BUSINESS & POLITICS IN THE WORLD

 

GLOBAL OPINION REPORT NO. 746

 

 

Week: June 06 – June 12, 2022

 

Presentation: June 17, 2022

 

 

Contents

 

746-43-20/Commentary: Choose To Reform Your Own Country Or Reform The World: Americans Are Split Half Way (51%:48%) College Graduates More Inclined Towards Reforming The World (65%) 2

ASIA   11

BOJ Counts On Spending Of 50 Trillion Yen In Forced Savings. 11

S’pore Adults Aged 25-34 Most Likely To Seek A Pay Raise In The Next Year 13

AFRICA.. 14

Covid-19 Doesn’t Exist’ Tops List Of Reasons Among Vaccine-Hesitant Nigerians, Afrobarometer Survey Shows  14

WEST EUROPE.. 17

Conservative Members Want MPs To Vote To Keep Boris Johnson By 53% To 42%... 18

Six In 10 Britons (57%) Say They Criticise Themselves More Than Other People Criticise Them... 20

A Third Of Britons Worry About Paying Their Rent Or Mortgage Now While 4 In 10 Worry About Whether They’ll Be Able To In 12 Months’ Time. 25

Half Of Britons Say Conservatives Made The Wrong Decision By Voting To Keep Boris Johnson As Prime Minister 26

87% Of Parents Feel Their Children Are Happy To Go To Daycare. 29

NORTH AMERICA.. 31

Seven-In-Ten U S Adults Describe Cyberattacks From Other Countries (71%) And The Spread Of Misinformation Online (70%) As Major Threats. 31

Clear Majorities Of Black Americans Favor Marijuana Legalization, Easing Of Criminal Penalties. 34

Choose To Reform Your Own Country Or Reform The World: Americans Are Split Half Way (51%:48%) College Graduates More Inclined Towards Reforming The World (65%) 38

Thirty Percent Of Canadians Report Being Registered On An Online Gambling Website. 41

84% Of Brazilians Said They Are Familiar With Virtual Reality. 43

AUSTRALIA.. 43

Roy Morgan Business Confidence Fell 12.8pts To 100.2 In May As Australians Faced A Pivotal Federal Election. 43

Australian Unemployment Drops To 8.1% In May, As Federal Election Causes A Surge In Part-Time Employment 48

Potential National/Act NZ Coalition (50%) Strengthens Its Clear Lead Over Labour/Greens (43%) In May. 54

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES. 63

Will People Reduce The Amount Of Meat They Eat For The Planet; For Many Among 31 Countries, The Answer Is No  63

More Than Three-Quarters (76%) Of The Global Population Compared To 66% Of Pakistanis Consider That Technology Is Very Important In Their Lives, A Study In 39 Countries. 65

Europeans Less Sure Than They Were That It Was Right To Admit Hungary To The EU, Study In 6 European Countries  67

 


 

INTRODUCTORY NOTE

 

This weekly report consists of nineteen surveys. The report includes three multi-country studies from different states across the globe.

 

746-43-20/Commentary: Choose To Reform Your Own Country Or Reform The World: Americans Are Split Half Way (51%:48%) College Graduates More Inclined Towards Reforming The World (65%)

Americans are divided over the role the United States should play internationally, according to the results of two new Pew Research Center surveys. Around half of U.S. adults (51%) say the U.S. should pay less attention to problems overseas and concentrate on problems at home, while nearly as many (48%) say it’s best for the future of the country to be active in world affairs.

Views on this question have changed little over the past three years, despite the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the COVID-19 pandemic and the shifting list of global issues that Americans perceive as major threats to their country.

There are significant differences by age in Americans’ attitudes about whether the U.S. should focus more on domestic problems or be more internationally active. Majorities of adults under age 50 say the U.S. should concentrate on domestic problems, while those ages 50 to 64 are nearly evenly divided and around six-in-ten of those 65 and older (58%) say it’s better for the U.S. to be active in world affairs.

Americans with more education are more likely than those with less education to think the U.S. should be active overseas. Around two-thirds of those with a postgraduate degree (65%) say this, compared with just 42% of those with a high school diploma or less education.

Opinions also vary markedly by party. Democrats and independents who lean toward the Democratic Party are nearly twice as likely as Republicans and independents who lean toward the Republican Party (60% vs. 34%) to say it’s best for the future of the U.S. to be active in world affairs. Liberal Democrats are particularly likely to hold this view, relative to more moderate and conservative Democrats (67% vs. 55%).

A bar chart showing wide partisan divides on whether problems facing the U.S. can be solved through international cooperation

Americans are similarly divided on a separate question about international engagement. Slightly more than half (53%) say many of the problems facing the U.S. can be solved by working with other countries, while 45% say only a few of the problems can be addressed this way. Views on this question, too, are nearly unchanged over recent years, despite tumultuous global events.

Americans with at least a bachelor’s degree are more likely than those with less than a college degree (60% vs. 50%) to say many issues can be solved through international cooperation.

Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents are much more likely than Republicans and GOP leaners (67% vs. 39%) to say many problems can be solved through international cooperation. Liberal Democrats are especially likely to hold this view, compared with conservative and moderate Democrats (72% vs. 62%). Among Republicans, those who describe themselves as moderate and liberal are more likely than conservatives (52% vs. 33%) to say that many of the problems facing the U.S. can be solved by working with other countries.

A bar chart showing that Americans are more likely to say common values, not common problems, bring nations together on global stage

Americans are less divided on a different survey question about international cooperation. When asked what is more important for bringing nations together on the international stage – common problems or common values – nearly six-in-ten Americans (58%) point to common values.

Older Americans are particularly likely to say that common values unite countries on the international stage. Seven-in-ten of those ages 65 and older say this, compared with fewer than half (47%) of those under 30.

While more than half in each party say common values brings countries together, Republicans are more likely than Democrats (65% vs. 53%) to hold this view. Conservative Republicans are more likely than moderate and liberal Republicans to say common values bring cooperation (68% vs. 59%). Liberal Democrats, by comparison, are more likely than more moderate and conservative Democrats to say common problems – as opposed to common values – lead to nations working together.

Americans who believe that many problems can be solved through international collaboration are somewhat more likely than others to say that common problems – as opposed to common values – bring countries together on the international stage.

(PEW)

JUNE 10, 2022

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/06/10/americans-are-divided-over-u-s-role-globally-and-whether-international-engagement-can-solve-problems/

 

746-43-20/Country Profile:

USA2

USA3

 

SUMMARY OF POLLS

ASIA

(Japan)

BOJ Counts On Spending Of 50 Trillion Yen In Forced Savings

Hopes that households will pour tens of trillions of yen into the economy when the pandemic ends were likely behind the central bank chief’s remark that Japanese have become “more tolerant” of rising prices. Such savings have risen 2.5-fold since the end of 2020 to 50 trillion yen ($376 billion yen) as of the end of 2021, according to the central bank’s estimates. According to the BOJ, nearly half of all forced savings were held by households with annual incomes of 8 million yen or more.

(Asahi Shimbun)

June 9, 2022

 

(Singapore)

S’pore Adults Aged 25-34 Most Likely To Seek A Pay Raise In The Next Year

Amid rising costs of living and a manpower crunch in Singapore, data from a recent YouGov study indicates that almost half of employees here intend to request higher wages in the next year (47%). This rises sharply among young adults aged 25-34, with six in ten looking for a pay increment (61%). Older generations aged 45-54 and 55+ were significantly more likely to express opposite sentiment, with closer to seven in ten saying they would not request a pay review (65% for those 45-54; 64% for those 55+).   

(YouGov Singapore)
June 8, 2022

 

AFRICA

(Nigeria)

Covid-19 Doesn’t Exist’ Tops List Of Reasons Among Vaccine-Hesitant Nigerians, Afrobarometer Survey Shows

About one-third of Nigerian adults say they are unlikely to try to get vaccinated against COVID-19, including many who say they don’t believe the virus exists or is a serious threat, a new Afrobarometer study shows. Fewer than four in 10 citizens report having received a vaccination against the virus. As the government tries to respond to the economic and social impact of the pandemic, three in 10 citizens say someone in their household lost a job, a business, or a primary source of income due to the pandemic, but far fewer report receiving government assistance to weather the fallout.

(NOI Polls)

June 7, 2022

 

WEST EUROPE

(UK)

Conservative Members Want MPs To Vote To Keep Boris Johnson By 53% To 42%

Boris Johnson faces a vote of confidence among Conservative MPs, triggered by at least 54 MPs having sent letters expressing no confidence in the prime minister to Sir Graham Brady, the chairman of the party’s 1922 committee. Should the Johnson be ousted as party leader by tonight’s vote, there will be a new leadership contest, which will ultimately be decided by a vote of Conservative party members. Boris Johnson’s lead among party members is not huge though, with 53% saying MPs should vote to back him compared to 42% saying they should vote to remove him.

(YouGov UK)

June 06, 2022

 

Six In 10 Britons (57%) Say They Criticise Themselves More Than Other People Criticise Them

Impostor syndrome is the name given to a psychological pattern of thinking, characterised by persistent feelings of inadequacy, self-doubt and fears of being exposed as a fraud. Two-thirds of Britons (66%) say they have difficulty accepting compliments and praise from other people, including 16% who find it ‘very difficult’. Women are significantly more likely than men to say they find this hard – 72% of women say they have trouble accepting compliments, compared to 59% of men.

(YouGov UK)

June 07, 2022

 

A Third Of Britons Worry About Paying Their Rent Or Mortgage Now While 4 In 10 Worry About Whether They’ll Be Able To In 12 Months’ Time

New research by Ipsos in the UK shows a significant proportion of Britons are worried about their ability to pay their rent or mortgage at the moment while more than half are concerned about whether they’ll be able to pay in a year. Just over a third (36%) of Britons say they are very or fairly concerned about their ability to pay the rent or their mortgage repayments at the moment compared to 60% who are not. 1 in 10 Britons say they would struggle to pay an increase in their rent or mortgage repayments with the same proportion already regularly missing credit payments. The same survey shows almost half of Britons are potentially vulnerable (47%).

(Ipsos MORI)

7 June 2022

 

Half Of Britons Say Conservatives Made The Wrong Decision By Voting To Keep Boris Johnson As Prime Minister

New research from Ipsos done after Boris Johnson survived a confidence vote on Monday 6th June, shows half of Britons (51%) believe Conservative MPs made the wrong decision by voting to keep him in office. Just over a third believe they made the right decision (36%), increasing to 62% of 2019 Conservative supporters. 49% say Boris Johnson has done a bad job as Prime Minister, down from 54% in February and 51% in April. Just under a third (31%) say he has done a good job (the same as April, with 29% saying the same in February). 

(Ipsos MORI)

10 June 2022

 

(France)

87% Of Parents Feel Their Children Are Happy To Go To Daycare

For more than 2 years, where with Covid-19, a large part of parents' expectations have focused on safety and hygiene measures, at any moment, their perception could change and mark a break with the good results observed. previously. The level of excellence (scores of 10) is maintained on the majority of the criteria assessed. Parental confidence remains at a high level: average score of 8.82/10 or -0.13 pts. Emotional and physical security improves: average score of 8.65/10 or +0.05pts.

(Ipsos France)

June 8, 2022

 

NORTH AMERICA

(USA)

Seven-In-Ten U S Adults Describe Cyberattacks From Other Countries (71%) And The Spread Of Misinformation Online (70%) As Major Threats

As has often been the case, Americans see myriad international threats affecting the well-being of the United States. Around seven-in-ten U.S. adults describe cyberattacks from other countries (71%) and the spread of misinformation online (70%) as major threats. And more than six-in-ten say the same about China’s power and influence (67%), Russia’s power and influence (64%) and the condition of the global economy (63%), according to a new Pew Research Center survey.

(PEW)

JUNE 6, 2022

 

Clear Majorities Of Black Americans Favor Marijuana Legalization, Easing Of Criminal Penalties

A growing number of states have legalized marijuana for medical or recreational use, and at the federal level, Congress is considering decriminalizing the drug and expunging past convictions for marijuana-related offenses. Wide majorities of Black adults support legalizing marijuana at least for medical use (85%) and favor reforms to the criminal justice system such as releasing people from prison who are being held only for marijuana-related charges and expunging marijuana-related offenses from the criminal records of individuals convicted of such offenses (74% each).

(PEW)

JUNE 8, 2022

 

Choose To Reform Your Own Country Or Reform The World: Americans Are Split Half Way (51%:48%) College Graduates More Inclined Towards Reforming The World (65%)

Americans are divided over the role the United States should play internationally, according to the results of two new Pew Research Center surveys. Around half of U.S. adults (51%) say the U.S. should pay less attention to problems overseas and concentrate on problems at home, while nearly as many (48%) say it’s best for the future of the country to be active in world affairs. Around two-thirds of those with a postgraduate degree (65%) say this, compared with just 42% of those with a high school diploma or less education.

