BUSINESS & POLITICS IN THE WORLD

 

GLOBAL OPINION REPORT NO. 706

 

 

Week: August 30 –September 05, 2021

 

Presentation: September 10, 2021

 

 

Contents

 

706-43-21/Commentary: Muslims Are A Growing Presence In U S, But Still Face Negative Views From The Public. 2

ASIA   11

76% Pakistanis Agree That The Government Of Pakistan Is Controlling The Covid-19 Situation Well 11

MENA   12

UAE Reveals Half (51%) Of The Respondents Are Likely To Hop On A Suborbital Flight If The Price Wasn’t A Constraint 12

WEST EUROPE.. 14

Just 12% Of Britons Say They Are At Least Somewhat Likely To Use Cryptocurrency In The Next 12 Months. 15

Nearly Eight In Ten NHS Workers Say Their Workplaces Remain Disrupted As A Result Of COVID-19. 16

Less Than A Quarter Think Boris Johnson And The UK Government Have Handled The Situation In Afghanistan Well, But They’ve Done A Better Job Than Biden. 18

7 Out Of 10 French People Think That PSG Can Win The Champions League This Season. 20

20 Percent Of The German Citizens Entitled To Vote State That They Will Vote For The CDU / CSU If There Would Be A General Election Next Sunday. 21

NORTH AMERICA.. 22

Most White Americans 59% Who Regularly Attend Worship Services Voted For Trump In 2020. 23

Nearly Eight-In-Ten Democrats And Democratic-Leaning Independents (78%) Say They Have “A Lot” Or “Some” Trust In The Information That Comes From National News Organizations. 26

Majority Of U S Public 54% Favors Afghanistan Troop Withdrawal, Biden Criticized For His Handling Of Situation. 28

Muslims Are A Growing Presence In U S, But Still Face Negative Views From The Public. 33

90% Of Americans Say The Internet Has Been Essential Or Important To Them... 35

Two Decades Later, The Enduring Legacy Of 9/11. 47

Three Quarters (74%) Support Mandatory Vaccination for Public-Facing Workers; 65% Support Same for Return-To-Office. 64

Six in Ten (60%) Canadians See Racism as a Serious Problem Facing the Country. 68

AUSTRALIA.. 70

Alp (54.5%) Increases Lead Over L-NP (45.5%) For Third Straight Interviewing Period. 70

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES. 73

On Average 23% Of Working Adults In 29 Countries Report Working From Home More Often Than Before The Covid-19 Pandemic. 73

Back To School 2021: 20% Of French People Would Be Against A New Closure Of Schools. 76

More Than Two In Five (45%) Britons And Over Half (52%) Americans Say They Will Miss Petrol And Diesel Cars If They Are Ever Fully Phased Out 78

Only 15 Percent Of Consumers Worldwide Say They Have Switched Provider Or Product Due To Data Loss. 79

 


 

INTRODUCTORY NOTE

 

This weekly report consists of twenty surveys. The report includes four multi-country studies from different states across the globe.

 

706-43-21/Commentary: Muslims Are A Growing Presence In U S, But Still Face Negative Views From The Public

An unprecedented amount of public attention focused on Muslim Americans in the wake of the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001. The U.S. Muslim population has grown in the two decades since, but it is still the case that many Americans know little about Islam or Muslims, and views toward Muslims have become increasingly polarized along political lines.

A chart showing that in the U.S., the Muslim population has been growing steadily

There were about 2.35 million Muslim adults and children living in the United States in 2007 – accounting for 0.8% of the U.S. population – when Pew Research Center began measuring this group’s size, demographic characteristics and views. Since then, growth has been driven primarily by two factors: the continued flow of Muslim immigrants into the U.S., and Muslims’ tendency to have more children than Americans of other faiths.

In 2015, the Center projected that Muslims could number 3.85 million in the U.S. by 2020 – roughly 1.1% of the total population. However, Muslim population growth from immigration may have slowed recently due to changes in federal immigration policy.

The number of Muslim houses of worship in the U.S. also has increased over the last 20 years. A study conducted in 2000 by the Cooperative Congregational Studies Partnership identified 1,209 mosques in the U.S. that year. Their follow-up study in 2011 found that the number of mosques had grown to 2,106, and the 2020 version found 2,769 mosques – more than double the number from two decades earlier.

Alongside their population growth, Muslims have gained a larger presence in the public sphere. For example, in 2007, the 110th Congress included the first Muslim member, Rep. Keith Ellison, D-Minn. Later in that term, Congress seated a second Muslim representative, Rep. Andre Carson, D-Ind. The current 117th Congress has two more Muslims alongside Carson, the first Muslim women to hold such office: Reps. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., and Rashida Tlaib, D-Mich., first elected in 2018. 

As their numbers have increased, Muslims have also reported encountering more discrimination. In 2017, during the first few months of the Trump administration, about half of Muslim American adults (48%) said they had personally experienced some form of discrimination because of their religion in the previous year. This included a range of experiences, from people acting suspicious of them to being physically threatened or attacked. In 2011, by comparison, 43% of Muslim adults said they had at least one of these experiences, and 40% said this in 2007.

A bar chart showing that Americans are more likely to say Muslims face discrimination than to say this about other religions

In a March 2021 survey, U.S. adults were asked how much discrimination they think a number of religious groups face in society. Americans were more likely to say they believe Muslims face “a lot” of discrimination than to say the same about the other religious groups included in the survey, including Jews and evangelical Christians. A similar pattern appeared in previous surveys going back to 2009, when Americans were more likely to say that there was a lot of discrimination against Muslims than to say the same about Jews, evangelical Christians, Mormons or atheists.

A series of Pew Research Center surveys conducted in 20142017, and 2019 separately asked Americans to rate religious groups on a scale ranging from 0 to 100, with 0 representing the coldest, most negative possible view and 100 representing the warmest, most positive view. In these surveys, Muslims were consistently ranked among the coolest, along with atheists.

Over the last 20 years, the American public has been divided on whether Islam is more likely than other religions to encourage violence, and a notable partisan divide on this question has emerged. When the Center first asked this question on a telephone survey in 2002, Republicans and Republican-leaning independents were only moderately more likely than Democrats and Democratic leaners to say that Islam encourages violence more than other religions – and this was a minority viewpoint in both partisan groups. Within a few years, however, Republicans began to grow more likely to believe that Islam encourages violence. Democrats, in contrast, have become more likely to say Islam does not encourage violence. Now, Republicans are far more likely than Democrats to say they believe Islam encourages violence more than other religions.

Though many Americans have negative views toward Muslims and Islam, 53% say they don’t personally know anyone who is Muslim, and a similar share (52%) say they know “not much” or “nothing at all” about Islam. Americans who are not Muslim and who personally know someone who is Muslim are more likely to have a positive view of Muslims, and they are less likely to believe that Islam encourages violence more than other religions.

(PEW)

SEPTEMBER 1, 2021

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/09/01/muslims-are-a-growing-presence-in-u-s-but-still-face-negative-views-from-the-public/

 

706-43-22/Country Profile:

USA2USA3

SUMMARY OF POLLS

ASIA

(Pakistan)

76% Pakistanis Agree That The Government Of Pakistan Is Controlling The Covid-19 Situation Well

According to a survey conducted by Gallup & Gilani Pakistan, 76% Pakistanis agree that the government of Pakistan is controlling the COVID-19 situation well. Complete report for Wave 11 of the COVID-19 tracker survey can be accessed here. A nationally representative sample of adult men and women from across the four provinces was asked the following question, “To what extent do you agree or disagree with - The government of Pakistan is controlling the COVID-19 situation well?”

(Gallup Pakistan)

September 2, 2021

 

MENA

(UAE)

UAE Reveals Half (51%) Of The Respondents Are Likely To Hop On A Suborbital Flight If The Price Wasn’t A Constraint

YouGov’s latest study among 1028 respondents in the UAE reveals half (51%) of the respondents are likely to hop on a suborbital flight if the price wasn’t a constraint, the rest remain indecisive (25%) or are unlikely to buy a ticket even if they could afford it (24%). Once regarded as a topic reserved for science fiction, space tourism may very well soon be offered by private companies such as SpaceX, Blue Origin, and Virgin Galactic. Interest in being a space tourist is higher (54%) among younger adults (18-44 years), whereas older adults (45 years & above) are comparatively less likely to be interested (41%).

(YouGov MENA)

September 1, 2021

 

WEST EUROPE

(UK)

Just 12% Of Britons Say They Are At Least Somewhat Likely To Use Cryptocurrency In The Next 12 Months

Crypto-curious Britons (i.e. the 12% who are at least somewhat open to using it) are overwhelmingly younger: nearly two-thirds (64%) are aged 18-34, with three in ten (31%) aged 35-54. A mere 5% are over-55. The 88% of crypto-cynical Britons are more evenly split: 36% are 18-34, 36% are 35-54, and more than a quarter are over-55.  The crypto-curious are also more likely to have a higher level of disposable income: two in five have over £500 a month (41%) left over after taxes and living expenses, compared to one in five crypto-cynics (19%).

(YouGov UK)

August 31, 2021

 

Nearly Eight In Ten NHS Workers Say Their Workplaces Remain Disrupted As A Result Of COVID-19

Approaching eight in ten NHS workers (79%) say their services continue to be disrupted by the pandemic – this includes 27% who say services are still heavily disrupted and 2% who say services are not running at all.  This does, however, represent a significant improvement from our previous survey in January, even if there is still disruption. That 27% saying services are “heavily” disrupted is down 21pts from 48% at the beginning of the year.

(YouGov UK)

September 01, 2021

 

Less Than A Quarter Think Boris Johnson And The UK Government Have Handled The Situation In Afghanistan Well, But They’ve Done A Better Job Than Biden

More than 4 in 10 say Boris Johnson (41%), the Government (44%), Dominic Raab (44%) and Priti Patel (42%) have done a bad job in the way they have handled the current situation in Afghanistan. A third (33%) say the same for Keir Starmer. However, no UK politician or institution is viewed as harshly as the President of the USA, Joe Biden. Six in 10 (59%) believe he has done a bad job. Four in 10 (39%) see both as having handled the situation in Afghanistan well while 26% say the Prime Minister has done a bad job and 28% say the same for the Government. 

(Ipsos MORI)

3 September 2021

 

(France)

7 Out Of 10 French People Think That PSG Can Win The Champions League This Season

For football fans (who usually follow Ligue 1 matches), there is no doubt that Messi's talent will fully benefit his new club, PSG, with a number of goals scored which should exceed 15 or even 20 achievements over the entire season for the "pulga" in the opinion of 61% of respondents (and even 75% of opinions for men under 35). When we ask the French public if PSG will be able to win the Champions League this year thanks to the recruitments made this summer, 70% of people (and even 76% of men residing in Paris) consider the title as probable.

(Ipsos France)

September 3, 2021

 

(Germany)

20 Percent Of The German Citizens Entitled To Vote State That They Will Vote For The CDU / CSU If There Would Be A General Election Next Sunday

20 percent of the German citizens entitled to vote state that they will vote for the CDU / CSU if there would be a general election next Sunday. This value is 2 percentage points lower compared to the previous week. The SPD, on the other hand, can gain 1 percentage point (25 percent) and extends its lead over the Union with a 5 percentage point difference. Alliance 90 / The Greens reach 15 percent (16 percent in the previous week). As before, the FDP reached 13 percent, and Die Linke also remained unchanged at 8 percent. The AfD lands at 12 percent (11 percent in the previous week). Another 8 percent of the vote goes to the other parties.

(YouGov Germany)

September 3, 2021

 

NORTH AMERICA

(USA)

Most White Americans 59% Who Regularly Attend Worship Services Voted For Trump In 2020

Overall, 59% of voters who frequently attend religious services cast their ballot for Trump, while 40% chose Biden. Among those who attend services a few times a year or less, the pattern was almost exactly reversed: 58% picked Biden, while 40% voted for Trump. However, these patterns vary by race. Frequent religious service attenders’ preference for Trump was apparent among White voters but largely absent among Black voters. (Due to limitations in sample size, results among Hispanic and Asian Americans could not be analyzed separately.)

(PEW)

AUGUST 30, 2021

 

Nearly Eight-In-Ten Democrats And Democratic-Leaning Independents (78%) Say They Have “A Lot” Or “Some” Trust In The Information That Comes From National News Organizations

Nearly eight-in-ten Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents (78%) say they have “a lot” or “some” trust in the information that comes from national news organizations – 43 percentage points higher than Republicans and Republican leaners (35%) – according to a new Pew Research Center survey conducted June 14-27, 2021. This partisan gap is the largest of any time that this question has been asked since 2016. And it grows even wider – to 53 points – between liberal Democrats (83%) and conservative Republicans (30%).

(PEW)

AUGUST 30, 2021

 

Majority Of U S Public 54% Favors Afghanistan Troop Withdrawal, Biden Criticized For His Handling Of Situation

With the U.S. military evacuation of Afghanistan completed – bringing America’s longest war to an end – 54% of U.S. adults say the decision to withdraw troops from the country was the right one, while 42% say it was wrong, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted Aug. 23-29. Just 7% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents rate the administration’s performance on Afghanistan positively, and fewer than half of Democrats and Democratic leaners (43%) say it has done an excellent or good job.

(PEW)

AUGUST 31, 2021

 

Muslims Are A Growing Presence In U S, But Still Face Negative Views From The Public

There were about 2.35 million Muslim adults and children living in the United States in 2007 – accounting for 0.8% of the U.S. population – when Pew Research Center began measuring this group’s size, demographic characteristics and views. Since then, growth has been driven primarily by two factors: the continued flow of Muslim immigrants into the U.S., and Muslims’ tendency to have more children than Americans of other faiths.

(PEW)

SEPTEMBER 1, 2021

 

90% Of Americans Say The Internet Has Been Essential Or Important To Them

The vast majority of adults (90%) say the internet has been at least important to them personally during the pandemic, the survey finds. The share who say it has been essential – 58% – is up slightly from 53% in April 2020. There have also been upticks in the shares who say the internet has been essential in the past year among those with a bachelor’s degree or more formal education, adults under 30, and those 65 and older. 

(PEW)

SEPTEMBER 1, 2021

 

Two Decades Later, The Enduring Legacy Of 9/11

Americans watched in horror as the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001, left nearly 3,000 people dead in New York City, Washington, D.C., and Shanksville, Pennsylvania. Nearly 20 years later, they watched in sorrow as the nation’s military mission in Afghanistan – which began less than a month after 9/11 – came to a bloody and chaotic conclusion. Shock, sadness, fear, anger: The 9/11 attacks inflicted a devastating emotional toll on Americans. But as horrible as the events of that day were, a 63% majority of Americans said they couldn’t stop watching news coverage of the attacks.

