BUSINESS & POLITICS IN THE WORLD

 

GLOBAL OPINION REPORT NO. 698

 

 

Week: July 05 –July 11, 2021

 

Presentation: July 16, 2021

 

 

Contents

 

698-43-22/Commentary: Seven In Ten (69%) Recognize Tension Between Rich And Poor, 37% Note Tension Between Men And Women. 3

SUMMARY OF POLLS. 5

ASIA   11

A Third (34%) Of Urban Indians Claim To Have Played Online Fantasy Sports For Money In The Past One Month (35% Men Vs 32% Women) 11

Eight-In-Ten Indians Limit Meat In Their Diets, And Four-In-Ten Consider Themselves Vegetarian. 13

One Out Of Every Two People Approves The Lifting Of Restrictions. 17

38% Say That They Are Satisfied With The Current Situation In Pakistan However 53% Say That They Are Not 19

MENA   20

Emirates Tops The List Of UAE’s Most Recommended Brands, With A Recommend Score Of 91.4%... 20

AFRICA.. 22

A Preference For Democracy In Liberia Over Any Other Type Of Political System Has Increased From 72% In 2008 To 83% In 2020. 22

Nearly Nine Out Of 10 Mauritians (87%) Say Their National Identity Is At Least As Important To Them As Their Ethnic-Group Identity. 26

WEST EUROPE.. 32

By 53% To 18%, Parents With Underage Children Say They Would Get Them Vaccinated Against Covid-19. 32

55% Britons think the age of marriage should be raised to 18. 34

Three In Ten Britons Choose Working Closely With The EU On The Prevention And Detection Of Crime (31%) And To Reduce Illegal Immigration (28%) 35

41% Of Britons Say Double-Jabbed People Should Self-Isolate. 37

Britons Becoming Increasingly Comfortable Returning To Normality, But Around 4 In 10 Still Unhappy With Hugs, Handshakes And Holidays Abroad. 38

42 Percent Of Germans Say That The US Is Generally A Friend And Ally Of Germany. 40

NORTH AMERICA.. 42

41% Of Catholic Congregations In The Database Heard At Least One Sermon Mentioning The Election, Compared With 63% Of Both Mainline Protestant 42

AUSTRALIA.. 50

8.88 Million Australians Aged 14+ (42%) Used Public Transport During The March Quarter 2021. 50

Inflation Expectations Increase To 4% In June, Highest Since March 2020 And Up 0.8% Points From Record Low Of 3.2%... 52

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES. 56

Morocco And Libya Are Top Two Countries In Mena In Terms Of Vaccine Acceptance, 77 And 70 Percent 56

Seven In Ten (69%) Recognize Tension Between Rich And Poor, 37% Note Tension Between Men And Women. 60

Depending on the country, between six and eight in ten say they definitely will continue or may continue wearing a mask in public. 62

Rheumatoid Arthritis In Developed Countries, Affects 0.5% To 1% Of The Adult Population. 65

79% Of Spaniards Support EU Digital COVID Certificate For Travel, Support Is Lowest In France (55%) 66

 


 

INTRODUCTORY NOTE

 

This weekly report consists of twenty one surveys. The report includes five multi-country studies from different states across the globe.

 

698-43-22/Commentary: Seven In Ten (69%) Recognize Tension Between Rich And Poor, 37% Note Tension Between Men And Women

Toronto, ON June 8th, 2021 — A once-in-a-lifetime event like the COVID-19 pandemic can serve to bring people together, or to highlight their divisions. Over the course of the past 15 months, countries from around the world have seen news headlines discussing the “she-cession”, or health inequities between different races and age groups. Despite many saying “we’re all in this together,” a new global Ipsos study suggests many countries around the world perceive divisions within their borders.

Greatest tension in Canada between the rich and poor

A new Ipsos Global Advisor poll, carried out in partnership with the Policy Institute at King’s College London asked respondents in 28 countries to indicate how much tension there is between varying demographic groups. Canadians indicate that the dichotomy between the rich and the poor is the most tense relationship (69%) in the country, in line with the data showing people worldwide perceive most tension to exist between the rich and poor (Global Country Average of 74% say there is at least a fair amount of tension).

Notably, despite conversations in the media and political realms about gender equality or the disproportionate impact of the pandemic on women, Canadians place tensions between the binary genders as some of the lowest in relative terms with only 37% stating there is at least a fair amount of tension between the genders.

With financial tensions ranking as the highest in the nation, and gender differences being perceived as some of the lowest, in the middle is a variety of dichotomies Canadians were asked to weigh in on.

How much tension, if any, would you say there is between…

Canada

% good deal/fair amount of tension

Global Average

% good deal/fair amount of tension

Rich and poor 

69%

74%

Different ethnicities 

64%

62%

Immigrants and people born in Canada

63%

66%

Those with more socially liberal, progressive ideas and those with more traditional values

61%

65%

People who support different political parties 

59%

69%

Different social classes 

59%

67%

The metropolitan elite and ordinary working people 

56%

62%

Different religions 

53%

57%

Old and young 

38%

46%

Men and women

37%

48%

Those in cities and those outside of cities 

36%

42%

Those with a university education and

those without a university education

33%

47%

Canadians indicated that the relationship between different ethnicities is the second most tense relationship (64% say there is a good deal/fair amount of tension) in their country. Similar proportions indicate that tensions between immigrants and people born in Canada (63%), between social progressives and those with traditional values (61%), those of differing social class (59%) and those who support different political parties (59%) also plague the country.

There is relatively less tension seen between those of differing religions (53%), between old and young (38%), by levels of education (33%), or between cities and those outside cities (36%). 

It is notable that in all cases except one, the perceived tensions in Canada fall below that of the global average, which would suggest that Canadians have lower societal tensions than most countries. However, Canada sits slightly above average regarding tensions between differing ethnic groups, indicating that there may be strain below the surface for a country which prides itself in welcoming newcomers and immigrants. 

Canadians ambivalent towards being politically correct

People in the 28 countries surveyed were asked to rate their feelings about political correctness on a scale from 0 to 7, with 0 meaning many people are too easily offended and 7 meaning people need to change the way they talk to be more sensitive to those from different backgrounds. Overall, in most of the countries most people leaned towards believing we need to change the way people talk (in the Global Country Average, 31% placed themselves 0 to 3 on the scale and 60% 4 to 7). Canadians were most likely to feel ambivalent (45%) towards political correctness, not leaning towards either pole.

Culture wars less of a concern for Canadians

Just over a third of people globally think their country is divided by “culture wars”. Respondents were asked “From what you see on TV, in the news media, and online and in your conversations with others, to what extent do you agree or disagree that [your country] is divided by “culture wars”?” Three in ten (28%) Canadians agreed with this statement, below the global country average of 35%.

In contrast to other polled nations, Canada fell well below South Africa and the United States which led polling with 58% and 57% of respective respondents agreeing that culture wars divide their nations. However, Canada shows less unity than Japan, where only 9% of respondents agreed that culture wars plague their country.

Notably, while in most countries relatively few actively disagreed with the statement, the level of “don’t knows” remains fairly high, suggesting that the concept of a “culture war” may remain unfamiliar for many.

(Ipsos Canada)

8 July 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/what-she-cession-canadians-point-to-divisions-between-rich-and-poor-as-major-social-tension

 

SUMMARY OF POLLS

ASIA

(India)

A Third (34%) Of Urban Indians Claim To Have Played Online Fantasy Sports For Money In The Past One Month (35% Men Vs 32% Women)

Data shows that a third (34%) of urban Indians claim to have played online fantasy sports for money in the past one month, out of which, the participation of female players has been almost equal to men (35% men vs 32% women). Furthermore, nearly three in ten (28%) urbans Indians said they are likely to play fantasy sports for money in the next 30 days, with just above a quarter of women saying this (26%).

(YouGov India)
July 9, 2021

Eight-In-Ten Indians Limit Meat In Their Diets, And Four-In-Ten Consider Themselves Vegetarian

The vast majority of Indian adults (81%) follow some restrictions on meat in their diet, including refraining from eating certain meats, not eating meat on certain days, or both. However, most Indians do not abstain from meat altogether – only 39% of Indian adults describe themselves as “vegetarian,” according to a new Pew Research Center survey. (While there are many ways to define “vegetarian” in India, the survey left the definition up to the respondent.)

(PEW)

JULY 8, 2021

 

(Turkey)

One Out Of Every Two People Approves The Lifting Of Restrictions

48% of the society think that it is right to remove the restrictions as of 1 July. However, a significant majority of the society (39%) state that it is not right to remove all restrictions. The people who are concerned about the lifting of restrictions are predominantly women and the vaccinated population. Despite the lifting of all bans as of July 1, 44% of the society reacted to the ban on music after 24:00. Especially the reactions of the students are high in this regard. But on the other hand, 38% support this decision.

(Ipsos Turkey)

July 5, 2021

 

(Pakistan)

38% Say That They Are Satisfied With The Current Situation In Pakistan However 53% Say That They Are Not

A nationally representative sample of adult men and women from across the four provinces was asked the following question, “By keeping in mind the current situation of Pakistan, please tell us that how satisfied or unsatisfied you are with the current situation of Pakistan?” In response to this question, 16% said ‘very satisfied’, 22% said ‘somewhat satisfied’ while 16% said “somewhat unsatisfied”, 37% said “very unsatisfied”, 7% did not know and 2% did not respond

(Gallup Pakistan)

July 5, 2021

 

MENA

(UAE)

Emirates Tops The List Of UAE’s Most Recommended Brands, With A Recommend Score Of 91.4%

As travel restrictions eased in the country, many flight services resumed operations. Alongside Emirates, Etihad Airways also makes an appearance in the list- in fifth (with a score of 86.3). Amidst new launches, both iPhone and Samsung Galaxy strengthened their brand advocacy among customers, thereby securing a place in the UAE top 10 rankings. iPhone places second in the  list (with a score of 89.4) and Samsung Galaxy takes the seventh spot (86.1).

(YouGov MENA)

July 7, 2021

 

AFRICA

(Liberia)

A Preference For Democracy In Liberia Over Any Other Type Of Political System Has Increased From 72% In 2008 To 83% In 2020

Support for democracy and rejection of authoritarian alternatives have been consistently high among Liberians over the past decade. A preference for democracy over any other type of political system has increased from 72% in 2008 to 83% in 2020. An overwhelming majority (85%) of Liberians “agree” or “strongly agree” that the president should be limited to a maximum of two terms in office, a position that has held steady over the past decade (Figure 2).

(Afrobarometer)

8 July 2021

(Mauritius)

Nearly Nine Out Of 10 Mauritians (87%) Say Their National Identity Is At Least As Important To Them As Their Ethnic-Group Identity

Nearly nine out of 10 Mauritians (87%) say their national identity is at least as important to them as their ethnic-group identity (Figure 1). o Self-identification as “only Mauritian” or “more Mauritian than (ethnic group),” selected by 32% overall, is more pronounced among urban residents (36%) than among their rural counterparts (29%) About three out of 10 Mauritians say other citizens treated them unfairly at least once during the previous year based on their ethnicity (30%), economic status (31%), or religion (32%)

(Afrobarometer)

8 July 2021

WEST EUROPE

(UK)

By 53% To 18%, Parents With Underage Children Say They Would Get Them Vaccinated Against Covid-19

Half of parents with children aged 17 or younger (53%) say they would get them vaccinated if the coronavirus vaccine becomes available for kids, while one in five (18%) would not and three in ten (29%) are unsure.  Among those who are vaccine hesitant, meaning they’re undecided or refusing to get vaccinated, only 2% would get their children vaccinated. One in four (24%) are unsure, while three quarters (74%) would not.

