At the end of 11 months of COVID-19, global death per million climbs to 231. Euro-American countries continue to suffer more than ten times greater than Afro-Asia. Perceived personal fear of global population remains stable at 59%, higher in Afro-Asia (68%) than Euro-America (52%).

An updated directory of 853 polls conducted by 93 leading pollsters of the world is included in the press release. All polls can be accessed through links in the directory.

KEY FINDINGS

· Countries where people fear a personal threat from COVID-19 are less prone to high deaths. In other words, personal fear and high deaths are inversely related. Deaths are fewer in countries where the average citizen fears more

· High death per million is concentrated in North America, Latin America, and Europe. 78% of all deaths during the first 11 months happened in these continents. The deaths per million is 771 in Euro-America compared to 67 in Afro-Asia.

· The perceived personal threat is on the contrary much higher in Afro-Asia (68%) compared to Euro-America (52%).

· Other than geographical locations the barometer measures the role of the Older Age population as a driver of higher death per million; as well as Per Capita Income of a country. The finding is that countries which are greyer (high on Age 65+) during the first 11 months are more prone to COVID-19 deaths by a ratio of 38% (Highly Aged): 11% (Less Aged).

· Countries which are above the global average per capita income are (during the first 11 months) more prone by a ratio of 61% (Richer than Average): 9% (Poorer than Average).

gallup logo

Gallup & Gilani Global Barometer on COVID-19 Facts and Fears

The Latest measurements based on 11 months of measurements February-December 2020 have the following findings:

FEARS

Around 59% of the globally polled population is fearful of contracting COVID-19. This figure has remained relatively stable throughout this period. The latest measurement is based on a total of 999 polls from 58 countries covering 77% of the world population.

However, there is a noticeable 15-16% point difference between Euro-American (52%) and Afro-Asian populations (68%). This difference in attitudes has also remained relatively stable throughout the three measurements, 6 months, 9 months, and 11 months since the pandemic broke out.

FACTS

The facts on the ground as measured in terms of COVID-19 caused deaths per million have nevertheless increased over time. At the end of the first 6 months, the global death per million accumulated up to that time was 97; it rose to 156 at the end of 9 months and 231 at the end of 11 months.

The regional variations show a very sharp difference between populations of Euro-America and Afro-Asia. The accumulated death per million at the end of the 11 months is nearly 10 times higher in Euro-America compared with Afro-Asia. It stands at 771 in Euro-America and 67 in Afro-Asia. This vast difference across three measurements has also remained unchanged.

(Gallup & Gilani Pakistan)

January 12, 2020

Source: https://gallup.com.pk/post/30990

SUMMARY OF POLLS

ASIA

(Pakistan)

According to a Gallup Pakistan Survey in Pakistan (and similar surveys done by Worldwide Independent Network of Market Research (WIN) across the world), nearly 41% Pakistanis say they are either unlikely or very unlikely to get COVID-19 vaccination if it was offered to them. 34% Pakistanis said that when a vaccine for COVID-19 becomes available, they will definitely get vaccinated, 22% said that they will probably get vaccinated. (Gallup Pakistan)

January 07, 2020

AFRICA

(Uganda)

Many Ugandans skeptical, apprehensive heading in toward Election Day

Many Ugandans were doubtful about the fairness of the general election campaign and apprehensive about possible violence as they approached Election Day on Thursday, a new Afrobarometer survey shows. In a survey in late December and early January, fewer than half of respondents considered the campaign a level playing field for all candidates, and a majority said that opposition parties and supporters were often silenced by the government. (Afrobarometer)

January 12, 2020

EUROPE

(Italy)

The world survey: vaccine readiness and 2021 predictions

WIN, an international network of market research companies and public opinion polls of which BVA Doxa is a founding member, has published the WIN World Survey 2020 (WWS), on the opinions of 26,759 people from 32 countries on the pandemic. The survey analyzes opinions and forecasts related to the vaccine, how governments have handled the crisis, opinions on the capacity of the national health system and the probabilities of traveling in 2021. BVA Doxa took care of data collection in Italy. (BVA Doxa)

January, 2020

(Sweden)

New clear increase - more people want to get vaccinated against covid-19

In August, only 36 percent of Swedes were positive about taking the new corona vaccine. The figure has gradually increased from 46 percent in November and 71 percent now in December, the survey from the opinion institute Novus shows, where 1,578 people aged 18 to 79 were interviewed. (SVT News)

January 01, 2021

(Austria)

NONVIOLENT UPBRINGING IS THE IDEAL FORM OF UPBRINGING FOR ONLY HALF OF AUSTRIANS

On behalf of the möwe child protection centers, the Austrian Gallup Institute carried out a representative survey on violence against children in the Austrian population for the fourth time (Gallup Omnibus / CAPI, representative of the Austrian population 14+, n = 1,000, October 27 to November 16, 2020). The effects of the Covid 19 pandemic on domestic violence against children were also analyzed. (Gallup Austria)

January, 2021

(UK)

How do Brits feel about the new national lockdown?

With Prime Minister Boris Johnson announcing that England would enter another nationwide lockdown on Monday, national lockdowns are now in places across all nations of the United Kingdom once again. The newly-bolstered rules are similar to those of the first lockdown in March 2020 including a stay at home order, limiting exercise outdoors to once a day, and travel restrictions. (YouGov)

January 05, 2020

(UK)

Most people don’t think the government will meet its 2m a week vaccine target

The government aims to vaccinate 14 million people by mid-February. This would require two million injections a week, whereas the current record is at around 610,000 doses. New YouGov data shows most people (58%) are sceptical that the government will meet its target, including a quarter of Britons (25%) who think it ‘very’ unlikely. Only three in ten people (31%) believe the government is likely to reach the 2m a week figure. (YouGov)

January 07, 2020

(UK)

Where are people likely to think different government action could have prevented COVID-19 spread

In August, seven in ten Britons said a different response may have prevented the worst of the pandemic in the UK. Research as part of the YouGov Cambridge Globalism survey this summer shows that 70% of Britons think that a difference response could have spared them the worst of the pandemic, the fifth highest rate in the study. (YouGov)

January 08, 2020

(UK)

Six in ten Britons think it is likely the NHS will be overwhelmed within weeks

An official briefing warned on Wednesday that London hospitals are less than two weeks away from becoming overwhelmed by COVID-19 in a best-case scenario. New YouGov data shows that a majority of the public (63%) similarly believe it is either very (22%) or fairly (41%) likely that hospitals run out of capacity in weeks. Less than a quarter of Britons believe it’s not very (18%) or not at all (5%) likely. (YouGov)

