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BUSINESS & POLITICS IN THE WORLD
GLOBAL OPINION REPORT NO.772
Week:
December 05 – December 11, 2022
Presentation: December 16, 2022
More Major Companies
Pessimistic About Japan’s Economy
Indonesian Customers’
Behavior During Qatar World Cup 2022
7 Out Of Every 10
People Are Aware Of The Discount Campaigns Made By The Companies
In November
Seven In 10 Nigerians
(70%) Say Democracy Is Preferable To Any Other Kind Of
Government
Majority Of Britons
Have An Unfavourable Opinion Of The Conservative Party
Hint Of Christmas
Relief For UK Consumers As Grocery Inflation Dips For First Time
In 21 Months
Three In Ten Britons
Can’t Afford To Heat Their Home As Much As They’d Like
One In Five Football
Fans In England Believe The World Cup Is Coming Home
After Prince Andrew,
Prince Harry And Meghan Markle Remain Britain’s Most Unpopular
Royals
Crypto, Banking And
Payment Apps Popular Among Traders
About Four In Ten US
Adults Believe Humanity Is Living In The End Times
Inflation Realities
Deflate Christmas Shopping Plans, Two In Five Cut Back On
Charitable Giving
New Christmas Spending
Forecasts Swell To $66 Billion As Aussies Set To Break New
Retail Records
57% Pakistanis As
Compared To 72% Britons Don’t Expect To Live To Be 100 Years Old
Global Consumer
Confidence Softens In 2022, A Study In 23 Countries
INTRODUCTORY NOTE
772-43-21/Commentary:
Poverty Amidst Plenty: One Out Of Four Parents In USA (25%) Say
They Are Struggling To Find Food For Their Children, Pew Poll
Amid soaring
inflation rates and
signs that the economy is approaching
a recession,
one-in-four U.S. parents say there have been times in the past
year when they could not afford food their family needed or to
pay their rent or mortgage. A similar share (24%) say they have
struggled to pay for health care their family needed, and 20% of
those who needed child care say they haven’t always had enough
money to pay for it, according to a recent Pew Research Center
survey.
Another source of financial stress for many working
parents: unexpected child-related emergencies that require time
off from work. About one-in-five parents who work at least part
time (19%) say they would be extremely or very worried about
losing pay if they needed to take a day or two off work because
of child care issues, and 9% say they’d be equally worried about
losing their job.
Lower-income parents are much more likely to say
there have been times in the past year when they did not have
enough money for basic needs. About half of lower-income parents
(52%) say they have not had enough money for food or their rent
or mortgage. By comparison, 17% of middle-income parents say the
same about each of these items, while 5% of upper-income parents
say they have struggled to pay for food and 4% for rent or a
mortgage.
Some 37% of lower-income parents say they have
struggled to pay for medical or health care for their families
at some point in the past year, compared with 21% of
middle-income and just 6% of upper-income parents. Among those
who needed child care, 38% of lower-income parents say there
have been times in the past year when they didn’t have enough
money to pay for it. Much smaller shares of middle-income (16%)
and upper-income parents (4%) say the same.
Black and Hispanic parents, who tend to have lower
incomes than their White and Asian counterparts, are especially
likely to say there have been times in the last year when they
could not afford food or housing. About four-in-ten Black
parents (39%) say they have struggled to pay their rent or
mortgage in the past year, higher than the share of Hispanic
(32%), White (19%) and Asian parents (18%) who say the same.
Black (34%) and Hispanic parents (31%) are also more
likely than White (21%) and Asian parents (16%) to say they have
not had enough money for food their family needed in the past
year.
Three-in-ten mothers – compared with 19% of fathers –
say there have been times in the past year when they did not
have enough money to buy food. Mothers are also more likely than
fathers (28% vs. 20%) to say there have been times when they did
not have enough money to pay their rent or mortgage. And while
24% of mothers who needed child care say there were times in the
past year when they weren’t able to afford it, a smaller share
of fathers (16%) say the same.
Among mothers, experiences differ by living
arrangements and marital status. Half of cohabiting mothers –
that is, those who are living with an unmarried partner – and
45% of those who are unpartnered say there have been times in
the past year when they didn’t have enough money for food. A
much smaller share of married mothers (21%) say the same.
Similarly, 52% of cohabiting mothers and 44% of
unpartnered mothers say there have been times when they didn’t
have enough money for their rent or mortgage, compared with 19%
of those who are married. These patterns are similar when it
comes to mothers’ experiences with paying for medical and child
care. (There weren’t enough cohabiting or unpartnered fathers in
the sample to analyze separately.)
Some
working parents worry about losing pay – or their job – in the
event of child care emergencies
Overall, 19% of parents who work at least part time
say they would be extremely or very worried about losing pay if
they needed to take a day or two off work to care for a sick
child or because of child
care issues,
according to the same survey. Roughly one-in-ten (9%) would be
extremely or very worried about losing their job if they needed
to take a day or two off from work for these reasons.
There are significant demographic differences within
the share of working parents who are extremely or very worried
about these possibilities.
Some 45% of employed parents with lower incomes say
they would be extremely or very worried about losing pay if they
needed to take a day or two off from work to deal with a sick
child or because of child care issues. Relatively small shares
of working parents with middle (14%) or upper (5%) incomes say
the same. In fact, most middle- and upper-income working parents
say they wouldn’t worry about this too much or at all (70% and
88%, respectively, compared with 32% of those with lower
incomes).
Working parents with lower incomes (22%) are also
more likely than those with middle (6%) and upper (1%) incomes
to say they would be extremely or very worried about losing
their job if they needed to miss a day or two of work for child
care issues. Conversely, overwhelming majorities of
middle-income (81%) and upper-income parents (90%) say they
would be not too or not at all worried about losing their job,
compared with 55% of lower-income parents.
Black (22%) and Hispanic working parents (25%) are
more likely than White (16%) and Asian parents (13%) to say they
would be extremely or very worried about losing pay if they
needed to take a day or two off work because of child care
issues. Hispanic parents are much more likely than other parents
to say they are extremely or very worried about losing their
job: 19% say this, compared with 8% of Black and Asian parents
and 5% of White parents.
Mothers who are employed are more likely than fathers
(24% vs. 14%) to say that they would be extremely or very
worried about losing pay if they needed to take a day or two off
from work for child care issues. Mothers are also more likely
than fathers (11% vs. 7%) to say they would be extremely or very
worried about losing their job. Larger shares of fathers than
mothers say they wouldn’t be too worried or wouldn’t be worried
at all about losing pay or losing their job in these
circumstances.
(PEW)
DECEMBER 7, 2022
ASIA
(Japan)
More Major Companies Pessimistic About Japan’s
Economy
More
than half of leading companies in Japan believe the economy has
stalled or is slowly contracting because of rising prices and
sluggish consumer spending, an Asahi Shimbun survey found. The
survey was conducted between Nov. 14 and 25 on 100 major
companies. The Asahi carries out two such surveys a year, in
spring and autumn. Forty-six companies in the latest survey
viewed the economy as flat, up by nine from the previous survey
conducted from May 30 to June 10. The number of companies that
feel the economy is slowly expanding fell to 46 from 59 in the
previous survey.
(Asahi
Shimbun)
December 6, 2022
(Indonesia)
Indonesian Customers’ Behavior During Qatar World
Cup 2022
The
Qatar World Cup 2022 is finally here. Lots of people from around
the world are talking about this quadrennial event on social
media. Following the hype, Snapcart conducted
a study about Indonesian customers behavior during this big
football event, and here is what we found. With 1.689 samples,
we figured out that majority of people in Indonesia (71%) are
following and watching the world cup 2022’s matches, while 13%
of our respondents confessed that they will watch Qatar World
Cup 2022 only on the final match.
(Snapcart)
December 11, 2022
(Turkey)
7 Out Of Every 10 People Are Aware Of The
Discount Campaigns Made By The Companies In November
According to half of the individuals, these campaigns ensure
that the products needed are bought at a good price. However,
61% of individuals think that these campaigns cause them to make
more purchases than necessary. On the other hand, 1 out of every
5 people is against these campaigns and 3 out of every 10 people
say that they try not to shop during this period. During the
November campaigns, 70% of shoppers say they expect them
specifically. Cleaning products and clothing/apparel are the
most preferred product categories during these campaigns. 80% of
people who shopped in November said they preferred online
channels.
December 7, 2022
AFRICA
(Nigeria)
Seven In 10 Nigerians (70%) Say Democracy Is
Preferable To Any Other Kind Of Government
Majority of Nigerians prefer democracy to any other kind of
government, but fully half describe the country as a democracy
with major problems, a new Afrobarometer study shows. Popular
dissatisfaction with how Nigeria’s democracy is working
continues to rise. Seven in 10 Nigerians (70%) say democracy is
preferable to any other kind of government. But almost
two-thirds (63%) of citizens describe the country as “a
democracy with major problems” (50%) or “not a democracy” (13%),
a 22-percentage-point increase since 2020.
(NOI
Polls)
December 5, 2022
(Malawi)
Almost Half (46%) Of Malawians Say They Felt
Unsafe At Least Once While Walking In Their Neighborhood
Almost
half (46%) of Malawians say they felt unsafe at least once while
walking in their neighbourhood during the previous year, while
one-third (32%) say they feared crime in their home at least
once. Frequent experiences of insecurity have increased since
2017. Among citizens who requested help from the police during
the previous year, 62% say it was difficult to get the
assistance they needed, and 40% say they had to pay a bribe. o
Among those who had other types of encounters with the police,
such as during traffic stops or investigations, 43% say they had
to pay a bribe to avoid problems.
(Afrobarometer)
9
December 2022
WEST EUROPE
(UK)
Majority Of Britons Have An Unfavourable Opinion
Of The Conservative Party
The
latest Ipsos Political Pulse shows Rishi Sunak just trailing
Keir Starmer when it comes to favourability. While the Labour
Leader is seen favourably by 32% of Britons, 29% view Sunak in
the same way while 38% have an unfavourable opinion of Starmer
and 39% Sunak. This gives Starmer a net score of -6 and Sunak a
score of -10. The current Chancellor of the Exchequer, Jeremy
Hunt scores -24 with 1 in 5 viewing him favourably (19%) while
the Home Secretary, Suella Braverman scores -35 with only 13%
saying they have a positive opinion of her.
