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BUSINESS & POLITICS IN THE WORLD GLOBAL OPINION REPORT NO. 745 Week:
May 30 – June 05, 2022 Presentation:
June 10, 2022 3%
Of The Society Ranks Syrian Refugees As One Of The Most Important Problems More
Than Half (51%) Pakistanis Report Knowing Someone Who Has Been Unemployed For
More Than 2 Years Three
In Five (58%) Support Boris Johnson Resigning As Prime Minister 49%
Of Britons Think Government Not Doing Enough On Cost Of Living Falls Six
In 10 Britons (62%) Think Britain Should Continue To Have A Monarchy In The
Future Satisfaction
With Boris Johnson Hits A New Low As Scots Feel The Cost Of Living Crisis
Bite Three
Out Of Five Germans Have Already Downloaded A Banking App Women
in Germany are more likely to donate a kidney to their own child than men Economic
Pessimism Growing In U S A
Majority Of Teens Prefer In-Person Over Virtual Or Hybrid Learning Progressive
Conservatives (41%) Knocking On Door Of Second Majority In Ontario Half
(50%) Of Canadians Who Do Not Currently Own Their Home Are Unlikely To Buy
One In The Future Cellarbrations
Wins ‘Best Of The Best’ Award Research
In 6 APAC Countries On Consumer Attitudes Towards Various Financial Service
Providers A
43 Country Survey Reveals The Purchasing Preferences Of Consumers In Health
And Beauty Products INTRODUCTORY NOTE 745-43-22/Commentary: Boris Johnson Stays As PM And Wins
Confidence In The Parliamentary Vote, Despite Public Opinion To The Contrary
British
Prime Minister Boris Johnson survived a cliffhanger vote of no confidence by
his fellow Conservative Party lawmakers Monday evening, prevailing despite
deep disgust over lockdown-breaking parties at Downing Street and broad
discontent with his leadership, which one former ally branded a “charade.” Johnson won
the party-only secret balloting by 211 to 148 — surpassing the simple
majority of 180 votes he needed to remain in office. Though he held on to his
job, the vote was remarkably close for a prime minister who helped the
Conservatives win a landslide election in 2019. His
salvation may have been the lack of an obvious successor within the party. Johnson had
framed the vote as “a golden chance” to “end the media’s favorite obsession”
with the boozy pandemic gatherings at his offices. And when the result was
tallied, he told broadcasters it was “convincing” and “decisive” and allowed
the Tories to “move on” and “focus on the stuff that I think really matters
to people.” But there
remains an active open rebellion within his party, with many top voices now
on-the-record saying this prime minister is unfit to serve. Fellow
Conservative Party lawmakers have questioned his truthfulness and complained
that his administration is reactive and adrift. How Johnson
proceeds with his domestic and foreign agenda is unclear. He is a wounded
leader. He and the Conservatives will struggle to rebuild their brand in the
face of soaring inflation and diminished public trust. And allies in Europe
and the United States are now on notice that his authority has been undercut
by his own doing. Surviving a
no-confidence vote under the current rules insulates Johnson from additional
party challenges for a year. But those rules can be changed. Looming over
Monday’s vote was the recollection that Johnson’s predecessor, Theresa
May, beat a no-confidence challenge over
her failed Brexit deal in 2018, only to be forced to resign the next year.
When May faced her vote, 37 percent of her lawmakers voted against her;
Johnson did worse, with 41 percent of his lawmakers voting against him. In opinion
surveys, Johnson’s polling numbers are in the dumpster after months of
drip-drip revelations about how he allowed his staff to turn his office and
residence of 10 Downing Street into an ersatz frat house during the darkest
days of the pandemic — with “BYOB” party invites, karaoke singing, fisticuffs
and vomiting. According to
a recent Ipsos poll,
54 percent of British people said Johnson is doing a bad job running the
country. He was also booed by some when he attended a jubilee service on
Friday at St. Paul’s Cathedral. British
Prime Minister Boris Johnson and his wife, Carrie, arrive for a Platinum
Jubilee service for Queen Elizabeth II at St Paul's Cathedral in London on
June 3. (Matt Dunham/AP) In a scathing letter posted
Monday on social media, lawmaker Jesse Norman, a former Johnson ally, said
the prime minister had presided over a “a culture of casual lawbreaking” at
Downing Street. He added
that his frustration extended beyond the scandal, calling Johnson’s policy
priorities “deeply questionable.” He mentioned the government’s plan to send
some asylum seekers to Rwanda and its threat to violate the Northern Ireland
protocol negotiated as part of the Brexit deal. “For you to
prolong this charade by remaining in office not only insults the electorate,
and the tens of thousands of people who support, volunteer, represent and
campaign for our party,” he wrote. “it makes a decisive change of government
at the next election more likely.” After
Johnson made it through the no-confidence vote, opposition Labour Party
leader Keir Starmer pounced, tweeting to
voters that the “divided Tories propping up Boris Johnson” will have “no plan
to tackle the issues you are facing.” From the
prime minister’s defenders, the message on Monday was that Johnson had gotten
“the big decisions right” — on Brexit, the pandemic, support for Ukraine —
and apologized for his mistakes. In a letter
to Conservative lawmakers, Johnson acknowledged: “I have come under a great
deal of fire, and I know that experience has been painful for the whole
party.” He added:
“Some of that criticism has perhaps been fair, some less so.” In a
communication more focused on the public, Johnson tweeted a picture of
himself on the phone with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. “President
[Zelensky] just updated me on the ongoing battle against Russian aggression
in the Donbas.” Johnson has
been a staunch supporter of Ukraine, mirroring U.S. actions on sanctions
against Russian oligarchs and shipping weapons to the battlefield. After the
vote, Education Secretary Nadhim Zahawi told Sky News that Zelensky must be
“punching the air” because his ally Johnson would stay on. But while
Johnson has been cheered in Kyiv, calls for his resignation have been
simmering for months, fueled by what many saw as weaselly responses to
questions about Partygate and by local elections that were a disaster for Conservatives. Almost as
soon as Queen Elizabeth II’s Platinum Jubilee celebrations ended,
Conservatives announced that the threshold of 54 no-confidence letters —
equal to 15 percent of the party’s lawmakers in Parliament — had been reached
and would trigger a vote. Speaking to
reporters, Graham Brady, the chair of the 1922 Committee that receives
no-confidence letters, said he had told Johnson on Sunday evening that the
threshold for a no-confidence vote had been met. Brady did not say how many
letters he had received. He noted that some of those calling for a vote had
said it should only take place once jubilee celebrations were over. Will
Jennings, a politics expert at the University of Southampton, said
Conservative politicians were maneuvering now — “after an obvious pause for
the jubilee” — as many have calculated that the Partygate scandal “will hang
over the PM in the run-up to the next election” in 2½ years. Johnson’s
critics, Jennings said, have noticed that “voters have moved on from
Partygate, they don’t want to hear about Partygate. But they have very much
made up their minds about Partygate. They think that the prime minister broke
the rules, there’s very broad support for him going, and the public don’t see
him as trustworthy. This is starting to pose a serious electoral threat to
the Conservative Party.” But there’s
no leading successor for Tory lawmakers to rally around. “I mean, we
don’t have an alternative,” Business Secretary Kwasi Kwarteng said on LBC
radio. “I think the idea that we spend three months or whatever it might be,
finding a new leader and all that, going through all of that beauty contest,
is absurd.” Chancellor
Rishi Sunak was once considered the party’s Plan B, but he, too, was
implicated in Partygate, and he faced a further controversy over his
billionaire wife’s tax-filing status. A YouGov
poll of Conservative Party members on
Monday found that Defense Secretary Ben Wallace, who has played a prominent
role in Britain’s response to the war in Ukraine, was the favorite to replace
Johnson. But even then, he was the pick of just 12 percent. Liz Truss,
the foreign secretary who is also one of the favorites to succeed Johnson, tweeted her
support ahead of Monday’s secret balloting: “The Prime Minister has my 100%
backing in today’s vote and I strongly encourage colleagues to support him …
He has apologised for mistakes made. We must now focus on economic growth.” Jeremy Hunt,
a former foreign secretary, said in a tweet thread that
he would be “voting for change.” Some say he would make a fresh bid for the
leadership if Johnson is forced out. “Having been
trusted with power, Conservative MPs know in our hearts we are not giving the
British people the leadership they deserve. We are not offering the
integrity, competence and vision necessary to unleash the enormous potential
of our country,” he said. “And because
we are no longer trusted by the electorate, who know this too, we are set to
lose the next general election.” (The
Washington Post) June 6, 2022 Source: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/06/06/boris-johnson-tory-leadership-vote/ SUMMARY
OF POLLS
ASIA (Turkey) 3% Of The Society Ranks Syrian Refugees As One Of The Most
Important Problems The Rate of Individuals Who Have Been
Friends with Syrians Over the Past 2 Years Has Increased From 13% to 18%. While
the rate of individuals with Syrian friends was 13% in 2020, this rate
increased by 5 points to 18% in 2022. On the other hand, 64% of the society
says that they do not have a Syrian friend. There is a prevailing opinion in
society that Syrians should be sent back to their countries. Today, 70% of
the society thinks that Syrians should return to their country. Only 5% of
individuals oppose this view. (Ipsos Turkey) 30 May 2022 (Pakistan) More Than Half (51%) Pakistanis Report Knowing Someone Who
Has Been Unemployed For More Than 2 Years According to a survey conducted by Gallup
& Gilani Pakistan, more than half (51%) Pakistanis report knowing someone
who has been unemployed for more than 2 years. A nationally representative
sample of adult men and women from across the capital was asked the following
question, “How long has that (unemployed) person been looking for a job?” In
response to this question, 16% said less than a year, 29% said 1 to 2 years,
51% said more than 2 years and 4% didn’t know or gave no response. (Gallup Pakistan) May 31, 2022 AFRICA (Togo) Togolese Justify The Use Of Physical Force To Discipline
Their Children Even If They Do Not Assume The Use Togo has a fairly large legal arsenal in
the area of child protection, which is made up of international,
regional and national texts. These texts cover the rights to protection,
education and the elimination of all forms of discrimination and violence
against them, including at school. Despite this important legal system, the
lack of coordination and above all of financial means makes it ineffective
and ineffective because it is unknown to both political actors and the main
beneficiaries who are parents and children. (Afrobarometer) 2 Jun 2022 WEST
EUROPE (UK) Three In Five (58%) Support Boris Johnson Resigning As
Prime Minister A new Ipsos poll conducted 25-26 May, after
the publication of Sue Gray’s report into parties at Downing Steet during the
Covid-19 pandemic, finds that just over half (54%) now think Boris Johnson’s
Government is doing badly at running the country (+5 points from early May).
Fewer than three in ten (27%) think the Government is doing well (unchanged).
