Gilani’s Gallopedia© Gallopedia From Gilani Research Foundation December 2022, Issue # 774* Compiled on a weekly basis since January 2007
Gilani’s Gallopedia is a weekly Digest of Opinions in a globalized world
This issue scores 66 out of 100 on Gilani-Gallopedia's Globality Index, showing coverage of world population, and 84 out of 100 on the world income (prosperity) Index. Click for Details
Contact Details: Natasha Amir Research Executive, Gallup Pakistan Email: natasha@galluppakistan.com This WEEKLY REPORT consists of 22 national & multi-country surveys 11 polling organizations have been represented. Asia And MENA: Japan (Financial systems & Institutions ), Singapore (Inflation), Indonesia (Entertainment) – 03 national polls Africa: Mauritius (Environment) – 01 national polls Euro Americas: UK(National Trust, Immigration, Consumer Confidence, Entertainment, New Media), Russia (Well-Being), France (Education), Germany (Political Parties), Italy (Financial systems & Institutions), USA (Immigration), Canada ( Religion, Health), Australia(Governance ) – 13 national polls	Multi-Country Studies: Ipsos Denmark – 36 Countries (Inflation) Kantar – 12 Countries ( Well-Being) PEW – 19 Countries (US Image) Ipsos Turkey – 36 Countries (Well-Being) Ipsos Global – 23 Countries (Consumer Confidence) Topic of the Week: Fortunately, Hope Continues To Be Stronger Than Despair; Survey Across 36 Countries Gilani-Gallopedia Globality Index
ASIA AND MENA Regions
774-01 BOJ Jolts Markets In Surprise Change To Yield Curve Policy (Click for Details) (Japan) The Bank of Japan shocked markets on Tuesday with a surprise tweak to its bond yield control that allows long-term interest rates to rise more, a move aimed at easing some of the costs of prolonged monetary stimulus. In a move explained as seeking to breathe life back into a dormant bond market, the BOJ decided to allow the 10-year bond yield to move 50 basis points either side of its 0% target, wider than the previous 25 basis point band. (Asahi Shimbun) December 20, 2022 3.9 Economy » Financial systems & Institutions (Top)
774-02 A Third Of S’pore Adults Expect To Spend Less On Christmas Because Of The Rising Cost Of Living (Click for Details) (Singapore) While this year was set to be the first fully post-pandemic Christmas, latest YouGov data suggests that some could be making plans for a scaled-back celebration as the rising cost of living impacts their wallets. A third (35%) say they will spend less on Christmas this year than they usually would, compared to one in ten (12%) who say they will spend more than usual. One in five (20%) expect to have a ‘normal’ Christmas, although this rises to more than a quarter (27%) among Gen Zs. (YouGov Singapore) December 20, 2022 3.4 Economy » Inflation (Top)
774-03 More Than Half (57%) Indonesians Still Don’t Have Any Plans For Spending Their Free Times During This Year-End Holiday (Click for Details) (Indonesia) Holiday is finally here. After being “forced” to stay at home during pandemic for about two years, the hype to welcome this year-end holiday is rising. According to the data above, our study figured out that more than half population (57%) still don’t have any plans for spending their free times during this year-end holiday. On the other side, we also found out some interesting facts such as even though attractive promos/discounts often attract most people in Indonesia, but at the end of this year, most Indonesians (25%) choose to visit interesting places rather than taking benefits of many year-end sale to shop (20%). (Snapcart) December 23, 2022 4.16 Society » Entertainment (Top)
AFRICA Regions
774-04 Climate Change Making Life Worse In Mauritius; Citizens Want Collective Action To Combat It (Click for Details) (Mauritius) More than two-thirds (68%) of Mauritians say floods have become more severe over the past 10 years; about half (48%) of citizens say the same about cyclones. More than seven in 10 citizens (73%) say they have heard of climate change. Among those who are aware of climate change: o Most (86%) say it is making life in Mauritius worse. o About nine in 10 believe that ordinary citizens can help curb climate change (88%), and nearly two-thirds (65%) want the government to take immediate action to limit climate change, even if it is expensive, causes job losses, or takes a toll on the economy. (Afrobarometer) 22 December 2022 4.14 Society » Environment (Top)
EURO-AMERICA Regions
EUROPE
