BUSINESS & POLITICS IN THE WORLD

                                                                                                                                                                                     

GLOBAL OPINION REPORT NO. 738-739

 

 

Week: April 11 – April 24, 2022

 

Presentation: April 29, 2022

 

 

Contents

 

738-739-43-45/Commentary: Worldwide Celebration Of Easter French And British Are Most Critical Of Easter Celebrations In Terms Of Commercialization, A YouGov Poll In 12 Countries Around The World. 3

SUMMARY OF POLLS. 4

ASIA   16

McDonald's Tops YouGov’s 2022 Dining And QSR Rankings In Malaysia. 16

Economy Is Turkey's Most Important Problem For 9 Out Of 10 People Today. 17

Eco-Labels In Singapore, How Aware Are Consumers Of These Green Certification Marks. 20

Six In Ten People In S'pore Prefer Sustainable Brands, With Those Aged 18 - 24 Most Likely To Say So. 21

MENA   23

Iraq Pulse: Unrest Amid The Covid-19 Pandemic. 23

AFRICA.. 32

Majority Of Namibians Say The Country Is A Safe Place To Live, But Levels Of Fear Are On The Rise. 32

Three In Four Malawians (74%) Believe “A Lot” In The Existence Of Witchcraft 36

Only One In Five Angolans (21%) Say They Trust The National Electoral Commission (CNE) Somewhat Or A Lot 39

WEST EUROPE.. 42

Seven In Ten (72%) Of Britons Would Support The Construction Of A Wind Farm In Their Local Area. 42

More Than One In Two Britons Support Ban On Whipping Racehorses. 44

Should Selective Breeding Of Dogs With Health Issues Be Banned. 45

Majority Of Britons Say Boris Johnson Should Resign, In Aftermath Of ‘Partygate’ Fines. 46

By 37% To 19% Britons Would Prefer Emmanuel Macron Win The French Presidential Election. 48

4 In 10 (39%) Britons Say Affordable Decent Housing Needs To Be Improved Ahead Of The Local Elections On 5th May. 49

YouGov Food Study Shows That Three In Four Britons (75%) Eat Meat 52

Eight In 10 Britons Say Boris Johnson Lied About Lockdown Parties. 53

Most Britons Now See Rishi Sunak As Untrustworthy And Are Split Over His Competence. 54

59% Of Britons Say They Feel Worse Off Since The Last General Election. 56

6 In 10 Would Rather Be A Citizen Of Britain Than Any Other Country In The World. 57

82% Of French People Say They Are Worried About The Risks Of A Cyberattack In The World. 58

Boost For Macron As He Opens Up 8-Point Lead Over Le Pen. 60

Final Study Of The French Elections: Macron Leads 56% To 44%... 61

26 Percent Of German Citizens Who Are Eligible To Vote Say They Will Vote For The CDU/CSU If The General Election Is Next Sunday. 62

Germans More In Favor Of Extending The Lifetime Of The Last Nuclear Power Plants. 64

Italians And April 25: The Liberation Between The Past And The Present 66

NORTH AMERICA.. 69

Race Is Central To Identity For Black Americans And Affects How They Connect With Each Other 69

Covid-19 Pandemic Pinches Finances Of America’s Lower- And Middle-Income Families. 81

How The American Middle Class Has Changed In The Past Five Decades. 95

Most Americans Who Are Familiar With Title IX, Say It’s Had A Positive Impact On Gender Equality. 103

Most (64%) Canadian Farmers “Cautiously Optimistic” About the Next 12 Months. 109

Canadians Believe Poilievre Has Edge Over Rest Of Conservative Field, But Are Less Certain That They Want Him To Win. 110

AUSTRALIA.. 112

Real Unemployment In Australia Is Far Higher Than Claimed By The ABS, And High Under-Employment Keeps A Lid On The Wage Growth Of Workers. 112

8 In 10 Australians Are Concerned About Climate Change With A Clear Public Expectation Of Government Action. 114

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES. 117

Biden Ended His First Year In Office With A 45% Median Approval Rating Across A Total Of 116 Countries And Territories. 118

Worldwide Celebration Of Easter French And British Are Most Critical Of Easter Celebrations In Terms Of Commercialization, A YouGov Poll In 12 Countries Around The World. 120

Africans Divided On Russia's Leadership Before Ukraine War A Survey In 19 Nations. 121

What Makes People Happiest 30-Country Ipsos Survey. 125

A Global Median Of 33% Approved Of Russia's Leadership In 2021 Among 116 Countries. 128

Incidence Of Smoking In Pakistan Is Lower Than The Global Average. 131

An Average Of 39% Agree That Their Government Has A Clear Plan In Place To Tackle Climate Change In A 30 Country Survey. 132

61% Across 27 Countries Think The War In Ukraine Poses A Significant Risk To Their Country. 134

Globally Respondents Strongly Support The Notion Of Businesses/Brands Taking Steps To Reduce Their Environmental Impact, A Study In 17 Nations. 137

The Image Of U S Leadership Is In A Much Stronger Position, Result Of A Study Across 34 Nations. 140

Europeans Express Wide Support For A Greener Energy Market, According To A Poll Across 7 Countries. 144

 


 

INTRODUCTORY NOTE

This weekly report consists of forty-four surveys. The report includes eleven multi-country studies from different states across the globe.

 

738-739-43-45/Commentary: Worldwide Celebration Of Easter French And British Are Most Critical Of Easter Celebrations In Terms Of Commercialization, A YouGov Poll In 12 Countries Around The World

Easter is still considered a special or traditional occasion in many countries, after all Easter is one of the most important festivals in Christianity.

Easter commemorates Christ's resurrection, who sacrificed himself for the sins of mankind. But are people celebrating this Easter out of their own traditional interest, or is Easter really just a commercial interest as consumers feel encouraged to buy and give consumer goods to mark the holiday?

A recent YouGov poll of 13,000 respondents in 12 countries reveals that the majority of people around the world still think Easter is celebrated for all the right reasons: as a special holiday.

Respondents from Catholic Poland (82 percent) most often see the Easter holidays as a real reason to celebrate. Only 11 percent think the celebration of Christ's resurrection is too commercialized. Danes are second most likely to think that Easter is still celebrated because of a special occasion (73 percent) and not because of commercial pressures. The Spaniards (71 percent) and the Swedes (69 percent) follow in third and fourth place.

In Germany, 63 percent are of the opinion that the festival is a real celebration. However, one in four Germans (24 percent) considers the festival to be too commercialized. The French and British are most critical of Easter celebrations in terms of commercialization. Only half of the French (51 percent) think the festival is being celebrated as a "right" special occasion, while 37 percent think it's more of a commercialization by companies. In a global comparison, the British are most likely to think that the festival is too commercialized (40 percent).

(YouGov Germany)

April 12, 2022

Source: https://yougov.de/news/2022/04/12/ist-ostern-zu-kommerzialisiert/

 

SUMMARY OF POLLS

ASIA

(Malaysia)

McDonald's Tops YouGov’s 2022 Dining And QSR Rankings In Malaysia

McDonald's tops YouGov’s 2022 Dining and QSR rankings in Malaysia. The American hamburger restaurant's Index score of 45.4 places it ahead of 34 other popular quick service restaurants in the market. McDonald’s also ranked first in last year’s QSR rankings (50.9), but its score has fallen by 5.5 points this year. KFC, which achieved an Index score of 39.4, takes the second spot. The American fried chicken restaurant also ranked second in 2021, although its score has fallen by 7.5 points this year (from 46.9).  

(YouGov Malaysia)

April 12, 2022

 

(Turkey)

Economy Is Turkey's Most Important Problem For 9 Out Of 10 People Today

91% of the society thinks that the economy is Turkey's most important problem. With the decrease in the effect of the epidemic, the epidemic is no longer seen as a significant problem. The epidemic and economic problems also affect the mood of the society. Especially with the increase in economic problems, individuals feel more tired and bored. The feeling of fatigue is at 60% for the first time. It is of the opinion that the VAT discount on some basic consumption products at the end of March is not reflected in the prices in the market. And 9 out of 10 people think that the VAT discounts are not an adequate solution to the high prices in the market.

(Ipsos Turkey)

11 April 2022

 

(Singapore)

Eco-Labels In Singapore, How Aware Are Consumers Of These Green Certification Marks

Environmental labelling certifications and eco-labels have made it simpler for consumers today to identify products that are manufactured and/or can be used with lower environmental impact.  Latest data from YouGov RealTime Omnibus, as of April 2022, reveals that more than nine in ten consumers in Singapore are aware of the NEA Energy Label (95%) and PUB Water Efficiency Label (96%), of which more than one-third are “very familiar” and more than half are “quite” or “slightly familiar” with each label.     

(YouGov Singapore)
April 19, 2022

 

Six In Ten People In S'pore Prefer Sustainable Brands, With Those Aged 18 - 24 Most Likely To Say So

Latest data from audience segmentation tool YouGov Profiles reveals that as many as six in ten people in Singapore say they prefer brands that are sustainable (58%), reiterating that environmentally conscious behaviour from brands weighs heavily on the mind of the consumer. Furthermore, those aged 18-24 are significantly more likely to be sustainable shoppers, with two-thirds of those in this demographic preferring sustainable brands (66%). A notable half of sustainable shoppers aged 25-34 say they spend more when they are members of loyalty programmes (55%), accounting for the greatest proportion of sustainable shoppers who say so.

(YouGov Singapore)

April 20, 2022

 

MENA

(Iraq)

Iraq Pulse: Unrest Amid The Covid-19 Pandemic

The latest Arab Barometer’s (AB) survey (Wave VI which was– conducted between March and April of 2021) attempts to contribute to this debate. The findings of this survey display public discontent over political life, dissatisfaction with education and health systems and economic performances, and concerns about civil liberties. The public views corruption as one of the main challenges that hinder progress in the country. Nearly a quarter (23%) of Iraqis say that corruption is the most important challenge facing their country; the highest of all countries included in the AB spring 2021 survey.

(Arabbarometer)

April 19, 2022

 

AFRICA

(Namibia)

Majority Of Namibians Say The Country Is A Safe Place To Live, But Levels Of Fear Are On The Rise

Three out of four Namibians consider their country a safe place to live, a recent Afrobarometer survey indicates. The same proportion of citizens say safety and security have improved in Namibia over the past five years – even as increasing numbers report fear of crime. More than half of Namibians say they experienced fear of crime in their homes and felt unsafe walking in their neighborhoods during the past year. Three-fourths (74%) of respondents say Namibia is a "somewhat safe" (39%) or “very safe” (35%) country to live in.

(Afrobarometer)

11 April 2022

 

(Malawi)

Three In Four Malawians (74%) Believe “A Lot” In The Existence Of Witchcraft

Most Malawians strongly believe that witchcraft exists and support changing the law to criminalize its practice, a new Afrobarometer survey shows. Educated citizens are more likely to believe in the existence of witchcraft than those with no formal education. Most Malawians associate witchcraft with using magic to kill people, make them sick or bring them misfortune. The survey shows that the elderly, especially elderly women, are at the greatest risk of being victims of witchcraft accusations. Almost three-fourths (72%) of Malawians say witchcraft should be criminalized.

(Afrobarometer)

14 April 2022

(Angola)

Only One In Five Angolans (21%) Say They Trust The National Electoral Commission (CNE) Somewhat Or A Lot

As Angolans approach general elections in August, only one in five citizens say they trust the National Electoral Commission, a new Afrobarometer survey shows. Only one in five Angolans (21%) say they trust the National Electoral Commission (CNE) “somewhat” or “a lot,” a 6-percentage-point decline compared to 2019. Levels of trust are higher among men (25% vs. 17% of women) and among older respondents (34% of those aged 46 and over vs. 17%-19% of 18- to 35-year-olds).

(Afrobarometer)

22 April 2022

 

WEST EUROPE

(UK)

Seven in ten (72%) of Britons would support the construction of a wind farm in their local area

A new YouGov survey finds, however, that Britons are perhaps more open to onshore wind than anticipated. Seven in ten (72%) of Britons would support the construction of a wind farm in their local area – including 33% who would "strongly" back one. Only 17% would oppose a new wind farm in their area. This compares to just 34% who would support a nuclear power plant in their area. Half (50%) would oppose the creation of a new nuclear site near them, with some 28% strongly opposed to the suggestion.

(YouGov UK)

April 11, 2022

 

More Than One In Two Britons Support Ban On Whipping Racehorses

New research from Ipsos UK, released ahead of this weekend’s Grand National, reveals that more than one in two Britons aged 16-75 (55%) want jockeys banned from using the whip whilst three in ten (31%) believe horse racing is unacceptable. Men (54%) and women (55%) are united in supporting a ban on the whip. However, there is a gender divide about whether horse racing as a sport is acceptable or not - 38% of women believe horse racing is unacceptable compared with 24% of men. 

(Ipsos MORI)

12 April 2022

 

Should Selective Breeding Of Dogs With Health Issues Be Banned

YouGov asked the British public whether they would support or oppose a ban in the UK on the selective breeding of certain types of dogs. Half of the respondents were asked whether they would support a ban on selective breeding where it results in serious health issues, like breathing problems or increased cancer risk, and the other half were asked whether they would support a ban on selective breeding of brachycephalic (flat-faced) dogs, like pugs and French bulldogs. Seven in 10 (71%) would support banning selective breeding where it results in dogs with serious health issues, with just 20% opposed and 9% unsure.

(YouGov UK)

April 13, 2022

 

Majority Of Britons Say Boris Johnson Should Resign, In Aftermath Of ‘Partygate’ Fines

New polling of the British public on Tuesday (12th) and Wednesday (13th) this week in the aftermath of the Prime Minister being issued with a Fixed Penalty Notice shows that Britons think Boris Johnson should resign by a 2:1 margin. 54% would support the Prime Minister resigning and 27% would oppose. Support for his resignation is unchanged from a similar poll taken April 1st to 3rd, which asked what people thought he should do if he received a fine. Meanwhile, there are some signs Conservative voters from 2019 are rallying behind the Prime Minister. 48% now oppose his resignation compared to 37% at the beginning of the month.

(Ipsos MORI)

14 April 2022

 

By 37% To 19% Britons Would Prefer Emmanuel Macron Win The French Presidential Election

The French public went to the polls over the weekend for the first round of their presidential election. The results are a repeat of 2017, with centrist Emmanuel Macron facing off against far-right Marine Le Pen in a run-off vote next weekend. Here in Britain, Macron is the preferred candidate, by 37% to Le Pen’s 19%. The largest portion of the public (44%), however, do not seem to be au fait with French politics, answering “don’t know”.

(YouGov UK)

April 15, 2022

 

4 In 10 (39%) Britons Say Affordable Decent Housing Needs To Be Improved Ahead Of The Local Elections On 5th May

Ahead of the local elections across parts of the country next month, new research by Ipsos shows half of Britons say the conditions of roads and pavements are most in need of improvement (50%) in their local area, while 4 in 10 (39%) say affordable decent housing needs to be enhanced. The public’s priorities also include improvements in health services (37%), wages and local cost of living (36%), shops and the local high street/town centre (36%), and cleanliness of streets (34%) in their local area.

(Ipsos MORI)

20 April 2022

 

YouGov Food Study Shows That Three In Four Britons (75%) Eat Meat

The YouGov Food Study shows that three in four Britons (75%) eat meat, with this being more the case for men (82%) than women (69%). Six percent describe themselves as vegetarian (8% of women and 3% of men), while a further 11% say they are flexitarian. Two percent of Britons are vegans and 3% are pescatarians. Our study shows that the younger Britons are, the less likely are they to eat meat: 75% of those aged 16-24 eat meat, compared to 95% of those 60 and older.

(YouGov UK)

April 20, 2022

 

Eight In 10 Britons Say Boris Johnson Lied About Lockdown Parties

New polling from YouGov / The Times reveals more than three quarters of Britons (78%) think Boris Johnson has lied in his response to the issue of parties being held at Downing Street during lockdown. Just 8% think he has not lied, and 14% are unsure. Half of those who currently intend to vote Conservative (51%) say Boris Johnson has lied about ‘partygate’, with a quarter (25%) saying he has not lied and a further 25% unsure. Those who backed the party in the 2019 general election are more likely still to think that the prime minister has lied, at 61%.

(YouGov UK)

April 21, 2022

 

Most Britons Now See Rishi Sunak As Untrustworthy And Are Split Over His Competence

New YouGov polling shows a dramatic shift in the tone of the public’s perceptions of Rishi Sunak. Half of the population now consider him to be “untrustworthy” (58%) – a figure up 30pts compared to January 2021 (28%). While only 19% of the public currently consider Sunak trustworthy, Conservative voters are split 38% to 40% on whether the Chancellor is trustworthy or not. Indeed, while this change is far from positive, Sunak does again retain a lead over Boris Johnson, who is seen as untrustworthy by far more people (74%) than Sunak, with 12% saying he is trustworthy.

(YouGov UK)

April 21, 2022

 

59% Of Britons Say They Feel Worse Off Since The Last General Election

New polling from Ipsos, taken on April 7th and 8th, shows that 59% of Britons think they are worse off than when the Conservatives won the last General Election. 15% say they are better off and the rest say neither or don’t know. 17% said they would be better off if Boris Johnson’s Conservatives won the next General Election. 51% said they would be worse off. 29% said they would be better off if Keir Starmer’s Labour Party won the next General Election. 34% said they would be worse off.

(Ipsos MORI)

22 April 2022

 

6 In 10 Would Rather Be A Citizen Of Britain Than Any Other Country In The World 

New research from Ipsos, ahead of St. George’s Day on 23rd April, shows a majority of British citizens agree with the statement, “I would rather be a citizen of Britain than of any country in the world,” 6 in 10 (60%) agree while only 13% do not. This is broadly in line with the results six years ago in 2016.  Older Britons (70% of 55-75 year olds) and 2019 Conservative voters (76%) are most likely to agree.

(Ipsos MORI)

24 April 2022

 

(France)

82% Of French People Say They Are Worried About The Risks Of A Cyberattack In The World

The study reveals that two out of three French people consider that in France, the risk of nuclear disaster or industrial accident due to a cyberattack is significant. In a particularly uncertain geopolitical context, the French are worried about the global risks of cyberattacks, a weapon that has become increasingly common in modern conflicts. 82% of French people say they are worried about the risks of a cyberattack in the world and 79% in France.

(Ipsos France)

April 13, 2022

 

Boost For Macron As He Opens Up 8-Point Lead Over Le Pen

With the race to win the French presidency reaching its final stage, the two second round candidates – Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen – are competing for every vote in what is expected to be a tight and tough contest. Second round vote intention figures ahead of last Sunday’s ballot showed Macron with a two-point lead, but today’s new YouGov/DataPraxis poll puts the incumbent eight points ahead, with 54% of current vote intention compared to 46% for Le Pen.

(YouGov UK)

April 15, 2022

 

Final Study Of The French Elections: Macron Leads 56% To 44%

Our YouGov / Data Praxis study reveals 12 points ahead for Emmanuel Macron (56% against 44% for Marine Le Pen). Such a result would represent a drop of 10 points from Emmanuel Macron's 2017 vote share – nevertheless, he achieves a clear victory over his opponent. One of the decisive factors in the second round is the voting choice of voters who supported Jean-Luc Mélenchon (22%). According to our data, one in five voters (18%) who voted for Mélenchon intend to vote for Le Pen vs 38% for Macron.

(YouGov France)

April 22, 2022

 

(Germany)

26 Percent Of German Citizens Who Are Eligible To Vote Say They Will Vote For The CDU/CSU If The General Election Is Next Sunday

As in the previous month, 26 percent of German citizens who are eligible to vote say they will vote for the CDU/CSU if the general election is next Sunday. The SPD would currently vote for 21 percent, 2 percentage points less than in the previous month. This increases the Union's lead again slightly to 5 percentage points. The FDP remains unchanged at 9 percent, the left still at 6 percent. 12 percent of German voters would vote for the AfD if there were a federal election next Sunday (11 percent in the previous month).

(YouGov Germany)

April 14, 2022

 

Germans More In Favor Of Extending The Lifetime Of The Last Nuclear Power Plants

49 percent of the German population would support an immediate ban on imports of natural gas and oil from Russia, even if this had consequences for the German economy. Two out of five respondents (39 percent) would reject this. 59 percent of German voters made this statement. On the other hand, 30 percent would reject an extension of the term, most frequently Green Party voters (56 percent). The most common endorsement would come from Union voters (77 percent).

(YouGov Germany)

April 22, 2022

 

(Italy)

Italians And April 25: The Liberation Between The Past And The Present

April 25 is the Liberation Day , in memory of April 1945 which saw the end of the Nazi-Fascist occupation in Italy. 52 % of Italians celebrate it, while 43% do not, and a further 6% say they are uncertain. The most common ways to celebrate are family celebrations (61%), watch themed TV programs (28%), share themed posts on social media (19%), or participate in events and parades (17%); a percentage, the latter, which reaches 23% in the North-West, where the main events are held, including the parade in Milan, which will return in 2022 after 2 years of absence.

(YouGov Italy)

April 21, 2022

 

NORTH AMERICA

(USA)

Race Is Central To Identity For Black Americans And Affects How They Connect With Each Other

A majority of non-Hispanic Black Americans (78%) say being Black is very or extremely important to how they think about themselves. This racial group is the largest among Black adults, accounting for 87% of the adult population, according to 2019 Census Bureau estimates. But among other Black Americans, roughly six-in-ten multiracial (57%) and Hispanic (58%) Black adults say this. Specifically, 76% of Black adults ages 30 to 49, 80% of those 50 to 64 and 83% of those 65 and older hold this view, while only 63% of those under 30 do.

(PEW)

APRIL 14, 2022

 

Covid-19 Pandemic Pinches Finances Of America’s Lower- And Middle-Income Families

From 2019 to 2020, the median income of lower-income households decreased by 3.0% and the median income of middle-income households fell by 2.1%. In contrast, the median income of upper-income households in 2020 was about the same as it was in 2019, according to a new Pew Research Center analysis of government data. The median incomes of households in all income tiers had increased at about the same pace – an annual average rate of 1.8% for lower-income families, 1.6% for middle-income families and 1.9% for upper-income families, after adjusting for inflation. 

(PEW)

APRIL 20, 2022

 

How The American Middle Class Has Changed In The Past Five Decades

The middle class, once the economic stratum of a clear majority of American adults, has steadily contracted in the past five decades. The share of adults who live in middle-class households fell from 61% in 1971 to 50% in 2021, according to a new Pew Research Center analysis of government data. The median income for lower-income households grew more slowly than that of middle-class households, increasing from $20,604 in 1970 to $29,963 in 2020, or 45%.

(PEW)

APRIL 20, 2022

 

Most Americans Who Are Familiar With Title IX, Say It’s Had A Positive Impact On Gender Equality

Fifty years after the passage of Title IX, which prohibits high schools and colleges that receive federal funding from discriminating based on sex, most Americans who have heard about the law say it’s had a positive impact on gender equality in the United States (63%). Still, 37% of those who are familiar with Title IX say it has not gone far enough in increasing opportunities for women and girls to participate in sports, according to a February Pew Research Center survey of U.S. adults.

(PEW)

APRIL 21, 2022

 

(Canada)

Most (64%) Canadian Farmers “Cautiously Optimistic” About the Next 12 Months

Despite the degree of uncertainty that the future hold, most Canadian farmers remain “cautiously optimistic” (64%) about the next twelve months, while 17% are very optimistic, according to the new RBC Agriculture Poll conducted by Ipsos. Only one in five farmers is pessimistic (7% mostly/12% somewhat) about the next year. Moreover, seven in ten (71%) agree (32% strongly) that they’re making progress on recruiting and promoting a diverse workforce, including women in all levels. In fact, six in ten (61%) farmers say that their leadership team includes women.

(Ipsos Canada)

12 April 2022

 

Canadians Believe Poilievre Has Edge Over Rest Of Conservative Field, But Are Less Certain That They Want Him To Win

Canadians don’t have a particularly favourable impression of any of the declared or likely candidates for the leadership of the Conservative Party of Canada. Moreover, according to a new Ipsos poll conducted for Global News, out of the 11 candidates tested, a majority of Canadians say they don’t know enough about 9 of them to have an opinion one way or the other, leaving only Pierre Poilievre and Jean Charest as the candidates that most Canadians are familiar with – for better or for worse.