(PEW)

JUNE 10, 2022

 

(Canada)

Thirty Percent Of Canadians Report Being Registered On An Online Gambling Website

Nearly two months after the Ontario government launched a regulated online gambling market in their province, Ontarians and Canadians alike are making more online bets than ever, and the market is inundated with advertising and promotional messages encouraging players to sign up to a growing number of platforms. One-third (33%) of Ontario adults surveyed report being registered on at least one website that offers online betting, putting them slightly above the Canadian national average of 30%.

(Ipsos Canada)

8 June 2022

 

(Brazil)

84% Of Brazilians Said They Are Familiar With Virtual Reality

A new survey by Ipsos measured the perception of citizens in Brazil and 28 other countries on topics such as Metaverse and extended reality (which includes augmented reality and virtual reality). According to the study, Brazilians see the advances with good eyes. For 60%, the possibility of getting involved with virtual reality in everyday life is a positive thing. Considering the responses from all countries, the global average on this topic was 50%. China and India are the ones with the highest rates (78% and 75%).

(Ipsos Brazil)

8 June 2022

 

AUSTRALIA

Roy Morgan Business Confidence Fell 12.8pts To 100.2 In May As Australians Faced A Pivotal Federal Election

The plunge in Business Confidence came after the RBA’s decision to raise interest rates in early May by 0.25% points to 0.35% for the first time in over a decade. The RBA’s decision to increase interest rates followed the higher-than-expected ABS CPI result for the March quarter 2022 which showed an annual rate of inflation of 5.1% - the highest for over 20 years. There were falls across the index, although businesses remain broadly positive about their own prospects with a clear plurality of 41.3% expecting the business to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year compared to only 20.1% that expect to be ‘worse off’ financially.

(Roy Morgan)

June 06 2022

 

Australian Unemployment Drops To 8.1% In May, As Federal Election Causes A Surge In Part-Time Employment

The latest Roy Morgan employment series data shows unemployment dropping by 1.6% points to 8.1% in May as many Australians took up part-time employment in relation to the recent Federal Election. Under-employment in May increased slightly by 0.2% points to 8.6%. Unemployment in May fell 242,000 to 1.17 million Australians (8.1% of the workforce) while under-employment was up 9,000 to 1.24 million (8.6% of the workforce). Overall unemployment and under-employment fell 233,000 to 2.41 million (16.7% of the workforce).

(Roy Morgan)

June 10 2022

 

(New Zealand)

Potential National/Act NZ Coalition (50%) Strengthens Its Clear Lead Over Labour/Greens (43%) In May

Today’s Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll shows support for a potential National/Act NZ coalition increasing by 2.5% points to 50% in May and stretching its lead over the Labour/Greens on 43%, down 1% point. This is a lead of 7% points for National/Act NZ, the largest since the Jacinda Ardern-led Government came to office over four years ago in October 2017. Support for National increased by 2.5% points in May to 40% while support for fellow right-leaning party Act NZ was unchanged at 10%. Support for the Maori Party was down 0.5% points to 1%.

(Roy Morgan)

June 07 2022

 

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

Will People Reduce The Amount Of Meat They Eat For The Planet; For Many Among 31 Countries, The Answer Is No

Spring equates to the start of barbecue season. Just over two in three (68%) adults, on average, in 31 countries said they are concerned about the impacts of climate change in their country in an online survey of nearly 24,000 adults conducted by Ipsos Global Advisor between 18 February and March 4. However, only 44%, on average, said they were likely to eat less meat, or replace meat in some foods with alternatives such as beans, in a bid to limit their own contribution to climate change by 2022.

(Ipsos Spain)

June 6, 2022

 

More Than Three-Quarters (76%) Of The Global Population Compared To 66% Of Pakistanis Consider That Technology Is Very Important In Their Lives, A Study In 39 Countries

According to a Gallup Pakistan Survey in Pakistan (and similar surveys done by Worldwide Independent Network of Market Research (WIN) across the world), more than three-quarters (76%) of the global population compared to 66% of Pakistanis consider that technology is very important in their lives. “How Important is technology in your life?” In response to this question in Pakistan, 41% said extremely important, 25% said very important, 20% said slightly important, 11% said not important at all and 3% didn’t know or gave no response.

(Gallup Pakistan)

June 7, 2022

 

Europeans Less Sure Than They Were That It Was Right To Admit Hungary To The EU, Study In 6 European Countries

Since the turn of the millennium, 13 nations have been admitted to the EU. Back in early 2019, YouGov asked Europeans whether they felt it was right or wrong to admit those new nations, with the response being generally positive except in the case of Bulgaria and particularly Romania. In fact, in all cases bar one people are more likely to think it was right than wrong to admit the post-2004 member states. The exception is France, where people are slightly more likely to say it was wrong to admit Romania (34%) than right (30%), with a net score of -4.

(YouGov UK)

June 09, 2022

 

ASIA

746-43-01/Polls

BOJ Counts On Spending Of 50 Trillion Yen In Forced Savings

Hopes that households will pour tens of trillions of yen into the economy when the pandemic ends were likely behind the central bank chief’s remark that Japanese have become “more tolerant” of rising prices.

Although Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda retracted the comment, such BOJ hopes for the spending of “forced savings” remain solid.

Forced savings consist of income that households could not spend because of restrictions on activities and movements imposed after the novel coronavirus pandemic hit in early 2020, according to the BOJ.

Such savings have risen 2.5-fold since the end of 2020 to 50 trillion yen ($376 billion yen) as of the end of 2021, according to the central bank’s estimates.

The BOJ believes that forced savings could offset declines in households’ real income caused by rising commodity prices.

The central bank said in its April 2021 report on the outlook for economic activity and prices that Japan’s dismal consumer spending could rebound as soon as the pandemic is under control and households start tapping into their forced savings.

In a speech on June 6 that got him into trouble, Kuroda effectively said consumers in general are becoming more tolerant of higher prices, citing surveys on households.

But he also suggested in the speech that tolerance is growing partly because forced savings are piling up.

Kuroda also referred to forced savings of Japanese households when he gave a lecture at Columbia University in New York in April.

He said the current surge in commodity prices and the increases around 2008, when energy prices jumped and Lehman Brothers collapsed, are different because of the existence of pandemic-related forced savings.

“Forced savings that accumulated under prolonged social restrictions are expected to mitigate the negative impact of the decline in households’ real income caused by the rise in energy prices,” Kuroda said in the lecture.

A senior official with the central bank expressed hopes that forced savings will turn around the economy.

“If they are spent, that would reinvigorate the economy and likely lead to wage increases,” the official said.

According to the BOJ, nearly half of all forced savings were held by households with annual incomes of 8 million yen or more.

But the median household income in Japan is less than 4.5 million yen, according to labor ministry data. And households with annual incomes under 4 million yen represent about 10 percent of Japan’s forced savings.

That means that about 90 percent of Japan’s forced savings were held by households above the median line.

The BOJ specified that point in its published report, but Kuroda did not refer to it when he gave the speech on June 6.

Low-income families are being hit hardest by the risng consumer prices because food and other daily necessities make up a larger portion of their spending.

Shinichi Ichikawa, a senior fellow at Pictet Asset Management (Japan) Ltd., doubts that a wave of forced savings will be released after the pandemic ends.

He said that consumers similarly saved 4 trillion yen after the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake and tsunami disaster. But there is no data showing that these savings were later spent.

“A majority of families are less likely to touch their savings because of uncertainties in the future,” he said. “The prospects for economic growth and wage hikes are not bright.

“And the accumulation of forced savings does not necessarily mean that consumers are becoming more accepting of rising consumer prices.”

20220609-save-G-L

(Asahi Shimbun)

June 9, 2022

Source: https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/14641346

 

746-43-02/Polls

S’pore Adults Aged 25-34 Most Likely To Seek A Pay Raise In The Next Year

Amid rising costs of living and a manpower crunch in Singapore, data from a recent YouGov study indicates that almost half of employees here intend to request higher wages in the next year (47%). This rises sharply among young adults aged 25-34, with six in ten looking for a pay increment (61%).

Older generations aged 45-54 and 55+ were significantly more likely to express opposite sentiment, with closer to seven in ten saying they would not request a pay review (65% for those 45-54; 64% for those 55+).   

The February 2022 study, conducted among over 19,000 respondents in 18 territories, also found that the proportion of Singapore residents who are looking to ask for an increment (47%) is consistent with the global average (47%). The United Arab Emirates (65%), India (56%) and Indonesia (53%) accounted for the top three countries where residents were most likely to request a pay raise, while employees in France (18%), Germany (16%) and Spain (14%) were least likely to.

Among those who intend to ask for a raise, a third are looking to request for increments between 2.1% to 5% – hovering near the forecasted core inflation rate of 2.5% to 3.5% and headline inflation of 4.5% and 5.5% for 2022. One in ten would ask for a lesser increment of 2% or less, while a quarter would ask for 5.1% to 10% (24%). One in seven would request a more aggressive increment exceeding 10% (14%), with men significantly more likely to do so (17%). A final one in five are unsure (18%).

As for reasons why workers would not seek higher pay, a majority said this was because they were not hopeful their employer would grant one (67%). Fewer than a quarter said they would stick with their current salary because they are happy with what they are paid (23%), while a final one in five said they have just gotten a raise and thus would not request another (17%).

(YouGov Singapore)
June 8, 2022

Source: https://sg.yougov.com/en-sg/news/2022/06/08/spore-adults-aged-25-34-most-likely-seek-pay-raise/

 

AFRICA

746-43-03/Polls

Covid-19 Doesn’t Exist’ Tops List Of Reasons Among Vaccine-Hesitant Nigerians, Afrobarometer Survey Shows

About one-third of Nigerian adults say they are unlikely to try to get vaccinated against COVID-19, including many who say they don’t believe the virus exists or is a serious threat, a new Afrobarometer study shows.

Fewer than four in 10 citizens report having received a vaccination against the virus.

As the government tries to respond to the economic and social impact of the pandemic, three in 10 citizens say someone in their household lost a job, a business, or a primary source of income due to the pandemic, but far fewer report receiving government assistance to weather the fallout.

Most citizens also believe that resources intended for the response to the pandemic have been lost to government corruption.

Key findings

  • Close to three in 10 Nigerians (28%) say someone in their household lost a job, business, or primary source of income due to the pandemic (Figure 1).
  • Fewer than four in 10 Nigerians (37%) say they have been vaccinated against COVID-19. About one-third say they are “very unlikely” (22%) or “somewhat unlikely” (10%) to take the vaccine, while 30% say they probably will (Figure 2).
  • Citizens who say they are unlikely to get vaccinated cite a variety of reasons for their hesitancy, including that COVID-19 doesn’t exist (29%), that COVID-19 is not serious or life-threatening (18%), and that they do not trust the vaccine or are worried about fake vaccines (14%) (Figure 3).
  • About nine out of 10 Nigerians (89%) report that their household did not receive COVID-19 relief assistance from the government to mitigate the impact of the pandemic (Figure 4).
  • A large majority (83%) of Nigerians say they believe that “some” or “a lot” of the resources intended for the COVID-19 response have been lost to corruption. Only 2% think that none of these resources have been embezzled (Figure 5).

Afrobarometer surveys

Afrobarometer is a pan-African, non-partisan survey research network that provides reliable data on African experiences and evaluations of democracy, governance, and quality of life. Eight survey rounds in up to 39 countries have been completed since 1999. Round 9 surveys (2021/2022) are currently underway. Afrobarometer’s national partners conduct face-to-face interviews in the language of the respondent’s choice.

The Afrobarometer team in Nigeria led by NOIpolls, interviewed a nationally representative sample of 1,600 adult citizens of this country in March 2022. A sample of this size yields country-level results with a margin of error of +/-2.5 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. Previous surveys were conducted in Nigeria in 1999, 2002, 2004, 2008, 2012, 2014, 2017, and 2020.

Charts

Figure 1: Effects of COVID-19 | Nigeria | 2022

https://noi-polls.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Picture1-1024x560.jpg

Respondents were asked: Please tell me whether you personally or any other member of your household have been affected in any of the following ways by the COVID-19 pandemic: Became ill with, or tested positive for, COVID-19? Temporarily or permanently lost a job, business, or primary source of income?

Figure 2: COVID-19 vaccination status | Nigeria | 2022

https://noi-polls.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Picture2-1024x489.jpg

Respondents were asked:  Have you received a vaccination against COVID-19, either one or two doses? [If no:] If a vaccine for COVID-19 is available, how likely are you to try to get vaccinated?

Figure 3: Main reason for vaccine hesitancy | Nigeria | 2022

https://noi-polls.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Picture3-1024x685.jpg

Respondents who say they are not likely to get vaccinated were asked: What is the main reason that you would be unlikely to get a COVID-19 vaccine?