774-05 Conservatives No Longer Most Trusted To Grow Britain’s Economy (Click for Details) (UK) The December Ipsos Political Monitor, taken 7-13 December shows in the aftermath of the September mini-Budget and November Autumn Statement, and amidst ongoing industrial unrest, the Conservatives have lost their lead over Labour on which party is most trusted to grow the British economy. When asked which party the public trust most to grow Britain’s economy, 29% of Britons trust the Conservatives and 29% trust Labour (28% say no party or don’t know). In September this year (before the mini-budget) the Conservatives led by 42% to 27%, and had been in front throughout 2022 before then. (Ipsos MORI) 19 December 2022 1.5 Domestic Politics » National Trust (Top)
774-06 A Large Majority Of Britons Disapprove Of The Government’s Handling Of Immigration (Click for Details) (UK) Immigration and asylum is a top-three issue for nearly a third of Britons (32%), up ten points since October. Seven in ten Britons (72%) disapprove of the government’s handling of immigration, including a large majority of 2019 Conservative voters (73%). But is government disapproval more related to the quantity of migrants or policy incompetence? Among those who disapprove of the government’s immigration record, the top reason given is because the government is running the system in an incompetent or chaotic way (73%). Just under half (44%) believe the government is treating people unfairly or cruelly during the process and 42% say they are letting too many people in. (YouGov UK) December 19, 2022 4.8 Society » Immigration (Top)
774-07 54% Lack Confidence In Quality Of Local NHS Services For This Winter As Concerns Over Waiting Lists Intensify (Click for Details) (UK) Six in ten, 59%, are very/fairly confident that a friend or family member would receive good care from local NHS services, 39% lack confidence (not very confident/not at all). In January 2015, a time when there were also warnings about the pressure facing the NHS over the winter, 83% were confident. Only 44% are confident local NHS services will provide high quality care to patients during this current winter, but 54% do not have much confidence. In January 2015, 72% were confident, while 16% were not. (Ipsos MORI) 20 December 2022 3.2 Economy » Consumer Confidence (Top)
774-08 With Just A Few Sleeps Until Christmas, Some Britons Hadn’t Even Started Buying Presents (Click for Details) (UK) With just a few days to go until Christmas, around two in five Britons had bought all of the gifts they intend to – but some last-minute shoppers were yet to buy any. By Monday, December 19, 44% of Britons had bought everything they needed, while 29% had bought most of the gifts they want to buy and 10% had bought at least some; 11% said they didn’t intend to buy any this season. That means that by that day, 43% of Britons intended to buy presents but had not yet finished their Christmas shopping. (YouGov UK) December 23, 2022 4.16 Society » Entertainment (Top)
774-09 Four In Ten Britons Would Support Musk Stepping Down As Twitter CEO (Click for Details) (UK) Elon Musk launched a Twitter poll this week to ask users of the platform if he should step down as the company’s CEO. The poll saw the majority of participants say “yes” to Musk quitting the role (58% yes vs 43% no). Shortly after, Musk confirmed that he will step down as soon as he finds a replacement. YouGov's polling on the issue saw four in ten Britons (40%) say they would support the billionaire stepping down, while one in eleven (9%) say they would oppose the move. (YouGov UK) December 23, 2022 4.6 Society » New Media (Top)
774-10 62% Of Russians Plan To Spend Up To 5 Thousand Rubles On New Year's Gifts; Romir Study And Fix Price (Click for Details) (Russia) Fix Price and Romir conducted a joint study among Russians in various cities on the topic of preparing for the celebration of the New Year. The survey showed that 62% of Russians are ready to allocate up to 5 thousand rubles for New Year's gifts to loved ones, 30% plan to keep within the amount of 5 to 10 thousand rubles, and 8% do not mind spending more than 10 thousand rubles. 57% of respondents intend to reduce costs this year compared to last year, the main reason for this decision is the decline in revenues this year (42%) and the increase in prices for goods (44%). (Romir) December 19, 2022 3.1 Economy » Well-Being (Top)
