BUSINESS
& POLITICS IN THE WORLD
GLOBAL
OPINION REPORT NO. 664
Week: November 09 – November
15, 2020
Presentation: November 20, 2020
664-43-20/Commentary: Jordan’s Stubborn Insistence
on “Business As Usual”
YouTube is YouGov Thailand’s Best Brand of 2020
With 71% urban Indians playing online games,
India ranks in the top 10 gaming countries in the world
Shopee shines in YouGov Malaysia’s Best Brand
Rankings
Jordan’s
Stubborn Insistence on “Business As Usual”
The
political party landscape in South Africa amidst Covid-19
Who are the Swedish discount hunters?
The practice of sports in times of COVID
Germans are more likely to drink tea than Brits
Has China’s Reputation Peaked?
Scottish independence: Yes 51% - 49% No
The YouGov Disability study: Disability and
COVID-19
Most workers from BAME communities worry COVID
will affect career progression
In 2018, Government Restrictions on Religion
Reach Highest Level Globally in More Than a Decade
America is exceptional in the nature of its
political divide
5 facts about the QAnon conspiracy theories
Support for Stricter U.S. Gun Laws at Lowest
Level Since 2016
Fewer Americans Call for Tougher Criminal
Justice System
How people around the world see the World
Health Organization’s initial coronavirus response
INTRODUCTORY NOTE
Jordan, like much of the
rest of the world, has struggled to manage the challenges and difficulties 2020
delivered. The country’s reeling economy was dealt a crippling blow by the
closures and restrictions related to the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. The
tradeoff between economic prosperity and public health seemed to have initially
been worthwhile, as Jordan’s performance in combatting COVID-19 was stellar
from March until early September. However, the country’s stamina was expended
during those six months, and soon enough public efforts to combat the disease
waned. October and November saw Jordan’s case count and daily death toll from
COVID-19 shoot up, amidst one government’s literal resignation and the other’s
figurative one. It is against this backdrop that less than thirty percent of Jordanians headed to the polls to
elect members of the nineteenth parliament, a historically low participation
rate that matched the predicted voter
turnout.
For Jordanians and international
observers alike, the government’s failure to battle the second wave of COVID-19
was swift—but in hindsight should not have been surprising. The previous
Jordanian minister of health declared in June that COVID-19 “shriveled up and died,” thus reflecting the government’s
shortcomings in communicating and managing expectations all at once. Moreover,
the Jordanian government’s efforts were not squarely placed on combatting the
disease. Like most authoritarian states, Jordan declared a state of emergency to pass defense laws that, while
ostensibly aimed at addressing the COVID-19 challenge, significantly curtailed
expression and dissent. With its political and social capacity overstretched,
and in a hostile local and global political and public health climate, why did
Amman insist on holding general elections for its lower house of parliament
that were bound to entice less than a third of the electorate to vote?
(Arab Barometer)
November 16, 2020
ASIA
(Thailand)
YouTube is YouGov Thailand’s Best Brand of 2020
Video-sharing platform YouTube has topped YouGov Best Brands list for the
second year in a row on YouGov’s annual ranking of the healthiest brands in the
nation. The rankings are based on the Index score from YouGov BrandIndex,
which constantly measures overall brand health. The score takes
into account consumers’ perception of a brand’s overall quality, value,
impression, reputation, satisfaction and whether consumers would recommend the
brand to others. (YouGov)
November 15, 2020
(India)
With 71% urban Indians playing online games, India ranks in
the top 10 gaming countries in the world
The online gaming industry in India is a fast-growing
business, evolving into competitive sports and professional gaming. With a
growing community of active gamers, Gaming & Esports industry in India is
likely to witness a boom in the coming years. YouGov’s new white paper, titled
‘Gaming and Esports: The Next Generation’, provides an analysis of the global
video games and esports landscape across 24 markets. (YouGov)
November 04, 2020
(Malaysia)
Shopee shines in YouGov Malaysia’s Best Brand Rankings
Shopee has topped YouGov Best Brands list for the first time, on YouGov’s
annual ranking of the healthiest brands in the nation. The rankings are based
on the Index score from YouGov BrandIndex,
which constantly measures overall brand health. The score takes
into account consumers’ perception of a brand’s overall quality, value,
impression, reputation, satisfaction and whether consumers would recommend the
brand to others. (YouGov)
November 15, 2020
MENA
(Jordan)
Jordan’s Stubborn Insistence on “Business As Usual”
Jordan, like much of the rest of the world, has struggled to manage the
challenges and difficulties 2020 delivered. The country’s reeling economy was
dealt a crippling blow by the closures and restrictions related to the spread
of the COVID-19 pandemic. The tradeoff between economic prosperity and public
health seemed to have initially been worthwhile, as Jordan’s performance in
combatting COVID-19 was stellar from March until early September.
(Arab Barometer)
November 16, 2020
AFRICA
(South
Africa)
The political party landscape in South Africa amidst Covid-19
This past Wednesday was called “Super Wednesday” in South Africa, as
citizens in 95 wards across 55 municipalities went to the polls to elect new
councillors. Due to Covid-19 the IEC organised all the by-elections
that were due in municipalities to happen on the same day, and altogether 44
candidates from 40 political parties participated. (Ipsos)
November 13, 2020
EUROPE
(Sweden)
Who are the Swedish discount hunters?
57% of Swedes usually look for the lowest price when they shop, while just over a third always keep track of special offers. But what distinguishes the Swedes who are always looking for a good special offer? YouGov has examined the demographics and attitudes of Swedish discount hunters. The survey shows that there is a predominance of women and 18–29-year-olds. (YouGov)
November 13, 2020
(Spain)
The practice of sports in times of COVID
We have carried out a study to see what impact the pandemic is having on our sports monitoring and practice habits, as well as the possible impact on grassroots sports, that is, among the youngest, who will be the future of our teams. 70% of adult Spaniards say they follow some kind of sports through the media or in person. The percentage of the population that practices some sport on a regular basis is, however, somewhat lower, representing 60% of Spanish adults. (YouGov)
November 11, 2020
(Germany)
Germans are more likely to drink tea than Brits
Germany turns out to be a tea nation. Of all the countries
surveyed, Germans say they drink tea most often (87 percent). Surprisingly, the
British say this less often (78 percent), while the French are least likely to
make this statement (71 percent). The most popular variety in this country is peppermint
tea: every second (50 percent) German drinks it. The second most common drink
is fruit tea (48 percent), followed by herbal tea (41 percent), chamomile tea
and green tea (33 percent each). The Indian black tea Assam is the least common
in Germany (14 percent). (YouGov)
November 13, 2020
(UK)
Has China’s Reputation Peaked?
With a recovering economy and Covid-19 controlled in his country,
President Xi Jinping has been keen to emphasise how
“the pandemic once again proves the superiority” of China in the world.
According to in-depth polling, however, the country’s international reputation
may be in decline. (YouGov)
November 13, 2020
(UK)
Scottish independence: Yes 51% - 49% No
The latest YouGov Scottish Independence research shows Yes narrowly
ahead of No by 51% to 49%. This is slightly down from the six-point lead (53%
to 47%) we saw in August, which was the biggest Yes lead of any YouGov poll.
All these figures are within the margin of error of a dead-heat. (YouGov)
November 12, 2020
(UK)
The YouGov Disability study: Disability and
COVID-19
Earlier this week we released Part 1 of a large study we conducted
with BBC. This new research among people living with disabilities about the
coronavirus pandemic finds that approaching half (47%) have been unable to socialise, a third (36%) are now unable to access medical
appoints because of COVID-19 and just over a quarter (27%) have been unable to
carry out essentials such as food shopping. (YouGov)
November 11, 2020
(UK)
Most workers from BAME communities worry COVID
will affect career progression
Over half (56%) of workers from Black, Asian, and Minority Ethnic
(BAME) communities are anxious that COVID will affect their job progression – a
figure notably above that for White wage earners (45%), research from YouGov’s
Debt Tracker shows. The data shows that employees from BAME backgrounds are
almost twice as likely as White workers to be very worried (29% to 16%).
(YouGov)
November 11, 2020
(UK)
British people think that their local councils use
evidence more than local MPs in the response to Covid-19
Polling to be released today by Ipsos MORI as part of Evidence Week
in Parliament, an annual event that brings together researchers, constituents,
and MPs to discuss evidence, asked UK adults how much they believe government
ministers, their local MP, and their local council are using evidence in the
response to Covid-19. (YouGov)
November 09, 2020
NORTH AMERICA
In 2018, Government Restrictions on Religion Reach
Highest Level Globally in More Than a Decade
In 2018, the global median level of government restrictions on
religion – that is, laws, policies and actions by officials that impinge on
religious beliefs and practices – continued to climb, reaching an all-time high
since Pew Research Center began tracking these trends in 2007. The
year-over-year increase from 2017 to 2018 was relatively modest, but it
contributed to a substantial rise in government restrictions on religion over
more than a decade. (PEW)
November 10, 2020
America is exceptional in the nature of its
political divide
In his first speech as president-elect, Joe Biden made clear his
intention to bridge the deep and bitter divisions in American society. He
pledged to look beyond red and blue and to discard the harsh rhetoric that
characterizes our political debates. It will be a difficult struggle. Americans
have rarely been as polarized as they are today. (PEW)
November 13, 2020
5 facts about the QAnon
conspiracy theories
More than a dozen 2020 U.S. House and Senate candidates have engaged with the collection of conspiracy theories known as QAnon. At least two of those candidates won their races and will be heading to Congress in 2021. Here are five facts about how much Americans have heard about the QAnon conspiracy theories and their views about them, based on Pew Research Center surveys and analysis. (PEW)
November 16, 2020
Support for Stricter U.S. Gun Laws at Lowest Level
Since 2016
In the absence of a high-profile mass shooting in the U.S. in 2020 and amid the coronavirus pandemic, civil unrest related to racial justice issues and the contentious presidential election campaign, Americans are less likely than they have been since 2016 to call for increased gun control. The latest majority (57%) in the U.S. who call for stricter laws covering the sale of firearms marks a seven-percentage-point decline since last year. At the same time, 34% of U.S. adults prefer that gun laws be kept as they are now, while 9% would like them to be less strict. (Gallup USA)
November 16, 2020
Fewer Americans Call for Tougher Criminal Justice
System
Americans' belief that the U.S. criminal justice system is
"not tough enough" on crime is now half of what it was in Gallup's
initial reading of 83% in 1992. The latest measure, at 41%, is the lowest on
record and down slightly from the previous reading in 2016 -- although it
remains the view of the plurality. At the same time, there has been a
seven-percentage-point uptick among those who say the system is "too
tough" (21%) and no change among those who think it is "about
right" (35%). (Gallup
USA)
November 16, 2020
MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES
How people around the world see the World Health
Organization’s initial coronavirus response
The World Health Organization (WHO) has played a controversial role
in the global response to the coronavirus pandemic. U.S. President Donald Trump
has accused the organization of being too close to China and moved to withdraw
the United States from it. At the same time, the WHO is helping coordinate the
international rollout of potential vaccines and treatments for COVID-19.