Figure 4: Access to COVID-19 relief assistance | Nigeria | 2022

https://noi-polls.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Picture4-1024x530.png

Respondents were asked: Since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, have you or your household received any assistance from government, like food, cash payments, relief from bill payments, or other assistance that you were not normally receiving before the pandemic?

Figure 5: Perceived COVID-19 related corruption | Nigeria | 2022

https://noi-polls.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Picture5-1024x661.jpg

Respondents were asked: Considering all of the funds and resources that were available to the government for combating and responding to the COVID-19 pandemic, how much do you think was lost or stolen due to corruption?

(NOI Polls)

June 7, 2022

Source: https://noi-polls.com/covid-19-doesnt-exist-tops-list-of-reasons-among-vaccine-hesitant-nigerians-afrobarometer-survey-shows/

 

WEST EUROPE

746-43-04/Polls

Conservative Members Want MPs To Vote To Keep Boris Johnson By 53% To 42%

Boris Johnson faces a vote of confidence among Conservative MPs, triggered by at least 54 MPs having sent letters expressing no confidence in the prime minister to Sir Graham Brady, the chairman of the party’s 1922 committee.

Should the Johnson be ousted as party leader by tonight’s vote, there will be a new leadership contest, which will ultimately be decided by a vote of Conservative party members.

Now, a snap YouGov poll of 506 Conservative party members, conducted today, finds that, while party members tend to think it was right for MPs to submit their confidence letters, they also tend to want them to vote to keep the prime minister in place.

Boris Johnson’s lead among party members is not huge though, with 53% saying MPs should vote to back him compared to 42% saying they should vote to remove him.

In the event that Boris Johnson does win, but only narrowly, party members are slightly more likely still to think he should remain in place, by 58% to 39%. In 2019, Theresa May won her confidence vote with the backing of 63% of Tory MPs, but was nevertheless fatally weakened despite her victory.

Should MPs vote to get rid of Johnson, there is no clear candidate party members are rallying around. Of 11 potential leadership candidates YouGov asked about, the most popular was defence secretary Ben Wallace, but with just 12% of the vote. Foreign secretary Liz Truss comes second on 11% of the vote, while Jeremy Hunt – who was defeated by Boris Johnson in the 2019 leadership contest – comes joint third on 10%.

Former heir apparent Rishi Sunak places joint fifth alongside Michael Gove, both on 7%.

Do Conservative party members still see Boris Johnson as an election winner?

Asked what they think the outcome of the next election would be whether Boris Johnson or someone else is in charge of the Conservative party, the number of party members who think the Tories would win a majority is the same (39% and 41%, respectively).

However, they are less likely to anticipate some form of Labour victory is Boris Johnson is deposed before the next election. In the event that Boris Johnson remains in charge, 10% of party members expect Labour to win a majority, and another 22% believe Labour would be the largest party in a hung parliament. Should someone else be leading the Conservatives, those figures fall to 4% and 14% respectively.

(YouGov UK)

June 06, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/06/06/snap-poll-conservative-members-want-mps-vote-keep-

 

746-43-05/Polls

Six In 10 Britons (57%) Say They Criticise Themselves More Than Other People Criticise Them

Impostor syndrome is the name given to a psychological pattern of thinking, characterised by persistent feelings of inadequacy, self-doubt and fears of being exposed as a fraud. Individuals who feel like impostors typically downplay their own achievements, think their successes in life are down to luck and chance, and have difficulty accepting compliments and praise. Impostor feelings affect people from all walks of life – but do the British public experience them?

Britons tend to have high expectations for themselves, criticise themselves more than others criticise them, and downplay their own achievements

Across seven common signs of impostor syndrome we asked about, most Britons seem to experience four: difficulty accepting compliments and praise, high expectations of themselves, criticising themselves more than others criticise them, and downplaying their own achievements in front of other people.

Two-thirds of Britons (66%) say they have difficulty accepting compliments and praise from other people, including 16% who find it ‘very difficult’. Women are significantly more likely than men to say they find this hard – 72% of women say they have trouble accepting compliments, compared to 59% of men.

Six in 10 Britons (58%) say have high expectations of themselves, including one in six (18%) who say they have ‘very high’ expectations of themselves. Britons from different social groups have different expectations of themselves – two-thirds of Britons from the ABC1 social group (65%) say they have high expectations of themselves, including 21% who have ‘very high’ expectations, compared to half of those from the C2DE social group (49%).

Six in 10 Britons (57%) say they criticise themselves more than other people criticise them, with just 5% who feel like other people criticise them more, and 15% the same. Women are more likely than men to say they criticise themselves more than other people criticise them, by 62% to 51%.

A majority of Britons (56%) also say that they tend to downplay their achievements when they speak about them to other people. Just 6% say they exaggerate their achievements when they talk to other people, while 30% say they neither exaggerate nor downplay their successes.

Fewer Britons identify with other signs of impostor syndrome, however. People with impostor syndrome tend to think that others overestimate their capability and capacity, and worry that they will be ‘exposed’ as being less capable. A third of Britons (34%) say people think they are more capable than they are, while 21% say people underestimate their capability, and 23% say neither.

Similarly, just 20% of Britons think their peers are more intelligent than they are – something common to those who frequently feel like impostors. A quarter (26%) say their peers are less smart than them, while 35% say they are neither more nor less intelligent. Men are considerably more likely to see themselves as being of higher intelligence to the people around them – 32% of men say their peers are less intelligent than them, compared to 21% of women.

Finally, just 13% of Britons think the majority or more of their successes have been down to luck– a typical concern among those who feel like they are undeserving of their achievements. Older Britons are much more likely than younger ones to say that their successes in life have not been down to good fortune, with 43% of those aged 55 and older saying not very many, or none, of their successes have been down to luck or chance, compared to just 26% of 18 to 24-year-olds.

Across the seven common signs of impostor syndrome asked about in this section of our survey, most Britons display at least three out of seven signs of impostor syndrome (65%), with one in three Britons (29%) displaying one or two. Hardly any of the public (3%) identified with six or more of the seven traits.

The ‘Soloist’, the ‘Perfectionist’, and the ‘Superman’: what impostor syndrome archetypes do Britons identify with?

We also put five statements, corresponding to five common archetypes of impostor syndrome, to the British public, and asked if they felt like the statements applied to them.

Half of Britons (47%) say they would prefer to struggle alone rather than ask for help – a characteristic of a ‘soloist’, or someone who believes that asking for help is a sign of weakness or failure.

Approaching half of Britons (47%) identify with a common worry of a ‘superman’ or ‘superwoman’, and say they feel stressed when they are not succeeding in every aspect of their lives. There are considerable age differences – over half of 18-24 year olds (58%) say they feel stressed when they don’t succeed, compared to just a quarter of over-55s (25%).

Three in 10 Britons (31%) say they wouldn’t speak up and ask a question, because they are afraid of looking unintelligent if they don’t already know the answer. Again, age is a factor, with young people (46% of 18-24 year olds) being far more likely to identify with this than older Britons (25% of those aged 55 and above).

Perfectionism is a less common trait among Britons, with a quarter (24%) of Britons saying they feel like a failure even if they meet 99% of their goals. Young Britons are more likely to be ‘perfectionists’ than older Britons, with a third (35%) of 18 to 24-year-olds identifying with this, falling to 14% of over 55s.

Finally, just 22% of Britons identify with the feelings of a ‘natural genius’ – feeling “not good enough” if you have to work hard to accomplish something. As before, this is more common among 18 to 24-year-olds (35%) than those who are 55 or older (14%).

When it comes to the archetypical impostor syndrome statements in this section of the survey, around half of Britons identify with two or more (47%). Some 23% identified three or four statements as applying to them, and 5% said all five applied. One in five (19%) said none of the statements applied.

(YouGov UK)

June 07, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/lifestyle/articles-reports/2022/06/07/how-many-britons-display-signs-impostor-syndrome

 

746-43-06/Polls

A Third Of Britons Worry About Paying Their Rent Or Mortgage Now While 4 In 10 Worry About Whether They’ll Be Able To In 12 Months’ Time

New research by Ipsos in the UK shows a significant proportion of Britons are worried about their ability to pay their rent or mortgage at the moment while more than half are concerned about whether they’ll be able to pay in a year.

Just over a third (36%) of Britons say they are very or fairly concerned about their ability to pay the rent or their mortgage repayments at the moment compared to 60% who are not. However, looking forward 12 months people are more likely to be worried than not as to whether they’ll be able to afford their rent or mortgage. In our FRS survey, we see that 1 in 10 Britons say they would struggle to pay an increase in their rent or mortgage repayments with the same proportion already regularly missing credit payments. The same survey shows almost half of Britons are potentially vulnerable  (47%).

Sharper movement in concern about ability to pay in 12 months' time

Those who rent are most likely to be worried now, 54% say they are concerned about their ability to pay their rent compared to 44% who are not. In comparison, only 14% of those who own their property are worried and 39% of those with a mortgage are concerned. 2019 Labour voters (43%) are almost twice as likely to be worried about their current ability to pay their rent or mortgage than 2019 Conservative voters (23%).

Similarly, renters (59%) and Labour voters (48%) are most likely to be worried about whether they will be able to pay for their homes in 12 months’ time. 

Ben Marshall, Research Director, said:

So far, the cost-of-living crisis has focused on increases in food and energy prices, but increases in rents and mortgage repayments could see an additional squeeze on households. That private renters are more worried about affordability than mortgage-holders is neither new nor surprising – they pay a considerably larger share of their income on housing than other tenures – but the level of concern among the wider public is. Before the pandemic, 31% of people said they were very or fairly worried about paying for housing in 12 months’ time, but the proportion has grown to 41%.

(Ipsos MORI)

7 June 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/third-britons-worry-about-paying-their-rent-or-mortgage-now-while-4-10-worry-about-whether-theyll

 

746-43-07/Polls

Half Of Britons Say Conservatives Made The Wrong Decision By Voting To Keep Boris Johnson As Prime Minister

  • 51% say Conservative MPs made the wrong decision by voting in favour of Boris Johnson remaining as Conservative Party leader and Prime Minister.
  • Majority do not expect him to lead the Conservatives into next General Election.

London, UK. New research from Ipsos done after Boris Johnson survived a confidence vote on Monday 6th June, shows half of Britons (51%) believe Conservative MPs made the wrong decision by voting to keep him in office. Just over a third believe they made the right decision (36%), increasing to 62% of 2019 Conservative supporters. 

Did Conservative MPs make the right or wrong decision?

Around half of Britons say Boris Johnson has done a bad job as Prime Minister, half say his government has done a bad job running the country and half say he should resign.

  • 49% say Boris Johnson has done a bad job as Prime Minister, down from 54% in February and 51% in April. Just under a third (31%) say he has done a good job (the same as April, with 29% saying the same in February). 
  • Similarly, 50% say the current government, led by Boris Johnson, is doing a bad job of running the country compared to 29% who say they are doing well. In May 54% said his government was doing a bad job and in April that number was 49%.
  • 50% say they would support Boris Johnson resigning, this has fallen from 58% at the end of May. However, just 29% would oppose this (+7 points from May).

Johnson’s future and what’s next?

While the Prime Minister might be able to continue in his position for now, the public think the future is uncertain. Over 4 in 10 (43%) say the result of the confidence vote was a bad result for Boris Johnson (33% said it was a good result) and few expect him to lead his party into the next election. More than half (55%) say he is unlikely to still be Prime Minister at the next General Election. Opinion is split as to whether he will still hold his position by the end of the year, 48% say it is likely while 42% disagree. In the short-term his position appears more stable with 66% saying he is likely to still be Prime Minister in 3 months’ time, only a quarter disagree (26%). 


Considering next moves for the Prime Minister, the public have low levels of faith in what he will be able to achieve. Around 6 in 10 say it is unlikely he will be able to win the next General Election (59%) or unite the Conservative party under his leadership (64%). Two-thirds (67%) say he is unlikely to improve public trust in him as Prime Minister. 


The public are equally sceptical about the Government’s ability to deliver on a range of issues. Around two-thirds say the Government are unlikely to reduce the cost of living (69%) or reduce crime (66%). Despite the increase in National Insurance to provide more funds for the NHS and social care, 63% say the Government are unlikely to improve the NHS.
Expected delivery of issues by Johnson's government

Who are the alternatives?

A key question following the confidence vote is who else might take over? Currently, Britons remain unsure. Keir Starmer is slightly ahead of 10 Conservative options when asked who would do a good or bad job as PM. A third (32%) believe the current Labour leader would do a good job compared to 35% who disagree. 

Would the following make a good or bad PM?

Among Conservative candidates, Rishi Sunak comes out on top with 29% who think he would do a good job, however 37% disagree. 24% think Sajid Javid would do a good job, 24% say Dominic Raab would do a good job and 21% say Ben Wallace would do a good job. The public are most likely to think Priti Patel (53%) and Michael Gove (44%) would do bad jobs.


