Gilani’s Gallopedia©

Gallopedia

From Gilani Research Foundation         May 2023, Issue # 791-794*

Compiled on a weekly basis since January 2007

Gilani’s Gallopedia is a weekly Digest of Opinions in a globalized world

This issue scores 97 out of 100 on Gilani-Gallopedia's Globality Index, showing coverage of world population, and 97 out of 100 on the world income (prosperity) Index. Click for Details

Contact Details: Natasha Amir

Research Executive, Gallup Pakistan

Email: natasha@galluppakistan.com

This WEEKLY REPORT consists of 31 national & multi-country surveys 10 polling organizations have been represented.

Asia And MENA:

Japan (Health), India (National Image), Pakistan ( Science & Technology, Inflation) 04 national polls

Africa:

Malawi (Gender Issues) 01 national polls

Euro Americas:

UK(Health, Russia/Ukraine War, Ethnicity, National Trust, National History, Science & Technology, Health, Elections), Netherland (Lifestyle), France(Inflation), USA (Well-Being, IT & Telecom, National Image, Crime, Health, Russia/Ukraine War), Canada (Inflation), Australia (Inflation, Family, Employment Issues) – 20 national polls

Multi-Country Studies:

Gallup – 137 Countries (Russia/Ukraine War)

Ipsos India – 29 Countries (National Trust)

Ipsos Global – 11 Countries (Religion)

PEW – 30 Countries (Family)

Arabbarometer – 09 Countries (Religion)

YouGov France – 18 Countries (IT & Telecom)

Topic of the Week:

MOST AMERICANS BELIEVE THEIR COUNTRY IS GOING DOWNHILL: Today Is Worsen Than The Past, 50 Years Ago,  And The Future, 25 Years Hence, Is Likely To Be Worse Than What It Is Today, PEW Poll On Economic  Military And Societal Power Of US

Gilani-Gallopedia Globality Index

 

 

 

 

 

      ASIA AND MENA Regions

791-794-01 Nearly 40% Of People Surveyed In Japan Going Without A Mask (Click for Details)

(Japan) Thirty-eight percent of the 1,000 people surveyed on the streets nationwide were not wearing a mask on May 8. For both surveys, Asahi Shimbun reporters checked whether 100 people were wearing a mask at 10 locations around the country, such as sightseeing areas and public facilities. In the May 8 survey, 377 people in total were not wearing a mask, compared with 132 people in the March 13 survey.

(Asahi Shimbun)

May 09, 2023

4.11 Society » Health

(Top)

791-794-02 Only 4 In 10 Aware Of Rahul Gandhi’s Conviction - Ipsos Indiabus Survey (Click for Details)

Rahul Gandhi Conviction(India) According to an Ipsos IndiaBus Survey on Rahul Gandhi’s impeachment conducted in April 2023, only 4 in 10 citizens polled (44%), claimed to be aware of Rahul Gandhi’s conviction by the Surat Court. 32 per cent claimed to be unaware, while 24% were unsure. Interestingly, awareness of RG’s conviction was higher among SEC A (59%) vis-ŕ-vis SEC C (37%); and citizens living in the metros (57%) and highly educated (56%) were more aware of the conviction.

(Ipsos India)

25 April 2023

1.5 Domestic Politics » National Image

(Top)

791-794-03 38% Pakistani Adults Claim To Use The Internet: Gallup & Gilani Pakistan (Click for Details)

(Pakistan) According to a survey conducted by Gallup & Gilani Pakistan, 38% Pakistani adults claim to use internet. This adds up to around 50 million internet users in Pakistan. A nationally representative sample of adult men and women from across the country was asked the question “Do you use the internet?” In response, 38% said yes, 61% said no and 1% did not respond or said they didn’t know. Survey was conducted among a representative sample of adults in Pakistan.