(Ipsos
MORI)
5
December 2022
Hint Of Christmas Relief For UK Consumers As
Grocery Inflation Dips For First Time In 21 Months
The
rate of grocery price inflation has fallen for the first time in
nearly two years, according to our latest figures, with
four-week inflation now standing at 14.6%. Take-home grocery
sales have increased by 5.9% year on year in the 12 weeks to 27
November 2022, the fastest level of growth since March 2021. The
combination of inflation and festive spending means that the
coming month is on course to be the biggest ever for take-home
grocery sales. December looks set to be a record-breaking month
with sales going above the £12 billion mark for the first time.
(Kantar)
06
December 2022
Three In Ten Britons Can’t Afford To Heat Their
Home As Much As They’d Like
Now
YouGov’s newly released ‘heating tracker’ shows that, as of
fieldwork on 2-5 December*, just one in six Britons (18%) said
that they had the heating on and that it was both as hot as they
like and on for as long as they like. Six in ten (61%) say that
while their heating was on, it was not on for as long as they
like, not as hot as they like, or both. A further 15% say they
did not have the heating on at all. Only 9% of Britons didn’t
have the heating on or use it as much as they’d like because
they weren’t actually cold.
(YouGov
UK)
December 07, 2022
One
In Five Football Fans In England Believe The World Cup Is Coming
Home
Throughout the tournament, Brazil have remained the team
football fans in England think are most likely to lift the
trophy in the Lusail Iconic Stadium on December 18. After the
five-time winners beat South Korea 4-1 in the last 16 of the
competition, 44% of those interested in football in England
believe Brazil will add to their record haul of trophies — the
highest level for Brazil while YouGov has been tracking football
fans’ forecasts during this World Cup.
(YouGov
UK)
December 09, 2022
After Prince Andrew, Prince Harry And Meghan
Markle Remain Britain’s Most Unpopular Royals
Prince
Harry’s popularity has tumbled this winter as his wife, Meghan
Markle, continues to fall out of favour among Britons. The
popularity of prominent members of the royal family has
generally declined since November. Just a third of Britons (33%)
now have a positive opinion of him, while 59% have a negative
one. According to the latest YouGov royal favourability tracker,
that leaves him with a net score of -26, the result of
subtracting the proportion of Britons who have a negative
opinion of him from the share who have a positive one. That
represents a drop of 13 points since November and his joint
lowest score.
(YouGov
UK)
December 10, 2022
(Germany)
Crypto, Banking And Payment Apps Popular Among
Traders
Around
one in five Germans trades. But how do traders in Germany define
themselves? A study has analyzed the demographic structure of
the target group as well as their preferences and attitudes
towards financial service providers and services. Trading, i.e.
buying and selling securities, has become an important part of
the financial industry and represents a good investment for many
consumers. As digitization progresses, including in the
financial sector, trading is now almost exclusively online, and
the group of active traders is accordingly inclined towards
digital services, financial service providers and solutions.
(YouGov
Germany)
December 06, 2022
NORTH AMERICA
(USA)
Poverty Amidst Plenty: One Out Of Four Parents In
USA (25%) Say They Are Struggling To Find Food For Their
Children, Pew Poll
Amid soaring
inflation rates and
signs that the economy is approaching
a recession,
one-in-four U.S. parents say there have been times in the past
year when they could not afford food their family needed or to
pay their rent or mortgage. A similar share (24%) say they have
struggled to pay for health care their family needed, and 20% of
those who needed child care say they haven’t always had enough
money to pay for it. About one-in-five parents who work at least
part time (19%) say they would be extremely or very worried
about losing pay if they needed to take a day or two off work
because of child care issues, and 9% say they’d be equally
worried about losing their job.
(PEW)
DECEMBER 7, 2022
About Four In Ten US Adults Believe Humanity Is
Living In The End Times
In the
United States, 39% of adults say they believe “we are living in
the end times,” while 58% say they do not believe
we are living in the end times, according to a recent
Pew Research Center survey.
Christians are divided on this question, with 47% saying we are
living in the end times, including majorities in the
historically Black (76%) and evangelical (63%) Protestant
traditions. Meanwhile, 49% of Christians say we are not living
in the end times, including 70% of Catholics and 65% of mainline
Protestants who say this. Viewed more broadly, the share of
Protestants who say we are living in the end times is greater
than the corresponding share among Catholics (55% vs. 27%).
(PEW)
DECEMBER 8, 2022
(Canada)
Inflation Realities Deflate Christmas Shopping
Plans, Two In Five Cut Back On Charitable Giving
New
data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds more than
half of Canadians (56%) report that they will be spending less
on Christmas, including presents and entertaining. These
decisions are most prominent among those with lower income
levels. Approximately three-in-five (61%) of those earning less
than $50,000 annually say they are spending less on presents and
decorating this year. Fewer than half, but still 45 per cent of
those whose household incomes are above $200,000 say the same.
These same financial challenges will likely impact many struggling charities
this holiday season. Approaching two-in-five (37%) say they have
scaled back charitable giving in recent months, including
two-in-five (41%) of those over the age of 54, an age group that
has historically donated
more.
(Angus
Reid institute)
December 5, 2022
Financial Fears Mount As Most Canadians (86%, +3pts) Are
Concerned Canada Will Face A Recession Within The Next Year
Canadians continue to feel the pinch from the economic downturn
and high inflation rates for everyday items, and a new Ipsos
poll conducted exclusively for Global News finds that Canadians
see further hard times looming on the horizon: 86% express
concern that Canada will face an economic recession within the
next year, with 37% of Canadians saying they are very concerned.
(Ipsos
Canada)
7
December 2022
AUSTRALIA
New Christmas Spending Forecasts Swell To $66
Billion As Aussies Set To Break New Retail Records
Australia’s largest national retail body the Australian
Retailers Association (ARA) has bumped up its pre-Christmas
spending forecasts by another two billion, now predicting a
record $66 billion will
be spent in the November to December Christmas trading
period. The ARA holiday
sales predictions with Roy Morgan forecast
a record-breaking spend in the lead up to Christmas which is up
6.4% on last year’s spending. New South Wales is set to record a $20.8
billion spend (up 7.7%), followed by Victoria with $17.1 billion (up 5.2%), with Queensland spending
predicted to top $13.5 billion
(up 6.8%).
(Roy
Morgan)
December 06, 2022
MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES
Inflation Stayed Top Worry Of Global Citizens In
Nov; India Emerged Lowest On Inflation Worry Across 29 Markets
Almost 4 in 10 urban Indians (39%) cited Unemployment
as their top worry and the survey has shown that unemployment
has held onto its pole position for quite sometime in the
mindsets of urban Indians.
At least 91% of the
citizens of Saudi Arabia believe their country is headed in the
right direction. Followed by Indonesia (78%), which regained its
2nd spot, by nudging India to the 3rd spot in
optimism. Global citizens were downbeat with 64% of those
polled believing their country is on wrong track.
(Ipsos
India)
8
December 2022
The Rise In The Cost Of Living Is The First Area
Of Concern Worldwide (62%), A Study In 30 Countries Reveals
As a
major player in the global energy sector and committed to carbon
neutrality by 2050, EDF presents the results of an unprecedented
opinion study conducted for the 4th consecutive year by Ipsos in
30 countries on five continents. If inflation is the concern
that dominates all continents, priorities then diverge: health mobilizes Europe and North
America, while South America fears crime and delinquency more
than anywhere else; Asia remains mobilized by the Coronavirus (2e priority);
unemployment continues to worry Africa and South America, while
it has disappeared from worries in Europe and North America.
(Ipsos
France)
December 8, 2022
Source:
https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/obscop-2022-fr
57% Pakistanis As Compared To 72% Britons Don’t
Expect To Live To Be 100 Years Old
According to a survey conducted by Gallup & Gilani Pakistan, 57%
Pakistanis as compared to 72% Britons don’t expect to live to be
100 years old. A nationally representative sample of adult men
and women from across the country was asked the following
question regarding, “To what extent do you agree or disagree
with the following statements? - I expect i Will live to be 100
years old” 8% said that they totally agree, 19% said that they
somewhat agree, 18% responded somewhat disagree while 39%
responded totally disagree. Comparison between Pakistan and
Britain: The same question was asked in Britain by IPSOS (the
study can be found here) and in response, 14% said that they
expect that they will live to be 100 years old while 72%
disagreed with the statement. (Gallup Pakistan)
December 8, 2022
Source:
https://gallup.com.pk/wp/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/08-Dec_merged.pdf
Global Consumer Confidence Softens In 2022, A
Study In 23 Countries
It’s
the time of year when significant celebrations, such as
Hanukkah, Christmas, New Year’s Eve and Lunar New Year, leads to
significant pressure to splurge. Polling via Ipsos’ Global
Advisor reveals
how this growing instability could impact consumers’ decision to
splash out or cut back during what’s traditionally a busy
shopping season for many. Consumer confidence was down
significantly this
Nov. in 17 of 23 countries,
when compared to just before the invasion in late January/early
Feb. Confidence took the largest hit in Great Britain (-10 from
Feb. to 41.8 in Nov.), followed closely by Hungary (-9.9 to
30.4), Germany (-9.6 to 44.3) and Belgium (-9.6 to 38.0).
(Ipsos
Global)
9
December 2022
Source:
https://www.ipsos.com/en/data-dive-global-consumer-confidence-softens-2022
ASIA
772-43-01/Polls
More Major
Companies Pessimistic About Japan’s Economy
With
seven businesses feeling that the economy is slowly shrinking,
53 companies overall gave pessimistic assessments of the
economy, compared with 38 in the spring survey.
No
company assessed the economy as on a steady growth path,
although there were two such companies in the May-June survey.
Asked
to provide up to two sources of concern for the economy, 59
companies cited rising prices of crude oil and raw materials in
the November survey.
The
second most common concern was flagging consumer spending, cited
by 34 companies, more than double the figure in the previous
survey.
Twenty
companies mentioned the weakened yen.
Atsushi
Katsuki, president of Asahi Group Holdings Ltd., which is in the
food and beverage industry, said the prices of goods will likely
continue to increase in the coming months.