January 08, 2020

NORTH AMERICA

Once again, nearly all Senate elections reflect states’ presidential votes

The final U.S. Senate races of the 2020-21 election cycle have continued a pattern that’s emerged over the past decade or so: Senate election results are very much in sync with states’ presidential votes. Democrats Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff won both of this week’s Senate runoffs in Georgia by relatively narrow margins – albeit wider than Joe Biden’s 11,779-vote victory over Donald Trump in the state’s presidential contest two months ago. (PEW)

January 08, 2021

Republicans who relied on Trump for news more concerned than other Republicans about election fraud

Just before supporters of Donald Trump stormed the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, he delivered remarks to them claiming the presidential election had been “stolen” and “rigged.” Trump had begun casting doubt on the integrity of the election before the voting began, and since Nov. 3 that message had intensified into numerous lawsuits alleging outright fraud and theft. Republicans who relied heavily on Trump and his campaign for news were significantly more concerned than other Republicans about the possibility of election fraud heading into the election and more convinced that it had actually occurred in the weeks that followed. (PEW)

January 11, 2021

News Use Across Social Media Platforms in 2020

As social media companies struggle to deal with misleading information on their platforms about the election, the COVID-19 pandemic and more, a large portion of Americans continue to rely on these sites for news. About half of U.S. adults (53%) say they get news from social media “often” or “sometimes,” and this use is spread out across a number of different sites, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted Aug. 31-Sept. 7, 2020. (PEW)

January 12, 2021

U.S. Readiness to Get COVID-19 Vaccine Steadies at 65%

Nearly two-thirds of Americans in December said they would be willing to take an FDA-approved vaccine right now if available at no cost. The 65% saying this was essentially unchanged from 63% in November, even after the FDA approved the use of two vaccines and those were starting to be administered to healthcare workers and nursing home residents nationwide. (Gallup USA)

January 12, 2020

Voters say Congress should press ahead with second Trump impeachment attempt

On Wednesday, the US House of Representatives is expected to vote to impeach President Donald Trump for the second time in his presidency. With only one week remaining until President-Elect Joe Biden takes his oath of office, opponents have argued that impeachment will further divide the nation without limiting President Trump’s term. Proponents of impeachment have said it is vital to hold the outgoing president responsible for encouraging his supporters to storm Congress last week, an attack in which five people died. (YouGov)

January 13, 2020

66% of Americans say BLM protestors would have been treated differently at the Capitol

As images of last week’s Capitol breach by pro-Trump supporters flooded screens across America, many noted their treatment by law enforcement. Spectators, marking the lack of police involvement, coupled with footage of officers taking selfies with rioters – quickly observed the difference in police response to the treatment of Black Lives Matter protestors this past summer. (YouGov)

January 13, 2020

Snap poll finds America united in opposition to the pro-Trump mob

Snap Ipsos poll finds half of Americans think the unrest is an attempted coup.

In snap polling conducted on January 6, as the events in the U.S. Capitol unfolded, Ipsos finds that the large majority of Americans oppose the protestors who broke into the Capitol building during the election certification, and half see it as an attempted coup. (Ipsos MORI)

January 07, 2020

AUSTRALIA

Labour/Greens enjoy majority support of 54.5% of New Zealand electors as 2021 begins

The Labour/Greens government enjoys the support of 54.5% of New Zealand electors as 2021 begins, down 2% points since November. Although a clear majority of electors support the Labour/Greens alliance this is the lowest level of combined support for the two governing parties since March 2020. Support for the Labour Party is unchanged at 44% in December. (Roy Morgan)

January 12, 2020

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

U.S. & China’s competition extends to MENA

Globally, a new competition is taking place between the U.S. and China, which extends to the Middle East. China has taken an increasing role in the region, providing aid to governments for COVID-related relief, building on years of increased involvement in MENA through its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). As the Trump administration has changed the terms of U.S. engagement, seeking to withdraw troops from the region while building relations between Israel and Arab countries, Arab Barometer conducted nationally representative surveys in six countries – Algeria, Jordan, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, and Tunisia – to gauge the attitudes of ordinary citizens on how they view these two world powers. (Arab Barometer)

January 12, 2020

Global Opinion: The Decline of Global Economic Hope

Results of the global study "Index of Economic Hope", conducted by the association of independent research agencies Gallup International in 41 countries. The exclusive representative of the association in Russia and the CIS countries is "Romir". The global index of economic hope amounted to -21 pp. The decline in the index continues after -2 pp. in 2017 and 20 p.p. in 2016. (Romir)

January 06, 2021

ASIA

672-43-01/Poll

4 in 10 Pakistanis non-committal with respect to COVID-19 Vaccine. Compared to the global figure, 20% more Pakistanis said that they will definitely not get vaccinated when a vaccine for the coronavirus will become available; resistance to vaccinate significantly higher than India: Gallup Pakistan and WIN World Survey

34% Pakistanis said that when a vaccine for COVID-19 becomes available, they will definitely get vaccinated, 22% said that they will probably get vaccinated.

These findings emerge from an international survey conducted across the globe by The Worldwide Independent Network of Market Research (WIN): a global network conducting market research and opinion polls in every continent. WIN has published the annual WIN World Survey (WWS – 2020) exploring the views and beliefs of 26,759 individuals among citizens from 32 countries across the globe about the pandemic. The survey analyzes views and opinions related to the vaccine, the way governments handled the health crisis, the capacity of the national health systems and the likelihood of travelling in 2021.

(Gallup Pakistan)

January 07, 2020

Source: https://gallup.com.pk/post/30970

AFRICA

672-43-02/Poll

Many Ugandans skeptical, apprehensive heading in toward Election Day

Many Ugandans were doubtful about the fairness of the general election campaign and apprehensive about possible violence as they approached Election Day on Thursday, a new Afrobarometer survey shows.

In a survey in late December and early January, fewer than half of respondents considered the campaign a level playing field for all candidates, and a majority said that opposition parties and supporters were often silenced by the government.

Most citizens expected inaccurate vote counts and a disputed election outcome, and fully half expressed fear of political intimidation or violence, although most were confident that Uganda’s security agencies would be able to prevent large-scale outbreaks of violence.

(Afrobarometer)

January 12, 2020

Source: https://www.afrobarometer.org/press/many-ugandans-skeptical-apprehensive-heading-toward-election-day

EUROPE

672-43-03/Poll

The world survey: vaccine readiness and 2021 predictions

THE VACCINE - Globally, the vast majority of people are in favor of receiving the coronavirus vaccine: 7 out of 10 people declare they want to be vaccinated, an interest that does not differ when considering gender or different age groups. Globally, APAC has the largest number of people willing to be vaccinated (80%): Vietnam (98%), China (91%) and India (91%) are the three countries that lead the world ranking. On the other hand, in countries such as Serbia (62%), Croatia (59%), France (56%) and Lebanon (56%), the vast majority of the population is still not convinced to get vaccinated.