(PEW)

SEPTEMBER 2, 2021

 

(Canada)

Three Quarters (74%) Support Mandatory Vaccination for Public-Facing Workers; 65% Support Same for Return-To-Office

Mandatory vaccination has proven to be a divisive issue among federal election candidates, as Conservative Party leader Erin O’Toole continues to campaign against mandatory vaccination and other leaders take advantage of public support for these measures in campaigning against him. However, consistent with previous Ipsos polling,[1] Conservative voters continue to express support for mandatory vaccine measures for public-facing workers (70%), though at a lesser level than Liberal Party voters (88%) and NDP voters (86%):

(Ipsos Canada)

2 September 2021

 

Six in Ten (60%) Canadians See Racism as a Serious Problem Facing the Country

A recent Ipsos poll carried out on behalf of Global News has found that a majority (60%) of Canadians believe to some degree that racism is a serious problem facing the country. Though unchanged from the same time last year, this proportion is still considerable jump from Canadians’ perceptions of racism pre-pandemic. Increased awareness of anti-Asian hate crimes during the pandemic, continued mistreatment against Indigenous Canadians, domestic terrorism against Muslim Canadians, and discrimination against Black Canadians have certainly contributed to the idea that Canada is not making much progress in tackling racism.

(Ipsos Canada)

3 September 2021

 

AUSTRALIA

Alp (54.5%) Increases Lead Over L-NP (45.5%) For Third Straight Interviewing Period

Voting analysis by State shows the ALP leading on a two-party preferred basis in Australia’s two largest States of Victoria and NSW and also holding leads in Western Australia, South Australia and Tasmania. The LNP leads only in Queensland. The ALP leads strongly in Victoria on 59.5% (down 0.5% points since mid-August) compared to the L-NP on 40.5% (up 0.5% points) on a two-party preferred basis. Victoria has now been in its sixth lockdown for nearly a month.

(Roy Morgan)

September 01 2021

 

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

On Average 23% Of Working Adults In 29 Countries Report Working From Home More Often Than Before The Covid-19 Pandemic

The online survey conducted between May 21 and June 4 of nearly 12,500 working adults reveals that on average, in 29 countries, the proportion of those who are still working, most often or sometimes away from home today hui (39%) is 15 points above pre-pandemic levels (24%). Three-quarters of those who work away from home at least once in a while say they do so because of Covid-19.
(Ipsos France)

30 August 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/retour-au-bureau-les-salaries-attendent-plus-de-flexibilite-de-leur-employeur-apres-la-crise-covid

 

Back To School 2021: 20% Of French People Would Be Against A New Closure Of Schools

For 1 in 3 French people (33%) the pandemic risks leading to a drop in the level of qualification of young people , and 1 in 4 French people (26%) fear that they will experience a high level of unemployment and a drop in income.2 in 10 French people (20%) would find it unacceptable to close schools again in order to reduce the transmission of the virus, against 18% on average for all respondents and 12% in Spain alone. The French are among the most concerned about the increase in disciplinary problems and unruly behavior, especially among 11-15 year olds (38% vs 32% globally), and those under 11 (34% vs 27% at the World level).

(Ipsos France)

31 August 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/rentree-2021-20-des-francais-seraient-contre-une-nouvelle-fermeture-des-ecoles

 

More Than Two In Five (45%) Britons And Over Half (52%) Americans Say They Will Miss Petrol And Diesel Cars If They Are Ever Fully Phased Out

New YouGov Direct data suggests that neither Americans nor Britons are yet ready to say goodbye to petrol and diesel cars. In Britain, nearly half believe car manufacturers should not exclusively offer electric cars (48%) – compared to two in five (41%) who believe they should. In the US, the gap is even wider: while three in ten (29%) think automakers should only sell electric vehicles, three in five (59%) disagree.    

(YouGov UK)

September 02, 2021

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/lifestyle/articles-reports/2021/09/02/will-people-miss-fossil-fuel-cars-once-theyre-gone

 

Only 15 Percent Of Consumers Worldwide Say They Have Switched Provider Or Product Due To Data Loss

American consumers are also more likely than the global average (15 percent) to have changed brands when they lost their data (18 percent). This statement is made less often among Europeans: in the United Kingdom and Spain, 12 percent each say this, in Italy and Poland 11 percent each, and in Germany and France 10 percent each. Scandinavians are the least likely to say this: in Sweden it is 7 percent and in Denmark 5 percent.

(YouGov Germany)

September 3, 2021

Source: https://yougov.de/news/2021/09/03/wie-wirkt-sich-datenverlust-auf-die-kundentreue-au/

 

ASIA

706-43-01/Polls

76% Pakistanis Agree That The Government Of Pakistan Is Controlling The Covid-19 Situation Well

According to a survey conducted by Gallup & Gilani Pakistan, 76% Pakistanis agree that the government of Pakistan is controlling the COVID-19 situation well. Complete report for Wave 11 of the COVID-19 tracker survey can be accessed here. A nationally representative sample of adult men and women from across the four provinces was asked the following question, “To what extent do you agree or disagree with - The government of Pakistan is controlling the COVID-19 situation well?” In response to this question, 57% completely agreed, 19% agreed somewhat, 7% somewhat disagreed, 8% completely disagreed, 7% did not know and 2% did not respond. Question: “To what extent do you agree or disagree with - The government of Pakistan is controlling the COVID-19 situation well?”

Provincial Breakdown

People in KP (79%) consider the government of Pakistan to be controlling the COVID-19 situation well the most as compared to other provinces.

(Gallup Pakistan)

September 2, 2021

Source: https://gallup.com.pk/wp/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/2nd-Sept-21.pdf

 

MENA

706-43-02/Polls

UAE Reveals Half (51%) Of The Respondents Are Likely To Hop On A Suborbital Flight If The Price Wasn’t A Constraint

Billionaires like Richard Branson and Jeff Bezos have marked a major milestone in space tourism, with their recent space tours and plans of flying passengers to space in suborbital flights by early next year. But it’s not an excursion that appeals to everyone.

YouGov’s latest study among 1028 respondents in the UAE reveals half (51%) of the respondents are likely to hop on a suborbital flight if the price wasn’t a constraint, the rest remain indecisive (25%) or are unlikely to buy a ticket even if they could afford it (24%).

Once regarded as a topic reserved for science fiction, space tourism may very well soon be offered by private companies such as SpaceX, Blue Origin, and Virgin Galactic. Interest in being a space tourist is higher (54%) among younger adults (18-44 years), whereas older adults (45 years & above) are comparatively less likely to be interested (41%).

Similarly, men when compared to women are more likely to get themselves a ticket for a suborbital flight, provided money wasn’t a concern (55% vs 43%).

The survey also shows that residents from high-income groups (earning AED 25,000+) are more inclined towards space travel compared to the other income groups.  

Among those interested in traveling into space, the most common reason given to do so was to experience something unique (53%). Many claimed their reason to go to space would be to see the view of earth from space, view other planets, or experience weightlessness in zero gravity conditions (43% each). For some, it seems to be a lifetime dream or goal (34%).

Out of those who were undecided or unlikely to board a space flight even if money wasn’t a constraint, their main reason to say so was that they think they could utilize the money in something else (33%) or because they believe the flight would not be an easy one (32%).

Some fear the experience will be unsafe (28%) while others are not interested in going to space at all (19%).

With the current advancements in space travel, there is every reason to believe that commercial space tourism will have a significant impact on the economy, ultimately benefitting society at large. When asked about the advantages of the evolvement of space tourism, about half of the respondents in UAE feel it would lead to overall technological development & innovation and serve as a source of inspiration or education for the younger generation (50% and 47% respectively). Many (37%) think it will yield economic benefits like the creation of new spaceports, greater job opportunities for people.

In addition to this, a little over a third (36%) see it as an opportunity for transformational changes for mankind- like the creation of hypersonic flights which would make travel between two ends of the world a matter of just a few hours (London to Sydney in less than 4 hours).

While space tourism remains largely an accessible domain for the super-rich, a majority (60%) of surveyed respondents think that in the next ten years or so, people will routinely travel in space as tourists. Only a small number thinks it won’t happen (12%), while almost three in ten (28%) remain undecided.

(YouGov MENA)

September 1, 2021

Source: https://mena.yougov.com/en/news/2021/09/01/if-price-were-not-constraint-half-uae-residents-wo/

 

WEST EUROPE

706-43-03/Polls

Just 12% Of Britons Say They Are At Least Somewhat Likely To Use Cryptocurrency In The Next 12 Months

Cryptocurrency has been a staple news item over the past 12 months. Amazon recently posted a job ad for a “digital currency and blockchain product lead”; the Chancellor of the Exchequer has indicated that a “Britcoin” digital currency could be offered to the public alongside cashElon Musk has announced that Tesla would be accepting Bitcoin, not accepting Bitcoin, and possibly accepting it all over again as a form of payment.

But what do the public think?

Those who say they are at least somewhat likely to use cryptocurrency in the next 12 months amount to just 12% of Britons, with 88% saying they’re not very likely or not at all likely to use it.

Crypto-curious Britons (i.e. the 12% who are at least somewhat open to using it) are overwhelmingly younger: nearly two-thirds (64%) are aged 18-34, with three in ten (31%) aged 35-54. A mere 5% are over-55. The 88% of crypto-cynical Britons are more evenly split: 36% are 18-34, 36% are 35-54, and more than a quarter are over-55.  

The crypto-curious are also more likely to have a higher level of disposable income: two in five have over £500 a month (41%) left over after taxes and living expenses, compared to one in five crypto-cynics (19%). And while two in five crypto-curious Britons also have less than £500 in discretionary funds available every month (39%), this rises to half of crypto-cynical Britons (51%). So people who are interested in these currencies are younger and have more money to invest.

They’re also more open to risk – which can be a double-edged sword, as people who invest in cryptocurrencies are at the mercy of high volatility. While nearly two-thirds say they don’t mind taking risks with their money compared to 20% of crypto-cynics, this group are also more likely to agree that they find financial matters confusing (55% vs. 38% of crypto-cynics). Finally, while they’re open to investing in it, they don’t necessarily fully comprehend it: 64% of the crypto-curious say they don’t really understand it (next to 74% of crypto-cynics).

On the whole, this is a group which is less educated about financial matters – to the point where many, for all their excitement, may not even know how cryptocurrencies actually work. It is perhaps no surprise that our data shows that seven in ten crypto-cynics say they’ve never been victims of a scam (69%) compared to just 37% of the crypto-curious.

Marketing and advertising to crypto-curious Britons

Marketers and advertisers working in the cryptocurrency space can’t just think about their commercial responsibilities: they may have a responsibility to an under-informed and potentially quite vulnerable audience.

It is especially important to take a sensitive approach because the crypto-curious are particularly sensitive to marketing and advertising. Half of this group are more likely to say that they trust the advertisements they say on posters or billboards (50%) next to just one in five (21%) crypto-cynics – while three in five say that they often search for products and services on their phones as a result of seeing these ads (62% vs. 27%). This group are also more likely to engage with ads that they see on social media compared to ads they see on regular websites (56% vs. 22%) – and with ads of all kinds that are tailored to them.

Perhaps most importantly, crypto-curious Britons are more than twice as likely to agree that advertising helps them choose what to buy (64% vs. 31%).

So marketers, then, have to walk a fine line: there is an obvious commercial upside to targeting a young, engaged audience with money to spend and an uncommon interest in advertising. But given this audience’s lack of financial savvy, there is perhaps an even greater need than usual to present campaigns as scrupulously and accurately as possible – especially given reports of regulators cracking down on misleading crypto ads.

(YouGov UK)

August 31, 2021

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/technology/articles-reports/2021/08/31/marketing-crypto-curious-britons

 

706-43-04/Polls

Nearly Eight In Ten NHS Workers Say Their Workplaces Remain Disrupted As A Result Of COVID-19

The number of positive COVID-19 cases since the end of pandemic restrictions on July 19th has been on par with the second wave that occurred in early 2021. Yet, government data shows that hospital admissions are only around a fifth of those seen earlier in the year, thanks to the success of the vaccine rollout. However, despite admissions being low, the latest YouGov survey of NHS staff reveals most are still feeling the effects of the pandemic in the workplace.

Approaching eight in ten NHS workers (79%) say their services continue to be disrupted by the pandemic – this includes 27% who say services are still heavily disrupted and 2% who say services are not running at all.  

 

This does, however, represent a significant improvement from our previous survey in January, even if there is still disruption. That 27% saying services are “heavily” disrupted is down 21pts from 48% at the beginning of the year. For the most part, assessments have shifted to saying that services are now “somewhat” disrupted (up from 34% to 50%), although some 11% of staff now say services are no longer disrupted (up from 3%).

Current disruption due to COVID-19 is reported by 88% of staff in GP surgeries, 83% of staff in mental health practices, and 80% of workers in regular hospitals.

Patient care remains affected, say a third of NHS staff

Further to this disruption, a third of NHS workers (33%) also report that the quality of patient care has fallen compared to before the COVID-19 pandemic – although this has dropped from 40% who said the same in January 2021.

 Approximately half of NHS workers (49%) now say care is at the same level as before the pandemic, up from 42% in January. Another 7% of workers say care has improved in their workplace since March 2020.  

(YouGov UK)

September 01, 2021

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/health/articles-reports/2021/09/01/nearly-eight-ten-nhs-workers-say-their-workplaces-

 

706-43-05/Polls

Less Than A Quarter Think Boris Johnson And The UK Government Have Handled The Situation In Afghanistan Well, But They’ve Done A Better Job Than Biden

After the final flights have left Afghanistan, new polling by Ipsos MORI shows Britons are significantly more likely to say the Prime Minister, his Government and various politicians have done a bad job in handling the current situation in the country. 

More than 4 in 10 say Boris Johnson (41%), the Government (44%), Dominic Raab (44%) and Priti Patel (42%) have done a bad job in the way they have handled the current situation in Afghanistan. A third (33%) say the same for Keir Starmer. However, no UK politician or institution is viewed as harshly as the President of the USA, Joe Biden. Six in 10 (59%) believe he has done a bad job. 

In fact, as 23% say Boris Johnson has done a good job, he received the best net score among options listed in the survey of -18. The Government received a score of -21, similar to Starmer’s -20. Dominic Raab and Priti Patel receive net scores of -29, the lowest among Britons included in the survey. President Biden receives a net score of -47. 