“Many
companies have yet to fully pass the surge (in fuel and raw
material prices) on to consumers,” he said.
Kensuke
Hosomi, president of Familymart Co., a chain of convenience
stores, also gave a dismal outlook on personal spending.
“Consumers will tighten their purse strings out of fear of a
squeeze on their household budgets,” he said.
The
survey also found that 24 companies are concerned about the U.S.
economy, a threefold rise from the previous survey.
Japan’s
economic recovery could stall if the U.S. economy falters as a
result of the Federal Reserve’s significant interest-rate hikes
to combat inflation.
But 46
companies in the Asahi survey estimated that Japanese economy is
on a recovery course because COVID-19 pandemic-related
restrictions on movement and other activities have been lifted.
December 6, 2022
Source:
https://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/14785900
772-43-02/Polls
Indonesian
Customers’ Behavior During Qatar World Cup 2022
On the
other side, our study also found out that most Indonesians love
to watch the world cup 2022’s matches at home with their family,
and 84% of them also love to be accompanied by certain food
and/or beverages to complete the vibes.
Interestingly, despite the fact that snacks are the most
favorite food for Indonesian people (31%) meanwhile fast foods
become the least of choice (9%) to accompany them watching
football matches, but 82% of Indonesians said that they buy the
foods and/or beverages products through delivery services. This
unique phenomenon might represent that the menu on food delivery
services are no longer dominated by fast food anymore like it
used to be.
Furthermore, 57% Indonesians confessed that the advertisements
they see while watching the world cup 2022’s matches really
affect them to consider what kind of food and/or beverage that
they are going to consume during the ongoing or upcoming
matches. This result is proven by McDonald’s as one of the
official sponsors of Qatar World Cup 2022, where it becomes
Indonesians’ most favorite among other 4 popular fast food
restaurants that also provide delivery service.
December 11, 2022
Source:
https://snapcart.global/indonesian-customers-behavior-during-qatar-world-cup-2022/
772-43-03/Polls
7 Out Of Every
10 People Are Aware Of The Discount Campaigns Made By The
Companies In November
7 out
of every 10 people are aware of the discount campaigns made by
the companies in November and half of these individuals have
shopped during these campaigns.
80% of people who shopped in November said they
preferred online channels.
Ipsos, Turkey CEO Sidar Gedik made the following evaluations
about the data;
Is
shopping in November really different?
The
emergence of the November campaigns dates back to Singles' Day
in China, i.e. 11.11 (November 11), which consists entirely of
1s in reference to loneliness. The discounts applied by the
China-based online shopping platform Aliexpress on November 11
from 2009 later spread all over the world and became one of the
most important shopping seasons of the year. With the Black
Friday brand, we are witnessing a shopping spree in dozens of
countries. Since Friday is sacred to Islam, different brands can
be used in countries where the majority of the people are
Muslim. In our country, we see versions such as "Legend Friday",
"Legend November". I also heard that the brand "White Friday" is
used in the Gulf countries.
Although it started with online shopping platforms, there is a
campaign period that has spread to other shopping channels and
has become very popular. Seven out of ten people are aware of
these campaigns. More than half of those who were aware of it
made purchases within the scope of campaigns during this period.
Although these purchases are still mainly made (70%) exclusively
on online channels, there is also a 20% who only shop for
November campaigns in stores.
70% of
shoppers say they are waiting for this period to meet their
needs. I used the word "need" specifically because the most
heavily shopped categories are cleaning products and clothing.
The shopping rate in categories such as electronics and
decoration, which are not basic needs, is low.
I must
say that as a society, we have a positive approach to the
November campaigns. Participation in the statement "I try not to
shop during this period even if I need to" is only 32%. As I
mentioned, this is an expected period to meet the needs. The
rate of those who agree with the statement "I am completely
against the November campaigns" is only 22%. Although six out of
ten people stated that they shopped more than they needed during
this period, half of the respondents thought that this was a
period when they could buy the products they "needed" at
affordable prices.
In the
fight against high inflation, it is very important for consumers
to meet basic needs at the most affordable prices. We find that
much more price research is being done, and more shopping points
are being visited for this purpose. It is certain that the
November campaigns offer a great opportunity to consumers in
this sense.
December 7, 2022
Source:
https://www.ipsos.com/tr-tr/kasimda-alisveris-hakikaten-baska-mi
AFRICA
772-43-04/Polls
Seven In 10
Nigerians (70%) Say Democracy Is Preferable To Any Other Kind Of
Government
Preference for Democracy remains High in Nigeria, but
Dissatisfaction with its Quality is Growing
Popular dissatisfaction with how Nigeria’s democracy
is working continues to rise.
Most
Nigerians support elections as the best way to choose leaders
but believe that elections don’t work well to ensure that
voters’ views are reflected or to enable voters to remove
leaders who don’t do what the people want.
The
country is preparing for general elections next year, its
seventh since returning to democracy in 1999.
Key
findings
Afrobarometer surveys
Afrobarometer is a pan-African, non-partisan survey research
network that provides reliable data on African experiences and
evaluations of democracy, governance, and quality of life.
Eight
survey rounds in up to 39 countries have been completed since
1999. Round 9 surveys (2021/2022) are currently underway.
Afrobarometer’s national partners conduct face-toface interviews
in the language of the respondent’s choice.
The
Afrobarometer team in Nigeria, led by NOIPolls, interviewed a
nationally representative sample of 1,600 adult citizens in
March 2022. A sample of this size yields country-level results
with a margin of error of +/-2.5 percentage points at a 95%
confidence level. Previous surveys were conducted in Nigeria in
2000, 2003, 2005, 2008, 2013, 2015, 2017, and 2020.
Charts
Figure
1: Support for democracy | Nigeria | 2022
Respondents were asked: Which
of these three statements is closest to your own opinion?
Statement 1: Democracy is preferable to any other kind of
government.
Statement 2: In some circumstances, a non-democratic government
can be preferable. Statement 3: For someone like me, it
doesn’t matter what kind of government we have.
Figure
2: Extent of democracy | Nigeria | 2017-2022
Respondents were asked: In
your opinion, how much of a democracy is Nigeria today?
Figure
3: Satisfaction with democracy | Nigeria | 2017-2022
Respondents were asked: Overall,
how satisfied are you with the way democracy works in Nigeria?
Figure
4: Popular support for elections | Nigeria | 2022
Respondents were asked: Which
of the following statements is closest to your view?
Statement 1: We
should choose our leaders in this country through regular, open,
and honest elections. Statement 2: Since elections sometimes produce bad results,
we should adopt other methods for choosing this country’s
leaders.
(%
who “agree” or “strongly agree” with each statement)
Figure
5: Efficacy of elections | Nigeria | 2022
Respondents were asked: Thinking
about how elections work in practice in this country, how well
do elections: Ensure that representatives to the National
Assembly reflect the views of voters? Enable voters to remove
from office leaders who do not do what the people want?
December 5, 2022
Source:
https://noi-polls.com/nigerias-democracy-afrobarometer-r9/
772-43-05/Polls
Almost Half
(46%) Of Malawians Say They Felt Unsafe At Least Once While
Walking In Their Neighborhood
Demands
for a professional and accountable police service in Malawi have
led to a number of reforms since the country’s democratisation
in 1994, reorienting the force from political control to
community service (Nyirongo, 2021; Buliyani, 2022; Monjeza,
2021; Masiye, 2021). Mindful that the police played a central
role in suppressing human freedoms during 31 years of
authoritarian rule, Malawians expect a police service that is
consistent with the modern democratic context. Yet complaints of
police brutality and corruption continue. Public protests
against the conduct of the 2019 election revealed fractured
relations between the police and the citizenry, including
accusations of politicisation of the service and use of
excessive force; it was left to the Malawian Defence Force to
manage the protests (Kuwali, 2022; Kanyongolo, 2022). Charges of
corruption have reached the service’s highest echelons, as the
country’s police chief was relieved of his duties and arrested
in June on suspicion of involvement in corrupt procurement
practices (Chimjeka, 2022). In early December, the arrest and
harassment of the director general of the Anti-Corruption Bureau
led to allegations of police collaboration with corrupt
government officials and drew the anger of many Malawians
(Kayuni, 2022). In April, after Afrobarometer released results
of its 2022 survey showing that the police are more widely
viewed as corrupt than other key state institutions, the Malawi
Police Service (2022) issued a statement acknowledging
corruption challenges and indicating that the service has been
working to improve its professionalism and image. This dispatch
reports on findings of a special survey module included in the
Afrobarometer Round 9 (2022) questionnaire to explore Malawians’
experiences and assessments of police professionalism. Overall,
citizens are quite critical of the police. Fewer than three in
10 think the police usually operate in a professional manner and
respect human rights. A majority say the police stop drivers
without good reason, use excessive force, and engage in criminal
activities, at least “sometimes.” Popular trust in the police is
fairly low amid perceptions that many officers are involved in
corruption. Many citizens report having to pay bribes to get
police assistance or avoid problems with the police. Amid
increasing feelings of insecurity, citizens continue to give the
government poor marks on crime reduction.
Key
findings
§
Almost half (46%) of Malawians say they
felt unsafe at least once while walking in their neighbourhood
during the previous year, while one-third (32%) say they feared
crime in their home at least once. Frequent experiences of
insecurity have increased since 2017.
§
Among citizens who requested help from the police during the
previous year, 62% say it was difficult to get the assistance
they needed, and 40% say they had to pay a bribe. o Among those
who had other types of encounters with the police, such as
during traffic stops or investigations, 43% say they had to pay
a bribe to avoid problems.
§ Fewer than three
in 10 Malawians (28%) say the police “often” or “always” operate
in a professional manner and respect citizens’ rights.
§ A majority of
citizens say the police at least “sometimes” stop drivers
without good reason (59%), use excessive force when managing
protests (58%) and when dealing with suspected criminals (58%),
and engage in criminal activities (58%). o But Malawians
overwhelmingly (90%) think the police are likely to take
reported cases of gender-based violence seriously.
§ More than four in
10 citizens (42%) say “most” or “all” police are corrupt, the
worst rating among 11 institutions/officials the survey asked
about. But perceived police corruption has decreased by 12
percentage points since 2017.
