part
time at an outlet whose audience leans left politically, about four-in-ten
(39%) report that their organization has a union. This is far greater than
the 12% of those who say their organization’s audience is right leaning, and
is also higher than those whose outlet has a more politically mixed audience
(25%). (PEW) AUGUST 4, 2022 754-43-17/Polls Majority Of Americans Continue To Favor Moving Away From Electoral
College
The Electoral College has played an outsize role in several recent
U.S. elections, and a majority of Americans would welcome a change to the way
presidents are elected.
Around six-in-ten U.S. adults (63%) say the way the president is
elected should be changed so that the winner of the popular vote nationwide
wins the presidency, while 35% favor keeping the current Electoral College
system, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted June 27-July 4,
2022. There has been a modest increase in the share of Americans who favor
changing the way presidents are elected: In January 2021, the last time the
Center asked this question, 55% said the system should be changed, while 43%
supported maintaining the existing system. The current electoral system in the United States allows for the
possibility that the winner of the popular vote may not be able to secure
enough Electoral
College votes to win the presidency. This was the case in both the
2000 and 2016 elections, which were won by George W. Bush and Donald Trump,
respectively.
As in past years, Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents are
far more likely than Republicans and Republican leaners to support moving to
a popular vote system (80% vs. 42%). The share of Democrats saying this is up
9 percentage points from January 2021, but about on par with views in 2020.
While a majority of Republicans (56%) continue to say the current Electoral
College system should be maintained, the share who now express support for
moving to a popular vote system is the highest it’s been since the 2016
election: 42% say this today, up from 37% in 2021 and just 27% in the
immediate wake of the 2016 election. Liberal Democrats are especially likely to say they would prefer
changing the system to be based on the popular vote (87% say this). By
contrast, conservative Republicans are particularly likely to prefer keeping
the current system where the winner of the Electoral College vote takes
office (66% say this). Younger adults are somewhat more supportive of changing the system
than older adults: Seven-in-ten Americans ages 18 to 29 support changing the
system, compared with 56% of those 65 or older.
And partisan divides in views of the Electoral College are most
pronounced among those who pay the most attention to politics. Among
partisans who say they follow what is going on in government and public
affairs “most of the time,” 85% of Democrats – but only 24% of Republicans –
say they favor changing the system. For those who say they follow politics
“only now and then” or “hardly at all,” there is a much smaller partisan gap,
with 74% of Democrats and 59% of Republicans saying they favor changing the
system. (PEW) AUGUST 5, 2022 754-43-18/Polls Three In Four U S Adults Say Alcohol Use Has A Negative Effect On
Society
Broad majorities of Americans believe the use of alcohol adversely
affects both society in general and drinkers specifically. Three in four U.S.
adults say alcohol use has a negative effect on society, and nearly as many
(71%) think it affects drinkers themselves negatively, though more describe
the effect as "somewhat negative" than as "very
negative." Yet, these perceived negative effects of alcohol are not enough to
discourage Americans from imbibing, as two in three say they personally have
the occasion to drink alcoholic beverages. On the whole, those who are
drinking report doing so moderately, averaging about four drinks per week. As for their drink of choice, drinkers in the U.S. are more closely
divided in their preferences than ever before, with roughly equal percentages
saying they most often consume beer, wine or liquor. Alcohol Mainly Viewed as 'Somewhat'
Negatively Affecting Drinkers, Society Americans' views of the ill effects of alcohol, while decisive, are
tempered. That is, U.S. adults are much more likely to say alcohol has
a somewhat rather
than very negative
effect on both society and drinkers. Fifty-five percent of U.S. adults say alcohol use affects society
somewhat negatively, while 20% call it very negative. Likewise, 52% think
alcohol affects drinkers themselves somewhat negatively, versus 19% very
negatively. Those who do not drink alcohol perceive its effects to be
significantly more negative than those who do drink. Non-drinkers are at
least three times as likely as alcohol drinkers to say alcohol affects
society and drinkers very negatively.