(PEW)
November 12, 2020
664-43-01/Poll
Digital brands like YouTube (+62.0) have historically fared well in the
top ten. Social media giant Facebook remains second (+60.4) this year, after
being overtaken as the Kingdom’s top brand last year by YouTube. Instant
messaging platform LINE comes in third (+54.0), technology conglomerate Google
in fourth (+53.7) and e-commerce platform in fifth (+49.6).
The rest of the brands in the list are no stranger to the top ten.
Fastfood chain KFC comes in sixth (+49.2), convenience store chain 7-Eleven in
seventh (+48.1), instant noodle brand Mama in eighth (+47.0) and sporting
apparel Nike in ninth (+46.4). In spite of travel restrictions, low-cost
airlines AirAsia appears in tenth place (+44.9), falling one spot from last
year.
YouGov BrandIndex also reveals the brands that have noted the
greatest improvement to their Index score over the past 12 months in
Thailand. With the emphasis this year on good hygiene, it is no surprise that
disinfectant brand Dettol comes up on top (with a +8.0 change in score). Dettol
also appears in the top ten most improved brands in Singapore and Malaysia.
Other personal care brands also have a strong presence in the top ten
improvers. Protex and Care comes in joint fourth (up +6.0 points), Nivea in
sixth (up +5.9), Garnier in seventh (up +5.4) and Clear in tenth (up +5.1).
Similar to the top ten, digital brands fare well in the improvers list.
Southeast Asian e-commerce platform Shopee is the second (up +7.0) and
subscription video-on-demand service Netflix in third (up +6.8) and Apple
iPhone in joint eighth (up +5.3).
The improvers list is completed with local supermarket chain Makro in
joint eighth (up +5.3).
Global Rankings
Google takes the top spot in YouGov’s annual global best brands ranking.
Tech brands dominate the top of the list with the search and advertising giant
followed by WhatsApp, YouTube, Samsung and Amazon.
With Netflix and Facebook in sixth and seventh respectively, the only
non-tech-related brands in the top ten are Singaporean ecommerce platform
Shopee (eighth), Swedish retailer IKEA (ninth) and US sportswear titan Nike
(tenth).
November 15, 2020
Source:
https://th.yougov.com/en-th/news/2020/11/15/yougov-thailand-best-brand-2020-rankings/
664-43-02/Poll
YouGov’s latest report provides an analysis of the global
video games and esports landscape across 24 markets
YouGov’s new white paper,
titled ‘Gaming and Esports: The Next
Generation’, provides an analysis of the global video games and esports landscape
across 24 markets.
Amongst the surveyed markets, India ranks among the top ten gaming
countries in the world. At present, seven out of ten (71%) people in India
claim to be gamers, playing video games or mobile games on any device.
The percentage of gamers in India is at par with US (71%) and Australia
(72%), however, it is lower than the proportions in South East Asian countries.
In India, mobile gamers - playing on a smartphone or tablet clearly
outnumber PC or console gamers. Just 12% play on consoles compared to 67% who
use a smartphone or tablet.
South and South East Asian countries generally have a higher percentage
of mobile gamers and a lower share of console gamers. On the other hand,
the leading markets for console gamers are Hong Kong (32%), Spain (29%), the US
(28%), the UK (28%), and Australia (27%).
When it comes to category of gamers, India is among the top 10 countries
comprising of light to regular smartphone gamers- with 82% of its gaming
population playing games on their smartphones up to 10 hours a week, and only
16% identified as heavy and intense gamers (playing more than 10 hrs a week).
China and Taiwan have the most dedicated smartphone gamers with 37% and
34%, respectively, of the countries’ mobile gaming population categorised as
‘heavy or intense gamers’.
Apart from playing games, for an important sub-section of players,
watching video games online has become as much of a pastime as gaming
itself.
Our data shows YouTube Gaming is significantly more popular among gamers
than any of it’s competitors in several markets. Awareness is the highest
in Vietnam (74%) and Indonesia (72%), followed by Thailand (68%), Philippines
(66%) and India (59%). The same is true about engagement with YouTube Gaming,
where once again we see South and South East Asian countries taking the lead.
India ranks fifth globally in terms of awareness and third in terms of
engagement with YouTube Gaming. The highly aware gaming audience seems to be
equally engaged with the platform, presenting a huge opportunity for game
developers and console manufacturers.
Compared to YouTube Gaming, a small percentage have engaged with Twitch
or Facebook Gaming (12% each). Twitch is more competitive in western markets
such as the US and UK – where awareness for the platform is higher than that
for YouTube Gaming.
When it comes to Esports, familiarity in India is low - at 31%. The
greatest familiarity comes from consumers in East Asia, with seven in ten
people in China (72%), Taiwan (71%) and Hong Kong
(70%) describing it correctly as ‘competitive
video gaming, primarily in the form of organised/ professional events’.
Large proportions in South East Asia also seem familiar with the term,
although European countries’ familiarity with esports varies
considerably.
Despite low familiarity, engagement with esports in India is much higher
than in the highly aware markets such as the US, the UK, and several European
countries. This suggests Indians are more likely to embrace these competitions,
once they know more about them, hinting at a bright future for esports in the
country.
Talking about the whitepaper, Nicole
Pike, Global Sector Head of Esports & Gaming at YouGov,
said, “This year the global video
gaming industry has captured the attention of brands, marketers, and investors
on a large scale. But this year has also highlighted just how quickly things
can change in the gaming ecosystem, making it difficult for advertisers and
sponsors to know if, when and how to spend wisely – and for gaming companies to
determine how much more growth is on the horizon.
“YouGov is primed to play an important role in demystifying
this industry for brands through data, which is why our first large-scale,
global whitepaper on esports and gaming comes at the perfect time. Our breadth
and depth of global tracking, profiling, and custom survey data is
industry-leading, and I’m excited to showcase just how valuable the combination
of daily performance tracking and nuanced analysis of the world’s gaming
audience can be to stakeholders across the gaming ecosystem.
“This whitepaper offers a foundational understanding
of gamers – which, given the number of countries, platforms, titles, streaming
sites, and competitions at this audience’s fingertips is far from basic in
today’s gaming landscape. Beyond our extensive industry expertise, we also
explore key trends that will drive continued growth for gaming into 2021, all
rooted in data from consumers around the world – the ultimate source of truth
for understanding the next generation of gaming.”
November 04, 2020
Source:
https://in.yougov.com/en-hi/news/2020/10/29/71-urban-indians-playing-online-games-india-ranks-/
664-43-03/Poll
With governmental recommendations to stay at home, and shopping malls
shut earlier this year when the nation was put under strict lockdown, it is no
surprise that e-commerce platform Shopee takes the top spot this year (+62.9).
Instant messaging platform WhatsApp which previously held the title of
healthiest brand in Malaysia two years running falls to second place (+56.1).
Chocolate malt drink Milo appears in the top ten for the first time, in third
place (+55.7).
Other F&B brands also fare well in the top ten. Fast-food chains
McDonalds and KFC come in fifth (+49.6) and ninth (+45.7) respectively. The
list also sees new entrants like coffee brand Nescafé is in sixth (+46.6), and
chocolate confectionary Kit Kat in tenth (+44.8).
Following the trend of people moving indoors and online, other digital
brands also have a strong presence. Video-sharing platform YouTube is in fourth
(+51.5) and social media giant Facebook in eighth (+46.3).
The top ten is completed with disinfectant and cleaning brand Dettol in
seventh (+46.3), moving up three places from last year.
YouGov BrandIndex also reveals the brands that have noted the
greatest improvement to their Index score over the past 12 months in
Malaysia. Fast-food chain KFC is this year’s most improved brand, with a +12.3
change in score. Shopee comes in as the second most improved brand (up 11.4
points).
Homegrown brands feature prominently in this year’s improvers list.
Digital wallet Touch N Go Pay comes in third (up +10.5), instant noodles Maggi
and Mie Sedaap in joint third with automobile manufacturer Proton (+9.0) and satellite
television provider Astro in joint ninth (+6.9) with government owned bank Bank
Simpanan Nasional.
Ervin Ha, YouGov APAC Head of Data Products commented: “This year’s
annual rankings highlight the impact the pandemic has had on consumer brand perceptions.
While most industries were hit badly in 2020, e-commerce platforms like Shopee
have thrived with consumers being stuck at home and itching to spend money.
Being stuck at home also has gotten Malaysians hungry, with fast-food chains
like McDonald’s and KFC and instant noodle brands like Maggi performing well.”
Global Rankings
Google takes the top spot in YouGov’s annual global best brands ranking.
Tech brands dominate the top of the list with the search and advertising giant
followed by WhatsApp, YouTube, Samsung and Amazon.
With Netflix and Facebook in sixth and seventh respectively, the only
non-tech-related brands in the top ten are Singaporean ecommerce platform
Shopee (eighth), Swedish retailer IKEA (ninth) and US sportswear titan Nike
(tenth).
November 15, 2020
Source:
https://my.yougov.com/en-my/news/2020/11/15/yougov-malaysia-best-brand-2020-rankings/
664-43-04/Poll
Jordan, like much of the rest of the world, has struggled to manage the
challenges and difficulties 2020 delivered. The country’s reeling economy was
dealt a crippling blow by the closures and restrictions related to the spread
of the COVID-19 pandemic. The tradeoff between economic prosperity and public
health seemed to have initially been worthwhile, as Jordan’s performance in
combatting COVID-19 was stellar from March until early September. However, the
country’s stamina was expended during those six months, and soon enough public
efforts to combat the disease waned. October and November saw Jordan’s case
count and daily death toll from COVID-19 shoot up, amidst one government’s
literal resignation and the other’s figurative one. It is against this backdrop
that less
than thirty percent of Jordanians headed
to the polls to elect members of the nineteenth parliament, a historically low
participation rate that matched the predicted voter
turnout.