Three in five (58%) support Boris Johnson resigning as Prime Minister (Ipsos MORI) 30 May 2022 The National Health Service And Britain's Natural Beauty
Top The List, When Asked What Is Best Thing About Britain The Platinum Jubilee is as much a
celebration of Britain as it is a celebration of the Queen’s reign. So, ahead
of the long weekend of festivities, what do Britons think the best things
about the country are? At the top of the list, 62% say the NHS is among the
best things about the country. The NHS is the most popular answer across
generations, with at least half in each age group picking the health service
but especially those aged 65+ (71%). Britain’s countryside is the only other
aspect to garner more than half of the public’s vote (61%). (YouGov UK) May 30, 2022 6 In 10 Have Confidence In The UK Supreme
Court To Do Its Job Despite Most Not Knowing Much About Its Work New polling by Ipsos in the UK shows 59% of
Britons say they have a great deal or fair amount of confidence in the
Supreme Court to do its job well while only a quarter (26%) say they are not
confident. Despite most having confidence in the Supreme Court, few
appear to know much about its work, the powers it has over the government
(and vice versa), the UK constitution or how laws are made in the UK. (Ipsos MORI) 1 June 2022 49% Of Britons Think Government Not Doing
Enough On Cost Of Living Falls New research by Ipsos shows a fall in the
number of Britons saying the government is not doing enough to tackle the
cost-of-living crisis but Labour still more trusted on the issue than the
Conservatives. Half of Britons want more support from their government, with
49% saying they are not helping people enough through the cost-of-living
crisis. 13% say they are giving too much support while a quarter (25%) say
they are providing about the right amount of help. (Ipsos MORI) 1 June 2022 Six In 10 Britons (62%) Think Britain
Should Continue To Have A Monarchy In The Future Six in 10 Britons (62%) think Britain
should continue to have a monarchy in the future, with only 22% saying the
country should move to having an elected head of state instead. More
than eight in 10 (84%) Conservative voters and 77% of Britons aged 65 and
older say the monarchy should continue, while just 9% and 13% respectively
say we should have an elected head of state instead. Conversely, Labour
voters are 48% in favour of a monarchy and 37% in favour of a head of state,
and 18 to 24-year-olds are even more split: 33% favour a monarchy and 31% a
head of state. (YouGov UK) June 01, 2022 Boris Johnson Stays As PM And Wins Confidence In The
Parliamentary Vote, Despite Public Opinion To The Contrary British Prime Minister Boris Johnson
survived a cliffhanger vote of no confidence by his fellow Conservative Party
lawmakers Monday evening, prevailing despite deep disgust over
lockdown-breaking parties at Downing Street and broad discontent with his
leadership, which one former ally branded a “charade.” Johnson won the
party-only secret balloting by 211 to 148 — surpassing the simple majority of
180 votes he needed to remain in office. Though he held on to his job, the
vote was remarkably close for a prime minister who helped the Conservatives
win a landslide election in 2019. (The Washington Post) June 6, 2022 (Scotland) Satisfaction With Boris Johnson Hits A New Low As Scots
Feel The Cost Of Living Crisis Bite Ipsos’ Scottish Political Monitor, run in
partnership with STV
News,
finds satisfaction with Boris Johnson’s performance at an all-time low – 83%
are dissatisfied with his performance with just 12% satisfied. 59% of people
in Scotland feel they are worse off than they were a year ago. And two thirds
(64%) think they would be worse off in the future if Boris Johnson’s
Conservatives win the next General Election. (Ipsos MORI) 1 June 2022 (Germany) Three Out Of Five Germans Have Already Downloaded A Banking
App The majority of Germans have downloaded at
least one banking app (59 percent). Another 35 percent of consumers have
not yet done so. The data shows that men are more likely to download
banking apps than women (62 percent vs. 56 percent) and that banking apps are
more popular among younger age groups: 69 percent of 25-34 year olds have
downloaded at least one banking app while older consumers (55+ years)
download this technology less (52 percent). (YouGov Germany) May 31, 2022 Women in Germany are more likely to donate a kidney to
their own child than men YouGov, in cooperation with Statista, asked
Germans about organ donation. Overall, more women say they want to donate
their kidneys for their own child (63 percent vs. 56 percent of
men). Again, men are more willing to donate to their partner (62 percent
vs. 57 percent of women). 40 percent of Germans could imagine donating
their organs to parents or siblings. One in four would donate to friends
(25 percent) and 12 percent to other people they know. 10 percent would
donate their kidney to a stranger. (YouGov Germany) June 2, 2022 NORTH AMERICA (USA) Economic Pessimism Growing In U S Gallup's Economic Confidence Index measured
-45 in May, down from -39 in each of the previous two months. It is the
lowest reading in Gallup's trend during the coronavirus pandemic, and likely
the lowest confidence has been since the tail end of the Great Recession in
early 2009. Gallup's Economic Confidence Index is a summary measure of Americans'
perceptions of current economic conditions and their outlook for the economy. (Gallup) MAY 31, 2022 Concern About Drug Addiction Has Declined In U S, Even In
Areas Where Fatal Overdoses Have Risen The Most This Pew Research Center analysis examines
changing public attitudes about drug addiction in the United States,
including in communities that have been hit hardest by fatal drug overdoses
in recent years. Public concern about drug addiction has declined even in
areas with high levels of drug overdose death rates. In areas of the country
with higher-than-median drug overdose death rates in 2017 and 2020, the share
of Americans who say drug addiction is a major problem in their community
fell by 8 points between 2018 and 2021, from 45% to 37%. (PEW) MAY 31, 2022 A Majority Of Teens Prefer In-Person Over Virtual Or Hybrid
Learning More than two years after the COVID-19 outbreak forced school officials to shift
classes and assignments online, teens continue to navigate the pandemic’s
impact on their education and relationships, even while they experience
glimpses of normalcy as they return to the classroom. Eight-in-ten U.S. teens
ages 13 to 17 say they attended school completely in person over the past
month, according to a new Pew Research Center survey conducted April 14-May
4. Fewer teens say they attended school completely online (8%) or did so
through a mix of both online and in-person instruction (11%) in the month prior
to taking the survey. (PEW) JUNE 2, 2022 (Canada) Progressive Conservatives (41%) Knocking On Door Of Second
Majority In Ontario Doug Ford and the Progressive
Conservatives are poised to form government once again, with another majority
likely in the cards. A new Ipsos poll of 2,501 eligible voters in Ontario
reveals that the Progressive Conservatives under Doug Ford would receive 41%
of the decided vote, up 3 points since the middle of the campaign. With
victory nearly certain, the two remaining questions on election night will
be: 1) will the PCs form another majority government (which is more likely
than not given Liberal-NDP vote splitting), and 2) who will form the official
opposition (Ipsos Canada) 1 June 2022 Half (50%) Of Canadians Who Do Not Currently Own Their Home
Are Unlikely To Buy One In The Future A new Ipsos poll conducted on behalf of the
Chartered Professional Accountants of Canada reveals that many Canadians who
do not already own their home might be giving up on the dream of home
ownership. Indeed, half (50%) of Canadians who do not currently own their
home say they are unlikely to buy one in the future. Overall, the threat of
interest rates increasing (89%) is viewed as the greatest challenge, followed
by being able to afford a down payment (84%), renovations (83%), property
taxes (81%) or mortgage payments (81%). (Ipsos Canada) 2 June 2022 AUSTRALIA Cellarbrations Wins ‘Best Of The Best’ Award (Roy Morgan) May 31 2022 MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES Research In 6 APAC Countries On Consumer Attitudes Towards
Various Financial Service Providers Research by YouGov on consumer attitudes
towards various financial service providers reveals that fewer than half in
APAC say they trust digital-only banks (44%)
compared to almost three-quarters for traditional
banks (73%). Digital-only banks, which exist entirely online
and have no physical presence, are also known as neo- or virtual banks.
More than three in five Australians trust
digital-only banks (62%) versus three-quarters for traditional banks (75%),
while more than half of Indians trust
digital-only banks (51%) versus under three-quarters for traditional banks
(72%). (YouGov Hong Kong) May 30, 2022 Source: https://hk.yougov.com/en-hk/news/2022/05/30/consumer-trust-traditional-vs-digital-banks-survey/ A 11-Country Ipsos Survey With The World Economic Forum
Reveals High Levels Of Public Economic Pessimism 25% of the public say they are finding it
quite or very difficult to manage financially these days: ranging
between two thirds of Turkish citizens (67%) and 16% of those in the US and
Germany. The largest group say they are “just about getting by” – 34% overall
and over half (54%) of those in Poland. Just 11% say they are living
comfortably and three in ten (29%) feel they are doing alright. 30 May 2022 Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-dk/global-perceptions-of-inflation-2022 A 43 Country Survey Reveals The Purchasing Preferences Of
Consumers In Health And Beauty Products Global Profiles tracks consumers' thoughts,
feelings, behaviors and habits, and monitors global trends and media
consumption in 43 markets. In this article, we analyze 24 countries from
all the markets studied in Global Profiles. A quarter of global consumers
say they split their purchases of health and beauty products equally between
online stores and physical stores (23%). Around one in ten global
consumers (10%) say they tend to do all of their health and beauty purchases
online, while around twice as many say they shop mostly online (22%). (YouGov Spain) May 30, 2022 Source: https://es.yougov.com/news/2022/05/30/online-o-tienda-fisica-compra-de-productos-de-bell/ ASIA
745-43-01/Polls 3% Of The Society Ranks Syrian Refugees As One Of The Most Important
Problems
The Rate of Individuals Who Have Been
Friends with Syrians Over the Past 2 Years Has Increased From 13% to 18%. While the rate of individuals with Syrian
friends was 13% in 2020, this rate increased by 5 points to 18% in 2022. On
the other hand, 64% of the society says that they do not have a Syrian
friend.
Although the proportion of people who think
that Syrians should be sent back has decreased compared to 2 years ago, 7 out
of 10 people still support this view. There is a prevailing opinion in society
that Syrians should be sent back to their countries. Today, 70% of the
society thinks that Syrians should return to their country. Only 5% of
individuals oppose this view.
The Ratio of Individuals Who Think We Have
the Same Traditions and Values as Syrians Under Temporary Protection is only
11%. The view that we do not have the same
values and traditions as the Syrians living in our country is quite an
opinion. And this view has not changed in the last 2 years. Today, only 1 out
of 10 people think that we have the same values and traditions, while half of
the society thinks the opposite of this view. A group of 37% cannot express a
clear opinion on this issue.
The Proportion of those who think that
Syrians will pose a security problem in the future is 62%. Even though the opinion that Syrians will
create a security problem in the future has decreased by 6 points compared to
2020, 6 out of 10 people still think that Syrians will create a security
problem in the future. The rate of those who think that Syrians will not pose
a security problem is 7%.
The Issue of Syrian Refugees / Refugees Is
Mentioned Among The Most Important Problems by 3% of the Society The economy remains the most important
problem for society. 9 out of 10 people state the economy as the most
important problem. The coronavirus epidemic is no longer an important problem
for society anymore. The issue of Syrian refugees is stated as one of the
most important problems.
Sidar GEDİK, CEO of Ipsos Turkey, made
the following evaluations about the data; “Population mobility is a
phenomenon that humanity must manage. Internal and external migration due to
economic reasons is a subject that is constantly on the agenda of all
countries. Sudden and mass migrations can be added to this due to the wars.
The recent migrations in Syria and Ukraine are the most recent examples of
this. Whatever the reason, it is a fact that immigration affects the life of
the society, on the one hand, various decisions are made and the process is
tried to be managed, on the other hand, life goes on. When we compare the results of the
Understanding Turkey Guide with the results of the last period, we can see
that life continues in Turkey and there are changes in the society's perspective
towards Syrian refugees. Only one in ten citizens thinks that we
have the same traditions and values as Syrians, this ratio was
the same 2 years ago. In short, we are clear that we are different. However,
in the last 2 years, the rate of those who have a Syrian friend has increased
by 1.5 times, and now almost one out of every five people has a Syrian
friend. Being different did not prevent being friends. It must be a very good
example of social common sense. The rate of those who think that the presence
of Syrians in the country will pose a security problem in the future has
decreased from 68% to 62%. The rate of those who think they should return to
their country has decreased from 77% to 70%. Yes, the opposition to the
presence of Syrians in Turkey is still very dominant, but the declines in
these rates are also striking, these are statistically significant decreases.
