Gilani’s Gallopedia© Gallopedia From Gilani Research Foundation October 2020, Issue # 658* Compiled on a weekly basis since January 2007
Gilani’s Gallopedia is a weekly Digest of Opinions in a globalized world
This issue scores 70 out of 100 on Gilani-Gallopedia's Globality Index, showing coverage of world population, and 73 out of 100 on the world income (prosperity) Index. Click for Details
Contact Details: Asra Malik Senior Research Analyst, Gallup Pakistan Email: asra@gallup.com.pk This WEEKLY REPORT consists of 25 national & multi country surveys 8 polling organizations have been represented. Asia: India (Elections, Financial Systems), Japan(Well-being), Singapore(Values & Customs), Philippines(Values & Customs), UAE(Consumer Confidence), Tunisia(Crime) – 07 national polls Africa: Sierra Leone(Crime) – 01 Euro Americas: Italy(Financial Systems), Belgium(Governance), UK(Environment, Well-being, Health, Crime), Canada(Entertainment, Governance), USA(Governance, Education, Governance, Elections, Ethnicity), Brazil(Social Problems) – 14 national polls	Multi-Country Studies: YouGov – 07 Countries (Elections) PEW – 02 Countries (Globalization) Gallup USA – 140 Countries (Health) Topic of the Week: In U.S. and UK, Globalization Leaves Some Feeling ‘Left Behind’ or ‘Swept Up’ Gilani-Gallopedia Globality Index
ASIA AND MENA Regions
658-01 Nearly 31% prefer Nitish as CM, says poll survey (Click for Details) (India) Nitish Kumar's NDA government seems headed for a fourth term in Bihar, with 141-161 seats this time. ABP News along with CVoter conducted an opinion poll to gauge the mood of the voters ahead of the crucial polls. The sample size of the survey was 25,789. Nitish remains first choice for CM: As per the survey, 31% of the respondents in Bihar have said that they want Nitish Kumar to be the Chief Minister of the state. Eight percent voted for Lalu Yadav as preferred CM candidate, while Tejashwi was preferred by 15% of the respondents. (ABP Live) September 25, 2020 1.1 Domestic Politics » Elections (Top)
658-02 Digital banking thrives amidst Covid, likely to grow post the crisis (Click for Details) (India) The Coronavirus outbreak has led to tectonic shifts in individuals’ personal financial situations. With a volatile market and job layoffs, managing finances is a top priority among people. In the current scenario of economic distress, banks have come forward offering financial relief to their customers and businesses. YouGov’s latest survey reveals a large proportion of urban Indians (58%) believe banks in India are doing an excellent job of helping them during the COVID19 crisis. Very few (12%) believe otherwise and disagree with this view. (YouGov) October 07, 2020 3.9 Economy » Financial systems & Institutions (Top)
658-03 Japan business sentiment perks up as hit from pandemic begins to ease (Click for Details) (Japan) Japanese business sentiment improved in July-September from a 11-year low hit three months ago, a key central bank survey showed, in a sign the economy is gradually emerging from the devastating hit from the coronavirus pandemic. The data offers some hope for new Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga’s efforts to achieve an economic revival from the crisis and pave the way for hosting next year’s Tokyo Olympic Games. (The Asahi Shimbun) October 02, 2020 3.1 Economy » Perceptions on Performance/ Well-Being (Top)
658-04 Singapore’s Most Admired (Click for Details) (Singapore) Former United States President Barack Obama has topped the list as Singapore’s most admired man for the third year in a row, according to YouGov’s annual study of which public figures people look up to. Following Barack Obama is Microsoft co-founder and philanthropist Bill Gates in second place. Billionaire entrepreneurs feature strongly in this year’s list, with Alibaba co-founder in third and American business magnate Warren Buffet in fifth. (YouGov) September 25, 2020 4.7 Society » Morality, Values & Customs / Lifestyle (Top)
658-05 Philippine’s Most Admired (Click for Details) (Philippines) Filipino President Rodrigo Duterte has again topped the list as Philippine’s most admired man, for the third year in a row, according to YouGov’s annual study of which public figures people look up to. The top three most admired men in this year’s list are all Filipino. In second is professional boxer and Senator of the Philippines Manny Pacquiao, who has moved up three spots from last year’s ranking. (YouGov) October 01, 2020 4.7 Society » Morality, Values & Customs / Lifestyle (Top)
MENA:
658-06 Nearly half of UAE residents feel positive about the support offered by banks during Covid19 (Click for Details) (UAE) The Coronavirus outbreak has led to tectonic shifts in individuals’ personal financial situations. With plunging stocks and many people out of work, managing finances is a top priority among people. Amidst an environment of economic distress, banks in the UAE have rolled out a stimulus package offering financial relief to their customers and businesses. YouGov’s latest survey reveals nearly one in two respondents (48%) believe banks in the UAE are doing an excellent job of helping them during the COVID19 crisis. (YouGov) October 05, 2020 3.2 Economy » Consumer Confidence/Protection (Top)
658-07 Tunisians are concerned about smuggling and corruption, say government is handling them poorly, Afrobarometer study shows (Click for Details) (Tunisia) Most Tunisians say smuggling and corruption are problems in the country, and very few think the government is doing a good job of resolving them, a new Afrobarometer study shows. Citizens are more than twice as likely to say they prefer buying legal but expensive goods over cheaper smuggled goods. Although most Tunisians say it is wrong to work as a driver of smuggled goods, a significant proportion think it is “wrong but understandable” to buy smuggled goods. (Afrobarometer) September 28, 2020 4.12 Society » Crime (Top)
AFRICA Regions
AFRICA
658-08 A majority of Sierra Leoneans say the Commissions of Inquiry are effective, Afrobarometer study shows (Click for Details) (Sierra Leone) A majority of Sierra Leoneans say the Commissions of Inquiry are effective in addressing corruption in the country, a new Afrobarometer survey shows. By a 4-to-1 margin, citizens also say the commissions are impartial and do not favour one party or group over another. Only about one in 10 citizens hold negative views of the commissions’ impartiality and effectiveness, though about one-third say they don’t know enough about the commissions to offer an opinion. (Afrobarometer) September 30, 2020 4.12 Society » Crime (Top)
EURO-AMERICA Regions
EUROPE
658-09 Credit Cards and Digital Payments Observatory (Click for Details) (Italy) In the first months of 2020 there is a greater use of digital payment tools also for offline purchases , for which the growth potential is considered high. The lockdown has generated a boost for internet and mobile banking and 8 out of 10 Italians have resorted to e-commerce not only for online shopping. The post lockdown saw intensification in the use of credit cards and an increase in the share of heavy users. (Ipsos) October 01, 2020 3.9 Economy » Financial systems & Institutions (Top)
658-10 What do we think about our new Belgian government? (Click for Details) (Belgium) Results gathered with Ipsos sprint in 24 hours on a representative panel of Belgians show a lack of confidence in the new Federal Government, and strong regional differences in acceptance of lacking a majority on the Flemish side. Only 38% reported being confident in the new government while 46% reported the opposite. Less than half (48%) of the respondents where confident in the president whereas 35% where not. (Ipsos) October 02, 2020 1.3 Domestic Politics » Governance (Top)
658-11 How much do Brits know about the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals? (Click for Details) (UK) A new YouGov Profiles study looks at awareness of the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) – a set of targets designed to be a “blueprint to achieve a better and more sustainable future for all" – among the British public. In 2015 all UN member states adopted the SDGs as part of unified plan to end poverty, protect the planet and ensure peace by 2030. But YouGov data reveals that five years on the majority of Brits (56%) are not at all aware of the targets. Just over a quarter (27%) have heard of them, but are unfamiliar with they involve. (YouGov) October 01, 2020 4.14 Society » Environment/ Disasters (Top)
658-12 Can Britons manage their money? (Click for Details) (UK) Only one in five Britons (20%) are absolutely confident when it comes to making and keeping a budget. These people are slightly more likely to be older, with about two in five (43%) of them being at least 55 years old, compared to 38% of the wider population. Social grade also seems to play a role, albeit to a lesser degree. About three in five confident budgeters (59%) are ABC1s, meaning they tend to do professional work, compared to 54% of all Brits. (YouGov) September 29, 2020 3.1 Economy » Perceptions on Performance/ Well-Being (Top)