(YouGov UK)

July 05, 2021

55% Britons think the age of marriage should be raised to 18

Currently, 16 and 17-year olds in England and Wales, can marry with their parents’ permission while in Scotland they can marry at 16 of their own will. However, Sajid Javid believes most of these young unions are "coerced or forced for cultural and religious reasons" and is seeking to end them with legislation. Further to this, more than half of the public (55%) think that marriage should only become legal at the age of 18, In fact, a greater proportion of people are in favour of raising the age of marriage to 21 (14%) than support keeping it at 16 (8%)

(YouGov UK)

July 05, 2021

Three In Ten Britons Choose Working Closely With The EU On The Prevention And Detection Of Crime (31%) And To Reduce Illegal Immigration (28%)

Four in ten (42%) choose striking a trade agreement to make it easier to buy and sell goods and services.Around three in ten choose working closely with the EU on the prevention and detection of crime (31%) and to reduce illegal immigration (28%). Around one in four choose taking steps with the EU to reduce the impact of climate change and to protect the environment (26%) and ensuring British consumers keep at least the same protections and standards as those in the EU (25%).

(Ipsos MORI)

6 July 2021

41% Of Britons Say Double-Jabbed People Should Self-Isolate

Some 41% of Britons say double-jabbed people should self-isolate, while 40% say they should not. Another 18% are uncertain.  While these opinions vary little across age groups, they do differ across the political spectrum. While over a third (37%) of Conservative voters say the vaccinated people should self-isolate, nearly half (48%) believe they should not. It is almost a mirror image when it comes to Labour supporters, with 48% wanting fully vaccinated people to continue with quarantining while one in three (34%) do not.  

(YouGov UK)

July 06, 2021

Britons Becoming Increasingly Comfortable Returning To Normality, But Around 4 In 10 Still Unhappy With Hugs, Handshakes And Holidays Abroad

Seven in ten would be comfortable staying overnight in the house of a friend/family member in the same way as they did before the pandemic, while a similar proportion (68%) feel happy  to let people come into their own home to work (i.e. nannies/cleaners). Around two-thirds say they are comfortable going to bars and restaurants (67%), an increase of 5ppt since May. Similarly, 65% would be happy to visit an indoor museum or exhibition. A majority of people feel comfortable going to indoor cinemas or theatres (56%), up from 51% two months ago.

(Ipsos MORI)

9 July 2021

 

(Germany)

42 Percent Of Germans Say That The US Is Generally A Friend And Ally Of Germany

Currently, 42 percent of Germans say that the US is generally a friend and ally of Germany. At the time of Donald Trump's US presidency, this was 23 percent less (19 percent). The statement that the United States is generally not friendly towards Germany currently only applies to 11 percent of all respondents; during Donald Trump's reign it was 27 percent.

(YouGov Germany)
July 7, 2021

 

NORTH AMERICA

(USA)

41% Of Catholic Congregations In The Database Heard At Least One Sermon Mentioning The Election, Compared With 63% Of Both Mainline Protestant

A new Pew Research Center analysis finds that among churches that posted their sermons, homilies or worship services online between Aug. 31 and Nov. 8, 2020, two-thirds posted at least one message from the pulpit mentioning the election. But these rates varied considerably among the four major Christian groups included in the analysis: 41% of Catholic congregations in the database heard at least one sermon mentioning the election, compared with 63% of both mainline Protestant and historically Black Protestant congregations and 71% of evangelical Protestant congregations.

(PEW)

JULY 8, 2021

 

AUSTRALIA

8.88 Million Australians Aged 14+ (42%) Used Public Transport During The March Quarter 2021

Despite the back-to-back quarterly increases, public transport usage in the March quarter 2021 was still down by almost 3 million people (a decline of 24.7%) on its pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels when 11.8 million people used public transport in the December quarter 2019. In the March quarter 2021 trains regained their usual spot as the most popular form of public transport used by 6.2 million (29.3%) of Australians ahead of buses used by 5.48 million (25.9%). Over 2.47 million (11.7%) travelled on trams and just over 1.06 million (5%) travelled on ferries or rivercats.

(Roy Morgan)

July 09 2021

Inflation Expectations Increase To 4% In June, Highest Since March 2020 And Up 0.8% Points From Record Low Of 3.2%

In June 2021 Australians expected inflation of 4% annually over the next two years, up 0.3% and the highest Inflation Expectations since the pandemic began. Inflation Expectations are now 0.8% higher than they were a year ago – the biggest year-over-year increase since the series began in 2010. Inflation Expectations are still 0.7% points below their long-term average of 4.7% but are now 0.5% points higher than the 2020 monthly average of 3.5%.

(Roy Morgan)

July 11 2021

 

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

Morocco And Libya Are Top Two Countries In Mena In Terms Of Vaccine Acceptance, 77 And 70 Percent

The top two countries in terms of government trust- Morocco at 48 percent and Libya at 44 percent- are also the top two countries in terms of vaccine acceptance, 77 and 70 percent, respectively. As Salma al-Shami recently noted, the Moroccan government is among the best performers in the region when it comes to the overall public response to COVID. At the time of the survey, 10 percent of Moroccan respondents reported already receiving at least one dose of a COVID vaccine.

(Arabbarometer)

July 7, 2021

Source: https://www.arabbarometer.org/2021/07/the-varying-appetites-for-covid-vaccination-in-the-mena/

 

Seven In Ten (69%) Recognize Tension Between Rich And Poor, 37% Note Tension Between Men And Women

A new Ipsos Global Advisor poll, carried out in partnership with the Policy Institute at King’s College London asked respondents in 28 countries to indicate how much tension there is between varying demographic groups. Canadians indicate that the dichotomy between the rich and the poor is the most tense relationship (69%) in the country, in line with the data showing people worldwide perceive most tension to exist between the rich and poor (Global Country Average of 74% say there is at least a fair amount of tension).

(Ipsos Canada)

8 July 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/what-she-cession-canadians-point-to-divisions-between-rich-and-poor-as-major-social-tension

 

Depending on the country, between six and eight in ten say they definitely will continue or may continue wearing a mask in public

More than half of those surveyed in Brazil and just under half in Italy, the U.K., France, Mexico, and Germany say they definitely will continue social distancing in public places, compared to only one-third in Japan and the U.S. The U.S. shows the highest proportion saying that they will not continue or haven’t been socially distancing pre-vaccination (22%). Gaps are even wider when it comes to mask-wearing in public: 57% in Brazil say they definitely will continue, compared to 27% in Germany. Germany and the U.S. have the largest proportions saying they will not continue or haven’t been wearing a mask (32% both).

(Ipsos Egypt)

8 July 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-eg/post-covid-vaccination-behaviours-and-return-activities

 

Rheumatoid Arthritis In Developed Countries, Affects 0.5% To 1% Of The Adult Population

Rheumatoid arthritis is a chronic, inflammatory joint disease. In developed countries, it affects 0.5% to 1% of the adult population, with a two to three times higher frequency in women compared to men, regardless of age. Methotrexate remains the anchor drug in the treatment of Rheumatoid arthritis despite the introduction and increased availability of many new drugs. Methotrexate has demonstrated tangible clinical benefits, leading to remission or low disease activity in 25% to 50% of treated patients, particularly in early rheumatoid arthritis.

(Ipsos MORI)

9 July 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/patients-perception-and-adherence-regarding-methotrexate-autoinjectors-rheumatoid-arthritis

 

79% Of Spaniards Support EU Digital COVID Certificate For Travel, Support Is Lowest In France (55%)

Beyond supporting the move, a large proportion of Europeans will feel safer travelling thanks to the scheme. At the top end, 63% of Spaniards say they would feel safer travelling because of the certificate, along with 51% of Italians. The Germans are the least likely to feel reassured by the scheme, with only three in ten (29%) responding that they would feel safer as a result.

(YouGov UK)

July 09, 2021

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2021/07/08/-majority-support-eu-digital-covid-certificate

 

ASIA

698-43-01/Poll

A Third (34%) Of Urban Indians Claim To Have Played Online Fantasy Sports For Money In The Past One Month (35% Men Vs 32% Women)

In the last few years, Indian fantasy sports industry has witnessed an astronomical growth. Contrary to the popular belief of gaming being associated with men, YouGov data reveals active participation coming from women.

The data comes from YouGov Global Gambling Profiles – the first tool of its kind that gives an unparalleled intelligence on gambling audiences – from bets to brands.  It is built upon more than 500,000 interviews per year, with new data collected and updated monthly. It provides an instant view of the size, make-up, attitudes and behaviours of gambling consumers in 24 key markets including India.

Data shows that a third (34%) of urban Indians claim to have played online fantasy sports for money in the past one month, out of which, the participation of female players has been almost equal to men (35% men vs 32% women).

Furthermore, nearly three in ten (28%) urbans Indians said they are likely to play fantasy sports for money in the next 30 days, with just above a quarter of women saying this (26%).

Apart from fantasy sports, online casino slot games and online poker seem to be popular among urban Indian women, with roughly a quarter of them saying they played these games for money in the past month (23% for each).

When asked about the online gaming apps used in the past week, Dream11 emerged as the most used app by women to play money games online. Usage of the app is almost equivalent among men and women (43% vs 39%). However, compared to men, consumption of apps such as Spin Casino, Spin Samba and Casino Midas is more among women.

In India, on an average, a third of the female fantasy gamers spend smaller amounts (up to 1000 INR) on fantasy sports games on a monthly basis (33%). Almost one in five (21%) said they spend between 1K-10K, while only 16% claim to spend more than 10k on online fantasy gaming.

A deeper dive into the profile of active female fantasy gamers in India (who have played an online fantasy sport for money in the past month) reveals this group of women are more likely to be married with children (with 56% belonging to this group) and reside in tier-1 cities (52%). A large proportion of them (44%) belong to the age group of 30-44 years and fall within the middle-income groups (45%).  They are more likely to reside in North and South of India (32% and 27%, respectively).

(YouGov India)
July 9, 2021

Source: https://in.yougov.com/en-hi/news/2021/07/09/fantasy-sports-men-and-women-partcipated-equally-f/

698-43-02/Poll

Eight-In-Ten Indians Limit Meat In Their Diets, And Four-In-Ten Consider Themselves Vegetarian

All of India’s most widely practiced religions have dietary laws and traditions. For example, Hindu texts often praise vegetarianism, and Hindus may also avoid eating beef because cows are traditionally viewed as sacred. Muslim teachings, meanwhile, prohibit pork.

The vast majority of Indian adults (81%) follow some restrictions on meat in their diet, including refraining from eating certain meats, not eating meat on certain days, or both. However, most Indians do not abstain from meat altogether – only 39% of Indian adults describe themselves as “vegetarian,” according to a new Pew Research Center survey. (While there are many ways to define “vegetarian” in India, the survey left the definition up to the respondent.)

A bar chart showing majorities in all of India's religious groups follow at least some restrictions on meat in their diet

Yet, even among groups with low rates of vegetarianism, many Indians restrict their meat consumption. For example, roughly two-thirds of Muslims (67%) and Christians (66%) avoid meat in some way, such as refraining from eating certain meats, not eating meat on certain days, or both. Among Hindus, in addition to the 44% who are vegetarian, another 39% follow some other restriction on meat consumption.

Many Jains avoid not only meat but also root vegetables to avoid destroying the entire plant, which is seen as a form of violence in Jain theology. About two-thirds of Jains (67%) say they abstain from eating root vegetables such as garlic and onions (staples in many Indian cuisines). Even among Hindus and Sikhs, roughly one-in-five say they do not eat root vegetables (21% and 18%, respectively). Hindu vegetarians are about evenly divided between those who eat root vegetables and those who do not.

Fasting is another common dietary practice in India. About three-quarters of Indians overall (77%) fast, including about eight-in-ten or more among Muslims (85%), Jains (84%) and Hindus (79%). Smaller majorities of Christians and Buddhists fast (64% and 61%, respectively), while Sikhs are the least likely to fast (28%).