In Italy, 70% of citizens declare that they want to vaccinate against the coronavirus (33% say they will certainly get vaccinated, while 37% will probably get vaccinated). The percentage of Italians who certainly do not intend to get vaccinated remains much lower (10%), especially compared to other European countries where those who will certainly oppose the vaccine represent a higher percentage, such as in France (24%) and in Germany (16 %).

Although most of the citizens interviewed worldwide are in favor of vaccinating against the coronavirus, there is still an important job to do in terms of communication and awareness in those countries where a certain skepticism still prevails.

THE GOVERNMENT AND THE HEALTH SYSTEM - Between the two, the Italians evaluate the capacity of the health system better than the government's ability to manage the crisis, but in both cases the majority of the population is satisfied: 51% of Italian citizens believe that the government has done a good job in managing the crisis due to COVID-19, while 60% believe that the health system has risen to the occasion [1]. In Europe the situation is quite similar: 45% say they are satisfied with their government, 57% with their health system. The most significant gaps, as far as European countries are concerned, are found in the UK (35% satisfied with the government, 71% with the health system), Spain (26% and 51%), and France (35% and 55%). Ireland is among the few European countries more satisfied with the government (63%) than with the health system (46%).

Globally, the APAC region once again stands out when it comes to positively assessing how the government has handled the pandemic crisis (73%) and the capacity of the health system (79%). The countries that best rated both institutions are China and Vietnam with ratings that exceeded 90%, while Poland (81%), Spain (72%), Lebanon (72%) and Ecuador (70%) rated harshly the actions of their governments. In the evaluation of their health system, Poland (87%) and Ecuador (78%) return to being among the countries that have given a harder evaluation, followed by Peru where 70% of citizens believe that the situation has been badly managed.

TRAVEL IN 2021 - As regards the possibility of traveling abroad in 2021, both for holidays and for work, respectively 65% and 77% of the citizens interviewed consider it impossible. China reports one of the highest levels of people willing to get vaccinated and at the same time the lowest level of willingness to travel over the next year. In Italy, 31% of individuals will travel abroad for vacation in 2021 (11% say it will be very likely, 21% quite likely), while 17% say they will go abroad for work.

VILMA SCARPINO, PRESIDENT WIN - “ This survey is a valuable tool to anticipate the pandemic scenario in 2021. The willingness to be vaccinated is proof of the strong desire to return to normality, but the citizens of many countries do not have confidence in their health system. To date it would seem that in the course of 2021 people will be more cautious and have no intention of traveling yet, but based on these results, it will be interesting to see how the predisposition to get vaccinated and travel will change in the early months of 2021 ".

(BVA Doxa)

January, 2020

Source: https://www.bva-doxa.com/il-sondaggio-mondiale-predisposizione-al-vaccino-e-previsioni-sul-2021/

672-43-04/Poll

New clear increase - more people want to get vaccinated against covid-19

71 percent of Swedes are positive about taking the new vaccine against corona, according to a survey from Novus.

Professor Matti Sällberg is not surprised by the figures.

- The studies look promising and people have gained confidence in those who produce the vaccine, he says.

Bettan Brynsö and her friend think it is obvious to get vaccinated.

- Why not get vaccinated, that is the best thing you can do, she tells SVT.

"Looks promising"

Matti Sällberg, professor at Karolinska Institutet in Huddinge and expert on vaccines, is not surprised that more people are positive about the vaccine today, compared with August.

- When you have now seen these studies that it looks really promising. People have gained confidence in those who produce the vaccine and the producers have been clear that if there was any hint of side effects in the clinical studies, they stopped the study, examined it and then continued when they were sure, he says.

Most positive to take the vaccine are those aged 65 to 79 years, among them 82 percent want to take the vaccine, but also among young people aged 18 to 29 years, 66 percent are positive.

12 percent do not want to get vaccinated

But not everyone has decided what to do about the vaccine. Novus' survey shows that 17 percent do not yet know whether to get vaccinated. 12 percent say no to the vaccine. In that group, 83 percent answer that they opt out of the vaccine because they are worried about side effects. The interviewees had the opportunity to choose several response options and 12 percent in the group state that they think the vaccine is generally bad. 15 percent do not want to take the vaccine because they think they already have or have had covid-19.

(SVT News)

January 01, 2021

Source: https://www.svt.se/nyheter/inrikes/ny-dramatisk-okning-fler-vill-vaccinera-sig-mot-covid-19

672-43-05/Poll

NONVIOLENT UPBRINGING IS THE IDEAL FORM OF UPBRINGING FOR ONLY HALF OF AUSTRIANS

The results show that violence is still primarily associated with physical violence. Psychological violence, such as keeping children silent or making people look ridiculous in front of friends, is far less often recognized as violent. A non-violent upbringing is only the ideal form of upbringing for half of the respondents.

From the respondents' point of view, the current framework conditions have a significant influence on the experience of violence. Two thirds assume a higher level of domestic violence, almost 60% are of the opinion that psychological and physical violence against children occurs more frequently as a result of the Covid 19 pandemic, around one third also see an increase in sexual violence or neglect.

57% of those surveyed are of the opinion that politics should pay more attention to the concerns of children for their protection and well-being. 13% see a neglect of the topic in politics, 28% are satisfied with the engagement of politics.

(Gallup Austria)

January, 2021

Source: https://www.gallup.at/de/unternehmen/studien/2021/gewaltfreie-erziehung/

672-43-06/Poll

How do Brits feel about the new national lockdown?

Vast majority support the new measures, but say they should have come sooner

Most Britons support the national lockdowns

Overall, the vast majority (85%) of Britons support the national lockdown measures introduced across the UK this week, including 62% who "strongly" support them. This compares to 93% of Britons who supported the first national lockdown in March 2020.

Only 11% of Britons are opposed to the new measures, including 5% who are "somewhat" opposed and 6% who are "strongly" opposed to the new measures.

The latest round of COVID-19 restrictions are universally supported across political party lines, with 92% of Lib Dems, 89% of Labour voters and 87% of Conservatives all supporting the implementation of national lockdown.

A majority of all age groups also in favour of the measures, with overall support highest among the over 65’s (92%).

Three quarters of Britons say the new restrictions too late

Chancellor Rishi Sunak has said that Boris Johnson acted "decisively" in announcing a new lockdown in England in the face of new data they had received. Britons, however, see it differently.

Three quarters (77%) of Britons say that the new lockdown should have been introduced sooner, compared to one in nine (11%) who say the lockdown has begun at the right time. A mere 3% say it’s come too soon.

There is further consensus among political parties that the lockdown has started too late, including 90% of Lib Dems, 89% of Labour voters, and 68% of Conservatives who say it should have been introduced sooner.

Among the age groups, 18-24 year olds are the most likely to say the new measures should have been introduced sooner (81%) compared to 76% of the over 65’s.

