BUSINESS & POLITICS IN THE WORLD

 

GLOBAL OPINION REPORT NO. 701

 

 

Week: July 26 –August 01, 2021

 

Presentation: August 06, 2021

 

 

Contents

 

701-43-23/Commentary: On Average, 56% Agree Their Country’s Society Is Broken And 57% Agree That Their Country Is In Decline. 3

ASIA   11

A Fourth (23%) Of The Polled Respondents Who Said They Were Planning To Purchase A Two-Wheeler A Majority Went Ahead With Their Plan (56%), A Sizeable Proportion (44%) Are Yet To Act On It 11

7 Out Of 10 People Who Have Heard Of The Delta Variant Think That The 4th Wave Will Be Experienced Because Of This Variant 13

MENA   17

According To 55% Of Tunisians Democracy Is Always Preferable. 17

AFRICA.. 19

80 Percent of Adult Nigerians Do Not Support Scrapping of the National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) 19

Large Majorities Say The Government Has Done “Fairly Well” Or “Very Well” In Managing The Response To The Pandemic (77%) 25

Almost Three-Fourths (73%) Of Citizens Say The National Dialogue Process In Zimbabwe Should Go Beyond Political Parties. 29

WEST EUROPE.. 32

Over half of Britons’ 55% say they would struggle to pay their bills if interest rates double. 32

Between 21 And 22 The Minimum Wage Is 55p Lower Than It Is For Those 23 And Over, At £8.36 Per Hour 35

One In Four Businesses Intend To Allow All Workers To Work From Home At Least Some Of The Time. 37

Half (49%) Of Britons Have A Budget Of £10,000 Or Less, With Less Than One In Ten (8%) Planning To Spend More Than £30,000. 38

On The Road To Vacation, More Than 1 In 4 French People Throw Their Waste Out Of Their Car Window.. 39

The majority of Germans are in favor of butcher shops, but buy meat in the supermarket 43

NORTH AMERICA.. 44

54% Of Black Americans Report Unfair Treatment In At Least One Situation. 45

Unemployment Increased More Sharply Among Immigrants 15.3% During Pandemic. 48

47% Say U.S Military Involvement In Afghanistan Was A Mistake 46% Say It Was Not 52

Around Half Of Americans Who Say Religion Is Very Important To Them (49%) Say Their Best Guess Is That Intelligent Life Exists On Other Planets. 54

Half (49%) Of Canadians Say Recent Events Make Addressing Climate Change More Urgent, But Are Less Willing To Pay To Help. 58

Most Canadians Worried About COVID-19 Variants (81%), Fourth Wave (69%) 59

AUSTRALIA.. 61

Support For New Zealand’s Labour/Greens Government Dropped 1.5% Points To 49.5% In July. 61

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES. 67

On Average, 56% Agree Their Country’s Society Is Broken And 57% Agree That Their Country Is In Decline. 67

More Than Half Of UAE & KSA Residents 67% And 62% Trust Review And Rating Sites And Find Them To Be Useful 69

Those On Ideological Right Favor Fewer Covid-19 Restrictions In Most Advanced Economies. 72

 


 

INTRODUCTORY NOTE

 

This weekly report consists of twenty two surveys. The report includes three multi-country studies from different states across the globe.

 

701-43-23/Commentary: On Average, 56% Agree Their Country’s Society Is Broken And 57% Agree That Their Country Is In Decline

Majorities of citizens in most of 25 countries surveyed by Ipsos express feelings of alienation when thinking about their country. The survey of more than 19,000 adults finds perceptions of a broken political and economic system prevailing in most countries, often accompanied by populist and anti-elite sentiment and nativist views.

Broken-System Sentiment

On average, 56% agree their country’s society is broken and 57% agree that their country is in decline. To fully grasp the prevalence of social and political disaffection, Ipsos designed the “System Is Broken” Index, based on the level of agreement with five statements:

  • “The economy is rigged to favor the rich and powerful” (averaging 71% agree in the 25 countries surveyed)
  • “Traditional parties and politicians don’t care about people ‘like me’” (68%),
  • “Local experts don’t understand the lives of people ‘like me’” (65%),
  • The country “needs a strong leader to take the country back from the rich and powerful” (64%), and
  • “To fix” the country, “we need a strong leader willing to break rules” (44%).

The four countries with the highest levels of alienation are all in Latin America – Colombia, Peru, Brazil, and Chile.

Since 2016, broken-system sentiment has gained ground most in Japan, South Africa, Sweden, the United States, and Argentina; it has receded most in Spain, Mexico, and France. Compared to 2019, months before the pandemic, it has increased most in Malaysia and decreased most in Great Britain.

Broken-system sentiment is highly linked to populist sentiment, resentment of elites, and natives-first/anti-immigration views. Ipsos also found that its System Is Broken Index is highly correlated with both the Social Progress Imperative’s Social Progress Index, an outcomes-based indicator of how well citizens’ social and environmental needs are met, and Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index. Countries with higher levels of wellness, equality, inclusion, sustainability, personal freedom, and safety and those with lower levels of perceive public-sector corruption tend to show lower levels of broken-system sentiment.

Since 2016, broken-system sentiment has gained ground most in Japan, South Africa, Sweden, the United States, and Argentina; it has receded most in Spain, Mexico, and France. Compared to 2019, months before the pandemic, it has increased most in Malaysia and decreased most in Great Britain.

Broken-System Sentiment

Populism and Resentment of Elites

On average across the 25 countries:

  • 81% agree that politicians always end up finding ways to protect their privileges,
  • 72% say the political and economic elite don’t care about hard-working people,
  • 70% think the main divide in our society is between ordinary citizens and the political and economic elite,
  • 62% agree politicians should be able to say what’s on their minds regardless of what anyone else thinks, and
  • 60% say the most important political issues should be decided directly by the people through referendums, not by the elected officials.

Populist/anti-elite sentiment is strongly correlated with broken-system sentiment; it is most prevalent in Chile, Hungary, Colombia, Peru, and Russia.

The “elite” is widely perceived across the world as a closely connected group making decisions based on their interest and ignoring the needs of others. On average, 15% of those surveyed identify in any way with their country’s elite; Americans and Japanese are those least likely to do so.

Nativist Views

The “average global citizen” is ambivalent about immigration, leaning toward a natives-first view:

  • 57% say employers should favor natives over immigrants when jobs are scarce,
  • 38% agree their country would be stronger if it stopped immigration (while 33% disagree), and
  • 38% say immigrants take jobs away from their country’s “real” nationals (while 35% disagree)

Broken-system sentiment

The Nativism Index is strongly correlated with the “System Is Broken” Index, indicating how much social and political alienation and anti-immigration views tend to go hand-in-hand.

Since 2016, nativist sentiment has grown most in Peru, Sweden (where it was marginal), Japan, South Africa, South Korea, and Turkey. Meanwhile, it has receded most in the U.S., Canada, Spain, Italy, and Hungary.

(Ipsos MORI)

28 July 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/populist-anti-elite-and-nativist-views-linked-globally-widespread-broken-system-sentiment

 

SUMMARY OF POLLS

ASIA

(India)

A Fourth (23%) Of The Polled Respondents Who Said They Were Planning To Purchase A Two-Wheeler A Majority Went Ahead With Their Plan (56%), A Sizeable Proportion (44%) Are Yet To Act On It

A vast majority (84%) among those who intended to buy a two-wheeler and haven’t bought it yet said that the second wave of the pandemic impacted their purchase plan in some form. The most common impact (52%) was the postponement of the plan. While over a third have reduced their budget (35%), there are some who have increased it (14%). Notably, this increase in budgets is mostly reported by the millennials and those who reside in the tier 1 cities, who might have saved up during the second lockdown and have now decided to spend more on their two-wheeler purchase.

(YouGov India)

July 27, 2021

 

(Turkey)

7 Out Of 10 People Who Have Heard Of The Delta Variant Think That The 4th Wave Will Be Experienced Because Of This Variant

71% of those who know about the delta variant think that there will be a 4th wave in the epidemic because of this variant. The rate of those who thought this way in the previous week was 63%. Only 17% think that a new wave will not occur. Parallel to the increase in both the delta variant and the number of cases, 68% of the population think that the epidemic can be brought under control later than 2021.

(Ipsos Turkey)

26 July 2021

 

MENA

(Tunisia)

According To 55% Of Tunisians Democracy Is Always Preferable

As Tunisia’s major political crisis unfolds, some commentators have argued that the country’s citizens never wanted democracy in the first place.  However, data from Arab Barometer presents a different picture. In recently conducted surveys from the Arab Barometer’s sixth wave, a majority of Tunisians say that democracy is always preferable to other forms of government compared to just a quarter who say non-democratic governments can sometimes be better.  Moreover, three quarters of Tunisians say that freely choosing leaders in free and fair elections is an essential characteristic of democracy.

(Arabbarometer)

July 29, 2021

 

AFRICA

(Nigeria)

80 Percent of Adult Nigerians Do Not Support Scrapping of the National Youth Service Corps (NYSC)

A new public opinion poll conducted by NOIPolls has revealed that 8 in 10 adult Nigerians do not support the scrapping of the National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) and there are more Nigerians from the North-East zone (88 percent) who made this assertion. This is in line with the position of the Sultan of Sokoto, Sa’ad Abubakar, who spoke when he hosted some selected members of NYSC Batch A stream 2 Corps members posted to Sokoto state in his palace in May 2021.

(NOI Polls)

July 28, 2021

 

(Morocco)

Large Majorities Say The Government Has Done “Fairly Well” Or “Very Well” In Managing The Response To The Pandemic (77%)

About one in eight citizens (13%) say they or a member of their family became ill with

COVID-19, and four in 10 (40%) say someone in their household lost a primary source

of income because of the pandemic. But only about half (48%) say they trust official COVID-19 statistics provided by the government, and six out of 10 (62%) believe that “some” or “a lot” of COVID-19 relief resources have been lost to government corruption.

(Afrobarometer)

29 Jul 2021

 

(Zimbabwe)

Almost Three-Fourths (73%) Of Citizens Say The National Dialogue Process In Zimbabwe Should Go Beyond Political Parties

Almost three-fourths (73%) of citizens say the national dialogue process in Zimbabwe

should go beyond political parties to include other stakeholders, such as businesses,

churches, and civil society organizations. About one in four citizens (28%) say that the ongoing POLAD framework is the only option for bringing about national stability and development in Zimbabwe. Almost as many (23%) disagree with this assertion, while almost half (47%) neither agree nor disagree, “don’t know,” or refused to answer the question.

(Afrobarometer)

26 July 2021

WEST EUROPE

(UK)

Over half of Britons’ 55% say they would struggle to pay their bills if interest rates double

New polling suggests a rise in interest rates could lead to financial hardship for many.  At least half of Britons said they would be worse off than they are today (55%), that they would find bills a real burden (52%) and they would start to find themselves financially stretched (51%), should interest rates double from the current base rate. More than 4 in 10 (44%) would have to use savings to make ends meet, 42% say this is unlikely. 

(Ipsos MORI)

29 July 2021

 

Between 21 And 22 The Minimum Wage Is 55p Lower Than It Is For Those 23 And Over, At £8.36 Per Hour

The minimum wage is not the same for everyone however. For those between 21 and 22 the minimum wage is 55p lower than it is for those 23 and over, at £8.36 per hour, while for those aged between 18 and 20 it is £2.34 lower, at £6.56 per hour. Many argue that the minimum wage is not in fact enough to live on, arguing instead for a ‘living wage’ of £9.50 an hour (£10.85 an hour in London) and against the banding of wage by age. Now new YouGov data finds that a plurality believe that the minimum wage should be higher, and a majority oppose the banding of wage by age.

(YouGov UK)

July 29, 2021

 

One In Four Businesses Intend To Allow All Workers To Work From Home At Least Some Of The Time

Two in five businesses will allow all (24%) or most (18%) employees to work from home with the last coronavirus restrictions lifting. This is a considerable increase compared with before the pandemic, when only one in four businesses (24%) had this policy, including 17% who allowed all staff to work remotely.

(YouGov UK)

July 29, 2021

 

Half (49%) Of Britons Have A Budget Of £10,000 Or Less, With Less Than One In Ten (8%) Planning To Spend More Than £30,000

Data from YouGov Profiles shows that most Britons have a budget of £15,000 or less (67%) when it comes to buying their next car. Half (49%) have a budget of £10,000 or less, with less than one in ten (8%) planning to spend more than £30,000. In terms of preferred features, both higher and lower budget buyers are most likely to prioritise parking sensors (57% vs. 48%), a rear parking cam (57% vs. 38%), and smartphone integration (48% vs. 35%). As you can see, consumers with more than 30k to spend are more likely in each instance to desire the feature.

(YouGov UK)

August 01, 2021

 

(France)

On The Road To Vacation, More Than 1 In 4 French People Throw Their Waste Out Of Their Car Window

Despite certain practices that are progressing in the right direction, the survey reveals the persistence of uncivil behavior that is too widespread , starting with the propensity of more than 1 in 4 drivers to throw their waste out of their car window - even if this is often comes at the cost of a feeling of guilt. Each day, an average of 25 tonnes of litter is collected along the highways by highway workers.

(Ipsos France)

July 30, 2021

 

(Germany)

The majority of Germans are in favor of butcher shops, but buy meat in the supermarket

Butchers are becoming increasingly rare in the cityscape. The majority of German consumers (60 percent) state that they are now most likely to buy their meat in the supermarket, either pre-packaged (32 percent) or at the fresh food counter (28 percent). A quarter of those surveyed (24 percent) say that they are most likely to buy meat and sausage products from the butcher. The percentage distribution among people who pay attention to sustainable cultivation when eating and shopping is somewhat different. 

