BUSINESS
& POLITICS IN THE WORLD
GLOBAL
OPINION REPORT NO. 666
Week: November 23 – November
29, 2020
Presentation: December 04, 2020
Nearly
two-thirds of urban Indians favour the government’s decision to regulate
digital content
Singaporeans divided on decision to re-open
nightclubs
Nearly two-thirds of urban Indians favour the
government’s decision to regulate digital content
Improving immunity was a key reason to
participate in the Dubai Fitness Challenge this year
Most Basotho say government bungled teacher
strike, is failing on education and youth
23 percent of German corporate decision-makers
feel unprepared for Brexit
Faced with the controversy, what popularity for
the CNews channel?
Fruits preferred by Italians and sustainability
of production
Two thirds of Britons support cutting the
foreign aid budget
Two in five Britons plan to shop during Black
Friday and Cyber Monday
Hopes of vaccine boost public’s opinion of the
pharmaceutical industry
Eight in ten say it is currently difficult to
find a job in Britain
Leisure-wear, pyjamas and even showering less,
has COVID accelerated a decline in formality?
Americans' Holiday Spending Intentions
Strengthen in November
Biden's Favorability Rises to 55%, Trump's Dips
to 42%
Prior to COVID-19, child poverty rates had
reached record lows in U.S.
In the pandemic, the share of unpartnered moms
at work fell more sharply than among other parents
Movement
in Melbourne CBD at only 27% of normal after lockdown ends, well behind Sydney
CBD (42%)
COVID-19 Magnifies Pre-Existing Gender
Inequalities in MENA
NATO seen in a positive light by many across 10
member states
INTRODUCTORY NOTE
This weekly report consists of twenty two surveys.
The report includes four multi-country studies national surveys from different
states across the globe.
666-43-20/Commentary:
Millennials are
most likely to support as well as say their consumption of digital content is
likely to increase due to this move
YouGov’s latest survey
reveals nearly two-thirds (64%) of urban Indians support (either strongly or
somewhat) the government’s decision of bringing digital content including
films, web series as well as online news under the ambit of the Ministry of
Information and Broadcasting.
Only a small number (13%)
said they oppose this move, while 22% are unsure of their decision.
The findings are similar to
the ones revealed by YouGov’s survey last year where a majority had given their
consent for the censorship of digital content.
Is it interesting to note
that millennials emerged as the greatest advocates of digital censorship; with
one in seven (69%) saying they support the government’s decision to regulate
online content.
The majority of urban
Indians favour this decision because they feel online content includes a lot of
inappropriate content for children (56%). Many find depictions of violence and
bloodshed (48%) and nudity & strong language (44%) in certain kinds of
content concerning.
Thinking about the impact of
this decision on OTT/ Video-streaming platforms, two in five respondents (40%)
feel regulation of digital content will make it more suitable for children as
well as members of other age groups. A third (33%) are positive about the
content quality improving, and almost as many (31%) feel the viewership of
digital channels will increase due to this.
Many expect gloomy outcomes
such as restriction of access to the global/niche content (31%), increase in
the piracy of movies or series (23%), decrease in the viewership, and
deterioration of the quality of content (20% each).
People’s positive
expectations from digital media regulation extend to online news platforms as
well. One-third of urban Indians said regulation of digital news would lead to
better clarity of facts around current events and happening (33%). Another third
thinks the spread of fake news could now be controlled (33%), and just as many
feel that the quality of news on digital platforms will improve (32%).
Some believe once digital
news comes under the purview of the government, it may lose its essence as the
freedom of speech will get restricted (27%), while others are of the opinion
that it might affect the quality of news (21%).
When asked about the impact
on their personal consumption of digital media, a third (33%) said their
consumption of content on OTT platforms is likely to increase because of the
filtration of content. One in five (20%) feel it will decrease and for a
quarter (24%) it is likely to remain unchanged.
Similarly, two in five (39%)
respondents said their personal consumption of digital news is likely to surge
due to the regulation. One in three (31%) feel it will remain unchanged, and
only a small number (16%) hinted towards a decline in their online news
consumption.
Amongst all the age groups,
millennials were most likely to say their personal consumption of both digital
content and digital news will increase once content goes through regulation- at
40% and 45%, respectively.
(YouGov)
November 25, 2020
Source: https://in.yougov.com/en-hi/news/2020/11/25/nearly-two-thirds-urban-indians-favour-governments/
666-43-21/Country Profile: India
ASIA
(Singapore)
Singaporeans divided on decision to re-open nightclubs
Recently, a limited number of bars, pubs, nightclubs, discotheques and karaoke lounges re-opened with COVID-19 safety measures in place under a pilot programme. Latest YouGov data looks at what Singaporeans think of nightclubs re-opening and of nightlife as a whole. After eight months of remaining shut, the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) and the Ministry of Home Affairs (MHA) announced that certain nightlife venues would be able to re-open. While three in ten (29%) of Singaporeans agree with this decision, the other three in ten (29%) disagree. The remaining two in ten (18%) are undecided. (YouGov)
December 01, 2020
(India)
Nearly two-thirds of urban Indians favour the
government’s decision to regulate digital content
YouGov’s latest survey reveals nearly
two-thirds (64%) of urban Indians support (either strongly or somewhat) the
government’s decision of bringing digital content including films, web series
as well as online news under the ambit of the Ministry of Information and
Broadcasting. Only a small number (13%) said they oppose this move, while 22%
are unsure of their decision. (YouGov)
November 25, 2020
MENA
(UAE)
Improving immunity was a key reason to participate in the Dubai Fitness
Challenge this year
The fourth edition of the Dubai Fitness
Challenge (DFC) commenced on October 30 with the introduction of global safety
practices and a mix of physical and virtual workouts. YouGov’s latest survey
reveals the pandemic has given people many more reasons to participate and a
large proportion of UAE residents (45%) took up the challenge this year in
order to improve their immunity. (YouGov)
November 25, 2020
AFRICA
(South Africa)
Most Basotho say government bungled teacher strike, is failing on
education and youth
Most Basotho say the government is doing
a poor job on education and youth, including mishandling its protracted dispute
with public school teachers, the latest Afrobarometer
survey shows. Citizens overwhelmingly support the teachers, who were on
intermittent strike for much of 2019 and continue to demand better salaries and
working conditions. (Afrobarometer)
December 03, 2020
EUROPE
(Germany)
23 percent of German corporate decision-makers feel unprepared for
Brexit
The Brexit transition phase will end on
December 31, 2020. From 2021, the United Kingdom will no longer be part of the
EU internal market and the customs union as a “third country”. 22 percent of
European corporate decision-makers state that their company is little or not at
all prepared for the changes associated with Brexit. The UK has the highest
number (31 percent). In Germany, 23 percent of corporate decision-makers state
that they are little or not at all prepared for the final Brexit
implementation. (YouGov)
December 01, 2020
(France)
Faced with the controversy, what popularity for the CNews
channel?
CNews has come under heavy criticism in recent
months. However, audience figures suggest that the format of the news channel
is increasingly popular with the public. In September 2020, Vincent Bolloré's media thus reached an audience share of 1.5%
according to Médiamétrie, practically doubling its
score compared to the previous year. (YouGov)
November 30, 2020
(Italy)
Fruits preferred by Italians and sustainability of production
We asked the Italians what their favorite
fruits were this season and what they thought about the issue of sustainability
in agricultural production. Mandarin, grapes, apple, chestnut and orange are
the favorite fruits of the Italians in this period. Persimmon, in seventh
position by preference, shows a high share of "loyal": among those
who ate it in the last month, almost one in three people selected it as their
favorite fruit in this period. (YouGov)
November 27, 2020
(UK)
Two thirds of Britons support cutting the foreign aid budget
In 2015, then-Prime Minister David
Cameron enshrined in law the UK’s commitment to spending 0.7% of GDP on foreign
aid. The figure had been adopted as a target in principle as early as 1974,
although it wasn’t until 2013 that it was met for the first time. In light of the damage caused to the public finances by the
coronavirus crisis, Chancellor Rishi Sunak announced today that foreign aid
spending will be reduced to 0.5% of GDP – a reduction of Ł5bn. (YouGov)
November 25, 2020
(UK)
Two in five Britons plan to shop during Black Friday and Cyber Monday
There is unlikely to be any footage of
eager shoppers fighting over discounted TVs on Black Friday this year. But the
national lockdown isn’t putting people off. Two in five people (40%) plan to
bag a discount during the sales period – which is in line with last year when
39% of Britons participated. The four in ten Black Friday shoppers are mostly
composed of people who say they will only shop online (32%). Just 1% expect to
exclusively shop in-store and one in fourteen (7%) say they will do both.
