Gilani’s Gallopedia© Gallopedia From Gilani Research Foundation March 2023, Issue # 783* Compiled on a weekly basis since January 2007
Gilani’s Gallopedia is a weekly Digest of Opinions in a globalized world
This issue scores 60 out of 100 on Gilani-Gallopedia's Globality Index, showing coverage of world population, and 65 out of 100 on the world income (prosperity) Index. Click for Details
Contact Details: Natasha Amir Research Executive, Gallup Pakistan Email: natasha@galluppakistan.com This WEEKLY REPORT consists of 18 national & multi-country surveys 10 polling organizations have been represented. Asia And MENA: Pakistan (Health) – 01 national polls Africa: Nigeria (Elections) – 01 national polls Euro Americas: UK(Perceptions on Performance, Health, Crime, Entertainment), France (Inflation), Ukraine (Immigration), USA ( Science & Technology, National Trust, Sports, Health), Canada (Inflation), Australia (Consumer Confidence) – 12 national polls	Multi-Country Studies: Arabbarometer – 12 Countries (National Image) Ipsos France – 06 Countries (Environment) Leger Opinion – 02 Countries (Science & Technology) Kantar – 10 Countries (Employment Issues) Topic of the Week: Arab Public Opinion Prefers China Over USA 11 Out Of 12 Surveyed Nations Hold That View Gilani-Gallopedia Globality Index
ASIA AND MENA Regions
783-01 47% Pakistanis Say That They Have Experienced The Lack Of Medicine While Visiting The Hospital In The Past Year (Click for Details) (Pakistan) According to a survey conducted by Gallup & Gilani Pakistan, 47% Pakistanis say that they have experienced the lack of medicine while visiting the hospital in the past year. A nationally representative sample of adult men and women from across the country, was asked the following as a follow up question, “In the last twelve months, have you experienced any of the following problems in a government hospital/clinic? - Lack of medication?” 47% responded yes while 53% said no. (Gallup Pakistan) February 24, 2023 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
AFRICA Regions
783-02 Political Party Logo Recognition Poll (Election Poll) (Click for Details) (Nigeria) A new public opinion poll conducted by NOIPolls has revealed that the top three political party logos properly described in Nigeria are those of the All-Progressive Congress (APC), People’s Democratic Party (PDP) and the Labour Party (LP). The APC and PDP logos had larger proportion of adult Nigerians (82 percent each) who could easily describe the party’s logos, while 40 percent had good description of the Labour party logo amongst other party logos. (NOI Polls) 21 February 2023 1.1 Domestic Politics » Elections (Top)
EURO-AMERICA Regions
EUROPE
783-03 Rishi Sunak Registers Lowest Favourability Scores As Prime Minister (Click for Details) (UK) The latest update to the Ipsos Political Pulse shows Rishi Sunak registering his weakest favourability ratings since becoming Prime Minister amidst significant public pessimism about the impact of Brexit and the direction of the country. Looking at opinions of leading politicians, Keir Starmer is seen most favourably, with 32% favourable and 39% unfavourable he achieves a Net score of -7. In comparison, the current Prime Minister, Rishi Sunak, is seen favourably by 27% of Britons while 46% disagree, giving a score of -19. Starmer’s numbers are unchanged from January but Rishi Sunak has seen falling scores (January: 30% favourable and 39% unfavourable). (Ipsos MORI) 22 February 2023 3.1 Economy » Perceptions on Performance (Top)
783-04 Only A Third Of The Public Think The NHS Is Providing A Good Service Nationally, Yet Support For The Founding Principles Remains Strong (Click for Details) (UK) The Health Foundation has partnered with Ipsos to deliver a 2-year programme of research into public expectations and perceptions of health and social care. Every 6 months, we poll a representative sample of the UK public using the UK KnowledgePanel – Ipsos’ random probability online panel. There is deepening public concern about NHS services. Nearly two thirds (63%) think the general standard of care has got worse in the past 12 months. Across the UK, only a third (33%) of the public think the NHS is providing a good service nationally, a significant fall from the previous survey (43%) in May 2022. Additionally, just 10% think their national government has the right policies for the NHS. (Ipsos MORI) 23 February 2023 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
