Gilani’s Gallopedia© Gallopedia From Gilani Research Foundation May 2024, Issue # 839-844* Compiled on a weekly basis since January 2007
Gilani’s Gallopedia is a weekly Digest of Opinions in a globalized world
This issue scores 75 out of 100 on Gilani-Gallopedia's Globality Index, showing coverage of world population, and 85 out of 100 on the world income (prosperity) Index. Click for Details
Contact Details: Natasha Amir Research Executive, Gallup Pakistan Email: natasha@galluppakistan.com This WEEKLY REPORT consists of 27 national & multi-country surveys; 09 polling organizations have been represented. Asia And MENA: Japan (Financial systems & Institutions, Employment Issues), South Korea (Elections), Tunisia (National Image) – 04 national polls Africa: Nigeria (Gender Issues), South Africa (Elections) – 02 national polls Euro Americas: UK (Science & Technology, Governance, Inflation, Immigration, Elections), France (Health) USA (Science & Technology, Palestine/Israel Conflict, Religion, Education, Religion, Elections, National Image), Canada (Sports, Governance), Australia ( Financial systems & Institutions, Family) – 17 national polls	Multi-Country Studies: Gallup – 22 Countries (Lifestyle) Ipsos Global – 32 Countries (Environment) WIN – 39 Countries (Health) Ipsos Global – 33 Countries (Environment) Topic of the Week: How U.S. Muslims Are Experiencing The Israel-Hamas War Gilani-Gallopedia Globality Index
ASIA AND MENA Regions
839-844-01 BOJ Survey Finds Less Optimistic Manufacturers, But Happier Service Sector (Click for Details) (Japan) The Bank of Japan’s “tankan” report said sentiment among large manufacturers, which include auto and electronics giants, declined in March for the first time in a year, standing at plus 11, down two points from December. The average market forecast by Japanese news service Kyodo was 9. The tankan, carried out every three months, surveys about 9,000 Japanese companies and measures corporate sentiment by subtracting the number of companies saying business conditions are negative from those saying they are positive. (Asahi Shimbun) 01 April 2024 3.9 Economy » Financial systems & Institutions (Top)
839-844-02 More Than 40% Want To Work Until They Reach 66 Or Over (Click for Details) (Japan) Upward of 40 percent of working people are hoping to work until they reach the age of “66 or higher,” according to an opinion poll. The percentage figure includes those who have already achieved that goal. The findings, released by the Cabinet Office on March 1, revealed that 42.6 percent of respondents, up 5 points from the previous survey five years earlier, selected that option in the survey on life plans and pensions. As in the previous poll, most respondents, or 28.5 percent, said they want to work until turning 61 through 65. However, the ratio was down 2.2 points. (Asahi Shimbun) 10 April 2024 3.3 Economy » Employment Issues (Top)
839-844-03 South Korea’s President Faces A Crucial Referendum In Parliamentary Election (Click for Details) (South Korea) South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol faces a crucial referendum Wednesday in a parliamentary election that could determine whether he becomes a lame duck or enjoys a mandate to pursue key policies for his remaining three years in office. In the months ahead of the election, the conservatives supporting Yoon and their liberal rivals exchanged toxic rhetoric and mudslinging, a sign of a deepening domestic divide. Regardless of the results, Yoon will stay in power, but a failure by his governing People Power Party to restore a parliamentary majority could hurt Yoon’s push for his agenda and further intensify the conservative-liberal fighting. (Asahi Shimbun) 10 April 2024 1.1 Domestic Politics » Elections (Top)
● MENA
839-844-04 Tunisian Political Views: Splintered And Confused (Click for Details) (Tunisia) A recent poll by the Arab Barometer, shows that the most pertinent of these lessons may be those drawn by Tunisians themselves about their country’s past political transition and what democracy has to offer to them in the future. 73 percent “agree” or “strongly agree” that the “economy is weak under democracy” compared to a mere 17 percent who used to feel that way in 2011. Also, 73 percent believe democracy is “indecisive,” a huge increase of that viewpoint compared with only 19 percent more than a decade ago. (Arabbarometer) 16 April 2024 1.5 Domestic Politics » National Image (Top)