It is critical to produce policy by being aware of this trend. The
coronavirus is out of the question. The issue of Syrians, which has caused
heated political debates in recent weeks, is mentioned by 3% of the society
as the most important problem of the country. The only answer to the question
of what is the most important problem of the country is the economy.” (Ipsos Turkey) 30 May 2022 745-43-02/Polls More Than Half (51%) Pakistanis Report Knowing Someone Who Has Been
Unemployed For More Than 2 Years
According to a survey conducted by Gallup
& Gilani Pakistan, more than half (51%) Pakistanis report knowing someone
who has been unemployed for more than 2 years. A nationally representative
sample of adult men and women from across the capital was asked the following
question, “How long has that (unemployed) person been looking for a job?” In
response to this question, 16% said less than a year, 29% said 1 to 2 years,
51% said more than 2 years and 4% didn’t know or gave no response. Question:
“How long has that (unemployed) person been looking for a job?”
Rural-Urban Breakdown More rural residents
(53%) compared to urban residents (46%) report knowing someone who has been
unemployed for more than 2 years.
Age Breakdown More than half (54%) of the
respondents in the age bracket of 30 to 50 years report knowing someone who
has been unemployed for more than 2 years.
(Gallup Pakistan) May 31, 2022 Source: https://gallup.com.pk/wp/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/31-May-2022-English-4.pdf AFRICA
745-43-03/Polls Togolese Justify The Use Of Physical Force To Discipline Their
Children Even If They Do Not Assume The Use
Togo has a fairly large legal arsenal in
the area of child protection, which is made up of
international, regional and national texts. These texts cover the rights to
protection, education and the elimination of all forms of discrimination and
violence against them, including at school (OECD, 2017; Togolese Republic,
1992, 2007). 1 Despite this important legal system, the
lack of coordination and above all of financial means makes it ineffective
and ineffective because it is unknown to both political actors and the main
beneficiaries who are parents and children (OECD, 2017; International
Catholic Child Bureau , 2017). Thus, one of the first rights of the child
which is the right to an identity recognized by the State through its
registration in the birth registers and allowing the obtaining of a birth
certificate is still not guaranteed. in Togo. Indeed, 17.1% of children are
not registered, and 7.1% are registered but do not have a birth certificate.
Nor is the right to education taken for granted. The primary school admission
rate was only 66.5% in 2017. In addition, they are respectively 8.1%, 12.1%
and 29.5% children who should be in primary school respectively. , lower
secondary and upper secondary school but who are not in school (MICS, 2019;
U.S. Department of State, 2018). Gender-based violence and in particular
female genital mutilation, although prohibited by Law No. 98-016, continues
to be practiced in Togo. Thus, 3.1% of women aged 15-49 and 0.3% of girls
aged 0-14 have undergone these mutilations (MICS, 2019; U.S. Department of
State, 2018). Health coverage is very limited since only
4.8% for 5-17 year olds and 3.9% for children under 5 are covered. Finally on
the challenges encountered in the implementation of children's rights, we
will address the discipline of children by parents, guardians or adults. It
should be noted that the use of violent methods of discipline remain the most municipalities. Thus, for children aged 1-14,
it appears that 91.8% of them suffered some kind of violent discipline such
as physical punishment and 86.1% psychological violence during the last month
before the start of the school year. MICS6 survey in 2017 (U.S. Department of
State, 2018). This dispatch uses data from the special
survey module on attitudes and perceptions of Togolese on child protection
included in the Afrobarometer Round 9 questionnaire (2021/2022). The vast majority of Togolese justify the
use of physical force to discipline their children. On the other hand, they
are a minority to think that adults frequently use this approach in their
community. Few citizens also believe that children are often victims of
violence, are neglected or abused, or are excluded from the school system. Overall, the majority of Togolese say that
care systems are available in their community to help vulnerable children,
and they approve of the government's performance in protecting and promoting
the well-being of children. (Afrobarometer) 2 Jun 2022 WEST
EUROPE
745-43-04/Polls Three In Five (58%) Support Boris Johnson
Resigning As Prime Minister
A new Ipsos poll conducted 25-26 May, after the publication of Sue
Gray’s report into parties at Downing Steet during the Covid-19 pandemic,
finds that just over half (54%) now think Boris Johnson’s Government is doing
badly at running the country (+5 points from early May). Fewer than three in
ten (27%) think the Government is doing well (unchanged).
However, Britons are unconvinced about whether Keir Starmer’s Labour
party would be an improvement. Around a third (36%) say they would do a
better job (+3 points since early May), three in ten (29%) think they would
make no difference (+4), and a similar proportion (27%) believe they would do
a worse job (-4). Around three in five (58%) now say they would support Boris Johnson
resigning as Prime Minister, whereas just one in five (22%) would oppose it.
These figures are comparable to levels seen in late January, marking a modest
increase from the period immediately before the publication of Sue Gray’s
full report at the start of the month (+4 points). 2019 Conservative voters
are divided over his future (42% support him resigning, 39% oppose it).
In comparison, nearer a third (35%) would support Keir Starmer
resigning at Labour leader (-2 points since early May), whilst one in four
(24%) would oppose it (+2). As with the Prime Minister, his own party voters
from 2019 are divided with a third a piece either supporting or opposing his
resignation (both 34%). Confidence in Sue Gray / Metropolitan
police Meanwhile, the majority of the public are confident that the findings
in Sue Gray’s final report are thorough (58%) and independent (54%). Although
sizeable minorities say the opposite (32%, 37% respectively). They are less
convinced that the report will lead to the right people being held
accountable for any breaches of restrictions uncovered during the pandemic
(41% confident vs. 50% not confident). Public opinion is more divided when looking at the Metropolitan
Police’s investigation. The public are split as to whether it was thorough
(46% confident vs. 45% not confident), independent (46% vs. 44%) or led to
the right people being held accountable (41% vs. 51%). The public are paying attention to news about party leaders allegedly
breaking Covid rules, with around half (53%) saying they are closely
following stories about Keir Starmer being accused of this, and seven in ten
(72%) paying attention to accusations about Boris Johnson. However, these
issues are secondary to others, with 89% following stories about the rising
cost of living closely and 82% following stories about the Russian invasion
of Ukraine closely.
Keiran Pedley, Research Director at Ipsos,
said of the findings: The publication of Sue Gray’s report does
not appear to have led to a surge in support for Boris Johnson’s resignation
but a clear majority still say they want him to go. The Conservatives will be
concerned that increasing numbers of Britons think Boris Johnson’s government
is doing a bad job running the country but comforted somewhat that many are
unconvinced Keir Starmer’s Labour would do a better job. Meanwhile, looking
beyond ‘partygate’, the cost of living continues to dominate the public’s
attention and looks set to do so for some time yet. (Ipsos MORI) 30 May 2022 745-43-05/Polls The National Health Service And Britain's Natural Beauty Top The List,
When Asked What Is Best Thing About Britain
The Platinum Jubilee is as much a celebration of Britain as it is a
celebration of the Queen’s reign. So, ahead of the long weekend of
festivities, what do Britons think the best things about the country are? At the top of the list, 62% say the NHS is among the best things
about the country. The NHS is the most popular answer across generations,
with at least half in each age group picking the health service but
especially those aged 65+ (71%). Britain’s countryside is the only other aspect to garner more than
half of the public’s vote (61%). Another 37% say that our history and shared national pride are among
the best things about Britain today. There is a substantial disagreement
among the generations, however, with 51% of those 65 and over citing British
history versus 20% of 18 to 24-year-olds. Despite the upcoming Platinum Jubilee, only 34% say the monarchy and
royal family are among the greatest things about Great Britain. The royal
family is the answer most likely to divide the generations. Half of those
aged 65 and over (51%) say it is among the best things about Britain - but
only 9% of those aged 18 to 24 say the same.
Around one in three (32%) say that the UK’s culture of liberty and
free speech enjoyed in the country is among the best things about it. Britain's multicultural and diverse society is among its best assets
for 24% of Britons. A third (34%) of 18–24-year-olds list diversity among
their best things about Britain – more than twice as many as their elders
(14% of those aged 65+).
Some 22% of the public say that Britain's island nature is among its best
features. The same proportion thinks that the country's arts and culture,
including the BBC, are also among the best things about the nation. How have attitudes to the best things about
the country changed in the last decade? Comparing the results with the last time YouGov asked - ten years
ago, for the Diamond Jubilee - the proportion of Britons seeing the royal
family as being among Britain's best assets has dropped eight points, from
42% to 34%. This shift is driven by the young: in 2012, 40% of those aged 18
to 24 said the monarchy was one of the best things about the country,
dropping a huge 31 points to just 9% now. Of those aged 65+, opinion has
shifted little, only dropping five points (from 55% to 50%). The most substantial overall change among the general population is
in national pride. Half the public (51%) listed it among the best things
about the nation in 2012 – 14 points higher than now. Again, this change is
most evident among young people, with 51% of 18–24-year-olds previously
listed national pride and history in our best assets, compared to only 20%
now, another 31-point change. Not all changes since 2012 are negative, however. The proportion
saying that the NHS is among our best features has risen five points from 57%
to 62%, and being part of Europe has risen six points from 6% to 12% (despite
Britain having since left the EU). The biggest positive change is for Britain
being a diverse society, picked by 15% in 2012 and 24% now.
(YouGov UK) May 30, 2022 745-43-06/Polls 6 In 10 Have Confidence In The UK Supreme Court To Do Its Job Despite
Most Not Knowing Much About Its Work
New polling by Ipsos in the UK shows 59% of Britons say they have a
great deal or fair amount of confidence in the Supreme Court to do its job
well while only a quarter (26%) say they are not confident. Despite most having confidence in the Supreme Court, few appear to
know much about its work, the powers it has over the government (and vice
versa), the UK constitution or how laws are made in the UK. Almost two-thirds
(65%) of Britons say they know not very much/have heard of but know
nothing/have never heard of the work of the Supreme Court while 60% say the
same for the UK constitution, 55% for the powers that the government,
parliament and the courts have over each other and 49% for how laws are made
in the UK. Thinking about the powers of the Supreme Court, Britons are most
likely to say the powers it has are about right (42%) while 15% say it is too
powerful and 14% say they it doesn’t have enough power. As expected, a
significant number of Britons don’t know whether the Supreme Court has too
much, too little or the right amount of power (29%). One in 5 (20%) say the Supreme Court gets too involved in politics
compared to 12% who say it is not involved enough. More than a third (35%)
say it gets involved with politics about the right amount while 3 in 10 (32%)
do not know how involved it gets. When considering how new members of the Supreme Court should be
selected, Britons are most in favour of the government choosing based on
recommendations from a panel of senior judges and legal figures (29%) or
through a vote of all lawyers and judges in the country (18%). Fifteen per
cent support new members to be elected by the public. Again, many Britons aren’t
sure how new members should be selected with 27% saying they don’t
know. Keiran Pedley, Research Director at Ipsos,
said: These numbers suggest that the British
public are not particularly concerned about the Supreme Court or the powers
and influence it has over public life. Few have more than a basic grasp of
what it does but around 6 in 10 are confident it does it well. Meanwhile, of
those expressing a view, the preference seems to be for new members to be
chosen by the legal community and independently of politicians. (Ipsos MORI) 1 June 2022 745-43-07/Polls 49% Of Britons Think Government Not Doing Enough On Cost Of Living
Falls
New research by Ipsos shows a fall in the number of Britons saying
the government is not doing enough to tackle the cost-of-living crisis but
Labour still more trusted on the issue than the Conservatives. Half of Britons want more support from their government, with 49%
saying they are not helping people enough through the cost-of-living crisis.