Britons say the lockdown will be effective at driving down case numbers

Cases of COVID-19 have soared since the festive break and the discovery the new strain of the virus, however most Britons think that the lockdown will be effective in keeping new cases numbers down. In total, 69% of Britons say the lockdown will be effective at reducing COVID-19 cases. However only 15% say it will be "very" effective at doing so, with 54% saying it will be "somewhat" effective.

One in five (20%) doubt the effectiveness of another lockdown, including 7% who say it will "not be effective at all" in reducing COVID-19 case numbers.

(YouGov)

January 05, 2020

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2021/01/05/brits-support-national-lockdown-jan-2021

672-43-07/Poll

Most people don’t think the government will meet its 2m a week vaccine target

Just three in ten think the figure is likely to be reached

The government aims to vaccinate 14 million people by mid-February. This would require two million injections a week, whereas the current record is at around 610,000 doses.

New YouGov data shows most people (58%) are sceptical that the government will meet its target, including a quarter of Britons (25%) who think it ‘very’ unlikely.

Only three in ten people (31%) believe the government is likely to reach the 2m a week figure.

Conservative voters have more faith in the government’s ability to deliver on the promise, with nearly half (48%) saying it’s likely to succeed.

In contrast, less than a fifth of Labour voters share their optimism (18%).

Only one in seven people expect COVID restrictions to end in spring

While Boris Johnson has said that the government may start to lift coronavirus restrictions from mid-February, only one in seven Britons (13%) expect they will be gone completely in spring.

Just under three in ten (28%) have their hopes set on summer, while 12% said autumn and one in twenty (5%) expect it to happen in winter 2021.

The chief medical officer for England, Chris Witty, has warned that restrictions may be reinstated next winter. A fifth of Britons think this is likely and said restrictions won’t end ‘until 2022’, while some take an even dimmer view and believe it will be a few years (7%) or may never happen (3%).

(YouGov)

January 07, 2020

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2021/01/07/most-people-dont-think-government-will-meet-its-2m

672-43-08/Poll

Where are people likely to think different government action could have prevented COVID-19 spread

In August, seven in ten Britons said a different response may have prevented the worst of the pandemic in the UK

Research as part of the YouGov Cambridge Globalism survey this summer shows that 70% of Britons think that a difference response could have spared them the worst of the pandemic, the fifth highest rate in the study.

Overall, Nigerians (87%) were the most likely to say that if their government had opted for a different approach to the virus when it was first reported, its general spread in the country could have been prevented. Approaching eight in ten of Indonesians (78%) say the same. Third is Brazil, which is not currently under national lockdown but local restrictions remain in place, where 73% of people think a different approach early in 2020 could have prevented spread of the virus.

Closely following Brazil is Spain, where 72% of adults say the same.

Elsewhere in the Americas, after Brazil is Mexico where 64% of people agree, compared to 56% of people in the United States and 55% of Canadians who thought that alternative approaches could have prevented widespread transmission of the virus.

In Italy, among the first European countries to suffer widespread outbreaks of the virus, 55% of adults said that the Italian government could have prevented it with another course of action. Other European nations, such as Hungary (28%) and Denmark (27%) have the lowest proportion of adults who think that different government action could have prevented the spread of COVID-19 there.

(YouGov)

January 08, 2020

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/international/articles-reports/2021/01/08/different-government-action-prevent-covid-global

672-43-09/Poll

Six in ten Britons think it is likely the NHS will be overwhelmed within weeks

One in five think it is “very likely”

Less than a quarter of Britons believe it’s not very (18%) or not at all (5%) likely.

That the NHS is likely weeks away from being overwhelmed is a view held by a majority in all social and voting groups.

Prioritise key workers if hospitals run out capacity, say Britons

In the absence of national guidelines for how doctors should prioritise patients in overwhelmed hospitals, specialists at a major NHS trust have created a draft emergency protocol. It states that some specialists believe that being a key worker or participating in vaccine research should be taken into account. YouGov put that prioritisation policy to the public to see how far they agree.

If doctors are put in a position where they are forced to choose which critically ill patients to prioritise, most people said they should put key workers first among the categories we asked about. One in three people (29%) say they should be prioritised above any other group, while another quarter (25%) say they should receive help before some other patients.

Over two in five Britons similarly say that people who participate in research to improve treatments or vaccines should either be a top priority (20%) or come before some other groups (25%).

The protocol says that patients with COVID and other conditions should be treated equally. More than two in five people (45%) believe that patients with other conditions than COVID should be the highest priority (12%) or they should receive help before some other groups (33%).

A slightly smaller proportion (40%) say doctors should help coronavirus patients before anyone else (15%) or before some other patients (25%).

The guidance also states that a patient’s age alone should not determine their priority but that doctors should aim to save as many lives and years of life as possible. In fact, Britons are more likely to deem people aged 60 or older either a top (13%) or higher (29%) priority than those aged 30 to 60 (5% top priority / 30% higher priority) or people under 30 (8% top priority / 20% higher priority).

Among the 12 categories included in the survey, patients with the highest chance of survival rank seventh, with 13% putting them first while a quarter (23%) would treat them before some other people.

Meanwhile, those who are quickest or easiest to save – meaning they would allow doctors to save the most lives - rank ninth. One in eleven people (9%) say they should receive treatment first, while a quarter (25%) say they be prioritised over some other patients.

By 42% to 30%, Britons say it would be unethical to withdraw treatment from one person to help another with a higher chance of survival

The emergency protocol states that removing a patient from a ventilator or ICU bed to provide it to others in need may be ethically justifiable, although the authors admit that it requires a legal opinion. However, only three in ten people (30%) agree that withdrawing treatment from one patient to help another with higher survival chances is very (6%) or fairly (24%) ethical,

In contrast, two in five Britons say it’s either very (22%) or fairly (20%) unethical. Another fifth are uncertain (20%), while 7% don’t feel comfortable expressing an opinion.

(YouGov)

January 08, 2020

Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/health/articles-reports/2021/01/08/six-ten-britons-think-it-likely-nhs-will-be-overwh

NORTH AMERICA

672-43-10/Poll

Once again, nearly all Senate elections reflect states’ presidential votes

Democrats Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff won both of this week’s Senate runoffs in Georgia by relatively narrow margins – albeit wider than Joe Biden’s 11,779-vote victory over Donald Trump in the state’s presidential contest two months ago.

With Warnock’s victory over appointed Sen. Kelly Loeffler and Ossoff’s defeat of Sen. David Perdue, 34 of this cycle’s 35 Senate races were won by candidates of the same party that carried the state in the presidential contest. The lone exception was Republican Sen. Susan Collins of Maine, who handily won a fifth term even as Biden won the statewide vote. (Trump did, however, take Maine’s 2nd Congressional District and its one electoral vote.)