783-05 The Majority Of Britons Have Been Bullied – And It Had A Significant Impact On Most (Click for Details) (UK) Two thirds of Britons (66%) say they have been bullied at some point in their lives, according to a new YouGov poll. One in five people (21%) say they experienced bullying as an adult, while six in ten Britons (59%) were bullied as a child (some respondents will have been bullied in both childhood and adulthood). Older Britons aged 65 and over are least likely to say (or remember) that they’ve been bullied, with 52% saying they have been, compared to between 63% and 72% of other age groups. (YouGov UK) February 23, 2023 4.12 Society » Crime (Top)
783-06 Only 5% Of Britons Are Giving Anything Up For Lent 2023 (Click for Details) (UK) The centuries-old Christian tradition of Lent will see millions across the world give up something they love for the 40 days leading up to Easter. But just 5% of Britons are partaking in the ancient festival this year, including just 11% of British Christians. That represents a notable fall since 2012, when 12% of Britons and 20% of British Christians marked the occasion. One in ten (10%) have turned their back on fatty foods, while 8% are abstaining from sex and the same proportion are giving up eating out and takeaways (8%). (YouGov UK) February 24, 2023 4.16 Society » Entertainment (Top)
783-07 Energy Renovation: More Than Half Of Owners Are Considering Taking Steps, But There Are Still Many Obstacles (Click for Details) (France) Inflation, the increase in the share of housing in the household budget and the context of tensions on the energy market that we have been experiencing for months have undoubtedly contributed to placing this problem at the heart of French life. Indeed, half of French people (49%) feel that over the past two years, the share of housing in their overall budget has increased, and even "increased a lot" for more than 1 in 5 French people (22 %). (Ipsos France) February 23, 2023 3.4 Economy » Inflation (Top)
783-08 Desire To Migrate In Ukraine Hits Record Low (Click for Details) (Ukraine) Before Russia invaded Ukraine a year ago, more Ukrainians than ever said they would like to leave Ukraine permanently. But that desire quickly faded after the war began, and now, most Ukrainians do not want to leave even if they could. A record-low 9% of Ukrainians surveyed in September of last year -- almost seven months into Russia’s war with their country -- said they would like to leave Ukraine permanently, which is down sharply from a record-high 35% just the year before. (Gallup) FEBRUARY 24, 2023 4.8 Society » Immigration (Top)
NORTH AMERICA
783-09 60% Of Americans Would Be Uncomfortable With Provider Relying On AI In Their Own Health Care (Click for Details) (USA) A new Pew Research Center survey explores public views on artificial intelligence (AI) in health and medicine – an area where Americans may increasingly encounter technologies that do things like screen for skin cancer and even monitor a patient’s vital signs. The Pew Research Center survey, conducted Dec. 12-18, 2022, of 11,004 U.S. adults finds only 38% say AI being used to do things like diagnose disease and recommend treatments would lead to better health outcomes for patients generally, while 33% say it would lead to worse outcomes and 27% say it wouldn’t make much difference. (PEW) FEBRUARY 22, 2023 3.11 Economy » Science & Technology (Top)
783-10 Americans Largely Satisfied With Their Personal Life (Click for Details) (USA) The 83% of Americans who are at least somewhat satisfied with their personal life matches the historical average since 1979, and broad majorities of U.S. adults likewise report they are satisfied with nine specific life aspects. Between 81% and 90% of U.S. adults are either “very” or “somewhat” satisfied with their family life, current housing, education, job, community and personal health, while 71% to 77% express the same degree of satisfaction with the amount of leisure time they have, their standard of living and their household income. (Gallup) FEBRUARY 23, 2023 1.5 Domestic Politics » National Trust (Top)