13% say they are giving too much support while a quarter (25%) say they are
providing about the right amount of help. However, following recent measures announced by Chancellor Rishi
Sunak to tackle the issue, the proportion of Britons that think not enough is
being done has fallen from 76% in early May to 49% now – a decrease of 27
points.
The public are split on whether Sunak himself is doing a good job as
Chancellor, 31% think he is doing a good job (+1 point from April) and 32%
say he is doing a bad job (down 5 points). Trust in different parties The polling shows Britons are more likely to trust the Labour Party
than the Conservatives, both in terms of managing Britain’s taxes and public
spending and reducing the cost of living. 34% trust the Conservatives ‘ a
great deal ‘ or ‘a fair amount’ on managing Britain’s taxes and public
spending compared to 41% that trust Labour. On cost of living, 29% trust the
Conservatives and 42% trust Labour.
However, neither party is trusted by a majority. Almost 6 in 10 (58%)
say they do not trust the Conservative Party very much, if at all, to manage
taxes and public spending while half (50%) feel the same about Labour. On
reducing the cost of living, almost two-thirds do not trust the Conservatives
(63%) while 49% lack confidence in the Labour Party. Keiran Pedley, Research Director at Ipsos said: There are some encouraging signs for the
Conservatives in these numbers, with a sharp fall in the number of Britons
that think the government is not doing enough on the cost of living. However,
with Labour still more trusted on the issue and almost two-thirds not
trusting the Conservatives, there is clearly more work to be done for the
Conservatives to convince the public they have the right answers on the issue
the public care about most. (Ipsos MORI) 1 June 2022 Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/number-britons-who-think-government-not-doing-enough-cost-living-falls 745-43-08/Polls Six In 10 Britons (62%) Think Britain Should Continue To Have A
Monarchy In The Future
With the Jubilee marking 70 years on the throne for the Queen, YouGov
looks at the British public’s attitude to the monarchy: past, present and
future This week, the Queen will become the first British monarch to
celebrate a Platinum Jubilee, after 70 years on the throne. Britons see the
Queen in a very favourable light, and tend to be supportive of the
institution of the monarchy in general: but what will the future look like
for the royal family? Should Britain continue to have a monarchy? Six in 10 Britons (62%) think Britain should continue to have a
monarchy in the future, with only 22% saying the country should move to
having an elected head of state instead. More than eight in 10 (84%) Conservative voters and 77% of Britons
aged 65 and older say the monarchy should continue, while just 9% and 13%
respectively say we should have an elected head of state instead. Conversely,
Labour voters are 48% in favour of a monarchy and 37% in favour of a head of
state, and 18 to 24-year-olds are even more split: 33% favour a monarchy and
31% a head of state. While the majority of Britons have consistently been in favour of
continuing the monarchy, there has been a decline over the last decade, from
a high of 75% in favour of a monarchy in July 2012, to 62% now. While support amongst the general public remains generally high,
young people have lost favour in a monarchical system over the last decade.
In 2011, when YouGov first started tracking the issue, 59% of 18 to
24-year-olds thought the monarchy should continue in Britain, compared to
just 33% today.
Is the institution of the monarchy good or
bad for Britain? A majority of Britons (56%) feel that the institution of the monarchy
is good for Britain, although this percentage has also fallen since December
2012, when 73% of the public saw the monarchy as a good thing for the
country. Eight in 10 Conservative voters (80%) see the monarchy as being good
for Britain, compared to 44% of Labour voters. Three-quarters of Britons aged
65 and older (74%) say the same, compared to just 24% of 18 to 24-year-olds.
Will Britain still have a monarchy in 100
years’ time? Britons are split Over the past decade, there has been a shift in opinion about what
the monarchy will look like in the future. Britons are now split on whether the country will still have a
monarchy in 100 years’ time, with 39% saying the institution will still be
around in a century, and 41% saying it will not. In 2011, when YouGov first
started tracking the issue, two-thirds of Britons said they thought there
would still be a monarch in 100 years’ time, while just 24% said there would
not be one. As recently as 2015 – the last time this question was asked –
Britons still had confidence in the longevity of the monarchy, with 62%
expecting it to last another century. Younger and older Britons alike have become less convinced that there
will still be a monarch in 100 years’ time. In 2011, 67% of 18 to
24-year-olds thought there would definitely or probably still be a monarch in
100 years, compared to 39% today. Similarly, 57% of Britons aged 65 and older
thought the monarchy would still be around in 100 years’ time in 2011,
compared to just 33% today.
Today, those Britons who think that the country should remain a
monarchy are more confident that Britain will still have a king or queen in
100 years: 52% say we will still have a monarchy, while 31% think we will
not. Seven in 10 of those who believe we should move to having an elected
head of state say we will not have a monarchy in 100 years (69%), while just
23% think we will. The majority of Britons feel that the royal
family is less important to the country now than in 1952 While Britons do think that the monarchy should continue, the public
think the royal family is less important to the country now than it was when
the Queen ascended the throne in 1952. Today, 56% of Britons think the royal family has become less
important over the Queen’s reign, while 11% think it is more important and
21% think there has been no change. In 2012, the results were almost
identical – 53% said less important, 13% more important, 28% no change. It appears, however, that the British public’s perception of the
importance of the monarchy is affected by proximity to a Jubilee: in 2011,
when YouGov first started tracking the issue, 71% saw the monarchy as being
less important to Britain than they were in 1952. Even those who feel that the monarchy should continue in Britain are
agreed that the royal family play less of an important role today than they
did 70 years ago (50%), while just 16% see them as more important and 27%
think there has been no change. Eight in 10 (83%) of people who think the
country should elect a head of state feel that the importance of the royals
has diminished since 1952. Are Britons still proud of the monarchy? The years since the Diamond Jubilee have been rocky for the royal
family. Britons have become more embarrassed of the monarchy over the last
decade: one in six (18%) now say they are embarrassed of the Crown, compared
to just 8% in 2012. Similarly, while close to half (47%) say they are proud
of the monarchy today,
this is a drop from 57% who said they were proud of the monarchy in 2012. Seven in 10 Conservative voters (70%) say they are proud of the
monarchy, while Labour voters are split: 34% say they are proud of the
monarchy, 28% embarrassed, and 35% neither. Similarly, six in 10 Britons aged 65 and older (61%) are proud of the
Crown: that’s compared to just 23% of Britons aged 18-24 who say they are
proud of the monarchy, 28% who are embarrassed and 30% who are neither proud
nor embarrassed. Is the royal family good value for money? The royal family is funded by the ‘Sovereign Grant’
(formerly the ‘Civil List’), with the Queen normally receiving 15% of the
Crown Estate profits and the rest going to the government. In 2020/21, the
Crown Estate generated
£269m in profit. A majority of the public (55%) think that the royal family are good
value for money, with 30% saying they are bad value for money. This figure
has declined since the Diamond Jubilee, however, when close to two-thirds
(64%) saw the royal family as being good value for money. Conservative voters see the royal family as good value for money
(75%), while Labour are split: 41% say they are good value, and 44% see them
as bad value. Similarly, while 69% of Britons aged 65 and older see the
royals as good value for money, just 34% of 18 to 24-year-olds feel the same,
and 36% of younger Britons see them as not being good value for money. Eight in 10 of those who think the monarchy should continue in
Britain (80%) think the royal family are good value for money, with just 10%
saying they are bad value. Conversely, just 13% of those who think the
country should have a head of state think the royal family are good value for
money, while 79% say they are bad value. (YouGov UK) June 01, 2022 745-43-09/Polls Boris Johnson Stays As PM And Wins Confidence In The Parliamentary
Vote, Despite Public Opinion To The Contrary
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson survived a cliffhanger vote of
no confidence by his fellow Conservative Party lawmakers Monday evening,
prevailing despite deep disgust over lockdown-breaking parties at Downing
Street and broad discontent with his leadership, which one former ally
branded a “charade.” Johnson won the party-only secret balloting by 211 to 148 —
surpassing the simple majority of 180 votes he needed to remain in office.
Though he held on to his job, the vote was remarkably close for a prime
minister who helped the Conservatives win a landslide election in 2019. His salvation may have been the lack of an obvious successor within
the party. Johnson had framed the vote as “a golden chance” to “end the media’s
favorite obsession” with the boozy pandemic gatherings at his offices. And
when the result was tallied, he told broadcasters it was “convincing” and
“decisive” and allowed the Tories to “move on” and “focus on the stuff that I
think really matters to people.” But there remains an active open rebellion within his party, with
many top voices now on-the-record saying this prime minister is unfit to
serve. Fellow Conservative Party lawmakers have questioned his truthfulness
and complained that his administration is reactive and adrift. How Johnson proceeds with his domestic and foreign agenda is unclear.
He is a wounded leader. He and the Conservatives will struggle to rebuild
their brand in the face of soaring inflation and diminished public trust. And
allies in Europe and the United States are now on notice that his authority
has been undercut by his own doing. Surviving a no-confidence vote under the current rules insulates
Johnson from additional party challenges for a year. But those rules can be
changed. Looming over Monday’s vote was the recollection that Johnson’s
predecessor, Theresa May, beat a no-confidence challenge over her failed
Brexit deal in 2018, only to be forced to resign the next year. When May
faced her vote, 37 percent of her lawmakers voted against her; Johnson did
worse, with 41 percent of his lawmakers voting against him. In opinion surveys, Johnson’s polling numbers are in the dumpster
after months of drip-drip revelations about how he allowed his staff to turn
his office and residence of 10 Downing Street into an ersatz frat house
during the darkest days of the pandemic — with “BYOB” party invites, karaoke
singing, fisticuffs and vomiting. According to a recent Ipsos poll, 54 percent of British people said Johnson is
doing a bad job running the country. He was also booed by some when he
attended a jubilee service on Friday at St. Paul’s Cathedral. British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and his wife, Carrie, arrive for
a Platinum Jubilee service for Queen Elizabeth II at St Paul's Cathedral in
London on June 3. (Matt Dunham/AP) In a scathing letter posted Monday on social media,
lawmaker Jesse Norman, a former Johnson ally, said the prime minister had
presided over a “a culture of casual lawbreaking” at Downing Street. He added that his frustration extended beyond the scandal, calling
Johnson’s policy priorities “deeply questionable.” He mentioned the
government’s plan to send some asylum seekers to Rwanda and its threat to
violate the Northern Ireland protocol negotiated as part of the Brexit deal. “For you to prolong this charade by remaining in office not only
insults the electorate, and the tens of thousands of people who support,
volunteer, represent and campaign for our party,” he wrote. “it makes a
decisive change of government at the next election more likely.” After Johnson made it through the no-confidence vote, opposition
Labour Party leader Keir Starmer pounced, tweeting to voters that the “divided Tories propping
up Boris Johnson” will have “no plan to tackle the issues you are facing.” From the prime minister’s defenders, the message on Monday was that
Johnson had gotten “the big decisions right” — on Brexit, the pandemic, support
for Ukraine — and apologized for his mistakes. In a letter to Conservative lawmakers, Johnson acknowledged: “I have
come under a great deal of fire, and I know that experience has been painful
for the whole party.” He added: “Some of that criticism has perhaps been fair, some less
so.” In a communication more focused on the public, Johnson tweeted a picture of himself on the phone with
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. “President [Zelensky] just updated me
on the ongoing battle against Russian aggression in the Donbas.” Johnson has been a staunch supporter of Ukraine, mirroring U.S.