Religious groups in India fast to mark different occasions. Muslims, for example, fast during the month of Ramadan each year, while other Indians fast on certain days of the week and to mark important life events. Hindus, especially in the South, may fast before every Skanda Sashti – a day devoted to Skanda, the god of war.

In addition to asking about personal dietary habits, the survey asked whether respondents would ever eat food in the home of someone – or at a function hosted by people – whose religion has different rules about food than their own. Overall, Indians are evenly split on these questions, but there are wide variations by group.

A bar chart showing Muslim, Christian, Buddhist vegetarians most flexible about where they eat

Roughly a quarter of Jains say they would eat in a home (24%) or at a function (27%) where the host’s religious rules about food differ from their own, while slightly fewer than half of India’s Hindus and Sikhs say the same. In contrast, six-in-ten or more Buddhists, Muslims and Christians would be willing to eat at a place with different rules about food.

There is a similar pattern when asking vegetarians about eating in different situations. Vegetarian Jains are the least likely to say they would ever eat food in a restaurant that serves both non-vegetarian and vegetarian food or in the home of a friend who is not vegetarian. In contrast, Buddhists, Muslims and Christians are the most likely to say this. Hindu and Sikh vegetarians, meanwhile, fall somewhere in the middle, with three-in-ten or more saying they would ever eat food in these non-vegetarian settings.

Not only do religious dietary traditions impact Indians’ day-t0-day lives, but they also influence concepts of religious identity and belonging.

A bar chart showing many Indians view dietary restrictions as essential to religious identity

In fact, Indian adults are generally more likely to say that following dietary restrictions is a requirement for religious identity than to say that belief in God and prayer are essential. For instance, 72% of Hindus say someone cannot be Hindu if they eat beef, but fewer express the same sentiment about someone who does not believe in God (49%) or never prays (48%).

Among Muslims, Sikhs and Jains, even greater shares say that following dietary rules is essential to religious identity: 77% of Muslims say a person cannot be Muslim if they eat pork, compared with smaller shares who say this about a person who does not believe in God (60%) or never prays (67%). More than eight-in-ten Sikhs (82%) and Jains (85%) say that a person cannot be truly a member of their religion if they consume beef. Buddhists are split on the issue, with about half expressing that someone cannot be a Buddhist if they eat beef. (Christians were not asked about eating meat and Christian identity.)

(PEW)

JULY 8, 2021

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/07/08/eight-in-ten-indians-limit-meat-in-their-diets-and-four-in-ten-consider-themselves-vegetarian/

 

698-43-03/Poll

One Out Of Every Two People Approves The Lifting Of Restrictions

The Society is Divided in the Subject of Transition to the Normalization Process In
parallel with the opinion on the abolition of the restrictions, nearly half of the society agrees that the transition to the normalization process is correct. But a similar group of people is of the opposite opinion. He is of the opinion that the restrictions should be lifted gradually for a while and the normalization process should be passed.

Slide4-5JulyOne out of Every Two People Approves the Lifting of Restrictions

48% of the society think that it is right to remove the restrictions as of 1 July. However, a significant majority of the society (39%) state that it is not right to remove all restrictions. The people who are concerned about the lifting of restrictions are predominantly women and the vaccinated population.

slide3-5JulyProportion of People Who Think the Ban on Music After 24 Hours Is Not Right 44%

Despite the lifting of all bans as of July 1, 44% of the society reacted to the ban on music after 24:00. Especially the reactions of the students are high in this regard. But on the other hand, 38% support this decision.

slide6-5July

   

Ipsos CEO Sidar Gedik made the following evaluations about the data;We call the relaxation and removal of restrictions as “normalization”. However, this is such a period that our mood cannot normalize as quickly as the decisions taken. Speaking of restrictions, one of the most discussed decisions in public was the ban on music after 24 hours. 38% support this decision, while 44% are against it. The rate of opposition to the decision is much higher among students, with two out of three students stating that they are against the music ban. Detected new virus variants raise concerns. Eight out of ten people are worried about a new wave, and one out of every two people is at a serious level. This state of mind has divided society into two parts. While 46% of the participants in our research say that there should be full normalization, 47% support a slower, gradual process. We are not yet relaxed. For a relaxed mood, we need to spread the vaccination to wider masses, to see that it is also effective against new virus variants, and to reinforce this confidence with the third dose of vaccine. But; If the number of cases and deaths is reset, we will believe that the epidemic is over.

(Ipsos Turkey)

July 5, 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/tr-tr/her-iki-kisiden-biri-kisitlamalarin-kaldirilmasini-dogru-buluyor

 

698-43-04/Poll

38% Say That They Are Satisfied With The Current Situation In Pakistan However 53% Say That They Are Not

According to a survey conducted by Gallup & Gilani Pakistan, 53% of Pakistanis are not satisfied with the current situation in Pakistan. A nationally representative sample of adult men and women from across the four provinces was asked the following question, “By keeping in mind the current situation of Pakistan, please tell us that how satisfied or unsatisfied you are with the current situation of Pakistan?” In response to this question, 16% said ‘very satisfied’, 22% said ‘somewhat satisfied’ while 16% said “somewhat unsatisfied”, 37% said “very unsatisfied”, 7% did not know and 2% did not respond.

Provincial Breakdown: Dissatisfaction with general situation in Pakistan is highest in Sindh 47% in Punjab are dissatisfied, 48% in KP and 48% in Balochistan. Alternatively, 38% in Punjab are satisfied, 34% in Sindh, 43% in KP and 40% in Balochistan.

(Gallup Pakistan)

July 5, 2021

Source: https://gallup.com.pk/wp/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/5thJuly-Combined-1.pdf

 

                                                                     MENA

698-43-05/Poll

Emirates Tops The List Of UAE’s Most Recommended Brands, With A Recommend Score Of 91.4%

YouGov analysis reveals Emirates tops the list of UAE’s most recommended brands, with a Recommend score of 91.4%. Dubai’s flag carrier airlines’ top ranking follows its strong showings in YouGov’s 2020 Best Brand Rankings where it ranked first.

The rankings are based on YouGov BrandIndex’s positive Recommend score, which measures the percentage of a brand’s customers who would recommend it to a friend or colleague. Every brand in our Rankings has a minimum sample of 300 and has been tracked for at least 6 months, with all scores being rounded to a single decimal place.  

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As travel restrictions eased in the country, many flight services resumed operations. Alongside Emirates, Etihad Airways also makes an appearance in the list- in fifth (with a score of 86.3).

Amidst new launches, both iPhone and Samsung Galaxy strengthened their brand advocacy among customers, thereby securing a place in the UAE top 10 rankings. iPhone places second in the  list (with a score of 89.4) and Samsung Galaxy takes the seventh spot (86.1).

The increased appetite for health & fitness during the pandemic gave a boost to the demand for sportswear and apparels across the globe. It is therefore not surprising to see three leading brands make the list: Adidas is placed third (88.8), Nike in fourth (86.9) and Skechers in the ninth (84.4) position, respectively.

Almarai’s proclamation to be world’s first brand to obtain a Pandemic Prepared Certification from AIB International for its food safety practices amidst the pandemic has certainly won over its customers, landing it the eighth position in the rankings (score of 84.9).

Emaar and Burj Al Arab complete the UAE top 10 rankings in sixth (86.1) and tenth (84.1), respectively.

YouGov also revealed the brands that made the greatest improvement to their Recommend score among customers over the past 12 months. IndiGo noted the biggest uplift (of +12.4) to its Recommend score, from 49.2 last year to 61.6 this year.

Two other airlines, flydubai and Air Arabia make an appearance in the list, with a change in score of 11.2 and 8.6, respectively. 

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The improvers list in UAE has a dominance of airlines and destinations, reflecting the building appetite for a holiday among residents. With the rapid progression of the vaccination drive across UAE, restrictions have eased and consumers’ confidence in stepping out has grown. A'l Bahar at the Corniche Abu Dhabi (12.1), Saadiyat Island (8.6), Reel Cinemas (7.6) and Yas Island Abu Dhabi (7.5) have fared notably well among their customers and secured a place in the list of improvers.

Finally, Extra Chewing Gum (8.3), Super Glue (7.9) and Domino’s Pizza (7.0) complete the 2021 improvers list in UAE.

(YouGov MENA)

July 7, 2021

Source: https://mena.yougov.com/en/news/2021/07/07/emirates-tops-yougovs-recommend-rankings-2021-uae/

 

AFRICA

698-43-06/Poll

A Preference For Democracy In Liberia Over Any Other Type Of Political System Has Increased From 72% In 2008 To 83% In 2020

Liberians support democracy and reject authoritarian alternatives, but they are not satisfied with the way democracy is working in the country, the latest Afrobarometer survey shows. Support for presidential term limits and elections remain high in the country. But support for multiparty competition has declined considerably over the past decade; about half of citizens now say that having many political parties just creates division and confusion.

Key findings

▪ Support for democracy and rejection of authoritarian alternatives have been consistently high among Liberians over the past decade. A preference for democracy over any other type of political system has increased from 72% in 2008 to 83% in 2020 (Figure 1).

▪ An overwhelming majority (85%) of Liberians “agree” or “strongly agree” that the president should be limited to a maximum of two terms in office, a position that has held steady over the past decade (Figure 2).

▪ Nine out of 10 Liberians (90%) prefer to choose leaders through regular, open, and honest elections (Figure 3).

▪ Only half (50%) of citizens support multiparty democracy, a 20-percentage-point decline since 2012 (Figure 4).

▪ Two-thirds (67%) of citizens describe Liberia as a “full democracy” or a “democracy with minor problems” (Figure 5).

▪ But six in 10 (61%) say they are “not very satisfied” or “not at all satisfied” with the way democracy works in Liberia (Figure 6).

Respondents were asked: There are many ways to govern a country. Would you disapprove or approve of the following alternatives? (% who “disapprove” or “strongly disapprove”) Only one political party is allowed to stand for election and hold office. The army comes in to govern the country. Elections and Parliament are abolished so that the president can decide everything. Which of these three statements is closest to your own opinion? (% who choose Statement 1) Statement 1: Democracy is preferable to any other kind of government. Statement 2: In some circumstances, a non-democratic government can be preferable. Statement 3: For someone like me, it doesn’t matter what kind of government we have.

(Afrobarometer)

8 July 2021

Source: https://afrobarometer.org/sites/default/files/press-release/Liberia/news_release-liberians_want_democracy_voice_dissatisfaction-afrobarometer-8july21.pdf

 

698-43-07/Poll

Nearly Nine Out Of 10 Mauritians (87%) Say Their National Identity Is At Least As Important To Them As Their Ethnic-Group Identity

Mauritians express a strong sense of national identity and believe there is strength in diversity, according to the latest Afrobarometer survey. Most citizens do not experience unfair treatment by other Mauritians based on ethnicity, religion, or economic status, but a sizeable minority do. And almost half of Mauritians say the government treats their ethnic group unfairly, at least “sometimes,” a perception that’s especially common among urban residents and young citizens. A majority of Mauritians express tolerant attitudes toward people of a different religion, ethnicity, nationality, and sexual orientation. The share of citizens who express tolerance toward people in same-sex relationships has increased in recent years.

Key findings

§ Nearly nine out of 10 Mauritians (87%) say their national identity is at least as important to them as their ethnic-group identity (Figure 1). o Self-identification as “only Mauritian” or “more Mauritian than (ethnic group),” selected by 32% overall, is more pronounced among urban residents (36%) than among their rural counterparts (29%) (Figure 2).

§ About three out of 10 Mauritians say other citizens treated them unfairly at least once during the previous year based on their ethnicity (30%), economic status (31%), or religion (32%) (Figure 3).

§ While almost half (48%) of citizens say that members of their ethnic groups “never” experience unfair treatment by the government, 16% say this occurs “often” or “always”, while one-third (32%) say it happens “sometimes” (Figure 4). o The proportion of citizens who say their ethnic group is “often” or “always” treated unfairly by the government increased by 7 percentage points from 2018 (9%) but is similar to the level recorded in 2012 (13%) (Figure 5).