(YouGov Germany)

July 28, 2021

 

NORTH AMERICA

(USA)

54% Of Black Americans Report Unfair Treatment In At Least One Situation

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Black Americans' self-reports of being treated unfairly in a variety of situations are generally steady or higher rather than declining. This includes a new high of 35% who say they personally were treated unfairly while shopping during the past 30 days, up from 24% last year. In five other situations, reports of recent unfair treatment are similar to a year ago, and range from 17% to 21%.

(Gallup)

JULY 27, 2021

 

Unemployment Increased More Sharply Among Immigrants 15.3% During Pandemic

In the first quarter of 2019, immigrant and U.S.-born workers each had an unemployment rate of about 4.0%. It dipped below that level for much of 2019 for both groups, but more so for immigrants. By the first quarter of 2020, the unemployment rate for foreign-born workers (4.1%) was back on par with that of U.S.-born workers, not seasonally adjusted. The onset of the pandemic sent the unemployment rate for immigrants soaring higher than the rate for U.S.-born workers. By the second quarter of 2020, the unemployment rate for foreign-born workers had reached 15.3%, compared with 12.4% for U.S.-born workers.

(PEW)

JULY 26, 2021

 

47% Say U.S Military Involvement In Afghanistan Was A Mistake 46% Say It Was Not

As the U.S. military continues its drawdown of troops in Afghanistan, Americans are evenly divided in their views on whether it was a mistake for the U.S. to send troops into the country nearly 20 years ago. This is in contrast with most of the readings over the past two decades, which have found Americans generally more positive than negative toward the effort there. This is only the second time that less than half of Americans (46%) say U.S. involvement was not a mistake.

(Gallup)

JULY 26, 2021

 

Around Half Of Americans Who Say Religion Is Very Important To Them (49%) Say Their Best Guess Is That Intelligent Life Exists On Other Planets

This is evidenced by a variety of measures of religious engagement. For example, U.S. Christians are far less likely than religiously unaffiliated Americans to say that their “best guess” is that intelligent life exists on other planets (57% vs. 80%). And U.S. adults who attend religious services on at least a weekly basis are considerably less likely than those who seldom or never attend services to say that intelligent life exists elsewhere (44% vs. 75%).

(PEW)

JULY 28, 2021

 

(Canada)

Half (49%) Of Canadians Say Recent Events Make Addressing Climate Change More Urgent, But Are Less Willing To Pay To Help

Younger Canadians are more likely to say their opinion about climate change has changed, and they feel more urgent about climate change than in the past (56% 18-34 vs.43% 35-54, 49% 55+). As well, those with a university degree are more likely to say they feel more urgent about climate change than in the past (58% univ grad, 47% post sec, 47% high school, 40% less than high school). Older Canadians (46% 55+, 46% 35-54, 34% 18-35) are more likely to say their opinion has not changed.

(Ipsos Canada)

28 July 2021

 

Most Canadians Worried About COVID-19 Variants (81%), Fourth Wave (69%)

A recent Ipsos poll on conducted on behalf of Global News finds that though six in ten (62%) feel the current uptake of the vaccine will help Canada avoid a fourth wave of the pandemic, the majority (81%) of Canadians say they are worried that the new COVID-19 variants will delay a return to normal. While there are few highly significant differences by age or gender in terms of sentiment on Canadians’ future with COVID, region plays a large role in opinion, linked to the differences in how Canadians in different parts of the country experienced the pandemic over the last year.

(Ipsos Canada)

29 July 2021

 

AUSTRALIA

(New Zealand)

Support For New Zealand’s Labour/Greens Government Dropped 1.5% Points To 49.5% In July

Support for National was virtually unchanged at 29%, down 0.5% points, while the big mover was Act NZ which increased its support by 1.5% points to a record high 13%. This is the first time since 2002 that Act NZ has gained a higher level of support than the Greens. Support for the Maori Party was unchanged at 2.5%. A small minority of 6% of electors support other minor parties outside Parliament with support for The Opportunities Party up 1% point to a record high 3%, support for NZ First up 0.5% points to 2% in July.

(Roy Morgan)

July 30 2021

 

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

On Average, 56% Agree Their Country’s Society Is Broken And 57% Agree That Their Country Is In Decline

On average, 56% agree their country’s society is broken and 57% agree that their country is in decline. To fully grasp the prevalence of social and political disaffection, Ipsos designed the “System Is Broken” Index, based on the level of agreement with five statements, “The economy is rigged to favor the rich and powerful” (averaging 71% agree in the 25 countries surveyed), Traditional parties and politicians don’t care about people ‘like me’” (68%),“Local experts don’t understand the lives of people ‘like me’” (65%),The country “needs a strong leader to take the country back from the rich and powerful” (64%)

(Ipsos MORI)

28 July 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/populist-anti-elite-and-nativist-views-linked-globally-widespread-broken-system-sentiment

 

More Than Half Of UAE & KSA Residents 67% And 62% Trust Review And Rating Sites And Find Them To Be Useful

In UAE, more than two-third (67%) of residents trust review and rating sites, while only 5% indicated a distrust. Similar attitudes are held by the KSA public, where 62% showed confidence in these sites, and a very small number said they do not trust them (3%). Notably, a sizable proportion of consumers in both countries haven’t made up their minds about these sites and remain undecided about their reliability (27% in KSA & 24% in UAE).

(YouGov MENA)

July 29, 2021

Source: https://mena.yougov.com/en/news/2021/07/29/more-half-uae-ksa-residents-trust-review-and-ratin/

 

Those On Ideological Right Favor Fewer Covid-19 Restrictions In Most Advanced Economies

In most countries surveyed, those on the ideological right are particularly likely to say there should have been fewer restrictions on public activity over the course of the coronavirus outbreak. In keeping with previous findings, ideological divides between the left and right are largest in the United States with 52% of conservatives and 7% of liberals saying there should have been fewer restrictions. (The U.S. portion of the survey was conducted earlier than others, in early February.) Right-leaning people are significantly more likely to say restrictions went too far in nine other nations surveyed.

(PEW)

JULY 30, 2021

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/07/30/those-on-ideological-right-favor-fewer-covid-19-restrictions-in-most-advanced-economies/

 

ASIA

701-43-01/Polls

A Fourth (23%) Of The Polled Respondents Who Said They Were Planning To Purchase A Two-Wheeler A Majority Went Ahead With Their Plan (56%), A Sizeable Proportion (44%) Are Yet To Act On It

New data from a recent YouGov study among 2022 urban Indians shows prior to the second wave (before March 2021) of Covid almost a fourth (23%) of the polled respondents said they were planning to purchase a two-wheeler. While a majority went ahead with their plan (56%), a sizeable proportion (44%) are yet to act on it.

A vast majority (84%) among those who intended to buy a two-wheeler and haven’t bought it yet said that the second wave of the pandemic impacted their purchase plan in some form. The most common impact (52%) was the postponement of the plan. While over a third have reduced their budget (35%), there are some who have increased it (14%). Notably, this increase in budgets is mostly reported by the millennials and those who reside in the tier 1 cities, who might have saved up during the second lockdown and have now decided to spend more on their two-wheeler purchase.

Few others (close to 1 out of 5) intend to buy a car (new/second hand), while 15% would go for secondhand two-wheeler and a similar proportion have completely dropped their plan to buy a two-wheeler.

The second wave of the pandemic brought about changes in the purchase timelines as well. Initially (before the second wave), 56% of urban Indians were planning to buy a two-wheeler before June 2021, and 44% had planned to buy it in the latter half of the year (Jul-Dec 2021).

With the emergence of the second wave, more than half (53%) plan to purchase a two-wheeler in the upcoming festive season (July-December 2021). The rest, however, (47%) are likely to hold onto their plans a bit longer and will consider making a purchase sometime next year.

While the budgets have increased (14%) or decreased (35%), from a vehicle type perspective the demand sees a surge (19% to 32%) for 100/110 cc motorcycle. Fall in intent to purchase 125cc motorcycle has been observed, while intention for other vehicle types remain stable.

(YouGov India)

July 27, 2021

Source: https://in.yougov.com/en-hi/news/2021/07/27/more-half-pent-demand-2-wheelers-likely-be-recover/

 

701-43-02/Poll

7 Out Of 10 People Who Have Heard Of The Delta Variant Think That The 4th Wave Will Be Experienced Because Of This Variant

7 out of 10 people think this variant will cause the 4th wave in the epidemic

71% of those who know about the delta variant think that there will be a 4th wave in the epidemic because of this variant. The rate of those who thought this way in the previous week was 63%. Only 17% think that a new wave will not occur. Parallel to the increase in both the delta variant and the number of cases, 68% of the population think that the epidemic can be brought under control later than 2021.

delta1Increasing Awareness of Delta Variant

According to the research conducted by the Ipsos research company; The awareness of the Delta Variant, which spread rapidly both in the world and in Turkey, increased by 7 points compared to the first week of July and reached 84%. The rate of those who have not heard of this variant is 16%.

delta2Those Who Know the Delta Variant are pessimistic about the epidemic

The majority of people who know the delta variant think that the duration of the epidemic will be prolonged because of this variant. 57% of individuals state that this variant will cause the epidemic to last much longer, while 26% state that it will last a little longer. The rate of those who think that it will take much longer has increased by 9 points compared to the previous period.

delta3The Number of People Who Think Hard Days Are Waiting For Us In The Epidemic Increases

While the society thinks more positively about the course of the epidemic in mid-June, the number of those who think that more difficult days will come today, with the increase in the number of cases, is increasing. While the rate of those who think that difficult days will come on 18-21 June is 24%, this rate rises to 39% in the week of 16-20 July.

delta4

Society Is More Pessimistic About The Impact Of The Pandemic On Our Country

Again, while the rate of those who felt more optimistic about the impact of the epidemic on our country in mid-June was 59%, this optimistic view dropped rapidly to 33% in the week of July 16-20. The rate of those who feel pessimistic due to the effect of the epidemic is increasing. Today, ¼ of the society is more pessimistic about the general effects of the coronavirus epidemic on our country.

delta5However, Despite This Negative Air, Individuals Still Socialize More.

Despite the negative opinions in the society due to the delta variant, individuals have started to socialize more with the warming of the weather and the lifting of the bans. While 51% of the society went out for non-essential reasons at the beginning of June, this rate has increased to 62% today. 4 out of 10 people have been involved in activities such as eating out, meeting with friends, visiting or hosting in the last week.

delta6

Ipsos, Social Research and Qualitative Research Service Units Leader, Executive Board Member Ece Ertürk made the following evaluations about the data;With the Delta variant, awareness and knowledge increase. With the increase of this awareness, it is thought that Delta Variant will have a negative impact on the course of the process. Compared to the previous weeks, the rate of those who think that the Delta Variant will affect the longevity of the epidemic has increased by 9 points to 57%. In other words, about 60% of the population believe that the delta variant will have a serious effect on prolonging the process. In relation to this, the expectation for the 4th Wave has increased and the expectation that the epidemic will end at the end of 2021 has shifted to a later date with a very high rate of 68%. With the effect of the Delta Variant, the relaxation of socialization with the normalization and the increase in numbers again, a negative and pessimistic atmosphere began to form in the society. The thought of harder days to come makes people feel hopeless. While we expect a different order in business life and education at the end of the summer than 2020, it is obvious that social and individual responsibilities should be remembered again so that our hopes are not delayed with these trends and developments. don't let it come to spring.

(Ipsos Turkey)

26 July 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/tr-tr/delta-varyantini-duyan-her-10-kisiden-7si-bu-varyanttan-dolayi-4-dalganin-yasanacagini-dusunuyor

 

MENA

701-43-03/Poll

According To 55% Of Tunisians Democracy Is Always Preferable

As Tunisia’s major political crisis unfolds, some commentators have argued that the country’s citizens never wanted democracy in the first place.  However, data from Arab Barometer presents a different picture. In recently conducted surveys from the Arab Barometer’s sixth wave, a majority of Tunisians say that democracy is always preferable to other forms of government compared to just a quarter who say non-democratic governments can sometimes be better.  Moreover, three quarters of Tunisians say that freely choosing leaders in free and fair elections is an essential characteristic of democracy.

https://www.arabbarometer.org/wp-content/uploads/Tunisia_Q516A_overall.png

https://www.arabbarometer.org/wp-content/uploads/Tunisia_Q512A3_1_overall.png

At the same time Tunisians also define democracy in terms of economic outcomes. Three-quarters also say that an essential characteristic of democracy is ensuring all citizens have basic necessities like food, clothing, and shelter. Given the dismal state of economic conditions in recent years, Tunisians have become increasingly frustrated with their political system. Perhaps this is why in 2018, only a third of citizens rated Tunisia as being closer to a democracy than a dictatorship.

https://www.arabbarometer.org/wp-content/uploads/Tunisia_Q512A3_2_overall.png

https://www.arabbarometer.org/wp-content/uploads/Tunisia_w5_Q511_EN-1.png

In short, Arab Barometer results make clear that Tunisians want democracy. What pundits seem to have missed is that relatively few Tunisians believe they currently live in a democracy. Building a full and inclusive democracy that meets the basic demands of citizens is what Tunisians have been demanding for years. Unfortunately, political elites have failed to deliver those outcomes since the revolution of 2011.