For Jordanians and international observers alike, the government’s
failure to battle the second wave of COVID-19 was swift—but in hindsight should
not have been surprising. The previous Jordanian minister of health declared in
June that COVID-19 “shriveled up and died,” thus
reflecting the government’s shortcomings in communicating and managing
expectations all at once. Moreover, the Jordanian government’s efforts were not
squarely placed on combatting the disease. Like most authoritarian states,
Jordan declared a state
of emergency to pass defense laws that, while
ostensibly aimed at addressing the COVID-19 challenge, significantly curtailed expression
and dissent. With its political and social capacity overstretched, and in a
hostile local and global political and public health climate, why did Amman
insist on holding general elections for its lower house of parliament that were
bound to entice less than a third of the electorate to vote?
November 16, 2020
Source:
https://www.arabbarometer.org/2020/11/jordans-stubborn-insistence-on-business-as-usual/
664-43-05/Poll
This past Wednesday was called “Super Wednesday” in
South Africa, as citizens in 95 wards across 55 municipalities went to the
polls to elect new councillors. Due to Covid-19 the IEC organised all the by-elections that were due in municipalities to
happen on the same day, and altogether 44 candidates from 40 political parties
participated.
At the time of writing, all results are not published yet and although
these by-elections might be an indication of how the political wind blows
currently, it will probably not be a strong indication of things to come in
next year’s scheduled Local Government Elections.
Another view of the current opinions in the country can be found in an
Ipsos poll conducted during July through to September 2020, using face-to-face
and telephone interviewing methodologies (as allowed by the lockdown
regulations). A total of 3,758 interviews were conducted with randomly selected
South Africans, 18 years and older. The results of the study are
representative of the views of South Africans of voting age.
Current political party choices
Respondents were asked which political party they would vote for if there
were an election the next day - and they had a free choice to choose any
political party. Half (50%) chose the ANC as
their party of choice – a drop of 5 percentage points since the previous Ipsos
Pulse of the People™ survey in November 2019. On the other hand, it seems as if
support for both the DA and EFF slightly
increased from November 2019.
It appears as if the DA, a party which faced a turbulent few months since
the 2019 National Election, might slowly be recovering lost ground, while the
EFF is building on their successes of the 2019 National Election.
For all three the biggest political parties in the country, the results
from the next few Ipsos Pulse of the People™ studies, planned for the months
before the next Local Government Elections, will be very interesting.1
Volatile trust in political parties and questions about the
direction of the country
2020 is by no means an easy year for most South Africans and about four
in every ten (41%) said that the country was currently going in the wrong direction.
Although this feeling that the country is going in the wrong direction is not
as strong as it was during the last few years of the Zuma presidency, it is
still not a positive finding.
Although ANC-supporters are a bit more optimistic than the supporters of
the DA and the EFF, only about a third of them (37%) said that they thought
South Africa was going in the right direction. More than half of the supporters
of the DA and the EFF respectively feel that the country is going in the wrong
direction.
It is not that South Africa is home to an overwhelming number of
pessimists, but almost three in every ten are either saying that they do not
know what to think about the direction of the country or that they are
undecided about the question.
To add to the feelings of uncertainty, a third of South Africans (34%)
felt that no single political party represented their views. This feeling was
even prevalent amongst the three biggest parties in similar proportions, with
the supporters of these parties indicating that they “Strongly Agree” or “Agree” that no current political party
represented their views.2
Consequently, it should be no surprise that the level of trust expressed
in political parties were quite low. This “trust score” was calculated by
subtracting the proportion of those with negative trust in the party from the
proportion of those who expressed positive trust in the party. From the table
below, only the ANC currently has a quite low positive trust score, while the
other two parties are showing a negative trust score.
Trust in political parties might be a key motivating factor in next
year’s Local Government Elections, influencing the decision to decide to vote
for a particular political party, but also influencing the decision on whether
to vote at all. We have seen the number of voters who turn out to vote dwindle
over the last few elections. This might have an influence on the legitimacy of
the elections and opinions about whether the elections are free and fair, and
expressing the will of the people.
Theoretical second choices
To give some perspectives on these issues, respondents were also asked to
indicate which party they would vote for as a SECOND choice if their
first-choice party were not available for whichever reason.
(This will not happen in an election, as a
voter will not be offered a second choice.)
Three out of every ten ANC supporters (30%) indicated that their second
choice will be the EFF and almost two out of every ten (19%) chose the DA as a
second choice. A quarter of the EFF supporters chose the DA as a second choice,
while only 11% of DA supporters chose the EFF as a second choice. The ANC
was the second choice for 31% of EFF supporters and 21% of DA supporters.
It is clear that all political parties have their work cut out for them
before the Local Government Elections – eligible voters are uncertain, and
party loyalty is relatively fluid.
November 13, 2020
Source:
https://www.ipsos.com/en-za/political-party-landscape-south-africa-amidst-covid-19
664-43-06/Poll
YouGov has examined the demographics and attitudes of Swedish discount
hunters. The survey shows that there is a predominance of women and
18–29-year-olds.
When looking at the demographics of Swedish discount
hunters, women (60%) and young people between the ages of 18 and 29 (24%)
dominate. 28% of the discount hunters are also single, while one tenth
(11%) are students.
If you look at the finances of the Swedish discount
hunters, a quarter (26%) have a household income of SEK 200,000 or less per
year.
Compared to the general population, discount hunters
are more aware of direct mail, ie. advertising in the mailbox, and if they
see that a brand is on sale, they are likely to strike - even if they have
another favorite brand.
Many of the discount hunters are also members of
customer clubs. The three main customer clubs for discount hunters are
Willys Plus (56%), Apotekets Klubb Hjärtat (51%) and H&M Club (42%).
In general, discount hunters want to be structured
when shopping weekly. While 60% plan their purchases, 41% usually stay
within a strict budget when shopping.
Just over half (53%) always read product reviews
before buying something and just over half (55%) are motivated to buy goods and
services online as it is cheaper compared to physical stores.
November 13, 2020
Source: https://yougov.se/news/2020/11/13/vilka-ar-de-svenska-rabattjagarna/
664-43-07/Poll
Is COVID 19
affecting the way we follow and play sports?
We have carried
out a study to see what impact the pandemic is having on our sports monitoring
and practice habits, as well as the possible impact on grassroots sports, that
is, among the youngest, who will be the future of our teams.
70% of adult Spaniards say they follow some kind of sports through the
media or in person. The percentage of the population that practices some
sport on a regular basis is, however, somewhat lower, representing 60% of
Spanish adults.
We have asked if in the homes where there is a
presence of minors, they practice sports and we find that in only half of these
(51%), children and adolescents practice some sport on a regular basis.
In the following graph we can see the relationship
between following and practicing the most popular sports.
How could it be otherwise, the sport most followed by
the adult population in Spain is Soccer, with almost half of Spaniards (46%)
declaring that they follow it. Despite being the most followed sport, it
is not the most practiced by adults, who only 7% say they play it.
Tennis (32%), Basketball and Motorsports with 23% and
20% respectively, occupy the next three places in the follow-up ranking.
The highest practice indicators among adults are in
disciplines such as Cycling (10%), Swimming with the same percentage,
Gymnastics and Tennis. However, other individual sports such as Fitness,
Running or Trecking obviously do not have a media following, but have practice
rates of around 10%.
Incidence of
federations
The practice of sports does not necessarily entail the
possession of a federative license, only sports such as Golf, whose practice is
limited to more than 1% of the sample, the shooting disciplines (1%), or those
that They involve competing officially, they require them, therefore, to be
registered in a sports federation, it is something unusual among sports
practitioners and only 12% of athletes declare to be so
Likewise among men, the percentage of federated
practitioners is significantly higher than among women.
The Incidence of
COVID 19 in sports
For most of those interviewed, the pandemic has
negatively affected the practice of different sports, thus, 68% of those
interviewed who practice some sport have seen the frequency with which they
practice it reduced and for 22% it has meant leaving the practice.
This incidence has been reflected to a greater extent
among those registered in any of the sports federations, among which COVID, has
represented a reduction in their activity by almost 80%.
Perhaps this greater reduction in the practice of
sports is caused by the fact that the sports more prone to “federationism” are
practiced in more controlled environments, such as clubs, facilities, etc… and
in many cases in official competitions that have been stopped.
Face-to-face
monitoring of competitions
Despite the fact that most of the sporting events have
returned to activity, there are still important limitations for attending the
different competitions in person.
These limitations do not seem to be of great
importance for sports fans, however, they have a greater impact on the
collective of federated in some sports discipline, who in 36% consider that the
limitation of attending events is quite or very important.
Despite the fact that for almost half of the adults
interviewed (48%), continuing to celebrate major sporting events in the current
COVID situation is not important, the survival of clubs and competitions (78%),
the economy (76%) , or the simple fact that they lift the spirits of the
country are the aspects for which the Spanish consider their celebration most
important.
Only one in five interviewees in the study stated that
they would feel very or somewhat comfortable attending live sporting events in
person.
On the contrary, 60% of adults state that they would
not feel comfortable attending stadiums or competitions.
This opinion confirms the low intention of attending
live sporting events in person, if attendance was allowed.
In fact, only 18% of the study participants had a
positive intention to attend events, if they were allowed to attend.
In any case, reducing the capacity of fields and
stadiums is the most important preventive measure (28%) to be taken for
potential spectators of sporting events.
COVID and sports
among children and adolescents
As we saw at the beginning of this report, in 51% of
the homes where children and adolescents are present, some of them practice a
sport on a regular basis.
As might be expected, soccer is practiced by just over
1 in 3 children or adolescents, being in first place in the ranking.
Swimming (18%), basketball or martial arts occupy the
first places on the list after soccer.
But, to what extent does COVID 19 affect the future of
what is today grassroots sport?
In households where children or adolescents compete in
children's or youth leagues or tournaments, 47% say that it is unlikely that
children will resume competitive activity this season. Which, without a
doubt, puts the future of our sport at relative risk.
Regarding the precautionary measures about COVID for
children who practice sports, most of the homes in which children practice,
think that all possible (19%) or sufficient protection measures (33%) are being
taken
However, slightly more than 1 in five households
with children are not aware of whether the necessary protection measures are
being taken for children.
Sports Clubs are considered the main responsible for
taking measures to protect children against COVID, federations and children's
parents are attributed the responsibility in 53% and 52% respectively.
In conclusion, we have seen that the practice of
sports by the population has been affected by the incidence of the pandemic in
an important way, as well as that sports fans do not trust in attending sports
events in person even in if it is allowed to do so.
Regarding the future of our sport, our children and
young people are suffering in the same way the impact of COVID in relation to
their sports practice and, it is in the hands of the clubs, the federations and
the parents themselves the responsibility that they can continue growing
sportily.