How we did this

This close relationship between Senate and presidential outcomes should, perhaps, have been anticipated. In a preelection survey by Pew Research Center, only 4% of registered voters in states with a Senate contest said they planned to vote for Trump or Biden and a Senate candidate from the opposing party.

In fact, the vast majority of the regular and special Senate elections held since 2012 – 158 of 176 – have been won by candidates who belonged to or were aligned with the party that won that state’s most recent presidential race, according to a Pew Research Center analysis of election results going back to 1980. That represents a marked contrast with prior years: As recently as 2006, nearly a third of Senate contests (10 out of 33) were won by candidates of different parties than their state’s most recent presidential pick.

The 2017-18 election cycle represented a bit of a departure from the recent pattern, but even then, there were only eight “mismatches” out of 36 regular and special Senate elections – all Democratic victories in states Trump carried in 2016. (The election data we used came mostly from the Federal Election Commission, supplemented by information from the U.S. House Clerk’s office; the 2020-21 results were taken from The Washington Post’s election tracker.)

The alignment of Senate races with presidential voting patterns is a fairly recent phenomenon. In 1980, for instance, Democrats won Senate seats in 12 of the 31 states that held Senate races and were carried by Republican Ronald Reagan. (Reagan won all but six states that year; two of those states elected Republican senators despite going for Jimmy Carter, the Democratic incumbent, for president.) In the 1982 midterms, Democrats won 17 of the 28 Senate contests held in states Reagan had won two years earlier.

The “mismatch rate” – the percentage of Senate races won by an opposite-party candidate to a state’s most recent presidential vote – peaked at nearly 59% in 1986. That year, Democrats won back control of the Senate two years after Reagan’s 1984 landslide reelection, in which he won every jurisdiction except Minnesota and the District of Columbia. Of the 34 Senate races that year, Democrats won in 20 states Reagan had won two years earlier.

Since the late 1980s, however, the mismatch rate has generally trended lower. In 2012, the same year Barack Obama won 26 states in his reelection, the mismatch rate was about 18%. Of the 38 regular and special Senate elections held in the 2013-14 cycle, all but three mirrored the 2012 presidential vote, for a mismatch rate of just under 8%. (The three exceptions all were Republicans elected to Senate seats in Obama states.) In 2016, all 34 Senate contests tracked the presidential vote in their respective states.

One consequence of the increasing alignment between states’ presidential and Senate voting patterns is a decrease in split Senate delegations. Currently, six states have senators of different parties, the lowest number of split delegations in at least the past 54 years.

The trend also is similar to the decline of split-ticket voting in House races – that is, voting for a House Democrat and a GOP presidential candidate, or vice versa. That development has contributed to the scarcity of House seats “flipping” from one party to the other.

Both the decline in split Senate delegations and in split-ticket voting in House races have been driven by the deep, and stable, divide between Democrats and Republicans on fundamental political values, as well as the fact that Americans are more consistently liberal or conservative in their views than in the past.

(PEW)

January 08, 2021

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/01/08/once-again-nearly-all-senate-elections-reflect-states-presidential-votes/

672-43-11/Poll

Republicans who relied on Trump for news more concerned than other Republicans about election fraud

Republicans who relied heavily on Trump and his campaign for news were significantly more concerned than other Republicans about the possibility of election fraud heading into the election and more convinced that it had actually occurred in the weeks that followed. But not all Republicans have said they were paying the same amount of attention to Trump’s messages.

Pew Research Center’s American News Pathways project examined, among other topics, differences between Republicans who said in September that Trump and his campaign were a major source of election news for them (27% of all Republicans and Republican-leaning independents) and those who said he was a minor source or not a source at all (72% of Republicans and GOP leaners).

How we did this

Well before Election Day, Republicans turning to Trump for election news were already hearing more about the possibility of mail-in ballot fraud than other Republicans, an allegation that Trump and his campaign consistently raised. As of early September, 75% of Republicans who relied on the president as a major news source said they had heard “a lot” about how increased mail-in voting could affect the election. That compares with 57% of other Republicans.

In that same survey, a solid majority of Republicans who use Trump as a major news source (61%) said that in the past fraud related to voting by mail has been a major problem. That number fell to 36% among Republicans who did not rely on Trump for information.

Following the election, Republicans who turned to Trump for news expressed more skepticism than other Republicans about the integrity of absentee or mail-in ballots.

Only 13% of Republicans who relied on Trump were very or somewhat confident that absentee or mail-in votes were counted properly, compared with 31% of the Republicans who were not in the Trump group. And while 37% of those who did not use Trump as a major source were not at all confident about the mail-in vote tally, that number swelled to 60% among Republicans who relied on Trump and his campaign for information. (These gaps persist even when accounting for conservative ideology and feelings toward Trump.)

The gap narrowed when it came to confidence about in-person voting at polling places. Indeed, 21% of Republicans who turned to Trump for election news said they were not at all confident those votes were counted as voters intended, roughly twice that of other Republicans (11%).

By late November, with Trump and his allies falsely claiming widespread fraud – beyond just mail-in ballots – and trying multiple paths to overturn the election results, slightly more than half of Republicans (54%) who did not rely on Trump for campaign news said the allegations of voter fraud in the presidential election were getting too little attention. But among those who relied on Trump and his campaign for information, 72% said there had been too little attention to those allegations.

(PEW)

January 11, 2021

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/01/11/republicans-who-relied-on-trump-for-news-more-concerned-than-other-republicans-about-election-fraud/

672-43-12/Poll

News Use Across Social Media Platforms in 2020

Among 11 social media sites asked about as a regular source of news, Facebook sits at the top, with about a third (36%) of Americans getting news there regularly. YouTube comes next, with 23% of U.S. adults regularly getting news there. Twitter serves as a regular news source for 15% of U.S. adults.

Other social media sites are less likely to be regular news sources. About one-in-ten Americans or fewer report regularly getting news on Instagram (11%), Reddit (6%), Snapchat (4%), LinkedIn (4%), TikTok (3%), WhatsApp (3%), Tumblr (1%) and Twitch (1%).

These lower percentages for news use are in some cases related to the fact that fewer Americans report using them at all, compared with the shares who use Facebook and YouTube. If we consider news users as a portion of a site’s overall user base, some sites stand out as being more “newsy” even if their total audience is relatively small. Twitter, for example, is used by 25% of U.S. adults, but over half of those users get news on the site regularly. And 42% of Reddit users get news regularly on the site, though it overall has a very small user base (15% of U.S. adults say they use Reddit). On the other hand, YouTube, though widely used, sees a smaller portion of its users turning to the site for news regularly (32%).