(Arabbarometer)

July 29, 2021

Source: https://www.arabbarometer.org/2021/07/tunisias-democratic-pulse/

 

AFRICA

701-43-04/Poll

80 Percent of Adult Nigerians Do Not Support Scrapping of the National Youth Service Corps (NYSC)

Abuja, Nigeria 20th July 2021 – A new public opinion poll conducted by NOIPolls has revealed that 8 in 10 adult Nigerians do not support the scrapping of the National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) and there are more Nigerians from the North-East zone (88 percent) who made this assertion. This is in line with the position of the Sultan of Sokoto, Sa’ad Abubakar, who spoke when he hosted some selected members of NYSC Batch A stream 2 Corps members posted to Sokoto state in his palace in May 2021.[1] The emir further explained that the NYSC scheme was established to foster the nation’s unity and strengthen ties among Nigerians. According to him, the NYSC scheme is the most needed programme in view of the present situation when Nigeria is almost divided along ethnic and religious lines.[2]

More findings revealed that out of the 80 percent who do not support the scrapping of the scheme, a larger proportion (30 percent) believe that the scheme encourages cultural integration in the country. While 27 percent consider it to be an avenue for exposure and self-development, 17 percent believe it helps the youths in various ways. However, of the 13 percent of Nigerians who support the scrapping of the scheme, 56 percent based their reason mostly on current security challenges in the country.

The poll results further indicated that most Nigerians (83 percent) who were interviewed admitted that the scheme has met its objectives of fostering National Unity in the country. Interestingly, 83 percent stated that graduates do benefit from the scheme and when probed further, monthly allowance (30 percent), intercultural relationship (17 percent), and self-development (12 percent) were the three top benefits mentioned amongst others.  In a country where some families toil day and night to make ends meet, the impact of the N33,000 monthly allowance paid to Youth Corps members cannot be undermined considering the adverse effect of scrapping the scheme.

With regards to modifying the scheme, 24 percent of adult Nigerians would like the scheme to be modified in such a way that the corps members get employed immediately after their service year. Therefore, rather than scrapping it, the government and concerned stakeholders should laisse with private companies and organizations to gainfully employ a certain percentage of Youth Corps members after completing their service year. These are some of the key findings from the NYSC poll conducted in the week commencing 12th July 2021.

Survey Background

The NYSC service was created as a federal government response to the gulf of divide and disunity that existed amongst Nigerians after the 30 grueling months of the civil war, which gulped thousands of lives and left in its wake wanton destructions of properties of monumental proportions. The cardinal reason for the creation of the service scheme is to heal the wounds the nation is nursing as an effect of the unfortunate and undesired civil war. It was meant to reconstruct, reconcile, and rebuild the country after the Nigerian Civil war.

The NYSC service scheme was created on the 22nd of May 1973 by decree No.24 which stated that the NYSC service scheme is established “with a view to the proper encouragement and development of common ties among the youths of Nigeria and the promotion of national unity”. The scheme has the primary purpose of inculcating in Nigerian Youths the spirit of selfless service to the community, and to emphasize the spirit of oneness and brotherhood of all Nigerians, irrespective of cultural or social background.[3]

After more than four decades of the establishment of the scheme, the debate has always reared on whether the scheme has achieved its aim or not and if there is a need to scrap the NYSC and replace it with another scheme. It is, however, a matter of debate in the National assembly if the scheme should be scrapped or not. The proponents of the scrapping are sighting issues of insecurity, unemployment, influencing posting among corps members as some of the reasons for the scrapping of the scheme while those opposing the scheme are citing the gains of fostering unity amongst Nigerians which the scheme has achieved over the years, as the reason why the scheme should continue to exist.

It is indeed common knowledge that corps members are now posted to states within the region of their origin thereby questioning the issue of fostering unity which the scheme seeks to achieve. “If you cannot be posted out of your region due to insecurity, then why mobilizing people for the scheme and where is the unity the scheme seeks to achieve?” queried a concerned citizen. Whether or not the service scheme will be scrapped is left to be seen but the debate rages on and Nigerians of different walks of life are sharply divided amongst the lines of scrapping or not. In the heat of the debate, NOIPolls conducted a poll to gauge the opinions of Nigerians regarding the 1-year service scheme.

Survey Findings

To enable Nigerian youths, acquire the spirit of self-reliance by encouraging them to develop skills for self-employment. To contribute to the accelerated growth of the national economy. To develop common ties among the Nigerian youths and promote national unity and integration.[4] Given the above, 83 percent of adult Nigerians interviewed disclosed that the NYSC scheme has met its objectives especially in fostering National Unity in the country.

Interestingly, further analysis revealed that there are slightly more non-graduates (85 percent) than graduates (80 percent) who believe that the NYSC scheme has met its objectives in the country. Likewise, respondents who did not participate in the 1-year NYSC program are more (85 percent) than the respondents who have gone through the scheme.

https://noi-polls.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/1-1024x412.png

With regards to the benefit of the scheme, 83 percent of adult Nigerians admitted that the Nigerian graduates benefit from the NYSC scheme after graduating from the University. Nigerians residing in the North East (90 percent) had more respondents who indicated that the NYSC scheme is beneficial to graduate. Also, respondents who did not participate in the 1-year NYSC program are more (89 percent) than those (80 percent) who have gone through the scheme.

https://noi-polls.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/2-1024x402.png

Subsequently, the poll result revealed that monthly allowance (30 percent) is the main benefit of the NYSC scheme as mentioned by 30 percent of the respondents who indicated that there are benefits from the scheme. Other mentions include intercultural relationships (17 percent), self-development (12 percent), promotes national unity (10 percent), and access to various opportunities amongst other benefits.

https://noi-polls.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/3-1024x499.png

Furthermore, when asked about the government’s use of corps members as Adhoc staff during elections, a majority of the respondents (57 percent) agreed with the government’s use of corps members as Adhoc electoral officers during elections in the country.

On the other hand, 32 percent of the respondents disagreed with the government’s use of corps members as Adhoc staff whereas 11 percent did not have a definite opinion on the topic as they neither agree nor disagree with the use of corps members as Adhoc staff during elections.

https://noi-polls.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/4-1024x420.png

With regards to a bill to scrap NYSC which is currently being debated in the National Assembly, 52 percent of adult Nigerians claimed that they are not aware that a bill to scrap the scheme is being debated in the National Assembly. On the contrary, 48 percent acknowledged awareness of the bill being debated in the National Assembly.

The poll further revealed that respondents who are aware of this bill are mostly Nigerians (65 percent) who have participated in the scheme in the past. Also, there are more graduates (61 percent) than non-graduates (38 percent) who are aware of the bill in the National Assembly.

https://noi-polls.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/5-1024x468.png

Regardless of awareness, when respondents were asked if they support or oppose the scrapping of the NYSC, the poll result revealed that 80 percent of adult Nigerians do not support the scrapping of the NYSC scheme. Analysis by geo-political zone revealed that there are more Nigerians from the North-East zone (88 percent) who made that assertion. Contrarily, 13 percent of the respondents support the scrapping of the scheme while 7 percent neither support nor oppose the bill.

It is worthy to note that analysis by educational status shows that there are more non-graduates (83 percent) than graduates (78 percent) who do not support the scrapping of NYSC. Likewise, there is a large proportion of respondents (84 percent) who did not participate in the scheme yet do not support that it should be scrapped.

https://noi-polls.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/6-1024x403.png

Further probing revealed that out of the 80 percent, a larger proportion of adult Nigerians (30 percent) who do not support the scrapping of the NYSC scheme believe that the scheme encourages cultural integration. While 27 percent consider it to be an avenue for exposure and self-development, 17 percent believe it helps the youths in various ways. Other reasons include gaining work experience (11 percent), adaptation (10 percent), and completing the educational process.

https://noi-polls.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/7-1024x607.png

Of the 13 percent who supports the scrapping of the scheme, 56 percent mentioned security challenges as the main reason why they want the NYSC to be scrapped. While 24 percent stated that the scheme has no benefit, 10 percent say it is of no use as well as a meager 6 percent who mentioned that the welfare packages are very poor.

https://noi-polls.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/8-1024x584.png

When asked: if the NYSC were to be modified, what are some of the changes you would like to see? The finding revealed that 24 percent of adult Nigerians would like the scheme to be modified in such a system that the corps members get employed immediately after their service year. This is closely followed by 23 percent who mentioned that corps members should be posted for the 1-year scheme within their geopolitical locations.

In addition, 13 percent were concerned about the specialization of the graduates as they stated that corps members should be posted to organizations relevant to their discipline. it is also, worthy to note that 1 in 10 adult Nigerians (10 percent) clearly mentioned that the 1-year national service should be modified to be made optional.

https://noi-polls.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/9-1024x626.png

Conclusion

In conclusion, the poll has revealed that most Nigerians do not support the scrapping of the NYSC scheme mainly due to cultural integration. Asides the 83 percent assertion that the scheme has met its objectives of fostering National Unity in the country, 83 percent also believe that graduates do benefit from the scheme. Some of those benefits include monthly allowance (30 percent), intercultural relationship (17 percent), and self-development (12 percent) amongst other benefits.

Finally, 24 percent of adult Nigerians would like the scheme to be modified in such a way that the corps members get employed immediately after their service year. Therefore, rather than scrapping it, the government and concerned stakeholders should laisse with private companies and organizations to gainfully employ a certain percentage of Youth Corpers after completing their service year. These are some of the key findings from the NYSC poll conducted in the week commencing 12th July 2021.

(NOI Polls)

July 28, 2021

Source: https://noi-polls.com/cultural-integration-exposure-and-self-development-main-reason-80-percent-of-adult-nigerians-do-not-support-scrapping-of-the-national-youth-service-corps-nysc/

 

701-43-05/Poll

Large Majorities Say The Government Has Done “Fairly Well” Or “Very Well” In Managing The Response To The Pandemic (77%)

A majority of Moroccans applaud the government’s performance in managing the response

to COVID-19 pandemic, including keeping the public informed, a new Afrobarometer survey

shows.

While half of citizens say they received government assistance during the pandemic, a similar

proportion believe the assistance was not distributed fairly.

Moreover, a majority of citizens believe that at least some relief resources were lost to

corruption.

Key findings

▪ About one in eight citizens (13%) say they or a member of their family became ill with

COVID-19, and four in 10 (40%) say someone in their household lost a primary source

of income because of the pandemic (Figure 1).

▪ Large majorities say the government has done “fairly well” or “very well” in managing

the response to the pandemic (77%) and keeping the public informed (86%) (Figure

2).

▪ But only about half (48%) say they trust official COVID-19 statistics provided by the

government, and six out of 10 (62%) believe that “some” or “a lot” of COVID-19 relief

resources have been lost to government corruption.

▪ Half (49%) of Moroccans say their household received special government assistance

during the pandemic (Figure 3).

▪ But the same proportion (49%) believe that government assistance was not distributed

fairly (Figure 4).

And 55% say the government is not doing enough to support people

who lost their jobs due to COVID-19.

▪ More than eight in 10 citizens (82%) say they are “somewhat likely” or “very likely” to

try to get vaccinated if a vaccine is available and the government says it is safe.

▪ But half (53%) of citizens say prayer is more effective than a vaccine would be in

preventing COVID-19 infection (Figure 5).

(Afrobarometer)

29 Jul 2021

Source: https://afrobarometer.org/sites/default/files/press-release/Morocco/news_release-moroccans_laud_governments_effort_in_managing_covid-19-afrobarometer-bh-ma-29july21_1.pdf

 

701-43-06/Poll

Almost Three-Fourths (73%) Of Citizens Say The National Dialogue Process In Zimbabwe Should Go Beyond Political Parties

A new Afrobarometer survey shows that most Zimbabweans think that the national dialogue

process should go beyond political parties and include participation by other stakeholders,

including businesses, churches, and civil society.

But only about one in four citizens endorse the Political Actors Dialogue (POLAD) framework

as the only viable option for bringing stability and development to Zimbabwe, while almost

half of citizens do not offer an opinion on the POLAD framework.

Key findings

 Almost three-fourths (73%) of citizens say the national dialogue process in Zimbabwe

should go beyond political parties to include other stakeholders, such as businesses,

churches, and civil society organizations (Figure 1).

 The call for an inclusive national dialogue process is more prevalent among rural

residents (76%) than urbanites (68%) and among men (78%) than women (68%). It is

also more common among MDC-Chamisa supporters (85%) than among ZANU-PF

adherent (67%) (Figure 2).

 About one in four citizens (28%) say that the ongoing POLAD framework is the only

option for bringing about national stability and development in Zimbabwe. Almost as

many (23%) disagree with this assertion, while almost half (47%) neither agree nor

disagree, “don’t know,” or refused to answer the question (Figure 3).

 Among those who offer an opinion on POLAD, citizens with post-secondary

education are least likely to see it as the only option (42%, compared to 60% among

those with primary schooling or no formal education). This view is dominant in Harare

(70%) but far less common in Mashonaland Central (31%) and West (35%) (Figure 4).

(Afrobarometer)

26 July 2021

Source: https://afrobarometer.org/sites/default/files/press-release/Zimbabwe/news_release-zimbabweans_call_for_inclusive_national_dialogue-afrobarometer-26jul21.pdf

 

WEST EUROPE

701-43-07/Poll

Over half of Britons’ 55% say they would struggle to pay their bills if interest rates double

New polling suggests a rise in interest rates could lead to financial hardship for many.  At least half of Britons said they would be worse off than they are today (55%), that they would find bills a real burden (52%) and they would start to find themselves financially stretched (51%), should interest rates double from the current base rate. More than 4 in 10 (44%) would have to use savings to make ends meet, 42% say this is unlikely. 

An increase in rates would mean hardship for mostNearly 6 in 10 (56%) say they would not be able to save more should interest rates double while less than a third say they would be better off than they are today (31%). 

Half (53%) of Britons think that the average interest rate since 1975 is 3% or less – the real average is higher at 6%.  While the average of answers given is correct, only 4% were exactly right, choosing 6% as the average Bank of England base interest rate.

Majority of people underestimate the average interest rate since 1975Just 3 in 10 (31%) know the current rate, which is 0.1%, while 1 in 5 (18%) say they don’t know. Twenty-two per cent incorrectly believe the current base rate is 0.5% while around 1 in 10 select either 1% (8%) or 2% (11%).