(Gallup Pakistan)

May 04, 2023

3.11 Economy » Science & Technology

(Top)

791-794-04 67% Pakistanis Think Reducing Inflation Is The Most Important Thing The Government Can Do To Improve The Economic Conditions Of Pakistan (Click for Details)

(Pakistan) According to a survey conducted by Gallup & Gilani Pakistan, 67% Pakistanis think reducing inflation is the most important thing the government can do to improve the economic conditions of Pakistan, 13% think providing employment opportunities is the way to go. 6% said increasing salaries/wages, 5% said political instability, 3% said promoting small businesses, 1% said improving the education system, 1% said to encourage foreign investment, 2% said others and 2% did not respond or said they did not know.

(Gallup Pakistan)

May 11, 2023

3.4 Economy » Inflation

(Top)

                    AFRICA Regions

791-794-05 Malawians Demand Greater Government Efforts For Gender Equality (Click for Details)

(Malawi) In Malawi, fewer women than men have secondary and post-secondary education (27% vs 39%), while more women than men lack formal schooling altogether (9% vs 5%). Women also trail men in ownership of key assets such as a mobile phone (48% vs. 70%), a motor vehicle (8% vs. 13%), and a bank account (8% vs. 17%), and are more likely than men to lack a voice in household financial decisions (27% vs. 20%). Nonetheless, large majorities of Malawians say women should have the same rights as men when it comes to jobs (67%), land ownership (85%), and political leadership (82%).

(Afrobarometer)

25 April 2023

4.5 Society » Gender Issues

(Top)

             EURO-AMERICA Regions

*      EUROPE

791-794-06 One In Eight Britons Turned To Private Healthcare In The Last 12 Months (Click for Details)

One in eight Britons turned to private healthcare in the last 12 months |  YouGov(UK) With NHS services both locally and nationally steadily deteriorating in the eyes of Britons over the last couple of years, and coming under serious pressure this winter, a new YouGov survey reveals that one in eight Britons (13%) used private healthcare for themselves or a member of their immediate household in the last year. The survey, conducted in early March, found a further quarter (27%) saying they considered doing so, but decided against it on financial or other grounds. Most Britons (57%) say they didn’t consider going private in the first place.

(YouGov UK)

April 17, 2023

4.11 Society » Health

(Top)

791-794-07 Britons Would Support UK Special Forces Being Deployed To Ukraine For Non-Combat Purposes (Click for Details)

(UK) The recent leaks of confidential US military documents revealed that small numbers of UK special forces are operating in Ukraine. It is not clear from the leaks what activities the special forces are undertaking, but a new YouGov survey shows that Britons would generally be fine if the special forces are assisting in a non-combat capacity, with 52% saying they would support this compared to 27% opposed. However, Britons would be far less pleased if it turned out that they were taking part in combat with Russian forces. Just 32% say they would support covertly sending special forces to Ukraine to fight the Russians, compared to 45% who are opposed.

(YouGov UK)

April 18, 2023

2.11 Foreign Affairs & Security » Russia/Ukraine War

(Top)

791-794-08 More Than Half Of Ethnic Minority Britons Do Not Trust The Metropolitan Police (Click for Details)

More than half of ethnic minority Britons do not trust the Metropolitan  Police | YouGov(UK) New YouGov research now uncovers the views of ethnic minority Britons and finds that more than half (56%) say they do not trust the Metropolitan Police, compared to just a third (32%) who do. These results are about the same as they were in a survey of all Britons in February, with 54% of the whole population distrusting the Met while 30% have some trust in them. Among ethnic minority Londoners, the level of distrust is also similar, at 55%, although trust is slightly higher at 38% as they were slightly less likely to answer “don’t know” than people in other regions.

