BUSINESS & POLITICS IN THE WORLD

 

GLOBAL OPINION REPORT NO. 743

 

 

Week: May 16 – May 22, 2022

 

Presentation: May 27, 2022

 

 

Contents

 

743-43-22/Commentary: Rich Countries Of The World Are Not Free From Deprivations; 25 % In The UK Skipping A Meal, Majority Of Canadians Wish To Age And Die In Their Own Homes But Only 12% Can. 2

ASIA   11

Nearly Nine In Ten Consumers In Singapore Have Some Concerns About Using Digital Financial Services. 11

91% Of Consumers In Hong Kong Have Some Concerns About Using Digital Financial Services. 15

WEST EUROPE.. 19

A Quarter Of Britons Say They’ve Skipped Meals Due To Rising Cost Of Living As 3 In 4 Think The Government Is Not Providing Enough Support 19

Majority Support Return Of Mandatory Masks, But Very Few (28%) Are Wearing Them Every Time They Shop. 22

Spring 2022: How Many Voters Would Be Willing To Vote For Another Party. 27

Only 16% Of Scottish Football Fans Think A European Victory Is Likely For A Scottish Team... 28

Majority Of Scots Are Concerned About Climate Change And Are Aware Of Its Risks To Scotland. 29

63% Of French People Surveyed Say They Have Never Forgotten Mother's Day. 32

73 Percent Of Consumers Are Interested In Smart Garden Tools. 33

NORTH AMERICA.. 35

More Than Half Of Americans Live Within An Hour Of Extended Family. 36

41% In U S Worry A Great Deal About Race Relations. 40

Around A Third Of Black Adults (32%) Said They Worried Every Day Or Almost Every Day That They Might Be Threatened Or Attacked. 43

51% Of Americans Favor, 47% Oppose Nuclear Energy. 47

Nearly All Canadians 45+ Years Want To Age At Home, But Only 1 In 10 (12%) Say They Can Afford The Cost Of A Personal Support Worker 50

AUSTRALIA.. 51

ALP 53% Leads The L-NP 47% And Set To Win The Election With A Swing Of 4.5% Since The 2019 Federal Election  51

Australian Unemployment Jumps To 9.7% In April; Highest Since July 2021 But Under-Employment Unchanged  56

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES. 62

Inflation: The Perceptions Of Citizens Of 11 Countries. 62

Britons Tend To Think The UK Would Come Out Worse In A Trade War With The EU, A Study In Seven Countries  67

The Role Of Technology In Our Life And Concern About Sharing Personal Data Online Views Of Individuals From 39 Countries Across The Globe. 69

Should Ukraine Get Automatic Qualification To The World Cup; Scottish And Welsh Fans Say No. 71

 


 

INTRODUCTORY NOTE

 

This weekly report consists of twenty one surveys. The report includes four multi-country studies from different states across the globe.

 

743-43-22/Commentary: Rich Countries Of The World Are Not Free From Deprivations; 25 % In The UK Skipping A Meal, Majority Of Canadians Wish To Age And Die In Their Own Homes But Only 12% Can

  • Britons have taken a range of actions in response to the rising cost of living, such as keeping the heating off, going out socialising less and switching to a cheaper supermarket.
  • Those in the North East/Yorkshire and Humber and Greater London most likely to believe they will be hit harder by cost of living than other parts of the country.
  • Three-quarters say the UK Government is not doing enough to support the people through the crisis.

New research by Ipsos in the UK shows many Britons report taking measures in response to rises in their cost of living.

As the cost of living crisis continues to squeeze, around two-thirds say they have kept their heating off when they would normally have turned it on (65%) while half (52%) are already going out socialising less than normal.

Rises in cost of living have seen 2 in 3 turn down their heating, 2 in 5 driving less or changing supermarkets, whilst 1 in 4 say they have skipped meals - Ipsos

Around a quarter of Britons have already skipped meals in response to the cost of living crisis (27%), rising to one in three of those on lower incomes. Other actions taken include changing their supermarkets for cheaper alternatives (44%), driving their car less (44%) and using price comparison websites to look for cheaper energy providers (39%).

What do Britons expect?

Most Britons expect to see increases in the costs of essentials over the next 6 months. Almost 9 in 10 (87%) believe their utilities (e.g. water, gas, etc.) will go up while similar proportions expect to see the same effect on the cost of their food (86%) and other household shopping (80%). Around 3 in 4 think motoring fuel costs will go up (73%) while 64% believe the cost of going out socialising will increase. More than half (56%) believe costs of subscriptions, such as media or leisure, will go up while around 4 in 10 (43%) believe their mortgage or rent will become more expensive.

Britons expect their household spending to increase over the next six months - Ipsos

Unsurprisingly, large majorities of Britons are concerned about the cost of living crisis and the impact it will have. Nine in 10 (89%) are concerned for the country as a whole while 83% are worried about the impacts on themselves personally. Eight in 10 (79%) are concerned about the effects it will have on people in their local area.

Where is the crisis expected to be worst?

People living in North East/Yorkshire and Humber and Greater London are most likely to say the cost of living over the next six months will be worse in their local area than other parts of the country (both 28%). Meanwhile, those in the South East (30%) are most likely to say their local area will not be as badly affected as other parts of the country.
North East / Yorkshire, Humber and London more likely to expect to be worse affected by rises in the cost of living compared to other parts of the country - Ipsos
Across the country as a whole, 1 in 5 (19%) say the cost of living will be worse in their local area than in other parts of the country while half (50%) say it will be about the same as other areas and 22% expect not to be hit as badly as other places.

The role of the UK Government and local councils

Around three-quarters (76%) of Britons think the UK Government is not providing enough support to their local area on the cost of living, while only 10% say it is providing the right amount of support and 8% too much. There is little difference across party lines, 71% of those who voted for the current Conservative government in 2019 say it is not providing enough support while 82% of 2019 Labour voters say the same.

Just under two-thirds (63%) say their local council is not doing enough to support people while 16% say it is providing the right amount of support and 7% too much.

Gideon Skinner, head of political research at Ipsos, said:

Concern about inflation is at a thirty-year high in Ipsos polling, and Britons across the country see the cost of living as both a national, local, and personal priority.  People are already telling us they have taken a range of actions to mitigate its effects – some with a direct impact on basics like food and heating – but given the economic forecasts there may well be more anxiety on the horizon.  This is going to maintain pressure on the Government to take more steps to help people through the cost of living crisis – already an area where they are less trusted than Labour, but this is an issue where even their own supporters want them to do more.

(Ipsos MORI)

16 May 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/quarter-of-britons-say-they-have-skipped-meals-3-in-4-think-government-not-providing-support

 

To mark Personal Support Workers (PSW) Day on May 19, HomeEquity Bank and Ipsos conducted a survey among Canadians aged 45+ to learn more about the important ways in which personal support workers (PSWs) make a difference in the lives of those they support (and their loved ones). The survey also sought to uncover Canadians’ attitudes towards home care and how they may be planning to finance their own potential home care in the future.

 

PSWs Play a Role in the Physical and Emotional Wellbeing of Seniors

Nearly one in five (18%) Canadians aged 45+ years report either having a PSW helping them (3%) or knowing someone who has PSW support (15%). A further 18% think that while they do not have a PSW now, they may need one in the future.

For those who have a PSW, know someone who has PSW support, or think they may need this support in the future, the value of a PSW is clear. Ways in which respondents highlight the assistance PSWs can provide include carrying out household tasks (59%), help in maintaining personal hygiene (51%), help in meal preparation (43%), help with medical treatments (40%), and allowing those they support to have a higher quality of life (40%).

Beyond physical assistance, respondents highlighted the emotional and interpersonal value of PSWs, including how PSWs help with social contact (31%) and provide empathy and emotional support (30%). These data are reinforced by the fact that 93% of Canadians aged 45+ years agree (45% strongly/48% somewhat) that PSWs positively impact the lives of Canadians of all ages.

 

Most Want to Age at Home, But May Need to Make Budget Cuts to Afford It

The research found that 95% of Canadian adults aged 45+ years agree (57% strongly/38% somewhat) that being able to age in-place would allow them to maintain their independence, comfort, and dignity. Perhaps accordingly, 92% agree (52% strongly/40% somewhat) that as they age, they would prefer in-home care over moving to a long-term care facility. Eight in ten (79%) agree (25% strongly/53% somewhat) that they would only consider long-term care or assisted living if they couldn’t afford in-home care.

While the idea of ageing at home is appealing, the cost of in-home care may require making some financial adjustments. The survey shows that only 12% of respondents report having enough room in their budget for in-home care, which can cost between $150 and $600 per day. When asked what they would cut in their budget if they needed to afford a personal care worker, respondents highlighted the following financial sacrifices they would consider:

  • Alter travel and entertainment spending (63%)
  • Revise budget for home renovation (50%)
  • Change plans to leave a legacy for family (42%)
  • Adjust food and living expenses (23%)
  • Modify budget for paying down debt (17%)
  • Reconsider budget for costly medications (13%)

(Ipsos Canada)

19 May 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Nearly-All-Canadians-45-Want-Age-Home-But-Only-1-in-10-Afford-Cost-PSW

 

SUMMARY OF POLLS

ASIA

(Singapore)

Nearly Nine In Ten Consumers In Singapore Have Some Concerns About Using Digital Financial Services

Nearly nine in ten consumers in Singapore have some concerns about using digital financial services – such as digital-only banks, e-wallets and cryptocurrencies (87%).  Research by YouGov shows the top three concerns all revolve around the security of digital finance. More than half of consumers (54%) agree that there is too much risk from hackers, while 49% worry about their identity being stolen, and 45% feel that not enough fraud protection measures are in place.

(YouGov Singapore)

May 17, 2022

 

(Hong Kong)

91% Of Consumers In Hong Kong Have Some Concerns About Using Digital Financial Services

Research by YouGov shows that half of consumers feel there is too much risk from hackers when using digital financial services and worry about their identity being stolen (50%).91% of consumers in Hong Kong have some concerns about using digital financial services – such as digital-only banks, e-wallets and cryptocurrencies.  Additionally, over two in five are concerned about there not being enough fraud protection (43%) and not being able to easily speak to a person if they run into problems while using digital financial services (41%).

(YouGov Hong Kong)

May 17, 2022

 

WEST EUROPE

(UK)

A Quarter Of Britons Say They’ve Skipped Meals Due To Rising Cost Of Living As 3 In 4 Think The Government Is Not Providing Enough Support

New research by Ipsos in the UK shows many Britons report taking measures in response to rises in their cost of living. As the cost of living crisis continues to squeeze, around two-thirds say they have kept their heating off when they would normally have turned it on (65%) while half (52%) are already going out socialising less than normal. Almost 9 in 10 (87%) believe their utilities (e.g. water, gas, etc.) will go up while similar proportions expect to see the same effect on the cost of their food (86%) and other household shopping (80%).

(Ipsos MORI)

16 May 2022

 

Majority Support Return Of Mandatory Masks, But Very Few (28%) Are Wearing Them Every Time They Shop

With Scotland lifting their rules on wearing masks in crowded places earlier this month, it is no longer a legal requirement to do so in any of the British nations. New YouGov data suggests that the public would prefer if these rules were still in place, however, with six in ten (62%) saying they support the reintroduction of mandatory masks in shops. Just a third of Brits (33%) oppose the return of the mask.

(YouGov UK)

May 16, 2022

 

37% Trust Labour Most To "Reduce You And Your Family's Cost Of Living" Compared To 22% Who Trust The Conservatives Most

The latest Ipsos Political Monitor, taken May 11-17th shows the Labour Party extending their lead over the Conservatives as most trusted on dealing with the rising cost of living in Britain. 37% of the British public trust Labour most to ‘reduce you and your family’s cost of living’ compared with 22% who trust the Conservatives most. This 15-point lead for Labour is up from 9 points in March but similar to the 17-point lead witnessed in January.

(Ipsos MORI)

19 May 2022

 

Spring 2022: How Many Voters Would Be Willing To Vote For Another Party

A new YouGov survey asks voters how willing they would be to vote elsewhere, and who might get their ballot if so. The research shows that among the top four parties, Green and Lib Dem supporters are more likely to consider switching. Among current Green party voters, 50% say they would be likely to consider another party for their vote – including 11% who are “very likely” to do so. Only 11% would be entirely opposed to voting for another party. Overall, approaching three in ten Greens (29%) say they would consider voting Labour, while 20% would mull over a vote for the Lib Dems. Just 6% would consider a switch to a Conservative vote.