actions on sanctions against Russian oligarchs and shipping weapons to the
battlefield. After the vote, Education Secretary Nadhim Zahawi told Sky News that
Zelensky must be “punching the air” because his ally Johnson would stay on. But while Johnson has been cheered in Kyiv, calls for his resignation
have been simmering for months, fueled by what many saw as weaselly responses
to questions about Partygate and by local elections that were a disaster for Conservatives. Almost as soon as Queen Elizabeth II’s Platinum Jubilee celebrations ended, Conservatives
announced that the threshold of 54 no-confidence letters — equal to 15
percent of the party’s lawmakers in Parliament — had been reached and would
trigger a vote. Speaking to reporters, Graham Brady, the chair of the 1922 Committee
that receives no-confidence letters, said he had told Johnson on Sunday
evening that the threshold for a no-confidence vote had been met. Brady did
not say how many letters he had received. He noted that some of those calling
for a vote had said it should only take place once jubilee celebrations were
over. Will Jennings, a politics expert at the University of Southampton,
said Conservative politicians were maneuvering now — “after an obvious pause
for the jubilee” — as many have calculated that the Partygate scandal “will
hang over the PM in the run-up to the next election” in 2½ years. Johnson’s critics, Jennings said, have noticed that “voters have
moved on from Partygate, they don’t want to hear about Partygate. But they
have very much made up their minds about Partygate. They think that the prime
minister broke the rules, there’s very broad support for him going, and the
public don’t see him as trustworthy. This is starting to pose a serious
electoral threat to the Conservative Party.” But there’s no leading successor for Tory lawmakers to rally around. “I mean, we don’t have an alternative,” Business Secretary Kwasi
Kwarteng said on LBC radio. “I think the idea that we spend three months or
whatever it might be, finding a new leader and all that, going through all of
that beauty contest, is absurd.” Chancellor Rishi Sunak was once considered the party’s Plan B, but
he, too, was implicated in Partygate, and he faced a further controversy over
his billionaire wife’s tax-filing status. A YouGov
poll of Conservative Party members on Monday found that Defense
Secretary Ben Wallace, who has played a prominent role in Britain’s response
to the war in Ukraine, was the favorite to replace Johnson. But even then, he
was the pick of just 12 percent. Liz Truss, the foreign secretary who is also one of the favorites to
succeed Johnson, tweeted her
support ahead of Monday’s secret balloting: “The Prime Minister has my 100%
backing in today’s vote and I strongly encourage colleagues to support him …
He has apologised for mistakes made. We must now focus on economic growth.” Jeremy Hunt, a former foreign secretary, said in a tweet thread that he would be “voting for change.”
Some say he would make a fresh bid for the leadership if Johnson is forced
out. “Having been trusted with power, Conservative MPs know in our hearts
we are not giving the British people the leadership they deserve. We are not
offering the integrity, competence and vision necessary to unleash the
enormous potential of our country,” he said. “And because we are no longer trusted by the electorate, who know
this too, we are set to lose the next general election.” (The Washington Post) June 6, 2022 Source: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/06/06/boris-johnson-tory-leadership-vote/ 745-43-10/Polls Satisfaction With Boris Johnson Hits A New Low As Scots Feel The Cost
Of Living Crisis Bite
Ipsos’ Scottish Political Monitor, run in partnership with STV News, finds satisfaction
with Boris Johnson’s performance at an all-time low – 83% are dissatisfied
with his performance with just 12% satisfied. 59% of people in Scotland feel they are worse off than they were a
year ago. And two thirds (64%) think they would be worse off in the future if
Boris Johnson’s Conservatives win the next General Election. The SNP remains the dominant party in Scotland – 44% of those likely
to vote say they would vote for them in an immediate General Election.
However, Labour is now in second place on vote share, at 23%, compared with
19% for the Conservatives. Support for independence is finely balanced – 50% of likely voters
would vote Yes, and 50% No. General Election voting intention The SNP remains clearly ahead in voting intentions – at 44%, the
proportion of likely voters who would vote for them in an immediate General
Election is almost identical to the 45% who did vote for them in December
2019. However, at 23%, Labour’s support is higher than the 19% of the vote
they achieved in 2019. It takes them into second place, ahead of the
Conservatives on 19% (who are 6 points down on the 25% share of the vote they
took in 2019). Headline UK General Election voting intention
figures for Scotland are:
Top issues facing Scotland today Key concerns for the Scottish public are inflation / the rising cost
of living (30% mention this as an important issue facing Scotland, up 27
percentage points since November 2021), healthcare/ the NHS (27%, down 11
percentage points), education and schools (24%) and the economy (22%). The
proportion seeing Scottish independence/ devolution as one of the most
important issues facing Scotland today has fallen by 10 percentage points
since last November, to 17%. Cost of living
Leader satisfaction
Trust in the parties After 15 years in government, the SNP remain the most trusted party
across a range of issues:
Independence
Emily Gray, Managing Director of Ipsos in
Scotland, commented: Boris Johnson has never received positive
ratings in Scotland, but these latest Ipsos and STV News findings are a new
low for the Prime Minister. Although the SNP continues to dominate voting
intentions, there are tentative signs of a recovery for Scottish Labour, with
continued positive ratings for Anas Sarwar, and Labour ahead of the
Conservatives on Westminster voting intention. However, the scale of the
challenge facing Labour is underlined by the fact that after 15 years in
government the SNP remains the most trusted party across a wide range of
policy areas. This includes the cost of living – which the public say is the
most important issue facing Scotland at present. (Ipsos MORI) 1 June 2022 745-43-11/Polls Three Out Of Five Germans Have Already Downloaded A Banking App
Banking apps are becoming increasingly popular among German
consumers. With the practical, modern apps, you can check your account
balance, make transfers and much more, regardless of time and place. The
majority of Germans use banking apps or have at least downloaded such an app,
but just over one in three Germans has not yet downloaded a banking app to
their smartphone. The new YouGov study " Banking
Apps - The most important criteria and reasons for (non)use" examines
the usage behavior and the wishes of consumers with regard to banking apps. The majority of Germans have downloaded at least one banking app (59
percent). Another 35 percent of consumers have not yet done so. For
this target group, the most common arguments against downloading are concerns
about storing their own bank data on a smartphone (36 percent) and a lack of
interest in the apps (31 percent). The data shows that men are more
likely to download banking apps than women (62 percent vs. 56 percent) and
that banking apps are more popular among younger age groups: 69 percent of
25-34 year olds have downloaded at least one banking app while older
consumers (55+ years) download this technology less (52 percent).
Sparkasse app most downloaded The Sparkasse app is the most frequently downloaded app among the
downloaders. Every third German who has already downloaded a banking app
has this app on his smartphone (34 percent). In addition to the large
German branch banks such as Sparkasse (34 percent) and Volksbank (13
percent), it is above all direct banks whose banking apps are frequently
downloaded, above all ING-DiBa (14 percent), DKB (11 percent ) and comdirect
(9 percent).
The users of the respective banks give the Commerzbank and Sparkasse
apps the best overall rating: almost all Commerzbank app users rate the app
positively (52 percent excellent/very good, 42 percent good). This app
is also very well received by 90 percent of Sparkasse app users (52 percent
excellent/very good, 38 percent good). Consumers want more features Banking apps already offer users numerous functions. The most
commonly used include viewing account balances and transactions, and making
domestic transfers. But users also state that their banking apps still
lack features that they would like to use. In particular, cashback and
sales bonus functions are at the top of the wish list for app users (16
percent each).
(YouGov Germany) May
31, 2022 Source: https://yougov.de/news/2022/05/31/drei-von-funf-deutschen-haben-schon-eine-banking-a/ 745-43-12/Polls Women in Germany are more likely to donate a kidney to their own
child than men
Saturday, June 4th is International Organ Donation Day. On this
occasion, YouGov, in cooperation with Statista, asked Germans about organ
donation. Assuming you were a living kidney donor, for which you would need two
healthy kidneys and good general health – 60 percent of Germans say they
would be willing to donate a kidney to their children or their partner in
this scenario. Overall, more women say they want to donate their kidneys
for their own child (63 percent vs. 56 percent of men). Again, men are
more willing to donate to their partner (62 percent vs. 57 percent of
women). 40 percent of Germans could imagine donating their organs to
parents or siblings. One in four would donate to friends (25 percent)
and 12 percent to other people they know. 10 percent would donate their
kidney to a stranger.
Just over every third German has an organ
donor card In Germany, 36 percent say that they have an organ donor card, of
which 25 percent always carry it with them, and 11 percent do not always do
so. In the organ donor card, the issuing person declares whether they
agree to the donation of all or some organs and tissues for the purpose of a
donation after death or whether they refuse to have them
removed. Respondents aged 25 to 34 most frequently state that they have
an organ donor card (46 percent).
Germans prefer a decision solution to an
objection solution In Germany, the decision-making solution currently applies to organ
donation. Organs and tissues may only be removed after death if the
deceased gave their express consent during their lifetime. In the
absence of a decision by the deceased, relatives decide on a potential
donation. The introduction of a contradiction solution was discussed as
an alternative possibility. According to this regulation, all deceased
persons are considered donors as long as the person has not expressly
objected during their lifetime. But which organ donation law do the
Germans support? Almost half of the German population (49 percent) supports the
currently applicable decision solution, 33 percent of them completely and 16
percent rather. Almost three out of ten (28 percent) are in favor of the
contradiction solution. Men say this more often than women (31 percent
vs. 25 percent of women). 11 percent of all respondents do not feel
sufficiently informed to speak out in favor of one of the two organ donation
decisions.
(YouGov Germany) June 2, 2022 Source: https://yougov.de/news/2022/06/02/frauen-deutschland-wurden-haufiger-dem-eigenen-kin/ NORTH
AMERICA
745-43-13/Polls Economic Pessimism Growing In U S
Gallup's Economic Confidence Index measured -45 in May, down from -39
in each of the previous two months. It is the lowest reading in Gallup's
trend during the coronavirus pandemic, and likely the lowest confidence has
been since the tail end of the Great Recession in early 2009.
Gallup's Economic Confidence Index is a summary measure of Americans'
perceptions of current economic conditions and their outlook for the economy.
It has a theoretical range of +100 (if all respondents say the economy is
excellent or good and that it is getting better) to -100 (if all say it is
poor and getting worse). The latest results are based on a May 2-22 Gallup poll, conducted at
a time of record-high gas prices, elevated inflation, government reports of
declining economic growth in the first quarter, and a slumping stock market.