§ Fewer than half
of Malawians say they trust the police “somewhat” (20%) or “a
lot” (25%).
§ More than six in
10 citizens (63%) say the government is performing “fairly
badly” or “very badly” in its efforts to reduce crime, an
assessment that has held steady over the past eight years. Sense
of security The primary role of the police is to ensure the
protection of people and their property. To a great extent,
people’s sense of security will depend on how effectively the
police perform this role.
Survey
responses show that nearly half (46%) of Malawians report
feeling unsafe at least once while walking in their
neighbourhood during the previous year, including 36% who had
this experience “several times,” “many times,” or “always”
(Figure 1). One-third (32%) of citizens say they feared crime in
their home at least once during the previous 12 months,
including 21% who did so “several times,” “many times,” or
“always.”
During
the past decade, these feelings of insecurity peaked in 2014,
when about one-third of citizens reported feeling unsafe in the
neighbourhood (33%) and fearing crime at home (35%) at least
“several times” (Figure 2). Both numbers dipped in 2017 (to 24%
and 16%, respectively) but have risen again since then.
Men and
women are about equally likely to report these experiences of
insecurity (Figure 3). But insecurity is considerably higher
among poor citizens (44% felt unsafe walking, 28% feared crime)
than among their better-off counterparts (23% and 11%,
respectively, among those with no or low lived poverty).1 Urban
residents experience greater insecurity than rural dwellers. And
the Central Region has higher levels of insecurity than the
Southern and Northern regions.
Police/security presence Security installations and the presence
of security personnel may affect people’s sense of security. As
part of their data collection process, Afrobarometer field teams
make on-theground observations in each census enumeration area
(EA) they visit about services and facilities that are available
in the area. Since the EAs visited are selected to represent the
population of the country as a whole, these data provide
reliable indicators of infrastructure and service availability.
In
Malawi, Afrobarometer teams found that about one-third (32%) of
EAs had a police station within walking distance, while police
personnel or police vehicles were observed in 14% of EAs (Figure
4). Other signs of security-related activity were less common,
including soldiers or military vehicles (4%), roadblocks by
private security or the local community (4%), and roadblocks by
the police or army (1%). The share of citizens who felt unsafe
or feared crime does not vary significantly based on whether
they have a police station in the area.
Encounters with the police Descriptions of Malawians’ encounters
with the police shed light on the nature of policing in the
country. Only one in 10 citizens (10%) say they requested
assistance from the police during the previous 12 months. Three
times as many (32%) encountered the police in other (often
involuntary) situations, such as at checkpoints, during identity
checks or traffic stops, or during an investigation (Figure 5).
Among respondents who say they asked for help from the police,
more than six in 10 (62%) say it was “difficult” or “very
difficult” to obtain the assistance they needed, while only 38%
found the process easy (Figure 6). Moreover, four in 10 (40%) of
those who sought assistance say they had to pay a bribe, give a
gift, or do a favour to get the needed service (Figure 7).
Among
citizens who had encounters with the police in other situations,
more than four in 10 (43%) say they had to pay a bribe to avoid
problems, including 17% who say this happened “often” (Figure
8).
To
summarise the experience among all Malawian adults during the
past year, more than one in six (16%) paid a bribe at least once
to get police assistance, to avoid a problem with the police, or
both. Police conduct Fewer than three in 10 Malawians (28%) say
the police “often” or “always” operate in a professional manner
and respect the rights of all citizens. Almost half (45%) hold
the view that the police “rarely” or “never” operate
professionally, while 24% say they “sometimes” do (Figure 9).
With
respect to improper police conduct, about six in 10 Malawians
assert that the police “sometimes” (18%), “often” (26%), or
“always” (14%) stop drivers without good reason (Figure 10).2
Majorities also say the police at least “sometimes” use
excessive force during protests (58%), use excessive force when
dealing with suspected criminals (58%), and engage in criminal
activities (58%), including 33% who believe the police “often”
or “always” engage in each of these improper practices. Only
about one-third of citizens think these practices are rare or
unheard of.
Contrary to these fairly negative views of police conduct,
Malawians have high confidence in the police service’s attitude
toward reported cases of gender-based violence (GBV). Eight in
10 respondents (80%) say the police are “very likely” to take
reports of GBV seriously, in addition to 10% who think they are
“somewhat likely” to do so (Figure 11).
Police
corruption Considering that substantial proportions of the
population report having to pay bribes to get police assistance
or avoid problems with the police, it is perhaps not surprising
that the police are more widely seen as corrupt than 10 other
public institutions/officials that the survey asked about. More
than four in 10 citizens (42%) say “most” or “all” police
officers are corrupt, outpacing perceived widespread corruption
among tax officials (39%), business executives (38%), officials
in the Presidency (37%), and civil servants (37%) (Figure 12).
In addition, 43% of respondents believe that “some” police
officials are corrupt.
Perceptions that most/all police in Malawi are corrupt spiked in
Afrobarometer’s 2017 survey, when a majority (54%) expressed
this view, and have declined by 12 percentage points since then
(Figure 13).
Trust
in the police While perceptions of corruption are fairly high,
public trust in the Malawian police is relatively low. Fewer
than half (46%) of citizens say they trust the police “somewhat”
(20%) or “a lot” (25%), while a majority express “just a little”
trust (28%) or no trust at all (25%) (Figure 14).
This
contrasts starkly with the trust citizens express in the
Malawian Defence Force (74%), which is the most trusted of the
public institutions that survey respondents were asked to assess
(Figure 15). Religious leaders (71%), the courts (62%), and
traditional leaders (58%) also outrank the police in popular
trust, while the Malawi Electoral Commission and political
figures and bodies are less trusted than the police.
Government performance on reducing crime More than six in 10
Malawians (63%) say the government is faring “fairly badly” or
“very badly” in its efforts to reduce crime. Only one-third
(34%) think the government is doing a good job on crime (Figure
16).
Assessments of the government’s performance on reducing crime
have been stable since 2014, after dropping from a high point
(68% approval) in 2008 (Figure 17)
Conclusion This survey establishes that a majority of Malawians
don’t think their police operate professionally and respect
citizens’ rights. Too widely, the police are seen as neither
trustworthy nor particularly effective: Many citizens find it
difficult to get police assistance, have to pay bribes, and are
dissatisfied with the government’s performance on crime
reduction. Negative views of the police have serious
implications. Lack of trust and perceived unprofessionalism and
abusive practices are threats to public compliance with the law
and may contribute to cases of people taking the law into their
own hands. A climate of insecurity is a threat to well-being and
economic development. These findings suggest that the agenda of
police reforms has not yet been completed.
9 December 2022
WEST EUROPE
772-43-06/Polls
Majority Of Britons Have An Unfavourable Opinion Of The
Conservative Party
The two party leaders have significantly better
scores than other leading politicians:
Party
Favourability
Unfortunately for the Conservatives, Sunak’s relative
popularity does not translate into opinions of the party itself.
With a current net score of -32, just 1 in 5 (20%) have a
favourable view of the Conservative Party, 52% negative, down
from 56% in October. Meanwhile, Labour score just -1, with 37%
positive and 38% negative and little change since last month.
This means the Conservatives score lower than any
other party on this list with the Green Party scoring -9
(24% favourable and 33% unfavourable) and the Lib Dems scoring
-15 (21% favourable, 36% unfavourable).
Direction of the country
Just over 3 in 5 Britons now believe the country is
heading in the wrong direction (62%), falling slightly from 69%
in October. Fourteen per cent say the country is heading the
right way, up from 9% last month.
Keiran
Pedley, Director of Politics at Ipsos,
said:
These
numbers show the extent of Rishi Sunak’s challenge as he seeks
to win the Conservatives a fifth consecutive term in office at
the next General Election. Whilst his own personal poll ratings
are solid and comparable to his opposite number Keir Starmer, 6
in 10 Britons think things are heading in the wrong direction
and a majority are unfavourable towards the Conservative Party
itself. Numbers that do not point to re-election for the
governing party.
5
December 2022
Source:
https://www.ipsos.com/en-uk/majority-britons-have-unfavourable-opinion-conservative-party
772-43-07/Polls
Hint Of
Christmas Relief For UK Consumers As Grocery Inflation Dips For
First Time In 21 Months
As we move into the busiest time of the year for
supermarkets, there are signs that the pace of grocery price
inflation is easing off slightly as we saw a small dip of 0.1
percentage points this month – the first drop in 21 months.
Grocery inflation still has a long way to come down though and
based on the current rate, shoppers will have to spend an extra
£60 in December to buy the same items as last year. The cost of
a traditional Christmas dinner for four has hit £31 in 2022, an
example of just how much rising prices are impacting people at
the tills and in their daily lives.
The combination of inflation and festive spending
means that the coming month is on course to be the biggest ever
for take-home grocery sales. December looks set to be a
record-breaking month with sales going above the £12 billion
mark for the first time. We’re
expecting Friday 23 December to be the busiest day for
pre-Christmas shopping.
Consumers are
leaving their seasonal purchases later this year as they try to
manage budgets in the run up to Christmas Day. Sales of mince
pies, Christmas
puddings and Christmas confectionery are worth 2%
more than last year, but this rise can largely be put down to
higher prices. If we look at the amount of people buying these
items and the overall number of purchases made, then sales are
actually down on 2021.
We’re seeing yet more evidence of the coping
strategies shoppers are adopting to mitigate rising costs, and
in particular own label sales are growing at pace, now up 11.7%
year on year. The cheapest value own label lines have soared by
46.3%, but people still want to find room for treats at this
time of year and this is driving growth at the other end of the
spectrum too. Premium own label sales are up by 6.1% to £461
million in November.
Shopping frequency highest since the pandemic
The number of times people visited the supermarkets
hit a new high this period. Households went grocery shopping
more than 48 times in the 12 weeks to 27 November, that’s the
highest frequency we’ve recorded since April 2020. This is
largely about the gradual return to pre-COVID behaviours –
something we’ve been following for many months.