Demographics of regular social media news consumers

There are in some cases drastic demographic differences between the people who turn to each social media site for news. For example, White adults make up a majority of the regular news users of Facebook and Reddit but fewer than half of those who turn to Instagram for news. Both Black and Hispanic adults make up about a quarter of Instagram’s regular news users (22% and 27%, respectively). People who regularly get news on Facebook are more likely to be women than men (63% vs. 35%), while two-thirds of Reddit’s regular news users are men.

The majority of regular news users of many sites – YouTube, Twitter, Instagram, Reddit and LinkedIn – are Democrats or lean Democratic. This may be related to the relatively young age profile of the news user base of these social media sites. No social media site included here has regular news users who are more likely to be Republican or lean Republican.

News on social media sites still seen as inaccurate, as about three-in-ten say it helps them understand current events

A majority of the Americans who are getting news on social media continue to question its accuracy. About six-in-ten (59%) of those who at least rarely get news on social media say they expect that news to be largely inaccurate, while 39% expect it to be largely accurate. And though there has been increasing discussion of the information on social media, including congressional hearings in 2019 and in 2020, this is not a new sentiment among social media news users: Similar portions have said they expected the news to be inaccurate since 2018.

Most Americans do not say news on social media has helped them better understand current events. The largest segment, 47%, says it doesn’t make much of a difference, while 29% say that it has helped their understanding and 23% say it has actually left them more confused. This largely reflects responses to similar questions in 2018 and 2019, when a minority said that social media news helped them better understand current events.

(PEW)

January 12, 2021

Source: https://www.journalism.org/2021/01/12/news-use-across-social-media-platforms-in-2020/

672-43-13/Poll

U.S. Readiness to Get COVID-19 Vaccine Steadies at 65%

Line graph. Monthly trend since July in the percentage of Americans who would agree to be vaccinated for the coronavirus/COVID-19 if an FDA-approved vaccine were available right now at no cost. The percentage willing is back up to 65% in late December, similar to where it was in July and August after falling to 50% in September.

The latest results are based on a survey of more than 3,000 U.S. adults conducted Dec. 15, 2020, to Jan. 3, 2021, using the probability-based online Gallup Panel survey.

Democrats' Willingness Expands While Republicans' Slips

The stability in Americans' vaccine readiness in December masks a widening partisan divide on the matter. The percentage of Democrats willing to receive the vaccine has risen eight percentage points in the most recent poll to 83%, while the percentage of Republicans slipped five points to 45%.

Partisan attitudes are now nearly identical to what they were in Gallup's first reading on this question in July. By late August, Republicans' willingness had fallen to 37%, but it rebounded in September to 49% after President Donald Trump began touting the possibility that a vaccine would be ready by Election Day. The same announcement may have been at the root of Democrats' decreased willingness (to 53%) in September, given fears the approval process would be unduly rushed. Since then, Democrats' comfort level has slowly recovered, while Republicans' remained near 50% until December.

Line graph. Trend since July 2020 in willingness to get COVID-19 vaccine, by party ID. As of December, figures are 83% among Democrats, 59% among independents and 45% among Republicans, nearly identical to attitudes in July. Democrats have consistently been more willing than Republicans to be vaccinated, except in September, when the figure among Democrats fell to 53%.

Racial Gap Narrows, Education Gap Reopens, Age Gap Stable

Unlike the partisan differences, majorities of all other key demographic groups are willing to be vaccinated.

Although non-White Americans lean more Democratic than Republican in their political orientation, non-White adults are less likely than White adults to want to be vaccinated. The persistent racial gap seen in recent months -- with non-White adults less likely than White adults to have this attitude -- shrank to five points in December from double digits.
Willingness to be vaccinated is also a function of education. Gallup has consistently found four-year college graduates more likely than U.S. adults without a college degree to say they would get the COVID-19 vaccine, but after narrowing in November to seven points, that gap widened to 17 points in December.
Meanwhile, a positive sign for the campaign to vaccinate Americans' elderly population is that seniors remain the most willing of all age groups, similar to November. Seventy-four percent of adults 65 and older are willing to be vaccinated (tied for the highest among this group and the most of any age group). Attitudes about vaccination were also steady among young and middle-aged adults in the past month.

Willingness to Be Vaccinated for COVID-19, by Subgroup

If an FDA-approved vaccine to prevent coronavirus/COVID-19 was available right now at no cost, would you agree to be vaccinated? % Yes

	Jul 20-26, 2020	Sep 14-27, 2020	Nov 16-29, 2020	Dec 15, 2020-Jan 3, 2021
	%	%	%	%
Total U.S. adults	66	50	63	65
Gender
Men	65	56	66	67
Women	67	44	60	64
Age
18-44	68	60	68	66
45-64	62	36	52	58
65+	68	54	74	74
Education
No college degree	62	45	61	60
College degree	75	60	68	77
Race/Ethnicity
White adults	64	54	67	67
Non-White adults	72	40	53	62
GALLUP PANEL

Bottom Line

The American public's willingness to be vaccinated against the coronavirus leveled off in the mid-60% range toward the end of 2020 after slipping to a worrisome degree in September. The current 65% who would be vaccinated today if they could is about tied with the most support Gallup has found historically for any vaccine going back to polio in 1954. Any further increase seen in the months ahead will make the COVID-19 vaccine the most popular in history from a public relations standpoint. However, with Democrats approaching universal acceptance of the vaccine, any future expansion will mostly need to come from independents and Republicans.

(Gallup USA)

January 12, 2020

Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/328415/readiness-covid-vaccine-steadies.aspx

672-43-14/Poll

Voters say Congress should press ahead with second Trump impeachment attempt

On Wednesday, the US House of Representatives is expected to vote to impeach President Donald Trump for the second time in his presidency.

With only one week remaining until President-Elect Joe Biden takes his oath of office, opponents have argued that impeachment will further divide the nation without limiting President Trump’s term. Proponents of impeachment have said it is vital to hold the outgoing president responsible for encouraging his supporters to storm Congress last week, an attack in which five people died.

If President Trump is impeached by the House and convicted by the Senate, then the Senate could also take a vote to prohibit him from “holding any office of honor” and ending a potential run for office in 2024.

A YouGov poll conducted for NBC LX on January 12 finds that 53% of registered voters would like to see President Trump impeached and believe it is worth Congress attempting to do so. One in 14 adults (7%) say that while they would like to see the president impeached for a second time, it is not worth the effort it would take in his final week. About one-third (37%) do not want to see President Trump impeached, including the overwhelming majority of Republicans (83%).

Should Congress focus on impeachment over unity?

Another YouGov poll finds that America remains incredibly divided even after the presidential election was certified. Three-quarters of registered voters (76%) say the country is “very divided,” a similar number to an NBC LX survey conducted in November (73%).

While Americans tend to support impeachment, they do not want it to come at the expense of unifying the country. Half of registered voters (50%) want Democrats in Congress to prioritize trying to unite the nation, even if this means less priority is given to impeaching President Trump. However, most Democrats (57%) want their party leaders in Congress to focus on impeaching President Trump, even if this means less priority is given to uniting the nation.