783-11 48% Of Americans Played A Sport In 2022 (Click for Details) (USA) The latest poll from Ipsos unpacks what sports Americans play and watch, how they tune into their favorite games, and attitudes towards the biggest controversies in the world of sports. Ipsos explores American attitudes and behavior toward sports betting, showing few Americans bet on sports as the country remains split on legalizing sports betting. Still, 8% of Americans report betting on sports online or on an app in the past year, while 4% of have done so in-person. The NFL is the most popular league to bet on. (Ipsos USA) 22 February 2023 4.15 Society » Sports (Top)
783-12 American Health In Polarizing Times (Click for Details) (USA) This week we released our first Axios-Ipsos American Health Index, which builds off of our Axios-Ipsos Coronavirus Index and expands into some of the biggest worries Americans have around healthcare, behaviors surrounding health and wellness, and what policies the public supports. Most Americans have received at least one dose of the COVID vaccine. Given the hesitancy surrounding and political jousting over the COVID vaccine, this is a remarkable feat to reach. But booster shots are lagging way behind. (Ipsos USA) 24 February 2023 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
783-13 Inflation Taking Disproportionate Toll On Canadians Aged 18-34, Impacting Confidence In Their Financial Future (Click for Details) (Canada) Given today’s economic environment, just 18% of Canadians aged 18-34 are feeling more confident about their financial future than before, a significant drop from the 31% who, last year, said they were feeling more confident about their future emerging from the pandemic. Nearly eight in ten of those aged 18-34 (77%) are concerned (31% very/47% somewhat) about their cashflow right now, significantly higher than the proportions of those aged 35-54 (69%) and 55+ (57%) who say the same. (Ipsos Canada) 23 February 2023 3.4 Economy » Inflation (Top)
AUSTRALIA
783-14 ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Recovers Slightly, Up 2.3pts To 80.4 (Click for Details) (Australia) Driving this week’s recovery in Consumer Confidence was sentiment related to personal finances compared to a year ago and whether now is a ‘good/bad time to buy’ major household items. Consumer Confidence was up in all five mainland States this week and above 80 in Victoria, Western Australia and South Australia but under 80 in New South Wales and Queensland. Now 22% of Australians (up 3ppts) say their families are ‘better off’ financially than this time last year compared to 47% (down 2ppts) that say their families are ‘worse off’ financially. (Roy Morgan) February 21, 2023 3.2 Economy » Consumer Confidence (Top)
MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES
783-15 Arab Public Opinion Prefers China Over USA 11 Out Of 12 Surveyed Nations Hold That View (Click for Details) Based on Arab Barometer’s Wave 7 raw favorability numbers, China’s increased presence in the region appears to have paid dividends in terms of its popular standing, especially in North Africa. Except for Morocco, where favorability for the U.S. at 69% is marginally higher than China’s rating at 64%, the U.S. consistently lags behind China in the view of respondents to the 12-country survey. The favorability gap is particularly notable in Algeria, where China enjoys a 20-point edge over the U.S. at 67% vs. 47%. (Arabbarometer) February 21, 2023 1.5 Domestic Politics » National Image (Top)
783-16 Between Economic And Environmental Concerns, Europeans Are Reinventing Their Mobility Habits, A Survey In 6 European Nations (Click for Details) Since the Covid and the multiple periods of confinement, Europeans have adapted their way of life, including their mobility habits. Some "soft" modes of transport are used more frequently than before: walking (31% of Europeans say they walk more often than before Covid), cycling (30% of electric bike users use it more frequently, 25 % for classic bikes), but also scooters (28% of personal scooter users do it more often). On the contrary, certain modes of transport involving proximity to strangers have seen their use decrease: carpooling (27% of users do so less often), public transport (25% use them less often), taxis or car sharing follow the same trend. (Ipsos France) February 21, 2023 4.14 Society » Environment (Top)
