Gilani’s Gallopedia© Gallopedia From Gilani Research Foundation May 2024, Issue # 845-847* Compiled on a weekly basis since January 2007
Gilani’s Gallopedia is a weekly Digest of Opinions in a globalized world
This issue scores 75 out of 100 on Gilani-Gallopedia's Globality Index, showing coverage of world population, and 87 out of 100 on the world income (prosperity) Index. Click for Details
Contact Details: Natasha Amir Research Executive, Gallup Pakistan Email: natasha@galluppakistan.com This WEEKLY REPORT consists of 28 national & multi-country surveys; 09 polling organizations have been represented. Asia And MENA: Japan (Environment, Environment), China (Employment Issues), Pakistan (Lifestyle) – 04 national polls Africa: Nigeria (Crime), South Africa (Elections) – 02 national polls Euro Americas: UK (Palestine/Israel Conflict, Entertainment, Performance Ratings, Defense, Palestine/Israel Conflict), USA (Immigration, Health, Financial systems & Institutions, Religion, Sports, Employment Issues, Education, Ethnicity, Media), Canada (Financial systems & Institutions, Health, Religion), Australia ( Employment Issues, Consumer Confidence) – 19 national polls	Multi-Country Studies: Gallup Pakistan – 45 Countries (Employment Issues) PEW – 24 Countries (Lifestyle) WIN – 27 Countries (Health) Topic of the Week: Voters' Views Of Trump And Biden Differ Sharply By Religion : Trump Draws Support From 81% Of White Evangelical Protestant Voters, 61% Of White Catholics, 57% Of White Protestants Who Are Not Evangelical Gilani-Gallopedia Globality Index
ASIA AND MENA Regions
845-847-01 Japan Proposes Expanding Commercial Whaling To Fin Whales, A Larger Species Than The 3 Allowed Now (Click for Details) (Japan) Japan’s Fisheries Agency has proposed expanding commercial whaling along the country’s coast to fin whales, a larger species than the three currently permitted. The proposal comes five years after Japan resumed commercial whaling within its exclusive economic zone after withdrawing from the International Whaling Commission in 2019. It ended 30 years of what Japan called “research whaling” that had been criticized by conservationists as a cover for commercial hunts banned by the commission in 1988. (Asahi Shimbun) 10 May 2024 4.14 Society » Environment (Top)
845-847-02 New Volcano Research H.Q. Puts Japan In A Stronger Position (Click for Details) (Japan) The government’s newly established headquarters for promoting volcanic observation and research should be viewed as a crucial opportunity to enhance essential volcano disaster preparedness through surveys, observations and research aimed at nurturing human resources in this field. The JMA monitors only 50 active volcanoes around the clock, less than half of the total. The new volcano headquarters was established in April under the science and technology ministry through a revision of the law for special measures concerning active volcanos. (Asahi Shimbun) 11 May 2024 4.14 Society » Environment (Top)
845-847-03 In Rapidly Ageing China, Millions Can’t Afford To Retire (Click for Details) (China) After three decades selling homemade buns on the streets of the Chinese city of Xian, 67-year-old Hu Dexi would have liked to slow down. Instead, Hu and his older wife have moved to the edge of Beijing, where they wake at 4 a.m. every day to cook their packed lunch, then commute for more than an hour to a downtown shopping mall, where they each earn 4,000 yuan ($552) monthly, working 13-hour shifts as cleaners. The alternative for them and many of the 100 million rural migrants reaching retirement age in China over the next 10 years is to return to their village and live off a small farm and monthly pensions of 123 yuan ($17). (Asahi Shimbun) 08 May 2024 3.3 Economy » Employment Issues (Top)
845-847-04 Nearly Half Of Pakistanis (48%) Feel That The Younger Generation Is Wiser Than Their Elders When It Comes To Politics (Click for Details) (Pakistan) According to a survey conducted by Gallup & Gilani Pakistan, nearly half of Pakistanis (48%) feel that the younger generation is wiser than their elders when it comes to politics, while 29% consider them not wise at all. A nationally representative sample of adult men and women from across the country was asked the question, “According to some people, the younger generation in Pakistan is more intelligent than the older people about politics. In response, 48% said ‘the younger generation is wiser than the older ones’, 29% said ‘Young generation is not wise at all’, 17% said ‘Young generation and older people are equally wise’, and 6% said that they did not know or gave no response. (Gallup Pakistan) 14 May 2024 4.7 Society » Lifestyle (Top)