Meanwhile, when we look at the numbers by those that have an opinion (ie by removing those that say they don’t know if the person would do a good or bad job or they don’t know who they are), a slightly different picture emerges.  Keir Starmer still tops the list but Defence Secretary Ben Wallace essentially ties for first place with Rishi Sunak in terms of which Conservative the more informed public think would do a good job.
Would the following make a good or bad PM? - by those who know of the people

Keiran Pedley, Director of Politics at Ipsos, said:

Boris Johnson may be encouraged that the proportion of Britons that want him to resign has fallen slightly after a rise at the end of May but that is where the positive news ends for the Prime Minister in this data. The public tend to think Conservative MPs made a mistake retaining him as leader and there is little confidence amongst the public that he will improve things in the country or still be Prime Minister at the next General Election. That being said, there is still no obvious public consensus as to who should replace him, which may provide him with the political breathing room to recover, if he can.

(Ipsos MORI)

10 June 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/half-britons-say-conservatives-made-wrong-decision-voting-keep-boris-johnson-prime-minister

 

746-43-08/Polls

87% Of Parents Feel Their Children Are Happy To Go To Daycare

A level of satisfaction broadly comparable to that observed before the Covid crisis

For more than 2 years, where with Covid-19, a large part of parents' expectations have focused on safety and hygiene measures, at any moment, their perception could change and mark a break with the good results observed. previously.

On the whole, the FFEC's Crèche and Micro-Crèche Companies always respond well to the expectations of parents and also to this major concern of balancing life. Despite the slight decreases observed compared to 2021 (between 0.04 and 0.24 pts on the average score given out of 10), the levels of satisfaction remain for the most part comparable to or higher than those observed in 2019 “before Covid”.

This report confirms the quality of work of the staff of the nurseries and micro-crèches who have continued to deal with this exceptional and anxiety-provoking situation with professionalism and involvement:

  • The level of excellence (scores of 10) is maintained on the majority of the criteria assessed
  • Parental confidence remains at a high level: average score of 8.82/10 or -0.13 pts
  • Emotional and physical security improves: average score of 8.65/10 or +0.05pts

On the specific "Covid" items, the mobilization of all the teams to guarantee the quality of service and safety (average score of 8.83 or -0.06pts), the implementation of health protection rules (score average of 8.82/10 or +0.08pts) and communication efforts (average score of 8.65/10) are recognized by parents.

Parents impacted by the shortage of professionals and places.

The multiple changes to the health protocol (wearing a mask, circulation, cleaning, etc.) and the closings/reopenings imposed (in particular when a case of Covid is discovered) since the start of the health crisis have disrupted the benchmarks of all- young and their parents.

The impact is visible in particular on the constancy of reception throughout the year (average score of 8.58/10 or -0.24pts) and the extent of opening of nurseries (average score of 8 , 86/10 or -0.17pts), which are the 2 most highlighted criteria. A phenomenon that is amplified by the shortage of qualified professionals that affects the entire Early Childhood sector.

phenomenon which is also amplified by the drop in the number of reception solutions (1,368,300 in 2016 vs 1,345,700 in 2019, i.e. -22,600 places). The increase observed in the formal childcare rate (57.7% in 2016 to 59.9% in 2019) is only due to the continuous decline in the number of children under 3 years old. Since 2016, the creation of crèche places (+33,800 places) is no longer sufficient to compensate for the continuous reduction of childminders (787,800 in 2016 vs 744,300 in 2019, i.e. -43,500 places). With the retirement of 160,000 childminders by 2030 and the time needed to properly train future professionals, this phenomenon will accelerate.

Parents convinced of the benefits of the crèche

The French Longitudinal Study since Childhood (ELFE), the first study evaluating the link between this mode of reception and all the dimensions of child development (language, motor skills, behavior), celebrated its 10th anniversary last year. . Among the conclusions put forward, the children received in a crèche acquire better language skills than those placed with a childminder or staying at home.

During this 2022 edition, we measured for the first time the parents' perception of the crèche in terms of development (social, motor skills, cognitive, language and affective):

  • More than 9 out of 10 parents believe that going to a crèche is an essential or desirable step for their child in their development
  • Social development is the one for which going to nursery is considered the most essential (71% of parents say so)

However, access to this mode of collective childcare,  offering a reassuring and fulfilling environment for children, remains difficult for parents to access without help from their employer. And this situation is likely to worsen in the face of a supply which has started to fall for the first time in 2019 (ie drop in the number of births < drop in the number of places cut).

More than 2 out of 5 parents questioned were able to benefit from a place in a crèche through their employer or that of their spouse. And among them, they would have been almost 3/5 to not be able to access it without this help.

(Ipsos France)

June 8, 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/87-des-parents-ont-le-sentiment-que-leurs-enfants-sont-heureux-daller-la-creche

 

NORTH AMERICA

746-43-09/Polls

Seven-In-Ten U S Adults Describe Cyberattacks From Other Countries (71%) And The Spread Of Misinformation Online (70%) As Major Threats

As has often been the case, Americans see myriad international threats affecting the well-being of the United States. Around seven-in-ten U.S. adults describe cyberattacks from other countries (71%) and the spread of misinformation online (70%) as major threats. And more than six-in-ten say the same about China’s power and influence (67%), Russia’s power and influence (64%) and the condition of the global economy (63%), according to a new Pew Research Center survey.

A bar chart showing that around seven-in-ten Americans see cyberattacks and misinformation as major threats to the U.S.

Since March 2020, however, there have been some notable shifts in the issues that Americans see as major threats, according to the survey, which was conducted March 21-27, 2022, among 3,581 adults.

In March 2020 – just as the magnitude of the coronavirus pandemic was becoming clear – Americans’ concerns about the spread of infectious disease were at a record high. That sense of threat has abated. Today, 57% of Americans say the spread of infectious diseases is a major threat, down from 76% two years ago. (A separate Pew Research Center survey this year, conducted in late April and early May, found that only 19% of U.S. adults see the coronavirus outbreak as a very big problem facing the country, down from 58% who said the same in June 2020.)

A line graph showing that growing shares of Americans see the economy, China and Russia as major threats

The global economy has risen on the list of threats that Americans perceive. Today, 63% of adults describe the condition of the global economy as a major threat to the U.S., up from 55% in March 2020 and the highest percentage since the Center began tracking this issue in 2017. Concerns about the economy have increased as inflation has risen in the U.S. and elsewhere.

Concerns about Russia have also reached a new high amid the ongoing war in Ukraine. Today, 64% of Americans say Russia’s power and influence are a major threat to the well-being of the U.S., up 6 percentage points since March 2020. The share of Americans who describe China’s power and influence as a major threat (67%) has increased 4 points over this same period, reaching a new high as Americans see a range of  problems in the bilateral relationship, including the China-Russia partnership.

Global climate change, on the other hand, has decreased slightly on the list of issues that Americans see as major threats. A little over half of U.S. adults (54%) perceive global climate change as a major threat to the U.S., down from 58% in March 2020. Perceptions of the threat of cyberattacks have also decreased slightly over the same period.

A chart showing that older Americans are more likely than younger Americans to see several issues as major threats to the U.S.

Across most of the issues asked about, older Americans are more likely than younger ones to see each as a major threat. The gap is largest when it comes to cyberattacks from other countries. While a little over half (54%) of those under 30 say cyberattacks are a major threat to the U.S., that share rises to around two-thirds or more in every other age group, including 84% among those ages 65 and older.

When it comes to the condition of the global economy, there are no significant age differences in the public’s views. Around six-in-ten adults in each age group describe the global economy as a major threat to the country. In the case of climate change, younger people are more likely than their elders to describe the issue as a major threat – the only one of the seven issues tested where this is the case.

Women tend to be somewhat more likely than men to describe most issues as major threats to the country. For example, women are 10 percentage points more likely than men to see global climate change (59% vs. 49%) and the spread of infectious diseases (62% vs. 52%) as major threats. The only issue where men are more likely than women to describe something as a major threat is China’s power and influence (71% vs. 63%). There are no significant differences of opinion between men and women regarding the spread of misinformation online or cyberattacks.

Americans with more education are more likely than those with less schooling to see climate change, the spread of misinformation online, and China’s power and influence as major threats. In contrast, those with less education are more likely to say the spread of infectious disease is a major threat. There are no differences across education levels when it comes to the other issues asked about in the survey.

A chart showing that Democrats are more likely than Republicans to see global climate change, infectious disease as major threats

Republicans and Democrats diverge sharply over whether certain issues are major threats to the U.S. or not. The greatest difference is on global climate change: Democrats and independents who lean toward the Democratic Party are more than three times as likely as Republicans and Republican-leaning independents to see climate change as a major threat (78% vs. 23%). Democrats are also more likely than Republicans to say the spread of infectious diseases (70% vs. 41%) and the spread of false information online (75% vs. 63%) are major threats.

While partisan differences with regard to Russia have narrowed since the invasion of Ukraine,  Democrats are slightly more likely than Republicans to say Russia is a major threat. Republicans, on the other hand, are more likely than Democrats to describe China’s power and influence as a major threat. There are no significant partisan differences when it comes to cyberattacks and the condition of the global economy.

(PEW)

JUNE 6, 2022

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/06/06/americans-see-different-global-threats-facing-the-country-now-than-in-march-2020/

 

746-43-10/Polls

Clear Majorities Of Black Americans Favor Marijuana Legalization, Easing Of Criminal Penalties

A growing number of states have legalized marijuana for medical or recreational use, and at the federal level, Congress is considering decriminalizing the drug and expunging past convictions for marijuana-related offenses.

A bar chart showing that most Black adults say marijuana should be legal for medical and recreational use

These policies align with the views of most Black Americans, according to an October 2021 Pew Research Center survey. Wide majorities of Black adults support legalizing marijuana at least for medical use (85%) and favor reforms to the criminal justice system such as releasing people from prison who are being held only for marijuana-related charges and expunging marijuana-related offenses from the criminal records of individuals convicted of such offenses (74% each).

Opinions vary more on whether marijuana should be legal for medical and recreational use or for medical use only. About six-in-ten Black adults (57%) say marijuana should be legal for medical and recreational use by adults, while 28% say marijuana should be legal for medical use only. Notably few Black adults (11%) say marijuana use should not be legal.

How we did this

The views of Black Americans on this question are similar to those of the public overall. About six-in-ten U.S. adults overall (57%) say marijuana should be legal for medical and recreational use, while 31% say it should be legal for medical purposes only and 11% say it should not be legal at all.

The survey comes as Black adults are disproportionately likely to be arrested for marijuana-related offenses, according to FBI data. Though non-Hispanic, single-race Black and White Americans used marijuana at roughly comparable rates in 2020, Black people accounted for 39% of all marijuana possession arrests in the U.S. despite being only 12% of the U.S. population.

Black Americans’ views on legalization differ notably by party identification and ideology. Similar shares of Black Democrats and Black Republicans say marijuana use should be legal (88% and 85%, respectively), though views differ somewhat on the type of legalization. Roughly six-in-ten Black Democrats and those who lean toward the Democratic Party (61%) say medical and recreational marijuana use should be legal, compared with roughly half of Black Republicans and Republican leaners (48%). By contrast, a greater share of Black Republicans than Black Democrats say marijuana should be legal for medical use only (37% vs. 27%).

Black adults across the ideological spectrum generally agree that marijuana use should be legal. The vast majority of Black adults who describe their political views as liberal say marijuana should be legal (93%), while slightly smaller shares of Black moderates (86%) and Black conservatives (83%) say the same. However, views differ on the types of marijuana use that should be legal. Black liberals and moderates are most likely to favor the legalization of medical and recreational use (70% and 58%, respectively), while conservatives are fairly divided, with similar shares favoring legalization of medical and recreational use (41%) or medical use only (42%).

When it comes to nationality, similar shares of Black adults born abroad and in the United States say marijuana should be legal (87% vs. 85%). However, a greater share of Black adults born in the U.S. than Black immigrants say marijuana should be legal for medical and recreational use (58% vs. 47%). Four-in-ten Black immigrants, in turn, say marijuana should be legal for medical use only, compared with 27% of U.S.-born Black adults.

Most Black adults favor easing criminal penalties for those with marijuana convictions

A bar chart showing that about three-quarters of Black adults favor criminal justice reforms for people with marijuana-related offenses

Around three-quarters of Black adults (74%) favor releasing people from prison who are being held only for marijuana-related offenses, and just as many favor removing or expunging marijuana-related offenses from criminal records. In both cases, about half of Black adults say they strongly favor these reforms.

Majorities of both Black Republicans and Black Democrats favor both of these steps. However, Black Republicans are somewhat less likely than Black Democrats to favor releasing people from prison for marijuana-related offenses (64% vs. 77%). The partisan gap is narrower when it comes to expunging criminal records for marijuana-related offenses: 72% of Black Republicans favor this, compared with 77% of Black Democrats.