§ The perception that their ethnic group is “often” or “always” treated unfairly by the government is higher among urban residents (24%) compared to their rural counterparts (10%) and among those aged 18-35 (20%) than among their elders (12%-14%). It increases with citizens’ level of lived poverty, ranging from 11% among the economically best-off citizens to 33% among poor citizens (Figure 6).

§ A majority of Mauritians say that communities made up of different ethnic groups, races, and religions are stronger than homogeneous communities (61%) (Figure 7) and that there is more that unites Mauritians than divides them (61%) (Figure 8).

§ An overwhelming majority of Mauritians express tolerant attitudes toward people from different religions (93%) and ethnic groups (92%), saying they “would somewhat like it”, “would strongly like it,” or “would not care” if they had such people as neighbours (Figure 9). o A smaller majority express tolerance toward immigrants or foreign workers (66%) and people in same-sex relationships (59%). o The proportion of Mauritians who say they would “like it” or “would not care” if they lived next to people in same-sex relationships increased by 9 percentage points from the 2014 survey.

(Afrobarometer)

8 July 2021

Source: https://afrobarometer.org/sites/default/files/press-release/Mauritius/news_release-mauritians_value_national_identity_and_social_tolerance-afrobarometer-8july21.pdf

 

WEST EUROPE

698-43-08/Poll

By 53% To 18%, Parents With Underage Children Say They Would Get Them Vaccinated Against Covid-19

Ministers will announce in July whether the UK will start to give coronavirus vaccines to kids. Several countries are already vaccinating children and the UK medicines regulator has approved the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine for children aged 12 and older.

But how do parents feel about the prospect of getting their children vaccinated against COVID-19 when the risk of becoming seriously ill for children is minimal?

Half of parents with children aged 17 or younger (53%) say they would get them vaccinated if the coronavirus vaccine becomes available for kids, while one in five (18%) would not and three in ten (29%) are unsure.

Parents who’ve had the vaccine themselves, or are planning to, are slightly more inclined to get their underage children jabbed, at 59%. But even among this group, three in ten (29%) are still uncertain, while 12% say they would not do it.

Among those who are vaccine hesitant, meaning they’re undecided or refusing to get vaccinated, only 2% would get their children vaccinated. One in four (24%) are unsure, while three quarters (74%) would not.

Parents, who tend to work in professional occupations, (what is known as socio-economic group ABC1), are more willing to get their children vaccinated against coronavirus than those from C2DE backgrounds, who often do manual work, at 58% vs 45%. This is consistent with vaccine willingness being higher among ABC1 (93%) than C2DE (84%) parents.

Fathers are also more willing to have their children vaccinated than mothers at 60% vs 46%. But the difference among unwilling mothers (17%) and fathers (20%) is marginal, with mothers more likely to be unsure than fathers (34% vs 23%).

Vaccinating children to protect them or older family members?

Professor Anthony Harnden, advisor to the government on vaccines, has said that vaccinating children presents an: “ethical dilemma as to whether you should vaccinate children to protect adults”.

Vaccinating children against COVID-19 mainly benefits the adult population by reducing transmission, according to Harnden. But only 8% of parents who would get their kids vaccinated say it would be mainly for the safety of other people in their household or close family. Around two in five (37%) say they would do it more for their children’s safety, while around half (53%) say both equally. 

(YouGov UK)

July 05, 2021

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/health/articles-reports/2021/07/05/53-18-parents-underage-children-say-they-would-get

 

698-43-09/Poll

55% Britons think the age of marriage should be raised to 18

Before becoming Secretary of State for Health and Social Care, Sajid Javid campaigned to ban under-18s from getting married in England and Wales.

Currently, 16 and 17-year olds in England and Wales, can marry with their parents’ permission while in Scotland they can marry at 16 of their own will. However, Sajid Javid believes most of these young unions are "coerced or forced for cultural and religious reasons" and is seeking to end them with legislation.

The new bill will be debated in November, and now Javid has the backing of the government, YouGov polling reveals he also has the support of the general public.

Two in five people (41%) correctly identified that the law as it stands allows marriage at 16, with another 34% incorrectly thinking that marriage was currently restricted to those aged 18 and over.

Further to this, more than half of the public (55%) think that marriage should only become legal at the age of 18, In fact, a greater proportion of people are in favour of raising the age of marriage to 21 (14%) than support keeping it at 16 (8%).

Support for raising the age of marriage to 18 is shared across the political spectrum. Similar proportions Labour (62%) and Conservative supporters (58%) take this view, although Tories are slightly more likely to be favour of increasing the minimum age to 21 (16% versus 11%).

Women (58%) are slightly more likely than men (51%) to want to raise the age of marriage to 18, a pattern also reflected when it comes to increasing the age to 21 (with 17% of women supporting this compared to 11% of men).

(YouGov UK)

July 05, 2021

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/relationships/articles-reports/2021/07/05/britons-think-age-marriage-should-be-raised-18

 

698-43-10/Poll

Three In Ten Britons Choose Working Closely With The EU On The Prevention And Detection Of Crime (31%) And To Reduce Illegal Immigration (28%)

New polling from Ipsos MORI, in partnership with the EU-UK Forum, reveals that Britons want the UK’s future relationship with the EU to focus on trade, followed by dealing with crime, reducing illegal immigration, taking steps to reduce climate change, and ensuring British consumers keep at least the same standards and protections as in the EU.  Trade is important to both Leavers and Remainers, but their other priorities differ.  Nevertheless, both Leavers and Remainers believe that it is important for the UK to maintain a good relationship with the EU, and for the EU to maintain a good relationship with the UK.

What should be the top priorities for the UK’s relationship with the EU?

  • Four in ten (42%) choose striking a trade agreement to make it easier to buy and sell goods and services.
  • Around three in ten choose working closely with the EU on the prevention and detection of crime (31%) and to reduce illegal immigration (28%).
  • Around one in four choose taking steps with the EU to reduce the impact of climate change and to protect the environment (26%) and ensuring British consumers keep at least the same protections and standards as those in the EU (25%).
  • Less important priorities including promoting Britain’s cultural influence (7%), working with the EU to support other countries through foreign aid (10%) or military alliances with the EU (14%).

A trade agreement with the EU is the top priority for Britons

  • Trade is important to both 2016 Leave voters and 2016 Remain voters (44% among both).  However their other priorities differ.  Leave voters are more likely to choose reducing illegal immigration (43% vs 20% of Remainers) and dealing with crime (39% vs 30%). Remain voters are more likely to choose working with the EU to combat climate change (34% vs 19% of Leave voters), ensuring British consumers keep at least the same protections and standards as those in the EU (33% vs 19%), and ensuring British workers keep at least the same employment rights as those in the EU (31% vs 18%).

How important is it for the UK and the EU to maintain good relations with each other?

  • Britons think it is important for the UK to maintain a good relationship with the EU (88% say this is very or fairly important), and for the EU to maintain a good relationship to maintain a good relationship with the EU (86%).
  • Britons are slightly more likely to think it is very important for the UK to maintain good relations with the EU than the other way round (53% vs 46%).
  • Both Leavers (84% and 88% respectively) and Remainers (96% and 91%) think it is important for the UK to maintain good relations with the EU, and the EU to maintain good relations with the UK.  In both cases, Remainers are much more likely to think it is very important to keep relations positive (76% vs 35% of Leavers for the UK, and 39% vs 39% for the EU).

Kelly Beaver, Managing Director of Public Affairs at Ipsos MORI, said:

The UK’s exit from the EU may have happened over a year ago, but the final look of our relationship with the EU isn’t yet determined. Our latest findings show too that while there is consensus among those who voted Leave and Remain in 2016 in prioritising trade, the other priorities aren’t as clear cut across the two groups, showing that there’s a difficult path to walk for the Government moving forward in our relationship with the European Union if they try to please all of the people all of the time.

Paul Adamson, Chairman of the EU|Forum and Founder of Encompass said:

Irrespective of how people voted in the referendum there is widespread agreement that there are many issues still to be addressed in the EU-UK relationship and that Brexit is far from done. To that end, there is a very wide consensus that the UK and the EU should maintain good relations with each other in the future.

(Ipsos MORI)

6 July 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/trade-britons-top-priority-future-relationship-eu

 

698-43-11/Poll

41% Of Britons Say Double-Jabbed People Should Self-Isolate

Labour voters are more likely than Conservative supporters to say fully vaccinated people should self-isolate if they come into contact with someone who has coronavirus 

Secretary of State for Health and Social Care, Sajid Javid, today announced that, from 16 August, people who have had both doses of the coronavirus vaccine will not have to isolate after coming into close contact with someone who tests positive. But YouGov polling shows that the public are divided on the move.  

Some 41% of Britons say double-jabbed people should self-isolate, while 40% say they should not. Another 18% are uncertain.  

While these opinions vary little across age groups, they do differ across the political spectrum. While over a third (37%) of Conservative voters say the vaccinated people should self-isolate, nearly half (48%) believe they should not. It is almost a mirror image when it comes to Labour supporters, with 48% wanting fully vaccinated people to continue with quarantining while one in three (34%) do not.  

The polling also shows that one in five Britons (18%) have either been asked or taken it upon themselves to self-isolate after coming into contact with someone who tested positive for coronavirus. The figure includes one in twenty (5%) who have had to do so more than once.  

Young people are the most likely to have self-isolated. Among 18-to-24-year-olds, a quarter (25%) have done it once, while another one in eight (12%) have had to do it at least twice.  

In contrast, 9% of people aged 65 and over have had to self-isolate, including 1% who had to do it more than once.  

(YouGov UK)

July 06, 2021

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/health/articles-reports/2021/07/06/britons-are-split-whether-double-jabbed-people-sho

 

698-43-12/Poll

Britons Becoming Increasingly Comfortable Returning To Normality, But Around 4 In 10 Still Unhappy With Hugs, Handshakes And Holidays Abroad

New polling by Ipsos MORI shows more Britons are feeling comfortable* doing many activities in the same way as before the coronavirus outbreak.  There have been significant increases in those happy to take holidays abroad (+10ppt), going to bars and restaurants (+5ppt) and going to indoor theatres and cinemas (+5ppt), since last polled in May. However, with the Delta variant working its way through schools, it may come as no surprise that the number of parents who feel comfortable sending their children to school has fallen (-7ppt). 

Thinking about how things will be once restrictions are lifted, three-quarters (76%) say they will feel comfortable taking holidays in the UK in the same way as they did before the pandemic, up 3ppt since May. In comparison, less than half feel comfortable taking holidays abroad, 44% say they are comfortable or already back to normal. However, this has seen the biggest increase since the question was asked in May, when 34% were comfortable or back to normal.  

Comfort of returning to "normality"Three-quarters of parents are happy to send their children to school (75%), however, this has fallen by 7ppt since May. Mothers are significantly more comfortable, 82% say they are happy to send their children to school or are already doing it as normal, only 67% of fathers say the same. 

Seven in ten would be comfortable staying overnight in the house of a friend/family member in the same way as they did before the pandemic, while a similar proportion (68%) feel happy  to let people come into their own home to work (i.e. nannies/cleaners). 

Around two-thirds say they are comfortable going to bars and restaurants (67%), an increase of 5ppt since May. Similarly, 65% would be happy to visit an indoor museum or exhibition. A majority of people feel comfortable going to indoor cinemas or theatres (56%), up from 51% two months ago.

While more become comfortable with the idea, many remain cautious of visiting indoor pools, gyms and leisure centres, less than half would be happy visiting these (46%), while a third (33%) say they would not. Large public gatherings also appear to remain a cause for concern, 42% would be happy to attend or are already doing so as normal, while the same proportion would be unhappy doing so. 

Comfort of returning to "normality"Just over half are comfortable using public transport as they did before the pandemic began (55%) while around a third (31%) remain cautious of doing so. 