AFRICA Regions
845-847-05 6 In 10 Nigerians Say Authorities Not Doing Enough To Curb Kidnapping (Click for Details) (Nigeria) A new public opinion poll conducted by NOIPolls has revealed a higher proportion of adult Nigerians nationwide (56 percent) lament authorities are not doing enough to curb the menace of kidnapping in the country. Findings revealed that 38 percent of adult Nigerians interviewed affirmed knowing someone who has been kidnapped within their community in the past year, while 62 percent stated otherwise. When asked if the most recent victim has been released, findings revealed a majority (78 percent) answered in the affirmative. (NOI Polls) 13 May 2024 4.12 Society » Crime (Top)
845-847-06 The Pivotal Role Of Voter Turnout In Shaping The 2024 Election Outcome (Click for Details) (South Africa) As 29 May approaches, with widespread speculation surrounding the potential performance of political parties in the upcoming national and provincial elections, the pivotal determinant of success rests on getting voters to the polling stations. In a medium turnout scenario, the model indicates that the voter turnout rate may be between 57% and 59%. On the high end, Ipsos’ projections suggest that as many as 74% to 76% of registered voters could cast their ballots if voter enthusiasm reaches its peak. (Ipsos South Africa) 03 May 2024 1.1 Domestic Politics » Elections (Top)
EURO-AMERICA Regions
● EUROPE
845-847-07 British Attitudes To The Israel-Gaza Conflict: May 2024 Update (Click for Details) (UK) In our February update on public attitudes to the Gaza conflict, Israel was on the cusp of a new offensive into the city of Rafah. While Hamas has in recent days made a ceasefire offer, Israel has rejected it, saying the terms fell short of their key demands. Desire for a ceasefire remains high here in Britain: 69% say they think Israel should stop and call a ceasefire at the current time, about the same as the 66% who said so in February. By contrast, only 13% think Israel should continue to take military action – a figure unchanged from three months ago. (YouGov UK) 10 May 2024 2.3 Foreign Affairs & Security » Palestine/ Israel Conflict (Top)
845-847-08 One In Eight Britons Saw The Northern Lights Last Week (Click for Details) (UK) A new YouGov poll shows that one in eight Britons (12%) caught the spectacular solar storm show over the weekend. A further 33% say they looked for the lights, but in the end could not see them. Unsurprisingly those who live in the northernmost reaches of the country were the most likely to see the lights – 18% of Scots did so, as did 15% in the North of England. Londoners were the least likely to, at 7%, having had to contend not only with the capital’s southerly location but also the intense light pollution surrounding the city. (YouGov UK) 15 May 2024 4.16 Society » Entertainment (Top)
845-847-09 Britons Believe Rishi Sunak More Likely Than Keir Starmer To Be Booed Or Get No Points Were He To Represent The UK At Eurovision (Click for Details) (UK) Ahead of the 2024 Eurovision Song Contest Grand Final this weekend in Malmö, Sweden, a third of Britons think it is likely that the United Kingdom will receive ‘nul points’. A majority of Britons (55%) believe that Prime Minister Rishi Sunak would be more likely to get booed than Keir Starmer if he were representing the UK at Eurovision. 44% think Sunak would be more likely to get no points. A third (35%) of Britons believe that the UK will receive ‘nul points’ at this year’s final. (Ipsos MORI) 10 May 2024 1.2 Domestic Politics » Performance Ratings (Top)
845-847-10 Four In Ten Support Plans To Increase Defence Spending, But Majority Do Not Trust Conservatives To Have Right Policies On Defence (Click for Details) (UK) New polling from Ipsos, conducted after Prime Minister Rishi Sunak pledged to increase defence spending to 2.5% of GDP by 2030. The poll found that 42% of people overall support increasing defence spending to 2.5% of GDP, while 22% oppose it. 65% of those who voted Conservative at the last election support the increase. Among those who voted Labour in 2019 views are divided, with 28% in support and 34% opposed. However, the poll also reveals a lack of trust that the Conservative party has the right policies on the issue. (Ipsos MORI) 15 May 2024 2.10 Foreign Affairs & Security » Defense (Top)