(Ipsos Canada)

20 April 2022

 

AUSTRALIA

Real Unemployment In Australia Is Far Higher Than Claimed By The ABS, And High Under-Employment Keeps A Lid On The Wage Growth Of Workers

The first Omicron wave began in early December and led to infections peaking in mid-January at over 700,000 before declining rapidly over the next few weeks and bottoming in February. A second Omicron wave began in early March and is still ongoing with tens of thousands of new cases every day. The forced isolation of many employees is in turn forcing businesses to hire more workers on part-time hours. In March part-time employment increased by 289,000 to a near-record high of over 4.7 million.

(Roy Morgan)

April 14 2022

 

8 In 10 Australians Are Concerned About Climate Change With A Clear Public Expectation Of Government Action

Australians are concerned about climate change (83%) and 70% consider that Australia is already being affected by climate change, primarily with more frequent and extreme natural disaster events which is a steady increase in concern and up from 56% in 2011. Interestingly, the proportion of people expressing doubt about whether climate change is actually occurring has remained relatively steady over the same period, with 24% currently expressing this view. The level of doubt is significantly higher in NSW with this figure rising to one in three (32%).

(Ipsos Australia)

20 April 2022

 

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

Biden Ended His First Year In Office With A 45% Median Approval Rating Across A Total Of 116 Countries And Territories

new Gallup report details that by early August 2021, median approval of U.S. leadership worldwide stood at 49% across 46 countries and territories surveyed by that point. This approval rating matched the record-high rating when former President Barack Obama first took office in 2009. However, the United States' overall rating slipped in the second half of the year. Across 70 additional countries and territories surveyed during and after the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, median approval stood at 43%.

(Gallup)

APRIL 12, 2022

Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/391661/approval-ratings-retreat-afghanistan-withdrawal.aspx

 

Worldwide Celebration Of Easter French And British Are Most Critical Of Easter Celebrations In Terms Of Commercialization, A YouGov Poll In 12 Countries Around The World

A recent YouGov poll of 13,000 respondents in 12 countries reveals that the majority of people around the world still think Easter is celebrated for all the right reasons: as a special holiday. In Germany, 63 percent are of the opinion that the festival is a real celebration. However, one in four Germans (24 percent) considers the festival to be too commercialized. The French and British are most critical of Easter celebrations in terms of commercialization. Only half of the French (51 percent) think the festival is being celebrated as a "right" special occasion, while 37 percent think it's more of a commercialization by companies. In a global comparison, the British are most likely to think that the festival is too commercialized (40 percent).

(YouGov Germany)

April 12, 2022

Source: https://yougov.de/news/2022/04/12/ist-ostern-zu-kommerzialisiert/

 

Africans Divided On Russia's Leadership Before Ukraine War A Survey In 19 Nations

Overall, median approval of Russia's leadership stood at 42% across Africa in 2021, which is lower than the approval ratings of the leadership of the U.S. (60%), China (52%) and Germany (49%). However, approval of Russia's leadership remains consistently higher in Africa than the global median of 33%. Africans have held a more positive view of Russia for some time, reaching a peak of 57% approval in 2011, before opinions started declining over the past decade. Line graph. Trend line showing median approval ratings of Russia's leadership across Africa and worldwide, from 2007 to 2021. In 2021, a median of 42% of Africans approved of Russia's leadership, versus 33% approval worldwide.

(Gallup)

APRIL 13, 2022

Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/391718/africans-divided-russia-leadership-ukraine-war.aspx

 

What Makes People Happiest 30-Country Ipsos Survey 

An Ipsos global survey run at the end of 2021, prior to the current war in Ukraine and at the beginning of the cost of living crisis, found that happiness amongst Britons had returned to pre-COVID levels, with 83% of people reporting to be very or rather happy (82% in 2019, prior to the pandemic). This is considerably higher than the global average of 67%, across 30 countries.  Happiness is most prevalent in the Netherlands and Australia, with 86% and 85% respectively describing themselves as “very” or “rather” happy. China and Great Britain (both 83%), India (82%), France and Saudi Arabia (both 81%), and Canada (80%) follow.

(Ipsos MORI)

14 April 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/what-makes-people-happiest-health-family-and-purpose

 

A Global Median Of 33% Approved Of Russia's Leadership In 2021 Among 116 Countries

Before Russia's invasion of Ukraine this year, Russia's leadership remained relatively unpopular in most parts of the world, with a global median approval rating of 33% in 2021. As unimpressive as this current rating seems, it's still a marked improvement from the 22% median approval rating in 2014, notably the last time Russia invaded Ukraine and ended up annexing Crimea. After Crimea, Russia's global reputation slowly started to improve, reaching as high as 34% in 2020.

(Gallup)

APRIL 15, 2022

Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/391775/russia-leadership-not-highly-popular-ukraine-war.aspx

 

Incidence Of Smoking In Pakistan Is Lower Than The Global Average

According to a Gallup Pakistan Survey in Pakistan (and similar surveys done by Worldwide Independent Network of Market Research (WIN) across the world), the incidence of smoking in Pakistan is lower than the global average; a quarter of the male adult population and 7% of the female population claim to smoke in Pakistan. A nationally representative sample of adult men and women from across the four provinces was asked the following question, “How often would you say that you...? - Smoke” In response to this question in Pakistan, 10% said very often, 4% said fairly often, 3% said sometimes, 7% said occasionally and 76% said never.

(Gallup Pakistan)

April 15, 2022

Source: https://gallup.com.pk/wp/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/15-April-2022-English-1.pdf

 

An Average Of 39% Agree That Their Government Has A Clear Plan In Place To Tackle Climate Change In A 30 Country Survey

68% think government and businesses need to act now or risk failing future generations. Just 39% agree that their government has a clear plan in place to tackle climate change. Climate change sits 8th on a list of concerns for the public. The public believe there is a shared responsibility among government (77%), businesses (76%) and individuals (74%) to tackle climate change. Some business sectors are seen as having a greater responsibility for reducing their contribution to climate change – particularly energy companies (82%), car manufacturers (80%), airlines (77%) and public transport providers (77%).  

(Ipsos South Africa)

18 April 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-za/global-advisor-earth-day-2022

 

61% Across 27 Countries Think The War In Ukraine Poses A Significant Risk To Their Country

A new Ipsos survey finds that, on average across 27 countries, 70% of adults report closely following the news about Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and 61% think it poses a significant risk to their country. Majorities in every one of the countries surveyed support taking in Ukrainian refugees and oppose getting involved militarily in the conflict. However, opinions on economic sanctions and providing weapons to the Ukrainian military differ widely across countries. Those who follow the news about the war in Ukraine represent between 57% and 77% of those surveyed in all but three of the 27 countries. The only exceptions are Japan (89%) and Sweden (83%) at one end of the spectrum and Malaysia (49%) at the other end.

(Ipsos South Africa)

19 April 2022

Source:  https://www.ipsos.com/en-za/war-in-ukraine-april-2022

 

Globally Respondents Strongly Support The Notion Of Businesses/Brands Taking Steps To Reduce Their Environmental Impact, A Study In 17 Nations

On the occasion of World Earth Day, YouGov’s international study which polled more than 19,000 people across 17 countries, reveals that a majority (81%) of urban Indians said it’s “important” (46% “very” and 35% “fairly”) for brands or businesses to actively take steps to minimise their impact on the environment. A larger proportion of female respondents said this, indicating that women feel more strongly about this issue than men in the country (83% vs 79%). Similarly, the older adults aged 55+ are most likely among the different age groups to advocate this view.

(YouGov India)
April 20, 2022

Source: https://in.yougov.com/en-hi/news/2022/04/20/most-urban-indians-want-brands-take-active-measure/

 

 The Image Of U S Leadership Is In A Much Stronger Position, Result Of A Study Across 34 Nations

Gallup surveys show median approval of U.S. leadership across Asia shot from 31% in 2020 to 41% in 2021, and the U.S. now essentially ties Germany for the most-positively viewed leadership in the region. Unlike approval of the U.S., Germany's 2021 approval rating was mostly unchanged from previous years, while Russia (33%) and China (27%) were also on a similar footing to where they have ranked in the past. China's approval continued to drift slightly lower in 2021.

(Gallup)

APRIL 22, 2022

Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/391940/germany-lead-approval-ratings-asia.aspx

 

Europeans Express Wide Support For A Greener Energy Market, According To A Poll Across 7 Countries

New YouGov EuroTrack polling across seven European countries suggests that there is significant public appetite for substantial policy changes that would see a much greener energy market, something that climate change activists have been pushing for a long time. Across all countries polled, a majority would support a government policy that ruled that only renewable energy can be produced. Italians and Spaniards feel particularly strongly about this, with 80% of Italians, and 75% of Spaniards supporting such a policy. The Germans need more persuading, with just 53% supporting this proposal.

(YouGov UK)

April 22, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/international/articles-reports/2022/04/22/eurotrack-europeans-express-wide-support-greener-e

 

ASIA

738-739-43-01/Polls

McDonald's Tops YouGov’s 2022 Dining And QSR Rankings In Malaysia

McDonald's tops YouGov’s 2022 Dining and QSR rankings in Malaysia. The American hamburger restaurant's Index score of 45.4 places it ahead of 34 other popular quick service restaurants in the market. McDonald’s also ranked first in last year’s QSR rankings (50.9), but its score has fallen by 5.5 points this year. 

KFC, which achieved an Index score of 39.4, takes the second spot. The American fried chicken restaurant also ranked second in 2021, although its score has fallen by 7.5 points this year (from 46.9).  

Domino’s Pizza, which achieved an Index score of 28.1, clinched the third position. The American pizzeria rose one spot from 2021, when its previous score of 28.3 placed it in fourth

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Subway achieved an Index score of 27.8 to come in fourth. The American sandwich restaurant rose one spot from 2021, when it was fifth (27.7).  

Pizza Hut, which achieved an Index score of 27.8, rounds out the top five. The American pan pizza restaurant dropped two spots from last year (30.0), after its score fell by 2.2 points this year.

(YouGov Malaysia)

April 12, 2022

Source: https://my.yougov.com/en-my/news/2022/04/12/malaysia-best-quick-service-restaurants-2022/

 

738-739-43-02/Polls

Economy Is Turkey's Most Important Problem For 9 Out Of 10 People Today

Economy is Turkey's Most Important Problem for 9 out of 10 People Today

91% of the society thinks that the economy is Turkey's most important problem. With the decrease in the effect of the epidemic, the epidemic is no longer seen as a significant problem.

6 out of 10 People Have Decreased Household Income

58% of individuals say their household income has decreased in the last 12 months. Those who say that their household income has increased are only 10% of the society.

Society Feels More Tired and Bored

The epidemic and economic problems also affect the mood of the society. Especially with the increase in economic problems, individuals feel more tired and bored. The feeling of fatigue is at 60% for the first time.

It is of the opinion that the VAT discount on some basic consumption products at the end of March is not reflected in the prices in the market. And 9 out of 10 people think that the VAT discounts are not an adequate solution to the high prices in the market.

The rate of those who think that reducing the VAT rate from 18% to 8% on some products such as cleaning products, shampoo, toilet paper, baby diapers and sanitary pads does not reflect on the prices in the market, is 81%. The rate of those who think that this discount is reflected in the prices is only 8%. The rate of those who think that the VAT reduction on both food products and other products is not an adequate solution for the high prices of basic consumer goods is very high.

Sidar Gedik, CEO of Ipsos Turkey, made the following evaluations about the data;

For about a year, the economy stood out as the most important problem of our country. With the weakening of the effect of the epidemic in recent months, the economy has come to a position where all other problems are suppressed. As a result of inflation that continues to rise, six out of ten people state that their household's purchasing power has decreased in the past year. Naturally, when we ask what is the biggest problem of our country, almost no other problem comes to mind.

In order to cope with price increases, the government, producers and consumers are taking various measures on their part. Among the measures taken by the government, there are also VAT reductions. However, eight out of ten citizens do not think that these discounts are reflected in the labels. And nine out of ten believe that VAT reductions will not be enough to combat high prices. In other words, some of us say that even if the discounts are reflected on the label, it will not be enough.

In the last 2 years, we have been really tired in the fight against the epidemic and the economy. Six out of ten people feel tired, we've never felt so tired. I hope the spring months will bring not only psychological relief, but also some economic relief with the reduction of heating costs.

(Ipsos Turkey)

11 April 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/tr-tr/toplum-kendini-daha-yorgun-ve-bikkin-hissediyor

 

738-739-43-03/Polls

Eco-Labels In Singapore, How Aware Are Consumers Of These Green Certification Marks

Environmental labelling certifications and eco-labels have made it simpler for consumers today to identify products that are manufactured and/or can be used with lower environmental impact.  

But how aware are consumers in Singapore of these green marks? Ahead of Earth Day on April 22, latest research from YouGov throws a spotlight on this. 

Eco-label awareness in Singapore: Common green marks

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YouGov polled consumers on their familiarity with five eco-labels used in Singapore. They included the:  

Eco-label awareness in Singapore: General population

Latest data from YouGov RealTime Omnibus, as of April 2022, reveals that more than nine in ten consumers in Singapore are aware of the NEA Energy Label (95%) and PUB Water Efficiency Label (96%), of which more than one-third are “very familiar” and more than half are “quite” or “slightly familiar” with each label.     

More than three-fifths are also aware of the Singapore Green Label (63%), but less than one-third recall ever seeing the EPEAT Label (29%) and UL GREENGUARD Label (22%). 

Eco-label awareness in Singapore: Across age groups

The youngest consumers aged 18-24 years are much more likely than other age groups to be very familiar with the NEA Energy Label (55%) and PUB Water Efficiency Label (47%), while consumers aged 25-34 years were most likely to be very familiar with the EPEAT (9%) and UL GREENGUARD Labels (8%). 

However, with the Singapore Green Label, while consumers aged 25-44 years were most likely to be familiar (11%), consumers aged 18-24 years were least likely to be familiar (3%). 

Consumers aged 55+ years are more likely than other age groups to be completely unfamiliar with the NEA Energy Label (9%), EPEAT Label (80%) and UL GREENGUARD Label (85%). The Singapore Green Label had the widest variance in unaware consumers when segmented by age, from just over a quarter of consumers aged 35-44 years (27%) to more than half of consumers aged 18-24 years (53%). 

(YouGov Singapore)
April 19, 2022

Source: https://sg.yougov.com/en-sg/news/2022/04/19/ecolabels-singapore-consumer-awareness/

 

738-739-43-04/Polls

Six In Ten People In S'pore Prefer Sustainable Brands, With Those Aged 18 - 24 Most Likely To Say So

Sustainability has become a global buzzword, especially as consumers are increasingly cognisant of the impact that the brands they support have on the environment. Latest data from audience segmentation tool YouGov Profiles reveals that as many as six in ten people in Singapore say they prefer brands that are sustainable (58%), reiterating that environmentally conscious behaviour from brands weighs heavily on the mind of the consumer. Furthermore, those aged 18-24 are significantly more likely to be sustainable shoppers, with two-thirds of those in this demographic preferring sustainable brands (66%).

The data also indicates that sustainable shoppers (defined as those who agree with the statement, “I prefer brands that are sustainable”) could be less price sensitive in their purchases. On the whole, while one in five Singapore residents say they would shop specific brands without looking at the price (22%), this increases to one in four among sustainable shoppers (26%).

Looking specifically at price sensitivity toward products that are good for the environment, where less than half of the general population would be willing to pay more for eco-friendly products (46%), this increases to six in ten among sustainable shoppers (60%). Such behaviour is consistent across age demographics and highest in sustainable shoppers above the age of 55 (63%), indicating that paying a premium for environmentally friendly products is not a concern for the sustainable shopper.    

Another factor that contributes to spending among sustainable shoppers is that of loyalty programmes. Shoppers who prefer sustainable brands are significantly more likely to spend more with brands when they are a member of their loyalty programme (48%), as compared to the general population (40%).

A notable half of sustainable shoppers aged 25-34 say they spend more when they are members of loyalty programmes (55%), accounting for the greatest proportion of sustainable shoppers who say so.

While that is the case, the biggest behavioural disparity between sustainable shoppers and the general population is among those aged 45-54, with just under half of sustainable shoppers saying they tend to spend more when members of a brand’s loyalty programme, as compared to four in ten of the general population (38%).

(YouGov Singapore)

April 20, 2022

Source: https://sg.yougov.com/en-sg/news/2022/04/20/six-ten-people-spore-prefer-sustainable-brands-tho/

 

MENA

738-739-43-05/Polls

Iraq Pulse: Unrest Amid The Covid-19 Pandemic

Nearly 19 years have passed since the removal of Saddam Hussein from power and the establishment of the second republic of Iraq. While the structures of the State and the political system have been deeply and extensively reshaped, the impact of this transformation on the life of Iraqis remains debated. The latest Arab Barometer’s (AB) survey (Wave VI which was– conducted between March and April of 2021) attempts to contribute to this debate. The findings of this survey display public discontent over political life, dissatisfaction with education and health systems and economic performances, and concerns about civil liberties.

In October 2019, the cabinet of then-Prime Minister Adel Abdul al-Mahdi faced a major wave of popular protests in Baghdad which rapidly spread to other Iraqi urban centers. Demands revolved around socio-economic reforms and the end of the corrupt and sectarian political system. The brutality of the response brought by the police and militias changed the protesters’ attitude to demanding political reforms and a new social contract for the Iraqi state. Al-Mahdi submitted his resignation on the 1st of December 2019 and in May 2020, the Council of Representatives (CoR) asked former intelligence chief, Mustafa al-Kadhimi, to form a provisional government. Al-Kadhimi was able, to some extent, to intensify the fight against corruption and meet some of the popular demands. He strengthened the anti-corruption policies and established a special committee to investigate allegations of corruption and unusual crimes, with the help of the Commission of Integrity. Genuine improvements as a result of these measures may not be obvious right away.

The public views corruption as one of the main challenges that hinder progress in the country. Nearly a quarter (23%) of Iraqis say that corruption is the most important challenge facing their country; the highest of all countries included in the AB spring 2021 survey. The widespread corruption is a source of agreement in the country, with 88% of Iraqis saying it is prevalent to a large of medium extent in state institutions and national agencies.  The country had general elections in October 2021, but no government has been formed yet, causing a major political vacuum.

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Trust in state institutions is low. When AB conducted the sixth wave survey in Iraq (March 2021), al-Kadhimi’s provisional government was already facing multiple challenges, including the Covid-19 pandemic, the need to address the demands of protesters, and the preparation for legislative elections. Around a fifth of Iraqis (22%) express their trust in the government, while more than half of the population (56%) say they have no trust at all in it. As for performance, the Iraqi government ranked among the lowest in the AB survey for providing security and order (12% – lowest), controlling inflation (3% – second lowest), and combating COVID-19 (6% – lowest)

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Trust in the legal system is also low. The Federal Supreme Court (FSC) – which is the highest judicial body in Iraq and notably tasked to interpret and enforce the constitution – has never been approved by CoR. The establishment of the Court, required in Article 92-2 of the 2005 constitution, must be vetted by a two-thirds resolution by CoR. However, the Court was formed by the provisional government of Ayad Allawi (2004-2005). Therefore, there is an argument that the FSC was not established in accordance with the rule of law and its decisions are often a source of contestation, especially between the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) and the Federal Government (FG). KRG views the Court as unconstitutional and is reluctant to implement its verdicts. KRG-FG relations are based on closed-door consensuses instead. For instance, in February 2022, FSC declared that a 2007 oil and gas law of Iraq’s Kurdistan Region (KRI) is unconstitutional. The decision sparked a political dispute between the FG and KRG with the latter declaring that FSC is unconstitutional. Finally, there are constant criticisms of the Court’s political neutrality, especially when it comes to ruling on questions that involve high political profiles.

The Central Criminal Court has not been able to resolve major corruption and fraud cases. It has violated basic fair trial criteria of Islamic State-related cases. In January 2020, the UN Assistance Mission for Iraq (UNAMI) concluded that the Court’s hearings are “ineffective legal representation,” and lack “adequate time and facilities to prepare a case”.

As for trust in the armed forces, the Iraqi army was able to regain some of the trust it lost after its humiliating defeat at the hands of the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) in Mosul in the summer of 2014. The army includes popular figures who fought heroically against IS – such as the commander of the Iraqi Counter-Terrorism Service (ICTS), Lieutenant General Abdel-Wahab as-Saa’di. According to the AB survey, 85% of Iraqis say they have a great deal of trust or quite a lot of trust in their armed forces.

However, the army faces the challenge to integrate the Popular Mobilisation Forces (PMF) militia. The official consolidation of the PMF under the formal security system from December 2017 has politicised the army. This perception was evident in fall 2019 when former Prime Minister al-Mahdi, arguably pressured by the PMF, stripped off Lieutenant General Abdel-Wahab as-Saa’di of his power as the commander of the ICTS and assigned him to an administrative position at the Ministry of Defence. As-Saa’di saw the move as a humiliation to his military rank and feat of arms, and reportedly stated that he would rather go to jail than accept the decision. Mahdi’s decision was allegedly the trigger that sparked the protests of October 2019.

In May 2020, Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi reappointed as-Saa’di as the commander of the ICTS, but the growing influence of the PMF inside the army might eventually decrease the public trust of the army.

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Civil liberties in Iraq are routinely abused. For instance, suspected IS members are denied fair trials, and there is evidence of torture in Iraqi jails. The policing measures against the October 2019 protests caused about 500 deaths and over 7,000 injuries. This infringement perhaps explains why as few as 27% of people say that the freedom to participate in peaceful protests is guaranteed, the lowest percentage among the countries included in the AB survey. In addition, the authorities have jailed 3,000 demonstrators. Militias are frequently harassing LGBTQ+ people. Only a third of Iraqis say that freedom of expression (32%) and freedom of the press (35%) are guaranteed, which are the lowest among all countries included in the survey.

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Women’s rights are regularly violated. For instance, domestic violence cases increased in numbers during the Covid-19 pandemic (UN women 2020). In addition, women experience discrimination in the labor market. On the one hand, they lack means of transportation to access the job market. On the other, priority for employment is often given to men, while women are expected to take care of the household. This issue is especially challenging in rural areas. That said, most Iraqis (77%) do not object to women becoming presidents or prime ministers of the country. Moreover, the majority agree that university education is crucial across gender.

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Iraq’s economy remains heavily dependent on oil. The drop in oil prices in 2020 caused a decrease in Iraq’s GDP. While Iraq embraces the market economy, political instability, corruption, and the Iraqi investment law have hindered the establishment of the private sector. Hence, public dissatisfaction over the economic performance of the FG is high, especially given that al-Kadhimi’s government is not able to control corruption and smuggling activities across the borders with Iran and Syria. Only 12% of Iraqis evaluate the current economic situation as very good or good

With the decline of oil prices, poverty rose further during the Covid-19 pandemic, especially among internally displaced persons (IDPs). In addition, international reports show that more than 4 million individuals in Iraq are in need of humanitarian assistance. Moreover, unemployment rates have increased from 8% in 2012 to nearly 14% in 2020. When asked about the most important issue the government should be focusing on to improve economic conditions, Iraqis often point to the need to create more job opportunities (50%).

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The country confirmed its first case of Covid-19 in March 2020. According to the World Health Organization (WHO), Iraq had 2,313,370 confirmed cases of COVID-19 and 25,105 deaths between 3 January 2020 and 15 March 2022. A total of 17,014,009 vaccination doses has been delivered as of March 2022.

Like anywhere else, the pandemic had a major impact in the poor and rural areas. Public’s dissatisfaction with the FG reached new heights because of the mishandling of the Covid-19 outbreak. As mentioned above, only 6% of Iraqis say the government is doing a very good or a good job in responding to the COVID-19 outbreak. While it was able to impose a broad lockdown, the government could not provide resources to track, test, and treat Covid-19 cases. Moreover, hospitals were swamped, with limited medical oxygen supplies and prices of hygiene products and masks soaring. The government was unable to secure alternative sources of income for those who lost their businesses or jobs due to confinement measures, nor was it able to secure relief aid to the public in general.

The pandemic weakened KRG’s Syrian refugee policy. And due to unresolved budget concerns with the FG and the economic constraints created by the pandemic, the KRG reduced the pay of many civil servants by around 20%, which caused unrest and protests in 2020.