AFRICA Regions
839-844-05 74 In 100 Nigerian Women Not Aware Of Support Programmes For Women (Click for Details) (Nigeria) A new public opinion poll conducted by NOIPolls in the week commencing February 26th, 2024, has revealed that 74 percent of adult female Nigerians are not aware of any socioeconomic support program specifically dedicated to women in their respective communities. In addition, the poll revealed that the top three important socioeconomic support programs mentioned are access to healthcare and reproductive rights (48 percent), leadership development initiatives like workshops (40 percent) and affordable childcare options amongst other support programs mentioned. (NOI Polls) 18 April 2024 4.5 Society » Gender Issues (Top)
839-844-06 30 Years Of Democracy: South Africa's 2024 Elections Marked By Uncertainty And A Desire For Change (Click for Details) (South Africa) The latest Ipsos poll, conducted through face-to-face interviews in March and April 2024, surveyed a randomly selected national sample across all nine provinces, settlement types, and rural areas in South Africa. Those who indicated that they were registered to vote (a total of 2,545) were separately analysed. The results for registered voters were weighted and projected using the IEC registration figures, which indicated that the voters’ roll contains 27,698,201 names. Nationally, only 38% believe that the ANC will live up to their election promises, and the party's support base has long been concentrated in rural areas. (Ipsos South Africa) 26 April 2024 1.1 Domestic Politics » Elections (Top)
EURO-AMERICA Regions
● EUROPE
839-844-07 AI In Journalism: How Would Public Trust In The News Be Affected (Click for Details) (UK) One of Rishi Sunak’s five pledges as prime minister was that he would get the economy growing. However, following the news last week that the UK has slipped into recession, a new YouGov survey – conducted on 19-20 February – shows that the public overwhelmingly think the government is failing at each promise they made at the beginning of 2023. When it comes to Sunak’s pledge to encourage economic growth, 69% of Britons think the government is doing badly and only 17% think they are doing well. As it happens, YouGov had initially asked this question on 14-15 February, shortly before the recession news broke. It seems that the poor economic forecast shifted public opinion slightly – in that previous poll 21% had thought the government was doing well and 63% badly. (YouGov UK) 11 April 2024 3.11 Economy » Science & Technology (Top)
839-844-08 Sadiq Khan Holds 19pt Lead Over Susan Hall With Two Weeks To Go (Click for Details) (UK) Earlier in the month our national MRP showed Labour on track to win all but 10 of London’s 75 Westminster constituencies, and now our latest London poll shows that Sadiq Khan is on course to romp home to a third term as mayor. Currently 46% of London voters say they intend to back the Labour incumbent, compared to only 27% who are voting for his Conservative opponent, Susan Hall. (YouGov UK) 19 April 2024 1.3 Domestic Politics » Governance (Top)
839-844-09 How Well Do Britons Understand Inflation (Click for Details) (UK) The cost of living crisis has been the dominant issue in the UK for more than a year – so much so that Rishi Sunak made a promise to half inflation as one of his ‘five pledges’ at the beginning of 2023 (a task that only 27% of Britons think he is performing well at). If you ask them directly, 77% of Britons say they understand what inflation is well, including 20% who say they understand it “very well”. A further 17% say they don’t understand it very well, and 4% say they don’t understand it at all. (YouGov UK) 24 April 2024 3.4 Economy » Inflation (Top)
839-844-10 Dissatisfaction With Government On Immigration At Highest Level Since 2015 (Click for Details) (UK) Some 69% of the public say they are dissatisfied and just 9% satisfied, according to the Immigration Attitudes Tracker from Ipsos and British Future – the highest level of unhappiness in the tracker’s history. The survey was conducted online with 3,000 adults across Britain between 17 – 28 February 2024. Only 16% of current Conservative supporters – and just 8% of those who voted Conservative in 2019 – are satisfied with the government’s handling of immigration. 55% of current Conservative supporters and 71% of 2019 Conservative voters are dissatisfied. Some 10% of Labour supporters say they are satisfied, while 72% are not. (Ipsos MORI) 25 March 2024 4.8 Society » Immigration (Top)