845-847-11 Most Britons Back Immediate Ceasefire In Gaza, Israeli Arms Embargo: Poll (Click for Details) (UK) More than 70 percent of British people support an immediate ceasefire in Gaza, a new survey indicates as pressure rises on the government to adopt a firmer stance against Israel. Among those who voted for the governing Conservative Party in 2019, 67 percent backed an immediate ceasefire in Gaza, according to the poll released on Friday and commissioned by Medical Aid for Palestinians (MAP) and the Council for Arab-British Understanding. Eighty-six percent of Labour voters backed the call, while only 8 percent of respondents said there should not be a ceasefire. (Al Jazeera) 17 May 2024 2.3 Foreign Affairs & Security » Palestine/ Israel Conflict (Top)
● NORTH AMERICA
845-847-12 Immigration Named Top U.S. Problem For Third Straight Month (Click for Details) (USA) Immigration tied with the government as the top issue in December 2023, when the number of migrant encounters at the southern border set a record for a single month. In February, as a bipartisan measure to address the issue failed in the U.S. Senate, immigration overtook the government as the nation’s most important problem and has remained there since. A steady 27% of Americans say the most important problem facing the U.S. is immigration, topping Gallup’s open-ended trend for the third consecutive month, the longest stretch for this particular issue in the past 24 years. (Gallup) 30 April 2024 4.8 Society » Immigration (Top)
845-847-13 Americans Perceive Gaps In Mental, Physical Healthcare (Click for Details) (USA) Three-quarters of Americans think mental health issues are identified and treated worse than physical health issues in the U.S., according to a new survey from West Health and Gallup. This belief is even stronger among U.S. adults aged 65 and older and those who report they have experienced a mental health problem in the past year. Overall, 38% of U.S. adults think mental health issues are handled “much worse” and 37% “somewhat worse” than physical health issues, while 15% say they are dealt with “about the same.” Just 4% think mental health issues are treated “somewhat better,” with 1% saying “much better.” (Gallup) 01 May 2024 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
845-847-14 Americans Expect Home Prices To Rise, See Market As Poor (Click for Details) (USA) More Americans than a year ago expect home prices to rise in their local area. At the same time, Americans remain highly pessimistic about the market for homebuyers -- 21% say it is a good time, and 76% say it is a bad time, to buy a house, essentially tying last year’s measures as the worst in Gallup’s trend. Sixty-eight percent of U.S. adults expect home prices in their local area to increase in the coming year, up from 56% a year ago and among the highest readings Gallup has measured to date. The only higher readings were 71% in 2021 and 70% in 2005 and 2022. (Gallup) 09 May 2024 3.9 Economy » Financial systems & Institutions (Top)
845-847-15 Voters' Views Of Trump And Biden Differ Sharply By Religion :Trump Draws Support From 81% Of White Evangelical Protestant Voters, 61% Of White Catholics, 57% Of White Protestants Who Are Not Evangelical (Click for Details) (USA) The latest Pew Research Center survey finds that most registered voters who are White Christians would vote for Republican Donald Trump over Democrat Joe Biden if the 2024 presidential election were held today. More than half of White Christians think Trump was a “great” or “good” president and don’t think he broke the law in an effort to change the outcome of the 2020 election. While most White Christian voters say they would vote for Trump over Biden if the election were held today, there are some differences by religious tradition. Trump draws support from: 81% of White evangelical Protestant voters, 61% of White Catholics, 57% of White Protestants who are not evangelical. (PEW) 30 April 2024 4.1 Society » Religion (Top)
845-847-16 Teens And Video Games Today (Click for Details) (USA) Video games as a part of daily teen life: 85% of U.S. teens report playing video games, and 41% say they play them at least once a day. Four-in-ten identify as a gamer. Gaming as a social experience: 72% of teens who play video games say that a reason why they play them is to spend time with others. And some have even made a friend online from playing them – 47% of teen video game players say they’ve done this. Helpful with problem-solving, less so for sleep: Over half of teens who play video games say it has helped their problem-solving skills, but 41% also say it has hurt their sleep. (PEW) 09 May 2024 4.15 Society » Sports (Top)