(YouGov UK)

May 19, 2022

 

(Scotland)

Only 16% Of Scottish Football Fans Think A European Victory Is Likely For A Scottish Team

YouGov research among Scots (carried out in mid-April, long before the Europa League final) shows that football fans are not confident in their domestic teams’ abilities at higher levels. Only 16% say it is likely that a Scottish team will win a European tournament such as the Europa League or Champions League in the next 20 years. Eight in ten (80%) think it unlikely a Scottish side will do so, including 30% saying it's "not at all likely" they will win.

(YouGov UK)

May 19, 2022

 

Majority Of Scots Are Concerned About Climate Change And Are Aware Of Its Risks To Scotland

Echoing recent trends, concern about climate change was high: 82% were concerned about climate change generally, and 76% were concerned about its impacts on Scotland specifically. Around half (49%) said their level of concern had increased over the last 12 months, while the same proportion said it had remained the same (and just 1% said it had decreased).

(Ipsos MORI)

20 May 2022

 

(France)

63% Of French People Surveyed Say They Have Never Forgotten Mother's Day

63% of French people surveyed say they have never forgotten Mother's Day. Almost half of the mothers surveyed (49%) would be upset if their children did not wish them. Only 24% of respondents say they have already forgotten this holiday (compared to 31% in 2021). The younger generations seem to be less involved: 43% of 25-34 year olds and 41% of 18-24 year olds have already forgotten about it.

(YouGov France)

May 16, 2022

 

(Germany)

73 Percent Of Consumers Are Interested In Smart Garden Tools

In the new YouGov short study " Smart Gardening - how German consumers feel about smart technologies and devices for the garden " we examine the interest and attitudes towards smart gardening technologies. Smart gardening technologies are known to the majority of German consumers (78 percent) and interest is high among these experts (73 percent). The best known are currently robotic lawn mowers (58 percent), closely followed by irrigation systems (55 percent) and lighting (51 percent). Smart fertilizer systems (18 percent) and plant monitors (14 percent), on the other hand, are still relatively unknown.

(YouGov Germany)

May 17, 2022

 

NORTH AMERICA

(USA)

More Than Half Of Americans Live Within An Hour Of Extended Family

Overall, 55% of U.S. adults say they live within an hour’s drive of at least some of their extended family members. Roughly equal shares of Americans say they live near all or most of their extended family (28%) or near some extended family (27%). Another 24% of adults say they live within an hour’s drive of only a few family members, while one-in-five say they do not live near any extended family members. Only 1% of Americans say they don’t have extended family at all, according to the survey, which defined extended family as children, parents, grandparents, grandchildren, brothers, sisters, cousins, aunts, uncles and in-laws who don’t currently live with the respondent.

(PEW)

MAY 18, 2022

 

41% In U S Worry A Great Deal About Race Relations

Before a White man targeting Black Americans killed 10 people and wounded three others in a mass shooting in Buffalo, New York, late last week, 41% of U.S. adults said they worry "a great deal" about race relations. Another 29% worry "a fair amount," while a combined three in 10 worry "only a little" (17%) or "not at all" (13%). The percentage of Americans highly concerned in the March 1-18 poll is on par with the elevated level of concern seen in most years since 2017. Yet, it is a bit lower than in March 2021, 10 months after George Floyd's murder, when 48% worried a great deal.

(Gallup)

MAY 19, 2022

 

Around A Third Of Black Adults (32%) Said They Worried Every Day Or Almost Every Day That They Might Be Threatened Or Attacked

In a Pew Research Center survey conducted in mid-April, around a third of Black adults (32%) said they worried every day or almost every day that they might be threatened or attacked because of their race or ethnicity. Around one-in-five Asian Americans (21%) said the same, as did 14% of Hispanic adults and 4% of White adults. In the same survey, around three-in-ten Black adults who said being threatened or attacked was ever a concern (28%) said they had made changes to their daily schedule or routine in the past year due to those fears.

(PEW)

MAY 20, 2022

 

51% Of Americans Favor, 47% Oppose Nuclear Energy

Americans' relatively limited support for nuclear energy in recent years contrasts with more solid backing from 2004 to 2015, when majorities of between 53% and 62% favored it. Americans are evenly split on whether nuclear energy should be a source of electricity in the U.S., with 51% in favor and 47% opposed. Three years ago, the two camps were tied at 49%, while in 2016, the majority (54%) opposed nuclear power.

(Gallup)

MAY 20, 2022

 

(Canada)

Nearly All Canadians 45+ Years Want To Age At Home, But Only 1 In 10 (12%) Say They Can Afford The Cost Of A Personal Support Worker

To mark Personal Support Workers (PSW) Day on May 19, HomeEquity Bank and Ipsos conducted a survey among Canadians aged 45+ to learn more about the important ways in which personal support workers (PSWs) make a difference in the lives of those they support (and their loved ones). Nearly one in five (18%) Canadians aged 45+ years report either having a PSW helping them (3%) or knowing someone who has PSW support (15%). A further 18% think that while they do not have a PSW now, they may need one in the future.

(Ipsos Canada)

19 May 2022

 

AUSTRALIA

ALP 53% Leads The L-NP 47% And Set To Win The Election With A Swing Of 4.5% Since The 2019 Federal Election

The ALP’s lead over the L-NP has been cut to 6% points as early voting began last week but it still holds a clear election winning lead before this week’s Federal Election: ALP 53% (down 1.5% points in a week) ahead of the L-NP 47% (up 1.5% points) on a two-party preferred basis. Support for One Nation was unchanged on 4% and support for Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party was unchanged at 1%. Support for Other Parties was up 1% point to 5% while support for Independents was up 0.5% points to 9%.

(Roy Morgan)

May 17 2022

 

Australian Unemployment Jumps To 9.7% In April; Highest Since July 2021 But Under-Employment Unchanged

The latest Roy Morgan employment series data shows unemployment increasing by 1.9% points to 9.7% in April - the biggest monthly increase since the initial stages of the pandemic just over two years ago. However, under-employment was unchanged at 8.4% in April. There was a sharp spike in unemployment in April up 278,000 to 1.41 million Australians (9.7% of the workforce) while under-employment was up 7,000 to 1.23 million (unchanged at 8.4% of the workforce). Overall unemployment and under-employment was up 285,000 at 2.64 million (18.1%).

(Roy Morgan)

May 17 2022

 

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

Inflation: The Perceptions Of Citizens Of 11 Countries

25% of respondents say they find it somewhat or very difficult to manage their finances lately: between two-thirds of Turkish citizens (66%) and 16% of those in the United States and Germany. The largest group say they are "barely getting by" - 34% overall and more than half (54%) of Poles. Only 11% say they live comfortably and three out of ten people (29%) believe that their situation is okay.

(Ipsos France)

May 16, 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/inflation-les-perceptions-des-citoyens-de-11-pays

 

Britons Tend To Think The UK Would Come Out Worse In A Trade War With The EU, A Study In Seven Countries

A YouGov Eurotrack survey conducted in December 2021 found that, in all seven countries surveyed, people tended to think that the UK would come off worse in a UK-EU trade war. This includes 49% of Britons, compared to 25% who think both sides would be equally hit, and just 11% who think the EU would be most negatively impacted. By contrast, Conservative and Leave voters tend to think that both sides would be equally badly damaged (40% of the former and 36% of the latter). One in five (20-21%) think that the EU would be more negatively affected than the UK, while marginally more think the UK would be bruised more than the EU (25-27%).

(YouGov UK)

May 18, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/05/18/britons-tend-think-uk-would-come-out-worse-trade-w

 

The Role Of Technology In Our Life And Concern About Sharing Personal Data Online Views Of Individuals From 39 Countries Across The Globe 

Almost half of the global population (48%) is concerned about sharing personal information digitally, a percentage that increased by three points compared to last year (45%). The level of concern increases among men and women as well: women, from 47% to 50% and men, from 43% to 47%. The increased frequency of online purchases and bank transactions in times of pandemic may have played a role in this scenario: providing private data, without a good virtual security system, can lead to theft or manipulation of personal data for illicit acts.

(WIN)

19 May 2022

Source: https://winmr.com/the-role-of-technology-in-our-life-and-concern-about-sharing-personal-data-online/

 

Should Ukraine Get Automatic Qualification To The World Cup; Scottish And Welsh Fans Say No

As part of the global cultural backlash against Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the Russian national football team has been banned from the 2022 World Cup. Some, including prime minister Boris Johnson, have suggested the Ukrainian team could be given an automatic qualification to the competition group stages. However, this would mean Wales and Scotland would lose out on their chance for a spot. Scottish and Welsh football fans, however, are distinctly unwilling to sacrifice their teams’ chance for glory out of generosity to Ukraine. Just a tiny percentage support the idea: 2% of Welsh fans and 4% of Scottish fans think Ukraine should be given the 'bye' into the next round at the expense of their national teams' chances.

(YouGov UK)

May 20, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/sport/articles-reports/2022/05/20/should-ukraine-get-automatic-qualification-world-c

 

ASIA

743-43-01/Polls

Nearly Nine In Ten Consumers In Singapore Have Some Concerns About Using Digital Financial Services

Nearly nine in ten consumers in Singapore have some concerns about using digital financial services – such as digital-only banks, e-wallets and cryptocurrencies (87%).  

Research by YouGov shows the top three concerns all revolve around the security of digital finance. More than half of consumers (54%) agree that there is too much risk from hackers, while 49% worry about their identity being stolen, and 45% feel that not enough fraud protection measures are in place.

Additionally, more than two in five (44%) are concerned about not being able to easily speak to a person if they run into problems while using digital services, and not being able to access their money without an internet connection. Meanwhile, over a third (35%) are not assured with the current level of government regulation. Just 8% say they do not have any concerns with digital financial services today.  

How do concerns about digital finance vary across different generations in Singapore? 

Older consumers are more concerned about the risk of being hacked when using digital financial services. More than three in five (63%) Baby Boomers (born 1946 – 1964) and over half (54%) of Gen X (born 1965 – 1980) worry about this, compared to under half of Millennials (born 1981 – 1996) and Gen Z (born 1997 – 2009) consumers.

Concerns about identity theft when using digital financial services also rise with age. Over half of Baby Boomers and Gen X worry about this, compared to about two in five Millennials and Gen Z consumers.  

However, while just under half of Gen Z and Baby Boomers feel there is not enough fraud protection when using digital financial services, only around two in five Millennials and Gen X consumers are concerned about this.

Older consumers are also more concerned about easy access to customer service personnel and their own money when using digital financial services. Almost three-fifths of Baby Boomers worry about not being able to easily speak to a person if there’s a problem, compared to around two-fifths of Gen X and Millennials, and one-third of Gen Z consumers.  

Half of Baby Boomers are also concerned about not being able to access their money without an internet connection when using digital financial services, compared to around two-fifths of Gen X, Millennial and Gen Z consumers.  

Surprisingly, Gen Z consumers are most likely to say a lack of clarity on how digital finance services work is a concern when using them (28%), compared to around one-quarter of Millennials, Gen X and Baby Boomers.

Across generations, around a third of consumers feel there is not enough government regulation of digital finance at present. Baby Boomers are most likely to feel that digital financial services are not as reliable as traditional financial services (33%), while Gen X are the least likely to (26%).

(YouGov Singapore)

May 17, 2022

Source: https://sg.yougov.com/en-sg/news/2022/05/17/singapore-digital-finance-concerns-2022/

 

743-43-02/Polls

91% Of Consumers In Hong Kong Have Some Concerns About Using Digital Financial Services

91% of consumers in Hong Kong have some concerns about using digital financial services – such as digital-only banks, e-wallets and cryptocurrencies.  

Research by YouGov shows that half of consumers feel there is too much risk from hackers when using digital financial services and worry about their identity being stolen (50%).

Additionally, over two in five are concerned about there not being enough fraud protection (43%) and not being able to easily speak to a person if they run into problems while using digital financial services (41%). Just 6% say they do not have any concerns with digital financial services today.  