November 11, 2020
Source: https://es.yougov.com/news/2020/11/11/la-practica-de-deportes-en-tiempos-de-covid/
664-43-08/Poll
54 PERCENT OF
BRITONS DRINK ENGLISH BREAKFAST TEA
Brits, on the other hand, are most likely to say they
drink English breakfast tea (54 percent). Earl Gray ranks first in Sweden
(52 percent) and Denmark (36 percent). The French are most likely to drink
green tea (42 percent).
Germans' favorite variety, peppermint tea, is less
valued in other countries: Swedes (11 percent) and Danes (12 percent) drink it
least often.
TEEKANNE AND
MESSMER ARE THE MOST POPULAR AMONG GERMAN TEA DRINKERS
Of those Germans who describe themselves as tea
drinkers, 16 percent say they are current customers of the Teekanne
brand. In the general population, 11 percent say this. 14 percent of
tea drinkers currently buy Messmer tea (vs. 10 percent of the total population)
and 8 percent say this about Lipton (vs. 5 percent of the total population).
November 13, 2020
Source: https://yougov.de/news/2020/11/13/deutsche-trinken-eher-tee-als-briten/
664-43-09/Poll
Now in its second year, the YouGov-Cambridge Globalism
Project is an extended tracking survey of attitudes spanning 25 of the world’s
largest countries, produced by YouGov in collaboration with researchers from
the Tony Blair Institute for Global Change, as well as the University of
Cambridge and the Guardian.
Compared with 2019, this year’s findings show a marked
drop in the number of people who think China plays a positive role in the
world, with a difference of at least 20 per cent in numerous countries,
including Britain, Australia, Turkey, India, Nigeria and South Africa, and at
least 10 per cent in others, such as France, Germany, Sweden, Denmark, Poland,
Canada, Brazil, Mexico and Saudi Arabia.
Evidently, the pandemic may have played a significant
role in the process. In nearly all countries surveyed, more than 80 per cent of
respondents were convinced that Covid-19 originated in China. The one exception
was China itself, where just over half (52 per cent) believed the virus
originated there, while a third said it came from the US.
Large numbers around the world also share the view
that China seriously mishandled its initial response to the virus, in ways that
helped to turn the Chinese outbreak into a global one. Clear majorities in all
other countries agreed that Chinese authorities initially tried to hide the
truth about coronavirus, and that the international spread of the virus could
have been prevented if the country had responded more quickly. Majorities in
nearly all countries further believed it was definite or likely that the
Chinese government punished the doctors who first reported the outbreak.
Some analysts might argue that the downtrend in
sentiment towards China is largely related to negative information campaigns in
Western countries, and alleged efforts to seek a scapegoat for their own
failures to handle the virus. This is challenged by several aspects of the
data.
Firstly, these trends are more than a Western
phenomenon and duly span the globe, from the Americas and Europe to the Middle
East, Africa and Asia. Moreover, they feature in a number of countries where
the mood is more positive and majorities of the public think their own
government has generally handled the virus well, such as Indonesia (62 per
cent), Nigeria (51 per cent), Germany (67 per cent) and Canada (70 per cent).
They also include places that are hardly redoubts of a traditionally pro-American
or pro-Western perspective, such as Greece and Turkey. In other words, if China
has an image problem related to the pandemic, it looks decidedly international
and independent of Western-centric perspectives.
As results further suggest, the Chinese narrative on
global leadership currently finds limited public endorsement. Recent years have
seen growing efforts on the part of Beijing to portray itself as an alternative
source of direction for the international community. This has coincided with a
notably more unilateralist phase of US foreign policy under the tutelage of
Donald Trump. Yet still in many countries, the larger portion would choose
America over China as the country they prefer to be the most powerful force in
world politics, often by a substantial margin.
In France, for example, 43 per cent choose the US,
compared with 21 per cent for China. This trend repeats across much of the
sample, such as Nigeria (72 per cent versus 12 per cent), South Africa (68 per
cent versus 16 per cent), Britain (58 per cent versus 4 per cent), Australia
(60 per cent versus 9 per cent), Brazil (55 per cent versus 15 per cent), India
(72 per cent versus 8 per cent) and Indonesia (35 per cent versus 17 per cent).
Only in Turkey (23 per cent for the US versus 25 per cent for China), Egypt (26
per cent for both), and Saudi Arabia (26 per cent versus 20 per cent), do we
see less of a clear inclination for America, with more of a balance between the
two.
Interestingly, furthermore, in contrast to the
question on China’s role in world affairs, most of these figures show limited
change from last year, suggesting a certain stability in preference for global
leadership. In which case, perhaps this points to a wider challenge for
Beijing.
Few doubt the growing, hard power of modern China in
economic or military terms. Yet the state of a country’s reputation still rests
considerably on the soft power of perceived, common values and inherent,
socio-political appeal. As other research from the Globalism Project indicates,
for all our differences, many of us still covet a fundamentally liberal world,
from the empowerment of individuals to the basic norms and institutions of
international society. In which case, China may continue to face a notable
disconnect between its desire for public admiration on the world stage and the
perceived requirements of maintaining stability at home.
November 13, 2020
Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/international/articles-reports/2020/11/13/has-chinas-reputation-peaked
664-43-10/Poll
SNP maintain
strong lead in Holyrood voting intention
Looking ahead to the Scottish Parliament elections
next May, the Scottish National Party is still well ahead. The latest research
finds the SNP is on 56% in the constituency vote, with the Conservatives on
19%, Labour on 15%, Liberal Democrats on 6% and the Green Party on 2%.
Looking at the regional list vote the SNP is on 47%
with the Conservatives on 20%, Labour on 13%, the Greens on 7% and Liberal
Democrats on 6%.
If next May’s Scottish elections reflect these
figures, the SNP would be on course for a comfortable majority, increasing its
number of seats at Holyrood.
YouGov’s latest politician approval ratings find that
there has been a minor drop in the number of people thinking Nicola Sturgeon is
doing well as First Minister, falling from 72% in August to 67% now (27%
believe she is doing badly). Again, this small shift is within the margin of
error.
Her ratings compare favourably to those of the Boris
Johnson, who just 20% of Scots believe is doing well and 74% think is doing
badly. Labour leader Keir Starmer sits between the Prime Minister and First
Minister, with 41% saying he is doing a good job and 32% a bad job.
COVID-19
handling
It is a similar picture when looking specifically at
how well the leaders have handled the coronavirus crisis. Seven in ten (70%)
Scots think Nicola Sturgeon is handling the crisis well, down from nearly eight
in ten (79%) in August. The Prime Minister’s numbers are largely unchanged,
with 19% saying he is doing well and 76% believing he is doing badly.
Scots overwhelmingly prefer the approach to tackling
the virus that has been taken in Scotland (69%) over the approach taken in
England (8%). One in six (16%) say they favour neither. Scots are also very
supportive of the devolved approach to decision making around COVID-19 (68%)
rather than a UK-wide approach (23%).
They are also content with the current tier system in
place in Scotland with 64% saying that lockdown rules should differ in certain
areas if their level of spread of the virus is different. One in four (24%)
would prefer the same restrictions to be applied across all of Scotland.
November 12, 2020
Source: https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2020/11/12/scottish-independence-yes-51-49-no
664-43-11/Poll
New research
among over 1,000 Britons living with disability reveals how they have been
affected by the pandemic
Earlier this week we
released Part 1
of a large study we conducted with BBC. This new research among
people living with disabilities about the coronavirus pandemic finds that
approaching half (47%) have been unable to socialise, a third (36%) are now
unable to access medical appoints because of COVID-19 and just over a quarter
(27%) have been unable to carry out essentials such as food shopping.
Just under a quarter (24%) say that the pandemic has
left them unable to use public transport due to the changes required to keep
trains, buses, and other types of transport in line with social distancing
measures. The same proportion (24%) say COVID-19 has prevented them from
leaving their home, with the highest figures being among adults with learning,
social, or memory disabilities, a third (32%) of whom say has left them
house bound.
Among people living with disabilities who are in
employment, nine in ten (91%) say that concern for their health during the
pandemic has not forced them to leave work> The research finds that 8% have
left their job due to the COVID-19 outbreak, a figure that doubles to 16% among
18-34 year-olds.
This number rises further still among adults living
with disability who also receive paid care and support, 21% of whom have
stepped back from their positions due to concerns about their health.
Most feel
overlooked, and say the pandemic has worsened the rights of the disabled
YouGov’s data shows that approaching two in three
(65%) of adults living with disability believe that the pandemic has had either
a very (25%) or fairly (40%) a negative impact on the rights of disabled people
living in the UK. One in six (18%) say it’s had no impact and one in twenty
(5%) say the outbreak has had a positive impact on the rights of disabled people.
Seven in ten (71%) adults living with disability say
they feel that the needs of disabled people have been overlooked either to some
(36%) or a great (35%) extent during the coronavirus pandemic. One in ten (10%)
believe that their needs have been overlooked to a minor extent and 7% think
they have not been overlooked at all.
Adults living hearing and visual disabilities are the
most likely (81%) to say that disabled adults have been overlooked as part of
the country’s pandemic response, with almost as many (80%) adults with a
social, learning, or memory disability feeling the same.
Has COVID-19
affected their care and access to treatment?
Nearly half (48%) of disabled adults say their regular
treatments or therapies have deceased either significantly (33%) or slightly
(15%) since the outbreak began in March. A quarter (25%) believe they have
stayed the same and one in five (21%) think that they have increased either
significantly (7%) or slightly (14%).
Furthermore, just over a quarter (27%) report that the
number of visits they receive per week from carers and assistants has fallen
since the start of the pandemic; at the other end of the scale however one in
ten (10%) report more frequent visits from carers since the pandemic began.
When asked about amount of paid or professional care
and support they receive overall, 22% of disabled adults who received paid
professional care report that this care has also decreased since March,
compared to 14% who say their overall care has increased.
The frequency and access to care is not the only
issue; a third (34%) of disabled adults receiving paid care and support say
they now feel less safe receiving this care than they did before the COVID-19
pandemic, however 10% say they feel more safe doing so.
These factors of decreased frequency and access to
professional care may have a substantial on these adults’ lives, with 61% of
them saying that this care gives them the freedom to be either very or fairly
independent.
Further to this difficulty regarding care and support,
over half (60%) of disabled adults receiving paid care and support report they
have had difficulty sourcing medical and hygiene products since the beginning
of the pandemic.
Three in ten (30%) say they have difficulty in getting
their medications (including medical creams and ointments), among adults with a
learning, social, or memory disability this number jumps to 43%.