845-847-17 A Majority Of Latinas Feel Pressure To Support Their Families Or To Succeed At Work (Click for Details) (USA) More than half of Latinas say they often feel pressure to provide for their loved ones at home or succeed in their jobs, mirroring the life stressors experienced by women across the United States today. Despite these life pressures, 88% of Latinas are either extremely or very satisfied (56%) or somewhat satisfied (32%) with their family life. And 86% say they are extremely or very happy (43%) or somewhat happy (43%) with how things are going in their lives these days. (PEW) 14 May 2024 3.3 Economy » Employment Issues (Top)
845-847-18 A Quarter Of U.S. Teachers Say AI Tools Do More Harm Than Good In K-12 Education (Click for Details) (USA) About a third of high school teachers (35%) say these tools do more harm than good. Roughly a quarter of middle school teachers (24%) and 19% of elementary school teachers say the same. Fewer than one-in-ten teachers at all levels say these tools do more good than harm. Some 47% of elementary school teachers say they aren’t sure about the impact of AI tools in K-12 education. That is much larger than the shares of middle and high school teachers who say this. (PEW) 15 May 2024 4.10 Society » Education (Top)
845-847-19 Half Of Latinas Say Hispanic Women’s Situation Has Improved In The Past Decade And Expect More Gains (Click for Details) (USA) 39% of Latinas say that the situation has stayed the same, and 34% say it will not change in the next 10 years. Two-thirds (66%) say the gender pay gap – the fact that women earn less money, on average, than men – is a big problem for Hispanic women today, according to new analysis of Pew Research Center’s National Survey of Latinos. At 22.2 million, Latinas account for 17% of all adult women in the U.S. today. Their population grew by 5.6 million from 2010 to 2022, the largest numeric increase of any major female racial or ethnic group. (PEW) 15 May 2024 4.3 Society » Ethnicity (Top)
845-847-20 More Americans Want The Journalists They Get News From To Share Their Politics Than Any Other Personal Trait (Click for Details) (USA) A 2023 Pew Research Center survey asked Americans how important it is for the journalists they get news from to have six personal characteristics that are similar to their own. About four-in-ten Americans say it is at least somewhat important that they get news from journalists who share their political views (39%). That is nearly double the share who say the same about getting news from journalists who share their religious views (22%) or who talk or sound like them (20%). (PEW) 16 May 2024 4.6 Society » Media (Top)
845-847-21 Most (72%) Of Canada’s Aspiring Homeowners Anticipate Delaying New Home Purchase Until Mortgage Rates Drop (Click for Details) (Canada) A new Ipsos poll conducted on behalf of BMO finds that almost three-quarters (72%), and increasingly higher proportions (+4 pts), of Canada’s aspiring homeowners, relative to a year ago, plan to wait until mortgage rates drop before pulling the trigger on a new home purchase. This group – aspiring homeowners – represent just two-fifths (39%) of non-homeowners overall. In fact, a majority (56%) of non-homeowners perceive the dream of home ownership as being unattainable in their lifetime. (Ipsos Canada) 01 May 2024 3.9 Economy » Financial systems & Institutions (Top)
845-847-22 Canadians' Skin Cancer Concerns Sees Significant Shift (Click for Details) (Canada) Most Canadians continue to believe too much sun ages your skin (90%, -3 pts), damages your eyes (86%, -5 pts) and causes irreparable damage to your skin (81%, -4 pts), but the proportion who agree with each statement declined significantly this wave. Combined with these changes in attitudes there are also some worrying changes in sun protection behaviours this wave. Fewer Canadians report wearing sunglasses with UV protective lenses when outdoors year-round (66%, -6 pts) and apply sunscreen when going outdoors (65%, -5 pts) at least occasionally. (Ipsos Canada) 07 May 2024 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
845-847-23 Religion And Vote: Liberals Trail Among Jews, Muslims As Party Walks Tight Rope In Response To Gaza War (Click for Details) (Canada) New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds the Liberals’ balancing act in addressing the Israel-Gaza conflict costing it support among two key constituencies. Trudeau’s party trails the NDP (41% to 31%) in vote intent among Canadian Muslims and the CPC (42% to 33%) among Canadian Jews. However, those are not the only religious groups where the Liberals find themselves with a support deficit. Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative party are the preferred choice of a majority (53%) of Christians, Hindus (53%) and Sikhs (54%). (Angus Reid Institute) 16 May 2024 4.1 Society » Religion (Top)