658-13 Can Britain resist a snack? (Click for Details) (UK) Three in five Brits say they’re likely to purchase snacks over the next month – and chocolate is their biggest weakness. For many Brits, snacks are vital service stations on the long, hard motorway that leads to dinnertime. YouGov Profiles data shows that six in ten Brits (61%) admit that they’re either very likely (41%) or likely (20%) to buy them in the next 30 days. Just a fifth (19%) say they’re either not very or not at all likely to buy them. (YouGov) October 01, 2020 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
658-14 Can criminals truly change? (Click for Details) (UK) A recent BBC documentary – Can Sex Offenders Change? – investigated whether those who have committed sexual crimes against children can ever be safely reintegrated into society. While the programme didn’t reach a definitive conclusion, it raised a larger question: Which type of offenders can be effectively reformed – and which criminals shouldn’t get a second chance? YouGov asked the public if it would be possible to rehabilitate criminals who have committed various types of crimes. Our data shows that just 12% of Brits think people who have been convicted of sexual offences against children can be rehabilitated – and three-quarters (76%) believe them to be beyond help. (YouGov) October 05, 2020 4.12 Society » Crime (Top)
NORTH AMERICA
658-15 Hollywood’s Bestsellers Are Books! Two-thirds (67%) of Canadians Think the Best TV Shows & Movies are Based on Books (Click for Details) (Canada) One in Three (34%) Have Postponed Watching A TV Show or Movie So They Could Read the Book it Was Based on First. It seems that every good book ends up becoming a movie or TV show, with classic novels such as Little Fires Everywhere, Lock & Key, the Invisible Man, Defending Jacob, and the Witcher all hitting the big screen recently. It is therefore not surprising that a new Ipsos poll, conducted on behalf of !ndigo, reveals a vast majority (88%) of Canadians have read a book that is associated with a TV show or movie. (Ipsos) September 23, 2020 4.16 Society » Entertainment (Top)
658-16 Impact of Prime Minister’s Speech to the Nation a Wash: 27% Have More Confidence in PM’s Plans Following Speech; 29% Have Less Confidence (Click for Details) (Canada) One Quarter (27%) of Canadians Watched PM’s Televised Address; 18% Saw it on Social Media; 50% Read or Heard about It. Following the government’s Speech from the Throne last Wednesday, the Prime Minister took to the airwaves to outline his plans for the country as Canada enters into a second wave of COVID-19. While many Canadians watched or otherwise heard the details of the speech, the impact appears to be a wash. (Ipsos) October 1, 2020 1.3 Domestic Politics » Governance (Top)
658-17 New High 54% Want Government to Solve More Problems in U.S. (Click for Details) (USA) For the first time in Gallup's 28-year trend, a majority of Americans think the government should do more to solve the nation's problems. As the U.S. continues to struggle with the coronavirus pandemic, the resulting economic downturn, and racial injustice issues, 54% of U.S. adults favor increased government intervention, while 41% think the government is doing too much that should be left to individuals and businesses. (Gallup USA) September 28, 2020 1.3 Domestic Politics » Governance (Top)
658-18 Families, Educators Dissatisfied With Computer Science Access (Click for Details) (USA) In the latest Google/Gallup study of the state of computer science education in U.S. schools, conducted in late January to early March, about half of U.S. students in grades 7 through 12 reported they had the opportunity to learn these skills at school. Forty-nine percent of students say they learned any computer science at school in the past year. Similar percentages of female and male students and Black, Hispanic and White students reported that they learned computer science at school. (Gallup USA) October 01, 2020 4.10 Society » Education (Top)
658-19 New High Favors One-Party Control of U.S. Federal Government (Click for Details) (USA) A new high of 41% of U.S. adults say it is better to have a president and Congress from the same political party. Twenty-three percent would rather have one party control the presidency and the other control Congress, while 32% say it makes no difference to them. A record 41% of U.S. adults in 2020 say it is better to have a president who comes from the same party that controls Congress. The 23% in 2020 who favor having a president from one party and Congress controlled by another is near the record-low 20% from 2016. (Gallup USA) October 02, 2020 1.3 Domestic Politics » Governance (Top)