774-11 32% Of French People Have Already Given Up Applying For A Job Because Of Their Level Of English (Click for Details) (France) Despite a slight improvement, the French remain critical about their own level of English: only 22% of them (+3 points since 2019) consider it satisfactory, compared to 47% who, conversely, have a poor level or do not speak English at all. Yet the use of English is becoming more and more necessary. One in three workers (30%) has had exchanges in English in the last month as part of their work (+5 points), as have 27% of French people as part of their personal life (+3 points). (Ipsos France) December 20, 2022 4.10 Society » Education (Top)
774-12 30 Percent Of German Citizens Entitled To Vote Say They Would Vote For The CDU/CSU If The Bundestag Election Were Held Next Sunday (Click for Details) (Germany) 30 percent of German citizens entitled to vote say they would vote for the CDU/CSU if the Bundestag election were held next Sunday. This is the highest value for the Union since June 2022. The SPD comes to 19 percent in December (18 percent in the previous month), the Greens reach 17 percent (vs. 20 percent in November 2022). The Left Party lands at 5 percent in the Christmas month of December (vs. 7 percent in the previous month), the FDP at 7 percent (vs. 5 percent in the previous month), and the AfD reached 14 percent in the voting intention of the Germans (vs. 16 percent in the previous month). (YouGov Germany) December 22, 2022 1.4 Domestic Politics » Political Parties (Top)
774-13 Italians, Between Savings And Financial Choices (Click for Details) (Italy) Since 1982, Doxa has conducted a survey on behalf of Centro Einaudi that analyzes the motivations, objectives and choices of a representative sample of Italian savers. Here are the main findings of the 2022 "Survey on savings and financial choices of Italians" conducted for Intesa Sanpaolo and Centro Einaudi (2021 data). The share of households saving exceeds 53%, approaching pre-pandemic levels. The percentage of income saved is growing: 11.5%, from 10.9% in 2021. However, only 17% of the sample saves with a specific purpose in mind: 30% do so for purely precautionary reasons. (BVA Doxa) December 22, 2022 3.9 Economy » Financial systems & Institutions (Top)
NORTH AMERICA
774-14 In Their Own Words: Asian Immigrants’ Experiences Navigating Language Barriers In The United States (Click for Details) (USA) A little over half of Asian Americans (54%) were born outside the United States, including about seven-in-ten Asian American adults (68%). While many Asian immigrants arrived in the United States in recent years, a majority arrived in the U.S. over 10 years ago. The story of Asian immigration to the U.S. is over a century old, and today’s Asian immigrants arrived in the country at different times and through different pathways. They also trace their roots, culture and language to more than 20 countries in Asia, including the Indian subcontinent. (PEW) DECEMBER 19, 2022 4.8 Society » Immigration (Top)
774-15 Two-In-Five Christians And Three-In-Five Muslims Say They Read Bible And Qu’ran To Be Closer To God (Click for Details) (Canada) A new study by the non-profit Angus Reid Institute in partnership with Cardus finds comfort and being close with God as some of the top reasons regular readers of sacred texts such as the Bible, Qu’ran or Torah return to those books. This is especially the case for Christians and Muslims in Canada. Two-in-five Christians say a main reason they read the Bible is to be closer to God (42%) or for comfort in their life (38%). Three-in-five Muslims say the same of the Qu’ran (63% “to be closer to God”; 61% “for comfort in my life”). (Angus Reid Institute) December 21, 2022 4.1 Society » Religion (Top)
774-16 Three-In-Ten Canadians (31%) Say They’re Wearing A Mask Most Of The Time When In Public Spaces (Click for Details) (Canada) A new study from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds more than half of Canadians supportive of re-implementing mask mandates if cases of COVID-19 rise this winter. This, while just three-in-ten (31%) say they are wearing a mask more than half of the time in public spaces currently on their own volition. One-quarter (23%) of those who “never” wear a mask say they would support a mask mandate while two-thirds (65%) of those who rarely but sometimes wear one also say they would accommodate a return to mandatory masking. (Angus Reid Institute) December 22, 2022 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
AUSTRALIA