Inflation

On average Britons believe the highest level of inflation in the UK since 2001 is 10%, in reality inflation has only reached 5.2% in the past two decades. The most common answer given, however, is much more accurate, 15% of respondents think inflation has only ever reached 5% in the last 20%, while 11% say a level of 3% and 1 in 10 (9%) say inflation peaked at 4% in this time period.

Despite misconceptions in levels of inflation, a strong majority of Britons say they are confident they would be able to explain what inflation is, almost two-thirds (64%) say they can define it, compared to a third (32%) who would not be confident doing so. Confidence is significantly higher among men (72% vs. 57% of women) and older generations (75% among 55-75s). Although most people are confident in their ability to explain inflation, this is self-defined. 

People also appear to understand the impact of higher inflation rates. Three-quarters (74%) say it is true that, should inflation rates increase, mortgage payments would increase for those not on fixed rate mortgage products. Almost two-thirds (64%) believe it is true that the value of savings in real terms would go down if rates increased while 6 in 10 (58%) say interest rates of savings accounts would increase. Only 1 in 5 (20%) say the cost of living would become cheaper should inflation rise, almost 6 in 10 (57%) say this is false. 

And most understand the impact of rising inflationFlora Vieites, of Ipsos MORI, said:

While only a third of people can accurately quote what the current rate is, it’s great to see that most would know what the impact of higher inflation would have on their circumstances. Given our new found freedoms, people are likely to be out spending, which may bring inflation back into line, however should that not be the case and we find inflation continuing to rise, and the furlough scheme shortly coming to an end, the proportions of those who are financially vulnerable are likely to increase. For many the boom bust years of inflation are distant memory, while we can hope it stays that way, this research shows that while people may have got used to low inflation and low interest rates, we need to think about who could be affected if the situation changes.

(Ipsos MORI)

29 July 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/over-half-britons-say-they-would-struggle-pay-their-bills-if-interest-rates-double

 

701-43-08/Poll

Between 21 And 22 The Minimum Wage Is 55p Lower Than It Is For Those 23 And Over, At £8.36 Per Hour

The minimum wage was first introduced in the UK under Tony Blair in 1999 with the aim of cracking down on the exploitation of low paid employees. Since then, the minimum wage has risen from £3.60 per hour in 1999, to its current rate of £8.91 in April, for those aged 23 and over.

The minimum wage is not the same for everyone however. For those between 21 and 22 the minimum wage is 55p lower than it is for those 23 and over, at £8.36 per hour, while for those aged between 18 and 20 it is £2.34 lower, at £6.56 per hour.

Many argue that the minimum wage is not in fact enough to live on, arguing instead for a ‘living wage’ of £9.50 an hour (£10.85 an hour in London) and against the banding of wage by age. Now new YouGov data finds that a plurality believe that the minimum wage should be higher, and a majority oppose the banding of wage by age.

Do Brits still support the idea of a minimum wage?

When it comes to general support for the minimum wage, support is near universal. Only 5% of Brits oppose the minimum wage policy, with 89% supporting it. Majority support is seen across all political and demographic groups.

Is it right to set the minimum wage lower for younger people?

Most Britons who support having a minimum wage say the minimum wage should be set at the same rate for those between 18 and 22 as it is for those aged 23 and over (63%). Only 18% believed it should be lower, with 12% believing it should in fact be higher for those under 23. Views differ across party affiliation: one in four Conservative voters (25%) say that the minimum wage should be lower for 18-22 year olds compared to half as many Labour (12%) and Lib Dem (14%) voters.

Why do some believe that the minimum wage for younger people should be lower?

In 2015, then junior minister Matt Hancock caused quite a stir by claiming that young people were not as productive at work as older people and therefore did not deserve to be paid the same. When asked why they believe younger people should be paid less, a majority of that 18% who believe the minimum wage should be lower for younger people agree with Hancock - 56% feel that younger people are not as good at their jobs as older people.

The next most common reason for their view is that young people don’t need the same amount of money as older people because they have fewer responsibilities (48%), followed by the idea that it gives young people an advantage when applying for jobs (36%). Only 15% are motivated by the idea that it helps businesses to thrive by decreasing staffing costs.

At what rate should the minimum wage be set?

When we asked the specific rate that people who support having a minimum wage think it should be set at for the current age categories, we found that a large proportion (48-51%) are unsure. But across all three, the median answer from those who did give a number was the same: £10 an hour.

In fact, almost all of those who came up with a number gave a figure higher than the current minimum wage for each group. Just 2-6% suggested a value that would represent a cut for minimum wage workers. This could indicate widespread support for increasing the minimum wage, although it is not clear how many are aware what the current rate is.

(YouGov UK)

July 29, 2021

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2021/07/29/minimum-wage-majority-oppose-banding-wage-age

 

701-43-09/Poll

One In Four Businesses Intend To Allow All Workers To Work From Home At Least Some Of The Time

Only a fifth of business decision makers say their company will require workers to come in five days a week after the pandemic – down from one in three before

The government has now dropped the “work from home if you can” guidance. The return to offices will be a welcome end to an “aberration” according to Goldman Sachs CEO, David Solomon. But new YouGov data suggests that many business decision makers don’t have the same urge to return to “normal”.

Two in five businesses will allow all (24%) or most (18%) employees to work from home with the last coronavirus restrictions lifting. This is a considerable increase compared with before the pandemic, when only one in four businesses (24%) had this policy, including 17% who allowed all staff to work remotely.

While fewer businesses say they will allow workers to work remotely than at the height of the pandemic (39% allowed all, 20% most), it does show a significant change. Before COVID-19, 30% of businesses did not allow any employees to work remotely – a number that fell by half during the pandemic’s peak (14%) – and will still be at the lower figure of one in five (19%) in the aftermath. 

It appears hybrid working will become increasingly common

Struggling lunch places, gyms and shops in the city centres are desperate for the return of office workers, but they’re unlikely to see the same influx of people as previously.

Only one in five business decision makers (19%) say their company plans to require all workers to come in five days a week – down from one in three (35%) before COVID-19.

Meanwhile, many are only asking their employees to come in one (7%), two (12%), three (11%) or four (6%) days.

A fifth of businesses (19%) plan to let their staff choose whether to come in at all once all restrictions end – up from 11% before the coronavirus crisis.

There does not appear to be any rise in businesses cutting costs and making all of their staff work remotely at 9% - similar to before the pandemic (8%).

(YouGov UK)

July 29, 2021

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/economy/articles-reports/2021/07/29/one-four-businesses-intend-allow-all-workers-work-

 

701-43-10/Poll

Half (49%) Of Britons Have A Budget Of £10,000 Or Less, With Less Than One In Ten (8%) Planning To Spend More Than £30,000

Data from YouGov Profiles shows that most Britons have a budget of £15,000 or less (67%) when it comes to buying their next car. Half (49%) have a budget of £10,000 or less, with less than one in ten (8%) planning to spend more than £30,000.

But while this high-budget group is small, they’re also potentially lucrative to automakers. So what are the meaningful differences between the group of bigger spenders and those with a smaller budget?

In terms of the type of car they prefer to buy, high-budget consumers are less likely to buy a petrol car (43% vs 59% of lower-budget buyers). But that doesn’t mean these customers are all rushing out to buy electric. Although those with more than £30k to spend are more likely to consider an electric vehicle (31% vs. 24% of those with under £30k), there is also a significant proportion who plan to buy a diesel (26% vs 33% of those with smaller budgets).

High vs. low budget priority features

In terms of preferred features, both higher and lower budget buyers are most likely to prioritise parking sensors (57% vs. 48%), a rear parking cam (57% vs. 38%), and smartphone integration (48% vs. 35%). As you can see, consumers with more than 30k to spend are more likely in each instance to desire the feature.

Lower down the list, the gaps between expectation on features go even wider. If you want keyless entry, for example, you’re twice as likely to have a budget over 30k (45% vs. 22%). The same goes for a lane departure warning system (40% vs. 18%). And you’re also more likely to want a touchscreen (43% vs. 27%) or a blindspot monitor (41% vs. 23%).

Attitudes of higher budget vs. lower-budget consumers

Higher-budget and lower-budget customers have some key attitudinal differences. For example,  those with more than £30k to spend are less likely to care about fuel consumption than those with under £30k (50% vs. 60%). It’s also not especially shocking that higher-budget customers are more likely to say they would “never buy an ugly car” (69% vs. 50%), or that they like a car with a powerful engine (67% vs. 52%). . Marketing aimed at higher-budget customers should focus on design and raw horsepower.

Lower-budget  buyers are more likely to skip car ownership entirely: 55% of this group (vs. 39% of higher-budget consumers) say it’s too expensive, while 31% say they don’t want to be locked into vehicle ownership (compared to 17% of those with a higher budget). To attract lower budget buyers, it be worth emphasising alternative models of payment and mobility ownership, where available. Car ownership might not be as alluring as it once was – which may be good news for the mobility as subscription business model.

(YouGov UK)

August 01, 2021

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/consumer/articles-reports/2021/08/01/how-much-do-brits-plan-spend-their-next-car

 

701-43-11/Poll

On The Road To Vacation, More Than 1 In 4 French People Throw Their Waste Out Of Their Car Window

Despite certain practices that are progressing in the right direction, the survey reveals the persistence of uncivil behavior that is too widespread , starting with the propensity of more than 1 in 4 drivers to throw their waste out of their car window - even if this is often comes at the cost of a feeling of guilt. Each day, an average of 25 tonnes of litter is collected along the highways by highway workers.
On the strength of this alarming finding, the VINCI Autoroutes Foundation is launching a new public awareness campaign on July 30, 2021. In a 45-second spot, broadcast on the internet and on social networks, it questions this impulsive gesture, this bad habit of throwing that too many drivers are struggling to curb.
In an offbeat tone, it invites everyone to think about their own tendency towards "jettomania" and the remedy to adopt to prevent it ... The campaign will also be relayed, from this Friday, on posters visible in the 453 areas of the network. VINCI Autoroutes, and highlighting this question: “Are you a jettomaniac? " - a term coined to interpellate the public on a frighteningly real pathology.

Daily eco-gestures: no increase in the number of followers, but more regularity among those who practice them

If eco-responsible behavior is generally stable among the French, those who adopt it do so more and more regularly, even systematically for certain actions.
Some good practices are becoming systematic:

  • 1% of French people always turn off the light when they leave a room (79% in 2020, and 69% in 2015, a significant increase of 12 points in 6 years);
  • 72% systematically sort their waste (a stable figure compared to 2020 and 65% in 2015, i.e. +7 points in 6 years);
  • 72% always turn off the water when brushing their teeth (71% in 2020 and 63% in 2015; i.e. +9 points in 6 years).

Others are becoming more regular, without being adopted systematically:

  • 53% of French people buy local products regularly (44% in 2015; +9 points), but only 10% do so systematically (8% in 2015);
  • 40% regularly consume organic products (25% in 2015; +15 points), but only 7% do so systematically (4% in 2015).

Finally, some good practices are stagnating:

  • 59% of French people regularly turn off their devices rather than putting them on standby (identical to 2015);
  • 29% regularly take public transport (+1 point compared to 2015);
  • 10% regularly carpool (-1 point compared to 2015).

If the French feel they are making efforts for the environment on a daily basis, and even, for 25% of them (+3 points compared to 2020), to have reduced their negative impact compared to before the crisis health, they are much less convinced than others do the same : they attribute an average of 8.2 eco-gestures but identify only 5.3 on average among their fellow citizens. Thus, 97% of French people regularly turn off the light when they leave a room, but they are only 43% to think that the others do it (ie 54 points difference…). Similarly, 67% of them travel regularly on foot or by bicycle for short trips, but only 29% consider that the others do so (38 points difference…).

Waste sorting stagnates and its practice decreases during the holidays

If waste sorting is now one of the most widespread eco-gestures, the French are however less exemplary when they move away from home - and behavior is improving only slowly. If 91% of them sort their waste regularly in everyday life (including 72% still), they are 84% (+ 1 point only compared to 2015) to do so at their place of vacation (including 58 % still) and 72% (+ 1 point compared to 2015) to do so on motorway rest areas (including 44% still), i.e. 19 points less than in their daily life.However, 99% of the areas of the concession motorway network are equipped for selective sorting. Those who do not always sort their waste on the highway justify this by indicating that they choose the nearest trash can (38%), that they hesitate in front of the bins to use (34%) or finally, that they take their waste with them so as not to touch the bins (22%) - a possible consequence of the health crisis.

Vinci Highways 1

The best waste is the one that we do not produce

The French adopt certain good practices to reduce their waste in everyday life. Some practices are well anchored in habits, and others are emerging: thus 94% of French people use a reusable bag to do their shopping (including 77% still), 65% drink tap water to avoid '' buy bottled water (of which 47% still) and 20% now rent or borrow objects that they need only occasionally rather than buying them (including 5% still; vs. 16% in 2015). This concern to limit packaging is also present among a certain number of French people when they have to take their meals outside.for a picnic, at the office or on the road: 86% of them take care to reduce them to a minimum by taking care of their quantity and materials (including 41% a lot). To do this, they adapted their practices by using a reusable lunch box (93%), reusable cutlery (92%) or a gourd rather than a plastic bottle or can (83%). So many good habits to multiply to avoid the production of unnecessary waste and the risk of finding it on the roads or in public spaces.

Litter abandoned in the street or on the roads: what if we wondered about our own practices?