783-17 North American Tracker: Artificial Intelligence (Ai) Tools And Politics (Click for Details) Canadians and Americans are most likely to trust AI tools (a great deal or somewhat) to complete tasks at home or answer questions about products/services via a website chat. They are least likely to trust them to teach their children or help them find a life partner online. Canadians are most concerned that AI tools lack the emotion/empathy required to make good decisions (75% agree) and/or are susceptible to fraud/hacking (72% agree). Americans are most concerned that they are susceptible to fraud/hacking (73% agree) and/or threaten human jobs (72% agree). (Leger Opinion) February 23, 2023 3.11 Economy » Science & Technology (Top)
783-18 Remote Employees Most Wary Of Job Security, A Survey Across 10 Nations (Click for Details) Global workers are watching as many corporations struggle in the current economic climate, resulting in layoffs for many. The global workforce has been under considerable strain since 2020 - first acclimating to the expansion of pandemic-fueled remote work, then adjusting back to hybrid or reintroduction of return-to-office plans. 69% of Gen-Z are worried about the security of their roles, compared to 51% of Boomers. Additionally, the vast majority - 86% - of workers at a Manager level or below are concerned about layoffs, compared to only 14% of those are Director level or higher. (Kantar) 23 February 2023 3.3 Economy » Employment Issues (Top)
TOPIC OF THE WEEK Arab Public Opinion Prefers China Over USA 11 Out Of 12 Surveyed Nations Hold That View uThis page is devoted to opinions of countries whose polling activity is generally not known very widely or where a recent topical issue requires special attention.
Arab Public Opinion Prefers China Over USA 11 Out Of 12 Surveyed Nations Hold That View This piece is part of a four-part series published by the Middle East Institute in cooperation with Arab Barometer analyzing the results of the seventh wave of the Arab Barometer surveys. Apart from Europe and the South China Sea region, the Middle East and North Africa is one of the epicenters for what the U.S. has termed “great power competition” especially between the U.S. and China, although Russia also figures into the assessment. There is particular sensitivity to China’s perceived economic inroads into the region as it has surged to become its largest economic partner. Apart from China’s dependence on imports of Gulf oil to meet its energy needs, China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has expanded Beijing’s footprint from Oman in the east to Morocco in the west. Based on Arab Barometer’s Wave 7 raw favorability numbers, China’s increased presence in the region appears to have paid dividends in terms of its popular standing, especially in North Africa. Except for Morocco, where favorability for the U.S. at 69% is marginally higher than China’s rating at 64%, the U.S. consistently lags behind China in the view of respondents to the 12-country survey. The favorability gap is particularly notable in Algeria, where China enjoys a 20-point edge over the U.S. at 67% vs. 47%. One possible explanation for the broad disparity in favorability ratings for the U.S. between Morocco and Algeria, of course, is widespread anger in Algeria, and the converse in Morocco, over the Trump administration’s December 2020 decision to recognize Moroccan sovereignty in the Western Sahara. The Arab Barometer seventh wave polling was undertaken after that decision, between October 2021 and July 2022. But even in Tunisia and Libya, where the U.S. has focused a great deal of effort in promoting positive outcomes in their political transitions since the Arab Spring, China is viewed far more favorably than the U.S. (in Tunisia by 50% vs. 33% and in Libya by 49% vs. 37%). Skepticism over the U.S. intent in providing foreign assistance appears to underlie unfavorable views of the U.S. Only 18% of rural and 15% of urban Tunisians agreed that U.S. assistance is motivated by a desire to improve people’s lives whereas a plurality of Tunisians (40% rural and 44% urban) and a majority of Libyans (50% rural and 53% urban) believe the U.S. uses its foreign assistance to gain influence. By contrast, pluralities of Libyans (35%) and Tunisians (40%) saw Chinese objectives in providing foreign assistance as aiding either economic development or internal stability. One contributing factor in low U.S. favorability ratings is likely the overhang of negative regional sentiments toward U.S. policy in the Trump administration. Broad regional attitudes toward Biden administration policies are notably higher than his predecessor’s poll results. In Sudan, for example, a majority of Sudanese (52%) consider Biden administration