Gilani’s Gallopedia© Gallopedia From Gilani Research Foundation August 2021, Issue # 701* Compiled on a weekly basis since January 2007
Gilani’s Gallopedia is a weekly Digest of Opinions in a globalized world
This issue scores 46 out of 100 on Gilani-Gallopedia's Globality Index, showing coverage of world population, and 61 out of 100 on the world income (prosperity) Index. Click for Details
Contact Details: Natasha Amir Research Executive, Gallup Pakistan Email: natasha@galluppakistan.com This WEEKLY REPORT consists of 22 national & multi country surveys 8 polling organizations have been represented. Asia: India (Inflation ), Turkey (Health), Tunisia (Governance) – 03 national polls Africa: Nigeria (Consumer Confidence), Morocco (Performance Ratings), Zimbabwe (Political Parties) – 03 national polls Euro Americas: UK(Inflation , Employment Issues, Employment Issues, Well-Being), France(Morality, Values & Customs), Germany (Lifestyle), USA (Ethnicity, Employment Issues, Afghanistan War, Religion), Canada(Environment, Health), New Zealand (Political Parties) – 13 national polls	Multi-Country Studies: Ipsos MORI – 25 Countries (Performance Ratings) YouGov MENA – 02 Countries (Science and Technology) PEW – 17 Countries (Health) Topic of the Week: On Average, 56% Agree Their Country’s Society Is Broken And 57% Agree That Their Country Is In Decline Gilani-Gallopedia Globality Index
ASIA AND MENA Regions
701-01 A Fourth (23%) Of The Polled Respondents Who Said They Were Planning To Purchase A Two-Wheeler A Majority Went Ahead With Their Plan (56%), A Sizeable Proportion (44%) Are Yet To Act On It (Click for Details) (India) A vast majority (84%) among those who intended to buy a two-wheeler and haven’t bought it yet said that the second wave of the pandemic impacted their purchase plan in some form. The most common impact (52%) was the postponement of the plan. While over a third have reduced their budget (35%), there are some who have increased it (14%). Notably, this increase in budgets is mostly reported by the millennials and those who reside in the tier 1 cities, who might have saved up during the second lockdown and have now decided to spend more on their two-wheeler purchase. (YouGov India) July 27, 2021 3.4 Economy » Inflation (Top)
701-02 7 Out Of 10 People Who Have Heard Of The Delta Variant Think That The 4th Wave Will Be Experienced Because Of This Variant (Click for Details) (Turkey) 71% of those who know about the delta variant think that there will be a 4th wave in the epidemic because of this variant. The rate of those who thought this way in the previous week was 63%. Only 17% think that a new wave will not occur. Parallel to the increase in both the delta variant and the number of cases, 68% of the population think that the epidemic can be brought under control later than 2021. (Ipsos Turkey) July 26, 2021 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
701-03 According To 55% Of Tunisians Democracy Is Always Preferable (Click for Details) (Tunisia) As Tunisia’s major political crisis unfolds, some commentators have argued that the country’s citizens never wanted democracy in the first place. However, data from Arab Barometer presents a different picture. In recently conducted surveys from the Arab Barometer’s sixth wave, a majority of Tunisians say that democracy is always preferable to other forms of government compared to just a quarter who say non-democratic governments can sometimes be better. Moreover, three quarters of Tunisians say that freely choosing leaders in free and fair elections is an essential characteristic of democracy. (Arabbarometer) July 29, 2021 1.3 Domestic Politics » Governance (Top)
AFRICA Regions
AFRICA
701-04 80 Percent of Adult Nigerians Do Not Support Scrapping of the National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) (Click for Details) (Nigeria) A new public opinion poll conducted by NOIPolls has revealed that 8 in 10 adult Nigerians do not support the scrapping of the National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) and there are more Nigerians from the North-East zone (88 percent) who made this assertion. This is in line with the position of the Sultan of Sokoto, Sa’ad Abubakar, who spoke when he hosted some selected members of NYSC Batch A stream 2 Corps members posted to Sokoto state in his palace in May 2021. (NOI Polls) July 28, 2021 3.2 Economy » Consumer Confidence (Top)