As the men’s FIFA World Cup tournament continues, the
excitement around England’s performance and Wales’ first cup
showing in 64 years hasn’t translated into rapid sales rises at
the supermarkets. We haven’t seen a big World Cup effect –
at least not yet. Take-home beer sales nudged up slightly in the
last four weeks, covering the first week of the tournament, by
5% to £230 million, but mostly due to increased prices. Many
people are taking the chance to enjoy a social pint while
watching the games in bars and pubs, whereas last year we were
in the middle of a COVID resurgence so consumers were limiting
their movements and going out less. We’re likely to be marking
the impact of that comparison with higher at-home volumes one
year ago. Crisp and snacks have fared better this winter,
however, with sales up by 18%.
Aldi and Lidl combined share reaches 16.7%
The strong growth of the discounters continued over
the latest 12 weeks with both Aldi and Lidl opening new stores
across Britain. Lidl’s year-on-year sales increased by
22.0%, pushing its market share to a record 7.4%. An additional
1.5 million households shopped with Aldi compared with 2021 as
it grew sales by 24.4% to claim 9.3% of the market.
Asda’s sales grew ahead of the sector, up by 6.1%,
keeping its share steady at 14.0%. Tesco’s market share is at
27.2% as its sales rose by 3.9%. The second largest retailer,
Sainsbury’s, pushed up sales by 4.3% this period.
Convenience retailer Co-op increased sales by 3.5%
and achieved 6.0% market share. Waitrose’s market share is at
4.5% while Iceland’s sales grew by 6.1%, as its share remained
at 2.3%. Ocado’s market share is slightly down at 1.7%,
with sales declines concentrated in its traditional south east
and London heartland. However, the online specialist continues
to expand its reach in northern England.
06
December 2022
772-43-08/Polls
Three
In Ten Britons Can’t Afford To Heat Their Home As Much As They’d
Like
Just
one in six Britons have the heating on as much as they like
With the days getting colder, average energy bills
are twice as higher than they were this time last year, and many
Britons are cutting back on their heating use.
Why
aren’t people putting the heating on, or using it as much as
they want?
Unsurprisingly, financial reasons top the list of
reasons for not using the heating. Three in ten Britons (29%)
said that they can’t afford to heat their home as much as I
would like to. A further 15% said that although they can afford
to heat their home, they need to save the money for other
essentials.
One in five (22%) said that they can afford to heat
their home, but prefer to save the money.
*The
vast majority of respondents will have answered the question on
2 December, and therefore have been referring to 1 December.
December 07, 2022
772-43-09/Polls
One In
Five Football Fans In England Believe The World Cup Is Coming
Home
One in
seven of the wider population think England will lift the trophy
And then there were eight. As the 2022 World Cup
enters the quarter-finals stage, YouGov’s World Cup tracker has
revealed that 20% of people living in England who say they are
very or fairly interested in watching football believe Gareth
Southgate’s side is the most likely of the remaining contenders
to win the competition.
On Saturday, England face current holders France, a
side who one in six football fans in England (17%) believe will
retain the trophy. Those interested in football in England are
less convinced of Argentina’s chances, however, with only 5%
believing Lionel Messi will lift the trophy in what
could well be his last World Cup.
One in
seven people in England believe Gareth Southgate’s side will
return from Qatar with the trophy
Following the Three Lions’ 3-0 win over Senegal on
December 4, one in seven people in England (14%) believe Harry
Kane will lift the trophy in Qatar. A similar number of English
people also believe that France can win the World Cup, with
13% saying England’s quarter-final opponents can retain their
title.
As with those interested in football, the wider
population in England also believe Brazil are the favourites to
return home with the World Cup. A quarter (27%) say that Thiago
Silva will lift the trophy to make it six World Cup titles for
the Brazilians.
December 09, 2022
772-43-10/Polls
After
Prince Andrew, Prince Harry And Meghan Markle Remain Britain’s
Most Unpopular Royals
The
popularity of the Duke and Duchess of Sussex slumped ahead of
the launch of their documentary series
The popularity of prominent members of the royal
family has generally declined since November.
But the proportion of people who say they have a
positive opinion of the Duke and Duchess of Sussex has dropped
significantly.
This week saw the royal pair grab headlines across
the globe as a Netflix documentary purporting to give the
officially sanctioned inside scoop on their lives began to air.
In the weeks ahead of its launch, however, public
opinion of Prince Harry slumped – just a
third of Britons (33%) now have a positive opinion of him, while
59% have a negative one.
According to the latest YouGov royal favourability tracker, that
leaves him with a net score of -26, the result of subtracting
the proportion of Britons who have a negative opinion of him
from the share who have a positive one. That represents a drop
of 13 points since November and his joint lowest score.
That’s the same position where Prince Harry was in
May, when the tracker recorded his lowest ever score before
opinions softened and his popularity was boosted around the time
of the late Queen’s death in September (when he had a net score
of +1).
Meghan Markle is now looked upon positively by just a
quarter of Britons (25%), with Prince Andrew (7%) the only royal
family member with less popularity among the public.
Nearly two-thirds of people (64%) now have a negative
opinion of the Duchess, giving her a net score of -39, a 7 point
drop since November.
More than eight in ten 65-and-overs (84%) say they
have a negative opinion of the Duchess of Sussex, including 70%
who have a “very negative” opinion.
Older
Britons far prefer Prince William to his brother Prince Harry
The only age group more likely to hold a slightly
more positive opinion than a negative opinion of Meghan Markle
is the 18 to 24 year-olds, 40% think positively of her, while
38% think negatively.
Prince Harry’s favourability also remains highest
among the younger generations, while he has fallen out of favour
with many older people.
YouGov’s tracker shows half of 18 to 24 year-olds
(49%) and 73% of 25 to 49 year-olds think positively of the
prince (29% and 18%, respectively, think negatively).
But older people are far more likely to prefer his
brother and his wife than they are Harry and Meghan.
The popularity of Prince William and Princess
Catherine has also declined this winter; the Prince of Wales now
has a net score of +69 (a 7 point drop since November) while the
Princess of Wales has a net score of +64 (-7).
That makes the pair currently the most popular royals
– and especially among the 65-and-overs, who have an
overwhelmingly positive view of them. Nearly nine in ten of that
age group (89%) have a positive opinion of Catherine, while the
same proportion think positively of her husband (89%).
The Prince and Princess of Wales are most unpopular
among the 18 to 24 year-olds, with 31% thinking negatively of
Prince William and the same proportion holding a negative
opinion of his wife.
However, among all age groups they are thought of
more positively than negatively.
Aside from William and Catherine, the most popular
royal is currently Princess Anne (72% hold a positive opinion).
Prince Andrew is the most unpopular, with just 7% of
Britons holding a positive opinion and 86% a negative one –
though with a net score of -79 his is the only rating that has
stayed steady among the public.
December 10, 2022
772-43-11/Polls
Crypto,
Banking And Payment Apps Popular Among Traders
Trading, i.e. buying and selling securities, has
become an important part of the financial industry and
represents a good investment for many consumers. As digitization
progresses, including in the financial sector, trading is now
almost exclusively online, and the group of active traders is
accordingly inclined towards digital services, financial service
providers and solutions. This is shown by data from the YouGov
target group analysis "Trader in Deutschland". The majority of traders (72 percent) have downloaded a banking
app, many use online financial service providers and more than a
quarter are even willing to give up the bank account and use
cryptocurrency instead (27 percent).
Who are
the traders?
The YouGov data reveals that just over one in five
Germans now trades (22 percent), and that trading in stocks and
securities is widespread, especially among younger men. 70
percent of German traders are men between the ages of 25 and 34,
29 percent of the target group have a migration background (vs.
18 percent of the total population). Traders are career-oriented
and often higher up the career ladder as senior executives (12
vs. 6 percent of the total population). Almost half (47 percent)
are willing to sacrifice their free time to advance their
careers (vs. 29 percent of the total population). More than a
quarter of traders see investing as a top priority in financial
matters (27 percent), 46 percent have equities as investment
products, 33 percent exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and 28 percent
equity funds. Risk appetite on the stock market tends to be high
among this target group: More than half of traders (55 percent)
like to take risks on the stock market (vs. 19 percent of the
total population).
Financial service providers used among traders
It is striking that traders at Deutsche Bank as a
branch bank are significantly the most frequent current
customers compared to the general population (13 percent vs. 6
percent). Furthermore, they are more frequent customers of the
direct and online banks N26, DKB, comdirect and Consorsbank. For
future accounts and services, this target group most often
considers ING (23 vs. 16 percent of the total population), but
also Deutsche Bank (17 vs. 9 percent) and Commerzbank (17 vs. 12
percent). Of the neo-brokers surveyed by YouGov, Trade Republic
ranks first: One in four traders currently uses the online
broker, while Scalable Capital is only used by just under one in
eight (13 percent).
But cryptocurrency is also very popular among
traders: More than a quarter of the target group (27 percent) is
willing to use cryptocurrency instead of bank accounts and
traditional currency. In comparison, the willingness to use
cryptocurrency is almost three times as high as in the general
population (10 percent). Traditional banks and financial service
providers may struggle to retain the group of traders in the
future, with nearly half of traders (50 percent) seeing
cryptocurrency as the future of online financial promotions (vs.
31 percent of the total population).
Improvement requests for digital financial services
The willingness to use digital financial services
among traders is high. Compared to all Germans, the banking app
from comdirect was downloaded significantly most frequently (17
vs. 9 percent of the total population). In second place is the
ING and the DKB. But there are obstacles when it comes to daily
app use. Compared to all Germans, traders most frequently cite
the reason for not using banking apps as being that their
banking transactions are too complex to carry out on a mobile
device (17 vs. 5 percent). 10 percent say there are no optimized
banking apps for their smartphones/tablets (vs. 4 percent).
Although security concerns about banking apps are lower among
traders than in the general population (23 vs. 28 percent),
three out of ten traders do not want to store their banking
details on a smartphone, and almost a quarter are afraid of
theft of the smartphone and thus their own financial data (23
percent). We discussed the topic of security in banking apps in
a previous article.
Target
group with potential
Active German traders currently make up just under a
quarter of the total population in Germany, so the target group
has a lot of potential for financial service providers. Traders
are very active in the financial market, are open to new digital
offers and services and, thanks to their activities in the
industry, often point out security gaps and untapped potential
of digital financial service providers – a good target group for
future-oriented financial companies.