How do concerns about digital finance vary across different generations in Hong Kong? 

More than half of Gen X (born 1965 – 1980) and Baby Boomers (born 1946 – 1964) are concerned about the risk of being hacked when using digital financial services, compared to just under half of Millennials (born 1981 – 1996) and a third of Gen Z consumers (born 1997 – 2009).

More than half of Gen X and Baby Boomers also worry about their identity being stolen when using digital services, while two in five feel that not enough fraud protection measures are in place. In contrast, a third of Gen Z and Millennials worry about identity theft, while less than half worry about insufficient fraud protection.

Baby Boomers are much more likely to be concerned about not being able to access their money without an internet connection when using digital financial services (61%) and not being able to easily speak with someone if there’s a problem (51%). In contrast, less than 40% of Gen Z, Millennials and Gen X consumers express such concerns.  

Close to two in five Baby Boomers also say they have difficulty understanding digital finance services (38%), compared with a third of Gen X (33%) and around a quarter of Gen Z (27%) and Millennials (23%).

Gen X and Baby Boomers are also twice as likely as Gen Z consumers to feel that there is not enough government regulation of digital finance at present. Meanwhile, almost two-fifths of Baby Boomers and a third of Gen Z are concerned about the reliability of digital financial services, compared to just 29% of Gen X and 28% of Millennials.

(YouGov Hong Kong)

May 17, 2022

Source: https://hk.yougov.com/en-hk/news/2022/05/17/hongkong-digital-finance-concerns-2022/

 

WEST EUROPE

743-43-03/Polls

A Quarter Of Britons Say They’ve Skipped Meals Due To Rising Cost Of Living As 3 In 4 Think The Government Is Not Providing Enough Support

  • Britons have taken a range of actions in response to the rising cost of living, such as keeping the heating off, going out socialising less and switching to a cheaper supermarket.
  • Those in the North East/Yorkshire and Humber and Greater London most likely to believe they will be hit harder by cost of living than other parts of the country.
  • Three-quarters say the UK Government is not doing enough to support the people through the crisis.

New research by Ipsos in the UK shows many Britons report taking measures in response to rises in their cost of living.

As the cost of living crisis continues to squeeze, around two-thirds say they have kept their heating off when they would normally have turned it on (65%) while half (52%) are already going out socialising less than normal.

Rises in cost of living have seen 2 in 3 turn down their heating, 2 in 5 driving less or changing supermarkets, whilst 1 in 4 say they have skipped meals - Ipsos

Around a quarter of Britons have already skipped meals in response to the cost of living crisis (27%), rising to one in three of those on lower incomes. Other actions taken include changing their supermarkets for cheaper alternatives (44%), driving their car less (44%) and using price comparison websites to look for cheaper energy providers (39%).

What do Britons expect?

Most Britons expect to see increases in the costs of essentials over the next 6 months. Almost 9 in 10 (87%) believe their utilities (e.g. water, gas, etc.) will go up while similar proportions expect to see the same effect on the cost of their food (86%) and other household shopping (80%). Around 3 in 4 think motoring fuel costs will go up (73%) while 64% believe the cost of going out socialising will increase. More than half (56%) believe costs of subscriptions, such as media or leisure, will go up while around 4 in 10 (43%) believe their mortgage or rent will become more expensive.

Britons expect their household spending to increase over the next six months - Ipsos

Unsurprisingly, large majorities of Britons are concerned about the cost of living crisis and the impact it will have. Nine in 10 (89%) are concerned for the country as a whole while 83% are worried about the impacts on themselves personally. Eight in 10 (79%) are concerned about the effects it will have on people in their local area.

Where is the crisis expected to be worst?

People living in North East/Yorkshire and Humber and Greater London are most likely to say the cost of living over the next six months will be worse in their local area than other parts of the country (both 28%). Meanwhile, those in the South East (30%) are most likely to say their local area will not be as badly affected as other parts of the country.
North East / Yorkshire, Humber and London more likely to expect to be worse affected by rises in the cost of living compared to other parts of the country - Ipsos
Across the country as a whole, 1 in 5 (19%) say the cost of living will be worse in their local area than in other parts of the country while half (50%) say it will be about the same as other areas and 22% expect not to be hit as badly as other places.

The role of the UK Government and local councils

Around three-quarters (76%) of Britons think the UK Government is not providing enough support to their local area on the cost of living, while only 10% say it is providing the right amount of support and 8% too much. There is little difference across party lines, 71% of those who voted for the current Conservative government in 2019 say it is not providing enough support while 82% of 2019 Labour voters say the same.

Just under two-thirds (63%) say their local council is not doing enough to support people while 16% say it is providing the right amount of support and 7% too much.

Gideon Skinner, head of political research at Ipsos, said:

Concern about inflation is at a thirty-year high in Ipsos polling, and Britons across the country see the cost of living as both a national, local, and personal priority.  People are already telling us they have taken a range of actions to mitigate its effects – some with a direct impact on basics like food and heating – but given the economic forecasts there may well be more anxiety on the horizon.  This is going to maintain pressure on the Government to take more steps to help people through the cost of living crisis – already an area where they are less trusted than Labour, but this is an issue where even their own supporters want them to do more.

(Ipsos MORI)

16 May 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/quarter-of-britons-say-they-have-skipped-meals-3-in-4-think-government-not-providing-support

 

743-43-04/Polls

Majority Support Return Of Mandatory Masks, But Very Few (28%) Are Wearing Them Every Time They Shop

With Scotland lifting their rules on wearing masks in crowded places earlier this month, it is no longer a legal requirement to do so in any of the British nations. New YouGov data suggests that the public would prefer if these rules were still in place, however, with six in ten (62%) saying they support the reintroduction of mandatory masks in shops. Just a third of Brits (33%) oppose the return of the mask.

This figure may be surprising to those who are greeted by maskless faces in their local supermarket, and they wouldn’t be wrong to be so, as very few people are donning a mask every time they shop. In fact, just 28% of people who have been to a shop in the last seven days say they wore a mask on every time. One in three have worn one most times (19%) or occasionally (14%) while the largest group (39%) have not worn one at all. This means 72% of shoppers have not worn a mask at least once in the last week.

On top of this, regular shoppers are wearing masks less often than occasional shoppers. Just a quarter (24%) who have been to the shops four or more times wore a mask every time, compared to 27% of those who have been two or three times, and 35% of those who’ve just shopped once in the last week.

This means there is a clear disparity between support for the policy and personal action. Indeed, most (58%) of those who think masks should be a legal requirement in shops are not currently religiously wearing one themselves. Just 42% of those who want the rules reinstated have worn a mask on every retail visit, 42% most times/occasionally, and 16% on none of the times they’ve been to a shop in the last week.

The top reason people who want the rules reinstated give for not wearing a mask is that they forgot to bring one (36%), suggesting that, while this group may still support the rule in principle, without it they have become far more lax at always having one to hand. The second most common reason is feeling the specific shop they were visiting felt safe or spacious enough not to bother (19%), an indication that they would wear a mask at busier times or in busier retail areas.

One in eight (12%) cite the law change as key to why they are no longer wearing a mask, while a similar number (11%) say it is because others are no longer wearing a mask. Both reasons imply that were masks to become mandatory again, these people would happily start wearing one again. Finally, 11% say it is their personal choice, or they felt there was no need to wear one. It is this final group that are the most puzzling, as their reasoning suggests that they would be reluctant to wear a mask if it were to become law.

As is to be expected, those who have worn a mask sometimes but not always are far more likely to cite forgetfulness or feeling safe in a specific shop as their reason not to, while those who haven’t worn one at all are more likely to say it is because of the law change or that they don’t feel the need to.

(YouGov UK)

May 16, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/health/articles-reports/2022/05/16/majority-support-return-mandatory-masks-very-few-a

 

743-43-05/Polls

37% Trust Labour Most To "Reduce You And Your Family's Cost Of Living" Compared To 22% Who Trust The Conservatives Most

  • 7 in 10 Britons expect economy to worsen in next 12 months
  • Labour lead Conservatives by 15 points on which party is most trusted to deal with the cost of living
  • Conservatives still most trusted to grow the economy but lead has fallen slightly

The latest Ipsos Political Monitor, taken May 11-17th shows the Labour Party extending their lead over the Conservatives as most trusted on dealing with the rising cost of living in Britain.

Key findings include:

  • 37% of the British public trust Labour most to ‘reduce you and your family’s cost of living’ compared with 22% who trust the Conservatives most. This 15-point lead for Labour is up from 9 points in March but similar to the 17-point lead witnessed in January.
  • The Conservatives remain most trusted to ‘grow Britain’s economy’ over Labour by a margin of 36% to 27%. This 9-point lead compares to a 13-point lead in March and a 6 point lead in January.
  • 72% of Britons expect the economic condition of the country to worsen in the next 12 months (+2 points from April), 15% say improve (+1), 10% stay the same (-2 points), 3% don’t know (-1 point).
  • In terms of voting intention, the picture is largely unchanged from April. Labour lead the Conservatives by 6 points. Labour 39% (-1 point from April), Conservatives 33% (-2), Lib Dems 12% (+2).

Trust

What cutbacks are people making?

In the poll, the public were asked what cutbacks they had made since the start of the year to deal with the rising cost of living. A majority of Britons claim to have made noticeable reductions in their use of heating, electricity or water in response.

cutbacksWomen were more likely than men to say they were cutting back on:

  • How many treat or luxuries you buy for yourself (44% vs 32%),
  • How much you spend on premium or expensive brands (43% vs 32%),
  • How much food you buy (41% vs 32%),
  • How much you travel by car or train (35% vs 28%),
  • Your holiday plans (34% vs 27%)

Other findings in the poll include:

  • Labour are most trusted by the public on levelling-up. 39% trust Labour most to ‘Reduce inequalities between different regions of the country, also known as “levelling-up”’. 18% trust the Conservatives the most. This 21-point lead for Labour is down from a 30-point lead recorded in January.
  • On managing Britain’s relationship with the EU, 29% trust the Conservatives the most and 28% trust Labour.

Gideon Skinner, Head of Political Research at Ipsos, says of the findings:

The cost of living is dominating the public’s agenda at the moment, and because they are concerned about it on both a national and individual level helps explain why there is pressure on the Chancellor and the Government to act. Inflation has a direct impact on people who might be taking steps to keep down the cost of their utility bills – an issue where Britons are more concerned than many other countries - and weekly shop, and on more pleasurable activities like socialising and treats. And this is feeding into the national picture alongside more persistent general economic pessimism, which means politically Labour can take advantage on this issue. The public do not think rises in the cost of living are solely the Government’s fault as they see that other factors are also playing a role, but they do want the Government to provide more support – including many of their own voters.

(Ipsos MORI)

19 May 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/labour-extends-lead-over-conservatives-most-trusted-address-cost-living

 

743-43-06/Polls

Spring 2022: How Many Voters Would Be Willing To Vote For Another Party

In the ever-shifting world of politics, how many voters are steadfast in their choice of party? A new YouGov survey asks voters how willing they would be to vote elsewhere, and who might get their ballot if so.

The research shows that among the top four parties, Green and Lib Dem supporters are more likely to consider switching. Among current Green party voters, 50% say they would be likely to consider another party for their vote – including 11% who are “very likely” to do so. Only 11% would be entirely opposed to voting for another party. Overall, approaching three in ten Greens (29%) say they would consider voting Labour, while 20% would mull over a vote for the Lib Dems. Just 6% would consider a switch to a Conservative vote.

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Current Liberal Democrat voters are a close second, with almost half (48%) open to voting for another party. Around a quarter (28%) say they would consider a Labour vote, and 18% one for the Greens. Just 10% of Lib Dem voters would think about casting their ballot for the Conservatives.

Around a third (37%) of current Labour voters say they would think about voting for another party, while 20% would not at all. Some 19% would consider the Lib Dems for their vote, and 16% the Green party. Only 5% of current Labour voters would consider voting for the Conservative party.

Finally, current Conservative voters are the least likely to say they would consider another party for their vote, with only 22% open to doing so and 33% completely opposed to the idea. Just 6% would consider switching to a Labour vote, with a similar proportion willing to consider a Lib Dem vote (5%).

This greater reluctance to consider other parties among current Conservative voters could be a result of wavering 2019 voters already looking elsewhere, with only steadfast Tory voters remaining in the Conservative camp for the moment.