Low unemployment is a rare bright spot, but employers are still struggling to
find workers to fill needed jobs, which is contributing to ongoing supply
chain problems. Gallup has measured Americans' perceptions of the economy on its
multiday telephone surveys since 1992, but did so infrequently between 2009
and 2017. It is possible that confidence was lower at some point during those
years than it is now. Confidence was clearly lower than now in February 2009, when the
index registered -64 in that month's Gallup survey. Americans Less Positive About Current
Conditions Currently, 14% of U.S.
adults rate economic conditions as either "excellent" or
"good," while 46% say they are "poor," with another 39%
rating them as "only fair."
The Confidence Index takes into account the net of excellent and good versus
poor responses, which is -32 this month. In April, 20% of Americans rated the
economy positively and 42% said it was poor, a net of -22. Meanwhile, 20% of Americans say the economy is getting better and 77%
say it is getting worse, essentially the same as in April and March.
Inflation Continues to Rank Among Top U.S.
Problems Although not nearly as
common as during
the 2007 to 2009 recession, economic concerns figure prominently when
Americans are asked to name, without prompting, the most important problem
facing the U.S. Eighteen percent mention inflation specifically and 12%
mention the economy in general terms. Inflation essentially ties the
government as the top overall problem, with 19% naming the government. Other frequently cited problems include immigration, race relations
or racism, abortion, unifying the country, and crime and violence.
Mentions of inflation have leveled off since March, with readings of
17% or 18%, after increasing throughout the fall and winter months. They
remain relatively high compared with recent history but have been higher in
the past, including 52% in October 1981, 49% in January 1982 and 31% in April
1982, around the time inflation was last at its current rate. Inflation had
been named by an average of 1% of Americans between 1990 and 2021.
More generally, responses to the most important problem are similar
to April. The main exception to that is abortion, which increased from 1% to
5% after a draft opinion of a Supreme Court decision that would
overturn Roe v. Wade was
leaked. Most of those mentioning abortion are Democrats or lean Democratic,
indicating that the response mainly reflects pro-choice Americans' concerns
about overturning the decision, rather than Republicans' concerns about
abortion per se. The 5% mentioning abortion is small in absolute terms but is the
largest Gallup has measured for the issue since it began tracking mentions of
it in 1984. Ten percent of Democrats and Democratic leaners name abortion,
putting it on par with mentions of inflation (13%) and race relations (10%)
among this group, but still behind the government (17%) as the top problem. Bottom Line Americans' economic
pessimism took a turn for the worse this month, and it is likely the lowest
it has been since the end of the Great Recession. Last year, as inflation
began to increase, most other
economic factors remained healthy, including economic growth, stock values
and unemployment. But economic growth contracted in the first quarter, and if
the second quarter shows a similar decline in economic output, the U.S. will
meet the usual definition of a recession used by economists. Such a
designation could erode U.S. economic confidence even further. (Gallup) MAY 31, 2022 Source:
https://news.gallup.com/poll/393176/economic-pessimism-growing.aspx 745-43-14/Polls Concern About Drug Addiction Has Declined In U S, Even In Areas Where
Fatal Overdoses Have Risen The Most
The share of Americans who see drug addiction as a “major problem” in
their community has declined in recent years, even as drug overdose deaths in
the United States have risen sharply. Public concern about addiction is down
even in the parts of the U.S. where drug overdose death rates have increased
the most.
This Pew Research Center analysis examines changing public attitudes
about drug addiction in the United States, including in communities that have
been hit hardest by fatal drug overdoses in recent years. The public opinion data cited here comes from two Pew Research
Center surveys. The first was conducted Feb. 24-March 11, 2018, among 6,251
U.S. adults, and the second was conducted Oct. 18-24, 2021, among 9,676 U.S.
adults. Everyone who took part in these two surveys was a member of the
Center’s American Trends Panel (ATP), an online survey panel that is
recruited through national, random sampling of residential addresses. This
way nearly all U.S. adults have a chance of selection. Both surveys are
weighted to be representative of the U.S. adult population by gender, race,
ethnicity, partisan affiliation, education, and other categories. You can
read more about the
ATP’s methodology, as well as the
methodology of the 2018 and 2021
surveys. Drug overdose death rates are taken from the Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention’s WONDER database – specifically, the database showing underlying causes of
death for the years 1999 through 2020. The Center requested
age-adjusted drug overdose death rates for the years 2017 and 2020 at three
urbanization levels –urban, suburban and rural – for each state and the
District of Columbia separately. While the CDC uses six urbanization levels
based on National Center for Health Statistics classification system, the
Center collapsed those six groups into three instead – urban, suburban and
rural – following the same methodology used in a 2018
report. In addition to examining different urbanization levels, we also
grouped survey respondents into categories based on fatal drug overdose rates
in their area type (urban, suburban or rural). We used respondents’ counties
of residence to group them into the specified areas. One analysis groups
respondents based on whether urbanization-level drug overdose death rates in
their area were higher or lower than the national median at the given time
period. Another groups the same respondents based on whether the change in
drug overdose death rate in their area between 2017 and 2020 was higher than
the median increase. Survey results may differ from previously published
findings because of differences in how urban, rural and suburban
classifications were defined. Nearly 92,000 Americans died of drug overdoses in 2020, up from
around 70,000 in 2017, according to the Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention (CDC). During the same period, the rate of fatal overdoses rose from 21.7 to 28.3 per
100,000 people. Despite these increases, the share of Americans who say drug
addiction is a major problem in their local community declined
by 7 percentage points in subsequent Pew Research Center surveys –
from 42% in 2018 to 35% in 2021. And in a separate
Center survey in early 2022, dealing with drug addiction ranked
lowest out of 18 priorities for the president and Congress to address this
year. Fatal drug overdose rates increased in urban, suburban and rural
areas of the country between 2017 and 2020. But the share of Americans who
say drug addiction is a major problem decreased in all three types of areas
in the Center’s subsequent surveys. These declines ranged in size from 10
percentage points in urban areas (from 43% in 2018 to 33% in 2021) to 5
points in suburban areas (from 39% to 34%). Public concern about drug addiction has declined even in areas with
high levels of drug overdose death rates. In areas of the country with
higher-than-median drug overdose death rates in 2017 and 2020, the share of
Americans who say drug addiction is a major problem in their community fell
by 8 points between 2018 and 2021, from 45% to 37%. This pattern is nearly identical in areas where drug overdose death
rates climbed by more than the median increase between 2017 and 2020. Some
44% of Americans living in these areas said drug addiction was a major
problem in their community in 2018, but that share fell to 38% in 2021. It’s not clear why public concern about drug addiction has declined
in recent years, even in areas where overdose death rates have risen quickly.
Surveys by the Center show that Americans have prioritized
other issues, including the national economy, reducing health care costs
and dealing with the coronavirus outbreak. The increase in overdose deaths
may also be overshadowed, particularly amid the high
number of deaths attributed to the coronavirus outbreak (though, as
of this month, far
fewer see the virus as a very big problem facing the country). (PEW) MAY 31, 2022 745-43-15/Polls A Majority Of Teens Prefer In-Person Over Virtual Or Hybrid Learning
More than two years after the COVID-19
outbreak forced school officials to shift classes and assignments
online, teens continue to navigate the pandemic’s impact on their education
and relationships, even while they experience glimpses of normalcy as they
return to the classroom.
Eight-in-ten U.S. teens ages 13 to 17 say they attended school
completely in person over the past month, according to a new Pew Research
Center survey conducted April 14-May 4. Fewer teens say they attended school
completely online (8%) or did so through a mix of both online and in-person
instruction (11%) in the month prior to taking the survey. When it comes to the type of learning environment youths prefer,
teens strongly favor in-person over remote or hybrid learning. Fully 65% of
teens say they would prefer school to be completely in person after the
COVID-19 outbreak is over, while a much smaller share (9%) would opt for a
completely online environment. Another 18% say they prefer a mix of both
online and in-person instruction, while 7% are not sure of their preferred
type of schooling after the pandemic.
Across major demographic groups, teens favor attending school
completely in person over other options. Still there are some differences
that emerge by race and ethnicity and household income. While 70% of White teens and 64% of Hispanic teens say they would
prefer for school to be completely in person after the COVID-19 outbreak is
over, that share drops to 51% among Black teens. At the same time, Black or
Hispanic teens are more likely than White teens to prefer a mix of both
online and in-person instruction post-pandemic. In addition, 71% of teens living in higher-income households earning
$75,000 or more a year report they prefer for school to be completely in
person after the pandemic is over. That share drops to six-in-ten or less
among those whose annual family income is less than $75,000. Preference for
hybrid schooling is also more common among teens living in households earning
less than $75,000 a year than among teens in households earning more. Teens and parents express their views about
virtual learning and the pandemic’s impact on educational achievement From declining
test scores to widening achievement
gaps, teachers, parents and advocates have raised concerns about the
negative impact the pandemic may have had on students. Beyond academic woes,
experts also warn that these disruptions could have lingering
effects on young people’s mental and emotional well-being.
Teens hold mixed views of how their schools tackled remote schooling.
Some 28% of teens say they are extremely or very satisfied with the way their
school has handled virtual learning, while a similar share report being only
a little or not at all satisfied with their school’s performance. Some teens
fall in the middle of the spectrum, with 33% saying they are somewhat
satisfied with this. (Another 9% state their school has not had virtual
learning.) In addition to having teens weigh in on these subjects, the Center
also asked parents of these same teens about their child’s experience with
school during the pandemic. The survey finds that parents, too, hold somewhat
divided views on remote learning, though they offer a somewhat more positive
assessment than their children. About four-in-ten parents of teens (39%) say
they are extremely or very satisfied with the way their child’s school has
handled virtual learning; 33% say they are somewhat satisfied about this,
while 20% report being only a little or not at all satisfied by this. When asked about the effect COVID-19 may have had on their schooling,
a majority of teens express little to no concern about falling behind in
school due to disruptions caused by the outbreak. Still, there are youth who
worry the pandemic has hurt them academically: 16% of teens say they are extremely
or very worried they may have fallen behind in school because of
COVID-19-related disturbances. Parents tend to express more concern than their children. Roughly
three-in-ten parents report they are extremely (12%) or very (16%) worried
their teen may have fallen behind in school due to the pandemic.
The level of concern about falling behind in school varies by race
and ethnicity – for both teens and their parents. Roughly three-in-ten Hispanic teens (28%) say they are extremely or
very worried they may have fallen behind in school because of disruptions
caused by the coronavirus outbreak, compared with 19% of Black teens and 11%
of White teens.1 This
pattern is present among parents as well. Hispanic parents (42%) are more
likely than their White (25%) or Black counterparts (23%) to report being
extremely or very worried their teen may have fallen behind in school during
this time. Teens and parents from lower-income households are also more likely
to express concern about the pandemic’s negative impact on schooling. For
example, 44% of parents living in households earning less than $30,000 a year
say they are extremely or very worried their teen has fallen behind in school
because of COVID-19 disruptions, but this falls to 24% among those whose
annual household income is $75,000 or more. Teens from households making less
than $75,000 annually are also more likely than those from households with
higher incomes to express concern about falling behind in school. More than four-in-ten teens report feeling
closer to their parents or guardians since the start of the pandemic With recent research pointing to the negative
impacts the coronavirus outbreak has had on adolescents’ social
connections, teens were asked to share how their relationships may have
changed since the start of the COVID-19 outbreak.
