BUSINESS & POLITICS IN THE WORLD

 

GLOBAL OPINION REPORT NO. 725-726

 

 

Week: January 10 –January 23, 2022

 

Presentation: January 28, 2022

 

 

Contents

 

725-726-43-41/Commentary: Almost A Quarter Of Parents In Germany Say That The Pandemic Has Pushed Them To Their Limits When It Comes To Raising Children (23 Percent) 3

ASIA   16

Around 65.5 Percent Of The Japanese Are Interested In Organ Transplantation. 16

According To 74.7% of Japanese, Kusatsu Hot Spring Resort Is The Ambience Of The Town. 17

Singapore Advertiser Of The Month: Gardens By The Bay. 18

The Ratio Of People Engaged In Social Activities Out Of Home Decreased To 37% In Turkey. 19

Bulk Shopping Behavior That Started With The Pandemic Continued In 2021. 22

4 Out Of 10 Parents Want To Switch To Distance Education Again. 22

MENA   25

Taking Tunisians’ Pulse : Key Findings From Ab6 Survey 2020-2021. 25

AFRICA.. 34

In 2022, Nigerians Want The Government To Focus On Security, Reduction In Prices Of Goods & Services And Economy  34

Police And Government Officials Main Violators Of Human Rights In Nigeria. 37

Only One In Four Sudanese (24%) Describe Their Personal Living Conditions As Fairly Good Or Very Good. 41

WEST EUROPE.. 45

Six In Ten Britons Say That Sportspeople Should Receive Two Doses (19%) Or Three Doses (42%) Of The Coronavirus Vaccine To Be Able To Play In Sports Events. 45

One In Eight Britons Feel Tired All The Time. 47

Lateral Flow Test Shortage Hits Two In Five Britons. 51

The Vast Majority Of Ethnic Minority Britons (83%) Say They Understand The Term BAME (Black, Asian Or Minority Ethnic) Very Or Fairly Well 53

Half Of Britons (49%) Believe Measures To Control Coronavirus Over Christmas Were About Right 55

Conservative Voters Turn Against The Prime Minister 57

Is There More To Elon Musk’s Crypto Obsession Than Meets The Eye. 59

46% Of French People Are Convinced That The Electric Vehicle Could Replace The Combustion Engine. 61

67% Of French People In Favor Of Compulsory Vaccination For People Over 50. 63

57% Of Employees Are Quite Familiar With The Term Artificial Intelligence. 63

Presidential 2022 | The French Enter The Campaign. 64

One In Five Germans Had New Year's Resolutions And Are Still Keeping Them... 69

Almost A Quarter Of Parents In Germany Say That The Pandemic Has Pushed Them To Their Limits When It Comes To Raising Children (23 Percent) 72

The Tourism Industry. 75

1 Out Of 2 Spaniards Would Choose Vegan Options A Couple Of Times A Week. 78

NORTH AMERICA.. 80

Americans Say They Read An Average Of 12.6 Books During The Past Year 80

Share Of Those 65 And Older Who Are Tech Users Has Grown In The Past Decade. 87

Some Gender Disparities Widened In The U S Workforce During The Pandemic. 89

On Average, Americans' Political Party Preferences In 2021 Looked Similar To Prior Years. 93

A Growing Share Of Americans (49%) Say Affordable Housing Is A Major Problem Where They Live. 97

One-In-Ten Black People Living In The U S Are Immigrants. 101

Two In Three (67%) Canadians Believe That A Fully Vaccinated Population Won’t Be Enough To Stop The Spread Of Omicron. 106

Inflation Accelerates Into Top-Three Retirement Worries Among Canadians. 107

AUSTRALIA.. 108

ALP (56%) Increases Lead Over The L-NP (44%) In January As ‘Omicron Surge’ Causes Problems Around Australia  108

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES. 111

77% Respondents Agree Globally That 2021 Was A Bad Year For The Country; Global Advisor Predictions 2022 Survey, Carried Out By Ipsos In 32 Nations. 111

Pharmaceutical And Banking Companies And Governments Are Now Seen As More Trustworthy, According To Global Trustworthiness Monitor Across 29 Countries. 112

Whose Pandemic Approach Is Better: England Or Wales. 113

Among the 24 countries surveyed, only six show any significant month-over-month change in their National Index score  115

In 7 Arab Countries Surveyed, Satisfaction With The Education System Fell During The Covid-19 Pandemic. 117

 


 

INTRODUCTORY NOTE

 

This weekly report consists of forty surveys. The report includes five multi-country studies from different states across the globe.

 

725-726-43-41/Commentary: Almost A Quarter Of Parents In Germany Say That The Pandemic Has Pushed Them To Their Limits When It Comes To Raising Children (23 Percent)

The corona pandemic has had a particularly difficult effect on parents with lockdowns, working from home and school and daycare closures. Almost a quarter of parents in Germany say that the pandemic has pushed them to their limits when it comes to raising children (23 percent). Fathers say this more often than mothers (25 percent vs. 21 percent of mothers).

Corona has pushed parents to their limits

However, only 7 percent of parents say that their relationship with their own children has deteriorated since the pandemic. 13 percent say that the ratio has even improved since then, and for 76 percent it is unchanged.

For 13 percent of parents, the relationship with their children has improved

20 percent of all parents in Germany say that if they could make a decision again today, they would not want to have any more children. 73 percent disagree.

Parenthood and professional advancement - more difficult for women to implement 

A large majority of German fathers do not believe that their career advancement would have been better without the birth of their children (70 percent). Among mothers, on the other hand, only 47 percent say this (vs. 58 percent of the general population). However, a comparative survey from 2016 shows that, almost six years ago, mothers were even more likely to agree that their professional advancement would have been better without the birth of their children: 44 percent of mothers in Germany made this statement in 2016, and are still saying so in 2022 34 percent.

Career advancement went better without children?

Just over half of the parents surveyed (53 percent) can currently understand that there are mothers who sometimes regret being a mother. Fathers can understand this better than mothers themselves (56 percent vs. 51 percent of mothers).

regret motherhood

(YouGov Germany)
January 20, 2022

Source: https://yougov.de/news/2022/01/20/corona-hat-vater-deutschland-bei-der-kindeserziehu/

 

725-726-43-42/Country Profile:

GERMANY2

GERMANY3

SUMMARY OF POLLS

ASIA

(Japan)

Around 65.5 Percent Of The Japanese Are Interested In Organ Transplantation

Nearly 70 percent of people who are interested in organ transplants learned about the issue from consent forms on driver’s licenses and health insurance cards, according to a Cabinet Office survey. The consent forms were included on licenses and cards issued after the revised Organ Transplant Law took effect in July 2010. “The results this time likely reflect the fact that driver’s licenses have been renewed over the course of 10 years following the legal revision,” said an official of the health ministry’s medical transplant promotion bureau.

(Asahi Shimbun)

January 13, 2022

 

According To 74.7% of Japanese, Kusatsu Hot Spring Resort Is The Ambience Of The Town

The Kusatsu onsen here was the surprise winner in an annual ranking of the best hot spring resorts in Japan, ousting Hakone from the top spot, a position it had held for 15 years since surveys by the Jalan Research Center started. The center, which specializes in tourism and leisure, surveyed members of the Jalan Net travel website from Aug. 23 to 31. Of them, 13,961 provided valid responses. Respondents were asked to pick which resort they would like to visit again from 327 sites nationwide. Up to five multiple answers were permitted.

(Asahi Shimbun)

January 20, 2022 

 

(Singapore)

Singapore Advertiser Of The Month: Gardens By The Bay

Gardens by the Bay has registered the biggest uptick in Ad Awareness scores out of any brand in Singapore to be named the Advertiser of the Month for December. The popular tourist spot witnessed an uplift of +8.2 percentage points in Ad Awareness scores during the period. Gardens by the Bay had an Ad Awareness score of 19.5 on November 23, which rose steadily to reach 27.7 on December 20. Ad Awareness score is a YouGov BrandIndex metric that measures the percentage of people who have seen adverts from a particular brand in the last two weeks.

(YouGov Singapore)

January 10, 2022

 

(Turkey)

The Ratio Of People Engaged In Social Activities Out Of Home Decreased To 37% In Turkey

The feeling of anxiety in the society also causes people to spend less time outside. While the rate of people engaged in any social activity outside the home was 45% in December, it has decreased to 37% today. Especially less people state that they meet with their friends during this period and eat out at places such as cafes and restaurants. The rapidly increasing number of cases with the Omicron variant has negatively affected the expectations of the society for the end of the epidemic. 64% of the society is of the opinion that it will cause the epidemic to last much longer, while 20% will cause it to last a little longer.

(Ipsos Turkey)

11 January 2022

 

Bulk Shopping Behavior That Started With The Pandemic Continued In 2021

The mass shopping behavior that started with the pandemic continued in the first 11 months of 2021. Compared to the pre-pandemic period, the average household went shopping less frequently and spent more on their cart with each purchase. Although the demand for open products decreased slightly in the first 11 months of 2020, when there were COVID-19 restrictions, open products started to grow again as of 2021.

(Ipsos Turkey)

17 January 2022

 

4 Out Of 10 Parents Want To Switch To Distance Education Again

According to Ipsos research; Since the first day the schools opened, it seems that there has always been an audience that wants online / distance education to continue due to the epidemic. However; While the rate of the audience is around 25%, 4 out of 10 parents today want to switch to online / distance education again. The rate of parents who think that face-to-face education should continue is 47%. In the first weeks when schools were opened, 4 out of 10 parents were of the opinion that the measures taken at schools for the coronovirus epidemic were not sufficient.

(Ipsos Turkey)

17 January 2022

 

MENA

(Tunisia)

Taking Tunisians’ Pulse: Key Findings From Ab6 Survey 2020-2021

The July 2021 political events in Tunisia were not entirely unexpected given the country’s ongoing challenges on a number of fronts.  Deteriorating economic conditions combined with the high death toll from the COVID pandemic crystalized failure of the political system to address the basic problems facing ordinary Tunisians.  The failure to undertake needed reforms over the past decade produced a situation where many Tunisians celebrated a major change in the political system.

(Arabbarometer)

January 10, 2022

 

AFRICA

(Nigeria)

In 2022, Nigerians Want The Government To Focus On Security, Reduction In Prices Of Goods & Services And Economy

A new public opinion poll released by NOIPolls has revealed that the top three key areas Nigerians want the government to focus its attention on in 2022 are security (50 percent), reduction in prices of goods and services (44 percent), Economy and job creation both tied at (42 percent). Other areas include Electricity (36 percent), Health (28 percent), Agriculture (19 percent), Education (8 percent), Water (5 percent), and Road (3 percent).

(NOI Polls)

January 11, 2022

 

Police And Government Officials Main Violators Of Human Rights In Nigeria

A new public opinion poll conducted by NOIPolls has revealed that the Police and Government officials are the main violators of human rights in Nigeria as disclosed by Nigerians whose rights have been infringed on in the past. It is rather worrisome to note that the institutions and agencies of government that were established to protect and defend its citizenry are the ones mainly accused of human rights violations in Nigeria. 

(NOI Polls)

January 18, 2022

 

(Sudan)

Only One In Four Sudanese (24%) Describe Their Personal Living Conditions As Fairly Good Or Very Good

Three-fourths (74%) of Sudanese say the country is going in the wrong direction, almost unchanged from 2018 (76%). Negative assessments of the country’s overall direction are consistent across key demographic groups but are particularly strong among older (86%) and poor (80%) citizens. Only one in four Sudanese (24%) describe their personal living conditions as “fairly good” or “very good,” and only 15% offer positive assessments of the country’s economic condition.

(Afrobarometer)

18 January 2022

 

WEST EUROPE

(UK)

 Six In Ten Britons Say That Sportspeople Should Receive Two Doses (19%) Or Three Doses (42%) Of The Coronavirus Vaccine To Be Able To Play In Sports Events

The latest YouGov data suggests that the British public would support similar restrictions, with six in ten Britons saying that sportspeople should have received two doses (19%) or three doses (42%) of the coronavirus vaccine to be able to play in sports events (unless they have a medical exemption). There are, however, a significant proportion who feel that vaccination status should not be a factor at all in deciding who can participate in professional sports events – one in five (22%) say that all sportspeople should be able to compete, regardless of their vaccination status.

(YouGov UK)

January 10, 2022

 

One In Eight Britons Feel Tired All The Time

According to the NHS, feeling exhausted is so common that it has its own acronym, ‘TATT’, or ‘tired all the time’, and a new YouGov survey reveals that 13% of Britons exist in a state of constant exhaustion. Unsurprisingly, parents of younger children are more likely to say they often feel tired. Around a fifth (22%) of parents of at least one child under 18 say they feel tired all of the time, compared with 8% of parents of children over 18, and 13% of Britons who are not parents.

(YouGov UK)

January 11, 2022

 

Lateral Flow Test Shortage Hits Two In Five Britons

New YouGov data shows that only a third of Britons (35%) managed to access lateral flow tests since the start of December without issue. Another 35% say they struggled to get the tests they needed – including one in ten (10%) who were completely unable to do so – while a further 5% were discouraged from seeking out the tests because they expected they wouldn’t be able to get them.

(YouGov UK)

January 13, 2022

 

The Vast Majority Of Ethnic Minority Britons (83%) Say They Understand The Term BAME (Black, Asian Or Minority Ethnic) Very Or Fairly Well

The vast majority of ethnic minority Britons (83%) say they understand the term BAME very or fairly well, whilst 13% say they lack understanding. This uncertainty increases with age; 8% of those aged 18 to 24 have this view compared to 19% of those aged 65 and above. Slightly more people say that they don’t understand what is meant by the ‘Minority Ethnic’ component (17%). For this term, it is the youngest age group who say they don’t understand it (23% of those aged 18 to 24) compared to the older age groups (14% of 50-64 year olds and 15% of those aged 65 and above).

(YouGov UK)

January 18, 2022

 

Half Of Britons (49%) Believe Measures To Control Coronavirus Over Christmas Were About Right

New research by Ipsos MORI shows half of Britons (49%) believe the government measures put in place to control the coronavirus period over Christmas were about right.  A third (35%) think they were not strict enough, but only 9% say they were too strict.  This is a change in mood from the weeks before Christmas, when 36% felt the measures were about right, and 44% that they were not strict enough.

(Ipsos MORI)

18 January 2022

 

Conservative Voters Turn Against The Prime Minister

Recent polling has made for consistently uncomfortable reading for the prime minister and his team, with a significant majority of the British public wanting Johnson to resign, almost three-quarters thinking he is doing a bad job at running the country, and Labour well ahead in voting intention. A higher percentage of Conservative 2019 voters now think that Boris Johnson is doing badly as prime minister (50%) than think he is doing well (46%). That means no fewer than half of those who backed Johnson and his party just over two years ago are not happy with the job he is doing.

(YouGov UK)

January 19, 2022

 

Is There More To Elon Musk’s Crypto Obsession Than Meets The Eye

Among people who agree that “cryptocurrencies are the future of financial transactions”, Tesla’s scores are much higher across several metrics. As of January 15, Impression scores for Tesla (a measure of positive or negative sentiment) were at 12.0 among the British public; among crypto-enthusiasts, these scores were 21.9. This carries through to more purchase-oriented metrics. While Consideration scores among the public are positive (8.0), they’re that bit higher among crypto-enthusiasts (11.5) – and when it comes to Purchase Intent, scores are twice those of the wider nation (2.1 general public; 4.3 crypto-enthusiasts).

(YouGov UK)

January 20, 2022

 

(France)

46% Of French People Are Convinced That The Electric Vehicle Could Replace The Combustion Engine

We might have thought, particularly with the advent of telecommuting in metropolitan areas, that the French were going to turn away from the private car. The results of the Avere-France – Mobivia barometer tend to show the opposite since 48% of French people use their car every day or almost. 92% of respondents have a car in this sense, and it is a personal vehicle for 94% of them. Finally, 76% of French people travel less than 50 km per day (on average: 29 km).

(Ipsos France)

January 13, 2022

 

67% Of French People In Favor Of Compulsory Vaccination For People Over 50

When French people are asked to position themselves on  the principle of making anti-Covid 19 vaccination compulsory for people over 50,  21% of non-vaccinated French people present in the sample approve of this decision, like 67 % of French people vaccinated. It is the principle of generalization that divides the most unvaccinated and vaccinated:  83% of the unvaccinated reject the idea of ​​making vaccination compulsory for all, against only 21% of the vaccinated. 

(Ipsos France)

January 20, 2022

 

57% Of Employees Are Quite Familiar With The Term Artificial Intelligence

AI has entered the daily life of companies. 57 % of employees say they know the term artificial intelligence quite precisely , 54% that of algorithm and almost a quarter that of machine learning . If the reality of more technical terms such as data lake or data governance remains less comprehensible, these results are a clear sign of progress. Even if they remain lucid about the risks and potential abuses linked to the exploitation of data (more control, dehumanization, loss of jobs), employees have a positive view of its impact on their performance (85%) and their well-being (62%) at work.

(Ipsos France)

January 21, 2022

 

Presidential 2022 | The French Enter The Campaign

Seven out of ten French people (70%) today say they are "interested in the next presidential election of 2022", a proportion up three points compared to last month. Two out of three French people (66%) are now "certain to vote", up five points from the December measurement. The French enter the campaign, but it is however more of a catch-up than a real craze. For the moment, we are still below the levels measured in 2017, when in January we were already at 80% interest in the campaign (10 points more than today), and 69% of some of go vote (+3). Compared to the October and December measures, the French nevertheless feel more concerned.

(Ipsos France)

January 22, 2022

 

(Germany)

One In Five Germans Had New Year's Resolutions And Are Still Keeping Them

YouGov asked Germans about this in cooperation with Statista: One in five respondents had New Year's resolutions and have kept them to date (21 percent), especially the 18-24-year-olds (31 percent). 8 percent of all those surveyed had resolutions, but they no longer keep them. More than two-thirds of Germans, on the other hand, had no resolutions from the outset (69 percent), particularly those surveyed over 55 (80 percent). Regardless of the New Year's resolutions that were formulated, 41 percent of Germans wanted to lose weight after Christmas and New Year's Eve, especially women (44 percent vs. 38 percent of men). 

(YouGov Germany)
January 19, 2022

 

Almost A Quarter Of Parents In Germany Say That The Pandemic Has Pushed Them To Their Limits When It Comes To Raising Children (23 Percent)

Almost a quarter of parents in Germany say that the pandemic has pushed them to their limits when it comes to raising children (23 percent). Fathers say this more often than mothers (25 percent vs. 21 percent of mothers). However, only 7 percent of parents say that their relationship with their own children has deteriorated since the pandemic. 13 percent say that the ratio has even improved since then, and for 76 percent it is unchanged.

(YouGov Germany)
January 20, 2022


(Spain)

The Tourism Industry

The data from YouGov Global Travel Profiles allows us to focus on the Spanish market and analyze the plans of this population for tourism, as well as study how these data evolve. Between November 2020 and 2021, we could say that the intention to travel on vacation within the country presented a positive trend with an increase of almost 11 points. Likewise, we can see that the intention to go on international vacations had a similar trend, especially since the last month of July, with a clear line towards recovery.

(YouGov Spain)
January 17, 2022

 

1 Out Of 2 Spaniards Would Choose Vegan Options A Couple Of Times A Week

During the past January 2021, more than half a million people from more than 200 countries and regions around the world participated in the Veganuary movement. So much so, that the share of vegan orders grew by 80% compared to the previous year according to data from the Just Eat Gastrometer, an annual study of food delivery in Spain. In this way, to support "Veganuary", the company has carried out a survey together with IPSOS Digital, in which it seeks to provide data on Spaniards when following a plant-based diet.

(Ipsos Spain)

18 January 2022

 

NORTH AMERICA

(USA)

Americans Say They Read An Average Of 12.6 Books During The Past Year

Americans say they read an average of 12.6 books during the past year, a smaller number than Gallup has measured in any prior survey dating back to 1990. U.S. adults are reading roughly two or three fewer books per year than they did between 2001 and 2016. Trend in average number of books Americans say they read in the past year. The 12.6 average for 2021 is down from 15.6 in 2016 and lower than any other year Gallup asked the question, including 14.2 in 2005, 15.8 in 2002, 14.5 in 2001, 18.5 in 1999 and 15.3 in 1990.

(Gallup)

JANUARY 10, 2022

 

Volunteer Activity And Donations See A Decline Among All Income Groups Than Before The Pandemic

Eighty-one percent of Americans say they donated money to a religious or other charitable organization in the past year, and 56% volunteered time to such an organization. After dipping in April 2020 during the early stages of the pandemic, charitable donations have rebounded and are essentially back to the level measured in 2013 and 2017 surveys.