A majority of Black adults across the ideological spectrum favor releasing people with marijuana convictions from prison and expunging marijuana offenses from criminal records. Roughly eight-in-ten Black adults who describe their political views as liberal say they favor releasing people from prison (81%) and expunging criminal records (82%) for marijuana-related offenses, with a clear majority saying they strongly favor these changes. Smaller majorities of Black adults who describe their political views as moderate or conservative support both policies.

Black registered voters are more likely than those who are not registered to support these changes. Nearly eight-in-ten Black registered voters say they favor releasing people from prison (78%) and expunging criminal records (77%) for marijuana-related offenses. By comparison, roughly two-thirds of Black adults who are not registered to vote (65%) say the same for both measures.

According to the survey, Black adults are more likely than U.S. adults overall to support releasing people from prison and expunging criminal records for marijuana-related offenses. While 74% of Black adults favor releasing people from prison for marijuana-related offenses, this share falls to roughly two-thirds among U.S. adults overall (67%). Likewise, 74% of Black adults favor expunging marijuana-related offenses from criminal records, while 61% of U.S. adults overall say the same.

(PEW)

JUNE 8, 2022

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/06/08/clear-majorities-of-black-americans-favor-marijuana-legalization-easing-of-criminal-penalties/

 

746-43-11/Polls

Choose To Reform Your Own Country Or Reform The World: Americans Are Split Half Way (51%:48%) College Graduates More Inclined Towards Reforming The World (65%)

Americans are divided over the role the United States should play internationally, according to the results of two new Pew Research Center surveys. Around half of U.S. adults (51%) say the U.S. should pay less attention to problems overseas and concentrate on problems at home, while nearly as many (48%) say it’s best for the future of the country to be active in world affairs.

Views on this question have changed little over the past three years, despite the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the COVID-19 pandemic and the shifting list of global issues that Americans perceive as major threats to their country.

There are significant differences by age in Americans’ attitudes about whether the U.S. should focus more on domestic problems or be more internationally active. Majorities of adults under age 50 say the U.S. should concentrate on domestic problems, while those ages 50 to 64 are nearly evenly divided and around six-in-ten of those 65 and older (58%) say it’s better for the U.S. to be active in world affairs.

Americans with more education are more likely than those with less education to think the U.S. should be active overseas. Around two-thirds of those with a postgraduate degree (65%) say this, compared with just 42% of those with a high school diploma or less education.

Opinions also vary markedly by party. Democrats and independents who lean toward the Democratic Party are nearly twice as likely as Republicans and independents who lean toward the Republican Party (60% vs. 34%) to say it’s best for the future of the U.S. to be active in world affairs. Liberal Democrats are particularly likely to hold this view, relative to more moderate and conservative Democrats (67% vs. 55%).

A bar chart showing wide partisan divides on whether problems facing the U.S. can be solved through international cooperation

Americans are similarly divided on a separate question about international engagement. Slightly more than half (53%) say many of the problems facing the U.S. can be solved by working with other countries, while 45% say only a few of the problems can be addressed this way. Views on this question, too, are nearly unchanged over recent years, despite tumultuous global events.

Americans with at least a bachelor’s degree are more likely than those with less than a college degree (60% vs. 50%) to say many issues can be solved through international cooperation.

Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents are much more likely than Republicans and GOP leaners (67% vs. 39%) to say many problems can be solved through international cooperation. Liberal Democrats are especially likely to hold this view, compared with conservative and moderate Democrats (72% vs. 62%). Among Republicans, those who describe themselves as moderate and liberal are more likely than conservatives (52% vs. 33%) to say that many of the problems facing the U.S. can be solved by working with other countries.

A bar chart showing that Americans are more likely to say common values, not common problems, bring nations together on global stage

Americans are less divided on a different survey question about international cooperation. When asked what is more important for bringing nations together on the international stage – common problems or common values – nearly six-in-ten Americans (58%) point to common values.

Older Americans are particularly likely to say that common values unite countries on the international stage. Seven-in-ten of those ages 65 and older say this, compared with fewer than half (47%) of those under 30.

While more than half in each party say common values brings countries together, Republicans are more likely than Democrats (65% vs. 53%) to hold this view. Conservative Republicans are more likely than moderate and liberal Republicans to say common values bring cooperation (68% vs. 59%). Liberal Democrats, by comparison, are more likely than more moderate and conservative Democrats to say common problems – as opposed to common values – lead to nations working together.

Americans who believe that many problems can be solved through international collaboration are somewhat more likely than others to say that common problems – as opposed to common values – bring countries together on the international stage.

(PEW)

JUNE 10, 2022

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/06/10/americans-are-divided-over-u-s-role-globally-and-whether-international-engagement-can-solve-problems/

 

746-43-12/Polls

Thirty Percent Of Canadians Report Being Registered On An Online Gambling Website

Nearly two months after the Ontario government launched a regulated online gambling market in their province, Ontarians and Canadians alike are making more online bets than ever, and the market is inundated with advertising and promotional messages encouraging players to sign up to a growing number of platforms.

  • One-third (33%) of Ontario adults surveyed report being registered on at least one website that offers online betting, putting them slightly above the Canadian national average of 30%.
  • The Atlantic Canada region has the highest proportion of Canadian adults registered to play, at 41%. British Columbia is tied with Ontario at 33%, followed by Quebec at 26%, Alberta at 24%, and Manitoba/Saskatchewan at 22%.

Though Ontario has just begun to offer legal online betting with companies other than the provincial government (OLG), many Ontarians have already registered and made bets with private betting operators in the ‘grey market’. Today, the percentage of Ontarians who have signed up with private gambling operators is nearly equal to the percentage who have registered with OLG.ca (25% and 23%, respectively).

  • This trend holds true across the country in almost every region except Quebec, where the provincial government platform (Lotoquebec.com) has a slight lead over non-government platforms (with 23% registration vs. 21% on a non-government site).
  • The average Canadian who gambles online is registered with 3 or 4 websites (3.6 is the national average). Atlantic Canada leads the country on number of websites used, at an average of 4.7; with Manitoba/Saskatchewan the lowest at 2.7.

When it comes to dollars and cents, however, Canadian online gamblers tend to favour private operator sites: they report that about 44% of their wagers go to one of the provincial government sites, while the rest (56%) goes to private operator platforms.

  • The biggest tilt in favor of private operators is seen in the prairie provinces of Alberta and Manitoba/Saskatchewan, where gamblers report giving just 32% and 31% of their gambling dollars (respectively) to provincial government sites. Alberta and Manitoba were some of the last provinces in the country to offer government-built online gambling platforms, which could explain their lower shares. Saskatchewan has yet to launch one at all.
  • Online gamblers in BC said they spent only 33% of their wagers at the BC Lottery Corp (BCLC’s PlayNow system), with the rest going to private operators. Ontario, however, has 43% of the spend reportedly going to OLG.ca, while Atlantic Canada has 44% going to ALC.ca.
  • Quebec is again the only province where the government site is favored over the competition, with the spending split reported as 57% going to Lotoquebec.com.

As more Canadians become aware of Ontario’s regulated market situation — and are exposed to the heavy volume of advertising spilling over into the rest of Canada —some of these figures may rise.

  • When asked if they had heard of the Ontario regulated market changes, only a quarter of Canadians (26%) said yes, while 41% of Ontarians were aware of the shift.
  • Many of the respondents who had heard of the policy change showed interest in making online bets in the future: 37% say they are definitely (17%) or probably (20%) likely to do some online gambling in the next few months. This is much stronger interest compared to Canadians who aren’t aware of Ontario’s situation, where only 14% say they’re definitely (5%) or probably (9%) likely to gamble online in the future.

The choices in online betting sites are growing by the week. Aside from OLG in Ontario, there are currently over 20 other websites legally registered to operate in that province, according to iGaming Ontario, the regulatory body which oversees the market. There are also dozens of other companies operating in the grey market across Canada, providing competition against province-controlled gaming sites.

When we asked registered online gamblers in Canada which sites are better when it comes to things like trust, gaming offerings, and payout rates, there appeared to be very stiff competition between the government sites and the private operator sites, along with a hefty level of indifference (those who think they’re both the same).

Perception of Government vs. Private Operated Gambling Sites on Various Aspects Among the 30% Who Are Registered Online Gamblers in Canada

 

Is trustworthy

Offers the best odds & payouts

Offers a wide range of activities to bet on

User friendly play experience

Easy to sign up and get started

Government owned sites

37%

21%

23%

23%

25%

Privately operated sites

24%

36%

30%

28%

27%

Both about the same

39%

43%

47%

49%

48%

 

(Ipsos Canada)

8 June 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Thirty-Percent-of-Canadians-Report-Being-Registered-on-an-Online-Gambling-Website

 

746-43-13/Polls

84% Of Brazilians Said They Are Familiar With Virtual Reality

A new survey by Ipsos measured the perception of citizens in Brazil and 28 other countries on topics such as Metaverse and extended reality (which includes augmented reality and virtual reality). According to the study, Brazilians see the advances with good eyes. For 60%, the possibility of getting involved with virtual reality in everyday life is a positive thing. Considering the responses from all countries, the global average on this topic was 50%. China and India are the ones with the highest rates (78% and 75%).

The survey also revealed that 73% of Brazilians believe that, in the next ten years, the way we consume digital entertainment services will undergo significant changes. The index is repeated when the perception is about remote work settings (73% think they will change). Regarding distance learning services and virtual games, 71% think that in the same period there will be major changes.

When asked about the main topics, 84% of Brazilians said they are familiar with virtual reality, 73% with augmented reality and 63% with the Metaverse. In these three aspects, Brazil appears above average: the global data were at 80%, 61% and 52%, respectively.

"The survey shows the excitement of Brazilians with the advancement of technologies and points out ways for companies and brands to enhance their interaction with the public through these spaces", analyzes the curatorship director at Ipsos Brasil, Luciana Obniski.  
The familiarity declared in the survey does not always accompany the presence of technology in the country, highlights Luciana. "But it is an indication that discussions about these new resources are on the rise in Brazilian society", she adds.

(Ipsos Brazil)

8 June 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/pt-br/ensino-distancia-entretenimento-digital-e-melhorias-de-home-office-animam-brasileiros-com-o-avanco

 

AUSTRALIA

746-43-14/Polls

Roy Morgan Business Confidence Fell 12.8pts To 100.2 In May As Australians Faced A Pivotal Federal Election

The plunge in Business Confidence came after the RBA’s decision to raise interest rates in early May by 0.25% points to 0.35% for the first time in over a decade. The RBA’s decision to increase interest rates followed the higher-than-expected ABS CPI result for the March quarter 2022 which showed an annual rate of inflation of 5.1% - the highest for over 20 years.

 

There were falls across the index, although businesses remain broadly positive about their own prospects with a clear plurality of 41.3% expecting the business to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year compared to only 20.1% that expect to be ‘worse off’ financially.

 

On a State-based level there were significant monthly decreases in NSW, down 23.4pts (-19.5%), Queensland, down 13.7pts (-12%) and Western Australia, down 18.9pts (-15.6%). Business Confidence was virtually unchanged in Victoria, down 0.5pts (-0.5%) and South Australia, up 0.2pts (+0.2%).

 

Business Confidence in May 2022 dropped to its lowest since October 2020 (98.7) during Victoria’s second wave of COVID-19 and is now well below the long-term average of 113.6 but remains significantly higher than the latest ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence of 90.7 for May 23-29, 2022.

Roy Morgan Monthly Business Confidence -- Australia

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2022/june/8973-c1.png?la=en

Source: Roy Morgan Business Single Source, Dec 2010-May 2022. Average monthly sample over the last 12 months = 1,413.

Business Confidence dived in May and is well down on a year ago in all States

Business Confidence in May dropped significantly and was down 29.1pts (-22.4%) from a year ago to 100.2 reaching its lowest point since Victoria’s second wave of COVID-19 in October 2020 (98.7). The Index peaked exactly a year ago in May 2021 at 129.3 and has now ‘zig-zagged’ for the last eight months since September 2021 without being able to establish a clear trend.

The index has dropped in all six States by at least 15% from a year ago and is now highest, and above the national average, in Victoria at 109.2, down 19.4pts (-15.1%). This is the smallest decline of any State although it is worth remembering Melbourne had entered its fourth lockdown in late May 2021.

The index is above the national average in Western Australia at 102.0 although the State has suffered the largest fall for any mainland State from a year ago, down 40.1pts (-28.3%) from a year ago.