Some 45% of teens say they feel more close to their parents or
guardians compared with before the beginning of the coronavirus outbreak. A
smaller share says the same for their friends, extended family, classmates or
teachers. At the same time, some teens express feeling less connected to
certain groups. Roughly one-third say they feel less close to classmates
(33%) or teachers (30%), while 24% each feel this way about their friends or
extended family. Just 5% of teens say they feel less close to their parents
or guardians than they did before the pandemic. Still, the most common responses to these questions hint at social
stability. Roughly half or more teens say they are about as close to their
friends, parents or guardians, classmates, extended family or teachers as
they were before the beginning of the COVID-19 outbreak. Teens’ views about how their relationships may have evolved during
the pandemic share similar sentiments across many of the demographic groups
explored in the study. There are, however, some modest differences by race
and ethnicity. For example, Hispanic and Black teens are more likely than
White teens to say they feel less close to their friends than before the
pandemic. About three-in-ten teens face at least one
challenge related to the ‘homework gap’ Even prior to the COVID-19 outbreak, some
teens faced problems completing their homework because they lacked a
computer or internet access at home – a phenomenon often referred to as the “homework
gap.” And as students pivoted
to virtual learning, and later shifted
between online and in-person classes, access to technology and
reliable internet connectivity continued to be crucial to student success. The new survey reveals some teens – especially those from less
affluent households – face digital challenges to completing their schoolwork.
About one-in-five teens (22%) say they often or sometimes have to do their
homework on a cellphone. Some 12% say they at least sometimes are not able to
complete homework assignments because they do not have reliable access to a
computer or internet connection, while 6% say they have to use public Wi-Fi
to do their homework at least sometimes because they do not have an internet
connection at home. (Respondents were not specifically asked to think about
the pandemic when asked these questions.)
As in previous
Center studies, parents’ socioeconomic status matters when it comes to
homework gap challenges.2 Some 24% of teens who live in a household making less than $30,000 a
year say they at least sometimes are not able to complete their homework
because they do not have reliable access to a computer or internet
connection, compared with 14% of those in a household making $30,000 to
$74,999, and 8% of those in a household making $75,000 or more. Teens whose
parent reports an annual income of less than $30,000 are also more likely to
say they often or sometimes have to do homework on a cellphone or use public
Wi-Fi for homework, compared with those living in higher-earning households. There are similar patterns by parental education: Larger shares of
teens whose parent has a high school diploma or less say they at least
sometimes face each of the three challenges the survey asked about, compared
with those whose parent has a bachelor’s or advanced degree. When it comes to racial and ethnic differences, Hispanic teens are
more likely than both Black and White teens to say they at least sometimes
are not able to complete homework because they lack reliable computer or
internet access, and they are more likely than White teens to say the same
about having to do their homework on a cellphone or using public Wi-Fi for
homework. Black and White teens are equally likely to report at least sometimes
experiencing each of the three problems the survey covered. All told, 28% of teens experience at least one of these three homework-related
challenges often or sometimes. Some 43% of teens living in a household with
an annual income of less than $30,000 report at least sometimes facing one or
more of these challenges to completing homework – about twice the share of
teens from households making $75,000 or more annually and 13 percentage
points higher than the share of teens in a household making $30,000 to
$74,999 annually who say so. And 34% of Hispanic teens have experienced the
same – 10 points higher than the share of White teens who have experienced at
least one of these challenges at least sometimes, but statistically
equivalent to the share of Black teens who report this.
For some youth, these challenges have made it harder to keep up with
their homework. Among those who have not been able to complete homework often
or sometimes due to lack of reliable computer or internet access, 36% say it
has made keeping up with their homework a lot harder. About one-in-five of those who at least
sometimes have to do homework on their cellphone say the same. Teen computer access at home differs by
parent’s level of education, household income
While most teens say they have a home computer, there are some –
particularly those living in households with lower incomes or whose parent
has a high school education or less – who do not have this technology at
home. One-in-ten teens report not having access to a desktop or laptop
computer at home. This rises to one-in-five for those living in a household with an
annual income of less than $30,000, and to a similar share (19%) for teens
whose parent has a high school diploma or less formal education. (PEW) JUNE 2, 2022 Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/internet/2022/06/02/how-teens-navigate-school-during-covid-19/ 745-43-16/Polls Progressive Conservatives (41%) Knocking On Door Of Second Majority
In Ontario
Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservatives are poised to form
government once again, with another majority likely in the cards. A new Ipsos
poll of 2,501 eligible voters in Ontario reveals that the Progressive
Conservatives under Doug Ford would receive 41% of the decided vote, up 3
points since the middle of the campaign. With victory nearly certain, the two
remaining questions on election night will be: 1) will the PCs form another
majority government (which is more likely than not given Liberal-NDP vote
splitting), and 2) who will form the official opposition? The race for the official opposition position is extremely tight. The
NDP under Andrea Horwath (25%, +2) and the Liberals led by Steven Del Duca (24%,
-4) are statistically tied, meaning that either could potentially form the
official opposition, and the result will come down to turnout and whichever
party is better able to motivate its voters tomorrow. The poll also
shows that the Green Party under Mike Schreiner would receive 6% of the vote
(unchanged), while other parties (including the New Blue) would receive 4%
(-1). One in eleven (9%) voters remains undecided, while the remainder of
Ontarians say they will not vote (4%) or refused to respond to the question
(1%). Six in ten (60%) Ontarians who declared their support for a party say
they’re absolutely certain of their choice, leaving four in ten who are not
as certain. Supporters of the PC Party are the most certain of their choice
(66%), while Liberal (60%), NDP (55%), Green (43%) and other (49%) supporters
are less certain. This means there is still time for movement of votes
particularly among the progressive parties. It also suggests a certain degree
of apathy which could result in lower turnout among supporters of these
parties. Further, PC supporters are slightly more likely to say they’re
completely certain to vote (71%) than supporters of the Liberals (68%), NDP
(67%), Greens (56%) and others (60%). The key to electoral success in Ontario is to win the vote in the
most populous regions of the province, namely the GTA and Southwestern
Ontario. In this respect, the PCs have a strong advantage, particularly in
the 905 where their twenty-point lead is substantial. But even in the City of
Toronto the PCs are competitive, and they also lead in every other region of
the province. Estimated Share of the Decided Popular Vote by Region
Strong Underlying Fundamentals for the Ford
Government will Propel them to Victory Underscoring the strong figures for the Progressive Conservatives is
that four in ten (43%, up 2 points since mid-campaign) believe that the Ford
government has done a good job and deserves re-election, a figure which, in
our experience, tracks closely to the percentage of the popular vote the
incumbent receives on election day. Conversely, 54% believe it’s time for
another party to take over at Queen’s Park, while 3% don’t know and 1%
refused. Moreover, a majority (55%, up 3 points since mid-campaign) approves
(14% strongly/41% somewhat) of the performance of the Progressive
Conservative government under the leadership of Doug Ford, while a minority
(43%) disapproves (23% strongly/20% somewhat). Two percent (2%) are unsure. Finally, the person whom Ontarians think would make the best premier
will almost certainly be premier after June 2nd. A growing
proportion (45%) of Ontarians (up 5 points since mid-campaign) believe that
Doug Ford would make the best premier of the province, well ahead of main
rivals Andrea Horwath (29%, unchanged) and Steven Del Duca (19%, down 3
points). Nearly one in ten are either not sure (6%) or refused to respond
(2%). (Ipsos Canada) 1 June 2022 745-43-17/Polls Half (50%) Of Canadians Who Do Not Currently Own Their Home Are
Unlikely To Buy One In The Future
A new Ipsos poll conducted on behalf of the Chartered Professional
Accountants of Canada reveals that many Canadians who do not already own
their home might be giving up on the dream of home ownership. Indeed, half
(50%) of Canadians who do not currently own their home say they are unlikely
to buy one in the future. While home ownership might not be part of the plan for everyone, it’s
clear that many of those who do not own their home but want to will face
considerable challenges in their quest for home ownership. Those who do not
currently own their home were asked to rate the extent to which various
considerations would represent a challenge, in terms of pursuing home
ownership. Overall, the threat of interest rates increasing (89%) is viewed
as the greatest challenge, followed by being able to afford a down payment
(84%), renovations (83%), property taxes (81%) or mortgage payments (81%).
Most (69%) within this group also admit that income stability would signify a
challenge, for them. The housing market has become difficult to enter for those who are
not yet already in it, particularly members of the younger generations – Gen
Zers and Millennials. This has not crushed their youthful optimism, however,
as most Gen Zers (75%) and Millennials (70%) who do not currently own their
home are confident they will buy a house in the future. By comparison, less
than two in five (38%) Gen Xers and just thirteen percent (13%) of Boomers
who don’t own their homes expect to buy a house in the future. The survey evidence suggests that many Gen Zers and Millennials might
be choosing to live with their parents for longer than what is traditionally
expected, due to exorbitant housing prices. Overall, as many as one-third
(33%) of Canadians who have adult children (aged 18+) report that their adult
children are still living with them in their home. When asked why their adult
child(ren) are living with them, three in ten (31%) claim it is because
housing is too expensive for their adult child(ren). The situation is difficult for homeowners,
too Many of those who
already own their home admit that maintaining and improving it is
challenging, even though they already own their home. Affordability is an
issue for many homeowners, as almost half (46%) are struggling with basic
maintenance of their home or paying
maintenance fees while slightly fewer (40%) are finding mortgage payments and
property taxes challenging. One in three (35%) feel as though keeping up with
utility payments is a challenge. (Ipsos Canada) 2 June 2022 AUSTRALIA
745-43-18/Polls Cellarbrations Wins ‘Best Of The Best’ Award
Cellarbrations is the first liquor store to win the prestigious ‘Best
of the Best’ Award and breaks the four year streak of the ‘Car Manufacturer
of the Year’ category which had wins in the ‘Best of the Best’ Award for
Isuzu UTE in 2018 and 2020 and Lexus in 2017 and 2019. View a full list of all 37 of the 2021 Roy
Morgan Customer Satisfaction Award Winners here.
Top 10 Roy Morgan Customer Satisfaction
Award Winners 2021
Michele Levine, Chief Executive Officer,
Roy Morgan says Cellarbrations has performed exceptionally well during 2021
providing an ‘essential service’ to millions of Australians during a year of
extensive lockdowns – particularly in Australia’s largest cities: “Cellarbrations notched up eight straight
monthly victories during 2021 and is the first Liquor Store to take out the
presitigious Roy Morgan ‘Best of the Best’ Award. Cellarbrations had an
average customer satisfaction of 96.6% in 2021 to just edge out defending
champion Isuzu UTE on 96.1%. “Liquor stores were considered essential
services during the COVID-19 pandemic and Australians forced to spend
extended periods at home were able to frequent the stores to keep supplies of
their favourite drop topped up. Rival store First Choice Liquor finished a
close second to Isuzu UTE in last year’s ‘Best of the Best Award’ during the
first year of the pandemic. “There were several companies to follow up
with consecutive finishes in the top 10 of the ‘Best of the Best’ including
Supermarket of the Year ALDI with an average customer satisfaction rating of
95.1% in fourth place and Handset of the Year winner the Apple iPhone on
94.3% in seventh place. Apple iPhone has featured in the top 10 on a
record-equalling four out of five occasions in the last five years. “Aussie Broadband’s reputation continues to
grow with the Internet Service Provider of the Year one of only four
companies to finish in the top 10 of the ‘Best of the Best’ in consecutive
years with an average customer satisfaction of an exceptional 93.2% up from
an average of 91.3% in 2020. “Another notable winner was ‘Bank of the
Year’ Bank First which was one of only two first-time winners, along with
overall winner Cellarbrations, to feature in the top 10 of the ‘Best of the
Best’. Bank First, formerly known as the Victoria Teachers Mutual Bank, came
in equal fifth in the award with an average customer satisfaction rating of
94.4% during 2021.” (Roy Morgan) May 31 2022 MULTICOUNTRY
STUDIES
745-43-19/Polls Research In 6 APAC Countries On Consumer Attitudes Towards Various
Financial Service Providers
Research by YouGov on consumer attitudes towards various financial
service providers reveals that fewer than half in APAC say they trust digital-only banks (44%) compared to
almost three-quarters for traditional
banks (73%). Digital-only banks, which exist entirely online
and have no physical presence, are also known as neo- or virtual banks.