Additionally, U.S. adults without a college degree are more than
twice as likely as college graduates to view the effects of alcohol on
society and on drinkers as very negative. Women are seven percentage points more likely than men to view
alcohol's effects on both society and on drinkers as somewhat negative. Americans' Alcohol Use Is Relatively Steady Gallup has tracked the public's alcohol use since 1939. That year,
58% of U.S. adults said they had the occasion to use alcoholic beverages
"such as liquor, wine or beer." Since then, majorities have
consistently said they do, with the percentage imbibing no lower than 60%
since 1997. The percentage of drinkers reached a high of 71% in three surveys
conducted in 1976, 1977 and 1978; however, the question was not asked in 2020
when COVID-19 lockdowns may have impacted drinking habits. The latest 67% reading, from a July 5-26 Gallup poll, is a slight
uptick from last
year when alcohol use was at the low end of the narrow range of
readings.
Among those who drink, three in 10 say they have consumed an
alcoholic beverage in the past 24 hours. Another 36% have had a drink in the
past week, while 33% say they last had a drink more than a week ago. The 30%
who have consumed alcohol in the past 24 hours is on the low end of the 26%
to 40% range since 1984. On average, U.S. drinkers report having 3.9 drinks in the past seven
days, which is roughly in line with the readings historically. In 2003 and
2004, the average was around five drinks a week. Liquor Use Hits New High; Beer Use at New
Low The type of alcohol that drinkers in the U.S. choose most often has
varied somewhat over the past three decades, but beer has outpaced liquor and
wine in nearly every reading. That gap is narrower this year as beer
consumption, at 35%, is at its lowest level by one percentage point. The
reading has been as high as 47% in the early 1990s when Gallup first asked
the question. Wine drinkers comprise 31% of all drinkers. Since 2006, the percentage
of drinkers consuming wine most often has ranged between 30% and 35%. The 30% of U.S. drinkers who favor liquor as their drink of choice is
a new high in the trend, also by one point. Liquor consumption has been as
low as 18% and has trailed beer and wine consistently until recently,
averaging 22% since 1992.
(Gallup) AUGUST 5, 2022 Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/395867/say-alcohol-adversely-affects-drinkers-society.aspx AUSTRALIA
754-43-19/Polls Potential National/Act NZ (46%) Coalition Is Just Ahead Of Labour/
Greens (44.5%) In July, But Maori Party Holds The Balance Of Power
Today’s Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll shows support tightening between
a potential National/ Act NZ (46%) coalition now only 1.5% points ahead of
the governing Labour/ Greens (44.5%). The gap is the smallest since
Christopher Luxon became National Leader in late November.
Party vote analysis by Gender & Age
*The Roy Morgan Government Confidence
Rating is 100 plus the difference between the percentage of Kiwis who say the
country is “heading in the right direction” and the percentage who say the
country is “seriously heading in the wrong direction”. New Zealand Government Confidence Rating is
clearly higher for women than men in July The Roy Morgan New Zealand Government Confidence Rating was clearly
higher for women than men in July, but the gap did narrow by 6 points on a month
ago. Among women now 48% (up 1.5% points) say ‘New Zealand is ‘heading in
the wrong direction’, while only 42% (up 0.5% points) say New Zealand is
‘heading in the right direction’ – a Government Confidence Rating of 94 (down
1pt). Though down, a clear majority of men, 54.5% (down 2.5% points) now
say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction’ while just under
two-fifths of men, 39% (up 2.5% points), say New Zealand is ‘heading in the
right direction’ – a Government Confidence Rating of 84.5 (up 5pts). The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is highest for women aged
50+ at 94 while for women aged 18-49 it is lower at 89. There is little
difference for men of different ages with those aged 18-49 having a
Government Confidence Rating of 84 and slightly higher for men aged 50+ at
85. “Today’s Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll shows
the lead for a potential National/Act NZ (46%) coalition over the governing
Labour/Greens government (44.5%) is now at just 1.5% points – the closest the
two sides have been since Christopher Luxon took over as National leader at
the end of November 2021. “The reason for the narrowing gap is the