policies to be good or very good compared to only 20% who viewed Trump policies in a positive light. In Morocco, Biden’s approval stands at 46% vs. the 14% who viewed Trump favorably despite the Western Sahara decision. Even among populations that continue to hold the U.S. in low esteem, there has been improvement since the Biden administration came into office. In Tunisia, 23% of those polled think that Biden’s policies are good or very good as compared to Trump’s 10% while the similar comparison in Palestine is 11% vs. 6%. In that regard, despite overall improvement in attitudes toward Biden’s regional policies, the vast majority of Palestinians clearly see little reason for optimism in U.S. policy toward their issues since Biden came into office. Biden’s improved numbers also reflect an uptick in popular perceptions of Biden’s foreign policy as compared to Chinese President Xi Jinping’s policies. A majority of Sudanese (52%) see Biden’s policies as good or very good compared to Xi’s 43%. In Morocco, as well, the public holds generally more favorable attitudes toward Biden (46%) as opposed to Xi (39%). Elsewhere in the region, including, surprisingly, in Jordan and Lebanon, U.S. and Chinese policies are seen in roughly equivalent terms (Jordan: Biden 28%/Xi 26%; Lebanon: Biden 31%/Xi 35%). And Xi is notably more popular with the publics in several countries, including Algeria (Xi 53%/Biden 35%), Iraq (Xi 48%/Biden 35%), and Tunisia (Xi 35%/Biden 23%). On economic relations, there is clearly a region-wide desire to strengthen relations with global partners. For both the U.S. and China, young people (18-29) generally favor the economic relationships more than their older fellow citizens (30+). Even in Tunisia, nearly 60% of young respondents favor closer economic ties to the U.S, nearly equal to the 65% who would like to see closer economic ties to China. Overall in the region, even in those countries that are generally skeptical of ties to the U.S., there is a desire to seek stronger economic links. In Iraq and Libya, for example, equal numbers of young people want to strengthen economic ties to the U.S. and China. In several other countries, including Morocco, Mauritania, and Sudan, young people clearly favored the U.S. as an economic partner over China. Despite these seemingly solid favorability numbers overall for the Chinese, however, a public diplomacy professional in Beijing would clearly see warning signs in some of the Arab Barometer measures of popular perceptions. In particular, there appears to be a fairly high degree of ambivalence about their country’s economic relations with China among the publics as compared to the U.S. Notably, there are significant minorities in several of the countries, particularly among rural and less-educated respondents, that would like to see economic links to China reduced. In Lebanon, for example, 23% of respondents with a maximum secondary education and a full third of rural respondents preferred to see economic ties to China loosened. In Iraq, 23% of secondary educated and 21% of rural respondents advocated for reduced economic relations with China, as well. There are a number of factors that appear to contribute to the ambivalence about China as an economic partner. In all of the countries surveyed, often by wide margins, the Chinese are seen as the country that provides the lowest quality products. In Iraq, for example, 69% of respondents thought that Chinese products were low quality as compared to only 8% who thought of U.S. products that way. Similarly, in Jordan, 64% of survey participants saw China as a producer of low quality products compared to 7% who viewed U.S. products in that light. In the other seven countries surveyed, a plurality of respondents all agreed that Chinese goods were of low quality. Conversely, the U.S. and Germany were seen through all of the nine countries surveyed as producers of the highest quality products. Respondents who viewed Chinese products positively ranged from a low of 8% in Algeria to a high of 18% in Libya. Similarly, Chinese companies were held in generally low esteem as business partners and employers. For the most part, respondents in the surveyed countries preferred businesses in either the U.S. (Lebanon, Mauritania, Sudan) or Germany (Algeria, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia) as contracting partners. Only in Iraq did the plurality (27%) of respondents prefer