Gilani’s Gallopedia© Gallopedia From Gilani Research Foundation December 2022, Issue # 771* Compiled on a weekly basis since January 2007
Gilani’s Gallopedia is a weekly Digest of Opinions in a globalized world
This issue scores 74 out of 100 on Gilani-Gallopedia's Globality Index, showing coverage of world population, and 88 out of 100 on the world income (prosperity) Index. Click for Details
Contact Details: Natasha Amir Research Executive, Gallup Pakistan Email: natasha@galluppakistan.com This WEEKLY REPORT consists of 23 national & multi-country surveys 10 polling organizations have been represented. Asia And MENA: China (Health ), Turkey (Gender Issues), Pakistan ( Employment Issues) – 03 national polls Africa: Nigeria (Elections) – 01 national polls Euro Americas: UK(Elections, Consumer Confidence, Employment Issues), France (Health), Germany( National Image), Netherlands ( Lifestyle), Russia (Health), USA ( Social Problems, Health, Health, Lifestyle), Canada (Inflation), Cambodia (Sports), Australia(Media , Consumer Confidence) – 15 national polls	Multi-Country Studies: Ipsos South Africa – 20 Countries (Science & Technology) Ipsos Spain – 36 Countries (Inflation) Ipsos France – 07 Countries (Gender Issues) Kantar – 19 Countries (Perceptions on Performance) Topic of the Week: Cigarette Smoking Rate In America Has Fallen From 35% To 12% In The Past Two Decades Gilani-Gallopedia Globality Index
ASIA AND MENA Regions
771-01 Embassies, Firms In China Criticize ‘Zero-Corona’ Plan As Too Strict (Click for Details) (China) The Chinese government on Nov. 11 announced it was relaxing some COVID-19 restrictions, such as the self-quarantine period. Nomura International (Hong Kong) Ltd., a member of the Nomura Holdings Inc. group, on Nov. 28 released the results of its analysis finding that about 530 million Chinese in 68 cities were affected by the lockdowns and other travel restrictions. The figure was an increase of 100 million over the previous week. The analysis said that would affect 25 percent of China’s gross domestic product, exceeding the effects of the Shanghai lockdown in the spring. (Asahi Shimbun) November 29, 2022 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
771-02 Today, One Out Of Every 2 People In Society Is Of The Opinion That Men And Women Do Not Have Equal Rights (Click for Details) (Turkey) In 2018-2020, 60% of the society thought that women and men had equal rights, but today this view has decreased to 53%. Today, one out of every 2 people in society is of the opinion that men and women do not have equal rights. Women's views on this issue are more negative. When individuals are asked which social responsibility projects should be prioritized, "women who are subjected to violence" stands out as the first issue with 34%. Although women are a little more relaxed during the day, they don't feel safe when they're out at night or day, alone or with friends. 9% say they feel safe at night. During the day, this rate is slightly higher, but only 16%. (Ipsos Turkey) 30 November 2022 4.5 Society » Gender Issues (Top)
771-03 82% Pakistanis Think That In The Last Six Months, Unemployment In The Country Has Gotten Worse (Click for Details) (Pakistan) According to a survey conducted by Gallup & Gilani Pakistan, 82% Pakistanis think that in the last six months, unemployment in the country has gotten worse A nationally representative sample of adult men and women from across the country was asked the following question regarding, “In your opinion, in comparison to last 6-month, unemployment in Pakistan is …..?” 2% responded that it is much better, 8% said it is better, 7% said there is no change. (Gallup Pakistan) December 2, 2022 3.3 Economy » Employment Issues (Top)
AFRICA Regions
771-04 Almost 4 In 10 Nigerians Decry Desperation To Win As The Major Cause Of Vote Buying In Nigeria (Click for Details) (Nigeria) A new public opinion poll conducted by NOIPolls has revealed that 37 percent of adult Nigerians interviewed disclosed that the desperation of the political class to win elections is the major cause of vote buying during elections. On the tendency of electorates to accept gifts or favours from politicians and their cronies during electioneering, the poll revealed that 30 percent of respondents who have registered to vote during the 2023 general election claimed that they would accept gifts or favours from politicians and their cronies. (NOI Polls) November 28, 2022 1.1 Domestic Politics » Elections (Top)
EURO-AMERICA Regions
EUROPE