More than 1 in 4 French people (28%) admit throwing their waste out of their car window on the motorway. Although down slightly compared to 2020 (- 2 points), this uncivil behavior remains too widespread. It even grows in everyday life. Thus, 40% of French people admit that they sometimes throw waste on the public highway (+2 points compared to 2020). The cigarette butt throw, in particular, remains very frequent compared to the number of smokers: 9% of French people, or more than 1 in 4 smokers , throw their butts out of their car window (-3 points) and 14% do so. on the sidewalk or in the gutter (+ 1 point). Finally, a sign of willful negligence,9% of French people (14% of those under 35) admit that they sometimes drop paper, handkerchief or packaging in the street and do not pick it up and 4% leave a plastic bottle or can on public roads (8% of under 35s). The same is true of masks, which 4% of them (and up to 7% of those under 35) sometimes throw onto the public highway, i.e. the equivalent of nearly 2 million people reported to the general population.

Sign of the internalization of the general disapproval in the face of this type of incivility, the French who throw their waste out of the trash cans feel a negative feeling of it, 76% of guilt (58%) or of shame when we see them ( 18%). Conversely, nearly 1 in 5 (24%) minimizes the scope of their gesture: 9% by claiming that "it's not serious, it's just a little waste ..." (core, paper, butt …), 6% who “don't really think about it”, recognizing that it is a mechanical gesture, 5% who “hesitate for a moment but do it anyway” and 4% who… “do not file ”.

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When it comes to explaining these behaviors, the French once again show a certain leniency towards themselves but much greater severity towards others. Thus, 77% of them justify their action by the absence of bins nearby or by over-full bins, while only 35% retain this excuse for others. 39% also explain their gesture by refusing to keep their waste with them to put it in the trash later and 31% believe that the taxes they pay should be used to collect this litter. 

In addition, the French are unanimous (95%) in thinking that the presence of litter harms the image of a place. More and more people are also complaining about the dirtiness of the roads, especially in and around urban areas. Thus, 72% of them consider that the ring roads and peripherals around cities are dirty and 61% that the same is true for roads and streets inside cities.

Asked to establish a ranking of the cleanest countries among 8 countries in Europe , the French place three countries in the lead: Switzerland in 1st position (70%), ahead of Sweden (58%) and Germany (36%) and relegate the other countries far behind with Great Britain (9%), France (7%), Greece (5%), Italy (3%) and Spain (3%). According to them, the reasons which explain the cleanliness of these countries are above all the discipline , more present in their culture (68%), a more developed environmental awareness (47%) as well as a stricter regulation.(43%). But even though they are quick to invoke the lack of trash cans to justify their action in their own country, the vast majority (90%) do not consider the countries they consider exemplary better equipped in this area.
To fight against the dumping of litter in their country, the French favor a repressive approach (66% of them). Thus 37% think that the most effective method is through an increase in fines and surveillance of offenders by cameras (29%). Setting an example seems less convincing since they are barely more than 1 in 4 (26%) to think that it is more effective to set an example to his children, friends or parents to encourage more responsible behavior. They are even more skeptical about appealing to the civic sense of citizens, which only 8% of them consider effective. In addition, although generally down compared to 2020, awareness of the risks associated with the presence of litter remains fairly present.Thus, 72% admit that throwing waste through the window of their car entails an extremely high risk of water and soil pollution (-4 points), 71% a risk for biodiversity (-3 points), 59% a risk of fire (-3 points) and 55% a risk of accident for other vehicles (-3 points).
The decline is even more notable with regard to the apprehension of the risk run by motorway personnel intervening to collect this waste on the tracks (65%, down 7 points compared to 2020). Yet every day an average of 25 tonnes of litter is collected along the highways by highway workers.

(Ipsos France)

July 30, 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/sur-la-route-des-vacances-plus-d1-francais-sur-4-jette-ses-dechets-par-la-fenetre-de-sa-voiture

 

701-43-12/Poll

The majority of Germans are in favor of butcher shops, but buy meat in the supermarket

Butchers are becoming increasingly rare in the cityscape. The majority of German consumers (60 percent) state that they are now most likely to buy their meat in the supermarket, either pre-packaged (32 percent) or at the fresh food counter (28 percent). A quarter of those surveyed (24 percent) say that they are most likely to buy meat and sausage products from the butcher. The percentage distribution among people who pay attention to sustainable cultivation when eating and shopping is somewhat different. With the help of YouGov ProfilesThe study of this target group has shown that a third (34 percent) buy their meat from the butcher, which is 10 percentage points more than the general population. Overall, however, 46 percent of those consumers who pay attention to sustainable cultivation say that they buy meat in the supermarket, either packaged (19 percent) or at the fresh food counter (27 percent).

A quarter of Germans buy meat mainly from butchers

MOST OF THE TIME FOR THE MAINTENANCE OF OWNER-MANAGED BUTCHER SHOPS

Although only a quarter of German consumers buy sausage and meat products mainly in a butcher's shop, 80 percent of Germans say that they think it is important to maintain owner-managed butchers. Among respondents who pay attention to sustainable cultivation when eating and shopping, the figure is 86 percent.

(YouGov Germany)

July 28, 2021

Source: https://yougov.de/news/2021/07/28/mehrheit-der-deutschen-kauft-fleisch-im-supermarkt/

 

NORTH AMERICA

701-43-13/Poll

54% Of Black Americans Report Unfair Treatment In At Least One Situation

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Black Americans' self-reports of being treated unfairly in a variety of situations are generally steady or higher rather than declining. This includes a new high of 35% who say they personally were treated unfairly while shopping during the past 30 days, up from 24% last year. In five other situations, reports of recent unfair treatment are similar to a year ago, and range from 17% to 21%.

In general, Black Americans are no less likely to report being treated unfairly in any of the five situations now than they were when Gallup first asked the items in 1997. The healthcare item was first asked in 2004.

https://content.gallup.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Cms/POLL/rcckqsmrauwioj4oxrcm_w.png

Five line graphs showing whether Black Americans say they have been treated unfairly in the past 30 days because they were Black, in the following situations: at work; in a store where they were shopping; in a restaurant, theater, bar or other entertainment place; in dealing with police, such as traffic incidents; and while getting healthcare for themselves or a family member. Seventeen percent in 2021 say they were treated unfairly at work, compared with 17% in 2020, a high of 23% in 2003 and 2007, and 21% when first asked in 1997. A new high of 35% in 2021 say they were treated unfairly in a store, compared with 24% in 2020 and 30% in 1997. Twenty-one percent in 2021 say they were treated unfairly in a restaurant, bar, theater or other entertainment place, compared with 18% in 2020, a high of 26% in 2004, and 21% in 1997. Twenty percent in 2021 say they were treated unfairly in dealings with police, compared with 19% in 2020, a high of 25% in 2004 and 15% in 1997. Seventeen percent say they were treated unfairly while getting healthcare, compared with 13% in 2020 and the high of 20% when it was first asked in 2004.

The results are based on a June 1-July 5 Gallup survey that included oversamples of Black and Hispanic adults to allow for more precise estimates of those subgroups. The questions about unfair treatment were asked of Black and Hispanic respondents only. While the oversamples are large enough to report reliable estimates of Black and Hispanic Americans overall, they are not sufficiently large to report results for subgroups of Black or Hispanic adults.

Before this year, the percentage of Black adults who reported mistreatment at stores in the past 30 days ranged from 24% to 30%.

For the other items, the high points were registered in 2002, 2004 or 2007 surveys. The current figures are statistically on par with these, except for the 17% of Black respondents currently reporting unfair treatment at work. This is significantly lower than the prior high of 23% reported in 2002 and 2007. It is possible the increase in remote work brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic has been a factor in the lower percentages perceiving unfair treatment in 2020 and 2021 compared with 2018 and most prior years.

While none of the individual items comes close to the majority level, the majority of Black Americans, 54%, say they have been treated unfairly in at least one of the five situations. Forty-five percent have not experienced unfair treatment in any of the situations in the past 30 days.

In past years in which the same set of five items have been asked, the percentage of Black Americans reporting unfair treatment in at least one of the situations has been close to 50% -- above it in some years but below it in others.

https://content.gallup.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Cms/POLL/kzsyularjuazk2k_orn2va.png

Line graph. Trend in the percentage of Black Americans who said they were treated unfairly in at least one of the following situations -- at work; in a store while shopping; in a restaurant, bar, theater or other entertainment place; in dealings with police; while getting healthcare for themselves or a family member. The graph shows the percentage treated unfairly in at least one of the situations for the years in which those five items were asked. It was 59% in 2004, 42% in 2013, 43% in 2015, 46% in 2016, 53% in 2018, 45% in 2020 and 54% in 2021.

Hispanic Americans Less Likely to Say They Have Been Treated Unfairly

Hispanic Americans are less likely than Black Americans to report unfair treatment in the same situations, especially while shopping at stores (16%) or in dealings with police (11%). Hispanic Americans are most likely to say they have been treated unfairly at a restaurant in the past 30 days, with 19% saying this has happened to them, on par with the 21% of Black Americans who were treated unfairly at a restaurant.

Black and Hispanic Americans' Reports of Unfair Treatment in Different Situations

Can you think of any occasion in the last 30 days when you felt you were treated unfairly in the following places because you were Black/Hispanic?

Black adults

Hispanic adults

%

%

In a store where you were shopping

35

16

In a restaurant, bar, theater or other entertainment place

21

19

In dealings with the police, such as traffic incidents

20

11

At your place of work

17

12

While getting healthcare for yourself or a family member

17

13

GALLUP, JUNE 1-JULY 5, 2021

Gallup has asked Hispanic Americans about unfair treatment twice previously, in 2013 and 2015 surveys. The responses in prior years were generally similar to the current data, with the exceptions of fewer Hispanic Americans in 2015 saying they were treated unfairly in a store while shopping (7%); in a restaurant, bar, theater or other entertainment place (9%); and while getting healthcare (9%).

Overall, 34% of Hispanic Americans this year say they have been treated unfairly in at least one of the five situations in the past 30 days, while 66% have not been treated unfairly in any of them.

In 2013, 32% of Hispanic Americans said they were treated unfairly in at least one of the five situations, while in 2015, 25% did.

Bottom Line

The majority of Black Americans say they have been treated unfairly in at least one of five everyday situations, with mistreatment most commonly occurring at stores. The question asks about a limited time frame of 30 days, and it is likely that many more Black Americans have been treated unfairly in one of those situations outside that narrow window. Moreover, many Black Americans who have not been personally mistreated may know a family member or close friend who has been.

These results come at a time when there is greater awareness and sensitivity to racial inequities in U.S. society. One sign of real progress in the treatment of Black people would be to see the percentage who report unfair treatment go down over time. But since Gallup began tracking these in 1997, the figures have held steady or increased.

(Gallup)

JULY 27, 2021

Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/352580/black-americans-reports-mistreatment-steady-higher.aspx

 

701-43-14/Poll

Unemployment Increased More Sharply Among Immigrants 15.3% During Pandemic

As businesses across the United States return to near-normal operations, public attention has shifted to reports of labor shortages and rising prices. But even as hiring picks up in the wake of the COVID-19 outbreak, the labor market is not fully healed. Some 9.5 million U.S. workers were unemployed in June 2021, compared with 5.7 million in February 2020, and the unemployment rate stood at 5.9%, up from 3.5%, seasonally adjusted.

A line graph showing that unemployment increased more sharply among immigrants during pandemic, then fell more quickly

Immigrants were hit harder than U.S.-born workers at the beginning of the pandemic, but they have since closed the gap, according to a new Pew Research Center analysis of government data. There were 27.3 million foreign-born workers in the U.S. in 2020, accounting for 17.0% of the total labor force. They entered the pandemic on the same footing as U.S.-born workers but saw their unemployment rate increase more sharply with the onset of the COVID-19 recession. A year later, with the economic recovery gaining momentum, unemployment among immigrants is about equal with that of U.S.-born workers. However, for both groups, the unemployment rate remains greater than the pre-pandemic level.

In the first quarter of 2019, immigrant and U.S.-born workers each had an unemployment rate of about 4.0%. It dipped below that level for much of 2019 for both groups, but more so for immigrants. By the first quarter of 2020, the unemployment rate for foreign-born workers (4.1%) was back on par with that of U.S.-born workers, not seasonally adjusted.

The onset of the pandemic sent the unemployment rate for immigrants soaring higher than the rate for U.S.-born workers. By the second quarter of 2020, the unemployment rate for foreign-born workers had reached 15.3%, compared with 12.4% for U.S.-born workers. Unemployment among both groups decreased as the economy began to recover, but more so among immigrants. By the second quarter of 2021, the unemployment rate for immigrants (5.9%) was back at parity with the unemployment rate for U.S.-born workers (5.8%).

The unemployment rate for foreign-born workers also increased more than the rate for U.S.-born workers in the Great Recession, although not to the extent seen in 2020. Immigrants tend to be more vulnerable in recessions because they are less likely to have attended college and many are unauthorized. Among men, immigrants are also more likely than U.S.-born workers to hold jobs in construction, an industry that was vulnerable in the housing market crash that accompanied the Great Recession. Among women, immigrants are relatively more likely to work in the leisure and hospitality and other services sectors – also a liability in the pandemic as social distancing rules had a severe impact on those businesses.

A chart showing that unemployment peaked higher among immigrant women in the pandemic and has since fallen at a quicker pace

The pandemic-driven volatility in unemployment was most notable among immigrant women. Prior to the pandemic, the unemployment rate for foreign-born women (4.8%) was slightly higher than the 3.6% rate for U.S.-born women. As the recession hit, the unemployment rate for foreign-born women jumped to 17.3% in the second quarter of 2020, a greater increase than was experienced by U.S.-born women, whose rate peaked at 13.4%. The recovery has proceeded at a faster pace for immigrant women, however. As of the second quarter of 2021, the unemployment rate for immigrant women (6.5%) was greater than the rate for U.S.-born women (5.4%), but the gap was no greater than in the pre-COVID-19 period.