701-05 Large Majorities Say The Government Has Done “Fairly Well” Or “Very Well” In Managing The Response To The Pandemic (77%) (Click for Details) (Morocco) About one in eight citizens (13%) say they or a member of their family became ill with COVID-19, and four in 10 (40%) say someone in their household lost a primary source of income because of the pandemic. But only about half (48%) say they trust official COVID-19 statistics provided by the government, and six out of 10 (62%) believe that “some” or “a lot” of COVID-19 relief resources have been lost to government corruption. (Afrobarometer) 29 July 2021 1.2 Domestic Politics » Performance Ratings (Top)
701-06 Almost Three-Fourths (73%) Of Citizens Say The National Dialogue Process In Zimbabwe Should Go Beyond Political Parties (Click for Details) (Zimbabwe) Almost three-fourths (73%) of citizens say the national dialogue process in Zimbabwe should go beyond political parties to include other stakeholders, such as businesses, churches, and civil society organizations. About one in four citizens (28%) say that the ongoing POLAD framework is the only option for bringing about national stability and development in Zimbabwe. Almost as many (23%) disagree with this assertion, while almost half (47%) neither agree nor disagree, “don’t know,” or refused to answer the question. (Afrobarometer) 26 July 2021 1.4 Domestic Politics » Political Parties (Top)
EURO-AMERICA Regions
EUROPE
701-07 Over half of Britons’ 55% say they would struggle to pay their bills if interest rates double (Click for Details) (UK) New polling suggests a rise in interest rates could lead to financial hardship for many. At least half of Britons said they would be worse off than they are today (55%), that they would find bills a real burden (52%) and they would start to find themselves financially stretched (51%), should interest rates double from the current base rate. More than 4 in 10 (44%) would have to use savings to make ends meet, 42% say this is unlikely. (Ipsos MORI) 29 July 2021 3.4 Economy » Inflation (Top)
701-08 Between 21 And 22 The Minimum Wage Is 55p Lower Than It Is For Those 23 And Over, At £8.36 Per Hour (Click for Details) (UK) The minimum wage is not the same for everyone however. For those between 21 and 22 the minimum wage is 55p lower than it is for those 23 and over, at £8.36 per hour, while for those aged between 18 and 20 it is £2.34 lower, at £6.56 per hour. Many argue that the minimum wage is not in fact enough to live on, arguing instead for a ‘living wage’ of £9.50 an hour (£10.85 an hour in London) and against the banding of wage by age. Now new YouGov data finds that a plurality believe that the minimum wage should be higher, and a majority oppose the banding of wage by age. (YouGov UK) July 29, 2021 3.3 Economy » Employment Issues (Top)
701-09 One In Four Businesses Intend To Allow All Workers To Work From Home At Least Some Of The Time (Click for Details) (UK) Two in five businesses will allow all (24%) or most (18%) employees to work from home with the last coronavirus restrictions lifting. This is a considerable increase compared with before the pandemic, when only one in four businesses (24%) had this policy, including 17% who allowed all staff to work remotely. (YouGov UK) July 29, 2021 3.3 Economy » Employment Issues (Top)
701-10 Half (49%) Of Britons Have A Budget Of £10,000 Or Less, With Less Than One In Ten (8%) Planning To Spend More Than £30,000 (Click for Details) (UK) Data from YouGov Profiles shows that most Britons have a budget of £15,000 or less (67%) when it comes to buying their next car. Half (49%) have a budget of £10,000 or less, with less than one in ten (8%) planning to spend more than £30,000. In terms of preferred features, both higher and lower budget buyers are most likely to prioritise parking sensors (57% vs. 48%), a rear parking cam (57% vs. 38%), and smartphone integration (48% vs. 35%). As you can see, consumers with more than 30k to spend are more likely in each instance to desire the feature. (YouGov UK) August 01, 2021 3.1 Economy » Well-Being (Top)