771-05 Majority Of Britons Expect Rishi Sunak To Lose Next General Election (Click for Details) (UK) New polling by Ipsos for the Sunday Express shows Britons are split when considering how well Rishi Sunak is performing as Prime Minister. Now, 28% say he is doing a good job, up from 21% at the start of the month, while around a quarter (24%) believe he is performing badly (down 6 points). Compared to his predecessors, Sunak is doing far better than Liz Truss, only 8% said she was doing a good job in late-October (76% said bad), while a similar proportion said Boris Johnson was performing well at the start of July (26%). (Ipsos MORI) 28 November 2022 1.1 Domestic Politics » Elections (Top)
771-06 Britons Tend To Oppose Planned RMT Rail Strikes This Winter (Click for Details) (UK) Britons tend to oppose the strike element of the plan, with 47% opposed and 41% supporting. These results are not far removed from prior YouGov polling on rail strikes in the summer: a June poll found Britons opposed a rail transport workers strike taking place later that week by 45% to 37%, with a poll the week following the strike finding the opposition figure remained fixed while support now stood at 41%. An October poll on a forthcoming strike by train drivers and rail transport workers taking place that week found backing higher still, although Britons were still divided by 45% in support to 42% opposed. (YouGov UK) November 29, 2022 3.2 Economy » Consumer Confidence (Top)
771-07 Trade Unions Seen More Negatively Following 2022’s Summer Strikes (Click for Details) (UK) New YouGov tracker data finds that public opinion of trade unions is largely split. One in three (35%) think trade unions play a positive role in Britain today, compared to 34% who think they play a negative role. Significantly, the number who think trade unions play a negative role has risen noticeably, up nine points since June. By contrast, the number who think trade unions play a positive role is within the margin of error from the previous survey. (YouGov UK) December 2, 2022 3.3 Economy » Employment Issues (Top)
771-08 One In Two French Teenagers Suffers From Anxiety Or Depressive Symptoms (Click for Details) (France) 1 in 2 French teenagers suffer from anxiety or depressive symptoms. 1 in 3 adolescents suspected of "generalized anxiety" (1/4 year 2021). Adolescents from more advantaged social categories are somewhat more affected. 31% of adolescents in France are even suspected of generalized anxiety disorder – an increase of 6 points in one year. It is a global phenomenon that affects all categories, girls (32%) as boys (30%), 11-12 year olds (32%) as well as 13-14 year olds (30%) or 15-year-olds (30%). Unlike 2021, when adolescents from all social categories were impacted by anxiety in the same proportions. (Ipsos France) (Ipsos France) November 28, 2022 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
771-09 Half Of All Germans Think That Billionaires Have Earned Their Success (51 Percent) (Click for Details) (Germany) Three out of four Germans (75 percent) believe that without the founders of such companies, our technical level would be much lower today. Older respondents aged 55 and over say this most frequently (80 percent). Half of all Germans think that billionaires have earned their success (51 percent). This opinion is most likely to be held by respondents of younger and middle age (18- to 44-year-olds: 59 percent). But at the same time, 74 percent of respondents are concerned that so much money is in the hands of so few people. The desire of the respondents that billionaires should use their wealth for the benefit of humanity is great (75 percent). (YouGov Germany) December 1, 2022 1.5 Domestic Politics » National Image (Top)
771-10 Three Quarters Of Dutch Kitchens (Partly) Adjust The Daily Main Meal To The Current Season (Click for Details) (Netherlands) Three-quarters of Dutch cuisines (partly) adjust the daily main meal to the current season. In a quarter of the cases, this even happens to a large extent. This behavior is of all ages, but not of all environments in the Shopper Mentality™ model of Motivaction. More than a quarter of the Dutch population (27%) prefers winter food. Over-55s more (29%) than young people under the age of 25 (21%). Exactly one in five prefers to eat spring and summer dishes, young people much more (37%) than the elderly (14%). (Motivation Insights and Strategy) December 1, 2022 4.7 Society » Lifestyle (Top)
771-11 Drug Prices Stabilized After September Growth (Click for Details) (Russia) Research holding Romir calculated the index of the pharmaceutical market "Price of health", which reflects changes in prices for medicines based on the actual purchases of Russians. In October, drug prices stabilized after september growth and increased by only 0.2% for the month. The index "The price of health" in October was 167%. The increase was mainly due to the prices of imported medicines. (Romir) 29 November 2022 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