(Arabbarometer)

April 19, 2022

Source: https://www.arabbarometer.org/2022/04/11258/

 

AFRICA

738-739-43-06/Polls

Majority Of Namibians Say The Country Is A Safe Place To Live, But Levels Of Fear Are On The Rise

Three out of four Namibians consider their country a safe place to live, a recent

Afrobarometer survey indicates.

The same proportion of citizens say safety and security have improved in Namibia over

the past five years – even as increasing numbers report fear of crime.

More than half of Namibians say they experienced fear of crime in their homes and felt

unsafe walking in their neighbourhoods during the past year.

Citizens facing a security threat are most likely to seek assistance first from the police,

according to the survey. About one in four say they go to other family members first.

Theft and break-ins rank as the most serious threat to safety and security in the eyes of

Namibians, followed by robberies and drugs and alcohol.

Key findings

▪ Three-fourths (74%) of respondents say Namibia is a "somewhat safe" (39%) or “very

safe” (35%) country to live in (Figure 1).

o Urban and rural residents differ little in the degree of safety they feel.

o Women are somewhat more likely than men to view Namibia as unsafe, 27% vs.

21%.

▪ The same proportion (74%) say Namibia has become "much more safe" (38%) or

"somewhat more safe" (36%) over the past five years (Figure 2).

▪ At the same time, more than half (52%) of Namibians say they experienced fear

of crime in their own homes “just once or twice,” “several times,” “many times,”

or “always” during the past year, the highest number recorded over the past two

decades (Figure 3).

▪ Nearly six out of 10 respondents (59%) say they felt unsafe walking in their

neighbourhoods at least once during the past year, the highest number since

2012 (Figure 4).

▪ When faced with a security concern, almost half (46%) of citizens say they turn first to

the police. About one-fourth (27%) seek assistance first from family members, while

only one in 10 (11%) go to community leaders first (Figure 5).

o Rural residents are more likely than their urban counterparts to reach out to a

community leader for assistance (17% vs. 6%).

o Older citizens also turn more frequently to community leaders (17%) than do

younger persons (8%-13%) (Figure 6).

▪ Theft and break-ins rank as the biggest perceived threat to safety and security in communities, cited by 27% of Namibians, followed by robberies (14%), drugs/alcohol (14%), and livestock theft (11%) (Figure 7).

(Afrobarometer)

11 April 2022

Source: https://afrobarometer.org/sites/default/files/press-release/Namibia/nam_r9.news_release-personal_safety_and_security_11apr22.pdf

 

738-739-43-07/Polls

Three In Four Malawians (74%) Believe “A Lot” In The Existence Of Witchcraft

Most Malawians strongly believe that witchcraft exists and support changing the law to

criminalise its practice, a new Afrobarometer survey shows.

Educated citizens are more likely to believe in the existence of witchcraft than those with no

formal education. Most Malawians associate witchcraft with using magic to kill people,

make them sick, or bring them misfortune.

The survey shows that the elderly, especially elderly women, are at greatest risk of being

victims of witchcraft accusations.

A majority of Malawians favour changing the law to criminalise witchcraft, providing support

for the findings and recommendations of the Special Law Commission on the Review of the

Witchcraft Act in Malawi.

These findings also suggest a need for raising public awareness and instituting measures to

protect segments of the population at risk of being accused of witchcraft.

Key findings

▪ Three in four Malawians (74%) believe “a lot” in the existence of witchcraft. Only 14%

say it doesn’t exist (Figure 1).

▪ Educated citizens (82%) are more likely to believe in the existence of witchcraft than

those with no formal education (71%) (Figure 2).

▪ More than six in 10 Malawians (63%) say that in their communities, elderly people are

most often associated with witchcraft (Figure 3).

▪ Almost three-fourths (72%) of Malawians say witchcraft should be criminalised (Figure

4).

(Afrobarometer)

14 April 2022

Source: https://afrobarometer.org/sites/default/files/press-release/Malawi/news_release_most_malawians_believe_in_witchcraft_support_criminalising_it-afrobarometer-14april22.pdf

 

738-739-43-08/Polls

Only One In Five Angolans (21%) Say They Trust The National Electoral Commission (CNE) Somewhat Or A Lot

As Angolans approach general elections in August, only one in five citizens say they trust the

National Electoral Commission, a new Afrobarometer survey shows.

While about half of Angolans say the commission does its job in a neutral fashion, trust in the

election management body has declined from already low levels recorded three years ago.

Angola will conduct its fourth peacetime general election in August. The first three elections,

which the Movimento Popular de Libertação de Angola (MPLA) won by significant majorities,

were marred by suspicions of electoral fraud involving the National Electoral Commission.

Key findings

 Only one in five Angolans (21%) say they trust the National Electoral Commission

(CNE) “somewhat” or “a lot,” a 6-percentage-point decline compared to 2019

(Figure 1).

o Levels of trust are higher among men (25% vs. 17% of women) and among older

respondents (34% of those aged 46 and over vs. 17%-19% of 18- to 35-year-olds)

(Figure 2).

Citizens in rural areas (27%) also express greater trust than those in

urban areas (18%), as do citizens with primary or no formal education (26%-27%)

compared to those with secondary or post-secondary qualifications (17%-19%).

Only 14% of residents in the Luanda Province say they trust the commission.

 About half (48%) of Angolans say the electoral commission exercises its function in a

neutral manner, while close to one-third (32%) think it favours particular groups (Figure

3).

o The perception of the electoral commission as a neutral body increases with

respondents’ education level, ranging from just 37% of those with no formal

schooling to 56% of those with post-secondary qualifications (Figure 4).

(Afrobarometer)

22 April 2022

Source: https://afrobarometer.org/sites/default/files/press-release/Angola/news_release-few_angolans_trust_cne-afrobarometer-22april22_1.pdf

 

WEST EUROPE

738-739-43-09/Polls

Seven In Ten (72%) Of Britons Would Support The Construction Of A Wind Farm In Their Local Area

Amidst a backdrop of soaring fuel costs, and questions about whether we should be sourcing power from countries like Russia the government has published a new energy strategy for the UK.

The plans could see eight new nuclear power plants built at existing sites across the UK. This represents a stark change from recent years when plans for several plans fell through, including a plant on Anglesey and one near Sellafield.

Onshore wind is also a feature of the new energy strategy and reportedly played a role in delaying the policy paper. Given historic complaints that onshore wind farms aren't particularly appealing to the eye, the government will be looking for "supportive communities" to host new schemes.

A new YouGov survey finds, however, that Britons are perhaps more open to onshore wind than anticipated. Seven in ten (72%) of Britons would support the construction of a wind farm in their local area – including 33% who would "strongly" back one. Only 17% would oppose a new wind farm in their area.

This compares to just 34% who would support a nuclear power plant in their area. Half (50%) would oppose the creation of a new nuclear site near them, with some 28% strongly opposed to the suggestion.

Britons would back local new nuclear in return for cheaper energy bills

Aversion to nuclear power is certainly not a new phenomenon. Indeed, the war in Ukraine may have raised old fears as both sides fought for control of the former plant at Chernobyl.

However, Britons are willing to accept new nuclear in their area under certain conditions. The government's energy strategy suggests that communities willing to host onshore wind farms would do so for a guaranteed reduction in their energy bills.

When offered the same incentive of lower bills for a local nuclear power plant, support almost doubles to two-thirds (67%). Only 21% would oppose a nuclear plant under these circumstances. A further 61% would support the creation of new nuclear in their area if it meant the UK was less dependent on Russian energy sources, and 58% would if it led to more progress on the UK's ‘net zero’ goal.

While most Britons generally support the construction of a wind farm close to them, support further increases if it meant lower energy bills (83%), less dependence on external energy (81%), and progress towards net-zero (77%).

(YouGov UK)

April 11, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/04/11/britons-oppose-new-nuclear-near-them-unless-it-cut

 

738-739-43-10/Polls

More Than One In Two Britons Support Ban On Whipping Racehorses

  • 55% of Brits would support a ban on the use of whips in horseracing in the UK
  • But opposition to whips drops to 43% when current regulations are explained
  • 4 out of 10 say they bet on the Grand National, Royal Ascot or Cheltenham 

New research from Ipsos UK, released ahead of this weekend’s Grand National, reveals that more than one in two Britons aged 16-75 (55%) want jockeys banned from using the whip whilst three in ten (31%) believe horse racing is unacceptable.

Men (54%) and women (55%) are united in supporting a ban on the whip. However, there is a gender divide about whether horse racing as a sport is acceptable or not - 38% of women believe horse racing is unacceptable compared with 24% of men. 

There is also a generational split – while 55–75-year-olds are among the most likely to believe the sport is acceptable (41%), they are also among the most likely to support a ban on the whip (61%).  

Overall, around as many people say they are interested in following horseracing as say they are not interested but have objections to it (both 22%) – the majority say they are either not interested but have no objections to it (23%) or have no views on horseracing at all (31%).

Whipping horses has long been controversial and the British Horse Racing Authority is reviewing the current rules, which allow eight strokes of the whip with hands off the reins at any time during a jumps race, such as the Grand National and seven on the Flat.

Seven out of ten adults (71%) admitted not knowing very much about or nothing at all about the current regulations surrounding the use of whips by jockeys in the UK, but, after they had been explained , 20% supported use of the whip under those conditions whilst 43% opposed it. Among those who initially supported a ban on the whip, one in four (23%) believed jockeys should be allowed to use it once the regulations had been explained to them.

Despite some people’s reservations about the sport, 39% say they regularly or occasionally bet on some of the biggest events in the horse racing calendar, The Grand National, the Cheltenham Festival and Royal Ascot, and 41% might follow them on TV or radio. People in the North of England (47%) are most likely to put money down and, overall, young people more likely to bet, with half of under 35s enjoying at least an occasional wager, compared to a third of 35–75-year-olds.

Kelly Beaver, CEO of Ipsos UK, said: 

Horse racing is a historic part of British society and culture and the Grand National is one of the most popular days in the sporting calendar, but we are seeing concern for equine welfare, even though only a minority have objections to the sport. 
Our research shows that, whilst there is still a lot of interest in events such as The Grand National and many people enjoy having a flutter, some people are concerned about the treatment of racehorses. Initially, the majority do not want jockeys to be allowed to whip their horses during a race, and while opposition falls when the current regulations are explained, there is still little enthusiasm for the practice.

(Ipsos MORI)

12 April 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/more-one-two-support-ban-whipping-racehorses

 

738-739-43-11/Polls

Should Selective Breeding Of Dogs With Health Issues Be Banned

Norway made headlines earlier this year by effectively banning the breeding of British bulldogs and Cavalier King Charles spaniels, – stating the practice violates animal welfare laws. British bulldogs and King Charles spaniels are brachycephalic dogs (meaning they have flat faces) and can commonly suffer from severe breathing problems and health issues. The Norwegian court chose to focus on the two specific brachycephalic breeds, intending to set a strong legal precedent for discontinuing the breeding of other flat-faced dogs.

Britons would support banning the breeding of dogs with health issues – but support is lower if you name the specific dogs

YouGov asked the British public whether they would support or oppose a ban in the UK on the selective breeding of certain types of dogs. Half of the respondents were asked whether they would support a ban on selective breeding where it results in serious health issues, like breathing problems or increased cancer risk, and the other half were asked whether they would support a ban on selective breeding of brachycephalic (flat-faced) dogs, like pugs and French bulldogs.

Seven in 10 (71%) would support banning selective breeding where it results in dogs with serious health issues, with just 20% opposed and 9% unsure.

However, support for banning selective breeding falls to 57% when the public are asked if they would support banning the breeding of brachycephalic dogs, like pugs and French bulldogs – with a quarter (25%) opposed and 18% unsure. French bulldogs – which are prone to the breathing problems common to flat-faced dogs – are the second most common dog in the UK, with nearly 40,000 new dogs registered in 2020. Pugs are bred for their bulging eyes, wrinkly skin and squished face, which has made them an internet favourite – but also leaves the dogs with significant health problems.

While all age groups are generally in favour of a ban on breeding flat-faced dogs, older Britons are more likely to support a ban on breeding dogs like pugs and French bulldogs – 65% of those aged 65 and over would support such a ban, with 24% opposed. On the other hand, 52% of 18 to 24-year-olds would support such a ban, with 31% opposed.

(YouGov UK)

April 13, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/lifestyle/articles-reports/2022/04/13/should-selective-breeding-dogs-health-issues-be-ba

 

738-739-43-12/Polls

Majority Of Britons Say Boris Johnson Should Resign, In Aftermath Of ‘Partygate’ Fines

  • Britons think Johnson should resign by a 2 to 1 margin
  • But signs Conservative voters rallying behind Prime Minister
  • 73% following ‘partygate’ fines story closely – up 14 points from early April
  • But public still following stories on Ukraine (88%) and cost of living more closely (90%)
  • Whether the PM followed COVID laws and regulations more important to his critics than supporters

To what extent, if at all, would you support or oppose Boris Johnson resigning as Prime Minister? - Ipsos

New polling of the British public on Tuesday (12th) and Wednesday (13th) this week in the aftermath of the Prime Minister being issued with a Fixed Penalty Notice shows that Britons think Boris Johnson should resign by a 2:1 margin. 54% would support the Prime Minister resigning and 27% would oppose. Support for his resignation is unchanged from a similar poll taken April 1st to 3rd, which asked what people thought he should do if he received a fine.

Meanwhile, there are some signs Conservative voters from 2019 are rallying behind the Prime Minister. 48% now oppose his resignation compared to 37% at the beginning of the month.

Half, 51%, also think Chancellor Rishi Sunak should now resign compared to 25% who oppose this. Conservative voters from 2019 are more split on the Chancellor than the PM with 37% supporting his resignation and 40% opposing it.

How closely are the public following the story?

  • 73% are closely following news stories about fines being issued as part of the police inquiry into Downing Street parties that broke COVID rules (+14 points from early April)
  • Meanwhile, 90% are following stories about the cost of living closely (+4 points) and 88% are following stories about the Russian invasion of Ukraine closely (+6pts).

Johnson / Sunak job approval

  • Little immediate change in Boris Johnson’s job approval compared to February. 31% of Britons think he is doing a good job as PM (+2 pts) and 51% say he is doing a bad job (-3 pts).
  • However, 44% now think Rishi Sunak is doing a bad job as Chancellor (+7 pts from the beginning of April) and 29% say he is doing a good job (-1 pt). Given recent headlines, this trend is likely to not just be driven by the fine the Chancellor received this week.

What impacts public perceptions of Johnson?

  • When asked how important various factors are when deciding whether they are favourable or unfavourable towards Boris Johnson, the top two most important are the rising cost of living (83%) and the government’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic (81%).
  • However, whether Johnson followed COVID laws and regulations during the pandemic is growing in importance. 72% now consider this an important factor in their judgement of Johnson – up 8 points from early April.
  • Meanwhile, for those with a negative opinion of the Prime Minister i.e. those thinking he is doing a bad job, his following of COVID rules during the pandemic is about as important (82%) as how he handles the cost of living (85%) or the pandemic response (81%) and more important than his response to the Russian invasion of Ukraine (76%).
  • Among those that think he is doing a good job as PM just 6 in 10 (60%) think his following of COVID laws and regulations is important.

How important or unimportant is it to you, if at all, how Boris Johnson has dealt with the following when deciding whether you are favourable or unfavourable towards him?

Keiran Pedley, Director of Politics at Ipsos said:

These numbers reflect a complex picture for the Prime Minister. Whilst the public think he should resign over ‘partygate’ fines by a two to one margin, there are some signs that 2019 Conservative voters are rallying around him, at least to an extent. Meanwhile, whilst public interest in the ‘partygate’ affair has understandably grown given recent events, the public still say they are following stories about the rising cost of living and the Russian invasion of Ukraine more closely, with both considered important factors in how he is judged politically.
We know Johnson polls relatively well on his response to Ukraine but less well on cost of living, whilst it is also clear that those with a negative opinion of him place a great deal of importance in the ‘partygate’ affair. What is clear is the Prime Minister heads into Easter fighting fires on many fronts politically.

(Ipsos MORI)

14 April 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/almanac/majority-britons-say-boris-johnson-should-resign-aftermath-partygate-fines

 

738-739-43-13/Polls

By 37% To 19% Britons Would Prefer Emmanuel Macron Win The French Presidential Election

The French public went to the polls over the weekend for the first round of their presidential election. The results are a repeat of 2017, with centrist Emmanuel Macron facing off against far-right Marine Le Pen in a run-off vote next weekend.

Here in Britain, Macron is the preferred candidate, by 37% to Le Pen’s 19%. The largest portion of the public (44%), however, do not seem to be au fait with French politics, answering “don’t know”.

The results show that Conservative voters and Leave voters would prefer to see Marine Le Pen emerge victorious. Those who backed the Tories in 2019 support Le Pen over Macron by 37% to 24%, while those who voted to leave the EU in 2016 prefer her by 35% to 19%.

Remain and Labour voters overwhelmingly back Macron, by 62% to 7% and 53% to 8%, respectively.

The latest YouGov France voting intention figures currently suggest that the French president holds an eight point lead over his rival.

Fewer people think a Le Pen presidency would be better for Britain than did in 2017

A quarter of Britons (24%) don’t think it really makes a difference for the UK whichever candidate wins. The same number think a Macron re-election would be better for Britain, while 13% think we would benefit most from a Le Pen presidency. Four in ten (39%) aren’t sure either way.

This represents an 8pt decrease for Le Pen compared to when we asked the same question prior to the 2017 presidential election. Back then, 21% said Marine Le Pen being elected would be better for Britain. About the same number said a Macron presidency would be better for the UK back then (23%) as do now, while fewer people thought it made little difference who won in 2017 (13%).

The drop in the number of people thinking a Le Pen presidency would benefit Britain more seems to be coming primarily from Leave voters, of whom 23% feel this way now compared to 37% in 2017.

By contrast, the increase in the number of people who don’t think it will make much difference either way comes from across the Brexit spectrum. There has been an 11pt increase in the number of Remain voters who think it makes little difference to Britain who wins (from 10% to 21%), and likewise a 13pt increase among Leave voters (from 17% to 30%).

(YouGov UK)

April 15, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/04/15/37-19-britons-would-prefer-emmanuel-macron-win-fre

 

738-739-43-14/Polls

4 In 10 (39%) Britons Say Affordable Decent Housing Needs To Be Improved Ahead Of The Local Elections On 5th May

Ahead of the local elections across parts of the country next month, new research by Ipsos shows half of Britons say the conditions of roads and pavements are most in need of improvement (50%) in their local area, while 4 in 10 (39%) say affordable decent housing needs to be enhanced.

Half of Britons prioritise improvements to the condition of roads and pavements for their local area - Ipsos

The public’s priorities also include improvements in health services (37%), wages and local cost of living (36%), shops and the local high street/town centre (36%), and cleanliness of streets (34%) in their local area.

Public opinion is split when it comes to satisfaction with their local council’s actions to improve their local area. Around a third (34%) are satisfied while 31% are not. Those in the South West and London are slightly more likely to be satisfied with this (both 40%) while those in Scotland are least satisfied (26%).

Most regions are split in views towards their local council’s actions to improve their area - Ipsos

Despite split opinion on their local council, most are satisfied with their neighbourhood as a place to live (75%), and satisfaction is even lower when it comes to the UK Government, only 24% are happy with what it is doing to improve things in their area.

Most regions are more likely to say their local council provides poor than good value for money, overall, 39% say it is poor compared to only 26% who say good value. The pattern is similar in most regions, with 4 in 10 or more dissatisfied with the value provided by their local councils  in the East Midlands (45%), Yorkshire and Humberside (44%) and Scotland and the North East (both 43%).

Local councillors are seen as more trustworthy than MPs in general, however there is a gap between people’s own MP and MPs as a whole. Almost 6 in 10 (57%) trust their own local councillors to tell the truth all/most/about half of the time while the same proportion say the same for local councillors in general. Just over a third (35%) say they trust their local MP not often/never while this increases to almost half when asked about MPs in general (48%).

Three in ten think their local councillors or local MP tell the truth all or most of the time – nearly half say MPs in general never or rarely do - Ipsos

Gideon Skinner, Head of Political Research at Ipsos, said:

Nationally, much of the attention is being paid to the cost of living crisis, Ukraine and ‘party-gate’, but when it comes to the upcoming council elections more local factors will also have a role to play.  Although most people are pretty happy with where they live they still want to see improvements, particularly on roads, housing, high streets and the local cost of living – all of which are regular bugbears for local residents.  And these can all vary by where you live – for example, crime is a particular issue in London, while in the rest of the South East traffic congestion is a bigger priority.  While the public look more favourably towards local councils than central government when it comes to making their local area a better place to live, candidates will want to show how they are going to give local residents value for money by delivering on these bread and butter issues.

(Ipsos MORI)

20 April 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/roads-and-pavements-affordable-housing-their-local-area-most-need-improvement-local-elections-2022

 

738-739-43-15/Polls

YouGov Food Study Shows That Three In Four Britons (75%) Eat Meat

The YouGov Food Study shows that three in four Britons (75%) eat meat, with this being more the case for men (82%) than women (69%).

Six percent describe themselves as vegetarian (8% of women and 3% of men), while a further 11% say they are flexitarian. Two percent of Britons are vegans and 3% are pescatarians.

Our study shows that the younger Britons are, the less likely are they to eat meat: 75% of those aged 16-24 eat meat, compared to 95% of those 60 and older.

The vegetarian diet is most popular among the youngest Britons: 13% of 16-24s are vegetarian, which is more than double compared to older age groups. This mostly applies to 16-24-year-old women, one in five (19%) of whom practice a vegetarian diet, three times more than among men the same age (6%).

How often, if at all, do Britons generally pay attention to the food they eat?

Eight in ten Britons (82%) say they often pay attention to what they eat. However, 16% don’t – with slightly more men (18%) than women (13%) saying they don’t pay attention to their food.

Younger Britons are more likely to not pay attention to what’s on their plate, at 23% of 16-24-year-olds compared to 11% of the over-60s.

How much attention, if at all, do Britons pay to what they eat?

When it comes to specific food types, around three in ten Britons report paying a lot of attention to their sugar intake (30%), processed foods consumption (29%) and the amount of water they drink (29%). One in four (26%) say they pay a lot of attention to their vegetable consumption, and 23% on how much salt they use.

Women are significantly more likely than men to say they pay ‘a lot of attention' to the amount of processed food they eat (35% vs 23%), how much water they drink (33% vs 23%) and the intake of vegetables (32% vs 21%).

Do Britons tend to prioritise taste, health, cost, or something else, when it comes to what food they eat?

Half of Britons (51%) say that taste is most important when it comes to food, twice as many (24%) who say that the most relevant factor is how healthy the food is.

One in five Britons (18%) say cost is their most important priority, with those aged 16-24 (22%) most likely to cite expense and those aged 60+ (12%) the least likely.

Our survey also shows that pescatarians and flexitarians (38-39%) as well as vegetarians (30%) are more likely to say they prioritise health factors in food than meat-eaters (21%).

Do Britons grow their own food?

A third of Britons (33%) report that they’ve grown food themselves, with 10% saying they grow ‘some’ of the food, and another 22% say they grow ‘very little’ of their own food.

Most Britons (65%) don’t grow any food.

Growing food is notably more common among vegetarians (44%) and flexitarians (42%), than among meat-eaters (30%).

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/inlineimage/2022-03-22/Britons-grow-their-own-foods.png

(YouGov UK)

April 20, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/lifestyle/articles-reports/2022/04/20/part-one-general-attitudes-towards-food-and-eating

 

738-739-43-16/Polls

Eight In 10 Britons Say Boris Johnson Lied About Lockdown Parties

MPs are due to vote today on whether to open an inquiry into whether Boris Johnson deliberately misled parliament about his involvement in several Covid law-breaking parties, after the prime minister received a fixed-penalty notice for ‘partygate’.

Politicians in parliament may be bound to a strict set of rules that leave them unable to call other members dishonest, but the British public are not so constrained. So, what do they think – did Boris Johnson lie?

New polling from YouGov / The Times reveals more than three quarters of Britons (78%) think Boris Johnson has lied in his response to the issue of parties being held at Downing Street during lockdown. Just 8% think he has not lied, and 14% are unsure.