(YouGov UK)

April 20, 2023

4.3 Society » Ethnicity

(Top)

791-794-09 Six In Ten Britons Support Voter ID Changes (Click for Details)

(UK) This year’s local elections will be the first to require voters to provide photographic evidence in order to cast their ballot. While opponents have described the move as “discriminatory” and “unnecessary”, a new YouGov study finds that most Britons support the change. Six in ten (63%) back requiring photo identification in order to vote, with 28% opposed. Fully eight in ten 2019 Conservative voters (82%) approve of the move, while Labour are split 50% in favour to 43% opposed.

(Ipsos MORI)

April 26, 2023

1.5 Domestic Politics » National Trust

(Top)

791-794-10 Where Does Public Opinion Stand On The Monarchy Ahead Of The Coronation (Click for Details)

(UK) With the coronation of King Charles III now just days away, a new YouGov survey takes stock of attitudes towards the monarchy. In the wake of the Queen’s death, support for retaining the monarchy increased briefly from 62% at the time of the Platinum jubilee in May 2022 to 67% in mid-September. As of April 2023 that figure has returned to 62%.At the same time, the brief dip in backing for an elected head of state has now disappeared, with the 25% who currently want a president or similar about the same as it was prior to the Queen’s passing.

(YouGov UK)

May 03, 2023

1.6 Domestic Politics » National History

(Top)

791-794-11 One In Eight Britons Say They Are Trying To Use Their Phones Less (Click for Details)

One in eight Britons say they are trying to use their phones less | YouGov(UK) Four in ten Britons (41%) say they use their phone too much, of whom three in ten (31%) say they are currently doing something to try and use their phone less – amounting to about 13% of all Britons. Younger Britons are the most likely to be saying they think they use their phone too much, at 63% of 18-24 year olds and 54% of 25-49 year olds. Only 17% of those aged 65 and above think they use their phone more than they should. In fact, as many as 19% of these oldest Britons believe they use their phone too little!

(YouGov UK)

May 05, 2023

3.11 Economy » Science & Technology

(Top)

791-794-12 Maternal Mental Health Support Continues To Improve Despite NHS Strain (Click for Details)

(UK) When it comes to maternal mental health, the UK has come a long way in the last decade. In 2014, less than 15% of localities provided specialist services for women with complex or severe perinatal mental health conditions. In 2016, Better Births, a national maternity review, called for better postnatal and perinatal mental health care, asking for better investment and appropriate resourcing. This came at the same time as a government announcement of a Ł290m investment into new specialist perinatal mental health services.

(Ipsos MORI)

2 May 2023

4.11 Society » Health

(Top)

791-794-13 Majority Of Britons Unfavourable Towards Conservative Party Ahead Of Local Elections (Click for Details)

Majority of Britons unfavourable towards Conservative Party ahead of local elections(UK) The latest Ipsos Political Pulse, conducted online between April 21st and 24th asked favourability towards the parties and various senior politicians, whether things are heading in the right or wrong direction and what impact Brexit is having on the U.K. 61% of Britons think things are heading in the wrong direction overall (+3pts from March) and 18% think things are heading in the right direction (+2). 55% think Brexit has had a negative impact on the country (+1 from March) and 20% say positive (no change). This marks 6 consecutive months of the proportion saying negative impact being above 50%.

(Ipsos MORI)

3 May 2023

1.1 Domestic Politics » Elections

(Top)

791-794-14 How Does Gen Z Differ From Previous Generations (Click for Details)

(Netherland) The boundaries between generations are always blurred, and stereotypes far too simplistic, but many population researchers and marketing agencies count people born between 1997 and 2012 as Generation Z. They are the successors of the millennials (roughly born between 1981 and 1996). The teenagers, students and starters of today. The level of happiness among 18 to 25-year-olds has declined sharply in recent years , also decreasing more than among other age groups. In 2000, 91 percent of adolescents told Statistics Netherlands that they felt happy, in 2021 this will be 81 percent. More factors than just social media play a role in this, but the connection is clear to more and more researchers.