Opinion is largely split concerning greeting people with hugs or handshakes. Just under half (47%) say they are comfortable doing this in the same way as before the outbreak of COVID-19 with a further 7% doing so already. However, 4 in 10 (40%) are uncomfortable doing this as normal, increasing to 48% of those aged 55-75.

(Ipsos MORI)

9 July 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/britons-becoming-increasingly-comfortable-returning-normality-around-4-10-still-unhappy-hugs

 

698-43-13/Poll                              

42 Percent Of Germans Say That The US Is Generally A Friend And Ally Of Germany

Since the change of government in the USA in January 2021, Germans' view of relations with the United States has changed: Currently, 42 percent of Germans say that the US is generally a friend and ally of Germany. At the time of Donald Trump's US presidency, this was 23 percent less (19 percent). The statement that the United States is generally not friendly towards Germany currently only applies to 11 percent of all respondents; during Donald Trump's reign it was 27 percent.

USA as a friend & ally

ACCORDING TO THE MAJORITY OF GERMANS, GERMANY'S RELATIONSHIP WITH THE UNITED STATES HAS IMPROVED SINCE BIDEN'S PRESIDENCY

Since Joe Biden became the incumbent President of the United States of America, two out of three Germans (66 percent) believe that the relationship between Germany and the United States has improved, for 19 percent it has remained unchanged. 6 percent say the relationship has worsened.

Relations with the US have improved

A QUARTER EACH SEE RUSSIA AND CHINA AS MORE OF A THREAT

Relations with China and Russia, in contrast to relations with the USA, are not assessed as positive. Only 4 percent of the German respondents say that China is a friend and ally, compared to only 6 percent of Russia.

35 percent of Germans tend to think that Russia is generally not friendly towards Germany, almost a quarter (23 percent) even say that Russia is a threat to the Federal Republic. The situation is similar when it comes to assessing the relationship with China: 27 percent of Germans say the People's Republic is not friendly towards Germany, and 24 percent see China as a threat.

China and Russia are more of a threat

 

(YouGov Germany)
July 7, 2021

Source: https://yougov.de/news/2021/07/07/blick-auf-die-usa-als-freund-verbundeter-heute-bes/

 

NORTH AMERICA

698-43-14/Poll

41% Of Catholic Congregations In The Database Heard At Least One Sermon Mentioning The Election, Compared With 63% Of Both Mainline Protestant

Religious belief is key to many Americans’ political identities, but the public is divided on whether clergy should preach about politics from the pulpit. So, when pastors across the country addressed their flocks last fall, how did they discuss an election that many Americans viewed as historically important?

Two-thirds of congregations heard at least one sermon mentioning the election during fall of 2020

A new Pew Research Center analysis finds that among churches that posted their sermons, homilies or worship services online between Aug. 31 and Nov. 8, 2020, two-thirds posted at least one message from the pulpit mentioning the election. But these rates varied considerably among the four major Christian groups included in the analysis: 41% of Catholic congregations in the database heard at least one sermon mentioning the election, compared with 63% of both mainline Protestant and historically Black Protestant congregations and 71% of evangelical Protestant congregations.

Definitions and analytic frames used in this report

U.S. churches vary widely in the structure of their services and how much of those services they post online. Some post just the sermon. Others post the sermon and part of the service. Still others post the entire service. In many cases, the beginning and end of a sermon are not clearly labeled in the text, audio or video files on a church’s website. As a result, the automated tools used for this analysis cannot isolate sermons from other elements of religious services with precision.

In this report, an “online sermon” refers to a portion of a religious service posted on a church website that contains a commentary from the pulpit but sometimes may include other parts of the service as well.

This report also uses two different frames for comparison, depending on the focus of the analysis. Some findings are based on the share of all sermons that have certain characteristics (e.g., “28% of sermons delivered during the study period referenced the election”). Other findings are based on the share of all congregations that heard discussion of a topic in any of their sermons (e.g., “67% of all congregations heard at least one sermon mentioning the election during the study period”).

Moreover, the content of the messages tended to differ. Roughly half of all evangelical Protestant sermons mentioning the election discussed specific issues, parties or candidates (48%), the highest share among the four major Christian groups. And, in discussing the election, evangelical pastors tended to employ language related to evil and punishment at a greater rate, using words and phrases such as “Satan” or “hell” at least twice as often as other clergy did. Evangelical pastors also were more likely to use the phrase “pray [for our] president” when discussing the election.

By contrast, historically Black Protestant pastors were by far the most likely to encourage voting and voter turnout: 43% of historically Black Protestant sermons mentioning the election either explicitly encouraged voting or discussed the election in a manner that assumed listeners would vote, roughly double the share of any other group. And when historically Black Protestant pastors discussed the election, they tended to use words or phrases related to voting or voter rights – such as “suppress[ion],” “early voting” and “register [to] vote” – more often than pastors from other groups.

Although most congregations posted at least one sermon mentioning the election at some point during the study period, relatively few pastors openly stumped for particular candidates or parties. Indeed, explicit endorsements from the pulpit were rare enough that researchers could not develop a machine learning model that would reliably identify such language across all sermons in the database. However, in a sample of 535 sermons mentioning the election that researchers examined while attempting to train such a model, 61 seemed clearly to favor either Republicans or Democrats, even if they did not mention parties or candidates by name.

Pastors also discussed other prominent issues during the period. About eight-in-ten congregations in the database (83%) heard at least one sermon touching on the COVID-19 pandemic, while 44% heard at least one reference to racism in America. Catholic congregations stood out as the least likely to mention any of the topics analyzed in this study during the services or homilies they shared online.

In discussing racism in America, evangelical pastors disproportionately used oblique phrases such as “racial tension.” Meanwhile, clergy in mainline Protestant and historically Black Protestant congregations tended to discuss this issue using more direct terms like “anti-racism” and “White supremacist.”

These are among the main findings of an analysis of 12,832 sermons, homilies or full services delivered to 2,143 American congregations between Aug. 30 and Nov. 8, 2020 – a period when many congregations were streaming their services online due to the COVID-19 pandemic. This study builds on an earlier Center report, which examined sermons shared online in mid-2019.

It is important to note that the sermons included in this dataset are not necessarily representative of the messages delivered in all U.S. religious congregations, for a variety of reasons. First, this analysis focuses on Christian churches and does not include other religious traditions. Moreover, not all Christian churches make their sermons publicly available online – and those that do place their sermons online may choose selectively, posting some but not others. Nonetheless, the sermons database provides a window into what churchgoing Americans heard in the pews – physical or virtual – during a historic moment in American civic life.

A majority of churches shared or livestreamed sermons discussing the election and COVID-19 pandemic during the fall of 2020

The 2020 election, the COVID-19 pandemic and nationwide protests over systemic racism and police violence against Black Americans dominated news cycles in the latter half of 2020. This analysis finds that they featured prominently in U.S. sermons as well. (See the Center’s topic pages for more on the 2020 election and the COVID-19 pandemic.)

During the fall of 2020, most congregations heard sermons mentioning the election and COVID-19 pandemic

A majority of congregations included in this study heard at least one sermon mentioning the COVID-19 pandemic (83%) or the 2020 election (67%). And a substantial minority of congregations (44%) heard at least some discussion of racism in America. Still, pastors of different religious traditions discussed each topic at different rates.

For instance, mainline Protestant and historically Black Protestant congregations were more likely than evangelical Protestant or Catholic congregations to hear discussion of racism from the pulpit during this time period. Conversely, evangelical churchgoers were the most likely to hear discussion of the election.

Catholic priests were consistently the least likely to mention any of these three issues in their sermons, homilies or services shared online. Fewer than half of Catholic congregations in the database heard a single mention of the election (41%) or racism (32%) during the 10-week study period. And although 69% of Catholic congregations heard at least one mention of the pandemic, congregations belonging to the other three major Christian traditions were at least 10 percentage points more likely to hear messages from the pulpit about the coronavirus.

Pastors often mentioned these topics multiple times in the same sermon

To better understand how heavily pastors focused on each topic, researchers broke each sermon down into smaller segments of 250 words each (the median sermon in this collection had 26 such segments, and a segment of that length often occupied one to two minutes of speaking time). The research team then used a combination of labeling by human coders and statistical modeling to determine how many of these individual segments mentioned the three major topics examined in this study.

Sermons mentioning the pandemic often did so multiple times

Using a similar technique on a set of sermons delivered in the spring of 2019, the Center found that when pastors discussed abortion, they tended to do so only glancingly. Just one-quarter of all sermons that mentioned abortion did so in more than one 250-word segment.

In contrast, pastors tended to mention the topics examined in this study with greater regularity. Some 35% of sermons where the pastor discussed racism – and 46% of those that mentioned the election – did so in at least two separate 250-word segments.

Pastors were particularly likely to discuss the COVID-19 pandemic at some length: 51% of sermons mentioning this topic included references to the pandemic in two or more 250-word segments. And certain groups were especially likely to make the pandemic a recurring theme in their services. Some 56% of sermons by pastors in mainline Protestant churches that mentioned the pandemic (and 63% of those by pastors in historically Black Protestant churches) did so at least twice.

Nearly half of election-related sermons discussed specific issues, candidates or parties; one-in-five encouraged voting

Researchers also assessed what share of sermons discussing the election encouraged listeners to vote, as well as what share discussed specific issues, candidates or political parties. (The Supreme Court, abortion or taxes would all be examples of an issue). Among the 28% of sermons that discussed the election, roughly half (46%) discussed specific issues, parties or political candidates while 20% encouraged listeners to vote. (For more on how we identified these topics, see the Methodology.) Translated to the congregational level, this means that 23% of all congregations in the database heard at least one sermon during the fall of 2020 encouraging them to vote, while 43% heard at least one discussing parties, issues or candidates.

Researchers also attempted to identify instances in which pastors openly encouraged their congregants to vote for a specific party or candidate. However, such explicit admonitions were rare and, as a result, the Center was unable to systematically identify them across the database. But among a sample of 535 segments of sermons that discussed the election, researchers labeled 35 as advocating for Republicans and 26 as advocating for Democrats. This included some cases in which pastors named a candidate or party as well as cases in which they advocated a clearly partisan array of policy positions.

Predictably, political discussions reached a crescendo during the week of the election. Although 28% of all sermons delivered over the entirety of the study period mentioned the election in some way, that share rose to 49% of all sermons delivered in the first week of November – including 61% of sermons given that week in historically Black Protestant congregations. Also, it appears that sermons mentioning the election were, on the whole, as likely as other sermons to have some scriptural framing. Fully 96% of all sermons that touched on the election mentioned at least one book of the Bible by name, compared with 95% of sermons that did not mention the election.

Different Christian groups used distinctive terminology when discussing the election

To better understand the tenor of what congregants heard in sermons during the fall of 2020, researchers analyzed the words that pastors of each group used most disproportionately – relative to other Christian groups – when discussing topics such as the election. In discussing the election, evangelical pastors were disproportionately likely to use the words “Satan” and “hell,” while historically Black Protestant pastors focused heavily on voter turnout and registration.

To conduct this analysis, the research team first identified all the 250-word segments from a given Christian group that discussed a topic – for instance, all segments of evangelical Protestant sermons that mentioned the election.

Next, we calculated the share of those segments that used a certain word or phrase. Finally, we calculated that same value for all the sermon segments of other groups that discussed the same topic, and we divided the former by the latter. This statistic represents how many times more often a word or phrase appears when pastors in one Christian tradition discuss a topic relative to when pastors in the other Christian traditions discuss that same topic. Common conjunctions, prepositions and articles (such as and, but, of, in, to, from, a, the) were removed for this analysis, and many words were reduced to their roots. For example, the words “election” and “elected” would be reduced to “elect-.” In performing this analysis, researchers also removed any words or phrases used in fewer than 1% of all segments.