Half of current Conservative supporters think the prime minister lied about ‘partygate’

Half of those who currently intend to vote Conservative (51%) say Boris Johnson has lied about ‘partygate’, with a quarter (25%) saying he has not lied and a further 25% unsure.

Those who backed the party in the 2019 general election are more likely still to think that the prime minister has lied, at 61%.

Labour voters are almost unanimous in their opinion of the prime minister’s dishonesty, with 95% of those who backed the party in 2019 and 96% who do so now accusing Johnson of lying.

(YouGov UK)

April 21, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/04/21/eight-10-britons-say-boris-johnson-lied-about-lock

 

738-739-43-17/Polls

Most Britons Now See Rishi Sunak As Untrustworthy And Are Split Over His Competence

As the British public struggles with a cost-of-living crisis, a poorly received spring budget and questions surrounding his wife’s tax status could not have come at a worse time for the man behind the government’s purse. While once fiercely popular, new YouGov polling shows a dramatic shift in the tone of the public’s perceptions of Rishi Sunak.

Half of the population now consider him to be “untrustworthy” (58%) – a figure up 30pts compared to January 2021 (28%). While only 19% of the public currently consider Sunak trustworthy, Conservative voters are split 38% to 40% on whether the Chancellor is trustworthy or not.

Indeed, while this change is far from positive, Sunak does again retain a lead over Boris Johnson, who is seen as untrustworthy by far more people (74%) than Sunak, with 12% saying he is trustworthy.

Britons are divided on Sunak's competence - two fifths (40%) now see him as incompetent, versus 38% who think he is competent. This latest survey represents a 23pt rise in those viewing Sunak as incompetent compared to late January 2021 (17%).

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/inlineimage/2022-04-21/rishi_sunak_characteristic_2022_yougov.png

Among 2019 Conservative voters, 25% now see the chancellor as incompetent (up from 6% in January 2021), while six in ten (60%, down from 74%) think otherwise.

As with trustworthiness, Johnson, with the prime minister seen as incompetent by more of the public (66%), and nearly two in five Conservative voters (39%). However, these latest figures mean Sunak is viewed as incompetent by more people than Keir Starmer (32%).

By 46% to 30%, Sunak is now also seen as being dislikeable, with those taking the negative view rising 26pts compared to the previous survey (20%). A similar proportion also think Sunak is weak (42%, up from 22% in the previous survey), compared to 29% who view him as strong.

Finally, Sunak is still generally perceived as being decisive by 43% to 32%. However, those seeing him as able to make quick decisions has fallen 8pts from 51% since January 2021, while the number of those thinking he is indecisive has risen 12pts from 20%.  

These changes come amidst plummeting favourability figures for the Chancellor. Previously ranking among the most popular politicians, Sunak now sees figures more akin to the likes of Boris Johnson and Priti Patel.

(YouGov UK)

April 21, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/04/21/most-britons-now-see-rishi-sunak-untrustworthy-and

 

738-739-43-18/Polls

59% Of Britons Say They Feel Worse Off Since The Last General Election

New polling from Ipsos, taken on April 7th and 8th, shows that 59% of Britons think they are worse off than when the Conservatives won the last General Election. 15% say they are better off and the rest say neither or don’t know.

Do you think you are better or worse off, if either, than when Boris Johnson's Conservative government was re-elected in 2019?

When asked whether or not they think they would be better off in future if the Conservatives or Labour won the next General Election.

  • 17% said they would be better off if Boris Johnson’s Conservatives won the next General Election. 51% said they would be worse off.
  • 29% said they would be better off if Keir Starmer’s Labour Party won the next General Election. 34% said they would be worse off.

Would you be better off in the future under the Conservatives or Labour?

Commenting on the findings, Ipsos Director of Politics in the UK, Keiran Pedley, said,

These numbers show the political risk facing the Conservatives over the rising cost of living. The public feel worse off since they won re-election in 2019. Whilst our polling shows that the Conservatives are not held entirely responsible for this, the fact the public think they would be better off under Labour represents a challenge for the party as we approach the long General Election campaign.

(Ipsos MORI)

22 April 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/59-percent-of-britons-say-they-feel-worse-last-general-election

 

738-739-43-19/Polls

6 In 10 Would Rather Be A Citizen Of Britain Than Any Other Country In The World 

New research from Ipsos, ahead of St. George’s Day on 23rd April, shows a majority of British citizens agree with the statement, “I would rather be a citizen of Britain than of any country in the world,” 6 in 10 (60%) agree while only 13% do not. This is broadly in line with the results six years ago in 2016.  Older Britons (70% of 55-75 year olds) and 2019 Conservative voters (76%) are most likely to agree.

When asked what makes people most proud to be British, the NHS is named by 6 in 10 (62%), making it by far the most popular option. Around a third say our history (34%) and the Royal Family (31%) make them most proud to be British. On the other hand, British business (5%), our position in the world (10%) and our free press/media (13%) appear to have less impact.  Compared with 2016, more people are likely to pick the NHS and British sports teams, but fewer people mention Britain’s history or system of democracy.

What makes you proud to be British?

As we get ready to celebrate the patron saint of England, the research shows 63% in England are correctly able to identify when St George is honoured (23rd April). One in 5 (21%) don’t know when St George’s Day is while 15% selected wrong dates, such as 8% who say 17th March, which is in fact St Patrick’s Day. 

Half of people in England say they plan to do something to celebrate St. George’s Day this year (51%), most likely going for drinks in the pub (23%), getting together with friends/family (22%) or going for a meal in a local restaurant (14%). Around 1 in 10 will attend a local community event (12%) or dress their house in red and white flags (9%).

When thinking about the use of red and white England flags, most are supportive. When seen on houses, cars, pubs, shops, etc. on St George’s Day, 7 in 10 (69%) say it is a healthy expression of national pride, a similar proportion feel the same if they see flags on display while England is playing in the World Cup (68% - which has risen from 57% in 2013). While still a majority, fewer are supportive of people displaying England flags on a normal day of the year. When considering this, 56% say it is a healthy display of national pride while 1 in 6 (17%) believe it is a worrying expression of English nationalism.  In 2013, 53% believed this to be a healthy display of pride, but 11% saw it as a worrying expression of English nationalism.

Younger people, and Labour and Remain are more likely to view the display of England flags as a worrying display of English nationalism.  For example, 28% of 16-34-year olds, 30% of Labour voters, and 25% of Remain voters believe it is a worrying sign if they are displayed on a normal day of the year. 

Gideon Skinner, Head of Political Research at Ipsos, said:

Despite the issues facing the country, most of us are still proud to be British, with the NHS in particular acting as a unifying force across all groups of society as something to believe in – especially so given the experiences of the pandemic. We may even be seeing some impact from the feel-good factor around Gareth Southgate’s England team with an increase in the proportion who think flying the St George’s flag during a World Cup is just a healthy expression of English pride.  Overall, this is a reminder that it is only a minority who do not feel proud to be British – but there are still some potential faultlines.  For example, different generations and different ends of the political spectrum have different views when it comes to Britain’s history and system of democracy.

(Ipsos MORI)

24 April 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/6-10-would-rather-be-citizen-britain-any-other-country-world-nhs-our-history-and-royal-family-are

 

738-739-43-20/Polls

82% Of French People Say They Are Worried About The Risks Of A Cyberattack In The World

The study reveals that two out of three French people consider that in France, the risk of nuclear disaster or industrial accident due to a cyberattack is significant. In a particularly uncertain geopolitical context, the French are worried about the global risks of cyberattacks, a weapon that has become increasingly common in modern conflicts. 82% of French people say they are worried about the risks of a cyberattack in the world and 79% in France.

The French are worried about the possible consequences of potential cyberattacks, such as a possible paralysis of services, whether administrative services (72%) or emergency services (71%), as well as a potential power cut on the entire territory (69%). To a lesser extent they also fear the possibility of a disaster (66%), whether it is a nuclear or industrial disaster, or a breakdown in food supply chains (59%).

One in three French people has already been the victim of a successful internet hack

Far from being an abstract threat, cybersecurity risks concern a large number of French people. Many of them have experienced risky situations. Indeed, nearly one in two French people (48%) has already been the subject of a hacking attempt. Nearly one in three (31%) has been the victim of a successful assault. Among the possible risks, the prospect of a hacking of their banking data on the Internet which would lead to a theft seems particularly anxiety-provoking (75% say they are worried about this possibility, including 47% who are very worried). If attempts at identity theft remain in the minority (14% of French people indicate having been a victim),73% of French people questioned say they are worried about the rise of this phenomenon.

Disparate trust according to the actors to whom the French entrust their data 

While a majority of French people (56%) feel that they are poorly informed about the use made of their data on the Internet, the study reveals disparate trust in the actors to whom the French entrust them. Institutional actors appear to be more trusted sources , in particular health professionals (87%), banks (86%), taxes (85%) and health insurance (85%).

Conversely, online sales sites and telephone operators only arouse low trust (52% and 51% respectively), while search engines (42%) and especially social networks (21%) are granted only a very limited trust.

The French also admit to paying relatively little attention when they go on the internet  : 78% of them declare that they do not read the general conditions of use of the websites they visit. Similarly, 73% declare that they agree to transmit their personal data because they are obliged to do so in order to be able to complete a purchase or a registration.

Public authorities as a bulwark against cyberattacks

If they are worried, the French see certain devices as a means of reassuring themselves against cybersecurity risks. This is the case first of reinforced identity (eg double authentication), the systematic implementation of which would reassure a majority of French people (64%). Another device that can reassure the French, the creation of an objective confidence index, on the Nutriscore model, which is cited by 39% of respondents.

The French are also in favor of the implementation of measures that would empower the actors who manage their data on a daily basis. 58% of them would like government measures to force services and industry to strengthen their protection , while 44% see with a reassuring eye the obligation for all companies to host the personal data of French people on servers located in France.

“ The study reveals a real concern of the French vis-à-vis cyber risks, which is strongly reinforced by the current geopolitical situation. This concern is shared by companies around the world, who have been searching for many years for the best ways to protect themselves against the risks of cyberattacks. It is now essential to support and prepare companies and institutions to deal with cyber risks and to manage the post-crisis period.  says Cyril Malargé , Managing Director, Sopra Steria.

“  The survey clearly shows that cyber risk is a reality fully integrated by the French and no longer an abstraction. In a world perceived as increasingly threatening and when the demand for protection is at its strongest, this threat can no longer be ignored either by political decision-makers or by business leaders,  ” concludes Brice Teinturier, Deputy Chief Executive Officer. , Ipsos in France. 

(Ipsos France)

April 13, 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/82-des-francais-se-disent-inquiets-face-aux-risques-dune-cyberattaque-dans-le-monde

 

738-739-43-21/Polls

Boost For Macron As He Opens Up 8-Point Lead Over Le Pen

With the race to win the French presidency reaching its final stage, the two second round candidates – Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen – are competing for every vote in what is expected to be a tight and tough contest.

Second round vote intention figures ahead of last Sunday’s ballot showed Macron with a two-point lead, but today’s new YouGov/DataPraxis poll puts the incumbent eight points ahead, with 54% of current vote intention compared to 46% for Le Pen.

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/inlineimage/2022-04-15/French%20presidential%20VI%2014%20Apr%202022-01.png

Voters for candidates defeated in round one now have to decide between either voting for one of Macron or Le Pen, or not voting at all. Our data on current transfers suggests that Macron is picking up around one in nine (11%) of those Zemmour voters currently giving us a vote intention, 55% of Mélenchon voters, and the vast majority of supporters from other left wing and centrist candidates in that round.

On the other hand, Marine Le Pen is attracting support from 90% of Zemmour voters, 45% of those who backed Mélenchon on Sunday, and a clear majority of voters from other right wing candidates who bowed out last Sunday.

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/inlineimage/2022-04-15/French%20election%20sankey-01.png

If Le Pen is to be successful, she must improve on her first round performance (where she lost to Macron by five percentage points) and significantly grow her 2017 base (where she mustered only 34% of the second round vote).

To do so, she needs to manage a fine balance between leaning left to win over Mélenchon voters, while not losing grip of her own round one voters and those of fellow far-right candidate Zemmour in doing so.

Differential abstention rates could play a major role in shaping the outcome on Sunday. Currently, over one third of Mélenchon round one voters suggest that they will either vote blank (26%) in the next round, or not even turn out to vote (10%). A further 13% currently do not yet know how they will vote.

How voters move between candidates and between voting and abstaining will be crucial to the outcome next Sunday. Our final call of the French 2022 presidential election will be made on 22 April.

(YouGov UK)

April 15, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/04/15/boost-macron-he-opens-8-point-lead-over-le-pen

 

738-739-43-22/Polls

Final Study Of The French Elections: Macron Leads 56% To 44%

This Sunday, French voters will once again go to the polls for the second round of the French presidential election of 2022.

Since the announcement of the results of the first round, Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen have crisscrossed France in search of new voters. As in 2017, the two presidential finalists will compete for the highest office in France.

Our YouGov / Data Praxis study reveals 12 points ahead for Emmanuel Macron (56% against 44% for Marine Le Pen). Such a result would represent a drop of 10 points from Emmanuel Macron's 2017 vote share – nevertheless, he achieves a clear victory over his opponent. 

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/7spyg21rpr/French%20presidential%20VI%2021%20Apr%202022%20FR-01.png

One of the decisive factors in the second round is the voting choice of voters who supported Jean-Luc Mélenchon (22%). According to our data, one in five voters (18%) who voted for Mélenchon intend to vote for Le Pen vs 38% for Macron.

There are also two non-negligible figures among Jean-Luc Mélenchon's voters in the first round: 24% intend to vote white and 9% do not intend to vote.

The voters of the other parties in the first round largely followed the instructions to support their defeated candidates. 90% of Green voters now intend to vote for Macron, as well as 69% of those who voted for Republican candidate Valérie Pécresse. At the same time, 95% of those who voted for far-right candidate Zemmour in the first round now intend to vote for Le Pen.

(YouGov France)

April 22, 2022

Source: https://fr.yougov.com/news/2022/04/22/etude-finale-des-elections-francaises/

 

738-739-43-23/Polls

26 Percent Of German Citizens Who Are Eligible To Vote Say They Will Vote For The CDU/CSU If The General Election Is Next Sunday

As in the previous month, 26 percent of German citizens who are eligible to vote say they will vote for the CDU/CSU if the general election is next Sunday. The SPD would currently vote for 21 percent, 2 percentage points less than in the previous month. This increases the Union's lead again slightly to 5 percentage points.

Graphic Voting Intent

The Greens are improving slightly and currently have 18 percent of the votes (16 percent in the previous month). The FDP remains unchanged at 9 percent, the left still at 6 percent. 12 percent of German voters would vote for the AfD if there were a federal election next Sunday (11 percent in the previous month).

Graph voting intent over time

This is the result of the current Sunday question, for which 1,643 people out of 2,054 eligible voters submitted their intention to vote between 04/08/2022 and 04/12/2022.

More than every second German is dissatisfied with the work of the federal government

56 percent of those surveyed currently state that they are dissatisfied with the work of the federal government to date. In the previous month, this value was still 47 percent. The dissatisfaction of those entitled to vote is growing, especially when it comes to the topic of finance and national debt: 59 percent of those surveyed rate the work of the government on this point as poor, previously this figure was 50 percent. This opinion is mainly shared by voters from the Union (59 percent, previously 47 percent) and FDP (65 percent, previously 48 percent), but also from the Greens (44 percent, previously 35 percent) and SPD (42 percent, previously 34 percent). In the eyes of those surveyed, the government is also getting worse when it comes to inflation: 70 percent of Germans rate the government's work on this issue as poor. In the previous month, this was stated by 66 percent.

Only a good third of those surveyed (36 percent) also think that Olaf Scholz is doing a good job as Federal Chancellor. In March, this value was still 48 percent, which means that the chancellor's approval has fallen by 12 percentage points. On the other hand, approval for Economics Minister and Vice Chancellor Robert Habeck has risen significantly since March: every second respondent thinks that Habeck is doing a good job (previous month: 40 percent). 50 percent of those surveyed said the same about Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock (previous month: 48 percent). The approval for Health Minister Karl Lauterbach is significantly lower, only 35 percent (previous month: 49 percent) think he is doing a good job. At 37 percent, the approval for Finance Minister Christian Lindner is also significantly lower than before (previous month: 48 percent). 

Bundesminister_Vergleich_Sonntagsfrage_April_2022

(YouGov Germany)

April 14, 2022

Source: https://yougov.de/news/2022/04/14/sonntagsfrage-im-april-2022-union-halt-vorsprung-v/

 

738-739-43-24/Polls

Germans More In Favor Of Extending The Lifetime Of The Last Nuclear Power Plants

Being self-sufficient from Russian energy imports is currently one of the most important goals that Germany and the EU are working towards in the medium to long term. This urgency in turning away from Russian energy means that a majority of those surveyed would support an extension of the service life of the last nuclear power plants in Germany beyond 2022: 59 percent of German voters made this statement. On the other hand, 30 percent would reject an extension of the term, most frequently Green Party voters (56 percent). The most common endorsement would come from Union voters (77 percent).

Half of Germans would support an immediate import stop

49 percent of the German population would support an immediate ban on imports of natural gas and oil from Russia, even if this had consequences for the German economy. Two out of five respondents (39 percent) would reject this.

Extending the service life of the last nuclear power plants tends to be advocated

Germans for faster implementation of the EU climate package

In order to cut their cords off from Russian energy, eleven EU states including Germany now want to bring forward the EU climate package and have called for faster implementation. The package provides for a gas consumption reduction in the EU of around 30 percent by 2030. By 2050, the EU should be completely climate-neutral.

German voters are more likely to support the call for the climate package to be brought forward than to reject it: almost two out of three respondents (64 percent) are in favor of it, while 24 percent reject the call for faster implementation. Alliance 90/The Greens voters most frequently support the demand (87 percent), followed by the SPD (80 percent).

The age comparison shows that the older respondents from the age of 70 are most likely to support faster implementation of the EU climate package (81 percent). In contrast, younger people are more reserved (18 to 29 year olds: 49 percent).

Acceleration of EU climate package endorsed

 

(YouGov Germany)

April 22, 2022

Source: https://yougov.de/news/2022/04/22/deutsche-fur-laufzeitverlangerung-der-letzten-atom/

 

738-739-43-25/Polls

Italians And April 25: The Liberation Between The Past And The Present

April 25 is the Liberation Day , in memory of April 1945 which saw the end of the Nazi-Fascist occupation in Italy. 52 % of Italians celebrate it, while 43% do not, and a further 6% say they are uncertain.

The most common ways to celebrate are family celebrations (61%), watch themed TV programs (28%), share themed posts on social media (19%), or participate in events and parades (17%); a percentage, the latter, which reaches 23% in the North-West, where the main events are held, including the parade in Milan, which will return in 2022 after 2 years of absence.

Focusing on the 43% of Italians who do not celebrate April 25, the main reason is that it is not tradition within the family (for 50% of those who do not celebrate), but there are also those who believe that Liberation is exploited (22 %), those who think it is obsolete in today's context (13%), and those who, while sharing its values, find it too politicized (13%).

However, the importance of celebrating April 25 is recognized beyond the fact that it is personally celebrated: 69% consider it important , which rises to 9 out of 10 among those who personally celebrate, but also among those who do not, it stands at 43% . In fact, 82% think that April 25 is important to safeguard historical memory , 70% say that it is important to recognize the new Resistances in the dynamics of today's world, and 69% say that the Resistance is always current since "we they are always new threats ”. A minority between a third and a quarter of the respondents, on the other hand, believes that it makes no sense to be anti-fascists today, as “ fascism no longer exists ”.

Also contributing to the relevance of April 25 this year is an unprecedentedly recent geopolitical context, with the Russian invasion of Ukraine bringing back a major international war in Europe for the first time since 1945, with its rhetorical aspects. and ideological. According to a relative majority of Italians, in fact, the current situation in Ukraine has made April 25 more relevant : this is what 45% of respondents believe, against only 9% who think it has made it less relevant.

Many respondents also see similarities between the current condition of the Ukrainians and that of the Italian Resistance : for 49% of the respondents the two are comparable, against 24% who affirm the opposite. Other peoples in which dynamics similar to the Resistance are recognized by a relative majority of respondents are the Palestinians (37% vs 28%), the Kurds (34% vs 24%) and the Armenians (32% vs 24%).

The geopolitical situation also marked April 25 with some controversy: the ANPI (National Association of Partisans of Italy) was in fact the object of criticism for positions deemed too soft towards Russia , including a condemnation of the Russian invasion seen as too “contextualized” with respect to the expansion of NATO, and the opposition to the sending of weapons to Ukraine. About half of the respondents have heard of this controversy, although only 18% are aware of the content. Among the latter, the majority tends to agree with the ANPI: for 28% the Association is "completely right", and for 25% it is "more right than wrong", against 23% who believe the ANPI is more wrong than right and only 18% who give it completely injustice.

One thing is certain: April 25 brings to the table a relationship between past and present that is still a source of reflection in republican Italy today.

(YouGov Italy)

April 21, 2022

Source: https://it.yougov.com/news/2022/04/21/italiani-e-25-aprile-la-liberazione-tra-il-passato/

 

NORTH AMERICA

738-739-43-26/Polls

Race Is Central To Identity For Black Americans And Affects How They Connect With Each Other

Pew Research Center conducted this analysis to understand the rich diversity of Black people in the United States and their views of Black identity. This in-depth, robust survey explores differences among Black Americans in views of identity such as between U.S.-born Black people and Black immigrants; Black people living in different regions of the country; and between Black people of different ethnicities, political party affiliations, ages and income levels. The analysis is the latest in the Center’s series of in-depth surveys of public opinion among Black Americans (read the first, “Faith Among Black Americans”).

The online survey of 3,912 Black U.S. adults was conducted Oct. 4-17, 2021. The survey includes 1,025 Black adults on Pew Research Center’s American Trends Panel (ATP) and 2,887 Black adults on Ipsos’ KnowledgePanel. Respondents on both panels are recruited through national, random sampling of residential addresses.

Recruiting panelists by phone or mail ensures that nearly all U.S. Black adults have a chance of selection. This gives us confidence that any sample can represent the whole population (see our Methods 101 explainer on random sampling). Here are the questions used for the survey of Black adults, along with its responses and methodology.

The terms “Black Americans”“Black people” and “Black adults” are used interchangeably throughout this report to refer to U.S. adults who self-identify as Black, either alone or in combination with other races or Hispanic identity.

Throughout this report, “Black, non-Hispanic” respondents are those who identify as single-race Black and say they have no Hispanic background. “Black Hispanic” respondents are those who identify as Black and say they have Hispanic background. We use the terms “Black Hispanic” and “Hispanic Black” interchangeably. “Multiracial” respondents are those who indicate two or more racial backgrounds (one of which is Black) and say they are not Hispanic.

Respondents were asked a question about how important being Black was to how they think about themselves. In this report, we use the terms “being Black” and “Blackness” interchangeably when referencing responses to this question.

In this report, “immigrant” refers to people who were not U.S. citizens at birth – in other words, those born outside the U.S., Puerto Rico or other U.S. territories to parents who were not U.S. citizens. We use the terms “immigrant” and “foreign-born” interchangeably.

Throughout this report, “Democrat and Democratic leaners” refers to respondents who say in they identify politically with the Democratic Party or are independent but lean toward the Democratic Party. “Republican and Republican leaners” refers to respondents who identify politically with the Republican Party or are independent but lean toward the Republican Party.

To create the upper-, middle- and lower-income tiers, respondents’ 2020 family incomes were adjusted for differences in purchasing power by geographic region and household size. Respondents were then placed into income tiers: “Middle income” is defined as two-thirds to double the median annual income for the entire survey sample. “Lower income” falls below that range, and “upper income” lies above it. For more information about how the income tiers were created, read the methodology.

No matter where they are from, who they are, their economic circumstances or educational backgrounds, significant majorities of Black Americans say being Black is extremely or very important to how they think about themselves, with about three-quarters (76%) overall saying so.   

Pie chart showing most Black adults say being Black is very important to how they see themselves

A significant share of Black Americans also say that when something happens to Black people in their local communities, across the nation or around the globe, it affects what happens in their own lives, highlighting a sense of connectedness. Black Americans say this even as they have diverse experiences and come from an array of backgrounds.