(Motivaction)

08 May 2023

4.7 Society » Lifestyle

(Top)

791-794-15 The Battle For French Consumers Intensifies As Food Price Inflation Reaches A New Peak (Click for Details)

(France) Food price inflation climbed once more in March 2023 to reach a new record of 16.2% (source: Circana) – the sixth consecutive month of double-digit increases. This would theoretically lead to a €42 increase in households’ monthly spending, if they bought the same products as the year before. However, spend only increased by 10%, due to consumers employing a range of tactics to buffer the price increases, taking remedial action and adapting their behaviour.

(Kantar)

11 May 2023

3.4 Economy » Inflation

(Top)

*      NORTH AMERICA

791-794-16 What Does Young People's Current Wellbeing Say About Their Future (Click for Details)

(USA) In 2022, we analyzed 15- to 24-year-olds’ responses to a Gallup World Poll question measuring the quality of life that people foresee for themselves in the near future. The question asks people to imagine their lives five years from now as a ladder with rungs numbered from zero to 10, where zero represents the worst possible life and 10 represents the best possible life. Although young people in low-income economies are, on average, the least likely to say they always or often feel this way, several positive feelings and experiences stand out: experiencing harmony with their thoughts and feelings (55%), feeling stability and security in life (53%), and feeling that their mind is at ease (52%).

(Gallup)

MAY 4, 2023

3.1 Economy » Well-Being

(Top)

791-794-17 AI In Hiring And Evaluating Workers: What Americans Think (Click for Details)

(USA) A new Pew Research Center survey finds crosscurrents in the public’s opinions as they look at the possible uses of AI in workplaces. Americans are wary and sometimes worried. For instance, they oppose AI use in making final hiring decisions by a 71%-7% margin, and a majority also opposes AI analysis being used in making firing decisions. Pluralities oppose AI use in reviewing job applications and in determining whether a worker should be promoted. Beyond that, majorities do not support the idea of AI systems being used to track workers’ movements while they are at work or keeping track of when office workers are at their desks.

(PEW)

APRIL 20, 2023

3.12 Economy » IT & Telecom

(Top)

791-794-18 MOST AMERICANS BELIEVE THEIR COUNTRY IS GOING DOWNHILL: Today Is Worsen Than The Past, 50 Years Ago,  And The Future, 25 Years Hence, Is Likely To Be Worse Than What It Is Today, PEW Poll On Economic  Military And Societal Power Of US  (Click for Details)

An American flag hangs from a building in Manhattan on Dec. 2, 2022, in New York City. (Spencer Platt/Getty Images)(USA) Sizable majorities of U.S. adults say that in 2050 – just over 25 years away – the U.S. economy will be weaker, the United States will be less important in the world, political divisions will be wider and there will be a larger gap between the rich and the poor. Far fewer adults predict positive developments in each of these areas. And when Americans reflect on the country’s past, the present looks worse by comparison. Around six-in-ten (58%) say that life for people like them is worse today than it was 50 years ago, according to the survey, which was conducted from March 27 to April 2.

(PEW)

APRIL 24, 2023

1.5 Domestic Politics » National Image

(Top)

791-794-19 What The Data Says About Gun Deaths In The U.S. (Click for Details)

(USA) In 2021, the most recent year for which complete data is available, 48,830 people died from gun-related injuries in the U.S., according to the CDC. The overall increase in U.S. gun deaths since the beginning of the pandemic includes an especially stark rise in such fatalities among children and teens under the age of 18. Gun deaths among children and teens rose 50% in just two years, from 1,732 in 2019 to 2,590 in 2021.

(PEW)

APRIL 26, 2023

4.12 Society » Crime

(Top)

791-794-20 Nearly A Year After Roe’s Demise, Americans’ Views Of Abortion Access Increasingly Vary By Where They Live (Click for Details)

(USA) Nearly a year after the U.S. Supreme Court’s landmark Dobbs ruling overturned the Roe v. Wade decision that had guaranteed a national right to abortion, overall public support for legal abortion remains largely unchanged. Today, a 54% majority of Americans nationwide say it would be very easy or somewhat easy to get an abortion in the area where they live, down from 65% in 2019. About four-in-ten (42%) say it would be very or somewhat difficult to get an abortion in areas near them, up 10 percentage points from four years ago.