839-844-11 Half Of Brits Say They Will Listen To Their Friends And Family When Deciding Who To Vote For At The Next General Election (Click for Details) (UK) New polling from Ipsos explores how the public follow stories about politics and current affairs, and who they will listen to most when it comes to deciding how to vote at the next General Election. Almost two thirds (65%) said that they have been following news stories about politics and current affairs closely, compared to a third (34%) who said that they have not been following them closely. Those aged 55=75 are a little more likely to be paying attention (72%) than those aged under 55 (62%). (Ipsos MORI) 11 April 2024 1.1 Domestic Politics » Elections (Top)
839-844-12 Vaccination: An Information Gap Among Parents Of Children And Seniors (Click for Details) (France) This survey demonstrates a lack of information on the world of vaccination among parents of children and seniors: More than 6 out of 10 parents do not know that meningococcal meningitis is an infection that particularly affects children and adolescents; Still 8 out of 10 people aged 60 and over are unaware of the respiratory syncytial virus (RSV); 93% of people aged 65 and over do not, wrongly, believe they are at greater risk of contracting shingles than the rest of the population. (Ipsos France) 25 April 2024 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
● NORTH AMERICA
839-844-13 Americans’ Use Of Chatgpt Is Ticking Up, But Few Trust Its Election Information (Click for Details) (USA) It’s been more than a year since ChatGPT’s public debut set the tech world abuzz. And Americans’ use of the chatbot is ticking up: 23% of U.S. adults say they have ever used it, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted in February, up from 18% in July 2023. Adults under 30 stand out: 43% of these young adults have used ChatGPT, up 10 percentage points since last summer. Use of the chatbot is also up slightly among those ages 30 to 49 and 50 to 64. Still, these groups remain less likely than their younger peers to have used the technology. Just 6% of Americans 65 and up have used ChatGPT. (PEW) 26 March 2024 3.11 Economy » Science & Technology (Top)
839-844-14 How U.S. Muslims Are Experiencing The Israel-Hamas War (Click for Details) (USA) U.S. Muslims are more sympathetic to the Palestinian people than many other Americans are, despite the fact that relatively few Muslims in the United States are Palestinian themselves, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted in February. And only about a quarter of Muslims in the survey identify as Arab or of Arab ancestry. Meanwhile, a majority of Muslim Americans (70%) say discrimination against Muslims in our society has increased since the start of the war, and about half (53%) say news about the war makes them feel afraid. (PEW) 02 April 2024 2.3 Foreign Affairs & Security » Palestine/ Israel Conflict (Top)
839-844-15 Rising Numbers Of Americans Say Jews And Muslims Face A Lot Of Discrimination (Click for Details) (USA) Many Americans particularly sense that discrimination against Muslims and Jews has risen since the start of the Israel-Hamas war. The vast majority of U.S. Muslims and Jews themselves agree: Seven-in-ten Muslims and nine-in-ten Jews surveyed say they have felt an increase in discrimination against their respective groups since the war began in October. 74% of U.S. Jews and 60% of U.S. Muslims surveyed say they have felt offended by something they saw on the news or social media about the Israel-Hamas war. (PEW) 02 April 2024 4.1 Society » Religion (Top)
839-844-16 About 1 In 4 U.S. Teachers Say Their School Went Into A Gun-Related Lockdown In The Last School Year (Click for Details) (USA) Twenty-five years after the mass shooting at Columbine High School in Colorado, a majority of public K-12 teachers (59%) say they are at least somewhat worried about the possibility of a shooting ever happening at their school. This includes 18% who say they’re extremely or very worried, according to a new Pew Research Center survey. Another 31% of teachers say they are not too worried about a shooting occurring at their school. Only 7% of teachers say they are not at all worried. (PEW) 11 April 2024 4.10 Society » Education (Top)