(Gallup)

JANUARY 11, 2022

 

Share Of Those 65 And Older Who Are Tech Users Has Grown In The Past Decade

Younger adults are often more likely than their elders to be earlier adopters of innovations, and that has been true for many digital technologies since Pew Research Center began documenting their use. There are still notable differences in tech use between U.S. adults under 30 and those 65 and older. But on several fronts, adoption of key technologies by those in the oldest age group has grown markedly since about a decade ago, and the gap between the oldest and youngest adults has narrowed, according to new analysis of a Center survey conducted in 2021. 

(PEW)

JANUARY 13, 2022

 

Some Gender Disparities Widened In The U S Workforce During The Pandemic

The pandemic is associated with an increase in some gender disparities in the labor market. Among adults 25 and older who have no education beyond high school, more women have left the labor force than men. Other disparities have stayed the same or even narrowed: The gender pay gap has remained steady, for example, and the difference in the average hours worked by men and women has slightly diminished.

(PEW)

JANUARY 14, 2022

 

On Average, Americans' Political Party Preferences In 2021 Looked Similar To Prior Years

On average, Americans' political party preferences in 2021 looked similar to prior years, with slightly more U.S. adults identifying as Democrats or leaning Democratic (46%) than identified as Republicans or leaned Republican (43%). However, the general stability for the full-year average obscures a dramatic shift over the course of 2021, from a nine-percentage-point Democratic advantage in the first quarter to a rare five-point Republican edge in the fourth quarter.

(Gallup)

JANUARY 17, 2022

 

A Growing Share Of Americans (49%) Say Affordable Housing Is A Major Problem Where They Live

Prospective homebuyers and renters across the United States have seen prices surge and supply plummet during the coronavirus pandemic. Amid these circumstances, about half of Americans (49%) say the availability of affordable housing in their local community is a major problem, up 10 percentage points from early 2018, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted in October 2021. Another 36% of U.S. adults said in the fall that affordable housing availability is a minor problem in their community, while just 14% said it is not a problem.

(PEW)

JANUARY 18, 2022

 

One-In-Ten Black People Living In The U S Are Immigrants

Between 1980 and 2019, the nation’s Black population as a whole grew by 20 million, with the Black foreign-born population accounting for 19% of this growth. In future years, the Black immigrant population will account for roughly a third of the U.S. Black population’s growth through 2060, according to a new Pew Research Center analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data.

(PEW)

JANUARY 20, 2022

 

(Canada)

Two In Three (67%) Canadians Believe That A Fully Vaccinated Population Won’t Be Enough To Stop The Spread Of Omicron

Given the speed with which the Omicron variant is spreading, two in three (67%) Canadians agree (20% strongly/47% somewhat) that they are starting to get worried that even if everyone is vaccinated we won’t be able to stop the variant’s progression, according to a new Ipsos poll conducted on behalf of Global News. Conversely, one in three (33%) disagrees (9% strongly/24% somewhat) that they have this worry. Moreover, two in three (67%) Canadians appear resigned to the fact that COVID-19 will become endemic, agreeing (24% strongly/44% somewhat) that regardless of what we do, nearly everyone in Canada will eventually catch it.

(Ipsos Canada)

21 January 2022

 

Inflation Accelerates Into Top-Three Retirement Worries Among Canadians

Inflation and its negative impact on retirement finances has catapulted into the top-three worries that Canadians have when they think about retirement, according to the RBC Financial Independence in Retirement Poll conducted by Ipsos. Three in ten (29%) place the impact of inflation on their retirement finances among their top-three retirement worries, rising to 32% and 34% among those aged 25-34 (32%) and 55+ (34%), respectively.

(Ipsos Canada)

21 January 2022

 

AUSTRALIA

ALP (56%) Increases Lead Over The L-NP (44%) In January As ‘Omicron Surge’ Causes Problems Around Australia

The swing to the ALP came as the Government struggled with a surge in cases of the highly infectious ‘Omicron strain’ of COVID-19 which was first reported in NSW in early December. Over the last month nearly two million Australians have been recorded as infected with ‘Omicron’ and the spread of the virus has forced millions of Australians into isolation either because they were infected with the virus or forced to isolate due to be a close contact of a confirmed case.

(Roy Morgan)

January 20 2022

 

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

77% Respondents Agree Globally That 2021 Was A Bad Year For The Country; Global Advisor Predictions 2022 Survey, Carried Out By Ipsos In 32 Nations

Do you agree or disagree that 2021 was a bad year for the country? This was one of the questions in the Global Advisor Predictions 2022 survey, carried out by Ipsos in Brazil and 32 other nations. Almost nine out of ten Brazilian respondents (87%) agreed with the statement, a rate above the global average (77%). The negative view of the Brazilian population over the past year is the fifth largest identified by Ipsos researchers, behind Romania (89%), South Korea (89%), Spain (89%) and Argentina (88%). Respondents from China (41%), Saudi Arabia (48%) and Denmark (58%) are the ones who least agree with the statement that the year was bad for their countries.

(Ipsos Brazil)

13 January 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/pt-br/87-dos-brasileiros-acham-que-2021-foi-um-ano-ruim-para-o-pais

 

Pharmaceutical And Banking Companies And Governments Are Now Seen As More Trustworthy, According To Global Trustworthiness Monitor Across 29 Countries

New data from Ipsos' Global Trustworthiness Monitor reveals that pharmaceutical and banking companies and governments are now seen as more trustworthy than they were three years ago. Across 29 countries, a global country average of 31% rate pharmaceutical companies trustworthy, compared to 25% in 2018. Also, 28% say the same of banking companies (up from 20% in 2018) and 20% of their government (up from 14%). One possible explanation for the improvement could be how these sectors have acted during the course of the Covid-19 pandemic.

(Ipsos Egypt)

17 January 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-eg/global-trustworthiness-monitor-2021

 

Whose Pandemic Approach Is Better: England Or Wales

At the height of the pandemic, lockdown restrictions were much the same across England and the devolved nations of the United Kingdom. More recently however, the approaches taken by each nation have diverged. The English are split over whether they prefer the approach taken in England (31%) or the one taken in Wales (32%). The Welsh, on the other hand, are much more likely to prefer the way their country is handling restrictions (60%), with only 17% of Welsh people preferring the English approach.

(YouGov UK)

January 18, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/health/articles-reports/2022/01/18/whose-pandemic-approach-better-england-or-wales

 

Among the 24 countries surveyed, only six show any significant month-over-month change in their National Index score

Ipsos’ Global Consumer Confidence Index in the first month of 2022 reads at 48.6, exactly as it did in January 2020 before the COVID-19 pandemic. The global index is virtually unchanged from last month (down just two-tenths of one point) despite the rapid spread of the Omicron variant across the world. Among the 24 countries surveyed, only six show any significant month-over-month change in their National Index score (at least +/- 1.5 points) and none of these changes exceeds two points.

(Ipsos South Africa)

21 January 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-za/global-consumer-confidence-index-january-2022

 

In 7 Arab Countries Surveyed, Satisfaction With The Education System Fell During The Covid-19 Pandemic

On the occasion of the International Day of Education on January 24th, we would like to share nine key findings on what MENA citizens think about education in their countries. This data is based on our most recent sixth wave of surveys that was conducted in seven Arab countries during the COVID-19 pandemic, between July 2020 and April 2021. In all countries surveyed, satisfaction with the education system fell during the Covid-19 pandemic, with less than half of the population being satisfied with the education system in March 2021.

(Arabbarometer)

January 21, 2022

Source: https://www.arabbarometer.org/2022/01/what-arabs-think-about-education-during-the-covid-pandemic/

 

ASIA

725-726-43-01/Polls

Around 65.5 Percent Of The Japanese Are Interested In Organ Transplantation

Nearly 70 percent of people who are interested in organ transplants learned about the issue from consent forms on driver’s licenses and health insurance cards, according to a Cabinet Office survey.

The consent forms were included on licenses and cards issued after the revised Organ Transplant Law took effect in July 2010.

“The results this time likely reflect the fact that driver’s licenses have been renewed over the course of 10 years following the legal revision,” said an official of the health ministry’s medical transplant promotion bureau.

At the behest of the health ministry, the Cabinet Office in September sent questionnaires to 3,000 randomly selected individuals nationwide aged 18 or older. Valid responses were received from 1,705, or 57 percent.

Around 65.5 percent of the respondents are interested in “organ transplantation.”

Allowed to choose multiple answers, most of those respondents, or 67.2 percent, said they learned about the issue through “the consent forms on health insurance cards or driver’s licenses,” while 48.9 percent chose coverage “on TV and radio,” and 24.4 percent cited “newspapers and magazines.”

In addition, 13.1 percent of them learned about organ transplants through “conversations with my family.”

In the previous survey in August 2017, 56.4 percent showed an interest in organ transplants. Of them, 57.0 percent became curious through TV or radio shows, while 31.6 percent cited the consent forms.

The Cabinet Office said it has “no intention to make a simple comparison” between the latest poll undertaken by mail amid the novel coronavirus pandemic and past surveys conducted through direct interviews.

According to the latest poll, 10.2 percent of respondents have already expressed their intentions on whether they want to donate their organs or not.

Of them, a total of 39.5 percent said they “fully” or “somewhat” want to provide organs when they are diagnosed as brain-dead.

The numbers were similar to those in the previous survey.

About 90 percent said they will “surely” or “probably” respect the intentions expressed by family members concerning their organs after they die.

According to the survey, 13.5 percent of respondents said that they “really” wanted to learn details of organ transplants if they or their family members were hospitalized. The rate was 52.7 percent for those who wanted to learn “to some extent.”

(Asahi Shimbun)

January 13, 2022

Source: https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/14513437

 

725-726-43-02/Polls

According To 74.7% of Japanese, Kusatsu Hot Spring Resort Is The Ambience Of The Town

MAEBASHI--The Kusatsu onsen here was the surprise winner in an annual ranking of the best hot spring resorts in Japan, ousting Hakone from the top spot, a position it had held for 15 years since surveys by the Jalan Research Center started.

The center, which specializes in tourism and leisure, surveyed members of the Jalan Net travel website from Aug. 23 to 31. Of them, 13,961 provided valid responses.

Respondents were asked to pick which resort they would like to visit again from 327 sites nationwide. Up to five multiple answers were permitted.

Kusatsu received 2,565 votes.

“The ambience of the town” was cited by 74.7 percent, while 59.2 percent said “efficacy and spring quality.”

By age group, Hakone was ranked first among respondents in their 20s and 30s. But Kusatsu was the most popular among those in their 40s through 60s.

According to the research center, an announcement by Gunma University that spring water from Kusatsu proved to be effective in inactivating the novel coronavirus contributed to its leap to the top spot.

The resort was also rated highly for its efforts to create an environment to prevent the spread of the novel coronavirus through the installation of “Tearai no Yu” stations in the center of the area for visitors to wash their hands with hot spring water.

The research center said families and senior citizens clearly felt at ease staying at Kusatsu, citing the opening of a lodging facility with guest rooms equipped with an outdoor spa and other benefits that was introduced for visitors from April 2020.

The survey also found that Noboribetsu in Hokkaido ranked third, followed by Dogo in Ehime Prefecture in fourth place and Beppu in Oita Prefecture in fifth place.

(Asahi Shimbun)

January 20, 2022 

Source: https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/14517599

 

725-726-43-03/Polls

Singapore Advertiser Of The Month: Gardens By The Bay

Gardens by the Bay has registered the biggest uptick in Ad Awareness scores out of any brand in Singapore to be named the Advertiser of the Month for December. The popular tourist spot witnessed an uplift of +8.2 percentage points in Ad Awareness scores during the period.

Gardens by the Bay rode the festive wave in December by hosting Christmas Wonderland, which is Singapore’s biggest Yuletide event. Another major promotion, called Dale Chihuly: Glass in Bloom, saw the iconic nature park pair up with Porsche for an innovative car exhibition in early December.

In November, Gardens by the Bay received an enhancement to the park in the form of Kingfisher Wetlands. The project aims to improve biodiversity in the area by planting native trees and connecting two existing areas of the park – Kingfisher Lake and Lotus Pond.

Gardens by the Bay had an Ad Awareness score of 19.5 on November 23, which rose steadily to reach 27.7 on December 20. Ad Awareness score is a YouGov BrandIndex metric that measures the percentage of people who have seen adverts from a particular brand in the last two weeks.

The brand’s Buzz metric, which is a measure of whether consumers have heard positive or negative things about a brand, also returned positive results during the same period. The Buzz score increased from 24.3 on November 23 to 28.5 on December 30.

(YouGov Singapore)

January 10, 2022

Source: https://sg.yougov.com/en-sg/news/2022/01/10/singapore-advertiser-month-gardens-bay/

 

725-726-43-04/Polls

The Ratio Of People Engaged In Social Activities Out Of Home Decreased To 37% In Turkey

Social Activities Out of Home Decrease

The feeling of anxiety in the society also causes people to spend less time outside. While the rate of people engaged in any social activity outside the home was 45% in December, it has decreased to 37% today. Especially less people state that they meet with their friends during this period and eat out at places such as cafes and restaurants.

Society More Anxious About the Duration of the Pandemic

The rapidly increasing number of cases with the Omicron variant has negatively affected the expectations of the society for the end of the epidemic. 64% of the society is of the opinion that it will cause the epidemic to last much longer, while 20% will cause it to last a little longer. However, the time for the epidemic to be brought under control is getting longer. In the week of December 20, the rate of those who think that the epidemic will end at the end of 2022 or later, was 68%, while this rate has increased to 76% today.

Increasing Number of Cases Due to Omicron Variant Increases Community Concern

Concern that he or someone from his family had contracted Covid-19, which decreased to 51% at the end of November, reached 60% again at the beginning of January. In addition, one out of every 2 people states that they have increased anxiety due to this new variant.

Negative Emotions Feeling by Society Increase

Since the first day of the coronavirus epidemic, the top 5 emotions felt by the society have not changed. Fatigue, anxiety, boredom, sadness and confusion are the feelings that individuals have stated since the first day. Confusion seems to have risen lately. Other negative emotions seem to have increased in the last 2 months. In particular, the rate of those who say they are disappointed increases from 20% to 30%, while the rate of those who say they are happy decreases from 20% to 12%.

Sidar Gedik, CEO of Ipsos Turkey, made the following evaluations about the data; Before commenting on this week's research results, I looked at the statistics for January 8 on Earth. The number of daily cases, which is 468 thousand in the USA, is over 300 thousand in France. More than 2.2 million cases and 5205 deaths in total. Turkey is among the top 10 countries in the number of daily cases, the number of cases is increasing day by day. It is a fact that the death rate has decreased thanks to the mutation of the vaccine and the virus, but it is also true that the epidemic cannot be restrained. Thousands of people die every day in various parts of the world. For some, there is a sense of confidence that comes with being vaccinated, but for a wider audience, the rising anxiety cannot be avoided. Six out of ten people are very worried. In fact, those who are worried are now more worried, those who have calmed down a bit are again uneasy. Two out of three people think that the epidemic will end longer due to the Omicron variant. More than half of the society states that the epidemic will not end this year.

Confusion has recently been added to prevailing emotions such as fatigue, anxiety, and boredom. The new variant, the 3rd dose of vaccine, the increasing number of cases, whether the schools are closed early, etc. There are new topics to think about. This negative mood leads to spending less time outside. Since mid-December, the percentage of people who spend time outside each week has been decreasing. The result of this mood we came to when we said that the epidemic will end now means great disappointment for a large audience. It's not too far away, our most dominant emotion in November was happiness, now it's safe to say that we can't read the color of it.

In the summer, we were talking about the possibility of coming to a point like this with the winter season. The situation we are faced with is not so surprising, but now is the time to look ahead again. We have a few months ahead of us that we will try to get through with the least loss.

(Ipsos Turkey)

11 January 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/tr-tr/ev-disi-sosyal-faaliyette-bulunanlarin-orani-37ye-geriledi

 

725-726-43-05/Polls

Bulk Shopping Behavior That Started With The Pandemic Continued In 2021

In January-November 2021, households in Turkey spent 39% on FMCG compared to the same period last year. The source of this growth is the increase in the value of shopping carts.

Households went shopping an average of 213 times in the first 11 months of 2021 and spent 46 TL on each purchase.

The mass shopping behavior that started with the pandemic continued in the first 11 months of 2021. Compared to the pre-pandemic period, the average household went shopping less frequently and spent more on their cart with each purchase.

Although the demand for open products decreased slightly in the first 11 months of 2020, when there were COVID-19 restrictions, open products started to grow again as of 2021.

An average household spent 54 TL on branded products, 26 TL on open products and 20 TL on market branded products out of every 100 TL expenditure.

Households spent more this year in Discount Markets and Independent Supermarkets, as in the previous year, compared to other channels. An average household spent 31 TL of each 100 TL of expenditure in Discount Markets and 23 TL in Independent Supermarkets.

Compared to last year, Independent Supermarkets maintained their share, while National Chains, Local Chains and Discount Markets lost their share. Butcher/Deli was the channel that increased its share by growing above the average.

In the first 11 months of 2021, an increase was observed in meat products and fats expenditures, above the average of Turkey. Meat products spending increased 53% in January-November 2021, while Fat increased 57%. Spending on Snacks and Household Cleaning products increased by 39% and grew in line with Turkey's average.

(Ipsos Turkey)

17 January 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/tr-tr/pandemiyle-baslayan-toplu-alisveris-davranisi-2021de-devam-etti

 

725-726-43-06/Polls

4 Out Of 10 Parents Want To Switch To Distance Education Again

The Increase in the Number of Parents Who Want to Switch to Online Education Again is Striking

According to Ipsos research; Since the first day the schools opened, it seems that there has always been an audience that wants online / distance education to continue due to the epidemic. However; While the rate of the audience is around 25%, 4 out of 10 parents today want to switch to online / distance education again. The rate of parents who think that face-to-face education should continue is 47%.

Only 1/3 of Parents Feel Comfortable Sending Their Children to School

Since the first day schools opened, half of the parents do not feel comfortable with their children going to school. When we look at today, it is seen that this ratio has not changed. But on the other hand, the rate of parents who said that they felt comfortable about this issue in the first days of the opening of schools has decreased from 43% to 33% today.

The Proportion of Parents Who Think the Precautions Taken at Schools Are Sufficient Only 31%

In the first weeks when schools were opened, 4 out of 10 parents were of the opinion that the measures taken at schools for the coronovirus epidemic were not sufficient. Today, however, the views of parents on this issue are more negative. Half of the parents think that adequate precautions are not taken in schools today. The rate of parents who think that the measures are sufficient is only 31%. When we look at the measures applied in schools, it is seen that especially the mask issue is not paid as much attention as before.

Half of Parents Do Not Find It Safe For Their Children To Go To School

In the 2021-2022 academic year, 63% of parents found it safe for their children to go to school in the first week when schools started face-to-face education again, while this rate has decreased to 42% today. The rate of those who think it is not safe has nearly doubled.

Sidar Gedik, CEO of Ipsos Turkey, made the following evaluations about the data; In recent weeks, confusion has come to the fore among the feelings felt about the epidemic. This situation was not surprising, of course, the issues such as the new variant, the 3rd dose of vaccine, the change in the quarantine period, the removal of the PCR test requirement on domestic flights are enough to confuse people. On the one hand, we want to hope that we are approaching the end of the epidemic, there are developments that feed this hope, but on the other hand, the number of cases climbs as they climb. Although the losses do not increase as much as the cases, they do not go below a certain number. And as a result, society is torn between hope and despair. We see one of the most concrete examples of this situation in the change in thought about the return of children to school. According to our research, while the rate of parents who did not find it safe to return to school for face-to-face education in September was 27%, now more than half of the parents do not find schools safe. At the beginning of September, half of the parents found the measures taken at schools sufficient, now this rate has decreased to 31%. When we examine the precautions, we see that the parents observed a great relaxation especially under the mask. Compared to September, there are great decreases in the use of masks by both students and teachers. Moreover, according to the parents, even in September, compliance with the usage principles was around 50%.

Before the semester break, the Minister of National Education had put an end to the discussions about face-to-face education with a definite expression. Nearly half of the parents are against online education with a similar view. However, this rate was close to two-thirds a month or two ago, and has been decreasing for a while. There is an increase in the rate of parents who want to return to online education from 23% to 38%.

On the one hand, we want to hope for the end of the epidemic, on the other hand, our fears remain. Undoubtedly, we will have an interesting period. I hope that at the end of this period, we will reach the days when we do not conduct an epidemic research again.