(YouGov)
November 25, 2020
(UK)
Hopes of vaccine boost public’s opinion of the pharmaceutical industry
Britons are feeling increasingly positive
about pharmaceutical and biotech companies, with 47% of the public now saying
they have a favourable view of the industry, YouGov
tracker data shows. The latest figures were recorded on 12 Nov – three days
after Pfizer and BioTech announced that their
COVID-19 vaccine was 90% effective. The news appears to have prompted a
six-point jump in positive opinion, up from 41% in mid-October. (YouGov)
November 26, 2020
(UK)
Eight in ten say it is currently difficult to find a job in Britain
YouGov’s tracking data shows a massive
80% of the public think it is currently difficult for those in the market to
find a job in Britain, including 42% who think it is “very difficult”. Just 9%
say it is currently easy for those looking to find a job. Unsurprisingly this
is a massive shift from before the first UK lockdown. In February, 44% thought
finding a job was difficult while 39% thought it was easy. (YouGov)
November 26, 2020
(UK)
Leisure-wear, pyjamas and even showering less, has COVID accelerated a
decline in formality?
In new research by Ipsos MORI, two-thirds (67%) of Britons say they are
dressing more casually since the COVID-19 pandemic started. Two-thirds say this
means they can exercise their personal choices more while 63% say they are
happy that they can dress more casually. Six in ten (59%) feel confident
about knowing how to dress in a more casual way, the same proportion say
working from home makes it easier to do so. Just over half of Britons say you
rarely see people at work in business suits these days (54%). (Ipsos MORI)
November 27, 2020
NORTH AMERICA
Americans' Holiday Spending Intentions Strengthen
in November
Gallup's latest update of Americans' 2020 holiday spending plans
finds consumers estimating they will spend an average $852 on Christmas gifts,
nearly identical to the $846 they projected at the same time last year. Annual trend since 1999 in which Americans estimate each November
of the amount they will spend on Christmas gifts,
ranging from a high of $866 in 2007 to a low of $616 in 2008. The November 2020
figure is $852. (Gallup USA)
November 25, 2020
Biden's Favorability Rises to 55%, Trump's Dips to
42%
President-elect Joe Biden's favorability rating has risen six
percentage points to 55% since the election compared with his final preelection reading. At the same time, President Donald
Trump's favorability has edged down three points to 42%. Biden's current rating
is the highest it has been since February 2019, two months before he declared
his candidacy for president, when it was 56%. Trump's latest favorability falls
short of the highest of his presidency, 49% in April, during the initial stages
of the coronavirus pandemic. (Gallup USA)
November 30, 2020
Prior to COVID-19, child poverty rates had reached
record lows in U.S.
In 2019, the year with the most recently available data, 14% of
children under age 18, or 10.5 million children, were living in poverty, down
from 22%, or 16.3 million, in 2010. All major racial and ethnic groups saw
declines since 2010, but the greatest decreases were in the shares of Black and
Hispanic children living in poverty. About two-in-ten Hispanic children (21%)
were living in poverty in 2019, down from 35% in 2010. In 2019, 26% of Black
children were impoverished, dropping from 39% in 2010. Even so, Black and
Hispanic children were still about three times as likely as Asian (7%) and
White (8%) children to be living in poverty. (PEW)
November 29, 2020
In the pandemic, the share of unpartnered moms at
work fell more sharply than among other parents
Balancing work and family obligations is a challenge for many
parents, but remote learning and the closure of many child
care centers have put added stress on them in the COVID-19 pandemic,
especially on parents without the support of a partner at home. While previous research on the labor market shows that the pandemic
has similarly affected mothers and fathers overall from September 2019 to
September 2020, a new Pew Research Center analysis finds that the share of
unpartnered mothers who are employed and at work has fallen more precipitously
than among other parents. (PEW)
November 24, 2020
AUSTRALIA
Movement in Melbourne CBD at only 27% of normal
after lockdown ends, well behind Sydney CBD (42%)
Movement in the Melbourne CBD during mid-November was at an average
of only 27% of the pre-COVID-19 levels earlier in the year during January and
February – although this has almost doubled since being at only 14% during the
final week of lockdown in late October. Comparing movement levels during 2020
shows that movement levels in the Melbourne CBD have been lower than all other Capital
City CBDs every week since late March when the first national lockdown began
and hit a low of only 11% of normal in the final week of August. (Roy Morgan)
November 27, 2020
MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES
COVID-19 Magnifies Pre-Existing Gender
Inequalities in MENA
COVID 19 is being perceived as a disruptor, an accelerator and an
agent for innovation and advancement in various fields across the world. Yet,
its impact has been a decelerator for women’s rights and gender equality
globally. The UN Deputy Secretary-General
Amina Mohammed warned that without immediate action, “the pandemic could set
back women’s rights by decades”. And, the latest Arab Barometer public opinion
survey of citizens across five countries in the Arab world confirm that Arab
women have suffered more on economic and social dimensions. (Arab Barometer)
December 01, 2020
NATO seen in a positive light by many across 10
member states
The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) is seen more
favorably than not across 10 member states and Sweden. A median of 60% across
these 10 countries have a favorable view of the political and military
alliance, compared with a median of 30% who have an unfavorable opinion. This
is in keeping with previous Pew Research Center surveys, which found that NATO
was seen in a favorable light across most member countries. (PEW)
November 30, 2020
666-43-01/Poll
Four in five believe that keeping citizens safe during
pandemic more important that nightlife activities
Recently, a limited number of bars, pubs, nightclubs, discotheques and
karaoke lounges re-opened with COVID-19 safety measures in place under a pilot
programme. Latest YouGov data looks at what Singaporeans think of nightclubs
re-opening and of nightlife as a whole.
After eight months of remaining shut, the Ministry of Trade and Industry
(MTI) and the Ministry of Home Affairs (MHA) announced that
certain nightlife venues would be able to re-open. While three in ten (29%) of
Singaporeans agree with this decision, the other three in ten (29%) disagree.
The remaining two in ten (18%) are undecided. Younger Singaporeans (aged 18 to
34) are the most likely to agree with the decision to re-open, while older
Singaporeans (aged 55 and above) are the least likely (35% vs. 20%).
While Singaporeans might be split on whether nightlife venues should
re-open, data shows that most have never visited a nightclub before – with
seven in ten (72%) saying they’ve never set foot in a nightclub. Women are more
likely to have never visited a nightclub than men (80% vs. 65%) are. Out of the
remaining 28% who have visited a nightclub, only a small percentage are
frequent club-goers. Prior to the pandemic, one in twenty (5%) went clubbing at
least once a month, one in twenty (6%) at least once every six months and one
in six (16%) less than once every six months.
As a whole, two-thirds (67%) of Singaporeans are unbothered about
nightlife venues remaining shut. One in six (17%) actively dislike spending
time at these venues, and find that nightlife activities remaining shut have
benefited them. The remaining one in six (16%) miss going out at night and
enjoy spending time at these venues.