658-20 Most Cuban American voters identify as Republican in 2020 (Click for Details) (USA) Unlike other Hispanic registered voters in the United States, most Cuban Americans identify as Republican – a pattern that could have electoral implications as President Donald Trump seeks to recapture the important swing state of Florida this year. Nationwide, 58% of Cuban registered voters say they affiliate with or lean toward the Republican Party, while 38% identify with the Democratic Party or lean Democratic, according to a Pew Research Center survey conducted July 27-Aug. 2. By comparison, around two-thirds of Hispanic voters who are not Cuban (65%) identify as or lean Democratic, while 32% affiliate with the Republican Party. (PEW) October 02, 2020 1.1 Domestic Politics » Elections (Top)
658-21 Americans are more positive about the long-term rise in U.S. racial and ethnic diversity than in 2016 (Click for Details) (USA) The United States is more racially and ethnically diverse today than it ever has been, and it is projected to be even more diverse in the coming decades. In 2019, Americans who identify as a race or ethnicity other than non-Hispanic White made up 40% of the country’s population, and their combined share is predicted to increase to over 50% by 2044, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. (PEW) October 01, 2020 4.3 Society » Ethnicity (Top)
SOUTH AMERICA
658-22 64% of Brazilians prefer to prioritize social progress against economic growth in the post-pandemic recovery (Click for Details) (Brazil) Health and well-being of society are current priority issues worldwide. Social development, encompassing aspects such as life expectancy, education, inclusion, etc., should be Brazil's priority when the pandemic comes to an end. At least that is what 64% of the country's interviewees say, that in the survey “ Covid-19: Recovery Preferences and Priorities ”, carried out by Ipsos for the Social Progress Imperative with 10,000 people from 13 countries - 1,000 of whom are Brazilians - chose to prioritize the social progress at the expense of economic growth in the post-Covid-19 resumption. (YouGov) September 21, 2020 4.13 Society » Social Problems (Top)
MULTICOUNTRY STUDIES
658-23 Europe wants Joe Biden to beat Donald Trump (Click for Details) With the US election less than a month away, a new YouGov survey of seven European countries – Britain, France, Germany, Spain, Italy, Denmark and Sweden – finds that people overwhelmingly want to see Joe Biden triumph over Donald Trump. A victory for the Democratic challenger is most strongly desired in Denmark, where 80% want to see him win compared to only 6% for the Republican incumbent. The president performs best in Italy, but even here the 20% who want him returned for a second term are outnumbered almost three to one by the 58% who want Biden to win. (YouGov) October 04, 2020 1.1 Domestic Politics » Elections (Top)
658-24 In U.S. and UK, Globalization Leaves Some Feeling ‘Left Behind’ or ‘Swept Up’ (Click for Details) In 2016, both Americans and Britons participated in divisive votes shaped in part by questions of immigration and global engagement. In the United States, voters cast ballots in a presidential election ultimately won by Donald Trump and his “America first” vision. Across the Atlantic, “leave” voters outnumbered “remain” voters in a national referendum on continued European Union membership, framed by the slogan “Take back control.” Attempts to explain the twin poll results have focused on people who felt left behind and who voted against the seemingly inexorable tide of growing economic interdependence, cultural diversity and social connectivity that define a globalized world. But direct, systematic comparisons of the two countries have been rare. (PEW) October 05, 2020 3.6 Economy » Economic Globalization (Top)
658-25 Monitoring the World's Water Access and Use (Click for Details) For billions of people worldwide, sufficient, safe and sustainably managed water is not something they can take for granted. And the limited resources they have at their disposal are under increasing threat from a range of climate-related, infrastructural and political reasons. This is more evident among the most vulnerable populations who often suffer the most. However, until recently, researchers and policymakers were not able to track inequalities in living in a water secure environment in a globally comparable way. (Gallup USA) September 29, 2020 4.11 Society » Health (Top)
TOPIC OF THE WEEK: In U.S. and UK, Globalization Leaves Some Feeling ‘Left Behind’ or ‘Swept Up’ uThis page is devoted to opinions of countries whose polling activity is generally not known very widely or where a recent topical issue requires special attention.