(Ipsos Turkey)

17 January 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/tr-tr/10-ebeveynden-4u-tekrar-uzaktan-egitime-gecilmesini-istiyor

 

MENA

725-726-43-07/Polls

Taking Tunisians’ Pulse : Key Findings From Ab6 Survey 2020-2021

The July 2021 political events in Tunisia were not entirely unexpected given the country’s ongoing challenges on a number of fronts.  Deteriorating economic conditions combined with the high death toll from the COVID pandemic crystalized failure of the political system to address the basic problems facing ordinary Tunisians.  The failure to undertake needed reforms over the past decade produced a situation where many Tunisians celebrated a major change in the political system.

Results from Arab Barometer surveys demonstrate the degree to which Tunisians are frustrated with the performance of their government.  Over the course of three surveys conducted between July 2020 and March 2021, the downward trend is clear. Last summer, before Tunisia had experienced a significant number of COVID infections, citizens were relatively pleased with the government’s handling of the crisis.  The government’s performance on this issue was relatively strong, particularly compared with major outbreaks that had ravaged countries such as the U.S., Italy, and Spain at the time.

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Yet, as the first and second waves of the pandemic hit Tunisia, citizens began to lose faith in their government and its ability to manage the public health crisis.  Views of the government’s handling fell by 34 points between July and October 2020 and only recovered slightly by March 2021, shortly before the onset of the largest wave of infections to hit Tunisia to date.  Surely, ratings of the government’s handling fell further after this survey.

The surveys make clear that Tunisians are deeply worried about the spread of COVID, yet this has not been their primary concern over the past year.  In none of the three surveys did concern about COVID exceed concern about the country’s economic situation.  In October 2020, during a wave of infections, an equal percentage of Tunisians were primarily concerned about COVID and the economy. However, in the July 2020 and March 2021 surveys, concern about the economy was far higher than for COVID.  This is due to the fact that fewer than one-in-ten Tunisians rate economic conditions as good, which continues a long but steady decline on this measure over the last decade.

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The challenge of COVID has also exacerbated the economic situation. Arab Barometer’s surveys make clear that citizens perceive an increase in economic inequality as a result of the pandemic.  Most agree that the effects of COVID have been significantly greater on those who are poor and other disadvantaged groups such as migrants. Similarly, the effects on employment appear to be greater on those who are poorer than the better off in society.

The situation has also affected views of the education and health care systems. As COVID has stressed hospitals and the school year has been affected, citizens are less likely to rate either system as good in March 2021 compared with July 2020.

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Meanwhile, many citizens are concerned that their basic civil rights are not ensured.  Despite having their basic rights enshrined in the constitution, just half say the ability to demonstrate peacefully is guaranteed.  In part, this may be due to restrictions on gathering put in place to limit the spread of COVID. However, the violent police crackdowns on demonstrators that had started even before the pandemic likely also play a role.

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Addressing the myriad concerns of Tunisians will be difficult, but the surveys also point out some of the particular challenges faced by women. One long-standing issue remains the relatively low labor force participation rate for women in Tunisia and across MENA more broadly.  Results from Arab Barometer demonstrate that rather than cultural barriers, Tunisians believe the most pressing limitations on women entering the workforce are lack of transportation, lack of childcare, and relatively low wages.

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In world affairs, Tunisians hold positive views of a number of foreign countries, in particular Germany, China, and Turkey.  However, across a range of questions, Germany is the clear winner.  Views of the U.S. and France are less positive, but are more positive than for Saudi Arabia or Iran.

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(Arabbarometer)

January 10, 2022

Source: https://www.arabbarometer.org/2022/01/ab-6-country-report-tunisia/

 

AFRICA

725-726-43-08/Polls

In 2022, Nigerians Want The Government To Focus On Security, Reduction In Prices Of Goods & Services And Economy

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A new public opinion poll released by NOIPolls has revealed that the top three key areas Nigerians want the government to focus its attention on in 2022 are security (50 percent), reduction in prices of goods and services (44 percent), Economy and job creation both tied at (42 percent). Other areas include Electricity (36 percent), Health (28 percent), Agriculture (19 percent), Education (8 percent), Water (5 percent), and Road (3 percent).

On security, Nigeria has experienced devastating attacks from armed bandits for a long time. While these attacks initially started in the Northwest region of Nigeria, they have since spread to other parts of the country. Armed bandits frequently kidnap unsuspecting members of the public before using their captives to secure huge ransoms in return for their release. Hundreds of people have been kidnapped and millions of naira demanded in ransom before their release thereby putting the families of the kidnapped victims in great distress and confusion.

To worsen this, bandits have recently taken to targeting softer targets, such as schools, for instance, the mass kidnapping in Zamfara states. The Nigeria Security Tracker report has shown that no fewer than 1,525 persons have been killed in the early part of 2021 alone in the country. In terms of terrorism, it is also reported that the country is now placed third most impacted by terrorism according to Global Terrorism index 2020 after Afghanistan and Libya.[1]

Regarding prices of goods and services, the National Bureau for statistics has it that inflation now stands at 15.99 percent which is a drop for the seventh consecutive time in recent times. Although, inflation has dropped it is yet to reflect in the prices of items in the market as the common man continues to wriggle in pain under the heavyweight of price increase of food and other commodities, eating deep into the pockets of the average citizen. Especially during the yuletide season, the prices of items have in some cases doubled or tripled and have made life tough for the average citizen of the country[2].

In terms of the economy, in 2020 Nigeria experienced its deepest recession in two decades but resumed growth in 2021 as pandemic restrictions were eased and oil prices recovered, and other policies were implemented by the authorities to cushion the effect of the recession but presently over 83 million Nigerians are living below the poverty line and many more are expected to live below the poverty line.[3] This is occasioned by inequality in incomes and opportunity, lack of job opportunities, regional inequalities as well as social and political unrest. High inflation has also taken its toll on the economy and much more. The government is expected to do more to make life easy for the common man in the country.

With these challenges, it is indeed important for the government to expedite action in the areas enumerated by Nigerians to ameliorate the sufferings Nigerians are facing so that everyone will experience prosperity in the year 2022 as every Nigerian look forward to such improvements in their lives. These are some of the key highlights from the New Year Poll conducted in the week commencing December 13th, 2021.

Survey Background

The New Year celebration is a major celebrated event in the country succeeding the yuletide celebration. The celebration is usually occasioned by carnivals, traditional dances, sharing of gifts, and many more to mark the New Year. Most of the time, people see it as an opportunity to thank God for sparing their lives into the New Year while others see it as a time to start afresh and take certain trajectories in their lives.  Also, many see it as an opportunity to make resolutions towards certain goals of their lives and seek to pursue them with vigor and determination.

Nigerians are believing and trust that the New Year will bring the much-desired relief to their lives economically and in other aspects. The year 2021 had its challenges such as insecurity and economic hardship however, Nigerians expect the government to expedite action and stimulate the economy so that common moan will experience meaningful progress and development. Against this backdrop, NOIPolls conducted a poll to gauge the perception of Nigerians regarding their expectations for the year 2022.

Survey Findings

The survey result revealed that 50 percent of adult Nigerians expect the government of Nigeria to focus its attention on securing the country. It is indeed obvious that the security of the country has deteriorated in recent times owing to the increase in kidnappings, herdsmen attack, banditry, terrorism, and so on. Indeed, the average Nigerian lives in fear and trepidation hence, the need for government to tackle insecurity in the country. In the early weeks of 2021, there have been no fewer than 1,525 persons killed in the country. These figures only cover reported cases of Boko Haram insurgency, banditry, herdsmen crisis, kidnapping, communal and cult clashes, armed robbery, and brutality of security agencies amongst others.

Additionally, 44 percent of Nigerians expect the government to concentrate its attention on reducing the prices of goods and services. The inflation rate is pegged at 15.99 percent which is the seventh consecutive reduction in inflation in the country but yet the prices of goods and services remain high. Hence, there should be a bridge between the inflation figures churned out at intervals and the reality on the ground. It is expected that the government will also work hard to bring about a reduction in prices of goods and services so that Nigerians can afford a reasonable standard of living.

Similarly, 42 percent stated that the government should pay more attention to the economy. Although the economy of Nigeria grew by 4.03 percent in the third quarter of 2021, the citizens are still wriggling in the challenges posed by the economy. The poverty level has continued to increase, and unemployment now stands at 33 percent which is a clear indication that the economy is in dire strait and needs overhauling so Nigerians can prosper economically. Other areas include job creation (42 percent), Electricity (36 percent), Health (28 percent), Agriculture (19 percent), Education (8 percent), Water (5 percent), and Road (3 percent).

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Conclusion

In conclusion, the poll result revealed that Nigerians want the government to focus its attention mostly on security, Reduction in prices of goods and services, and Economy in 2022. As long as we continue to treat the issue of national security separately from the issue of national development in which challenges of poverty, inequality, unemployment, social exclusion on account of tribe and religion are not tackled proactively, the problem of insecurity will remain very much alive and will continue to plague the country.

Therefore, it is expected that government will yield into these yearnings of the masses and focus its attention on these critical areas in 2022. This is an important task the citizens are asking the government to embark upon in the New Year to ameliorate the challenges the masses are facing. It remains to be seen if the government will take up this onerous task and bring about the much-needed change in the country.

(NOI Polls)

January 11, 2022

Source: https://noi-polls.com/in-2022-nigerians-want-the-government-to-focus-on-security-reduction-in-prices-of-goods-services-and-economy-new-poll-reveals/

 

725-726-43-09/Polls

Police And Government Officials Main Violators Of Human Rights In Nigeria

A new public opinion poll conducted by NOIPolls has revealed that the Police and Government officials are the main violators of human rights in Nigeria as disclosed by Nigerians whose rights have been infringed on in the past. It is rather worrisome to note that the institutions and agencies of government that were established to protect and defend its citizenry are the ones mainly accused of human rights violations in Nigeria. 

Furthermore, the poll revealed that most victims of human rights violations in Nigeria do not report violations committed against them, although the constitution empowers “any person who alleges any infraction “concerning him or her” to apply to the High Court for redress.

Given that the police and government officials ranked highest, it is, therefore, essential for routine retraining and reorientation of law enforcement officers across all cadres and government officials on what constitutes human rights as part of efforts to protect the masses.

Finally, as recommended by 27 percent of adult Nigerians, frequent sensitization of the citizenry on their fundamental human rights through seminars, academic work, and books that portray such rights should be implemented. The sensitization campaigns should focus more on those who violate these rights. Lastly, as suggested by 15 percent of Nigerians, laws should be enforced to prosecute violators as this will serve as a deterrent to other violators of people’s human rights. These are some of the key findings from the Human Rights Poll conducted in the week commencing December 6th, 2021.

Survey Background

The International Day of Human Rights is celebrated all over the world to raise awareness on the inalienable rights that everyone is entitled to as a human being regardless of colour, nation, gender, or class. It is also a day to celebrate the adoption of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights (UDHR) by the United Nations in 1948. The celebration of the Day is geared towards encouraging government, social organizations, and stakeholders alike to further the cause of equality and protection of the rights of all individuals irrespective of colour, religion, or sex[1].

Human rights are the rights that people simply have but are not granted sometimes by some States. These rights are inherent to all irrespective of the status of the individual. Human rights range from right to life, right to food, right to education, right to health, etc. For instance, following the mass extermination of the Jews, people with disabilities, and others by Nazis, which shook the world, bringing together the need to protect the rights of people from various walks of life, against the inhumane abuses of governments and rulers cannot be overemphasized.

This year’s theme is about ‘Equality’ that refers to Article 1 of the UDHR – “All human beings are born free and equal in dignity and rights.” The theme is aligned with the UN’s 2030 agenda that has been drafted in a document, that talks about the international body’s approach towards finding sustainable solutions “for deep-rooted forms of discrimination that have affected the most vulnerable people in societies. Regarding this, NOIPolls conducted a public opinion poll to gauge the perceptions of Nigerians regarding their Human Rights in Nigeria.

Survey Findings

The first question sought to gauge the level of awareness of Human Rights in Nigeria and the result revealed that an overwhelming majority of adult Nigerians (78 percent) claimed to be aware of their basic Human Rights. This response cuts across gender, geographical locations, and age-group with at least 71 percent representation.

The survey further revealed that the issue of human rights violation is prevalent in the country as disclosed by an overwhelming 83 percent of adult Nigerians. This assertion also cuts across gender, geographical locations, and age-group with at least 76 percent representation.

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Furthermore, 30 percent of adult Nigerians reported that their human rights have been violated before. The poll revealed that there are more males (36 percent) than females (23 percent) whose rights have been violated before. Also, respondents aged 61 and above have been violated more than other age categories as revealed by the poll. It is also observed that the issue of human rights violation is more common in the southern region than in the northern region. For instance, the total average of the respondents in the southern region (32 percent) whose rights have been violated is higher than that national average (30 percent) while that of the northern region is less than the national average (28 percent).

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Out of the 70 percent who claimed that their rights have not been infringed on before, 23 percent indicated that they know someone whose rights have been violated before. The North-East zone accounts for the highest number of respondents who made this claim.

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According to the respondents interviewed, the top five (5) human rights of Nigerians that have been violated are the right to freedom of movement (30 percent), right to life (27 percent), right to freedom of speech (20 percent), right to freedom of expression and the press (11 percent) and right to freedom of association amongst other rights infringed upon.

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Consequently, respondents who claimed that their rights were infringed on were further probed and it is worrisome to note that the poll findings revealed that the Police (28 percent) are mainly responsible for violating these rights. Similarly, 26 percent disclosed that their rights have been violated by government officials while 24 percent blamed family and friends.   

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Sadly, the poll showed that 67 percent of the respondents did not report the incidence, whereas 33 percent claimed to have reported the incidence.

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Ironically, the poll findings revealed that 47 percent reported the incidence to the police who were primarily responsible for the violation of human rights in the country as earlier mentioned by  Nigerians polled. Also, respondents stated that some of the incidences were reported to human rights organizations (15 percent), family and friends (14 percent, the court (13 percent), and to community leaders (9 percent) amongst other channels.

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With regards to reducing the issue of human rights violations in the country, 27 percent of Nigerians recommended that there is a need for frequent enlightenment on the importance of upholding human rights. Similarly, 15 percent suggested that government should enforce laws that will punish violation of people’s rights amongst many other recommendations.

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Conclusion

In conclusion, the poll results have revealed that most Nigerians disclose that human right violation is prevalent in the country. For instance, 30 percent of Nigerians reported that their rights have been infringed on before while few claimed that they know people whose rights have been violated. It is worrisome to note that 28 percent of adult Nigerians whose rights have been violated before reported that the Police and government officials ranked highest amongst others who violated these rights.

Given that the police and government officials ranked highest, it is therefore, imperative for routine retraining and reorientation of law enforcement officers across all cadres and government officials on what constitutes human rights as part of efforts to protect the masses.

Finally, as recommended by 27 percent of adult Nigerians, frequent sensitization of the citizenry on their fundamental human rights through seminars, academic work, and books that portray such rights should be implemented. The sensitization campaigns should focus more on those who violate these rights. Lastly, as suggested by 15 percent of Nigerians, laws should be enforced to prosecute violators as this will serve as a deterrent to other violators of people’s human rights.

(NOI Polls)

January 18, 2022

Source: https://noi-polls.com/police-and-government-officials-main-violators-of-human-rights-in-nigeria-new-poll-reveals/

 

725-726-43-10/Polls

Only One In Four Sudanese (24%) Describe Their Personal Living Conditions As Fairly Good Or Very Good

Large majorities of Sudanese see the country as headed in the wrong direction and describe

both the national economy and their personal living conditions as bad, according to the

latest Afrobarometer survey.

Increasing numbers of citizens are going without basic life necessities, and fewer than half

are optimistic that things will get better during the coming year.

Negative assessments of the country’s overall direction increase with individuals’ age and

experience of poverty.

Key findings

▪ Three-fourths (74%) of Sudanese say the country is going in the wrong direction,

almost unchanged from 2018 (76%) (Figure 1).

▪ Negative assessments of the country’s overall direction are consistent across key

demographic groups but are particularly strong among older (86%) and poor (80%)

citizens (Figure 2).

▪ Only one in four Sudanese (24%) describe their personal living conditions as “fairly

good” or “very good,” and only 15% offer positive assessments of the country’s

economic condition (Figure 3).

▪ Management of the economy, education, health, corruption, and poverty are the

top five problems that citizens want the government to address (Figure 4).

▪ Increasing numbers of citizens report going without a cash income (78%), medical

care (61%), food (46%), water (39%) and cooking fuel (27%) at least “several times”

during the previous year (Figure 5).

(Afrobarometer)

18 January 2022

Source: https://afrobarometer.org/sites/default/files/press-release/Sudan/news_release_sudanese_hold_gloomy_views_on_the_economy_and_the_countrys_direction-afrobarometer-bh-18jan22_1.pdf

 

WEST EUROPE

725-726-43-11/Polls

 Six In Ten Britons Say That Sportspeople Should Receive Two Doses (19%) Or Three Doses (42%) Of The Coronavirus Vaccine To Be Able To Play In Sports Events

Serbian tennis player Novak Djokovic has been in the headlines this week after struggling to gain entry to Australia ahead of the Australian Open, due to being unvaccinated against coronavirus. Premier League footballers have also come under fire for refusing the vaccine, with one in nine (16%) yet to receive any doses. With the vaccination of sporting stars coming under increased scrutiny, new YouGov polling examines whether the public think unvaccinated sportspeople should or should not be able to compete.

Currently in Britain there are no vaccine status-related limits on professional sports, but other countries have begun to make this move – Serie A players in Italy are now required to be fully jabbed to be able to play, while tennis players hoping to compete in the Australian Open are required to prove their vaccination status or have a medical exemption.

The latest YouGov data suggests that the British public would support similar restrictions, with six in ten Britons saying that sportspeople should have received two doses (19%) or three doses (42%) of the coronavirus vaccine to be able to play in sports events (unless they have a medical exemption).

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There are, however, a significant proportion who feel that vaccination status should not be a factor at all in deciding who can participate in professional sports events – one in five (22%) say that all sportspeople should be able to compete, regardless of their vaccination status.

Who, if anyone, should sportspeople have to disclose their vaccination status to?

Much has been made of the vaccination status of sportspeople in recent weeks, with cancelled football fixturescovid outbreaks amongst the Ashes squad’s coaching staff, as well as the Djokovic saga. This has put pressure on sportspeople to disclose their vaccination status publicly, but the British public are split on whether this is necessary. Approaching half (46%) say that sportspeople should have to disclose their vaccination status, compared to 41% who say they should not have to do this. 

The public’s attitude to this issue is strongly correlated with age – just a quarter (25%) of 18-24 year olds say that sportspeople should have to make their vaccination status public, with half (50%) saying it is not necessary. At the other end of the age spectrum, opinion is reversed – two thirds (68%) of Britons aged 65 and over say athletes should have to disclose this information publicly.

While many Britons don’t think the public has a right to know sports stars’ vaccination status, do they think they should have to provide it on a confidential basis to others in their field? Djokovic was initially given a medical exemption by Australian Open organisers (although this was then superseded by the Australian authorities), but the majority of those who don’t think players should have to publicly disclose their vaccine status believe players shouldn’t have to inform match officials/organisers either (56%). A similar number say the same of team-mates (55%) and competitors (59%).

They are more evenly split on whether team management should be made aware of this information, with 45% saying they should and 48% saying they should not. The only group that those who oppose requiring public vaccine status disclosure tend to think should be told is their medical team, with 53% saying they should be given this information (although even here 42% continue to disagree).

What about the fans?

As of 15 December, sports fans in England have been required to show a COVID PASS to gain entry to a sports stadium – the PASS is proof of two doses of the vaccine, or a recent negative test. Three quarters (75%) of English people support this system, although they are sceptical about how effective it has been in controlling the spread of Omicron at sports events – 31% say it has been effective, compared to 45% who say it has not.

Currently, in legal terms ‘fully jabbed’ is defined as receiving two doses of the coronavirus vaccine. When asked whether the COVID PASS should be amended to show proof of three doses of the vaccine, the majority of English adults support such a move (62%). This is in line with other YouGov polling, which has found that the majority of Britons now disagree with the definition, with 76% saying it should be updated to include two jabs AND a booster.

(YouGov UK)

January 10, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/01/10/should-sportspeople-have-be-vaccinated-against-cor

 

725-726-43-12/Polls

One In Eight Britons Feel Tired All The Time

According to the NHS, feeling exhausted is so common that it has its own acronym, ‘TATT’, or ‘tired all the time’, and a new YouGov survey reveals that 13% of Britons exist in a state of constant exhaustion.