NORTH AMERICA
771-12 Cigarette Smoking Rate In America Has Fallen From 35% To 12% In The Past Two Decades (Click for Details) (USA) As the percentage of U.S. adults who smoke cigarettes has reached a new low of 11% this year, much of the decline is tied to sharply lower smoking rates among young adults. From 2001 to 2003, an average of 35% of U.S. adults between the ages of 18 and 29 said they smoked cigarettes, compared with 12% in the latest estimate. Smoking rates among men and women in the 18 to 29 age group have also declined, and by roughly similar amounts. Between 2001 and 2003, an average of 38% of young men and 32% of young women smoked cigarettes. The current figures are 13% and 12%, respectively. (Gallup) NOVEMBER 28, 2022 4.13 Society » Social Problems (Top)
771-13 About Two-Thirds Of U S Adults (65%) See Clinical Trials As Very Important (Click for Details) (USA) Overall, about two-thirds of U.S. adults (65%) see clinical trials as very important, despite the time such trials add to the process of developing new treatments, according to a recent Pew Research Center survey. Around three-in-ten (29%) see the clinical trial process as somewhat important, while 5% say it is not too or not at all important. There is support for the role of clinical trials across demographic, educational and partisan groups. Majorities of Black (59%) and Hispanic adults (58%) say clinical trials are very important, as do slightly larger shares of White (67%) and English-speaking Asian adults (66%). (PEW) NOVEMBER 29, 2022 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
771-14 After Declining Early In The Covid-19 Outbreak, Immigrant Naturalizations In The US Are Rising Again (Click for Details) (USA) More than 900,000 immigrants became U.S. citizens during the 2022 fiscal year, according to a Pew Research Center estimate based on government data released for the first three quarters of the year. That annual total would be the third-highest on record and the most in any fiscal year since 2008, when more than a million people were naturalized. Federal fiscal years run from Oct. 1 to Sept. 30. (PEW) DECEMBER 1, 2022 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
771-15 US Men Roughly Twice As Likely As US Women To Own A Gun, 43% vs 22% (Click for Details) (USA) Since 2007, when Gallup began to track Americans’ personal gun ownership annually, men have been much more likely than women to say they are gun owners, but aggregated biennial data show gun ownership has been more variable among women than men. Gun ownership among women has swelled from the low teens to more than 20% over the past 15 years, while it has remained in the low to mid-40s among men during the same period. (Gallup) DECEMBER 2, 2022 4.7 Society » Lifestyle (Top)
771-16 Inflation Realities Deflate Christmas Shopping Plans, Two-In-Five Cut Back On Charitable Giving (Click for Details) (Canada) New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds more than half of Canadians (56%) report that they will be spending less on Christmas, including presents and entertaining. These decisions are most prominent among those with lower income levels. Approximately three-in-five (61%) of those earning less than $50,000 annually say they are spending less on presents and decorating this year. Fewer than half, but still 45 per cent of those whose household incomes are above $200,000 say the same. (Angus Reid Institute) December 5, 2022 3.4 Economy » Inflation (Top)
771-17 France, Will The Champion Defend His Title! (Click for Details) (Colombia) The World Cup already has its first team classified to the second round and it is the current champion of the competition, France. After beating Denmark 2-1 today, the European team took an important step towards their main objective, to defend their title, for which they are positioned as the second favorite after Brazil. Group C has been quite even and with chances of qualifying for everyone: Poland leads with their victory today against Saudi Arabia 2-0 the percentage of odds, so it has 86%, followed by Argentina with 64%, Arabia S. 33% and Mexico 16%. The classification table has the same order and the distribution of points is 4, 3, 3 and 1. (CNC) November 28, 2022 4.15 Society » Sports (Top)
AUSTRALIA
771-18 15 Million Australians Read Magazines In Print And Online (Click for Details) (Australia) Now 11.2 million Australians aged 14+ (52.5%) read print magazines according to the results released today from the Roy Morgan Australian Readership report for the 12 months to September 2022. This market broadens to 15 million Australians aged 14+ (70.5%) who read magazines in print or online either via the web or an app, a small drop of 4.2 per cent from a year ago. These are the latest findings from the Roy Morgan Single Source survey of 65,989 Australians aged 14+ in the 12 months to September 2022. (Roy Morgan) November 29, 2022 4.6 Society » Media (Top)