Handling of the situation in AfghanistanOpinions of Boris Johnson and the Government are, unsurprisingly, more favourable among those who voted for them in the 2019 General Election. Four in 10 (39%) see both as having handled the situation in Afghanistan well while 26% say the Prime Minister has done a bad job and 28% say the same for the Government. 

Handling of the situation in Afghanistan - by 2019 GE voteHowever, the proportion who say Johnson and the Government have done a bad job increases significantly among 2019 Labour voters, 59% say the Prime Minister has not handled the situation well while 61% view the Government in the same way. 

Opinions of President Biden are similar across party lines, 11% of Conservative voters say he has done a good job while 12% of Labour voters say the same. Conservative supporters are significantly more likely to say he has done a bad job, 71% compared to 59% of Labour voters. 

Keiran Pedley, Research Director at Ipsos MORI, said:

The British public take a dim view of how its government and leading politicians have handled the situation in Afghanistan. Fewer than one in four think the Prime Minister and his government have done a good job, with almost twice as many saying the opposite. However, the strongest criticism from Britons is reserved for President Biden, with 6 in 10 thinking he has done a ‘bad job’ handling the situation, a view shared across party lines.

(Ipsos MORI)

3 September 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/less-quarter-think-boris-johnson-and-uk-government-have-handled-situation-afghanistan-well

 

706-43-06/Polls

7 Out Of 10 French People Think That PSG Can Win The Champions League This Season

Main attraction of this new season, PSG has indeed focused all the attention of supporters , with the arrival of an exceptional player, Messi from Barça; the opportunity to examine the perception of the phenomenon by the French public.
Thus, for football fans (who usually follow Ligue 1 matches), there is no doubt that Messi's talent will fully benefit his new club, PSG, with a number of goals scored which should exceed 15 or even 20 achievements over the entire season for the "pulga" in the opinion of 61% of respondents (and even 75% of opinions for men under 35).
But even more,the PSG club this time clearly displayed its ambition at the European level, to finally win the Champions League, and gain the long-awaited international recognition: thus, when we ask the French public if PSG will be able to win the Champions League this year thanks to the recruitments made this summer , 70% of people (and even 76% of men residing in Paris) consider the title as probable.

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE OMNIBUS SLIDE

Last observation on this world of the round ball (valid for all our surveys already carried out): we know that one in two French people are not passionate about football competitions, and Ligue 1 is no exception to the rule, even if it is very popular with an audience of fans, especially men under 35 living in Paris: overall of the French population, 44% of people say they follow the French Football Championship , if only for 'occasionally, a level which therefore climbs to 65% of enthusiasts among the male public living in the Paris region.

(Ipsos France)

September 3, 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/enquete-flash-7-francais-sur-10-pensent-que-le-psg-peut-gagner-la-ligue-des-champions-cette-saison

 

706-43-07/Polls

20 Percent Of The German Citizens Entitled To Vote State That They Will Vote For The CDU / CSU If There Would Be A General Election Next Sunday

20 percent of the German citizens entitled to vote state that they will vote for the CDU / CSU if there would be a general election next Sunday. This value is 2 percentage points lower compared to the previous week. The SPD, on the other hand, can gain 1 percentage point (25 percent) and extends its lead over the Union with a 5 percentage point difference. Alliance 90 / The Greens reach 15 percent (16 percent in the previous week).

Sunday question at the end of August 2021

As before, the FDP reached 13 percent, and Die Linke also remained unchanged at 8 percent. The AfD lands at 12 percent (11 percent in the previous week). Another 8 percent of the vote goes to the other parties.

Sunday question at the end of August 2021 over time

Olaf Scholz's popularity continues to grow

If they could elect the Federal Chancellor directly, 27 percent of Germans eligible to vote would currently vote for Olaf Scholz, the SPD's candidate for chancellor. In the previous week it was 26 percent. This is what 8 percent say about Armin Laschet and 9 percent about Annalena Baerbock. Both values ​​are unchanged compared to the previous week.

Popularity of the candidates

The second most popular after Olaf Scholz is currently Christian Lindner from the FDP with 12 percent (10 percent in the previous week). However, the survey also showed that 21 percent of those questioned would not vote for any of the eight top politicians of all parties represented in the Bundestag if they could directly elect the Federal Chancellor.

(YouGov Germany)

September 3, 2021

Source: https://yougov.de/news/2021/09/03/sonntagsfrage-union-verliert-weiter-spd-baut-vorsp/

 

NORTH AMERICA

706-43-08/Polls

Most White Americans 59% Who Regularly Attend Worship Services Voted For Trump In 2020

Similar to past elections, religion played an important role in the 2020 U.S. presidential contest: Republican candidate Donald Trump continued to garner strong support from White evangelical Protestants, while Black Protestants and the religiously unaffiliated backed the Democratic candidate and eventual winner, President Joe Biden.

A bar chart showing that Black voters overwhelmingly supported Biden in 2020, regardless of how often they attend religious services

But religious identity alone does not tell the whole story. Among White Americans, worship service attendance remains highly correlated with presidential vote choice, according to a new Pew Research Center analysis of 2020 validated voters.

As in previous years, voters who frequently go to religious services – defined as those who attend at least monthly – were more likely to vote for the Republican candidate in the most recent presidential election, while less frequent attenders were more likely to back the Democrat.

Overall, 59% of voters who frequently attend religious services cast their ballot for Trump, while 40% chose Biden. Among those who attend services a few times a year or less, the pattern was almost exactly reversed: 58% picked Biden, while 40% voted for Trump.

However, these patterns vary by race. Frequent religious service attenders’ preference for Trump was apparent among White voters but largely absent among Black voters. (Due to limitations in sample size, results among Hispanic and Asian Americans could not be analyzed separately.)

About seven-in-ten White, non-Hispanic Americans who attend religious services at least monthly (71%) voted for Trump, while roughly a quarter (27%) voted for Biden. Among White Americans who attend religious services a few times a year or less, far fewer voted for Trump (46%), while around half (52%) voted for Biden.

A bar chart showing that among White non-evangelical Protestants, infrequent church attenders were more likely to vote for Trump

Among Black, non-Hispanic adults in the U.S., by comparison, there is no such link between attendance and vote choice. Nine-in-ten Black Americans who attend religious services monthly or more voted for Biden in 2020, as did a similar share of Black voters who attend services less often (94%). Just 10% of Black frequent attenders and 5% of Black infrequent attenders voted for Trump.

Among White Americans, the extent to which vote choice is tied to frequency of religious service attendance differs by affiliation.

White evangelical Protestants have been among the Republican Party’s most loyal constituencies, and this remained true in 2020. More than eight-in-ten White evangelical Protestant voters who attend religious services frequently (85%) voted for Trump in the most recent election, as did 81% of those who attend less frequently. White evangelical Protestants tend to be more religious than other Christians by a number of measures, including in their worship habits: Two-thirds of White evangelical voters attend monthly or more often, while one-third attend less frequently.

A bar chart showing that two-thirds of White evangelicals who voted in 2020 attend religious services frequently

White Protestants who are not evangelical, however, do vary in terms of the connection between religious service attendance and voting for Trump. In 2020, White non-evangelical Protestants who attend services less than monthly favored Trump over Biden, 59% to 40%. But among White non-evangelicals who attend services more frequently, the vote was almost evenly divided, with 51% favoring Trump and 48% favoring Biden. White Protestants who are not evangelical tend to attend church less frequently than their evangelical counterparts: Three-in-ten White non-evangelical Protestant validated voters say they go to church monthly or more, while nearly seven-in-ten go a few times a year or less.

White Catholics, meanwhile, follow yet another pattern. About six-in-ten White Catholics who attend Mass monthly or more often (63%) supported Trump in the 2020 election, while 36% supported Biden. Less frequent Mass attenders expressed less support for Trump (53%) and more support for Biden (47%).

Finally, there are White adults who are religiously unaffiliated, a group that makes up 26% of White voters overall. Historically, White “religious nones” – who tend to rarely attend religious services – have been trending toward the Democratic Party, a pattern that persisted in 2020. Two-thirds of White nones (68%) voted for Biden, while 28% voted for Trump. Nearly all surveyed members of this group (98%) fall into the infrequent attender category.

In addition to analyzing voters by frequency of worship attendance, the Center’s validated voter study also shows how religious groups overall voted in the 2020 presidential race. Trump expanded his support among White evangelical Protestants slightly, winning 84% of their vote in 2020 after receiving 77% in 2016, when he ran against Hillary Clinton. Trump held steady among White non-evangelical Protestants (57% support in both elections). He also received the votes of 57% of White Catholics, compared with 64% in 2016.

Biden, meanwhile, gained some ground among White Catholics, garnering 42% of that vote, or 11 points more than Clinton did in 2016. What Biden lacked in support from White Christians, he made up for with support from Black Protestants and the religiously unaffiliated. An overwhelming majority of Black Protestants who voted last year (91%) supported the Democratic candidate, as did a large share of religiously unaffiliated voters (71%). Biden’s support was particularly strong among voters who identify as atheist or agnostic, with 86% of voters in this category backing him over Trump.

A bar chart showing that White Catholics were more supportive of Biden in 2020 election than they were of Clinton in 2016

Biden also enjoyed a strong advantage among voters belonging to non-Christian faiths – a group that consists of Jews, Muslims, Buddhists, Hindus, and others – with 64% of these voters supporting him. That is twice as many as the share who supported Trump. (The survey did not have enough interviews with members of non-Christian faiths to report on each group separately).

Validated voters are members of the Center’s American Trends Panel who are confirmed to have voted in the 2020 presidential election after being matched to commercially available voter files.

(PEW)

AUGUST 30, 2021

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/08/30/most-white-americans-who-regularly-attend-worship-services-voted-for-trump-in-2020/

 

706-43-09/Polls                      

Nearly Eight-In-Ten Democrats And Democratic-Leaning Independents (78%) Say They Have “A Lot” Or “Some” Trust In The Information That Comes From National News Organizations

In just five years, the percentage of Republicans with at least some trust in national news organizations has been cut in half – dropping from 70% in 2016 to 35% this year. This decline is fueling the continued widening of the partisan gap in trust of the media.

A line graph showing that wider partisan gaps have emerged in trust of national and local news organizations, social media

Nearly eight-in-ten Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents (78%) say they have “a lot” or “some” trust in the information that comes from national news organizations – 43 percentage points higher than Republicans and Republican leaners (35%) – according to a new Pew Research Center survey conducted June 14-27, 2021. This partisan gap is the largest of any time that this question has been asked since 2016. And it grows even wider – to 53 points – between liberal Democrats (83%) and conservative Republicans (30%).

The 35% of Republicans who have at least some trust in national news organizations in 2021 is half that of in 2016 (70%) – and has dropped 14 points since late 2019 (49%). By comparison, Democrats have remained far more consistent in the past five years, ranging somewhere between 78% and 86%.

Overall, about six-in-ten U.S. adults (58%) say they have at least some trust in the information that comes from national news organizations. While still a majority, this is the smallest share over the past five years this question was asked. When it was last asked in late 2019, 65% expressed at least some trust. And far fewer (12%) express that they have “a lot” of trust in the information that comes from national news organizations.

Americans tend to have greater trust in local news organizations – though there is somewhat of a decline here as well. A large majority of Americans (75%) still say they have at least some trust in the information that comes from local news organizations, modestly lower than the shares who said the same in 2016 (82%) and in late 2019 (79%). And again, far fewer express the highest level of trust (18%).

A similar partisan divide emerges when it comes to local news, though to a lesser extent. As of June 2021, Democrats are 18 percentage points more likely than Republicans to have at least some trust in the information that comes from local news organizations (84% vs. 66%, respectively) – a gap that is again larger than at any time in recent years. Five years ago, 85% of Democrats had at least some trust in local news organizations, while 79% of Republicans did. 

Social media continues to engender a much lower level of trust. About a quarter of Americans (27%) say they have at least some trust in the information that comes from social networking sites, with just 4% expressing that they have a lot of trust in it. This is about on par with late 2019 when 26% said they had at least some trust, but somewhat lower than the 34% who said the same in 2016. (In 2016, this question was asked of internet-using U.S. adults.)

Social media is trusted by a minority of both parties, though a partisan gap still exists. About a third of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents (34%) and 19% of Republicans and Republican leaners say they have at least some trust in the information that comes from social media – a 15-point gap. This gap is larger than gaps from any other time in recent years and has nearly doubled since late 2019.

(PEW)

AUGUST 30, 2021

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/08/30/partisan-divides-in-media-trust-widen-driven-by-a-decline-among-republicans/

 

706-43-10/Polls

Majority Of U S Public 54% Favors Afghanistan Troop Withdrawal, Biden Criticized For His Handling Of Situation

With the U.S. military evacuation of Afghanistan completed – bringing America’s longest war to an end – 54% of U.S. adults say the decision to withdraw troops from the country was the right one, while 42% say it was wrong, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted Aug. 23-29.

A bar chart showing that the public backs Afghan troop pullout, gives Biden low marks for handling situation

The survey, conducted before the U.S. military pullout was completed, also finds that 69% of the public says the United States mostly failed in achieving its goals in Afghanistan.

The public is also broadly critical of the Biden administration’s handling of the situation in Afghanistan: Only about a quarter (26%) say the administration has done an excellent or good job; 29% say the administration has done an only fair job and 42% say it has done a poor job.

Just 7% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents rate the administration’s performance on Afghanistan positively, and fewer than half of Democrats and Democratic leaners (43%) say it has done an excellent or good job.

The survey was conducted as the U.S. was engaged in a massive evacuation effort to bring Americans and Afghan allies of the U.S. out of Afghanistan. Most of the survey was conducted before the Aug. 26 suicide bombing at Kabul’s international airport that killed as many as 169 Afghans and 13 U.S. service members. (The survey finds little overall change in attitudes before and after the suicide attack.)

A bar chart showing that Democrats are less likely than Republicans to view Taliban control of Afghanistan as a major security threat to the U.S.

With the Taliban now in control of Afghanistan, most Americans believe the situation in that country poses a security threat to the U.S., with 46% saying Taliban control represents a major threat and another 44% saying it is a minor threat. Republicans (61%) are far more likely than Democrats (33%) to view a Taliban-controlled Afghanistan as a major security threat.

Partisanship is evident in most, though not all, attitudes about the emerging situation in Afghanistan. Views are most polarized when it comes to the decision to withdraw: A sizable majority of Democrats (70%) support the decision to withdraw U.S. forces from Afghanistan, while most Republicans (64%) say it was the wrong decision.