Amongst club-goers, the main reason to go clubbing is to spend time with
friends (64%). To enjoy the music and for a celebration and party (37%) come in
joint second, followed by to drink alcohol (36%), to dance (19%) and to chat up
people (14%). A small percentage (7%) say they go clubbing because there are no
other places to go at night.
The re-opening of these venues sees some very stringent measures in
place. For example, all customers must wear masks at all times even when on the
dancefloor or while singing. No alcohol can be sold, served or consumed after
10:30pm and all customers must be tested negative for COVID-19 24 hours prior
to entering the establishment. With these measures in mind, three in five (63%)
of Singaporeans are uninterested in returning to nightlife venues. A quarter
(25%) have no opinion, and slightly over one in ten (13%) are keen. However,
amongst younger Singaporeans (aged 18 to 34), this number doubles, with one in
five (19%) interested in returning to nightlife venues, even with stringent
measures in place.
Singaporeans are not only divided on whether nightlife venues should
re-open, they also appear divided on their attitudes towards nightlife venues
as a whole. Half (48%) agree that going to bars, clubs and karaoke lounges help
people relieve stress, and almost half (45%) agree that the nightlife industry
is an important part of Singapore's economy. However, a similar number (44%)
also believe that nightlife establishments do more harm than good. The majority
(79%) agrees that keeping citizens safe in a pandemic is more important than
allowing for nightlife activities.
(YouGov)
December 01, 2020
Source:
https://sg.yougov.com/en-sg/news/2020/12/01/singaporeans-divided-decision-re-open-nightclubs/
666-43-02/Poll
Millennials are most likely to support as well as say their
consumption of digital content is likely to increase due to this move
YouGov’s latest survey reveals nearly two-thirds (64%) of urban Indians
support (either strongly or somewhat) the government’s decision of bringing
digital content including films, web series as well as online news under the
ambit of the Ministry of Information and Broadcasting.
Only a small number (13%) said they oppose this move, while 22% are
unsure of their decision.
The findings are similar to the ones revealed by YouGov’s survey last
year where a majority had given their consent for the censorship of digital
content.
Is it interesting to note that millennials emerged as the greatest
advocates of digital censorship; with one in seven (69%) saying they support
the government’s decision to regulate online content.
The majority of urban Indians favour this decision because they feel
online content includes a lot of inappropriate content for children (56%). Many
find depictions of violence and bloodshed (48%) and nudity & strong
language (44%) in certain kinds of content concerning.
Thinking about the impact of this decision on OTT/ Video-streaming
platforms, two in five respondents (40%) feel regulation of digital content
will make it more suitable for children as well as members of other age groups.
A third (33%) are positive about the content quality improving, and almost as
many (31%) feel the viewership of digital channels will increase due to this.
Many expect gloomy outcomes such as restriction of access to the
global/niche content (31%), increase in the piracy of movies or series (23%),
decrease in the viewership, and deterioration of the quality of content (20%
each).
People’s positive expectations from digital media regulation extend to
online news platforms as well. One-third of urban Indians said regulation of
digital news would lead to better clarity of facts around current events and
happening (33%). Another third thinks the spread of fake news could now be
controlled (33%), and just as many feel that the quality of news on digital
platforms will improve (32%).
Some believe once digital news comes under the purview of the government,
it may lose its essence as the freedom of speech will get restricted (27%),
while others are of the opinion that it might affect the quality of news (21%).
When asked about the impact on their personal consumption of digital
media, a third (33%) said their consumption of content on OTT platforms is
likely to increase because of the filtration of content. One in five (20%) feel
it will decrease and for a quarter (24%) it is likely to remain unchanged.
Similarly, two in five (39%) respondents said their personal consumption
of digital news is likely to surge due to the regulation. One in three (31%)
feel it will remain unchanged, and only a small number (16%) hinted towards a
decline in their online news consumption.
Amongst all the age groups, millennials were most likely to say their
personal consumption of both digital content and digital news will increase
once content goes through regulation- at 40% and 45%, respectively.
(YouGov)
November 25, 2020
Source:
https://in.yougov.com/en-hi/news/2020/11/25/nearly-two-thirds-urban-indians-favour-governments/
666-43-03/Poll
Among residents who did not participate, fear of catching the
Covid infection was the top reason
The fourth edition of the Dubai Fitness Challenge (DFC) commenced on
October 30 with the introduction of global safety practices and a mix of
physical and virtual workouts.
YouGov’s latest survey reveals the pandemic has given people many more
reasons to participate and a large proportion of UAE residents (45%) took up
the challenge this year in order to improve their immunity.
In addition to this, nearly one in three (28%) participated to try the
newly the introduced stay-home workout sessions, and just as many enrolled
themselves to take a break from staying at home due to Covid (27%).
Even though many residents participated due to reasons related to Covid,
the majority took part in the challenge to keep themselves motivated to stay
fit (64%). Motivation for good health was the key reason for participation last
year as well (with 54% saying this).
A third (32%) participate every year and joined this time to keep the
tradition alive. Other reasons for participation included getting out of
comfort zone (40%), to have fun (38%) and for the free health check-ups and
classes (34%).
The pandemic has pushed many people to focus on fitness and transform
their lifestyles. Despite the fear of the virus, two-thirds (67%) of those
aware of the Dubai Fitness Challenge participated this year, compared to 75%
last year. A third (33%) did not participate this time, up from 25% last year.
Among those who did not participate, fear of catching the infection was
the main reason (as said by 34%). Another 17% did not take part out of concern
for social distancing practiced at the venues.
As a tradition, the Dubai Fitness Challenge encourages people to complete
30 minutes of activity a day for 30 days. Of the residents who participated
this year, seven in ten (72%) claimed to log at least 30 minutes of activity a
day. One in twelve (8%) pushed themselves further and clocked in more than 60
minutes.
Furthermore, all enthusiasts had specific fitness goals that they wanted
to achieve through this initiative. Improving overall fitness (61%) was the top
ambition, followed by weight loss and increasing stamina (51% each).
The data shows residents seem happy with the results of the challenge and
it had a positive impact on their health and wellness. For all the listed
goals, a large majority think the fitness challenge helped them achieve their
goals to a great extent.
Enthusiasm for fitness is likely to continue as nearly nine in ten (88%)
participants intend to take part in the challenge next year as well.
(YouGov)
November 25, 2020
Source:
https://mena.yougov.com/en/news/2020/11/26/improving-immunity-was-key-reason-participate-duba/
666-43-04/Poll
Most Basotho say the government is doing a poor job on education and
youth, including mishandling its protracted dispute with public school
teachers, the latest Afrobarometer survey shows.
Citizens overwhelmingly support the teachers, who were on intermittent
strike for much of 2019 and continue to demand better salaries and working
conditions.
The survey also shows that a majority of Basotho expect more effective
government action to address the needs of youth and would willingly pay more
taxes if that would mean funding for initiatives to help young people,
especially through job creation.
These findings suggest that Basotho want a less intransigent government
response that will end the long-running dispute with teachers and address
critical education and youth development needs of the population.
(Afrobarometer)
December 03, 2020
666-43-05/Poll
A YouGov poll of
European business decision-makers in the UK, Germany, France, Italy and Spain
on Brexit
The majority of British business decision-makers (58
percent) say that their companies are sufficiently prepared for Brexit. In
Spain it is 57 percent, and 46 percent each in Germany and Italy. In
France, 39 percent of corporate decision-makers say this.
MORE CRITICISM
THAN PRAISE FOR BREXIT PREPARATIONS BY THE RESPECTIVE GOVERNMENTS
German decision-makers say the most (36 percent) that
their government prepared companies well or adequately for the possible effects
of the United Kingdom's exit from the European Union. Among the British, a
third (32 percent) say this, among the French and Spaniards 29 percent of
company decision-makers each make this statement, in Italy a quarter (25
percent).
