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BUSINESS & POLITICS IN THE WORLD GLOBAL OPINION REPORT NO. 752 Week:
July 18 – July 24, 2022 Presentation:
July 29, 2022 S’pore
Citizens (85%) Want More Aid Beyond The Government’s Inflation Relief Package 51%
Say The Internet Has A Positive Impact On Society Half
(52%) Of British Workers Say They Feel Stressed At Work Britons
Tend To Support Keeping Russia Sanctions In Face Of Cost Of Living Crisis 71%
Of Britons Say They Would Sympathise With A Strike By Nurses Liz
Truss Leads Rishi Sunak By 62% To 38% Among Tory Members Two
In Three Concerned About The Risk Covid Poses To The Country – Lowest Since
Pandemic Started One
In 4 French People Follows E-Sport Events – A Figure Driven Up By Millennials
(41%) For
32% Of The Italian Population Inflation Has Had No Impact On The Summer
Holidays Average
Expected Retirement Age Among Nonretirees Is Now 66, Vs 60 In 1995 Canadians
More Favourable Towards Charest; But Cpc Voters Slightly Prefer Poilievre New
Research Shows 8.97 Million Australians Used Public Transport During The
March Quarter 2022 Most
People Have Confidence In Kamala Harris Across 18 Surveyed Countries Under
Pope Francis, The College Of Cardinals Has Become Less European, Survey
Around The Globe Global
Population Projected To Exceed 8 Billion In 2022; Half Live In Just Seven
Countries INTRODUCTORY NOTE 752-43-23/Commentary: Global Population Projected To Exceed 8
Billion In 2022; Half Live In Just Seven Countries
The world’s
population will cross 8 billion in November, according to recently
released projections from the United Nations. And more
than half of all people live in just seven countries. China has
the world’s largest population (1.426 billion), but India (1.417 billion) is
expected to claim this title next year. The next five most populous nations –
the United States, Indonesia, Pakistan, Nigeria and Brazil – together have
fewer people than India or China. In fact, China’s population is greater than
the entire population of Europe (744 million) or the Americas (1.04 billion)
and roughly equivalent to that of all nations in Africa (1.427 billion).
As recently
as 2015, half the world’s population was concentrated in just six countries –
the same as above, with the exception of Nigeria, which was then the seventh
most populous country and has since passed Brazil to move into sixth place.
Recent population growth, however, has been faster in the rest of the world
than in these nations, meaning that the top six now hold slightly less than
half (49%) of the world’s people. Including Brazil’s 215 million people puts
the world’s seven most populous countries at 51.7% of the global population. In the UN’s
“medium” scenario for future population growth – its middle-of-the-road
estimate – the global population is expected to reach 9.7 billion in 2050 and
10.4 billion in 2100. Growth is expected to be concentrated in sub-Saharan
Africa, where an estimated 29% of all the world’s births happened last year.
The 2021 total fertility rate in sub-Saharan Africa, 4.6 births per woman, is
double the global average of 2.3 births per woman and triple the average in
Europe and Northern America (1.5) and in Eastern and South-Eastern Asia (also
1.5). (PEW) JULY 21,
2022 ASIA (Singapore) S’pore Citizens (85%) Want More Aid Beyond The Government’s
Inflation Relief Package Amidst rising global inflation, the Singapore government in June announced
a $1.5 billion support package to help lower-income and vulnerable groups, in addition to other forms of aid. A new
YouGov survey reveals that of citizens aware of this package (85%), a
majority want the government to do more in this regard (86%), with four in
ten feeling a little more should be done (38%) and nearly half thinking a lot
more should be done to help people feel secure amidst sharp price rises
(48%). In comparison, only 13% said current levels of government support are
sufficient. (YouGov Singapore) July 20, 2022 (Pakistan) 51% Say The Internet Has A Positive Impact On Society Perception of the positive impact of the
internet has increased by 9% over the years from 42% in 2001 to 51% in 2022.
37% said negative impact, 51% said positive impact and 12% said don’t know or
gave no response. This press release has been made as part of the Gallup
Pakistan History Project which aims to release historical empirical polling
data to wider audiences. The objective is to sustain and encourage empirical
decision-making in Pakistan. (Gallup Pakistan) July 19, 2022 56% Of Respondents In 2022 As Compared To 59% In 2006
Report That They Are Willing To Pay A Little More To Buy Something That
Protects The Environment “Are you willing to pay a little more to
buy something that protects the environment?” In response to this question,
in 2006 59% said yes, 28% said no, and 13% didn’t know or gave no response.
Comparative Picture: This question was asked again in 2022 to allow a
comparison to be made across the years. In response to this question in 2022,
56% said yes, 37% said no and 7% didn’t know or gave no response. (Gallup Pakistan) July 22, 2022 WEST
EUROPE (UK) Half (52%) Of British Workers Say They Feel Stressed At
Work YouGov research shows half of workers in
Britain (52%) say they feel “very” or “fairly” stressed at work. A further
36% say they do not feel very stressed, with just 10% saying they don’t feel
stressed at all while working. Almost four in ten workers (39%) also say they
feel stressed when they think about work outside of work hours. Three in 10
(31%) say they feel very or fairly stressed even when they’re not working and
not thinking about work. (YouGov UK) July 18, 2022 Britons Tend To Support Keeping Russia Sanctions In Face Of
Cost Of Living Crisis Since the early days of the Russian
invasion of Ukraine, YouGov has asked Britons whether or not they would be
willing to impose further sanctions against Russia if it had an adverse
effect on the cost of living. By 48% to 38%, Britons say they would support
keeping the current sanctions against Russia if it means an increase in the
overall cost of living. Additionally, by 49% to 34% Britons are willing to
withstand oil and gas shortages in the UK, and by 47% to 38% are prepared to
see an increase in taxes to cover defence costs. (YouGov UK) July 19, 2022 6 In 10 Brits Say The Temperature Has Been Hotter Than They
Expected, With 8 In 10 Saying It’s Too Hot As the UK reaches its highest temperature
on record, new research from Ipsos shows Britons are not used to the heat.
Despite plenty of forewarning, 6 in 10 (62%) say that the weather is hotter
than they expected, including almost 4 in 10 (37%) who say much hotter.
Around a quarter (27%) say it is about the temperature they were expecting
while only 1 in 10 (10%) say it’s colder than they were expecting. (Ipsos MORI) 19 July 2022 71% Of Britons Say They Would Sympathise With A Strike By
Nurses Speakers at the British Medical
Association annual conference – which represents doctors and
medical students – said strikes would be the only way to repair their
member's real-term pay cut. Indeed, if hospital staff do walk out, they are
likely to find the public onside. Six in ten (60%) say they would support a
nurse's strike, while 54% would support hospital doctors' strikes, compared
to only 32% and 37% respectively who would oppose them. Despite support for
nurses and hospital doctors, half of people (50%) would oppose a walkout
among GPs, against the 29% who would support them doing so. (YouGov UK) July 21, 2022 Liz Truss Leads Rishi Sunak By 62% To 38% Among Tory
Members Yesterday, Conservative MPs voted to send
both Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss through to the final stage of the party’s
leadership contest. As things stand, 31% of the membership intend to vote for
Rishi Sunak, while 49% intend to vote for Liz Truss. A further 15% currently
don’t know how they will vote, and 6% currently tell us they will abstain.
This puts the headline voting intention at 62% for Truss and 38% for Sunak
(i.e. after people who are currently unsure or won’t vote are excluded) – a
24-point lead for the foreign secretary. (YouGov UK) July 21, 2022 Two
In Three Concerned About The Risk Covid Poses To The Country – Lowest Since
Pandemic Started As we see Covid-19 cases increase, new
research by Ipsos, taken in early July, shows concern about the risk the
virus poses to the country continuing to fall. Around two-thirds (65%) say
they are very/fairly concerned about the risk coronavirus poses to the
country. The proportion concerned is down slightly from 71% in March, while a
third (34%) say they are not concerned, up from 27%. Concern is now at the
lowest level since the pandemic began. (Ipsos MORI) 22 July 2022 (France) One In 4 French People Follows E-Sport Events – A Figure
Driven Up By Millennials (41%) Emmanuel Macron has promised "a new
era" for French E-sport to make France a "great nation" of the
sector. The President of the Republic mentioned the hosting of major E-sports
competitions in 2024, the Olympic year for Paris and the France. Thanks to
a RealTime study conducted with our panel, we
noticed that 64% of French people (including 81% of Millennials) have already
heard of E-sport and 35% say they know exactly what it is.We note that one in
4 French people follows E-sport events – a figure driven up by Millennials
(41%). (YouGov France) (Italy) For 32% Of The Italian Population Inflation Has Had No Impact
On The Summer Holidays The increase in the cost of living,
electricity, gas, gasoline and food has meant that the piggy bank of Italians
for the holidays has suffered collateral damage. While for 32% of the Italian
population inflation has had no impact on the summer holidays, 7% say they
have had to cancel the trip and 31% have changed their itinerary. Italians
between the ages of 35 and 44 are those who have been most forced to cancel
their holidays (12%), while those between 24 and 34 are those who have
changed their holidays the most (40%). (YouGov Italy) July 18, 2022 NORTH AMERICA (USA) Young Adults In U S Are Much More Likely Than 50 Years Ago
To Be Living In A Multigenerational Household A Pew Research Center survey conducted last October found that
financial issues are a major reason why adults live in multigenerational
households. Young adults who have not completed at least a bachelor’s degree
tend to earn substantially less than those who have As successive
generations of young adults in the United States cope with rising student debt and housing costs, multigenerational living is increasingly
providing a respite from the storm. A quarter of U.S. adults ages 25 to 34
resided in a multigenerational family household in 2021, up from 9% in 1971. (PEW) JULY 20, 2022 Average Expected Retirement Age Among Nonretirees Is Now
66, Vs 60 In 1995 American workers are retiring at later ages
than those in the past three decades. In 1991, U.S. retirees, on average,
reported that they retired at age 57. Now, the average reported retirement
age is up to 61. Nonretirees' target retirement age has also increased, from
60 in 1995 to 66 today. All of those born after 1960 are not eligible for
full benefits until age 67. Retirees are eligible for reduced benefits
starting at age 62. (Gallup) JULY 22, 2022 (Canada) Nearly Seven In Ten (67%) Of Those Vaccinated Without
Boosters Say They’re Concerned About Long-Term Effects Of Covid Booster Shots A new Ipsos poll conducted shows that
two-thirds of Canadians (66%) say they would personally take a COVID-19
booster shot without hesitation. Although there remains just over half (53%)
who say they are concerned about the potential long-term effects of taking
booster shots and how many shots Canadians will need to take in the future.