Among Reform UK voters, 42% would consider a vote for another party, versus 16% who would not at all. Of SNP voters, one in four (27%) would think about doing do, versus 28% who would be opposed to voting elsewhere. However, the sample sizes of these two voting blocs are too small to analyse further.

(YouGov UK)

May 19, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/05/19/spring-2022-how-many-voters-would-be-willing-vote-

 

743-43-07/Polls

Only 16% Of Scottish Football Fans Think A European Victory Is Likely For A Scottish Team

Rangers came within touching distance of winning the Europa League last night, going to penalties against Eintracht Frankfurt. But it was not to be, with Frankfurt snatching victory 5-4. Such a loss may not have been surprising to fans, however.

YouGov research among Scots (carried out in mid-April, long before the Europa League final) shows that football fans are not confident in their domestic teams’ abilities at higher levels. Only 16% say it is likely that a Scottish team will win a European tournament such as the Europa League or Champions League in the next 20 years. Eight in ten (80%) think it unlikely a Scottish side will do so, including 30% saying it's "not at all likely" they will win.

Hope on the international stage is not lost for Scottish football fans, however, with the Scottish national side still to play qualifying matches for the 2022 World Cup. The research shows that fans have confidence in their national team, as 72% say it’s likely that Scotland will qualify for a World Cup in the next 20 years. This includes nearly a quarter who think it is "very" likely (23%). Another quarter (24%) are not confident that Scotland will qualify, although only 3% say it is “not at all” likely.

Back home, fans think it is unlikely that a team other than Rangers or Celtic will win the Scottish Premier League in the next two decades (83%) – 45% say it's "not at all likely". Only 15% think it is likely that another team will beat both Rangers and Celtic to the top spot.

(YouGov UK)

May 19, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/sport/articles-reports/2022/05/19/scottish-football-fans-europe-world-cup

 

743-43-08/Polls

Majority Of Scots Are Concerned About Climate Change And Are Aware Of Its Risks To Scotland

  • The majority (82%) said they were concerned about climate change, and 60% said we were already feeling its effects.  
  • There was generally high awareness of risks to the natural and built environments as a result of climate change, but these were seen more as problems for the whole of Scotland than for respondents’ local areas.
  • Most agreed with the need to adapt to climate change and were more confident in action at the community level than from government.

ClimateXChange and the Scottish Government commissioned Ipsos to conduct research to understand the Scottish public’s views on climate risks and opportunities, and their attitudes towards a range of adaptation measures. A survey of the Scottish public (16+) was conducted online using the Ipsos KnowledgePanel.

Concern about climate change impacts

Echoing recent trends, concern about climate change was high: 82% were concerned about climate change generally, and 76% were concerned about its impacts on Scotland specifically. Around half (49%) said their level of concern had increased over the last 12 months, while the same proportion said it had remained the same (and just 1% said it had decreased).

The majority of Scots were concerned about climate change and its impacts on Scotland - Ipsos

Almost two thirds (60%) felt that Scotland was already feeling the effects of climate change, while a further 13% said we would feel them within the next 10 years and 21% some time beyond that.

Extreme weather

Extreme weather events were generally seen as becoming more common in Scotland, particularly floods (83% felt these were more common), milder/wetter winters (79%), heavy rain/storms (77%) and heatwaves (67%). Findings may reflect the timing of the survey, which took place during a period of extreme weather (Scotland was experiencing the impacts of Storm Arwen during the same week as the survey).

Flooding and heavy rain/storms were seen as the most pressing problems for Scotland – around half said these were already serious problems. Other weather-related events were generally viewed more as future problems.

Around half felt that flooding (51%) and heavy rain or storms (46%) were already serious problems for Scotland - Ipsos

Respondents were less likely to feel weather-related events were a serious problem for the area they lived in than they were for Scotland as a whole - no more than a third saw any of the events as a current serious problem for their local area.

Risks to natural and built environment

Awareness of risks to the natural environment in Scotland was generally high, with the most well-known risks being: loss of or decline in wildlife in seas and rivers (70%), coastal erosion (69%) and loss or decline in wildlife on the land (67%). Similarly, awareness of risks to the built environment was also high, particularly in relation to: damage to roads, rail lines and bridges (84%), disruption to electricity supply (73%), and damage to buildings (71%). 

As with extreme weather, respondents were less likely to view risks to the natural and built environment as serious problems for their local area than for Scotland as a whole.

Adapting to climate change impacts

Just over three quarters (78%) agreed that we need to adapt to climate change immediately and urgently.

Most felt that Scotland needed to adapt to climate change urgently - Ipsos

88% had either already taken or planned to take action to adapt to climate change. The most common actions likely to be taken in future related to helping or supporting other people, rather than making physical changes to properties. The most common were: supporting charities (55%), persuading others to take action (52%), and helping support people in the community vulnerable to flooding or heatwaves (49%). 

Over three quarters (78%) were confident that people in their local community would act together if they were faced with severe events (such as flooding or extreme weather) and two thirds (66%) said they would be willing to give up some of their time to help their local community prepare for the impacts of climate change. There was less confidence in the Scottish Government taking action or in the commitment of world leaders to tackle climate change. 

There was more confidence in community-level action than in the response from governments and world leaders - Ipsos

(Ipsos MORI)

20 May 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/majority-scots-are-concerned-about-climate-change-and-are-aware-its-risks-scotland

 

743-43-09/Polls

63% Of French People Surveyed Say They Have Never Forgotten Mother's Day

A party to remember

63% of French people surveyed say they have never forgotten Mother's Day. Almost half of the mothers surveyed (49%) would be upset if their children did not wish them.

Only 24% of respondents say they have already forgotten this holiday (compared to 31% in 2021). The younger generations seem to be less involved: 43% of 25-34 year olds and 41% of 18-24 year olds have already forgotten about it.

What do they think of this party?

Regarding the name, the majority of French people (58%) do not want Mother's Day and Father's Day to be renamed "Parents' Day". However, more than 3 out of 10 people would be in favor of it (31%), a figure pulled up by 25-34 year olds (40%).

Moreover, if more than 7 out of 10 respondents (71%) think that this holiday is too commercial, it is nonetheless important for a majority of French people (61%).

Note: Mother's Day seems to be less and less popular, however, since 67% of French people found it important in 2021 (a drop of 6 points).

What are they planning to offer?

Flowers remain this year again the favored gift for Mother's Day (25%).

At the same time, 8% of respondents intend to offer a perfume, a significant drop of 3 points compared to 2021 (11%).

We also observe that personalized gifts (photo album, mug or personalized clothing, etc.) are particularly popular with 25-34 year olds (12% vs 6% nat rep).

Note: 26% of French people do not intend to offer a gift this year.

Among the French people surveyed who intend to give a gift, almost one in two people (47%) have a maximum budget of €40. 35% of respondents say they have a higher budget and 19% have not yet defined it.

While the majority of respondents who plan to give a gift for Mother's Day say that their budget has increased or remained the same as last year (64%), we nevertheless note that 30% have seen their budget decrease, compared to 14% in 2021.

What activities would the French like to do with their mother?

We asked the French to find out what new activities they would like / would have liked to do with their mother.

Going on a trip comes first, at 22%, followed by a meal in a starred restaurant (19%) and a thalassotherapy cure (18%).

(YouGov France)

May 16, 2022

Source: https://fr.yougov.com/news/2022/05/16/la-fete-des-meres-importante-pour-les-francais/

 

743-43-10/Polls

73 Percent Of Consumers Are Interested In Smart Garden Tools

Spring is here, everything is green and blooming and the German garden owners throw themselves into work. Gardening sometimes takes a lot of time - this is where smart technologies can offer significant support. Garden lovers can now choose from a wide range of smart garden helpers such as robotic lawnmowers, irrigation systems and cameras.

In the new YouGov short study " Smart Gardening - how German consumers feel about smart technologies and devices for the garden " we examine the interest and attitudes towards smart gardening technologies.

Smart gardening - very well known, little used so far

Smart gardening technologies are known to the majority of German consumers (78 percent) and interest is high among these experts (73 percent). The best known are currently robotic lawn mowers (58 percent), closely followed by irrigation systems (55 percent) and lighting (51 percent). Smart fertilizer systems (18 percent) and plant monitors (14 percent), on the other hand, are still relatively unknown.

 

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Consumers who are familiar with smart gardening are particularly interested in irrigation systems (37 percent) and robotic lawnmowers (33 percent), while the relatively unknown fertilizer systems generate little interest (7 percent).

 

Rejection of smart gardening has different reasons

Although the majority of German consumers are familiar with smart gardening, this technology still appears to be hardly ever used, with just under every tenth respondent (9 percent) using smart gardening devices. 19 percent plan to use it, while 32 percent are not interested. Rejection of smart technology in the garden has a variety of reasons, almost half of those surveyed (46 percent) prefer to do it themselves, some are also put off by the price of many devices (37 percent), possible complications with the complex installation are also mentioned (20 Percent). Poor Internet connections or possible hacker attacks, on the other hand, hardly play a role (11 and 8 percent respectively).

 

Smart gardening attracts younger consumers

While the 55+ generation has little interest in smart gardening tools (8 percent) and only a few in this age group plan to use them (15 percent), smart technology in the garden is particularly popular with younger consumer groups (25-34 year olds). . 12 percent of this age group actively use smart garden tools and a fifth (21 percent) intend to do so.

 

Growing interest in smart indoor gardening

Consumers are also very interested in “smart indoor gardening” (38 percent). With smart indoor gardening, neither a balcony nor a garden is required; instead, herbs and plants can be grown in the home with the help of intelligent lighting and irrigation technologies. This technology also tends to appeal to younger consumers, while only 27 percent of the 55+ consumer group expresses an interest, more than half of the 25-34 year olds are open to it (56 percent). 

 

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/r/52/Smart%20Gardening%203.png

(YouGov Germany)

May 17, 2022

Source: https://yougov.de/news/2022/05/17/73-prozent-der-verbraucher-interessieren-sich-fur-/

 

NORTH AMERICA

743-43-11/Polls

More Than Half Of Americans Live Within An Hour Of Extended Family

Most Americans value living close to their families – and more than half of them actually do, according to a recent Pew Research Center survey.

Overall, 55% of U.S. adults say they live within an hour’s drive of at least some of their extended family members. Roughly equal shares of Americans say they live near all or most of their extended family (28%) or near some extended family (27%). Another 24% of adults say they live within an hour’s drive of only a few family members, while one-in-five say they do not live near any extended family members. Only 1% of Americans say they don’t have extended family at all, according to the survey, which defined extended family as children, parents, grandparents, grandchildren, brothers, sisters, cousins, aunts, uncles and in-laws who don’t currently live with the respondent.

Those with the highest education levels are the least likely to live close to extended family. About four-in-ten adults with a postgraduate degree (42%) have at least some extended family members within an hour’s drive, compared with 48% of those with a bachelor’s degree, 56% of those with some college experience and 63% of adults with a high school diploma or less education. About a third of adults with a postgraduate degree (32%) do not live near any extended family, compared with 14% of those with a high school education or less.

How we did this

Having extended family nearby also differs by income status. Adults with lower and middle incomes are more likely than upper-income adults to live near at least some extended family. In contrast, upper-income adults are the most likely to say they live near no extended family. Roughly one-quarter of upper-income adults say this (27%), compared with 20% of middle-income and 16% of lower-income adults.

https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/FT_22.05.17_ExtendedFamily_2.png?w=420

Asian Americans are less likely than White, Black and Hispanic adults to be living near all or most of their extended family: 18% of Asian adults say this, compared with about three-in-ten in each of the other groups. Asian adults are also the most likely to say they live near none of their extended family (33%). This could be due in part to the high share of Asian American adults (75%) who were born in another country and whose extended families may still be living there. Adults born in another country or in Puerto Rico and the other U.S. territories (25%) are more likely than those born in the United States (19%) to say none of their extended family members live nearby.