UK respondents are most likely to say (41 percent)
that their companies have been poorly prepared by their government for the
potential impact of the exit. Just as many Spaniards make this
statement. In Germany, that's 30 percent. Among French corporate
decision-makers, as many as 43 percent say that they have not received any
preparations. Only 19 percent say this in Great Britain.
December 01, 2020
Source: https://yougov.de/news/2020/12/03/23-prozent-der-deutschen-unternehmensentscheider-f/
666-43-06/Poll
Some shows perform particularly well, like "Face ŕ l'Info",
which saw its audience explode. In October 2020, the program attracted an
average of 587,000 viewers, against 149,000 a year earlier.
Can we highlight certain correlations between recent
controversies and the evolution of brand indicators? Response with YouGov
BrandIndex.
A channel that
makes people talk about it
On September 29, Eric Zemmour's intervention in the
show Face ŕ l'Info created
controversy on social networks. There is an increase in Word of Mouth from
the end of September. The indicator thus rose by 3.5 points in a few
weeks.
An increase in
perceived Quality
While CNews' Quality score had been falling since
early September, it started to rise again from October 13 and peaked at 23.4 in
mid-November, a rapid increase of 27.1 points.
Recommended
media
Likewise, the Recommendation indicator fell and turned
negative on September 29, before starting to rise sharply a few days
later. The score thus increased by 34.1 points between mid-October and
mid-November.
A growing
audience
Another major finding: the number of people watching
the channel increased by 5.7 points between the end of September and the
beginning of November.
Who are the
French who watch CNews?
November 30, 2020
Source: https://fr.yougov.com/news/2020/11/30/face-la-polemique-quelle-popularite-pour-cnews/
666-43-07/Poll
Mandarin, grapes, apple, chestnut and orange are the favorite fruits of
the Italians in this period . Persimmon,
in seventh position by preference, shows a high share of "loyal":
among those who ate it in the last month, almost one in three people selected
it as their favorite fruit in this period
67% of Italians said they had asked themselves at
least once if fruit and vegetables are grown in an eco-sustainable way and in
compliance with workers' rights, but there is still 22% who admit that they
never asked. Residual is the share of those who explicitly declare that
they are not interested in the issue.
The issue of eco-sustainability is more present in the
minds of consumers than that of workers' rights, but those who eat a lot of
fruit show more sensitivity to the latter in particular.
Avocado and
Banana are
the fruits considered less sustainable
in the eyes of Italian consumers . Only 13% of those who
ate Avocado in the last month think that this fruit is grown (often or always)
with respect for the environment and workers when it comes to non-European
crops (19% for local crops).
The avocado is therefore considered the unsustainable
fruit par excellence, followed by the banana, so the gap between the perceived
sustainability of our own and extra-EU is smaller. In third place of the
most critical crops outside the EU, we find grapes, on which, however, Italians
feel reassured to a greater extent within national borders.
In conclusion, considering the attention that fruit
enthusiasts place on ethical issues of production, focusing more on the
sustainability of exotic fruits "of the moment", such as avocado,
could please consumers and represent an opportunity for retailers.
November 27, 2020
Source: https://it.yougov.com/news/2020/11/27/frutti-preferiti-dagli-italiani-e-sostenibilita-de/
666-43-08/Poll
In light of the damage caused to the public finances by the coronavirus
crisis, Chancellor Rishi Sunak announced today that foreign aid spending will
be reduced to 0.5% of GDP – a reduction of Ł5bn.
Such a move is controversial in political circles.
Baroness Sugg, a Foreign Office minister whose brief included overseas
development, resigned in protest at the news, describing it as “fundamentally wrong”. David
Cameron and fellow former Prime Minister Tony Blair have both described the
move as a “strategic mistake”, while former international development secretary
Andrew Mitchell has said the cuts will cause "100,000 preventable deaths,
mainly among children".
One group among whom the cut is not controversial,
however, is the British public. New YouGov research conducted in the run-up to
the announcement shows that two thirds (66%) say that reducing the amount spent
on overseas aid is the right decision. Only 18% think it is the wrong call.
The move is near-universally popular among
Conservative voters, 92% of whom are in support. Support is lower among Labour
and Lib Dem voters, but the move is still more popular than not: Labour voters
back it by 44% to 37% and Lib Dem voters do so by 49% to 35%.
Foreign aid spending levels have long been
consistently unpopular with the British public, topping our tracker on what sector people think the government
spends too much on by a wide margin.
November 25, 2020
666-43-09/Poll
Black Friday
shoppers overwhelmingly plan to shop online as only essential shops remain open
across Britain
There is unlikely to be any
footage of eager shoppers fighting over discounted TVs on Black Friday this
year. But the national lockdown isn’t putting people off. Two in five people
(40%) plan to bag a discount during the sales period – which is in line with
last year when 39% of
Britons participated.
The four in ten Black Friday shoppers are mostly composed of people who
say they will only shop online (32%). Just 1% expect to exclusively shop
in-store and one in fourteen (7%) say they will do both.
Slightly more than four in ten Britons (44%) say they
won’t do any Black Friday bargain hunting this year, while another one in six
Britons (16%) are undecided.
Younger people are the keenest Black Friday and Cyber
Monday shoppers, with nearly three in five 18- to 24-year-olds (58%) planning
to take part. This includes 11% who will go to a physical store either in
addition to shopping online (7%) or will shop in-store exclusively (4%).
Half of Britons aged 25 to 49 (51%) also expect to buy
discounted items, including one in ten (10%) who will shop online and in-store
(9%) or in-store only (1%).
Older people are less likely to go bargain-hunting,
although even among those aged 65 and over a fifth (21%) plan to take advantage
of Black Friday and Cyber Monday deals.
Social grade also appears to be an indicator of how
likely Britons are to partake in the sales period. People in grade ABC1, which
predominantly includes those in professional occupations, are keener at 45%,
while C2DEs, who often do manual work, are less likely to join in at 36%.
November 25, 2020
666-43-10/Poll
Approaching half
of Britons now have a favourable view of the industry
The latest figures were recorded on 12 Nov – three days after Pfizer and
BioTech announced that their COVID-19 vaccine was 90% effective. The news
appears to have prompted a six-point jump in positive opinion, up from 41% in
mid-October.
The same movement is reflected in the proportion of
people with an unfavourable view of pharmaceuticals dropping from a fifth (19%)
to about one in seven (14%). About three in ten people (31%) have neither
favourable nor unfavourable feelings.
Older people generally have more favourable views of
pharmaceutical companies than the wider population. Among this group three
in five (58%) now see them positively, eight points higher than last
month.
While the vaccine new has provided a boost in public
perceptions, the start of the pandemic prompted the largest leap in positive
opinion, from 32% in February to 51% in April. This remains the highest level
of positivity the industry has received, having receded slowly over the course
of the crisis. But with the roll-out of coronavirus vaccines imminent, the
pharmaceutical industry’s reputation may have further to rise.
November 26, 2020
666-43-11/Poll
Only 9% think it
is currently easy to do so, the lowest number since the coronavirus crisis
began
YouGov’s
tracking data shows a
massive 80% of the public think it is currently difficult for those in the
market to find a job in Britain, including 42% who think it is “very
difficult”. Just 9% say it is currently easy for those looking to find a job.
Unsurprisingly this is a massive shift from before the first UK lockdown. In
February, 44% thought finding a job was difficult while 39% thought it was
easy.
The number thinking the job market is currently
difficult has been on an upward trend over the course of the year, initially
jumping to 57% in April and then to 71% in June. Figures rose only slightly
thereafter, to 78% in July and have remained at about that level ever since.
Similar figures are seen across all age groups –
suggesting a wider understanding of the difficulties those in the job market
are currently facing. Conservatives, however, are slightly more optimistic
about the situation than Labour voters. Amongst Tory voters 14% think it is
currently easy to find a job, compared to 77% who say it is difficult. Just 5%
of Labour voters say it is currently easy, while 89% say it is hard to find
work.