In U.S. and UK, Globalization Leaves Some Feeling ‘Left Behind’ or ‘Swept Up’ In 2016, both Americans and Britons participated in divisive votes shaped in part by questions of immigration and global engagement. In the United States, voters cast ballots in a presidential election ultimately won by Donald Trump and his “America first” vision. Across the Atlantic, “leave” voters outnumbered “remain” voters in a national referendum on continued European Union membership, framed by the slogan “Take back control.” Attempts to explain the twin poll results have focused on people who felt left behind and who voted against the seemingly inexorable tide of growing economic interdependence, cultural diversity and social connectivity that define a globalized world. But direct, systematic comparisons of the two countries have been rare. Pew Research Center undertook focus groups in the United States and United Kingdom in 2019 – prior to the outbreak of COVID-19 – to understand better the degree to which similar narratives about globalization and its impacts are evident in each country – and whether these narratives vary by geography, political affiliation or other factors in each country. The focus groups confirm that the story of being “left behind” remains common in both the U.S. and UK. Participants highlighted the ways in which the forces of globalization left them rudderless, closing industries, leading people to abandon their homes and harming them economically. But the group conversations also reveal a narrative of being “swept up” by globalization. Those who are swept up experience dislocation because of too much attention from global forces – investment and new job creation supplant traditional work, inflate real estate prices and displace some people from their homes and communities. Stories of being left behind and swept up both lead to feelings of alienation and loss. In academia, this is referred to as a “sociotropic” attitude. Academics have found similar relationships when examining trade attitudes or attitudes toward immigration. For example, when it comes to trade, scholars argue that people’s attitudes toward international trade are based less on their material self-interest than on perceptions of how the U.S. economy as a whole is affected by trade. Similarly, when it comes to immigration, research suggests people’s opinions are shaped by their concerns about the national cultural impacts of immigration more than their personal economic experiences. Given that people can feel dislocated whether they are left behind or swept up, what separates those who see globalization negatively from those who see it positively is how they perceive changes to their country, rather than their neighborhood. Those who are more locally or nationally rooted tend to see globalization breaking down the national community and changing what it means to be part of the nation-state in ways they find disaffecting. In contrast, those who embrace globalization tend to focus on the ways in which globalization itself can create community – fostering new connections by breaking down boundaries between people to foster international cooperation and understanding. In the following section, we describe how focus group participants defined and described globalization. Then, we look at how globalization impacted participants’ local communities and created a sense of loss, both for those who were left behind and those who are swept up by globalization. We then look at how people see globalization changing what it means to be British or American and how both those who are more globally oriented and those who are more nationally rooted express feelings of alienation in their country. Finally, we look at participants’ attitudes toward globalization at the international level, concluding that some view global interconnectivity as an opportunity for cooperation while others see it as a battleground for competition. Throughout the essay are quotations representing a range of views from participants, some of which have been edited for grammar, spelling and clarity. (PEW) October 05, 2020 Source: https://www.pewresearch.org/2020/10/05/in-u-s-and-uk-globalization-leaves-some-feeling-left-behind-or-swept-up/ (Top)
GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX: u The purpose of this index is to treat the Global Coverage by each issue of Gallopedia in terms of Population, National Income and estimated Power measured by G20 Membership.
GILANI-GALLOPEDIA GLOBALITY INDEX (Top)
Disclaimer: Gilani’s Gallopedia is a not for profit activity and every effort has been made to give attribution to respective polling organizations. All material presented here is available elsewhere as public information. Readers may please visit the original source for further details. Gilani Research foundation does not bear any responsibility for accuracy of data or the methods and does not claim any proprietary rights benefits or responsibilities thereof. *Archives: Gilani’s Gallopedia has been compiled on a weekly basis since January 2007. Previous material is available upon request. Please contact asra@gallup.com.pk