Even so, Black adults who say being Black is important to their sense of self are more likely than other Black adults to feel connected to other groups of Black people. They are also more likely to feel that what happens to Black people inside and outside the United States affects what happens in their own lives. These findings emerge from an extensive new survey of Black U.S. adults conducted by Pew Research Center.

A majority of non-Hispanic Black Americans (78%) say being Black is very or extremely important to how they think about themselves. This racial group is the largest among Black adults, accounting for 87% of the adult population, according to 2019 Census Bureau estimates. But among other Black Americans, roughly six-in-ten multiracial (57%) and Hispanic (58%) Black adults say this.

Black Americans also differ in key ways in their views about the importance of being Black to personal identity. While majorities of all age groups of Black people say being Black shapes how they think about themselves, younger Black Americans are less likely to say this – Black adults ages 50 and older are more likely than Black adults ages 18 to 29 to say that being Black is very or extremely important to how they think of themselves. Specifically, 76% of Black adults ages 30 to 49, 80% of those 50 to 64 and 83% of those 65 and older hold this view, while only 63% of those under 30 do.

Chart showing non-Hispanic Black adults most likely to say being Black is extremely or very important to how they see themselves

Black adults who identify with or lean toward the Democratic Party are more likely than those who identify with or lean toward the Republican Party to say being Black is important to how they see themselves – 86% vs. 58%. And Black women (80%) are more likely than Black men (72%) to say being Black is important to how they see themselves.

Still, some subgroups of Black Americans are about as likely as others to say that being Black is very or extremely important to how they think about themselves. For example, U.S.-born and immigrant Black adults are about as likely to say being Black is important to how they see their identity. However, not all Black Americans feel the same about the importance of being Black to their identity – 14% say it is only somewhat important to how they see themselves while 9% say it has little or no impact on their personal identity, reflecting the diversity of views about identity among Black Americans.

Bar chart showing that about half of Black adults say their fates are strongly linked with other Black people in the U.S.

Beyond the personal importance of Blackness – that is, the importance of being Black to personal identity – many Black Americans feel connected to each other. About five-in-ten (52%) say everything or most things that happen to Black people in the United States affect what happens in their own lives, with another 30% saying some things that happen nationally to Black people have a personal impact. And 43% say all or most things that happen to Black people in their local community affect what happens in their own lives, while another 35% say only some things in their lives are affected by these events. About four-in-ten Black adults in the U.S. (41%) say they feel their fates are strongly linked to Black people around the world, with 36% indicating that some things that happen to Black people around the world affect what happens in their own lives.

The survey also asked respondents how much they have in common with different groups of Black Americans. Some 17% of Black adults say they have everything or most things in common with Black people who are immigrants. But this sense of commonality differs sharply by nativity: 14% of U.S.-born Black adults say they have everything or most things in common with Black immigrants, while 43% of Black immigrants say the same. Conversely, only about one-in-four Black immigrants (26%) say they have everything or most things in common with U.S.-born Black people, a share that rises to 56% among U.S.-born Black people themselves.

About one-third of Black Americans (34%) say they have everything or most things in common with Black people who are poor, though smaller shares say the same about Black people who are wealthy (12%). Relatively few Black Americans (14%) say they have everything or most things in common with Black people who identify as lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender or queer (LGBTQ). However, a larger share of Black Americans (25%) say they have at least some things in common with Black people who identify as LGBTQ. All these findings highlight the diversity of the U.S. Black population and how much Black people feel connected to each other.

These are among the key findings from a recent Pew Research Center survey of 3,912 Black Americans conducted online Oct. 4-17, 2021. This report is the latest in a series of Pew Research Center studies focused on describing the rich diversity of Black people in the United States.

The nation’s Black population stood at 47 million in 2020, making up 14% of the U.S. population – up from 13% in 2000. While the vast majority of Black Americans say their racial background is Black alone (88% in 2020), growing numbers are also multiracial or Hispanic. Most were born in the U.S. and trace their roots back several generations in the country, but a growing share are immigrants (12%) or the U.S.-born children of immigrant parents (9%). Geographically, while 56% of Black Americans live in the nation’s South, the national Black population has also dispersed widely across the country.

It is this diversity – among U.S.-born Black people and Black immigrants; between Black people who live in different regions; and across different ethnicities, party affiliations, ages and income levels – that this report explores. The survey also provides a robust opportunity to examine the importance of race to Black Americans’ sense of self and their connections to other Black people.

The importance of being Black for connections with other Black people

Bar chart showing Black Americans who say being Black is important to them are more likely to feel connected to other Black people

The importance of being Black to personal identity is a significant factor in how connected Black Americans feel toward each other. Those who say that being Black is a very or extremely important part of their personal identity are more likely than those for whom Blackness is relatively less important to express a sense of common fate with Black people in their local communities (50% vs. 17%), in the United States overall (62% vs. 21%), and even around the world (48% vs. 18%).

They are also more likely to say that they have everything or most things in common with Black people who are poor (37% vs. 23%) and Black immigrants (19% vs. 9%). Even so, fewer than half of Black Americans, no matter how important Blackness is to their personal identity, say they have everything or most things in common with Black people who are poor, immigrants or LGBTQ.

The importance of Blackness for knowing family history and U.S. Black history

The new survey also explores Black Americans’ knowledge about their family histories and the history of Black people in the United States, with the importance of Blackness linked to greater knowledge. 

Bar chart showing Black adults who say being Black is important to them are more likely to learn about their ancestors from relatives

Nearly six-in-ten Black adults (57%) say their ancestors were enslaved either in the U.S. or another country, with nearly all who say so (52% of the Black adults surveyed) saying it was in the U.S., either in whole or in part. Black adults who say that being Black is a very or extremely important part of how they see themselves (61%) are more likely than those for whom being Black is less important (45%) to say that their ancestors were enslaved. In fact, Black adults for whom Blackness is very or extremely important (31%) are less likely than their counterparts (42%) to say that they are not sure if their ancestors were enslaved at all.

When it comes to learning more about their family histories, Black adults for whom Blackness is very or extremely important (81%) are more likely than those for whom Blackness is less important (59%) to have spoken to their relatives. They are about as likely to have researched their family’s history online (36% and 30%, respectively) and to have used a mail-in DNA service such as AncestryDNA or 23andMe (15% and 16%) to learn more about their ancestry.

The importance of Blackness also figures prominently into how informed Black Americans feel about U.S. Black history. Black adults who say Blackness is a significant part of their personal identity are more likely than those for whom Blackness is less important to say that they feel very or extremely informed about U.S. Black history (57% vs. 29%). Overall, about half of Black Americans say they feel very or extremely informed about the history of Black people in the United States.

Among Black adults who feel at least a little informed about U.S. Black history, the sources of their knowledge also differ by the importance of Blackness to personal identity. Nearly half of Black adults for whom Blackness is very or extremely important (48%) say they learned about Black history from their families and friends, making them more likely to say so than Black adults for whom Blackness is less important (30%). Similarly, those who say being Black is important to their identity are more likely than those who did not say this to have learned about Black history from nearly every source they were asked about, be it media (33% vs. 22%), the internet (30% vs. 18%) or college, if they attended (26% vs. 14%). The only source for which both groups were about equally likely to say they learned about Black history was their K-12 schools (24% and 21%, respectively).

Overall, among Black Americans who feel at least a little informed about U.S. Black history, 43% say they learned about it from their relatives and friends, 30% say they learned about it from the media, 27% from the internet, and 24% from college (if they attended) and 23% from K-12 school.

Younger Black people are less likely to speak to relatives about ancestors

Black adults under 30 years old differ significantly from older Black adults in their views on the importance of Blackness to their personal identity. However, Black adults also differ by age in how they pursue knowledge of family history, how informed they feel about U.S. Black history, and their sense of connectedness to other Black people.

Chart showing younger Black adults less likely than their elders to feel informed about U.S. Black history

Black adults under 30 (50%) are less likely than those 65 and older (64%) to say their ancestors were enslaved. In fact, 40% of Black adults under 30 say that they are not sure whether their ancestors were enslaved. Black adults in the youngest age group (59%) are less likely than the oldest (87%) to have spoken to their relatives about family history or to have used a mail-in DNA service to learn about their ancestors (11% vs. 21%). They are only slightly less likely to have conducted research on their families online (26% vs. 39%).

Black adults under 30 have the lowest share who say they feel very or extremely informed about the history of Black people in the United States (40%), compared with 60% of Black adults 65 and older and about half each of Black adults 50 to 64 (53%) and 30 to 49 (51%). In fact, Black adults under 30 are more likely than those 50 and older to say they feel a little or not at all informed about Black history. While Black adults are generally most likely to cite family and friends as their source for learning about Black history, the share under 30 (38%) who also cite the internet as a source of information is higher than the shares ages 50 to 64 (22%) and 65 and older (14%) who say this.

These age differences persist in the sense of connectedness that Black Americans have with other Black people. Black adults under 30 are less likely than those 65 and older to say that everything or most things that happen to Black people in the United States will affect their own lives. This youngest group is also less likely than the oldest to have this sense of common fate with Black people in their local community. One exception to this pattern occurs when Black adults were asked how much they had in common with Black people who identify as LGBTQ. Black adults under 30 (21%) were considerably more likely than those 65 and older (10%) to say they have everything or most things in common with Black people who identify as LGBTQ.

Black Americans differ by party on measures of identity and connection

Black Democrats and Republicans differ on how important Blackness is to their personal identities. However, there are also partisan gaps when it comes to their connectedness to other Black people.1

Bar chart showing Black Democrats more likely than Republicans to say what happens to other Black people in the U.S. will affect their own lives

Black Democrats and those who lean to the Democratic Party are more likely than Black Republicans and Republican leaners to say that everything or most things that happen to Black people in the United States (57% vs. 39%) and their local communities (46% vs. 30%) affect what happens in their own lives. However, Black Republicans (24%) are more likely than Black Democrats (14%) to say that they have everything or most things in common with Black people who are LGBTQ. They are also more likely than Black Democrats to say they have everything or most things in common with Black people who are wealthy (25% vs. 11%).

When it comes to knowledge of family and racial histories, Black Democrats and Republicans do not differ. Democrats (59%) are just as likely as Republicans (54%) to know that their ancestors were enslaved. Nearly 80% of Black adults from both partisan coalitions say they have spoken to their relatives about their family history. Similar shares have also researched their family histories online and used mail-in DNA services.

Black Democrats are also not significantly more likely than Black Republicans to say they feel very or extremely informed about U.S. Black history (53% vs. 45%). And among those who feel at least a little informed about U.S. Black history, Democrats and Republicans are about equally likely to say they learned it from family and friends (45% vs. 38%).

Place is a key part of Black Americans’ personal identities

The majority of Black adults who live in the United States were born there, but an increasing portion of the population is comprised of immigrants. Of those immigrants, nearly 90% were born in the Caribbean or Africa. Regardless of their region of birth, 58% of Black adults say the country they were born in is very or extremely important to how they think about themselves. A smaller share say the same about the places where they grew up (46%).

Bar chart showing half of Black adults say where they currently live is an important part of their identity

Black adults also feel strongly about their current communities. About half of Black adults (52%) say that where they currently live is very or extremely important to how they think about themselves. And when it comes to the quality of their neighborhoods, 76% of Black adults rate them as at least good places to live, including 41% who say the quality of their community is very good or excellent.

Still, Black adults say there are concerning issues in the communities they live in. When asked in an open-ended question to list the issue that was most important in their neighborhoods, nearly one-in-five Black adults listed issues related to violence or crime (17%). Smaller shares listed other points of concern such as economic issues like poverty and homelessness (11%), housing (7%), COVID-19 and public health (6%), or infrastructure issues such as the availability of public transportation and the conditions of roads (5%).

While nearly one-in-five Black Americans (17%) say that individual people like themselves should be responsible for solving these problems, they are most likely to say that local community leaders should address these issues (48%). Smaller shares say the U.S. Congress (12%), the U.S. president (8%) or civil rights organizations (2%) bear responsibility.

(PEW)

APRIL 14, 2022

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/race-ethnicity/2022/04/14/race-is-central-to-identity-for-black-americans-and-affects-how-they-connect-with-each-other/

 

738-739-43-27/Polls

Covid-19 Pandemic Pinches Finances Of America’s Lower- And Middle-Income Families

The financial hardships caused by the COVID-19 recession in the U.S. were endured mostly by lower- and middle-income families. From 2019 to 2020, the median income of lower-income households decreased by 3.0% and the median income of middle-income households fell by 2.1%. In contrast, the median income of upper-income households in 2020 was about the same as it was in 2019, according to a new Pew Research Center analysis of government data. 

The setbacks to the finances of lower- and middle-income households during the pandemic mark a significant reversal from their recent experiences. From 2010 to 2019, following the end of the Great Recession, the median incomes of households in all income tiers had increased at about the same pace – an annual average rate of 1.8% for lower-income families, 1.6% for middle-income families and 1.9% for upper-income families, after adjusting for inflation. 

The long-running shift in the distribution of U.S. household income towards upper-income families stayed on track during the coronavirus pandemic. The share of aggregate U.S. household income held by upper-income families reached 50% in 2020, up from 46% in 2010. The share held by middle-income families decreased from 45% to 42% over the same period. The share held by lower-income families also decreased, from 9% to 8%.

The trends in income reflect the varying degrees to which adults in lower-, middle- and upper-income households were vulnerable to labor market turmoil in the COVID-19 recession. In 2020, about three-in-ten lower-income adults (28.2%) experienced unemployment at least some of the time during the year. Likewise, 13.8% of middle-income adults and 7.8% of upper-income adults had at least a spell of unemployment in 2020. Among adults overall, the rate stood at 15.0%. This rate, known as the “work-experience unemployment rate,” is the number of adults who experienced unemployment at least some of the time during a year as a proportion of all adults who worked or looked for work in that year.1

Chart showing about three-in-ten lower-income adults had an unemployment spell in 2020

In a Pew Research Center survey conducted in January 2021, about a third of lower-income adults (31%) said their family’s situation had worsened in the last year, compared with 18% of middle-income adults and 11% of upper-income adults. At the same time, about half of lower-income adults (49%) said they or someone in their household had experienced job or wage loss since the coronavirus outbreak began in February 2020, as did 45% of middle-income adults. The share among upper-income adults (33%) was also notable, but considerably less.

The COVID-19 recession, which lasted from February 2020 to April 2020, is the shortest in recorded history. But its effects were sharp. Unemployment soared to near-record highs and national output, as measured by the gross domestic product (GDP), shrank in 2020. Although employment and national output have recovered to a great extent since 2020, new concerns have emerged about inflation

This report focuses on the impact of the pandemic on the financial wellbeing of households in the lower-, middle- and upper-income tiers, with comparisons to the Great Recession era. The analysis relies on the Annual Social and Economic Supplement (ASEC) of the Current Population Survey (CPS), conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau in March of each year. The latest available survey data, from March 2021, records the household income and work experience of adults in 2020, the first year of the pandemic. A related analysis examines changes in the economic status of the American middle class from a historical perspective, including how the distribution of different demographic groups across the three income tiers has changed from 1971 to 2021.

Who is middle income or middle class?

In this analysis, “middle-income” adults in 2021 are those with an annual household income that was two-thirds to double the national median income in 2020, about $52,000 to $156,000 annually in 2020 dollars for a household of three. “Lower-income” adults have household incomes less than $52,000 and “upper-income” adults have household incomes greater than $156,000.

The income it takes to be middle income varies by household size, with smaller households requiring less to support the same lifestyle as larger households. The boundaries of the income tiers also vary across years with changes in the national median income.

Chart showing who is “middle income” and “upper income”?

The terms “middle income” and “middle class” are used interchangeably in this report for the sake of exposition. But being middle class can refer to more than just income, be it level of education, the type of profession, economic security, home ownership, or one’s social and political values. Class also could simply be a matter of self-identification.

U.S. households entered the pandemic era on the heels of robust growth in their incomes

Chart showing the COVID-19 pandemic put a stop to strong gains in income from 2010 to 2019 for households in all income tiers

In 2019, just before the start of the pandemic, the incomes of U.S. households were substantially higher than what they were in 2010. Among households overall, the median income had increased from $68,004 in 2010 to $79,475 in 2019, a gain of 17%. It stood in sharp contrast to the reversal experienced from 2001 to 2010, a period encompassing the Great Recession, when incomes had decreased by 5%. The growth from 2010 to 2019 was also greater than the growth seen in any single decade since 1970. But the pandemic ate into some of the gains, causing the median income overall to fall to $77,951 in 2020, a one-year loss of 2%.  

For middle-class households, the median income had increased by 15%, from $79,838 in 2010 to $92,042 in 2019. The onset of the pandemic sent the median down to $90,131 in 2020. Lower-income households had a similar experience, with their median income rising from $26,371 in 2010 to $30,877 in 2019, up 17%, and then falling to $29,963 in 2020.

The finances of upper-income households were left relatively unscathed in the first year of the pandemic. Their median income in 2020 ($219,572) was statistically no different than what it was in 2019 ($220,783), and it stood about 18% higher than in 2010.   

As a result of these trends, the income gap between upper-income and other households stretched a bit wider from 2010 to 2020. The median income of upper-income households had been 7.0 times greater than the median income of lower-income households in 2010. This ratio increased to 7.3 in 2020. The ratio of the median income of upper-income households to the median income of middle-income households edged up from 2.3 in 2010 to 2.4 in 2020.

Unemployment insurance was a notable source of income for households with loss of work during the pandemic and the Great Recession

Chart showing unemployment spells in the COVID-19 pandemic were as common as in the Great Recession

Despite the historic spike in unemployment during the COVID-19 recession, the unemployment experiences of workers during 2020 bore many similarities to their experiences in the Great Recession, which lasted from December 2007 to June 2009 but sent unemployment soaring through 2010.

Among adults overall, the work-experience unemployment rate in 2020 (15.0%) was about the same as in 2010 (15.2%), just following the end of the Great Recession. But encounters with unemployment varied across income tiers. The work-experience unemployment rate for lower-income adults in 2020 (28.2%) was somewhat less than in 2010 (32.5%). Meanwhile, middle-income adults (13.8%) and upper-income adults (7.8%) saw slightly higher work-experience unemployment rates in 2020 than in 2010, when they stood at 12.8% and 6.6%, respectively.

Despite the sense of déjà vu evoked by the work-experience unemployment rate, the share of households reporting receipt of unemployment insurance payments was much higher in 2020 (15.4%) than in 2010 (9.6%). A key reason for this was the extension of the eligibility for unemployment insurance benefits in the pandemic. Workers usually not eligible for these benefits, such as self-employed workers and independent contractors, were allowed to receive benefits in 2020.

https://www.pewresearch.org/social-trends/wp-content/uploads/sites/3/2022/04/Screen-Shot-2022-04-18-at-2.53.12-PM.png

The extension of unemployment insurance benefits helped households in all income tiers. Nearly one-in-five middle-class households (18.0%) reported the receipt of these benefits in 2020, compared with 13.0% of lower-income households and 13.1% of upper-income households. These rates were higher than in 2010 for households in all income tiers. For instance, only about one-in-ten middle-income households (10.7%) received unemployment benefits in 2010. 

The relatively low share of lower-income households receiving unemployment benefits in 2020, despite a higher work-experience unemployment rate, partly reflects the fact that lower-income adults are less likely to be in the labor force. In March 2020, the labor force participation rate among lower-income adults was 42.4%, compared with 69.1% among middle-income adults and 78.8% among upper-income adults. Lower-income adults are also more likely to be foreign-born, which may affect eligibility, and evidence suggests that unemployment benefits may not be reaching all who are eligible

For adults who experienced at least some joblessness, unemployment insurance payments were a valuable source of financial assistance during both the pandemic and the Great Recession. In 2020, these payments accounted for 29.5% of the aggregate income of lower-income households who received the benefits, albeit less than in 2010. Unemployment insurance payments also accounted for 12.4% of the aggregate income of middle-income households, about the same as in 2010, and 4.6% of the aggregate income of upper-income households receiving the benefits, less than in 2010. 

Chart showing unemployment benefits were a key source of income for lower- and middle-income households receiving them in 2020

It should be noted that the reliance on unemployment insurance benefits may be underreported in the Current Population Survey, the source data for this analysis. Research based on personal earnings and benefits data from the IRS finds that unemployment insurance benefits replaced more of the lost personal earnings of low-income workers in 2020 than they did during the Great Recession. Regardless of the precise value of these benefits, it is evident that the estimated decline in the median incomes of lower- and middle-income households overall in 2020 may have been even greater in their absence.











Coronavirus economic impact payments to U.S. households in 2020

Unemployment insurance benefits were not the only source of financial relief available to U.S. households during the economic downturn in the COVID-19 pandemic. Among its many provisions, the CARES Act established two rounds of economic impact payments to U.S. households in 2020, both in the form of refundable tax credits. These tax credits, amounting to about $400 billion in direct financial assistance, are credited with a reduction in the U.S. poverty rate in 2020.

By design, the economic impact payments were directed towards lower- and middle-income families. In the 2021 CPS ASEC, some 97% of lower-income households, 100% of middle-income households and 53% of upper-income households reported that they received economic impact payments in 2020. Among households receiving the tax credits, the payments represented 13.9% of the aggregate income of lower-income households, 4.6% of the aggregate income of middle-income households, and 1.3% of the aggregate income of upper-income households.

The amount of payment received by each household in 2020, as recorded in the 2021 CPS ASEC, was estimated by the Census Bureau based on their tax model. The payments, disbursed as tax credits, boosted the disposable (after-tax) income of households, but they did not affect the gross (pre-tax) income of households, the income measure used in this report.

Americans moved across income tiers during the pandemic, but to about the same extent as in the past

Despite the economic headwinds from the COVID-19 recession, the shares of U.S. adults who were living in lower-, middle- and upper-income households were unchanged in the pandemic. In 2021, some 50% of adults lived in middle-income households, 29% in lower-income households and 21% in upper-income households. In 2020, 51% were middle class, 29% were lower-income and 21% were upper-income. (The population shares for 2020 and 2021 are based on household incomes in 2019 and 2020, respectively. Shares may not add to 100% due to rounding.)

Chart showing about one-in-three middle-class adults moved to another income tier from 2020 to 2021, as did similar shares from lower- and upper-income tiers

But the stability in the shares of American adults in the three income tiers conceals a fair degree of churn in who is lower-, middle- or upper income from one year to the next. Movements across income tiers are driven by changes in the earnings of households from one year to the next. These changes can be substantial, perhaps the result of a job lost or gained, or due to life cycle events, such as retirement, marriage, divorce, or a death in the family. On this score, the first year of the pandemic proved to be no different than in other years in the past two decades.

Among the adults who were in the middle class in 2020, some 68% remained in the middle class in 2021. Another 16% had moved into the upper-income tier in 2021 and 16% had slipped down to the lower-income tier. These shifts were similar in magnitude to those that have prevailed since 2000 (see more on this below).

Similarly, among adults who were in the upper-income tier in 2020, some 64% held that status in 2021. About one-third (32%) had retreated to the middle-income tier and 4% had fallen to the lower-income tier by 2021. Among adults who were in the lower-income tier in 2020, nearly a third (32%) had progressed into the middle class and 4% had leapfrogged into the upper-income tier. 

Adults who moved from the middle class in 2020 to the upper-income tier in 2021 saw a gain of 68% in their household income at the median. On the other hand, middle-class adults who moved to the lower-income tier from 2020 to 2021 experienced a loss of 52% in their household income. Similarly large changes in income characterized the experiences of lower-income adults who moved up to the middle class and upper-income adults who moved down to the middle.  

The magnitude of the changes in income experienced by adults transitioning across income tiers is not unlike what has been seen in the past. Other researchers have recently examined the issue of income volatility using data from the IRS. They find that, from 2004 to 2020, about 30% of workers experienced a decline in their incomes of more than 10% from one year to the next and another 30% of workers saw an increase of more than 10%. These shares varied little over the 16-year period. Indeed, this pattern in income volatility has prevailed for several decades.

Chart showing shares of adults staying in their income tier from year-to-year have changed little since 2000

Consistent with the pattern of income volatility, the rate at which adults move across income tiers from one year to the next, or stay put, has changed only modestly since 2000, the earliest year examined in this analysis. About seven-in-ten adults (74%) who were in the middle class in 2000 were still in the middle class in 2001. Slightly lower shares of adults retained their place in the middle class following the Great Recession, some 72% from 2010 to 2011, and in the first year of the pandemic, some 68% from 2020 to 2021. 