While the preceding section of this report examined the prevalence of broad topics within sermons as a whole, this analysis focuses on the short (250-word) segments of sermons that contain pertinent mentions of those topics. This focus is necessary because most Christian services contain core elements – such as traditional prayers, a reading from scripture or the giving of communion – that are far more statistically distinct from other groups’ services than any differences in how they discuss a topic like politics. Focusing on the short segments that mention the election removed many of these liturgical elements, allowing other differences to become apparent.

When discussing election, evangelical pastors disproportionately mentioned ‘hell’ and ‘Satan’; pastors in historically Black churches more likely than others to urge voting

When pastors in evangelical Protestant congregations discussed the election, they disproportionately used phrases related to prayer and to forces of evil. Six of the 10 most distinctive terms in their sermons included the word “pray,” including variations of the phrase “pray … president” such as “pray for our president” or “pray for the president.” Sermons in evangelical congregations also disproportionately used terms such as “Satan” or “hell” when discussing the election.

It is important to note that even though these terms were distinctive to evangelical sermons mentioning the election, they were not especially common in evangelical sermons. The 10 most distinctive terms in evangelical sermons discussing the election were all used in fewer than 5% of segments discussing the election.

Clergy in evangelical and historically Black Protestant churches used different language than other groups when discussing the electionBy contrast, historically Black Protestant pastors disproportionately used words related to voter suppression, registration and turnout. The word “suppress” (along with common variants such as “suppressed” or “suppression”) was the single most distinctive term used by pastors in historically Black Protestant churches when discussing the election. They also urged their congregations to vote, using words and phrases like “early voting,” “mail” and “register … vote.” Further, some of these phrases were fairly common. For instance, historically Black protestant pastors used the word “register” in 10% of segments that mentioned the election.

Catholic and mainline Protestant sermons touching on the election, by comparison, were primarily distinguished by language related to their respective religious practices – for instance, “Mass,” “bishop” and the word “Catholic” in Catholic sermons, and “communion” in mainline Protestant sermons. This indicates that although these groups may have used some distinguishing language in discussing the election, that language was less distinctive than the usual hallmarks of a Catholic or mainline Protestant service.

Direct quotes from sermons discussing politics and the 2020 election

“We also established that anytime we endeavor to rebuild like the Israelites, we will discover that we will face opposition. For them, opposition came in the form of a Samaritan named Sanballat and others like Tobiah, who tried to keep them from rebuilding. For us, opposition comes in the form of voter suppression, voter intimidation, systemic injustice and a president whose tyrannical leadership chips away at our democracy on a daily basis.” – Historically Black Protestant sermon

“If all lives matter and individual lives matter, then there’s no such thing as being pro-abortion, no such thing as being pro racism, or ignoring human trafficking, or discrimination or prejudice. Those are the things that, if all lives matter, should be our priority, right? Therefore, I would encourage everyone: You need to vote biblical morality and values, if all life matters.” – Evangelical Protestant sermon

“Perhaps, then, today we need to look beyond the chaos of Tuesday’s election and settle instead on the overreaching truth of our lives on Earth. That is what St. Paul told the Thessalonians: ‘Thus we shall always be with the Lord. Therefore, console one another with these words.’ So dead or alive, we are always with the Lord in the Gospel. Today, we are reminded to be ready for anything in life, to be a people prepared not only to deal with the pandemic and a messed up presidential election, but to remember that we are to follow on the path of those wise virgins. To have not only our own lamps lit, but to have extra oil with us just in case. Like it or not, we need to be prepared to meet the Lord when he does call us home.” – Catholic sermon

“We simplify everything as if all these complex issues could be boiled down into a right and a wrong. It’s preposterous. And then we define each other by these absurd categories that we have created, and what happens is, we don’t know each other anymore. We’re defined by labels instead of seeing each other as human beings, and we stop listening. And that, my friends, can get very dangerous as this election approaches. If we define each other solely by our politics and our slogans and our words, we cease to listen to one another, and we are in danger of becoming just like the scribes and the elders and the Pharisees. So I ask you: Don’t give me any words. I don’t want to hear a slogan. But do tell me this: Do you serve the less fortunate than you? Do you take time out of your life to help those in need, to do something that is solely not for you, but for someone else?” – Mainline Protestant sermon

Quotations have been lightly edited for readability.

In discussing racism in America, mainline Protestant clergy urged anti-racism, while clergy in historically Black Protestant churches discussed voting and White supremacy

These groups also used distinctive language to discuss racism in America. Pastors in mainline and historically Black Protestant congregations tended to address racism and racial justice directly. For instance, the most distinctive terms used by mainline Protestant pastors included “supremacy” and “anti-racism,” and the most distinctive terms used by Black Protestant clergy included phrases like “White supremacist” and “Black community.”

Evangelical pastors, by comparison, often used more oblique language to describe racism. Terms such as “tension” and “racial tension” are among the most distinctive terms in evangelical sermons mentioning racism in America. Evangelicals also used terms like “police officer,” “crime” and “convict” about three times as often as other pastors when discussing racism.

In discussing racism, mainline and historically Black Protestant sermons were more likely to mention anti-racism and White supremacy

Catholic sermons were once again distinguished by words common to Catholic homilies or services such as “[Pope] Francis” or “Bishop.” For a full list of each group’s most distinctive terms, see Appendix B.

(PEW)

JULY 8, 2021

Source: https://www.pewforum.org/2021/07/08/pastors-often-discussed-election-pandemic-and-racism-in-fall-of-2020/

 

AUSTRALIA

698-43-15/Poll

8.88 Million Australians Aged 14+ (42%) Used Public Transport During The March Quarter 2021

The low in usage of public transport was reached during Melbourne’s long second lockdown and when there were significant restrictions on people’s movement in Sydney due to the outbreak of COVID-19 centred on the Crossroads Hotel.

Despite the back-to-back quarterly increases, public transport usage in the March quarter 2021 was still down by almost 3 million people (a decline of 24.7%) on its pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels when 11.8 million people used public transport in the December quarter 2019.

In the March quarter 2021 trains regained their usual spot as the most popular form of public transport used by 6.2 million (29.3%) of Australians ahead of buses used by 5.48 million (25.9%). Over 2.47 million (11.7%) travelled on trams and just over 1.06 million (5%) travelled on ferries or rivercats.

This new data comes from Roy Morgan Single Source, Australia’s most comprehensive consumer survey, derived from in-depth interviews with over 50,000 Australians each year.

Public transport use in Australia from 2016 – 2021

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2021/july/8752-public-transport.png?la=en

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source, January 2016 – March 2021, quarterly average sample n = 13,260. Base: Australians aged 14+.

Trains are the leading form of transport in Sydney, Melbourne & Perth, but buses are the most highly used in Brisbane, Adelaide, Hobart & Canberra – patronage up strongly in 2021

Analysing the results for Australia’s Capital Cities shows trains are the leading form of transport in Sydney (49.9% travelled by train in the March quarter 2021), Melbourne (36.6%) and Perth (37.6%).

These figures represent increases from the lows of the September quarter 2020 when only 40.1% of Sydneysiders and 20.8% of Melburnians travelled by train. The lowest patronage of trains for residents of Perth was in the June quarter 2020 when less than a third, 29.2%, did so.

There was also high patronage of buses in these cities with 39.4% of Sydney residents, 33.8% of Perth residents and 22.6% of Melburnians travelling by bus in the March quarter 2021.

Buses remained the leading form of public transport in other Australian capitals including Brisbane (29.9% travelled by bus in the March quarter 2021), Adelaide (28.2%), Canberra (25.7%) and Hobart (17.9%).

Patronage of Melbourne’s trams also increased strongly during early 2021 with 27% of Melburnians travelling by tram in the March quarter 2021 up from a low of 15.6% in the September quarter 2020. However, these figures are still well down on tram usage pre-pandemic during 2019 when over 40% of Melburnians travelled by tram in an average three months.

Travelling by ferry/ rivercat is far more popular in Sydney (9.2%) and Brisbane (8.7%) than other cities although usage in both was well down on the pre-pandemic usage during 2019 when 16.1% travelled by ferry/ rivercat in Sydney and 12.2% did so in Brisbane.

Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine says Australians were returning to public transport early in 2021 as restrictions were lifted but the latest outbreaks of COVID-19 and lockdowns of Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Perth and Darwin will slow the return to the office:

“Public transport usage in Australia continued to recover in the early months of 2021 with restrictions easing around the country and authorities eager to encourage people to return to the office – particularly in the CBDs of the major cities. (Roy Morgan has closely tracked the movement of people during the COVID-19 pandemic via a partnership with UberMedia – more details on how Australians are moving around their cities is available here.)

“In the March quarter 2021 nearly 8.9 million Australians (42%) travelled by public transport including trains, buses, trams and ferries/ rivercats. This was up 2 million from a low of only 6.9 million (32.6%) in the September quarter 2020.

“Despite the increase since late 2020, public transport usage was still down by around a quarter (down 24.7%) from the pre-pandemic period when 11.8 million Australians (56.3%) travelled by trains, buses, trams and ferries/ rivercats in the December quarter of 2019.

“The recovery in public transport usage will be tested by the recent lockdowns around Australia. Since late May there have been five Australian cities placed into lockdown and the current Sydney-wide lockdown (of at least three weeks) is now the longest since Melbourne’s nearly four month long second-lockdown ended in late October 2020.

“The path to an end to lockdowns and a return to a ‘COVID-normal’ was laid out last week after a meeting of national cabinet and requires vaccination rates to reach an unspecified level providing so-called ‘herd immunity’ – estimated to be around 80% of the adult population.

“Australia’s vaccine rollout has been widely criticised for dropping behind comparable countries overseas and at the current pace the threshold of ‘herd immunity’ is expected to be reached only in early 2022 which suggests public transport usage will not approach the pre-pandemic levels until well into next year.”

(Roy Morgan)

July 09 2021

Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/8752-public-transport-patrongage-in-the-timate-of-a-pandemic-july-2021-202107090246

 

698-43-16/Poll

Inflation Expectations Increase To 4% In June, Highest Since March 2020 And Up 0.8% Points From Record Low Of 3.2%

In June 2021 Australians expected inflation of 4% annually over the next two years, up 0.3% and the highest Inflation Expectations since the pandemic began. Inflation Expectations are now 0.8% higher than they were a year ago – the biggest year-over-year increase since the series began in 2010.

Inflation Expectations are still 0.7% points below their long-term average of 4.7% but are now 0.5% points higher than the 2020 monthly average of 3.5%.

A look at Inflation Expectations by socio-economic quintile shows a strong co-relation between the two. Australians in the highest ‘AB Quintile’ have the lowest Inflation Expectations at only 3.4% in June, representing an increase of 1.3% points on a year ago – a larger increase than any other socio-economic quintile.

Inflation Expectations are progressively higher for each subsequent socio-economic quintile including 3.7% (up 0.5% points) for the ‘C Quintile’, 3.9% (up 0.8% points) for the ‘D Quintile’, 4.4% (up 1.1% points) for the ‘E Quintile’ and are highest of all for the ‘FG Quintile’ at 4.8% (up 0.6% points).

The socio-economic quintiles* rank all respondents by considering their education level as well as the income and occupation of the respondent if they’re a full-time worker. See below for further details on how the socio-economic quintiles of the population are calculated.

Inflation Expectations by Socio-Economic Quintile: June 2020 cf. June 2021
https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2021/july/8741-inflation-expectations-by-socio-economic-quintile-june-2020.png?la=en

Source: Roy Morgan Single Source: June 2020, n=5,767; June 2021, n=6,064. Base: Australians aged 14+.

Inflation Expectations are now highest in Tasmania and lowest in South Australia

On a State-based level Inflation Expectations are now highest in Tasmania at 4.3%, an increase of 0.6% points from May. In addition, Inflation Expectations are slightly higher than the national average in both NSW at 4.1% (up 0.3% points) and Queensland at 4.1% (up 0.3% points).