Canadians are nonetheless in agreement that booster shots lessen the chance
one will end up in the hospital (75%) or that one will get COVID-19 (66%). (Ipsos Canada) 21 July 2022 Canadians More Favourable Towards Charest; But Cpc Voters
Slightly Prefer Poilievre The race to replace Erin O’Toole as
Conservative Party leader is down to five candidates with Jean Charest and
Pierre Poilievre clearly in the lead. Among
all Canadians, 22% would vote for Jean Charest, followed by Pierre
Poilievre (15%), Scott Aitchison (4%), Leslyn Lewis (4%), or Roman Baber
(2%). A majority (52%) say they do not know who they would vote for. (Ipsos Canada) 23 July 2022 AUSTRALIA New Research Shows 8.97 Million Australians Used Public
Transport During The March Quarter 2022 New research shows 8.97 million
Australians aged 14+ (42.4%) used public transport during the March quarter
2022. This is a rapid increase of over 1.5 million from the December quarter
2021 when there were still lockdowns in the largest States of NSW and
Victoria as the quarter began. Despite the increase in public
transport usage in the March quarter 2022 the level of usage was still down
by over 3 million people (a decline of 26.3%) on the level of usage three
years ago pre-pandemic in the March quarter 2019 when 12.2 million people
(58.7%) used public transport. (Roy Morgan) July 19 2022 MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES 30% Of Europeans Are Directly Or Indirectly Affected By A
Rare Disease, A Study In 11 European Countries 1 in 4 believe they know very precisely
what this term means (25%) but the vast majority consider that they only
vaguely know what we are talking about (53%), or even not knowing what it is
(21%). And yet! Today, there are more than 7,000 rare diseases. 80% of these
diseases are of genetic origin. They are often chronic and involve the vital
prognosis of patients. In the European Union, rare diseases affect more than
30 million patients[1] (and more than 3 million people in
France). (Ipsos France) July 18, 2022 Most People Have Confidence In Kamala Harris Across 18
Surveyed Countries A median of 55% of adults in these
countries have confidence in Harris to do the right thing regarding world
affairs, including half or more who hold that view in 14 countries.
Confidence in Harris is particularly high in Sweden, where 77% of adults view
her positively. Trust in Harris is lowest in Hungary, where only 23% say they
have confidence in the vice president to do the right thing regarding world
affairs. Hungary is also the country where the greatest share did not answer
the question (36%). (PEW) JULY 18, 2022 Under Pope Francis, The College Of Cardinals Has Become
Less European, Survey Around The Globe Unless his reign is short, a Roman Catholic
pontiff typically appoints a majority of the men who vote for his successor.
But Pope Francis’ additions to the College of Cardinals since his election in
2013 also have served another purpose – tilting the leadership structure of
the Roman Catholic Church away from its historic European base and toward
developing nations in Africa, Asia and Latin America. (PEW) Global Population Projected To Exceed 8 Billion In 2022;
Half Live In Just Seven Countries The world’s population will cross 8 billion
in November, according to recently released projections from the United Nations. And more
than half of all people live in just seven countries. China has the world’s
largest population (1.426 billion), but India (1.417 billion) is expected to
claim this title next year. The next five most populous nations – the United
States, Indonesia, Pakistan, Nigeria and Brazil – together have fewer people
than India or China. (PEW) JULY 21, 2022 Almost Three-In-Ten Citizens Globally Say They Have Started
A Business At Some Point, A 26 Country Poll Overall, almost three-in-ten global citizens (31%) say that they have
started a business at some point, while close to an equal number (29%)
hope to do so in the near future. Peru (54%), Colombia (54%) and
Mexico (53%) have the highest proportion of people saying they have started a
business in the past, while South Korea (18%), France (16%), Belgium (14%)
and Japan (9%) have the lowest rates of entreprenurialism. (Ipsos MORI) 22 July 2022 Support For Nato Membership Has Become Firmer In Britain,
Spain And Poland Since March, A Survey In 7 West European Nations YouGov polling in the immediate weeks after
the Russian invasion of Ukraine showed a notable increase in support for NATO
membership in Western Europe. In Spain and Britain, as well as Poland,
while overall support has remained the same as it was in March, the nature of
that support has become much firmer, with people now more likely to say that
they “strongly” support NATO membership. (YouGov UK) July 22, 2022 ASIA
752-43-01/Polls S’pore Citizens (85%) Want More Aid Beyond The Government’s Inflation
Relief Package
Amidst rising global inflation, the Singapore government in June announced
a $1.5 billion support package to help lower-income and vulnerable groups, in addition to other forms of aid. A new
YouGov survey reveals that of citizens aware of this package (85%), a
majority want the government to do more in this regard (86%), with four in
ten feeling a little more should be done (38%) and nearly half thinking a lot
more should be done to help people feel secure amidst sharp price rises
(48%). In comparison, only 13% said current levels of government support are
sufficient.
Expectation for greater support is higher
among Gen X (88%) respondents than their younger counterparts, as well as
among men (88%) rather than women. Gen Z and Baby Boomers are most likely to
be satisfied with the level of aid, with one in six in each group saying
support is sufficient (16%). While the package is intended to assist
lower-income and more vulnerable groups, citizens who said they can only just
afford or cannot afford their costs were also most likely to say that more
should be done to address rising costs of living (95% and 92%
respectively).
The demand for increased support signals
that citizens could be feeling the pressure of increased costs of living.
Almost all the surveyed respondents in Singapore claimed their costs of
living have gone up to some extent as compared to 12 months ago (94%), with a
majority (70%) saying it has gone up a lot, while just under a quarter (23%)
feel it has gone up a little. Gen X were more likely to say this (80%) as
compared to their younger counterparts.
(YouGov Singapore) July 20, 2022 Source: https://sg.yougov.com/en-sg/news/2022/07/20/spore-citizens-want-more-aid-beyond-governments-in/ 752-43-02/Polls 51% Say The Internet Has A Positive Impact On Society
In a Gallup & Gilani Pakistan National
Survey conducted in the year 2001, a representative sample of adult men and
women from across Pakistan was asked the following question, “Some people are
of the opinion that the advent of the internet has adversely impacted our
society while others believe that it has some positive impact too. Do you
think that overall, the Internet has more negative or positive effects?” In
response to this question, 39% said negative impact, 42% said positive impact
and 19% said don’t know or gave no response. Comparative Picture: This
question was asked again in 2022 to allow a comparison to be made across the
years. In response to this question in 2022, 37% said negative impact, 51%
said positive impact and 12% said don’t know or gave no response Trend
Analysis: Perception of the positive impact of the internet has increased by
9% over the years from 42% in 2001 to 51% in 2022. This press release has
been made as part of the Gallup Pakistan History Project which aims to
release historical empirical polling data to wider audiences. The objective
is to sustain and encourage empirical decision-making in Pakistan. Question:
“Some people are of the opinion that the advent of the internet has adversely
impacted our society while others believe that it has some positive impact
too. Do you think that overall, the Internet has more negative or positive
effects?
(Gallup Pakistan) July 19, 2022 Source: https://gallup.com.pk/wp/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/July-19-1.pdf 752-43-03/Polls 56% Of Respondents In 2022 As Compared To 59% In 2006 Report That
They Are Willing To Pay A Little More To Buy Something That Protects The
Environment
In a Gallup & Gilani Pakistan National
Survey conducted in the year 2006, a representative sample of adult men and
women from across Pakistan was asked the following question, “Are you willing
to pay a little more to buy something that protects the environment?” In
response to this question, 59% said yes, 28% said no, and 13% didn’t know or
gave no response. Comparative Picture: This question was asked again in 2022
to allow a comparison to be made across the years. In response to this
question in 2022, 56% said yes, 37% said no and 7% didn’t know or gave no
response. Trend Analysis: 56% of respondents in 2022 as compared to 59% in
2006 report that they are willing to pay a little more to buy something that
protects the environment. This press release has been made as part of the
Gallup Pakistan History Project which aims to release historical empirical
polling data to wider audiences. The objective is to sustain and encourage
empirical decision-making in Pakistan. Question: “Are you willing to pay a
little more to buy something that protects the environment?