Should Joe Biden focus on unity or policy?

Registered voters increasingly want President-Elect Biden to also focus on uniting the nation, even if this means less priority is given to the legislative agenda he campaigned on. In November, two in five (41%) registered voters prioritized uniting the nation over Biden’s policy goals. That number rose 11-points in January (52%).

Republicans are 20-points more likely (50% to 70%) to say that Biden should prioritize “trying to unite the nation, even if this means less priority is given to the legislative agenda he campaigned on.” Most Independents (56%) want Biden to focus on uniting the nation, compared to 50% in November.

This seems to be a theme Biden himself has his eyes on from his first moments in office — he announced on Monday that the theme of his inauguration will be “America United.” However, if Biden chooses to set aside his legislative agenda in favor of uniting America, he may not find favor with his own party. About half of Democrats (47%) want Biden to enact the legislative agenda he campaigned on, even if this means less priority is given to uniting the nation. Only one-third (37%) would sacrifice those policy goals for the sake of unity.

(YouGov)

January 13, 2020

Source: https://today.yougov.com/topics/politics/articles-reports/2021/01/13/voters-say-congress-should-impeach

672-43-15/Poll

66% of Americans say BLM protestors would have been treated differently at the Capitol

Last Thursday, President-Elect Joe Biden joined the voices of many other activists and politicians in a tweet stating "No one can tell me that if it had been a group of Black Lives Matter protestors yesterday that they wouldn’t have been treated very differently than the mob that stormed the Capitol. We all know that’s true — and it’s unacceptable."

A YouGov poll conducted January 8 – 11 of 18,900 US adults shows that two-thirds (66%) of Americans agree with the President-Elect's statement. Half (54%) of Americans strongly agree with Biden’s statement, while 12% somewhat agree that a group of Black Lives Matter protestors would have been treated very differently than the pro-Trump supporters who breached the Capitol.

A majority of Democrats (91%) agree with Biden’s statement, compared to three in five (61%) Independents, and 30% of Republicans. Republicans (60%) are more likely to disagree with Biden’s tweet than Independents (28%) and Democrats (5%).

(YouGov)

January 13, 2020

Source: https://today.yougov.com/topics/politics/articles-reports/2021/01/13/66-americans-say-blm-protestors-would-have-been-tr

672-43-16/Poll

Snap poll finds America united in opposition to the pro-Trump mob

Snap Ipsos poll finds half of Americans think the unrest is an attempted coup.

Detailed Findings

The events have captured the country’s attention, with virtually all familiar with the unrest.
Over two-thirds (70%) oppose the Capitol protestors, while just under one in five (19%) supporting them.
A similar number (74%) say the protestors who broke into the Capitol should be arrested.
President Trump (34%) and Republicans (35%) seeking to contest the election get the support of only a third of Americans.
Half of Americans (51%) see this event as an attempted coup, and fewer than a third (31%) believe these protests are necessary to protect America.
However, half of Americans (51%) also agree that if elected officials do not protect America, regular people need to.

(Ipsos MORI)

January 07, 2020

Source: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/snap-poll-finds-america-united-opposition-pro-trump-mob

AUSTRALIA

672-43-17/Poll

Labour/Greens enjoy majority support of 54.5% of New Zealand electors as 2021 begins

Support for the main opposition National Party is up 2.5% points to 28%, while support for Act NZ is down slightly by 0.5% points to 10%. Support for the Maori Party is now up 1% point to 2%.

This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a NZ-wide cross-section of 939 electors during December. Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?” Of all electors surveyed 3% didn’t name a party.

Support for Labour/Greens at 54.5% is well ahead of National/Act NZ/Maori Party on 40%

In December 54.5% of electors supported the Labour/Greens governing partnership, down 2% points since November. The governing parties were well ahead of the Parliamentary opposition National/ Act NZ/Maori Party on 40%, up 3% points since November.

A small minority of 5.5% of electors support other minor parties outside Parliament.

Of the parties outside Parliament, The Opportunities Party (TOP) was unchanged at 2% in December and New Zealand First was up 0.5% points to 2%.

New Zealand Government Confidence Rating was up 4pts to 153.5 in December

Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating was up 4pts to 153.5 in December. The majority (71.5%) of New Zealand electors (up 2% since November) said New Zealand was ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to only 18% (down 2%) who said New Zealand was ‘heading in the wrong direction’.

Michele Levine, CEO Roy Morgan, says Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern’s leadership and adept handling of the COVID-19 pandemic led to a resounding victory in the October election and has put New Zealand in prime position to reap the benefits of the global recovery:

“Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern’s leadership and effective handling of the challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic during 2020 was the highlight of the year for New Zealand which closed its borders early on and has been virus-free for most of the second-half of the year.

“The exemplary response to COVID-19 led to a resounding victory for Prime Minister Ardern in October’s election and a second term for Labour in a ‘Cooperation Agreement’ with the Greens – even though Labour secured a majority of the vote and could have governed in its own right.

“Nevertheless, support for the Labour/Greens government is down 2% points to 54.5% in December with Labour support unchanged on 44% while Greens support dropped 2% points to 10.5%. The lead has narrowed to 14.5% over the Opposition National/Act NZ/Maori Party which has combined support of 40% and is the smallest lead for the Labour-led Government for a year since January 2020 (Labour-led Government 53% cf. National-led Opposition 43%).

“The New Year presents new challenges for the Ardern-led Government as New Zealand looks to recover from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic even as many countries overseas are still grappling with the worst effects of the virus.

“Key issues include the roll-out of the vaccine to New Zealanders during the first half of 2021 as well as the potential full re-opening of borders with Australia to two-way travel – now dependent on Australia getting the latest outbreaks in NSW, Victoria and Queensland firmly under control.

“In addition, there are election commitments to provide more affordable housing, particularly in Auckland, and implement firm policies on Climate Change to reduce New Zealand’s net emissions of carbon dioxide to zero as soon as possible.”

(Roy Morgan)

January 12, 2020

Source: https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/8609-new-zealand-voting-intention-december-2020-202101120052

MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

672-43-18/Poll

U.S. & China’s competition extends to MENA

The survey results make clear that Arab publics prefer China. China is viewed favorably by half or more in three countries – Algeria (60 percent), Morocco (52 percent) and Tunisia (50 percent) – while a third or more have a positive view in Lebanon (43 percent), Jordan (35 percent) and Libya (34 percent). By comparison, fewer than a third have a favorable view of the U.S. in all six countries, ranging from a high of 28 percent in Morocco to a low of 14 percent in Libya.