The shares of middle-income adults moving up to the upper-income tier inched up across these three pairs of years, from 12% during 2000 to 2001, to 13% from 2010 to 2011, and then to 16% from 2020 to 2021. The share of middle-income adults moving down to the lower-income tier also edged up, from 14% during 2000 to 2001 to 16% from 2020 to 2021.

Retention rates in the lower-income and upper-income tiers have also changed little since 2000. From 64% to 68% of lower-income adults remained in that tier from 2000 to 2001, 2010 to 2011 or 2020 to 2021, and from 63% to 65% of upper-income adults stayed put in these years. For both groups of adults, most of the movement was either one tier up, from lower- to middle-income, or one tier down, from upper- to middle-income.

The degree to which adults moved up or down the income ladder annually since 2000 varied across some demographic groups in some instances. Among those in the middle-income tier, White and Asian adults were more likely than Black and Hispanic adults to move to the upper-income tier the next year. Adults with higher levels of education were less likely to move down from the upper-income tier and more likely to move up from the middle-income tier from one year to the next.

The share of adults in the middle class is unchanged since the Great Recession

Chart showing share of adults in the middle class has not changed since the Great Recession

The share of American adults in the middle class – unchanged in the pandemic – has also not changed since the Great Recession, at about 50% in both 2011 and 2021. The shares in the lower- and upper-income tiers saw little change, at 29% and about 21%, respectively.2

However, the share in the middle class had fallen from 2001 to 2011, from 54% to 51%. Over the same period, the share in the upper-income tier had edged up from 18% to 20%. A companion report looks at this issue from a historical perspective, including how different demographic groups have shifted across the three income tiers from 1971 to 2021.

(PEW)

APRIL 20, 2022

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/social-trends/2022/04/20/covid-19-pandemic-pinches-finances-of-americas-lower-and-middle-income-families/

 

738-739-43-28/Polls

How The American Middle Class Has Changed In The Past Five Decades

The middle class, once the economic stratum of a clear majority of American adults, has steadily contracted in the past five decades. The share of adults who live in middle-class households fell from 61% in 1971 to 50% in 2021, according to a new Pew Research Center analysis of government data.

From 2020: Are you in the American middle class? Find out with our income calculator

A bar chart showing that the share of adults in U.S. middle class has decreased considerably since 1971

The shrinking of the middle class has been accompanied by an increase in the share of adults in the upper-income tier – from 14% in 1971 to 21% in 2021 – as well as an increase in the share who are in the lower-income tier, from 25% to 29%. These changes have occurred gradually, as the share of adults in the middle class decreased in each decade from 1971 to 2011, but then held steady through 2021.

The analysis below presents seven facts about how the economic status of the U.S. middle class and that of America’s major demographic groups have changed since 1971. A related analysis examines the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the financial well-being of households in the lower-, middle- and upper-income tiers, with comparisons to the Great Recession era. (In the source data for both analyses, demographic figures refer to the 1971-2021 period, while income figures refer to the 1970-2020 period. Thus, the shares of adults in an income tier are based on their household incomes in the previous year.)

Who is middle income or middle class?

Household incomes have risen considerably since 1970, but those of middle-class households have not climbed nearly as much as those of upper-income households. The median income of middle-class households in 2020 was 50% greater than in 1970 ($90,131 vs. $59,934), as measured in 2020 dollars. These gains were realized slowly, but for the most part steadily, with the exception of the period from 2000 to 2010, the so-called “lost decade,” when incomes fell across the board.

A bar chart showing that incomes rose the most for upper-income households in U.S. from 1970 to 2020

The median income for lower-income households grew more slowly than that of middle-class households, increasing from $20,604 in 1970 to $29,963 in 2020, or 45%.

The rise in income from 1970 to 2020 was steepest for upper-income households. Their median income increased 69% during that timespan, from $130,008 to $219,572.

As a result of these changes, the gap in the incomes of upper-income and other households also increased. In 2020, the median income of upper-income households was 7.3 times that of lower-income households, up from 6.3 in 1970. The median income of upper-income households was 2.4 times that of middle-income households in 2020, up from 2.2 in 1970.

A line graph showing that the share of aggregate income held by the U.S. middle class has plunged since 1970

The share of aggregate U.S. household income held by the middle class has fallen steadily since 1970. The widening of the income gap and the shrinking of the middle class has led to a steady decrease in the share of U.S. aggregate income held by middle-class households. In 1970, adults in middle-income households accounted for 62% of aggregate income, a share that fell to 42% in 2020.

Meanwhile, the share of aggregate income accounted for by upper-income households has increased steadily, from 29% in 1970 to 50% in 2020. Part of this increase reflects the rising share of adults who are in the upper-income tier.

The share of U.S. aggregate income held by lower-income households edged down from 10% to 8% over these five decades, even though the proportion of adults living in lower-income households increased over this period.

Older Americans and Black adults made the greatest progress up the income ladder from 1971 to 2021. Among adults overall, the share who were in the upper-income tier increased from 14% in 1971 to 21% in 2021, or by 7 percentage points. Meanwhile, the share in the lower-income tier increased from 25% to 29%, or by 4 points. On balance, this represented a net gain of 3 percentage points in income status for all adults.

A bar chart showing that Black adults and those older or married saw some of the biggest gains in income status from 1971 to 2021

Those ages 65 and older made the most notable progress up the income ladder from 1971 to 2021. They increased their share in the upper-income tier while reducing their share in the lower-income tier, resulting in a net gain of 25 points. Progress among adults 65 and older was likely driven by an increase in labor force participationrising educational levels and by the role of Social Security payments in reducing poverty.

Black adults, as well as married men and women, were also among the biggest gainers from 1971 to 2021, with net increases ranging from 12 to 14 percentage points.

On the other hand, not having at least a bachelor’s degree resulted in a notable degree of economic regression over this period. Adults with a high school diploma or less education, as well as those with some college experience but no degree, saw sizable increases in their shares in the lower-income tier in the past five decades. Although no single group of adults by education category moved up the income ladder from 1971 to 2021, adults overall realized gains by boosting their education levels. The share of adults 25 and older who had completed at least four years of college stood at 38% in 2021, compared with only 11% in 1971.

Progress up the income ladder for a demographic group does not necessarily signal its economic status in comparison with other groups at a given point in time. For example, in 2021, adults ages 65 and older and Black adults were still more likely than many other groups to be lower income, and less likely to be middle or upper income.

Married adults and those in multi-earner households made more progress up the income ladder from 1971 to 2021 than their immediate counterparts. Generally, partnered adults have better outcomes on a range of economic outcomes than the unpartnered. One reason is that marriage is increasingly linked to educational attainment, which bears fruit in terms of higher incomes.

A bar chart showing that U.S. adults who are married or in households with more than one earner are more likely to be upper income

Married men and women were distributed across the income tiers identically to each other in both 1971 and 2021. Both groups nearly doubled their shares in the upper-income tier in the past five decades, from 14% in 1971 to 27% in 2021. And neither group experienced an increase in the share in the lower-income tier.

Unmarried men and women were much more likely than their married counterparts to be in the lower-income tier in 2021. And unmarried men, in particular, experienced a sizable increase in their share in the lower-income tier from 1971 t0 2021 and a similarly large decrease in their share in the middle-income tier. Nonetheless, unmarried men are less likely than unmarried women to be lower income and more likely to be middle income.

Adults in households with more than one earner fare much better economically than adults in households with only one earner. In 2021, some 20% of adults in multi-earner households were in the lower-income tier, compared with 53% of adults in single-earner households. Also, adults in multi-earner households were more than twice as likely as adults in single-earner households to be in the upper-income tier in 2021. In the long haul, adults in single-earner households are among the groups who slid down the income ladder the most from 1971 to 2021.

A bar chart showing that Black and Hispanic adults, women are more likely to be lower income

Despite progress, Black and Hispanic adults trail behind other groups in their economic status. Although Black adults made some of the biggest strides up the income tiers from 1971 to 2021, they, along with Hispanic adults, are more likely to be in the lower-income tier than are White or Asian adults. About 40% of both Black and Hispanic adults were lower income in 2021, compared with 24% of White adults and 22% of Asian adults.

Black adults are the only major racial and ethnic group that did not experience a decrease in its middle-class share, which stood at 47% in 2021, about the same as in 1971. White adults are the only group in which more than half (52%) lived in middle-class households in 2021, albeit after declining from 63% in 1971. At the top end, only about one-in-ten Black and Hispanic adults were upper income in 2021, compared with one-in-four or more White and Asian adults.

The relative economic status of men and women has changed little from 1971 to 2021. Both experienced similar percentage point increases in the shares in the lower- and upper-income tiers, and both saw double-digit decreases in the shares who are middle class. Women remained more likely than men to live in lower-income households in 2021 (31% vs. 26%).

A bar chart showing that despite gains, older adults in the U.S. remain most likely to be lower income

Adults 65 and older continue to lag economically, despite decades of progress. The share of adults ages 65 and older in the lower-income tier fell from 54% in 1971 to 37% in 2021. Their share in the middle class rose from 39% to 47% and their share in the upper-income tier increased from 7% to 16%. However, adults 65 and older are the only age group in which more than one-in-three adults are in lower-income households, and they are much less likely than adults ages 30 to 44 – as well as those ages 45 to 64 – to be in the upper-income tier.

All other age groups experienced an increase in the shares who are lower income from 1971 to 2021, as well as a decrease in the shares who are middle income. But they also saw increases in the shares who are upper income. Among adults ages 30 to 44, for instance, the share in upper-income households almost doubled, from 12% in 1971 to 21% in 2021.

A bar chart showing that about four-in-ten college-educated adults in the U.S. are in the upper-income tier

There is a sizable and growing income gap between adults with a bachelor’s degree and those with lower levels of education. In 2021, about four-in-ten adults with at least a bachelor’s degree (39%) were in the upper-income tier, compared with 16% or less among those without a bachelor’s degree. The share of adults in the upper-income tier with at least a bachelor’s degree edged up from 1971 to 2021, while the share without a bachelor’s degree either edged down or held constant.

About half or a little more of adults with either some college education or a high school diploma only were in the middle class in 2021. But these two groups, along with those with less than a high school education, experienced notable drops in their middle class shares from 1971 to 2021 – and notable increases in the shares in the lower-income tier. In 2021, about four-in-ten adults with only a high school diploma or its equivalent (39%) were in the lower-income tier, about double the share in 1971.

(PEW)

APRIL 20, 2022

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/04/20/how-the-american-middle-class-has-changed-in-the-past-five-decades/

 

738-739-43-29/Polls

Most Americans Who Are Familiar With Title IX, Say It’s Had A Positive Impact On Gender Equality

Fifty years after the passage of Title IX, which prohibits high schools and colleges that receive federal funding from discriminating based on sex, most Americans who have heard about the law say it’s had a positive impact on gender equality in the United States (63%). Still, 37% of those who are familiar with Title IX say it has not gone far enough in increasing opportunities for women and girls to participate in sports, according to a February Pew Research Center survey of U.S. adults.

A bar chart showing that more than four-in-ten women familiar with Title IX say it has not gone far enough when it comes to increasing opportunities for women in sports

Men and women who have heard about Title IX are about equally likely to say that the law has had a positive impact on gender equality. However, women (46%) are more likely than men (29%) to say the legislation has not gone far enough to increase opportunities for women in sports. A majority of men (54%) say the progress has been about right, compared with 41% of women.

Views on the impact of Title IX vary along party lines: 75% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents who have heard of Title IX say it has had a positive impact on gender equality, while 49% of similar Republicans and GOP leaners say the same. Republicans, in turn, are more likely than Democrats to say the law has had a negative impact on gender equality (25% vs. 10%).

Democrats who are familiar with Title IX are also far more likely than Republicans to say the law has not gone far enough to increase opportunities for girls and women in sports (51% vs. 19%), while Republicans are more likely to say things are about right (57% vs. 41%) or that the law has gone too far (22% vs. 6%).

Democratic women are especially likely to say Title IX has not gone far enough: 60% of Democratic women say this, compared with 42% of Democratic men, 27% of Republican women and 13% of Republican men.

Roughly half of Americans say they have heard a little (37%) or a lot (13%) about Title IX; 50% say they have heard nothing at all about the law. Men (55%) are more likely than women (44%) to say they have heard at least a little about it, and older Americans are more likely to have heard about it than younger Americans. The age gap is especially pronounced among women: Women under age 50 are less likely than women ages 50 and older to have heard of Title IX (41% vs. 48%). 

Most Americans say women’s and men’s college sports should get about equal funding

The survey also found about six-in-ten Americans (61%) say funding for women’s and men’s college sports should be roughly equal, but a sizable share (21%) says it should be based on the amount of money brought in by the team. Relatively small shares say either men’s sports should receive more funding than women’s (5%) or women’s sports should receive more than men’s (3%).

Women (71%) are more likely than men (50%) to say that college sports should be equally funded regardless of gender, while men are more likely than women to say funding should be based on the amount of money brought in by the team (30% vs. 14%, respectively). Still, half of men say funding should be equal across genders.

A bar chart showing that roughly seven-in-ten women say men’s and women’s college sports should get about equal funding

Partisan gaps are also pronounced when it comes to views of funding for college sports. Democrats (69%) are more likely than Republicans (51%) to say men’s and women’s college sports should get about equal funding, while Republicans are much more likely than Democrats to say funding should be based on the amount of money brought in by the team (31% vs. 15%).

The gender gap persists in both parties, though it is particularly wide among Republicans. About two-thirds of Republican women (65%) say funding should be about equal regardless of gender, compared with 37% of Republican men. Republican men, in turn, are about twice as likely as Republican women to say funding should be based on the amount of money brought in by the teams (42% vs. 20%). Among Democrats, majorities of men (61%) and women (75%) say funding should be about equal.

Views on this issue also differ by age, with older Americans more likely than younger Americans to say that men’s and women’s college teams should get about equal funding. Women ages 50 and older are particularly likely to hold this view: 75% say funding should be about equal, compared with 68% of women under 50, 57% of men ages 50 and older and just 44% of men under 50. 

More than one-third of Americans say there is too much emphasis on boys participating in youth sports and too little emphasis on girls

A bar chart showing that roughly a third of Americans say there is too little emphasis on girls participating in youth sports, including about four-in-ten women

Some 36% of Americans say there is too much emphasis on boys participating in youth sports, while 45% say there is about the right amount of emphasis and just 5% say there is too little emphasis. By contrast, when asked about the emphasis placed on girls’ participation, roughly one-third (35%) say there is too little emphasis, while 42% say there is about the right amount and 6% say there is too much emphasis. In both cases, similar shares say they are not sure (13% and 16%, respectively).

Women are more likely than men to say there is too much emphasis on boys participating in youth sports (42% vs. 29%) and that there is too little emphasis on girls participating in youth sports (39% vs. 31%). Men, on the other hand, are more likely than women to say there is the right amount of emphasis on participation for boys (50% vs. 41%) and girls (45% vs. 39%).

The partisan gap in views about gender and youth sports participation is even wider. Democrats are much more likely than Republicans to say there is too much emphasis on boys participating in sports (45% vs. 25%). And Democrats are also much more likely to say there is too little emphasis on girls’ participation: 44% say this, compared with 26% of Republicans. About half or more Republicans say there is the right amount of emphasis for boys (55%) and girls (51%).

Democratic and Republican women are more likely than their male counterparts to say there is too much emphasis on boys participating in sports and too little emphasis on girls participating in sports. Some 32% of Republican women say there is too much emphasis on boys participating in sports, compared with 17% of Republican men. Among Democrats, 50% of women see too much emphasis on boys and sports, while 40% of Democratic men say the same.

Most former high school and college athletes say participating in sports had a positive impact on them, especially when it comes to confidence and physical health

When it comes to people’s own participation in sports, 48% of Americans say they took part in organized, competitive sports either in high school or college – 39% say they participated in high school sports and 9% say they competed in sports in college (including 7% who say they did both).

Men are more likely than women to say they participated in high school or college sports (56% vs. 41%). Among women, those under 50 are more likely than those ages 50 and older to have participated in high school or college sports (48% vs. 33%). Some 11% of men say they did college sports, compared with 7% of women.

A bar chart showing that most who participated in high school or college sports say it had a positive impact on their health, confidence

Among people who participated in organized, competitive sports in high school or college, most say that their involvement in sports had a positive impact on their health and confidence or self-esteem. More than four-in-ten (46%) say playing sports had a very positive impact on their physical health, and 38% say the same about the impact on their confidence or self-esteem. A smaller share (18%) say participating in competitive sports had a very positive impact on their career or job opportunities. Just over half of competitive athletes (54%) say participating in sports had no impact on their job opportunities. Very few athletes say their participation in sports had a negative impact on their confidence (6%), physical health (5%) or job opportunities (3%).

Across all three measures asked, athletes who played sports in college were more likely than those who only participated in high school sports to say their participation had a very positive impact. For example, 53% of college athletes say that their participation had a very positive impact on their physical health, compared with 44% of athletes who only played in high school.  

Assessments of the personal impact of sports differ by race. Larger shares of Black and Hispanic athletes (44% each) than White athletes (36%) say their participation in sports had a very positive impact on their confidence or self-esteem. Black athletes are also more likely than White athletes to say playing sports had a very positive impact on their job opportunities (27% vs. 16%). There are no differences across racial and ethnic groups in reported impact on physical health. There were not enough Asian American athletes in the sample to analyze their experiences separately.

Men and women are roughly equally likely to say that playing competitive sports very positively impacted their health and career opportunities. Men are somewhat more likely to say it had a very positive impact on their confidence (40% vs. 36%).

(PEW)

APRIL 21, 2022

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/04/21/most-americans-who-are-familiar-with-title-ix-say-its-had-a-positive-impact-on-gender-equality/

 

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Most (64%) Canadian Farmers “Cautiously Optimistic” About the Next 12 Months

Despite the degree of uncertainty that the future hold, most Canadian farmers remain “cautiously optimistic” (64%) about the next twelve months, while 17% are very optimistic, according to the new RBC Agriculture Poll conducted by Ipsos. Only one in five farmers is pessimistic (7% mostly/12% somewhat) about the next year.

Driving this optimism may be a clear focus for the year ahead to maximize their growth potential: thinking about how they might grow their business, nearly nine in ten (85%) prioritize having a network of agriculture-related professionals that they can lean on for advice, while eight in ten say their priority is the recruitment of skilled workers (81%), building their leadership team (77%), investing in technology and data-driven solutions (77%) and focusing on risk-management planning (73%).

Canadian farmers are looking to the future and adapting with the times. Nine in ten (91%) agree (48% strongly) that they are regularly using technology and leveraging data and insights to guide decision making, and many are looking to further implement technological and digital solutions in the next twelve months, including when it comes to data management (55%), digital field/crop/inventory management (51%), financial planning and cash flow management (47%), automating labour-intensive farm operations (45%) and workforce management (36%).

Not only are most farmers being more efficient through technology, but they’re also moving to become more sustainable as well. Nearly all (96%) agree (59% strongly) that they are actively exploring ways to make their farm operations more sustainable. Moreover, seven in ten (71%) agree (32% strongly) that they’re making progress on recruiting and promoting a diverse workforce, including women in all levels. In fact, six in ten (61%) farmers say that their leadership team includes women.

(Ipsos Canada)

12 April 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/most-canadian-farmers-cautiously-optimistic-about-the-next-12-months

 

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Canadians Believe Poilievre Has Edge Over Rest Of Conservative Field, But Are Less Certain That They Want Him To Win

Canadians don’t have a particularly favourable impression of any of the declared or likely candidates for the leadership of the Conservative Party of Canada. Moreover, according to a new Ipsos poll conducted for Global News, out of the 11 candidates tested, a majority of Canadians say they don’t know enough about 9 of them to have an opinion one way or the other, leaving only Pierre Poilievre and Jean Charest as the candidates that most Canadians are familiar with – for better or for worse.

Canadians believe that Pierre Poilievre is most likely to win the leadership contest (20%), ahead of Jean Charest (12%). Very few believe that any other candidate will win, including Patrick Brown (4%), Leona Alleslev (2%), Scott Aitchison (1%), Roman Baber (1%), Leslyn Lewis (1%), Marc Dalton (1%), Joseph Bourgault (1%), Bobby Singh (1%), or Joel Etienne (<1%). A full majority (55%) of Canadians have no idea who will win the race.

  • Among those who say they’ll vote Conservative in the next election (to be clear: not Conservative Party members), Poilievre’s (37%) perceived lead over Charest (14%) is even bigger.

Thinking about who they want to win the race, Pierre Poilievre (15%) and Jean Charest (13%) are favoured by nearly equal proportions of Canadians, while fewer want Lewis (3%), Baber (2%), Alleslev (2%), Dalton (2%), Singh (2%) Aitchison (1%), Bourgault (<1%) or Etienne (<1%) to win. Nearly six in ten (57%) don’t know who they want to win.

  • Among likely Conservative voters, Pierre Poilievre (32%) jumps well ahead of Jean Charest (14%) as the preferred candidate, with all other candidates in the low single digits including Patrick Brown (4%), Leslyn Lewis (4%) and Leona Alleslev (4%). Nearly four in ten (37%) Tory voters don’t know who they want to win.

Clearly, Pierre Poilievre is the favoured among those who are already intending to vote for the Conservative Party, but these figures mean that he could have a hard time attracting additional voters into the Conservative tent, which might be a strength for Charest.

The data also reveal that, on balance, Canadians have unfavourable opinions of each of the Conservative Party leadership candidates – that is, towards those about whom they know enough to venture an opinion. Even for candidates like Poilievre and Charest who have been prominent political figures for a while, four in ten Canadians don’t have an opinion either way.

The three candidates for whom the highest proportion of Canadians hold a favourable opinion are Jean Charest (27%), Pierre Poilievre (27%) and Patrick Brown (18%). All other candidates are seen in a favourable light by just 13% of Canadians or less. However, these three candidates also elicit the highest proportion of negative feedback: Charest (34%), Poilievre (31%) and Brown (22%), followed very closely by Leslyn Lewis (21%). All other candidates garner negative opinions in the 17%-18% range.

Canadians’ Perception of Likely or Declared CPC Leadership Candidates

 

Candidate

% Favourable

% Unfavourable

% Don’t know enough about them

Scott Aitchison

9%

18%

73%

Roman Baber

12%

17%

70%

Patrick Brown

18%

22%

60%

Jean Charest

27%

34%

38%

Pierre Poilievre

27%

31%

42%

Leslyn Lewis

15%

21%

65%

Leona Alleslev

12%

17%

71%

Marc Dalton

11%

18%

71%

Joseph Bourgault

11%

17%

72%

Bobby Singh

13%

18%

69%

Joel Etienne

10%

18%

73%

 

Jean Charest enters the race with decades of political experience, including having served as Premier of Quebec for nearly a decade. Charest no doubt hopes that his experience in Quebec can help to bolster CPC fortunes within la belle province, but Quebecers are net negative on their former premier: four in ten (37%) Quebecers have a favourable perception of Charest (12% very/24% somewhat), while half (51%) are unfavourable, including 33% who are very unfavourable, while just 12% don’t know enough about him either way.

Among Conservative Party voters nationally the calculus changes. Pierre Poilievre and Leslyn Lewis become the only two candidates that garner net favourable sentiment (Poilievre net +30; Lewis net +2), while Jean Charest’s stock dips into decidedly negative territory (net -13).

 

Conservative Voters’ Perception of Likely or Declared CPC Leadership Candidates

 

Candidate

% Favourable

% Unfavourable

% Don’t know enough about them

Scott Aitchison

10%

14%

73%

Roman Baber

12%

17%

70%

Patrick Brown

20%

25%

55%

Jean Charest

27%

40%

33%

Pierre Poilievre

50%

20%

30%

Leslyn Lewis

22%

20%

59%

Leona Alleslev

14%

18%

68%

Marc Dalton

10%

19%

71%

Joseph Bourgault

9%

20%

71%

Bobby Singh

11%

21%

69%

Joel Etienne

9%

21%

70%

 

In fact, Jean Charest is seen more positively by Liberal voters (40% positive; 30% negative) than he is by Conservative voters (27% positive; 40% negative), suggesting that a Jean Charest leadership might attract red Tories or swing voters onto the blue team. However, it could also result in a fracturing of the party on the right, given that four in ten (40%) Conservative voters have an unfavourable view of Charest.