(Gallup Pakistan) July 22, 2022 Source: https://gallup.com.pk/wp/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/July-22-1.pdf WEST
EUROPE
752-43-04/Polls Half (52%) Of British Workers Say They Feel Stressed At Work
A stressful workplace can make
you unwell, and stress at work can easily creep into impacting life
outside of work. Health and Safety Executive statistics show
that work-related stress, depression or anxiety represented 50% of all
work-related illness in 2020-21, with incidences rising significantly over
the last 20 years. YouGov research shows half of workers in Britain (52%) say they feel
“very” or “fairly” stressed at work. A further 36% say they do not feel very
stressed, with just 10% saying they don’t feel stressed at all while working. Almost four in ten workers (39%) also say they feel stressed when
they think about work outside of work hours. Three in 10 (31%) say they feel
very or fairly stressed even when they’re not working and not thinking about
work. Between 53% and 58% of workers in the under-60 age groups say they
feel stressed at work, compared to just 34% of workers in the 60+ age group.
Workers under 30 are most likely to report feeling stressed when thinking
about work outside of work hours (47%) compared to just 23% of workers aged
60 and older. And while 35% of workers under 30 say they feel stressed outside of work,
compared to 21% of workers in their 60s and older, this difference (14
points) is less stark. How does work life impact life outside of
work? Half of workers (50%) say they spend a lot of time, or a fair amount
of time, thinking about work outside of working hours, with 47% saying they
spend not much or no time at all. Overall, nearly nine in 10 workers (88%)
say they think about work outside of working hours. Britons with stressful jobs also tend to have work on their mind a
lot more than those who feel relaxed at their workplace. Two-thirds of those
who say they feel stressed at work (66%) spend a lot or a fair amount of time
thinking about their job outside of working hours, compared to a third (34%)
of those who say they don’t feel stressed. On the question of whether work life has a positive or negative
impact (or no impact at all), workers are split. A third (33%) say their work
life has a negative impact on their life outside of work, while a further
third (34%) say a positive impact and 26% say it has no impact at all. Part-time workers (working up to 29 hours a week) are more likely
than full-time workers to say their work life has a positive impact on their
lives outside of work, by 45% to 30%, while full-timers are more likely than
part-timers to say their work negatively impacts their life, by 36% to 23%. Do Britons work too much? More workers in Britain work unpaid overtime (49%) than work paid
overtime (42%). Three in 10 (29%) say they work unpaid overtime at least once a week,
including one in nine (11%) who say they work unpaid overtime every working
day. Paid overtime is less frequent – 13% say they work paid overtime at
least once a week.
More than half of workers (56%) say their friends and family have
asked them to cut back on how much they work, including one in five (20%) who
say this happens very or fairly frequently. Four in 10 workers (41%) say they
have never been asked by loved ones to cut back on their hours. Workers in ABC1 households are more likely than those in C2DE
households to say that their family and friends have asked them to cut back
on work, by 61% to 48%. (YouGov UK) July 18, 2022 752-43-05/Polls Britons Tend To Support Keeping Russia Sanctions In Face Of Cost Of
Living Crisis
Since the early days of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, YouGov has
asked Britons whether or not they would be willing to impose further
sanctions against Russia if it had an adverse effect on the cost of living. Between March and June willingness to do so has fallen, with Britons
now tending to say they would not support further sanctions, particularly if
it meant a significant increase in energy prices (53% would oppose doing so
in our latest study at the end of June, only 32% would support). With concerns among war-watchers that public opinion for maintaining
sanctions against Russia would wane in the face of increased financial
hardship, we wanted to see whether Britons were not only unwilling to impose
further sanctions, but to stand by current ones. The results show, however, that Britons do tend to be willing to keep
backing current sanctions against Russia in the face of rising costs. That
being said, in no example do a majority of Britons take this view. By 48% to 38%, Britons say they would support keeping the current
sanctions against Russia if it means an increase in the overall cost of
living. Additionally, by 49% to 34% Britons are willing to withstand oil and
gas shortages in the UK, and by 47% to 38% are prepared to see an increase in
taxes to cover defence costs.
Britons are most split on fuel bills, with 45% saying they would
support the current sanctions against Russia even in the face of “an increase
in energy prices”, but with 41% disagreeing. It should be noted that the
tracker questions regarding further sanctions
ask about “a significant” increase in energy prices, so it may be that had
the question exactly mirrored this then public opinion will have been more
negative. Unsurprisingly, people’s own financial situation influences the
results. Those Britons in households with the lowest incomes (less than
£20,000 a year) are less likely to support keeping current sanctions, and
those in households with the highest incomes (£60,000 a year) are the most
likely to support them. Both Labour and Conservative voters tend to be willing to support
sanctions despite the financial impact. However, age is a key divider:
Britons under the age of 50 tend to say they would oppose keeping the current
sanctions if it hit their wallets, while most of those aged 50 and over would
continue to back them. This trend holds true even when accounting for income
and past vote. (YouGov UK) July 19, 2022 752-43-06/Polls 6 In 10 Brits Say The Temperature Has Been Hotter Than They Expected,
With 8 In 10 Saying It’s Too Hot
As the UK reaches its highest temperature on record, new research
from Ipsos shows Britons are not used to the heat. Despite plenty of
forewarning, 6 in 10 (62%) say that the weather is hotter than they expected,
including almost 4 in 10 (37%) who say much hotter. Around a quarter (27%)
say it is about the temperature they were expecting while only 1 in 10 (10%)
say it’s colder than they were expecting. No matter expectations, many seem to be struggling with the heat,
with just over 8 in 10 (83%) saying the weather today (survey done over 18th
and 19th July) has been too hot, including 6 in 10 (58%) who say much too
hot. When asked the same question just 5 days ago (14th/15th July) only 34%
said it had been too hot, half said about right and 16% said too cold. Women
and older people in particular are finding the heat challenging: 90% of women
said the weather today was too hot, compared with 76% of men, while 92% of
45-75 year olds also find it too hot, compared with 74% of 18-44 year olds.
Considering the past week, 81% say the past week has been too hot, up from
63% who said the same between 14th-15th July. Despite finding the weather too hot, most Britons remain upbeat with
77% saying they are feeling very/fairly happy today. However, few put this
down to the weather, only 32% say the weather has improved their mood while
33% say it has made their mood a little/much worse. Thirty-four per cent say
it has had no impact on their mood. British people and the weather With schools closing, roads melting and airports closing, it may come
as no surprise that few think British people can cope well with the weather
when temperatures exceed the typical temperature for the season. Less than 4
in 10 (37%) say we can cope very/fairly well while 62% disagree. Again, there
is a big difference by gender and age, with 74% of women and 72% of 45-75
year olds saying Britons do not cope with high temperatures very well,
compared with half of men (49%) and 18-44 year olds (51%). While the weather is a more exciting topic at the moment, with 78%
closely following stories about it in the news, Britons are well known for
their fondness of bringing it up in conversation. As a result, two-thirds
(66%) now say British people talk about the weather too much (23% much too
much) while only 4% say they discuss it too little, and 28% about the right
amount. Gideon Skinner, Head of Political Research
at Ipsos in the UK, said: The impact of
the record extreme temperatures over the last couple of days is clear to see
across workplaces, transport infrastructure and public services, and Britons
are feeling the heat too with the vast majority finding it too hot, more than
double the figures from last week – particularly women and older people.
And although many are closely following the news, there is still some
sense of being caught by surprise with most saying the reality was hotter
than they expected. Although Britons are self-aware enough to know that
we might talk about the climate too much, if these events become more regular
then this won’t be the last time the weather is in the news. (Ipsos MORI) 19 July 2022 752-43-07/Polls 71% Of Britons Say They Would Sympathise With A Strike By Nurses
First, it was the RMT
union, then the barristers,
now the Unite Union has announced a strike among postal
managers later this month. Teachers, doctors, and NHS staff
are also
threatening walkouts. Mass strikes across the country could cause mass
disruption for Britons, but with the cost of living crisis meaning everyone
is feeling the pinch, do people back strikers fighting for better wages and
conditions? What strikes would Briton support? Speakers at the British Medical Association annual
conference – which represents doctors and medical students – said
strikes would be the only way to repair their member's real-term pay cut.
Indeed, if hospital staff do walk out, they are likely to find the public
onside. Six in ten (60%) say they would support a nurse's strike, while 54%
would support hospital doctors' strikes, compared to only 32% and 37%
respectively who would oppose them. Despite support for nurses and hospital
doctors, half of people (50%) would oppose a walkout among GPs, against the
29% who would support them doing so. Firefighters have also joined the mounting list of professions threatening
action over below-inflation pay rises, and the results show that 52%
of Britons would support them. The National Education Union has also said it
will ballot members on a potential strike for the same reason,
seeking “inflation plus” pay rises for its members. Britons are split
however, 42% would support a walkout among primary and secondary teachers,
while 46% would oppose them doing so.