Another quarter (25%) report feeling weary ‘most of the time’, while a further third (33%) feel knackered ‘about half of the time’.

Unsurprisingly, parents of younger children are more likely to say they often feel tired. Around a fifth (22%) of parents of at least one child under 18 say they feel tired all of the time, compared with 8% of parents of children over 18, and 13% of Britons who are not parents.

Mothers are also more likely to feel exhausted than fathers – 26% of mums of a child under 18 say they feel tired all the time, compared with 18% of fathers.

How does tiredness impact daily life for Britons?

Tiredness can impact every aspect of our lives – from feeling sluggish at work, being too sleepy to spend quality time with family, and swapping dates for spending time on the sofa.

People at different stages of their lives feel the impact of tiredness differently, and overall, younger Britons are more likely to feel tired than older ones.

Britons aged between 18-24 are twice as likely to say tiredness has a great or moderate impact on their work life (41%) than those aged between 50 and 64 (21%).

Younger Britons are also more likely to feel the impact of tiredness on their personal life than older ones – 41% of 18 to 24-year-olds say their tiredness has a “great” or “moderate impact” on this aspect of their life, compared to around a quarter (24%) of those aged 65 and older.

Tiredness impacts family life most for 25 to 49-year-olds, with around a third (32%) saying their tiredness has a great or moderate impact on spending time with family.

Men and women feel differently about how their tiredness impacts their love lives – 26% of women say tiredness has a great or moderate impact compared with 19% of men.

And while nearly half (48%) of mothers with children under 18 feel that tiredness has an impact on their family life, just over a third (35%) of fathers say the same.

Overall, 35% of Britons feel tiredness has a great or moderate impact on their personal life, 25% on their family life, 24% on their personal life and 22% on their love life.

Women are more likely to feel tired than men

Three in five women (61%) say they feel tired when they wake up, even when they get a lot of sleep, while around half (49%) of men say the same.

Similarly, half of women (50%) say they feel tired at the end of the day but struggle to fall asleep at night, compared to 38% of men.

Women are also slightly more likely (49%) to say they feel like they don’t have enough time in the day to rest and relax than men (44%).

What would Britons trade for an extra hour of sleep?

Around half (47%) of Britons would prefer an extra hour of sleep than to be given £20 in cash, while 40% of parents of children under 18 would prefer more sleep over an hour of good behaviour from their children.

Two in five Britons (39%) would prefer to sleep for an hour than spend time with friends or family, and more than a third (36%) would take a snooze over sex.

It seems as if Britons value their sleep time at between £20 and £50 per hour – while 44% of Brits would prefer £20 in cash over an hour of sleep, 69% would take the cash over the snooze if it was £50.

In general, women are more likely to choose sleep over something they enjoy than men.

Women are more than twice as likely to say they would prefer an hour of sleep over having sex with someone they’re attracted to (49%) than men (21%).

Similarly, while 40% of women say they would prefer extra sleep over an hour of quality time with a romantic partner, 21% of men say the same.

(YouGov UK)

January 11, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/lifestyle/articles-reports/2022/01/11/one-eight-britons-feel-tired-all-time

 

725-726-43-13/Polls

Lateral Flow Test Shortage Hits Two In Five Britons

Official NHS guidance states that people should take a lateral flow test before mixing with others, or visiting someone who is at high risk of getting seriously ill from the virus. Those who have been in contact with someone who has the virus also need to take tests daily.

However, in December a perfect storm of swelling COVID-19  cases and the busy festive social calendar led to a surge of demand, leaving a shortage of rapid test kits in its wake. The gov.uk portal for ordering the tests has regularly been out of stock, and many pharmacies have had to display notices that they had none to give out.

New YouGov data shows that only a third of Britons (35%) managed to access lateral flow tests since the start of December without issue. Another 35% say they struggled to get the tests they needed – including one in ten (10%) who were completely unable to do so – while a further 5% were discouraged from seeking out the tests because they expected they wouldn’t be able to get them.

Many workers, students, and children also need lateral flow tests to safely attend their workplace or school. Students and schoolchildren, in particular, are advised to do two tests a week.

Only 30% of Britons with children in their home say they have been able to get lateral flow tests easily since the start of December, with half (51%) having trouble doing so or being discouraged from looking by news of shortages.

Workers have had somewhat more luck, albeit not much, with 35% able to access tests without issue versus 42% who say they have struggled to do so or were put off.

Those looking for tests mostly tried to do so via the gov.uk portal (59%), while a further 45% tried local pharmacies and other community locations giving out tests. Another 17% tried to get tests from their workplace and 11% tuned to family and friends for spare tests. Only 8% said they tried to get test kits from designated COVID-19 test sites.

Those aged 55 and over were the most willing to hit the high street in search of tests, with 58% saying they tried to get them from local pharmacies and pubs, versus 30% of 25 to 34-year-olds. This age group was the most likely of all ages to have tried the gov.uk website (66%).

Only a quarter of workers (25%) who have tried to find tests say they have tried to get some from their workplace.

(YouGov UK)

January 13, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/01/13/lateral-flow-test-shortage-hits-two-five-britons

 

725-726-43-14/Polls

The Vast Majority Of Ethnic Minority Britons (83%) Say They Understand The Term BAME (Black, Asian Or Minority Ethnic) Very Or Fairly Well

UK broadcasters announced recently that they would be committing to avoiding the use of the term BAME wherever possible. The term, which describes individuals who are ‘Black, Asian or Minority Ethnic’, is considered to be a catch-all term for ethnic minority people in Britain as a whole, and its use fails to represent the unique experiences of different ethnic groups.

YouGov research among 1,015 ethnic minority Britons in May of this year found a tendency to agree with this point of view.

What does BAME mean?

The vast majority of ethnic minority Britons (83%) say they understand the term BAME very or fairly well, whilst 13% say they lack understanding. This uncertainty increases with age; 8% of those aged 18 to 24 have this view compared to 19% of those aged 65 and above.

Slightly more people say that they don’t understand what is meant by the ‘Minority Ethnic’ component (17%). For this term, it is the youngest age group who say they don’t understand it (23% of those aged 18 to 24) compared to the older age groups (14% of 50-64 year olds and 15% of those aged 65 and above).

It is clear, however, that when asked specifically about which groups are included in the term ‘Minority Ethnic’, confusion reigns. Around a fifth think this refers to anyone who isn’t White (17%) while another 16% say it describes someone who belongs to a specific ethnic minority or group of ethnic minorities excluding Black or Asian people (note that this category could include White minorities). A further 6% link it to anyone who isn’t White, Black or Asian whilst a fifth (20%) are unsure about its definition.

Those who in the ‘Other ethnicity’ group* are more likely than others to say ‘Minority Ethnic’ means ‘anyone who isn’t White, Black or Asian (16%, vs 3-4% of Indian, Pakistani and Black Britons).

Is it acceptable to use BAME, and is it a representative term?

Attitudes here appear contradictory. While ethnic minority Britons tend to think it is acceptable to use as an umbrella term for the portion of the British population that is non-white (by 49% to 31%), it is not their preferred term, which goes to simply “ethnic minorities” by 58% to 27%.

Nevertheless, deeper examination of attitudes towards the term reveals underlying hostility.

Relatively few ethnic minority Britons believe the term ‘BAME’ represents them well (28%), with half saying it does not represent them well. Similar numbers say the same about how the term represents those of an ethnic minority background in general.

Likewise, few think the term BAME is accurate (30%), helpful (31%), or a practical term to use (35%).

What these seemingly contradictory attitudes could indicate is that, while in the narrowest sense ‘BAME’ is seen as a term that can function to literally describe people as being non-white, should any form of meaningful context be required then it is too crude to be useful.

Black respondents in particular are unlikely to see a positive case for the term BAME in any of the questions we asked. The same is true of Britons of Indian origin, although they are split 40%-44% on whether or not it is a practical term to use.

Mixed race respondents are especially likely to say that the term doesn’t represent themselves (64%) or those of an ethnic minority background (65%) well.

Pakistani respondents, by contrast, tend to be more permissive, particularly on the accuracy or representativeness of the term. Those who come under the ‘Other ethnicity’ category are particularly unlikely to say that the term BAME represents them well, at just 14%.

Overall, approaching half (45%) think ‘BAME’ is used to over-simplify the views and experiences of people from ethnic minorities, almost twice the number who think it helps to improve understanding of ethnic minority groups by looking at things from an overall level (24%). The tendency to see BAME as an oversimplification is present across all ethnic groups, with mixed ethnicity Britons (60%) and Indian Britons (52%) most likely to say so.

Likewise, by two to one ethnic minority Britons think the term BAME a short-term fix which avoids addressing systemic racial issues (44%) rather than being part of a sustained effort to tackle systemic racial problems (21%).

Again, all ethnic groups tend to see the term as a short-term fix, with Black (52%) and Indian Britons (50%) the most likely to say so. Respondents who are of mixed ethnicity, or fall under the ‘Other Asian’ grouping,** are more likely than other groups to see ‘BAME’ as neither a short term fix nor an effort to tackle racial problems, at 35% and 29% respectively.

(YouGov UK)

January 18, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/01/18/how-do-ethnic-minority-britons-feel-about-term-bam

 

725-726-43-15/Polls

Half Of Britons (49%) Believe Measures To Control Coronavirus Over Christmas Were About Right

New research by Ipsos MORI shows half of Britons (49%) believe the government measures put in place to control the coronavirus period over Christmas were about right.  A third (35%) think they were not strict enough, but only 9% say they were too strict.  This is a change in mood from the weeks before Christmas, when 36% felt the measures were about right, and 44% that they were not strict enough.

Older people aged 55-75 are most likely to think the measures were not strict enough (43%), compared with 20% of 25-34 year olds, six in ten of whom (59%) say they were about right.  Around half of both Conservative and Labour voters felt the measures were about right (54% and 46% respectively), and just over a third felt they were not strict enough (34% and 38%).

Meanwhile, most Britons still say they are actively self-policing to limit the chances of catching the coronavirus over the next few weeks.

Almost 9 in 10 (87%) of Britons are already (75%) or plan to (12%) wear a face mask when in public places, while a similar proportion are or are planning to sanitise/wash their hands more regularly (85%). When out socialising 8 in 10 (80%) say they are (62%) or are planning to (18%) keep a distance from their friends and family while around two-thirds (64%) have already had their booster jab. A further 13% plan to do this. 

What precautions are you taking to avoid catching COVID-19?

When is comes to going out, 6 in 10 (60%) say they are not/plan not to attend social gatherings at others’ houses while 59% are avoiding or plan to avoid pubs and restaurants. Similarly, 56% will/already have avoided using public transport. Just under half (48%) of those currently in work will or are working from home rather than going into the office (48%).  Two-thirds are or plan to shop online instead of in store.

How strict were Britons over Christmas?

Despite many now feeling the measures in place were enough, our polling before Christmas showed many Britons were planning to follow additional measures such as socially distancing, taking lateral slows more regularly, not going to others’ houses, and more. So how many stuck to their own rules over the festive period?

Britons were most likely to wear face masks and sanitising their hands more regularly, 80% and 76% respectively say they did this while only 4% and 6% say they planned to but did not. Two in three (67%) kept their distance while socialising and just over half say they lateral flow tests more regularly (56%) or took their Christmas shopping online (54%), although 8% in each case said they planned to but didn’t. 

What COVID precautions did you take over Christmas?

Just under half (47%) of Britons say they actively avoided pubs and restaurants, 10% planned to but did not. There was a similar picture for avoiding social gatherings at others’ houses and avoiding public transport. 

Gideon Skinner, Research Director at Ipsos MORI, said:

With the benefit of hindsight, Britons are more positive towards the balance of restrictions over Christmas than they were in the run-up to the holiday.  Around half believe they were about right and one in three not strict enough, a reversal of the position in mid-December (both times, few thought they were too strict, and even fewer looking back).  Nevertheless, concern about the risks of the pandemic hasn’t dropped since before Christmas, and (although there will always be a minority who don’t keep to their plans) many are still self-policing to reduce their chances of catching the virus.

(Ipsos MORI)

18 January 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/half-britons-believe-measures-control-coronavirus-over-christmas-were-about-right

 

725-726-43-16/Polls

Conservative Voters Turn Against The Prime Minister

Recent polling has made for consistently uncomfortable reading for the prime minister and his team, with a significant majority of the British public wanting Johnson to resign, almost three-quarters thinking he is doing a bad job at running the country, and Labour well ahead in voting intention.

Now, this week’s YouGov political tracking data shows that even 2019 Conservative voters are showing high levels of disaffection and dissatisfaction with the government.

Holding on to that voter coalition which Johnson so impressively built at the last election is crucial for the Conservatives’ chances of securing a record fifth term at the next general election (which, as our latest figures also show, the public now want sooner rather than later).

However, the signs do not look at all good.

We have found that a higher percentage of Conservative 2019 voters now think that Boris Johnson is doing badly as prime minister (50%) than think he is doing well (46%). That means no fewer than half of those who backed Johnson and his party just over two years ago are not happy with the job he is doing.

What’s more, 15% of 2019 Conservative voters think that Keir Starmer is doing well as leader of the opposition. By contrast, just 4% of 2019 Labour voters think Johnson is doing well as prime minister.

Cabinet ministers have spent a good deal of time in recent days trying to shift public focus away from Downing Street parties and onto their record in government. But there is little sign of solace on that particular topic either. Not only do almost two-thirds of the public disapprove of the government’s record to date, but approval has also taken a hit among Conservative voters – 40% of them disapprove of the government’s record, versus 44% who approve.

Image problems are not isolated to Johnson alone, however. For instance, 82% of Conservative voters now think that Johnson’s party is divided (8% say united). Just 29% of 2019 Labour voters believe the same about Labour (41% united).

Lastly, no fewer than 45% of Conservative votes agree with the general public in thinking that Boris Johnson should stand down as leader, compared to 41% who think he should stay. That figure has risen from as low as 18% in August.

(YouGov UK)

January 19, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/01/19/conservative-voters-turn-against-prime-minister

 

725-726-43-17/Polls

Is There More To Elon Musk’s Crypto Obsession Than Meets The Eye

The value of Dogecoin – a onetime-joke cryptocurrency now, like Frankenstein’s Monster, disavowed by its creator – soared last week as Tesla CEO Elon Musk announced that the electric car giant would accept it as payment for merchandise.

It’s not Musk’s first foray into the digital currency space. So it’s worth asking: What is it with him and crypto? It may be for the memes, and according to some reports Tesla hasn’t done badly out of its Bitcoin investments. But our brand-tracking tool, YouGov BrandIndex, shows that savvy Musk knows how to align his product with crypto-enthusiasts. 

Among people who agree that “cryptocurrencies are the future of financial transactions”, Tesla’s scores are much higher across several metrics. As of January 15, Impression scores for Tesla (a measure of positive or negative sentiment) were at 12.0 among the British public; among crypto-enthusiasts, these scores were 21.9. This group are also more likely to believe that Tesla would be a great place to work: Reputation scores, which gauge whether you’d be proud or embarrassed to be employed by a company, sat at 17.8 for the nation and 24.6 among crypto-enthusiasts. Brits who are optimistic about Bitcoin, Dogecoin, or similar also record higher Quality scores (21.8) than the rest (17.3).

This carries through to more purchase-oriented metrics. While Consideration scores among the public are positive (8.0), they’re that bit higher among crypto-enthusiasts (11.5) – and when it comes to Purchase Intent, scores are twice those of the wider nation (2.1 general public; 4.3 crypto-enthusiasts). It’s the same story with Index scores: for Britons overall, they sit at 6.6; among the group who think cryptocurrency is the future, this measure of overall brand health sits at 12.7.

Overall, the data shows that Musk’s crypto-positioning appeals to a group of potential Tesla customers – one with a disproportionately high interest in his product.

(YouGov UK)

January 20, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/consumer/articles-reports/2022/01/20/there-more-elon-musks-crypto-obsession-meets-eye

 

725-726-43-18/Polls

46% Of French People Are Convinced That The Electric Vehicle Could Replace The Combustion Engine

We might have thought, particularly with the advent of telecommuting in metropolitan areas, that the French were going to turn away from the private car. The results of the Avere-France – Mobivia barometer tend to show the opposite since 48% of French people use their car every day or almost. 92% of respondents have a car in this sense, and it is a personal vehicle for 94% of them. Finally, 76% of French people travel less than 50 km per day (on average: 29 km).


The feeling of information vis-à-vis the electric vehicle has increased significantly compared to 2012, the year of publication of the first Avere-France – Mobivia barometer. 53% of respondents, for example, feel they are well informed about the price of electric cars, versus 36% in 2018 and only 24% in 2012.
In addition to this feeling of information, we find that more people say they are informed about the electric car as a whole, the more they are convinced of its advantages and its interest in use .


What about two-wheelers?

  • 42% of French people use two-wheelers. In detail, 29% of French people use a bicycle without electrical assistance at least twice a month, and 14% an electrically assisted bicycle;
  • Interest in buying an electric scooter is growing among scooter users: 56% of them are actually considering buying an electric scooter. An increase in value compared to 2018 (48%) and 2016 (43%).


The electric vehicle is perceived as economical, pleasant to drive and low in pollution

For a majority of respondents (87%), the electric vehicle is perceived as an “innovative” and “pleasant to drive” solution . It also represents an “economical to use” vehicle for 74% of French people. The absence of particulate emissions, smoke or hydrocarbons during use , as well as the low cost of use and the silent motor are the three main advantages of the electric car according to those interviewed.


Moreover, the electric vehicle is considered to be respectful of the environment by 70% of French people . Although this value remains high, it is down compared to the previous Avere - France - Mobivia barometer. A decrease which can be explained by the multiplication, in recent times, of content to be loaded on the electric vehicle. 

 

Barriers to purchase that diminish when the electric vehicle has been tested

Registrations of electric vehicles have increased at lightning speed in recent months (in 2021, 315,978 electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles were registered. They thus represented 15% of the market). Despite everything, brakes remain and always remain the same.

Autonomy, price and impact of batteries on the environment pointed out

  • Limited autonomy: for 46% of respondents, the autonomy of an electric vehicle must be greater than 500 km; the car remaining associated with a feeling of freedom that some may find compromised with an electric vehicle, precisely for these questions of autonomy. We will recall, however, that the range of new electric models arriving on the market is constantly increasing and that, as mentioned previously, 76% of French people travel less than 50 km per day. In addition, 78% of respondents believe that with a range of 300 km or more, the electric vehicle meets their mobility needs;
  • Purchase price : electric vehicles are, even today, more expensive to purchase than thermal vehicles. According to a study by BloombergNEF, electric vehicles will be displayed at prices equivalent to those of thermal vehicles by 2026 - 2027. Until then, it is necessary to maintain purchase aid. In this sense, the ecological bonus of 6,000 euros has been extended until June 30, 2022.
  • The impact of batteries on the environment: 42% of respondents consider that the impact of batteries on the environment is a hindrance to electric mobility. Today, battery recycling players can achieve recycling rates exceeding 80%, while the European Union requires the recycling of at least 50% of the average weight of lithium-ion batteries.

Used electric vehicles can also be a solution to spend less

74% of respondents saying they are ready to go electric are planning to choose a second-hand electric vehicle. This value even rises to 86% for 15-24 year olds and 88% among those with the lowest incomes. The three main reasons given are:

  • “I want to save money in use” , at 34% (26% in 2018);
  • “If I can benefit from financial aid” , at 33% (34% in 2018);
  • “I want to buy or rent an electric vehicle at a lower cost” , at 31% (42% in 2018).

It is in this sense that it appears necessary to develop the second-hand market and to consider it. It can be a real "gateway" to electric mobility for many French people. The brakes observed are the same for electric motorized two-wheelers. Thus, 30% of respondents believe that the cost of buying an electric scooter is still too high (versus 44% in 2018). 29% (compared to 34% in 2018) consider the autonomy of an electric scooter to be too low and 25% find that there are not enough charging sockets in the streets.


The electric vehicle meets the needs of 56% of people who have already tested it... and 66% of 15-24 year olds

At the same time, 46% of French people are convinced that the electric vehicle could in the future completely replace the internal combustion engine . This figure rises to 63% for people who say they are better informed about electric vehicles and even to 76% among 15-24 year olds. Hence the need to inform about the electric vehicle, and to try it. 38% of respondents say they have already tested an electric model: a figure up sharply compared to 2018 (+ 16 points). Interestingly, the electric vehicle meets the mobility needs of 56% of people who have already tried an electric vehicle, compared to 42% overall (including, in fact, individuals who have never tested an electric vehicle). Better still, 66% of 15-24 year olds believe that an electric model corresponds to their uses.