fall in support for National in July, down 4% points to 35% and at its lowest
level of support since January 2022. The support that National has lost
appears to have gone to fellow Parliamentary opposition parties Act NZ, up
1.5% points to 11%, and the Maori Party, up 2.5% points to 4%. “This is the highest level of support for
the Maori Party in well over a decade since April 2010 when John Key was the
Prime Minister. Support for the Maori Party is strongest amongst young people
with 9% of women aged 18-49 and 4% of men aged 18-49 supporting the party. “The decision by Opposition leader
Christopher Luxon to take a family holiday to Hawaii during mid-July is
understandable during the depth of a New Zealand winter. However, for Luxon’s
social media to post videos of Luxon claiming to be ‘In Te Puke, the heart of
kiwifruit country’ while he was holidaying in Hawaii has been labelled as a ‘debacle’ by media commentators. “The mishandling of Christopher Luxon’s
family holiday and the related social media posts brings to the fore the key
issues of trust and distrust in driving support for political leaders. “Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has built
her leadership on being the person New Zealanders can trust to deal with
challenges as varied as the COVID-19 pandemic, the Christchurch shooting and
various natural disasters to strike the country such as the eruption of the
White Island volcano. “If Christopher Luxon’s missteps in recent
weeks result in people distrusting the National Leader and questioning his
honesty, or the honesty of the team around him, he will come under renewed
scrutiny as an alternative Prime Minister heading towards next year’s
election. “The instability in the Greens leadership
has also been in the political spotlight over the last week although the
issue has had little impact on their polling results. Long-term Greens
co-leader James Shaw was ousted from the position last week after 30% of
delegates at the Green Party AGM voted they had no confidence in Shaw’s
leadership. “The result means the co-leadership
position is to be voted on again in coming weeks. Shaw has vowed to
re-nominate for the position but there are many in the party who regard Chloe
Swarbrick as the rising star of the party. If Swarbrick were to put her hand
up for the leadership, she would be likely to win the contest with the strong
support of the party faithful.” New Zealand Party Vote: 2020-22
Source: Roy Morgan New Zealand Single Source. January 2020
– July 2022. New Zealand Party Vote: NZ Govt. v Parliamentary
Opposition
Source: Roy Morgan New Zealand Single Source. January 2020
– July 2022. Roy Morgan NZ Government Confidence Rating
vs. ANZ-Roy Morgan NZ Consumer Confidence
Base: New Zealand electors aged 18+. Average
interviews per month = 934. Two-Party Preferred: Labour Party-led
Government vs. Parliamentary Opposition Parties
*At the 2020 NZ Election the Labour party secured
50.01% of the vote which was enough to govern in their own right but Labour
opted to sign a ‘Cooperation Agreement’ with the Greens, who won 7.86% of the
vote. There were three Parties elected to Parliament not in Government led by
National (25.58%), Act NZ (7.59%) and the Maori Party (1.17%). Voting Intention Summary The following table compares the latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Polls
on Voting Intention with the result from the October 17, 2020, General
Election: National-led Governments (& supporting
parties) are highlighted in Blue. Labour-led Governments (& supporting
parties) are highlighted in Red.
*The 1996 Election was the first New
Zealand Election contested via MMP (Mixed Member Proportional). At the 1996
Election the Greens Party contested as part of the “Alliance” political
grouping with four other political parties. Roy Morgan New Zealand Seat Predictor The following table compares the projected seats to be won by the
various New Zealand political parties based on the latest New Zealand Roy
Morgan Polls on Voting Intention with the results from previous MMP
Elections: National-led Governments (& supporting
parties) are highlighted in Blue. Labour-led Governments (& supporting
parties) are highlighted in Red.
*Other seats won at elections from 1996 -
2014 include: 1996 – 14 seats: Alliance (13 seats) & United NZ (1 seat); 1999
– 11 seats: Alliance (10 seats) & United NZ (1 seat); 2002 – 10 seats:
United Future (8 seats) & Progressive (2 seats); 2005 – 4 seats: United
Future (3 seats) & Progressive (1 seat); 2008 – 2 seats: Progressive (1
seat) & United Future (1 seat); 2011 – 2 seats: United Future (1 seat)
& Mana Party (1 seat); 2014 – 1 seat: United Future (1 seat).