With airports already in
chaos due to a lack of staff, a strike among airport workers would also
divide the public. Two in five (41%) would support an airport workers'
strike, but 47% say they would oppose one. Following the RMT strikes late last month, Britons lean towards
opposing a strike among railway support staff such as ticket hall workers and
engineers (48%) rather than supporting it (40%). When it comes to train
drivers specifically, the gap widens further, with 51% saying they would
oppose strike action compared to 36% who would back them. Three in ten people (32%) would back a strike by university staff,
with 53% opposed. Similarly, only 27% would support striking civil servants,
compared to 59% opposed. Finally, despite their emotional
pleas in the media during their recent strike, a mere 19% of people say
they would support a strike among barristers. Nearly two-thirds saying they
would oppose it (65%) – including 45% strongly opposing it. What strikes would Britons sympathise with? Given rising costs and inflation are hitting Britons across the
board, can they sympathise with strikers? The research finds in most cases,
people are more likely to empathise with those on strike than support them. Some 71% of Britons say they would sympathise with a strike by
nurses, including 42% who would have “a lot” of sympathy for them. This
represents an 11-point gap compared to those who say they would support these
strikers. A similar proportion of the population say they would also sympathise
with hospital doctors (65%), nine-points higher than those who would support
their strike. However, people are split when it comes to GPs. Around two in
five (46%) say they would empathise with GPs should they also strike,
however, 48% say they would have little to no sympathy with GPs if they
walked out. Six in ten Britons (61%) say they would sympathise with fire crews on
strike. Again, this is nine points higher than those would support them.
Of the various roles asked about in the survey, primary and secondary
school teachers are the last to have sympathy with around half of the public
(51%) versus 42% who would not sympathise with them. A strike by university
staff, on the other hand, would only garner sympathy from one in three people
(35%), with over half saying they would have little sympathy for striking
lecturers (56%). Some 46% say they would sympathise with strikes among airport
workers, while 45% would not.
Similar proportions of people say they would also sympathise with
further strikes among railway support staff (45% versus 46% who would not).
However, fewer would sympathise with a strike among train drivers (38% versus
55% who would not). Finally, Britons would have the least sympathy for walkouts by civil
servants (28%) and barristers (19%). Seven in ten (71%) say they would have
little pity for striking barristers, including 45% with none at all. (YouGov UK) July 21, 2022 752-43-08/Polls Liz Truss Leads Rishi Sunak By 62% To 38% Among Tory Members
Yesterday, Conservative MPs voted to send both Rishi Sunak and Liz
Truss through to the final stage of the party’s leadership contest. One of them will now be selected to replace Boris Johnson by the
party membership in a ballot running from 4 August until early September. Earlier this week, our
figures suggested that Truss would beat Sunak in a hypothetical head-to-head by 19
points. Now, with the final two announced and the summer campaign just
beginning, a new YouGov poll of Tory members suggests Truss retains her
strong advantage. As things stand, 31% of the membership intend to vote for Rishi
Sunak, while 49% intend to vote for Liz Truss. A further 15% currently don’t
know how they will vote, and 6% currently tell us they will abstain. This puts the headline voting intention at 62% for Truss and 38% for Sunak
(i.e. after people who are currently unsure or won’t vote are excluded) – a
24-point lead for the foreign secretary.
Sunak clearly has a mountain to climb to overturn the deficit he
currently faces among the party faithful. He can take some comfort in that around one in five members are
currently either undecided or not planning to vote. Capturing a good
percentage of them would significantly reduce the gap. But relying on
undecideds alone will not work – Sunak has a lot of work to do convincing current
Truss backers that they should be voting for him instead. But Sunak faces some significant barriers in this pursuit, namely
that Truss also holds sizeable advantages over him on key metrics such as
trustworthiness and ability to lead the party. For instance, while half (50%) of the membership believe Sunak would
make a good leader, 42% think he would be bad at the job – including a
quarter (23%) who think he would make a “very poor” leader. By contrast, almost two thirds (62%) think Truss would make a good
party leader, versus 31% who think she would be bad.
And perhaps most troublingly for Sunak, four in ten party members
believe that he cannot be trusted. Just under half (48%) think that he can. But only 18% of members think that Truss cannot be trusted – a full
22 points fewer than the same figure for Sunak. Six in ten (63%) believe she
can be trusted. The foreign secretary clearly enjoys a significantly better
personal evaluation among the membership than the former Chancellor currently
does.
With our qualitative
analysis this week suggesting that honesty and integrity were among
the most important things that Conservative party members are looking for in
their next leader, these trust ratings may go some way to explaining how
Sunak is so far behind his rival at this early stage. More members would have preferred a
Badenoch/Mordaunt run-off Further results from the survey show that only a quarter of party
members are going to get a chance to vote for their preferred candidate to
replace Boris Johnson. Asked which of the full range of Tory MPs who stood in
the contest they would have most wanted to see become prime minister, just
13% of members choose Liz Truss, and 11% Rishi Sunak. Kemi Badenoch tops the list, at 24%, followed by Penny Mordaunt, at
20%, meaning that the run-off will be between the third and fourth most
popular candidates among members.
(YouGov UK) July 21, 2022 752-43-09/Polls Two In Three Concerned About The Risk Covid Poses To The Country –
Lowest Since Pandemic Started
As we see Covid-19 cases increase, new research by Ipsos, taken in
early July, shows concern about the risk the virus poses to the country
continuing to fall. Around two-thirds (65%) say they are very/fairly
concerned about the risk coronavirus poses to the country. The proportion
concerned is down slightly from 71% in March, while a third (34%) say they
are not concerned, up from 27%. Concern is now at the lowest level since the
pandemic began.
Concern for the risk coronavirus poses to people personally has also
lessened since March but more gradually. A majority (56%) still say they are
concerned (-3 points since March), whilst two in five (39%) are not (+3
points). However, concern was already lower for individuals than it was for
the country as a whole. What will people do if they test positive? When asked if they would do various activities if they tested
positive for Covid-19, at least 6 in 10 said they would be unlikely to go to
their place of work (61%), to a supermarket or shops (60%), travel on public
transport (66%), visit elderly relatives (68%), travel abroad (66%) or go to
a large public event e.g. sports match or concert (69%). The public were most likely to say they would leave the house (38%
said likely, 48% not likely) or go for a walk outside (47% likely, 36%
unlikely).
Keiran Pedley, Research Director at Ipsos,
said: Although
concern about the virus is at its lowest level since the pandemic began, it
should be noted that a majority of the public are still concerned. They are
also prepared to avoid seeing others or spending time in public places should
they test positive for the virus. This all shows that whilst other issues,
such as the cost of living, might be more foremost on people’s minds, the
public are still prepared to take the virus seriously. (Ipsos MORI) 22 July 2022 752-43-10/Polls One In 4 French People Follows E-Sport Events – A Figure Driven Up By
Millennials (41%)
Emmanuel Macron has promised "a new era" for French E-sport
to make France a "great nation" of the sector. The President of the
Republic mentioned the hosting of major E-sports competitions in 2024, the
Olympic year for Paris and the France. Major of Counter-Strike, League of
Legends Worlds, The International on Dota 2... Appointments followed all over
the world, by millions of spectators, and which move the crowds. The speeches heard in the upper echelons of power suggest a bright
future for E-sport, but what about the relationship of the French to E-sport? Thanks to a RealTime study conducted with our panel, we noticed
that 64% of French people (including 81% of Millennials) have already heard
of E-sport and 35% say they know exactly what it is. On the other hand, only 7% of French people have heard of Emmanuel
Macron's intentions to develop the E-sport activity in France (17% among
Millennials) and 14% of French people intend to follow E-sport events if the
France welcomes them. (YouGov France) Source: https://fr.yougov.com/news/2022/07/18/les-francais-et-le-sport/ 752-43-11/Polls For 32% Of The Italian Population Inflation Has Had No Impact On The
Summer Holidays
The increase in the cost of living, electricity, gas, gasoline and
food has meant that the piggy bank of Italians for the holidays has suffered
collateral damage. Thanks to the YouGov RealTime tool,
we discovered the effects of inflation on travel intentions. While for 32% of the Italian population inflation has had no impact
on the summer holidays, 7% say they have had to cancel the trip and 31% have
changed their itinerary.
Italians between the ages of 35 and 44 are those who have been most
forced to cancel their holidays (12%), while those between 24 and 34 are
those who have changed their holidays the most (40%).
Has the holiday budget changed compared to last year? 39% of people say their holiday budget has decreased compared to last
year, 32% have remained unchanged, and 5% have increased their holiday
budget.
(YouGov Italy) July 18, 2022 Source: https://it.yougov.com/news/2022/07/18/inflanzione-e-vacanze-2022/ NORTH
AMERICA
752-43-12/Polls Young Adults In U S Are Much More Likely Than 50 Years Ago To Be
Living In A Multigenerational Household
As successive generations of young adults in the United States cope
with rising student
debt and housing
costs, multigenerational living is increasingly providing a respite from
the storm. A quarter of U.S. adults ages 25 to 34 resided in a
multigenerational family household in 2021, up from 9% in 1971.