839-844-17 Majority Of U.S. Catholics Express Favorable View Of Pope Francis (Click for Details) (USA) A new Pew Research Center survey finds that 75% of U.S. Catholics view Pope Francis favorably, down 8 percentage points since we last asked this question in 2021 and 15 points below his peak favorability rating, which was 90% in early 2015. Since becoming pope in 2013, Francis often has received favorable ratings from 80% or more of U.S. Catholics. He generally has been viewed more positively than his immediate predecessor, Pope Benedict XVI, but less positively than Benedict’s predecessor, Pope John Paul II. (PEW) 12 April 2024 4.1 Society » Religion (Top)
839-844-18 In Tight Presidential Race, Voters Are Broadly Critical Of Both Biden And Trump (Click for Details) (USA) With the election still more than six months away, a new Pew Research Center survey finds that the presidential race is virtually tied: 49% of registered voters favor Donald Trump or lean toward voting for him, while 48% support or lean toward Joe Biden. More than a third of voters say they are extremely or very confident that Trump has the physical fitness (36%) and mental fitness (38%) needed to do the job of president. Far fewer say the same of Biden (15% are at least very confident in his physical fitness; 21% are extremely or very confident in his mental fitness). Majorities say they are not too or not at all confident in Biden’s physical and mental fitness. (PEW) 24 April 2024 1.1 Domestic Politics » Elections (Top)
839-844-19 A Growing Share Of Americans Have Little Or No Confidence In Netanyahu (Click for Details) (USA) A majority of Americans (53%) have little or no confidence in Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to do the right thing regarding world affairs, including 25% who have no confidence in him at all. Three-in-ten say they have at least some confidence in him, according to a Pew Research Center survey of 3,600 U.S. adults conducted April 1-7, 2024. The share of Americans who have no confidence in Netanyahu has increased 11 percentage points since 2023. This includes an 8-point increase in the share who have no confidence in him at all. (PEW) 25 April 2024 1.5 Domestic Politics » National Image (Top)
839-844-20 Number Of Canadians Cheering For “Any” Canadian Team To Win The Stanley Cup Rises 7 Points From 2016 (Click for Details) (Canada) New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds renewed hope that one of Vancouver, Edmonton, Winnipeg, or Toronto will bring Canadians a desperately sought after Stanley Cup parade. This, more than three decades after the Montreal Canadiens won the Cup in 1993. Asked which team they believe represents Canada’s best opportunity, Canadian hockey fans are divided equally between the Toronto Maple Leafs (21%) and Edmonton Oilers (20%). Fewer, but still 14 per cent say the Vancouver Canucks will be the team to break the drought, while just five per cent believe the Winnipeg Jets have what it takes. (Angus Reid Institute) 15 April 2024 4.15 Society » Sports (Top)
839-844-21 Seven-In-Ten Gen Z, Millennials Say Trudeau’s Government Not Working In Their Interest (Click for Details) (Canada) Canadians’ top issues vary by generation but have been consistent for several years, with health care and affordability rating as high concerns since the end of the COVID-19 pandemic. On health care, 28 per cent of Canadians say Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre is the best choice. Trudeau (14%) finishes behind NDP leader Jagmeet Singh (22%) and none of the above (22%) and is tied with “not sure” (14%). On housing affordability, Poilievre again leads (31%) and Trudeau (13%) trails “none of them” (24%), and Singh (19%) and ties “not sure” (13%). The Conservative leader also outpaces Singh and Trudeau combined when it comes to issues of the economy and handling the deficit. (Angus Reid Institute) 25 April 2024 1.3 Domestic Politics » Governance (Top)
● AUSTRALIA