Sixth Labour
Government (2017-?): 2017 NZ Election: Labour (46 seats) ‘wins’ the NZ Election and
governs in coalition with NZ First (9 seats) and the confidence and supply of
the Greens (8 seats) for a total of 63 seats in the 120 seat
Parliament. 2020 NZ Election:
Labour (65 seats) wins the NZ Election and governs with the cooperation of
the Greens (10 seats) for a total of 75 seats in the 120 seat Parliament. (Roy Morgan) August 02 2022 Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9034-nz-national-voting-intention-july-2022-202208012359 MULTICOUNTRY
STUDIES
754-43-20/Polls Globally, 3 In 5 Citizens Say Abortion Should Be Legal In All Or Most
Cases, In 27 Surveyed Countries
On average, 59% of adults surveyed by Ipsos in 27 countries say
abortion should be legal in all or most cases while 26% say it should be
illegal in all or most cases. Those who say it should be legal outnumber
those who say it shouldn’t in 22 countries – nowhere more than in Sweden,
Belgium, France, and the Netherlands. Opposition prevails in only 4
countries – Peru, India, Malaysia, and Colombia. Views about whether abortion should be
legal vary depending on the circumstances. On
average across the 27 countries, four in five adults surveyed say it should
be allowed if the pregnancy threatens
the life or health of the woman, three in four if it is the result of a rape, and two
in three if the baby could have severe
disabilities or health problems. A clear majority (62%) say
abortion should be legal for any woman in the first six weeks of a pregnancy,
a plurality (45%) for any woman in the first 14 weeks, but only a minority
(27%) for any woman in the first 20 weeks.
The survey of 20,523 adults under the age of 75 was conducted on
Ipsos’ Global Advisor online platform between June 24 and July 8, 2022. Detailed findings Geographic and demographic differences in
views on the right to legal abortion Views on abortion are nuanced: on
average globally, 3 in 10 say it should be legal in all cases (30%), and
about as many that it should be legal in most cases (29%). On the other hand,
16% say it should be illegal in most cases and just 10% that it should be
illegal in all cases. Another 16% do not know or prefer not to express their
opinion. Opinion on the right to legal abortion
varies widely across the 27 countries. Combined,
support for abortion being legal in all cases or most cases averages 59%
globally, but it ranges from 86% in Sweden to just 31% in Peru. The view that
it should be illegal in all or most cases adds up to a global average of 26%,
but it ranges from 49% in India to just 8% in Japan and France. On average, globally, support
for the legal status of abortion in all or most cases is somewhat higher
among women than it is among men, among those aged 50-74 than among those
under 50, and among those with a university-level education than those
without. However, these skews do not apply uniformly. A
country-by-country analysis shows that:
More support for allowing abortion in dire
circumstances Support for abortion being legal is more
widespread in several circumstances. It
reaches:
Pregnancy length matters According to the Center for Reproductive Rights, gestational limits
significantly vary globally. In countries allowing abortion on request, the
most common gestational limit is 12 weeks, but abortion is often permitted
under a range of circumstances after this limit has expired. The survey points to differentiated
views about the legal status of abortion for “any woman” depending on how
long she has been pregnant.
Diverging views on penalties for illegal
abortions If an abortion was carried out in a
situation where it is illegal, fewer say the woman who had the abortion
should be penalized (32% on average across the
27 countries) than say so of the person who performed it (44%) or a someone
else who arranged for it (42%). As for all matters related to abortion, attitudes toward punishing various parties involved
in an illegal one diverge widely across countries:
Also, on average globally, the percentage of females who say of each
party that it should face a penalty is between 7 and 9 points lower than the
percentage of males, pointing to a notable gender gap on whether those taking
part in an illegal abortion should be punished. Trends The response options that Ipsos employed in 2022 differ from those
used in previous surveys conducted annually since 2014. However, this year’s
survey results seem to indicate an
increase in support for abortion in certain circumstances. Globally
– and in many countries -- the percentage of adults surveyed in 2022 who say
abortion should be legal if the pregnancy is the result of a rape is higher
than the combined percentage of those who said in 2021 that it should be
permitted “whenever a woman decides she wants one” or “in certain
circumstances, such as when a woman has been raped.” It is up five points on
average globally, and by at least seven points in Belgium, Brazil, Colombia,
Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Turkey, and the United States. The only
country where it is lower (by five points) is India. (Ipsos MORI) 2 August 2022 Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/globally-3-5-citizens-say-abortion-should-be-legal-all-or-most-cases 754-43-21/Polls Four In Ten Across 28 Countries Expect Their Disposable Income To
Fall Over The Next Year
A Global Country Average of 40% say they
expect their disposable income to fall over the next year. This
is larger than the proportion who expect their disposable income to stay the
same (31%) or increase (22%).