(PEW)

APRIL 26, 2023

4.11 Society » Health

(Top)

791-794-21 Americans Hold Positive Feelings Toward NATO And Ukraine, See Russia As An Enemy (Click for Details)

(USA) Americans express mixed confidence in two of NATO’s most important leaders: French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz. In fact, 35% of Americans have never heard of Scholz, with 24% saying the same about Macron. Over the past few years, there have also been shifts in how Americans view their place in the world. A majority (55%) says that the U.S. should pay less attention to problems overseas and concentrate on problems at home, compared with 43% who say it’s best for the future of the country to be active in world affairs.

(PEW)

MAY 10, 2023

2.11 Foreign Affairs & Security » Russia/Ukraine War

(Top)

791-794-22 Fear Of Renewal: Most New Homebuyers ‘Very Worried’ Next Term Will Bring Much Higher Monthly Payments (Click for Details)

(Canada) A new study from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds three-in-ten (30%) having a tough or difficult time with their mortgage, rising to half (51%) among those who have a variable rate. Regardless of what type of mortgage they hold – fixed, variable or other – Canadian homeowners are largely unified in their concerns about what the interest rate hikes could mean for their next renewal. Three-quarters (77%) say they are worried about the additional cost future renegotiations could bring.

(Angus Reid Institute)

May 2, 2023

3.4 Economy » Inflation

(Top)

*       AUSTRALIA

791-794-23 ‘Mortgage Stress’ Increases To Its Highest Since September 2008 With 27.1% Of Mortgage Holders Now ‘At Risk’ (Click for Details)

RMR Logo(Australia) The number of Australians ‘At Risk’ of mortgage stress has increased by 590,000 over the last year as the RBA increased interest rates for ten consecutive monthly meetings. Official interest rates are now at 3.6% in April 2023, the highest official interest rates since June 2012 over a decade ago. However, despite the sharp increase in the level of mortgage stress during the last year the overall number remains below the high reached during the Global Financial Crisis in early 2009 of 35.6% (1,455,000 mortgage holders) – although this level is set to be reached with further interest rate increases.

(Roy Morgan)

April 26, 2023

3.4 Economy » Inflation

(Top)

791-794-24 Mums Set To Be Spoiled As Mother’s Day Spend Approaches $1b (Click for Details)

(Australia) Nearly half of all Australians aged 18+, 10.1 million, say they plan to buy gifts for someone for Mother’s Day. About a quarter (24 percent) of people who purchase a present will be gifting to somebody other than their birth mother. This includes their partner, friend, mother-in-law, grandmother, sister and daughter. About one fifth of Australians will celebrate the occasion with a meal at a café or restaurant (19 percent), while 38 percent of Aussies will spoil mum with a feast at home.

(Roy Morgan)

May 08, 2023

4.2 Society » Family

(Top)

791-794-25 Australian Employment Hit A Record High Above 13.8 Million In April As Unemployment Fell 0.9% To 8.5% (Click for Details)

(Australia) Unemployment in April dropped 124,000 to 1.29 million Australians (8.5% of the workforce) although under-employment was up 21,000 to 1.34 million (8.9% of the workforce). Overall unemployment and under-employment dropped by 103,000 to 2.63 million (17.4% of the workforce). Australian employment increased by 240,000 to 13,814,000 in April. The increase was driven by an increase in full-time employment, up 68,000 to a new record high of 9,058,000 while part-time employment also increased, up 172,000 to 4,756,000.