839-844-22 Mortgage Stress Declined In March As Household Incomes Increased And The RBA Left Interest Rates Unchanged (Click for Details) (Australia) The level of mortgage stress in March is the lowest so far this year and this month’s decline has been driven by rising household incomes which has reduced the financial pressure on some mortgage holders. The figure of mortgage stress in March is very similar to the number of mortgage holders considered ‘At Risk’ of mortgage stress in the three months to December 2023 which was 1,527,000 (30.3%). The proportion of mortgage holders now ‘At Risk’ (30.3%) is well below the record high reached during the Global Financial Crisis because of the larger size of the Australian mortgage market today. The record high of 35.6% of mortgage holders in mortgage stress was reached in mid-2008. (Roy Morgan) 23 April 2024 3.9 Economy » Financial systems & Institutions (Top)
839-844-23 Saying It With Flowers Tops The $1 Billion Cash Splash On Mum For 12 May (Click for Details) (Australia) Australians are set to spend $995 million on Mother’s Day this year – up $70 million, or 7.5% from 2023 – with flowers, alcohol, or an experience topping the gifts for mothers and others, research from the Australian Retailers Association (ARA) in collaboration with Roy Morgan reveals.  Despite the increased spend, 400,000 fewer people are set to buy Mother’s Day gifts this year – highlighting the impact of the cost-of-living crunch. (Roy Morgan) 24 April 2024 4.2 Society » Family (Top)
● MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES
839-844-24 Global Study Aims To Uncover How Humans Flourish, A Study Across 22 Nations (Click for Details) The inaugural results from the multiyear Global Flourishing study reveal intriguing relationships between religion and how well people’s lives are going. The mean flourishing score falls between 6.5 and 8.0 in most of the 21 countries and one territory where data are collected. The mean score was below 6.5 only in Türkiye and Japan, and above 8.0 only in Indonesia. In the United States, the mean score was 7.11. (Gallup) 28 March 2024 4.7 Society » Lifestyle (Top)
839-844-25 Close To Nine In 10 In Favour Of Global Rules Banning Plastics In 32 Countries (Click for Details) 90%, on average across 32 countries, agree to have global rules banning chemicals used in plastic that are hazardous to human health and the environment. 87% agree it’s essential/important to reduce the amount of plastic produced globally. The same proportion (87%) say types of plastic that can’t be easily recycled in all of the countries where they are used should be banned. More than eight in 10 (85%) agree it’s key to have global rules banning unnecessary single-use plastic products such as shopping bags, cutlery, cups and plates. (Ipsos Global) 16 April 2024 4.14 Society » Environment (Top)
839-844-26 Stress Levels Rise Around The World, Views Of People In 39 Countries (Click for Details) The Worldwide Independent Network of MR (WIN), the world’s leading independent association in market research and polling, reveals the Annual WIN World Survey, exploring the views and beliefs of over 33,000 people in 39 countries across the globe. The perception of health levels around the world is positive, with 57% feeling healthy, and 17% very healthy. Numbers, however, are still slightly below the pre-pandemic level when a total of 76% globally reported to feel healthy or very healthy. (WIN) 17 April 2024 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
839-844-27 Earth Day 2024: Changing Attitudes And Actions Towards Climate Change, A 33 Country Survey (Click for Details) In our annual Earth Day report, we explore how attitudes to climate change are changing, who is responsible for leading the fight against the climate emergency, and what actions people are willing to take. Young men (Millennial and Gen Z) are more fatalistic than women and older men on the topic of the climate crisis. A third of Millennial and Gen Z men say it is too late to do anything about climate change, compared to less than one in five Baby Boomer men and women. Two-thirds across 33 countries think countries like the US, GB, France, Canada and Germany should pay more to solve climate change. At the same time, France and Canada have seen an increase in people feeling they are being asked to sacrifice too much to fight climate change, with both countries now more likely to say this is the case than not. (Ipsos Global) 19 April 2024 4.14 Society » Environment (Top)
TOPIC OF THE WEEK How U.S. Muslims Are Experiencing The Israel-Hamas War ►This page is devoted to opinions of countries whose polling activity is generally not known very widely or where a recent topical issue requires special attention.