701-11 On The Road To Vacation, More Than 1 In 4 French People Throw Their Waste Out Of Their Car Window (Click for Details) (France) Despite certain practices that are progressing in the right direction, the survey reveals the persistence of uncivil behavior that is too widespread , starting with the propensity of more than 1 in 4 drivers to throw their waste out of their car window - even if this is often comes at the cost of a feeling of guilt. Each day, an average of 25 tonnes of litter is collected along the highways by highway workers. (Ipsos France) July 30, 2021 4.7 Society » Morality, Values & Customs (Top)
701-12 The majority of Germans are in favor of butcher shops, but buy meat in the supermarket (Click for Details) (Germany) Butchers are becoming increasingly rare in the cityscape. The majority of German consumers (60 percent) state that they are now most likely to buy their meat in the supermarket, either pre-packaged (32 percent) or at the fresh food counter (28 percent). A quarter of those surveyed (24 percent) say that they are most likely to buy meat and sausage products from the butcher. The percentage distribution among people who pay attention to sustainable cultivation when eating and shopping is somewhat different. (YouGov Germany) July 28, 2021 4.7 Society » Lifestyle (Top)
NORTH AMERICA
701-13 54% Of Black Americans Report Unfair Treatment In At Least One Situation (Click for Details) (USA) WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Black Americans' self-reports of being treated unfairly in a variety of situations are generally steady or higher rather than declining. This includes a new high of 35% who say they personally were treated unfairly while shopping during the past 30 days, up from 24% last year. In five other situations, reports of recent unfair treatment are similar to a year ago, and range from 17% to 21%. (Gallup) JULY 27, 2021 4.3 Society » Ethnicity (Top)
701-14 Unemployment Increased More Sharply Among Immigrants 15.3% During Pandemic (Click for Details) (USA) In the first quarter of 2019, immigrant and U.S.-born workers each had an unemployment rate of about 4.0%. It dipped below that level for much of 2019 for both groups, but more so for immigrants. By the first quarter of 2020, the unemployment rate for foreign-born workers (4.1%) was back on par with that of U.S.-born workers, not seasonally adjusted. The onset of the pandemic sent the unemployment rate for immigrants soaring higher than the rate for U.S.-born workers. By the second quarter of 2020, the unemployment rate for foreign-born workers had reached 15.3%, compared with 12.4% for U.S.-born workers. (PEW) JULY 26, 2021 3.3 Economy » Employment Issues (Top)
701-15 47% Say U.S Military Involvement In Afghanistan Was A Mistake 46% Say It Was Not (Click for Details) (USA) As the U.S. military continues its drawdown of troops in Afghanistan, Americans are evenly divided in their views on whether it was a mistake for the U.S. to send troops into the country nearly 20 years ago. This is in contrast with most of the readings over the past two decades, which have found Americans generally more positive than negative toward the effort there. This is only the second time that less than half of Americans (46%) say U.S. involvement was not a mistake. (Gallup) JULY 26, 2021 2.2 Foreign Affairs & Security » Afghanistan War (Top)
701-16 Around Half Of Americans Who Say Religion Is Very Important To Them (49%) Say Their Best Guess Is That Intelligent Life Exists On Other Planets (Click for Details) (USA) This is evidenced by a variety of measures of religious engagement. For example, U.S. Christians are far less likely than religiously unaffiliated Americans to say that their “best guess” is that intelligent life exists on other planets (57% vs. 80%). And U.S. adults who attend religious services on at least a weekly basis are considerably less likely than those who seldom or never attend services to say that intelligent life exists elsewhere (44% vs. 75%). (PEW) JULY 28, 2021 4.1 Society » Religion (Top)
701-17 Half (49%) Of Canadians Say Recent Events Make Addressing Climate Change More Urgent, But Are Less Willing To Pay To Help (Click for Details) (Canada) Younger Canadians are more likely to say their opinion about climate change has changed, and they feel more urgent about climate change than in the past (56% 18-34 vs.43% 35-54, 49% 55+). As well, those with a university degree are more likely to say they feel more urgent about climate change than in the past (58% univ grad, 47% post sec, 47% high school, 40% less than high school). Older Canadians (46% 55+, 46% 35-54, 34% 18-35) are more likely to say their opinion has not changed. (Ipsos Canada) 28 JULY 2021 4.14 Society » Environment (Top)