December 06, 2022
NORTH AMERICA
772-43-12/Polls
Poverty
Amidst Plenty: One Out Of Four Parents In USA (25%) Say They Are
Struggling To Find Food For Their Children, Pew Poll
Amid soaring
inflation rates and
signs that the economy is approaching
a recession,
one-in-four U.S. parents say there have been times in the past
year when they could not afford food their family needed or to
pay their rent or mortgage. A similar share (24%) say they have
struggled to pay for health care their family needed, and 20% of
those who needed child care say they haven’t always had enough
money to pay for it, according to a recent Pew Research Center
survey.
How we
did this
Another source of financial stress for many working
parents: unexpected child-related emergencies that require time
off from work. About one-in-five parents
who work at least part time (19%) say they would be extremely or
very worried about losing pay if they needed to take a day or
two off work because of child care issues, and 9% say they’d be
equally worried about losing their job.
Lower-income parents are much more likely to say
there have been times in the past year when they did not have
enough money for basic needs. About half of lower-income parents
(52%) say they have not had enough money for food or their rent
or mortgage. By comparison, 17% of middle-income parents say the
same about each of these items, while 5% of upper-income parents
say they have struggled to pay for food and 4% for rent or a
mortgage.
Some 37% of lower-income parents say they have
struggled to pay for medical or health care for their families
at some point in the past year, compared with 21% of
middle-income and just 6% of upper-income parents. Among those
who needed child care, 38% of lower-income parents say there
have been times in the past year when they didn’t have enough
money to pay for it. Much smaller shares of middle-income (16%)
and upper-income parents (4%) say the same.
Black and Hispanic parents, who tend to have lower
incomes than their White and Asian counterparts, are especially
likely to say there have been times in the last year when they
could not afford food or housing. About four-in-ten Black
parents (39%) say they have struggled to pay their rent or
mortgage in the past year, higher than the share of Hispanic
(32%), White (19%) and Asian parents (18%) who say the same.
Black (34%) and Hispanic parents (31%) are also more
likely than White (21%) and Asian parents (16%) to say they have
not had enough money for food their family needed in the past
year.
Three-in-ten mothers – compared with 19% of fathers –
say there have been times in the past year when they did not
have enough money to buy food. Mothers are also more likely than
fathers (28% vs. 20%) to say there have been times when they did
not have enough money to pay their rent or mortgage. And while
24% of mothers who needed child care say there were times in the
past year when they weren’t able to afford it, a smaller share
of fathers (16%) say the same.
Among mothers, experiences differ by living
arrangements and marital status. Half of cohabiting mothers –
that is, those who are living with an unmarried partner – and
45% of those who are unpartnered say there have been times in
the past year when they didn’t have enough money for food. A
much smaller share of married mothers (21%) say the same.
Similarly, 52% of cohabiting mothers and 44% of
unpartnered mothers say there have been times when they didn’t
have enough money for their rent or mortgage, compared with 19%
of those who are married. These patterns are similar when it
comes to mothers’ experiences with paying for medical and child
care. (There weren’t enough cohabiting or unpartnered fathers in
the sample to analyze separately.)
Some
working parents worry about losing pay – or their job – in the
event of child care emergencies
Overall, 19% of parents who work at least part time
say they would be extremely or very worried about losing pay if
they needed to take a day or two off work to care for a sick
child or because of child
care issues, according to the same survey. Roughly
one-in-ten (9%) would be extremely or very worried about losing
their job if they needed to take a day or two off from work for
these reasons.
There are significant demographic differences within
the share of working parents who are extremely or very worried
about these possibilities.
Some 45% of employed parents with lower incomes say
they would be extremely or very worried about losing pay if they
needed to take a day or two off from work to deal with a sick
child or because of child care issues. Relatively small shares
of working parents with middle (14%) or upper (5%) incomes say
the same. In fact, most middle- and upper-income working parents
say they wouldn’t worry about this too much or at all (70% and
88%, respectively, compared with 32% of those with lower
incomes).
Working parents with lower incomes (22%) are also
more likely than those with middle (6%) and upper (1%) incomes
to say they would be extremely or very worried about losing
their job if they needed to miss a day or two of work for child
care issues. Conversely, overwhelming majorities of
middle-income (81%) and upper-income parents (90%) say they
would be not too or not at all worried about losing their job,
compared with 55% of lower-income parents.
Black (22%) and Hispanic working parents (25%) are
more likely than White (16%) and Asian parents (13%) to say they
would be extremely or very worried about losing pay if they
needed to take a day or two off work because of child care
issues. Hispanic parents are much more likely than other parents
to say they are extremely or very worried about losing their
job: 19% say this, compared with 8% of Black and Asian parents
and 5% of White parents.
Mothers who are employed are more likely than fathers
(24% vs. 14%) to say that they would be extremely or very
worried about losing pay if they needed to take a day or two off
from work for child care issues. Mothers are also more likely
than fathers (11% vs. 7%) to say they would be extremely or very
worried about losing their job. Larger shares of fathers than
mothers say they wouldn’t be too worried or wouldn’t be worried
at all about losing pay or losing their job in these
circumstances.
DECEMBER 7, 2022
772-43-13/Polls
About
Four In Ten US Adults Believe Humanity Is Living In The End
Times
Periods of catastrophe and anxiety, such as the coronavirus
pandemic, have historically led some people to anticipate
that the destruction of the world as we know it – the “end
times” – is near. This thinking often has a religious
component that draws on sacred scripture. In Christianity,
for example, these beliefs include expectations that Jesus will
return to Earth after or amid a time of great turmoil.
How we
did this
In the United States, 39% of adults say they believe
“we are living in the end times,” while 58% say they do not believe
we are living in the end times, according to a recent
Pew Research Center survey.
About three-in-ten or fewer people from non-Christian
religions (29%) and those with no religious affiliation (23%)
say we are living in the end times. (Jews, Muslims, Buddhists,
Hindus and other smaller non-Christian religious groups are
included in the survey and represented in the “other religions”
category, but there were not
enough respondents in these groups to analyze separately.)
In addition, Black Americans (68%) are much more
likely than Hispanic (41%), White (34%) and Asian (33%)
Americans to believe humanity is living in the end times. And
adults in Southern states (48%) are more likely to say this than
those living in the Midwest (37%), Northeast (34%) or West
(31%).
Americans without college degrees are more likely
than college graduates to believe humanity is approaching its
end, as are Americans with lower income levels when compared
with those with higher incomes. And Republicans and
Republican-leaning independents are more likely than Democrats
and Democratic leaners to express this belief.
Pew Research Center asked Americans about the end
times as part of a wider survey
about religion and the environment, partly to assess whether
views about the end times are related to views on the
environment.
Views
about Jesus’ return to Earth
The survey also explored Americans’ views about a
core tenet of Christianity: the belief
that Jesus will eventually return to Earth, in what is often
called the “second coming.”
When asked if Jesus “will return to Earth someday,”
more than half of all U.S. adults (55%), including
three-quarters of Christians, say this will happen. Protestants
in the evangelical (92%) and historically Black (86%) traditions
are more likely than other Christians to say there will
eventually be a second coming of Jesus. Roughly four-in-ten
Americans either do not believe Jesus will return to Earth (25%)
or say they do not believe in Jesus (16%).
Respondents who said they believe Jesus will return
to Earth were also asked how certain they are that this will
happen during their lifetime.
One-in-ten Americans say they believe the second coming of Jesus
will definitely or probably occur during their lifetime, 27% are
not sure if Jesus will return in their lifetime, and 19% say the
return of Jesus will definitely or probably not occur
during their lifetime.
The proportion of Americans who say they believe
Jesus will definitely or probably return during their lifetime
is higher among Protestants in the historically Black tradition
(22%) and evangelical Protestants (21%), and lower among
Catholics (7%) and mainline Protestants (6%). And the share of
Black (19%) and Hispanic (14%) Americans who believe that the
second coming of Jesus will likely occur during their lifetime
is greater than the corresponding share of White, non-Hispanic
Americans (8%).
That said, in all religious groups, people are more
likely to express uncertainty over the timing of Jesus’ return
than to express the sense that it will happen in their lifetime.
For example, about seven-in-ten evangelicals say either that
they are not sure Jesus will return during their lifetime (50%)
or that Jesus will definitely or probably not return
during their lifetime (21%). And nearly two-thirds of those in
the historically Black Protestant tradition say they are either
unsure of the timing (47%) or that it will probably or
definitely not happen
during their lifetime (17%).
Additional views about end-times theology
The survey also asked about other
beliefs often associated with end-times theology: Whether
Jesus will return after a worsening of
global conditions leads to a low point for humanity (a view
consistent with a theological belief known as “premillennialism”),
or whether Jesus will return after an improvement
in conditions leads to a high point of peace and
prosperity (a view consistent with a belief called
“postmillennialism”).
Evangelicals are divided on questions about the
circumstances of Jesus’ return, with 44% taking a premillennial
stance and 45% saying that it is impossible to know the
circumstances that will precede Jesus’ return. Fewer Catholics
(15%) and Protestants in the historically Black (27%) and
mainline (18%) traditions believe Jesus’ return will be preceded
by a global deterioration. Instead, members of historically
Black churches (51%), Catholics (44%) and mainline Protestants
(41%) are more likely to say it is impossible to know what will
happen before Jesus’ return.
DECEMBER 8, 2022
772-43-14/Polls
Inflation Realities Deflate Christmas Shopping Plans, Two In
Five Cut Back On Charitable Giving
As snow blankets most of the country, Canadians are
simultaneously trying to dig out from under the inflation that
has burdened them for most of the year. With holiday
preparations underway, many are cutting back on seasonal
spending.
These same financial challenges will likely impact
many struggling charities
this holiday season. Approaching two-in-five (37%) say they have
scaled back charitable giving in recent months, including
two-in-five (41%) of those over the age of 54, an age group that
has historically donated more.
All this comes at the end of one of the most
financially difficult years in recent memory for many Canadians.
Half (50%) say they are financially worse off now than they were
at this time last year, the highest level seen in ARI’s tracking
dating back to 2010. Few (13%) have seen their financial picture
brighten in the last 12 months.
There is not much in the way of personal financial
optimism among Canadians as they look ahead to 2023, either.