There are notable regional differences across the U.S. in the shares of adults who live near at least some family, with adults in the Northeast and Midwest being the most likely to do so (62% each). Slightly more than half of adults in the South (53%) say they live near at least some extended family, while fewer than half of adults in the West (46%) say the same.

https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/FT_22.05.17_ExtendedFamily_3.png?w=420

Adults living in rural communities are more likely than those in urban or suburban communities to live near at least some extended family. Roughly six-in-ten adults in rural communities (62%) say they are within an hour of all, most or some of their extended family, compared with 54% of adults in suburban areas and 50% in urban areas.

Adults ages 50 to 64 are more likely than other age groups to live within an hour of extended family. Six-in-ten adults ages 50 to 64 live near at least some extended family, compared with 53% of those 18 to 29, 52% of those 30 to 49 and 55% of those 65 and older.

Adults in multigenerational households, who already live with some family members, are more likely than adults in other types of households to live near at least some extended family. In addition to the family members they live with, some 64% of adults in multigenerational households live within an hour’s drive of at least some extended family, compared with 53% of adults who do not live in multigenerational households.

Adults in the so-called “sandwich generation” are also more likely to live near family. These are adults who have a parent age 65 or older and are raising at least one child younger than 18 or providing financial support to an adult child. Roughly six-in-ten adults in the sandwich generation live close to at least some extended family, compared with a slightly smaller share of adults not in the sandwich generation (54%).

https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/FT_22.05.17_ExtendedFamily_4.png?w=310

An overwhelming majority of Americans value having family close by, according to the same survey. Three-quarters of adults say it is at least somewhat important to them personally to live in a community where family is nearby, including 36% who say it is very important. Those who value having family nearby often do live near their relatives: Some 62% of adults who say living near family is at least somewhat important to them live near some or more of their extended family members. In contrast, 34% of adults who say having family is not too important or not important at all live near at least some extended family.

Research has shown that living near extended family is linked to real-life economic impacts. In particular, married women with young children are more likely to work or be in the labor force if they live near their mothers or mothers-in-law, as child care can often be a challenge for working parents. Additionally, informal caregiving by adult children for their aging parents helps decrease medical expenses and is often preferred by the elderly over formal care.

The value that Americans place on having family nearby varies by gender and age. Women are more likely than men to say that having family nearby is very important (42% vs. 29%), although roughly equal shares of men and women say they actually do have at least some extended family nearby (57% of women and 54% of men say this). Among adults who live near at least some extended family, half of women say living in a community with family nearby is very important, compared with roughly four-in-ten men (38%).

Adults 65 and older are the most likely to say having family nearby is very important to them personally. More than four-in-ten (44%) say this, compared with 38% of adults ages 50 to 64, 33% of those 18 to 29 and 31% of those 30 to 49.

(PEW)

MAY 18, 2022

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/05/18/more-than-half-of-americans-live-within-an-hour-of-extended-family/

 

743-43-12/Polls

41% In U S Worry A Great Deal About Race Relations

Before a White man targeting Black Americans killed 10 people and wounded three others in a mass shooting in Buffalo, New York, late last week, 41% of U.S. adults said they worry "a great deal" about race relations. Another 29% worry "a fair amount," while a combined three in 10 worry "only a little" (17%) or "not at all" (13%).

The percentage of Americans highly concerned in the March 1-18 poll is on par with the elevated level of concern seen in most years since 2017. Yet, it is a bit lower than in March 2021, 10 months after George Floyd's murder, when 48% worried a great deal.

Gallup has monitored Americans' concern about race relations annually since 2001 as part of a March survey that asks respondents to rate their concerns about numerous issues facing the country.

After registering below 25% from 2002 through 2014, the percentage worried a great deal rose to 28% by the next reading, in 2015. This spanned a period of several prominent cases of police officers not being charged or convicted of murder in the deaths of unarmed Black men killed in police encounters.

Public concern about race relations climbed further as more such cases emerged, reaching 42% in 2017. Concern remained at this higher level from 2018 to 2019, before slipping to 31% in 2020. This decline mainly reflected the more positive attitudes of Republicans about the state of the country, just before the start of the coronavirus pandemic.

Concern about race relations then reached a record-high 48% in 2021, Gallup's first measure of this question taken after Floyd's death.

In this year's update, race relations tied with illegal immigration as a mid-level concern and was just slightly below the average 46% for all 14 issues rated in 2022.

Worry Has Increased Among All Racial/Ethnic Groups

Americans' concern about race relations has increased among all major racial/ethnic groups since 2014, as seen in combined data across four distinct time periods. These groupings not only summarize the data at key points, but also provide the larger sample sizes needed to report the views of Black and Hispanic adults in addition to White adults:

  • Period 1: 2001-2014, before the Black Lives Matter movement emerged in response to police violence
  • Period 2: 2015-2019, amid national attention to the killing of unarmed Black men and women in encounters with police
  • Period 3: March 2020, when concern briefly abated nationwide
  • Period 4: 2021-2022, following the killing of George Floyd

The trends show that worry about race relations increased sharply across racial/ethnic groups between 2001-2014 and 2015-2019. Concern then eased among White adults in 2020 while staying fairly flat among Black and Hispanic adults.

Since then, concern about race relations has increased among all racial/ethnic groups -- although more among Black adults, rising 20 percentage points to 74%, than among White adults (up 15 points to 39%) and Hispanic adults (up nine points to 49%).

Bottom Line

Two years after George Floyd's murder, Americans' concern about race relations remains in the elevated range seen in recent years and could trend higher in the wake of the recent racially motivated mass killing in Buffalo.

When thinking of race relations, Americans may be focused generally on how different racial groups in the country relate to each other, such as Black and White adults or Asian and White adults. But they could also be factoring in the perceived extent of racism in society and discord over policy prescriptions to address it.

All aspects of race relations have received significant public attention in the years since Black adults like Eric Garner (killed in 2014), Michael Brown (2014), Tamir Rice (2014), Freddie Gray (2015), Philando Castile (2016) and Breonna Taylor (2020) became household names over their deaths at the hands of police. Video footage of the excessive force used against George Floyd in 2020 sparked global protests and discussion that only sharpened the focus.

Concern about race relations measured in Gallup's trend since Floyd's death has increased the most among Black Americans, three-quarters of whom have, on average, worried about race relations a great deal these past two years. That is nearly double the percentage who worried this much two decades ago and also nearly twice the current rate among White Americans. The persistent racial gap in worry could reflect a more fundamental gap in beliefs about the magnitude of discrimination against Black Americans and the solutions needed to redress it.

(Gallup)

MAY 19, 2022

Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/392705/concern-race-relations-persists-floyd-death.aspx

 

743-43-13/Polls

Around A Third Of Black Adults (32%) Said They Worried Every Day Or Almost Every Day That They Might Be Threatened Or Attacked

Safety concerns were top of mind for many Black Americans well before a White gunman killed 10 people – all of them Black – in a mass shooting at a grocery store in Buffalo, New York, on May 14.

A chart showing that about a third of Black U.S. adults worry regularly about being threatened or attacked because of their race or ethnicity, and some have changed their daily routines due to these concerns

In a Pew Research Center survey conducted in mid-April, around a third of Black adults (32%) said they worried every day or almost every day that they might be threatened or attacked because of their race or ethnicity. Around one-in-five Asian Americans (21%) said the same, as did 14% of Hispanic adults and 4% of White adults.

In the same survey, around three-in-ten Black adults who said being threatened or attacked was ever a concern (28%) said they had made changes to their daily schedule or routine in the past year due to those fears. Around a third of Asian adults (36%) and around one-in-five Hispanic adults (22%) said they had taken such precautions, as did 12% of White adults.

How we did this

Black Americans are disproportionately likely to be victims of hate crimes, according to data collected by the Federal Bureau of Investigation. More than a third (35%) of the 8,263 criminal incidents identified in the FBI’s hate crimes report for 2020 involved anti-Black or African American bias, even though Black people account for about 12% of the U.S. population. The FBI’s statistics are widely considered to be an undercount because many hate crimes are not reported to police and many police departments do not submit complete data to the FBI for national reporting purposes.

Widespread concern among Black Americans about gun violence, violent crime

While Black Americans stand out for their concern about being threatened or attacked because of their race or ethnicity, they are also more likely than Americans of other racial or ethnic backgrounds to be concerned about broader issues of gun violence and violent crime.

In a Center survey conducted in late April and early May, nearly eight-in-ten Black adults (78%) said gun violence is a very big problem in the United States today – far higher than the share of Hispanic (57%) and White adults (42%) who said the same. Similarly, 77% of Black adults said violent crime is a very big problem in the country today, compared with 54% of Hispanic adults and half of White adults. (While the survey included adults of all major racial and ethnic backgrounds, there were not enough Asian adults in the sample to provide reliable estimates of their views of gun violence and violent crime.)

A line graph showing that Black adults are consistently more likely than Hispanic and White adults to see gun violence and violent crime as major national problems

In surveys conducted since late 2018, Black adults have consistently been more likely than Hispanic and White adults to see both gun violence and violent crime as very big national problems.

The late April and early May survey asked U.S. adults whether they see each of 12 issues – ranging from climate change to the coronavirus outbreak – as national problems. While inflation topped the list of concerns among U.S. adults overall, gun violence and violent crime were among the main concerns for Black adults. Majorities of Black adults also said racism (73%), inflation (68%) and the affordability of health care (63%) were very big national problems.

A bar chart showing that about eight-in-ten Black Americans see gun violence and violent crime as very big national problems

Other recent surveys by the Center have documented concern about local violence and crime among Black Americans.

An October 2021 survey of Black adults asked respondents in an open-ended format to identify the most important issue facing the community where they live. The most common issue, volunteered by 17% of Black adults, was violence or crime, including references to specific problems such as shootings, drug activity or theft.

In a separate survey, also conducted in October 2021, around four-in-ten Black adults (42%) said crime was a major problem in their local community, compared with smaller shares of Hispanic (30%), Asian (24%) and White adults (17%).

The recent survey findings come as the nation confronts an increase in murders and other forms of violent crime. The national murder rate rose 30% between 2019 and 2020 – the largest year-over-year increase since at least 1905.

Gun-related murders, in particular, have been on the rise. Around eight-in-ten (79%) of the murders that took place in 2020 involved a firearm, the highest such percentage since at least 1968. The national gun murder rate is at its highest point since the mid-1990s.

Black Americans have long been disproportionately affected by gun murders, and that has increasingly been the case in recent years, according to a study published this month by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The gun murder rate among Black Americans rose nearly 40% between 2019 and 2020, far outpacing the percentage increase among people in other racial and ethnic groups. Black Americans were about 12 times as likely as White Americans to be the victim of a gun murder in 2020, the study found.

(PEW)

MAY 20, 2022

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/05/20/safety-concerns-were-top-of-mind-for-many-black-americans-before-buffalo-shooting/

 

743-43-14/Polls

51% Of Americans Favor, 47% Oppose Nuclear Energy

Americans are evenly split on whether nuclear energy should be a source of electricity in the U.S., with 51% in favor and 47% opposed. Three years ago, the two camps were tied at 49%, while in 2016, the majority (54%) opposed nuclear power.

Americans' relatively limited support for nuclear energy in recent years contrasts with more solid backing from 2004 to 2015, when majorities of between 53% and 62% favored it.

The higher support for nuclear energy seen earlier this century was likely related to rising oil and gas pump prices in that period, making nuclear more appealing as an affordable alternative.

The latest results are based on Gallup's annual Environment survey, conducted March 1-18. Rising oil prices have also been an issue this year and may explain why support is higher now than in 2016, though it is unclear why support has not yet returned to 2009-2010 levels.

Republicans Most Supportive of Nuclear Power Among Party Groups

President Joe Biden has advocated for nuclear power as one element of his clean energy plan to get the U.S. economy to net-zero emissions by 2050. In addition to the $1.8 billion Biden allocated for nuclear reactors in his 2022 budget, the administration recently announced it will make $6 billion in infrastructure money available to nuclear power companies to help prevent closures.

Despite Biden's promotion of nuclear energy, Democrats continue to be far less likely than Republicans to favor using it. The pattern is in line with Democratic-leaning environmental groups' long-standing opposition to nuclear power; this has been focused on concerns about the environmental risks posed by nuclear waste and accidents, as well as their preference for renewable energy such as wind, solar and geothermal.

Currently, 39% of Democrats versus 60% of Republicans and 53% of independents favor nuclear energy. The 21-percentage-point gap between Republicans and Democrats is similar to the average for the past two decades.