How U.S. Muslims Are Experiencing The Israel-Hamas War U.S. Muslims are more sympathetic to the Palestinian people than many other Americans are, despite the fact that relatively few Muslims in the United States are Palestinian themselves, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted in February. And only about a quarter of Muslims in the survey identify as Arab or of Arab ancestry. Muslim Americans are also highly critical of President Joe Biden’s handling of the war between Israel and Hamas. Meanwhile, a majority of Muslim Americans (70%) say discrimination against Muslims in our society has increased since the start of the war, and about half (53%) say news about the war makes them feel afraid. Here’s a closer look at these and other findings from our new survey. How U.S. Muslims view America’s role in the war  Only 6% of Muslim adults believe that the U.S. is striking the right balance between the Israelis and Palestinians, according to the February survey. Most Muslims (60%) instead say Biden is favoring the Israelis too much, while just 3% say he is favoring the Palestinians too much. Another 30% are not sure. Muslim Americans have been strongly Democratic in the past and remain so – 66% of Muslim registered voters in the survey identify with or lean toward the Democratic Party. (The survey includes 298 Muslim registered voters for an effective sample size of 94 and a margin of error of plus or minus 10.1 points.) But Biden’s handling of the war has led some U.S. Muslims to cast protest votes against him in Democratic primaries this year. Muslims’ views of Biden are broadly negative, according to our survey: Only 36% view him positively. In fact, Muslims’ views of Biden are broadly similar to their views of former President Donald Trump (35% favorable), despite the fact that most Muslims felt Trump was unfriendly toward Muslims when he was president. In the current war between Israel and Hamas, 69% of Muslim Americans favor the U.S. providing humanitarian aid to help Palestinian civilians. In contrast, most Muslims (65%) oppose America providing military aid to Israel to help in its war against Hamas. How U.S. Muslims see the Palestinian, Israeli people and their leaders While around a third of Muslim Americans (32%) have some sympathy for both the Israeli people and the Palestinian people, nearly two-thirds (64%) say their sympathies lie either entirely or mostly with the Palestinian people. Among the larger American public, by comparison, relatively few adults (16%) are entirely or mostly sympathetic toward the Palestinian people. When it comes to the Israeli government, only 10% of U.S. Muslims have a favorable view. In fact, Muslims are more likely to have a favorable view of Hamas (37%), which has controlled Gaza, than of the Israeli government. Still, 58% of Muslims have an unfavorable view of Hamas. A slight majority of Muslims (59%) have a favorable opinion of the Palestinian Authority, which some experts have suggested may take control of the Gaza Strip if Hamas is removed from power. The Palestinian Authority governs the West Bank and has not had control over the Gaza Strip since Hamas won elections in 2006. How U.S. Muslims perceive discrimination in the U.S. since the start of the war Most Muslim Americans (70%) believe discrimination against Muslims in our society has increased since the start of the Israel-Hamas war. A much smaller share of the U.S. public overall (38%) says the same. How U.S. Muslims are engaging with and following the war Muslim Americans are more likely than Americans overall to feel afraid when hearing or reading news about the war. Around half of Muslims (53%) say this, compared with 37% of all U.S. adults. Muslim Americans are also more likely than U.S. adults overall to feel exhausted when consuming news about the war. Around four-in-ten Muslim Americans say they are following the war extremely or very closely, while another 27% are somewhat following it. Still, roughly a third of U.S. Muslims (32%) are not following the war too closely or at all. Jewish Americans, by comparison, are following the war much more closely, according to our survey: 61% say they are following it extremely or very closely and 11% say they are following it not too or not at all closely. About a third of U.S. Muslims could not correctly identify Benjamin Netanyahu as the current prime minister of Israel. And about three-in-ten Muslims could not correctly identify Hamas as the group behind the Oct. 7 attack against Israel or knew that most of the deaths in the Israel-Hamas war have been among Palestinians and not Israelis. Even so, roughly seven-in-ten correctly answered each question. (PEW) 02 April 2024 Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/04/02/how-us-muslims-are-experiencing-the-israel-hamas-war/ (Top)
GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX: ► The purpose of this index is to treat the Global Coverage by each issue of Gallopedia in terms of Population, National Income and estimated Power measured by G20 Membership.
● GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX (Top)
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