Multigenerational living – that is, living in a household that
includes two or more adult generations, typically consisting of those ages 25
and older – has increased
among all age groups over the past five decades. But the increase
has been fastest among adults ages 25 to 34. In 1971, similar shares of
adults across age groups lived in a multigenerational household, but by 2021,
young adults were far more likely than older Americans to have this type of
living arrangement. The growth in multigenerational living among 25- to 34-year-olds has
been especially pronounced among those without a college degree.
Multigenerational living has tripled among these young adults, compared with
doubling among young adults with at least a bachelor’s degree. In 1971, the
prevalence of multigenerational living among young adults was similar
regardless of educational attainment. By 2021, 31% of young adults who had
not finished college were in a multigenerational arrangement – almost double
the share of their peers who had completed at least a bachelor’s degree
(16%). A Pew
Research Center survey conducted last October found that financial
issues are a major reason why adults live in multigenerational households.
Young adults who have not completed at least a bachelor’s degree tend
to earn
substantially less than those who have. Thus, financial pressures
might at least partly explain why multigenerational living is more common for
young adults with less education. Living in home of parents is the most
common arrangement Since the Great Recession, much attention has been focused on the
rising share of young adults who live
in the home of one or both of their parents. That is, in fact, the most
common arrangement for young adults in multigenerational households.
In 2021, 68% of 25- to 34-year-olds in a multigenerational home were
living in the home of one or both of their parents. Still, 15% were living in
their own home and had a parent or other older relative living with them.
Another 14% of young adults in multigenerational households were living in a
home headed by a family member other than their parent, such as a grandparent
or sibling, or by an unmarried partner or a roommate (3%). While the increase in multigenerational living among young adults
since 1971 partly reflects the growing tendency of young adults to live in a
parent’s home, these other arrangements are also contributing to the growth
in multigenerational living. The share of young adults who live in a parent’s
home rose from 8% in 1971 to 17% in 2021, while the share in other
multigenerational living arrangements rose from 1% to 8%.
Regardless of whose home they lived in, most 25- to 34-year-olds
living in a multigenerational household (86%) had a parent in the home in
2021. This included 47% who lived with two parents and 39% who lived with
only one parent. A 60% majority of young adults who were living in a parent’s home in
2021 were living with two parents. In contrast, a 56% majority of those who
had a parent or another older relative living in their home had only one parent
living with them; 27% had two parents living in their home. Living arrangements also vary by educational attainment. A majority
of 25- to 34-year-olds who were living in a multigenerational household and
had at least a bachelor’s degree (57%) were living with two parents in 2021,
compared with 48% of those with some college, 40% of those with a high school
diploma and 35% of those who did not complete high school.
Adults ages 25 to 34 who lived in multigenerational arrangements
tended to be economically better off if they live with two parents than if
they live with one or no parent. The median household income of young adults
living with two parents was about $113,000 in 2021, compared with less than
$75,000 for those living with one or no parent in their multigenerational
household, after controlling for the size of the household. Similarly, young
adults in multigenerational households with two parents (3%) were less likely
than those with one parent (10%) or no parent in the household (14%) to be in
poverty. The financial advantages from living in a two-parent household may
partly reflect that the young adults living in this arrangement are more
likely to have completed at least a bachelor’s degree than young adults
living with one or no parent. Still, across most levels of educational
attainment, young adults in multigenerational households with two parents are
less likely than those with one or no parent to be living in poverty. When it comes to financial contributions, the typical 25- to
34-year-old in a multigenerational household contributed 22% of the
household’s total income in 2021. In households headed by the young adult’s
parent, the young adult contributed 20% of the total income. In households
headed by the young adult or the young adult’s spouse, the median share of
total household income contributed by the young adult was 37%. (PEW) JULY
20, 2022 752-43-13/Polls Average Expected Retirement Age Among Nonretirees Is Now 66, Vs 60 In
1995
American workers are retiring at later ages than those in the past
three decades. In 1991, U.S. retirees, on average, reported that they retired
at age 57. Now, the average reported retirement age is up to 61. Nonretirees'
target retirement age has also increased, from 60 in 1995 to 66 today.
These data are based on Gallup's annual Economy and Personal Finance
survey, conducted each April. Gallup has asked about retirement ages in this
survey since 2002, updating trends asked periodically in other Gallup surveys
in 1991, 1992, 1993 and 1995. Later retirement ages are coming at a time when U.S. workers are not
eligible for full Social Security retirement benefits until past age 65. In
1983, Congress increased the age at which people can receive full retirement
benefits. Those born between 1937 and 1959 -- the youngest of whom are age 62
now -- are eligible for full benefits at a prespecified age older than 65 but
younger than 67, depending on the year of their birth. All of those born
after 1960 are not eligible for full benefits until age 67. Retirees are
eligible for reduced benefits starting at age 62. A Gap Between Expected and Actual
Retirement Ages In addition to the
upward trends in both expected and actual retirement ages, Gallup has
consistently found that retirees' reported retirement age has been about five
years younger than nonretirees'
expected retirement age. This could largely reflect the reality that many
current retirees were able to retire at a younger age and get full Social
Security benefits than today's workers will be able to. However, as both the
expected and actual retirement ages have increased in the past two decades,
and more recent retirees are subject to new age requirements for receiving
full benefits, the gap between expected and actual retirement ages has
persisted. This continuing gap could indicate that workers incorrectly predict
they will be able to work longer than they will end up doing, either because
their employer has other plans or because an unexpected health or family
situation may leave them unable to work at an older age. However, the Gallup
data cannot determine whether that is the case. Gallup asks expected
retirement age of a sample of nonretirees, and actual retirement age of a
sample of retirees, so while the findings can show whether averages at the
group level are changing, they cannot speak to whether individual workers
retire at an earlier age than they had planned to. Confounding effects of individuals' age at the time of interview and
their retirement status at that time may contribute to the persistent gap in
actual versus expected retirement age among retirees and nonretirees. Many
currently retired people stopped working at a relatively young age, so the
sample of retirees aged 65 and under will tend to lower the average
retirement age of all retirees interviewed in a given survey. Likewise,
nonretired people in their mid-to-late 60s or 70s will report an older
expected retirement age, pushing up the average expected retirement age of
nonretirees interviewed in a given survey. Gallup can isolate the effects of age on retirement status by looking
at the proportion of all adults who are retired among different age groups,
to see if those percentages are changing over time. For the analysis, the 21 years of data from the Economy and Personal
Finance survey were divided into three roughly equal time periods. This
ensures adequate sample sizes for relatively narrow, five-year age ranges. The data show there has been relatively little change in retirement
status among Americans younger than 55, or 75 and older, between 2002-2007
and 2016-2022. Among Americans nearing or past the traditional retirement age --
those between the ages of 55 and 74 -- significantly fewer people are retired
than was the case for people in the same age group at the start of the 21st century.
In each five-year age group, there has been a decrease of between five and
nine percentage points in the number of retired Americans, with the biggest
drops in the 55-59 age range (from 19% to 11%) and in the 60-64 age range
(from 41% to 32%). There are smaller but still meaningful declines in the number of U.S.
adults aged 65 to 69 (from 76% to 70%) and those aged 70 to 74 (from 88% to
83%) who are retired.
It is unclear to what extent these patterns of later retirement are
related to household income. The survey collects data on current income
status, and retirees generally report much lower incomes than nonretirees
given the lack of regular wages for retirees. Thus, it is not possible to
know whether the shift toward later retirement ages is occurring more among
lower-income or upper-income workers. Bottom Line The average age of
retirement among retirees is now 61, up from 57 in 1991. And if active
workers retire when they plan to, the average retirement age will increase
even further in the coming decades. Changes to Social Security payouts enacted in the 1980s are coming
into play for today's workers of retirement age, and they provide incentives
for people to stay employed longer to maximize their monthly benefits after
they retire. Longer life spans for U.S. adults may also be a factor in later
retirement ages, with workers perhaps seeing a need to save more money,
anticipating a retirement that could last 10, 20 or 30 years, particularly
with the cost of living increasing. Also, a shift away from a manufacturing
economy to one primarily focused on delivering services and information
facilitates working to an older age. (Gallup) JULY 22, 2022 Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/394943/retiring-planning-retire-later.aspx 752-43-14/Polls Nearly Seven In Ten (67%) Of Those Vaccinated Without Boosters Say
They’re Concerned About Long-Term Effects Of Covid Booster Shots
A new Ipsos poll conducted on behalf of Global News shows that
two-thirds of Canadians (66%) say they would personally take a COVID-19
booster shot without hesitation. Although there remains just over half (53%)
who say they are concerned about the potential long-term effects of taking
booster shots and how many shots Canadians will need to take in the future.
Canadians are nonetheless in agreement that booster shots lessen the chance
one will end up in the hospital (75%) or that one will get COVID-19 (66%).These
results are on par with sentiment in January of this year, when the spread of
the omicron variant was at its height, though the portion of those concerned
about the long-term effects of booster shots has declined by three points.