More generally, it appears Biden has work to do to convince Americans who are highly concerned about climate change that nuclear power needs to be part of the green energy agenda. Gallup's Environment poll found that barely a third of Americans who worry "a great deal" about climate change favor the use of nuclear energy (34%), while 62% oppose it. By contrast, majorities of adults who worry "a fair amount" (53%) or less (70%) about climate change are supportive of nuclear energy.

As Gallup has found previously, support for nuclear energy also differs sharply by gender, while it varies modestly by education. Older adults are slightly more positive than those younger than 55, but differences by age have been less consistent over time.

  • Sixty-three percent of men versus 39% of women are in favor of using nuclear energy for electricity.
  • Support by education ranges from 57% of college graduates to 50% of those with some college experience and 45% of those with no college.
  • A 57% majority of adults 55 and older favor nuclear energy, compared with half of 18- to 34-year-olds and 45% of those aged 35 to 54.

Bottom Line

Americans remain divided on using nuclear energy, but support could increase as consumers face even higher gas prices than when the poll was conducted two months ago. If Biden was already inclined to advocate for nuclear power to achieve his climate goals, the political pressure presented by skyrocketing gas prices may only increase his resolve, and that, in turn, may sway some members of his own party.

(Gallup)

MAY 20, 2022

Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/392831/americans-divided-nuclear-energy.aspx

 

743-43-15/Polls

Nearly All Canadians 45+ Years Want To Age At Home, But Only 1 In 10 (12%) Say They Can Afford The Cost Of A Personal Support Worker

To mark Personal Support Workers (PSW) Day on May 19, HomeEquity Bank and Ipsos conducted a survey among Canadians aged 45+ to learn more about the important ways in which personal support workers (PSWs) make a difference in the lives of those they support (and their loved ones). The survey also sought to uncover Canadians’ attitudes towards home care and how they may be planning to finance their own potential home care in the future.

 

PSWs Play a Role in the Physical and Emotional Wellbeing of Seniors

Nearly one in five (18%) Canadians aged 45+ years report either having a PSW helping them (3%) or knowing someone who has PSW support (15%). A further 18% think that while they do not have a PSW now, they may need one in the future.

For those who have a PSW, know someone who has PSW support, or think they may need this support in the future, the value of a PSW is clear. Ways in which respondents highlight the assistance PSWs can provide include carrying out household tasks (59%), help in maintaining personal hygiene (51%), help in meal preparation (43%), help with medical treatments (40%), and allowing those they support to have a higher quality of life (40%).

Beyond physical assistance, respondents highlighted the emotional and interpersonal value of PSWs, including how PSWs help with social contact (31%) and provide empathy and emotional support (30%). These data are reinforced by the fact that 93% of Canadians aged 45+ years agree (45% strongly/48% somewhat) that PSWs positively impact the lives of Canadians of all ages.

 

Most Want to Age at Home, But May Need to Make Budget Cuts to Afford It

The research found that 95% of Canadian adults aged 45+ years agree (57% strongly/38% somewhat) that being able to age in-place would allow them to maintain their independence, comfort, and dignity. Perhaps accordingly, 92% agree (52% strongly/40% somewhat) that as they age, they would prefer in-home care over moving to a long-term care facility. Eight in ten (79%) agree (25% strongly/53% somewhat) that they would only consider long-term care or assisted living if they couldn’t afford in-home care.

While the idea of ageing at home is appealing, the cost of in-home care may require making some financial adjustments. The survey shows that only 12% of respondents report having enough room in their budget for in-home care, which can cost between $150 and $600 per day. When asked what they would cut in their budget if they needed to afford a personal care worker, respondents highlighted the following financial sacrifices they would consider:

  • Alter travel and entertainment spending (63%)
  • Revise budget for home renovation (50%)
  • Change plans to leave a legacy for family (42%)
  • Adjust food and living expenses (23%)
  • Modify budget for paying down debt (17%)
  • Reconsider budget for costly medications (13%)

(Ipsos Canada)

19 May 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Nearly-All-Canadians-45-Want-Age-Home-But-Only-1-in-10-Afford-Cost-PSW

 

AUSTRALIA

743-43-16/Polls

ALP 53% Leads The L-NP 47% And Set To Win The Election With A Swing Of 4.5% Since The 2019 Federal Election

The ALP’s lead over the L-NP has been cut to 6% points as early voting began last week but it still holds a clear election winning lead before this week’s Federal Election: ALP 53% (down 1.5% points in a week) ahead of the L-NP 47% (up 1.5% points) on a two-party preferred basis.

Preferences of minor party voters have been allocated based on preference flows at the 2019 Federal Election according to the latest Roy Morgan Poll conducted from May 9-15, 2022.

If a Federal Election had been held last weekend the ALP would have won a majority.

Analysis by State shows the ALP leads in four States including NSW, Victoria, Western Australia and Tasmania while the L-NP leads in Queensland and South Australia.

This Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention and Government Confidence was conducted via telephone and online interviewing of 1,366 Australian electors aged 18+ from Monday May 9 – Sunday May 15, 2022. There were 6% of electors (down 1% point) who wouldn’t say who they support.

 

Primary support for both major parties is low at only 34% each for the ALP and L-NP

Primary support for the ALP was down by 1.5% points to 34% this week and is now level with the L-NP on 34%. Support for the Greens was unchanged at 13% which would be the minor party’s best result at a Federal Election – beating the 11.8% it received just over a decade ago in 2010 by about 1% point.

Support for One Nation was unchanged on 4% and support for Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party was unchanged at 1%. Support for Other Parties was up 1% point to 5% while support for Independents was up 0.5% points to 9%.

If these figures are predictive of what happens at the Federal Election this will be the first time since 1906 that both major parties have received less than 40% of the vote at an election.

When looking at primary support, and including those who can’t say who they support, the ALP and L-NP both had the support of 32% of electors and there were 36% of people who either supported a minor party, independent or who couldn’t (or wouldn’t) say who they supported – a higher proportion of electors than supported either of the major parties.

 

Voting Intention by State shows the ALP leading in four of six States – including NSW & Victoria

Voting analysis by State has all been calculated based on how preferences flowed at the 2019 Federal Election. The results this week show the ALP leading on a two-party preferred basis in four States (NSW, Victoria, WA and Tasmania) with the L-NP leading in Queensland and SA.

The ALP leads in NSW on 52% (up 0.5% points from a week ago) compared to the L-NP on 48% (down 0.5% points).This result represents a swing of 3.8% points to the ALP since the 2019 Federal Election. A uniform swing of this magnitude in NSW would deliver the seat of Robertson to the ALP.

The ALP leads strongly in Victoria with the ALP on 57% (down 4% points) well ahead of the L-NP on 43% (up 4% points). This result represents a swing of 3.9% points to the ALP in Victoria since the 2019 Federal Election. A uniform swing of this magnitude in Victoria would deliver the seats of Chisholm and Higgins to the ALP.

The LNP leads in Queensland on 53% (down 0.5% points) ahead of the ALP on 47% (up 0.5% points). This result still represents a swing of 5.4% points to the ALP since the 2019 Federal Election. A uniform swing of this magnitude in Queensland would deliver the seats of Longman, Leichhardt, Dickson and Brisbane to the ALP.

Although from a small sample, the ALP has retained its lead in Western Australia on 54.5% (down 3% points) compared to the L-NP on 45.5% (up 3% points). This result represents a swing of 10% points to the ALP since the 2019 Federal Election. A uniform swing to the ALP of this magnitude in Western Australia would deliver the seats of Swan, Pearce and Hasluck to the ALP.

In South Australia, and again from a small sample, the L-NP on 51% is now ahead of the ALP on 49%. This result represents a swing of 1.7% points to the L-NP since the 2019 Federal Election and would result in no seats changing hands in South Australia.

In Tasmania, and again from a small sample, the ALP on 58% leads the L-NP on 42%, representing a swing of 2% points to the ALP since the 2019 Federal Election. A uniform swing of this magnitude to the ALP would deliver the seat of Bass to the ALP. The results from this week’s Roy Morgan Poll suggest the seats of Lingiari and Solomon in the Northern Territory would both be retained by the ALP.

 

ALP set to win a narrow majority based on either State-by-State swings or a uniform national swing

Combining the ‘State-by-State swings’ suggests the ALP is on track to win 11 seats around Australia which would deliver the ALP a narrow majority in Parliament with a total of 80 seats on the floor of Parliament.

A uniform swing of 4.5% nationally would produce a very similar result with the ALP winning 10 seats around Australia for a narrow Parliamentary majority with a total of 79 seats – although some of the seats changing hands would be slightly different.

 

Roy Morgan Government Confidence up 2pts to 83 – first increase since Easter

The weekly Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating was up 2pts to 83 this week after two consecutive weeks of falls. However, there are still far more Australians, 49.5% (down 1.5% points), who say the country is ‘heading in the wrong direction’ compared to just under a third of Australians, 32.5% (up 0.5% points), who say the country is ‘heading in the right direction’.

Government Confidence is now below the neutral level of 100 in all six States but is clearly highest in South Australia at 99.5. Government Confidence is close to the national average in Queensland (85.5), Tasmania (84), New South Wales (83) and Victoria (82) and well below that in Western Australia at 77.5.

 

Michele Levine, CEO Roy Morgan, says the latest Roy Morgan Poll shows a tightening race to the line but the ALP still holds an election-winning lead: ALP 53% cf. L-NP 47%:

“Today’s Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention shows the ALP in prime position for a victory at this week’s Federal Election but its lead has narrowed to 6% points: ALP 53% cf. L-NP 47% on a two party preferred basis when preferences are allocated based on preference flows at the 2019 Federal Election.

“An ALP victory with 53% of the two-party preferred vote represents a swing of 4.5% to the ALP since the 2019 Federal Election when the L-NP on 51.5% narrowly beat the ALP on 48.5%. However, the low support for the two major parties means there is still the prospect of Australians waking up to a hung Parliament on Sunday morning.

“A uniform swing of 4.5% to the ALP at this week’s Federal Election would deliver the ALP a net gain of 11 seats for a total of 80 seats in the House of Representatives – enough to win a small majority in the House in which 77 seats are needed to guarantee a majority on the floor of Parliament after appointing a Speaker. (76/150).

“The tight nature of this week’s Roy Morgan Poll means it is more important than ever for the ALP to finish strongly in the last few days of the campaign. The final Roy Morgan Poll the week prior to the 2019 Federal Election showed the ALP 52% cf. L-NP 48% on a two-party preferred basis.

“A strong week of campaigning by Prime Minister Scott Morrison in 2019 garnered a 3.5% swing to the L-NP in the last week and an unexpected election victory for the Coalition. Morrison will be hoping to repeat the feat this week while ALP Leader Anthony Albanese will be hoping to retain the election-winning lead the Opposition has held all year.

“Prime Minister Morrison’s announcement at the Liberal campaign launch on Sunday that first home buyers will be able to withdraw up to 40% of their superannuation to contribute towards a housing deposit has sparked much debate about whether this policy can be the catalyst for another late swing to the Government.

“Although the effectiveness of the Coalition’s new housing policy is yet to be seen, when Roy Morgan asked whether Australians in financial difficulty should be able to access up to $20,000 of their superannuation money during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic – a large majority of 79% of Australians agreed they should be able to do so.

“Nevertheless, if the ALP is able to record a two-party preferred vote of 53% at this week’s Federal Election it will be the party’s highest vote share at a Federal Election since Bob Hawke’s victory at the 1983 Federal Election: ALP 53.2% cf. L-NP 46.8%.

“However, there is a big difference between the 1983 Federal Election and now. In 1983 there were no cross-benchers for new Prime Minister Bob Hawke to deal with in the House of Representatives. At this year’s Federal Election if the ALP fail to secure a majority of seats in the House of Representatives there could be eight or nine or even more cross-benchers to deal with in forming a minority government after the election.

“The reason there could be so many crossbenchers (there are currently six) is because the primary vote shares of the two major parties are so low – at only 34% each. This means 32% of voters are opting to vote for a minor party or independent. Support for the Greens is at 13% (which would be a record result for them) while a further 9% are indicating they want to vote for an independent and another 10% are picking another minor party.