Business Confidence in Queensland was in line with the national average at 100.3, down 27.6pts (-21.6%) from a year ago and is below the national average in NSW at 96.6, down 31.1pts (-24.4%). Both States have endured significant flooding in recent months due to the La Niña weather system 

The two States with new Premiers once again have the lowest ratings – South Australia and Tasmania. In both States’ Business Confidence is well below the neutral level of 100 at only 95.5, down 28.3pts (-22.9%) from a year ago in South Australia and at only 85.1, down 47.2pts (-35.7%) in Tasmania.

Business Confidence by State in May 2021 vs May 2022

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2022/june/8973-c2.png?h=644&w=887&la=en

Source: Roy Morgan Business Single Source, May 2021, n=1,388, May 2022, n=1,351. Base: Australian businesses. *Tasmanian Business Confidence is measured over two months: April-May 2021 cf. April-May 2022.

Accommodation & Food Services most confident industry in the last two months as Australians enjoy being able to travel for the school holidays in late April

Accommodation & Food Services was again the most confident industry in April-May 2022 with Business Confidence at 131.5, up 16.8pts (+14.6%) on a year ago. Information Media & Telecommunications is also flying high now with Business Confidence of 129.0, up 6.7pts (+5.5%) on a year ago.

Accommodation & Food Services and Information Media & Telecommunications were two of only three industries to have higher Business Confidence now compared to a year ago.

The high Business Confidence for Accommodation & Food Services is unsurprising when one considers the school holiday period in late April, including consecutive long weekends over Easter and ANZAC Day, was the first chance many Australians have had to travel anywhere in the country in over two years.

Other confident industries with Business Confidence over 10pts higher than the national average included Agriculture on 126.2, but down 20.4pts (-13.9%) on a year ago, Wholesale on 119.7, down 27.5pts (-18.7%) on a year ago and Transport, Postal & Warehousing on 117.4, down 13.7pts (-10.5%) on a year ago.

There were however several laggards with Business Confidence well below the neutral level of 100 including Retail on 95.9, down 27pts (-22%) on a year ago, Construction on 93.4, down 24.6pts (-20.9%) and Recreation & Personal on 91.1, down 23.7pts (-20.7%) on a year ago.

The industry to suffer the largest decline in Business Confidence was Public Administration & Defence on 86.1, down 73.5pts (-46.1%) on a year ago – the largest percentage fall of any industry compared to early 2021. However, the industry with the lowest Business Confidence of all was Electricity, gas & water on only 85.4, down 13.9pts (-14%) on a year ago.

Business Confidence for Top 5 & Bottom 5 Industries in April – May 2022

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2022/june/8973-c3.png?la=en

Source: Roy Morgan Business Single Source, April - May 2022, n=2,704. Base: Australian businesses. Note: In the chart above green bars represent Business Confidence in positive territory above the national average and red bars represent Business Confidence well below the national average and below the neutral level of 100.

Businesses were in neutral territory heading into the Federal Election as sentiment about the Australian economy dived in May before Australians voted in the new ALP Government

  • A decreasing plurality of businesses, 38.6% (down 7.9ppts), said the business is ‘better off’ financially than this time a year ago while just under a third, 32.5% (up 1.1ppts), said the business is ‘worse off’;
  • In addition, there was also a contraction in confidence about business’ prospects over the next year with 41.3% (down 6.3ppts) of businesses, (the lowest figure for this indicator for over two years since March 2020) expecting the business will be ‘better off’ financially this time next year, while an unchanged 20.1% expect the business will be ‘worse off’;
  • However, now a majority of businesses, 51.8% (up 9.1ppts) expect ‘bad times’ for Australia’s economic performance over the next year (the highest figure for this indicator for well over a year since October 2020) while under half, 45.1% (down 8.9ppts), expect ‘bad times’ (the lowest figure for this indicator for well over a year since October 2020);
  • Businesses are even more negative on the longer-term outlook for the Australian economy with a majority of 54.4% (up 8.2ppts) expecting ‘bad times’ for the Australian economy over the next five years (the highest figure for this indicator for well over a year since September 2020) compared to just 38.6% (down 7.7ppts) which expect ‘bad times’ (the lowest figure for this indicator for well over a year since September 2020);
  • A rising plurality of businesses, 47.3% (up 7ppts) say the next 12 months will be a ‘bad time to invest in growing the business, while only 43.8% (down 7.8ppts) said it will be a ‘good time to invest’ in growing the business (the lowest figure for this indicator for nearly two years since August 2020).

Michele Levine, CEO of Roy Morgan, says Business Confidence fell back to neutral in the lead-up to the Federal Election as higher-than-expected inflation, and the RBA beginning a new cycle of interest rate increases, dented the confidence of businesses about the next 12 months:

“Roy Morgan Business Confidence fell sharply in the lead-up to the Federal Election, down 12.8pts (-11.3%) to 100.2 – effectively in line with the neutral level of 100. The RBA’s decision to increase interest rates by 0.25% to 0.35% in early May clearly played a big part in knocking confidence.

“The increase to the official interest rates was the first in Australia for over a decade and marks the end of a period of record low interest rates over the last two years during the COVID-19 pandemic. The RBA has indicated they are set to increase interest rates several more times over the next year or two as they seek to ‘tamp down’ on the increasing level of inflation.

“Rising inflation and interest rates are a large challenge facing the new ALP Government led by Prime Minister Anthony Albanese. The last time the Australian economy faced these issues was during the term of the Rudd-Gillard Governments in 2009-10 following the Global Financial Crisis.

“The RBA increased interest rates on seven occasions by 1.75% to 4.75% from October 2009 – November 2010 to control inflation and a similar level of increases during the current cycle will mean official interest rates will hit 2% early next year – the highest they have been since early 2016.

“There were declines across the index in May but although businesses are now negative about prospects for the Australian economy, the good news is they are still largely positive about their own situations. In May over two-fifths of businesses, 41.3%, expect the business will be ‘better off financially’ this time next year while only around a fifth, 20.1%, say they will be ‘worse off financially’.

“On an industry-level Business Confidence is highest for Accommodation & Food Services, Information Media & Telecommunications, Agriculture, Wholesale and Transport, Postal & Warehousing. Notably, the industry with the lowest Business Confidence is Electricity, gas & water, which has been in the news in the last week as gas prices on Australia’s East Coast have soared.

“The typical price of gas for businesses on contract is around $10 a gigajoule, however for those relying on the spot price the market is now pricing gas at $40 a gigajoule – an increase of around 400%. This level of increase will prove impossible to sustain for businesses that buy their gas via the spot market and could lead to businesses closing their doors if nothing is done to bring the price back down.

“As yet the new Albanese Government has decided against enforcing the Australian Domestic Gas Reservation Mechanism to force gas marked for export into the domestic supply and is hoping the Australian Energy Market Operator’s decision to enact the ‘gas supply guarantee mechanism’ to increase domestic gas supplies will ease price pressures.”

(Roy Morgan)

June 06 2022

Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/8973-roy-morgan-business-confidence-may-2022-202206060150

 

746-43-15/Polls

Australian Unemployment Drops To 8.1% In May, As Federal Election Causes A Surge In Part-Time Employment

The latest Roy Morgan employment series data shows unemployment dropping by 1.6% points to 8.1% in May as many Australians took up part-time employment in relation to the recent Federal Election. Under-employment in May increased slightly by 0.2% points to 8.6%.

Unemployment in May fell 242,000 to 1.17 million Australians (8.1% of the workforce) while under-employment was up 9,000 to 1.24 million (8.6% of the workforce). Overall unemployment and under-employment fell 233,000 to 2.41 million (16.7% of the workforce).

 

  • The workforce decreased by 149,000 in May driven by the large fall in unemployment:

    The workforce in May was 14,413,000 (down 149,000 from April) – comprised of 13,244,000 employed Australians (up 93,000) and 1,169,000 unemployed Australians looking for work (down 242,000).

The drop in the workforce in May returned the workforce to its level of three months ago in February 2022. The level of the workforce so far during 2022 has been heavily impacted by the different waves of the Omicron variant of COVID-19 that have swept Australia during January, March and lately during May, and the changing workplace policies surrounding close contacts of confirmed cases.

  • Rise in employment driven by increase in part-time employment due to Federal Election:

    Australian employment increased by 93,000 to 13,244,000 in May driven by an increase in part-time employment, up 289,000 to 4,731,000 as many people took up part-time employment with the Australian Electoral Commission in relation to the recent Federal Election. In contrast, full-time employment fell by 196,000 to 8,513,000.
  • The rise in part-time employment led to the decline in unemployment in May:

    1,169,000 Australians were unemployed (8.1% of the workforce), a decrease of 242,000 from April with fewer people looking for both part-time work, down 160,000 to 692,000, and also full-time work, down 82,000 to 477,000.
  • Under-employment was virtually unchanged in May at 1.24 million:

    In addition to the unemployed, 1.24 million Australians (8.6% of the workforce) were under-employed – working part-time but looking for more work, up just 9,000 from April.

    In total 2.41 million Australians (16.7% of the workforce) were either unemployed or under-employed in May, down 233,000 on April.

Compared to early March 2020, before the nation-wide lockdown, in May 2022 there were almost 250,000 more Australians either unemployed or under-employed (+1.1% points) even though overall employment (13,244,000) is almost 400,000 higher than it was pre-COVID-19 (12,872,000).


Roy Morgan’s unemployment figure of 8.1% for May is more than double the ABS estimate for April 2022 of 3.9%. However, the ABS figure for April show there were 742,000 workers who worked fewer hours than usual due to illness, personal injury or sick leave compared to an average of 358,150 for the month of April over the six years from April 2016 – April 2021.


This difference, which can be put down to the Omicron variant of COVID-19, equates to a difference of 383,850 in April 2022 above the average for the month of April for the previous six years. If these workers are added to the 537,100 classified as unemployed this creates a total of 920,950 – equivalent to 6.6% of the workforce. In addition, the ABS classifies 6.1% of the workforce (approximately 857,000 workers) as under-employed. Combining these figures adds to 1.78 million workers, around 12.7% of the workforce.

 

Roy Morgan Unemployment & Under-employment (2019-2022)

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2022/june/8994-c1.png?la=en

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source January 2019 – May 2022. Average monthly interviews 5,000.
Note: Roy Morgan unemployment estimates are actual data while the ABS estimates are seasonally adjusted.

Michele Levine, CEO Roy Morgan, says unemployment fell 1.6% points to 8.1% in May as many Australians took up part-time employment with the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) surrounding the recent Federal Election:

“The latest Roy Morgan employment estimates for May show unemployment down 1.6% points to 8.1% while under-employment was little changed, up 0.2% points to 8.6%. Altogether these figures translate into 1.17 million unemployed and 1.24 million under-employed, a total of 2.41 million Australians either unemployed or under-employed (16.7% of the workforce).

“The fall in unemployment in May was entirely due to a surge in part-time employment which increased 289,000 to 4,731,000. The large increase in part-time employment was driven by people taking on part-time work with the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) for the purpose of administering the recent Federal Election. There were also people who worked for the various parties taking part, although much of this work was unpaid and voluntary.

“Although the Federal Election drove this increase in part-time employment, there was no similar result for full-time employment, which fell 196,000 to 8,513,000 in May. Because of the one-off nature of the Federal Election we are likely to see a reversal of these trends, and a significant fall in part-time employment, in next month’s employment figures.

“The result of the Federal Election contains a lesson for the new ALP Government led by Prime Minister Anthony Albanese. Ignore the large cohort of over 2 million Australians who are unemployed or under-employed ‘at your peril’.

“Many people within this group, which comprises around one-in-six working Australians, have been unemployed or under-employed for a significant period of time and were more likely to vote for a minor party or independent in the recent Federal Election than people employed full-time.

“The Coalition’s failure to truly tackle the high and enduring unemployment and under-employment throughout the Australian economy ultimately helped play a part in their defeat last month. When the Coalition initially came to office in September 2013 there were a total of 2.29 million Australians either unemployed or under-employed (18.3% of the workforce at the time).

“During the Coalition’s nine years in office this number fluctuated around this mark and soared during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, but never declined significantly and for an extended period. The figure dropped below the 2 million mark only once, in September 2015, before increasing rapidly from that point forward.

‘If the Anthony Albanese-led ALP Government wants to increase the prospects of its re-election in three years’ time one of their biggest priorities must be tackling the continuing high level of unemployment and under-employment throughout the country that the Coalition failed to reduce.”