(Roy Morgan)

May 09, 2023

3.3 Economy » Employment Issues

(Top)

*   MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES

 791-794-26 Russia Suffers Global Rebuke After Invasion, A Survey In 137 Nations (Click for Details)

Leaders in the U.S. and its allies in Europe and Asia condemned Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in late February 2022 and have strongly supported Ukraine’s territorial defense in the war that ensued. News coverage of the conflict -- largely supportive of Ukraine -- remains prominent in these countries. Across the 137 countries and territories that Gallup surveyed in 2022, a median of 57% said they disapprove of Russia’s leadership -- a dramatic increase from 38% in 2021 and by far the highest point in Gallup’s trend dating back to 2007.

(Gallup)

APRIL 25, 2023

2.11 Foreign Affairs & Security » Russia/Ukraine War

(Top)

791-794-27 Only 1 In 3 Global Citizens (31%) Believe Their Govt Has A Clear Gameplan On How Govt, Businesses And People Should Tackle Climate Change, A 29-Country Survey (Click for Details)

 April 22nd is Earth Day. A new global survey by Ipsos to capture public opinion on Climate Change shows only 1 in 3 global citizens (31%) believe their government has a clear plan in place for how government, businesses and people should be working together to tackle climate change; and APAC displayed divided views – India (67%), Singapore (51%), Indonesia (50%), Malaysia (49%) and Thailand (47%) agreeing more and Australia (30%), South Korea (22%) and Japan (14%) agreeing less.   

(Ipsos India)

25 April 2023

1.5 Domestic Politics » National Trust

(Top)

791-794-28 Two Global Religious Divides: Geographic And Generational, A Survey In 29 Countries (Click for Details)

 Across the 26 countries surveyed by Ipsos, the proportion of respondents who say they have a religion ranges from nearly 100% in India and Thailand to less than half in Japan, South Korea, Sweden, the Netherlands, and Great Britain. The survey brings to light major generational shifts when it comes to religious affiliation. A similar pattern is seen in eleven of the 12 countries where at least 15% of those surveyed identify as Protestant, Evangelical or just “Christian”: Gen Zers are less likely than boomers to identify as such, by an average of 11 points. Gaps in Sweden and Australia exceed 20 points.

(Ipsos Global)

11 May 2023

4.1 Society » Religion

(Top)

791-794-29 Young Adults In The U.S. Are Less Likely Than Those In Most Of Europe To Live In Their Parents’ Home, A 30 Nation Survey (Click for Details)

Family members doing different things in their living room.Pew Research Center conducted this analysis as an update to a May 2016 analysis about the share of adults ages 18 to 34 living in their parents’ home in the United States and abroad. For this analysis, we used 2021 data from the U.S. Census Bureau and Eurostat, a European statistical agency. In 24 of the 29 European countries studied, more than one-in-three adults ages 18 to 34 lived in their parents’ home in 2021, according to the statistical agency Eurostat. That includes more than seven-in-ten in Croatia (77%), Greece (73%), Portugal (72%), Serbia (71%) and Italy (71%). On the other end of the spectrum, fewer than one-in-five young adults in the Scandinavian countries of Finland (18%), Sweden (17%) and Denmark (16%) live with their parents.

(PEW)

MAY 3, 2023

4.2 Society » Family

(Top)

791-794-30 A New Dawn For Political Islam; Survey Across 9 Arab Countries (Click for Details)

 Results from nationally representative public opinion surveys from Arab Barometer Wave 7 strongly suggest that political Islam is making a comeback.  Since 2018-2019 support for the ideology of political Islam has been on the rise.  In 2021-2022, roughly half or more in five of ten countries surveyed agreed that religious clerics should have influence over decisions of government, including 77 percent in Mauritania, 62 percent in Sudan, 57 percent in Libya, and 54 percent in Iraq.  Only in Tunisia (23 percent), Lebanon (22 percent), and Egypt (20 percent) did fewer than four-in-ten want religious leaders to play a role in making governmental decisions.