Chinese companies as business partners. Integrity appears to be a factor in that perception as respondents generally saw U.S. (Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco, Sudan) and German (Algeria, Mauritania, Tunisia) businesses as least likely to pay bribes while Chinese companies lagged behind. Likewise, U.S. (Iraq, Jordan, Libya, Mauritania, Morocco, Sudan) and German (Algeria, Lebanon, Tunisia) businesses were deemed most likely to pay their local employees top salaries with Chinese companies generally scoring poorly in that regard. Arab Barometer’s Wave 7 surveys straddled the outbreak of conflict between Russia and Ukraine, so we will have to await Wave 8 to determine if Russia’s war of aggression will affect regional attitudes toward Russia and Vladimir Putin. For the most part, views of Russia and Putin in Wave 7 were not substantially different from views of the U.S. and Biden or China and Xi. In fact, in a number of instances, views of Russia and Putin closely approximated respondent attitudes toward China and Xi. In Lebanon, Algeria, and Libya respondents rated Russian and Chinese favorability in nearly identical terms (Lebanon: China-51%/Russia-52%; Algeria: China-67%/Russia-66%; Libya: China-49%/Russia-49%) while in Iraq and Tunisia, respondents rated Putin and Xi equally (Iraq: Putin-46%/Xi-48%; Tunisia: Putin-34%/Xi-35%). Only in Morocco did U.S. favorability significantly exceed Russia and China (U.S.-69%/China-64%/Russia-38%) while in Jordan, the U.S. and China were rated equally ahead of Russia (U.S.-51%/China-51%/Russia-39%). The same holds true as to the personal favorability estimations for Biden, Putin, and Xi. Only Sudanese and Moroccan respondents held a significantly more favorable view of Biden (Sudan: Biden-52%/Xi-43%/Putin-34%; Morocco: Biden-46%/Xi-39%/Putin-26%). The same picture also holds among the three competitors in economic favorability ratings. Only in Algeria did a significantly higher number of respondents favor stronger economic ties to Moscow as compared to the U.S. or China (Russia-55%/China-38%/U.S.-31%). In Morocco and Sudan, respondents favored stronger ties to the U.S. (Morocco: U.S.-42%/China-36%/Russia-28%; Sudan: U.S.-58%/China-48%/Russia-45%). Among the other countries participating, there are few distinctions among the U.S., China, and Russia, although China is the preferred partner in Tunisia, Libya, and Iraq. Trend lines may be somewhat more revealing. After enjoying a significant rise in economic favorability during the Obama years (Wave 3 and Wave 4), positive views of U.S. economic ties dropped significantly during the Trump administration (Wave 5) but have now recovered somewhat in the latest (Wave 7) survey. By contrast, both China and Russia saw drops in their economic favorability ratings between Wave 5 and Wave 7, with China experiencing a precipitate decline in its favorability rating in Jordan, albeit from an extremely high 70% favorable to a still respectable 50%. Aside from Tunisia, where its favorability rating essentially flat-lined from Wave 4 to Wave 7, Russia’s favorability has also declined between Wave 5 and Wave 7. A recurring theme in discussions with interlocutors in the region is that the MENA countries will resist becoming a battleground in a “great power competition” between the U.S., Russia, and China. Although there are clearly differences in how the three competitors are viewed in the region, it’s also clear that public opinion in the Arab Barometer Wave 7 survey echoes the views of political leaders that they seek to maintain positive political and economic relations with all three. As noted, the potential impact of Russia’s aggression in Ukraine on MENA popular attitudes remains to be measured. But that variable aside, unlike the post-World War II Cold War era, these populations will favor strongly remaining non-combatants in any new cold war. (Arabbarometer) February 21, 2023 Source: https://www.arabbarometer.org/2023/02/as-great-power-competition-in-the-middle-east-heats-up-polling-data-shows-a-complex-picture-of-popular-attitudes/ (Top)
GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX: u The purpose of this index is to treat the Global Coverage by each issue of Gallopedia in terms of Population, National Income and estimated Power measured by G20 Membership.
GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX (Top)
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