A bar chart showing that Republicans oppose U.S. troop pullout; both parties say U.S. failed to meet goals in Afghanistan

Republicans and Democrats also differ (though to a lesser degree) on the initial decision to take military action in Afghanistan two decades ago. About two-thirds of Republicans (69%) say the initial decision to use U.S. military force in Afghanistan was right, compared with 44% of Democrats. Republicans have long been more likely than Democrats to view the initial decision as the right one.

Yet there is notable agreement among members of both parties that the U.S. mostly failed in achieving its goals in Afghanistan. Nearly identical majorities of Republicans (70%) and Democrats (69%) say the U.S. failed to accomplish its goals there.

A large majority (71%) of Americans say the Biden administration has done a poor (42%) or only fair (29%) job handling the situation in Afghanistan. Just 26% say that the Biden administration has done an excellent (6%) or good job (21%) handling the situation in Afghanistan.

A bar chart showing that fewer than half of Democrats express positive views of Biden on Afghanistan

Republicans overwhelmingly rate the administration’s handling of the situation in Afghanistan as poor (77%), with just 7% rating it as either excellent or good. Democratic opinion is more divided: About four-in-ten (43%) rate the job the Biden administration has done as excellent or good, while a narrow majority of Democrats (55%) say that the administration has done an only fair (40%) or poor (15%) job.

Conservative Republicans are more likely than moderate or liberal Republicans (86% vs. 61%) to rate the job the Biden administration has done as poor.

Among Democrats, there are no ideological differences in evaluations of the Biden administration’s handling of the situation in Afghanistan.

(PEW)

AUGUST 31, 2021

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/08/31/majority-of-u-s-public-favors-afghanistan-troop-withdrawal-biden-criticized-for-his-handling-of-situation/

 

706-43-11/Polls

Muslims Are A Growing Presence In U S, But Still Face Negative Views From The Public

An unprecedented amount of public attention focused on Muslim Americans in the wake of the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001. The U.S. Muslim population has grown in the two decades since, but it is still the case that many Americans know little about Islam or Muslims, and views toward Muslims have become increasingly polarized along political lines.

A chart showing that in the U.S., the Muslim population has been growing steadily

There were about 2.35 million Muslim adults and children living in the United States in 2007 – accounting for 0.8% of the U.S. population – when Pew Research Center began measuring this group’s size, demographic characteristics and views. Since then, growth has been driven primarily by two factors: the continued flow of Muslim immigrants into the U.S., and Muslims’ tendency to have more children than Americans of other faiths.

In 2015, the Center projected that Muslims could number 3.85 million in the U.S. by 2020 – roughly 1.1% of the total population. However, Muslim population growth from immigration may have slowed recently due to changes in federal immigration policy.

The number of Muslim houses of worship in the U.S. also has increased over the last 20 years. A study conducted in 2000 by the Cooperative Congregational Studies Partnership identified 1,209 mosques in the U.S. that year. Their follow-up study in 2011 found that the number of mosques had grown to 2,106, and the 2020 version found 2,769 mosques – more than double the number from two decades earlier.

Alongside their population growth, Muslims have gained a larger presence in the public sphere. For example, in 2007, the 110th Congress included the first Muslim member, Rep. Keith Ellison, D-Minn. Later in that term, Congress seated a second Muslim representative, Rep. Andre Carson, D-Ind. The current 117th Congress has two more Muslims alongside Carson, the first Muslim women to hold such office: Reps. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., and Rashida Tlaib, D-Mich., first elected in 2018. 

As their numbers have increased, Muslims have also reported encountering more discrimination. In 2017, during the first few months of the Trump administration, about half of Muslim American adults (48%) said they had personally experienced some form of discrimination because of their religion in the previous year. This included a range of experiences, from people acting suspicious of them to being physically threatened or attacked. In 2011, by comparison, 43% of Muslim adults said they had at least one of these experiences, and 40% said this in 2007.

A bar chart showing that Americans are more likely to say Muslims face discrimination than to say this about other religions

In a March 2021 survey, U.S. adults were asked how much discrimination they think a number of religious groups face in society. Americans were more likely to say they believe Muslims face “a lot” of discrimination than to say the same about the other religious groups included in the survey, including Jews and evangelical Christians. A similar pattern appeared in previous surveys going back to 2009, when Americans were more likely to say that there was a lot of discrimination against Muslims than to say the same about Jews, evangelical Christians, Mormons or atheists.

A series of Pew Research Center surveys conducted in 20142017, and 2019 separately asked Americans to rate religious groups on a scale ranging from 0 to 100, with 0 representing the coldest, most negative possible view and 100 representing the warmest, most positive view. In these surveys, Muslims were consistently ranked among the coolest, along with atheists.

Over the last 20 years, the American public has been divided on whether Islam is more likely than other religions to encourage violence, and a notable partisan divide on this question has emerged. When the Center first asked this question on a telephone survey in 2002, Republicans and Republican-leaning independents were only moderately more likely than Democrats and Democratic leaners to say that Islam encourages violence more than other religions – and this was a minority viewpoint in both partisan groups. Within a few years, however, Republicans began to grow more likely to believe that Islam encourages violence. Democrats, in contrast, have become more likely to say Islam does not encourage violence. Now, Republicans are far more likely than Democrats to say they believe Islam encourages violence more than other religions.

Though many Americans have negative views toward Muslims and Islam, 53% say they don’t personally know anyone who is Muslim, and a similar share (52%) say they know “not much” or “nothing at all” about Islam. Americans who are not Muslim and who personally know someone who is Muslim are more likely to have a positive view of Muslims, and they are less likely to believe that Islam encourages violence more than other religions.

(PEW)

SEPTEMBER 1, 2021

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/09/01/muslims-are-a-growing-presence-in-u-s-but-still-face-negative-views-from-the-public/

 

706-43-12/Polls

90% Of Americans Say The Internet Has Been Essential Or Important To Them

The coronavirus has transformed many aspects of Americans’ lives. It shut down schools, businesses and workplaces and forced millions to stay at home for extended lengths of time. Public health authorities recommended limits on social contact to try to contain the spread of the virus, and these profoundly altered the way many worked, learned, connected with loved ones, carried out basic daily tasks, celebrated and mourned. For some, technology played a role in this transformation.  

Results from a new Pew Research Center survey of U.S. adults conducted April 12-18, 2021, reveal the extent to which people’s use of the internet has changed, their views about how helpful technology has been for them and the struggles some have faced. 

The vast majority of adults (90%) say the internet has been at least important to them personally during the pandemic, the survey finds. The share who say it has been essential – 58% – is up slightly from 53% in April 2020. There have also been upticks in the shares who say the internet has been essential in the past year among those with a bachelor’s degree or more formal education, adults under 30, and those 65 and older. 

A large majority of Americans (81%) also say they talked with others via video calls at some point since the pandemic’s onset. And for 40% of Americans, digital tools have taken on new relevance: They report they used technology or the internet in ways that were new or different to them. Some also sought upgrades to their service as the pandemic unfolded: 29% of broadband users did something to improve the speed, reliability or quality of their high-speed internet connection at home since the beginning of the outbreak.

Still, tech use has not been an unmitigated boon for everyone. “Zoom fatigue” was widely speculated to be a problem in the pandemic, and some Americans report related experiences in the new survey: 40% of those who have ever talked with others via video calls since the beginning of the pandemic say they have felt worn out or fatigued often or sometimes by the time they spend on them. Moreover, changes in screen time occurred for Americans generally and for parents of young children. The survey finds that a third of all adults say they tried to cut back on time spent on their smartphone or the internet at some point during the pandemic. In addition, 72% of parents of children in grades K-12 say their kids are spending more time on screens compared with before the outbreak.1

For many, digital interactions could only do so much as a stand-in for in-person communication. About two-thirds of Americans (68%) say the interactions they would have had in person, but instead had online or over the phone, have generally been useful – but not a replacement for in-person contact. Another 15% say these tools haven’t been of much use in their interactions. Still, 17% report that these digital interactions have been just as good as in-person contact.

About two-thirds say digital interactions have been useful, but not a replacement for in-person contact

Some types of technology have been more helpful than others for Americans. For example, 44% say text messages or group messaging apps have helped them a lot to stay connected with family and friends, 38% say the same about voice calls and 30% say this about video calls. Smaller shares say social media sites (20%) and email (19%) have helped them in this way.

The survey offers a snapshot of Americans’ lives just over one year into the pandemic as they reflected back on what had happened. It is important to note the findings were gathered in April 2021, just before all U.S. adults became eligible for coronavirus vaccines. At the time, some states were beginning to loosen restrictions on businesses and social encounters. This survey also was fielded before the delta variant became prominent in the United States, raising concerns about new and evolving variants

Here are some of the key takeaways from the survey.

Americans’ tech experiences in the pandemic are linked to digital divides, tech readiness 

Some Americans’ experiences with technology haven’t been smooth or easy during the pandemic. The digital divides related to internet use and affordability were highlighted by the pandemic and also emerged in new ways as life moved online.

For all Americans relying on screens during the pandemic, connection quality has been important for school assignments, meetings and virtual social encounters alike. The new survey highlights difficulties for some: Roughly half of those who have a high-speed internet connection at home (48%) say they have problems with the speed, reliability or quality of their home connection often or sometimes.2

Beyond that, affordability remained a persistent concern for a portion of digital tech users as the pandemic continued – about a quarter of home broadband users (26%) and smartphone owners (24%) said in the April 2021 survey that they worried a lot or some about paying their internet and cellphone bills over the next few months. 

From parents of children facing the “homework gap” to Americans struggling to afford home internet, those with lower incomes have been particularly likely to struggle. At the same time, some of those with higher incomes have been affected as well.

60% of broadband users with lower incomes often or sometimes have connection problems, and 46% are worried at least some about paying for broadband

Affordability and connection problems have hit broadband users with lower incomes especially hard. Nearly half of broadband users with lower incomes, and about a quarter of those with midrange incomes, say that as of April they were at least somewhat worried about paying their internet bill over the next few months.3 And home broadband users with lower incomes are roughly 20 points more likely to say they often or sometimes experience problems with their connection than those with relatively high incomes. Still, 55% of those with lower incomes say the internet has been essential to them personally in the pandemic.

At the same time, Americans’ levels of formal education are associated with their experiences turning to tech during the pandemic. 

Adults with a bachelor’s, advanced degree more likely than others to make daily video calls, use tech in new ways, consider internet essential amid COVID-19

Those with a bachelor’s or advanced degree are about twice as likely as those with a high school diploma or less formal education to have used tech in new or different ways during the pandemic. There is also roughly a 20 percentage point gap between these two groups in the shares who have made video calls about once a day or more often and who say these calls have helped at least a little to stay connected with family and friends. And 71% of those with a bachelor’s degree or more education say the internet has been essential, compared with 45% of those with a high school diploma or less.

More broadly, not all Americans believe they have key tech skills. In this survey, about a quarter of adults (26%) say they usually need someone else’s help to set up or show them how to use a new computer, smartphone or other electronic device. And one-in-ten report they have little to no confidence in their ability to use these types of devices to do the things they need to do online. This report refers to those who say they experience either or both of these issues as having “lower tech readiness.” Some 30% of adults fall in this category. (A full description of how this group was identified can be found in Chapter 3.)

‘Tech readiness,’ which is tied to people’s confident and independent use of devices, varies by age

These struggles are particularly acute for older adults, some of whom have had to learn new tech skills over the course of the pandemic. Roughly two-thirds of adults 75 and older fall into the group having lower tech readiness – that is, they either have little or no confidence in their ability to use their devices, or generally need help setting up and learning how to use new devices. Some 54% of Americans ages 65 to 74 are also in this group. 

Americans with lower tech readiness have had different experiences with technology during the pandemic. While 82% of the Americans with lower tech readiness say the internet has been at least important to them personally during the pandemic, they are less likely than those with higher tech readiness to say the internet has been essential (39% vs. 66%). Some 21% of those with lower tech readiness say digital interactions haven’t been of much use in standing in for in-person contact, compared with 12% of those with higher tech readiness. 

46% of parents with lower incomes whose children faced school closures say their children had at least one problem related to the ‘homework gap’

As school moved online for many families, parents and their children experienced profound changes. Fully 93% of parents with K-12 children at home say these children had some online instruction during the pandemic. Among these parents, 62% report that online learning has gone very or somewhat well, and 70% say it has been very or somewhat easy for them to help their children use technology for online instruction.

Still, 30% of the parents whose children have had online instruction during the pandemic say it has been very or somewhat difficult for them to help their children use technology or the internet for this. 

Remote learning has been widespread during the pandemic, but children from lower-income households have been particularly likely to face ‘homework gap’

The survey also shows that children from households with lower incomes who faced school closures in the pandemic have been especially likely to encounter tech-related obstacles in completing their schoolwork – a phenomenon contributing to the “homework gap.”

Overall, about a third (34%) of all parents whose children’s schools closed at some point say their children have encountered at least one of the tech-related issues we asked about amid COVID-19: having to do schoolwork on a cellphone, being unable to complete schoolwork because of lack of computer access at home, or having to use public Wi-Fi to finish schoolwork because there was no reliable connection at home. 

This share is higher among parents with lower incomes whose children’s schools closed. Nearly half (46%) say their children have faced at least one of these issues. Some with higher incomes were affected as well – about three-in-ten (31%) of these parents with midrange incomes say their children faced one or more of these issues, as do about one-in-five of these parents with higher household incomes.

More parents say their screen time rules have become less strict under pandemic than say they’ve become more strict

Prior Center work has documented this “homework gap” in other contexts – both before the coronavirus outbreak and near the beginning of the pandemic. In April 2020, for example, parents with lower incomes were particularly likely to think their children would face these struggles amid the outbreak.

Besides issues related to remote schooling, other changes were afoot in families as the pandemic forced many families to shelter in place. For instance, parents’ estimates of their children’s screen time – and family rules around this – changed in some homes. About seven-in-ten parents with children in kindergarten through 12th grade (72%) say their children were spending more time on screens as of the April survey compared with before the outbreak. Some 39% of parents with school-age children say they have become less strict about screen time rules during the outbreak. About one-in-five (18%) say they have become more strict, while 43% have kept screen time rules about the same. 

More adults now favor the idea that schools should provide digital technology to all students during the pandemic than did in April 2020

Americans’ tech struggles related to digital divides gained attention from policymakers and news organizations as the pandemic progressed.