Another 21% have struggled to get hold of personal
protective equipment, and 19% have struggled to source other hygiene products
during the pandemic.
Issues with finding and sourcing medical and health
products has affected younger disabled adults more than their elders, overall
80% of disabled adults aged between 18 and 34 who receive care reporting
difficulties, compared to 32% of those aged between 50 and 65.
November 11, 2020
664-43-12/Poll
Employees from
BAME backgrounds are more anxious than White workers about the coronavirus
crisis threatening job security and career progression
The data shows that employees from BAME backgrounds are almost twice as
likely as White workers to be very worried
(29% to 16%).
Employees from BAME communities are also more likely
than White wage earners to be worried that the pandemic will affect their job
security (54% to 47%). This includes a quarter of workers from BAME backgrounds
(25%) who are very worried,
compared with just under a fifth of White workers (18%).
Higher
proportions of workers from BAME backgrounds struggle financially
When looking at people in work at the start of the
pandemic, the Debt Tracker data shows that employees from BAME communities are
more likely than White workers to be struggling financially. Higher numbers
have experienced financial difficulties in the past 12 months (33% to 24%),
find it hard to keep up with bills (16% to 11%) and have missed at least three
payments for bills or other credit commitments (12% to 5%).
However, both groups share similar outlooks on how
their financial circumstances will change in the next year. Three in ten people
from BAME backgrounds working before the crisis (29%) expect their situation
will improve, while 22% think it will worsen. This is in line with the view
among White workers (26% improve and 24% get worse).
November 11, 2020
664-43-13/Poll
The public perception that MPs don’t use evidence very
much is at odds with their use of research and information services. The House
of Commons library has previously reported that they receive 30,000 requests
for information a year from MP’s offices. [4]
The top line findings from the poll are that:
The polling could represent frustration with the way
that national policies have been decided and communicated. The opening of
Evidence Week in Parliament on Monday revealed the extent of the demands placed
on MPs to be across the range of constantly evolving Covid-19 evidence from
epidemiology to revised economic forecasts, options for the protection of care
homes, and mental health and educational effects of lockdowns, with only a
fraction of the resources of the government departments they scrutinise. Hosted
by Sense about Science, the Evidence Week opening event was led by voters
questioning their MPs and chairs of Select Committees on use of evidence during
Covid-19 and on a range of issues.
Tracey Brown, Director, Sense about Science
said:
As their questions to MPs on Monday showed, voters care about good and
accountable use of research and evidence in decisions. MPs don’t seem to be
aware how much the public cares, but in turn the public needs to see a bit more
of the evidence work MPs actually do. MPs have to be across all kinds of issues
every day, from economic forecasts to the feasibility of supporting electric
cars, to border controls on livestock, or inequalities in education, without a
lot of resource. Maintaining public pressure is important as is ensuring the
research community is supporting Parliament
Kelly Beaver, Managing Director of Public Affairs at
Ipsos MORI said:
It’s clear that there’s a strong sense from the public that particularly
when it comes to dealing with the COVID-19 pandemic, the need for evidence to
be used as the basis for policy and decision making is key.
Select Committee chairs revealed that they had been
seeking more evidence from government and urging its transparency for the
public, including efforts by the Science and Technology Committee to secure
publication of SAGE papers.
November 09, 2020
664-43-14/Poll
In 2018, the global
median level of government restrictions on religion – that is, laws, policies
and actions by officials that impinge on religious beliefs and practices –
continued to climb, reaching an all-time high since Pew Research Center began
tracking these trends in 2007.
The year-over-year increase from 2017 to 2018 was relatively modest, but
it contributed to a substantial rise in government restrictions on religion
over more than a decade. In 2007, the first year of the study, the global median score on the
Government Restrictions Index (a 10-point scale based on 20 indicators) was
1.8. After some fluctuation in the early years, the median score has risen
steadily since 2011 and now stands at 2.9 for 2018, the most recent full year
for which data is available.
The increase in government restrictions reflects a
wide variety of events around the world, including a rise from 2017 to 2018 in
the number of governments using force – such as detentions and physical abuse –
to coerce religious groups.
The total number of countries with “high” or
“very high” levels of government restrictions has been mounting as well. Most
recently, that number climbed from 52 countries (26% of the 198 countries and
territories included in the study) in 2017 to 56 countries (28%) in 2018. The
latest figures are close to the 2012 peak in the top two tiers of the
Government Restrictions Index.
As of 2018, most of the 56 countries with high or very
high levels of government restrictions on religion are in the Asia-Pacific
region (25 countries, or half of all countries in that region) or the Middle
East-North Africa region (18 countries, or 90% of all countries in the region).
Rising
government restrictions in the Asia-Pacific region
Out of the five regions examined in the study, the
Middle East and North Africa continued to have the highest median level of
government restrictions in 2018 (6.2 out of 10). However, Asia and the Pacific
had the largest increase in
its median government restrictions score, rising from 3.8 in 2017 to 4.4 in
2018, partly because a greater number of governments in the region used force
against religious groups, including property damage, detention, displacement,
abuse and killings.
In total, 31 out of 50 countries (62%) in Asia
and the Pacific experienced government use of force related to religion, up
from 26 countries (52%) in 2017. The increase was concentrated in the category
of “low levels” of government use of force (between one and nine incidents
during the year). In 2018, 10 Asia-Pacific countries fell into this category,
up from five the previous year. (For a full list of countries in the
Asia-Pacific region, see Appendix C.)
In Armenia, for example, a prominent member of the
Baha’i faith was detained on religious grounds, according to members of the
community.1 And in the Philippines, three United Methodist Church missionaries
were forced to leave the country or faced issues with visa renewals after they
were involved in investigating human rights violations on a fact-finding
mission.2
But the region also saw several instances of
widespread use of government force against religious groups. In Burma
(Myanmar), large-scale displacement of religious minorities continued. During
the course of the year, more than 14,500 Rohingya Muslims were reported by
Human Rights Watch to have fled to neighboring Bangladesh to escape abuses, and
at least 4,500 Rohingya were stuck in a border area known as “no-man’s land,”
where they were harassed by Burmese officials trying to get them to cross to
Bangladesh.3 In addition, fighting between the Burmese military and armed
ethnic organizations in the states of Kachin and Shan led to the displacement
of other religious minorities, mostly Christians.4
Meanwhile, in Uzbekistan, it is estimated that at
least 1,500 Muslim religious prisoners remained in prison on charges of
religious extremism or membership in banned groups.5
Some countries in the Asia-Pacific region saw all-time
highs in their overall government restrictions scores. This includes China,
which continued to have the highest score on the Government Restrictions Index
(GRI) out of all 198 countries and territories in the study. China has been
near the top of the list of most restrictive governments in each year since the
inception of the study, and in 2018 it reached a new peak in its score (9.3 out
of 10).
The Chinese government restricts religion in a variety
of ways, including banning entire religious groups (such as the Falun Gong movement and several Christian groups),
prohibiting certain religious practices, raiding places of worship and
detaining and torturing individuals.6 In 2018, the government continued a detention campaign against
Uighurs, ethnic Kazakhs and other Muslims in Xinjiang province, holding at
least 800,000 (and possibly up to 2 million) in detention facilities “designed
to erase religious and ethnic identities,” according to the U.S. State
Department.7
Tajikistan also stands out with a GRI score of 7.9, an
all-time high for that country. In 2018, the Tajik government amended its
religion law, increasing control over religious education domestically and over
those who travel abroad for religious education. The amendment also requires
religious groups to report their activities to authorities and requires state
approval for appointing imams. Throughout the year, the Tajik government
continued to deny minority religious groups, such as Jehovah’s Witnesses,
official recognition. In January, Jehovah’s Witnesses reported that more than a
dozen members were interrogated by police and pressured to renounce their
faith.8
While these are examples of countries with
“very high” government restrictions on religion in Asia and the Pacific, there
also are several notable countries in the “high” category that experienced an
increase in their scores. India, for example, reached a new peak in its GRI
score in 2018, scoring 5.9 out of 10 on the index, while Thailand also
experienced an all-time high (5.4).
In India, anti-conversion laws affected minority
religious groups. For example, in the state of Uttar Pradesh in September,
police charged 271 Christians with attempting to convert people by drugging
them and “spreading lies about Hinduism.” Furthermore, throughout the year,
politicians made comments targeting religious minorities. In December, the Shiv
Sena Party, which holds seats in parliament, published an editorial calling for
measures such as mandatory family planning for Muslims to limit their
population growth. And law enforcement officials were involved in cases
against religious minorities: In Jammu and Kashmir, four police personnel,
among others, were arrested in connection with the kidnapping, rape and killing
of an 8-year-old girl from a nomadic Muslim family, reportedly to push her
community out of the area.9
In Thailand, as part of broader immigration raids in
2018, the government arrested hundreds of immigrants who allegedly did not have
legal status, including religious minorities from other countries who were
seeking asylum or refugee status. Among the detainees were Christians and
Ahmadi Muslims from Pakistan as well as Christian Montagnards from Vietnam.
During the year, Thai authorities also detained six leading Buddhist monks, a
move that the government said was an effort to curb corruption but that some
observers called a politically motivated attempt to assert control over temples.10
Government restrictions on religion in other regions
While Asia and the Pacific had the largest
increases in their Government Restrictions Index scores, the Middle East and
North Africa still had the highest median level of government restrictions,
with a score of 6.2 on the GRI – up from 6.0 in 2017, more than double the
global median (2.9), and at its highest point since the aftermath of the Arab
Spring in 2012.
As in Asia, the rise in GRI scores in the Middle East
and North Africa was partly due to more governments using force against
religious groups. All but one country in the region had reports of government
use of force related to religion in 2018, although many were at the lowest
level (between one and nine incidents). In Jordan, for example, a media
personality and an editor employed at his website were detained and charged
with “sectarian incitement and causing religious strife” for posting on
Facebook a cartoon of a Turkish chef sprinkling salt at Jesus’ Last Supper.11
But government force against religious groups was much
more widespread in some countries in the region. In Saudi Arabia, for instance,
more than 300 Shiite Muslims remained in prison in the country’s Eastern Province,
where the government has arrested more than 1,000 Shiites since 2011 in
connection with protests for greater rights.12
Aside from Asia-Pacific and the Middle
East-North Africa, sub-Saharan Africa was the only other region to experience
an increase in its median level of government restrictions in 2018 (from 2.6 to
2.7), reaching a new high following a steady rise in recent years. While
government use of force against religious groups decreased in the region, both
harassment of religious groups and physical violence against minority groups
went up.