An earlier YouGov study found that the vast majority of consumers
in Australia, Hong
Kong, Indonesia, Singapore have
concerns about using digital financial services – such as digital-only banks,
e-wallets and cryptocurrencies. Those concerns include too much risk from
hackers, potential identity theft, not having access to their money without
an internet connection, and insufficient fraud protection measures.
Wariness of digital-only banks is highest among consumers in
Indonesia and Singapore – where trust in these internet-only banks is at least 40
percentage points lower than that for traditional banks. While more
than four in five Indonesians trust
traditional banks (82%) fewer than two in five trust digital-only banks
(38%). Similarly, more than three-quarters of Singaporeans trust traditional banks (78%), but fewer
than two in five trust digital-only banks (37%). Confidence in digital-only banks is highest among consumers in Australia
and India – where trust is at most 21 percentage points lower than
that for traditional banks. More than three in five Australians trust digital-only banks
(62%) versus three-quarters for traditional banks (75%), while more than half
of Indians trust
digital-only banks (51%) versus under three-quarters for traditional banks
(72%). Meanwhile, in China and Hong Kong, trust in digital-only banks
lags that of traditional banks by 30 and 37 percentage points respectively.
How does trust in digital-only and
traditional banks vary across different generations in key APAC markets? Among Gen Z consumers
in APAC, on average, two in three trust traditional banks (67%) while under
half have faith in digital-only banks (48%). Trust in digital-only banks lags traditional banks the most among Gen
Z consumers in Singapore (by
29 points) and Hong Kong (by
26 points) – above the APAC average of a 19-point trust gap – less so in
Indonesia (by 13 points) and Australia (by 8 points). Notably, Gen Z consumers’ trust of digital-only banks in Hong Kong (39%) is
significantly lower than
that of the APAC average (48%). Additionally, Gen Z consumers’ trust of traditional banks is also
significantly lower in
Australia (53%) but significantly higher in
Singapore (79%) when compared to the APAC average (67%).
Among Millennial consumers
across the whole of APAC, five in seven trust traditional banks (72%) while
under half would have confidence in digital-only banks (47%). Trust in digital-only banks lags traditional banks the most among
Millennial consumers in Hong Kong and Singapore (both by 33 points) –
above the APAC average of a 25-point trust gap – less so in Indonesia (by 22
points) and Australia (by 15 points). Notably, Millennial consumers’ trust of digital-only banks in Hong Kong
(37%) and Singapore (40%) is significantly lower than that of the APAC average (47%).
Additionally, Millennial consumers’ trust of traditional banks in Australia (61%) is also
significantly lower than
that of the APAC average (72%).
Among Gen X consumers
in APAC, on average, three in four trust traditional banks (77%) while over
two-fifths would put their faith in digital-only banks (44%). Trust in digital-only banks lags traditional banks the most among Gen
X consumers in Hong Kong (by
44 points) and Singapore (by
42 points) – well above the APAC average of a 33-point trust gap – less so in
Indonesia (by 26 points) and Australia (by 28 points). Notably, Gen X consumers’ trust of digital-only banks in Singapore (34%) and Australia
(36%) is significantly lower than
that of the APAC average (44%). Additionally, Gen X consumers’ trust of traditional banks is also
significantly lower in
Australia (64%) but significantly higher in
Hong Kong (85%) when compared to the APAC average (77%).
Among Baby Boomer consumers
across the whole of APAC, four in five trust traditional banks (81%) while
just one-third feel the same about digital-only banks (33%). Trust in digital-only banks lags traditional banks the most among
Baby Boomer consumers in Hong Kong (by
62 points) – much higher than the APAC average of a 48-point trust gap. This
is relatively less so in Indonesia (by 51 points), Singapore (by 50 points)
and Australia (by 47 points). Notably, Baby Boomer consumers’ trust of digital-only banks in Australia
(23%) is significantly lower than
that of the APAC average (33%). Additionally, Baby Boomer consumers’ trust of
traditional banks is also significantly lower in
Australia (70%) but significantly higher in
Hong Kong (96%) when compared to the APAC average (81%).
(YouGov Hong Kong) May 30, 2022 Source: https://hk.yougov.com/en-hk/news/2022/05/30/consumer-trust-traditional-vs-digital-banks-survey/ 745-43-20/Polls A 11-Country Ipsos Survey With The World Economic Forum Reveals High
Levels Of Public Economic Pessimism
25% of the public say they are finding it quite or very difficult to
manage financially these days: ranging between two thirds of Turkish
citizens (67%) and 16% of those in the US and Germany. The largest group say
they are “just about getting by” – 34% overall and over half (54%) of those
in Poland. Just 11% say they are living comfortably and three in ten (29%)
feel they are doing alright.
In seven of eleven countries, a majority
say they are concerned about their ability to pay their household bills over
the next six months. This includes almost three
quarters of Turkish people (72%) and six in ten people from Poland (62%),
Great Britain (60%) and Spain (59%). Across the eleven
markets, almost four in five people expect the cost of their food shopping to
increase (79%). Concern about rising food prices is highest in Great Britain,
where almost nine in ten expect an increase in costs (88%). Over three quarters of citizens in the 11 markets expect rises in
utility bills (77%). Britons are again the most likely to say they
expect an increase in these costs (89%), followed by the French (85%),
Germans and Poles (both 84%). Expectations are lowest in Japan (55%), but
this is the category in which the Japanese public are most likely to say they
think costs will rise. Just under three quarters say they expect an increase in the costs of
motoring fuel (73%), with Turkish (81%) and Polish (79%) citizens the most
likely to say they expect rises, followed by Italians (78%). The most common public responses to rising
costs revolve around cutting spending rather than changing behaviour. The
top three most common actions the public say they would take if price rises
meant they were no longer able to afford their normal lifestyle are spending
less on socialising (44%), delaying large purchase decisions (41%) and
spending less on non-food household shopping (38%). Some countries are more
likely to say they will change their behaviour to help save money. While 36%
across the eleven markets say they would use less heating, electricity or
water, half of Britons say they will take this action (49%), as do 46% of Germans and 44% of those in Turkey. And
while three in ten overall say they would use a car or motor vehicle less
(29%), those in Turkey, Germany and France are more likely than average to
say this (42%, 34% and 34% respectively). By contrast, relatively few say they would
ask for a pay rise or look to move to a higher paying job in response to the
rising cost of living. These rank below a range
of other approaches including spending less on socialising (45%), using less
heating electricity and water (34%) and spending less on food (27%). Among
those in employment in the 11 countries, just sixteen per cent say they would
look for higher paid work with another employer and eleven per cent say they
would ask their current employer for a pay rise. These responses are
more common in some countries. For instance, in Poland a quarter of workers
say they would look for a new higher paying job (25%) and 17% would ask for a
pay rise, and in the US these figures are 20% and 15%. These figures are lower in western European countries: 15% of Britons
say they would look to move job and just seven per cent said they would ask
for a pay rise. In France, both options are at 15% and in Germany both are at
just ten per cent. In most countries the public view rising
inflation as being driven by external and global factors. Overall,
the public are most likely to say that the state of the global economy is
contributing a great deal or a fair amount to the rising cost of living
(77%), alongside the consequences of the Russian invasion of Ukraine (76%)
and followed by the COVID-19 pandemic (72%). The actions of
companies and individuals rank lower – while 64% overall say businesses
making excessive profits is contributing to rising prices it is not in the top three for any countries except
Spain (72%). And fewer still see workers demanding price rises as a factor,
although in the US almost six in ten mention it (58%). (Ipsos Denmark) 30 May 2022 Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-dk/global-perceptions-of-inflation-2022 745-43-21/Polls A 43 Country Survey Reveals The Purchasing Preferences Of Consumers
In Health And Beauty Products
The pandemic drove businesses digital, but two years later, do
consumers tend to buy health and beauty products online or
in-store? Data from YouGov's new tool, Global Profiles, reveals the
purchasing preferences of consumers within the sector. Global Profiles tracks consumers' thoughts, feelings, behaviors and
habits, and monitors global trends and media consumption in 43
markets. In this article, we analyze 24 countries from all the markets
studied in Global Profiles. A quarter of global consumers say they split
their purchases of health and beauty products equally between online stores
and physical stores (23%). Around one in ten global consumers (10%) say they tend to do all of
their health and beauty purchases online, while around twice as many say they
shop mostly online (22%). More than one in ten consumers say they tend
to buy mostly (16%) or everything in a physical store (15%). European markets are at the bottom of the list of consumers who tend
to buy beauty products mainly online. Consumers in these markets reveal
that they are most likely to shop entirely in-store: Switzerland (37%),
Germany and France (32% each). In Spain ,
17% of consumers say they buy mostly or completely online (12% and 5%
respectively). 22% of Spaniards opt
for a hybrid between both purchasing models, while more than half of the
population (51%) declare that they make purchases mostly (22%) or totally
(29%) in physical stores. Chinese and Indian
consumers are more likely than global respondents to say they shop entirely
online (16% and 13% respectively) and lead this type of behavior, while 10% of Vietnamese consumers are likely to
do so . However, fully online shopping is less popular in other Asian
markets: in Singapore, the figure stands at 5%, while Hong Kong closes the
list with less than one in 20 consumers (2%). The impossibility of trying cosmetic products online could be an
important factor for a greater proportion of consumers to prefer to buy in
the physical store.
North American markets are the most likely to say they shop entirely
in-store, with more than a third of Canadians (32%) and Mexicans (33%)
preferring an in-person shopping experience. The figure drops slightly
among Americans, where almost a quarter (24%) say they buy their health and
beauty products exclusively from a physical store. South American markets, like their North American counterparts, are
also more likely to say they do all of their health and beauty purchases in a
physical store: Argentina (28%) and Colombia (24%). However, consumers
in Brazil are more likely to say that they tend to split their purchases
equally between online and physical store (24%), followed by "everything
in physical store" (21%). Some markets in which physical store purchases register a lower
figure are China (5%), Vietnam (7%), India, Singapore and Saudi Arabia (11%
each). Further analysis of the data by age suggests that there could be a
generational difference between consumers who tend to do most of their
shopping in-store and those who tend to shop online. Older consumers
continue to prefer the traditional way of shopping, with more than a quarter
of those over 55 (26%) saying they buy all of their health and beauty
products offline. Consumers ages 35-44 and 45-54 are split evenly in
their online vs. physical store shopping habits (27% and 25%, respectively). A
similar proportion of consumers aged 18-24 and 25-34 say they are more likely
to shop primarily online (25% and 26%, respectively). (YouGov Spain) May 30, 2022 Source: https://es.yougov.com/news/2022/05/30/online-o-tienda-fisica-compra-de-productos-de-bell/ |