On some policy issues, public attitudes changed over the course of the outbreak – for example, views on what K-12 schools should provide to students shifted. Some 49% now say K-12 schools have a responsibility to provide all students with laptop or tablet computers in order to help them complete their schoolwork during the pandemic, up 12 percentage points from a year ago.

Growing shares across political parties say K-12 schools should give all students computers amid COVID-19

The shares of those who say so have increased for both major political parties over the past year: This view shifted 15 points for Republicans and those who lean toward the GOP, and there was a 9-point increase for Democrats and Democratic leaners.

However, when it comes to views of policy solutions for internet access more generally, not much has changed. Some 37% of Americans say that the government has a responsibility to ensure all Americans have high-speed internet access during the outbreak, and the overall share is unchanged from April 2020 – the first time Americans were asked this specific question about the government’s pandemic responsibility to provide internet access.4

Democrats are more likely than Republicans to say the government has this responsibility, and within the Republican Party, those with lower incomes are more likely to say this than their counterparts earning more money. 

Video calls and conferencing have been part of everyday life

Americans’ own words provide insight into exactly how their lives changed amid COVID-19. When asked to describe the new or different ways they had used technology, some Americans mention video calls and conferencing facilitating a variety of virtual interactions – including attending events like weddings, family holidays and funerals or transforming where and how they worked.5 From family calls, shopping for groceries and placing takeout orders online to having telehealth visits with medical professionals or participating in online learning activities, some aspects of life have been virtually transformed: 

“I’ve gone from not even knowing remote programs like Zoom even existed, to using them nearly every day.” – Man, 54

“[I’ve been] handling … deaths of family and friends remotely, attending and sharing classical music concerts and recitals with other professionals, viewing [my] own church services and Bible classes, shopping. … Basically, [the internet has been] a lifeline.” 
– Woman, 69

“I … use Zoom for church youth activities. [I] use Zoom for meetings. I order groceries and takeout food online. We arranged for a ‘digital reception’ for my daughter’s wedding as well as live streaming the event.” – Woman, 44

Among those who have used video calls during the outbreak, 40% feel fatigued or worn out at least sometimes from time spent on these calls

When asked about video calls specifically, half of Americans report they have talked with others in this way at least once a week since the beginning of the outbreak; one-in-five have used these platforms daily. But how often people have experienced this type of digital connectedness varies by age. For example, about a quarter of adults ages 18 to 49 (27%) say they have connected with others on video calls about once a day or more often, compared with 16% of those 50 to 64 and just 7% of those 65 and older. 

Even as video technology became a part of life for users, many accounts of burnout surfaced and some speculated that “Zoom fatigue” was setting in as Americans grew weary of this type of screen time. The survey finds that some 40% of those who participated in video calls since the beginning of the pandemic – a third of all Americans – say they feel worn out or fatigued often or sometimes from the time they spend on video calls. About three-quarters of those who have been on these calls several times a day in the pandemic say this.

Fatigue is not limited to frequent users, however: For example, about a third (34%) of those who have made video calls about once a week say they feel worn out at least sometimes.

These are among the main findings from the survey. Other key results include:

Some Americans’ personal lives and social relationships have changed during the pandemic: Some 36% of Americans say their own personal lives changed in a major way as a result of the coronavirus outbreak. Another 47% say their personal lives changed, but only a little bit. About half (52%) of those who say major change has occurred in their personal lives due to the pandemic also say they have used tech in new ways, compared with about four-in-ten (38%) of those whose personal lives changed a little bit and roughly one-in-five (19%) of those who say their personal lives stayed about the same.

Even as tech helped some to stay connected, a quarter of Americans say they feel less close to close family members now compared with before the pandemic, and about four-in-ten (38%) say the same about friends they know well. Roughly half (53%) say this about casual acquaintances.

The majority of those who tried to sign up for vaccine appointments in the first part of the year went online to do so: Despite early problems with vaccine rollout and online registration systems, in the April survey tech problems did not appear to be major struggles for most adults who had tried to sign up online for COVID-19 vaccines. The survey explored Americans’ experiences getting these vaccine appointments and reveals that in April 57% of adults had tried to sign themselves up and 25% had tried to sign someone else up. Fully 78% of those who tried to sign themselves up and 87% of those who tried to sign others up were online registrants. 

When it comes to difficulties with the online vaccine signup process, 29% of those who had tried to sign up online – 13% of all Americans – say it was very or somewhat difficult to sign themselves up for vaccines at that time. Among five reasons for this that the survey asked about, the most common major reason was lack of available appointments, rather than tech-related problems. Adults 65 and older who tried to sign themselves up for the vaccine online were the most likely age group to experience at least some difficulty when they tried to get a vaccine appointment.

Tech struggles and usefulness alike vary by race and ethnicity. Americans’ experiences also have varied across racial and ethnic groups. For example, Black Americans are more likely than White or Hispanic adults to meet the criteria for having “lower tech readiness.”6 Among broadband users, Black and Hispanic adults were also more likely than White adults to be worried about paying their bills for their high-speed internet access at home as of April, though the share of Hispanic Americans who say this declined sharply since April 2020. And a majority of Black and Hispanic broadband users say they at least sometimes have experienced problems with their internet connection. 

Still, Black adults and Hispanic adults are more likely than White adults to say various technologies – text messages, voice calls, video calls, social media sites and email – have helped them a lot to stay connected with family and friends amid the pandemic.

Tech has helped some adults under 30 to connect with friends, but tech fatigue also set in for some. Only about one-in-five adults ages 18 to 29 say they feel closer to friends they know well compared with before the pandemic. This share is twice as high as that among adults 50 and older. Adults under 30 are also more likely than any other age group to say social media sites have helped a lot in staying connected with family and friends (30% say so), and about four-in-ten of those ages 18 to 29 say this about video calls. 

Screen time affected some negatively, however. About six-in-ten adults under 30 (57%) who have ever made video calls in the pandemic say they at least sometimes feel worn out or fatigued from spending time on video calls, and about half (49%) of young adults say they have tried to cut back on time spent on the internet or their smartphone.

(PEW)

SEPTEMBER 1, 2021

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/internet/2021/09/01/the-internet-and-the-pandemic/

 

706-43-13/Polls

Two Decades Later, The Enduring Legacy Of 9/11

Americans watched in horror as the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001, left nearly 3,000 people dead in New York City, Washington, D.C., and Shanksville, Pennsylvania. Nearly 20 years later, they watched in sorrow as the nation’s military mission in Afghanistan – which began less than a month after 9/11 – came to a bloody and chaotic conclusion.

Chart shows 9/11 a powerful memory for Americans – but only for adults old enough to remember

The enduring power of the Sept. 11 attacks is clear: An overwhelming share of Americans who are old enough to recall the day remember where they were and what they were doing when they heard the news. Yet an ever-growing number of Americans have no personal memory of that day, either because they were too young or not yet born.

A review of U.S. public opinion in the two decades since 9/11 reveals how a badly shaken nation came together, briefly, in a spirit of sadness and patriotism; how the public initially rallied behind the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, though support waned over time; and how Americans viewed the threat of terrorism at home and the steps the government took to combat it.

As the country comes to grips with the tumultuous exit of U.S. military forces from Afghanistan, the departure has raised long-term questions about U.S. foreign policy and America’s place in the world. Yet the public’s initial judgments on that mission are clear: A majority endorses the decision to withdraw from Afghanistan, even as it criticizes the Biden administration’s handling of the situation. And after a war that cost thousands of lives – including more than 2,000 American service members – and trillions of dollars in military spending, a new Pew Research Center survey finds that 69% of U.S. adults say the United States has mostly failed to achieve its goals in Afghanistan.

A devastating emotional toll, a lasting historical legacy

Shock, sadness, fear, anger: The 9/11 attacks inflicted a devastating emotional toll on Americans. But as horrible as the events of that day were, a 63% majority of Americans said they couldn’t stop watching news coverage of the attacks.

Chart shows days after 9/11, nearly all Americans said they felt sad; most felt depressed

Our first survey following the attacks went into the field just days after 9/11, from Sept. 13-17, 2001. A sizable majority of adults (71%) said they felt depressed, nearly half (49%) had difficulty concentrating and a third said they had trouble sleeping.

It was an era in which television was still the public’s dominant news source – 90% said they got most of their news about the attacks from television, compared with just 5% who got news online – and the televised images of death and destruction had a powerful impact. Around nine-in-ten Americans (92%) agreed with the statement, “I feel sad when watching TV coverage of the terrorist attacks.” A sizable majority (77%) also found it frightening to watch – but most did so anyway.

Americans were enraged by the attacks, too. Three weeks after 9/11, even as the psychological stress began to ease somewhat, 87% said they felt angry about the attacks on the World Trade Center and Pentagon.

Fear was widespread, not just in the days immediately after the attacks, but throughout the fall of 2001. Most Americans said they were very (28%) or somewhat (45%) worried about another attack. When asked a year later to describe how their lives changed in a major way, about half of adults said they felt more afraid, more careful, more distrustful or more vulnerable as a result of the attacks.

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A New York City police officer pauses at a makeshift memorial on the firetruck of Ladder Company 24 on Sept. 13, 2001, in New York City. Hundreds of the city’s firefighters lost their lives in the 9/11 attacks on the World Trade Center. (Jose Jimenez/Primera Hora/Getty Images)

Even after the immediate shock of 9/11 had subsided, concerns over terrorism remained at higher levels in major cities – especially New York and Washington – than in small towns and rural areas. The personal impact of the attacks also was felt more keenly in the cities directly targeted: Nearly a year after 9/11, about six-in-ten adults in the New York (61%) and Washington (63%) areas said the attacks had changed their lives at least a little, compared with 49% nationwide. This sentiment was shared by residents of other large cities. A quarter of people who lived in large cities nationwide said their lives had changed in a major way – twice the rate found in small towns and rural areas.

The impacts of the Sept. 11 attacks were deeply felt and slow to dissipate. By the following August, half of U.S. adults said the country “had changed in a major way” – a number that actually increased, to 61%, 10 years after the event.

A year after the attacks, in an open-ended question, most Americans – 80% – cited 9/11 as the most important event that had occurred in the country during the previous year. Strikingly, a larger share also volunteered it as the most important thing that happened to them personally in the prior year (38%) than mentioned other typical life events, such as births or deaths. Again, the personal impact was much greater in New York and Washington, where 51% and 44%, respectively, pointed to the attacks as the most significant personal event over the prior year.

Chart shows in 2016 – 15 years after 9/11 – the attacks continued to be seen as one of the public’s top historical events

Just as memories of 9/11 are firmly embedded in the minds of most Americans old enough to recall the attacks, their historical importance far surpasses other events in people’s lifetimes. In a survey conducted by Pew Research Center in association with A+E Networks’ HISTORY in 2016 – 15 years after 9/11 – 76% of adults named the Sept. 11 attacks as one of the 10 historical events of their lifetime that had the greatest impact on the country. The election of Barack Obama as the first Black president was a distant second, at 40%.

The importance of 9/11 transcended age, gender, geographic and even political differences. The 2016 study noted that while partisans agreed on little else that election cycle, more than seven-in-ten Republicans and Democrats named the attacks as one of their top 10 historic events.

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New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani leads a group in flag waving, including New York Gov. George Pataki, acting New Jersey Gov. Donald DiFrancesco, New York Fire Department Rabbi Joseph Potasnik, Sens. Chuck Schumer and Hillary Clinton, former President Bill Clinton and former New York City Mayor Ed Koch, at a memorial service at Yankee Stadium on Sept. 23, 2001. (Jeff Haynes/AFP via Getty Images)

9/11 transformed U.S. public opinion, but many of its impacts were short-lived

It is difficult to think of an event that so profoundly transformed U.S. public opinion across so many dimensions as the 9/11 attacks. While Americans had a shared sense of anguish after Sept. 11, the months that followed also were marked by rare spirit of public unity.

Chart shows trust in government spiked following Sept. 11 terror attack

Patriotic sentiment surged in the aftermath of 9/11. After the U.S. and its allies launched airstrikes against Taliban and al-Qaida forces in early October 2001, 79% of adults said they had displayed an American flag. A year later, a 62% majority said they had often felt patriotic as a result of the 9/11 attacks.

Moreover, the public largely set aside political differences and rallied in support of the nation’s major institutions, as well as its political leadership. In October 2001, 60% of adults expressed trust in the federal government – a level not reached in the previous three decades, nor approached in the two decades since then.

George W. Bush, who had become president nine months earlier after a fiercely contested election, saw his job approval rise 35 percentage points in the space of three weeks. In late September 2001, 86% of adults – including nearly all Republicans (96%) and a sizable majority of Democrats (78%) – approved of the way Bush was handling his job as president.

Americans also turned to religion and faith in large numbers. In the days and weeks after 9/11, most Americans said they were praying more often. In November 2001, 78% said religion’s influence in American life was increasing, more than double the share who said that eight months earlier and – like public trust in the federal government – the highest level in four decades.

Public esteem rose even for some institutions that usually are not that popular with Americans. For example, in November 2001, news organizations received record-high ratings for professionalism. Around seven-in-ten adults (69%) said they “stand up for America,” while 60% said they protected democracy.

Yet in many ways, the “9/11 effect” on public opinion was short-lived. Public trust in government, as well as confidence in other institutions, declined throughout the 2000s. By 2005, following another major national tragedy – the government’s mishandling of the relief effort for victims of Hurricane Katrina – just 31% said they trusted the federal government, half the share who said so in the months after 9/11. Trust has remained relatively low for the past two decades: In April of this year, only 24% said they trusted the government just about always or most of the time.

Bush’s approval ratings, meanwhile, never again reached the lofty heights they did shortly after 9/11. By the end of his presidency, in December 2008, just 24% approved of his job performance.

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2021/09/PP_21.09.2_Sept11Essay_Soldiers.jpg?w=640U.S. soldiers return from battle to Bagram Air Base in Afghanistan in March 2002. More than 2,000 American service members lost their lives in the Afghanistan War. (Hoang Dinh Nam/AFP via Getty Images)

U.S. military response: Afghanistan and Iraq

With the U.S. now formally out of Afghanistan – and with the Taliban firmly in control of the country – most Americans (69%) say the U.S. failed in achieving its goals in Afghanistan.

Chart shows broad initial support for U.S. military action against 9/11 terrorists, even if it entailed thousands of U.S. casualties

But 20 years ago, in the days and weeks following 9/11, Americans overwhelmingly supported military action against those responsible for the attacks. In mid-September 2001, 77% favored U.S. military action, including the deployment of ground forces, “to retaliate against whoever is responsible for the terrorist attacks, even if that means U.S. armed forces might suffer thousands of casualties.”