More than eight-in-ten countries in the sub-Saharan
region (40 out of 48) experienced some form of government harassment of
religious groups, and 14 countries (29%) had reports of governments using
physical coercion against religious minorities. In Mozambique, for example, the
government arbitrarily detained men, women and children who appeared to be
Muslim in response to violent attacks on civilians and security forces by an
insurgent group. According to media and local organizations, the government
response to the attacks was “heavy-handed.”13
Europe experienced a small decline in its median level
of government restrictions, falling from 2.9 in 2017 to 2.8 in 2018, although
government use of force increased slightly (see Chapter 3 for details). The median level of
government restrictions in the Americas, meanwhile, remained stable between
2017 and 2018, as the region continued to experience the lowest levels of
government restrictions compared with all other regions.
Social
hostilities involving religion declined slightly in 2018
This is the 11th annual report in this continuing
study, which looks not only at government restrictions on religion but also
at social hostilities involving religion – that is, acts of
religion-related hostility by private individuals, organizations or groups in
society.
The new analysis finds that globally, social
hostilities declined slightly in 2018 after hitting an all-time high the prior
year. The median score on the Social Hostilities Index (a 10-point scale based
on 13 measures of social hostilities involving religion) fell from 2.1 in 2017
to 2.0 in 2018. This small decline was partly due to fewer reports of incidents
in which some religious groups (usually of a majority faith in a particular
country) attempted to prevent other religious groups (usually of minority
faiths) from operating. There also were fewer reports of individuals being
assaulted or displaced from their homes for religious expression that goes
against the majority faith in a country (see Appendix D for full details).
The number of countries with “high” or “very high”
levels of social hostilities involving religion also declined slightly from 56
(28% of all 198 countries and territories in the study) to 53 (27%). This
includes 16 European countries (36% of all countries in Europe), 14 in the
Asia-Pacific region (28% of all Asia-Pacific countries) and 11 in the Middle
East and North Africa (55% of MENA countries).
Taken together, in 2018, 40% of the world’s countries
(80 countries overall) had “high” or “very high” levels of overall restrictions on religion —
reflecting either government actions or hostile acts by private individuals,
organizations or social groups – down slightly from 42% (83 countries) in 2017.
This remains close to the 11-year peak that was reached in 2012, when 43% (85
countries) had high or very high levels of overall restrictions. By this
combined measure, as of 2018, all 20 countries in the Middle East-North Africa
region have high overall restrictions on religion, as do more than half of
Asia-Pacific countries (27 countries, or 54% of the region) and more than a
third of countries in Europe (17 countries, 38%).
For full results, see Appendix F.
How do
restrictions on religion vary by regime type?
The Democracy Index, compiled by the Economist
Intelligence Unit, measures the state of democracy in 165 independent countries
and two territories around the world. The Index assesses states based on 60
questions that broadly cover five themes: electoral process and pluralism,
civil liberties, the functioning of government, political participation, and
political culture. Each state is given a numeric score between
0 and 10 on the index and is classified into four regime types.
• Full Democracies: scores greater than 8
• Flawed Democracies: scores greater than 6, and less
than or equal to 8
• Hybrid Regimes: scores greater than 4, and less than
or equal to 6
• Authoritarian Regimes: scores less than or equal to
4
In this report, for the first time, Pew Research
Center combined its data on government restrictions and social hostilities
involving religion with a classification of regime types, based on the Democracy Index compiled
by the Economist Intelligence Unit.14 Researchers did this to discern whether there is a link between
different models of government and levels of restrictions on religion – in
other words, whether restrictions on religion tend to be more or less common in
countries with full or partial democracies than in those with authoritarian
regimes.15
The analysis finds a strong association between
authoritarianism and government restrictions on religion. While there are many
exceptions to this pattern, authoritarian regimes are much more common among
the countries with very high government restrictions on religion – roughly
two-thirds of these countries (65%) are classified as authoritarian. Among
countries with low government restrictions on religion, meanwhile, just 7% are
authoritarian.
There is less of a clear pattern when it comes to
social hostilities involving religion. There are no countries classified by the
Economist Intelligence Unit as full democracies that have very high levels of
social hostilities involving religion (just as there are no full democracies
with very high levels of government restrictions involving religion). At the
same time, there are many authoritarian countries with low levels of social hostilities
involving religion, suggesting that in some cases, a government may restrict
religion through laws and actions by state authorities while limiting religious
hostilities among its citizens.
When looking at countries with very high government restrictions on
religion, Pew Research Center found that of the 26 countries in this
category whose regimes were scored by the EIU on its Democracy Index in 2018,
17 (65%) were classified as authoritarian, three were hybrid regimes (12%) and
three were flawed democracies (12%). There were no countries with very high
government restrictions that were full democracies.16 The three countries with very high government restrictions that
were classified as flawed democracies – Malaysia, Indonesia and Singapore – all
are regionally clustered in Southeast Asia.
Of the 30 countries with high government restrictions on religion,
there were 12 authoritarian states (40%), 11 hybrid regimes (37%) and six
flawed democracies (20%), according to the EIU Democracy Index. One full
democracy, Denmark, also was in this category. In 2018, Denmark fell into the
high government restrictions category for the first time, with its score driven
partly by a ban on face coverings, which included Islamic burqas and niqabs,
that went into effect that year.17
At the other end of the spectrum, among the 74
countries with low government restrictions,
just five were classified as authoritarian (7%), 13 were hybrid regimes (18%),
27 were flawed democracies (36%) and seven were full democracies (9%). The
countries with low government restrictions on religion that were also
classified as authoritarian by the Democracy Index are all in sub-Saharan
Africa: Gabon, Guinea-Bissau, Republic of the Congo, Swaziland and Togo. There
was no Democracy Index classification of regime type for 22 countries with low
government restrictions (for a full list, see Appendix E).
In terms of social
hostilities involving religion, the picture is more mixed – which
makes sense given that social hostilities look at actions by private
individuals or social groups and do not directly originate from government
actions.
Among the 10 countries with very high levels of social hostilities,
there were four authoritarian states, three hybrid regimes and three flawed
democracies – India, Israel and Sri Lanka. Again, like countries with very high
government restrictions, there were no full democracies with very high levels
of social hostilities.
Among the 43 countries with high levels of social hostilities, nine
were classified as authoritarian (21%), 14 were hybrid regimes (33%), 13 were
flawed democracies (30%) and five were full democracies (12%).18
The five countries categorized as full democracies
with high levels of social hostilities are all in Europe – Denmark, Germany,
the Netherlands, Switzerland and the United Kingdom – and all had reports of
anti-Muslim and anti-Semitic incidents. In Switzerland, for instance, Muslim
groups reported growing anti-Muslim sentiments due to negative coverage by the
media and hostile discourse on Islam by right-leaning political parties. During
the year, for instance, a journalist who had initiated a local ban on face
coverings handed out a “Swiss Stop Islam Award” of about $2,000 USD to three
recipients.19
Among the 81 countries with low levels of social hostilities in
2018, there were 24 with no data on regime types (mostly small island nations
the Democracy Index does not cover). Those with data are most commonly
classified as flawed democracies (26 countries, or 32% of the 81 countries with
low social hostilities).
But, strikingly, 17 countries (21%) with low social
hostilities involving religion were classified as authoritarian – including
countries like Eritrea and Kazakhstan, which have very high government restrictions on religion.
In addition, several other authoritarian states with very high government
restrictions on religion – such as China, Iran and Uzbekistan – have only
moderate levels of social hostilities involving religion. In these cases, high
levels of government control over religion may lead to fewer hostilities by
nongovernment actors.
The rest of this report looks more closely at other
changes in religious restrictions in 2018, including the countries with the
most extensive government restrictions or social hostilities and the extent of
changes in restrictions on religion since 2017 (Chapter 1); details about the
harassment of specific religious groups (Chapter 2); and additional analysis on
restrictions on religion by region (Chapter 3) and among the most populous
countries in the world (Chapter 4).
November 10, 2020
664-43-15/Poll
It will be a difficult
struggle. Americans have rarely been as polarized as they are today.
The studies we’ve conducted at Pew Research Center over the past few
years illustrate the increasingly stark disagreement between Democrats and
Republicans on the economy, racial justice, climate change, law enforcement,
international engagement and a long list of other issues. The 2020
presidential election further highlighted these deep-seated
divides. Supporters of Biden and Donald Trump believe the differences between
them are about more than just politics and policies. A month before the
election, roughly eight-in-ten registered voters in both camps said their
differences with the other side were about core
American values, and roughly nine-in-ten – again in both camps
– worried that a victory by the other would lead to “lasting
harm” to the United States.
The U.S. is hardly the only country wrestling with deepening political
fissures. Brexit
has polarized British politics, the rise of populist parties has disrupted
party systems across Europe, and cultural conflict and economic anxieties have
intensified old cleavages and
created new ones in many advanced democracies. America and other advanced
economies face many common strains over how opportunity is distributed in a
global economy and how our culture adapts to growing diversity in an
interconnected world.
But the 2020
pandemic has revealed how pervasive the divide in
American politics is relative to other nations. Over the summer, 76% of
Republicans (including independents who lean to the party) felt the U.S. had
done a good job dealing
with the coronavirus outbreak, compared with just 29% of those who do not
identify with the Republican Party. This 47 percentage point gap was the
largest gap found between those who support the governing party and those who
do not across 14 nations surveyed. Moreover, 77% of Americans said the country
was now more
divided than before the outbreak, as compared
with a median of 47% in the 13 other nations surveyed.
Much of this American exceptionalism preceded the coronavirus: In a Pew
Research Center study conducted before the pandemic, Americans were more
ideologically divided than any of the 19 other publics surveyed when
asked how
much trust they have in scientists and whether
scientists make decisions solely based on facts. These fissures have pervaded
nearly every aspect of the public and policy response to the crisis over the
course of the year. Democrats and Republicans differ over mask
wearing, contact
tracing, how well public
health officials are dealing with the crisis, whether
to get a vaccine once one is available, and whether life
will remain changed in a major way after the pandemic. For
Biden supporters, the coronavirus outbreak was a central issue in the election
– in an October
poll, 82% said it was very important to their vote.
Among Trump supporters, it was easily the least significant among six issues
tested on the survey: Just 24% said it was very important.