774-17 53% Of Australians Would Vote Yes To Establish An Aboriginal And Torres Strait Islander Voice To Parliament (Click for Details) (Australia) A slim majority of 53% of Australians would vote ‘Yes’ to establish an ‘Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Voice to Parliament’, compared to 30% who would vote ‘No’ and a further 17% are undecided. There are large differences based on voting intention in regards to ‘The Voice’ with 76% of ALP supporters and 89% of Greens supporters indicating they would vote ‘Yes’ to establish the ‘Voice to Parliament’. Only 9% of ALP supporters and just 2% of Greens supporters would vote ‘No’. (Roy Morgan) December 20, 2022 1.3 Domestic Politics » Governance (Top)
MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES
774-18 Global Predictions For 2023; A Study Across 36 Countries (Click for Details) As 2022 has been marked by COVID-19, international conflict, economic problems and an increasingly urgent climate crisis, many agree that it has been a challenging year. As usual, there is a marked difference between how people feel the year has been for themselves and their families and how it has affected their country as a whole. On average, in all 36 countries, over half (56%) describe 2022 as a bad year for themselves and their families. Even more (73%) say it has been a bad year for their country. And yet these figures suggest some improvement. (Ipsos Denmark) 19 December 2022 1.5 Domestic Politics » National Image (Top)
774-19 How Can Brands Adapt For A Sustainable Festive Season; Survey Across 12 Countries (Click for Details) With increased concerns about sustainability, many are starting to feel some discomfort in navigating the festive season as they think about how to have an eco-friendly end-of-year holiday without skimping on the festive magic. Across Europe, people are being particularly mindful of their energy usage this winter, including their use of decorative lights. In India, Columbia, Italy, France and Australia, people are also making an effort to eat what is in season. Exchanging gifts with friends and family is one of the top 3 most important aspects of end-of-year festivities, yet for 25% of people the exchange of presents can sometimes feel excessive. (Kantar) 21 December 2022 3.1 Economy » Well-Being (Top)
774-20 Among 19 Surveyed Countries Americans See Their Country’s Global Influence Weakening Than Getting Stronger (Click for Details) By more than a two-to-one margin, Americans say their country’s influence in the world has been getting weaker rather than stronger in recent years (47% vs. 19%), according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted this past spring. Roughly a third of U.S. adults (32%) say their nation’s influence on the global stage has stayed about the same. The United States is the lone country out of 19 surveyed where a plurality of adults say their country’s influence has been getting weaker recently. In Sweden, the Netherlands and Australia, majorities say that their country’s global influence has stayed about the same. In one country, Israel, a majority of adults say their country’s influence has gotten stronger in recent years. (PEW) DECEMBER 22, 2022 2.6 Foreign Affairs & Security » US image (Top)
774-21 Fortunately, Hope Continues To Be Stronger Than Despair; Survey Across 36 Countries (Click for Details) Although 2022 is evaluated 4 points better than the previous year for the world, 3 out of every 4 people think that 2022 is a bad year. While 77% of societies think that 2022 will be a better year, this rate has decreased to 65% for 2023. Individuals in Turkey are among the 10 countries that express the most desperate views for 2023. While 65% of individuals in the average of countries are more optimistic for 2023, this rate is 54% in Turkey. (Ipsos Turkey) December 22, 2022 3.1 Economy » Well-Being (Top)
774-22 Among 23 Countries; Global Consumer Confidence Is Holding Up (Click for Details) Ipsos’ Global Consumer Confidence Index this month reads at 45.9, up 0.4 points vs. last month. The Expectations sub-index shows its first significant increase this year (+0.5 points), while the Investment and Jobs’ sub-indices barely show any change. As 2022 comes to a close, downward trends in overall sentiment continue to be starkest in European countries, the United States, Canada, Japan and South Korea. In six of the G7 countries—the U.S., Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, and Japan—consumer confidence continues to sit near its lowest levels in more than a year. (Ipsos Global) 22 December 2022 3.2 Economy » Consumer Confidence (Top)
TOPIC OF THE WEEK Fortunately, Hope Continues To Be Stronger Than Despair; Survey Across 36 Countries uThis page is devoted to opinions of countries whose polling activity is generally not known very widely or where a recent topical issue requires special attention.