Many Americans were impatient for the Bush administration to give the go-ahead for military action. In a late September 2001 survey, nearly half the public (49%) said their larger concern was that the Bush administration would not strike quickly enough against the terrorists; just 34% said they worried the administration would move too quickly.

Even in the early stages of the U.S. military response, few adults expected a military operation to produce quick results: 69% said it would take months or years to dismantle terrorist networks, including 38% who said it would take years and 31% who said it would take several months. Just 18% said it would take days or weeks.

The public’s support for military intervention was evident in other ways as well. Throughout the fall of 2001, more Americans said the best way to prevent future terrorism was to take military action abroad rather than build up defenses at home. In early October 2001, 45% prioritized military action to destroy terrorist networks around the world, while 36% said the priority should be to build terrorism defenses at home.

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Construction workers in Times Square put up American flags and signs on Sept. 13, 2001. (Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

Initially, the public was confident that the U.S. military effort to destroy terrorist networks would succeed. A sizable majority (76%) was confident in the success of this mission, with 39% saying they were very confident.

Support for the war in Afghanistan continued at a high level for several years to come. In a survey conducted in early 2002, a few months after the start of the war, 83% of Americans said they approved of the U.S.-led military campaign against the Taliban and al-Qaida in Afghanistan. In 2006, several years after the United States began combat operations in Afghanistan, 69% of adults said the U.S. made the right decision in using military force in Afghanistan. Only two-in-ten said it was the wrong decision.

Chart shows public support for withdrawing U.S. troops from Afghanistan increased after Osama bin Laden was killed in 2011

But as the conflict dragged on, first through Bush’s presidency and then through Obama’s administration, support wavered and a growing share of Americans favored the withdrawal of U.S. forces from Afghanistan. In June 2009, during Obama’s first year in office, 38% of Americans said U.S. troops should be removed from Afghanistan as soon as possible. The share favoring a speedy troop withdrawal increased over the next few years. A turning point came in May 2011, when U.S. Navy SEALs launched a risky operation against Osama bin Laden’s compound in Pakistan and killed the al-Qaida leader.

The public reacted to bin Laden’s death with more of a sense of relief than jubilation. A month later, for the first time, a majority of Americans (56%) said that U.S. forces should be brought home as soon as possible, while 39% favored U.S. forces in the country until the situation had stabilized.

Over the next decade, U.S. forces in Afghanistan were gradually drawn down, in fits and starts, over the administrations of three presidents – Obama, Donald Trump and Joe Biden. Meanwhile, public support for the decision to use force in Afghanistan, which had been widespread at the start of the conflict, declined. Today, after the tumultuous exit of U.S. troops from Afghanistan, a slim majority of adults (54%) say the decision to withdraw troops from the country was the right decision; 42% say it was the wrong decision. 

There was a similar trajectory in public attitudes toward a much more expansive conflict that was part of what Bush termed the “war on terror”: the U.S. war in Iraq. Throughout the contentious, yearlong debate before the U.S. invasion of Iraq, Americans widely supported the use of military force to end Saddam Hussein’s rule in Iraq.

Importantly, most Americans thought – erroneously, as it turned out – there was a direct connection between Saddam Hussein and the 9/11 attacks. In October 2002, 66% said that Saddam helped the terrorists involved in the 9/11 attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon.

In April 2003, during the first month of the Iraq War, 71% said the U.S. made the right decision to go to war in Iraq. On the 15th anniversary of the war in 2018, just 43% said it was the right decision. As with the case with U.S. involvement in Afghanistan, more Americans said that the U.S. had failed (53%) than succeeded (39%) in achieving its goals in Iraq.

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Tom Ridge, then director of the White House’s Office of Homeland Security, presents a new color-coded terrorist threat warning system in March 2002 in Washington, D.C. (Joshua Roberts/AFP via Getty Images)

The ‘new normal’: The threat of terrorism after 9/11

There have been no terrorist attacks on the scale of 9/11 in two decades, but from the public’s perspective, the threat has never fully gone away. Defending the country from future terrorist attacks has been at or near the top of Pew Research Center’s annual survey on policy priorities since 2002.

Chart shows terrorism has consistently ranked high on Americans’ list of policy priorities

In January 2002, just months after the 2001 attacks, 83% of Americans said “defending the country from future terrorist attacks” was a top priority for the president and Congress, the highest for any issue. Since then, sizable majorities have continued to cite that as a top policy priority.

Majorities of both Republicans and Democrats have consistently ranked terrorism as a top priority over the past two decades, with some exceptions. Republicans and Republican-leaning independents have remained more likely than Democrats and Democratic leaners to say defending the country from future attacks should be a top priority. In recent years, the partisan gap has grown larger as Democrats began to rank the issue lower relative to other domestic concerns.

The public’s concerns about another attack also remained fairly steady in the years after 9/11, through near-misses and the federal government’s numerous “Orange Alerts” – the second-most serious threat level on its color-coded terrorism warning system.

2010 analysis of the public’s terrorism concerns found that the share of Americans who said they were very concerned about another attack had ranged from about 15% to roughly 25% since 2002. The only time when concerns were elevated was in February 2003, shortly before the start of the U.S. war in Iraq.

In recent years, the share of Americans who point to terrorism as a major national problem has declined sharply as issues such as the economy, the COVID-19 pandemic and racism have emerged as more pressing problems in the public’s eyes.

Chart shows in recent years, terrorism declined as a ‘very big’ national problem

In 2016, about half of the public (53%) said terrorism was a very big national problem in the country. This declined to about four-in-ten from 2017 to 2019. Last year, only a quarter of Americans said that terrorism was a very big problem.

This year, prior to the U.S. withdrawal of forces from Afghanistan and the subsequent Taliban takeover of the country, a somewhat larger share of adults said domestic terrorism was a very big national problem (35%) than said the same about international terrorismBut much larger shares cited concerns such as the affordability of health care (56%) and the federal budget deficit (49%) as major problems than said that about either domestic or international terrorism.

Still, recent events in Afghanistan raise the possibility that opinion could be changing, at least in the short term. In a late August survey, 89% of Americans said the Taliban takeover of Afghanistan was a threat to the security of the U.S., including 46% who said it was a major threat.

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A Transportation Security Administration worker screens a traveler departing from O’Hare International Airport in Chicago in September 2002. (Tim Boyle/Getty Images)

Addressing the threat of terrorism at home and abroad

Just as Americans largely endorsed the use of U.S. military force as a response to the 9/11 attacks, they were initially open to a variety of other far-reaching measures to combat terrorism at home and abroad. In the days following the attack, for example, majorities favored a requirement that all citizens carry national ID cards, allowing the CIA to contract with criminals in pursuing suspected terrorists and permitting the CIA to conduct assassinations overseas when pursuing suspected terrorists.

Chart shows following 9/11, more Americans saw the necessity to sacrifice civil liberties in order to curb terrorism

However, most people drew the line against allowing the government to monitor their own emails and phone calls (77% opposed this). And while 29% supported the establishment of internment camps for legal immigrants from unfriendly countries during times of tension or crisis – along the lines of those in which thousands of Japanese American citizens were confined during World War II – 57% opposed such a measure.

It was clear that from the public’s perspective, the balance between protecting civil liberties and protecting the country from terrorism had shifted. In September 2001 and January 2002, 55% majorities said that, in order to curb terrorism in the U.S., it was necessary for the average citizen to give up some civil liberties. In 1997, just 29% said this would be necessary while 62% said it would not.

For most of the next two decades, more Americans said their bigger concern was that the government had not gone far enough in protecting the country from terrorism than said it went too far in restricting civil liberties.

The public also did not rule out the use of torture to extract information from terrorist suspects. In a 2015 survey of 40 nations, the U.S. was one of only 12 where a majority of the public said the use of torture against terrorists could be justified to gain information about a possible attack.

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President George W. Bush talks with community leaders before delivering a speech at the Islamic Center of Washington on Sept. 17, 2001. (Smith Collection/Gado/Getty Images).

Views of Muslims, Islam grew more partisan in years after 9/11

Concerned about a possible backlash against Muslims in the U.S. in the days after 9/11, then-President George W. Bush gave a speech to the Islamic Center in Washington, D.C., in which he declared: “Islam is peace.” For a brief period, a large segment of Americans agreed. In November 2001, 59% of U.S. adults had a favorable view of Muslim Americans, up from 45% in March 2001, with comparable majorities of Democrats and Republicans expressing a favorable opinion.

Chart shows Republicans increasingly say Islam is more likely than other religions to encourage violence

This spirit of unity and comity was not to last. In a September 2001 survey, 28% of adults said they had grown more suspicious of people of Middle Eastern descent; that grew to 36% less than a year later.

Republicans, in particular, increasingly came to associate Muslims and Islam with violence. In 2002, just a quarter of Americans – including 32% of Republicans and 23% of Democrats – said Islam was more likely than other religions to encourage violence among its believers. About twice as many (51%) said it was not.

But within the next few years, most Republicans and GOP leaners said Islam was more likely than other religions to encourage violence. Today, 72% of Republicans express this view, according to an August 2021 survey.

Democrats consistently have been far less likely than Republicans to associate Islam with violence. In the Center’s latest survey, 32% of Democrats say this. Still, Democrats are somewhat more likely to say this today than they have been in recent years: In 2019, 28% of Democrats said Islam was more likely than other religions to encourage violence among its believers than other religions.

The partisan gap in views of Muslims and Islam in the U.S. is evident in other meaningful ways. For example, a 2017 survey found that half of U.S. adults said that “Islam is not part of mainstream American society” – a view held by nearly seven-in-ten Republicans (68%) but only 37% of Democrats. In a separate survey conducted in 2017, 56% of Republicans said there was a great deal or fair amount of extremism among U.S. Muslims, with fewer than half as many Democrats (22%) saying the same.

The rise of anti-Muslim sentiment in the aftermath of 9/11 has had a profound effect on the growing number of Muslims living in the United States. Surveys of U.S. Muslims from 2007-2017 found increasing shares saying they have personally experienced discrimination and received public expression of support.

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Flags fly during a ceremony at the Pentagon marking the one-year anniversary of the 9/11 terrorist attacks. (Robyn Beck/AFP via Getty Images)

It has now been two decades since the terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center and Pentagon and the crash of Flight 93 – where only the courage of passengers and crew possibly prevented an even deadlier terror attack.

For most who are old enough to remember, it is a day that is impossible to forget. In many ways, 9/11 reshaped how Americans think of war and peace, their own personal safety and their fellow citizens. And today, the violence and chaos in a country half a world away brings with it the opening of an uncertain new chapter in the post-9/11 era.

(PEW)

SEPTEMBER 2, 2021

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2021/09/02/two-decades-later-the-enduring-legacy-of-9-11/

 

706-43-14/Polls

Three Quarters (74%) Support Mandatory Vaccination for Public-Facing Workers; 65% Support Same for Return-To-Office

Toronto, ON, Sept. 2, 2021 — As more businesses and institutions across the country make plans for a return to work and school this fall, a strong majority of Canadians (74%) agree public-facing workers, such as healthcare workers, transit workers, servers, or grocery store clerks, should be required to be vaccinated. Half (51%) say they strongly agree with this sentiment (22% somewhat agree). When returning to the workplace, 65% of Canadians agree (28% somewhat/38% strongly) that businesses should implement mandatory vaccinations in their return-to-office plans.

Mandatory vaccination has proven to be a divisive issue among federal election candidates, as Conservative Party leader Erin O’Toole continues to campaign against mandatory vaccination and other leaders take advantage of public support for these measures in campaigning against him. However, consistent with previous Ipsos polling,[1] Conservative voters continue to express support for mandatory vaccine measures for public-facing workers (70%), though at a lesser level than Liberal Party voters (88%) and NDP voters (86%):

Agreement by Stated Vote Choice

(Strongly/somewhat agree)

 

Total

Cons

Lib

NDP

BQ

Green

Public-facing workers, such as healthcare workers, transit workers, servers, or grocery store clerks, should be required to be vaccinated

74%

70%

88%

86%

65%

61%

Businesses should implement mandatory vaccinations in their return to office plan

65%

65%

79%

78%

63%

37%

Canadians also support work-from-home measures as a means of curbing the spread of COVID-19: 78% agree (39% somewhat/40% strongly) that, if able to, work from home should continue in the fall due to the rise in Delta cases.

Two-thirds (65%) of Canadians agree that Canada should have a federal-level vaccination passport (26% somewhat/40% strongly). While previous Ipsos polling regarding vaccine passports saw 72% of Canadians supporting vaccine passports being required to enter restaurants, gyms, or other indoor spaces, support for a federal-level implementation is not quite as strong, in part driven by large differences among regions in the country.

Those in British Columbia are significantly more likely to support (79%) than other regions, and those in Atlantic Canada (55%) and Quebec (59%) least likely to support (67% ON, 66% AB, 64% SK/MB). In the aftermath of hackers gaining access to Quebec’s just-launched provincial vaccine passport, those without a current or announced vaccine passport system, such as Atlantic Canadians, may be skeptical of its usefulness. Those from Quebec may not see the need for a federal passport with their own provincial passport already in place.

Border Opening with US Too Soon, Say Canadians

When it comes to border restrictions, Canadians have reservations that re-opening was a sound decision, undoubtedly informed by the current wave of variant COVID-19 infections across the US. Two-thirds (66%) agree that Canada should have waited to re-open the US/Canada border (34% somewhat/32% strongly), compared to the fifth (18%) who feel Canada should have re-opened our border earlier. Just under four in ten (39%) agree that Canada should be doing more than it currently is to push the US to open its borders to fully vaccinated travelers (24% somewhat/14% strongly).

The majority of Canadians remain optimistic about the country’s economic future in light of keeping the US/Canada border closed, though not emphatically so. While 61% agree that they are confident that Canada’s economy can thrive even if borders to the US are closed, this is driven by those who somewhat agree (44%) more than strongly agree (17%).

Lowering Income Taxes, Addressing Affordability, and Universal Basic Income Most Important to Getting Canadian Economy Back on Track

Looking ahead, when it comes to getting the economy back on track after the pandemic, the top priorities in Canadians’ minds are lowering income taxes (39%), addressing affordability issues (37%), universal basic income (26%), and tax relief for small businesses (24%). Canadians place the least importance on lowering corporate taxes (5%) and rental assistance for businesses (6%).