These two global powers take different approaches to engagement in the region. China’s involvement tends to focus more on economic issues while the U.S. is more deeply engaged politically. Yet, despite China’s growing economic ties in MENA, relatively few Arab citizens say that China represents a major economic threat. Lebanese are the most likely to say that China’s economic involvement represents a critical threat (26 percent) followed by Tunisians (21 percent). Meanwhile, just 13 percent of Algerians say the same. In comparison, Arabs are far more worried about U.S. economic power being a critical threat to their country, including 47 percent in Lebanon, 43 percent in Tunisia, and 31 percent in Algeria. Only in Morocco are citizens roughly equally concerned of the threat of Chinese vs. American economic power.Despite concerns about U.S. economic power, many citizens have positive views toward U.S. foreign assistance saying that it benefits key groups. When asked if U.S. foreign aid strengthens civil society, half in Lebanon, 46 percent in Tunisia, 41 percent in Morocco, and 40 percent in Jordan hold this view. Similar percentages say the same about U.S. in regard to women’s rights. In Lebanon, 48 percent say it accomplishes this goal as do 45 percent in Tunisia, 43 percent in Jordan, and 38 percent in Morocco. However, Algerians and Libyans are somewhat more suspect about the motivations for U.S. aid in both areas.

The surveys offer evidence that differences in attitudes toward China and the U.S. may be due in large part to views of these countries’ respective leaders and their foreign policies. When asked if Chinese Premier Xi Jinping’s foreign policy has been positive for MENA, many say yes, including 42 percent in Algeria, 39 percent in Morocco, 34 percent in Lebanon and 30 percent in Tunisia. At the same time, support is somewhat lower in Libya (22 percent) and Jordan (21 percent).

However, in all cases this level of support is above that of U.S. President Donald Trump. Views that his foreign policy have been positive for MENA are highest in Lebanon 18 percent and followed by Morocco (15 percent). However, just seven percent in Jordan and six percent in Tunisia hold this view. Notably, Arab citizens are also far more familiar with Trump’s foreign policies, with 12 percent or fewer saying they don’t know whether his foreign policies have been good for MENA in all countries except Jordan. By comparison, at least 16 percent say they don’t know about Xi’s policies in all countries surveyed, including as many as 39 percent in Jordan.Views of Trump’s foreign policies were likely driven in large part by the signing of normalization agreements between Israel and a number of other countries, including the UAE, Bahrain, and Sudan shortly before the surveys were fielded in October 2020. As detailed previously, these agreements are not supported by most ordinary citizens in the region. Fewer than one-in-ten have positive views of the Abraham Accords in all countries surveyed except Lebanon, where just 20 percent do.
Perhaps as a result, citizens across the region are far more supportive of U.S. President-elect Joe Biden than Donald Trump. When asked in the weeks leading up to the U.S. election about which candidate would have better policies for the region, support for Biden was commonly four times higher than for Trump. Tunisians prefer Biden by a 40-point margin (52 percent vs. 12 percent) while the gap is 36 points in Algeria (43 percent vs. 7 percent), 30 points in Morocco (39 percent vs. 9 percent), 28 points in Libya (38 percent vs. 10 percent), and 24 points in Jordan (29 percent vs. 5 percent). Only in Lebanon are the two candidates equally supported with 17 percent preferring Trump and 16 percent Biden, but in this case a clear plurality (42 percent) says the two candidates are equally bad.
Although views of the U.S. are not likely to rise dramatically in response to Biden’s election, these results do suggest that during Biden’s presidency the U.S. is likely to enjoy somewhat higher support in the eyes of ordinary Arab citizens than under the Trump administration. However, without a major shift in U.S. policy toward the Israeli-Palestinian conflict or a greater engagement in the region in a manner that is seen to benefit Arab publics, it is unlikely that Biden’s election will be sufficient to significantly alter views toward the U.S. given long-standing trends observed in Arab Barometer data since 2006.

(Arab Barometer)

January 12, 2020

Source: https://www.arabbarometer.org/2021/01/u-s-chinas-competition-extends-to-mena/

672-43-19/Poll

Global Opinion: The Decline of Global Economic Hope

The global index of economic hope amounted to -21 pp. The decline in the index continues after -2 pp. in 2017 and 20 p.p. in 2016.

The year of economic prosperity 2021 is considered by 25% of the world's inhabitants
The year of economic problems in 2021 was named by 46%.
do not expect major changes 24%.
found it difficult to answer 6%.

Bar chart. What do you think 2021 will be from an economic point of view? (%)

What do you think 2021 will be from an economic point of view? (%)

Data source: Romir / GIA , 2020

In Russia, the index of economic hope turned out to be one of the lowest for the entire observation period:

optimistic about 6%
pessimistic 47%
do not expect major changes 40%
found it difficult to answer 8%

Thus, the value of the index turned out to be negative -41 p.p.

Schedule. Dynamics of the index of economic hope in Russia in 1997-2020, p.p.

Dynamics of the index of economic hope in Russia in 1997-2020, p.p.

Data source: Romir / GIA , 2020

The highest indicators of the index of economic hope were noted in Nigeria (58 pp), Azerbaijan (47 pp) and Vietnam (45 pp).

The countries with the most pessimistic citizens about the economic component of the coming year were the United Kingdom (-62 pp), Bulgaria (-59 pp) and Italy (-59 pp).

Among European countries, Poland (-58 p.p.), Bosnia and Herzegovina (-57 p.p.) and Austria (-52 p.p.) were also in the minus zone.

In terms of the ratio of the level of economic hope and the size of GDP per capita, Russia, as in the optimism index, turned out to be close to Turkey.

Map. Correlation map of the level of economic hope and the size of GDP per capita.

Correlation map of the level of economic hope and the size of GDP per capita

Data source: Romir / GIA , 2020

“If in the matter of optimism we observe a certain growth in the regions of the Earth, then the economic hope has left all developed countries this year. The pandemic has hit the wallets of all earthlings, but citizens of developing countries in Africa and Asia believe that the situation will improve in 2021. But Russia, along with other European countries much more pessimistic about the economic condition: the index value has reached a level of crisis in 1998, 2008 and 2013, when our compatriots lost hope even to maintain the financial status, not to mention its improvement ", - commented the results of investigations deputy - President of Gallup International , President of "Romir" and founder of Mile Group , Doctor of Sociology Andrey Milekhin .

The international association of independent research agencies Gallup International, in the framework of the annual global survey “End of the Year”, asks respondents around the world the traditional question about their expectations for the coming year: which year will be better, worse or the same as the previous one. In November-December, more than 38 thousand people in 41 countries of the world answered the questions of researchers, whose opinion can actually be extrapolated to all inhabitants of the Earth.

(Romir)

January 06, 2021

Source: https://romir.ru/studies/globalnoe-mnenie-upadok-mirovoy-ekonomicheskoy-nadejdy