(Arabbarometer)

May 8, 2023

4.1 Society » Religion

(Top)

 791-794-31 International Study In 18 Countries: More Than Half Of The Population Is Wary Of AI (Click for Details)

 In Asia, many consumers express their apprehension, India in the lead, at 76% . The United Arab Emirates and Indonesia follow closely ( 70% and 69% respectively ). On the other hand, China and Hong Kong are more measured, with just over half of consumers in these two markets ( 55% ) indicating that they are worried. In Europe, Spain and France show the highest levels of concern ( 67% and 65% respectively ). In these two countries, it can be seen that the results are driven upwards by those aged 55 and over (72%) . At the same time, consumer apprehension is significantly lower in Germany (47%), Sweden (41%) and Denmark (34%).

(YouGov France)

May 11, 2023

3.12 Economy » IT & Telecom

(Top)

TOPIC OF THE WEEK

MOST AMERICANS BELIEVE THEIR COUNTRY IS GOING DOWNHILL: Today Is Worsen Than The Past, 50 Years Ago,  And The Future, 25 Years Hence, Is Likely To Be Worse Than What It Is Today, PEW Poll On Economic  Military And Societal Power Of US

uThis page is devoted to opinions of countries whose polling activity is generally not known very widely or where a recent topical issue requires special attention.

 MOST AMERICANS BELIEVE THEIR COUNTRY IS GOING DOWNHILL: Today Is Worsen Than The Past, 50 Years Ago,  And The Future, 25 Years Hence, Is Likely To Be Worse Than What It Is Today, PEW Poll On Economic  Military And Societal Power Of US

 

An American flag hangs from a building in Manhattan on Dec. 2, 2022, in New York City. (Spencer Platt/Getty Images)Americans are in a negative mood about the current state of the country, with large majorities expressing dissatisfaction with the economy and overall national conditions. And when they look toward the not-too-distant future, they see a country that in many respects will be worse than it is today, according to a new Pew Research Center survey.

A chart looking ahead to 2050 that shows large shares of Americans see a country in decline.

Sizable majorities of U.S. adults say that in 2050 – just over 25 years away – the U.S. economy will be weaker, the United States will be less important in the world, political divisions will be wider and there will be a larger gap between the rich and the poor. Far fewer adults predict positive developments in each of these areas.

And when Americans reflect on the country’s past, the present looks worse by comparison. Around six-in-ten (58%) say that life for people like them is worse today than it was 50 years ago, according to the survey, which was conducted from March 27 to April 2.

Despite these negative attitudes, a majority of Americans say they generally have at least some confidence in the future of the U.S. But far fewer have quite a lot of confidence, and the share of Americans who express confidence in the country’s future has declined over the past year.

Views of specific problems have also become more negative over the past five years. For each of the four items included in the new survey, Americans today are about 10 percentage points more likely to offer a negative prediction than they were when asked to think about the year 2050 in a separate survey conducted by the Center in 2018. For example, 77% of Americans now expect the nation to be more politically divided in 2050 – up from 65% who made that prediction five years ago.

While majorities in both parties make negative predictions for the country’s future across all four items in the survey, Republicans and Republican-leaning independents are somewhat more likely than Democrats and Democratic leaners to have pessimistic views. In 2018, midway through Donald Trump’s term as president, Democrats’ predictions were more negative than Republicans’ on three of the four areas.

White adults are particularly likely to foresee a diminished U.S. in 2050. For example, 69% of White adults anticipate a weaker U.S. economy in 2050, compared with smaller shares of Hispanic (60%), Black (58%) and Asian (55%) adults. There are only modest age differences on each of the four items.

Americans’ negative views of the nation’s future are influenced by their bleak assessments of current conditions. Only 19% of Americans say they are satisfied with the way things are going in the country, while 80% are dissatisfied. Ratings of the economy remain largely negative, and an increasing share of the public expects economic conditions to worsen over the next year.