“The high level of support for minor parties and independents means the cross-bench after the election could be the largest we have seen in Australia for decades. In fact, the last time the two major parties both received fewer than 40% of the vote at an Australian Federal Election was more than a century ago – at the 1906 Federal Election (Anti-Socialists 38.2% cf. Labour 36.6%).”

Electors were asked: “If an election for the House of Representatives were held today – which party will receive your first preference? and “Generally speaking, do you feel that things in Australia are heading in the right direction or would you say things are seriously heading in the wrong direction?”

 

Australian Federal Voting Intention: Two-Party Preferred (2019-2022)

Roy Morgan Poll on Federal Voting Intention - May 2022

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source. Average interviews per fortnight n=2,000. May 2019–May 2022. Base: Australian electors 18+. Preferences allocated by how people stated their preference until May 1, 2022. Preferences have been allocated by voting patterns at the 2019 Federal Election for results after May 1, 2022.

 

Australian Federal Voting Intention: Two-Party Preferred (2019-2022) – Female Electors

Roy Morgan Poll on Federal Voting Intention - Female Electors - May 2022

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source. Average interviews per fortnight n=2,000. May 2019–May 2022. Base: Australian electors 18+. Preferences allocated by how people stated their preference until May 1, 2022. Preferences have been allocated by voting patterns at the 2019 Federal Election for results after May 1, 2022.

 

Australian Federal Voting Intention: Two-Party Preferred (2019-2022) – Male Electors

Roy Morgan Poll on Federal Voting Intention - Male Electors - May 2022

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source. Average interviews per fortnight n=2,000. May 2019–May 2022. Base: Australian electors 18+. Preferences allocated by how people stated their preference until May 1, 2022. Preferences have been allocated by voting patterns at the 2019 Federal Election for results after May 1, 2022.

(Roy Morgan)

May 17 2022

Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/8977-roy-morgan-poll-on-federal-voting-intention-may-2022-202205161214

 

743-43-17/Polls

Australian Unemployment Jumps To 9.7% In April; Highest Since July 2021 But Under-Employment Unchanged

The latest Roy Morgan employment series data shows unemployment increasing by 1.9% points to 9.7% in April - the biggest monthly increase since the initial stages of the pandemic just over two years ago. However, under-employment was unchanged at 8.4% in April.

There was a sharp spike in unemployment in April up 278,000 to 1.41 million Australians (9.7% of the workforce) while under-employment was up 7,000 to 1.23 million (unchanged at 8.4% of the workforce). Overall unemployment and under-employment was up 285,000 at 2.64 million (18.1%).



  • Workforce increased 39,000 in April driven by the steep rise in unemployment:

    The workforce in April was 14,562,000 (up 39,000 from March) – comprised of 13,151,000 employed Australians (down 239,000) and 1,411,000 unemployed Australians looking for work (up 278,000);
  • Employment fell in April driven by a large fall in part-time employment as restrictions eased and the Omicron variant receded:

    Australian employment fell by 239,000 to 13,151,000 in April driven by a large fall in part-time employment, down 270,000 to 4,442,000. In contrast, full-time employment increased by 31,000 to 8,709,000.

    The moves in the employment market can be explained by policy responses to the Omicron variant of COVID-19 as well as the steep fall in active cases during April. During April many of the isolation rules surrounding ‘close contacts’ of positive COVID-19 cases were relaxed – meaning many workers who had only been hired on a part-time basis to fill in for workers forced into isolation were no longer required.

    As well as the change in policy, there was also a steep fall in active cases of COVID-19 during April as the Omicron variant receded and total active cases fell to their lowest since early January. These market forces led to many part-time workers falling into unemployment while a lucky few were upgraded to full-time work.
  • Drop in part-time employment leads to steep rise in unemployment in April:

    1,411,000 Australians were unemployed (9.7% of the workforce), an increase of 278,000 from March with more people looking for both full-time work, up 172,000 to 559,000, and also part-time work, up 106,000 to 852,000.
  • Under-employment was virtually unchanged in April at 1.23 million:

    In addition to the unemployed, 1.23 million Australians (8.4% of the workforce) were under-employed – working part-time but looking for more work, up just 7,000 from March.

    In total 2.64 million Australians (18.1% of the workforce) were either unemployed or under-employed in April, up 285,000 on March. This is the highest level of combined unemployment and under-employment so far this year.

 

Compared to early March 2020, before the nation-wide lockdown, in April 2022 there were almost 500,000 more Australians either unemployed or under-employed (+2.5% points) even though overall employment (13,151,000) is almost 300,000 higher than it was pre-COVID-19 (12,872,000).

Roy Morgan’s unemployment figure of 9.7% for April is more than double the ABS estimate for March 2022 of 4.0%However, the ABS figure for March notes there were 504,100 workers who worked fewer hours than usual due to ‘bad weather or plant breakdown’ – an increase of 454,900 on the same figure for February (49,200).

In addition, there were 577,300 workers who worked fewer hours than usual due to illness, personal injury or sick leave compared to an average of 418,700 for the month of March over the six years from March 2016 – March 2021. This equates to a difference of 158,600 in March 2022 above the average for the month of March for the previous six years.

Combining these two figures shows there were 613,500 workers who were classified as employed who worked fewer hours than one would have expected in March due to either the severe weather events and flooding in Queensland and NSW (454,900) or due to sickness and ill health due to the widespread outbreaks of COVID-19 (158,600).

 

Roy Morgan Unemployment & Under-employment (2019-2022)

Roy Morgan Unemployment & Under-employment - April 2022

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source January 2019 – April 2022. Average monthly interviews 5,000.
Note: Roy Morgan unemployment estimates are actual data while the ABS estimates are seasonally adjusted.

 

Michele Levine, CEO Roy Morgan, says the ongoing impact of COVID-19 on employment markets was evident in April as cases of the ‘Omicron variant’ receded after peaking in March and forced isolation rules for close contacts were significantly reduced:

“The latest Roy Morgan employment estimates for April show unemployment up 1.9% points to 9.7% - the highest since the start of last year’s ‘Delta wave’ in July 2021 (9.7%). In better news, under-employment was unchanged at 8.4% for the month.

“There is an important question of why there was such a large increase in unemployment and it can be found when looking at the trends for full-time and part-time employment. Full-time employment actually increased in April, up 31,000 to 8,709,000, however there was a large drop in part-time employment, down 270,000 to 4,442,000 which fed into the increasing unemployment in the month.

“We have been discussing the impact of COVID-19 and the rules around isolation for those either infected with the virus or close contacts of confirmed positive cases and both of these factors clearly played a large role in the drop in part-time employment during April.

“The largest factor influencing the employment market was the relaxation of forced isolation of close contacts during April around Australia. If you are a close contact of a confirmed case you no longer have to undertake a mandatory period of seven days in isolation – you must only take a daily RAT for five days to find out whether you have contracted the virus.

“This policy change implemented around the country greatly reduced the number of Australians forced into mandatory isolation during April and meant many workers who had been employed part-time to fill in for other staff are no longer required.

“The other factor at play was the reduction in the number of ‘active cases’ of COVID-19 during April after a secondary peak of the ‘Omicron variant’ in late March/early April. At the start of March 2022 there were around 200,000 active cases but this increased steadily during the month and was at around 500,000 active cases at the start of April. During April active cases steadily declined to under 330,000 by the end of that month. The trends in ‘active cases’ were in different directions during the last two months: up by 300,000 in March and then dropping by 170,000 during April.

“These trends heavily influenced the number of Australians forced into isolation which was high and rising during March and then reduced heavily during April – especially once mandatory isolation for close contacts was removed.

“The removal of mandatory isolation for close contacts of confirmed cases of COVID-19 should mean the virus has less impact on the employment markets going forward as firms will need to hire less part-time workers to fill in for isolating workers.

“However, the counter to that is that as we head into the winter months many experts suggest Australia may be on the verge of another wave of the virus as colder weather tends to lead to more people congregating together indoors – the most effective way of spreading the virus.

“There is also the small matter of a Federal Election to be decided as well. The latest Roy Morgan Poll on Federal Voting Intention shows the ALP on 53% is comfortably ahead of the L-NP on 47% on a two-party preferred basis. If the results from this Roy Morgan Poll are repeated at the Federal Election it will be an easy victory for the ALP and they will garner a clear majority in Parliament.”

 

Roy Morgan Unemployed and ‘Under-employed’* Estimates

Unemployed or

‘Under-employed’*

Unemployed

Unemployed looking for

‘Under-employed’*

Full-time

Part-time

2021

‘000

%

‘000

%

‘000

‘000

‘000

%

Jan-Mar 2021

2,971

20.6

1,750

12.1

717

1,033

1,222

8.5

Apr-Jun 2021

2,688

18.3

1,398

9.5

574

824

1,290

8.8

Jul-Sep 2021

2,573

17.7

1,350

9.3

547

803

1,224

8.4

Oct-Dec 2021

2,586

17.8

1,301

9.0

537

764

1,286

8.9

2022

Jan-Mar 2022

2,380

16.4

1,187

8.2

438

749

1,193

8.2

Months

March 2021

2,728

19.0

1,639

11.4

668

971

1,089

7.6

April 2021

2,664

18.3

1,307

9.0

593

714

1,357

9.3

May 2021

2,749

18.9

1,493

10.3

558

935

1,256

8.6

June 2021

2,651

17.9

1,394

9.4

570

824

1,257

8.5

July 2021

2,756

18.8

1,422

9.7

619

803

1,334

9.1

August 2021

2,537

17.7

1,362

9.5

492

870

1,175

8.2

September 2021

2,428

16.7

1,265

8.7

530

735

1,163

8.0

October 2021

2,547

17.8

1,320

9.2

471

849

1,227

8.6

November 2021

2,536

17.5

1,330

9.2

583

748

1,206

8.3

December 2021

2,676

18.2

1,252

8.5

557

695

1,424

9.7

January 2022

2,427

16.6

1,201

8.2

464

737

1,226

8.4

February 2022

2,357

16.3

1,227

8.5

463

764

1,130

7.8

March 2022

2,356

16.2

1,133

7.8

387

746

1,223

8.4

April 2022

2,641

18.1

1,411

9.7

559

852

1,230

8.4

*Workforce includes those employed and those looking for work – the unemployed.

 

This Roy Morgan survey on Australia’s unemployment and ‘under-employed’* is based on weekly interviews of 826,017 Australians aged 14 and over between January 2007 and April 2022 and includes 5,754 telephone and online interviews in April 2022. *The ‘under-employed’ are those people who are in part-time work or freelancers who are looking for more work.

Contact Roy Morgan to learn more about Australia’s unemployed and under-employed; who and where they are, and the challenges they face as they search for employment opportunities.

Visit the Roy Morgan Online Store to purchase employment profiles, including for Australians who are employedunemployedunder-employedemployed part-timeemployed full-timeretiredstudying and many more.

 

Roy Morgan Research cf. ABS Unemployment Estimates

Roy Morgan Unemployment & Under-employment - April 2022

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source October 2006 – May 2022. Average monthly interviews 4,000.
Note: Roy Morgan unemployment estimates are actual data while the ABS estimates are seasonally adjusted.

 

Roy Morgan Research cf. ABS Unemployment Estimates

Roy Morgan Unemployment Monthly - April 2022

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source January 2000 – May 2022. Average monthly interviews 4,000.
Note: Roy Morgan unemployment estimates are actual data while the ABS estimates are seasonally adjusted.

 

Roy Morgan Unemployment Quarterly - March Quarter 2022

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source April 1995 – May 2022. Average monthly interviews 4,000.
Note: Roy Morgan unemployment estimates are actual data while the ABS estimates are seasonally adjusted.

(Roy Morgan)

May 17 2022

Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/8964-roy-morgan-unemployment-may-2022-202205170442

 

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

743-43-18/Polls

Inflation: The Perceptions Of Citizens Of 11 Countries

25% of respondents say they find it somewhat or very difficult to manage their finances lately: between two-thirds of Turkish citizens (66%) and 16% of those in the United States and Germany. The largest group say they are "barely getting by" - 34% overall and more than half (54%) of Poles. Only 11% say they live comfortably and three out of ten people (29%) believe that their situation is okay.