Just under four in ten (38%) maintain that booster shots aren't helping much
in the battle against COVID-19, with 62% of Canadians disagreeing with this sentiment. While six in ten (61%) say they are extremely worried about the
health implications of getting COVID-19, this marks an eight-point decrease
from sentiment in January. Overall, it appears that Canadians are not
changing their opinions significantly on boosters, and in some cases are
feeling more comfortable with the “new normal.” Demographically, there appears to be greater hesitancy about boosters
among women than men: women are significantly less likely to agree that
boosters lessen the chance to get COVID-19 (62% vs. 70% of men) and are
significantly more likely to be concerned about the long-term effects of taking
boosters and how many they may need to take in the future (57% vs. 48% of
men), and to feel that boosters aren’t helping much to fight against COVID-19
(42% vs. 33% of men). In addition, older Canadians are significantly more
likely to be extremely worried about getting COVID-19 (69% 55+ vs. 58% 35-54,
55% 18-34), and to express support for boosters across all of the below
statements.
Most Are Boosted, But Those Who Aren’t
Remain Skeptical When it comes to having taken COVID-19 vaccinations and boosters, a
plurality of Canadians (43%) say they have had three in total, while three in
ten (29%) have had only two, indicating a sizeable portion who have not yet
acquired a booster shot. Following this, 15% say they have had four, while
12% say they have not had any. A small portion (12%) say they have had just
one. In terms of eligibility to receive a booster shot, just over half (55%)
of Canadians indicate it has been six months or longer since their last
vaccine or booster and could therefore benefit from a boost. One in three
(27%) have gotten their shot within the last three months. Unsurprisingly, Canadians who have fewer or no vaccines or boosters
are the most pessimistic about them. For example, belief that booster shots
aren’t helping much in the battle against COVID-19 is strongest among those
with one or fewer shots (60%) and those who are vaccinated, but not boosted
(57%) compared to those who are partially boosted (25%) or fully boosted
(16%). Concern about long-term effects of boosters is also strongest among
those not fully vaccinated (65%) and vaccinated but not boosted (67%)
compared to those partially boosted (45%) or fully boosted (35%). However,
there remains a contingent of those who are vaccinated but not boosted who
agree that boosters lessen the chance of contracting COVID (54%) or ending up
in the hospital (62%). Seven in ten among this group (72%) received their
second shot six months ago or longer ago still. Taken together with the fact
that 46% of this group say they would receive a booster without hesitation,
the data suggests that there is a portion of the population who will take an
extra shot in the future, even if there is some concern over its helpfulness. (Ipsos Canada) 21 July 2022 Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/continued-strong-support-for-boosters-among-canadians 752-43-15/Polls Canadians More Favourable Towards Charest; But Cpc Voters Slightly
Prefer Poilievre
The race to replace Erin O’Toole as Conservative Party leader is down
to five candidates with Jean Charest and Pierre Poilievre clearly in the
lead. One (Charest) leads with Canadians, while the other (Poilievre) leads
with Conservative Party voters. This is according to a new Ipsos poll
conducted for Global News. Not only does Charest lead among Canadians, but his lead has also
been building since April (+8%). This includes a +18% gain among intending
Conservative Party voters. Further results show:
As Canadians Become More Familiar with
Candidates, Charest is Only Candidate Not Viewed More Unfavourably Overall As the campaign progresses and the field narrows, Canadians are
becoming more familiar with the candidates. The proportion who now ‘don’t
know enough’ to have an opinion about the various candidates has declined.
However, greater awareness hasn’t necessarily increased candidate support.
Unfavourable impressions have increased for every candidate except Jean Charest who has held
steady. Scott Aitchison (+4), Roman Baber (+2) and Jean Charest (+6) have all
improved, while impressions of Pierre Poilievre (-2) have declined while
Leslyn Lewis has stayed steady. Canadians’ Perception
of CPC Leadership Candidates
Poilievre Holds Thin Lead in Favourability
among CPC Voters Pierre Poilievre is still viewed favourably by half (49%) of
Conservative voters – dropping only a point – while his unfavourable
impressions have increased by 9 points. Notably, Jean Charest (45%)
registered an 18-point surge in favourability bringing him to only 4-points
behind Poilievre, dropping his unfavourables by 5 points in the process.
Aitchion and Baber both gained 8 points in favourability, while Lewis has
gained one point. Aside from Poilievre (+9 pts) and Lewis (+8 pts), all candidates saw
a drop in their unfavourables (Aitchison 12 pts; Baber 9 pts; Charest 5 pts).
As the race continues to tighten, especially at the top, more Conservative
voters have made up their minds about the candidates still in the race, as
the proportion of those who don’t know enough about them has decreased by 13%
on average. Conservative Voters’ Perception
of Leadership Candidates
(Ipsos Canada) 23 July 2022 AUSTRALIA
752-43-16/Polls New Research Shows 8.97 Million Australians
Used Public Transport During The March Quarter 2022
New research shows 8.97 million
Australians aged 14+ (42.4%) used public transport during the March quarter
2022. This is a rapid increase of over 1.5 million from the December quarter
2021 when there were still lockdowns in the largest States of NSW and
Victoria as the quarter began. Despite the increase in public transport
usage in the March quarter 2022 the level of usage was still down by over 3
million people (a decline of 26.3%) on the level of usage three years ago
pre-pandemic in the March quarter 2019 when 12.2 million people (58.7%) used
public transport. In the March quarter 2022 trains were in
their usual spot as the most popular form of public transport used by over
6.2 million Australians (29.6%) ahead of buses used by 5.7 million (27.1%).
Over 2.6 million people (12.3%) travelled on trams and just over 1 million
(5.1%) travelled on ferries or rivercats. The usage of public transport during the
widespread lockdowns in 2021 did not reach the lows seen during the first
year of the pandemic when a low of only 6.9 million Australians (32.6%)
reported using public transport during the September quarter 2020 during
Melbourne’s long second lockdown. This new data comes from Roy Morgan Single
Source, Australia’s most comprehensive consumer survey, derived from in-depth
interviews with over 60,000 Australians each year. Public transport use in Australia from 2016
– 2022
Trains are the leading form of transport in
Sydney, Melbourne & Perth, but buses are the most highly used in
Brisbane, Adelaide, Hobart & Canberra – patronage up strongly in 2022 Analysing the results for Australia’s
Capital Cities shows trains are the leading form of transport in Sydney (48%
travelled by train in the March quarter 2022), Perth (40.7%) and Melbourne
(40.5%). These figures represent increases from the
lows of last year during the December quarter 2021 when just 35.3% of
Sydneysiders and only 24.7% of Melburnians travelled by train. There was no
comparable low patronage of trains in Perth which largely avoided lockdowns
during the past two years. There was also high patronage of buses in
these cities with 40.3% of Sydney residents, 38.7% of Perth residents and
25.4% of Melburnians travelling by bus in the March quarter 2022. Buses remained the leading form of public
transport in other Australian capitals including Brisbane (32% travelled by
bus in the March quarter 2022), Adelaide (30.5%), Hobart (29.6%) and Canberra
(17.8%). Patronage of Melbourne’s trams also
increased strongly during early 2022 with 29% of Melburnians travelling by
tram in the March quarter 2022 up from last year’s low of 18.7% in the
December quarter 2021 when the city emerged from its sixth lockdown early in
the quarter. However, tram usage is over 10% points down on pre-pandemic
levels during 2019 when over 40% of Melburnians travelled by tram. Travelling by ferry/ rivercat is far more
popular in Sydney (9.3%) and Brisbane (8.2%) than other cities although usage
in the March quarter 2022 was well down on the pre-pandemic usage during 2019
when 16.1% travelled by ferry/ rivercat in Sydney and 12.2% did so in
Brisbane. Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine says for the
second year in a row Australians have returned to public transport in numbers
in the early months of the year as restrictions eased but unlike last year
the latest outbreaks of COVID-19 aren’t prompting renewed lockdowns: “Public transport usage in Australia began
to recover in the first few months of 2022 despite the Omicron variant
spreading rapidly around Australia at the time with over 4 million cases of
COVID-19 recorded in the March quarter 2022. “Nearly 9 million Australians (42.4% of
Australians aged 14+) were using public transport during the March quarter
2022, up from 7.4 million (34.9%) during the December quarter 2021.