Why is America cleaved in this way? Once again, looking across other
nations gives us some indication. The polarizing pressures of partisan media,
social media, and even deeply rooted cultural, historical and regional divides
are hardly unique to America. By comparison, America’s relatively rigid,
two-party electoral system stands apart by collapsing a wide range of
legitimate social and political debates into a singular battle line that can
make our differences appear even larger than they may actually be. And when the
balance of support for these political parties is close enough for either to
gain near-term electoral advantage – as it has in the U.S. for
more than a quarter century – the competition becomes cutthroat and
politics begins to feel zero-sum, where one side’s gain is inherently the
other’s loss. Finding common cause – even to fight a common enemy in the public
health and economic threat posed by the coronavirus – has eluded us.
Over time, these battles result in nearly all societal tensions becoming
consolidated into two competing camps. As Ezra Klein and other writers have
noted, divisions between the two parties have intensified over time as various
types of identities have become “stacked” on top of people’s partisan
identities. Race, religion and ideology now align with partisan identity in
ways that they often didn’t in eras when the two parties were relatively
heterogenous coalitions. In their study of polarization across nations, Thomas
Carothers and Andrew O’Donohue argue that polarization
runs particularly deep in the U.S. in part because American
polarization is “especially multifaceted.” According to Carothers and
O’Donohue, a “powerful alignment of ideology, race, and religion renders
America’s divisions unusually encompassing and profound. It is hard to find
another example of polarization in the world,” they write, “that fuses all
three major types of identity divisions in a similar way.”
Of course, there’s nothing wrong with disagreement in politics, and
before we get nostalgic for a less polarized past it’s important to remember
that eras of relatively muted partisan conflict, such as the late 1950s, were
also characterized by structural injustice that kept many voices – particularly
those of non-White Americans – out of the political arena. Similarly, previous
eras of deep division, such as the late 1960s, were far less partisan but
hardly less violent or destabilizing. Overall, it’s not at all clear that
Americans are further apart from each other than we’ve been in the past, or
even that we are more ideologically or affectively
divided – that is, exhibiting hostility to those
of the other party – than citizens of other democracies. What’s unique about
this moment – and particularly acute in America – is that these divisions have
collapsed onto a singular axis where we find no toehold for common cause or
collective national identity.
Americans both see this problem and want to address it. Overwhelming
majorities of both Trump (86%) and Biden (89%) supporters surveyed this fall
said that their preferred candidate, if elected, should focus
on addressing the needs of all Americans, “even
if it means disappointing some of his supporters.”
In his speech, President-elect Biden vowed to “work as hard for those who
didn’t vote for me as those who did” and called on “this grim era of
demonization in America” to come to an end. That’s a sentiment that resonates
with Americans on both sides of the fence. But good intentions on the part of
our leaders and ourselves face serious headwinds in a political system that
reinforces a two-party political battleground at nearly every level.
November 13, 2020
664-43-16/Poll
More than a dozen 2020 U.S. House and Senate
candidates have engaged with the collection of conspiracy theories known as
QAnon. At
least two of those candidates won their races and will be heading to Congress in 2021.
Here are five facts about
how much Americans have heard about the QAnon conspiracy theories and their
views about them, based on Pew Research Center surveys and analysis.
Americans’ awareness of the conspiracy theories called QAnon
increased dramatically from early to late 2020. In
a Feb. 18-March 2 survey, about a quarter (23%) of U.S. adults said they
had heard “a lot” or “a little” about QAnon. By
September, that number had
increased to 47%. At the same time, though, very
few Americans have heard a lot about
it: 9% as of September, up from 3% in February.
Knowledge of QAnon grew on both sides of the political aisle, though
Democrats’ awareness continues to outpace that of Republicans. As of September,
more than half (55%) of Democrats and those who lean Democratic say they have
heard at least a little about the conspiracy theories, compared with 39% of
Republicans.
The same U.S. adults were sampled for the March survey and September
survey. This raises
the possibility that some of the increase in QAnon
awareness is attributable to re-asking the same people.
Americans with high political knowledge are more likely than
others to have heard of the conspiracy theories. Within
both parties, political knowledge correlates closely with awareness of these
theories.
Among Democrats, those with high political knowledge are more than three
times as likely to say they have heard about QAnon (85%) as those with low
political knowledge (25%). And though fewer Republicans overall have heard of
QAnon, those with high political knowledge are more than twice as likely (59%)
as those with low political knowledge (24%) to have heard at least a little
about QAnon. (You can
find more details of the political knowledge index here.)
High or low political knowledge is a stronger factor in awareness of the
conspiracy theories than differences in ideology within each party. The
differences seen between Democrats with high and low knowledge are
much larger than the differences seen between liberal
Democrats and conservative or moderate Democrats, and the same is true among
Republicans.
The majority of Americans who have heard of QAnon think it’s
a bad thing for the country. Among
those who have heard of the conspiracy theories, 57% say
QAnon is a “very bad” thing for the country.
Another 17% say it is “somewhat bad.” That compares with 20% who say it is a
somewhat or very good thing, while 6% did not answer.
Democrats who have heard of QAnon are more likely than their Republican
counterparts to say it’s bad for the country. Almost eight-in-ten Democrats who
have heard of QAnon (77%) say it is a “very bad” thing for the country, and
another 13% say it is a somewhat bad thing. On the other hand, only about a
quarter of Republicans who have heard of QAnon (26%) feel it is very bad for
the country, while 24% say it is somewhat bad. Indeed, roughly four-in-ten
Republicans who have heard of QAnon (41%) say it is a good thing for the
country (32% somewhat good and 9% very good).
When asked to describe QAnon, people most often mentioned
that it was a group of some kind (41%) or a conspiracy group or theory
(44%). When Americans who said they had heard at least
a little about QAnon were asked to write in their own words what they thought
it was, they were most likely to describe it as a group of some kind or include
a more specific description of it as a conspiracy group or theory.
Far fewer wrote in other kinds of descriptions. Two-in-ten mentioned that
it is a right-wing group or theory (20%) or that it is a theory about child
abuse or trafficking (20%). Another 16% connected it directly to President
Donald Trump, either by saying that Trump supports the group or that the group
views him as a hero, savior or victim. (Responses could fit into more than one
of these categories.)
A separate content study of YouTube by the Center found that in December 2019, mentions of “QAnon” were
concentrated in a very small number of the most viewed news channels. Overall,
5% of videos published by the 100 most viewed YouTube news channels at the time
of the study included the word “QAnon.” The vast majority of those mentions
came from just a handful of YouTube news channels: 11 of these channels studied
produced 80% of the videos mentioning QAnon.
In a subsequent content analysis conducted in September 2020, eight of
these 11 YouTube news channels were still producing videos that mentioned
QAnon. What’s more, four of them mentioned QAnon in half or more of the videos
they published that month.
Some of these channels clearly advertised their orientation around these
conspiracy theories, including one that put the word “QAnon” in the thumbnail
of all of its videos. Other channels were more subtle in their mentions, using
euphemisms such as “our favorite anon.”
Several of the 11 channels were
terminated by YouTube in October, including some channels that
mentioned QAnon the most in September 2020.
November 16, 2020
Source:
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2020/11/16/5-facts-about-the-qanon-conspiracy-theories/
664-43-17/Poll
Line graph. Percentages of Americans since 1990 who want the laws
covering the sale of firearms to be more strict, less strict or kept as they
are now. The latest data find a seven-point decline in the percentage of U.S.
adults (to 57%) who want stricter laws, 34% who want them kept as they are and
9% less strict. The highest percentage for those supporting stricter laws was
78% in 1990.
Gallup has been tracking the public's views on this measure since 1990,
when a record-high 78% of Americans supported stricter laws for gun sales as
the nation's crime rate was rising. A majority of Americans held that position
until 2008. Support then fell to a low of 43% in 2011, when an equal number
said gun laws should be kept as is, but calls for stricter laws increased
sharply to 58% in 2012 after the massacre at Sandy Hook Elementary School in
Newtown, Connecticut.
Since the early 1990s, Americans' preferences for tougher gun control
have generally peaked in the wake of prominent mass shootings and waned as the
memory of each fades. A recent example was the 2018 school massacre in
Parkland, Florida, after which support
for increased gun control hit 67%. Support remained
near that level last year in two readings taken after mass
shootings in Dayton, Ohio, and El Paso, Texas, on consecutive days in August.
Americans' Preferences for Gun Control Vary by Demographic
Group
There are sharp differences in views of gun control within a number of
key demographic groups in the latest findings from Gallup's annual Crime poll,
conducted Sept. 30-Oct. 15. Majorities of women, Democrats, independents, those
who do not own guns, residents of the Eastern and Western U.S., and city and
suburban residents all support stricter gun laws. At the same time, these
groups' counterparts are more supportive of keeping gun laws as they are now or
making them less strict.
Americans' Preferences for Gun Laws, by Demographic Groups
In general, do you feel that the laws covering the sale of firearms
should be made more strict, less strict or kept as they are now?
More
strict |
Less
strict |
Kept
as now |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
% |
% |
% |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gender |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Men |
46 |
15 |
39 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Women |
67 |
4 |
29 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Party
identification |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Republicans |
22 |
16 |
62 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Independents |
60 |
11 |
28 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Democrats |
85 |
2 |
13 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gun ownership |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gun owners |
26 |
17 |
57 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Not a gun owner |
72 |
5 |
22 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Region |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
East |
68 |
10 |
22 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Midwest |
50 |
9 |
40 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
South |
49 |
6 |
45 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
West |
63 |
14 |
23 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Urbanicity |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
City residents |
65 |
6 |
29 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Suburban residents |
58 |
9 |
33 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Rural residents |
46 |
15 |
39 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GALLUP, SEPT. 30-OCT. 15,
2020 |
Among these groups, the
largest gap in support for more stringent gun laws
is for partisans. The current 22% of Republicans favoring stricter laws for gun
sales is the lowest for the group over the past 20 years and represents a
14-point drop since 2019. Meanwhile, the percentages of Democrats and
independents calling for more gun control are near the highest recorded by
Gallup since 2000. The 63-point gap between Republicans and Democrats is the
highest on record over the past two decades.
Line graph. Percentages of Republicans, Democrats and independents who
want the laws covering the sale of firearms to be more strict, since 2001. The
latest data find 85% of Democrats, 60% of independents and 22% of Republicans
want stricter laws. This is the lowest reading for Republicans in the trend.
Support for Handgun Ban Remains Weak
Americans' support for a ban on the possession of handguns, at 25%, is
near the lowest on record in Gallup's 40-year trend. The latest reading, which
is down 18 points from its 1991 high, is a slight decline from last year's 29%.
Currently, 74% of U.S. adults say such a ban should not be put in place.