There are key differences by demographic groups when it comes to which factors are deemed most important. Men (24%) are significantly more likely than women (16%) to feel eliminating the budget deficit is most important, while women are more likely to think addressing affordability issues should be a key area of focus following the pandemic (women 42%, men 32%).

Younger Canadians are also more likely to think addressing affordability issues is most important compared to those aged 55+ (42% 18-34, 41% 35-54, 30% 55+), in addition to prioritizing increasing income assistance (19% 18-34, 11% 35-54, 8% 55+). Voters in the 55+ category see eliminating the budget deficit (27% 55+, 17% 35-54, 13% 18-34), providing tax relief to small businesses (27% 55+, 17% 35-54, 13% 18-34), targeted programs for regions with high unemployment (16% 55+, 13% 35-54, 9% 18-34), and programs for underemployed youth (20% 55+, 12% 35-54, 11% 18-34) as most important. It may be the case that older voters are more economically established and thus feel looking forward to what can be done to help the country is more important, compared to younger voters, who may need more immediate help in light of increased cost of living and a nationwide housing affordability crisis.

Voters for each of the federal parties have different priorities for getting the Canadian economy back on track. Conservative voters are significantly more likely to prioritize lowering income taxes (47%, compared to 38% BQ, 34% Lib., 32% NDP, 27% Green), while Liberal voters are more likely to have subsidies for companies to create new jobs top-of-mind compared to other groups (16%, compared to 14% Green, 13% Cons., 9% BQ, 8% NDP). NDP voters place more significantly importance on addressing affordability issues (50%, compared to 37% Green, 36% BQ, 35% Lib., 30% Cons.), and universal basic income (46%, compared to 32% Lib., 27% Green, 14% Cons., 9% BQ) compared to others. While O’Toole has made GST holiday an integral part of his campaign, this item does not fall within the top five priorities for Canadians overall (18%), though Conservative and Bloc Quebecois voters are more likely to be enticed by this strategy than others (23% Cons., 23% BQ, 18% Green, 14% NDP, 13% Lib.).

Priorities for Getting Canada's Economy Back on Track Post-Pandemic, by Stated Vote Choice

 

Total

Cons.

Lib.

NDP

BQ

Green

Lower income taxes

39%

47%

34%

32%

38%

27%

Addressing affordability issues

37%

30%

35%

50%

36%

37%

Universal basic income

26%

14%

32%

46%

9%

27%

Tax relief to small businesses

24%

31%

31%

15%

9%

8%

Eliminating budget deficit

20%

36%

12%

12%

31%

15%

A temporary break from GST

18%

23%

13%

14%

23%

18%

Assisting homeowners

16%

13%

17%

15%

9%

23%

Targeted training/skills programs for underemployed youth

15%

13%

19%

15%

20%

11%

Provide skill-based education

14%

14%

16%

19%

11%

18%

Targeted programs for regions with high unemployment

13%

12%

14%

14%

19%

6%

Subsidies for companies to create new jobs

12%

13%

16%

8%

9%

14%

Increase unemployment assistance

12%

9%

12%

18%

6%

20%

Some other thing

9%

9%

5%

14%

15%

11%

Rental assistance for businesses

6%

3%

8%

6%

4%

12%

Lower corporate taxes

5%

6%

5%

2%

14%

3%

None of the above

4%

3%

2%

2%

5%

2%

When comparing Canadians who say they are certain of their vote choice and those who are not (i.e. not certain that the party they indicated they would vote for will be the one to receive their vote on election day), those who are uncertain are more likely to feel universal basic income (36%) is most important than those who are certain (26%), which could be an area of opportunity for federal candidates in garnering the vote of those likely to switch.

(Ipsos Canada)

2 September 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Three-Quarters-Support-Mandatory-Vaccination-Public-Facing-Workers

 

706-43-15/Polls

Six in Ten (60%) Canadians See Racism as a Serious Problem Facing the Country

Toronto, ON, September 3, 2021 — A recent Ipsos poll carried out on behalf of Global News has found that a majority (60%) of Canadians believe to some degree that racism is a serious problem facing the country. Though unchanged from the same time last year, this proportion is still considerable jump from Canadians’ perceptions of racism pre-pandemic. Increased awareness of anti-Asian hate crimes during the pandemic, continued mistreatment against Indigenous Canadians, domestic terrorism against Muslim Canadians, and discrimination against Black Canadians have certainly contributed to the idea that Canada is not making much progress in tackling racism.

In order to add more nuance to the findings, the poll also asked respondents select with which ethnic or cultural background(s) they self-identify. Not surprisingly, perceptions of racism in Canada differ between those who identify as being only ‘white’ and those who do not.

 

Canadians of All Backgrounds Still See Racism as a Serious Problem

When asked how serious of a problem they consider racism to be in Canada today, six in ten (60%) believe in some way that racism is a serious problem. This includes 4% who say that racism is ‘the most serious problem facing Canada,’ another two in ten (19%) who say that it is ‘one of the most serious problems,’ and nearly four in ten (27%) who say that it is a ‘fairly serious problem.’ This proportion remains unchanged since July 2020 but is a double-digit increase from the end of 2019 (43%, +17).

There is little difference between those self-identifying as only ‘white’ and those who do not when it comes to thinking that racism is a serious problem in general (60% among those self-identifying as only ‘white’ v. 64% among those who do not). However, within this aggregated measure, Canadians who self-identify in a way other than exclusively ‘white’ tend to see the issue as slightly more pressing. Those who identify in a way other than only ‘white’ are more likely to say racism is ‘one of the most serious problems’ facing the country (27% v. 17%), whereas those identifying as only ‘white’ are more likely to choose a less intense stance, saying it is a ‘fairly serious problem’ (40% v. 31%).

 

Views on Racism in Canada[1]

 

September

2021

July

2020

December

2019

May

2019

Serious problem (net)

60%

60%

43%

46%

Most serious problem facing Canada

4%

3%

3%

3%

One of the most serious problems

19%

20%

9%

12%

A fairly serious problem

37%

36%

31%

32%

 

 

 

 

 

Not serious problem (net)

33%

33%

49%

49%

A minor problem compared to other issues

25%

26%

37%

37%

Not really a problem in Canada today

8%

7%

12%

12%

 

 

 

 

 

Unsure

7%

7%

7%

5%

 

A third (33%) think racism is not a serious problem, with a quarter (25%) saying it is ‘a minor problem compared to other issues’ and 8% saying it is ‘not really a problem in Canada today.’ Though a relatively small proportion, men are more likely than women to say that racism is ‘not really a problem in Canada today’ (11% among men v. 5% among women). Furthermore, those in Quebec are more likely to say that it is not really a problem (13%).

The remaining 7% of respondents are unsure as to whether racism is a serious problem in Canada. Among 18-34 year-olds, this proportion climbs to 12% (v. 5% of 35-54 year-olds and 4% among 55+ year-olds).

 

More Canadians Believe Racism Has Increased Over Past Five Years

When asked whether racism has increased in their community over the past five years, a quarter (24%) of Canadians say there has been an increase, a four-point increase from May 2019 (20%). Among those who self-identify to some extent as not exclusively ‘white,’ this proportion climbs to 33% (compared to 21% among those self-identifying as only ‘white’). Furthermore, those living in British Columbia are more likely to say that there has been an increase in racism over the past five years (37%).

Whatever level of racism they perceive there to be in the country already, half (51%) of Canadians believe that there has been neither an increase nor decrease (-6 from May 2019), with those identifying as exclusively ‘white’ more likely to believe so (55%, v. 44% among those not identifying as exclusively ‘white’). One in ten (10%) think there has been a decrease over the last five years (-1), with the remaining 15% say they don’t know (+3).

Canadians aged 18-34 years are more likely to say there has been a decrease in racism in their community over the past five years (18%, vs. 6% among 35-54; 6% among 55+). Diving a little deeper into this age group, those aged 18-24 years are also more likely to say they don’t know (15%). These figures about how young Canadians perceive racism in their immediate surroundings possibly speaks to not only the kind of company young Canadians may be keeping, but also to their being too young to meaningfully evaluate of how racism may have changed over the past five years.

The latest figures point to the idea that Canadians have not been making much progress lately when it comes to addressing racism; however, this is not a recent trend. Previous Ipsos polling using the exact same question shows that 17% in 1992 believed that there has been an increase in racism and that 19% in 2017 believed that there had been an increase.

(Ipsos Canada)

3 September 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Six-in-Ten-Canadians-See-Racism-Serious-Problem-Facing-Country

 

AUSTRALIA

706-43-16/Polls

Alp (54.5%) Increases Lead Over L-NP (45.5%) For Third Straight Interviewing Period

This is the largest two-party preferred lead for the ALP since the national bushfires crisis of last year when the ALP enjoyed a maximum lead of 10% points on a two-party preferred basis in early February 2020 (ALP 55% cf. L-NP 45%).
If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be easily elected with the largest share of the vote since the 1977 Federal Election won by Prime Minister Malcolm Fraser with 54.6% of the vote.
Interviewing for the latest Roy Morgan Poll was conducted over the weekends of August 21/22 & 28/29, 2021 with a nationally representative cross-section of 2,735 Australian electors using a combination of telephone and online interviews (multi-mode)
Primary Voting Intention has the ALP on 38.5% now ahead of the L-NP on 37.5%
Primary support for the ALP was up 1% point to 38.5% since mid-August and has now moved ahead of the L-NP which is unchanged on 37.5%. ALP support increased at the expense of the Greens who were down 1% point to 11.5%.
Support for One Nation was down 0.5% points to 3% while support for Independents/Others was up by 0.5% points to 9.5%.
Voting Intention by State shows ALP leading in Victoria, NSW, WA, SA & Tasmania
Voting analysis by State shows the ALP leading on a two-party preferred basis in Australia’s two largest States of Victoria and NSW and also holding leads in Western Australia, South Australia and Tasmania. The LNP leads only in Queensland.
The ALP leads strongly in Victoria on 59.5% (down 0.5% points since mid-August) compared to the L-NP on 40.5% (up 0.5% points) on a two-party preferred basis. Victoria has now been in its sixth lockdown for nearly a month.


This result represents a swing of 6.4% points to the ALP in Victoria since the 2019 Federal Election.

Importantly, the ALP has increased its two-party preferred lead in NSW with the ALP on 53% (up 1% point since mid-August) cf. L-NP on 47% (down 1% point) which represents a swing of 4.8% points to the ALP since the 2019 Federal Election. The longer the current two-month lockdown in New South Wales continues the higher the ALP’s two-party preferred vote goes.

The L-NP has its strongest result in Queensland with the LNP on 53.5% (up 1.5% points since mid-August) cf. ALP 46.5% (down 1.5% points) on a two-party preferred basis. However, despite the LNP’s lead this represents a substantial swing of 4.9% points to the ALP since the 2019 Federal Election.

The ALP maintains a narrow lead in Western Australia with the ALP on 51% (down 3.5% points since mid-August) cf. L-NP on 49% (up 3.5% points). This results represents a large swing of 6.6% points to the ALP since the 2019 Federal Election.

The ALP holds large two-party preferred leads in the smaller States with the ALP 57.5% (up 3% points since mid-August) cf. L-NP 42.5% (down 3% points) in South Australia. This represents a swing of 6.8% points to the ALP since the 2019 Federal Election. The ALP’s strongest performance is in Tasmania with the ALP 63.5% cf. L-NP 36.5% - a swing of 7.5% points to the ALP since the 2019 Federal Election.

Roy Morgan Government Confidence falls further into negative territory at 93.5

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has fallen further to 93.5 in late August, down 3.5pts since mid-August. Now 40% of Australians say the country is ‘heading in the right direction’, down 1% point since mid-August, while 46.5%, up 2.5% points, say the country is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.

There is a wide divergence between the States with Government Confidence well below 100 in the lockdown States of NSW and Victoria and the tourism-dependent Tasmania but in positive territory above 100 in the three other States.

Government Confidence in both NSW and Victoria is at only 86 in late August with both States in extended lockdowns that are set to continue throughout the month of September. Despite the lockdowns the COVID-19 outbreaks in both States are continuing to grow. However, Government Confidence is lowest of all in tourism-dependent Tasmania at only 77.5 in late August.

In contrast, Western Australia is in a far more positive frame of mind and has the highest Government Confidence Rating of 117. Western Australia has not been in lockdown since early July and was this week was confirmed as the host of the AFL Grand Final for the first time.

Government Confidence is marginally in positive territory in both Queensland at 104 and South Australia at 102.5. Both States experienced short, sharp and effective lockdowns in late July and early August but have been largely free of COVID-19 over the last few weeks.

Michele Levine, CEO, Roy Morgan says the ALP has strengthened its lead over the L-NP to an election-winning 54.5% cf. 45.5% as the lockdowns in NSW and Victoria hand the ALP big two-party preferred leads in both States:

“Today’s Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention shows the ALP increasing its lead for the third straight survey on a two-party preferred basis. The ALP on 54.5% (up 0.5% points since mid-August) is now a large 9% points ahead of the L-NP on 45.5% (down 0.5% points).

“This is the largest two-party preferred lead for the ALP since early February 2020 during the national bushfires crisis when the ALP briefly enjoyed a 10% point lead: ALP 55% cf. L-NP 45%. The ALP has steadily built its lead since mid-June when the two parties were in a tight race with the ALP 50.5% narrowly ahead of the L-NP 49.5%.

“Of course a lot has changed since mid-June when the current outbreak of the Delta strain of COVID-19 began when a Bondi limousine driver tested positive on June 16. Just over a week later Greater Sydney went into a lockdown that continues to this day and ever since that point support for the Morrison Government has consistently dropped.

“The primary responsibility for the current lockdowns of over 15 million Australians in NSW, Victoria and the ACT has been placed at the feet of the Federal Government for a slow vaccine roll-out around the country. The ALP enjoys a huge advantage in Victoria with the ALP on 59.5% cf L-NP 40.5% on a two-party preferred basis and the ALP also leads in NSW: ALP 53% cf. L-NP 47%.

“As of this week the latest Health Department figures show over 19.3 million vaccine doses have been administered to 59% of Australians aged 16+. A closer look at the vaccination data shows 63% of Australians aged 70+ and 52% of those aged 50+ are now fully vaccinated.

“However, the key target is the full vaccination of Australians aged 16+. Only 35% of people aged 16+ are now fully vaccinated which is well short of the 70% and 80% targets outlined as the key to ending restrictions and lockdowns.

“To reach the threshold of 80% fully vaccinated approximately 33 million vaccine doses need to be administered. Australia is still around 14 million vaccine doses short of this mark and at the rate of 1 million vaccine doses a week will reach this level in early December.