The public are split on what kind of government would
do better getting Britons back to work: 27% of the public believe a Labour
government led by Keir Starmer would be better at providing more jobs, compared
to 25% who believe the same about a Conservative government led by Boris
Johnson.
November 26, 2020
666-43-12/Poll
Six in ten (59%) feel confident about knowing how to dress in a more
casual way, the same proportion say working from home makes it easier to do so.
Just over half of Britons say you rarely see people at work in business suits
these days (54%).
Half of Britons say they are more likely to
have worn clothes such as gym wear, joggers or leggings for everyday wear since
the start of the pandemic with 61% of knowledge workers saying they wear
business wear much less often these days. Just over a third (35%) have spent
more time than usual wearing pyjamas or night clothes during the day. Over 6 in
10 of those who identify as female say they are less likely to wear high heel
shoes now (62%).
A quarter are less likely to shower each morning
compared to before the pandemic, luckily for our noses, only 14% are less
likely to use deodorant. A third say they are less likely to style their
hair.
Almost half of those who identify as male have
gone unshaven for more days than before the pandemic started, a third have
grown a beard (32%). Among women, half (52%) are wearing less make-up than
usual. Two in 10 (18%) say the only times they wear make-up are for video calls
with friends.
Billie Ing, Head
of UK Trends at Ipsos MORI, says:
There has been a trend towards less formality for many years, but this
has been accelerated by the pandemic and people subsequently working from home.
Heels are being ditched, sportswear is on the up and people are embracing
casual work wear. For some, however, it is a tale of two halves – with a
quarter of people dressing smartly on the top, whilst keeping it casual on the
bottom!
November 27, 2020
666-43-13/Poll
Gallup's latest update of Americans' 2020 holiday
spending plans finds consumers estimating they will spend an average $852 on
Christmas gifts, nearly identical to the $846 they projected at the same time
last year.
Line graph. Annual trend since 1999 in which Americans
estimate each November of the amount they will spend on Christmas gifts,
ranging from a high of $866 in 2007 to a low of $616 in 2008. The November 2020
figure is $852.
The latest gift-buying estimate, based on a Gallup
telephone poll of U.S. adults conducted Nov. 5-19, is higher than the $805
Americans' expected to spend in October and points to stronger holiday sales
than were implied by that preliminary figure.
Holiday sales typically increase year-over-year, with
an average 3.3% annual increase since 2000, according to figures from the
National Retail Federation. Sales increased by more than 5% in strong years
(such as in 2004 and 2005) and by 2% or less in weak years, including negative
sales growth in 2008 and 2009.
Gallup analysis of the historical relationship between
Americans' Christmas spending intentions each November and actual holiday
retail sales suggests that this year's holiday retail sales are likely to rise
by an amount similar to the historical average (in the 3.3% range). By
contrast, the October estimate of $805 in spending on
gifts was indicative of below-average sales (rising by closer to 2%). Gallup has
historically found a stronger correlation between November spending estimates
and actual retail sales, in part due to changes in the economic or political
climate that have occurred between those months in some years.
Range of
Spending Is Also Similar to 2019
The latest spending estimate reflects 32% of Americans
planning to spend $1,000 or more on Christmas gifts, 21% spending between $500
and $999, 29% spending between $100 and $499, and 2% spending less than $100.
These percentages are nearly identical to what Gallup
found in November 2019, further indicating that the economic disruption caused
by the COVID-19 pandemic has not altered Americans' normal holiday spending
patterns.
Americans' Christmas Spending Estimate
Roughly how much money do you think you personally
will spend on Christmas gifts this year?
Nov 1-14, 2019 |
Nov 5-19, 2020 |
|
% |
% |
|
$1,000 or more |
34 |
35 |
$500-999 |
21 |
19 |
$250-499 |
16 |
13 |
$100-249 |
14 |
18 |
Under $100 |
2 |
3 |
None/Don't celebrate |
8 |
9 |
Not sure |
4 |
4 |
Average, including zero |
$846 |
$852 |
Average, excluding zero |
$927 |
$940 |
GALLUP |
Although spending intentions vary by household income, the figures at
each income level are also essentially unchanged from 2019. Currently, those living in households
earning $100,000 or more per year plan to spend an average of $1,291 on
Christmas gifts. This drops to $888 among those earning between $40,000 and
$99,999, and to $516 among those earning less than $40,000.
Estimated Christmas spending is also higher among
households with children younger than 18 living at home ($1,103) than in
households without children ($749).
Americans Are
Modestly Cautious in Describing Their Spending Plans
Separately, the poll asks Americans to say whether the
amount they plan to spend on Christmas gifts is more, the same as, or less than
what they spent the year prior.
As is almost always the case, the largest segment of
Americans, 57%, say they will spend about the same on gifts while a larger
proportion say they will spend less (28%) rather than more (15%).
Line graph. Annual trend since 1999 in Americans'
report each November of whether the amount they plan to spend on Christmas
gifts is more, about the same, or less than what they spent the year prior. In
all years except 2008, the majority have said they will spend the same amount.
The percentage saying they will spend less has varied from a high of 46% in
2008 to a low of 18% in 2000. The November 2020 figure is 28%.
Each November since 2002, the public has tilted toward
saying they will spend less money rather than more, with the gap between those
figures ranging from six points in 2016, 2017 and 2018 to 39 points in 2008.
Holiday sales tended to be below average in years when the advantage for less
spending was high, while spending was relatively strong in low-gap years.
This year's 13-point difference matches the mean
historical gap in spending expectations, providing further evidence that
holiday retail sales will be about average in 2020.
Bottom Line
Americans' latest estimate of their spending on gifts
this holiday season offers retailers some hope of normalcy at the end of a year
that has been anything but normal. Of course, how and where Americans spend may
differ from prior years amidst an accelerating surge in COVID-19 cases
nationwide, with some types of retailers benefiting more than others.
There is also no guarantee that consumers' spending
intentions will be sustained over the next month when holiday shopping
typically kicks into high gear. How much Christmas shoppers follow through on
their November spending mood could depend on the extent to which the present
surge in COVID-19 cases compels renewed lockdowns that crimp household income and
in-person retail shopping. Smaller family gatherings and fewer holiday parties
could also mean less impetus to expand gift-giving beyond one's immediate
household.
On the other hand, recent research by Franklin Templeton and
Gallup suggests
that should Congress pass a second stimulus bill before Christmas that includes
direct checks to families -- a long-shot at this late date -- retailers could
potentially see a slight boost in spending beyond what is predicted today.
(Gallup USA)
November 25, 2020
Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/326654/americans-holiday-spending-intentions-strengthen-november.aspx
666-43-14/Poll
President-elect Joe Biden's favorability rating has
risen six percentage points to 55% since the election compared with his final
preelection reading. At the same time, President Donald Trump's favorability
has edged down three points to 42%.
Biden's current rating is the highest it has been since February 2019, two months before he declared his candidacy
for president, when it was 56%. Trump's latest favorability falls short of the
highest of his presidency, 49% in April, during the initial stages of the
coronavirus pandemic.
Line graph. Favorable ratings of Donald Trump and Joe
Biden since January 2019. The latest readings, from November 2020, are 55% for
Biden and 42% for Trump.
These findings are from a postelection survey
conducted Nov. 5-19, a period during which Trump's legal team was challenging
the results in a number of states. The increase in Biden's favorability between
Gallup's final preelection and first postelection readings is driven by
independents and Republicans, whose positive ratings of Biden grew from 48% to
55% and 6% to 12%, respectively. Democrats' nearly unanimous positive ratings
remained constant.
Trump's slightly lower postelection favorable rating
is owed more to Republicans than independents or Democrats. Republicans' rating
of the president fell six points to 89%, while it was essentially unchanged
among independents and static among Democrats.