Foreign-born men also saw a sharper increase in unemployment than U.S.-born men at the beginning of the pandemic. From the first to the second quarter of 2020, the unemployment rate for foreign-born men increased from 3.6% to 13.8%. This was greater than the increase experienced by U.S.-born men, whose unemployment rate went up from 4.5% to 11.5%. By the second quarter of 2021, the unemployment rate for immigrant men (5.5%) had dropped below the rate for U.S.-born men (6.1%), restoring the status quo from before the pandemic.

A chart showing that unemployment rates for Hispanic and Asian immigrants dropped below the rates for the U.S. born in the recovery

Hispanic and Asian immigrants, who collectively account for nearly three-in-four foreign-born workers in the U.S., initially saw their unemployment rates increase in tandem with the rates for U.S.-born Hispanic and Asian workers. Among Hispanic workers, the unemployment rate for immigrants increased from 5.0% pre-COVID-19 to 16.2% in the second quarter of 2020. U.S.-born Hispanic workers saw their unemployment rate rise from 5.8% to 17.1%. Similarly, the unemployment rate among immigrant and U.S.-born Asian workers increased by about 11 percentage points each with the onset of the pandemic.

But the economic recovery has opened a wider gap in the unemployment rate in favor of Hispanic and Asian immigrants. Among Asian workers, immigrants had a lower unemployment rate (5.1%) than the U.S. born (6.8%) in the second quarter of 2021, compared with a state of parity prior to the pandemic. Among Hispanic workers, the unemployment rate for immigrants (5.9%) in the second quarter of 2021 was further below the rate for U.S.-born Hispanic workers (8.3%) than where it stood prior to the pandemic.

In contrast, White and Black immigrants have lost ground to U.S.-born White and Black workers over the course of the pandemic. Among White workers, immigrants and the U.S. born had the same unemployment rate prior to the pandemic. But, as of the second quarter of 2021, the unemployment rate among White immigrants (5.6%) stood above the rate for U.S.-born White workers (4.5%).

Among Black workers, the unemployment rate for immigrants (4.1%) was notably lower than the rate for the U.S. born (7.1%) prior to the pandemic. This edge had dissipated by the second quarter of 2021, with U.S.-born and immigrant Black workers experiencing an unemployment rate of about 9% each.

Wages fluctuated greatly along with unemployment

Job losses in the COVID-19 recession were particularly severe in sectors in which social distancing of workers is difficult. The leisure and hospitality sector alone accounted for more than a third of all nonfarm jobs lost from the first to the second quarter of 2020, shedding 38% of its workforce in that period, according to government data. Many of these workers were at the lower end of the wage scale.

A table showing that median wages increased sharply at the start of the pandemic and then fell, reflecting the impact on lower-wage jobs

As the pandemic struck, the economy-wide median hourly wage increased sharply from 2019 to 2020, reflecting the fact that higher-wage workers were more likely to have held on to their jobs. Among immigrants, the median wage increased from $18.61 in the second quarter of 2019 to $21.03 in the second quarter of 2020, an increase of 13.0%. U.S.-born workers registered a similar increase, as their median wage increased by 12.5%, from $20.29 to $22.83. (All wages are expressed in 2021 second-quarter dollars.)

The restoration of jobs generally, and particularly so in the leisure and hospitality and other services sectors, has at least partly pushed the median wage down since the initial shock of the pandemic. For immigrants, the median wage has fallen 4.9% from the second quarter of 2020 to the second quarter of 2021. The median wage of U.S.-born workers has fallen 5.8% in the same period. But for both groups of workers, wages have increased substantially from 2019 to 2021 – a comparison less affected by large swings in unemployment, albeit not entirely so.

Immigrant women, who experienced the sharpest rise in unemployment in the pandemic, also appeared to see the sharpest increase (19.6%) in the median wage from 2019 to 2020. Since then, their median wage has fallen by about the same measure as among U.S.-born women and both immigrant and U.S.-born men. Overall, the longer-term impact of the pandemic on the earnings of workers may not be clear until the labor market has healed more fully, with employment and labor force participation back to near pre-pandemic levels.

(PEW)

JULY 26, 2021

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/07/26/immigrants-in-u-s-experienced-higher-unemployment-in-the-pandemic-but-have-closed-the-gap/

 

701-43-15/Poll

47% Say U.S Military Involvement In Afghanistan Was A Mistake 46% Say It Was Not

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- As the U.S. military continues its drawdown of troops in Afghanistan, Americans are evenly divided in their views on whether it was a mistake for the U.S. to send troops into the country nearly 20 years ago. This is in contrast with most of the readings over the past two decades, which have found Americans generally more positive than negative toward the effort there. This is only the second time that less than half of Americans (46%) say U.S. involvement was not a mistake.

https://content.gallup.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Cms/POLL/8dpp1nrqqkkf5t3xo1ro0q.png

Line graph. Americans' views of whether or not they think the U.S. made a mistake sending troops to fight in Afghanistan since 2001. The latest readings find 47% think it was a mistake and 46% say it was not. This is only the second time that less than half of Americans say U.S. involvement was not a mistake.

President Joe Biden's July 8 announcement confirming that the United States' military mission in Afghanistan will conclude on Aug. 31 came just after the start of Gallup's July 6-21 poll. Biden, who has long been critical of the Afghanistan War, first announced in April that he would remove U.S. troops before the 20th anniversary of 9/11, which precipitated the military action. All told, the war has claimed the lives of more than 2,400 U.S. service members, resulted in injury to more than 20,000 U.S. troops and cost the U.S. more than $2 trillion.

Views of the nation's longest war have evolved since shortly after it began in October 2001, when the U.S. public largely supported it. In early 2002, a record-high 93% of Americans said it was not a mistake to have sent troops to Afghanistan. Between 2004 and 2013, majorities continued to hold this belief, albeit in declining numbers. In 2014, U.S. adults were for the first time as likely to say it was a mistake as to say it was not; however, public opinion once again tilted against it being a mistake in 2015 and 2019. This year's reading is on par with the 2014 finding.

Gallup surveys tracking Americans' perceptions of previous wars, including Iraq, Vietnam and Korea, have found majorities at some point describing those efforts as a mistake, something that has not occurred with respect to Afghanistan.

Partisans' Views of Afghanistan War Remain Divergent

President George W. Bush first ordered U.S. troops to strike Afghanistan several weeks after 9/11 to destroy al Qaeda's base of operations and prevent future terrorist attacks against the U.S. The action initially enjoyed broad bipartisan support; yet, by 2004, 41% of Democrats considered the war in Afghanistan to be a mistake while 9% of Republicans and 31% of independents agreed.

This pattern has generally persisted throughout the course of the war, with Democrats more likely than Republicans and independents to be critical of the war. With few exceptions, at least half of Democrats viewed the war as a mistake during the presidencies of Barack Obama and Donald Trump.

The last time less than half of Democrats said the war was a mistake was in May 2011 after Osama bin Laden was killed in Pakistan. Currently, 56% of Democrats, 29% of Republicans and 54% of independents think the U.S. made a mistake in sending troops to Afghanistan.

https://content.gallup.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Cms/POLL/cix19ewykk-o3bazqk9hzg.png

Line graph. Partisans' views of whether or not they think the U.S. made a mistake sending troops to fight in Afghanistan since 2001. The latest readings find 56% of Democrats, 29% of Republicans and 54% of independents think it was a mistake.

Bottom Line

As the U.S. military continues its withdrawal from Afghanistan, the public is now divided over whether embarking on the war was a mistake, which is among the least positive assessments in the past two decades. Still, it is more positive than some other prolonged military engagements.

Biden and those who support the drawdown assert that the U.S. has accomplished its goals in Afghanistan -- finding the terrorists who orchestrated the 9/11 attacks, killing Osama bin Laden and trying to limit the country's base of operations for terrorists. They assert that nation-building was not part of the strategy and that it has dragged on for too long and cost the U.S. too many lives and too much money. At the same time, critics of the drawdown cite concerns about the Taliban taking control of the country, more terrorist attacks against the U.S. and harm to Afghan citizens. What ultimately happens after U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan will likely affect not only Americans' perceptions of whether the war was a mistake but history's judgment as well.

(Gallup)

JULY 26, 2021

Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/352793/americans-split-whether-afghanistan-war-mistake.aspx

 

701-43-16/Poll

Around Half Of Americans Who Say Religion Is Very Important To Them (49%) Say Their Best Guess Is That Intelligent Life Exists On Other Planets

Religious and secular thinkers alike have long discussed what the implications for religion would be if humans discovered intelligent life on other planets. In the United States, highly religious adults are much more skeptical about the possibility of extraterrestrial life compared with those who are less religious, according to a recent Pew Research Center survey.

https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/bestGuess420px.png?w=420

This is evidenced by a variety of measures of religious engagement. For example, U.S. Christians are far less likely than religiously unaffiliated Americans to say that their “best guess” is that intelligent life exists on other planets (57% vs. 80%). And U.S. adults who attend religious services on at least a weekly basis are considerably less likely than those who seldom or never attend services to say that intelligent life exists elsewhere (44% vs. 75%).

Similarly, around half of Americans who say religion is very important to them (49%) say their best guess is that intelligent life exists on other planets. By comparison, roughly three-quarters of those who say that religion is less important in their lives (76%) say that intelligent life exists elsewhere. Adults who pray daily are also less likely than those who seldom or never pray to say intelligent life exists on other planets (54% vs. 80%).

White evangelical Protestants, who tend to be highly religious, are less likely than other religious groups to say intelligent life probably exists on other planets; 40% hold this view. Most White non-evangelical Protestants (65%), Catholics (67%) and religiously unaffiliated adults (80%) say their best guess is that there is intelligent life beyond Earth. Black Protestants are more divided on the topic, with 55% saying their best guess is that intelligent life exists on other planets and 44% expressing the opposite opinion. (Due to sample size limitations, this analysis does not show some smaller religious groups, including Jewish and Muslim Americans.)

The June survey also asked Americans whether they believe recent UFO sightings by people in the military are evidence of intelligent life beyond Earth. (The survey was conducted just before the U.S. military’s recent release of a report about UFO sightings.)

https://www.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/FT_21.07.28_UFOreligion_military.png?w=420

Americans who attend religious services weekly or more often are less inclined than others to see military UFO sightings as evidence of extraterrestrial life. This also varies by religious affiliation – though the pattern differs somewhat from the broader question about the existence of life beyond Earth. In fact, while the vast majority of self-described atheists (85%) say their best guess is that intelligent life exists on other planets, far fewer (31%) say that UFOs reported by the military are definitely or probably evidence of this. On this question, atheists are about as skeptical as White evangelical Protestants, 35% of whom see UFOs as evidence of extraterrestrial life.

By contrast, roughly half or more of agnostics (49%), Black Protestants (53%), White non-evangelical Protestants (53%), people who describe their religion as “nothing in particular” (59%) and Catholics (61%) say that UFOs reported by people in the military are definitely or probably evidence that intelligent life exists beyond Earth.

When it comes to whether UFOs are friendly or a threat to U.S. national security, opinions vary modestly along religious lines. Majorities across religious groups say they think UFOs are neither friendly nor unfriendly, and relatively few people – regardless of religion – view UFOs as a major threat to U.S. national security.

(PEW)

JULY 28, 2021

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/07/28/religious-americans-less-likely-to-believe-intelligent-life-exists-on-other-planets/

 

701-43-17/Poll

Half (49%) Of Canadians Say Recent Events Make Addressing Climate Change More Urgent, But Are Less Willing To Pay To Help

Toronto, ON, July 28, 2021 – As Canada has been experiencing extreme weather events, from heat waves, to forest fires, to tornados, a majority (49%) of Canadians say the need is becoming more urgent to address climate change, according to a new Ipsos poll conducted on behalf of Global News. Notably, four in ten (43%) say their opinion has not changed despite the recent extreme weather events, and one in ten (8%) say they it is less urgent about climate change than in the past.

Younger Canadians are more likely to say their opinion about climate change has changed, and they feel more urgent about climate change than in the past (56% 18-34 vs.43% 35-54, 49% 55+). As well, those with a university degree are more likely to say they feel more urgent about climate change than in the past (58% univ grad, 47% post sec, 47% high school, 40% less than high school). Older Canadians (46% 55+, 46% 35-54, 34% 18-35) are more likely to say their opinion has not changed.

Surprisingly, not all regions that are experiencing climate related events feel an increased urgency towards acting on climate change. The increase in urgency about climate change is more pronounced among those residing in Quebec and BC than the other provinces (56% Quebec, 55% BC, 46% Alberta, 45% Ontario, 45% Atlantic provinces, 44% SK/MB).

Conservative voters are more likely to say their opinion on climate change has not changed compared to the other party voters (55% cons vs 35% NDP, 32% Bloc, 27% Liberal, 13% Green). As well, those who disapprove of Trudeau are more likely to say their opinion has not changed on climate change (52% vs 33% approve).

 

Canadians Becoming Less Willing to Pay More to Fight Climate Change

Despite the extreme weather events that Canada has experienced throughout the summer, more Canadians are unwilling to pay to help the fight: over half (52%) of Canadians say they would not be willing to spend extra (i.e. increased taxation, goods or services costing more, etc.) to help the fight against climate change, an increase of six points from 2019. Four in ten (38%) of Canadians say they are willing to spend an extra $1 to $500 dollars a year, with one in five (21%) who are willing to spend $1-$100 per year. This leaves one in ten (10%) who say they would spend $500 or more a year.

Those aged 18-34 are more likely to say they would spend an extra $100 per year to help fight against climate change (30% 18-34, 19% 35-54, 17% 55+). As well, a majority (60%) of those residing in BC say they would be willing to spend money to help fight against climate change.

Women are more likely to say they would not be willing to spend extra per year to help fight climate change (58% vs 47% men). As well, older Canadians say they would not be willing to spend extra per year (62% 55+, 56% 35-54, 35% 18-34). Moreover, those residing in the Atlantic provinces are more likely to say they would not be willing to spend extra (60% Atlantic, 58% Quebec, 55% SK/MB, 52% Ontario, 51% Alberta, 39% BC).