Inflation Expectations in Victoria are in line with the national average at 4.0% (up 0.4% points since May) and Western Australia at 4.0% (up 0.6% points) while South Australia now has the lowest Inflation Expectations at 3.7%, down by 0.3% points.

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating for June was at 111.4, an increase of 15.1pts (+15.7%) from June 2020 a year ago. Since then Consumer Confidence has been hit by the short lockdowns in Brisbane, Perth and Darwin and by the extended lockdown in Sydney and in the first week of July dropped to 107.8 – its lowest for three months since early April.

Inflation Expectations Index long-term trend – Expected Annual Inflation in next 2 years

https://www.roymorgan.com/~/media/files/morgan%20poll/2020s/2021/july/8741-inflation-expectations-index-long-term-trend--expected-annual-inflation-in-next-2-years-june-2021.png?la=enSource: Roy Morgan Single Source: Interviewing an average of 4,500 Australians aged 14+ per month (April 2010 – June 2021). 

See below for a comprehensive list of RBA interest rate changes during the time-period charted above.

Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine says Inflation Expectations have increased to 4% in June – the highest they’ve been since the pandemic began in March 2020 – but the extended lockdown in Sydney risks derailing the economic recovery the longer it continues:

“Inflation Expectations increased by 0.3% points to 4% in June and are now up 0.8% points from a the low-point of June 2020 (3.2%) just as Victoria faced an increase in daily cases of COVID-19 that eventually led to the State being put into lockdown for nearly four months. 

“A year later there is a similar dynamic at play with a widening outbreak of COVID-19 in Sydney however there are several key differences this time around. The most important difference is that Sydney has already entered a lockdown in late June whereas the lockdown in Victoria did not occur until there were well over 100 cases per day within the community. 

“The second key difference is that the vaccine rollout has begun and although slower than many would have hoped over 9 million vaccine doses have been administered covering around a third of the population. In the key demographics over 70% of Australians aged 70+ have received a vaccine dose and over 55% of people aged 50+ have received a vaccine dose. 

“The increasing rate of vaccination in the most vulnerable populations suggest the current NSW outbreak should not cause the same level of harm and suffering as Victoria’s outbreak a year ago although the economic impact will continue to mount the longer the lockdown goes on. 

“Inflation Expectations are a key indicator of economic health and the large increase from a year ago shows the economy is on much firmer footing than during the middle of 2020. Over the year to March 2021 the ABS GDP figures show the economy grew by 1.1% compared to a year ago – one of the few OECD economies to grow during the first year of the pandemic. 

“On a more granular level the Inflation Expectations of Australians across the socio-economic spectrum have all increased strongly from a year ago – with the largest increase for those in the top ‘AB Quintile’ – up 1.3% points to 3.4%. 

“However, although the ‘AB Quintile’ has seen the biggest increase Inflation Expectations are progressively higher the lower down the socio-economic ladder one goes. Those in the lowest ‘FG Quintile’ expect prices to rise by an average of 4.8% per year over the next two years indicating that as the economy recovers there is a danger of pricing pressures hitting consumers. 

“One of the most sensitive prices most Australians keep an eye on is the price of petrol at the pump which has been rising quickly over recent months. The latest figures on petrol prices released by the NRMA show the average price of petrol around $1.60 a litre or higher in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Perth last week – and set to continue higher in the next few months if the Australian Dollar continues to fall. 

“Keeping an eye on the direction of Inflation Expectations allows policy-makers to understand how the underlying dynamics in the economy are impacting on consumers and whether concerns about the prices of goods and services are being felt by the average Australian.”

The data for the Inflation Expectations series is drawn from the Roy Morgan Single Source which has interviewed an average of 4,500 Australians aged 14+ per month over the last decade from April 2010 – June 2021 and includes interviews with 6,064 Australians aged 14+ in June 2021.

The Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Report – Including Inflation Expectations

To learn more about the trends for Inflation Expectations as well as Consumer Confidence for different segments and demographics throughout the Australian community, purchase the Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Monthly Report.

The questions used to calculate the Monthly Roy Morgan Inflation Expectations Index.

1) Prices: “During the next 2 years, do you think that prices in general will go up, or go down, or stay where they are now?”


2a) If stay where they are now: “Do you mean that prices will go up at the same rate as now or that prices in general will not go up during the next 2 years?


2b) If go up or go down: “By about what per cent per year do you expect prices to (go upgo downon average during the next 2 years?”


3) “Would that be (x%) per year, or is that the total for prices over the next 2 years?”

The Roy Morgan Inflation Expectations Index is a forward looking indicator unlike the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and is based on continuous (weekly) measurement, and monthly reporting. The Roy Morgan Inflation Expectations Index is current and relevant.

Monthly Roy Morgan Inflation Expectations Index (2010 – 2021)

Year

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Yearly

Average

2010

n/a

n/a

n/a

5.9

5.8

5.5

5.6

5.4

5.5

5.8

5.6

5.8

5.7

2011

6.6

6.4

6.4

6.2

6.1

6.2

6.1

5.8

5.7

5.8

5.5

5.5

6.0

2012

5.4

5.5

5.9

5.9

6.0

6.2

5.9

5.9

5.8

5.7

5.6

5.4

5.8

2013

5.2

5.1

5.3

4.9

5.2

4.9

5.3

5.0

4.8

4.9

4.8

5.0

5.0

2014

5.1

5.2

5.2

5.1

5.1

5.3

5.0

4.8

5.0

4.8

4.9

4.4

5.0

2015

4.4

4.3

4.5

4.5

4.2

4.4

4.4

4.5

4.5

4.2

4.4

4.5

4.5

2016

4.3

4.2

4.2

4.2

4.0

4.0

4.1

3.9

4.1

4.1

3.9

4.2

4.1

2017

4.5

4.4

4.4

4.4

4.3

4.2

4.3

4.5

4.4

4.5

4.5

4.5

4.4

2018

4.5

4.4

4.3

4.5

4.3

4.5

4.3

4.3

4.3

4.5

4.3

4.2

4.4

2019

4.2

4.0

4.0

3.7

4.1

3.8

4.1

3.9

4.0

4.1

3.9

4.0

4.0

2020

3.9

4.0

4.0

3.6

3.3

3.2

3.4

3.2

3.3

3.5

3.4

3.6

3.5

2021

3.6

3.7

3.8

3.7

3.7

4.0

3.8

Monthly
Average

4.7

4.8

4.7

4.7

4.7

4.7

4.8

4.7

4.7

4.7

4.7

4.6

4.7

Overall Roy Morgan Inflation Expectations Average: 4.7

RBA interest rates changes during the time period measured: 2010-2020.

(Roy Morgan)

July 11 2021

Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/8741-australian-inflation-expectations-june-2021-202107112344

 

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

698-43-17/Poll

Morocco And Libya Are Top Two Countries In Mena In Terms Of Vaccine Acceptance, 77 And 70 Percent

MENA countries have differed substantially in their reaction and response to the COVID-19 pandemic. A regional comparison shows richer countries administering larger quantities of vaccines, relative to their population, than the non-oil exporting countries. Arab Barometer’s Wave VI, which concluded its third survey in March-April 2021, has revealed another troubling trend: vaccine hesitancy among large swaths of the MENA population. Among the seven countries surveyed, majorities in Algeria, Iraq, Jordan, and Tunisia reported they were “somewhat” or “very” unlikely to receive a free vaccine. Only Lebanon, Libya, and Morocco reported majorities in favor of vaccination. These high levels of hesitancy may undermine societal and economic recovery, and without widespread acceptance, public inoculation efforts will stall, thereby risking a prolonged COVID crisis.

https://www.arabbarometer.org/wp-content/uploads/Q13COVID19.png

https://www.arabbarometer.org/wp-content/uploads/Q13COVID19-vaccine-hesitancy.png

One explanation for these results could be that low trust in government corresponds with lower acceptances of vaccines. After all, government response has been the center of public perception and debate throughout the pandemic. To assess this relationship, I studied two questions from Wave VI that recorded responses during the initial phases of vaccine rollouts. The first asked about trust in government and the second asks how the likelihood of getting vaccinated. On the face of it, high levels of public trust do appear to correlate with high levels of vaccine acceptance. The top two countries in terms of government trust- Morocco at 48 percent and Libya at 44 percent- are also the top two countries in terms of vaccine acceptance, 77 and 70 percent, respectively. As Salma al-Shami recently noted, the Moroccan government is among the best performers in the region when it comes to the overall public response to COVID. At the time of the survey, 10 percent of Moroccan respondents reported already receiving at least one dose of a COVID vaccine. Lebanon, however, bucks the trend with 4 percent trust in government and 65 percent willing to get a vaccine. Similarly, the difference between reported trust in government in Libya (44 percent) and in Jordan (43 percent) cannot account for a nearly thirty point disparity in vaccine acceptance. The results of a straight comparison between these two variables does not explain why some countries are willing to sign up for vaccines in large numbers and others are not.

Interpreting levels of trust in government does require analyzing local trends and contexts. In this post, Abdul-Wahab Kayyali argues that two possibilities need to be considered: first, some respondents overreport their support as a byproduct of an oppressive political environment; and second, levels of trust need to be analyzed in their country-specific context without comparison. In comparison with Wave V, the governments of Iraq, Jordan, Libya, and Morocco recorded higher levels of trust in the first survey of the pandemic. Since that initial survey, however, regional trust has uniformly dipped or dropped. Thus, relative comparisons between MENA countries must account for an initial bump in trust in 2020, followed by a decline in 2021.

Yet disaggregating respondents’ level of education and gender from these results does produce two generalizable findings. First, higher levels of education correlate with lower trust in government, while tending toward higher, and more prominent, support for vaccines. In all countries, respondents with a maximum of a secondary education reported higher trust in government than those with higher levels of education (university or above), except in Libya where both levels are tied at 44 percent. In Morocco, Libya, and Iraq, higher education does not corelate with a larger likelihood to get a vaccine. However, in Lebanon, Jordan, and Tunisia, higher education attainers reported double digit differences with secondary education recipients, reaching as much as a 22 percent difference in Lebanon.

Second, and perhaps most startling, male respondents are reportedly more likely to receive a vaccine than women. Moroccan women, with a supermajority of 82 percent, appear to be the most likely group to be vaccinated by gender and country, but outside this exception (and in Lebanon where the genders are evenly split), men are more likely to accept a vaccine by 2-7% depending on the country. These responses are consistent with results from an Austrian surveya French survey, and an Israeli survey that show women are initially less willing to accept vaccines than men. A survey of ten developed nations describes this as “COVID’s Gender Paradox” that although women tend to be more compliant with preventative protocols, they “agree less than men to be vaccinated and to make vaccination compulsory.” The latest wave 6 results show that women across the MENA region tend to be more trusting of government by 3-11 percent depending on the country, except in Libya, where men report more trust, and Lebanon, where results are tied. Further analysis is needed, but this gendered analysis reveals an initial apprehension of women to vaccines despite their trust in government.

https://www.arabbarometer.org/wp-content/uploads/Q13COVID19_gender_Comparative.png

https://www.arabbarometer.org/wp-content/uploads/Q13COVID19_education_Comparative.png

Clearly, based on these results, many MENA citizens were initially skeptical of COVID vaccines. While trust in government throughout the region is low and declining, mistrust in government does not appear to drive mistrust in vaccines. This raises the question, if not this, then what? Other factors could explain this phenomenon, from health concerns, such as with the AstraZeneca vaccine or the global reach of conspiracy theories. In particular, women’s reported skepticism of vaccines deserves more study, especially at the local level. In addition to problems of supply and logistics, MENA governments may face a problem with demand. Whether selective incentives or straight-up coercion (a regrettably favored regional tactic) will work in overcoming a hesitant public remains to be seen, but the clock is ticking.