(Ipsos Canada)

20 April 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/canadians-believe-poilievre-has-edge-over-rest-of-conservative-field

 

AUSTRALIA

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Real Unemployment In Australia Is Far Higher Than Claimed By The ABS, And High Under-Employment Keeps A Lid On The Wage Growth Of Workers

There were 1.13 million Australians (7.8% of the workforce) unemployed in March and even more, 1.23 million, under-employed (8.4% of the workforce). This compares to the ABS estimate of 563,000 unemployed Australians (4.0% of the workforce) and 926,000 under-employed (6.6% of the workforce).

Everyone needs to understand the widespread community transmission of COVID-19 is responsible for the largest impact on the Australian labour market and workplaces employment across the country.

The Health Department website shows there are today well over 450,000 Australians currently infected with COVID-19 – a number far higher than at any time during 2020-21. This high case-load is caused by the highly transmissible Omicron ‘variant’ of COVID-19 which has spread around Australia in two distinct waves.

The first Omicron wave began in early December and led to infections peaking in mid-January at over 700,000 before declining rapidly over the next few weeks and bottoming in February. A second Omicron wave began in early March and is still ongoing with tens of thousands of new cases every day.

The high caseload means over 450,000 Australians are currently forced into week-long isolation because of being infected with the virus, and many hundreds of thousands more, such as family members living in the same house, are forced into periods of isolation due to being close contacts of those who are infected.

The forced isolation of many employees is in turn forcing businesses to hire more workers on part-time hours. In March part-time employment increased by 289,000 to a near-record high of over 4.7 million. This is where all the employment growth in the labour market has come from over the last few months.

Since October 2020 when the final COVID-19 lockdowns in NSW, Victoria and the ACT ended, part-time employment has increased from 4,281,000 to 4,712,000 – an increase of 431,000. In contrast, during the same time period full-time employment is down by 60,000 to 8,678,000.

This equates to a net increase of 371,000 employees – all caused by the increase in part-time work.

The correlation between part-time employment and under-employment is well understood - as part-time employment increases, under-employment tends to increase at the same time. This is certainly what happened in March as part-time employment increased by 289,000 and under-employment increased by 93,000 to 1.22 million.

As companies and businesses are forced to hire employees on reduced hours to cover for those workers who are in forced isolation, but would like to work more hours, the level of employment increases but there are also more workers who would ideally like to work more hours – the under-employed.

As long as outbreaks and transmission of COVID-19 is forcing hundreds of thousands of Australians into isolation this trend of higher part-time employment, and a high under-employment rate, is set to continue – which means wage growth will remain below expectations.

Unfortunately media commentators fail to understand that by itself, lower unemployment, will not facilitate wages growth unless this a substantial reduction in the number of Australians who are under-employed – which is more closely correlated to wage growth due to being on the ‘margin’ between full-time and part-time work.

The latest Australian wage growth figures show annual wage growth of 2.3% over the year to December 2021 compared to estimated CPI during that period of 3.5%. These figures show that wage growth is failing to keep pace with inflation – and this situation has clearly worsened in 2022.

In addition, the Russian invasion of Ukraine prompted a large spike in the prices of key energy products such as coal, oil and gas which flowed directly through to the Australian economy. In mid-March petrol prices spiked to a new record high at an average of over $2.14 a litre. Although the petrol price has since dropped, and the petrol excise has been slashed for six months, these increased costs are still flowing through into other parts of the economy such as food and goods.

The rising inflation is putting more pressure on workers to earn more money and this means that more workers in part-time employment need to work more hours to compensate for the higher level of inflation in the economy - the under-employed are ‘feeling the pinch’ of inflation.

We have already seen much higher inflation in the United States, so far this year at an annual rate of 8.5% in March – the highest in over 40 years. Thus far Australia has yet to experience this level of inflation but as these inflationary pressures continue to build world-wide they will impact on Australia in the second half of this year.

As we head towards next month’s Federal Election it is absolutely vital that both major parties detail how they will deal with the growing threat of inflation as well as adopt policies that properly tackle the ongoing high level of unemployment and under-employment in the Australian economy.

Over 2.35 million Australians (16.2% of the workforce) are currently either unemployed or under-employed and this represents a ‘huge slice’ of the electorate who need to know which major party is really serious about tackling Australia’s long-term problem of high labour under-utilisation.

The Roy Morgan unemployment and under-employment estimates show Australia has had over 2 million Australians either out of work, or looking for more work, nearly continuously since December 2011 – more than a decade ago.

(Roy Morgan)

April 14 2022

Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/8948-roy-morgan-real-australian-unemployment-in-covid-australia-april-2022-202204131130

 

738-739-43-33/Polls

8 In 10 Australians Are Concerned About Climate Change With A Clear Public Expectation Of Government Action

The annual Ipsos Climate Change Report 2022 shows the majority of Australians are concerned about climate change (83%) and 70% consider that Australia is already being affected by climate change, primarily with more frequent and extreme natural disaster events which is a steady increase in concern and up from 56% in 2011. 

Interestingly, the proportion of people expressing doubt about whether climate change is actually occurring has remained relatively steady over the same period, with 24% currently expressing this view. The level of doubt is significantly higher in NSW with this figure rising to one in three (32%).

PictureData collected in March 2022 shows that Australians see the most benefit in our governments taking action to address climate change as opposed to what individuals and SMEs can achieve. 

  • Seventy-two percent (72%) of Australians consider that the Federal Government has a reasonable degree of power to influence climate change through decisions made, with 52% of Australians considering the Federal Government has ‘a lot’ of power to positively influence climate change.
  • Yet perceived performance of all levels of Australian government, and overseas governments, is considered relatively poor in contrast to what not-for-profits, Australian small and medium businesses, and individuals are doing. 

Australians want action and this is likely to be reflected in voting decision making

Two thirds (66%) of people agree that Australia should be doing more to address climate change and 64% want Australia to be a global leader in emissions reduction. 

Currently opinions are divided on whether current Federal Government measures to address climate change are too much, too little, or about right. 

  • 10% consider the existing federal measures to be ‘too much’, 30% consider them ‘about right’, 44% think they are ‘too little’ (16% are ‘unsure’).
  • Despite feeling the impacts of natural disasters to a greater degree, regional Australians hold similar views to those living in major cities about whether the Federal Government’s measures are sufficient.
  • NSW residents are significantly more likely to agree that the Federal Government’s measures are ‘about right’ (37%) and 12% of NSW residents consider these actions ‘too much’. 

There are some clear voting intentions when it comes to climate change policy: 

  • While one in five Australians (19%) state the environment is ‘the most important issue’ they will be considering when deciding who to vote for in the next election; 59% of Australians either currently are, or will contemplate, taking policies addressing climate change into account when deciding a candidate or party to vote for.
  • The data shows that metropolitan, inner regional and outer regional / remotely based Australians are similarly aligned on the issue of climate change and expectations of government to act.
  • Australians who have a two-party preference towards the ALP are more likely to prioritise the environment in their decision making process (29% consider the environment the most important issue impacting their decision making it equally important as the economy at 28%). 

Ipsos Public Affairs Director, Stuart Clark, said: “Awareness and expectations among Australians regarding our climate are growing. There is a concern among Australians and a desire for the government to act. Policy will be a key part of the people’s decision making coming into the election. The question is how the key players will manage it given there is a divide in the community as to what is too much or too little action. 

“Australians see a role particularly for governments and large businesses to drive positive change utilising policy, improved technologies, and increased transparency.” 

Do businesses need to become more public when it comes to disclosing environmental policies, practices and performance? 

When it comes to business actions, Australians focus predominantly on the role of multinationals and large Australian businesses for their capacity to effect positive impacts on climate change. 

  • Sectors that are most considered to be able to have positive impacts are resources, mining, oil, and gas (46%), energy (43%), transport (31%), and automotive (31%).
  • Sectors such as fashion, retail trade, and pharmaceuticals are perceived by Australians to be less likely to be able to influence climate change despite global pushes elsewhere focusing on industries such as fast-fashion and their negative impacts. 

Only 40% of Australians consider that businesses in Australia are committed to climate change. Consumers see the solution as twofold – there is strong potential for businesses to innovate and drive technology solutions; and an increase in transparency is required.

pic1

  • Sixty-five percent (65%) of Australians believe there should be a focus on helping businesses become leading innovators, especially with renewables.
  • Additionally, when prompted among a list of 32 environmentally related issues, ‘the development of new technology to reduce emissions’ ranked #8 in priority for action (nominated by 36% of Australians). 

Sixty percent (60%) of Australians consider that publicly listed companies should be mandated to report on environmental performance. 

Individuals are increasingly transitioning to solar and other renewable energy sources and making active ‘green’ choices in product and service selection

Australians also see individuals as having a role in addressing climate change; however, perceive their actions may have less of an impact than government and business. Regardless, Australians are increasingly conscious of their own personal empowerment and action they can take. 

  • There has been an increasing trend of acknowledging ‘it is my responsibility to help to do something about climate change’ up from 55% agreement in 2017 to 67% agreement in 2022
  • As well as an increasing trend that ‘I personally feel that I can make a difference with regard to climate change’, up from 37% in 2017 to 54% in 2022.

The Department of Industry, Energy, Science and Resources’ statistics on household solar installations identify that Australia has the highest uptake of solar globally at approximately 30%1. The Ipsos Climate Change Report 2022 figures align showing 34% of Australians have installed solar.

Australians are also active in improving energy efficiency around the home (36%) and considering products being purchased with respect to how they are made, materials and end-of-life disposal (35%).

The next wave of action by Australians will be: 

  • greater transition to renewable energy sources for household energy (35% current consideration),
  • and greater active selection of ‘green’ products and services. In 2022, this study saw a significant increase in Australians actively choosing banking, investment, and superannuation companies, products and services based on their environmental credentials and products (up to 16% from 10% in 2021).
  • The is also an increase in consideration of participating in protests and rallies about climate change (up from 12% consideration to being considered by 18% of Australians).

                                     o    Victorians are the most positive about the influence of protests and rallies on outcomes with 52% agreeing that ‘climate activism such as protests and rallies on climate change can bring about positive change’. Queenslanders and Western Australians are the least in agreement about the potential outcomes of climate activism (31% and 30% agreement respectively).

(Ipsos Australia)

20 April 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-au/8-10-australians-are-concerned-about-climate-change

 

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

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Biden Ended His First Year In Office With A 45% Median Approval Rating Across A Total Of 116 Countries And Territories

After a strong rebound during President Joe Biden's first six months in office, approval ratings of U.S. leadership around the world slipped in the second half of the year, coinciding with the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan.

new Gallup report details that by early August 2021, median approval of U.S. leadership worldwide stood at 49% across 46 countries and territories surveyed by that point. This approval rating matched the record-high rating when former President Barack Obama first took office in 2009.

However, the United States' overall rating slipped in the second half of the year. Across 70 additional countries and territories surveyed during and after the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, median approval stood at 43%.

Biden ended his first year in office with a 45% median approval rating across a total of 116 countries and territories. While far from a ringing global endorsement of U.S. leadership, this rating is much higher than the 30% approval rating in the last year of Donald Trump's presidency or any of the previous ratings during the Trump administration.

https://content.gallup.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Cms/POLL/6eg-vtdemkacyv_vg91kma.png

Line graph. Trend lines showing median approval ratings of U.S. leadership between 2007 and 2021.

Without pre- and post-Afghanistan withdrawal measures in these same 116 countries, it is difficult to tease out links between the withdrawal and the general decline in approval ratings. It's possible that the withdrawal, which drew criticism of Biden at home and abroad, damaged people's perceptions of U.S. leadership.

However, the lower ratings may also reflect the makeup of the countries and territories surveyed in the latter half of 2021. The list includes Iran, which gave the U.S. a 7% approval rating in 2021, and a host of other countries in the Middle East, North Africa and former Soviet states that have historically rated U.S. leadership lower.

Despite the overall decline, U.S. leadership still earned majority approval from residents in 24 of the 70 countries and territories surveyed in the later months of 2021. Ratings also improved by 10 points or more compared with the previous year in 23 countries.

U.S., Germany in Strong Position Before Ukraine Crisis

In addition to asking about U.S. leadership each year, Gallup also asks the world about the leadership of other global powers, including Germany, China and Russia.

Before Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Gallup surveys showed the U.S. and Germany held more "soft power" around the world than they had in years. In that regard, both countries were in much stronger positions heading into the conflict than either Russia or China.

Despite the surge in approval ratings for the U.S., Germany remained the top-rated global power for the fifth year in a row as it prepared for longtime Chancellor Angela Merkel to leave office. In 2021, median approval of Germany's leadership across 116 countries and territories stood at 50% -- essentially unchanged from the record-high 52% approval rating in 2020.

https://content.gallup.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Cms/POLL/qfaligjft02cpiknwjz6lw.png

Line graph. Trend lines showing median approval ratings of the leadership of the U.S., Germany, Russia and China between 2007 and 2021.

Both Germany and the U.S. netted higher approval ratings than either Russia or China, whose approval ratings continued to cluster together in the lower 30s in 2021. Russia's approval rating before its invasion of Ukraine stood at 33% -- relatively unchanged from where it was in 2020 -- and China's approval rating was also unchanged at 30%.

With much of the world condemning the invasion of Ukraine, Russia's approval ratings could retreat even lower than the record-low 22% Gallup observed in 2014 after Russia annexed Crimea from Ukraine. China's future ratings, too, could be linked to how it responds to the crisis.

Implications

Although the image of U.S. leadership slipped in the second half of 2021, the surge in approval ratings between 2020 and 2021 suggests that Biden's efforts to restore alliances appeared to be paying off -- at least initially.

Some of this goodwill -- particularly among NATO members -- may have helped Biden unify NATO's response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine this year. He will need to continue to tap into that as the war in Ukraine continues. But whatever happens next in this crisis has the potential to undermine -- or bolster -- the rest of Biden's presidency and shape the next world order.

(Gallup)

APRIL 12, 2022

Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/391661/approval-ratings-retreat-afghanistan-withdrawal.aspx

 

738-739-43-35/Polls

Worldwide Celebration Of Easter French And British Are Most Critical Of Easter Celebrations In Terms Of Commercialization, A YouGov Poll In 12 Countries Around The World

Easter is still considered a special or traditional occasion in many countries, after all Easter is one of the most important festivals in Christianity.

Easter commemorates Christ's resurrection, who sacrificed himself for the sins of mankind. But are people celebrating this Easter out of their own traditional interest, or is Easter really just a commercial interest as consumers feel encouraged to buy and give consumer goods to mark the holiday?

A recent YouGov poll of 13,000 respondents in 12 countries reveals that the majority of people around the world still think Easter is celebrated for all the right reasons: as a special holiday.

Respondents from Catholic Poland (82 percent) most often see the Easter holidays as a real reason to celebrate. Only 11 percent think the celebration of Christ's resurrection is too commercialized. Danes are second most likely to think that Easter is still celebrated because of a special occasion (73 percent) and not because of commercial pressures. The Spaniards (71 percent) and the Swedes (69 percent) follow in third and fourth place.

In Germany, 63 percent are of the opinion that the festival is a real celebration. However, one in four Germans (24 percent) considers the festival to be too commercialized. The French and British are most critical of Easter celebrations in terms of commercialization. Only half of the French (51 percent) think the festival is being celebrated as a "right" special occasion, while 37 percent think it's more of a commercialization by companies. In a global comparison, the British are most likely to think that the festival is too commercialized (40 percent).

(YouGov Germany)

April 12, 2022

Source: https://yougov.de/news/2022/04/12/ist-ostern-zu-kommerzialisiert/

 

738-739-43-36/Polls

Africans Divided On Russia's Leadership Before Ukraine War A Survey In 19 Nations

While most Western countries have strongly condemned Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the rest of the world hasn't reacted in the same way.

Responses in Africa, for example, have ranged from solidly supporting Ukraine to condemning NATO's response. Gallup surveys in Africa show these actions largely follow a general divide in support for Russia's leadership across the continent before the Ukraine crisis.

African Approval of Russia Remains Low, but Higher Than Global Average

Overall, median approval of Russia's leadership stood at 42% across Africa in 2021, which is lower than the approval ratings of the leadership of the U.S. (60%), China (52%) and Germany (49%).

However, approval of Russia's leadership remains consistently higher in Africa than the global median of 33%. Africans have held a more positive view of Russia for some time, reaching a peak of 57% approval in 2011, before opinions started declining over the past decade.

RussiaAfrica1a

Line graph. Trend line showing median approval ratings of Russia's leadership across Africa and worldwide, from 2007 to 2021. In 2021, a median of 42% of Africans approved of Russia's leadership, versus 33% approval worldwide.

Russian Leadership Most Popular in West Africa

Support for Russian leadership is most strongly concentrated in West Africa, particularly in Mali, where 84% of residents approve. Although Mali has recently received renewed Russian interest, including the arrival of Russian mercenaries to replace outgoing French forces at the behest of the Malian government, Malian support of Russia has been among the highest in sub-Saharan Africa over the past decade.

Substantial majorities in fellow West African nations, including Ivory Coast, Guinea and Gabon, also express support for Russia.

Approval of Russian Leadership Is Highest in West and Central Africa, 2021

Approve

Disapprove

Don't know/Refused

Change, 2020-2021

%

%

%

pct. pts.

Mali

84

8

8

+25

Ivory Coast

71

20

9

+17

Guinea

67

11

21

-5

Gabon

64

21

15

+13

Togo

61

12

27

*

Cameroon

60

21

19

-1

Republic of the Congo

54

25

21

+1

Nigeria

53

13

35

+13

Burkina Faso

50

15

35

-3

Sierra Leone

50

9

41

*

Ghana

49

12

39

+10

Benin

38

21

41

+2

Senegal

36

14

50

+5

* Not asked in 2020

GALLUP

However, residents of Eastern and Southern African nations are more restrained. While a higher percentage of their populations express support for Russian leadership compared with the global average, this opinion is held by a minority of residents living in the East and South. Large proportions of the population in these nations are also unsure about their views on Russia, particularly in Zambia, where 66% of residents didn't know if they approved or disapproved of Russian leadership in 2021.

Approval of Russian Leadership Is Lower in East and Southern Africa

Approve

Disapprove

Don't know/Refused

Change, 2020-2021

%

%

%

pct. pts.

Kenya

45

37

19

0

Mauritius

43

35

22

-4

Malawi

42

33

25

*

Mozambique

41

27

32

*

Namibia

40

46

14

+5

Zimbabwe

39

35

26

+8

Uganda

37

39

24

+1

Tanzania

32

34

34

-1

South Africa

30

26

44

-4

Zambia

22

12

66

-20

* Not asked in 2020

GALLUP

While reasons for this support vary, much of it may be tied to recent Russian economic and diplomatic outreaches to the continent. Russian trade has become increasingly enmeshed in Africa over the past two decades, not only in terms of natural resources like wheat, oil and gas, but in military equipment and support as well.

Russia is the largest provider of military arms to sub-Saharan Africa, with exports increasing 23% over the past four years. Some of this has come in the form of direct action as well, with Russian private military contractors deploying to 19 African nations since 2014.

Long-standing Russian history in the region may also play a role in the complex relationships that exist today. The former Soviet Union was a large supporter of anticolonial movements during the Cold War, including anti-apartheid activists in South Africa. This has led to a dichotomy whereby South African President Cyril Ramaphosa blames NATO for the war in Ukraine, yet just 30% of South Africans approve of Russia's leadership.

Most Severe Impacts Are Likely to Come

While the initial fallout from economic sanctions and disruptions in supply chains have already been felt around the world, more substantial effects are likely to emerge in the coming months. Even though the conflict in Ukraine is a world away, sub-Saharan Africa, in particular, is vulnerable to disruptions in food supplies, with a large proportion of the population experiencing food insecurity.

Russia and Ukraine account for 30% of global wheat supplies, with many nations in Africa importing a significant amount from the two countries. Substantial majorities in many African countries report not having enough money to buy food in the past 12 months. The Southern African nations of Zimbabwe and Zambia face an acute risk, with close to four in five residents having difficulty affording food in 2021.

Most Africans Remain Susceptible to Food Shocks

Have there been times in the past 12 months when you did not have enough money to buy food that you or your family needed?

Yes

No

%

%

Zimbabwe

80

20

Zambia

79

21

Sierra Leone

77

22

Gabon

76

24

Benin

74

26

Cameroon

74

26

Malawi

73

27

Nigeria

71

28

Republic of the Congo

69

29

Kenya

69

31

Guinea

68

31

Namibia

66

34

Uganda

66

34

Ivory Coast

65

35

Togo

63

37

Ghana

61

39

Mozambique

60

37

Mali

57

42

Senegal

54

44

Tanzania

54

45

Burkina Faso

53

47

South Africa

48

51

Mauritius

31

69

GALLUP, 2021

Implications

The ongoing conflict in Europe has already produced economic and diplomatic shocks that are being felt worldwide. After these initial disruptions, the full effect of sanctions and diminished exports from both Ukraine and Russia will begin to impact many nations globally, especially those in Africa. Under these additional strains, it remains to be seen what effect the ongoing crisis will have on Africans' views of Russia's leadership.

(Gallup)

APRIL 13, 2022

Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/391718/africans-divided-russia-leadership-ukraine-war.aspx

 

738-739-43-37/Polls

What Makes People Happiest 30-Country Ipsos Survey 

An Ipsos global survey run at the end of 2021, prior to the current war in Ukraine and at the beginning of the cost of living crisis, found that happiness amongst Britons had returned to pre-COVID levels, with 83% of people reporting to be very or rather happy (82% in 2019, prior to the pandemic). This is considerably higher than the global average of 67%, across 30 countries.  Happiness is most prevalent in the Netherlands and Australia, with 86% and 85% respectively describing themselves as “very” or “rather” happy. China and Great Britain (both 83%), India (82%), France and Saudi Arabia (both 81%), and Canada (80%) follow.

At a global average level, the prevalence of happiness globally is now not only higher than it was in mid-2020, a few months into the COVID-19 pandemic, but also compared to mid-2019, months before the pandemic. However, it is 10 points lower than it was 10 years earlier, back in late 2011.

The survey finds that, across the world, people most look to their health and well-being (both physical and mental), their family (partner/spouse and children), and having a sense of purpose as what gives them “the greatest happiness.” Next come their living conditions, feeling safe and in control, being in nature, having a meaningful job, and having more money.

Some elements are more widely viewed as sources of happiness today than they were back in 2019, pre-pandemic. Drivers of happiness that have most gained in importance are “being forgiven”, “forgiving someone”, finding someone to be with” and, although only a minority of adults mention it as a source of any happiness, “spending time on social media”.

These are some of the findings of a survey of 20,504 adults under the age of 75 conducted between November 19 and December 3, 2021, on Ipsos’s Global Advisor online survey platform.

Where are people happier?

The happiest countries surveyed, i.e., those where more than three out of four adults report being very happy or rather happy are the Netherlands, Australia, China, Great Britain, India, Saudi Arabia, France, Canada, Sweden, and the United States. Only two countries show fewer than one in two adults saying they are happy: Argentina and Turkey.

On average across 30 countries, 15% report being very much so and 52% rather happy. Countries with the highest proportion of adults considering themselves as very happy are India (39%), Australia (30%), and Saudi Arabia (29%). Those with the highest prevalence of adults saying they are not happy at all are Turkey (18%), Argentina (14%), and Hungary (13%).

Changes in happiness levels

Averaging at 67% across the 30 countries, the prevalence of happiness is four percentage points higher than in July-August 2020 and three points higher than in May-June 2019. However, it has a long way to go to regain its level of 77% recorded both in November-December 2011 and in April-May 2013.

  • Compared to mid-2020, the proportion of happy adults has increased by five percentage points or more in 11 countries, particularly in Peru (+22), Mexico (+19), Chile (+18), and Spain (+17) while it is down by five points or more in only two countries, Turkey (-17) and China (-10).
  • Compared to mid-2019, it is up by five points or more in nine countries (most of all in Argentina and Malaysia)) and down by five points or more in four countries (Canada, Germany, Poland, and Turkey).
  • Compared to 10 years earlier, it is down in most countries, but nowhere as much as in Turkey (-47) and, despite a notable uptick in the past two years, in Argentina (-20).