Partisans' Favorable Ratings of Donald Trump and Joe
Biden
% of Americans with a favorable opinion
Oct 16-27 |
Nov 5-19 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
% |
% |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Joe Biden |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Republicans |
6 |
12 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Independents |
48 |
55 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Democrats |
95 |
96 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Donald Trump |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Republicans |
95 |
89 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Independents |
38 |
36 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Democrats |
3 |
3 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GALLUP, 2020 |
Historical Comparisons of Candidate Favorability Pre- and Postelection
Since 2000, the winning presidential candidate's
favorability ratings have increased slightly after the election. In 2000, when
George W. Bush was not declared the winner until several weeks after Election
Day, neither he nor Al Gore enjoyed an initial postelection bump. Yet, after
the Supreme Court's Dec. 12 decision in Bush v. Gore determined Bush had won
reelection, his favorability rose four points.
Additionally, since 2000, the winner's postelection
favorability reached the majority level in every election except 2016, when
Trump was the most personally unpopular presidential
candidate in Gallup polling history. Biden's six-point increase in favorability this year is in line with
those for other presidents and presidents-elect.
The pattern for losing presidential candidates is
mixed. Some, including John McCain in 2008 and Mitt Romney in 2012, had
significantly higher favorable ratings after the election. (McCain's showed the
greatest increase: 14 points.) Hillary Clinton's favorability was unchanged
after the 2016 election, and there is no reading for John Kerry until July
2005, by which time his favorability had fallen 10 points. Trump's three-point
postelection decline is unique over the past six presidential election cycles.
Pre- and Postelection Favorable Readings of
Presidential Candidates, 2000-2020
% of Americans with a favorable opinion
Final preelection reading |
Postelection reading (Nov/Dec) |
Change |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
% |
% |
pct. pts. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2020 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Joe Biden |
49 |
55 |
+6 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Donald Trump |
45 |
42 |
-3 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2016 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Donald Trump |
34 |
42 |
+8 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hillary Clinton |
43 |
43 |
0 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2012 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Barack Obama |
55 |
58 |
+3 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mitt Romney |
46 |
50 |
+4 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2008 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Barack Obama |
62 |
68 |
+6 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
John McCain |
50 |
64 |
+14 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2004 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
George W. Bush |
51 |
60 |
+9 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
John Kerry |
52 |
NA |
NA |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2000* |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
George W. Bush |
55 |
59 |
+4 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Al Gore |
56 |
57 |
+1 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
* Data for 2000 are among registered voters |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GALLUP |
Favorable Ratings of Parties Are Similar
Although Americans' views of the Republican and
Democratic Parties are not appreciably different from readings over the past
several months, the slight edge that the Democratic Party enjoyed
over the Republican Party in September has narrowed. The 45% of U.S. adults who view the Democratic Party
favorably is not significantly different from the 43% who have the same view of
the Republican Party.
The highest recent reading for the Republican Party
was 51% in January amid Trump's impeachment trial. The
Democratic Party has not reached that level since November 2012, after Barack
Obama won a second term.
Line graph. Favorable ratings of the Democratic and
Republican Parties since 2012. The latest readings, from November 2020, are 45%
for the Democratic Party and 43% for the Republican Party.
While roughly nine in 10 Democrats and Republicans
alike hold favorable opinions of their own parties, independents view the
Democratic Party more positively than the Republican Party, 41% vs. 33%.
Partisans' Favorability Ratings of the Democratic and
Republican Parties
% of Americans with a favorable opinion
Democratic Party |
Republican Party |
|
% |
% |
|
Republicans |
5 |
90 |
Independents |
41 |
33 |
Democrats |
92 |
9 |
GALLUP, NOV. 5-19, 2020 |
(Gallup USA)
November 30, 2020
Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/326885/biden-favorability-rises-trump-dips.aspx
666-43-15/Poll
Before the coronavirus outbreak sent the U.S. economy into a recession, the share of American children living in poverty was on a downward
trajectory, reaching record lows across racial and ethnic groups, according to
a new Pew Research Center analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data.
In 2019, the year with the most recently available
data, 14% of children under age 18, or 10.5 million children, were living in
poverty, down from 22%, or 16.3 million, in 2010. All major racial and ethnic
groups saw declines since 2010, but the greatest decreases were in the shares
of Black and Hispanic children living in poverty. About two-in-ten Hispanic
children (21%) were living in poverty in 2019, down from 35% in 2010. In 2019,
26% of Black children were impoverished, dropping from 39% in 2010. Even so,
Black and Hispanic children were still about three times as likely as Asian
(7%) and White (8%) children to be living in poverty.
The number of impoverished children also declined across racial and ethnic groups. In particular, the numbers of poor Black and White children reached new lows in 2019 (each around 3 million). While there are about as many White children as Black children living in poverty, it’s worth noting that there are more than three times as many White children as Black children in the U.S.
The greatest decline was in the number of Hispanic
children living in poverty. In 2019, 3.9 million Hispanic children were living
in poverty, down from 6.1 million impoverished Hispanic children nearly a
decade earlier. But there are still more Hispanic children in poverty than any
other racial or ethnic group, which has been the case since at least 2007. This is probably because Hispanics are the largest and the youngest racial or ethnic minority population in the U.S. and because the
Hispanic child poverty rate is relatively high (21%).
Overall, children are overrepresented among America’s
impoverished population. Some 22% of the U.S. population are children, but
those younger than 18 represent 31% of all Americans living in poverty.
Black and Hispanic children are particularly
overrepresented. Black children represent a quarter of the Black population but
35% of all Black people living in poverty. And Hispanic children are 31% of the
total Hispanic population but represent 41% of all impoverished Hispanics. In
comparison, children represent about equal shares of total Asian and White
populations and of impoverished Asians and Whites.
(PEW)
November 29, 2020
666-43-16/Poll
Balancing work and family obligations is a challenge for many parents, but remote learning and the closure of many child care
centers have put added stress on them in the COVID-19 pandemic, especially on parents without the support of
a partner at home.
While previous research on the labor market shows that
the pandemic has similarly affected mothers and fathers overall from September 2019 to September 2020, a
new Pew Research Center analysis finds that the share of unpartnered mothers
who are employed and at work has fallen more precipitously than among other
parents.
In September 2020, six months since the onset of the
COVID-19 outbreak, 67.4% of unpartnered mothers with children younger than 18
at home were working – employed and on the job – compared with 76.1% in
September 2019. This 9 percentage point drop is the largest among all groups of
parents, partnered or not. Unpartnered fathers experienced a less severe
decrease (4 points), about the same as the drop seen by partnered mothers and
fathers (about 5 points each).
How we did this
Terminology
Black and Hispanic unpartnered mothers each experienced
about a 10-point decline in the share employed and at work from September 2019
to September 2020. This was nearly double the decrease in the share of White
unpartnered mothers who are working (about 6 points). The decreases in the
shares of Black and Hispanic unpartnered mothers at work are also nearly double
what their partnered counterparts experienced in this yearlong period.
The decline in the share of unpartnered mothers
employed and at work is particularly pronounced among those whose youngest
child is 5 years old or younger. In September 2020, 58.5% of unpartnered moms
in this group were employed, down from 69.7% a year earlier. Unpartnered
mothers whose youngest child is 6 to 17 years old also saw a drop, but not as
steep – from 79.6% in September 2019 to 71.9% in September 2020. In this same
time frame, there was about a 4-point drop among partnered moms whose youngest
child is 5 years old or younger (from 60.5% to 56.9%) and a roughly 6-point
drop for those whose youngest child is 6 to 17 years old (from 72.7% to 67.0%).
Regardless of relationship status, mothers are generally more likely to be
employed and at work if they have older children.