The conclusion is the same regarding purchase intentions: the youngest and people who have already driven an electric vehicle are the most likely to respond favorably to the question "if you had to choose a car in the coming months, you would you towards an electric car? ".
At the end of 2020, Avere-France published the results of a study conducted by Ipsos among users of electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles: 7 out of 10 respondents said they were “very satisfied” with their vehicle .

"We very rarely, if ever, see such levels of satisfaction in our consultations"

Federico Vacas, Deputy Director Public Affairs .

(Ipsos France)

January 13, 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/46-des-francais-sont-convaincus-que-le-vehicule-electrique-pourrait-remplacer-le-thermique

 

725-726-43-19/Polls

67% Of French People In Favor Of Compulsory Vaccination For People Over 50

When French people are asked to position themselves on  the principle of making anti-Covid 19 vaccination compulsory for people over 50,  21% of non-vaccinated French people present in the sample [1] approve of this decision, like 67 % of French people vaccinated.

It is the principle of generalization that divides the most unvaccinated and vaccinated:  83% of the unvaccinated reject the idea of ​​making vaccination compulsory for all, against only 21% of the vaccinated. It refers in particular to the delicate problem of the vaccination of children, which raises doubts and often negative reactions.

As society divides between vaccinated and unvaccinated, it's interesting to connect these findings to our qualitative  ConnectLive community . She showed that the feeling of not being in the population at risk, the fear of the consequences of vaccines, the expectation of more information, often explained  the reluctance to be vaccinated,  more than a radical and definitive opposition.

We can also see that, in a context where the spread of the Omicron variant is increasingly raising awareness of the issue of immunity, that  the more a category of the population seems exposed, the more the idea of ​​making its vaccination compulsory seems justified. :  31% of non-vaccinated people approve of it for people working in the health sector, against 8% for employees in the private sector.

In other words, explaining, targeting on a case-by-case basis, reassuring, can help convince a population that has no desire to feel stigmatized as a whole.

(Ipsos France)

January 20, 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/enquete-flash-67-des-francais-favorables-la-vaccination-obligatoire-des-plus-de-50-ans

 

725-726-43-20/Polls

57% Of Employees Are Quite Familiar With The Term Artificial Intelligence

AI has entered the daily life of companies. 57 % of employees say they know the term artificial intelligence quite precisely , 54% that of algorithm and almost a quarter that of machine learning . If the reality of more technical terms such as data lake or data governance remains less comprehensible, these results are a clear sign of progress.
Even if they remain lucid about the risks and potential abuses linked to the exploitation of data (more control, dehumanization, loss of jobs), employees have a positive view of its impact on their performance (85%) and their well-being (62%) at work.


… and are aware of the urgency of accelerating and training

Most employees are aware of the urgency for their company to transform (68% on average - 75% in large groups). 72% of them have confidence in their leaders to accelerate this transformation .
New fact, they even want to be actors of this transformation! Thus, more than 70% of them consider that business entities should support data projects.

To succeed in this transformation, team training is key. However, less than one in three ETI managers declares that they have trained their employees in the challenges of using data.
However, for those who have trained their teams, the data transformation has already begun to bear fruit : 34% of ETI managers declare that their data transformation is a success when their employees have been trained (vs. 23% without training).

 

The data transformation of ETIs has only just begun: if nothing is done, the whole ecosystem is threatened

ETI leaders are aware of the opportunities offered by the use of data: half of them believe that the use of data could increase their turnover by more than 5% and 59% accelerate the planned investments in this area compared to last year .
Despite their progress in the collection and the first stages of data exploitation, the leaders of ETI are content to reinforce their fundamentals, abandoning for the moment the innovation potential of data. Today, only 24% of managers claim to have used data to develop a new way of setting prices, for example.
Worse, ⅔ of ETI executives say thattheir company does not have any artificial intelligence tools . And only one in five tries to fix it.

(Ipsos France)

January 21, 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/57-des-salaries-connaissent-assez-precisement-le-terme-intelligence-artificielle

 

725-726-43-21/Polls

Presidential 2022 | The French Enter The Campaign

Seven out of ten French people (70%) today say they are "interested in the next presidential election of 2022", a proportion up three points compared to last month. Two out of three French people (66%) are now "certain to vote", up five points from the December measurement. The French enter the campaign, but it is however more of a catch-up than a real craze. For the moment, we are still below the levels measured in 2017, when in January we were already at 80% interest in the campaign (10 points more than today), and 69% of some of go vote (+3). Compared to the October and December measures, the French nevertheless feel more concerned.

The profile of French people who are certain to vote


The Covid-19 epidemic invites itself into the countryside

This was much less the case in the fall, but since the arrival of the Omicron variant, the Covid-19 once again weighs heavier in the minds of the French. Behind purchasing power (44% of quotes), the epidemic has become the second subject of concern, with more than one in three French people (35%) ranking it in the three main issues of the moment (for only 19 % last October). In parallel, the broader concern about the "health system" is also progressing steadily: 20% of citations in October, 24% in December, and 29% today.

In the context of the electoral campaign, this rise in health issues is not insignificant, especially since it is linked to a significant drop in approval of government action in this area. The proportion of people "satisfied with the way the government has handled the Covid-19 file" has dropped to 42% (-7 points compared to December), for 58% who are "not satisfied" (+7 ). Almost one in three people now believe that the measures taken by the President and his government to protect the health of the French are "exaggerated" (31%), 27% consider them on the contrary "insufficient", for 40% "nor one or the other".

However, it is not clear that the other candidates can capitalize on the growing distrust of the health policy of the majority. According to a large majority of respondents, neither Jean-Luc Mélenchon, nor Yannick Jadot, nor Anne Hidalgo, nor Christiane Taubira, nor Valérie Pécresse, nor Marine Le Pen, nor Eric Zemmour "would manage the health crisis better if he were President of the Republic". For nearly one in two French people (between 42% and 50% of interviewees depending on the candidate tested), he or she would even do "less well". Only Valérie Pécresse benefits from slightly more favorable judgments, 14% of the sample believing that she would do "better", 23% that she would do "less well", and 63% that

The environment, before immigration

Just after purchasing power, the Covid and the health system, the "environment" issue remains very present in the hierarchy of concerns, 28% of interviewees making it a priority. On the other hand, this is a little less the case for the question of "immigration", on the podium of the previous waves, which is today relegated to fifth position (25% of mentions, -6 points compared to December) . The subject of "delinquency" is also on the decline, cited among the three subjects of concern at the moment by 23% of French people (compared to 25% in December, 27% in October). At the end of the list, the question of "unemployment" is only cited in the top 3 by 8% of the sample,

Beyond the overall results, the hierarchy of concerns obviously remains very variable depending on the electorate. The subject of "purchasing power" is the number one concern of those who intend to vote in the first round of the Presidential election for Jean-Luc Mélenchon (48% of quotes), Anne Hidalgo (43%) and Valérie Pécresse (44%), but he is overtaken by "the environment" in the electorate of Yannick Jadot (73% of quotes) and Christiane Taubira (51%). Emmanuel Macron's voters place "the Covid-19 epidemic" at the top of their concerns (42%), while it is "immigration" that worries 53% of Marine Le Pen voters first and foremost. 69% of voters

A rather stable electoral balance of power

The campaign interests the French more, the hierarchy of concerns changes somewhat, without upsetting the electoral balance of power. At 25% of voting intentions, Emmanuel Macron continues to race in the lead. Solid on his base, he retains two-thirds of the voters who voted for him in 2017, and also convinces a significant part - 29% - of those who had then chosen François Fillon. The gap with his pursuers is now almost 10 points, Valérie Pécresse and Marine Le Pen each being at 15.5% of voting intentions.

Valérie Pécresse's level is settling a little compared to the December measurement (17%, measured just after her victory in the LR primary). For now, barely half (48%) of François Fillon voters in 2017 intend to vote for her. Above all, it struggles to convince young people (8% of voting intentions among 18-24 year olds, 9% among 25-34 year olds) and even beyond that, all those under 50 (10% among 35-49 year olds).

Neck and neck with Valérie Pécresse, Marine Le Pen is up one point from the December measurement. Her electoral base is consolidating, with now 58% of her 2017 voters (+ 3 points) who intend to vote for her again this year. With 34% of voting intentions among the workers, 22% among the employees, it widens the gap within the working classes, in particular compared to Eric Zemmour. The latter, who was tied with Marine Le Pen in December (14% of voting intentions each), is losing ground (13% of voting intentions on this wave).

On the left, the arrival of Christiane Taubira in the campaign does not make it possible to broaden the electoral base, by mobilizing for example voters who would have moved away from the ballot. On the contrary, his candidacy seems rather to add division. Without counting Philippe Poutou (1.5%) and Nathalie Arthaud (0.5%), the left totals 26% of voting intentions with Christiane Taubira, and 25.5% without her. No left-wing candidate has reached 10% of voting intentions today: Jean-Luc Mélenchon is at 8%, Yannick Jadot at 7%, Christiane Taubira is at 5%, Anne Hidalgo at 3.5% and Fabien Roussel at 2.5%.

Very high uncertainty and volatility of choices

This relatively stable electoral balance of power should not, however, hide a strong uncertainty and a volatility of the choices which remain very high three months before the election.

Uncertainty already when we observe that barely 55% of voters, some of them going to vote, declare that their choice is final, for 45% who reserve the possibility of changing their minds. The certainty of the choice is particularly low on the left, with nearly three quarters (73%) of potential voters for Christiane Taubira, 70% of those for Anne Hidalgo, two thirds (64%) of those for Yannick Jadot or even close half (46%) of those of Jean-Luc Mélenchon who tell us that their choice can still change. It is also quite fragile for Valérie Pécresse, of whom 53% of voters say they can still change their mind, for 47% of "final choice". Comparatively, the electoral bases of Marine Le Pen(72% of "definitive choice" for 28% who can change their mind), Emmanuel Macron (68% / 32%) and Eric Zemmour (63% / 37%) seem more solid.

The methodological specificity of the 2022 Electoral Survey, which consists in re-questioning from one wave to another the same panel of more than 10,000 voters, also allows us to identify changes in voting intentions. The comparison reveals still very high electoral volatility. In one month between December and January, more than one in four voters (28%) changed their mind, whether on participation or electoral choice. In particular, we see crossovers that neutralize each other, between Marine Le Pen and Eric Zemmour, between Emmanuel Macron and Valérie Pécresse, and between all the candidates on the left. At this stage, we are still far from a crystallization of the vote.

Voting intentions in the second round favorable to Emmanuel Macron

The uncertainty about the balance of power in the first round also concerns the second round. When voters are asked what their choice would be compared to an Emmanuel Macron / Valérie Pécresse duel, a third (32%) of people certain to vote in the first round prefer not to express their voting intentions. In the event of a second round Emmanuel Macron / Marine Le Pen, the rate of non-voters is a little lower, but still represents 20% of first round voters. This can be understood, many voters find it difficult to project themselves on a second round where their champion would not be qualified. Still, this high number of people who at this stage do not wish to position themselves calls for caution in interpreting the results.

These reservations posed, Emmanuel Macron still seems to benefit from a small margin in the event that he would be confronted in the second round with Marine Le Pen, with a balance of power measured at 57% / 43% in his favor. The matrix of vote transfers reveals a proportion of nearly 60% of voters for Anne Hidalgo, Yannick Jadot and Christiane Taubira who would refer to the outgoing President in the second round, as do 45% of voters for Valérie Pécresse and 24% voters of Jean-Luc Mélenchon. To reach 43% of voting intentions, the President of the RN benefits from the reinforcement of 80% of the first round voters of Eric Zemmour, 30% of the voters who chose Valérie Pécresse, and 22% of the voters of Jean- Luc Melenchon.

The gap is tighter in the event of a qualification of Valérie Pécresse, at 46% of voting intentions for 54% in favor of Emmanuel Macron. To this extent, the gap is explained by the reserves on the left that the incumbent President has - he benefits from the vote carryover of around 45% of the Jadot / Hidalgo / Taubira electorate, whereas with half of the he electorate of Eric Zemmour and Marine Le Pen, which does not express any second round voting intentions , Valérie Pécresse has fewer reservations on the right than expected.

(Ipsos France)

January 22, 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/enquete-electorale-2022-vague-4

 

725-726-43-22/Polls

One In Five Germans Had New Year's Resolutions And Are Still Keeping Them

The new year is almost three weeks old. Some people have big plans for the new year and want to improve themselves - but how many Germans make New Year's resolutions for themselves and how well do they stick to them? YouGov asked Germans about this in cooperation with Statista: One in five respondents had New Year's resolutions and have kept them to date (21 percent), especially the 18-24 year olds (31 percent). 8 percent of all those surveyed had resolutions, but they no longer keep them. More than two-thirds of Germans, on the other hand, had no resolutions from the outset (69 percent), particularly those surveyed over 55 (80 percent).

New Year's resolutions made?

Two out of five Germans plan to lose weight in 2022

Regardless of the New Year's resolutions that were formulated, 41 percent of Germans wanted to lose weight after Christmas and New Year's Eve, especially women (44 percent vs. 38 percent of men). However, a slight majority of all respondents (56 percent) did not plan to do so.

Two out of five want to lose weight in 2022

Few follow a specific diet to lose weight

The majority of those willing to lose weight take the approach of simply eating less, especially those aged 45 and over (59 percent). The second most popular tactic of those Germans who want to lose weight in 2022 is not eating sweets and snacks (48 percent). One in three goes to sports to achieve the weight loss goal (31 percent). 28 percent of respondents largely abstain from alcohol in order to lose weight. Men in particular do this (31 percent vs. 26 percent of women). Fasting (10 percent) or dieting (9 percent) are the least common ways to lose weight.

This is how the Germans want to lose weight

(YouGov Germany)
January 19, 2022

Source: https://yougov.de/news/2022/01/19/jeder-funfte-deutsche-hatte-neujahrsvorsatze-und-h/

 

725-726-43-23/Polls

Almost A Quarter Of Parents In Germany Say That The Pandemic Has Pushed Them To Their Limits When It Comes To Raising Children (23 Percent)

The corona pandemic has had a particularly difficult effect on parents with lockdowns, working from home and school and daycare closures. Almost a quarter of parents in Germany say that the pandemic has pushed them to their limits when it comes to raising children (23 percent). Fathers say this more often than mothers (25 percent vs. 21 percent of mothers).

Corona has pushed parents to their limits

However, only 7 percent of parents say that their relationship with their own children has deteriorated since the pandemic. 13 percent say that the ratio has even improved since then, and for 76 percent it is unchanged.

For 13 percent of parents, the relationship with their children has improved

20 percent of all parents in Germany say that if they could make a decision again today, they would not want to have any more children. 73 percent disagree.

Parenthood and professional advancement - more difficult for women to implement 

A large majority of German fathers do not believe that their career advancement would have been better without the birth of their children (70 percent). Among mothers, on the other hand, only 47 percent say this (vs. 58 percent of the general population). However, a comparative survey from 2016 shows that, almost six years ago, mothers were even more likely to agree that their professional advancement would have been better without the birth of their children: 44 percent of mothers in Germany made this statement in 2016, and are still saying so in 2022 34 percent.

Career advancement went better without children?

Just over half of the parents surveyed (53 percent) can currently understand that there are mothers who sometimes regret being a mother. Fathers can understand this better than mothers themselves (56 percent vs. 51 percent of mothers).

regret motherhood

(YouGov Germany)
January 20, 2022

Source: https://yougov.de/news/2022/01/20/corona-hat-vater-deutschland-bei-der-kindeserziehu/

 

725-726-43-24/Polls

The Tourism Industry

Coinciding with the celebration of the International Tourism Fair (FITUR), one of the biggest events for professionals in a sector, which is also the biggest engine of our country's economy, we want to invite you to see some of the Insights that we have obtained from our studies on travel in 2021, highlighting the trends and their changes in one of the most unpredictable and challenging periods.

For this we are going to use data from DestinationIndex , which collects daily information on more than 200 destinations in more than 20 source markets, and from Global Travel Profiles , which combines the results of DestinationIndex with another series of ad-hoc studies on the habits of travelers, their attitudes, barriers and motivations for tourism or other types of travel.

Intention to travel

The data from YouGov Global Travel Profiles allows us to focus on the Spanish market and analyze the plans of this population for tourism, as well as study how these data evolve.

Between November 2020 and 2021, we could say that the intention to travel on vacation within the country presented a positive trend with an increase of almost 11 points.

Likewise, we can see that the intention to go on international vacations had a similar trend, especially since the last month of July, with a clear line towards recovery.

However, in December 2021, travel plans show a change in trend, which is reflected first in the intention to travel abroad and then in local travel.

The detection of the Omicron variant during November probably affected consumer plans immediately.

Looking at the table above, we see how Spain, France and Italy, which have been especially hard hit by COVID 19, are the European countries whose population plans more local vacations than the rest of the markets.

Obstacles to making trips

Health Risks, as well as Mobility Restrictions, are the main brakes when traveling for Spaniards.

If we compare with the rest of the markets, it seems that the Travel Restrictions slow down the Spanish significantly more than the markets as a whole.

In view of the following table, the differences that the different generations present with respect to the factors that are limiting them from traveling in this last year become clear.

It is clear that the younger generations have more budget “problems”, while the brakes for the older generations focus on health risks or possible mobility restrictions.

who visit us

COVID 19 has caused important changes in the intention of foreign tourists to visit our country. The constant variations in restrictions, quarantines both when entering Spain and when returning, have generated fluctuations in the intention to visit, as the following graph will show us

The first thing that draws attention is the behavior of our French neighbors, who since February 2021 have followed an increasing trend of intention to visit our country, which has led them to unseat the British as an issuing market for the first time, relegating them to second place in importance, a fact that has been confirmed by official market data.

who we visit

Of the more than 40 markets that are studied in DestinationIndex in Spain, during 2021 Sweden holds the number 1 for the Spanish, in terms of consideration as a tourist destination, followed by Greece and in third place by Italy.

It is striking that nine of the first ten countries considered as destinations are European and that, only in tenth place in the ranking, we find the United States of America.

If we talk about preference, the ranking of destinations maintains the same structure, except for the United States, which rises three positions and is placed immediately behind the United Kingdom.

Doing a simple conversion exercise between consideration and preference, Sweden and Greece are the markets that best convert “idea” and “desire” and Portugal and France, -perhaps due to proximity and ease of access-, those with a lower conversion ratio .

These are just a series of examples of the possibilities of analysis and exploitation of results from DestinationIndex tracking, as well as from the Global Travel Profiles market information platform , which are already being used by the largest players in the industry, both local and international. .

(YouGov Spain)
January 17, 2022

Source: https://es.yougov.com/news/2022/01/17/la-industria-del-turismo/

 

725-726-43-25/Polls

1 Out Of 2 Spaniards Would Choose Vegan Options A Couple Of Times A Week

During the past January 2021, more than half a million people from more than 200 countries and regions around the world participated in the Veganuary movement . So much so, that the share of vegan orders grew by 80% compared to the previous year according to data from the Just Eat Gastrometer , an annual study of food delivery in Spain. In this way, to support "Veganuary", the company has carried out a survey together with IPSOS Digital, in which it seeks to provide data on Spaniards when following a plant-based diet.

From Just Eat, we want to join the Veganuary movement to give visibility to plant-based food and give voice to this initiative in Spain", says Laura Spínola, Brand PR Manager for Spain and Portugal. "The variety in home delivery food is becoming more remarkable and it is worth showing the public the large number of options that can be accessed through delivery. In this way, we can enrich our diet with a greater diversity of dishes , at the same time that we can contribute our grain of sand to improve the planet. ", concludes Spínola.

Veganism to the test: 1 out of 2 Spaniards would choose vegan options a couple of times a week

While 48% of those surveyed already claim to consume vegetable dishes a couple of times a week and 30% do so every day; More than half of Spaniards who consume mainly animal products in their diet say they are willing to give them up and eat vegan a couple of times a week , followed by 24% who would do so every day. Even so, and despite the fact that 47% of Spaniards state that they have considered following a vegan or vegetarian diet at some time but have not yet decided, only 9% declare themselves purely vegan or vegetarian.

Furthermore, if they had the option of a vegan alternative, 45% of Spaniards say they would prefer it over the rest. In this sense, the products that Spaniards would most like to find as vegan alternatives are meat at 46%, cheese at 36% and chocolate and other sweets at 31%.

Almost 5 out of 10 Spaniards see the price as the main drawback to following a vegan diet

The most important reason why Spaniards do not follow a vegan diet is the price (48%) followed by missing the taste of food (45%) and the difficulties of eating out (35%) or buy in a supermarket (23%). Meanwhile, only 18% of those surveyed believe that ordering food is more complicated when following a vegan diet.