Australia’s largest states of NSW and Victoria were still in lockdown during
October 2021 and there were heavy restrictions on travel at the time which
gradually relaxed in the lead-up to the holidays. “Despite the increase the usage of public transport
remains well down on pre-pandemic levels. Three years ago, during the March
quarter 2019, there were 12.2 million people (58.7%) who used public
transport, a level of usage over 3 million higher than the figures for early
2022. “A look at the different capital cities
shows it is Sydneysiders who were the most likely to use public transport in
the early months of 2022. Nearly three-fifths (59.1%) of people living in the
harbour city used public transport in the March quarter 2022 compared to 51.2%
of people in Perth and 51.1% of people in Melbourne. “The most popular form of public transport
was the train used by nearly a third (29.6%) of Australians in the March
quarter 2022 ahead of the buses (27.1%) and trams (12.3%). Trains are the
leading form of transport in Sydney, Melbourne, and Perth but in Brisbane,
Adelaide, Canberra and Hobart it is buses in the number one spot.” (Roy Morgan) July 19 2022 MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES
752-43-17/Polls 30% Of Europeans Are Directly Or Indirectly Affected By A Rare
Disease, A Study In 11 European Countries
First of all, it is clear that the
term "rare disease" remains today a term largely unknown to the
vast majority of Europeans. Admittedly, 1 in 4 believe they
know very precisely what this term means (25%) but the vast majority consider
that they only vaguely know what we are talking about (53%), or even not
knowing what it is (21%). And yet! Today, there are more than 7,000 rare
diseases. 80% of these diseases are of genetic origin. They are often chronic
and involve the vital prognosis of patients. Moreover, the results of the Observatory show that rare diseases are not so much: 1 in
20 people say they have them (5%). In the European Union, rare diseases
affect more than 30 million patients[1] (and more than 3 million
people in France). In addition, nearly
1 in 3 Europeans is directly or indirectly affected (30%) by a rare disease, either
because he suffers from it himself or because he has a relative or
acquaintance who has it. This is particularly the case for a third of French
people (33%). 2Th Observation: Europeans
do not resign themselves and consider unacceptable the situations experienced
by patients suffering from rare diseases Faced with what constitutes the reality of the painful journey of
many parents of children with rare diseases, many Europeans imagine that they would not accept to resolve to
fatalism: if one of their relatives were suffering from a
rare disease, 72% would not accept the impossibility of obtaining a diagnosis
for several years (74% of the French). The errance diagnosis can be very long
for patients with a rare disease: on average, it would even be more than 6
years for about 1 in 5 patients[2]. Beyond the physical and
psychological consequences on patients, erred diagnosis also causes a significant loss of chance in terms of
survival and recovery. More than 2/3 of Europeans would not admit
to discovering that no research is being conducted to develop a treatment for
the rare disease of one of their relatives (67%
of Europeans surveyed and even 73% of French people), considering that it is
possible to act if all the actors concerned mobilize. However, in recent
years, the hopes placed in research on genetic diseases have been
realized. Diseases previously
considered incurable can now be effectively treated with gene therapy. This
is the case of spinal muscular atrophy type 1 for example for which a
treatment has been developed: at the end of a 2-year follow-up, the
percentage of survival is 100% for participants treated with Zolgensma, while
it is 38% for the untreated cohort®[3]. 3ème constat : des attentes en forme
d’exigence et notamment l’accélération des procédures de mise à disposition
de traitements innovants lorsqu’il y a urgence vitale, quitte à prendre plus
de risques pour le patient Un plébiscite très fort pour toutes les
mesures permettant de diminuer l’ errance diagnostic. Ainsi,
les Européens dans leur écrasante majorité considèrent qu’il faut assurer à
chaque patient un diagnostic plus
rapide avec pour objectif de le réduire à 6 mois (90%, dont
65% considèrent que c’est essentiel). Ils considèrent aussi massivement qu’il
faut développer chez les médecins
« la culture du doute » en les incitant à écouter
les symptômes que leur décrivent les parents des enfants malades (87%, 53%
pensent que c’est même essentiel) ou encore qu’il faut inclure systématiquement les malades sans
diagnostic dans un programme global de diagnostic et de recherche (84%). Les Européens se
montrent aussi massivement
favorables à une accélération de l’accès aux traitements innovants, quitte à
prendre des risques pour le patient. La mesure est aussi
plébiscitée : 86% la souhaitent, 51% estiment mêle qu’elle est
essentielle. Le soutien est extrêmement majoritaire au sein de l’ensemble des
pays de l’enquête (jamais inférieur à 80%) mais il est encore plus fort en
Espagne (91%), en France (90%) ou encore en Belgique (89%), en Italie (87%)
et en Grèce (87%). 4ème constat : les Français attendent
désormais des actions concrètes de la part des entreprises pour financer la
mise au point de traitements innovants pour guérir les maladies rares Les Français plébiscitent l’aide des
entreprises privées : un effet de la crise
de leur système de santé ? Près de 9 interviewés sur 10 estiment qu’il
est indispensable que les entreprises participent au financement de la mise
au point de traitements innovants permettant de guérir les maladies rares
(90%). Il est probable que la situation de leur système de santé les
encourage à souhaiter la mobilisation de l’ensemble des acteurs susceptibles
d’améliorer la prise en charge des patients et plus spécifiquement de ceux
atteints d’une maladie rare. Là encore, l’urgence de la situation a
probablement contribué à changer les mentalités. L’investissement dans
la mise au point de traitements innovants, un pari gagnant pour les
entreprises. Traditionnellement les Français ont une image mitigée des engagements sociétaux des entreprises,
beaucoup émettent des doutes sur la réalité de leurs actions citoyennes
(environnementales ou sociales). En ce qui concerne le financement de la
recherche pour la mise au point de traitements innovants, les suspicions sont
très minoritaires. Les Français
estiment massivement qu’une entreprise qui s’engagerait dans ce type
d’actions aurait une attitude citoyenne (92%), montrerait
l’exemple (92%), serait proche de leurs valeurs (89%), donnerait envie de la
connaître (84%) et donnerait envie d’y travailler (82%). A propos d'ASAP for Children ASAP for Children est
une association d’intérêt général qui soutient
la recherche médicale sur les mutations du gène ASAH1,
responsables notamment de la SMA-PME, une
maladie génétique rare et neurodégénérative. Sans traitement
pour les guérir, les enfants qui en
sont touchés dépassent rarement la fin de l'adolescence. Elle
est née le 29 janvier 2019, après l’annonce d’une SMA-PME, diagnostiquée chez Calixte,
une petite fille âgée à l’époque de 11 ans. A l’époque de son
diagnostic, Calixte était la seule enfant diagnostiquée en France. Ses
parents ont décidé de refuser la fatalité et de faire de leur vie un combat positif pour sauver leur fille et un
maximum d’autres enfants en créant l’association ASAP for Children. Pour cela, ASAP for Children s’est donnée 3 missions principales
:
Thanks to scientific innovation, generosity
and collective intelligence, ASAP for Children
is convinced that together we can all
save lives by allowing these children access to effective
treatment in the very near future but also that the development of this
innovative treatment can also benefit
other neurodegenerative diseases. (Alzheimer's, Parkinson's,
Charcot...) who have in common the immense challenge of crossing the blood-meningeal
barrier by drugs. (Ipsos France) July 18, 2022 752-43-18/Polls Most People Have Confidence In Kamala Harris Across 18 Surveyed
Countries
U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris draws mostly positive reviews
across 18 countries surveyed by Pew Research Center this spring. How we did this
A median of 55% of adults in these countries have confidence in
Harris to do the right thing regarding world affairs, including half or more
who hold that view in 14 countries. Confidence in Harris is particularly high
in Sweden, where 77% of adults view her positively. Trust in Harris is lowest in Hungary, where only 23% say they have
confidence in the vice president to do the right thing regarding world
affairs. Hungary is also the country where the greatest share did not answer
the question (36%). Confidence in Harris is roughly comparable
to international confidence in U.S. President Joe Biden, as well as
French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz. A median
of about six-in-ten have confidence in each of those three leaders to do the
right thing regarding world affairs – slightly more than the median of 55%
who have confidence in the U.S. vice president. Harris’s ratings far outpace
those of Chinese President Xi Jinping, who is seen positively by a median of
18% of adults, and Russian President Vladimir Putin, who is seen positively
by a median of just 9% across the surveyed countries. Harris has taken on a variety of internationally focused
responsibilities during her time as vice president. Those responsibilities
have included a high-profile
trip to Europe at the beginning of the war in Ukraine and coordination
of relations with Central American leaders to stem the flow of
migrants coming to the southern border of the United States.
Confidence in Harris is tied to gender in some countries, with women
significantly more likely than men to express confidence in her handling of
world affairs. For example, 68% of Canadian women have a positive view of
Harris, while only about half of Canadian men (51%) say the same. Significant
differences between men and women also appear in Singapore, Australia, Italy,
Malaysia, Sweden and the Netherlands. In some countries, older people are more likely to have confidence in
Harris than younger people. This age gap is largest in Belgium, where 73% of
those ages 50 and older have confidence in Harris, compared with just 51% of
18- to 29-year-olds. Older people are also more likely to have confidence in
the U.S. vice president in Canada, France, Germany and Greece. In Singapore,
Poland and Malaysia, the opposite is true: Younger people report more
confidence in Harris than older people. Older adults in Malaysia are also
less likely to provide a response to the question.
Ideology is also related to views of Harris in some places. In six
countries, those who place themselves on the ideological left are
significantly more likely than those on the right to have confidence in
Harris. Greece is the only country where the reverse is true: 54% of Greeks
on the ideological right are confident in Harris, compared with just 32% of
those on the left. In addition to gender, age and ideological differences in some
places, views of Harris are closely related to views of the U.S. president. For example, people in Sweden, the Netherlands and Poland report some
of the most positive views of Harris, with around seven-in-ten or more saying
they’re confident in her to do the right thing regarding world affairs.
People in these countries also report some of the highest levels of
confidence in Biden. On the opposite end of the spectrum, people in Hungary
are the least likely to express confidence in both Harris and Biden.