Unpartnered mothers with young children at home also
saw more of a decrease in labor force participation — that is, the percentage
of the population 16 or older actively working or looking for work — from
September 2019 to September 2020 than did other mothers. The labor force
participation rates declined about 7 percentage points for unpartnered mothers
whose youngest child is 5 years old or younger, compared with a 3-point drop
for those whose youngest child is 6 to 17 years old. The labor force
participation rate for partnered mothers edged down by 1 point for those whose
youngest child is 5 years old or younger and dropped about 3 points for those
whose youngest child is 6 to 17 years old.
The disproportionate impact of pandemic-related job
loss on unpartnered mothers reflects, at least in part, the demographic
characteristics of this group. Black women made up 31.4% of unpartnered mothers
in September 2020, compared with only 12.2% of all mothers older than 16. When
it comes to education, 26.9% of unpartnered mothers had at least a bachelor’s
degree, compared with 43.3% of all mothers 16 and older. As previous research shows, the pandemic recession has hit
certain groups, such as Black and Hispanic women and those with less education,
particularly hard.
Overall, women are more likely to be unpartnered
parents than men. In September 2020, 19.7% of mothers living with children
younger than 18 at home had no partner present, a much higher share than among
fathers (4.7%). Unpartnered mothers are more likely than unpartnered fathers to
live with young children. Some 33.6% of unpartnered mothers live with children
younger than 6, compared with 25.9% of unpartnered fathers.
(PEW)
November 24, 2020
666-43-17/Poll
A special
analysis of movement data in Australia’s Capital City CBDs during 2020 shows
movement levels remain well below those seen earlier in the year in all six
State capitals.
Movement in the Melbourne CBD during mid-November was
at an average of only 27% of the pre-COVID-19 levels earlier in the year during
January and February – although this has almost doubled since being at only 14%
during the final week of lockdown in late October.
Comparing movement levels during 2020 shows that
movement levels in the Melbourne CBD have been lower than all other Capital
City CBDs every week since late March when the first national lockdown began
and hit a low of only 11% of normal in the final week of August.
Movement levels in the Sydney CBD have tended to track
lower than smaller cities since the ‘second wave’ began in early July and have
not been above 50% of normal since hitting 51% in mid-August. At the time there
were significant fears in Sydney that the city would soon follow the path
trodden by Melbourne in the preceding weeks and also enter a second lockdown.
The Adelaide CBD and Perth CBD have been the standouts
for most of 2020 with movement levels consistently between 70-80% of the
pre-COVID-19 levels including a high of 86% of normal in the Adelaide CBD in
early August.
However, Adelaide’s good run came to an abrupt end
last week with the three-day shutdown causing the city’s weekly movement
average to tumble to only 38% of normal in the week to November 23 and drop
from first place (at 75%) before the shut-down to now be above only Melbourne.
Australian
Capital City CBDs average 7-day movement levels March – November 2020:
% Movement is compared to the 7-day average in Jan-Feb 2020
Source: Roy Morgan collaboration with
UberMedia who provide anonymous aggregated insights using mobile location data. Note: Movement data for the Capital
City CBDs excludes the residents of the respective CBDs.
Roy Morgan has partnered with leading technology
innovator UberMedia to aggregate data from tens of thousands of mobile devices
to assess the movements of Australians as we deal with the restrictions imposed
in response to the COVID-19 pandemic.
The interactive dashboard available on the website
tracks the movement data for those visiting the Capital City CBDs during 2020,
excluding the CBD residents of each city. Movement data from several key
locations around Australia is also available to view by using the interactive
dashboard.
Michele Levine,
CEO of Roy Morgan, says closely analysing the movement data in Australian
cities during 2020 shows the large impact measures taken to combat COVID-19
have had around with Melbourne an outlier as the hardest hit:
“Melburnians
finally emerged from a near four-month lockdown in the last week of October but
analysing movement data during the month of November shows there’s still a long
way for the southern capital to go to catch up to interstate rivals when it
comes to returning people to the Central Business District.
“In the week
to November 23 the average movement data in the Melbourne CBD was at only 27%
of the average level during January-February 2020 pre COVID-19 and the
associated lockdowns. This is nearly double the movement in the final week of
lockdown to October 27 (14%) but still well below all other Capital City CBDs.
“The
long-running trends show movement in the Melbourne CBD plunged further and
harder than any other CBD in late March and has tracked lower than other cities
ever since.
“Sydney CBD
has consistently been the second lowest and particularly since early July when
the ‘second wave’ of COVID-19 threatened to lockdown the ‘Harbour City’.
However, extensive contact tracing and testing eventually suppressed the
outbreak although the average movement in the Sydney CBD has not been above 50%
since mid-August more than three months ago.
“The big mover
(in the wrong direction) over the past week has been the Adelaide CBD for which
average movement data has plunged to only 38% of normal after the city
experienced a short-lived 3 days of lockdown last week. For the three days of
lockdown (November 19-21) average movement in the Adelaide CBD was at only 16%
of the pre COVID-19 level.
“The
underlying take-out from comparing the movement data of the Capital City CBDs
of all six States is that so-called ‘COVID-Normal’ is still significantly
different to pre COVID-19 with movement levels well below pre-pandemic
averages.
“The key
reasons movement levels remain significantly lower are the millions of city
office workers that are still working from home around the country and the
closure of domestic and international borders. The closed borders prevent
interstate or overseas tourists from visiting the Capital Cities and also mean
many international students that tend to congregate near the CBDs have been
blocked from re-entering Australia over the past few months.
“As long as
international borders remain closed there will clearly be only a trickle of
international tourists, and students, allowed into Australia from countries
such as New Zealand. Because of this it is vital that to revitalise and
reinvigorate the CBDs of Australia’s great cities that office workers are
encouraged to return to the office as soon as it is safe to do so.”
(Roy Morgan)
November 27, 2020
666-43-18/Poll
COVID 19 is being perceived as a disruptor, an
accelerator and an agent for innovation and advancement in
various fields across the world. Yet, its impact has been a decelerator for women’s rights and gender
equality globally. The UN Deputy Secretary-General Amina
Mohammed warned that without immediate action, “the pandemic could set
back women’s rights by decades”.
And, the latest Arab Barometer public opinion survey of citizens across
five countries in the Arab world confirm that Arab women have suffered
more on economic and social dimensions. As such, responses and recovery
plans should prioritize the support and protection of women in MENA.
Otherwise, COVID’s impact could “unravel the limited progress that we have seen
in terms of gender equality, women’s participation in the workforce and
positive attitudes towards some women’s rights and their roles in society in
the Arab world.”
COVID-19’s
Economic Toll on Women in MENA
Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, women’s labor force
participation was disproportionately less (21%) than that of men in the Arab world
(70%). Then, the
pandemic’s economic impact further threatened Arab women’s livelihood and
income security. Although Arab Barometer’s survey results show that,
overall, relatively few citizens in the countries surveyed have lost a job
due to COVID-19, many more have suffered a temporary interruption. Yet, in both
cases, women bear a disproportional share of the job cuts: in Morocco the
difference between women and men who permanently lost their jobs is eight
percentage points while in Algeria and Tunisia it is four points. Similarly,
women are more likely to have temporarily lost their jobs in Algeria (11-point
difference compared to men) as well as Tunisia (8-point difference).
A closer look at the numbers reveal even deeper
disparities. The COVID-19 economic downturn might have hit Arab women
harder than men, but it is felt even harder by poorer women. Disparities based
on age and level of education are also noticeable among women’s permanent and
temporary disruption of work, although the magnitude varies across countries
surveyed.