 

Roy Morgan Unemployed and ‘Under-employed’* Estimates

 

Unemployed or

‘Under-employed’*

Unemployed

Unemployed looking for

‘Under-employed’*

Full-time

Part-time

2021

‘000

%

‘000

%

‘000

‘000

‘000

%

Jan-Mar 2021

2,971

20.6

1,750

12.1

717

1,033

1,222

8.5

Apr-Jun 2021

2,688

18.3

1,398

9.5

574

824

1,290

8.8

Jul-Sep 2021

2,573

17.7

1,350

9.3

547

803

1,224

8.4

Oct-Dec 2021

2,586

17.8

1,301

9.0

537

764

1,286

8.9

2022

Jan-Mar 2022

2,380

16.4

1,187

8.2

438

749

1,193

8.2

Months

April 2021

2,664

18.3

1,307

9.0

593

714

1,357

9.3

May 2021

2,749

18.9

1,493

10.3

558

935

1,256

8.6

June 2021

2,651

17.9

1,394

9.4

570

824

1,257

8.5

July 2021

2,756

18.8

1,422

9.7

619

803

1,334

9.1

August 2021

2,537

17.7

1,362

9.5

492

870

1,175

8.2

September 2021

2,428

16.7

1,265

8.7

530

735

1,163

8.0

October 2021

2,547

17.8

1,320

9.2

471

849

1,227

8.6

November 2021

2,536

17.5

1,330

9.2

583

748

1,206

8.3

December 2021

2,676

18.2

1,252

8.5

557

695

1,424

9.7

January 2022

2,427

16.6

1,201

8.2

464

737

1,226

8.4

February 2022

2,357

16.3

1,227

8.5

463

764

1,130

7.8

March 2022

2,356

16.2

1,133

7.8

387

746

1,223

8.4

April 2022

2,641

18.1

1,411

9.7

559

852

1,230

8.4

May 2022

2,408

16.7

1,169

8.1

477

692

1,239

8.6

*Workforce includes those employed and those looking for work – the unemployed.

This Roy Morgan survey on Australia’s unemployment and ‘under-employed’* is based on weekly interviews of 833,289 Australians aged 14 and over between January 2007 and May 2022 and includes 7,272 telephone and online interviews in May 2022. *The ‘under-employed’ are those people who are in part-time work or freelancers who are looking for more work.

Contact Roy Morgan to learn more about Australia’s unemployed and under-employed; who and where they are, and the challenges they face as they search for employment opportunities.

Visit the Roy Morgan Online Store to purchase employment profiles, including for Australians who are employedunemployedunder-employedemployed part-timeemployed full-timeretiredstudying and many more.

 

Roy Morgan Research cf. ABS Unemployment Estimates

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2022/june/8994-c2.png?h=586&w=960&la=en

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source October 2006 – May 2022. Average monthly interviews 4,000.
Note: Roy Morgan unemployment estimates are actual data while the ABS estimates are seasonally adjusted.

 

Roy Morgan Research cf. ABS Unemployment Estimates

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2022/june/8994-c3.png?h=600&w=983&la=en

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source January 2000 – May 2022. Average monthly interviews 4,000.
Note: Roy Morgan unemployment estimates are actual data while the ABS estimates are seasonally adjusted.

 

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2022/june/8994-c4.png?h=555&w=914&la=en

(Roy Morgan)

June 10 2022

Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/8994-australian-unemployment-estimates-may-2022-202206100134

 

746-43-16/Polls

Potential National/Act NZ Coalition (50%) Strengthens Its Clear Lead Over Labour/Greens (43%) In May

Today’s Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll shows support for a potential National/Act NZ coalition increasing by 2.5% points to 50% in May and stretching its lead over the Labour/Greens on 43%, down 1% point. This is a lead of 7% points for National/Act NZ, the largest since the Jacinda Ardern-led Government came to office over four years ago in October 2017.

Support for National increased by 2.5% points in May to 40% while support for fellow right-leaning party Act NZ was unchanged at 10%. Support for the Maori Party was down 0.5% points to 1%.

Support for New Zealand’s Labour/Greens ‘coalition’ government was down by 1% point to 43% in May. Support for Labour was down by 2% points to 31.5% while support for the Greens increased by 1% point to 11.5%.

A minority of 6% of electors (down 1% point) support other minor parties outside Parliament with support for New Zealand First up 0.5% points to 3%, The Opportunities Party down 1% point to 1% and support for the New Conservative Party unchanged at 0.5% in May.

This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 934 electors during May. Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?” Of all electors surveyed only 3%, down 1.5% points, did not name a party.

New Zealand Government Confidence Rating falls 3.5pts to 90 in May

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating fell by 3.5pts in May to 90. The indicator is now a massive 44pts from a year ago in May 2021, and down 35pts from September 2021.

In May only 40% (down 3% points) of electors said New Zealand was ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 50% (up 0.5% points) who said New Zealand was ‘heading in the wrong direction’.

The latest ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating for New Zealand fell by 2.1pts to 82.3 and is still well below the latest Consumer Confidence figure in Australia of 90.7 on May 23-29, 2022.

Women continue to favour Labour/Greens while men firmly support National and Act NZ

Support for the Labour/ Greens coalition is strongest amongst young women aged 18-49 at 55.5% compared to only 38% support for National/ Act NZ. However, for women aged 50+ support is at 50% for National/Act NZ and now ahead of Labour/Greens on 46.5%.

The smallest Parliamentary Opposition, the Maori Party, attracts the support of 1% of women including 1% of women aged 18-49 and 1% of women aged 50+.

There is a stark difference for men with 56.5% supporting National or Act NZ. In May 48% of men aged 18-49 supported National/ Act NZ compared to 43% that supported Labour/ Greens. For men aged 50+ there were 65.5% supporting National/ Act NZ compared to only 26% supporting Labour/ Greens.

The Maori Party attracts only 0.5% support from men including 1% support from men aged 18-49 but only 0.5% support of men aged 50+.

Support for the Greens is far higher amongst both younger women and younger men than their older counterparts. Over one-in-five women aged 18-49 (21%) and one-in-eight men aged 18-49 (12.5%) support the Greens compared to only 6% of women aged 50+ and just 5.5% of men aged 50+.

Party vote analysis by Gender & Age

Total

Women

Men

All

18-49

50+

All

18-49

50+

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Labour

31.5

37.5

34.5

40.5

25.5

30.5

20.5

Greens

11.5

13.5

21

6

9.5

12.5

5.5

Labour/ Greens

43

51

55.5

46.5

35

43

26

National

40

37.5

34

41.5

42.5

34

52

Act NZ

10

6.5

4

8.5

14

14

13.5

Maori Party

1

1

1

1

0.5

1

0.5

National/ Act NZ/ Maori Party

51

45

39

51

57

49

66

Others

6

4

5.5

2.5

8

8

8

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating

Right Direction

40

43

43

43.5

36.5

42.5

29.5

Wrong Direction

50

47

45.5

48.5

53

48.5

58.5

Government Confidence Rating

90

96

97.5

95

83.5

94

71

Can’t say

10

10

11.5

8

10.5

9

12

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

 

*The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is 100 plus the difference between the percentage of Kiwis who say the country is “heading in the right direction” and the percentage who say the country is “seriously heading in the wrong direction”.

Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating dipped in May, down for both women and men

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating fell for both genders in May and is now back below the neutral level of 100 for women at 96, down 4.5pts on a month ago. There was a similar deterioration among men, although at a significantly lower level, down 2pts to 83.5.

Amongst women there are now only 43% who say New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 47% that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.

In contrast a clear majority of men, 53% now say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction’ while just over a third of men, 36.5%, say New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’.

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is highest for women aged 18-49 at 97.5 while for women aged 50+ it is slightly lower at 95. There is a larger difference for men with those aged 18-49 having a Government Confidence Rating of 94 and only 71 for men aged 50+.

Michele Levine, CEO Roy Morgan, says the potential National/Act NZ coalition (50%) has increased its lead over the governing Labour/Greens government (43%) in May with support for National increasing to 40% - its highest for over two years since January 2020:

“Today’s Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll shows the lead for a potential National/Act NZ (50%) coalition over the governing Labour/Greens government (43%) increasing to 7% points – the largest lead for National/Act NZ since Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern came to office in October 2017.

“The increase in support for National, up 2% points to 40%, came at the expense of Ardern’s Labour Party, down 2% points to 31.5% - a gap of 8.5% points in favour of National and easily the largest gap in favour of the leading Opposition Party since it lost office in 2017.

“The month of May was not a good one for Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern and the Government. Ardern contracted COVID-19 in mid-May which led to a forced week in isolation and as well as falling further behind National there were also negative moves on key indicators.

“Now just 40% of electors (down 3% points since April) say the country is ‘heading in the right direction’ while 50% of electors (up 0.5% points) say the country is ‘heading in the wrong direction’. This leads to a Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating of 90 – below the neutral level of 100. 

“While the Government Confidence Rating for women is higher than the national average at 96 it is at only 83.5 for men and only 36.5% of men say the country is ‘heading in the right direction’.

“In addition to the deterioration of Government Confidence there has also been a further drop in the latest ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating, which was down 2.1pts to 82.3. A big driver of the low Consumer Confidence is clearly the increasing interest rates in New Zealand.

“The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) raised interest rates by 0.50% in May to 2% - the highest official interest rates have been for nearly six years since November 2016. The RBNZ has now increased official interest rates on five separate occasions by a total of 1.75%.

“Although the five interest rate increases by the RBNZ since October 2021 are clearly having a negative impact on confidence within New Zealand; the RBNZ’s own forecasts show that official interest rates will be around 3.9% by this time next year – a further increase of nearly 2% points.

“The prospect of interest rates doubling again from their current level in an effort to get control of inflation within New Zealand will not be welcome news for many New Zealand mortgage holders – nor for the Ardern Government which faces re-election later next year.

“If this month’s Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll results are converted into a distribution of seats at next year’s New Zealand Election a National-Act NZ coalition would win 64 seats compared to 55 seats for a Labour-Greens combination.”

 

New Zealand Party Vote: 2020-22

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2022/june/8974-c1.png?h=627&w=961&la=enSource: Roy Morgan New Zealand Single Source. January 2020 – May 2022.
Base: New Zealand electors aged 18+. Average interviews per month = 933.

New Zealand Party Vote: NZ Govt. v Parliamentary Opposition

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2022/june/8974-c2.png?la=enSource: Roy Morgan New Zealand Single Source. January 2020 – May 2022.
Base: New Zealand electors aged 18+. Average interviews per month = 933.

Roy Morgan NZ Government Confidence Rating vs. ANZ-Roy Morgan NZ Consumer Confidence

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2022/june/8974-c3.png?la=en

Source: Roy Morgan New Zealand Single Source. January 2020 – May 2022.
Base: New Zealand electors aged 18+. Average interviews per month = 933.

Two-Party Preferred: Labour Party-led Government vs. Parliamentary Opposition Parties

 

Labour Party-led Government

(Labour, Greens)

Parliamentary
Opposition Parties
(National, Act NZ & Maori)

NZ Election, October 17, 2020*

57.87

34.33

ROY MORGAN NEW ZEALAND POLL

Labour wins the NZ Election and, despite securing a majority of seats in Parliament,
signs a ‘Cooperation Agreement’ with the Greens – October 31, 2020

2021

January 2021

58.5

36

February 2021

58.5

37.5

March 2021

57.5

35

April 2021

55

41

May 2021

56

39

June 2021

51

43.5

July 2021

49.5

44.5

August 2021

51.5

40.5

September 2021

55

41

October 2021

50

44

November 2021

46.5

47

December 2021

44

51

2022

January 2022

43.5

51

February 2022

43

51.5

March 2022

42.5

49

April 2022

44

49

May 2022

43

51

 

*At the 2020 NZ Election the Labour party secured 50.01% of the vote which was enough to govern in their own right but Labour opted to sign a ‘Cooperation Agreement’ with the Greens, who won 7.86% of the vote. There were three Parties elected to Parliament not in Government led by National (25.58%), Act NZ (7.59%) and the Maori Party (1.17%). 

 

Voting Intention Summary


The following table compares the latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Polls on Voting Intention with the result from the October 17, 2020, General Election:


National-led Governments (& supporting parties) are highlighted in Blue.

Labour-led Governments (& supporting parties) are highlighted in Red.