One-in-five (20%) believe their economic situation will improve
in the next 12 months. Twice as many (41%) believe they’ll tread
water, while three-in-ten (31%) see their finances
deteriorating.
More
Key Findings:
About
ARI
The Angus
Reid Institute (ARI) was founded in October 2014 by
pollster and sociologist, Dr. Angus Reid. ARI is a national,
not-for-profit, non-partisan public opinion research foundation
established to advance education by commissioning, conducting
and disseminating to the public accessible and impartial
statistical data, research and policy analysis on economics,
political science, philanthropy, public administration, domestic
and international affairs and other socio-economic issues of
importance to Canada and its world.
Note:
Because its small population precludes drawing discrete samples
over multiple waves, data on Prince Edward Island is not
released.
INDEX:
Part
One: Inflation squeezes holiday spending
Part
Two: A difficult financial year
Part
One: Inflation squeezes holiday spending, charitable giving
After a year-long battle by the Bank of Canada
against inflation, there are signs the tide
is turning. Price growth for food has
slowed, while gas prices are
down from mid-year peaks. Still, Canadians can be forgiven
if they do not yet celebrate victory. Consumers will be holiday
shopping with increased prices all around them. In October,
Statistics Canada’s Consumer Price Index still showed a
6.9 per cent increase over the same time last year.
Though inflation may be burning less intensely,
Canadians are still feeling the blisters from a year of
scorching prices. Approaching nine-in-ten (87%) say they have
cut back spending in some way in recent months, up from 80 per
cent in August. Two-thirds (64%) have cut back on discretionary
spending, while significant numbers have delayed a major
purchase (44%), cut back on trips in the car (38%), scaled back
charitable giving (37%) or cancelled vacation plans (37%).
Notably, as most
Canadians prepare to celebrate Christmas, a majority (56%)
say they’ve reduced the amount of Christmas spending they are
doing this year, cutting back on decorations, entertainment or
presents:
Households earning six figures or more annually are
less likely to be trimming holiday spending than lower income
households, but more than two-in-five in all income brackets say
they’ll be more Scrooge-like in their Christmas spending this
season:
The
season of giving?: Costs up for charities, donations down
For many, charitable giving appears to be another
casualty of this inflationary environment. This, as charities
across the country are struggling with their own rising
costs, and depressed
donations.
Older Canadians are more likely to say they are
donating less to cut back on spending in recent months.
Two-in-five of those over the age of 54 say they have been
cutting back on charitable donations. This is especially notable
because older Canadians are
much more likely to give, and give
more, than younger generations.
The
highest earning Canadians are the least likely to be
scaling back donations to charitable causes at one-third (32%).
However, the likelihood of curbing donations varies little
across income demographics:
Part
Two: A difficult financial year
Half of
Canadians say they are worse off financially this year than last
A year of high inflation has taken its toll on
Canadians. Half say they are worse off financially than they
were at this time last year, a rate not seen in more than a
decade of tracking by the Angus Reid Institute. Few (13%) say
they are better off:
At least half in all provinces except Quebec say
their financial situation has deteriorated over the last year.
There are more with negative financial self-assessments in
Saskatchewan (59%) and Nova Scotia (57%) than other provinces.
The federal government announced a $4.6
billion relief package for low income Canadians and many
provincial governments have announced or delivered inflation
relief programs over the past four months, but the results
appear modest at this point:
Younger Canadians are more likely than older ones to
believe themselves to be in a better financial position over the
last year. One-in-four (24%) 18- to 34-year-olds say they are
better off than they were last year at this time. Nearly all
(92%) those aged 55 or older see themselves treading financial
water, or heading further under, after the last 12 months (see
detailed tables).
Higher income households are more positive in their
self-financial assessment. However, pluralities of those earning
$100,000 to $200,000 annually, and two-in-five in the highest
income households, say their financial picture has worsened. At
least half in all income brackets of less than $100,000 say the
last year has had a negative impact on their finances:
Optimism drops heading into new year
Canadians’ financial optimism has also declined over
the last two years. One-in-five believe they will be financially
better off next year. This represents a continuing downward
trend compared to 2020, as Canadians foresaw a brighter
financial picture emerging from the first year of the COVID-19
pandemic. A plurality (41%) believes they’ll be in the same
financial position at this time next year. Three-in-ten (31%)
are pessimistic about their economic outlook for 2023, an
eight-point increase compared to 2020 and a two-point jump
year-over-year:
Financial pessimism is highest in Nova Scotia (43%),
Saskatchewan (42%) and New Brunswick (41%), while optimism is
slightly higher in Ontario (23%) and Newfoundland and Labrador
(23%) compared to the rest of the country:
December 5, 2022
Source:
https://angusreid.org/christmas-shopping-holiday-inflation-charity-donations/
772-43-15/Polls
Financial Fears Mount As Most Canadians (86%, +3pts) Are
Concerned Canada Will Face A Recession Within The Next Year
Further, in the span of just one month, concern over
a number of day-to-day economic issues has increased
significantly, including upcoming holiday spending. Given the
consistency of concern about these issues over the last year,
Canadians may be far from out of the woods on money matters.
Majority Remain Concerned Over Recession, Inflation, and Making
Ends Meet
Ipsos research has shown that economic stress has
been top-of-mind for Canadians over the last year.[i][ii] Between
October and November 2022, concern has further grown, with most
items of concern seeing significant increases. For example, 71%
of Canadians are worried interest rates will rise quicker than
they can adjust (+4 pts), 61% say they are concerned they might
not be able to afford gasoline (+13), 53% say they are worried
they might not have enough money to feed their families (+9),
and, in light of worries over a potential upcoming recession
(86%), 42% are worried they may lose their job if the economy
does not improve (+9). Worry over economic troubles impacting
retirement plans has remained consistently high month-over-month
(67%).
With the holiday season in full swing, worries over
holiday spending have also increased significantly: 52% of
Canadians say they are worried they might not have enough money
to buy holiday gifts for loved ones (+7), and just under half
(48%) say they are worried they will get in over their head with
holiday spending (+15).
How
concerned are you about the following:
Consistent with October 2022, Women are significantly
more likely than men to express concern over the majority of
these items, including the potential for a recession (92% vs.
80% of men); economic troubles impacting retirement (72% vs. 62%
of men); interest rates rising quicker than they can adjust (76%
vs. 67% of men); getting in over their head with holiday
spending (52% vs. 43% of men); and not having enough money to
buy holiday gifts (56% vs. 48%). Younger Canadians are also more
likely to feel the pressure of economic downturn, in particular
as it relates to getting in over their head on holiday spending
(69% vs. 53% 35-54 and 26% 55+) and having enough money to buy
holiday gifts (68% vs. 58% 35-54 and 35% 55+).
Concern over holiday spending in particular is also
higher among parents: two-thirds (65%) of parents say they are
concerned about getting in over their heads with holiday
spending (vs. 41% of those without children), and a similar
proportion (64%) are worried they may not have enough money to
buy holiday gifts (vs. 48% of those without children).
Canadians Continue to Cut Back on Non-Essentials to Deal with
High Inflation
Ipsos research has also tracked the measures
Canadians have taken to cope with high inflation rates, which
remain largely on par with data from May 2022, with some
fluctuations which suggest Canadians have eased their budgets
slightly.[iii] Currently,
a majority of Canadians say they have cut back on dining out
(52%, -2 pts) this year in order to save money. High portions
also say they are cutting back on other non-essentials such as
entertainment (46%, no change), buying new clothing (44%, -3),
and travel (within Canada [31%, no change] and outside of Canada
[28%, -5]). Half (50%, -1) of Canadians also say they have
looked at flyers for sales this year to cope with high
inflation, and just under one-third (31%, no change) say they
have used couponing or sales apps.
Among parents, 34% (-2 pts) say they have told their
kids “no” more often this year, and 13% (-4 pts) have cut back
on organized sports for their kids.
With Canadians offering mixed reviews of the latest
federal government economic plan,[iv] it
is perhaps unsurprising that they remain concerned about the
future both nationally as well as closer to home. Time will tell
how long it will be until sentiment improves, or whether we are
indeed on a sure road to recession.
7
December 2022
Source:
https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/most-canadians-concerned-canada-will-face-recession-next-year
AUSTRALIA
772-43-16/Polls
New
Christmas Spending Forecasts Swell To $66 Billion As Aussies Set
To Break New Retail Records
The ARA holiday
sales predictions with Roy Morgan forecast
a record-breaking spend in the lead up to Christmas which is up
6.4% on last year’s spending.
ARA CEO Paul Zahra said higher numbers are driven
largely by price increases as well as stronger food and
hospitality spending, as Aussies enjoy their post-pandemic
experiences.
“These are great results, however, it’s important to
acknowledge that price increases are a factor in these numbers
and are also driving Australians to spend to get in ahead of
inflation.
“Aussies truly plan to eat, drink and be merry this
Christmas. It’s no surprise we are seeing a shift towards food
and entertaining with the holiday period over the past two years
spent in the shadow of lockdowns,” said Mr Zahra. “The news
couldn’t come at a better time for the hospitality sector who
have endured more pain than most businesses through the
pandemic.”
Out of the states and territories, NSW, Victoria and
Queensland have driven most of the projected spike in spending. New
South Wales is set to record a $20.8
billion spend (up 7.7%), followed by Victoria with $17.1 billion (up 5.2%), with Queensland spending
predicted to top $13.5 billion
(up 6.8%).
ARA/Roy
Morgan Pre-Christmas Sales (Retail Categories)
ARA/Roy
Morgan Pre-Christmas Sales (States and Territories)
The rising cost
of doing business along with
supply
chain disruptions and staff shortages remain top of mind for
retailers. The ARA continues to engage with governments around
short and long-term solutions to aid the retail industry’s
permanent state of disruption.
Sensory indulgence is a key theme for spending 2022,
with alcohol and food topping
the list of intended Christmas gift purchases for this year,
followed by gift cards and
toys. Men were the most likely to purchase alcohol or
food, whilst women were more interested in small inexpensive
gifts or novelties, clothing, shoes and sleepwear or books and
music.
December 06, 2022
MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES
772-43-17/Polls
Inflation Stayed Top Worry Of Global Citizens In Nov; India
Emerged Lowest On Inflation Worry Across 29 Markets
Unemployment remained top worry of urban Indians in November.