“One outcome of the outbreaks in NSW, Victoria and the ACT is that people in these locations are now racing to get vaccinated and will reach the vaccination targets ahead of other States. This staged re-opening is set to create further headaches for the Federal Government towards the end of the year as although some State borders are likely to open others are likely to remain closed.”

Electors were asked: “If an election for the House of Representatives were held today – which party will receive your first preference?" and “Generally speaking, do you feel that things in Australia are heading in the right direction or would you say things are seriously heading in the wrong direction?

This Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention and Roy Morgan Government Confidence was conducted via telephone and online interviewing last weekend. Roy Morgan interviewed 2,735 Australian electors aged 18+ on the weekends of August 21/22 & 28/29, 2021. A higher than usual 8% of electors (up 0.5% points from mid-August) can’t say who they support.

For further information:

Contact

Office

Mobile

Gary Morgan:

+61 3 9224 5213

+61 411 129 094

Michele Levine:

+61 3 9224 5215

+61 411 129 093

Australian Federal Voting Intention: Two-Party Preferred (2019-2021)

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2021/september/8782-c1.png?la=enSource: Roy Morgan Single Source. Average interviews per fortnight n=2,000. May 2019–August 2021. Base: Australian electors 18+.

(Roy Morgan)

September 01 2021

Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/8782-federal-voting-intention-september-2021-202109010638

 

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

706-43-17/Polls

On Average 23% Of Working Adults In 29 Countries Report Working From Home More Often Than Before The Covid-19 Pandemic

A new Ipsos survey in partnership with the World Economic Forum reveals that on average 23% of working adults in 29 countries report working from home more often than before the Covid-19 pandemic. More than a third of respondents in Peru, Singapore, India and Argentina say they work from home more often.

The online survey conducted between May 21 and June 4 of nearly 12,500 working adults reveals that on average, in 29 countries, the proportion of those who are still working, most often or sometimes away from home today hui (39%) is 15 points above pre-pandemic levels (24%). Three-quarters of those who work away from home at least once in a while say they do so because of Covid-19.
The survey indicates that work organization preferences are being reconsidered globally.The workers surveyed say on average that they would prefer, after the pandemic, and once all health restrictions have been lifted, to work from home 2.5 days a week - from a minimum of 1.9 in China, in Belgium and France to a maximum of 3.4 in India.
On average, two-thirds of respondents worldwide say:

  • Once the restrictions are lifted, employers should be more flexible on the issue of teleworking (66%);
  • They consider themselves more productive with a more flexible work schedule (65%);
  • They claim flexibility in the time spent at the office (64%).

These views are more prevalent among people with a higher level of education and income, women, young adults and parents of children under the age of 18.

In contrast, nearly a third of those questioned believe that:

  • It is more difficult to be productive while working from home (38%);
  • They feel disengaged from their work when working from home (37%), and
  • They feel more tired from work in this situation (33%).

Parents of children under the age of 18 are also more likely to share this opinion.

3 in 10 (30%) say they consider looking for another job with equal responsibilities and pay if their employer asks them to come back to the office full time.  Parents and under 35 are the most likely to share this opinion.

Detailed results

Working from home during the pandemic

On average, 39% of people worldwide say they work from home  (25% always or most of the time and 14% sometimes at home and sometimes outside the home). At least 50% of all employed adults surveyed in South America (Peru, Argentina, Chile, Colombia and Brazil) as well as Singapore, South Africa and Malaysia agree, compared to 15 % in China and 21% in Russia. By comparison, only 24% of them reported working from home before the pandemic - 15 points lower than what they are reporting today.

23% on average of all employed adults surveyed in the 29 countries now work from home more often than before the pandemic. More than 3 in 10 people in Peru, Singapore, India, Argentina, Chile and Colombia report working remotely more frequently, compared to only around one in ten in Russia, Japan, Poland, Hungary, China and South Korea.

 

Among people who report working from home at least once in a while, the majority in all countries, with an average of 76%, say they do so because of Covid-19.

The expectations of Covid tele-workers

Depending on where they live, people who are currently working from home due to the pandemic have very different expectations about when to return to work from home. On average, globally, 27% of "Covid tele-workers" expect to return to their pre-Covid work routine in less than six months, 24% between six months and one year, 15% in more than six months. 'one year, 18% do not believe in a return to normal, and 17% have no idea.

  • France, Saudi Arabia, the Netherlands and Hungary are the only countries where around half of Covid tele-workers expect a quick return to normal.
  • South Korea has the highest proportion of people who think it will take more than a year. (35%).
  • Almost half of Australians and a third of South Africans and Britons do not expect to ever return to the pre-Covid situation.

Preferences in terms of work organization after the Covid crisis

On average around the world, 35% of people surveyed say that once the pandemic is over, they would prefer to telecommute completely or more often than before . Almost as many (33%) say the opposite : they would rather work away from home completely or less often than before the pandemic. One in ten people say they would prefer to work from home as much as before (10%).

Countries where the highest proportions of people saying they would prefer to work from home completely or more often than before the pandemic (all between 43% and 48%) include South Africa, Singapore, Great Britain, United States, India and Australia. The preference to work completely away from home or less often than before the pandemic is more prevalent in Saudi Arabia, Mexico, Poland and Turkey (all between 45% and 53%).
Globally, an average of 25% of the 29 countries say that when the pandemic is over and all restrictions have been lifted, they will prefer to work from home every day.. It is the preference of more than a third in South Africa, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, Peru, India and the United States. In contrast, 25% of people surveyed worldwide say they prefer not to work from home every day of the week. This is the preference of more than a third in Belgium, Poland, France, Japan, Germany and Spain. On average, the ideal number of telecommuting days in a five-day week ranges from 3.4 in India to 1.9 in China, Belgium and France.

 

On average, 30% of people worldwide agree that they would consider looking for another job with equal pay and responsibilities if their employer asked them to work from home full time (12% strongly agree and 18 % somewhat agree). The agreement is highest in India, Saudi Arabia, Peru and Malaysia and, more generally, among those under 35. However, less than 10% of respondents in Japan, South Korea, Russia, France, Germany, Belgium, Sweden, Singapore and China strongly agree.

Employees want more flexibility

Overall, workers tend to have a positive perception of working from home and want more flexibility.

Across all countries, the majority of respondents agree that when the COVID-19 restrictions are no longer in effect, employers should be more flexible in forcing employees to come to the office. (from 53% in Germany to 81% in India, with a world average of 66%).
In almost all countries, the majority of respondents say they want some flexibility in office time (including more than three in four in China, Singapore, Saudi Arabia and South Korea).
Few would disagree that they are more productive with a flexible work schedule (11% on average globally versus 65% who agree).
In general, those with higher education, the better-off, women, young adults and parents of children under the age of 18 are more likely to express these views.

 

The disadvantages of teleworking

Regarding the disadvantages of working from home, on average around the world:

  • 52% say they miss their colleagues' presence ,
  • 38% say their home is a difficult place to be productive,
  • 37% feel disengaged from their work when working from home,
  • 33% feel more exhausted from work when working from home.  

These views are more prevalent in Saudi Arabia, Turkey, India and Malaysia and, more generally, among parents of children under 18.  

(Ipsos France)

30 August 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/retour-au-bureau-les-salaries-attendent-plus-de-flexibilite-de-leur-employeur-apres-la-crise-covid

 

706-43-18/Polls

Back To School 2021: 20% Of French People Would Be Against A New Closure Of Schools

  • After two school years troubled by the pandemic, the French fear above all that students suffer from a lack of concentration at school  : this is a fear for 36% of respondents when it comes to 11-15 year olds, a figure which reaches 38% for 16-18 year olds.
  • The French are among the most concerned about the increase in disciplinary problems and unruly behavior, especially among 11-15 year olds (38% vs 32% globally), and those under 11 (34% vs 27% at the World level).
  • In the long term, 38% of French people fear that the crisis will permanently affect the mental health and well-being of young people , a figure close to the world average (37%).
  • For 1 in 3 French people (33%) the pandemic risks leading to a drop in the level of qualification of young people , and 1 in 4 French people (26%) fear that they will experience a high level of unemployment and a drop in income.
  • 2 in 10 French people (20%) would find it unacceptable to close schools again in order to reduce the transmission of the virus, against 18% on average for all respondents and 12% in Spain alone.
  • School must be a government budgetary priority for 30% of French people. (vs. 27% globally) It is the 2 th most mentioned priority,after public health (46%) and slightly in front of the social security and assistance to the poor (29%).

 

Decline in concentration and discipline at school: the epidemic's most feared consequences

The return of face-to-face classes has been confirmed by the government for this 2021 school year, but at what cost? Many signs suggest that the pandemic will have long-term harmful effects on young people, affecting in particular their mental health and well-being according to 38% of French people , added to a drop in the level of qualification (33%).

For this new school year, students could encounter difficulties following two years of schooling troubled by the health crisis. On average, 36% of French people surveyed fear that children under the age of 15 suffer more from attention and concentration disorders when they return to class, a figure that reaches 38% for 16-18 year olds. Another particularly strong concern in France: behavioral problems and discipline in the classroom. They worry 38% of French people when it comes to 11-15 year olds (32% globally), and 34% for those under 11 (vs 27% globally).

Compared to inhabitants of other countries, the French are also less worried about the anxieties linked to Covid that the youngest may feel at school  : only 14% of French people say they are concerned about 12-15 year olds - a figure that rises to 20% for those under 11 - against a global average of 21%, and 36% in Brazil, where the pandemic is still struggling to be controlled.

 

Closing schools, an acceptable sacrifice to stem the pandemic

At the end of August, the rules established by the government are clear. From the first proven Covid case, the order will be given to close classes and organize distance learning. Despite the feared consequences of this type of measure, half of the French seem to be in favor of a new closure of schools  : 51% think that the closure of schools is an acceptable price to pay to reduce the spread of the virus - against 20% who find it unacceptable. However, this level of acceptance is well below the world average, which stands at 62%.

Health and education first!

When asked to identify up to three areas that they consider a priority for public spending in the aftermath of the pandemic, the French are torn. When asked, nearly half confirm their commitment to investing in public health (46%), followed by primary and secondary school for nearly a third of them (30%, against 27% on average worldwide ), just ahead of security and social assistance to the population (29%). This is followed by economic issues - which seem to be less of a priority in the eyes of the French - such as investment in companies (15%) or improving the employability of individuals post-Covid (17%).

 

“Among other things that Covid-19 has revealed, the state of the education system has shown its strengths and limitations in France. Parents have better understood the importance and complexity of the teaching profession as social, economic and cultural disparities have widened. The French have also understood the need to invest and give real resources to National Education so that it fulfills its missions: today, school must be a budgetary priority for 30% of them (vs. 27% worldwide). It should be noted that, in a country that is often critical of civil servants, this is the second most mentioned priority, after public health (46%) and slightly ahead of social security and aid to the most deprived (29% ). The great return of the sovereign state? "

(Ipsos France)

31 August 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/rentree-2021-20-des-francais-seraient-contre-une-nouvelle-fermeture-des-ecoles

 

706-43-19/Polls

More Than Two In Five (45%) Britons And Over Half (52%) Americans Say They Will Miss Petrol And Diesel Cars If They Are Ever Fully Phased Out

There is a sense of inevitability around electric vehicles. Governments around the world are working to phase out vehicles that run on fossil fuels (petrol and diesel)– in the UK, the plan is to stop selling new petrol and diesel cars by 2030; in the US, President Biden has set a goal for 50% of new US vehicles to be electric in the same timeframe.  

But new YouGov Direct data suggests that neither Americans nor Britons are yet ready to say goodbye to petrol and diesel cars. In Britain, nearly half believe car manufacturers should not exclusively offer electric cars (48%) – compared to two in five (41%) who believe they should. In the US, the gap is even wider: while three in ten (29%) think automakers should only sell electric vehicles, three in five (59%) disagree.    

The public have, in the past, cited practical reasons to oppose an all-electric automotive market: convenience, for example, is a key issue, and one recently cited by the government’s climate spokesperson. But our data also shows evidence of a sentimental attachment to petrol and diesel cars in both markets. 

In Britain, for example, more than two in five (45%) say they will miss petrol and diesel cars if they are ever fully phased out – with a similar proportion saying the opposite (44%). American consumers, however, are more emphatic: over half (52%) will miss cars with fossil fuel engines once they’re gone, compared to fewer than two in five (36%) who believe the reverse.  

This could present a key challenge for governments and car manufacturers as they transition towards an electric future: whatever the benefits of electric cars or the drawbacks of petrol and diesel cars, a sizable portion of the public simply enjoys their gas-guzzlers. In any case, if political enthusiasm for electric cars is high, popular enthusiasm is not quite there yet. 

(YouGov UK)

September 02, 2021

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/lifestyle/articles-reports/2021/09/02/will-people-miss-fossil-fuel-cars-once-theyre-gone

 

706-43-20/Polls

Only 15 Percent Of Consumers Worldwide Say They Have Switched Provider Or Product Due To Data Loss

According to a survey carried out by YouGov in 17 key markets, only 15 percent of consumers worldwide say they have switched provider or product due to data loss. This reason for a change of provider or brand is at the bottom of our list of reasons. Inadequate environmental protection (21 percent), product defects and poor treatment of employees (23 percent each), but above all lies about product performance (31 percent) are more often given as reasons. A dominant market position of the provider preventing competition as well as drastic undertakings to reduce tax payments are mentioned even less often (14 percent each) than data loss.

 

Most common brand changes due to data loss in Asia

Of course, consumer habits differ drastically from market to market. Our data shows that consumers in Asia Pacific are generally more willing to part ways with a brand when they experience data loss than in other markets. Among people in Hong Kong this is 30 percent, in Singapore 25 percent, in Indonesia 24 percent, in China 21 percent and in India 20 percent.

To prevent this, the Chinese government is currently working on a data protection law that is supposed to be similar to the General Data Protection Regulation of the European Union (GDPR).

American consumers are also more likely than the global average (15 percent) to have changed brands when they lost their data (18 percent). This statement is made less often among Europeans: in the United Kingdom and Spain, 12 percent each say this, in Italy and Poland 11 percent each, and in Germany and France 10 percent each. Scandinavians are the least likely to say this: in Sweden it is 7 percent and in Denmark 5 percent.

(YouGov Germany)

September 3, 2021

Source: https://yougov.de/news/2021/09/03/wie-wirkt-sich-datenverlust-auf-die-kundentreue-au/