701-18 Most Canadians Worried About COVID-19 Variants (81%), Fourth Wave (69%) (Click for Details) (Canada) A recent Ipsos poll on conducted on behalf of Global News finds that though six in ten (62%) feel the current uptake of the vaccine will help Canada avoid a fourth wave of the pandemic, the majority (81%) of Canadians say they are worried that the new COVID-19 variants will delay a return to normal. While there are few highly significant differences by age or gender in terms of sentiment on Canadians’ future with COVID, region plays a large role in opinion, linked to the differences in how Canadians in different parts of the country experienced the pandemic over the last year. (Ipsos Canada) 29 JULY 2021 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
AUSTRALIA
701-19 Support For New Zealand’s Labour/Greens Government Dropped 1.5% Points To 49.5% In July (Click for Details) (New Zealand) Support for National was virtually unchanged at 29%, down 0.5% points, while the big mover was Act NZ which increased its support by 1.5% points to a record high 13%. This is the first time since 2002 that Act NZ has gained a higher level of support than the Greens. Support for the Maori Party was unchanged at 2.5%. A small minority of 6% of electors support other minor parties outside Parliament with support for The Opportunities Party up 1% point to a record high 3%, support for NZ First up 0.5% points to 2% in July. (Roy Morgan) JULY 30, 2021 1.4 Domestic Politics » Political Parties (Top)
MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES
701-20 On Average, 56% Agree Their Country’s Society Is Broken And 57% Agree That Their Country Is In Decline (Click for Details) On average, 56% agree their country’s society is broken and 57% agree that their country is in decline. To fully grasp the prevalence of social and political disaffection, Ipsos designed the “System Is Broken” Index, based on the level of agreement with five statements, “The economy is rigged to favor the rich and powerful” (averaging 71% agree in the 25 countries surveyed), Traditional parties and politicians don’t care about people ‘like me’” (68%),“Local experts don’t understand the lives of people ‘like me’” (65%),The country “needs a strong leader to take the country back from the rich and powerful” (64%) (Ipsos MORI) 28 July 2021 1.2 Domestic Politics » Performance Ratings (Top)
701-21 More Than Half Of UAE & KSA Residents 67% And 62% Trust Review And Rating Sites And Find Them To Be Useful (Click for Details) In UAE, more than two-third (67%) of residents trust review and rating sites, while only 5% indicated a distrust. Similar attitudes are held by the KSA public, where 62% showed confidence in these sites, and a very small number said they do not trust them (3%). Notably, a sizable proportion of consumers in both countries haven’t made up their minds about these sites and remain undecided about their reliability (27% in KSA & 24% in UAE). (YouGov MENA) JULY 29, 2021 3.11 Economy » Science & Technology (Top)
701-22 Those On Ideological Right Favor Fewer Covid-19 Restrictions In Most Advanced Economies (Click for Details) In most countries surveyed, those on the ideological right are particularly likely to say there should have been fewer restrictions on public activity over the course of the coronavirus outbreak. In keeping with previous findings, ideological divides between the left and right are largest in the United States with 52% of conservatives and 7% of liberals saying there should have been fewer restrictions. (The U.S. portion of the survey was conducted earlier than others, in early February.) Right-leaning people are significantly more likely to say restrictions went too far in nine other nations surveyed. (PEW) JULY 30, 2021 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
TOPIC OF THE WEEK: On Average, 56% Agree Their Country’s Society Is Broken And 57% Agree That Their Country Is In Decline uThis page is devoted to opinions of countries whose polling activity is generally not known very widely or where a recent topical issue requires special attention.