Line graph. Percentage of Americans who think there should be a ban on
the possession of handguns except by the police and other authorized persons,
since 1980. The latest finding, 25%, is near the record low of 23% in 2016.
While there is a 31-point gap between the views of Republicans and
Democrats on this measure, less than half of Democrats (41%) support a handgun
ban.
Gallup's update of gun ownership in the same poll finds essentially no change
in the trend from recent years. The 32% saying they personally own a gun is up
slightly, but not statistically significantly, from the 30%
average rate of personal gun ownership from 2017-2019.
This may seem contrary to recent news that an estimated 5 million
Americans have become new gun owners thus far in 2020 amid surging gun sales;
however, that number represents about 2% of the U.S. adult public, which is not
enough to detect in a poll of roughly 1,000 U.S. respondents, with the standard
4-percentage-point margin of sampling error. Gallup will be looking at whether
today's slightly higher rates continue in future measurements.
Bottom Line
In a year that has seen record-high gun sales, Americans' appetite for
gun control is the lowest it has been since 2016, before mass shootings in Las
Vegas, Nevada, and Parkland, Florida. There has not been a major mass shooting
in the U.S. since mid-2019 -- which may explain the decline in support for
stricter gun laws, given that the trend on this measure has shown that such
events tend to drive public opinion. In addition, there has been a sharp drop
in Republicans' support for stricter gun laws over the past year as the nation
has dealt with the pandemic, civil unrest and the presidential election.
November 16, 2020
Source:
https://news.gallup.com/poll/325004/support-stricter-gun-laws-lowest-level-2016.aspx
664-43-18/Poll
Line graph. Americans' perceptions of whether the criminal justice system
in the U.S. is too tough, not tough enough or about right in its handling of
crime since 1992. The percentage saying it is not tough enough has fallen from
83% in 1992 to 41% now. At the same time, the percentage saying it is about
right has risen from 12% in 1992 to the current 35%, and those who think it is
too tough has increased from 2% in 1992 to 21% now.
Across the five times Gallup has asked this question since 1992, when
public perceptions of national and local crime rates were at or near their
highest points, there has been a steady decrease in the percentage saying the
system is not tough enough and increases in the percentages saying it is too
tough or about right. These changes coincide with declines in crime rates in
the U.S.
The latest reading is from Gallup's annual Crime poll, conducted Sept.
30-Oct. 15, 2020.
Americans' faith in the U.S. criminal justice system remains low
according to Gallup's
2020 Confidence in Institutions poll conducted earlier
this year, and confidence in one element of that system -- the police -- fell
to a record-low level in the same poll. This decline in confidence in the
police followed several high-profile deaths of Black Americans at the hands of
police officers, including George Floyd, Breonna Taylor and Rayshard Brooks.
Views of the criminal justice system vary by party identification and
racial background. A 58% majority of Republicans and Republican-leaning
independents say the criminal justice system is not tough enough. However, this
view is shared by less than half as many Democrats and Democratic-leaning
independents (25%), while 37% think the system is about right and 35% too
tough.
More White Americans than non-White Americans say the justice system is
not tough enough on crime (45% vs. 31%, respectively). The plurality of
non-White adults, 40%, think it is about right, while 26% believe it is too
tough.
Americans across these four party and racial subgroups have become
significantly less likely to say the criminal justice system is not tough
enough, but it has declined the most among Democrats, falling from 62% in 2000
to 25% today. Over the same period, Democrats' view that the system is too
tough has grown from 6% to 35%.
Views of the U.S. Criminal Justice System's Handling of Crime, by Party
and Race
In general, do you think the criminal justice system in this country is
too tough, not tough enough or about right in its handling of crime?
Too
tough |
About
right |
Not
tough enough |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
% |
% |
% |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Republicans/Republican-leaning
independents |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2020 |
6 |
34 |
58 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2016 |
2 |
30 |
65 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2003 |
2 |
25 |
72 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2000 |
1 |
16 |
79 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Democrats/Democratic-leaning
independents |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2020 |
35 |
37 |
25 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2016 |
22 |
42 |
29 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2003 |
9 |
29 |
58 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2000 |
6 |
27 |
62 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
White adults |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2020 |
19 |
33 |
45 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2016 |
10 |
32 |
53 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2003 |
6 |
25 |
67 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2000 |
3 |
21 |
72 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Non-White
adults |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2020 |
26 |
40 |
31 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2016 |
23 |
40 |
30 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2003 |
8 |
28 |
57 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2000 |
7 |
28 |
57 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GALLUP |
More Want to Cut Crime by Focusing on Social Problems Than
Law Enforcement
Given two options for approaches to lowering the U.S. crime rate, more
Americans prefer putting money and effort into addressing social and economic
problems such as drug addiction, homelessness and mental health (63%) rather
than putting money and effort into strengthening law enforcement (34%).
While almost nine in 10 Democrats and Democratic leaners favor focusing
on social and economic problems, more than six in 10 Republicans and Republican
leaners would rather strengthen law enforcement.
Majorities of White and non-White adults favor addressing the systemic
problems that contribute to crime; however, White adults are less likely than
non-White adults to prioritize this approach.
Americans' Preference for Lowering the Crime Rate
Which of the following approaches to lowering the crime rate in the
United States comes closer to your own view -- more money and effort should go
to addressing social and economic problems such as drug addiction, homelessness
and mental health OR more money and effort should go to strengthening law
enforcement?
Address
social problems |
Strengthen
law enforcement |
|
% |
% |
|
U.S. adults |
63 |
34 |
Republicans/Republican-leaning
independents |
34 |
62 |
Democrats/Democratic-leaning independents |
87 |
11 |
White adults |
59 |
39 |
Non-White adults |
73 |
24 |
GALLUP, SEPT. 30-OCT. 15,
2020 |
As would be expected, those
who think the criminal justice system is too tough or about right in its
handling of crime strongly favor putting money and effort into tackling social
and economic problems to cut the crime rate (88% and 69%, respectively). That view
is shared by 45% of those who do not think the system is tough enough in its
handling of crime. The majority of this group, 53%, supports strengthening law
enforcement.
Bottom Line
At a time when confidence in the criminal justice system is low and perceptions
that crime in the U.S. are up, Americans are divided in their views of how
the criminal justice system is handling crime. Although a plurality still think
the system is not tough enough, the percentage who say it is too tough has
risen in the past year. This is likely attributable, at least in part, to the
backlash that has resulted from several highly publicized deaths of Black
Americans at the hands of police officers.
Recent Gallup polling shows that Americans favor a
number of reforms to policing in the U.S., and the public
widely supports putting money and effort into addressing social and economic
problems that can lead to crime over putting those resources into strengthening
law enforcement.
November 16, 2020
Source:
https://news.gallup.com/poll/324164/fewer-americans-call-tougher-criminal-justice-system.aspx
664-43-19/Poll
The World Health
Organization (WHO) has played a controversial
role in the global response to the coronavirus
pandemic. U.S. President Donald Trump has accused the
organization of being too close to China and moved to withdraw
the United States from it. At the same time, the WHO is helping
coordinate the international rollout of potential vaccines
and treatments for COVID-19.
As the WHO holds its 73rd World Health Assembly – remotely this year, due to the pandemic
– here is a look at how people in 14 advanced economies viewed the
organization’s initial COVID-19 response, based on surveys conducted in June
through August by Pew Research Center.
How we did this
In most surveyed
countries, majorities approved of the WHO’s handling of the pandemic, though
there were some notable exceptions. A median of 63% of adults across 14
nations said this summer that the WHO had done a good job dealing with the
coronavirus outbreak. In 12 of these countries, half or more thought the WHO
had managed the pandemic well.
Japan and South Korea – two early hotspots for the virus – were notable outliers. Only about a fifth of South Koreans (19%)
and a quarter of Japanese (24%) were convinced the WHO had dealt with the
pandemic well. In May, South Korean President Moon Jae-In pushed for the
organization to be tougher on member nations, particularly with regard to sharing data
about the virus. And Japanese Deputy Prime Minister Taro Aso has panned the organization for its close ties to China, a nation viewed negatively by nearly nine-in-ten Japanese.
People in most
surveyed countries were more likely to approve of their own nation’s handling of the
pandemic than the WHO’s response. But that wasn’t the case everywhere. In Sweden, Belgium, France
and the U.S., similar shares said their country and the WHO had done a good
job. Elsewhere, more said the WHO had handled the outbreak well than said the
same of their own country. (The survey was conducted in summer, before a second surge in coronavirus cases began across Europe.) In the UK, fewer
than half (46%) said their own country had done a good job dealing with the
virus, but 64% said the same about the WHO. Similarly, in Spain, 54% said their
country had dealt with the virus well, but two-thirds said the same of the WHO.
Americans have
grown slightly more positive about the WHO’s handling of the pandemic. Only 53% of Americans said this summer
that the organization had handled the outbreak well, but that represented an increase since the spring, when only 46% said this.
Democrats and independents who lean Democratic were
more likely than Republicans and Republican leaners to assess the WHO’s
pandemic response positively. Seven-in-ten Democrats said the organization had
done a good job dealing with the outbreak, compared with only 32% of
Republicans. There was a similar partisan divide in the spring, but the share
of Democrats who rated the WHO’s response positively increased by 8 percentage
points by summer (from 62% to 70%).
In all surveyed
nations, those who have a favorable opinion of the United Nations were more
likely to think the WHO – which is part of the UN – had done a good job dealing
with the virus. In
Australia, for example, 69% of adults with a favorable view of the UN saw the
WHO’s handling of the pandemic as effective, compared with only 26% of those
with an unfavorable opinion of the UN.
In some countries, including the U.S., political
ideology and support for political parties were also connected with views of
the WHO. In half the countries surveyed, those on the left of the ideological
spectrum were more likely than those on the right to think the WHO had handled
the pandemic well.
Similarly, Europeans who support left-wing populist
parties were more likely to think the WHO had done a good job managing the
outbreak when compared with those who do not support these parties. Conversely,
supporters of some right-wing populist parties were less likely than
nonsupporters to think the organization’s response to the coronavirus outbreak
had been effective.
In most surveyed
countries, women and younger adults were more likely to say the WHO had handled
the virus well. The
gender divide was largest in Italy, where two-thirds of women said this summer
that the organization had been effective in dealing with the pandemic, compared
with fewer than half of men (44%).
Similarly, in nine countries, adults ages 18 to 29
were more likely than those 50 and older to say the WHO had done a good job
dealing with the outbreak. For example, in the U.S., 68% of younger adults said
the WHO’s response to the outbreak had been effective, compared with only 49%
of older adults.
November 12, 2020