Amount Willing to Spend

2021 %

2019 %

$0

52%

46%

$1-$100

21%

22%

$101-$200

6%

8%

$201-$300

4%

3%

$301-$400

2%

2%

$401-$500

5%

7%

$501-$1000

6%

7%

$1000+

4%

5%

Those who say they feel more urgent about climate change are willing to spend an extra $100 per year (28% vs 15% opinion has not changed, 10% less urgent). On the other hand, three quarters of those who say their opinion has not changed say they would not be willing to spend extra per year (74% opinion has not changed vs 59% less urgent, 33% more urgent).

(Ipsos Canada)

28 July 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Half-Say-Recent-Events-Make-Climate-Change-More-Urgent

 

701-43-18/Poll

Most Canadians Worried About COVID-19 Variants (81%), Fourth Wave (69%)

Toronto, ON, July 29, 2021 – As reopening plans are rolled out across Canada, and as more Canadians enter into what Justin Trudeau hoped would be their “one-dose summer” following increased vaccine distribution, most Canadians say they are still concerned about COVID-19 variants delaying a return to normal life and the potential for a fourth wave.

A recent Ipsos poll on conducted on behalf of Global News finds that though six in ten (62%) feel the current uptake of the vaccine will help Canada avoid a fourth wave of the pandemic, the majority (81%) of Canadians say they are worried that the new COVID-19 variants will delay a return to normal. While there are few highly significant differences by age or gender in terms of sentiment on Canadians’ future with COVID, region plays a large role in opinion, linked to the differences in how Canadians in different parts of the country experienced the pandemic over the last year.

 

Eight in Ten Canadians Worried About COVID-19 Variants, and Most Worried About a Fourth Wave

Ipsos data shows that the majority of Canadians (81%) are worried that the new COVID-19 variants will delay things getting back to normal (27% strongly agree, 54% somewhat agree). This worry is felt most strongly among those from Atlantic Canada (89%), who, on the tail end of an overwhelming variant-driven third wave after several periods of low cases and normalcy, may be hoping that the end could be in sight. Ontarians are also significantly more likely to express worry about the COVID-19 variants (85%), after an exhausting 16 months of rolling lockdowns (SK/MB 83%, BC 77%, QC 77%, AB 73%).

The majority of Canadians are also worried about the potential of a fourth wave of the pandemic in the country (69%), with those in Atlantic Canada (82%) and British Columbia (76%) most likely to feel worried (compared to SK/MB 74%, ON, 72% AB 66%, QC 57%). Notably, those in Quebec are least likely to feel worried about the potential for a fourth wave. This is consistent with a level of optimism seen in previous research among Quebecers,[1] who may be feeling a sense of relief amidst vaccine rollouts after having some of the highest COVID-19 caseloads in the country over the course of the pandemic.

Six in ten (62%) express some level of agreement that the current uptake of the COVID-19 vaccine will be enough to avoid a fourth wave of the pandemic in Canada. Compared to the level of worry about the spread of variants prolonging the pandemic, however, this may suggest that Canadians feel the country could be approaching a vaccination saturation point, as vaccination opportunities become more available and there remains a portion of the population still holding off from receiving a shot.

On the other hand, the majority of Canadians would support further lockdown measures if there is a fourth wave of COVID-19 (69%), though there are key regional differences in sentiment when it comes to lockdowns. Those in British Columbia (84%) and Atlantic Canada (79%) are most likely to indicate support for more lockdowns, while those in Alberta (60%) and Quebec (62%) are less likely than other regions (vs. ON 70%, SK/MB 68%). British Columbia may be feeling the after-effects of their third wave, the variant having originated in Canada on the west coast, while Atlantic Canadians have made rapid lockdowns part of their COVID strategy since the beginning of the pandemic. On the other hand, Albertans have generally been less supportive of lockdowns than in other parts of the country, and Quebecers may be reacting to a recent announcement made by their government that there will be no more lockdowns, instead requiring vaccine passports as an alternative.

 

Consensus on New Normal Is Split by Region

As Canadians prepare for what the new normal could look like, sentiment on how to navigate living with COVID-19 post-pandemic is less clear-cut, especially by region. Just over two-thirds (67%) agree that we should learn to live with active COVID-19 cases as long as hospitals aren’t overwhelmed, indicating a certain level of acceptance that COVID may be here to stay.

There is less consensus on the trade-off between unrestricted daily life and the spread of COVID-19 cases. Overall, 56% of Canadians feel that the spread of less-serious COVID-19 cases is acceptable in order to live without restrictions. This sentiment is most strongly felt in Quebec (63%) and less common in British Columbia (47%), compared to other regions (ATL 60%, AB 58%, SK/MB 57%, ON 54%). After living through the epicenter of the pandemic in Canada, Quebecers’ may have a higher tolerance of less-serious COVID-19 cases in favour of enjoying unrestricted life again.

(Ipsos Canada)

29 July 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Most-Canadians-Worried-About-COVID-19-Variants-Fourth-Wave

 

AUSTRALIA

701-43-19/Poll

Support For New Zealand’s Labour/Greens Government Dropped 1.5% Points To 49.5% In July

Support for New Zealand’s Labour/Greens government dropped 1.5% points to 49.5% in July – the lowest for the Government since the COVID-19 pandemic began. Support for the Labour Party was up 1% point to 39.5% but support for the Greens dropped 2.5% points to 10%. This is the lowest level of support for the Greens since last year’s election.

The governing parties are now just 5% points ahead of the Parliamentary opposition National/Act NZ/ Maori Party on 44.5%, up 1% point since June. This is the highest level of support for the Parliamentary Opposition since October 2019 and the closest they’ve been to the Government since Jacinda Ardern became Prime Minister in October 2017 nearly four years ago.

Support for National was virtually unchanged at 29%, down 0.5% points, while the big mover was Act NZ which increased its support by 1.5% points to a record high 13%. This is the first time since 2002 that Act NZ has gained a higher level of support than the Greens. Support for the Maori Party was unchanged at 2.5%.

A small minority of 6% of electors support other minor parties outside Parliament with support for The Opportunities Party up 1% point to a record high 3%, support for NZ First up 0.5% points to 2% in July.

This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 945 electors during July. Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?” Of all electors surveyed an unchanged 4.5% didn’t name a party.

New Zealand Government Confidence Rating drops 3pts to pandemic low of 121 in July

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating dropped by 3pts in July to 121 – the lowest it has been since Jacinda Ardern became Prime Minister in October 2017 nearly four years ago.

In July a reduced majority of 55.5% (down 1.5% points) of New Zealand electors said New Zealand was ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to over a third, 34.5% (up 1.5% points) who said New Zealand was ‘heading in the wrong direction’ – the highest figure for this indicator since Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern came to power in October 2017.

The latest monthly ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating was down slightly by 1pt to 113.1 in July but is still well above the corresponding Consumer Confidence figure in Australia of 100.7 on July 24/25, 2021 as that country battles a renewed outbreak of COVID-19 in Sydney.

Massive ‘Gender gap’ as Women favour Labour-Greens and men favour National-Act NZ

Analysing voting intentions by gender reveals where Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern’s strength lies.

A clear majority of 58.5% of Women support either Labour (46.5%) or the Greens (12%) compared to only 40.5% of men supporting either Labour (32.5%) or the Greens (8%) – a massive ‘gender gap’ of 18% points in favour of Ardern’s Labour Party among Women.

In fact a majority of men support the Parliamentary opposition with 52.5% supporting either National (32.5%), Act NZ (17.5%) or the Maori Party (2.5%) compared to only 36.5% of Women supporting either National (25.5%), Act NZ (8.5%) or the Maori Party (2.5%).

Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is 130 for Women compared to 112 for men

The trends are confirmed by the latest Roy Morgan Government Confidence figures which show 59% of Women say New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 52% of men and only 29% of Women say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction’ compared to 40% of men.

Overall, this produces a Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating of 130 for Women compared to only 112 for men – a gap of 18 points.

Party vote analysis by Gender

 

Total

Men

Women

%

%

%

Labour

39.5

32.5

46.5

Greens

10

8

12

Labour/Greens

49.5

40.5

58.5

National

29

32.5

25.5

Act NZ

13

17.5

8.5

Maori Party

2.5

2.5

2.5

National/Act NZ/ Maori Party

44.5

52.5

36.5

Others

6

7

5

Total

100

100

100

Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating*

Right Direction

55.5

52

59

Wrong Direction

34.5

40

29

Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating*

121

112

130

Can’t say

10

8

12

Total

100

100

100

*The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is 100 plus the difference between the percentage of Kiwis who say the country is “heading in the right direction” and the percentage who say the country is “seriously heading in the wrong direction”.

Michele Levine, CEO Roy Morgan, says a huge ‘gender gap’ has opened up in NZ politics with Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern’s Labour-Greens Government enjoying the support of 58.5% of Women but a majority of 52.5% of men supporting the Parliamentary Opposition:

“Today’s Roy Morgan New Zealand Poll shows the Labour-led Government has the support of 49.5% of New Zealand electors with support for the Labour Party at 39.5% and a further 10% supporting the Greens.

“Support for the Government is down 1.5% points on June and is the lowest support for the Labour-led Government since coming to power in October 2017. The Parliamentary Opposition is now supported by 44.5% of electors with support split between National (29%), Act NZ (13%) and the Maori Party (2.5%).

“However, the top-line results don’t tell the full story and there is a large difference between who Women and men support. Women’s support for Prime Minister Ardern’s Government (58.5%) remains strong with high support for Labour (46.5%) and the Greens (12%).

“In contrast, a majority of men support the Parliamentary Opposition (52.5%) with nearly a third supporting National (32.5%) and one-in-five supporting either Act NZ (17.5%) or the Maori Party (2.5%).

“Overall, the ‘gender gaps’ are significant with 58.5% of Women supporting Labour-Greens compared to only 40.5% of men – a ‘gender gap’ of 18.5% points. This gap is slightly larger than the advantage men give to the grouping of National-Act NZ-Maori Party which is supported by 52.5% of men and 36.5% of Women – a ‘gender gap’ of 16.5% points.

“The ‘gender split’ is currently working in favour of the Government with support from Women for Prime Minister Ardern’s Government holding up and support on the centre-right being increasingly split between National and the libertarian-minded Act NZ – which has now reached a record high result of 13% in July.

“The slow pace of New Zealand’s vaccine rollout isn’t helping with only 13% of the population fully vaccinated and just over 1.8 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines so far administered and New Zealand’s international borders set to remain closed until at least early 2022.

“This is a stark contrast to the scenes from the UK over the last few weeks as the country celebrated it’s so-called ‘Freedom Day’ with nearly 90% of British adults receiving at least one vaccine dose and around 70% of adults now fully vaccinated.

“The slow rate of the vaccine rollout is also a significant factor in the Government’s decision to suspend the travel bubble with Australia for the next two months following a large outbreak of COVID-19 in Sydney. Although the decision is necessary given the risks of the highly contagious Delta variant entering the country it will nevertheless disrupt the travel plans of tens of thousands of New Zealanders hoping to ‘hop across the ditch’.”

New Zealand Party Vote: 2020-21

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2021/july/8759-c1.png?la=enSource: Roy Morgan New Zealand Single Source. January 2020 – July 2021. Base: New Zealand electors aged 18+. Average interviews per month = 928.

New Zealand Party Vote: NZ Govt. v Parliamentary Opposition

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2021/july/8759-c2.png?la=enSource: Roy Morgan New Zealand Single Source. January 2020 – July 2021. Base: New Zealand electors aged 18+. Average interviews per month = 928.

Roy Morgan NZ Government Confidence Rating vs. ANZ-Roy Morgan NZ Consumer Confidence

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2021/july/8759-c3.png?la=enSource: Roy Morgan New Zealand Single Source. January 2020 – July 2021. Base: New Zealand electors aged 18+. Average interviews per month = 928.

Voting Intention Summary

The following table compares the latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Polls on Voting Intention with the result from the September 23, 2017 General Election:

PARTY VOTE

Labour

Green Party*

National

ACT NZ

Maori Party**

TOP**

NZ First

Other

ELECTIONS

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

October 12, 1996*

28.19

10.10

33.87

6.10

n/a

n/a

13.35

8.39

November 27, 1999

38.74

5.16

30.50

7.04

n/a

n/a

4.26

14.30

July 27, 2002

41.26

7.00

20.93

7.14

n/a

n/a

10.38

13.29

September 17, 2005

41.10

5.30

39.10

1.51

2.12

n/a

5.72

5.15

November 8, 2008

33.99

6.72

44.93

3.65

2.39

n/a

4.07

4.25

November 26, 2011

27.48

11.06

47.31

1.07

1.43

n/a

6.59

5.06

September 20, 2014  

25.13

10.70

47.04

0.69

1.32

n/a

8.66

6.46

September 23, 2017

36.89

6.27

44.45

0.50

1.18

2.44

7.20

1.07

October 17, 2020

50.01

7.86

25.58

7.59

1.17

1.51

2.60

3.70

ROY MORGAN POLL

January 2020

40

10.5

40

3

1.5

0.5

2.5

2

February 2020

40.5

10.5

37

3.5

1

1.5

5

1

March 2020

42.5

11.5

37

3.5

0.5

1

3

1

April 2020

55

7

30.5

2.5

1.5

0.5

2.5

0.5

May 2020

56.5

7

26.5

3.5

1.5

1

2.5

1.5

June 2020

54.5

9

27

5

1

1.5

1.5

0.5

July 2020

53.5

8

26.5

6.5

0.5

1.5

1.5

2

August 2020

48

11.5

28.5

6

0.5

1

2.5

2

September 2020

47.5

9.5

28.5

7

0.5

1.5

2.5

3

NZ Election 2020

50

7.9

25.6

7.6

1.2

1.5

2.6

3.7

November 2020

44

12.5

25.5

10.5

1

2

1.5

3

December 2020

44

10.5

28

10

2

2

2

1.5

January 2021

47

11.5

25

9

2

1.5

2

2

February 2021

45

13.5

29

7.5

1

1

1.5

1.5

March 2021

45.5

12

23

11

1

2

2.5

3

April 2021

41.5

13.5

29.5

9

2.5

0.5

1

2.5

May 2021

45

11

28.5

9

1.5

1.5

2

1.5

June 2021

38.5

12.5

29.5

11.5

2.5

2

1.5

2

July 2021

39.5

10

29

13

2.5

3

2

1

*The 1996 Election was the first New Zealand Election contested via MMP (Mixed Member Proportional). At the 1996 Election the Greens Party contested as part of the “Alliance” political grouping with four other political parties.
**The Maori Party was launched in July 2004. The Opportunities Party (TOP) was launched in November 2016.