Alarmingly, has been perched at the top for the past 16 months
continuously! Global citizens were concerned about inflation, 8
months in a row. Interestingly, India continued to be placed
lowest on Inflation across the 29 markets polled.
The
Ipsos’ What Worries the
World survey tracks public opinion on the most
important social and political issues across 29 countries today,
and also captures the direction in which countries are headed –
right or wrong, as perceived by their citizens.
The top
worries of urban Indians were unemployment
(39%), financial and political corruption (29%), crime and
violence (27%), inflation (23%), climate change (23%) etc.
While global citizens were most concerned about inflation
(42%), poverty and social inequality (31%), crime and violence
(27%), unemployment (27%), financial and political corruption
(25%), among others.
Elucidating
on the findings of the November wave of the survey, Amit
Adarkar, CEO, Ipsos India, said, “Urban Indians have
been deeply concerned about some of the nagging macro issues,
month after month, that have been impacting their lives. Lack of
jobs has been compounded by the problem of companies downsizing
due to the macro-economic impact. Some of the other glaring
issues of corruption, crime, climate change and inflation have
emerged as top concerns and will need to be prioritized in
tackling, as they have continued to be dominant for many months
without much reprieve. Inflation in India is still manageable,
but cost of living has continuously been going up, making
essential commodities dearer.”
Direction of
travel – countries moving in right and wrong direction
Interestingly, while Saudi Arabia had majority of citizens
rooting for how the country was doing, at least 42 per cent of
those polled were in the grips of inflation.
8
December 2022
772-43-18/Polls
The
Rise In The Cost Of Living Is The First Area Of Concern
Worldwide (62%), A Study In 30 Countries Reveals
In a
period of high inflation, economic concerns are still rising
while environmental concerns stagnate globally
The
rise in the cost of living is the first area of concern
worldwide (62%) and it is still rising
strongly this year (+10 pts since 2021, +15 pts since 2020). Poverty
and inequality also remain at the top of the ranking (46%),
followed by health issues (42%).
In 4Th position,
the environment remains an important concern, at
a stable level compared to 2021 (40%,
-1 pt). It is among the top five concerns of people on almost
every continent, with the exception of countries in Africa and
the Middle East.
The
environment remains a priority of CSP +: if
it appears in 2Th Position (44%) among the wealthiest
households, just after the increase in the cost of living, it
appears only in 6Th position among the poorest (36%),
ahead of poverty and inequality (49%), unemployment (44%), the
health system (41%) but also corruption (39%).
Faced with the
question of which society to choose in the future, between the
environmental priority and the priority
of growth and jobs, a majority of respondents still
choose the environment. But this majority, which was 53% for the
environment in 2019 against 34% for growth, is gradually
decreasing: it is in 2022 48% vs. 38%, a sign that
economic difficulties are slowing down the environmental shift
of our economies.
Feeling
of witnessing climate change is growing in areas facing severe
heat and drought in 2022
The
year 2022 was marked by major climatic events: very
high heat, drought and extraordinary fires in Europe during the
summer, floods in Australia, high heat in India and Japan or
drought in Chile earlier in the year... Yet on a global scale,
the feeling of being confronted "quitely" or "rather" with
climate change has not increased since 2019, even if it is
certainly very high (77%), especially in South America (89%),
Africa / Middle East (80%) and Asia (82%).
On the other
hand, in the areas facing these events in 2022, including part
of Europe, populations have much more than in 2021 the feeling
of seeing the effects of change: +9 pts in China, +8 in Germany,
Poland and the United Kingdom, +5 in France and Spain,
+11 pts in India.
The reaction of the population is not the same
everywhere. Australians, at 55% (+24 pts vs 2021), mention the
floods that hit their country this year. However, their feeling
of being confronted with climate change remains weaker than
elsewhere and is not progressing.
This summer's climatic events have strongly marked
the French: high temperatures (79%, +9 points vs 2021), drought
(62%, +19 points vs 2021) and the drying up of rivers (51%, +16
points vs 2021).
Although ranked at the top of the environmental agenda, climate
change does not cause more concern and climate skepticism is on
the rise
Climate
change (46%, +2 vs 2021) and extreme
weather events (43%, +2 vs 2021) are becoming the main reasons for environmental concern at the
global level this year, even if they also owe it to the decline
in the issue of waste and plastic (41%, -5 vs 2021) and air
pollution (37%, -3 vs 2021). All the same, if we combine the
concern for climate change and extreme weather events, it is 66%
of the world's population who consider the climate as the
priority issue (60% in 2019).
However, climate change is not more of a concern this year and
climate scepticism[1] Progresses:
It would
therefore seem that people record the
occurrence of extreme climatic events and place them at the top
of the current environmental problems, but that at the same
time, this does not worry them
more or convince them of the human origins of the phenomenon, as
if "nature" seemed more and more the cause of its own
disruption.
Citizens are less certain of the need to act at the individual
level and rely on public and private decision-makers, whom they
judge less harshly. However, some daily consumer practices are
evolving.
Citizens more reluctant to act and change their way of life...
More than in the past, citizens feel that
political and economic leaders are mobilising against climate
change. This is the case for governments (54%, +6 pts
in 3 years) but especially for local authorities and authorities
(48%, +12 in 3 years). This is also the case for companies (45%,
+6 in 3 years). The trend is
more marked in France (government: 33%, +10 points in
3 years, local authorities: 39%, +13 points in 3 years –
politicians: 27%, +9 points in 3 years and companies: 34%, +16
points in 3 years).
People make this observation while they are less
inclined to act at the individual level: a year ago,
45% considered that it was up to them to act, they are 42%
today. In France, the fall in individual homework is very sharp
in 2022 (from 61% to 49%) after having progressed steadily over
the previous three years. It is blue-collar workers and those
under 25 who are least likely to attribute a duty to act to the
consumer.
To
solve the climate equation, do we need to change our lifestyles
or trust technology? Or
is it too late anyway? Only 11% are actually
fatalistic. The majority of respondents are divided into two
unequal camps: 50% think it is necessary to change one's
lifestyle while 31% rely on technology. But here again, the
"lifestyle" response declines in four years (from 53% to 50%),
and particularly in France, although still higher than the world
average (from 64% to 57%).
... but
which still act for the environment
People
say their behaviours have changed. It
is on the use of individual transport that the phenomenon is
most marked: those who say they avoid taking their car at least
once in a while have increased from 49% to 61% between 2019 and
2022 and those who avoid flying from 41% to 52%. There is a significant
change in the use of renewable energies for heating: from
34% to 44%.
Less strongly, consumers seem to be
more attentive to the distant origin of products: 57%
say they avoid them (+5 points vs. 2019).
The other eco-gestures already widely practiced are
those that do not have the strongest impact on global warming
(waste sorting, avoidance of overpackaging, seasonal fruits). On
the other hand, meat consumption, which has a great impact on
the climate, does not seem to be decreasing according to the
interviewees. Agriculture and digital technology are also
underestimated in relation to their CO emissions2.
The
youngest do not report more virtuous
practices than the population as a whole.
Constraints that are always difficult to accept
The
level of acceptability of restrictive measures (incentives,
bans or taxes) varies little,
and remains lower in Europe and North America. Only 3
measures convince at least 6 out of 10 respondents worldwide:
the prohibition of short flights when it is possible to take the
train (64%), the taxation of the purchase of a polluting vehicle
(61%) and the obligation for owners to properly insulate their
home (61%).
Electricity consumption and production: with the pressure on
energy supply, the concern for prices is high
Six
months after the start of the war in Ukraine and in a context of
tension over energy supply, the soaring
prices are very hard felt, all over the world for different
energy sources. 48% of households say they are impacted by a
sharp rise in electricity prices (37% in France), 51% by the
rise in gasoline prices (53% in France) and 40% by the rise in
gas prices (only 22% in France).
And
faced with a threat of electricity shortages, the acceptability
of "non-renewable" energies is progressing quite significantly,
especially in Europe:
December 8, 2022
Source:
https://www.ipsos.com/fr-fr/obscop-2022-fr
772-43-19/Polls
57%
Pakistanis As Compared To 72% Britons Don’t Expect To Live To Be
100 Years Old
According to a survey conducted by Gallup & Gilani
Pakistan, 57% Pakistanis as compared to 72% Britons don’t expect
to live to be 100 years old. A nationally representative sample
of adult men and women from across the country was asked the
following question regarding, “To what extent do you agree or
disagree with the following statements? - I expect i Will live
to be 100 years old” 8% said that they totally agree, 19% said
that they somewhat agree, 18% responded somewhat disagree while
39% responded totally disagree. Comparison between Pakistan and
Britain: The same question was asked in Britain by IPSOS (the
study can be found here) and in response, 14% said that they
expect that they will live to be 100 years old while 72%
disagreed with the statement. 13% more
Pakistanis than British people said that they expect they will
live to be 100 years old. Question: “To what extent do you agree
or disagree with the following statements? - I expect i Will
live to be 100 years old”
Comparison with Britain: The following question was
asked in Britain and in Pakistan: “To what extent do you agree
or disagree with the following statements? - I expect i Will
live to be 100 years old” In response, 27% Pakistanis said that
they agree with the statement while 57% said that they disagree.
On the other hand, 14% Britons agreed while 72% of them
disagreed with the statement.
December 8, 2022
Source:
https://gallup.com.pk/wp/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/08-Dec_merged.pdf
772-43-20/Polls
Global
Consumer Confidence Softens In 2022, A Study In 23 Countries
‘Tis (usually) the season to spend, spend, spend.
But, as we all stare down the final stretch of 2022
many dark clouds hover over the 3rd pandemic-era holiday season,
including ‘tripledemic’ (COVID-19, flu and RSV) fears, the
invasion of Ukraine, the soaring cost of living, as well as the
rising number of layoffs at cryptocurrency and technology
companies. Plus, there’s growing chatter about a global
recession in 2023.
Polling via Ipsos’ Global
Advisor reveals
how this growing instability could impact consumers’ decision to
splash out or cut back during what’s traditionally a busy
shopping season for many.
9
December 2022
Source:
https://www.ipsos.com/en/data-dive-global-consumer-confidence-softens-2022
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