Sources of happiness in the COVID era

Among 31 potential sources of happiness, people across the world are most likely to say they derive “the greatest happiness” from:

  1. My physical health and well-being (cited by 54%)
  2. My mental health and well-being (cited by 53%)
  3. My relationship with their partner/spouse (49%)
  4. Feeling my life has meaning (49%)
  5. My children (48%)
  6. My living conditions (47%)
  7. My personal safety and security (46%)
  8. Feeling in control of my life (44%)
  9. Being in nature (43%)
  10.   Having a meaningful job/employment (42%)
  11.  Having more money (42%)

Each of these 11 sources ranks in the top 11 of most countries. However, some other sources of happiness stand out as being particularly important in just one or a handful of countries (where they make the top 5):

  • My personal financial situation (France)
  • My hobbies/interests (Japan)
  • The amount of free time I have (Japan, South Korea)
  • Finding someone to be with (China, Germany, Japan, and Russia)
  • Being recognised as a successful person (India and Turkey)
  • My spiritual or religious well-being (Malaysia and Saudi Arabia)
  • The state of the economy (South Korea)

Compared to the last survey conducted before the pandemic (May-June 2019), the sources of happiness that have most gained in importance globally pertain to personal connections and spirituality: 

  • Being forgiven for something I did (+8 points)
  • Finding someone to be with (+7)
  • Forgiving someone for something they did (+6)
  • Time spent on social media (+6)
  • My religious or spiritual well-being (+5)

The following sources of happiness have also gained in importance over the last 10 years:

  • Moving to another country (+10)
  • My access to entertainment or sports (+6)
  • Freedom to express my beliefs (+6)
  • The amount of free time I have (+5)

Happiness and consumer confidence

One of the main findings of the survey is the strong relationship between self-reported happiness and consumer confidence. Ipsos found a remarkably high level of correlation between the percentage of adults surveyed saying they are very or rather happy and the Ipsos Consumer Confidence Index in the same 23 countries – a coefficient of 0.73. The Consumer Confidence Index reflects consumers’ sentiment about their financial situation and purchasing comfort, the economy, jobs, and investment.

Happiness and consumer confidence are highly correlated - Ipsos Global Happiness Survey - 2022

(Ipsos MORI)

14 April 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/what-makes-people-happiest-health-family-and-purpose

 

738-739-43-38/Polls

A Global Median Of 33% Approved Of Russia's Leadership In 2021 Among 116 Countries

  • A global median of 33% approved of Russia's leadership in 2021
  • Approval was highest in Mali, at 84%
  • Fewer than one in 10 Danes, Swedes and Lithuanians approved, pre-invasion

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Before Russia's invasion of Ukraine this year, Russia's leadership remained relatively unpopular in most parts of the world, with a global median approval rating of 33% in 2021.

As unimpressive as this current rating seems, it's still a marked improvement from the 22% median approval rating in 2014, notably the last time Russia invaded Ukraine and ended up annexing Crimea. After Crimea, Russia's global reputation slowly started to improve, reaching as high as 34% in 2020.

These data come from Gallup surveys conducted in 116 countries and territories between April 2021 and January 2022. While these data were collected before Russia's invasion of Ukraine this year, they illustrate how Russia's leadership was positioned in the world as the conflict began.

Russia's Leadership Most Popular in Africa; Fewer Fans in Europe

Russia's leadership finds the most favor regionally in Africa, where a median 42% of the population approved in 2021.

African adults generally tend to rate the leadership of all major powers (the U.S., China, Russia and Germany) higher than adults in other regions do. However, among those countries, African adults were less likely to approve of Russia's leadership (42%) than those of the U.S. (60%), China (52%) or Germany (49%).

Russian leaders have attempted to reach out diplomatically and economically to Africa in recent years. However, their current 42% approval in Africa remains in the middle of the trend for the region and well below the 57% high in 2011.

Median approval of Russia's leadership -- not surprisingly, given the current and past contentious relationship -- was the lowest in Europe, at 22%, among all geographic regions. This is on the higher end of the trend and well above the 14% low in 2014.

Many of these countries belong to NATO, among which median approval of Russia's leadership was similar to the European average, at 21%. Among most NATO member countries, approval in 2021 had recovered somewhat from record lows after Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014. Median disapproval among NATO countries jumped from 44% in 2013 to 67% in 2014 but had declined to 57% by 2021.

Highest and Lowest Approval of Russia's Leadership

Given that Africa had the highest regional median approval of Russia's leadership, it is not surprising that many countries that give Russia's leadership the highest approval are located in this region. Malians were the most likely of any population to approve in 2021, with 84% of adults in that country saying so.

Countries in Russia's sphere also made the most-approving list -- as they typically do -- with 76% of Kyrgyzstanis, 73% of Mongolians, 69% of Uzbekistanis and 55% of Kazakhstanis approving of Russia's leadership. Traditional Russian ally Serbia was also among the countries with the highest approval levels, at 68%.

In contrast, Russia's nearby European neighbors in Sweden, Denmark and Lithuania were the least likely to approve of Russia's leadership, with fewer than one in 10 doing so.

Ukraine is also not far from the bottom of the list. Before the invasion, 12% of Ukrainians approved of Russia's leadership.

Bottom Line

Before the war in Ukraine, approval of Russia's leadership had largely recovered from the slump that occurred after the country's annexation of Crimea. However, it is likely that much, if not all, of that has been erased in the aftermath of Russia's invasion this year. The low level of approval for Russia's leadership likely eased the way for world leaders to take action to isolate the country from the global economy in the wake of the invasion.

The high levels of disapproval in Europe in particular may have helped make post-invasion sanctions on Russia more palatable for the publics in these countries, despite many European countries' dependence on Russian energy resources.

For other regions around the globe, especially Asia and Africa, higher approval levels for Russia's leadership and the impact on commodities markets because of the war in Ukraine and Russian sanctions may make isolating Russia a tougher sell with the public.

(Gallup)

APRIL 15, 2022

Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/391775/russia-leadership-not-highly-popular-ukraine-war.aspx

 

738-739-43-39/Polls

Incidence Of Smoking In Pakistan Is Lower Than The Global Average

According to a Gallup Pakistan Survey in Pakistan (and similar surveys done by Worldwide Independent Network of Market Research (WIN) across the world), the incidence of smoking in Pakistan is lower than the global average; a quarter of the male adult population and 7% of the female population claim to smoke in Pakistan. These findings emerge from an international survey conducted across the globe by The Worldwide Independent Network of Market Research (WIN) - a global network conducting market research and opinion polls in every continent. WIN International has published the Annual WIN World Survey (WWS – 2021), exploring the views and beliefs of 33,236 individuals, among citizens from 39 countries across the globe. On International Health’s Day, WIN releases the latest results of the survey, to understand health self-perception and related habits. The fieldwork for Pakistan was conducted between 15th October and 18th December 2021 and the sample size was 1000 individuals. The international press release with the report can be accessed here. A nationally representative sample of adult men and women from across the four provinces was asked the following question, “How often would you say that you...? - Smoke” In response to this question in Pakistan, 10% said very often, 4% said fairly often, 3% said sometimes, 7% said occasionally and 76% said never.

Country Breakdown United Kingdom (74%) and India (74%) have the greatest number of people who say they never smoke.

Gender Breakdown More females (83%) in comparison to males (74%) in Pakistan say that they never smoke.

 

(Gallup Pakistan)

April 15, 2022

Source: https://gallup.com.pk/wp/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/15-April-2022-English-1.pdf

 

738-739-43-40/Polls

An Average Of 39% Agree That Their Government Has A Clear Plan In Place To Tackle Climate Change In A 30 Country Survey

Key findings

  • 68% think government and businesses need to act now or risk failing future generations  
  • Just 39% agree that their government has a clear plan in place to tackle climate change  
  • Climate change sits 8th on a list of concerns for the public

While climate change may not regularly be on people’s minds, it is not unrecognized. Seven in 10 (68%) are concerned about the impacts already being seen in their country, especially in South Africa and Chile, while a similar proportion (70%) worry about effects already seen in other countries.  

The public believe there is a shared responsibility among government (77%), businesses (76%) and individuals (74%) to tackle climate change. Some business sectors are seen as having a greater responsibility for reducing their contribution to climate change – particularly energy companies (82%), car manufacturers (80%), airlines (77%) and public transport providers (77%).  

The public recognise that the onus to reduce carbon emissions sits firmly on the shoulders of the individual. Nearly three-quarters (74%) of those surveyed agree that individuals are responsible for reducing their contribution to climate change by reducing carbon emission. The highest proportions were in South Africa (87%), Colombia (86%), Peru (84%) and Chile (84%). However, this does not excuse governments and businesses from doing their part. 77% say a great deal/fair amount of responsibility lies with governments while 76% say the same for businesses.

While the responsibility of governments is recognised by many, few are aware of any actions being taken. Only 39% agree that their country’s government has a clear strategy to tackle climate change. There is little difference in countries who already have legally binding commitments to achieving net zero such as Great Britain (39%), France (34%), Hungary (29%) and Sweden (38%). 

Dr. Pippa Bailey, Head of UK Climate Change & Sustainability Practice, Ipsos said: “Despite 7 in 10 people being concerned about the impact of climate change on our planet, for the majority of people globally there are other issues they feel are more pressing, such as their family’s health, war, financial concerns and the ongoing pandemic.   

People know that they have to change their behaviours in order to address climate change, but if the issue isn’t at the top of their priorities, they are unlikely to do so, unless there is an incentive that aligns with other priorities i.e.  saving money, and/or being better for the lives and wellbeing of their families.  So, there are real opportunities for businesses and governments to provide additional incentives and messaging that will encourage change amongst consumers, but they must also recognise the need for change themselves.  With 77% of people globally holding Government to account for the issue and 76% saying the same about businesses, it is clear that people expect to see real change, both in public policy and the private sectors.” 

(Ipsos South Africa)

18 April 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-za/global-advisor-earth-day-2022

 

738-739-43-41/Polls

61% Across 27 Countries Think The War In Ukraine Poses A Significant Risk To Their Country

A new Ipsos survey finds that, on average across 27 countries, 70% of adults report closely following the news about Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and 61% think it poses a significant risk to their country. Majorities in every one of the countries surveyed support taking in Ukrainian refugees and oppose getting involved militarily in the conflict. However, opinions on economic sanctions and providing weapons to the Ukrainian military differ widely across countries.

The survey was conducted among 19,000 adults under the age of 75 between March 25 and April 3 on Ipsos’s Global Advisor online survey platform.

Ukrainian war

 

The world is watching

Those who follow the news about the war in Ukraine represent between 57% and 77% of those surveyed in all but three of the 27 countries. The only exceptions are Japan (89%) and Sweden (83%) at one end of the spectrum and Malaysia (49%) at the other end.

Globally, those over the age of 50 (78%), business decision-makers (76%), and those with a university-level education (73%) are especially likely to pay close attention to the events in Ukraine.

A great risk for the world

A 27-country average of 82% say that the war in Ukraine poses a great deal or a fair amount of risk to the world as a whole; 61% say that it does to their country. The perception that one’s own country is facing a significant risk is most prevalent in Japan (87%), Poland (77%), South Korea (77%), and Sweden (75%).

Globally, about one-third say it poses at least a fair amount of risk to them personally (36%), their family (34%), and their job or business (37%). Countries whose citizens most tend to feel personally exposed by the war in Ukraine are India (56%), Poland (50%), Japan (53%), and Italy (48%).

Widespread support for Ukrainians

Globally, three-quarters (74%) agree their country should take in Ukrainian refugees, but six in ten (61%) say it cannot afford financial support to Ukraine.

In each of the 27 nations, most citizens surveyed agree that their country should take in Ukrainian refugees from the current conflict. Agreement is especially high in Poland (84%), the country that has taken in the largest number of Ukrainian refugees so far. It is highest in Sweden (89%), the Netherlands (86%), and Spain (85%). It is lowest in Turkey (53%), which already hosts four million refugees, mostly from Syria.

Large majorities in all emerging economies agree that, given the current economic crisis, their country cannot afford to lend financial support to Ukraine. However, more than half in several high-income nations, including Sweden (67%), the Netherlands (63%), and France (55%) disagree. 

No consensus on supporting Ukraine’s military response

On average globally, majorities say that their country must support sovereign countries when attacked (70%) and that doing nothing in Ukraine will encourage Russia to take further military action elsewhere (68%). At the same time, majorities also say that their country should avoid getting involved militarily (72%) and that military action in Ukraine will encourage attacks on other countries (68%). In addition to being ambivalent and cautious, global public opinion on how to respond to Russian aggression in Ukraine is also divided:

  • In Saudi Arabia, Hungary, Malaysia, and India, the opinion that “the problems of Ukraine are none of our business and we should not interfere” prevails. It is also shared by half of those surveyed in Mexico, Israel, and Argentina. In contrast, except for Hungary, between 65% and 80% in all eight other European Union member countries surveyed, as well as in Great Britain, the United States, Canada, Australia, Japan, and South Korea disagree.
  • While more than four in five in Poland, Sweden, Great Britain, and India agree that their country should support sovereign countries when attacked, only about half in Mexico, Hungary and Brazil do.
  • More than three in four in Great Britain, Japan, the U.S., Australia, and Poland believe that inaction in Ukraine will encourage Russia to attack other countries vs. less than half in Hungary and Israel.

Differences are starker when it comes to providing military support or sending troops to Ukraine. On average globally, about one-third support their country providing weapons – such as guns and anti-tank weapons – to the Ukrainian military (36%), providing funding to the Ukrainian military (33%), and sending troops to NATO countries neighboring Ukraine (32%). However, each of one these propositions rallies majority support in several countries:

  • The Netherlands, Great Britain, Sweden, the U.S., Canada, Poland, Germany, France, and Australia for supplying the Ukrainian military with weapons;
  • Great Britain, Germany, Canada, and the U.S. for providing financial assistance to the Ukrainian military; and
  • The Netherlands, Great Britain, Canada, France, and Belgium for sending troops to NATO countries neighboring Ukraine.

However, those who support sending their own troops to Ukraine are a minority in each one of the 27 countries, averaging 17%.

Diverging opinions about economic sanctions

On average globally, two-thirds agree that “the economic sanctions placed on Russia by many countries are an effective tactic to help stop the war” – from 50% in Hungary to 78% in South Korea. However, support for sanctions and other economic action varies more widely across countries.

Just over half on average across all 27 countries (54%) agree that paying more for fuel and gas because of sanctions against Russia is worthwhile to defend another sovereign country. However, while more than 75% in South Korea and Poland agree, fewer than 40% in Mexico, Peru, Hungary, Brazil, and Argentina do so.

Furthermore, only 40% on average globally support banning imports of oil and gas from Russia to their country even if this leads to further price increases. While more than 50% in Great Britain, Canada, Sweden, Poland, Australia, the U.S., and France support such a ban, it is the case of fewer than 20% in Hungary and Turkey. In Germany, which is highly dependent on Russian natural gas, 45% support such a ban, 30% oppose it, and 25% are not sure.

Support for putting in place additional sanctions against Russia averages at 48% globally. Again, majority support is found in all EU countries surveyed excluding Hungary, as well as in Great Britain (by as many as 75%), Canada, the U.S., Australia, Japan, and South Korea. Elsewhere, it ranges from 23% (in Turkey) to 40% in South Africa and India. Opinions on whether to seize the assets of Russian oligarchs affiliated with Russian President Vladimir Putin show a nearly identical pattern with majority support in the same countries as for additional sanctions against Russia.

To talk or not to talk

Opinions on whether one’s country should continue its diplomatic ties to Russia vary widely. Globally, 38% on average support it, 29% oppose it and 33% are not sure. Support ranges from 63% in Turkey to just 19% in Poland. Countries where support for continued diplomatic engagement is highest include not only some of those where majorities think that the problems of Ukraine are “none of our business” (Saudi Arabia, India, Israel) and/or where the appetite for supporting the Ukrainian military is low (Turkey), but also the three largest EU countries (Germany, France, and Italy).

(Ipsos South Africa)

19 April 2022

Source:  https://www.ipsos.com/en-za/war-in-ukraine-april-2022

 

738-739-43-42/Polls

Globally Respondents Strongly Support The Notion Of Businesses/Brands Taking Steps To Reduce Their Environmental Impact, A Study In 17 Nations

Sustainability, which was once a niche consideration for brands and consumers, has gained prominence and risen dramatically up the agenda in recent years, following the increased public discussion and awareness of environmental issues.

On the occasion of World Earth Day, YouGov’s international study which polled more than 19,000 people across 17 countries, reveals that a majority (81%) of urban Indians said it’s “important” (46% “very” and 35% “fairly”) for brands or businesses to actively take steps to minimise their impact on the environment. A larger proportion of female respondents said this, indicating that women feel more strongly about this issue than men in the country (83% vs 79%). Similarly, the older adults aged 55+ are most likely among the different age groups to advocate this view.

Globally, along with India, respondents from other Asian markets such as Indonesia (90%) and Hong Kong (85%) also strongly support the notion of businesses/brands taking steps to reduce their environmental impact. On the other hand, western markets such as the US (69%), Sweden (77%), and Germany (76%) have the lowest proportion of respondents who say this.

Many global and Indian brands are taking steps to create a sustainable future and are actively communicating about it. When asked about brands using their marketing and advertising to talk about environmental issues and sustainability, close to half of the surveyed respondents in India (46%) said all brands should talk about environmental issues and sustainability while two in five (40%) believe only those brands who have done work to improve the environment should discuss these issues. Less than one in ten (7%) are opposed to the idea of brands talking about this topic.

Not only do consumers want brands to speak up but they are likely to support these endeavours as well with half (50%) saying they respond to advertisements that speak about global issues like the environment and sustainability. Engagement with such ads is comparable across age groups in India, except the young adults between 18-24 years who are less likely to engage with such ads.

Furthermore, data from YouGov’s Profiles, an audience segmentation tool, shows nearly two-thirds of respondents (64%) agree with the statement, ‘I don’t mind spending more on products that are good for the environment'. Adults aged 30 years and above are more likely to say this than their younger counterparts. This is promising news for brands working in this direction as it indicates consumers’ inclination to play their part in helping preserve the environment and their willingness to purchase environment-friendly products for a premium.

Commenting on this, Deepa Bhatia, General Manager at YouGov, said, “Consumers have been made aware of the negative impact of their consumption on the environment and our recent global study shows this is prevalent in India too. In today's marketplace, consumers expect brands to take a proactive stance on environmental matters and take steps to reduce their harmful impacts on nature. A brand that wants to thrive in the future must live up to consumers' expectations by finding its sustainability goals and communicating them effectively.”

(YouGov India)
April 20, 2022

Source: https://in.yougov.com/en-hi/news/2022/04/20/most-urban-indians-want-brands-take-active-measure/

 

738-739-43-43/Polls

 The Image Of U S Leadership Is In A Much Stronger Position, Result Of A Study Across 34 Nations

Ahead of President Joe Biden's special summit with Southeast Asian leaders next month, the image of U.S. leadership is in a much stronger position than it has been in years, not only in Southeast Asia but across most of the continent.

Gallup surveys show median approval of U.S. leadership across Asia shot from 31% in 2020 to 41% in 2021, and the U.S. now essentially ties Germany for the most-positively viewed leadership in the region.

Unlike approval of the U.S., Germany's 2021 approval rating was mostly unchanged from previous years, while Russia (33%) and China (27%) were also on a similar footing to where they have ranked in the past. China's approval continued to drift slightly lower in 2021.

The median 41% of adults in the region who view U.S. leadership positively is a substantial increase over any reading during Donald Trump's presidency but is still slightly below the trend-high 45% recorded in 2013. Notably, the approval rating for the U.S. is based largely on data collected during or after the withdrawal of U.S. forces from Afghanistan in August 2021 and before Russia's invasion of Ukraine in early 2022.

Countries Driving the Increase in Approval for U.S.

Ratings of U.S. leadership showed substantial improvement in 13 Asian countries and territories in 2021, including South Korea, where ratings increased 29 percentage points; Australia and New Zealand, which each saw ratings jump 22 points; and Taiwan, Province of China, where ratings rose 17 points.

Highest and Lowest Approval of German and U.S. Leadership

At the country level, Germany's leadership was viewed most positively in Australia at 70%, followed closely by New Zealand at 69%, both record highs for the respective countries. This increase may be at least partly related to the German government's efforts to play a greater role in the region and participate in collective security arrangements favored by the Australian and New Zealand governments.

The publics in Pakistan and Cambodia were least likely to view German leadership positively, with 23% in each approving of the country's leadership. Approval of German leadership in Pakistan, while low compared with other countries in Asia, is on the high end of the trend for the country.

The highest level of approval for U.S. leadership was the 71% recorded in the Philippines, a traditional U.S. ally in the region. Additionally, the U.S. was viewed particularly positively by several other traditional allies, including South Korea (59%), Australia (51%), Israel (50%) and Japan (50%).

In contrast, the lowest level of approval for U.S. leadership was in Iran, where the 7% of Iranians who approved was little changed from levels since 2018. In Afghanistan, where U.S. forces were in the process of drawing down and withdrawing from military operations during the survey period, residents had already soured on U.S. leadership. The 14% of adults who approved was unchanged from 2019. Pakistanis were also particularly negative about U.S. leadership, with less than a quarter (23%) approving, though this is on the higher end of the trend for Pakistan.

Bottom Line

Many view Asia as likely to be the most significant global region for the 21st century, and the politics of the area have been increasingly defined by great power competition. This competition makes soft power or the approval of countries' leaderships particularly important. The soft-power dynamic also has economic implications as Asian countries join trade groups and open or close their markets to the powers vying for position in the region.

The world's attention is focused primarily on the war in Ukraine. The lessons from that conflict about the future of alliances and the global order are likely being closely watched throughout Asia. As it currently stands, the region is positively disposed toward German and U.S. leadership, but a substantial shift or upset in that conflict could contribute to upending those views.

(Gallup)

APRIL 22, 2022

Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/391940/germany-lead-approval-ratings-asia.aspx

 

738-739-43-44/Polls

Europeans Express Wide Support For A Greener Energy Market, According To A Poll Across 7 Countries

New YouGov EuroTrack polling across seven European countries suggests that there is significant public appetite for substantial policy changes that would see a much greener energy market, something that climate change activists have been pushing for a long time.

Although the support for greener energy is likely to have been driven in part by the personal financial impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and the increasing cost of energy bills, rather than directly by a need to tackle climate change, it does nonetheless present a key opportunity for climate change activists to push their agenda for cleaner energy.

Across all countries polled, a majority would support a government policy that ruled that only renewable energy can be produced. Italians and Spaniards feel particularly strongly about this, with 80% of Italians, and 75% of Spaniards supporting such a policy. The Germans need more persuading, with just 53% supporting this proposal.

Although there is significant support for a government-led policy in this area, people are slightly less willing to make this change of their own accord – while 7 in 10 Spaniards (69%) and Italians (70%) would be willing to switch their energy provider to one who only uses renewable energy, or have already done so, only half of Germans (49%) say the same.

With rising energy bills, people are increasingly looking to ways they can make their homes more energy-efficient, and this is reflected in the latest YouGov polling. Across all countries apart from Germany, the proportion of adults who say they would be willing to personally cover the costs to make their home more energy-efficient outweighs the number who say they would not be willing to do this. Germans feel very differently about this, with just 21% saying they would be willing to do this, although a quarter (27%) say this is not applicable to them (renting is much more common in Germany than in other countries). Again, Spaniards are the most willing, saying they would be open to covering this cost themselves by 48% to 22%.

The polling does suggest that cost, rather than the principle of domestic energy-efficiency, is the issue here. When asked about the potential of government subsidies to cover the cost of making your home more energy-efficient, there is overwhelming support across all countries for such a policy. For respondents in Britain, France and Spain the support is particularly strong, with more than half of adults saying they would strongly support such a policy.

There is also significant support for stricter legislation around how energy-efficient homes are. French people are the most likely to support tighter rules in this area (82%), whilst Danes are the least sure of this policy, although a majority (59%) still back it.

(YouGov UK)

April 22, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/international/articles-reports/2022/04/22/eurotrack-europeans-express-wide-support-greener-e