On Average, 56% Agree Their Country’s Society Is Broken And 57% Agree That Their Country Is In Decline Majorities of citizens in most of 25 countries surveyed by Ipsos express feelings of alienation when thinking about their country. The survey of more than 19,000 adults finds perceptions of a broken political and economic system prevailing in most countries, often accompanied by populist and anti-elite sentiment and nativist views. Broken-System Sentiment On average, 56% agree their country’s society is broken and 57% agree that their country is in decline. To fully grasp the prevalence of social and political disaffection, Ipsos designed the “System Is Broken” Index, based on the level of agreement with five statements: “The economy is rigged to favor the rich and powerful” (averaging 71% agree in the 25 countries surveyed) “Traditional parties and politicians don’t care about people ‘like me’” (68%), “Local experts don’t understand the lives of people ‘like me’” (65%), The country “needs a strong leader to take the country back from the rich and powerful” (64%), and “To fix” the country, “we need a strong leader willing to break rules” (44%). The four countries with the highest levels of alienation are all in Latin America – Colombia, Peru, Brazil, and Chile. Since 2016, broken-system sentiment has gained ground most in Japan, South Africa, Sweden, the United States, and Argentina; it has receded most in Spain, Mexico, and France. Compared to 2019, months before the pandemic, it has increased most in Malaysia and decreased most in Great Britain. Broken-system sentiment is highly linked to populist sentiment, resentment of elites, and natives-first/anti-immigration views. Ipsos also found that its System Is Broken Index is highly correlated with both the Social Progress Imperative’s Social Progress Index, an outcomes-based indicator of how well citizens’ social and environmental needs are met, and Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index. Countries with higher levels of wellness, equality, inclusion, sustainability, personal freedom, and safety and those with lower levels of perceive public-sector corruption tend to show lower levels of broken-system sentiment. Since 2016, broken-system sentiment has gained ground most in Japan, South Africa, Sweden, the United States, and Argentina; it has receded most in Spain, Mexico, and France. Compared to 2019, months before the pandemic, it has increased most in Malaysia and decreased most in Great Britain. Populism and Resentment of Elites On average across the 25 countries: 81% agree that politicians always end up finding ways to protect their privileges, 72% say the political and economic elite don’t care about hard-working people, 70% think the main divide in our society is between ordinary citizens and the political and economic elite, 62% agree politicians should be able to say what’s on their minds regardless of what anyone else thinks, and 60% say the most important political issues should be decided directly by the people through referendums, not by the elected officials. Populist/anti-elite sentiment is strongly correlated with broken-system sentiment; it is most prevalent in Chile, Hungary, Colombia, Peru, and Russia. The “elite” is widely perceived across the world as a closely connected group making decisions based on their interest and ignoring the needs of others. On average, 15% of those surveyed identify in any way with their country’s elite; Americans and Japanese are those least likely to do so. Nativist Views The “average global citizen” is ambivalent about immigration, leaning toward a natives-first view: 57% say employers should favor natives over immigrants when jobs are scarce, 38% agree their country would be stronger if it stopped immigration (while 33% disagree), and 38% say immigrants take jobs away from their country’s “real” nationals (while 35% disagree) The Nativism Index is strongly correlated with the “System Is Broken” Index, indicating how much social and political alienation and anti-immigration views tend to go hand-in-hand. Since 2016, nativist sentiment has grown most in Peru, Sweden (where it was marginal), Japan, South Africa, South Korea, and Turkey. Meanwhile, it has receded most in the U.S., Canada, Spain, Italy, and Hungary. (Ipsos MORI) 28 July 2021 Source: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/populist-anti-elite-and-nativist-views-linked-globally-widespread-broken-system-sentiment (Top)
GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX: u The purpose of this index is to treat the Global Coverage by each issue of Gallopedia in terms of Population, National Income and estimated Power measured by G20 Membership.
GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX (Top)
Disclaimer: Gilani’s Gallopedia is a not-for-profit activity and every effort has been made to give attribution to respective polling organizations. All material presented here is available elsewhere as public information. Readers may please visit the original source for further details. Gilani Research foundation does not bear any responsibility for accuracy of data or the methods and does not claim any proprietary rights benefits or responsibilities thereof. *Archives: Gilani’s Gallopedia has been compiled on a weekly basis since January 2007. Previous material is available upon request. Please contact natasha@galluppakistan.com