On the other hand, 37% of those surveyed say they feel that they are not familiar with the nutritional value of their dishes, which is a problem when following a vegan diet; while 60% describe the vegan or plant-based dishes they usually eat as healthy and nutrient-rich dishes.

71% of Spaniards consider that following a vegan diet is better for the environment

A conscious approach to nutrition is becoming more important for more people. For this reason, according to the survey, 7 out of 10 Spaniards affirm that a vegan diet contributes to improving the environment ; 56% think a vegan diet is better for ethical reasons; 61% agree with the statement that a vegan diet is healthier and, finally, 53% think that a purely plant-based diet is better for ethical and/or environmental protection reasons, but are not yet willing to follow a purely vegan diet.

80% more home delivery orders for vegan dishes in 2021

Despite the limitations that still exist for Spaniards when it comes to following a completely vegan diet, this survey shows a great willingness to do without animal products, at least in part. This trend is also confirmed by figures from the recent study published by Just Eat, the Gastrometer 2021 . The report shows that during the past year, 80% more vegan dishes were ordered, and 50% more vegetarian dishes, compared to the previous year. Among the most requested vegetarian dishes on the platform, the vegetarian hamburger, the vegetable cream and the vegetarian tripe, occupied the three main positions. Meanwhile, the preferences for vegan dishes placed the wrap with guacamole and vegan cheese, the samosas and the hamburger as the star dishes.

12% of Spaniards affirm, according to the survey, that when ordering food at home they always take into account the availability of vegan/vegetarian food when choosing a restaurant, while 42% take it into account sometimes and 46% who never take it into account.

When it comes to ordering food at home, Spaniards miss vegan alternatives for homemade dishes (49%). Nearly a third (39%) would like to see more animal-free options in fast food; a quarter would like to see these alternatives in international cuisine and 22% would expect more vegan substitutes in desserts and sweets. In addition, 1 in 10 Spaniards look for more vegan options around haute cuisine.

During the past 2021, 14% of Spaniards ordered vegetarian food at home while 30% considered doing so but did not finally carry it out.

Almost half of Spaniards (48%) are sometimes influenced by their environment with regard to food

The decision for or against a certain type of diet does not only depend on their own convictions, but for 8% of Spaniards, the food choices of the people around them are fundamental and always influence theirs. On the other hand, the environment only has an influence on some occasions for 48% of those surveyed and never has an influence for 44%.

While 70% state that they know people who are vegan or vegetarian, only 4% indicate that almost all of their relatives are vegan or vegetarian.

Since 2014, the Veganuary initiative has helped people around the world try a plant-based diet and has collaborated with numerous companies to make the vegan product offering more diverse and easily accessible, including Just Eat.

(Ipsos Spain)

18 January 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/es-es/1-de-cada-2-espanoles-elegiria-opciones-veganas-un-par-de-veces-la-semana

 

NORTH AMERICA

725-726-43-26/Polls

Americans Say They Read An Average Of 12.6 Books During The Past Year

Americans say they read an average of 12.6 books during the past year, a smaller number than Gallup has measured in any prior survey dating back to 1990. U.S. adults are reading roughly two or three fewer books per year than they did between 2001 and 2016.

https://content.gallup.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Cms/POLL/xynpjcae4eowv3upq8nv1g.png

Line graph. Trend in average number of books Americans say they read in the past year. The 12.6 average for 2021 is down from 15.6 in 2016 and lower than any other year Gallup asked the question, including 14.2 in 2005, 15.8 in 2002, 14.5 in 2001, 18.5 in 1999 and 15.3 in 1990.

The results are based on a Dec. 1-16 Gallup poll, which updated a trend question on book reading. The question asks Americans to say how many books they "read, either all or part of the way through" in the past year. Interviewers are instructed to include all forms of books, including printed books but also electronic books and audiobooks, when entering the respondent's answer.

The decline in book reading is mostly a function of how many books readers are reading, as opposed to fewer Americans reading any books. The 17% of U.S. adults who say they did not read any books in the past year is similar to the 16% to 18% measured in 2002 to 2016 surveys, though it is higher than in the 1999 to 2001 polls.

The drop is fueled by a decline in the percentage of Americans reading more than 10 books in the past year. Currently, 27% report that they read more than 10 books, down eight percentage points since 2016 and lower than every prior measure by at least four points.

https://content.gallup.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Cms/POLL/bbuuftffv0qt9jwagnuhag.png

Line graph. Trend in number of books Americans say they read in the past year. In 2021, 17% of U.S. adults said they read no books in the past year, about the same percentage as in the prior reading in 2016 and similar to most readings since 1990. At the same time, there was a decline in the number reading more than 10 books, from 35% in 2016 to 27% in 2021. That decrease was offset by an increase in the percentage reading 1 to 5 books, from 34% to 40%. The percentage reading six to 10 books was steady at 15%.

The reasons for the decline in book reading are unclear, with Americans perhaps finding other ways to entertain themselves. It is uncertain whether concerns about COVID or COVID-related restrictions are leading to a decline in visits to libraries or bookstores, similar to the documented declines in air travel and movie theater attendance Gallup found in the same poll. However, unlike those activities, for reading, Americans can order books or download electronic books or audiobooks without leaving their homes.

College Graduates Show Steep Decline in Book Readership

Americans in most major subgroups are reading fewer books now than in the past. This is based on a comparison of the 2021 results to an average of those from the three polls conducted between 2002 and 2016. During those years, Americans read an average of 15.2 books a year.

The decline is greater among subgroups that tended to be more avid readers, particularly college graduates but also women and older Americans. College graduates read an average of about six fewer books in 2021 than they did between 2002 and 2016, 14.6 versus 21.1.

In the past, women read close to twice as many books as men did, but the gap has narrowed as the average U.S. woman read 15.7 books last year, compared with 19.3 between 2002 and 2016. Over the same period, men's readership declined by barely one book, to 9.5.

Older adults traditionally read a lot more than younger adults did, but that difference has vanished, with Americans aged 55 and older dropping from an average of 16.7 books read a year to 12, while there has been little change in the average number read by those younger than 55.

Change in Average Number of Books Read, by Subgroup, 2002-2016 versus 2021

2002-2016

2021

Change

U.S. adults

15.2

12.6

-2.6

Gender

Men

10.8

9.5

-1.3

Women

19.3

15.7

-3.6

Age

18-34 years

13.8

13.0

-0.8

35-54 years

14.2

12.5

-1.7

55+ years

16.7

12.0

-4.7

College graduate

Yes

21.1

14.6

-6.5

No

12.6

11.5

-1.1

GALLUP

Again, reduced book reading among these groups is more a function of fewer people reading larger numbers of books than fewer in the subgroup reading at all. Between 2002 and 2016, close to half of college graduates (48%) read more than 10 books in a year. Last year, 35% of college graduates read more than 10 books.

Similarly, the percentage of older adults reading more than 10 books fell from 34% to 24%, while the percentage of women reading that many books dropped from 41% to 32%.

Bottom Line

Reading appears to be in decline as a favorite way for Americans to spend their free time. In 2020, a few months into the COVID-19 pandemic, when many Americans were still reluctant to leave their homes, Gallup found 6% of U.S. adults naming reading as their favorite way to spend an evening, down from 12% in 2016. Since Gallup first asked the question in 1960, at least 10% of Americans had identified reading as their favorite evening activity in all but one survey.

The new data on book reading reinforce that the popularity of reading is waning, with Americans reading an average of three fewer books last year than they did five years ago and had typically read for the past three decades. The decline is not because fewer Americans are reading at all -- a percentage that has held steady at 17% -- but because Americans who do read are reading fewer books. The changes are especially pronounced among the most voracious book readers, namely, college graduates, women and older Americans.

It is unclear from these data if the declines in book readership are occurring because of a lack of interest in books, a lack of time to read books, or perhaps COVID-19-related disruptions in lifestyle activities or access to books. It is also uncertain at this point whether the declines in book reading mark a temporary change or a more permanent one.

(Gallup)

JANUARY 10, 2022

Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/388541/americans-reading-fewer-books-past.aspx

 

725-726-43-27/Polls

Volunteer Activity And Donations See A Decline Among All Income Groups Than Before The Pandemic

Eighty-one percent of Americans say they donated money to a religious or other charitable organization in the past year, and 56% volunteered time to such an organization. After dipping in April 2020 during the early stages of the pandemic, charitable donations have rebounded and are essentially back to the level measured in 2013 and 2017 surveys.

Volunteer activity also dropped in 2020 but, in contrast to charitable giving, remains lower than it was in pre-pandemic surveys. While lower today than in recent years, the rate of volunteering has been at its current level in the past, most notably during the Great Recession.

Charity1

Line graph. Trends in U.S. Adults' Charitable Activities. 81 percent of U.S. adults say they donated money to a religious or other charitable organization in the past 12 months, up from 73% in 2020 and similar to the 83% figures measured in 2013 and 2017. The percentage donating was typically above 80% before 2013 but dipped to 79% in 2009. 56 percent of U.S. adults say they volunteered their time to a religious or other charitable organization in the past year, similar to the 58% who did so in 2020, but lower than the 64% in 2017 and 65% in 2013. Volunteer rates were similar to what they are now in 2003 at 59%, 2008 at 58% and 55% in 2009, but were 60% or higher in 2001 and 2005.

The decline in donations was seen among all income groups in 2020, but more so among those in lower- and middle-income households. Charitable donations are back up among those in all income brackets, with upper-income Americans now returning to pre-pandemic rates. Giving rates among lower- and middle-income Americans are only slightly below where they were in 2017.

Volunteer activity is also lower now among all income groups than before the pandemic

Changes in Charitable Activities by Annual Household Income, 2017-2021

2017

2020

2021

%

%

%

Donated money

$100,000 or more

92

87

92

$40,000 to $99,999

90

78

84

Less than $40,000

73

56

68

Volunteered time

$100,000 or more

76

75

68

$40,000 to $99,999

71

58

59

Less than $40,000

49

44

42

GALLUP

Gallup has asked about charitable activities periodically since 2001, usually in December surveys, including the most recent Dec. 1-16 poll. Each respondent is asked about their donations and volunteering for religious organizations, and separately, for any other charitable cause or organization.

No Recovery in Donating to Religious Organizations

With respect to donations, the bounce back from 2020 appears to be confined mostly to secular giving. Forty-four percent of Americans say they gave money to religious organizations in the past year, unchanged from 2020, which was the lowest in Gallup's trend by a significant margin.

Meanwhile, 74% say they gave money to another charitable cause, up from 64% a year ago and essentially the same as the 75% who did so in 2013 and 2017.

Over time, as formal church membership has declined, so too have donations to religious organizations. The 44% of U.S. adults donating to a religious organization nearly matches the 47% who belong to a church, synagogue, mosque or temple.

Charity2_2

Line graph. Trend in monetary donations to charitable organizations. In 2021, 44% said they had donated money to a religious organization, unchanged from 2020 and the lowest in Gallup's trend. Before 2000, no fewer than 52% of U.S. adults had donated to a religious organization, and in 2005 and before, at least six in 10 had. Monetary donations to nonreligious organizations have not shown the same long-term decline but did fall in 2020 to 64% from 75% in both 2013 and 2017. In 2021, 74% of U.S. adults say they had donated money to a nonreligious cause in the past 12 months.

Volunteering is not yet back to pre-pandemic levels for either religious organizations or other charities. Thirty-five percent of Americans report volunteering for a religious organization in the past year, down slightly from 38% in 2020 and well below the 44% from 2017. The current figure is the lowest in Gallup's trend, although not meaningfully different from 37% readings in 2008 and 2009.

Forty-seven percent of Americans say they volunteered their time for a secular charity in the past year. That is slightly higher than the 43% measured in 2020 but still down from 50% in 2017.

Charity3

Line graph. Trend in volunteering time to charitable organizations. In 2021, 35% said they had volunteered time to a religious organization in the past 12 months. That compares with a 38% reading in 2020 and a 44% reading in 2017. In many years, more than four in 10 Americans said they volunteered for a religious organization, with the percentages below that level only in 2008 and 2009 and the past two years. Volunteering for a nonreligious organization recovered somewhat in 2021, to 47% from 43% in 2020, but remains below the 50% from 2017 and 49% from 2013.

Bottom Line

Amid economic uncertainty and restrictions on public activity in the initial stages of the pandemic, Americans' charitable activity declined. More than a year later, monetary charitable donations are mostly back to their pre-pandemic levels, while volunteerism still lags.

The increase in donations is consistent with Americans' intentions in the 2020 Gallup survey when more U.S. adults said they planned to increase (25%) rather than decrease (7%) the amount of money they gave to charity in the coming year. Two-thirds planned to maintain their level of giving.

Donating may have been aided by the growth in income for Americans in 2020 and 2021, from government payments designed to boost the economy and savings from reductions in spending on travelentertainment and other public activities.

A recovery in volunteering may be more elusive as concerns about COVID-19 exposure and public health safety measures limit Americans' willingness and ability to perform volunteer work. While there was hope earlier in 2021 that COVID-19 vaccines would allow Americans to return to their normal activities, the unpredictable nature of the virus and emergence of new variants has forced leaders and citizens to reconsider when -- or if -- the pandemic will end.

(Gallup)

JANUARY 11, 2022

Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/388574/charitable-donations-rebound-volunteering-down.aspx

 

725-726-43-28/Polls

Share Of Those 65 And Older Who Are Tech Users Has Grown In The Past Decade

Younger adults are often more likely than their elders to be earlier adopters of innovations, and that has been true for many digital technologies since Pew Research Center began documenting their use. There are still notable differences in tech use between U.S. adults under 30 and those 65 and older. But on several fronts, adoption of key technologies by those in the oldest age group has grown markedly since about a decade ago, and the gap between the oldest and youngest adults has narrowed, according to new analysis of a Center survey conducted in 2021. 

A line graph showing that smartphone ownership and social media use among older adults continue to grow

The survey found that 96% of those ages 18 to 29 own a smartphone compared with 61% of those 65 and older, a 35 percentage point difference. However, that gap has decreased from 53 points in 2012. The survey also showed that 95% of those ages 30 to 49 reported owning a smartphone in 2021 and 83% of those 50 to 64 said the same.

Similarly, those 65 and older also were the least likely to say they use social media sites like Facebook, Twitter or Instagram in the most recent survey. Some 45% reported using social media, compared with 84% of those ages 18 to 29 and 81% of those 30 to 49. At the same time, presence on social media among Americans 65 and older grew about fourfold since 2010, while use by the youngest adults remained relatively constant in that time frame. Since 2010, the gap between adults under 30 and adults 65 and older shrank from 71 points to 39 points.

Ownership of tablet computers is a somewhat different situation. Those ages 30 to 49 were the most likely people to own one in 2021. Roughly six-in-ten (61%) said they currently owned a tablet. That compares with 53% of those ages 50 to 64 who have a tablet, 46% of those 18 to 29 and 44% of those 65 and older.

When it comes to internet use, virtually all adults ages 18 to 29 now say they use the internet (99%). A similar share of those 30 to 49 (98%) say the same. And 96% of those 50 to 64 use the internet, compared with 75% of those 65 and older who report being internet users. In 2000, the gap between the oldest and youngest groups of adults in internet use was 56 percentage points; it now is 24 points. There are also gaps between older adults and some of their younger counterparts when it comes to home broadband: 64% of those ages 65 and older have such connections now, compared with 86% of those 30 to 49 and 79% of those 50 to 64. (The share of adults under 30 who have home broadband – 70% – is statistically similar to that for adults 65 and older.)

A bar chart showing that roughly half of those ages 18 to 29 say they are almost constantly online

There are notable differences between age groups when measuring the frequency of internet use. Some 48% of those ages 18 to 29 said they were online “almost constantly,” compared with 22% of those 50 to 64 and 8% of those 65 and older.

Among sites and apps specifically asked about in the survey, YouTube tops the list in the share of adults using it, and the platform has gained traction among older adults. From 2019 to 2021, the share of Americans ages 50 to 64 who said they ever used YouTube increased from 70% to 83%. Among those 65 and older, YouTube use increased from 38% to 49% – gains of 13 and 11 points respectively. By contrast, the share of those using YouTube has remained fairly stable within younger age groups during the same period, with vast majorities saying they use the platform.              

(PEW)

JANUARY 13, 2022

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/01/13/share-of-those-65-and-older-who-are-tech-users-has-grown-in-the-past-decade/

 

725-726-43-29/Polls

Some Gender Disparities Widened In The U S Workforce During The Pandemic

The COVID-19 recession resulted in a steep but transitory contraction in employment, with greater job losses among women than men. The recovery began in April 2020 and is not complete. As of the third quarter of 2021, the labor force ages 25 and older remains nearly 2 million below its level in the same quarter of 2019.

The pandemic is associated with an increase in some gender disparities in the labor market. Among adults 25 and older who have no education beyond high school, more women have left the labor force than men. Other disparities have stayed the same or even narrowed: The gender pay gap has remained steady, for example, and the difference in the average hours worked by men and women has slightly diminished.

Overall, the number of women ages 25 and older in the labor force has fallen 1.3% since the third quarter of 2019, similar to the 1.1% decline of men in the labor force.

 

But this modest overall change obscures divergent outcomes for lA chart showing that among less-educated adults, the labor force decline has been greater for women than men from 2019 to 2021

Labor force members with different levels of education. Women who have no education beyond high school exited the labor force in greater numbers than similarly educated men. However, the pandemic has not interrupted the long-running gains of women among the college-educated labor force.

From the third quarter of 2019 to the same quarter of 2021, the number of women in the labor force who are not high school graduates decreased 12.8%, dwarfing the 4.9% contraction among comparably educated men. The pandemic also disproportionately affected women with a high school diploma. The ranks of women in the high-school-educated labor force have declined 6.0% since the third quarter of 2019. The labor force of similarly educated men has fallen only 1.8%.

Among the labor force with at least some amount of education beyond high school, women have fared at least as well as men. The number of men and women in the labor force who have some college experience but not a bachelor’s degree has contracted for both groups, with no strong disparities between the two. Both men and women with at least a bachelor’s degree saw positive gains in the labor force (2.7% and 3.9%, respectively) from 2019 to 2021.

What accounts for the larger labor force withdrawals among less-educated women than men during the pandemic? It is complex but there seems to be a consensus that it partly reflects how women are overrepresented in certain health care, food preparation and personal service occupations that were sharply curtailed at the start of the pandemic. Although women overall are more likely than men to be able to work remotely, they are disproportionately employed in occupations that require them to work on-site and in close proximity to others.

It is less clear whether women’s parental roles and limited child care and schooling options have played a large role in forcing them to exit the labor market. The number of mothers and fathers in the labor force has declined in similar fashion over the past two years.

A chart showing that on average, men are working fewer hours in paid jobs since 2019, but women’s hours are unchanged

Turning to the number of hours employees work per week, on average, there have been small changes associated with the pandemic and they have occurred among men. In the third quarter of 2021, women ages 25 and older worked 37.5 hours on average in paid employment, unchanged from how much they worked two years earlier. Men ages 25 and older worked 41.6 hours on average in the third quarter of 2021. That is 0.7 fewer hours than they worked pre-pandemic (42.2). So, the disparity in hours of paid employment between women and men workers has somewhat narrowed.

The pandemic is also not associated with a widening of the gender pay gap. Among full- and part-time workers ages 25 and older, women earned 86% of what men earned based on median hourly earnings in the third quarter of 2021. Two years ago, the estimated gender pay gap was 85%.

A chart showing that the gender pay gap has not widened during the pandemic

The overall pay gap partly reflects that employed women have higher levels of education than employed men. In 2021, 48% of women workers ages 25 and older had completed at least a bachelor’s degree compared with 40% of men. Workers with at least a bachelor’s degree tend to earn more and thus women’s earnings are boosted by their greater educational attainment. The gender pay gap is greater when you look at groups of women and men with equal levels of education. The gap depends on the education level, but in 2021 women ages 25 and older earned closer to 80 cents on the dollar compared with equally educated men.

(PEW)

JANUARY 14, 2022

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/01/14/some-gender-disparities-widened-in-the-u-s-workforce-during-the-pandemic/

 

725-726-43-30/Polls

On Average, Americans' Political Party Preferences In 2021 Looked Similar To Prior Years

On average, Americans' political party preferences in 2021 looked similar to prior years, with slightly more U.S. adults identifying as Democrats or leaning Democratic (46%) than identified as Republicans or leaned Republican (43%).