Expectation of falling incomes is highest in Turkey (58%), France
(55%), Great Britain (54%) and Hungary (50%), where at least half agree this
will be the case. By contrast, the countries who are most optimistic about
their disposable income rising are India (48%), Saudi Arabia (42%) and South
Africa (40%), although in all three of these countries the sample reflects a
more affluent segment of society. The study also finds those living in Latin America are more likely to
report struggling with the cost of living. Across the 28 countries, three in ten report finding it difficult to get by
financially (29%) and the
same proportion say they are just about getting by (30%).
Argentinian citizens are the most likely to be struggling, with two thirds
(66%) finding it difficult to get by. While people in Turkey are close behind
on 64%, the rest of the top five countries reporting financial challenges are
also from Latin America: 51% in Chile, 49% in Brazil and 48% in Peru.
At the other end of the scale, just
over one in ten of the global public feel they are living comfortably, including
28% of Chinese citizens and 27% of Swedes. Three quarters of the global public are
concerned about the cost of goods and services increasing over the next six
months (77%). This includes 91% of Hungarians,
88% of those in South Africa and 86% of Argentines. Even in China where the
concern is lowest, 45% say this is a worry over the next half year. Other areas of significant public concern include:
There are widespread expectations of
further price rises over the next six months.
Public expectations of price rises are highest in the most impactful
categories. Six in ten say that price rises in food shopping would have the most
negative impact on their quality of life, followed by 51% who say the same
about the cost of utilities and 42% who say rising fuel prices would have the
biggest effect. How might consumers react? Potential consumer actions remain focused on cutting discretionary spending. In
the face of rising costs which make their normal lifestyle unaffordable,
almost half say they would spend less money on socialising (46%) and a
similar proportion say they would delay large purchase decisions (44%). Over
a third of people say they will spend less on holidays and other household
shopping (37% and 36%) Actions which focus on changing behaviour
are less likely: three in ten say that in the
face of rising costs they would use less energy or drive less to conserve
fuel (both 29%) – although in Great Britain half say they would seek to
reduce their energy consumption. A quarter would look to economise on food
(26%) and just one in ten would move into cheaper accommodation. Changes in employment are also less common. Across
the 28 countries, just twelve per cent say they would look for higher-paid
work with another employer if rising costs made their normal lifestyle
unaffordable. Fewer still – eight per cent – say they would ask for a pay
rise from their employer in this situation. These views are similar looking
only at those in work: among the employed, 12% say they would ask for a pay
rise and 18% would look for higher paid work. What is driving inflation? The global public is most likely to view
the drivers of recent price rises as being external to their own
country. At the Global Country Average level,
the state of the global economy is considered the biggest contributor (76%),
followed by the consequences of the Russian invasion of Ukraine (72%).
However, the policies of the national government come third, on 70% - and it
is the biggest driver for those in Argentina, Colombia, Indonesia and Poland.
European countries are more likely to see
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine as a contributing factor to inflation: it
is ranked as the biggest driver in Belgium, Germany, Denmark, France,
Hungary, the Netherlands and Sweden. It is also held as the biggest driver of
cost increases in South Korea. COVID-19 is ranked as the biggest
contributor predominantly in Asian countries. Those
living in China, Malaysia and Saudi Arabia put it ahead of other factors in
having a great deal or a fair amount of a role in driving the rising cost of
living, as do people in Brazil. In Turkey the view is different: Immigration is seen as the biggest
driver of cost increases, followed by interest rates and the policies of the
national government. Ben Page, CEO of Ipsos, said: “Inflation is the biggest worry worldwide
and the global public expects things to get worse. And while countries with
more recent experience of high inflation such as Turkey and Latin American
countries tend to be most pessimistic, European countries and the US are not
far behind. (Ipsos MORI) 2 August 2022 754-43-22/Polls A Study On Online Banking In 5 European Countries
Thanks to YouGov
Global Proifles we prepared a study on online banking in 5
countries: France, Italy, Germany, United Kingdom and Spain. How often do consumers use their smartphone to access online banking
services? Around 1 in 4 people use their smartphone several times a day for
this purpose in Spain (26%) and France (23%). On the other hand, 28% of Germans and 21% of Britons say they never
use their smartphone for this purpose.
Despite this, some Europeans seem to continue to be wary of online
banking. The British are the most suspicious: 68% say they do not feel
comfortable using this type of service. Note: 50% of Spaniards share this
opinion.
(YouGov Spain) August 4, 2022 Source: https://es.yougov.com/news/2022/08/04/estudio-internacional-existe-un-consenso-sobre-la-/ |
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