Fortunately, Hope Continues To Be Stronger Than Despair; Survey Across 36 Countries Although 2022 is evaluated 4 points better than the previous year for the world, 3 out of every 4 people think that 2022 is a bad year. In Turkey, individuals think that 2022 is a worse year for Turkey than the world average (73%) (83%). Countries are more desperate for 2023. While 77% of societies think that 2022 will be a better year, this rate has decreased to 65% for 2023. Individuals in Turkey are among the 10 countries that express the most desperate views for 2023. While 65% of individuals in the average of countries are more optimistic for 2023, this rate is 54% in Turkey. In almost all countries, the view prevails that price increases will be greater than people's incomes. The situation is similar in Turkey. 8 out of 10 people agree with this idea. 3 out of every 4 people in the world think that inflation will be higher in 2023 than in 2022. In almost all countries, this view is 70% and above. In Turkey, the rate of individuals stating that inflation will be higher than 2022 is 79%. In 2023, the rate of negative opinions about both the Turkish economy and the personal economy is around 60%. Ipsos, Turkey CEO Sidar Gedik made the following evaluations about the data; Recently, we have started to encounter the term "Polycrysis", which we can use as "Multiple Crises" in Turkish. Multiple crises are used in definitions of multiple crises occurring at the same time, resulting in greater damage than they would individually cause. The period we are going through is not a period of crisis, but a period of "crises". The Covid-19 pandemic, the Russia-Ukraine war, high inflation are the first hot crises that come to mind, but in the background, tensions in different geographies, polarizations for a sharpening society, climate change and other global problems such as migration continue to exist violently. The level at which problems are felt varies from country to country, of course, but the vast majority feel unhappy and hopeless. In only 4 of the 36 countries surveyed by Ipsos Global Advisor have less than half of those who think 2022 is a bad year for the country. Those countries are Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, China and Switzerland, and in those countries, 44-48% think 2022 is not a good year. So this is the case even in the most optimistic countries. Overall, three out of four say 2022 is bad for their country. In 15 of the 36 countries, this rate is over 80%. In the UK, which has had a year full of prime minister changes amid political uncertainties, 87% of citizens say it was a bad year for the country. 83% of the respondents from Turkey think that 2022 is a bad year for our country. The striking part is that even this negative picture is more positive than the previous 2 years. There is a 4-point improvement in the average of countries compared to 2021. So this is an improved (!) picture. Of the 36 countries, the average of those who think 2022 will be a bad year for themselves and their families is 56%. The most negative result among the 36 countries in this title is in Turkey. 72% of the respondents from our country state that 2022 is a bad year for them and their families. Fortunately, hope continues to be stronger than despair. More optimists that next year will be a better one. However, the negative outlook for the year ending also extends to the expectations for the year that will begin, where the optimism is gradually decreasing with an alarming trend. Moving from 2021 to 2022, the proportion of optimists was 77%, while the rate for 2023 decreased to 65%. The rate of optimists in Turkey decreased by 5 points compared to the previous year and became 54%. When we select high inflation among the crises, we see that the evaluation of the participants in the research is quite negative. Eight out of ten people think that next year prices will increase at a higher pace than their income. This is not only a negative picture, but one that is evolving more and more negatively, with 4% fewer people thinking this way last year. The rate of those who think this way is 80% in Turkey. 2022 was a year in which inflation began to climb for many countries. Even in advanced economies, inflation rates have been measured at levels not seen for decades. In our country, it reached unprecedented levels in the 2000s. With the shock of this situation, citizens in the 36 countries where the research was conducted believe that inflation will continue to rise in 2023. Three in four people think there will be even higher inflation next year. In Turkey (although experts predict that inflation will decrease with the base effect), the rate of citizens who think that there will be higher inflation is 79%. According to our findings in Turkey, more than half of the citizens believe that both the country's economy and their personal economic situation will be worse. In this way, there is an increase in the proportion of negative thinkers compared to last year, with six out of ten people being pessimistic. However, there is also an increase in the proportion of those who are optimistic about 2023. There will be an important election in 2023, with some of the society hoping for it, while a much larger part is pessimistic. The other finding that stands out is that in this dizzying change, those who think that their country and personal economies will remain the same are significantly decreasing. Of course, let's hope the optimists are vindicated. (Ipsos Turkey) December 22, 2022 Source: https://www.ipsos.com/tr-tr/neyseki-umut-umutsuzluktan-daha-guclu-olmaya-devam-ediyor (Top)
GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX: u The purpose of this index is to treat the Global Coverage by each issue of Gallopedia in terms of Population, National Income and estimated Power measured by G20 Membership.
GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX (Top)
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