771-19 Roy Morgan Business Confidence Drops By 6.4 Points To 90.2 In November – Lowest Since September 2020 (Click for Details) (Australia) In November 2022 Roy Morgan Business Confidence was 90.2 (down 6.4pts since October), as declining confidence about the performance of the Australian economy drove the index to its lowest level since September 2020 during the middle of Victoria’s second wave of COVID-19. The second straight monthly fall in the index follows the RBA’s decision to raise interest rates for a seventh straight month in early November, up by 0.25% to 2.85% - the highest official interest rates for over nine years since May 2013. (Roy Morgan) December 02, 2022 3.2 Economy » Consumer Confidence (Top)
MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES
771-20 Only Six In Ten (63%) Internet Users On Average Across The 20 Countries Included Said They Trust The Internet (Click for Details) Only six in ten (63%) Internet users on average across the 20 countries included said they trust the Internet. This is down 11 percentage points since a similar survey was conducted in 2019. The singular exception is Japan, which showed a 7 percentage-point increase in trust. But Japan is the rare exception, as the findings reveal that Internet trust shrunk by double-digits in India (-10 points), Sweden (-10), Kenya (-11), the United States (-12), Canada (-14), Brazil (-18), and Poland (-26). (A complete list of countries surveyed and details about the survey methodology and those who were questioned can be found below.) (Ipsos South Africa) 28 November 2022 3.11 Economy » Science & Technology (Top)
771-21 7 Out Of 10 People Globally Believe That Prices Will Continue In An Upward Escalation In The Next Twelve Months Among 36 Countries (Click for Details) The inflationary spiral increasingly has a greater impact worldwide and more when expectations are not exactly positive. This is evidenced by the latest reportof the Ipsos Global Inflation Monitor, carried out between October 21 and November 4 in 36 countries. On average, 7 out of 10 people globally believe that prices will continue in an upward escalation in the next twelve months, a figure similar to that of Spain, where 66% declare it. . In this current context, on average, 61% of the population globally perceives that unemployment will grow in the next year, a result that increases 5 points compared to June. (Ipsos Spain) 29 November 2022 3.4 Economy » Inflation (Top)
771-22 Gender Inequality At Work: A Real Problem For 67% Of G7 Citizens (Click for Details) 74% of citizens of G7 countries feel inequality between women and men in terms of social, political and/or economic rights in their country. 67% of respondents are convinced that gender inequality at work is a real problem (women 74% - men 59%) and62% consider that women are less likely to succeed (women70% - men 59%). 67% of respondents are convinced that gender inequality at works a real problem (women 74% - men 59%) and62% consider that women are less likely to succeed (women70% - men 59%). There is a strong difference between countries: while in France 73% of respondents say gender inequality at work is a problem, this figure rises to77% in Italy, but falls to63% inGermanyand59% in Japan. (Ipsos France) November 29, 2022 4.5 Society » Gender Issues (Top)
771-23 Economic Worries Now Concern More Than Half Of The Global Population, A Study In 19 Nations (Click for Details) Kantar’s Global Issues Barometer is a detailed analysis of 11,000 people’s attitudes in 19 countries (representing 68% of global GDP), as they cope with the tempest of global crises. The study uses open-ended questions to gather peoples’ real opinions and Kantar’s TextAI technology to interpret and analyse the responses. Asked to spontaneously share their concerns, 55% of people globally mentioned the war (+4% pts), followed by 50% mentioning the economy and 35% climate and environmental issues. Whilst the majority of countries cluster around a similar group of top concerns, the UK is also concerned about work and unemployment issues; China and the Philippines are worried about Covid; and violence and crime is a top 3 issue in the US, Nigeria and South Africa. (Kantar) 01 December 2022 3.1 Economy » Perceptions on Performance (Top)
TOPIC OF THE WEEK Cigarette Smoking Rate In America Has Fallen From 35% To 12% In The Past Two Decades uThis page is devoted to opinions of countries whose polling activity is generally not known very widely or where a recent topical issue requires special attention.