Respondents share negative outlook for the coming year:

  • In just three countries - the United States, Australia and Canada - more people say they expect their standard of living over the next year to rise rather than fall. The net score (the proportion that expects their standard of living to rise, minus the proportion that expects it to fall) is particularly low in Turkey (-44), followed by Japan (-27) , France (-22) and Great Britain (-21).
  • Few of them expect their disposable income to increase. The most optimistic country in this regard is the United States, where 26% of respondents believe their disposable income will increase, although a larger proportion (33%) expect a decline. Turkish and British citizens are particularly negative, as six in ten say they expect their disposable income to fall (63% and 60% respectively).
  • In seven of the 11 countries surveyed, a majority say they are concerned about their ability to pay their household bills over the next six months. This includes nearly three-quarters of Turks (72%) and six in ten people in Poland (62%), Britain (60%) and Spain (59%).

Expectations of price hikes are also widespread - especially when it comes to food purchases and the cost of energy:

  • In the eleven markets, almost four out of five people expect an increase in the cost of their food purchases (79%). Concern about rising food prices is highest in Britain, where almost nine in ten people expect costs to rise (88%).
  • More than three-quarters of citizens in the 11 markets surveyed expect utility bills to rise (77%). The British are again the most likely to say they expect these costs to increase (89%), followed by the French (85%), Germans and Poles (84% each). Expectations are lowest in Japan (55%), but this is the category where the Japanese public is most likely to say they think costs will rise.
  • Just under three-quarters of them say they expect an increase in the cost of fuel (73%), with citizens of Turkey (81%) and Poland (79%) being the most likely to say they expect increases, followed by Italians (78%).

In most countries, a rise in food prices is what households believe would have the greatest impact on their quality of life - this is the case for the United States, Canada, Italy, Japan, Australia, Poland and Turkey. In the remaining four countries (Great Britain, Italy, Germany and Spain), the increase in energy bills would have the greatest effect.

Les réactions les plus courantes à la hausse des coûts consistent à réduire les dépenses plutôt qu'à changer de comportement. Les trois actions les plus courantes prises par les populations interrogées si la hausse des prix signifiait qu'elles ne pouvaient plus se permettre un style de vie normal sont de dépenser moins pour les sorties (44%), de retarder les décisions d'achat importantes (41%) et de dépenser moins pour les achats ménagers non alimentaires (38%).

Citizens of some countries are more likely to say they will adjust their behavior to save money. While 36% of respondents say they would use less heating, electricity or water, half of Britons say they would take this step (49%), as do 46% of Germans and 44% of Turks. And while, overall, three in ten say they would use their car or motor vehicle less (29%), Turks, Germans and French are more likely to say so (42% , 34% and 34% respectively).

In contrast, relatively few say they would ask for a raise or seek better paying jobs in response to the rising cost of living. These measures are below a series of other actions, including spending less on going out (45%), using less electricity for heating and water (34%) and spending less on food (27% ). Of those who are employed, only 16% say they would look for a better paying job with another employer and 11% say they would ask their current employer for a raise.

  • These responses are more common in some countries. For example, in Poland, a quarter of workers say they would look for a new better paid job (25%) and 17% would ask for a pay rise, and in the United States these figures are 20% and 15%.
  • These figures are lower in Western European countries: 15% of Britons say they would look to change jobs and only 7% say they would ask for a pay rise. In France, both options are at 15% and in Germany they are barely at 10%.

In most countries, respondents see rising inflation as being linked to external and international factors - Overall, the public is more likely to say that the state of the global economy is contributing a lot or quite a rise in the cost of living (77%), alongside the consequences of the Russian invasion of Ukraine (76%) and followed by the COVID-19 pandemic (72%).

However, the policies of national governments are also considered to play an important role. Seven out of ten say it's a factor driving up prices, including 80% in Turkey, 76% in Poland and 72% in the United States, where it's considered the second most important factor.

Shares of companies and individuals are less blamed - while 64% of respondents believe that companies making excessive profits contribute to higher prices, they do not feature in the top three of any country, except Spain (72%). And even fewer see workers demanding price hikes as a factor, although in the United States almost six in ten mention it (58%).

The Ipsos point of view

This new survey conducted by Ipsos with the World Economic Forumhighlights public concerns about the cost of living, both as consumers and as citizens. At present, they consider these pressures to be more transitory than most experts predict. For now, they are responding by cutting back on discretionary spending, avoiding luxury spending and delaying major purchasing decisions. The challenge is that while the public is braced for higher prices, after a long period of low inflation for many, the reality is likely to be even worse than they expect. It is possible that as the pressure continues, the public will move from cutting spending to demanding pay rises (either from their current employer,

For brands – it will be important to empathize with consumers who feel pressured and expect further price increases across a wide range of products. There are clear signs that the public will be looking to cut costs across a range of areas, starting with luxury goods and discretionary spending, but there are subtle differences between markets in where the public will be looking. first. Consumers will try to preserve their overall standard of living and "value" will become increasingly important in many categories.

In most countries, it is clear that citizens do not see  governments and politicians primarily responsible for rising prices, but the high level of personal pessimism will lead to dissatisfaction with incumbent governments and means that the public will seek support to cushion the worst impacts of inflation. Demonstrating that they understand people's financial pain and that they are able to offer practical solutions will be important, as the French elections have just shown. As the cost of living crisis continues, it will be vital to prepare people for potential changes in interest rates and the measures taken to deal with high food and energy prices.

“ Economic optimism has been declining in Europe and the United States since mid-2021, and today less than half of the public in six out of ten countries say they feel financially secure. But if the public expects more inflation and price hikes in 2022, the idea of ​​a ‘new normal’ has yet to sink in. That means further inflationary shocks are likely – so far , relatively few people around the world are asking for pay raises or seeking better paying jobs at a new company. But as the cost of living crisis deepens, we expect to see this change, with the likelihood of a wage-price spiral.This is only the beginning.declares Ben Page, CEO of Ipsos

(Ipsos France)

May 16, 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/inflation-les-perceptions-des-citoyens-de-11-pays

 

743-43-19/Polls

Britons Tend To Think The UK Would Come Out Worse In A Trade War With The EU, A Study In Seven Countries

The prospect of a trade war between the UK and EU is looking increasingly likely as the government suggests it may unilaterally scrap parts of the Brexit arrangements it made with the EU concerning Northern Ireland.

The arrangements had allowed Northern Ireland to remain in the EU single market for goods, but treated goods arriving in Northern Ireland from mainland Britain as though coming from a foreign country. Should Britain tear up the rules, the EU could impose tariffs on UK goods or even terminate the entire Brexit deal.

A YouGov Eurotrack survey conducted in December 2021 found that, in all seven countries surveyed, people tended to think that the UK would come off worse in a UK-EU trade war. This includes 49% of Britons, compared to 25% who think both sides would be equally hit, and just 11% who think the EU would be most negatively impacted.

Spaniards are the most convinced that the UK would lose (58%), while Italians are the least (35% think so, although only 15% say the EU would be hit harder).

Within the UK, the vast majority of Labour and Remain voters (76% of each group) think that the UK would suffer more than a trade war with the EU.

By contrast, Conservative and Leave voters tend to think that both sides would be equally badly damaged (40% of the former and 36% of the latter). One in five (20-21%) think that the EU would be more negatively affected than the UK, while marginally more think the UK would be bruised more than the EU (25-27%).

(YouGov UK)

May 18, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/05/18/britons-tend-think-uk-would-come-out-worse-trade-w

 

743-43-20/Polls

The Role Of Technology In Our Life And Concern About Sharing Personal Data Online Views Of Individuals From 39 Countries Across The Globe 

WIN International, the world’s leading association in market research and polling has published the Annual WIN World Survey (WWS – 2021) exploring the views and beliefs of 33,236 individuals among citizens from 39 countries across the globe about technology, privacy of digital information and related concerns.

Sharing personal information digitally

Almost half of the global population (48%) is concerned about sharing personal information digitally, a percentage that increased by three points compared to last year (45%). The level of concern increases among men and women as well: women, from 47% to 50% and men, from 43% to 47%. The increased frequency of online purchases and bank transactions in times of pandemic may have played a role in this scenario: providing private data, without a good virtual security system, can lead to theft or manipulation of personal data for illicit acts.

More than half of the American continent (54%) feels concerned about sharing their information digitally, a stable result compared to last year. Africa and MENA are regions that experienced the bigger increase compared to last year’s results, raising the level of concern of 22 and 15 percentage points respectively.

On a country by country level, Brazil (72%), China (71%) and Turkey (61%) are the countries that are most concerned about sharing their information digitally. While Lebanon (31%), the Palestinian Territories (30%) and Germany (29%) seem to worry less. Results by country should also be interpreted together with the national context: for example, the local discussions in China regarding the Personal Information Protection Law have played an important role in shaping people’s opinion on the topic.

Awareness on what will happen with personal information after it is shared with a data collector

The rising level of concern about sharing personal information online goes hand in hand with an increased awareness about what happens to our data once is shared.

One third of the global population (33%) say they know what happens with their data, +6% compared to 2020. Although the share increased, there is still a significant majority that ignores the future usage of their personal data.

China (71%), India (51%) and Brazil (49%) have the highest percentages of awareness of the usage of shared personal data, while Japan (16%), Finland and South Korea (each with 9%) show the lowest results.

Technology in our life

More than three quarters of the global population (76%) consider that technology is very important in our lives, especially younger generations (82% among 18-24 and 25-34), students (87%) and those with a higher educational level (masters and PhDs). The pandemic might have had an effect on these results too: in the toughest months, technology was our way to look at the external world, and for students and young people probably even more.

Technology for people in Africa seems to be fundamental, with 90% of the population considering it extremely or very important. Many countries follow the same trend: Indonesia (98%), Serbia (95%) and India (94%) perceive technology as an essential element in their daily lives, while Ecuador (61%), Poland (60%) and France (50%) consider it important, but not vital.

Data misuse

According to the results, 7 out of 10 respondents were victims of data misuse (Spamming or/and phishing). Aggressive misuses like personal data leak, email hacked and financial hack were luckily experienced by fewer people (12%, 11% and 11%, respectively); still 34% experimented at least one of the above (compared to 29% in 2019). People from United States (71%), Hong Kong (64%) and Mexico (63%) seem to have had privacy issues more than people in other countries.

Vilma Scarpino, President of WIN International Association, said:

The impact of the technology in our life has been growing since many years now, but it’s also changing our habits and our perception of the consequences of its misuse. Despite more people are aware of the destination of the personal information they share online, the level of concern does not decrease accordingly: knowing what happens with our data, doesn’t mean we’re not skeptical or worried about it. On top of that, there are still many people ignoring the consequences of online behavior: knowledge still needs to increase in order to have fully aware customers and consumers, and it really needs to increase, considering more than three out of four people consider technology an important part of their life.

(WIN)

19 May 2022
Source:
https://winmr.com/the-role-of-technology-in-our-life-and-concern-about-sharing-personal-data-online/

 

743-43-21/Polls

Should Ukraine Get Automatic Qualification To The World Cup; Scottish And Welsh Fans Say No

As part of the global cultural backlash against Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the Russian national football team has been banned from the 2022 World Cup. The Ukrainian team remains in the competition and is due to play a qualifying match against Scotland on 1 June. The winner of that match will subsequently face the Welsh side, with the victor moving on to the next stage of the tournament.

Some, including prime minister Boris Johnson, have suggested the Ukrainian team could be given an automatic qualification to the competition group stages. However, this would mean Wales and Scotland would lose out on their chance for a spot.

Scottish and Welsh football fans, however, are distinctly unwilling to sacrifice their teams’ chance for glory out of generosity to Ukraine. Just a tiny percentage support the idea: 2% of Welsh fans and 4% of Scottish fans think Ukraine should be given the 'bye' into the next round at the expense of their national teams' chances.

Others have suggested that with a change to the rules an extra place in the competition could be created for Ukraine, leaving Scotland and Wales to duke it out for the last spot. Even when offered this option, only 32% of Welsh and 38% of Scottish fans thinks it is the best solution.

Most refuse to give Ukraine any special treatment at all. Three in five football fans in Wales (61%) and half of those in Scotland (52%) think the remaining qualification games should continue as usual, without special considerations for Ukraine.

(YouGov UK)

May 20, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/sport/articles-reports/2022/05/20/should-ukraine-get-automatic-qualification-world-c