However, the general stability for the full-year average obscures a dramatic shift over the course of 2021, from a nine-percentage-point Democratic advantage in the first quarter to a rare five-point Republican edge in the fourth quarter.

https://content.gallup.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Cms/POLL/lgcee9uipekjsow90933fa.png

Line graph. Quarterly averages of U.S. party identification and leaning in 2021. In the first quarter of 2021, 49% of U.S. adults identified as Democrats or leaned Democratic, while 40% identified as Republicans or leaned Republican. In the second quarter, 49% were Democrats or Democratic leaners, and 43% were Republicans and Republican leaners. In the third quarter, 45% were Democrats and Democratic leaners, and were 44% Republicans and Republican leaners. In the fourth quarter, 42% were Democrats and Democratic leaners, and 47% were Republicans and Republican leaners.

These results are based on aggregated data from all U.S. Gallup telephone surveys in 2021, which included interviews with more than 12,000 randomly sampled U.S. adults.

Gallup asks all Americans it interviews whether they identify politically as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent. Independents are then asked whether they lean more toward the Republican or Democratic Party. The combined percentage of party identifiers and leaners gives a measure of the relative strength of the two parties politically.

Both the nine-point Democratic advantage in the first quarter and the five-point Republican edge in the fourth quarter are among the largest Gallup has measured for each party in any quarter since it began regularly measuring party identification and leaning in 1991.

  • The Democratic lead in the first quarter was the largest for the party since the fourth quarter of 2012, when Democrats also had a nine-point advantage. Democrats held larger, double-digit advantages in isolated quarters between 1992 and 1999 and nearly continuously between mid-2006 and early 2009.
  • The GOP has held as much as a five-point advantage in a total of only four quarters since 1991. The Republicans last held a five-point advantage in party identification and leaning in early 1995, after winning control of the House of Representatives for the first time since the 1950s. Republicans had a larger advantage only in the first quarter of 1991, after the U.S. victory in the Persian Gulf War led by then-President George H.W. Bush.

Party Preference Shifts Follow Changes in Presidential Approval

Shifting party preferences in 2021 are likely tied to changes in popularity of the two men who served as president during the year. Republican Donald Trump finished out his single term in January, after being defeated in the 2020 election, with a 34% job approval rating, the lowest of his term. His popularity fell more than 10 points from Election Day 2020 as the country's COVID-19 infections and deaths reached then-record highs, he refused to acknowledge the result of the election, and his supporters rioted at the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, in an attempt to prevent Congress from counting the 2020 Electoral College votes.

Democrat Joe Biden enjoyed relatively high ratings after taking office on Jan. 20, and his approval stayed high through the early summer as COVID-19 infections dramatically decreased after millions of Americans got vaccinated against the disease. A summer surge of infections tied to the delta variant of the coronavirus made it clear the pandemic was not over in the U.S., and Biden's approval ratings began to sag. Later, the chaotic U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan caused Biden's ratings to fall further, into the low 40s. His ratings remain low as the U.S. battles rising inflation and yet another surge of COVID-19 infections, tied to the omicron variant of the virus.

With Trump's approval rating at a low point and Biden relatively popular in the first quarter, 49% of Americans identified as Democrats or leaned Democratic, compared with 40% who were Republicans or Republican leaners.

In the second quarter, Democratic affiliation stayed high, while Republican affiliation began to recover, increasing to 43%.

The third quarter saw a decline in Democratic identification and leaning, from 49% to 45%, as Biden's ratings began to falter, while there was no meaningful change in Republican affiliation.

In the fourth quarter, party support flipped as Republicans made gains, from 44% to 47%, and Democratic affiliation fell from 45% to 42%. These fourth-quarter shifts coincided with strong GOP performances in 2021 elections, including a Republican victory in the Virginia gubernatorial election and a near-upset of the Democratic incumbent governor in New Jersey. Biden won both states by double digits in the 2020 election.

The GOP advantage may be starting to ease, however, as Gallup's latest monthly estimate, from December, showed the two parties about even -- 46% Republican/Republican leaning and 44% Democratic/Democratic leaning.

2021 Shifts Occurred Among Both Core Party Identifiers and Less Attached Leaners

The shifts in party affiliation in each quarter of 2021 were apparent in both the percentage identifying with each party and the percentage of independents leaning to each party, but with more changes among leaners than identifiers.

Between the first and fourth quarters, the percentage of Democratic identifiers decreased by two points, while the percentage of Democratic-leaning independents dropped five points. Republican identification increased by three points from the beginning to the end of 2021, while Republican leaners increased by four points.

Changes in Party Identification and Leaning, by Quarter, 2021

In politics, as of today, do you consider yourself -- [a Republican, a Democrat] -- or an independent? // As of today, do you lean more to the -- [Democratic Party or the Republican Party]?

2021-I

2021-II

2021-III

2021-IV

%

%

%

%

Democrat

30

31

28

28

Democratic-leaning independent

19

18

17

14

Non-leaning independent

10

5

8

9

Republican-leaning independent

15

17

16

19

Republican

25

26

28

28

Percentage with no opinion not shown

GALLUP

Democrats Usually Hold an Advantage, and Did So in 2021

When all the 2021 shifts are netted out, the Democrats' average three-point advantage for the entirety of the year is only slightly smaller than they had in recent years. Democrats held five- or six-point advantages in party affiliation each year between 2016 and 2020, and three-point edges in 2014 and 2015.

Gallup began regularly measuring party leaning in 1991, and in most years, significantly more Americans have identified as Democrats or as independents who lean Democratic than as Republicans or Republican leaners. The major exception was 1991, when Republicans held a 48% to 44% advantage in party identification and leaning. From 2001 through 2003 and in 2010 and 2011, the parties had roughly equal levels of support.

 https://content.gallup.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Cms/POLL/h9n2s0qhku-xz-tl9dailq.png

Line graph. Yearly averages of U.S. party identification and leaning between 1991 and 2021. In most years, more Americans have identified as Democrats or leaned Democratic than have identified as Republican or leaned Republican. Republicans had an advantage only in 1991, 48% to 44%. Democrats' largest advantage was in 2008, 52% to 40%.

Independents Are Still the Largest Political Group in the U.S.

Regardless of which party has an advantage in party affiliation, over the past three decades, presidential elections have generally been competitive, and party control of the U.S. House of Representatives and Senate has changed hands numerous times. This is partly because neither party can claim a very high share of core supporters -- those who identify with the party -- as the largest proportion of Americans identify initially as political independents.

Overall in 2021, an average of 29% of Americans identified as Democrats, 27% as Republicans and 42% as independents. Roughly equal proportions of independents leaned to the Democratic Party (17%) and to the Republican Party (16%).

The percentage of independent identifiers is up from 39% in 2020, but similar to the 41% measured in 2019. Gallup has often seen a decrease in independents in a presidential election year and an increase in the year after.

The broader trend toward an increasing share of political independents has been clear over the past decade, with more Americans viewing themselves as independents than did so in the late 1980s through 2000s. At least four in 10 Americans have considered themselves independents in all years since 2011, except for the 2016 and 2020 presidential election years. Before 2011, independent identification had never reached 40%.

https://content.gallup.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Cms/POLL/4pu9xgkg_ks-tp_mjld5dq.png

Line graph. Annual averages in party identification, 1988 through 2021. Since 1998, more Americans have typically identified as Democrats than as Republicans. Over the past decade, independents have significantly outnumbered supporters of either party.

Bottom Line

The year 2021 was an eventful one in politics, after a similarly eventful 2020 that also saw major shifts in party preferences. In early 2021, Democratic strength reached levels not seen in nearly a decade. By the third quarter, those Democratic gains evaporated as Biden's job approval declined. The political winds continued to become more favorable to Republicans in the fourth quarter, giving the GOP an advantage over Democrats larger than any they had achieved in more than 25 years.

The final monthly survey of 2021 showed the parties at roughly even strength, although that still represents a departure from the historical norm of the Democratic Party's having at least a slight advantage in party affiliation.

With control of the House of Representatives and Senate at stake in this year's midterm elections, party preferences will be a key indicator of which party will be better positioned to gain majorities in the next session of Congress.

(Gallup)

JANUARY 17, 2022

Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/388781/political-party-preferences-shifted-greatly-during-2021.aspx

 

725-726-43-31/Polls

A Growing Share Of Americans (49%) Say Affordable Housing Is A Major Problem Where They Live

Prospective homebuyers and renters across the United States have seen prices surge and supply plummet during the coronavirus pandemic. Amid these circumstances, about half of Americans (49%) say the availability of affordable housing in their local community is a major problem, up 10 percentage points from early 2018, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted in October 2021.

A bar chart showing that younger Americans, urban residents, and those with lower incomes are more likely to express concern about the availability of affordable housing

Another 36% of U.S. adults said in the fall that affordable housing availability is a minor problem in their community, while just 14% said it is not a problem.

Americans’ concerns about the availability of affordable housing have outpaced worries about other local issues. The percentage of adults who say this is a major problem where they live is larger than the shares who say the same about drug addiction (35%), the economic and health impacts of COVID-19 (34% and 26%, respectively) and crime (22%).

Opinions on the question of housing affordability differ by a variety of demographic factors, including income, race and ethnicity, and age. A majority of adults living in lower-income households (57%) say availability of affordable housing is a major issue in their community, larger than the shares of those in middle- (47%) or upper-income households (42%) who say it is a major problem.

Fewer than half of White adults (44%) say that availability of affordable housing is a major problem where they live – lower than the shares of Black (57%), Hispanic and Asian American adults (both 55%) who say the same.

Adults under 50 are more likely than their older counterparts to say affordable housing availability is a major problem locally. More than half of adults ages 18 to 29 and 30 to 49 say this (55% in both age groups), compared with smaller shares of those 50 to 64 and those 65 and older (44% and 39%, respectively).

Americans’ perceptions of this issue also vary based on where they live. About six-in-ten U.S. adults living in urban areas (63%) say that the availability of affordable housing in their community is a major problem, compared with 46% of suburban residents and 40% of those living in rural areas.

Regardless of income level, city dwellers generally tend to view affordable housing availability as a bigger issue than those living in the suburbs or rural areas. Two-thirds of urban adults with lower household incomes (66%) say affordable housing in their area is a major problem, compared with 56% of suburban dwellers with lower incomes and 52% of those with lower incomes living in rural areas. Among upper-income adults, 58% of those living in urban areas say housing affordability is a major problem, compared with 43% of upper-income Americans living in suburban places and 25% of upper-income rural residents.

There are also regional differences. Around seven-in-ten Americans living in the West (69%) say affordable housing availability is a major problem locally. This compares with 49% of Northeasterners, 44% of Americans in the South and 33% of those living in the Midwest.

A rising share of Americans say affordable housing in their area is a major issue

Since 2018, there have been increases across demographic groups in the shares who say that the availability of affordable housing in their community is a major problem. For example, 55% of adults under 30 now say this is a major problem – a 16 percentage point rise from the 39% who said so in 2018. The share of adults ages 30 to 49 who hold this view has also risen from 42% in 2018 to 55% last year.

About six-in-ten Democrats and independents who lean to the Democratic Party (59%) said in 2021 that affordable housing availability is a major problem in their community, compared with 36% of Republicans and GOP-leaning independents.

A chart showing that Americans living in urban areas are more likely to see affordable housing availability locally as a major problem, regardless of party affiliation

These partisan differences remain when looking separately at those who live in urban, suburban and rural communities. Among urban residents, two-thirds of Democrats (67%) see the availability of affordable housing locally as a major problem, compared with 54% of Republicans in urban areas. In suburban or rural communities, smaller majorities of Democrats hold this view (56% in the suburbs and 54% in rural places), compared with around a third of Republicans in those areas (35% and 31%, respectively).

(PEW)

JANUARY 18, 2022

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022/01/18/a-growing-share-of-americans-say-affordable-housing-is-a-major-problem-where-they-live/

 

725-726-43-32/Polls

One-In-Ten Black People Living In The U S Are Immigrants

The Black population of the United States is diverse, growing and changing. The foreign-born segment of this population has played an important role in this growth over the past four decades and is projected to continue doing so in future years.

Bar and line chart showing Black immigrant population climbs to 4.6 million and is projected to reach 9.5 million by 2060

Roughly 4.6 million, or one-in-ten, Black people in the U.S. were born in a different country as of 2019, up from 3% in 1980. By 2060, the U.S. Census Bureau projects that this number will increase to 9.5 million, or more than double the current level (the Census Bureau only offers projections for single race groups).

Between 1980 and 2019, the nation’s Black population as a whole grew by 20 million, with the Black foreign-born population accounting for 19% of this growth. In future years, the Black immigrant population will account for roughly a third of the U.S. Black population’s growth through 2060, according to a new Pew Research Center analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data.

The Black immigrant population is also projected to outpace the U.S.-born Black population in growth. While both groups are increasing in number, the foreign-born population is projected to grow by 90% between 2020 and 2060, while the U.S.-born population is expected to grow 29% over the same time span.

Pie chart showing roughly one-in-five Black people in the U.S. are immigrants or children of Black immigrants

Migration from Africa has fueled the bulk of the growth of the Black foreign-born population from 2000 onward. In 2000, roughly 560,000 African-born Black immigrants lived in the U.S. By 2019, that number had more than tripled to over 1.9 million. And many of these immigrants are newer arrivals to America: 43% of African-born Black immigrants immigrated to the U.S. from 2010 to 2019, higher than the shares among all U.S. immigrants (25%) and Black immigrants from the Caribbean (21%), Central America (18%) and South America (24%) in the same time period.

At the same time, a notable share of Black Americans today are the offspring of immigrants. Roughly 9% of Black people are second-generation Americans – meaning they were born in the U.S., but have at least one foreign-born parent, according to a Center analysis of the March supplement of the Census Bureau’s 2019 Current Population Survey. In total, Black immigrants and their U.S.-born children account for 21% of the overall Black population. 

Bar chart showing Black immigrants differ from U.S.-born Black population, immigrants overall  on income and educational attainment

When it comes to socioeconomic factors, Black immigrants stand out from the U.S.-born Black population and the overall U.S. immigrant population on some measures, such as household income and educational attainment.

For example, a larger share of Black immigrants ages 25 and older have a college degree or higher than does the U.S.-born Black population (31% vs. 22%). However, Black immigrants are about as likely as all U.S. immigrants in the same age group to have a college degree or higher (31% and 33%, respectively).

Households headed by Black immigrants also had a higher median household income in 2019 than those headed by Black Americans born in the U.S. ($57,200 vs. $42,000), but the median household income was higher among all U.S. immigrant-headed households than it was among Black immigrant-headed households ($63,000 vs. $57,200).

Table showing among Black immigrants in 2019, those who were born in an African country are the least likely to have lived in the U.S. for more than two decades

Additionally, there are key differences among Black immigrants born in different regions of the world on measures such as marital status, citizenship, educational attainment and time living in the U.S. For example, over half of Black immigrants born in the Caribbean (56%), Central America or Mexico (59%) and South America (54%) have been in the U.S. 20 years or longer, while just a quarter of Black African immigrants have been in the country for the same time span.

When it comes to religious identity, majorities of both the Black foreign-born and U.S.-born adult populations identify as Protestant, but religious identity and beliefs – such as whether people of faith have a duty to convert nonbelievers – differ among Caribbean- and African-born Black adults.

This report explores the demographic and socioeconomic characteristics of the nation’s Black immigrant population. It also explores the origins of Black immigrants and the history of Black immigration to the U.S., as well as the religious composition of this population.

(PEW)

JANUARY 20, 2022

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/race-ethnicity/2022/01/20/one-in-ten-black-people-living-in-the-u-s-are-immigrants/

 

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Two In Three (67%) Canadians Believe That A Fully Vaccinated Population Won’t Be Enough To Stop The Spread Of Omicron

Given the speed with which the Omicron variant is spreading, two in three (67%) Canadians agree (20% strongly/47% somewhat) that they are starting to get worried that even if everyone is vaccinated we won’t be able to stop the variant’s progression, according to a new Ipsos poll conducted on behalf of Global News. Conversely, one in three (33%) disagrees (9% strongly/24% somewhat) that they have this worry. Moreover, two in three (67%) Canadians appear resigned to the fact that COVID-19 will become endemic, agreeing (24% strongly/44% somewhat) that regardless of what we do, nearly everyone in Canada will eventually catch it.

Despite these opinions, two in three (68%) still agree (41% strongly/27% somewhat) with mandatory vaccination for all Canadians who health authorities say can be safely vaccinated (unchanged since April, 2021), with men (73%) being more likely than women (64%) to agree. Canadians aged 55+ (78%) are much more supportive of mandatory vaccinations than those aged 35-54 (67%) or 18-34 (57%). Regionally, support for mandatory vaccinations is highest in Atlantic Canada (83%), followed by Saskatchewan and Manitoba (77%), Quebec (68%), British Columbia (68%), Ontario (67%) and Alberta (61%).

A strong majority (77%) of Canadians agree (54% strongly/23% somewhat) that they would take a COVID-19 booster shot without hesitation (or have already received their third dose), leaving a quarter (23%) of Canadians with some degree of hesitation (13% strongly/10% somewhat disagree). These figures mirror the findings of a May 2021 poll conducted during the initial rollout of vaccines. Those age 18-34 (34%) are most likely to disagree that they’d get a booster shot without hesitation, followed by those aged 35-54 (28%) and 55+ (10%).

A majority of Canadians (68% – 31% strongly/37% somewhat) agree that booster shots lessen the chance they will get COVID-19 and lessen the chance they will end up in the hospital with COVID-19 (76% agree – 42% strongly/35% somewhat).

While four in ten (38%) believe (16% strongly/22% somewhat) that booster shots aren’t helping much in the battle against COVID-19, a majority (62%) disagrees (28% strongly/34% somewhat) with this position. Only three in ten (29%) agree (9% strongly/19% somewhat) that the Omicron variant is no big deal (rising to 37% among those aged 18-34), while most (71%) disagree (40% strongly/32% somewhat), still recognizing it as a significant threat to Canada.

While support for vaccinations and booster shots remains high, many Canadians harbour some reservations about getting subsequent shots: a slim majority (56%) agrees that they are concerned about the potential long-term effects of taking booster shots, and how many they will need to take in the future. This concern is significantly more widespread among those aged 18-34 (66%) than those aged 35-54 (57%) or 55+ (47%).

As the pandemic continues, Canadians are as concerned about the personal inconvenience of COVID-19 as they are about the personal health implications of COVID-19:

  • Seven in ten (69%) agree (27% strongly/42% somewhat) that they are extremely worried about the inconvenience of getting COVID-19, while three in ten (31%) disagree (13% strongly/18% somewhat) that this is a concern for them.
  • The same proportion (69%) agrees (28% strongly/41% somewhat) that they are extremely worried about the health implications of getting COVID-19, while three in ten (31%) disagree (11% strongly/20% somewhat). Those aged 55+ are most worried about the health implications (78%) compared to those aged 35-54 (64%) or 18-34 (65%).

(Ipsos Canada)

21 January 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Two-Three-Canadians-Believe-Fully-Vaccinated-Population-Not-Enough-Stop-Omicron

 

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Inflation Accelerates Into Top-Three Retirement Worries Among Canadians

Inflation and its negative impact on retirement finances has catapulted into the top-three worries that Canadians have when they think about retirement, according to the RBC Financial Independence in Retirement Poll conducted by Ipsos. Three in ten (29%) place the impact of inflation on their retirement finances among their top-three retirement worries, rising to 32% and 34% among those aged 25-34 (32%) and 55+ (34%), respectively.

While having enough savings (47%) and being able to maintain their standard of living (36%) are the top-two concerns, worries about inflation beat out worries about the cost of healthcare (27%) and the chance that they could outlive their savings (25%). Worries about the impact of inflation in retirement haven’t been this high in over a decade.

Not only is inflation a cause of concern in retirement, but it is also impacting Canadians’ ability to save money. When asked what is preventing them from saving more money than they currently do, three in ten (29%) cite that their fixed expenses are too high (and likely rising further given inflation), only behind the belief that their income is too low (36%). Rounding out the top-five factors acting as a barrier to saving more are not having any money left at the end of the month (26%), unexpected expenses such as car repairs of dental work (26%) and unstable employment income (13%).

Once again, younger Canadians aged 25-34 are most likely to say that high fixed expenses prevent them from saving more (40%), compared to just 23% of those aged 55+ (23%). Moreover, younger adults are most likely (85%) to say they worry about balancing savings for their immediate priorities versus putting money away for the longer term or retirement compared to those aged 35-54 (77%) or 55+ (63%).