The Pandemic’s
Impact on Arab Women’s Social Lives
COVID’s toll on Arab women isn’t only economic; the
pandemic has dramatically affected the social lives of Arab women as well. The
COVID-related health scare, the imposed lockdown, school closures, and the
increased demands of the family and home, which are predominantly women’s
responsibilities in MENA, have taken a heavy toll on Arab women. In four
of the five countries surveyed, roughly a third of citizens say their biggest
concern about COVID is the death of a family member, and citizens not following
recommendations, according to Arab Barometer wave 6. Lebanon is the only
exception where two-thirds worry about the death of a family member compared
with only 5 percent who say citizens not following recommendations. However,
women are experiencing a higher level of health anxiety and stress about family
member’s health compared to men. In all five countries surveyed, more women
than men say they are worried about illness or death of a family member, with
the greatest percentage difference in Tunisia (19 points) and Jordan (18
points), while the difference in Lebanon is 9 points and in Algeria and Morocco
it is 8 points, respectively.
The Pandemic’s
outsized effect on Arab Women’s Safety
Moreover, the pandemic has had an outsized effect on
Arab women’s safety and general wellbeing. The recent UNESCWA report alerts of the dramatic
increase in levels of gender-based violence in the Arab world amid the Covid-19
crisis. For those
Arab women trapped in violent relationships, the crisis has forced many to stay
at home with their abuser making the likelihood of violent incidents more
frequent. Arab Barometer’s results further reinforce this reality. The results
reveal that citizens perceive that violence against women in their community
has increased since the outbreak of the coronavirus. The highest rate of
perceived increase in abuse of or violence against women is in Tunisia (63%),
followed by Algeria and Morocco (41%, respectively), while the perceived
increase of gender-based violence in Jordan is 27%, and in Lebanon is
20%.
In fact, as I mentioned in my previous blog on domestic violence during COVID-19 in
MENA, women at risk in
the Arab world who are seeking safety and security during the prolonged quarantine
are presented with false choices. This is primarily a result of the Arab
governments’ failure in prioritizing the support and protection of women in
their recovery-response plans. However, the situation is even more alarming for
women victims who have recently lost their jobs and are already living in or
dangerously close to poverty line, as they become even more dependent on their
abuser for financial security and shelter.
Arab Women
Seeking Refuge in Prayer
During this time of uncertainty, it appears that
Arab women are seeking refuge in prayer to help cope with all the COVID-related
health, economic and social stressors. Overall many citizens across the
countries surveyed are praying far more frequently than before the pandemic:
17% in Jordan, 21% in Tunisia, 33% in Morocco, and 38% in Algeria. Yet, Arab
women increased their rate of prayer significantly more than Arab men; in
Algeria the gap is 21 percentage points, while it is 20 points in Morocco, 16
points in Tunisia, and 13 points in Jordan.
Prioritizing
Women’s Rights and Gender Equality
The economic and social effects of COVID have been
disproportionally harder on Arab women than men. In fact, the dire outcomes
that Arab women are facing during the COVID crisis are primarily influenced
by the deeply ingrained
gender inequalities, and the discriminatory social norms in MENA. Consequently, it is necessary that
governments counter these effects by prioritizing the support and protection of
women by focusing on the advancement of women’s rights and gender equality.
Otherwise, Arab women will continue to live in vulnerable conditions, which has
significant social and economic repercussions on their families and their
societies at large.
(Arab Barometer)
December 01, 2020
Source: https://www.arabbarometer.org/2020/12/covid-19-magnifies-pre-existing-gender-inequalities-in-mena/
666-43-19/Poll
The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) is seen
more favorably than not across 10 member states and Sweden. A median of 60%
across these 10 countries have a favorable view of the political and military
alliance, compared with a median of 30% who have an unfavorable opinion. This
is in keeping with previous Pew Research Center surveys, which found that NATO was seen in a favorable
light across most member countries.
Half or more people across all 10 NATO countries
surveyed have a positive view of the organization, ranging from a high of 79%
in Denmark to 50% in France. Among Americans, 57% have a favorable view of NATO,
with only 25% expressing an unfavorable opinion (17% did not give a response).
In five countries, about a third or more hold unfavorable opinions of NATO. The
Spanish have the most unfavorable views among those surveyed: 43% have a
negative opinion of the organization.
When surveyed in 2019, those in Central and Eastern European
countries tended to have mixed responses toward NATO. In Poland and Lithuania,
for example, over three-quarters had a favorable view of the alliance. However,
in Slovakia, Hungary and Bulgaria, roughly half or fewer felt positively toward
NATO. Unfavorable views of the organization were more widespread in Greece and
Turkey, where 51% and 55% held negative views, respectively.
How we did this
NATO is seen favorably in Sweden as well. While not a
member of NATO, 65% of Swedes see the organization in a positive light. A 2017 Center survey found that 47% of Swedes supported their
country joining NATO, while 39% opposed membership (14% did not offer an
opinion).
The Center has been tracking views of NATO in the
countries surveyed since 2009. Over the past 11 years, favorable sentiment
toward the alliance increased significantly in some countries (Canada, +12
percentage points from 2013, and Sweden, +7 points from 2016), while declining
in others (Germany, -15 points from 2009, and France, -21 points over the same
period).
Over the past year, favorable ratings of the
organization have remained relatively stable across the 10 NATO countries
included in the survey. And in two countries – Canada and the UK – favorable
views of the organization are the highest recorded since the Center began
asking this question in 2009.
In fact, in four countries with trends that date back
to the Obama presidency, the highest ratings for NATO have been measured in the
past four years, including in the United States. (The other three countries are
Canada, the UK and Sweden.) And many other countries surveyed had seen a
significant increase in favorable views of NATO between 2016 and 2017. In 2018,
when President Donald Trump was explicitly criticizing the organization’s other member states for not contributing
enough on defense spending, 64% of Americans expressed a positive view of NATO.
American views of NATO are shaped by political party
affiliation, according to past Pew Research Center surveys. Historically, Democrats and
Democratic-leaning independents are more likely to express a favorable opinion
of the organization than Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. In
the summer of 2020, seven-in-ten Democrats had a favorable view of NATO,
compared with less than half (46%) of their Republican counterparts, a
difference of 24 percentage points.
Among Democrats, NATO favorability has ticked up from
61% in 2019 to 70% this summer. Republican views of the alliance have held
steady at roughly half since 2009, although in 2013, a record low of only 43%
held a positive view of NATO.
In nine of the 10 NATO member states surveyed, those
who favor compromise with other countries on international issues are more
likely to have a favorable opinion of NATO than those who prefer a more
independent approach. For example, in the Netherlands, 73% of those who say their
country should take into account the interests of other countries even if it
means making compromises with them express a positive opinion of NATO, compared
with 59% who say their country should follow its own interests even when other
countries strongly disagree. Double-digit differences on this question are
present in the U.S., Denmark, Italy, Canada, Belgium and Germany.
In some cases, educational attainment also informs
views of NATO: Across five NATO member states included in the survey, those with
a postsecondary education or more schooling are more likely to have a positive
opinion of NATO than those with a secondary education or less schooling. This
difference is particularly large in Germany, where 70% of those with more
education have a favorable view of NATO, compared with 54% of those with less
education. In the U.S., those with more education are also more likely to
provide a response.
NATO recommends member states commit 2% of their gross
domestic product to defense spending,
a guideline that has been in place since 2006. But just 10 of the 29 member states for which
data is available spend 2% or more on defense. (Data is not included for
Iceland, which has no permanent military force.)
The U.S. is the leading defense spender among member
states, committing an estimated 3.87% of GDP to defense expenditures in 2020.
Nine other countries – including several in Central and Eastern Europe – also
meet NATO’s 2% threshold. Just one country – Luxembourg – spends less than 1%
of GDP on defense.
While Trump has been openly critical of the level of
allies’ defense spending, estimated defense expenditures as a share of GDP have risen since 2016,
not only in the U.S. but among key NATO allies as well. For example, this year
marks the first in which France is estimated to spend over 2% of GDP on
defense. The UK has already reached this threshold, and German defense spending
is on the rise.
(PEW)
November 30, 2020