 

Two-Party Preferred: Labour Party-led Government vs. Parliamentary Opposition Parties

Labour Party-led Government

(Labour, Greens)

Parliamentary
Opposition Parties
(National, Act NZ & Maori)

NZ Election, October 17, 2020*

57.87

34.33

ROY MORGAN NEW ZEALAND POLL

Labour wins the NZ Election and, despite securing a majority of seats in Parliament,
signs a ‘Cooperation Agreement’ with the Greens – October 31, 2020

November 2020

56.5

37

December 2020

54.5

40

2021

January 2021

58.5

36

February 2021

58.5

37.5

March 2021

57.5

35

April 2021

55

41

May 2021

56

39

June 2021

51

43.5

July 2021

49.5

44.5

*At the 2020 NZ Election the Labour party secured 50.01% of the vote which was enough to govern in their own right but Labour opted to sign a ‘Cooperation Agreement’ with the Greens, who won 7.86% of the vote. There were three Parties elected to Parliament not in Government led by National (25.58%), Act NZ (7.59%) and the Maori Party (1.17%).

(Roy Morgan)

July 30 2021

Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/8759-nz-national-voting-intention-july-2021-202107300142

 

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

701-43-20/Poll

On Average, 56% Agree Their Country’s Society Is Broken And 57% Agree That Their Country Is In Decline

Majorities of citizens in most of 25 countries surveyed by Ipsos express feelings of alienation when thinking about their country. The survey of more than 19,000 adults finds perceptions of a broken political and economic system prevailing in most countries, often accompanied by populist and anti-elite sentiment and nativist views.

Broken-System Sentiment

On average, 56% agree their country’s society is broken and 57% agree that their country is in decline. To fully grasp the prevalence of social and political disaffection, Ipsos designed the “System Is Broken” Index, based on the level of agreement with five statements:

  • “The economy is rigged to favor the rich and powerful” (averaging 71% agree in the 25 countries surveyed)
  • “Traditional parties and politicians don’t care about people ‘like me’” (68%),
  • “Local experts don’t understand the lives of people ‘like me’” (65%),
  • The country “needs a strong leader to take the country back from the rich and powerful” (64%), and
  • “To fix” the country, “we need a strong leader willing to break rules” (44%).

The four countries with the highest levels of alienation are all in Latin America – Colombia, Peru, Brazil, and Chile.

Since 2016, broken-system sentiment has gained ground most in Japan, South Africa, Sweden, the United States, and Argentina; it has receded most in Spain, Mexico, and France. Compared to 2019, months before the pandemic, it has increased most in Malaysia and decreased most in Great Britain.

Broken-system sentiment is highly linked to populist sentiment, resentment of elites, and natives-first/anti-immigration views. Ipsos also found that its System Is Broken Index is highly correlated with both the Social Progress Imperative’s Social Progress Index, an outcomes-based indicator of how well citizens’ social and environmental needs are met, and Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index. Countries with higher levels of wellness, equality, inclusion, sustainability, personal freedom, and safety and those with lower levels of perceive public-sector corruption tend to show lower levels of broken-system sentiment.

Since 2016, broken-system sentiment has gained ground most in Japan, South Africa, Sweden, the United States, and Argentina; it has receded most in Spain, Mexico, and France. Compared to 2019, months before the pandemic, it has increased most in Malaysia and decreased most in Great Britain.

Broken-System Sentiment

Populism and Resentment of Elites

On average across the 25 countries:

  • 81% agree that politicians always end up finding ways to protect their privileges,
  • 72% say the political and economic elite don’t care about hard-working people,
  • 70% think the main divide in our society is between ordinary citizens and the political and economic elite,
  • 62% agree politicians should be able to say what’s on their minds regardless of what anyone else thinks, and
  • 60% say the most important political issues should be decided directly by the people through referendums, not by the elected officials.

Populist/anti-elite sentiment is strongly correlated with broken-system sentiment; it is most prevalent in Chile, Hungary, Colombia, Peru, and Russia.

The “elite” is widely perceived across the world as a closely connected group making decisions based on their interest and ignoring the needs of others. On average, 15% of those surveyed identify in any way with their country’s elite; Americans and Japanese are those least likely to do so.

Nativist Views

The “average global citizen” is ambivalent about immigration, leaning toward a natives-first view:

  • 57% say employers should favor natives over immigrants when jobs are scarce,
  • 38% agree their country would be stronger if it stopped immigration (while 33% disagree), and
  • 38% say immigrants take jobs away from their country’s “real” nationals (while 35% disagree)

Broken-system sentiment

The Nativism Index is strongly correlated with the “System Is Broken” Index, indicating how much social and political alienation and anti-immigration views tend to go hand-in-hand.

Since 2016, nativist sentiment has grown most in Peru, Sweden (where it was marginal), Japan, South Africa, South Korea, and Turkey. Meanwhile, it has receded most in the U.S., Canada, Spain, Italy, and Hungary.

(Ipsos MORI)

28 July 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/populist-anti-elite-and-nativist-views-linked-globally-widespread-broken-system-sentiment

 

701-43-21/Poll

More Than Half Of UAE & KSA Residents 67% And 62% Trust Review And Rating Sites And Find Them To Be Useful

As the world becomes more digitalized, online reputation can be the strongest asset and at the same time the biggest liability. Online reviews matter and are often used by consumers as their sidekick before making important decisions. YouGov’s latest study reveals the power of review and rating sites (like Google Reviews, Glassdoor, etc.) and the trust that people have in them.

In UAE, more than two-third (67%) of residents trust review and rating sites, while only 5% indicated a distrust. Similar attitudes are held by the KSA public, where 62% showed confidence in these sites, and a very small number said they do not trust them (3%).

Interestingly, men compared to females are more likely to trust these sites in both UAE (70% men vs 63% women) and KSA (63% vs 59%).

Notably, a sizable proportion of consumers in both countries haven’t made up their minds about these sites and remain undecided about their reliability (27% in KSA & 24% in UAE).

When it comes to checking the reviews or ratings of different products and services, KSA residents (48%) were more likely than people in UAE (44%) to turn to online critiques in the past 12 months while deciding on a place to eat (restaurants, cafes). Even for products like household appliances (37% in KSA & 27% in UAE) and makeup & personal care (29% vs 18%), consumers in KSA seem to be more reliant on websites for reviews and ratings than those in UAE.

Today, finding a worthwhile movie to watch has become easier than ever with the help of movie review sites like IMDB, Rotten Tomatoes, etc. More than a third in KSA (35%) and a slightly lesser proportion in UAE (28%) claim to have checked audience reviews of movies before deciding to watch them.

Like movies, app ratings and reviews also have a significant impact on a consumer’s decision to download an app. Compared to people in the UAE, residents in KSA are more likely to check app reviews (38% vs 31%). However, when it comes to healthcare providers, UAE residents claim to be dependent on public’s opinion on review sites than their Saudi counterparts (28% in UAE vs 17% in KSA).

Furthermore, in the past 12 months, almost a fourth (24%) in UAE- and one in five (19%) in KSA have headed to sites like Glassdoor to find reviews and ratings of their potential employers.

With vaccination efforts ramped up and travel resuming, people can finally look forward to their travel plans. Sites like TripAdvisor, Travel Expedia, etc. played an important role in shaping up the holiday plans of people in UAE and KSA, as many claim to have used them (in the past 12 months) for either researching travel accommodations or hotels (30% in UAE & 25% in KSA) or finding suitable travel destinations or attractions (27% in UAE & 25% in KSA).

The pandemic has brought about changes in the way consumers shop and consume services. The lockdowns and subsequent absence of in-store shopping during the pandemic might have made people more reliant on reviews from current consumers. Apart from the products and services mentioned earlier, consumers claim to have accessed review websites for Tech products (23% in UAE vs. 20% in KSA), videogames (16% vs 22%), vehicle models (27% vs 26%), banks and financial products (30% vs 23%), fashion products/accessories (25% vs24%), books (16% vs 21%) and educational institutes (22% vs 18%).

Data also shows that an overwhelming majority of respondents in both UAE and KSA find these sites to be useful. The numbers are more pronounced in the UAE as compared to KSA (83% vs 79%).

(YouGov MENA)

July 29, 2021

Source: https://mena.yougov.com/en/news/2021/07/29/more-half-uae-ksa-residents-trust-review-and-ratin/

 

701-43-22/Polls

Those On Ideological Right Favor Fewer Covid-19 Restrictions In Most Advanced Economies

In many countries around the world, government attempts to impose coronavirus-related restrictions on public activity have encountered resistance and mass protest movements aimed at lockdowns. With the fast-spreading delta variant threatening a new wave of infections among the unvaccinated and slow, unequal vaccine rollouts globally, governments may yet again be forced to consider implementing restrictions on public activity.

                         

Ideological right more likely to think there should have been fewer COVID-19 restrictions

Majorities in most of the 17 advanced economies Pew Research Center surveyed in spring 2021 say the restrictions that had been imposed over the course of the pandemic were about right or that there should have been more restrictions. But significant minorities say there should have been fewer restrictions, suggesting they may be resistant to renewed lockdowns and social distancing requirements.

In most countries surveyed, those on the ideological right are particularly likely to say there should have been fewer restrictions on public activity over the course of the coronavirus outbreak. In keeping with previous findings, ideological divides between the left and right are largest in the United States with 52% of conservatives and 7% of liberals saying there should have been fewer restrictions. (The U.S. portion of the survey was conducted earlier than others, in early February.) Right-leaning people are significantly more likely to say restrictions went too far in nine other nations surveyed.

The only country where these ideological patterns are reversed is Greece – the public that also reports the highest proportion saying there should have been fewer restrictions. A majority (55%) of left-leaning Greeks say there should have been fewer restrictions, while only about a third (34%) of right-leaning Greeks hold that view.

European right-wing populist party supporters favor fewer restrictions

This may be, in part, due to opinions among supporters of Greece’s left-leaning populist party Syriza, who are significantly more likely than Syriza detractors to say there should have been fewer restrictions (55% compared with 39%, respectively). Syriza leader Alexis Tsipras has accused the center-right government of using the pandemic as a pretext to restrict democratic rights and freedoms.

On the other hand, support for right-wing populist parties in most European countries is associated with more hostile views toward pandemic restrictions. In the Netherlands, those with favorable views of the right-wing populist parties Forum for Democracy (FvD) and Party for Freedom (PVV) are more likely to think restrictions went too far. The pattern among right-wing populist supporters to favor fewer restrictions is also particularly prominent among Alternative for Germany (AfD) supporters in Germany, Lega supporters in Italy and Vox supporters in Spain.

Significant age differences in some countries on the amount of restrictions needed

In some countries surveyed, younger adults are more likely to favor fewer coronavirus restrictions than are older adults. The age gap is largest in Greece, where 58% of 18- to 29-year-olds say there should have been fewer restrictions, compared with a quarter of those 65 and older – a difference of 33 percentage points. Significant differences also appear in Belgium, France, Canada, the Netherlands, Spain and Singapore.

Younger people in the U. S. and South Korea are less likely to say there should have been fewer restrictions on public activity over the course of the coronavirus outbreak. For example, 8% of younger South Koreans say there should have been fewer restrictions, compared with 20% of older South Koreans. Americans ages 18 to 29 are about 11 points less likely to say there should have been fewer restrictions than Americans ages 65 and older (19% and 30%, respectively).

Age gaps in the U.S. are much smaller when partisanship is taken in to account

In the U. S., this may be, in part, due to dynamics in party identification and age differences. Younger Americans are more likely to lean Democratic than older Americans and there are large partisan differences on the question: 51% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents say there should have been fewer restrictions, compared with just 6% of Democrats and Democratic leaners. In the U.S., age gaps are much smaller when partisanship is taken into account. Among Republicans, those ages 50 and older are about as likely as those ages 18 to 49 to say there should have been fewer restrictions. Younger Democrats are more likely than older Democrats to say there should have been fewer restrictions, in line with patterns in other advanced economies. Still, Democrats as a whole overwhelmingly say there should have been more restrictions on public activity (81%).

Views of the economy are also tied to views about restrictions in about half of the publics surveyed. For example, 51% of Greeks who say the current economic situation is bad also say there should have been fewer restrictions, compared with a fifth of Greeks who think the economic situation is good.

Additionally, opinions about restrictions appear to be related to the actual strength of restrictions in each public during the fielding period as reported by the Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker. Governments with the highest level of restrictions while the survey was fielding, such as Greece and Germany, also report some of the highest shares saying there should have been fewer restrictions over the course of the coronavirus outbreak.

(PEW)

JULY 30, 2021

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/07/30/those-on-ideological-right-favor-fewer-covid-19-restrictions-in-most-advanced-economies/