(Arabbarometer)

July 7, 2021

Source: https://www.arabbarometer.org/2021/07/the-varying-appetites-for-covid-vaccination-in-the-mena/

 

698-43-18/Poll

Seven In Ten (69%) Recognize Tension Between Rich And Poor, 37% Note Tension Between Men And Women

Toronto, ON June 8th, 2021 — A once-in-a-lifetime event like the COVID-19 pandemic can serve to bring people together, or to highlight their divisions. Over the course of the past 15 months, countries from around the world have seen news headlines discussing the “she-cession”, or health inequities between different races and age groups. Despite many saying “we’re all in this together,” a new global Ipsos study suggests many countries around the world perceive divisions within their borders.

Greatest tension in Canada between the rich and poor

A new Ipsos Global Advisor poll, carried out in partnership with the Policy Institute at King’s College London asked respondents in 28 countries to indicate how much tension there is between varying demographic groups. Canadians indicate that the dichotomy between the rich and the poor is the most tense relationship (69%) in the country, in line with the data showing people worldwide perceive most tension to exist between the rich and poor (Global Country Average of 74% say there is at least a fair amount of tension).

Notably, despite conversations in the media and political realms about gender equality or the disproportionate impact of the pandemic on women, Canadians place tensions between the binary genders as some of the lowest in relative terms with only 37% stating there is at least a fair amount of tension between the genders.

With financial tensions ranking as the highest in the nation, and gender differences being perceived as some of the lowest, in the middle is a variety of dichotomies Canadians were asked to weigh in on.

How much tension, if any, would you say there is between…

Canada

% good deal/fair amount of tension

Global Average

% good deal/fair amount of tension

Rich and poor 

69%

74%

Different ethnicities 

64%

62%

Immigrants and people born in Canada

63%

66%

Those with more socially liberal, progressive ideas and those with more traditional values

61%

65%

People who support different political parties 

59%

69%

Different social classes 

59%

67%

The metropolitan elite and ordinary working people 

56%

62%

Different religions 

53%

57%

Old and young 

38%

46%

Men and women

37%

48%

Those in cities and those outside of cities 

36%

42%

Those with a university education and

those without a university education

33%

47%

Canadians indicated that the relationship between different ethnicities is the second most tense relationship (64% say there is a good deal/fair amount of tension) in their country. Similar proportions indicate that tensions between immigrants and people born in Canada (63%), between social progressives and those with traditional values (61%), those of differing social class (59%) and those who support different political parties (59%) also plague the country.

There is relatively less tension seen between those of differing religions (53%), between old and young (38%), by levels of education (33%), or between cities and those outside cities (36%). 

It is notable that in all cases except one, the perceived tensions in Canada fall below that of the global average, which would suggest that Canadians have lower societal tensions than most countries. However, Canada sits slightly above average regarding tensions between differing ethnic groups, indicating that there may be strain below the surface for a country which prides itself in welcoming newcomers and immigrants. 

Canadians ambivalent towards being politically correct

People in the 28 countries surveyed were asked to rate their feelings about political correctness on a scale from 0 to 7, with 0 meaning many people are too easily offended and 7 meaning people need to change the way they talk to be more sensitive to those from different backgrounds. Overall, in most of the countries most people leaned towards believing we need to change the way people talk (in the Global Country Average, 31% placed themselves 0 to 3 on the scale and 60% 4 to 7). Canadians were most likely to feel ambivalent (45%) towards political correctness, not leaning towards either pole.

Culture wars less of a concern for Canadians

Just over a third of people globally think their country is divided by “culture wars”. Respondents were asked “From what you see on TV, in the news media, and online and in your conversations with others, to what extent do you agree or disagree that [your country] is divided by “culture wars”?” Three in ten (28%) Canadians agreed with this statement, below the global country average of 35%.

In contrast to other polled nations, Canada fell well below South Africa and the United States which led polling with 58% and 57% of respective respondents agreeing that culture wars divide their nations. However, Canada shows less unity than Japan, where only 9% of respondents agreed that culture wars plague their country.

Notably, while in most countries relatively few actively disagreed with the statement, the level of “don’t knows” remains fairly high, suggesting that the concept of a “culture war” may remain unfamiliar for many.

(Ipsos Canada)

8 July 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/what-she-cession-canadians-point-to-divisions-between-rich-and-poor-as-major-social-tension

 

698-43-19/Poll

Depending on the country, between six and eight in ten say they definitely will continue or may continue wearing a mask in public

New York, NY, July 8, 2021 — A new Ipsos study conducted in partnership with the World Economic Forum finds a majority of adults in each of nine countries surveyed saying they are likely to continue socially distancing and wearing a mask in public if or when vaccinated against COVID-19. The study also highlights widely different levels of confidence across countries when it comes to resuming activities once vaccinated – eating in restaurants, attending sporting events or concerts, using public transportation, and flying domestically or internationally. 
The survey was conducted on Ipsos’ Global Advisor online platform, June 3-6, 2021, in Brazil, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Spain, the United Kingdom, and the United States among 12,497 adults under the age of 75.

Read the World Economic Forum's article.

Continued socially distancing and mask-wearing

In each of the nine countries, more than three-quarters of those surveyed say that, assuming they have received a vaccine for COVID-19, they definitely will continue or may continue socially distancing from others in public places. Depending on the country, between six and eight in ten say they definitely will continue or may continue wearing a mask in public.
Levels of certainty about continued social distancing and mask-wearing in public places vary across countries:

  • More than half of those surveyed in Brazil and just under half in Italy, the U.K., France, Mexico, and Germany say they definitely will continue social distancing in public places, compared to only one-third in Japan and the U.S. The U.S. shows the highest proportion saying that they will not continue or haven’t been socially distancing pre-vaccination (22%).
  • Gaps are even wider when it comes to mask-wearing in public: 57% in Brazil say they definitely will continue, compared to 27% in Germany. Germany and the U.S. have the largest proportions saying they will not continue or haven’t been wearing a mask (32% both).

Confidence about returning to various activities

How soon one feels confident resuming different activities after having received a vaccine for COVID-19 varies widely by type of activity and by country. For most activities measured, confidence tends to be most prevalent in Mexico, followed by Spain, Italy, and France, and lowest in Japan.
For relatively common or frequent activities, proportions of those saying they would do so immediately or in a few months range from:

  • 59% in Japan to 82% in Italy for eating in restaurants,
  • 48% in the U.S. to 67% in Mexico for using public transit, and
  • 38% in Japan to 62% in Mexico for attending sports events or concerts.

 

When it comes to flying, proportions of those saying they would do so immediately or in a few months vary depending on both their home country and the destination. They range from:

  • 38% in Japan to 72% in Mexico for flying with one’s own country,
  • 24% in Japan to 68% in Mexico for flying to other countries where the vaccine is available, and
  • 17% in Japan to 52% in Mexico for flying to other countries where the vaccine is not yet available.

(Ipsos Egypt)

8 July 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/en-eg/post-covid-vaccination-behaviours-and-return-activities

 

698-43-20/Poll

Rheumatoid Arthritis In Developed Countries, Affects 0.5% To 1% Of The Adult Population

Rheumatoid arthritis is a chronic, inflammatory joint disease. In developed countries, it affects 0.5% to 1% of the adult population, with a two to three times higher frequency in women compared to men, regardless of age. Currently, no cure exists, however, treatments that are available worldwide can reduce progression of joint damage in up to 90% of patients.

Methotrexate remains the anchor drug in the treatment of Rheumatoid arthritis despite the introduction and increased availability of many new drugs. Methotrexate has demonstrated tangible clinical benefits, leading to remission or low disease activity in 25% to 50% of treated patients, particularly in early rheumatoid arthritis.

Adherence to treatment is crucial in patients with rheumatoid arthritis. The device used by the patients for self-injections may influence adherence to Methotrexate treatment. A survey was conducted in order to measure patients’ perceptions and preferences regarding their Methotrexate autoinjectors in moderate to severe rheumatoid arthritis.

Infographic - Nordic Pharma - Ipsos MORI

Patients and Methods: A total of 100 patients with moderate to severe Rheumatoid arthritis using Methotrexate-autoinjectors were interviewed face-to-face by Ipsos. Interviews were performed using a computer-assisted personal interview system. Data collection was performed from the 20th of November 2018 to the 21st of January 2019 in France, Ireland, Spain and the UK.

(Ipsos MORI)

9 July 2021

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/patients-perception-and-adherence-regarding-methotrexate-autoinjectors-rheumatoid-arthritis

 

698-43-21/Poll

79% Of Spaniards Support EU Digital COVID Certificate For Travel, Support Is Lowest In France (55%)

With various national governments announcing new updates to their travel guidelines, new YouGov Eurotrack data shows that a majority across seven European countries support the EU’s answer to safe travel for the remainder of the pandemic, the ‘Digital COVID Certificate.

The new certificate acts as a vaccine passport, and allows travellers to prove that they have met at least one of three criteria: they have been vaccinated against COVID-19, they have received a negative test result, or they have had the virus and recovered. Anyone legally living in countries that recognise the certificate (all EU members, plus Switzerland, Iceland, Norway and Liechtenstein), is eligible to use the scheme. EU nationals who have been vaccinated outside of the EU may also be eligible, depending on their home country.

This does mean that, despite substantial support for the scheme amongst Brits (68%), they will not be eligible for the digital certificate. Negotiations are ongoing between the British and European governments, with the hope being that the British equivalent to the certificate, the NHS Covid Pass, will be recognised within the EU and deemed sufficient to allow travel between Britain and EU member nations.

Support for the introduction of the certificate is high

In EU countries, support is high across all that we surveyed, but nowhere higher than in Spain where 79% of Spaniards support the move. Support is lowest in France (55%), where over a third (35%) oppose the certificate being a requirement for cross border travel within the EU.

Many will feel safer travelling thanks to the scheme

Beyond supporting the move, a large proportion of Europeans will feel safer travelling thanks to the scheme. At the top end, 63% of Spaniards say they would feel safer travelling because of the certificate, along with 51% of Italians. The Germans are the least likely to feel reassured by the scheme, with only three in ten (29%) responding that they would feel safer as a result.

Opinion is split on whether EMA licensing of vaccines is important for qualifying

With first doses of coronavirus vaccines now delivered to over 60% of EU citizens, many wishing to claim the Digital COVID Certificate will seek to qualify based on their vaccination status. However, only vaccinations licensed by the EMA are considered valid to qualify for the certificate, notably excluding those who have received the Sputnik jab, which has been rolled out in Hungary and Slovakia, and those who have received doses of the AstraZeneca jab that were manufactured in India – potentially a problem for EU citizens who received their vaccine in Britain.  

Amongst those who supported the Digital COVID certificate, opinions differ on whether those who have received the vaccines not licensed by the EMA should be able to qualify for one. Italians who support the scheme are most likely to think that travellers who have had a vaccine that has not been licensed by the EMA should still be able to get a certificate, with 56% saying that these travellers should still qualify.

Danish, Swedish and British supporters of the scheme are least likely to hold this view, with around a quarter in each country (27% in both Denmark and Sweden and 24% in Britain) believing that those who have received vaccinations currently excluded by the scheme should still qualify.

Less than a third believe the scheme should become redundant by the end of 2021

Europeans who support the introduction of the Digital COVID Certificate were also asked how long they think it should be required for travel within the EU. Fewer than one in ten supporters in every country surveyed said that they think the certificate should become redundant at the end of the summer.

In most countries surveyed, there was significant support for the scheme to run into 2022. Less than a third felt that the certificate should only be required this year. Danish supporters of the scheme are more evenly split, with 30% saying it should end this year, and the same proportion saying it should be extended to some point in 2022. There is also a large chunk who believe that the scheme should be extended beyond 2022, with over a quarter of Spanish supporters of the scheme (27%) taking this view.

(YouGov UK)

July 09, 2021

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2021/07/08/-majority-support-eu-digital-covid-certificate