Cigarette Smoking Rate In America Has Fallen From 35% To 12% In The Past Two Decades As the percentage of U.S. adults who smoke cigarettes has reached a new low of 11% this year, much of the decline is tied to sharply lower smoking rates among young adults. From 2001 to 2003, an average of 35% of U.S. adults between the ages of 18 and 29 said they smoked cigarettes, compared with 12% in the latest estimate. This 23-percentage-point decline among young adults is more than double that of any other age group over that time. As a result of these changes, young adults have moved from the group most likely to smoke cigarettes to the second-least likely, with a rate higher than only the oldest Americans. Gallup trends through 2012 showed that young adults were the age group most likely to smoke cigarettes. Between 2013 and 2015, their smoking rates dipped below those of 30- to 49-year-olds, and by 2018, these had also fallen behind 50- to 64-year-olds’ smoking rates. Now, the percentage of young adults who smoke is four points above that for those 65 years and older, the age group that has consistently been least likely to smoke. These trend data on smoking by age are based on aggregated data from Gallup’s annual Consumption Habits survey, conducted each year from 2001 to 2022 with the exception of 2020. Three-year aggregates provide sufficiently large samples to get stable estimates of young adults’ smoking habits over time, as well as the ability to analyze subgroups of 18- to 29-year-old adults. Smoking has historically been, and continues to be, highly related to educational attainment. Young adults with a college degree have consistently been far less likely to smoke than young adults who have not graduated college. Both groups have shown significant declines in smoking over time, but the decline has been greater among young college nongraduates (25 points) than among young college graduates (10 points). Specifically, the rate has dropped from 39% to 14% among young adults without a college degree and from 17% to 7% among young college graduates. Smoking rates among men and women in the 18 to 29 age group have also declined, and by roughly similar amounts. Between 2001 and 2003, an average of 38% of young men and 32% of young women smoked cigarettes. The current figures are 13% and 12%, respectively. Some Cigarette Smoking May Be Shifting to E-Cigarettes Since 2019, Gallup has measured Americans’ use of electronic cigarettes, also known as “vaping,” separately from its measure of cigarette smoking. Between 2019 and 2022, an average of 7% of U.S. adults reported smoking e-cigarettes in the past week. However, vaping is far more common among 18- to 29-year-olds, at 19%, than among older age groups, including 7% of 30- to 49-year-olds, 3% of 50- to 64-year-olds and less than 1% of those 65 and older. Given these differences, young adults are more likely to vape than to smoke cigarettes, while among older age groups, cigarette smoking prevails. It is unclear to what extent e-cigarette usage has grown among young adults in recent years because Gallup did not ask the question before 2019. Federal surveys of students document large growth in e-cigarette usage among teens between 2011 and 2018, at the same time cigarette smoking was declining among this demographic. These data suggest that much of the decline in cigarette smoking among young adults may have been offset by vaping, indicating that young adults are still smoking products containing nicotine, but through different means. Gallup has found that those who smoke e-cigarettes are unlikely to also smoke tobacco cigarettes. Among young adults since 2019, an average 15% say they smoke e-cigarettes but not tobacco cigarettes; 8% smoke tobacco cigarettes but not e-cigarettes, and 4% smoke both. The combined 27% of young adults who either smoke cigarettes or vape approaches the 26% cigarette smoking rate Gallup measured for this age group about a decade ago, although it is still below the greater-than 30% incidence for cigarette smoking before 2007. Marijuana Usage Increasing Among Young Adults In contrast to the decline in cigarette smoking among young adults, use of marijuana in this age group has increased, according to Gallup trends dating to 2013. Between 2019 and 2022, an average of 26% of young adults indicated they smoked marijuana, up from 17% between 2013 and 2015. More than twice as many young adults now say they smoke marijuana as smoke cigarettes. Marijuana smoking is also more common among young adults than vaping. Marijuana usage has also climbed in recent years among adults between the ages of 30 and 64, while it has been stable at a low level among senior citizens. Four in 10 young adults smoke at least one of the three substances -- cigarettes, e-cigarettes or marijuana -- including 3% who smoke all three, 11% who smoke marijuana only, 9% who smoke e-cigarettes only and 3% who smoke cigarettes only. Another 14% smoke two of the three substances, with the majority of these young adults smoking e-cigarettes and marijuana but not cigarettes. Overall, slightly more than one in four U.S. adults smoke any of the three substances, with the oldest Americans least likely to do so. Bottom Line Public health officials would be encouraged by the steep decline in cigarette smoking over the past two decades, a trend driven largely by plummeting smoking rates among young adults. But young adults are increasingly smoking marijuana, perhaps because it is now legal to use in a growing number of states, and vaping. Both vaping and marijuana are more common activities for young adults than traditional cigarette smoking. Still, fewer young adults smoke or vape today than smoked cigarettes two decades ago, before e-cigarettes became widely available. And although many health researchers believe vaping is safer than smoking traditional cigarettes, they do not believe e-cigarettes are safe in general. Further, the long-term health effects of vaping are not as well-known, and the Food and Drug Administration has taken steps to try to limit marketing of vaping to minors. (Gallup) NOVEMBER 28, 2022 Source: https://news.gallup.com/poll/405884/cigarette-smoking-rates-down-sharply-among-young-adults.aspx (Top)
GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX: u The purpose of this index is to treat the Global Coverage by each issue of Gallopedia in terms of Population, National Income and estimated Power measured by G20 Membership.
GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX (Top)
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