(PEW) JULY 18, 2022 752-43-19/Polls Under Pope Francis, The College Of Cardinals Has Become Less European,
Survey Around The Globe
Unless his reign is short, a Roman Catholic pontiff typically
appoints a majority of the men who vote for his successor. But Pope Francis’
additions to the College of Cardinals since his election in 2013 also have
served another purpose – tilting the leadership structure of the Roman
Catholic Church away from its historic European base and toward developing
nations in Africa, Asia and Latin America. The pope recently
announced that he will appoint 16 new voting cardinals (in addition
to five other cardinals who are 80 or older and therefore ineligible to
vote). After this latest group is officially installed at an Aug. 27 ceremony
in Vatican City, the College of Cardinals will have 132 voting members, 40%
of whom are European, down from 52% in 2013.
Francis’ appointments (including the recently announced future
cardinals) have increased the overall representation of the Asia-Pacific
region within the body of voting cardinals from 9% in 2013 to 17% in 2022,
while increasing the representation of sub-Saharan Africa from 9% to 12%.
These figures include cardinals who were named by Pope Emeritus Benedict XVI
and St. John Paul II. Francis, an Argentinian who is the first pope from outside Europe
since the eighth century, still has picked more cardinals from Europe than
from any other region. Of the 83 newly appointed or currently eligible voting
cardinals Francis has named so far during his papacy, 34% are from Europe,
22% from the Asia-Pacific region, 20% from Latin America and the Caribbean,
13% from sub-Saharan Africa, 8% from North America and 2% from the Middle
East-North Africa region. Altogether, these cardinals appointed by Francis
will make up a majority (63%) of the 132 voting members of the College of
Cardinals after the Aug. 27 installation ceremony. Among the 16 future cardinal electors Francis has chosen this year,
four will represent Europe (Italy, Spain, France and the United Kingdom). Six
will represent the Asia-Pacific region (two from India and one each from East
Timor, Mongolia, Singapore and South Korea). Three other future cardinal
electors are from Latin America and the Caribbean (two from Brazil and one
from Paraguay). Two are from sub-Saharan Africa (Ghana and Nigeria) and one
is from North America (U.S.-born Robert McElroy, archbishop of San Diego).
Given that, as of 2010, only
about a quarter (24%) of the global Catholic population lives in Europe, the
continent remains heavily overrepresented among voting cardinals. By this
measure, the most underrepresented region within the church’s leadership –
even with Francis’ new picks – is Latin America and the Caribbean, which is
home to 39% of the worldwide Catholic population (again, as of 2010) but has
only 18% of the cardinals. (PEW) 752-43-20/Polls Global Population Projected To Exceed 8 Billion In 2022; Half Live In
Just Seven Countries
The world’s population will cross 8 billion in November, according
to recently
released projections from the United Nations. And more than half of
all people live in just seven countries. China has the world’s largest population (1.426 billion), but India
(1.417 billion) is expected to claim this title next year. The next five most
populous nations – the United States, Indonesia, Pakistan, Nigeria and Brazil
– together have fewer people than India or China. In fact, China’s population
is greater than the entire population of Europe (744 million) or the Americas
(1.04 billion) and roughly equivalent to that of all nations in Africa (1.427
billion).
As recently as 2015, half the world’s population was concentrated in
just six countries – the same as above, with the exception of Nigeria, which
was then the seventh most populous country and has since passed Brazil to
move into sixth place. Recent population growth, however, has been faster in
the rest of the world than in these nations, meaning that the top six now
hold slightly less than half (49%) of the world’s people. Including Brazil’s
215 million people puts the world’s seven most populous countries at 51.7% of
the global population. In the UN’s “medium” scenario for future population growth – its
middle-of-the-road estimate – the global population is expected to reach 9.7
billion in 2050 and 10.4 billion in 2100. Growth is expected to be
concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa, where an estimated 29% of all the world’s
births happened last year. The 2021 total fertility rate in sub-Saharan
Africa, 4.6 births per woman, is double the global average of 2.3 births per
woman and triple the average in Europe and Northern America (1.5) and in
Eastern and South-Eastern Asia (also 1.5). (PEW) JULY 21, 2022 752-43-21/Polls Almost Three-In-Ten Citizens Globally Say They Have Started A
Business At Some Point, A 26 Country Poll
Overall, almost
three-in-ten global citizens (31%) say that they have started a business at
some point, while close to an equal number (29%) hope to do so in the
near future.
But entrepreneurial activity and aspirations vary widely by country.
For example:
Government support seen as key When asked how much inflation, interest
rates and government supports contribute to the success of new business
endeavors, government supports ranks first (56%),
interest rates second (50%) and inflation third (40%). But only close to
one-third (30%), on average across 28 countries, say that government is doing
a good job fostering entrepreneurialism in their countries.
The private sector and banks do not fair
any better. Only a minority say that the
private sector (31%) and banks (31%) are doing a good job fostering
entrepreneurialism in their countries. Non-traditional groups becoming active While entrepreneurialism may have been the
domain of men and higher socio-economic groups in the past, this is no longer
the case.
Funding holding people back When asked what the key
barriers are to starting a business, funding ranks as the top
barrier (41%). Lack of interest (19%) and the condition of the economy (19%)
rank well back tied in second place, while lack of knowledge (17%) is close
behind.
Social entrepreneurialism competing with
business entrepreneurialism Entrepreneurialism is being manifested mostly in its traditional way
– business creation (business
entrepreneurialism). However, it is also being
manifested, sometimes in conjunction with business creation
but sometimes not, in social
entrepreneurialism (captured as those who’ve created an
interest group). More than one in 10 (14%) of global citizens say that they
have started an interest group in the past and 19% say that they are likely
to in the next 2 years. As well, social
entrepreneurialism tends to be a more recent phenomenon than business
entrepreneurialism, with a greater proportion of those creating an
interest group doing so in the past 2 years (76% vs. 52% who started their
business in the past 2 years). This reflects the reality of who current and likely entrepreneurs are
as people — they are much more likely than non-entrepreneurs to be
participating/active in society generally (i.e., follow news, donate
time/money, etc.). Women not treated fairly Just under 2 in 5 global citizens
(37%) believe that women are treated fairly when they try to start a
business. This varies wildely by country with a
majority in Saudi Arabia (72%), China (67%), India (60%) and Malaysia (55%)
believing women are treated fairly. This belief is lowest in Italy (26%),
France (26%), Brazil (25%), South Korea (24%) and Japan (14%).
The bottom line Our Ipsos entrepreneurialism study shows that there is significant untapped potential for
entrepreneurial activity moving further into 2022 and beyond. And key to tapping this potential is recognizing that traditionally
underrepresented groups, like women, those with lower education and those
with lower incomes, are catching up with traditional groups, such as men?, in
their entrepreneurial aspirations. Also key in tapping into entrepreneurialism is recognizing that
business entrepreneurialism often goes hand in hand with social entrepreneurialism. (Ipsos MORI) 22 July 2022 752-43-22/Polls Support For Nato Membership Has Become Firmer In Britain, Spain And
Poland Since March, A Survey In 7 West European Nations
YouGov polling in the immediate weeks after the Russian invasion of
Ukraine showed a
notable increase in support for NATO membership in Western Europe. Now a new survey shows that in some nations support has strengthened
further, while in others it has remained largely static. In Spain and Britain, as well as Poland, while overall support has
remained the same as it was in March, the nature of that support has become
much firmer, with people now more likely to say that they “strongly” support
NATO membership. For instance, in Britain “strong support” for NATO membership has
risen from 35% in early March to 48% by late June, even while overall support
for membership has hovered between 68-71%. Likewise, in Spain “strong” support has risen from 28% to 42%, during
which time overall support has stood at 63-64%. In Poland, 59% of people “strongly” support NATO membership, up from
51% in early March. Overall support has stood at 76-77% across the two
surveys. In the other countries surveyed – Germany, France, Italy and the USA
– there has been little to no change since the most recent survey in March.
Nevertheless, in all countries surveyed, support for membership remains
higher than it was prior to the invasion. Strong support among Europeans and
Americans for Swedish and Finnish membership of NATO In late June, NATO
formally invited Sweden and Finland to join the alliance. There is
majority support in each country surveyed for the two members to join. Poles
are the most enthusiastic to welcome the two Nordic countries, with 77%
supporting Swedish membership and 73% for Finnish.
NATO also recognises Ukraine, Georgia, and Bosnia and Herzegovina as
“aspiring members”. There is high support for Ukraine joining the alliance. A majority of
Poles, Britons, Spaniards and Americans support entry for the embattled
nation gaining admission, with pluralities of Germans, Italians and French
people saying the same. Germans are the most notably opposed to Ukrainian
membership, at 37%. Responses from elsewhere in the survey indicate that only a minority
of people in each country want to take actions that could or would spark a
war with Russia, so it is unlikely that these large numbers in support of
Ukrainian NATO membership indicate a desire for immediate membership followed
by NATO entering the war in Ukraine’s defence. Ukraine is, in any case, not currently eligible for NATO membership,
as it is a requirement that they aspiring
members not be involved in any territorial disputes, of which Ukraine
clearly has a very big one with Russia… Support is notably lower for allowing Georgia and Bosnia and
Herzegovina to join NATO, with the Germans and French either divided or
marginally opposed. There is nominally high net support for their membership among Americans,
Britons, Italians, Poles and Spaniards, with support much higher than
opposition, although the results are characterised by extremely high rates of
“don’t know” responses, reaching as high as 46-47% in the UK. (YouGov UK) July 22, 2022 |