PARTY VOTE

Labour

Green Party*

National

ACT NZ

Maori Party**

TOP**

NZ First

Other

ELECTIONS

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

October 12, 1996*

28.19

10.10

33.87

6.10

n/a

n/a

13.35

8.39

November 27, 1999

38.74

5.16

30.50

7.04

n/a

n/a

4.26

14.30

July 27, 2002

41.26

7.00

20.93

7.14

n/a

n/a

10.38

13.29

September 17, 2005

41.10

5.30

39.10

1.51

2.12

n/a

5.72

5.15

November 8, 2008

33.99

6.72

44.93

3.65

2.39

n/a

4.07

4.25

November 26, 2011

27.48

11.06

47.31

1.07

1.43

n/a

6.59

5.06

September 20, 2014

25.13

10.70

47.04

0.69

1.32

n/a

8.66

6.46

September 23, 2017

36.89

6.27

44.45

0.50

1.18

2.44

7.20

1.07

October 17, 2020

50.01

7.86

25.58

7.59

1.17

1.51

2.60

3.70

ROY MORGAN POLL

December 2020

44

10.5

28

10

2

2

2

1.5

2021

January 2021

47

11.5

25

9

2

1.5

2

2

February 2021

45

13.5

29

7.5

1

1

1.5

1.5

March 2021

45.5

12

23

11

1

2

2.5

3

April 2021

41.5

13.5

29.5

9

2.5

0.5

1

2.5

May 2021

45

11

28.5

9

1.5

1.5

2

1.5

June 2021

38.5

12.5

29.5

11.5

2.5

2

1.5

2

July 2021

39.5

10

29

13

2.5

3

2

1

August 2021

39.5

12

25

13

2.5

2

2.5

3.5

September 2021

45.5

9.5

23

16

2

1.5

1.5

1

October 2021

39.5

10.5

26

16

2

1

2.5

2.5

November 2021

36

10.5

26.5

17.5

3

1.5

2.5

2.5

December 2021

35.5

8.5

31.5

18.5

1

1

2

2

2022

January 2022

33

10.5

35

13.5

2.5

1.5

2.5

1.5

February 2022

32

11

38

11.5

2

1

2

2.5

March 2022

32

10.5

38

9

2

1.5

4

3

April 2022

33.5

10.5

37.5

10

1.5

2

2.5

2.5

May 2022

31.5

11.5

40

10

1

1

3

2

*The 1996 Election was the first New Zealand Election contested via MMP (Mixed Member Proportional). At the 1996 Election the Greens Party contested as part of the “Alliance” political grouping with four other political parties.
**The Maori Party was launched in July 2004. The Opportunities Party (TOP) was launched in November 2016.

Roy Morgan New Zealand Seat Predictor


The following table compares the projected seats to be won by the various New Zealand political parties based on the latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Polls on Voting Intention with the results from previous MMP Elections:


National-led Governments (& supporting parties) are highlighted in Blue.

Labour-led Governments (& supporting parties) are highlighted in Red.

SEAT COUNT

Labour

Green Party*

National

ACT NZ

Maori Party**

NZ First

Other

ELECTIONS

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

October 12, 1996*

37

0

44

8

0

17

14*

November 27, 1999

49

7

39

9

0

5

11*

July 27, 2002

52

9

27

9

0

13

10*

September 17, 2005

50

6

48

2

4

7

4*

November 8, 2008

43

9

58

5

5

0

2*

November 26, 2011

34

14

59

1

3

8

2*

September 20, 2014

32

14

60

1

2

11

1*

September 23, 2017

46

8

56

1

0

9

0

October 17, 2020

65

10

33

10

2

0

0

ROY MORGAN

SEAT PREDICTOR

2021

January 2021

60

15

32

11

2

0

0

February 2021

56

17

36

10

1

0

0

March 2021

59

16

30

14

1

0

0

April 2021

52

17

37

11

3

0

0

May 2021

57

14

36

11

2

0

0

June 2021

49

16

37

15

3

0

0

July 2021

50

13

37

17

3

0

0

August 2021

51

16

33

17

4

0

0

September 2021

57

12

29

20

2

0

0

October 2021

51

13

33

20

3

0

0

November 2021

46

14

34

22

4

0

0

December 2021

45

11

40

23

1

0

0

2022

January 2022

42

13

45

17

3

0

0

February 2022

41

14

48

15

2

0

0

March 2022

42

14

50

12

2

0

0

April 2022

43

13

49

13

2

0

0

May 2022

40

15

51

13

1

0

0

*Other seats won at elections from 1996 - 2014 include: 1996 – 14 seats: Alliance (13 seats) & United NZ (1 seat); 1999 – 11 seats: Alliance (10 seats) & United NZ (1 seat); 2002 – 10 seats: United Future (8 seats) & Progressive (2 seats); 2005 – 4 seats: United Future (3 seats) & Progressive (1 seat); 2008 – 2 seats: Progressive (1 seat) & United Future (1 seat); 2011 – 2 seats: United Future (1 seat) & Mana Party (1 seat); 2014 – 1 seat: United Future (1 seat).


Fourth National Government (1990 – 1999): 1996 NZ Election: National (44 seats) wins the NZ Election and governs in coalition with NZ First (17 seats) for a total of 61 seats in the 120 seat Parliament.


Fifth Labour Government (1999-2008): 1999 NZ Election: Labour (49 seats) wins the NZ Election and governs in coalition with Alliance (10 seats) and the support of the Greens (7 seats) for a total of 66 seats in the 120 seat Parliament. 2002 NZ Election: Labour (52 seats) wins the NZ Election and governs in coalition with the Progressive Coalition (2 seats) and confidence and supply from United Future (8 seats) for a total of 62 seats in the 120 seat Parliament. 2005 NZ Election: Labour (50 seats) wins the NZ Election and governs in coalition with the Progressive Coalition (1 seat) and confidence and supply from New Zealand First (7 seats) and United Future (3 seats) for a total of 61 seats in the 121 seat Parliament (including 1 ‘overhang’ seat).


Fifth National Government (2008-2017): 2008 NZ Election: National (58 seats) wins the NZ Election and governs with the confidence and supply of Act NZ (5 seats), the Maori Party (5 seats) and United Future (1 seat) for a total of 69 seats in the 122 seat Parliament (including 2 ‘overhang’ seats). 2011 NZ Election: National (59 seats) wins the NZ Election and governs with the confidence and supply of Maori Party (3 seats), Act NZ (1 seat) and United Future (1 seat) for a total of 64 seats in the 121 seat Parliament (including 1 ‘overhang’ seat). 2014 NZ Election: National (60 seats) wins the NZ Election and governs with the confidence and supply of Maori Party (2 seats), Act NZ (1 seat) and United Future (1 seat) for a total of 64 seats in the 121 seat Parliament (including 1 ‘overhang’ seat).

Sixth Labour Government (2017-?): 2017 NZ Election: Labour (46 seats) ‘wins’ the NZ Election and governs in coalition with NZ First (9 seats) and the confidence and supply of the Greens (8 seats) for a total of 63 seats in the 120 seat Parliament. 2020 NZ Election: Labour (65 seats) wins the NZ Election and governs with the cooperation of the Greens (10 seats) for a total of 75 seats in the 120 seat Parliament.

 

(Roy Morgan)

June 07 2022

Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/8974-nz-national-voting-intention-may-2022-202206070538

 

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

746-43-17/Polls

Will People Reduce The Amount Of Meat They Eat For The Planet; For Many Among 31 Countries, The Answer Is No

Spring equates to the start of barbecue season.

For many, this time of year (at least in the Northern Hemisphere) means firing up the grill and eating everything from chicken to burgers to steaks. And even climate change doesn't seem to be enough to make people consider ditching the beef burger and grabbing a salad instead.

Just over two in three (68%) adults, on average, in 31 countries said they are concerned about the impacts of climate change in their country in an online survey of nearly 24,000 adults conducted by Ipsos Global Advisor between 18 February and March 4.

However, only 44%, on average, said they were likely to eat less meat, or replace meat in some foods with alternatives such as beans, in a bid to limit their own contribution to climate change by 2022.

appetite for change

  • Peru leads the way, with 64% of the country's inhabitants stating that they are likely to eat less meat to reduce their impact on climate change, followed by Mexico (61%) and China (60%).
  • At the other end of the scale, only 29% of people in Japan and Canada say they are likely to eat less meat for reasons related to climate change, closely followed by France, Poland and the United States (all tied with 33%).

concern for meat

Shunichi Uchida, director of Ipsos in Japan, said that people in that country already tend to eat less food like meat burgers than those in Western countries, so that could be the reason they don't plan to cut back on meat. .  

More than two in three (69%) people in Japan are concerned about climate change in their country, but Uchida said many see fighting it as a responsibility of business and government.

And while a 2013 report by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations concluded that all livestock farming accounted for 14.5% of global greenhouse gas emissions, it states that "most Japanese are not aware that the livestock industry harms the environment."

red hot prices

Some 11,000 kilometers away, in Mexico, more than twice as many (61%) of people say they are likely to reduce meat consumption this year as a way to help combat climate change.

Ricardo Salos Pardo, Director of Public Affairs for Ipsos in Mexico, is skeptical. "Normally we like to be politically correct," he said of his countrymen. "We know what we should say, but sometimes there is a gap between saying and doing."

The majority (71%) of adults in Mexico expressed concern about climate change in their country, but Salos Pardo said that if people reduce meat consumption this year it will be for economic reasons.

In the Great North, Mike Colledge, President of Public Affairs for Ipsos Canada, agreed that it is rising prices in stores, not growing concern for Mother Earth, that could prompt Canadians to eat less. meat.

hot dogs 

Whatever the price, many Canadians seem unwilling to trade barbecue staples like hotdogs for tofu. Nearly two in three (60%) Canadians say they are concerned about climate change in their country, but only 29% say they are likely to reduce their meat consumption.

 

The action that is triggered

Habits are hard to break.

It seems that making the  link between adopting measures  like eating fewer beef patties this spring and fighting climate change is going to take some time.

However, Colledge warned that activists and governments "have spent two decades convincing people that climate change is a problem, they don't have two decades to educate them on what to do about it."

(Ipsos Spain)

June 6, 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/es-es/will-people-cut-down-amount-meat-they-eat-planet

 

746-43-18/Polls

More Than Three-Quarters (76%) Of The Global Population Compared To 66% Of Pakistanis Consider That Technology Is Very Important In Their Lives, A Study In 39 Countries

According to a Gallup Pakistan Survey in Pakistan (and similar surveys done by Worldwide Independent Network of Market Research (WIN) across the world), more than three-quarters (76%) of the global population compared to 66% of Pakistanis consider that technology is very important in their lives. These findings emerge from an international survey conducted across the globe by The Worldwide Independent Network of Market Research (WIN) - a global network conducting market research and opinion polls in every continent. WIN International has published the Annual WIN World Survey (WWS – 2021), exploring the views and beliefs of 33,236 individuals, among citizens from 39 countries across the globe. On International Technology Day, WIN releases the latest results of the survey, to understand the concerns of sharing personal Information via digital platforms. The fieldwork for Pakistan was conducted between 15th October and 18th December 2021 and the sample size was 1000 individuals. The international press release with the report can be accessed here. A nationally representative sample of adult men and women from across the world were asked the following question. “How Important is technology in your life?” In response to this question in Pakistan, 41% said extremely important, 25% said very important, 20% said slightly important, 11% said not important at all and 3% didn’t know or gave no response.

Country Breakdown Many countries like Indonesia (68%), and India (51%) perceive technology as an essential element in their daily lives, while China (9%) and the United States (28%) consider it important, but not vital.

Gender Breakdown More females (50%) compared to males (47%) globally consider technology to be very important in everyday life.

(Gallup Pakistan)

June 7, 2022

Source: https://gallup.com.pk/wp/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/7-June-2022-English-1.pdf

 

746-43-19/Polls

Europeans Less Sure Than They Were That It Was Right To Admit Hungary To The EU, Study In 6 European Countries

In most cases, Europeans have become substantially happier about admitting those countries that joined in the 2004 and later enlargements

Since the turn of the millennium, 13 nations have been admitted to the EU. Back in early 2019, YouGov asked Europeans whether they felt it was right or wrong to admit those new nations, with the response being generally positive except in the case of Bulgaria and particularly Romania.

Fast forward to 2022, and attitudes have become substantially more favourable still, with double digits increases in the number of people saying it was right to admit these new countries in almost all cases.

There is, however, one exception: Hungary. Attitudes to Hungary’s EU membership have actually worsened in Germany, Sweden and Denmark, and in France have only seen a +4 net increase compared to an average of +16.5 across all the other EU countries we asked the French about.

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/inlineimage/2022-06-09/Eurotrack%20Hungary%20outlier-01.png

The Hungarian government, led by right wing Viktor Orban, has caused outrage in Europe in recent years, with the introduction of anti-LGBT lawsincreasingly unfair elections and degrading the rule of law, as well as its closeness with Russia and unfriendly stance towards Ukraine putting them at odds with the EU and NATO.

In Italy and Spain – newcomers to this year’s survey – Hungary likewise languishes at the bottom of their lists.

Nevertheless, for the time being, more people still think it was right to admit Hungary to the EU than think it was wrong.

In fact, in all cases bar one people are more likely to think it was right than wrong to admit the post-2004 member states. The exception is France, where people are slightly more likely to say it was wrong to admit Romania (34%) than right (30%), with a net score of -4. Even this represents a significant improvement, however, with the net score in 2019 having been -24, with only 22% saying it was right to admit Romania.

The results mirror a companion study conducted earlier in the year, which measured the change in attitudes to prospective candidate nations joining the EU. That showed a general increase in support for countries to join the EU, particularly for Ukraine, and with the exception of Russia, which for the obvious reasons saw a substantial decline.

(YouGov UK)

June 09, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/international/articles-reports/2022/06/09/europeans-less-sure-they-were-it-was-right-admit-h