● AUSTRALIA
845-847-24 Australian Unemployment Increases In April To 9.7% – Overall Labour Under-Utilisation At Highest Since October 2020 (Click for Details) (Australia) In addition to the increase in unemployment, there was also a slight increase in under-employment, up 18,000 to 1,594,000. These combined increases mean a massive 3.13 million Australians (19.8% of the workforce, up 1%) were unemployed or under-employed in April – the highest level of total labour under-utilisation for over three years since October 2020 (3.15 million) during the early months of the pandemic. (Roy Morgan) 13 May 2024 3.3 Economy » Employment Issues (Top)
845-847-25 Roy Morgan Update May 14, 2024: ALP Support Unchanged, Consumer Confidence & Unemployment (Click for Details) (Australia) The Albanese Labor Government retained the lead for the fourth week in a row - with support unchanged on 52% ahead of the Coalition on 48% on a two-party preferred basis. If an election were held now the ALP would be re-elected with a slim majority - as they have now, the latest Roy Morgan Poll shows. Government Confidence is 77.5 – up 4 points in a week – a positive movement, but the Albanese Government must be concerned that a majority of Australians, 54%, say the country is heading in the wrong direction – while less than a third, only 31.5%, say the country is heading in the right direction. (Roy Morgan) 14 May 2024 3.2 Economy » Consumer Confidence (Top)
● MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES
845-847-26 Most People Like Their Jobs, Satisfaction With The Remuneration Is Still Lacking Behind A Survey Across 45 Countries (Click for Details) Artificial intelligence raises concerns, shows the poll. People worldwide are unsure about the new technology – 31% see more opportunities in AI, but 38% expect it to bring more problems to the world. A significant share of 24% worldwide does not feel informed enough to evaluate AI effects on humanity. Rather happy with the job Most of the working people around the world seem rather satisfied with their job (65%), and minority of 17% say that they are not. Another 17% say they are neither satisfied, nor dissatisfied. (Gallup Pakistan) 06 May 2024 3.3 Economy » Employment Issues (Top)
845-847-27 Across All 24 Countries Surveyed Americans Are Less Likely Than Others To Feel Close To People In Their Country Or Community (Click for Details) Across all 24 countries surveyed, a median of 83% of adults say they feel very or somewhat close to other people in their country. A majority of U.S. adults (66%) also hold this view, but Americans are the least likely among those in the countries surveyed to do so. Even fewer Americans feel close to people in their local community: 54% feel a connection to others near them, compared with a median of 78% of adults across all 24 countries. South Korea is the only country with a lower share of adults who feel connected with others in their community (50%). (PEW) 08 May 2024 4.7 Society » Lifestyle (Top)
845-847-28 Support For Legal Abortion Is Widespread In Many Places, Especially In Europe, A Study In 27 Countries (Click for Details) WIN International, the world’s leading association in market research and polling has published the Annual WIN World Survey – WWS 2024 – exploring the views and beliefs. Despite the escalating cost of living, there has been a 3% increase globally in the percentage of individuals reporting that they are “living comfortably” compared to last year. Sweden is first, with 56% of respondents affirming their financial comfort. Education emerges as a significant determinant: 54% of those with no education or only primary school education report struggling financially, whereas individuals with a Master or PhD level of education cite financial struggle at a significantly lower rate of 26%. (WIN) 17 May 2024 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
TOPIC OF THE WEEK Voters' Views Of Trump And Biden Differ Sharply By Religion : Trump Draws Support From 81% Of White Evangelical Protestant Voters, 61% Of White Catholics, 57% Of White Protestants Who Are Not Evangelical ►This page is devoted to opinions of countries whose polling activity is generally not known very widely or where a recent topical issue requires special attention.