Many appear to have taken the pandemic as an opportunity to focus on their finances, as the poll reveals that nearly half (48%) of Canadians have a financial plan, either formal or informal. Among those who do, most (86%) express positive feelings about that plan. Furthermore, a growing proportion of Canadians report having an RRSP, a reversal of a seven-year downward trend. A majority (53%) now have an RRSP, up 7 points since last year. Within those RRSPs, Canadians increasingly have a diversified portfolio of assets, including mutual funds (36%, +6 pts), stocks (20%, +6 pts) and ETFs (11%, +4 pts).

Additional good news from the research is that more Canadians (28%, up 3 points) list building their investment portfolio as a top-three priority for them, rising to 32% among those aged 25-24, and two in ten (22%) have paid more attention to the value of their investments during the COVID-19 pandemic. While nearly half (46%) of Canadians overall say that they are willing to pay fees if it means a better return on their investments, once again those aged 25-34 take the lead (48%).

(Ipsos Canada)

21 January 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Inflation-Accelerates-Top-Three-Retirement-Worries-Canadians

 

AUSTRALIA

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ALP (56%) Increases Lead Over The L-NP (44%) In January As ‘Omicron Surge’ Causes Problems Around Australia

The swing to the ALP came as the Government struggled with a surge in cases of the highly infectious ‘Omicron strain’ of COVID-19 which was first reported in NSW in early December. Over the last month nearly two million Australians have been recorded as infected with ‘Omicron’ and the spread of the virus has forced millions of Australians into isolation either because they were infected with the virus or forced to isolate due to be a close contact of a confirmed case.

If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be elected with a similar margin to that won by Malcolm Fraser at the 1975 Federal Election (L-NCP 55.7% cf. ALP 44.3%).

Australian Federal Voting Intention: Two-Party Preferred (2019-2021)

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2022/january/8879-c1.png?la=en

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source. Average interviews per fortnight n=2,000. May 2019–Jan. 2022. Base: Australian electors 18+.

This Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention and Government Confidence was conducted via telephone and online interviewing of 2,791 Australian electors aged 18+ from January 4-16, 2022. There were 7% of electors (up 0.5% points from mid-December) who can’t say who they support.

Primary Voting Intention shows support for the ALP holding 2.5% points lead over the L-NP

Primary support for the major parties was unchanged in January with the ALP attracting the support of 37% of electors ahead of the L-NP on 34.5%. Support for the Greens was up 0.5% points to 12%.

Support for One Nation dropped 1% point to 3%, while support for Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party was unchanged at 0.5%. Support for Other Parties was down 0.5% points to 4.5% while support for Independents increased 1% point to 8.5%.

Voting Intention by State shows the ALP leading in all States – except Queensland

Voting analysis by State shows the ALP leading on a two-party preferred basis in States except Queensland – and importantly with large leads in the key States of New South Wales and Victoria.

The ALP enjoys a large lead in Victoria on 59% (up 1.5% points since mid-December) compared to the L-NP on 41% (down 1.5% points) on a two-party preferred basis. This result represents a swing of 5.9% points to the ALP in Victoria since the 2019 Federal Election.

The ALP has also increased its lead in NSW since mid-December with the ALP now on 58% (up 1.5% points since mid-December) compared to the L-NP on 42% (down 1.5% points). This result represents a swing of 10.3% points to the ALP since the 2019 Federal Election.

The only exception to the ALP’s dominance is in Queensland. The LNP holds a narrow two-party preferred lead in Queensland with the LNP on 51.5% (up 2% points since mid-December) ahead of the ALP on 48.5% (down 2% points). However, because of the LNP’s strong performance in Queensland in 2019 this result represents a swing of 6.9% points to the ALP since the 2019 Federal Election.

The situation in Western Australia is also close with the ALP on 51% (down 2% points) cf. L-NP 49% (up 2% points) on a two-party preferred basis. This result reprensents a swing of 6.6% points to the ALP since the 2019 Federal Election.

In South Australia the ALP is on 60.5% (up 0.5% points since mid-December) well ahead of the L-NP on 39.5% (down 0.5% points) on a two-party preferred basis. This represents a swing of 9.8% points to the ALP since the 2019 Federal Election. The ALP leads strongly in Tasmania with the ALP 60.5% cf. L-NP 39.5%, representing a swing of 4.5% points to the ALP since the 2019 Federal Election.

Roy Morgan Government Confidence plunged by 9.5pts to 83 in January

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating plunged by 9.5ps to 83 in January. Now only 34%  (down 5% points) of Australians say the country is ‘heading in the right direction’, while 51%, up 4.5% points, say the country is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.

However, there remains a wide divergence of almost 30pts between different States with Government Confidence above 100 only in Western Australia at 101 while being the neutral level of 100 in all five other States. Western Australia is now the only State with closed borders, and also the only State without a significant outbreak of the ‘Omicron strain’ of COVID-19. At present, WA is set to re-open its borders to the rest of Australia in just over two weeks in early February.

The State which has the least restrictions, New South Wales, once again has clearly the second highest Government Confidence Rating of 85.5, and although still well into negative territory it is above the national average.

All four of the other States have Government Confidence below the national average including Queensland (81.5), Victoria (78.5), South Australia (78.5) and Tasmania is the lowest of all on 72.5. 

Three of these States, Queensland, South Australia and Tasmania, only re-opened their borders late last year and have all seen far higher case loads of COVID-19 than they experienced at any other time during the pandemic.

Michele Levine, CEO of Roy Morgan, says the ALP has strengthened its lead over the L-NP on a two-party preferred basis as the surge of the ‘Omicron strain’ of COVID-19 over the last month has put a significant amount of stress on Australia’s economy:

“Today’s Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention shows the ALP 56% (up 0.5% points since mid-December) increasing its lead over the L-NP 44% (down 0.5% points) on a two-party preferred basis during a holiday period in which the Omicron strain of COVID-19 ‘wreaked havoc’ on Australia’s economy as it surged around much of the country.

“Since mid-December, just a month ago, almost two million Australians have contracted COVID-19 – most having caught the new Omicron strain which was first recorded in NSW in early December.

“Thankfully the surge in cases of the Omicron strain has not led to as many hospitalisations and deaths as would have occurred with previous strains of the virus, although these numbers have still increased significantly due to the sheer number of people infected with this strain.

“The surge in cases of COVID-19 over the past month has led to many problems for the Australian economy with millions of Australians forced to isolate for periods of 1-2 weeks either because they were infected with the virus or were a close contact of someone else with the virus.

“These forced isolations have played havoc with businesses and supply chains throughout the economy – even people in Western Australia have been affected by the breakdown in supply chains for delivering goods despite very few cases of COVID-19 in the State.

“The surge in the Omicron strain has also led to millions of Australians requiring COVID-19 tests since mid-December which has led to long queues at testing centres and shortages in Rapid Antigen Tests. These issues have caused further problems with many people forced to isolate because they can’t get a timely test, or test result, even if they may be unlikely to have the virus.

“The supply chain issues caused by so many Australians isolating and unable to work has led to shortages of key goods such as meat and poultry at supermarkets while fear of catching the ‘Omicron strain’ has kept many people at home – starving hospitality and retail businesses of customers. 

“The isolation forced on millions of people has had a huge impact on Australia’s employment market since early December. Although more Australians are now employed than ever before, many of the employed have been forced to isolate during this period and haven’t been able to attend work.

“This shortage of workers has helped increase overall employment as businesses take on additional staff on reduced hours to fill the gaps – which has led to a substantial increase in part-time employment of workers who would ideally like to work more hours – the under-employed. These dynamics are covered in more detail in the latest Roy Morgan employment estimates for December 2021 set to be released tomorrow.

“The good news is that the surge of cases has levelled off and appears set to decline in the next few weeks. However it will take longer still for damaged supply chains, and businesses, to return to normal and the recovery may be too late for the Government to regain lost support in the run-up to the Federal Election due in the next few months.”

(Roy Morgan)

January 20 2022

Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/8879-federal-voting-intention-january-2022-202201200425

 

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

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77% Respondents Agree Globally That 2021 Was A Bad Year For The Country; Global Advisor Predictions 2022 Survey, Carried Out By Ipsos In 32 Nations

Do you agree or disagree that 2021 was a bad year for the country? This was one of the questions in the Global Advisor Predictions 2022 survey, carried out by Ipsos in Brazil and 32 other nations. Almost nine out of ten Brazilian respondents (87%) agreed with the statement, a rate above the global average (77%).

 

The negative view of the Brazilian population over the past year is the fifth largest identified by Ipsos researchers, behind Romania (89%), South Korea (89%), Spain (89%) and Argentina (88%). Respondents from China (41%), Saudi Arabia (48%) and Denmark (58%) are the ones who least agree with the statement that the year was bad for their countries.

 

Leaving the collective sphere for the personal, many interviewees expressed another opinion: in Brazil, 70% think that the year was bad for them and their family. The index is significant and above the global average (56%), but 17 points lower compared to the negative sentiment over the last 12 months for the country.

 

Brazilians occupy the fourth position among the most disappointed with their own personal trajectories and their families throughout 2021. The population of South Africa (77%) leads the list, followed by South Korea (74%) and Turkey ( 74%). The lowest levels of dissatisfaction were identified among Chinese (39%), Swedes (40%) and Dutch (42%).

 

Optimism for 2022

 

In Brazil, as high as the feeling of negativity when looking back is that of optimism when projecting the future: 82% of respondents believe that 2022 will be better than 2021. The same percentage was recorded among those who intend to outline personal goals and resolutions to the new year. The indices exceed the global averages of 77% and 75%, respectively.

 

The bet on a stronger world economy worldwide next year contributes to positive expectations: 65% of Brazilians believe that, in this aspect, the economic performance around the planet will be better compared to 2021. The global average is 61 %.

 

Personal expectations for 2022 are highest among respondents from China (94%), Saudi Arabia (90%) and Mexico (90%). Those who least see better prospects for themselves are the Japanese (54%), Belgians (58%) and Turks (59%).

    

Vaccination in the world

 

The optimism of the Brazilian also goes through the immunization against Covid-19 on the planet. For 76% of respondents in the country, more than 80% of the world population will have received at least one dose of the vaccine in 2022. It is the fourth highest rate among the 33 countries surveyed and is 20 percentage points above the global average (56% ).

 

Peruvians are the ones who most believe in a significant advance in vaccination against Covid-19 in the world in 2022 (81%). The Swiss are the most skeptical: 55% think the world will not reach this milestone of 80% of the population with at least one first dose next year.

(Ipsos Brazil)

13 January 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/pt-br/87-dos-brasileiros-acham-que-2021-foi-um-ano-ruim-para-o-pais

 

725-726-43-37/Polls              

Pharmaceutical And Banking Companies And Governments Are Now Seen As More Trustworthy, According To Global Trustworthiness Monitor Across 29 Countries

New data from Ipsos' Global Trustworthiness Monitor reveals that pharmaceutical and banking companies and governments are now seen as more trustworthy than they were three years ago. Across 29 countries, a global country average of 31% rate pharmaceutical companies trustworthy, compared to 25% in 2018. Also, 28% say the same of banking companies (up from 20% in 2018) and 20% of their government (up from 14%). One possible explanation for the improvement could be how these sectors have acted during the course of the Covid-19 pandemic.

By comparison, the trustworthiness of technology companies has declined from 38% to 34%. However, the tech industry remains the most trusted among the nine sectors studied.

The conventional wisdom about trust is still that it is in crisis. In the first wave of the Global Trustworthiness Monitor three years ago, Ipsos challenged this viewpoint by looking at a wide range of data sources and trends from across the world. Our main conclusion then was that, at a global level, trust in most institutions, sectors and professions has been stable for a long, long time, and the changes that have occurred over the last 20 years have been slow and far from dramatic. There is no evidence to suggest that this observation does not still hold true.

Notable Country Differences

Despite being the home of many of the world’s leading technology companies, the United States is one of the few countries in which respondents are more likely to see technology companies as untrustworthy (29%) than as trustworthy (27%). The U.S. shows the largest percentage disagreeing that technology sector companies work to prevent the spread of false information (31%) which may influence their views on the trustworthiness of the sector.

Chileans are notable for their poor view of pharmaceutical companies, with just 12% saying they are trustworthy compared to 58% who say they are untrustworthy; the least favourable score for any country measured.

People in China are particularly positive about banking companies, with nearly two-thirds (63%) considering them as trustworthy compared to just one in ten (11%) who say they are untrustworthy.

Trust in media

Globally, the most trusted news sources to provide accurate information about politics and current affairs are the more traditional forms of media (newspapers, radio, television), as well as online newspapers and news websites or apps while trust in other digital sources is lower. On average, across all 29 countries surveyed, the most used media formats are online newspapers/news sites, TV and, despite being far less trusted, social media.

(Ipsos Egypt)

17 January 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-eg/global-trustworthiness-monitor-2021

 

725-726-43-38/Polls

Whose Pandemic Approach Is Better: England Or Wales

At the height of the pandemic, lockdown restrictions were much the same across England and the devolved nations of the United Kingdom. More recently however, the approaches taken by each nation have diverged.

As cases rose across the UK, the Welsh opted for several restrictions to mitigate the impact of the Omicron variant. These have included limiting gatherings to six indoors and closing nightclubs. By comparison, the “Plan B” restrictions in England are modest – limited to mandatory face coverings and recommending home working. With two different sets of approaches taking place in close proximity, which do people prefer?

The English are split over whether they prefer the approach taken in England (31%) or the one taken in Wales (32%). The Welsh, on the other hand, are much more likely to prefer the way their country is handling restrictions (60%), with only 17% of Welsh people preferring the English approach.

While English people are split on which approach they prefer, they tend to have similar views on individual policies as the Welsh. Some 55% of people in England would support closing English nightclubs, versus 33% who would oppose doing so. This is compared to 66% of Welsh people who support the policy being in place.

Another 51% of English people would support limiting indoor meetings to a maximum of six people, while two in five (40%) would oppose implementing this rule. The limit on gatherings has been in place in Wales since 26 December, with the support of 59% of Welsh people.

Approaching half of English people (49%) would also support changing the rules in England to prevent people from attending large sports and entertainment events, with 41% opposed to doing so. In Wales, such events are limited to 50 people outdoors and 30 indoors, some 59% of Welsh people say they support restrictions on large events, versus 35% who oppose them.

When it comes to restricting people from meeting in groups of more than six outdoors, just 35% of people in England would back such a rule, compared to 57% who are opposed. The rule also divides the Welsh population, 46% of whom back the rule of 6 outside and 47% who oppose it.

Despite a preference for their way of doing things, only 47% of Welsh people think the devolved governments should decide which COVID-19 measures are introduced in their region. Compared to this are 40% who would prefer for Westminster to make decisions for the United Kingdom as a whole over what restrictions are in place.

Perhaps unsurprisingly, Welsh Conservative voters are more likely to prefer the Westminster government mandate rules across the UK (61%) rather than leaving it up to the devolved nations (31%). Welsh Labour voters are more in favour of respective devolved governments (63%) making the decisions, while 24% would prefer Westminster control. 

A further 50% of Welsh people say decisions around coronavirus measures should happen simultaneously across the UK, even if some parts have different case numbers. Just over a third (37%) think areas with differing infection rates should impose different levels of restriction.

(YouGov UK)

January 18, 2022

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/health/articles-reports/2022/01/18/whose-pandemic-approach-better-england-or-wales

 

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Among the 24 countries surveyed, only six show any significant month-over-month change in their National Index score

Ipsos’ Global Consumer Confidence Index in the first month of 2022 reads at 48.6, exactly as it did in January 2020 before the COVID-19 pandemic. The global index is virtually unchanged from last month (down just two-tenths of one point) despite the rapid spread of the Omicron variant across the world.

The Global Consumer Confidence Index is the average of 24 countries’ National Indices. It is based on a monthly survey of more than 17,500 adults under the age of 75 conducted on Ipsos’ Global Advisor online platform. This survey was fielded between December 24, 2021 and January 7, 2022.

Among the 24 countries surveyed, only six show any significant month-over-month change in their National Index score (at least +/- 1.5 points) and none of these changes exceeds two points.

Globally, the Jobs, Investment, and Expectations sub-indices trend similarly. All three are showing little change from last month, at levels close to their respective January 2020 readings.

National Index Trends

The Global Consumer Confidence Index has seen little movement over the past seven months, holding steady at around 48.5. While the global average score has barely changed from last month, four countries show significant gains in their National Index scores (Hungary +1.8, Russia +1.6, South Africa +1.6, and Brazil +1.6), and two countries show significant drops (China -1.7 and Italy -1.5).

  • The nine countries with a National Index above 50 remain unchanged from December 2021: China (68.8), Saudi Arabia (64.2), Sweden (61.3), India (60.0), Australia (57.1), the United States (55.7), Germany (53.6), Canada (52.2), and Great Britain (51.5).
  • Turkey (29.3) shows a slight gain of 0.6 from last month, it remains the only country with a National Index below 35.
  • This month is the first since August when India’s National Index is not recording significant month-over-month growth. It has regained all its losses since the beginning of the pandemic and is now half a point above its January 2020 recording (59.5).
  • Eight countries now enjoy a significantly higher level of consumer confidence than they did in January 2020, pre-pandemic: Australia, Sweden, Japan, Italy, France, Spain, South Korea, and Russia.
  • In contrast, the National Index of seven countries remains significantly lower than it was then: Poland, the U.S., Brazil, Turkey, Hungary, Israel, and Argentina.

Jobs, Expectations, and Investment Index Trends

At a global level, all three sub-indices have hardly changed since last month (Jobs +0.2, Expectations -0.1, Investment +0.3). Russia, Hungary, and Brazil each show significant gains (at least + 1.5 points) from last month across two out of three sub-indices. Both China and Italy experience a significant drop across two of the three sub-indices from December 2021.

  • The global Jobs Index, currently sitting at 56.7, shows minimal change from its December 2021 and January 2020 readings (both 56.4). Saudi Arabia, Italy, and Poland, as well as Russia, Mexico, Brazil, and Hungary all show significant changes; the former three countries post losses while the latter four post gains.
  • The global Investment Index reads at 42.2 (+0.3 from December). Significant month-on-month gains are shown by five countries with Hungary, Brazil, and South Africa boasting gains of 2.0 points or more. China (65.8) is the only country to see a significant drop (-2.3) from last month.
  • The global Expectations Index, which currently sits at 57.5, remains virtually unchanged from last month. The only significant changes from December 2021 are losses seen in Italy (-2.2), Canada (-1.8), Australia (-1.8), and China (-1.6).

Visit our interactive portal, Consolidated Economic Indicators for graphic comparisons and trended data pertaining to the Ipsos Global Consumer Confidence Index and sub-indices—and all the questions on which they are based.

(Ipsos South Africa)

21 January 2022

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-za/global-consumer-confidence-index-january-2022

 

725-726-43-40/Polls

In 7 Arab Countries Surveyed, Satisfaction With The Education System Fell During The Covid-19 Pandemic

On the occasion of the International Day of Education on January 24th, we would like to share nine key findings on what MENA citizens think about education in their countries. This data is based on our most recent sixth wave of surveys that was conducted in seven Arab countries during the COVID-19 pandemic, between July 2020 and April 2021.

1- In all countries surveyed, satisfaction with the education system fell during the Covid-19 pandemic, with less than half of the population being satisfied with the education system in March 2021.

 

https://www.arabbarometer.org/wp-content/uploads/trend-Q204A_1-740x683.png

2- More than a three quarters of the population (92 percent in Jordan) in all countries surveyed said that the Covid-19 pandemic extremely or moderately impacted their children’s education.

https://www.arabbarometer.org/wp-content/uploads/Q11COVID19-740x683.png3- A sizable minority in all MENA countries surveyed said that the disruption of their children’s education was the biggest or second biggest challenge caused by COVID-19.

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4- Education is citizens’ first or second preference as a top priority for government spending in all MENA countries surveyed.

 

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5- When asked about the main action to improve economic conditions, a minority of MENA citizens said reforming the education system.

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6- Among those who want to emigrate, two-in-ten citizens or less in all countries surveyed said they want to emigrate for educational opportunities for them or their family members.

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7- A quarter of citizens or less in all MENA countries said that university education for males is more important than university education for females.

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8- More than half of citizens in five out of seven Arab countries surveyed support coeducational primary and secondary education. Tunisia ranks highest in support of coeducational learning (78%), while Jordan ranks lowest (16%).

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9- Sizable minorities in six out of seven countries surveyed said that improving education is their preferred area for foreign aid to their country.

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(Arabbarometer)

January 21, 2022

Source: https://www.arabbarometer.org/2022/01/what-arabs-think-about-education-during-the-covid-pandemic/