Compared with a year ago, less confidence in the future of the U.S.

When it comes to general views of the country’s future, six-in-ten U.S. adults currently say they have at least some confidence in the future of the United States, including 12% who have quite a lot of confidence. A third express very little confidence in the country’s future, while just 6% say they have no confidence at all.

A chart that shows a decline in the share of Americans who have at least some confidence in nation’s future since last year.

Confidence in the future of the country has declined over the past year. In May 2022, 68% said they had at least some confidence in the country’s future, 8 points higher than the share who say this today. The share expressing at least some confidence in the future of the U.S. changed only modestly between August 2020 and May 2022.

As has been the case throughout Joe Biden’s presidency, Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents are more likely than Republicans and Republican leaners to express confidence in the country’s future. About two-thirds of Democrats (66%) have at least some confidence, compared with 56% of Republicans. In 2020, when Trump was president, larger shares of Republicans than Democrats expressed some or quite a lot of confidence in the country’s future.

Both Democrats and Republicans are less likely to express at least some confidence in the country’s future than they were a year ago. The share of Democrats saying this has dropped 8 percentage points, while the share of Republicans has dropped 6 points over this period. Overall, Democrats’ confidence in the future of the country has dropped 18 points since the early months of the Biden administration (84% of Democrats said they had at least some confidence in April 2021).

Older adults are more likely than younger adults to express a great deal of or some confidence in the future of the country. Two-thirds of those ages 50 and older have confidence in the future of the U.S., compared with a smaller majority of those 35 to 49 (56%) and 53% of those 18 to 34.

A chart showing that older Democrats are much more likely than younger Democrats to express confidence in the future of the U.S.

Differences between older and younger Democrats account for most of this age gap. A sizable majority of Democrats 50 and older (80%) have at least some confidence in the country’s future. That compares with 62% of Democrats ages 35 to 49 and 53% of those 18 to 34.

Among Republicans, by contrast, there are only modest differences on this question across age groups.

In both parties, adults with more formal education and those living in higher-income households are more likely to express a great deal of confidence or some confidence in the country’s future than those with less education and those in lower-income households.

College graduates are more likely than those without a college degree to say they have at least some confidence in the country’s future (69% vs. 56%). And three-quarters of adults living in upper-income households say this, compared with 60% of those in middle-income households and 53% of adults in lower-income households.

Americans’ views of life today versus 50 years ago

In contrast with their negative predictions for the country’s future, large shares of adults view the past in a more positive light than the present day. Around six-in-ten (58%) say that life in America is worse today than it was 50 years ago for people like them. Only about a quarter (23%) say life today is better, while 19% say it is about the same.

A chart that shows more Americans now say life for people like them is worse today than it was 50 years ago.

The share of Americans who say life today is worse than in the past is up 15 percentage points since the summer of 2021. The share who say life is better has decreased by a similar margin.

Republicans and Democrats alike are now more likely than in 2021 to say that life is worse for people like them, though this view continues to be more prevalent among Republicans than Democrats. Roughly seven-in-ten Republicans (72%) say that life is worse today, up from 59% who said this in 2021. Among Democrats, 43% now say this, up from 30% two years ago.

White adults are far more likely to say life today is worse for people like them than to say it is better (63% vs. 20%), as are Hispanic adults (53% vs. 26%). Attitudes are more divided among Asian adults (48% worse, 38% better) and Black adults (41% worse, 33% better).

While both older adults and younger adults are much more likely to say that life today is worse for people like them than to say life is better, there is a sizable age gap on this question. Adults 50 and older are 46 points more likely to say that life is worse today for people like them than they are to say that life is better (65% vs. 19%). Adults ages 18 to 49, by comparison, are 24 points more likely to say life today is worse (51% vs. 27%).

(PEW)

APRIL 24, 2023

Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2023/04/24/americans-take-a-dim-view-of-the-nations-future-look-more-positively-at-the-past/

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