Voters' Views Of Trump And Biden Differ Sharply By Religion : Trump Draws Support From 81% Of White Evangelical Protestant Voters, 61% Of White Catholics, 57% Of White Protestants Who Are Not Evangelical The U.S. electorate continues to be sharply divided along religious lines. The latest Pew Research Center survey finds that most registered voters who are White Christians would vote for Republican Donald Trump over Democrat Joe Biden if the 2024 presidential election were held today. More than half of White Christians think Trump was a “great” or “good” president and don’t think he broke the law in an effort to change the outcome of the 2020 election. In stark contrast, most registered voters who are Black Protestants or religious “nones” – those who self-identify as atheists, agnostics or “nothing in particular” – would vote for Biden over Trump. Large numbers in these groups also say Trump was a “terrible” president and that he broke the law trying to overturn the 2020 election results. Religion and the 2024 presidential election While most White Christian voters say they would vote for Trump over Biden if the election were held today, there are some differences by religious tradition. Trump draws support from:   81% of White evangelical Protestant voters 61% of White Catholics 57% of White Protestants who are not evangelical By contrast, 77% of Black Protestant voters say they would vote for Biden over Trump. Most religious “nones” also say this, including: 87% of atheist voters 82% of agnostics 57% of those whose religion is “nothing in particular”  These presidential preferences reflect the partisan leanings of U.S. religious groups. White Christians have been trending in a Republican direction for quite some time, while Black Protestants and religious “nones” have long been strongly Democratic. The Center’s new survey includes responses from Jews, Muslims, Buddhists, Hindus and people from many other religious backgrounds, as well as adherents of smaller Christian groups like Hispanic Protestants and members of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints (widely known as Mormons). However, the survey does not include enough respondents from these smaller religious categories to be able to report on them separately. Church attendance and voting preferences in 2024 Among Christians, support for Trump is somewhat higher among regular church attenders than non-churchgoers. Overall, 62% of Christian voters who say they go to church at least once or twice a month support Trump over Biden. Among Christians who go to church less often, 55% would vote for Trump if the election were today. Among White evangelical Protestant voters, 84% of regular churchgoers say they would vote for Trump, compared with 77% of White evangelicals who don’t go to church regularly. White nonevangelical Protestants are the only Christian group in which support for Trump is significantly stronger among nonattenders than among regular churchgoers. Voters’ views of Biden and Trump as presidents About three-quarters of White evangelical Protestant voters say Trump was a “great” (37%) or “good” (37%) president. Roughly half of White Catholics and White nonevangelical Protestants share this view. When it comes to Biden, atheists and Black Protestants rate the current president’s performance most favorably. Roughly half of voters in each of these groups say Biden is a great or good president. Overall, Trump gets higher marks on these questions than Biden. This is because Trump supporters are more inclined to say he was a great or good president than Biden supporters are to say the same about him. Views of whether Trump broke the law in effort to change 2020 election outcome People in the religious groups that are most supportive of Biden tend to think Trump broke the law in an effort to change the outcome of the 2020 election. Most atheists (83%) say this, as do 70% of Black Protestants and 63% of agnostics. By contrast, just 16% of White evangelical Protestants say Trump broke the law trying to change the 2020 election outcome. Another 15% of White evangelicals say they think Trump did something wrong but did not break the law, while the largest share by far (47%) say Trump did nothing wrong. (PEW) 30 April 2024 Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/04/30/voters-views-of-trump-and-biden-differ-sharply-by-religion/?utm_source=Pew+Research+Center&utm_campaign=ad9ae718e5-Weekly_5-4-24&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_-ad9ae718e5-%5BLIST_EMAIL_ID%5D (Top)
GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX: ► The purpose of this index is to treat the Global Coverage by each issue of Gallopedia in terms of Population, National Income and estimated Power measured by G20 Membership.
● GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX (Top)
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